Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11-09-19 | Illinois +14.5 v. Michigan State | Top | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 22 h 50 m | Show |
Take Illinois. This is my 91% Angle Play. Game 135. 12:30 pm pst. The odds makers are giving Michigan State way too much credit here as I feel this line should be single digits. Under Lovie Smith, Illinois has improved by leaps and bounds this season, as they have won three straight, while covering four in a row against such notables as Michigan, Wisconsin, and Purdue. Granted, MSU steps down in class a bit after consecutive losses to Ohio State, Wisconsin, and Penn State, but the Spartans have become point spread poison, riding a four-game no cover streak. Without much of a running game, the offense is left in the hands of erratic quarterback, Brian Lewerke. The potent rushing attack of Reggie Corbin and Dre Brown (1,019 yards rushing, nine TD's combined) will keep the Michigan State "D" honest and keep this game very close. The Fighting Illini are money in conference play going 4-0 ATS the last four vs. Big Ten opponents. The Spartans are 0-4 ATS the last four vs. the Big Ten, 1-6 ATS the last seven at home, and 2-5 ATS the last seven following a bye week. Take Illinois. Thank you. |
|||||||
11-03-19 | Patriots -3 v. Ravens | Top | 20-37 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 15 m | Show |
Take New England. This is my LB play. Game 473. 5:20 pm pst. Baltimore is a good team. However, they do not get the bettors paid, going 1-5 ATS the L6, while the best team in football, New England is on a 4-game ATS win streak, en route to a 6-2 ATS mark on the season. The Patriots not only own the NFL's #1 scoring offense (31.2 PPG), they also possess the League's #1 scoring defense (7.6 PPG). Lamar Jackson is playing well, but Baltimore's passing unit still ranks 18th while their pass defense ranks 26th. New England is 5-1 ATS the L6 on the road, 7-2 ATS the L9 vs. the AFC, and 46-19 ATS the L65 overall. Baltimore is 0-6 ATS the L6 at home, 0-4 ATS the L4 vs. the AFC, and 1-5 ATS the L6 overall. Take the Patriots. Thank you. |
|||||||
11-03-19 | Packers -3 v. Chargers | Top | 11-26 | Loss | -125 | 29 h 25 m | Show |
Take Green Bay. This is my NFL GOM. Game 471. 1:25 pm pst. In what just might be the biggest mismatch on the board this week, the 7-1 Packers go into Carson to take on the 3-5 Chargers. Green Bay is 3-0, both SU and ATS on the road this season, outscoring hosts by 8.0 PPG. LA is 1-3 SU and 0-3-1 ATS in Carson. This really isn't a home game for the Chargers and offers them no home field advantage. Davante Adams returns here to further bolster the Packers aerial assault. The Chargers "O" (19.6 PPG) just can't keep pace here. Green Bay is 5-1 ATS the L6 meetings in this series, 4-0 ATS then L4 on the road, and 6-2 ATS the L8 overall. Take the Packers. Thank you. |
|||||||
11-02-19 | Kansas State -5.5 v. Kansas | Top | 38-10 | Win | 100 | 20 h 58 m | Show |
Take Kansas State. This is my BIG 12 GOY. Game 347. 12:30 pm pst. There are certain angles that many bettors subscribe to, with one of the most popular being the infamous, "let down" spot. There will be many out there believing that Kansas State is in such a situation after beating Oklahoma last week, 48-41, as a 23.5-point 'dog. However, the Jayhawks bested the Horned Frogs two weeks ago, 24-17 as a 4.5-point underdog. The "let down" would have happened a week ago. With back-to-back wins and covers, I feel K State is brimming with confidence and starting to stride. I know Kansas enters this game on a three-game cover streak and has covered the last three in this series, however, there are new coaches involved this season, looking to start new traditions and this team just falls short on talent. The Wildcats are healthy and match up well here. Behind the legs of running backs, Gilbert and Brown, they have a potent rushing attack (165.4 yards per game on the ground). This will allow dual-threat quarterback, Thompson (1,207 yards passing 7/1 in the air, 204 yards rushing, eight TD's on the ground) to work his magic against the nation's 106th ranked defense (32.8 PPG allowed). The Wildcats are 4-1 ATS the last five at the Jayhawks, 7-3 ATS the last 10 on the road, and 7-2 ATS the last nine overall. Take Kansas State. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-31-19 | Nuggets -4 v. Pelicans | Top | 107-122 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 9 m | Show |
Take Denver. This is my TEN DIMES MOVE. Game 563. 6:35 pm pst. New Orleans, at 0-4 (1-3 ATS) won't be any good at least until Zion Williamson is in the lineup. Denver is a very good team. They are 2-0, both SU and ATS on the road thus far and have a big edge in matchups here. The Pelicans are 2-11 ATS the last 13 at home. Take the Nuggets. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-29-19 | Mavs v. Nuggets -5 | Top | 109-106 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
Take Denver. This is my ODDSMAKERS MISTAKE PLAY. Game 536. 6;00 pm pst. This game should be closer to a DD point spread as Denver (3-0 Su, 2-1 ATS) took all three matchups a season ago (2-1 ATS) Dallas is horrible from the outside and must rely on their inside game. This doesn't bode well as they face a top-five "D" in every major category. Take the Nuggets. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-29-19 | Nationals +165 v. Astros | Top | 7-2 | Win | 165 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
Take Washington. This is my WORLD SERIES GAME 6 WINNER. Game 911. 5:07 pm pst. With their backs up against the wall, the Washington Nationals will even the series tonight. RH, Stephen Strasburg is 4-0 with a 1.93 ERA this postseason, while, RH, Justin Verlander, who is 1-3 with a 4.15 record in the 2019 postseason, owns a career, 0-5, 5.73 mark in six World Series starts. The Astros are 2-5 the last seven World Series home games. The Nationals are 8-3 the last 11 overall postseason games. Take Washington. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-28-19 | Nuggets -5.5 v. Kings | Top | 101-94 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
Take Denver. This is my FB play. 7:05 pm pst. 2-0 Denver takes on 0-3 (both SU and ATS) Sacramento here. The Nuggets have dominated the series, taking four in a row and eight of the last nine SU, going 7-2 ATS. The Kings rank at or near the bottom on both sides of the court. I feel this matchup, they will have a ton of problems on the defensive side. Just can't see them slowing down the best 3-pt shooting team in the NBA (42.4%). The Nuggets are 10-4 ATS the last 14 at the Kings. The Kings are 1-4 ATS the last five at home, 3-13 ATS the last 16 vs. the West, 1-5 ATS the last six on one days rest, and 0-6 ATS the last six overall. Take Denver. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-27-19 | Panthers v. 49ers -5.5 | Top | 13-51 | Win | 100 | 46 h 58 m | Show |
Take San Francisco. This is my NFC GOM. Game 270. 1:05 pm pst. Both teams have emerged to be NFC powerhouses. Both offenses are impressive. But, the big difference here is on the defensive side of the ball where San Francisco's fast and ferocious stop-unit lads the NFC in points allowed (second overall, 10.2 PPG). Carolina', Kyle Allen has done well in Cam Newton's absence. However, the second year quarterback has not had to face a "D" like he will here. Another key mismatch is with the NFL's second ranked rushing attack of the 49ers going up against the League's 23rd ranked run defense of the Panthers. The favorite is 7-3 ATS the last 10 meetings in this series. Take San Francisco. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-27-19 | Broncos v. Colts -4 | Top | 13-15 | Loss | -115 | 43 h 47 m | Show |
Take Indianapolis. This is my AFC GOM. Game 272. 10:00 am pst. HOT SEAT ALERT: Rumors surround the future of John Elway, Vic Fangio, and Joe Flacco in Denver. No surprise there. Someone that isn't on the hot seat is Jacoby Brissett. The quarterback (1,388 yards passing, 65.0 percent completion rate, 14/3) has Colts fans saying, "Andrew who?" Indianapolis has taken control of the AFC South by no accident. They are playing solid football. The Colts have dominated the Broncos, going 9-2 ATS the last 11 meetings, including 6-1 ATS the last seven at home. Overall, Indy has gotten the bettors paid, going 4-0 ATS the last four games played in the month of October, 6-2-1 ATS the last seven games played vs. the AFC, and 4-1-1 ATS this season. Take the Colts. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-26-19 | Memphis -10 v. Tulsa | Top | 42-41 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 22 m | Show |
Take Memphis. This is my AAC GOM. Game 117. 4:00 pm pst. Memphis won and covered the last two meetings with Tulsa by a combined, 88-35. The Tigers enter this contest 6-1 overall. However, they are tied for third in the AAC West. They need every conference win they can get right now. They face a Tulsa squad that is 0-3 ATS at home this season. This is a mismatch on both sides of the ball. Look for quarterback, Brady White (1,884 yards passing, 70.3 percent completion rate, 18/4) and running back, Kenneth Gainwell (830 yards rushing, eight TD's) to shred the 97th ranked (31.0 PPG allowed) of the Golden Hurricanes. The road team is 7-1 ATS the last eight meetings in this series. Memphis is 8-2 ATS the last 10 conference games. Tulsa is 3-8 ATS the last 11 home games. Take the Tigers. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-20-19 | Texans +1 v. Colts | Top | 23-30 | Loss | -100 | 70 h 60 m | Show |
Take Houston. This is my AFC SOUTH GOM. Game 453. 10;00 am pst. Houston is playing some very solid football and enter this contest with confidence after a 31-24 outright win (as a 3.5-point 'dog) over Kansas City last week. Indy too, beat KC two weeks ago and comes in following a bye week. Jacoby Brissett has played well since the departure of Andrew Luck. However, the off week should have the newly named starter a bit rusty. The Colts depend solely on the running game which poses a big issue as they go up against the NFL's 8th ranked run defense. Offensively, Houston (10th passing, 5th rushing, 8th scoring) won't have any problems moving the chains. The 1-2 punch of Deshaun Watson and Carlos Hyde are going to put up points. The road team is 8-1-2 ATS the last 11 meetings in this series. The Texans are 6-2-1 ATS the last nine games played on the road and 8-3-1 ATS the last 12 games played vs. the AFC. Take the Texans. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-20-19 | Vikings -1 v. Lions | Top | 42-30 | Win | 100 | 70 h 55 m | Show |
Take Minnesota. This is my NFC NORTH GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 457. 10:00 am pst.
Kudos to the Detroit Lions for covering four straight. But, the party ends here. It will be hard enough for the team playing on a short week, but mentally coming back from a controversial MNF, 1-point loss to division rival, Green Bay Packers, will be fatal. They don't possess the toughest offensive line. In comes the ferocious pass rush and one of the stingiest stop-units in football (6th, 15.5 PPG allowed) of the Minnesota Vikings. Detroit has no defense whatsoever. Minny quarterback, Kirk Cousins has silenced the critics (1,374 yards passing, 69.7 percent completion rate, 9/3). But, it will be the legs of running back, Dalvin Cook (583 yards rushing, six TD's) and the third-ranked rushing unit in the NFL that will take this game over and run with it (no pun intended LOL). The Vikings are 4-1 ATS the last five games played at the Lions and 17-8-3 ATS the last 28 overall games vs. the Lions. Take the Vikings. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-19-19 | Kentucky v. Georgia -24.5 | Top | 0-21 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 29 m | Show |
Take Georgia. This is my STL play. Game 376. 3:00 pm pst.
