Free Basketball Picks from the Worlds Best Handicappers

Freddy Wills NFL Top Picks

Date	Match Up	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Lead Time	Analysis
02-09-25	Chiefs -1.5 v. Eagles	Top	22-40	Loss	-110	330 h 31 m	Show
Chiefs -1.5 5.5% NFL POD
01-26-25	Bills v. Chiefs -125	Top	29-32	Win	100	4 h 26 m	Show
Chiefs -125 5.5% NFL POD
01-05-25	Dolphins v. Jets -1	Top	20-32	Win	100	1 h 59 m	Show
Jets -1 4.4 % Play play
12-29-24	Packers v. Vikings	Top	25-27	Win	100	9 h 33 m	Show
Vikings pk -110 5.5% max POD
12-22-24	Eagles v. Commanders +4	Top	33-36	Win	100	1 h 27 m	Show
Commanders +4 5.5% MAX NFL POD
12-15-24	Colts +4.5 v. Broncos	Top	13-31	Loss	-108	7 h 11 m	Show
Colts +4.5 5.5% NFL POD
12-08-24	Bills v. Rams +3.5	Top	42-44	Win	100	6 h 58 m	Show
Rams +3.5 5.5% NFL POD
12-01-24	Cardinals +3.5 v. Vikings	Top	22-23	Win	100	3 h 42 m	Show
Cardinals +3.5 5.5% NFL POD
11-24-24	Lions v. Colts +7.5	Top	24-6	Loss	-120	5 h 11 m	Show
Colts +7.5 5.5% MAX NFL POD
11-17-24	Falcons v. Broncos -1.5	Top	6-38	Win	100	8 h 25 m	Show
Broncos -1.5 5.5% NFL MAX POD
10-31-24	Texans v. Jets -130	Top	13-21	Win	100	3 h 41 m	Show
JETS -130 5.5% MAX NFL POD
10-27-24	Packers v. Jaguars +4	Top	30-27	Win	100	4 h 49 m	Show
Jaguars +4 5.5% NFL POD
10-13-24	Colts v. Titans -2.5	Top	20-17	Loss	-117	17 h 51 m	Show
Titans -2.5 -117 5.5% NFL POD
09-22-24	Dolphins +4.5 v. Seahawks	Top	3-24	Loss	-108	7 h 0 m	Show
Dolphins +4.5 5.5% MAX POD
09-15-24	Giants +1.5 v. Commanders	Top	18-21	Loss	-105	5 h 16 m	Show
Giants +1.5 5.5% MAX NFL POD
09-08-24	Jaguars +3.5 v. Dolphins	Top	17-20	Win	100	29 h 20 m	Show
Jaguars +3.5 5.5% NFL POD
01-28-24	Lions v. 49ers -7	Top	31-34	Loss	-110	9 h 41 m	Show
49ers -7 5.5% NFL POD
01-21-24	Chiefs +3 v. Bills	Top	27-24	Win	100	8 h 59 m	Show
Chiefs +3 -120 5.5% NFL POD
01-14-24	Packers +7 v. Cowboys	Top	48-32	Win	100	9 h 7 m	Show
Packers +7.5 -115 3.5% play
01-07-24	Bears v. Packers -2.5	Top	9-17	Win	100	5 h 3 m	Show
Packers -2.5 -123 5.5% NFL POD
12-24-23	Colts +3 v. Falcons	Top	10-29	Loss	-115	1 h 5 m	Show
Colts +3 -115 4.5% NFL POD
12-03-23	Lions v. Saints +4.5	Top	33-28	Loss	-110	3 h 55 m	Show
Saints+4.5 5.5% NFL POD
11-26-23	Browns v. Broncos -1	Top	12-29	Win	100	9 h 53 m	Show
Broncos -1 5.5% MAX NFL POD
