Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10-13-19 | Yankees +145 v. Astros | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 24 m | Show |
Take New York. This is my ALCS GAME 2 WINNER. Game 907. 5:05 pm pst. New York opened the ALCS with a commanding, 7-0 win yesterday. The Yankees now have taken four of the last five vs. Houston. The Astros, which have dropped three of four coming into Sunday, have averaged just 1.3 RPG in those three postseason defeats. New York accounts for over 6.20 RPG on the road in 2019, while Houston averages 5.93 RPG at home. LH, James Paxton (15-6, 3.82 TY) and RH, Justin Verlander (21-6, 2.58 TY) are starters today. The Yankees are 4-0 the last four playoff games, 11-5 the last 16 vs. the AL West, and 6-0 in Paxton's last six road starts. The Astros are 0-5 the last five League Championship games, 3-7 the last 10 playoff games, and 1-6 the last seven vs. teams with a winning percentage of over .600 Take New York. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-13-19 | Cowboys -7 v. Jets | Top | 22-24 | Loss | -105 | 71 h 17 m | Show |
Take Dallas. Game 269. 1:25 pm pst.
Dallas is a good team, but, they are not an NFL elite. The Cowboys started the season at 3-0, beating three nobodies (Giants, Redskins, Dolphins, a combined record of 2-12). They then played two solid teams in the Saints and Packers and lost and failed to cover both.Well, the 0-4 Jets most likely will see the return of quarterback, Sam Darnold and tight end, Chris Herndon (check status on both), but it won't matter. The New York "O" ranks 31st in scoring, 32nd in passing, and 30th in rushing. Look for Dak Prescott and company to exploit New York's doormat of a secondary and get back on track here. Dallas feeds on lower tier teams and it doesn't get much lower than their opponent here. The Cowboys are 4-1 ATS the last five games played vs. teams with a losing record. The Jets are 1-5-1 ATS the last six games played vs. teams with a winning record and 0-6-1 ATS the last seven games played at home. Take Dallas. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-13-19 | Titans v. Broncos UNDER 41 | Top | 0-16 | Win | 100 | 71 h 9 m | Show |
Take UNDER in the Titans/Broncos matchup. Games 271/272. 1:25 pm pst.
These are two of the NFL's poorer offenses, but two of the better defenses. Denver accounts for only 18.0 PPG while Tennessee averages 19.6 PPG. The Broncos defense allows just 21.2 PPG while the Titans "D" yields a mere, 15.2 PPG. They have combined to play to three overs and seven unders this season. The under is 8-1 in Denver's last nine home games, 20-7-1 in Denver's last 28 overall games, 7-3 in Tennessee's last 10 road games and 4-0 in Tennessee's last four overall games. Take the UNDER. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-13-19 | 49ers +3.5 v. Rams | Top | 20-7 | Win | 100 | 71 h 1 m | Show |
Take San Francisco. Game 265. 1:05 pm pst. A season ago, my opinion on this matchup would have been very different. But, this is 2019 and these two teams are in very different places right now. San Francisco owns the best running game in the NFL, the #2 scoring offense (31.8 PPG), and a top-five defense in every major category. Their defensive line is one of the most feared in the league and will go through the porous, offensive line of Los Angeles and get to the struggling, Jared Goff (7 TD/7 INT). With several linebackers out, including Clay Matthews, the Rams defense is going to get steamrolled by the top rushing tandem in football, running back's, Matt Brieda and Raheem Mostert (576 yards rushing combined). The 49ers are 5-2 ATS the last seven meetings in this series. Take San Francisco. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-13-19 | Seahawks -1 v. Browns | 32-28 | Win | 100 | 68 h 4 m | Show | |
Take Seattle. Game 255. 10:00 am pst. This line moved from a +2.5 to a -1.5. People are starting to take notice of Russell Wilson's extraordinary season (1409 YP, 73.1% CR, 12/0) and an offense that is putting points on the board. The Seahawks, which last played Thursday, October 3rd, catch the Browns on a short week, getting thumped on MNF, 31-3 at the 49ers. The Cleveland offense should see the return of a player or two but still only accounts for 18.4 PPG. Defensively, they have problems when facing solid rushing offenses and particularly, dual-threat QB's (AHEM). The Seahawks are 2-0 SU and ATS on the road in 2019 and are an overall, 7-1 ATS the last eight games played as a visitor. The Browns are 6-19-1 ATS the last 26 games played vs. teams with a winning record and 2-5 ATS the last seven games played at home. Take Seattle. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-13-19 | Panthers -1 v. Bucs | 37-26 | Win | 100 | 65 h 40 m | Show | |