I really do feel bad for Kentucky here. Georgia comes off their first loss of the season, dropping seven spots in the polls. Last week's 20-17 defeat at the hands of South Carolina is going to motivate them this week. They will take out their frustrations and make a statement to the pollsters. The Bulldogs have won nine straight in this series, going 7-2 ATS, covering the last six meetings. The Wildcats are forced to go with Lynn Bowden Jr. (a converted wide receiver) at quarterback, due to injuries. This is not a very good offense (99th, 23.5 PPG) to begin with and now they face the stout, Bulldogs seventh-ranked stop-unit (12.3 PPG allowed). Expect quarterback, Jake Fromm (70.4 percent completion rate, 1,371 yards passing, 9/3) to bounce back in a big way after the worst performance of his collegiate career. The Bulldogs are 6-1 ATS the last seven vs. conference opponents. Take Georgia. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-19-19 | LSU -17 v. Mississippi State | Top | 36-13 | Win | 100 | 49 h 50 m | Show |
Take LSU. This is my SEC GOM. Game 379. 12:30 pm pst.
The second-ranked Tigers own the nation's top-scoring offense (52.5 PPG) on the No. 2 passing unit in college football. They must keep their foot on the gas as they have the Aggies up next and the Crimson Tide in two weeks. They will beat up on a 3-3 (2-4 ATS) Mississippi State team that doesn't score too much (26.8 PPG) and just can't seem to stop anyone from reaching the end zone (27.2 PPG allowed). The key mismatch is Joe Burrow (2,157 yards passing, 79.6 percent completion rate, 25/3) and potent aerial attack of the Tigers going up against the 75th ranked pass defense of the Rebels.LSU is 9-3 ATS the last 12 at the Rebels, 4-0 ATS the last four on the road, and 12-4 ATS the last 16 vs. the SEC. Take LSU. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-13-19 | Yankees +145 v. Astros | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 24 m | Show |
Take New York. This is my ALCS GAME 2 WINNER. Game 907. 5:05 pm pst. New York opened the ALCS with a commanding, 7-0 win yesterday. The Yankees now have taken four of the last five vs. Houston. The Astros, which have dropped three of four coming into Sunday, have averaged just 1.3 RPG in those three postseason defeats. New York accounts for over 6.20 RPG on the road in 2019, while Houston averages 5.93 RPG at home. LH, James Paxton (15-6, 3.82 TY) and RH, Justin Verlander (21-6, 2.58 TY) are starters today. The Yankees are 4-0 the last four playoff games, 11-5 the last 16 vs. the AL West, and 6-0 in Paxton's last six road starts. The Astros are 0-5 the last five League Championship games, 3-7 the last 10 playoff games, and 1-6 the last seven vs. teams with a winning percentage of over .600 Take New York. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-13-19 | Cowboys -7 v. Jets | Top | 22-24 | Loss | -105 | 71 h 17 m | Show |
Take Dallas. Game 269. 1:25 pm pst.
Dallas is a good team, but, they are not an NFL elite. The Cowboys started the season at 3-0, beating three nobodies (Giants, Redskins, Dolphins, a combined record of 2-12). They then played two solid teams in the Saints and Packers and lost and failed to cover both.Well, the 0-4 Jets most likely will see the return of quarterback, Sam Darnold and tight end, Chris Herndon (check status on both), but it won't matter. The New York "O" ranks 31st in scoring, 32nd in passing, and 30th in rushing. Look for Dak Prescott and company to exploit New York's doormat of a secondary and get back on track here. Dallas feeds on lower tier teams and it doesn't get much lower than their opponent here. The Cowboys are 4-1 ATS the last five games played vs. teams with a losing record. The Jets are 1-5-1 ATS the last six games played vs. teams with a winning record and 0-6-1 ATS the last seven games played at home. Take Dallas. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-13-19 | Titans v. Broncos UNDER 41 | Top | 0-16 | Win | 100 | 71 h 9 m | Show |
Take UNDER in the Titans/Broncos matchup. Games 271/272. 1:25 pm pst.
These are two of the NFL's poorer offenses, but two of the better defenses. Denver accounts for only 18.0 PPG while Tennessee averages 19.6 PPG. The Broncos defense allows just 21.2 PPG while the Titans "D" yields a mere, 15.2 PPG. They have combined to play to three overs and seven unders this season. The under is 8-1 in Denver's last nine home games, 20-7-1 in Denver's last 28 overall games, 7-3 in Tennessee's last 10 road games and 4-0 in Tennessee's last four overall games. Take the UNDER. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-13-19 | 49ers +3.5 v. Rams | Top | 20-7 | Win | 100 | 71 h 1 m | Show |
Take San Francisco. Game 265. 1:05 pm pst. A season ago, my opinion on this matchup would have been very different. But, this is 2019 and these two teams are in very different places right now. San Francisco owns the best running game in the NFL, the #2 scoring offense (31.8 PPG), and a top-five defense in every major category. Their defensive line is one of the most feared in the league and will go through the porous, offensive line of Los Angeles and get to the struggling, Jared Goff (7 TD/7 INT). With several linebackers out, including Clay Matthews, the Rams defense is going to get steamrolled by the top rushing tandem in football, running back's, Matt Brieda and Raheem Mostert (576 yards rushing combined). The 49ers are 5-2 ATS the last seven meetings in this series. Take San Francisco. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-12-19 | Yankees +148 v. Astros | Top | 7-0 | Win | 148 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
Take New York. This is my ALCS GAME 1 WINNER. Game 903. 5:08 pm pst. Coming off a three-game sweep of Minnesota gave New York a few extra days to rest and prepare here. Houston played a full, five-game series with Tampa Bay, finishing up on Thursday. The Yankees score over 6.20 RPG on the road while the Astros average 6.00 RPG at home. RH, Masahiro Tanaka (1-0, 1.80 this postseason) is 4-2 with a 1.54 ERA in six career playoffs starts and had a pair of quality starts vs. Houston this season. RH, Zack Grienke (0-1, 14.73 this postseason) is 3-5 with a 4.58 ERA in 12 career playoffs starts and possesses a 5.05 lifetime mark vs. New York. The Astros are 1-5 the last six vs. teams with a winning percentage of over .600 and 0-4 the last four League Championship games. The Yankees are 5-1 the last six following an off day and 15-4 in Tanaka's last 19 starts. Take New York. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-12-19 | Navy v. Tulsa | Top | 45-17 | Win | 100 | 51 h 13 m | Show |
Take Navy. Game 123. 4:30 pm pst. Navy has taken the last four in this matchup SU, going 3-1 ATS. The average margin of victory coming by 10.25 PPG. The Midshipmen come in here brimming with confidence as they bested Air Force, 34-25, a week ago. Tulsa may not recover after squandering a 30-9 lead in last week's exhausting, triple-OT loss at SMU (43-37). Last year's meetings saw Navy tally 395 yards rushing and now they have the addition of dual-threat quarterback, Malcolm Perry. They possess a monster "D" (24th vs. the pass, 14th vs. the run) that will contain the Tulsa one-dimensional offense. On the other side of the ball, the Golden Hurricanes 84th ranked run defense is going to be trampled by the nation's #1 rushing attack. The road team is 5-1 ATS the last six meetings in this series. The Midshipmen are 4-1 ATS the last five conference games and 6-1-1 ATS the last eight overall games. The Golden Hurricanes are 2-8 ATS the last 10 games following an ATS win and 3-7 ATS the last 10 home games. Take Navy. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-12-19 | Nationals v. Cardinals +130 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
Take St. Louis. This is my NLCS GAME 2 WINNER. Game 906. 1:08 pm pst. Washington took Game 1 yesterday, 2-0. St. Louis, which won five of the seven regular season meetings in this series, will bounce back here today. The Nationals are just seven games over .500 away from home this season, while the Cardinals are 51-33 at Busch Stadium in 2019. RH, Max Scherzer is 0-2 with a 5.27 ERA in two starts vs. St. Louis this year and owns a career, 2-6 record in 11 outings vs. the team. RH, Adam Wainwright is 1-0 with a 1.35 ERA vs. Washington on the campaign and is 10-4 with a 3.10 mark in 17 appearances (15 starts) against them. The Nationals are 15-36 the last 51 at the Cardinals. The Cardinals are 7-1 in Wainwright's last eight starts vs. the Nats, 7-3 the last 10 League Championship games at home, and 21-10 the last 31 overall games at home. Take St. Louis. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-12-19 | Georgia Tech v. Duke -17 | Top | 23-41 | Win | 100 | 44 h 5 m | Show |
Take Duke. Game 132. 9:30 am pst. Georgia Tech is point spread poison, failing to cover all five outings this season. As a matter of fact, the Yellow Jackets are riding an eight-game ATS cold streak. This is an offense (or lack thereof) that puts up a mere, 8.0 PPG on the road, where they are outscored by 30.0 PPG. After three consecutive wins and covers, Duke comes off a tough loss at home vs. Pitt. The Blue Devils are looking for a little redemption here for themselves and their fans in Durham against a team they have covered the last five meetings against. Dual-threat quarterback, Quentin Harris (1,007 yards passing, 11/4 in the air, 347 yards rushing, four TD's on the ground) will shred the soft defense of Georgia Tech, while the Blue Devil's stop-unit completely shuts down the Yellow Jackets "O". Georgia Tech is 2-7 ATS the last nine games vs. teams with a winning record and 3-7-1 ATS the last 11 games on the road. Duke is 4-0 ATS the last four games following an ATS loss and 5-2 ATS the last seven games following a SU loss. Take the Blue Devils. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-07-19 | Dodgers +125 v. Nationals | Top | 1-6 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
Take LA. This is my BB play. 3:40 pm pst. Los Angeles is just too strong for Washington, taking 11 of the last 15 meetings including six of the last seven at Nationals Park. LH, Rich Hill (4-1, 2.45) and RH, Max Scherzer (11-7, 2.92) take the hill. Scherzer is 4-5 with a 3.78 ERA in 18 career playoffs games (14 starts). The Nationals are 0-4 in Scherzer's last four home starts vs. the Dodgers and 2-8 the last 10 Divisional Playoffs home games. The Dodgers are 20-8 in Hill's last 28 road starts and 10-2 the last 12 Divisional Playoffs games. Take Los Angeles. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-06-19 | Bears -5 v. Raiders | Top | 21-24 | Loss | -100 | 40 h 19 m | Show |
Take Chicago. This is my NL. Game 453. 10:00 am pst. The Chicago Bears have rattled off three consecutive victories, mostly due to the NFL's #2 ranked defense (11.2 PPG allowed). It doesn't matter that Chase Daniel is at the helm. The backup quarterback was 22 of 30, for 194 yards passing, and 1/0 in last week's, 16-6 win and cover over Minnesota. Oakland, under Derek Carr can't pass the ball (26th) and just can't seem to cross the goal line (19.8 PPG). To contend with the ferocious Chicago defense, you must have both, a solid ground and a solid air attack. Carr is in for a very long day here.The Bears are 11-4 ATS the last 15 games played overall. The Raiders are 0-4 ATS the last four games played in the month of October. Take Chicago. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-05-19 | Iowa +4 v. Michigan | Top | 3-10 | Loss | -109 | 16 h 42 m | Show |
Take Iowa. This is my BIG TEN GOM. Game 355. 9:00 am pst.