11-19-23	Chargers v. Packers +3.5	Top	20-23	Win	100	5 h 50 m	Show
Packers +3.5 5.5% NFL POD
11-12-23	Jets v. Raiders	Top	12-16	Loss	-110	50 h 38 m	Show
Jets pk 5.5% NFL MAX POD
11-05-23	Cowboys +3 v. Eagles	Top	23-28	Loss	-110	5 h 51 m	Show
cowboys+3.5 -120 5.5% max nfl pod
10-29-23	Texans v. Panthers +3.5	Top	13-15	Win	100	25 h 18 m	Show
Panthers +3.5 5.5% pod
10-08-23	Cowboys +3.5 v. 49ers	Top	10-42	Loss	-110	13 h 50 m	Show
Cowboys +3.5 5.5% NFL POD
09-24-23	Broncos +6 v. Dolphins	Top	20-70	Loss	-110	4 h 13 m	Show
Broncos +6 5.5% MAX POD
09-17-23	Dolphins v. Patriots +3	Top	24-17	Loss	-123	11 h 11 m	Show
PATRIOTS +3 5.5% MAX NFL POD
02-12-23	Chiefs +2.5 v. Eagles	Top	38-35	Win	100	323 h 36 m	Show
Chiefs +3 -125 buy 1/2 point
01-29-23	Bengals v. Chiefs	Top	20-23	Win	100	46 h 40 m	Show
Chiefs -120 5.5% NFL POD
01-22-23	Cowboys v. 49ers OVER 46.5	Top	12-19	Loss	-110	31 h 2 m	Show
Cowboys / 49ers Over 46 5.5% NFL POD
01-15-23	Giants +3 v. Vikings	Top	31-24	Win	100	33 h 38 m	Show
Giants +3 -115 5.5% NFL POD
01-01-23	Panthers v. Bucs -3	Top	24-30	Win	100	4 h 12 m	Show
Bucs -3 -125 5.5% NFL POD
12-24-22	Eagles v. Cowboys OVER 47	Top	34-40	Win	100	10 h 32 m	Show
Eagles / Cowboys Over 47 5.5% NFL POD
12-18-22	Lions v. Jets -1	Top	20-17	Loss	-110	55 h 36 m	Show
JETS -1 5.5% max nfl pod
12-04-22	Steelers v. Falcons	Top	19-16	Loss	-110	4 h 39 m	Show
Falcons pk 5.5% MAX POD
11-24-22	Patriots +2.5 v. Vikings	Top	26-33	Loss	-105	29 h 16 m	Show
Patriots +3 -120 buy 1/2 5.5% MAX NFL POD Short week definitely is an edge for the more experienced head coach, and Bill Bellechick already admitted that he was preparing for the Vikings during the bye before the Jets game, which I guess makes sense since he's very much familiar with my Jets. Vikings have some injury issues as they lose their LT to another concussion, the secondary is banged up and could be exposed here against the Patriots who rank #4 in explosive passing offense. Patriots have a big edge in special teams and have a top 5 pass defense. Vikings vs. top 10 pass defenses this season are 1-2 losing to Cowboys and Eagles, but their one win was against the Bills who they should have lost to last week. Kirk Cousins typically also struggles when he's out of his routine, and this is playing at night + on Thanksgiving.