Take Carolina. Game 251. 6:30 am pst. Since losing Cam Newton, Carolina has rattled off three straight wins and covers. Quarterback, Kyle Allen (677 YP, 5/0) and running back, Christian McCaffrey (587 YR, 6 TD's) have united to give the offense a huge spark. The Panthers lost the September 12th matchup and the Buccaneers have dropped two of three since (both SU and ATS). Tampa Bay isn't having any luck running the ball, thus leaving the offense in the hands of the "Jekyll & Hyde", Jameis Winston to face the NFL's 4th ranked pass defense. The Buccaneers are banged-up and might be missing some key cogs in the wheel. The road team is 8-3 ATS the last 11 meetings in this series. The Panthers are 5-1 ATS the last six games played at the Bucs. The Bucs are 1-8-1 ATS the last 10 game played in the month of October. Take Carolina. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-12-19 | Yankees +148 v. Astros | Top | 7-0 | Win | 148 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
Take New York. This is my ALCS GAME 1 WINNER. Game 903. 5:08 pm pst. Coming off a three-game sweep of Minnesota gave New York a few extra days to rest and prepare here. Houston played a full, five-game series with Tampa Bay, finishing up on Thursday. The Yankees score over 6.20 RPG on the road while the Astros average 6.00 RPG at home. RH, Masahiro Tanaka (1-0, 1.80 this postseason) is 4-2 with a 1.54 ERA in six career playoffs starts and had a pair of quality starts vs. Houston this season. RH, Zack Grienke (0-1, 14.73 this postseason) is 3-5 with a 4.58 ERA in 12 career playoffs starts and possesses a 5.05 lifetime mark vs. New York. The Astros are 1-5 the last six vs. teams with a winning percentage of over .600 and 0-4 the last four League Championship games. The Yankees are 5-1 the last six following an off day and 15-4 in Tanaka's last 19 starts. Take New York. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-12-19 | Navy v. Tulsa | Top | 45-17 | Win | 100 | 51 h 13 m | Show |
Take Navy. Game 123. 4:30 pm pst. Navy has taken the last four in this matchup SU, going 3-1 ATS. The average margin of victory coming by 10.25 PPG. The Midshipmen come in here brimming with confidence as they bested Air Force, 34-25, a week ago. Tulsa may not recover after squandering a 30-9 lead in last week's exhausting, triple-OT loss at SMU (43-37). Last year's meetings saw Navy tally 395 yards rushing and now they have the addition of dual-threat quarterback, Malcolm Perry. They possess a monster "D" (24th vs. the pass, 14th vs. the run) that will contain the Tulsa one-dimensional offense. On the other side of the ball, the Golden Hurricanes 84th ranked run defense is going to be trampled by the nation's #1 rushing attack. The road team is 5-1 ATS the last six meetings in this series. The Midshipmen are 4-1 ATS the last five conference games and 6-1-1 ATS the last eight overall games. The Golden Hurricanes are 2-8 ATS the last 10 games following an ATS win and 3-7 ATS the last 10 home games. Take Navy. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-12-19 | Army -4.5 v. Western Kentucky | 8-17 | Loss | -104 | 50 h 20 m | Show | |
Take Army. Game 191. 4:00 pm pst.
This matchup certainly favors Army as Western Kentucky has no experience facing an option offense. The Black Knights possess the 8th ranked rushing attack in college football and will control the clock and keep the Hilltoppers defense on the field. Western Kentucky does not have an explosive offense (21.8 PPG, 76th passing and 126th rushing) and can not keep pace on the scoreboard here. Backup quarterback, Ty Storey (58.8% completion rate, 5/4) is in for a long day lining up against the tough, veteran pass defense (25th) of Army. The Black Knights are money to bettors, going 4-0 ATS the last four games following a SU loss and 6-0 ATS the last six games on the road. The Hilltoppers are 4-12 ATS the last 16 non-conference games and 1-5 ATS the last six October games. Take Army. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-12-19 | Nationals v. Cardinals +130 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
Take St. Louis. This is my NLCS GAME 2 WINNER. Game 906. 1:08 pm pst. Washington took Game 1 yesterday, 2-0. St. Louis, which won five of the seven regular season meetings in this series, will bounce back here today. The Nationals are just seven games over .500 away from home this season, while the Cardinals are 51-33 at Busch Stadium in 2019. RH, Max Scherzer is 0-2 with a 5.27 ERA in two starts vs. St. Louis this year and owns a career, 2-6 record in 11 outings vs. the team. RH, Adam Wainwright is 1-0 with a 1.35 ERA vs. Washington on the campaign and is 10-4 with a 3.10 mark in 17 appearances (15 starts) against them. The Nationals are 15-36 the last 51 at the Cardinals. The Cardinals are 7-1 in Wainwright's last eight starts vs. the Nats, 7-3 the last 10 League Championship games at home, and 21-10 the last 31 overall games at home. Take St. Louis. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-12-19 | Georgia Tech v. Duke -17 | Top | 23-41 | Win | 100 | 44 h 5 m | Show |