Jim Harbaugh was supposed to start a dynasty when he took the head coaching job at Michigan in 2015. He won the Citrus Bowl in his first year. Since, the team has lost three consecutive Bowl games. His reputation as a big game coach is finished. Last week's victory over Rutgers was the team's first cover since the first week of November last year. Now they face an undefeated (4-0), Iowa team that has taken five of the last six meetings in this series SU. The Hawkeyes have a few things they haven't had in recent seasons, a big-time quarterback and a potent offense. Nate Stanley (965 yards passing, 8/0) is a real gunslinger. He also has the luxury of three 200+ yards rushers. The Wolverines defense is good, but does have problems with strong rushing attacks. On the flipside, the mediocre, Michigan offense is going to be in for a long day against the nation's #3 stop unit (8.5 PPG allowed). The underdog is 11-3 ATS the last 14 meetings in this series. Take Iowa. Thank you. |
|||||||
09-29-19 | Chiefs -6 v. Lions | Top | 34-30 | Loss | -110 | 60 h 49 m | Show |
Take Kansas City. This is my NFL GOM. Game 261. 10:00 am pst. Detroit, at 2-0-1, is one of this season's most pleasant surprises. However, beating a banged-up, Philadelphia team last week is going to prove to be a much easier task than facing a true, NFL powerhouse like Kansas City, this week. Patrick Mahomes leads the top passing unit in football and the third overall scoring offense (33.7 PPG). The Chiefs quarterback is going to shred the 22nd ranked Lions passing defense here. While I like head coach, Matt Patricia, he is overmatched and outclassed by Andy Reid. Kansas City is 8-2-1 ATS the last 11 games played on the road, 16-5 ATS the last 21 games played in the month of September, and 5-1 ATS the last six games played overall. Take the CHIEFS. Thank you. |
|||||||
09-29-19 | Patriots -7 v. Bills | Top | 16-10 | Loss | -104 | 60 h 43 m | Show |
Take New England. This is my AFC EAST GOM. Game 263. 10:00 am pst. The fans in upstate New York are the happiest they have been since Jim Kelly was at the helm. QB, Josh Allen leads the 3-0 Bills. I hate to burst the bubble for the people of Buffalo, but the teams record was earned against three teams that are collectively, 1-8 (Jets 0-3, Giants 1-2, Bengals 0-3). Granted, the Patriots three opponents (Steelers, Dolphins, Jets) are a combined, 0-9, but, New England is still in a class shared by few. The Patriots (along with the Chiefs) are the cream of the AFC crop. Future Hall Of Famer, Tom Brady leading the NFL's #2 scoring offense (35.3 PPG) is nothing new. But, the New England defense ranks #1 in points allowed, passing yards, rushing yards, and total yards. Patriots defensive coordinator, Brian Flores and head coach, Bill Belichick will have their defense primed and ready to befuddle the Bills offensive line and their young quarterback. New England will not allow the other AFC East, 3-0 team to maintain any confidence. They are 4-1 ATS the last five meetings vs. Buffalo, 16-5-1 ATS the last 22 meetings in Buffalo, 20-8 ATS the last 28 games played on the road, 7-3 ATS the last 10 games played vs. the AFC East, and 42-18 ATS the last 60 games played overall. Take the PATRIOTS. Thank you. |
|||||||
09-28-19 | Ohio State -16.5 v. Nebraska | Top | 48-7 | Win | 100 | 43 h 41 m | Show |
Take Ohio State. This is my BIG TEN GOM. Game 195. 4:30 pm pst. I don't think there's another team in the nation with a record like Nebraska's (3-1) that has a bigger false sense of worth. This is a team that is 1-3 ATS in 2019 with their only good performance coming against NIU. Ohio State is a FG away from being 4-0 ATS. They have covered numbers of 14.5 against Cincinnati, 17 at Indiana, and 38.5 vs. Miami-Ohio. The Buckeyes third ranked offense (53.5 PPG) will steamroll a Cornhuskers defense (25.2 PPG allowed) that hasn't faced a squad anywhere near this level. Look for OSU to gain some style points from the pollsters here and make a statement to the rest of the Big Ten. They are 6-0 ATS the last six games played following a SU win and 6-1 ATS the last seven games played overall. Nebraska is 1-6 ATS the last seven games played in the month of September and 4-12 ATS the last 16 games played at home. Take the BUCKEYES. Thank you. |
|||||||
09-28-19 | UAB -3 v. Western Kentucky | Top | 13-20 | Loss | -110 | 42 h 0 m | Show |
Take UAB. Game 191. 4:00 pm pst. The odds makers are a bit off on this line. I have the number closer to double digits as last year's Conference USA champions, UAB Blazers are the only unblemished team in the league (3-0). Western Kentucky is very beatable, as they proved in losing 35-28 to Central Arkansas, and getting routed, 38-21 to Louisville. The Hilltoppers don't have much of a running game and their starting quarterback, Steven Duncan is out with a foot injury and none of the backups have that much experience. The Blazers have a very fast and talented, stop-unit (18th, 14.0 PPG allowed). And, soph quarterback, Tyler Johnston is a stud, throwing for 746 YP, a 64.3% CR, 8/2 in the air and another 114 YR and one score on the ground. UAB is 6-2 ATS the last eight games played on the road, 5-0 ATS the last vs. teams with a losing record, and 4-1 ATS the last five games played overall. Western Kentucky is 1-4 ATS the last five games played at home, 3-8 ATS the last 11 games played vs. teams with a winning record, and 3-7 ATS the last 10 games played overall. Take the BLAZERS. Thank you. |
|||||||
09-22-19 | Broncos v. Packers UNDER 44 | Top | 16-27 | Win | 100 | 38 h 4 m | Show |
Take UNDER in the Denver/Green Bay matchup. This is my TOW. Game 461/462. 10:00 am pst. Neither offense is lighting up scoreboards as Denver averages 15.0 PPG and Green bay accounts for 15.5 PPG. Both defenses are playing well and both teams have played all their games to UNDERS. Counting this preseason the Broncos have played to 15 straight UNDERS and in just regular season play, the UNDER is 19-61 the last 26 overall. The UNDER is 9-3 in the Packers last 12 regular season games and 4-1 their last five at home. Take the UNDER. Thank you. |
|||||||
09-21-19 | Temple -14 v. Buffalo | Top | 22-38 | Loss | -125 | 17 h 10 m | Show |
Take Temple. This is my BLOWOUT. Game 325. 12:30 pm pst. Temple enters this contest 2-0 SU and ATS, with a defense that has allowed just 14.5 PPG. Granted, Buffalo was supposed to get spanked by Penn State (45-13), but last week's, 35-17 loss to Liberty exposed just how bad this team really is. Owls QB, Anthony Russo (686 YP, 66.7% CR, 7/2) leads the 5th ranked passing attack in college football. Temple is 4-1 ATS the last five meetings in this series, 5-0 ATS the last five vs. teams with a losing record, and 21-6 ATS the last 27 following an ATS win. Buffalo is 0-5 ATS the last five nonconference, 0-4 ATS the last four vs. teams with a winning record, and 0-5 ATS the last five overall. Take the Owls. Thank you. |
|||||||
09-21-19 | California +2.5 v. Ole Miss | Top | 28-20 | Win | 100 | 13 h 28 m | Show |
Take California. This is my DOW. Game 353. 9:00 am pst. California owns a stifling defense, allowing a mere, 16.3 PPG, bringing them a 3-0 record and a top-25 ranking (23rd). They possess a stellar secondary. This is going to be fatal for Mississippi frosh QB, Matt Corral, who really hasn't been tested yet. Look for the 1-2 punch of QB, Gabers and RB, Brown Jr. to move the chains here. The Rebels are 1-4 ATS the last five in September, 1-4 ATS the last five at home, 5-15-1 ATS the last 21 vs. teams with a winning record, and 9-24-1 ATS the last 34 overall. Take the Golden Bears. Thank you. |
|||||||
09-15-19 | Bears v. Broncos UNDER 40.5 | Top | 16-14 | Win | 100 | 51 h 6 m | Show |
Take UNDER in the BEARS/BRONCOS matchup. This is my NFL TOTAL OF THE MONTH. Games 285-286. 1:25 pm pst. These two teams haven't faced one another since a 2015 matchup which resulted in 32 combined points. Going back further, they have played to six unders in the last seven meetings. Both offenses sputtered in Week 1 as Denver accounted for just 16 points in a loss at Oakland and Chicago mustered a mere, three points in a tough loss to rival, Green Bay at Soldier Field. Bears QB, Mitchell Trubisky is going to continue to struggle as he goes up against Vic Fangio, who was Chicago's defensive coordinator before taking the head coaching position for the Broncos. Both teams own very strong defenses. The under is 6-0 in the Bears last six overall and 7-0 in the Broncos last seven at home. Take the UNDER. Thank you. |
|||||||
09-14-19 | Northern Illinois +14 v. Nebraska | Top | 8-44 | Loss | -109 | 26 h 56 m | Show |
Take Northern Illinois. This is my HR. Game 193. 5:00 pm pst.
For the life of me, I can't figure out why Nebraska is laying two TD's here. I have this game about 8.5 points. The Cornhuskers have yet to cover in 2019. They allowed the Jaguars of South Alabama to post 21 points in the opening week and then blew a 17-point halftime lead in last weeks, 34-31 loss to the Buffaloes. The Huskies, which have covered both outings this season, have a ton of talent on both sides of the ball. Let's not forget they are 16-5 ATS the last 21 vs. the Big Ten and 7-3 ATS the last 10 in September. Nebraska tends to be overvalued in Lincoln, going 3-12 ATS the last 15 at home and are slow starters, going 0-5 ATS the last five in September. Take the Huskies. Thank you. |
|||||||
09-07-19 | Central Florida -10.5 v. Florida Atlantic | Top | 48-14 | Win | 100 | 45 h 9 m | Show |
Take Central Florida. This is my TEN DIMES PLAY. Game 359. 4:00 pm pst.