11-20-22	Eagles v. Colts +7	Top	17-16	Win	100	29 h 33 m	Show
Colts +7 5.5% MAX POD
11-06-22	Seahawks v. Cardinals -1.5	Top	31-21	Loss	-110	8 h 25 m	Show
Cardinals -1.5 5.5% MAX NFL POD
10-30-22	Giants v. Seahawks -3	Top	13-27	Win	100	9 h 48 m	Show
Seahawks -3 5.5% MAX POD
10-23-22	Browns +7 v. Ravens	Top	20-23	Win	100	4 h 32 m	Show
Browns +7 5.5% MAX POD
10-16-22	Vikings v. Dolphins +3	Top	24-16	Loss	-105	4 h 43 m	Show
Dolphins +3 5.5% MAX POD
10-09-22	Chargers v. Browns +2	Top	30-28	Push	0	5 h 50 m	Show
Browns +1.5 5.5% MAX NFL POD
10-02-22	Browns v. Falcons OVER 47.5	Top	20-23	Loss	-110	5 h 50 m	Show
Browns/Falcons Over 47.5 5.5% MAX POD
09-25-22	Packers +1 v. Bucs	Top	14-12	Win	100	32 h 56 m	Show
Packers +1 5.5% MAX NFL POD
09-18-22	Panthers +2.5 v. Giants	Top	16-19	Loss	-105	5 h 26 m	Show
Panthers +2.5 5.5% NFL POD
09-11-22	Saints v. Falcons +5.5	Top	27-26	Win	100	5 h 15 m	Show
Falcons +5.5 5.5% MAX NFL POD
01-30-22	49ers +3.5 v. Rams	Top	17-20	Win	100	30 h 32 m	Show
49ers +3.5 5.5% NFL POD
01-23-22	Rams v. Bucs -2.5	Top	30-27	Loss	-112	31 h 43 m	Show
Tampa Bucs -2.5 -114 5.5% NFL POD Just who have the Rams beaten of late that is impressive? They played very poorly down the stretch and were fortunate and went 3-5 vs. playoff teams this year with 2 wins coming against a Cardinal team that was obviously having issues down the stretch. They also beat Tampa in LA, but Tampa out gained them, and had a monster game on deck as Brady was set to return to New England. Stafford played out of his mind on third down in that game, and I don’t know that I see him playing perfectly again. If he does we tip our hat, and take the loss. I think Tampa has some value here, because there is still this idea that the offense is going to struggle without Brown, and Godwin, but there are plenty of weapons left in Tampa. Rumors Lenoard Fournette will return, and it looks like both Wirfs/Jensen will play in this game along the offensive line. Brady at home won’t be phased by the Rams, while Stafford just won his first playoff game in his career. Stafford had issues with turnovers all year and they go against a Bucs team that ranked 7th in TO/drive while the Rams were 20th in offensive TO’s/drive. If there is going to be a turnover that impacts this game it’s going to be on the Rams side.
01-16-22	49ers +3 v. Cowboys	Top	23-17	Win	100	6 h 40 m	Show
49ers +3.5 -115 5.5% NFL POD E Right now you can get +102 for +3 on the 49ers, if you wait long enough I suspect a +3.5 may pop at your book. That's what I'm doing here, but righ tnow you can buy the half and grab the -115. First of all the 49ers come from the much tougher division with 3 of the 4 teams in the playoffs, and the worst team being Seattle. Each NFC West team played the AFC East 1x, all games were on the road, and the NFC West went 3-1 SU & ATS with margin of cover of 10.67 points. Both teams had some key injuries throughout the year that impacted their teams so I’m not going to harp on the Cowboys injuries or the 49ers as they both had to go through adversity to get here. Both teams went 4-4 vs. team’s with a +0.1 or more ypp differential, but it’s worth noting that all 4 of the 49ers losses came against top 10 run defenses in that cycle, and the Cowboys rank 20th in epa run defense, 16th in rushing defense dvoa. 49ers and Kyle Shanahan are built off their zone running scheme that operates on misdirection, speed, and RB with great natural ability to hit the correct hole. This is a bad match up against an aggressive defense with speed like the Cowboys. I think the Cowboys could have some stops for loss, but overall the 49ers are going to be able to move the ball here. The 49ers vs. bad run defenses (outside of the top 15) went 7-1 averaged 29.6 ppg, with a margin of victory of 12.42 points, and their only loss was by 2 against the top seeded Cowboys. Much can be said about the 49ers pass defense as well that ranks 23rd in epa, and 16th in dvoa. Cowboys when facing a bad pass defense went 8-2 this year, they averaged 36.8 ppg, with a margin of victory of 22.8 ppg, but in that sample is the horrible NFC East opponents including covid issues, and an Eagles team that rested all their players the last week of the season when the Cowboys put up 50+ points. I think the Cowboys will get some points here for sure, but that’s also why I played 49ers over. It’s also worth noting that 49ers pass defense has had issues, but their strength of opponent passing teams is very tough. On average they faced 15th ranked passing offense when we blend passing dvoa and epa. Compare that with the weakness of the Cowboys defense which faced an average run offense ranking 17.54.