Take Duke. Game 132. 9:30 am pst. Georgia Tech is point spread poison, failing to cover all five outings this season. As a matter of fact, the Yellow Jackets are riding an eight-game ATS cold streak. This is an offense (or lack thereof) that puts up a mere, 8.0 PPG on the road, where they are outscored by 30.0 PPG. After three consecutive wins and covers, Duke comes off a tough loss at home vs. Pitt. The Blue Devils are looking for a little redemption here for themselves and their fans in Durham against a team they have covered the last five meetings against. Dual-threat quarterback, Quentin Harris (1,007 yards passing, 11/4 in the air, 347 yards rushing, four TD's on the ground) will shred the soft defense of Georgia Tech, while the Blue Devil's stop-unit completely shuts down the Yellow Jackets "O". Georgia Tech is 2-7 ATS the last nine games vs. teams with a winning record and 3-7-1 ATS the last 11 games on the road. Duke is 4-0 ATS the last four games following an ATS loss and 5-2 ATS the last seven games following a SU loss. Take the Blue Devils. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-11-19 | Virginia +2.5 v. Miami-FL | 9-17 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 50 m | Show | |
Take Virginia. Game 109. 5:00 pm pst. Virginia comes in here off a bye, well-rested and prepared following their first loss of the season. This is a team that has covered five of the last six meetings in this series. They have faced and beaten such notables as Pitt and Florida State, while competing in their sole defeat to Notre Dame. Miami folds when facing good teams as they shown in losses to Florida, North Carolina, and even Virginia Tech. Their only victories came against Bethune Cookman and Central Michigan. The Virginia defense (21st vs. the pass, 17th vs. the rush) will shut down the one-dimensional, passing offense of Miami. The road team is 6-2 ATS the last eight meetings in this series. The Cavaliers are 4-0 ATS the last four games played at the Hurricanes. The Hurricanes are 2-7 ATS the last nine vs. conference foes. Take Virginia. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-07-19 | Dodgers +125 v. Nationals | Top | 1-6 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
Take LA. This is my BB play. 3:40 pm pst. Los Angeles is just too strong for Washington, taking 11 of the last 15 meetings including six of the last seven at Nationals Park. LH, Rich Hill (4-1, 2.45) and RH, Max Scherzer (11-7, 2.92) take the hill. Scherzer is 4-5 with a 3.78 ERA in 18 career playoffs games (14 starts). The Nationals are 0-4 in Scherzer's last four home starts vs. the Dodgers and 2-8 the last 10 Divisional Playoffs home games. The Dodgers are 20-8 in Hill's last 28 road starts and 10-2 the last 12 Divisional Playoffs games. Take Los Angeles. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-06-19 | Broncos v. Chargers -6 | 20-13 | Loss | -109 | 43 h 2 m | Show | |
Take LAC. This is my HR. Game 472. 1:05 pm pst. Denver, at 0-4 this season is on an 0-8 SU and a 1-7 ATS run going back to last season. Their offense is non-existent and their defense has fallen by the waist side. They rank 30th vs. the rush and in comes Ekeler and Gordon. Look for the ground game to open up Phillip Rivers and the passing game. The Broncos are 8-21-1 ATS the last 30 vs. the AFC. Take the Chargers. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-06-19 | Bears -5 v. Raiders | Top | 21-24 | Loss | -100 | 40 h 19 m | Show |
Take Chicago. This is my NL. Game 453. 10:00 am pst. The Chicago Bears have rattled off three consecutive victories, mostly due to the NFL's #2 ranked defense (11.2 PPG allowed). It doesn't matter that Chase Daniel is at the helm. The backup quarterback was 22 of 30, for 194 yards passing, and 1/0 in last week's, 16-6 win and cover over Minnesota. Oakland, under Derek Carr can't pass the ball (26th) and just can't seem to cross the goal line (19.8 PPG). To contend with the ferocious Chicago defense, you must have both, a solid ground and a solid air attack. Carr is in for a very long day here.The Bears are 11-4 ATS the last 15 games played overall. The Raiders are 0-4 ATS the last four games played in the month of October. Take Chicago. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-06-19 | Bears v. Raiders UNDER 40.5 | 21-24 | Loss | -108 | 40 h 13 m | Show | |
Take the UNDER in the BEARS/RAIDERS matchup. This is my TOW. Games 453/454. 10:00 am pst. The Bears are a team that averages just 16.5 PPG. The Raiders account for 19.8 PPG. Neither team has faced too many great defenses. There is no doubt that the #2 ranked defense of the Chicago is going to shut down the lackluster, offense Oakland. This is going to be a slow moving, low scoring contest. The under is 8-1 in the Bears last nine games played overall. Take the UNDER. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-06-19 | Bills +3 v. Titans | 14-7 | Win | 105 | 40 h 8 m | Show | |