Don't put too much stock in the fact that Florida Atlantic covered a 27-point spread against Ohio State last week. The Owls weren't getting the Buckeye's "A-game," especially after trailing, 28-0 at the end of the first quarter. Now they face the AAC 's strongest representative in Central Florida. The Knights are one of the deepest squads in the nation, offensively, and can put up points on any defense in college football. The 1-2 punch of quarterback, Brandon Wimbush and running back, Adrian Killins Jr. will completely decimate an Owls "D" notorious for being a doormat. Central Florida is 5-1 ATS the last six games played on the road, 6-1 ATS the last seven games played in the month of September, and 4-1 ATS the last five games played vs. the CUSA. Take Central Florida. Thank you. |
|||||||
07-31-19 | Dodgers -127 v. Rockies | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 47 m | Show |
Take LA. This is my NL WEST GOM. Game 955. 12:10 pm pst. The Dodgers aren't just distancing themselves from the rest of the NL West with a 15.0 game lead, they are separating themselves from the rest of the National League, owning a Major League best, 70-39 record. LA has had their way with just about every team, but are an astounding, 30-16 vs. the West. They face a Colorado team they have dominated, taking nine of 11 meetings in 2019. Team ERA and Wins leader, Hyun-Jin Ryu takes the hill here. The LH has an 11-2 record, with an ERA of 1.74. On the #1 pitching staff in all of baseball, the native of South Korea is the ace. The Rockies dwell in the cellar of the division, 19.5 GB, at 50-58 This is a team that finished the 2018 campaign 1.0 GB of the Dodgers at 91-72. To say this season is a disappointment is an understatement. They send German Marquez to the bump. The RH has a 10-5 record with a 4.88 ERA. The 24-year olds ERA is 5.67 over his last 15 turns. Going up against a Los Angeles lineup that accounts for over 5.47 RPG on the road, tells me it's going to be a rough outing for him. The Dodgers are 7-3 the last 10 games played at Coors Field and 22-9 the last 31 overall games vs. the Rockies. The Rockies are 1-5 the last six games played at home and 1-9 the last ten games played vs. the NL West. Take los Angeles. Thank you. |
|||||||
07-14-19 | Braves -144 v. Padres | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 2 h 1 m | Show |
Take Atlanta. This is my NL GOW. Game 913. 1:10 pm pst Atlanta took Games 1 and 2 of this series (four of six meetings TY) and seven of the last 10 overall matchups with San Diego, going back to LY. The Braves enter Game 3 here, winning six of their last seven overall to lead the NL East by 6.0 games, with a record of 56-37. This is a team that accounts for a whopping, 5.04 RPG on the road, with an offense ranking in the top-seven in scoring (5.41 RPG), Team BA (.263), and HR's (148). They give Mike Soroka the nod here. The RH is 9-1 with a 2.42 ERA on the season, putting the 21-year old in the running for NL Rookie of the Year. He faced and beat the Padres in his only start against them back on April 29th, allowing one run and four hits with eight K's, in 6.0 IP. San Diego is a mess, sitting in 4th place in the NL West at 45-47. They account for a mere, 3.88 RPG at home and send Cal Quantrill to the hill today. The RH, who is making his eight start in 12 appearances in his rookie season, is 2-2 with a 4.83 mark, losing in his only start vs. Atlanta, back on May 1st. The Braves are 20-6 the last 26 vs. RH starters, 20-8 the last 28 on the road, and 12-0 in Soroka's last 12 starts vs. teams with a losing record. The Padres are 0-4 the last four vs. the NL East, 0-6 the last six at home, and 0-4 in Quantrill's last four home starts. Take Atlanta. Thank you. |
|||||||
07-12-19 | Nationals -132 v. Phillies | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
Take Washington. This is my NL EAST GOW. Game 903. 3:05 pm pst. Washington has dominated Philadelphia, taking six of the last eight meetings this season and are 18-4 in Strasburg's last 22 starts vs. the Phillies. The RH is 10-4 on the season with a 3.64 ERA and owns a career, 12-2, 2.72 record in 25 starts vs. Philly. RH, Nick Pivetta (4.3, 5.84 TY), who is 0-2 with a 7.33 ERA in his last four overall starts, has gotten shellacked by Washington this season, yielding 13 runs in 9.0 IP, in tw0 starts, going 0-2 vs. the Nationals. Washington is 5-1 the last six on the road, 15-3 the last 18 vs. the NL East, and 20-6 the last 26 vs. RH starters. Philadelphia is 2-5 the last seven vs. teams with a winning record, 3-9 in Pivetta's last 12 starts vs. the NL East, and 5-12 the last 17 vs. RH starters. Take the Nationals. Thank you. |
|||||||
06-26-19 | Rangers -105 v. Tigers | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 0 m | Show |
Take Texas. This is my AL GOW. Game 917. 4:10 pm pst. Very quietly the Texas Rangers have taken over 2nd place in the AL West at 43-36, just 6.5 GB the Houston Astros. This is a team that is up 16.68 units overall. They are getting the bettors paid. True, their road record (15-21) isn't flattering. However, they average over 5.42 RPG on the road. LH, Mike Minor is off to one of the hottest starts in a career that spans 10 years at 7-4 with an ERA of 2.52, striking out 103 batters in 103.2 IP. Detroit sits in 4th place in the AL Central at 26-48, 23.0 GB. They have dropped five straight and nine of their last 10. The Tigers are just as bad at home as they are on the road. As a matter of fact, they are one of the AL's worst home teams, owning a deplorable, 11-25 record at Comerica Park, where they post a mere, 3.32 RPG. FYI, visitors put up an astounding, 6.16 RPG when passing thru Detroit. They are -11.93 units overall. But when they play on their home field, the Tigers own a 10-26 mark on the RL. Not only do they lose, they lose badly, with the average margin of deficit coming by 2.84 RPG. Matthew Boyd takes the hill today. The LH is a respectable, 5-5, with a 3.61 record. But, the former 6th rd, 2013 draft pick is going to get shellacked here, while once again be receiving very little run support. He hasn't notched a win since may 28th and over his last two turns, he was trampled, allowing nine ER's. The Rangers are 11-3 the last 14 at the Tigers and 19-7 the last 26 overall vs. the Tigers. The Tigers are 15-37 the last 52 at home and 13-45 the last 58 vs. the AL West. Take Texas. Thank you. |
|||||||
06-25-19 | Dodgers -109 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
Take LA. This is my NL WEST GOW. Game 957. 6:40 pm pst. After winning six in a row, LA lost Game 1 of this series yesterday, 8-5. The Dodgers, which own the best overall record in baseball (54-26) are an excellent bounce back team, going 53-25 the last 78 following a loss. To get them laying such a short price is a gift, especially against a division foe as they are 23-9 vs. the NL West this season. RH, Ross Stripling (3-2, 3.08 overall) is 1-1 with a 2.65 ERA as a starter (six starts) this season but has come out of the bullpen his last 14 appearances. LH, Robbie Ray (5-4, 3.87) has a good career mark vs. LA but is 0-1 with a 4.50 ERA in two starts against them this season. Arizona is 2-5 the last seven at home, 1-6 the last seven vs. RH starters, and 0-4 in Ray's last four starts on grass. LA is 6-1 the last seven during Game 2 of a series, 5-0 the last five vs. LH starters, and 4-1 in Stripling's last five starts. Take the Dodgers. Thank you. |
|||||||
05-30-19 | Warriors +1 v. Raptors | Top | 109-118 | Loss | -103 | 56 h 15 m | Show |
Take Golden State. This is my NBA FINALS GOY. Game 521. 6:07 pm pst. I know that Toronto won both regular season meetings (1-1 ATS) against Golden State, but so does the Warriors, and the postseason is a whole different monster. Golden State is not playing host here and can not afford to give away Game 1 or give Toronto any confidence. The Warriors played two less playoffs games and have had five extra days to rest and prepare for the NBA Finals. The backcourt of Danny Green and Kyle Lowry are no match for Steph Curry and Klay Thompson. The success of Toronto lives and dies with Kawhi Leaonard. Don't forget how frustrating of a defense Golden State has. The Raptors are 1-8 ATS the last nine playing on three or more days rest. Take the Warriors. Thank you. |
|||||||
05-15-19 | Orioles v. Yankees -1.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
Take New York in Game 2 on the RUN LINE. This is my RUN LINE GOW. Game 916. 3:35 pm pst. New York's injury list is as long as your grocery list. However, they continue to win as they are just 1.0 GB Tampa Bay in the AL East at 24-16. Meanwhile, Baltimore's record (14-26, 11.0 GB) is as ugly as Randy Johnson's baseball card. LOL. The Yankees are expected to see the return of a few key players, including, CF, Aaron Hicks (check status). Even with their makeshift lineup, the Bronx Bombers are lighting up scoreboards for over 5.00 RPG. Regardless, Team ERA and Wins Leader, Domnigo German takes the mound here. After a 2-6, 5.57 campaign a season ago, the RH is 7-1 with an ERA of 2.70 this season, fanning 44 batters in 43.1 IP. The O's send Dan Straily to the bump. The RH owns a dismal, 1-3, 8.23 record, with just 15 K's in 27.1 IP. New York has taken four of the six meetings over Baltimore this season and 10 of the last 13 overall matchups. The four Yankees victories over the Orioles in 2019, have come by an average of 5.75 RPG. Take the Yankees on the RUN LINE. Thank you. |
|||||||
05-14-19 | Astros -1.5 v. Tigers | Top | 11-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
Take Houston on the RUN LINE. This is my LATE INFO play. Game 967. 4:10 pm pst. Houston has powered their way to the best record in baseball at 27-15. They have won six in a row and nine of their last 10, including an 8-1 victory in Game 1 of this series. Monday's win gave the Astros four straight W's over the Tigers and six of the last seven meetings. The offense ranks 1st in RPG (5.45), and 2nd in both Team BA (.281) and HR's (79). Wade Miley gets the start here. The LH is 3-2 with a 3.18 ERA on the season. Detroit sends Ryan Carpenter (0-1, 10.80 TY) to the hill. The LH owns a 7.90 ERA in seven career appearances for the Tigers. Detroit, which accounts for a mere, 3.72 RPG at home in 2019, is also 6-14 the last 20 vs. LH starters and 13-39 the last 52 vs. the AL West, Houston is 20-8 the last 28 vs. LH starters and 38-15 the last 53 vs. the AL Central. Take the Astros on the Run Line. Thank you. |
|||||||
04-16-19 | Magic +10.5 v. Raptors | Top | 82-111 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
Take Orlando. This is my BEST BET. Game 531. 5:05 pm pst. Orlando took game 1 of this series, 104-101 as a 9.5-point underdog. They enter Game 2 as a 10-point 'dog. This is a team that has covered 4 of 5 meetings with Toronto this season. The Magic are a solid road team, going 23-19 ATS while the Raptors are just 18-24 ATS as a host this season. Orlando and their 5th ranked defense (106.6 PPG allowed) owns the superior back court that will once again control the tempo. The Magic are 16-4-1 ATS the L21 vs. the NBA Atlantic, 5-0 ATS the L5 on 2 days rest, and 4-1 ATS the L5 on the road. Take Orlando. Thank you. |
|||||||
04-06-19 | Texas Tech +2.5 v. Michigan State | Top | 61-51 | Win | 100 | 55 h 29 m | Show |
Take Texas Tech. Game 801. 5:49 pm pst Both teams owned the best records in conference play during the regular season. And, both knocked off the top seeds in the regional's. While Michigan State is a bit stronger both offensively and on the boards, there is no denying just how frustrating Texas Tech's #2 ranked defense (59.0 PPG allowed) is. The Red Raiders have won and covered all four contests this Tournament. Their defense didn't just contain their opposition, it shut them down. Texas Tech held Buffalo and Gonzaga to just, 58 and 69 points. These are two of the top scoring teams in the nation. In between, they dominated Michigan, 63-44, a team that posted 60 against MSU just a few weeks ago. The Spartans reached the Final Four despite the absence of Joshua Langford (out, ankle). But, this is the matchup they are going to miss their standout Guard more than ever. The trio of DD scoring Guards, Culver, Moretti, and Mooney (41.5 PPG, 11.6 RPG combined) will control the tempo and be the difference here. The Red Raiders are 5-0 ATS the last five games played vs. Big Ten opponents, 10-1 ATS the last 11 games played vs. teams with a winning percentage of over .600, and 13-3 ATS the last 16 games played overall. Take Texas Tech. Thank you. |