01-09-22	49ers +3.5 v. Rams	Top	27-24	Win	100	6 h 14 m	Show
49ers +3.5 5.5% POD
01-02-22	Chiefs v. Bengals +4	Top	31-34	Win	100	4 h 43 m	Show
Bengals +4 5.5% NFL POD
12-26-21	Rams v. Vikings +3.5	Top	30-23	Loss	-110	4 h 58 m	Show
Vikings +3.5 4.5% / Vikings +155 1%
12-19-21	Titans v. Steelers -121	Top	13-19	Win	100	4 h 28 m	Show
Steelers -121 5.5% MAX
12-12-21	49ers v. Bengals +115	Top	26-23	Loss	-100	6 h 43 m	Show
Bengals +115 5.5% MAX POD
12-05-21	Chargers +3 v. Bengals	Top	41-22	Win	100	4 h 14 m	Show
Chargers +3 5.5% MAX NFL POD
11-28-21	Rams -1 v. Packers	Top	28-36	Loss	-114	8 h 14 m	Show
Rams -1 5.5% MAX POD
11-21-21	Saints +3 v. Eagles	Top	29-40	Loss	-110	5 h 10 m	Show
Saints +3 5.5% MAX NFL POD
11-14-21	Saints +3 v. Titans	Top	21-23	Win	100	5 h 7 m	Show
Saints +3 5.5% MAX NFL POD
11-07-21	Cardinals v. 49ers	Top	31-17	Loss	-115	44 h 56 m	Show
49ers MAX 5.5% NFL POD
10-31-21	Bucs v. Saints +4.5	Top	27-36	Win	100	8 h 3 m	Show
Saints +4.5 5.5% MAX NFL POD
10-24-21	Colts +4 v. 49ers	Top	30-18	Win	100	12 h 10 m	Show
Colts +4 5.5% NFL POD
10-17-21	Raiders +4 v. Broncos	Top	34-24	Win	100	7 h 14 m	Show
Raiders +4 4.4% NFL POD
10-10-21	49ers +5.5 v. Cardinals	Top	10-17	Loss	-105	9 h 37 m	Show
49ERS +6 BUY 1/2 5.5% NFL POD
10-03-21	Steelers +6 v. Packers	Top	17-27	Loss	-106	9 h 33 m	Show
Steelers +6 5.5% MAX POD
09-26-21	Washington Football Team +7.5 v. Bills	Top	21-43	Loss	-114	29 h 13 m	Show
Washington +7.5 5.5% MAX NFL POD
09-19-21	Vikings +3.5 v. Cardinals	Top	33-34	Win	100	8 h 26 m	Show
Vikings +3.5 5.5% MAX NFL POD
09-12-21	Cardinals +3 v. Titans	Top	38-13	Win	100	29 h 53 m	Show
Arizona +3 5.5% NFL POD
01-17-21	Bucs v. Saints -3	Top	30-20	Loss	-105	9 h 20 m	Show
Saints -3 4.4%
01-16-21	Ravens v. Bills -2.5	Top	3-17	Win	100	8 h 28 m	Show
Bills -2.5 5.5% NFL POD
01-09-21	Colts +6.5 v. Bills	Top	24-27	Win	100	25 h 58 m	Show
COLTS +7 -120 BUY 1/2 5.5%
01-03-21	Cardinals v. Rams +121	Top	7-18	Win	121	7 h 57 m	Show
rams +121 5.5% MAX NFL POD
12-27-20	Rams +1.5 v. Seahawks	Top	9-20	Loss	-100	7 h 38 m	Show
Rams +1.5 5.5% NFL POD
12-20-20	Eagles +7 v. Cardinals	Top	26-33	Push	0	4 h 11 m	Show
EAGLES +7 5.5% nfl pod
12-13-20	Chiefs v. Dolphins +7	Top	33-27	Win	100	4 h 49 m	Show
Dolphins +7.5 5.5% NFL POD
12-06-20	Browns +5 v. Titans	Top	41-35	Win	100	4 h 49 m	Show
Browns +5 5.5% POD
11-29-20	Chiefs v. Bucs +3.5	Top	27-24	Win	100	8 h 49 m	Show
Tamps +3.5 5%
11-15-20	Seahawks v. Rams -130	Top	16-23	Win	100	8 h 55 m	Show
RAMS -130 5.5% MAX NFL POD
11-01-20	Vikings +7 v. Packers	Top	28-22	Win	100	3 h 20 m	Show
Vikings +7 5.5%
10-18-20	Texans +4 v. Titans	Top	36-42	Loss	-110	3 h 10 m	Show
Texans 5.5% POD
10-11-20	Colts +1 v. Browns	Top	23-32	Loss	-108	8 h 34 m	Show
Colts +1 4.4% POD
10-04-20	Colts -155 v. Bears	Top	19-11	Win	100	8 h 46 m	Show
Colts -145 5.5% NFL POD
09-27-20	Rams v. Bills -117	Top	32-35	Win	100	4 h 50 m	Show
Bills -117 5.5% POD
09-20-20	Vikings v. Colts -3	Top	11-28	Win	100	3 h 13 m	Show
Colts -3 5.5% NFL PO D
09-13-20	Seahawks v. Falcons +1.5	Top	38-25	Loss	-110	3 h 37 m	Show
Falcons +1.5 4.4% NFL POD
01-19-20	Packers v. 49ers UNDER 47	Top	20-37	Loss	-115	9 h 24 m	Show
Under 47 5.5%
12-29-19	Eagles v. Giants +4	Top	34-17	Loss	-115	6 h 11 m	Show
Giants +3.5 5.5% POD
12-22-19	Steelers v. Jets +3.5	Top	10-16	Win	100	2 h 57 m	Show
Jets +3.5 5.5% NFL POD
12-15-19	Browns v. Cardinals +3	Top	24-38	Win	100	28 h 1 m	Show
Cardinals +3 5.5% MAX NFL POD
12-08-19	49ers v. Saints -2	Top	48-46	Loss	-109	5 h 13 m	Show
Saints -2 5.5% MAX NFL POD
12-01-19	Browns v. Steelers +2.5	Top	13-20	Win	100	1 h 54 m	Show
Steelers +3
11-24-19	Seahawks v. Eagles -109	Top	17-9	Loss	-109	3 h 38 m	Show
Eagles -115 5.5% NFL POD
11-17-19	Jaguars v. Colts -135	Top	13-33	Win	100	3 h 41 m	Show
Colts -135 5.5% NFL POD
11-10-19	Chiefs v. Titans +6	Top	32-35	Win	100	46 h 24 m	Show
Titans +6 5.5% NFL POD
11-03-19	Patriots v. Ravens +3.5	Top	20-37	Win	100	34 h 5 m	Show
Ravens +3 +100 5.5% NFL POD
10-27-19	Packers v. Chiefs +5.5	Top	31-24	Loss	-105	9 h 58 m	Show
Chiefs +5.5 5.5% POD
10-20-19	Texans v. Colts -1	Top	23-30	Win	100	4 h 48 m	Show
Colts -1 5.5% NFL POD
10-13-19	Falcons v. Cardinals +2.5	Top	33-34	Win	100	7 h 60 m	Show
Cardinals +3 -120 5.5%