|||||||
04-06-19 | Auburn +5.5 v. Virginia | Top | 62-63 | Win | 100 | 53 h 54 m | Show |
Take Auburn. Game 803. 3:09 pm pst. Virginia is in the Final Four for the first time since 1984 while Auburn is making its first Final Four appearance in its 113 year history. We all remember what happened to Virginia in last year's Big Dance as they were the first #1 seed to be ousted by a #16 seed in Tournament history. This year's Tourney saw Virginia have a bit tougher of a time than they'd care to admit. They couldn't cover against Gardner Webb, got a 1.5 point cover against Oklahoma, couldn't get the bettors paid against Oregon, and eked by Purdue to get a 1 point cover in OT. Auburn got by with a win and no cover against New Mexico State, then devoured Kansas by 14, beat North Carolina outright by 17 points, as a 5.5 point underdog, and bested Kentucky by 6 in OT, getting 4.5 points. Their last three opponents are some of college basketball's most successful teams. The Cavaliers possess the nation's #1 scoring defense (55.4 PPG), but their offense just won't be able to keep pace here. The Tigers own a fast-paced scoring offense (80.2 PPG) that will keep the Cavs off-balanced in transition. Auburn is 8-2 ATS the last 10 games played overall. Virginia is 2-6 ATS the last eight NCAA Tournament games. Take the Tigers. Thank you. |
|||||||
03-29-19 | Auburn v. North Carolina -5 | Top | 97-80 | Loss | -106 | 53 h 4 m | Show |
Take North Carolina. This is my TOURNAMENT GOY. game 674. 4:29 pm pst. Auburn is a team that hasn't been to the Elite Eight since 1986. Yes, they are on a 10-game SU win streak. But, to get here, they eked out a 1-point win over New Mexico State then shredded a depleted, Kansas squad. North Carolina is a whole different animal. The Tar Heels are explosive, accounting for 86.0 PPG and own the top offensive rebounding squad in college basketball. By the way, of their 29 victories this season, 27 have come by 6 or more points. The Tigers fall short against this conference, going 1-4 ATS the last five vs. the ACC. The Tar Heels are 20-8-2 ATS the L30 vs. the SEC. TAKE NORTH CAROLINA. Thank you. |
|||||||
03-24-19 | Ohio State v. Houston -5.5 | Top | 59-74 | Win | 100 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
Take Houston. This is my SLAM DUNK. Game 872. 5:40 pm pst. While Houston owns one of the best defenses in the country, they can also score points and rebound at both ends of the court. Ohio State has problems putting points up and can not rebound at all. They hit just 43.6% from the field and 34.0% from beyond the arc. For a team that ranks 214th on the "O" boards, this spells doom. The Buckeyes are 1-8 ATS the L9 NCAA Tournament games, 2-7 ATS the L9 games played following an ATS win, and 4-9 ATS the L13 game splayed vs. teams with a winning percentage of over .600. The Cougars are 7-2 ATS the L9 non-conference games, 8-3 ATS the L11 games played on neutral sites, and 34-16-2 ATS the L52 games played overall. Take Houston. Thank you. |
|||||||
03-24-19 | Buffalo +4 v. Texas Tech | Top | 58-78 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
Take Buffalo. This is my Las Vegas Strip Move. Game 869. 3:10 pm pst. Yes, Texas Tech can play defense. But Buffalo owns a well-balanced squad, consisting of size, speed, and accuracy, resulting in 85.1 PPG. The Bulls also rank 8th in the nation on the offensive boards. This all adds up to be a bit too much for the Red Raiders to contend with their stagnant offense (73.1 PPG). Buffalo is 20-6-2 ATS the L28 neutral site games and 9-2-1 ATS the L11 non-conference games. Texas Tech is 11-24 ATS the L35 neutral site games and 2-6 ATS the L8 non-conference games. Take the Bulls. Thank you. |
|||||||
03-24-19 | Xavier +6 v. Texas | Top | 76-78 | Win | 100 | 6 h 30 m | Show |
Take Xavier. This is my NIT GOY. Game 897. 1:00 pm pst. Xavier has 5 DD scorers and a slew of monster rebounders. Texas just doesn't possess the size or the muscle to contend in the paint here. The Musketeers have been money down the stretch, covering 9 of their L10 outings while the Longhorns come in here on a 4-game ATS slide. They are also 2-5 ATS the L7 vs. the Big East. Xavier is 7-3-1 ATS the L11 vs. the Big 12. Take the Musketeers. Thank you. |
|||||||
03-23-19 | Maryland v. LSU -2.5 | Top | 67-69 | Loss | -107 | 3 h 17 m | Show |
Take LSU. This is my ANNIHILATOR. Game 842. 9:10 am pst. LSU has proven they can win amidst controversy and without HC, Will Wade. The Tigers own an explosive offense that accounts for 81.3 PPG. Maryland just doesn't the horses to keep up on the offensive side and are totally outclassed and outmanned on the boards here. The Terrapins are 1-7 ATS the L8 NCAA Tournament games, 1-4 ATS the L5 neutral site games, and 1-4 ATS the L5 overall games. The Tigers are 4-0 ATS the L4 games vs. the Big Ten, 8-1 ATS the L9 games vs. teams with a winning percentage of over .600, and 5-2 ATS the L7 games overall. Take LSU. Thank you. |
|||||||
03-22-19 | Iowa v. Cincinnati -3 | Top | 79-72 | Loss | -107 | 47 h 10 m | Show |
Take Cincinnati. This is my TEN DIMES PLAY. Game 806. 9:15 am pst. This just might be one of the biggest mismatches in the opening round. Cincinnati knocked off Houston in Sunday's, AAC Championship game behind 33 points from Conference Player of the Year, Jarron Cumberland. But, let's be honest, the Bearcats are all about the defense, which ranks 12th in the nation, yielding just 62.2 PPG. Iowa limped into the Tournament, dropping 6 of their L8 SU and only covering once in their L10 outings. The Bearcats will completely shut down the Hawkeyes offense and dominate the boards here. Iowa is 1-7 ATS the L8 NCAA Tournament games. Take Cincinnati. Thank you. |
|||||||
03-21-19 | Murray State +4 v. Marquette | Top | 83-64 | Win | 100 | 48 h 14 m | Show |
Take Murray State. Game 761. 1:30 pm pst. The “under-the-radar”, Racers are red-hot and have the supporting cast to surprise a sliding, Golden Eagles squad that has dropped five of their last six, both SU and ATS. Take Murray State. Thank you. |
|||||||
03-21-19 | Vermont v. Florida State -9 | Top | 69-76 | Loss | -105 | 45 h 6 m | Show |
Take FSU. Game 764. 11:00 am pst. Vermont is a good team...in the American East Conference. They stepped up in class twice this season, giving up 84 to Kansas and 86 to Louisville. The Catamounts don't have the personnel to compete against big frontcourts. So, I must side with a talented, Florida State team that comes in here a bit miffed after losing the ACC Title Game by 10 points to Duke. Take the Seminoles. Thank you. |
|||||||
03-17-19 | St. Louis v. St Bonaventure -1.5 | Top | 55-53 | Loss | -107 | 2 h 52 m | Show |
Take St. Bonaventure. Game 648. 10:00 am pst. St. Bonaventure has owned St. Louis, taking the L9 meetings SU and 8 of the L10 ATS, including a 66-57 win and cover just 8 days ago. The Bonnies are striding, winning 9 of the L10 SU coming into this matchup, so laying under a basket is a solid play. They are 5-2 ATS the L7 overall. The Billikens are 1-6 ATS in the 3rd game of a 3-in-5 days situation. Take St. Bonaventure. Thank you. |
|||||||
03-16-19 | Oregon -1 v. Washington | Top | 68-48 | Win | 100 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
Take Oregon. Game 637. 7:30 pm pst. Oregon is on-fire, riding a 7-game SU and ATS hot streak, including a 55-47 victory over Washington as a 5.5 point underdog. Washington is a good team, however, they've gotten "fatigued" late in the season, resulting in a 1-5 ATS L6 and 3-7 ATS L10 run. The Ducks have a ferocious defense and a far better rebounding corps. They are 4-1 ATS the L5 meetings in this series. Take Oregon. Thank you. |
|||||||
03-16-19 | Florida State +8 v. Duke | Top | 63-73 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
Take FSU. Game 633. 5:30 pm pst. Despite Zion Williamson's return to the floor for Duke, this is way too many points to give a very talented, deep, and scrappy FSU squad. The Seminoles out-rebounded the Blue devils, 36-27, in January's 2-point loss. Florida State has the depth and the muscle to upset Duke's inside game. Remember that the Blue devils are atrocious from both the outside and for the line (339th 3-pt shooting 30.5%, 247th FT 68.6%). The Seminoles are 4-0 ATS the L4 meetings in this series, 8-1-2 ATS the L11 on neutral sites, 6-2 ATS the L8 vs. teams with a winning percentage of over .600, and 8-3 ATS the L11 following a SU win. The Blue Devils are 0-3-1 ATS the L4 vs. the ACC< 1-3-1 ATS the L5 on neutral sites, 0-3-1 ATS the L4 vs. teams with a winning percentage of over .600, and 0-7 ATS the L7 following a SU win. Take Florida State. Thank you. |
|||||||
03-14-19 | TCU v. Kansas State -4.5 | Top | 61-70 | Win | 100 | 5 h 32 m | Show |
Take Kansas State. Game 724. 12:00 pm pst. Then line here is way short. KSU should be closer to a -8 or a -9 point fav. Kamau Stokes left the last game with a migraine after playing 34 minutes and accounting for 19 points. The star Guard is most-likely playing here where the Wildcats will extend their domination of the Horned frogs, after beating them both meetings this season, and the L3 going back to last season (all covers). K State owns the #4 defense in the nation and enter this matchup going 18-7-1 ATS the L26 games vs. the Big 12, 4-0 ATS the L4 games played on neutral sites, and 12-3-1 ATS the L16 games played overall. Take the Wildcats. Thank you. |
|||||||
03-10-19 | SMU v. South Florida -1.5 | Top | 77-71 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
Take South Florida. This is my AAC GOW. Game 842. 1:00 pm pst. South Florida, under 2nd year HC, Brian Gregory, is looking for their 20th win of the season. The Bulls have an outstanding defense and of the of the most well-balanced rebounding squads in the nation (26th offensively & 18th defensively), ranking 9th nationally, with a +7.3 RPG margin. SMU has called it quits for the season, on a 1-9 SU losing streak. The Mustangs are depleted, down to just 7 scholarship players and lack the depth to contend in this matchup. South Florida is 15-5 ATS the L20 following a SU win. SMU is 10-24-1 ATS the L35 vs. teams with a SU winning record. Take the Bulls. Thank you. |
|||||||
03-09-19 | Vanderbilt v. LSU -14 | Top | 59-80 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
Take LSU. This is my SEC GOW. Game 702. 5:30 pm pst. LSU will crush Vanderbilt. Not just because they can win their first SEC regular season title since 2009, but also because they are going to dedicate this big victory to their coach, Bill Wade, who was suspended on Friday. They play an 0-17 SEC doormat, Vandy team that has not won a game since December, is 2-5 ATS the L7 meetings in this series, and comes in here an overall, 19-42 ATS their L61 outings. Take the Tigers. Thank you. |
|||||||
03-09-19 | UCF +2 v. Temple | Top | 62-67 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 33 m | Show |
Take UCF. This is my DOW. Game 665. 1:00 pm pst. UCF is on-fire, winning 7 of their L8 SU, and all 8 ATS. They bested Temple, 78-73 at the beginning of January. The Knights have beaten the AAC's top-two teams their L2 outings and have something to prove in their regular season finale. A healthy squad, with a top-20 defense, and the superior rebounders will win this contest outright. UCF is 5-1-1 ATS the L7 meetings in this series. Take the Knights. Thank you. |
|||||||
03-07-19 | Indiana +2.5 v. Illinois | Top | 92-74 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
Take Indiana. This is my DOW. Game 615. 5:00 pm pst.
Neither team is a powerhouse, however, Indiana has come on strong lately, covering four in a row, all against superior squads. They come in here coming off back-to-back, outright victories over Wisconsin and Michigan State. The Hoosiers took down the Fighting Illini, 73-65 at the beginning of January in Bloomington and have the talent and the momentum to do it again here in Champaign. Indiana is 6-1 ATS the L7 meetings in this series. Take the Hoosiers. Thank you. |
|||||||
02-26-19 | San Diego State +9 v. Utah State | Top | 54-70 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
Take San Diego State. this is my MWC GOM. Game 643. 6:30 pm pst. Since Utah State has moved to the MWC, San Diego State has taken all 10 meetings SU, going 9-1 ATS, including a 68-63 win and cover less than 3 weeks ago. Both teams are talented, but giving almost DD"s to the Aztecs is a mistake. SD State is 19-7 ATS the L26 vs. the MWC and 5-0 ATS the L5 overall. USU is 1-7 ATS the L8 vs. teams with a SU winning record and 0-5 ATS the L5 vs. teams with a winning percentage of over .600. Take the Aztecs. Thank you. |
|||||||
02-16-19 | Clemson v. Louisville -3.5 | Top | 55-56 | Loss | -124 | 1 h 13 m | Show |
Take Louisville. This is my GOM. Game 610. 9:00 am pst. I must side with a Louisville squad that comes in here pissed-off after blowing a 23-point, 2nd half lead to Duke on Tuesday. The Cardinals, in front of a friendly, home crowd and will dominate with the front court of Nwora, Sutton, and Enoch (38.4 PPG, 19.7 RPG combined). Clemson is erratic and haven't played too many true, road games this season. The Tigers are no match here offensively but the biggest disparity is between Louisville's 3-pt offense (36.4%) and the 278th ranked Clemson 3-pt "D". The Cardinals are 4-0 ATS the L4 following a SU loss, 6-2 ATS the L8 vs. the ACC, and 6-2 ATS the L8 overall. Take Louisville. Thank you. |
|||||||
01-27-19 | Bucks -1 v. Thunder | Top | 112-118 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
Take Milwaukee This is my NBA GOW. Game 515. 3:05 pm pst. Giving Milwaukee any points here is a mistake, as the Bucks are red-hot. Not to mention they are money on the road, going 4-1-1 ATS their L6 as a guest, but also a perfect, 4-0 ATS their L4 vs. the NW. A top-10 squad on both sides of the court, and possessing the best player on the floor in Giannis Antetokounmpo, shows us that the Bucks are the play here. Milwaukee is 7-2 ATS their L9 on 1 days rest and 10-4-1 ATS their L15 overall. Take the Bucks. Thank you. |
|||||||
01-24-19 | UC-Santa Barbara +1.5 v. CS-Fullerton | Top | 60-81 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
Take UCSB. This is my TEN DIMES. Game 659. 7:00 pm pst. Cal Santa Barbara owns an overall, 14-3 SU record (10-5 ATS) and is a perfect, 3-0 in Conference play. The Gauchos have dominated the Titans, winning and covering 7 of the L9 meetings, including both a season ago. UC-Fullerton is just 6-12 SU, 5-11 ATS, and sports a 2-2 League mark. This team does not have the talent or the depth to compete with a UCSB squad full of athletes, with a deep bench, and a stifling "D" (63.4 PPG allowed). The Gauchos are 15-5 ATS the L20 on the road and 9-4 ATS the L13 overall. The Titans are 1-5 ATS at home and 3-9 ATS the L14 overall. Take UCSB. Thank you. |
|||||||
01-20-19 | Patriots +3 v. Chiefs | Top | 37-31 | Win | 103 | 55 h 19 m | Show |
Take New England. This is my AFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME WINNER. Game 313. 3:40 pm pst. I am not looking to take away anything from the Chiefs. But, to be honest, I watched last week's matchup with the Colts. From the opening kickoff, Kansas City seemed to dominate. But, Andrew Luck was off, making some poor passes, he fumbled the ball away, receivers dropped some easy catches, and career money kicker, Adam Vinatieri missed both a FG and a PAT. I think the Colts more lost the game, than did the Chiefs win it. This game is going to be cold. Early reports were forecasted to be in single-digits, which compelled bettors to play the Under. As of print, the updated forecast is approximately, 20 degrees. The Patriots are in a rare, underdog role for the first time since 2014 with Tom Brady at the helm, which will motivate them. These two teams played a mid-November, barn-burner, with the Pats prevailing, 43-40. We all know how good the Chiefs offense is, ranking #1 in points scored. And, Pat Mahomes has a banner year (66.0% CR, 5097 YP, 50/12), but guys, he is a first-year starter playing against a dynasty with the best HC/QB combo ever. The New England defense has tightened up. Now, they will allow yards but, they are going to throw different schemes at Mahomes and force the young QB to make some mistakes. The Kansas City "D" is a doormat, ranking 31st vs. the pass and 27th vs. the rush. Agreed, Josh Gordon is gone and Rob Gronkowski isn't what he once was. However, rookie RB, Sony Michel (931 YR, 6 TD's), who ran for 129 yards and 3 TD's last week, will exploit a rush defense ranking last, yielding 4.96 YPC in the regular season. There is a lot of talk about New England's lack of success on the road. NONSENSE! The weather will hinder the KC passing game. Mahomes' youth will be a factor. And the Brady/Belichick vast post-season experience will play a major role. The Chiefs are 2-9 ATS the last 11 playoff games and 2-5-1 ATS the last eight overall games. The Patriots are 8-3 ATS the last 11 playoff games and 38-17 ATS the last 55 overall games. TAKE NEW ENGLAND. Thank you. |
|||||||
01-20-19 | Rams v. Saints -3 | Top | 26-23 | Loss | -113 | 52 h 53 m | Show |
Take New Orleans. This is my NFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME WINNER. Game 342. 12:05 pm pst. These two teams met on November 4th at the Superdome, which turned out to be one of the best games of the season, as New Orleans got the win and cover, 45-35. Los Angeles will be playing their first road playoff game under their new regime. The Rams and their top-five offense did score less, while their defense allowed more, on the road this season. This is also the first time the team is an underdog all year, which may affect their confidence as a young team. Jared Goff's numbers fall drastically away from home as the QB has a 22/3 TD/INT ratio at L.A. Memorial Coliseum, but as a visitor, has a 10/9 ratio, not to mention he owns a 1/5 ratio vs. playoff teams and as you know, will be without his "safety blanket", WR, Kupp here. Playing at home, in front of a friendly crowd, in one of the loudest venues in sports, definitely benefits the Saints, which in the Sean Payton/Drew Brees era, are 6-0 in the Superdome, in the playoffs. Last week, the Rams "D" only had to contain one offensive threat against the Cowboys, in RB Ezekiel Elliott. The Saints possess a slew of talented receivers, along with the tandem of RB's, Kamara and Ingram. Alvin Kamara is going to be the key here, not just as a ball-carrier, but also coming out of the backfield as a receiver. This is just too many playmakers for the Rams defense to cover. As far as QB's go, Drew Brees is one of the best ever and has not just been on this platform, but has won here as well. New Orleans also accounts for some truly, time-consuming drives, keeping defenses tired, and offenses off the field. Also note, CB, Talib gambles a bit, and being that he is not 100%, Brees will exploit him. Defensively, the Saints leave a lot to be desired in the air, but own the 2nd ranked stop-unit vs. the rush. The Rams offense passes off the run. The tandem of Gurley and Anderson will need to establish the ground game, and will get their yards, especially with DT, Rankins sidelined here, but wonder boy HC, Payton will make adjustments. The Home Team is 7-0 ATS the last seven meetings in this series. Los Angeles is 2-5 ATS the last seven playoff games. New Orleans is 5-2 ATS the last seven January games. TAKE THE SAINTS. Thank you. |
|||||||
01-19-19 | Penn State v. Minnesota -4 | Top | 64-65 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
Take Minnesota. This is my BIG TEN GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 754. 5:30 pm pst. Penn State is horrible, donning a 7-11 SU (5-12-1 ATS) overall mark, including 0-5 SU and 2-6-1 ATS road records. The Nittany Lions are winless at 0-7 in Conference play this season. Going back to last season, this tea, is 2-9 their l11 road Conference games. Minnesota is a good team, sporting a 13-4 overall SU mark, including a 9-1 SU record at Williams Arena. The Golden Gophers starting-5 all average DD's. Too much offense for PSU to compete with. the Home Team is 6-2 ATS the L8 meetings in this series. The Nittany Lions are 1-5 ATS the L6 at the Golden Gophers. Take Minnesota. Thank you. |
|||||||
01-17-19 | UC-Santa Barbara -1.5 v. UC-Davis | Top | 69-58 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
Take UCSB. This is my NCAAB GOM. Game 657. 7:00 pm pst. If this game was played on a neutral court, UCSB would be at least a 7-point favorite. So laying just 1.5 points with a Gauchos team that owns a 13-3 overall record, has won 5 straight, and owns a 2-0 Conference mark, is a solid play here. This is a talent-rich team that has 8 players that average 5.0 or more PPG, with one of the best starting-5's in the state. They are excellent on the glass and possess a defense that can frustrate any team in the nation. This is a very good squad. UC-Davis is no match at either end of the court or on the boards here. The Aggies sports a 4-12 overall record, 4-10 ATS, 0-2 in League play, and is outscored by 12.4 PPG at home. UCSB is 7-2 ATS the L9 at UC-Davis and 14-5 ATS the L19 on the road. UC-Davis is 6-13-1 ATS the L20 vs. UCSB and 1-6 ATS the L7 at home. Take the Gauchos. Thank you. |
|||||||
01-15-19 | Davidson -3.5 v. St. Joe's | Top | 60-61 | Loss | -117 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
Take Davidson. This is my A-10 GOM. Game 641. Davidson has had their way with St. Joe's, winning and covering the L3 meetings and enter this matchup riding a 3-game hot streak. St. Joseph's is as cold as ice, dropping 4 in a row SU and crushing bettors, with a 2-7 ATS run. This is a team that is winless in A-10 play at 0-4. While Davidson is a perfect, 3-0 vs. Conference foes. Now that top-scorer, Kellan Grady is back on the floor and at full strength for the Wildcats, there is no way the Hawks can compete here. St. Joe's is 0-5 ATS the L5 at home. Davidson is 20-8-1 ATS the L29 vs. the A-10. Take the Wildcats. Thank you. |
|||||||
01-14-19 | Blazers +3 v. Kings | Top | 107-115 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
Take Portland. This is my VI play. Game 509. 7:05 pm pst. Portland needed OT to get the win and cover against Sacramento in their only matchup this season. But the Trailblazers have dominated the Kings, winning and covering the L4 in this series, and 8 of the L10 SU (6-4 ATS). Portland is a much better rebounding team at both ends of the court. They are 4-1 ATS their L5 vs. the NBA Pacific. Sacto is 0-4 ATS their L4 vs. the NBA NW. Tale the Trailblazers. Thank you. |
|||||||
01-12-19 | LSU +1 v. Arkansas | Top | 94-88 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show |
Take LSU. This is my CONSENSUS. Game 713. 3:00 pm pst. LSU won and covered both meetings with Arkansas LY, and enter this matchup winning 4 in a row and 6 of their L7 SU. Arkansas has been point spread poison, riding a 1-6 ATS run. The Razorbacks are 0-6 ATS their L6 at home. Take the Tigers. Thank you. |
|||||||
01-12-19 | Colts +5.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 13-31 | Loss | -104 | 46 h 24 m | Show |
Take Indianapolis. This is my NO LIMIT. Game 301. 1:35 pm pst. Kansas City finished the campaign at 12-4. However, the Chiefs have been point spread poison, covering just once over their last seven outings entering this game. This is a team that has crushed bettors in the post-season as well, going 1-9 ATS their last 10 playoff appearances and 1-11 SU their last 12. But, let's talk about the present day. QB, Pat Mahomes does lead the top scoring offense in football. Let's be honest, the "O" hasn't been as explosive without Kareem Hunt. WR, Tyreek Hill is the unit's biggest threat. He must face a much-improved, Indianapolis secondary and an overall defense that has tightened up, and finished the season ranked 10th, yielding only 21.5 PPG. The biggest weakness for KC is their defense (31st vs. the pass, 27th vs. the rush). This doesn't bode well as Andrew Luck is having a career year (67.3% CR, 4593 YP, 39/15), behind an OL that has allowed just 16 sacks. The QB, along with standout WR, T.Y. Hilton, and RB, Marlon Mack will shred the Chiefs "can't stop anybody" stop-unit. The Colts are 7-1 ATS the last eight games played at the Chiefs and 11-4 ATS the last 14 overall games vs. the Chiefs. Take Indianapolis. Thank you. |
|||||||
01-07-19 | Alabama v. Clemson +6 | Top | 16-44 | Win | 100 | 76 h 14 m | Show |
Take Clemson. This is my NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP GAME WINNER. Game 151. 5:00 pm pst. Clearly, the 2 best teams in college football face each other here for the National Title. Both are 14-0 SU. Both are 8-6 ATS. Both own a top-5 offense. And both own a top-5 defense. The difference here is that most teams are afraid of Alabama before they even step on to the field. However, Clemson having faced them the L3 years, have no fear of Saban of his Crimson Tide squad. Speaking of which, 'Bama alum, Dabo Swinney is 8-1 SU and ATS his L9 Bowl/Playoff games. Nick Saban is 3-6 ATS his L8 Bowl/Playoff games. The Alabama defense is tough but has given up 21, 28, and 34 points in consecutive contests, entering this matchup. The Tigers are 13-3 ATS the L16 on neutral sites. The Crimson Tide is 1-5 ATS the L6 in January. Take Clemson. Thank you. |
|||||||
01-06-19 | Wisconsin -1 v. Penn State | Top | 71-52 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
Take Wisconsin. This is my BIG TEN GOW. Game 825. 4:30 pm pst. Pat Chambers is feeling the pressure of starting the conference schedule at 0-3. The Penn State HC is suspended here for pushing one of his players during the 68-55 loss to Michigan on Thursday. Things will go from bad to worse for the Nittany Lions as they have lost 10 consecutive meetings to the Badgers SU, the L3 ATS. Wisconsin's, Ethan Happ is a stud, leading the team in scoring, assists, rebounds, and FG%. The star Forward will take this game over. The Badgers are 7-2 ATS the L9 vs. the Big ten and 9-2 ATS the L11 on the road. The Nittany Lions are 0-6-1 ATS the L7 vs. teams with a winning percentage of over .600 and 1-6-1 ATS the L8 overall. Take Wisconsin. Thank you. |
|||||||
01-06-19 | Chargers +3 v. Ravens | Top | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 46 h 32 m | Show |
Take Los Angeles. This is my HIGH ROLLER. Game 105. 10:05 am pst. There's a few things you must do to win in the post-season. You must stop the run and you must win on the road. Well, the Chargers rank 9th vs. the rush (top-10 in every major defensive category) and are 7-0 SU and ATS in games not played in LA this season. The 24-10 loss to Baltimore 2 weeks ago was Los Angeles' worst offensive output this season. Expect Philip Rivers to exact some revenge here behind one of the best offensive units in football. QB, Lamar Jackson will not have the element of surprise here as LA now knows what to watch for. I don't see the young, Jackson keeping pace with the veteran, Rivers in the post-season forum. The Road Team is 4-0 ATS the L4 meetings in this series. The Ravens are 1-5 ATS the L6 at home. The Chargers are 21-8-1 ATS the L30 on the road. Take Los Angeles. Thank you. |
|||||||
01-05-19 | Colts +1 v. Texans | Top | 21-7 | Win | 100 | 25 h 12 m | Show |
Take Indianapolis. This is my NO LIMIT. Game 101. 1:35 pm pst. These are the two hottest teams in football, but the Colts are just a bit hotter, winning 9 of their L10 SU, including a December 9th, 24-21 win and cover at the Texans. The Indianapolis defense has tightened up quite nicely and match up well here. Houston ranks 28th vs. the pass and must face the 6th ranked passing unit in the NFL. Andrew Luck has decimated the Texans secondary, throwing for 863 YP and 6 TD's in the 2 meetings against them this season. Indy is 5-0-1 ATS the L6 at Houston, 8-3-2 ATS the L13 overall vs. Houston, and 6-0 ATS the L6 vs. winners. Take the Colts. Thank you. |
|||||||
01-01-19 | Washington v. Ohio State -6.5 | Top | 23-28 | Loss | -110 | 120 h 29 m | Show |
Take Ohio State. This is my ROSE BOWL WINNER. Game 276. 2:00 pm pst. Very simply, OSU has more talent, a smarter Head Coach, the better overall coaching staff, and Dwayne Haskins at the helm (70.2% CR, 4580 YP, 47/8). I don't normally judge a team from one or two recent performances, but the way Ohio State followed the narrow, 52-51 win at Maryland, with decisive victories over Michigan (62-39) and Northwestern (45-24), shows me just how strong of a unit they are at this point in the season. Washington was a 'dog twice this season, losing to Auburn and getting help from the weather against Washington State. HC, Urban Meyer is leaving after this Bowl game, so expect a big send off from his squad .The Buckeyes are 5-2 ATS the last seven Bowls, 13-3-1 ATS the last 17 vs. the PAC 12, and 8-2 ATS the last 10 on neutral sites. Take Ohio State. Thank you. |
|||||||
01-01-19 | LSU v. Central Florida +7.5 | Top | 40-32 | Loss | -105 | 117 h 34 m | Show |
Take Central Florida. This is my FIESTA BOWL WINNER. Game 274. 10:00 am pst. Giving a team that has won 25 straight games and beat another SEC representative in Auburn, in last year's Peach Bowl, 7.5 points, is a gift. Central Florida enters yet another Bowl game eager to prove they deserve more respect and a higher spot in the polls. Backup QB, Darriel Mack Jr. has been perfect in replacing injured starter, McKenzie Milton, accounting for 522 YP, 2/0 in the air and 340 YR and 6 TD's on the ground. The Knights own an offense that ranks 5th in rushing and 29th in passing. LSU has a good defense, but is playing this Bowl contest without two starting DB's (Fulton injured, Williams NFL draft). The Tigers possess an offensively-challenged "0" that have trouble maintaining sufficient ball-control to keep the Knights offense off the field. UCF has 22 seniors playing their final game that want to go out perfect. LSU is 1-6-1 ATS the last eight non-conference games and 2-5 ATS the last seven Bowl games. UCF is 5-2 ATS the last seven non-conference games and 5-1 ATS the last six overall games. Take the Knights. Thank you. |
|||||||
01-01-19 | Iowa v. Mississippi State -7 | Top | 27-22 | Loss | -106 | 116 h 45 m | Show |
Take Mississippi State. This is my OUTBACK BOWL WINNER. Game 270. 9:00 am pst. Iowa was an underdog three times this season, losing and failing to cover all three contests. Not only that, but the defense gave up 28 or more points in five outings in 2018. Despite mediocre offensive statistics, the Hawkeyes still managed to average, 31.5 PPG. They will be without one of their best receivers, TE, Noah Fant, who is skipping the game to prepare for the NFL draft. The Mississippi State defense is the best in the country, allowing only, 12.0 PPG, ranking 6th vs. the pass 10th vs. the run. The Bulldogs are a running team. The Hawkeyes defense is good against the rush, however, the Mississippi State "O" will keep the Iowa "D" on the field and tire the unit out. While, the Hawkeyes QB, Nate Stanley is a passer, the Bulldogs play-caller, Nick Fitzgerald, is a dual-threat QB, something that Iowa hasn't seen too much of this season. The Hawkeyes are 1-3-1 ATS the last five games played on neutral sites and 1-4 ATS the last five games overall. The Bulldogs are 5-0 ATS the last five non-conference games and 4-1 ATS the last five overall games. Take Mississippi State. Thank you. |
|||||||
12-31-18 | Michigan State v. Oregon -2.5 | Top | 6-7 | Loss | -106 | 104 h 38 m | Show |
Take Oregon. This is my SAN FRANCISCO BOWL WINNER. Game 262. 12:00 pm pst. The Michigan State offense is lethargic, averaging just, 19.8 PPG. They've accounted for a total of 26 points over their last three regular season outings. The Spartans are known for their defense, but have had issues when facing well-balanced offensive units. Well, Oregon can score points (18th, 37.2 PPG) in the air as well as on the ground, and finishing the season with two big wins, the Ducks come in here with confidence. QB, Justin Herbert (59.6% CR, 2985 YP, 28/8) is a better field general and more reliable than either Spartans play-callers, Brian Lewerke or Rocky Lombardi (49.3% CR, 2606 YP, 11/13 combined). Michigan State is 0-4 ATS the last four meetings vs. Oregon, 2-7 ATS the last nine games vs. the PAC 12, and 1-5 ATS the last six games played following a SU win. Take Oregon. Thank you. |
|||||||
12-28-18 | Syracuse +1.5 v. West Virginia | Top | 34-18 | Win | 100 | 193 h 16 m | Show |
Take Syracuse. This is my CAMPING WORLD BOWL WINNER. Game 243. 2:15 pm pst. QB, Will Grier and LT, Yodny Cajuste will not participate here, as they are preparing for the NFL draft. This is going to drastically impact the 3rd ranked passing unit of West Virginia as sophomore backup, Jack Allison will take the reins. Reports are that the Miami transfer has problems in the pinch. Well, Syracuse like to blitz, and has success in doing so. The Mountaineers are already depressed after finishing the regular season with back-to-back losses and now must face a Syracuse offense that is a juggernaut, averaging over 40.8 PPG, equally good on the ground and in the air. Dual-threat QB, Eric Dungey (2565 YP, 17/7 in the air, 732 YR, 15 TD's on the ground) will outplay and outscore his youthful and inexperienced, counterpart. The Orange won and covered the last three meetings against the Mountaineers, in 2010, 2011. and 2012, by an average of 18.3 PPG. West Virginia is 0-6 ATS the last six games played in the month of December, 1-6 ATS the last seven neutral site games, 0-4 ATS the last four vs. the ACC, and 0-5 ATS the last five Bowl games. Take Syracuse. Thank you. |
|||||||
12-23-18 | Vikings -6 v. Lions | Top | 27-9 | Win | 100 | 69 h 44 m | Show |
Take Minnesota. This is my NFL NFC NORTH GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 115. 10:00 am pst. Minnesota is in the playoffs and would certainly like to put up a few more wins to better their seeding situation. They finish up at home next week, against NFC North title holder, Chicago. This is potentially a big game for the Vikings. They took down the Lions, 24-9, back in Week 9. A game in which they sacked Matthew Stafford 10 times. In that meeting, Stafford was healthier, he had more weapons at his disposal, and his OL was intact. Now the QB has back issues, their receiving corps is a hurting, their best ball-carrier is most-likely going to miss his 5th game, and the OL is very banged-up. They've averaged only, 15.8 PPG over their L8 games. There's no way they can deal with the rejuvenated, Vikings offense that has gone back to running the ball. QB, Kirk Cousins has a healthy offense and the defense has been on point all year, yielding just, 22.0 PPG. Take Minnesota. Thank you. |
|||||||
12-22-18 | Houston v. Army -3.5 | Top | 14-70 | Win | 100 | 118 h 15 m | Show |
Take Army. This is my ARMED FORCES BOWL WINNER. Game 224. 12:30 pm pst. Buy this number down for the extra few pennies, to air on the side of caution. At first glance, Houston looked like the play, but looking closer, I strongly reversed my decision. The Cougars, after starting 7-1, dropped three of their last four games. Things go from bad to worse for the team, which just fired HC, Mark D'Onofrio, and will be without four DL, including All-American DT, Ed Oliver. This doesn't bode well as they go up against the nation's #2 rushing attack. On the other side of the ball, Houston lost their biggest offensive playmaker, QB, D'Eriq King (2982 YP and 36 TD's in the air, 816 YR and 5 TD's on the ground). It's going to be a long day facing the stout, 13th ranked Army defense (18.0 PPG allowed).Take the Black Knights. Thank you. |
|||||||
12-22-18 | Wake Forest +3.5 v. Memphis | Top | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 115 h 52 m | Show |
Take Wake Forest. This is my BIRMINGHAM BOWL WINNER. Game 221. 9:00 am pst. These are two very different teams at the moment. Wake Forest, which lost 13 players between the pre and regular seasons, has had time to rest, heal, and prepare. Several key personnel return here, including RB, Matt Colburn, which gives the Demon Deacons back their 1-2 , backfield punch of Colburn and Cade Carney (1693 YR, 13 TD's combined). Memphis RB, Darrell Henderson, who led the nation in all-purpose yards, is skipping the contest to prepare for the NFL draft. Wake Forest finished the season with a, 59-7 rout at Duke, while Memphis lost to Central Florida, in the AAC title game, 56-41. Reports are that the Demon Deacons are excited to be in their third straight Bowl, while the Tigers are not, after losing a chance to appear in a more prestigious Bowl. Wake Forest is 5-1 ATS the last six in December and 4-1 ATS the last five Bowls. Memphis is 0-5 ATS the last five in December and 1-5 ATS the last six Bowls. Take Wake Forest. Thank you. |
|||||||
12-21-18 | Florida International +6 v. Toledo | Top | 35-32 | Win | 100 | 91 h 29 m | Show |
Take FIU. This is my BAHAMAS BOWL WINNER. Game 217. 9:30 am pst. Florida International enters this Bowl game with a very healthy squad, led by a solid, MAC transfer at QB. James Morgan (65.8% CR, 2727 YP, 26/7) knows this Toledo team. As a member of Bowling Green, he threw for 335 YP and 5 TD's in an October, 2016 matchup. The Rockets have backup, Eli Peters under center. The QB has just a, 54.6% CR, and 15 TD's, against 7 INT's. The big difference here is the disparity in both QB's, along with a Toledo defense that is a doormat, ranking 105th vs. the pass, and allowing the most points, 30.2 PPG, in over four years. FIU is 4-0 ATS the last four vs. winners, 5-2 ATS the last seven non-conference games, and 14-6 ATS the last 20 overall. Toledo is 2-5 ATS the last seven vs. winners, 2-5 ATS the last seven non-conference games, and 1-5-1 ATS the last seven in December. Take the Golden Panthers. Thank you. |
|||||||
12-17-18 | Saints -6.5 v. Panthers | Top | 12-9 | Loss | -100 | 72 h 11 m | Show |
Take New Orleans. This is my MNF GOY. Game 331. 5:15 pm pst. Normally, you should go against a team playing their third consecutive game on the road, but the Saints aren't "normal". They bounced back from their first loss since Week 1, to win and cover last week over the Buccaneers, with a 25-0, 2nd half edge. New Orleans (11-2) controls their home field destiny in the NFC playoffs. Expect Drew Brees and company (#2 offense, 34.4 PPG) to notch a big win over a division rival that they have beaten three straight meetings. Carolina is on a five-game lose and no-cover slide. The Panthers one man offense of Christian McCaffrey (leads the team in rushing, receiving, and TD's) will have problems against a stingy, Saints "D" that hasn't given up better than 17 points over their last five outings. New Orleans is 4-0 ATS the last four in Carolina, 20-6 ATS the last 26 on the road, and 8-1 ATS the last nine vs. NFC opponents. Take the Saints. Thank you. |
|||||||
12-16-18 | Seahawks -3.5 v. 49ers | Top | 23-26 | Loss | -103 | 44 h 8 m | Show |
Take Seattle. This is my NFC WEST GOM. Game 325. 1:05 pm pst. San Francisco, which by the way, has lost 10 or more games for four consecutive seasons, has not covered back-to-back games in 2018. They now face a Seattle team that has dominated them, taking the last 10 meetings SU, going 8-2 ATS. The Seahawks crushed the 49ers just two weeks ago, 43-16. Nothing has changed over the last 14 days to make me think that this will have any different of an outcome. With a win here, at Levi's Stadium, Seattle can sew up an NFC Wild Card slot. Veteran QB, Russell Wilson will once again outplay counterpart, Nick Mullens. The Seahawks are 5-1 ATS the last six games played at the 49ers and 11-2-1 ATS the last 14 overall vs. the 49ers. They are also 4-0 ATS the last four games played on the road and 6-0-1 ATS the last seven vs. NFC opponents. The 49ers are 6-15 ATS the L21 home games and 0-5 ATS the last five against NFC foes. Take Seattle. Thank you. |
|||||||
12-02-18 | UCF -2.5 v. Missouri | Top | 62-64 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 5 m | Show |
Take UCF. This is my NON-CONF GOM. Game 719. 12:00 pm pst From a betting POV, Central Florida is 6-1 SU, going 6-1 ATS, including a perfect, 3-0 ATS on the road. Missouri is 3-3 SU, going 1-5 ATS, including an 0-2 ATS mark at home. The Knights are eager to avenge a 3-point heartbreaking loss to the Tigers last season. But UCF was a very different team in a very different place a year ago. This year, they have an unselfish, veteran squad that beat both St. Joe's and W KY by DD's. They possess a great defense (62.6 PPG allowed), the better back court, and Center, Tacko Fall (11.4 PPG, 7.0 RPG). The Knights are 6-0 ATS their L6 vs. SEC, 25-10 ATS their L35 non-Conference games, and 5-0 ATS their L5 overall. The Tigers are 1-5 ATS their L6 at home, 1-8 ATS their L9 non-Conference games, and 1-7 ATS their L8 overall. Take UCF. Thank you. |
|||||||
12-01-18 | Kansas State +2.5 v. Marquette | Top | 71-83 | Loss | -101 | 5 h 33 m | Show |
Take Kansas State. This is my LVSM. 11:30 am pst. Kansas State ranks 10th and at 6-0, is off to their best start in 14 years. So, giving this "elite" team a basket from a Marquette squad which really isn't as strong as LY's bunch, is a mistake. The Wildcats own the #7 defense in college basketball and will frustrate the Golden Eagles back court. Kansas State is 4-0 ATS their L4 overall, while, Marquette is 1-4 ATS their L5 overall. Take the Wildcats. Thank you. |
|||||||
12-01-18 | Texas +8 v. Oklahoma | Top | 27-39 | Loss | -105 | 38 h 22 m | Show |
Take Texas. Game 311. 9:30 am pst. Can you believe two "Red River Rivalry" battles in one season? The first meeting, at the beginning of October, saw Texas best Oklahoma, 48-45. That defeat resulted in the only blemish on the Sooners, 11-1 campaign. The OU offense can score points on any defense in the country, ranking 1st in scoring (50.3 PPG). The problem is their defense is just horrible, ranking 100th (32.8 PPG allowed overall). The team finished the regular season, getting shelled for 46, 47, 40, and 56 points. Dual-threat QB, Sam Ehlinger, makes very few mistakes and has the weaponry to keep this matchup, once again, very close. Let's not forget, the Longhorns have covered the last six meetings in this series. Take Texas. Thank you. |
|||||||
11-24-18 | LSU +3.5 v. Texas A&M | Top | 72-74 | Win | 100 | 27 h 25 m | Show |
Take LSU. This is my SEC WEST GOM. Game 209. 4:30 pm pst. LSU has dominated Texas A&M, winning and covering the last seven meetings in this series. We all know just how ferocious the Tigers "D" is (8th, 16.1 PPG). Mediocre QB, Kellen Mond (59.1% CR, 17/8) is on for a long day here. But, the difference-maker will be LSU QB, Joe Burrow, who's coming off his best performance of the season (307 YP, 2/0), as he faces the 104th ranked pass defense of Texas A&M. Take the Tigers. Thank you. |
|||||||
11-18-18 | Broncos v. Chargers -7 | Top | 23-22 | Loss | -104 | 66 h 10 m | Show |
Take the Los Angeles Chargers, This is my AFC WEST GOM. Game 468. 1:05 pm pst. Don't look now, but the Chargers are striding, with 6 consecutive SU wins. I don't have a problem laying a TD with LA as they return home to a friendly, Stub Hub Center crowd after 2 road wins and covers. They face a rival, Denver team that is on a 1-6 SU and 3-5 ATS slides. Philip Rivers is having another great season (67.3% CR, 2459 YP, 21/4), but it is Melvin Gordon that will take this game on his shoulders. The standout, RB, goes up against the 26th ranked rush defense of the Broncos. Denver is 3-11 ATS the L14 on the road, 0-6 ATS the L6 in November, and 5-15-1 ATS the L21 overall. Los Angeles is 5-1 ATS the L6 vs. losers, 6-0 ATS the L6 in November, and 4-1 ATS the L5 overall. Take the Chargers. Thank you. |
|||||||
11-18-18 | Steelers -5 v. Jaguars | Top | 20-16 | Loss | -103 | 63 h 56 m | Show |
Take Pittsburgh. This is my Crusher play. Game 471. 10:00 am pst. Pittsburgh lost both meetings to Jacksonville LY, including a mid-January matchup that got them bounced from the post-season. Right now, these are 2 very different teams. The Steelers have won 5 in a row, both SU and ATS, while the Jaguars have dropped their L5, both SU and ATS. Jacksonville is known for their pass defense, but haven't faced a top-tier QB of the caliber of Big Ben, since a Week 2 meeting with Tom Brady and the Patriots. Leonard Fournette is back but he must line up against the #4 rush defense in the NFL. The Jags are averaging just, 17.8 PPG which won't be nearly enough for a Steelers "O" accounting for over 31.0 PPG. The Road team is 5-0 ATS the L5 meetings in this series. Take Pittsburgh. Thank you. |
|||||||
11-17-18 | Syracuse +10.5 v. Notre Dame | Top | 3-36 | Loss | -114 | 41 h 7 m | Show |
Take Syracuse. This is my TEN DIMES PLAY. Game 367. 11:30 am pst. In a game set in Yankee Stadium, there is no home field advantage for Notre Dame here. As a matter of fact, there will be a large amount or Orange in the stands. The Fighting Irish are a solid football team, however, they still haven't played a top-tier opponent since a Week 1meeting with the Wolverines. Making Eric Dungey (2193 YP, 14 TD's in the air and 690 YR, 12 TD's on the ground) and a Syracuse offense that's posting, 44.4 PPG a 10.5-point underdog, is an early Christmas present. This is a team that had Clemson on the ropes back in September. The Orange is 5-2 ATS the L7 neutral site games, 4-0-1 ATS the L5 non-conference games, 9-1-1 ATS the L11 games following a SU win, 9-3 ATS the L12 games vs. teams with a winning record, and 7-2-1 ATS the last 10 overall games. Take Syracuse. Thank you. |
|||||||
11-11-18 | Falcons -5 v. Browns | Top | 16-28 | Loss | -115 | 71 h 11 m | Show |
Take Atlanta. This is my CRUSHER PLAY. Game 253. 10:00 am pst. With 3 consecutive SU wins (2-1 ATS), Atlanta's, Matt Ryan is putting up MVP numbers (70.8% CR, 2685 YP, 19/3). The QB heads up the NFL's 2nd best air attack. This doesn't bode well for a Cleveland "D" that ranks 29th vs. the pass. Offensively, the Browns just can't keep pace with the high-flying, Falcons "O". Take Atlanta. Thank you |
|||||||
11-04-18 | Texans +1 v. Broncos | Top | 19-17 | Win | 100 | 67 h 17 m | Show |
Take Houston. This is my CRUSHER PLAY. Game 465. 1:05 pm pst. Houston has won 5 in a row to take hold of 1st place in the AFC South, at 5-3, as DeShaun Watson looks like he's back at 100%. Denver is a mess. HC, Vance Joseph is on the hot-seat, as the Broncos are 1-5 SU their L6, with the only victory, coming over a 2-6 Cardinals squad. Denver only "contends" because of their ground game. But, facing the 7th ranked run defense of Houston will totally shut down the Broncos offense. Denver is 0-5 ATS the L5 in November, 5-15-1 ATS the L21 vs. the AFC, 2-6-1 ATS the L9 at home, and 5-14-1 ATS the L20 overall. Take Houston. Thank you. |
|||||||
11-04-18 | Steelers +3 v. Ravens | Top | 23-16 | Win | 100 | 64 h 29 m | Show |
Take Pittsburgh. This is my AFC NORTH GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 455. 10:00 am pst. Do you believe in coincidences? Pittsburgh has rattled off 3 straight wins and covers, coinciding with 3 consecutive 100+ yards performances for RB, James Conner. Baltimore has dropped their L2 games (both SU and ATS), as their defense yielded a combined, 60 points. The Steelers are a much better team than in the late-September matchup. The Road team is 4-0 ATS the L4 meetings in this series. Take Pittsburgh. Thank you. |