Take Buffalo. This is my UOW. Game 469. 10:00 am pst. The Bills are money at 3-1 ATS (3-1 SU) and have a top-10 defense in every major category. They will shut down the lackluster, Titans offense. On the other side of the ball, Buffalo's fourth ranked rushing unit will control the tempo and the clock. The Bills are 4-1 ATS the last five games played on the road, 4-1 ATS the last five games played vs. the AFC, and 5-1 ATS the last six games played overall. Take Buffalo. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-06-19 | Jaguars +3.5 v. Panthers | 27-34 | Loss | -117 | 40 h 2 m | Show | |
Take Jacksonville. This is my TD. Game 457. 10:00 am pst. Gordon Minshew and Leonard Fournette have rattled off two straight victories and three consecutive covers. Carolina has no offense whatsoever and no defense against the run. Giving the Jaguars 3.5 points is a gift here. The Panthers are 1-4 ATS the last five at home. Take the Jacksonville. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-05-19 | Rice v. UAB -10 | 20-35 | Win | 100 | 23 h 36 m | Show | |
Take UAB. This is my MISMATCH GOM. Game 360. 4:00 pm pst. UAB won and covered the last two years in this matchup, by a combined score of 94-21. They come off their first loss of the season and will seek some redemption here against a winless, Rice team. The Owls can not contend on either side of the ball in this mismatch. Rice is 0-4 ATS the last four at UAB. UAB is 13-3-1 ATS the last 17 at home. Take UAB. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-05-19 | Arizona +4 v. Colorado | 35-30 | Win | 100 | 20 h 29 m | Show | |
Take Arizona. This is my PAC 12 GOM. Game 343. 1:30 pm pst. Giving an Arizona team four points that is riding a three-game SU win streak and that has won and covered the last two meetings in this series, is a mistake. No matter who is at the helm, the Wildcats own top-25 passing and rushing units. Colorado gives up a lot of points. The road team is 6-1 ATS the last seven meetings in this series. The Buffaloes are 1-5 ATS the last six conference games and 1-6 ATS the last seven games following a bye week. Take Arizona. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-05-19 | Auburn -2.5 v. Florida | 13-24 | Loss | -114 | 19 h 56 m | Show | |
Take Auburn. This is my TD play. Game 385. 12:30 pm pst. We see two of the SEC's five undefeated teams square off here. This is the first meeting since 2011, however, the Tigers covered all five matchups between 2001 and 2011, going 4-1 SU. Auburn counters Florida's stout defense with one of the nation's top rushing units. Despite owning the #5 defense in college football, the Gators are going to have a very tough time in the trenches on both sides of the ball. The Tigers possess NFL caliber offensive and defensive lines. Florida quarterback, Kyle Trask is lining up against his first real test and by far his fiercest "D". The Tigers are 6-0 ATS the last six overall games. The Gators are 1-4 ATS the last five conference games. Take Auburn. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-05-19 | Iowa +4 v. Michigan | Top | 3-10 | Loss | -109 | 16 h 42 m | Show |
Take Iowa. This is my BIG TEN GOM. Game 355. 9:00 am pst.
Jim Harbaugh was supposed to start a dynasty when he took the head coaching job at Michigan in 2015. He won the Citrus Bowl in his first year. Since, the team has lost three consecutive Bowl games. His reputation as a big game coach is finished. Last week's victory over Rutgers was the team's first cover since the first week of November last year. Now they face an undefeated (4-0), Iowa team that has taken five of the last six meetings in this series SU. The Hawkeyes have a few things they haven't had in recent seasons, a big-time quarterback and a potent offense. Nate Stanley (965 yards passing, 8/0) is a real gunslinger. He also has the luxury of three 200+ yards rushers. The Wolverines defense is good, but does have problems with strong rushing attacks. On the flipside, the mediocre, Michigan offense is going to be in for a long day against the nation's #3 stop unit (8.5 PPG allowed). The underdog is 11-3 ATS the last 14 meetings in this series. Take Iowa. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-04-19 | Central Florida -3.5 v. Cincinnati | 24-27 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
Take UCF. This is my FNL. Game 307. 5:00 pm pst In what going is going to be a huge AAC showdown, I just don't see Cincinnati keeping pace with Central Florida.Desmond Riddler (815 yards passing, 8/3) is good. However, the quarterback will be outperformed by his counterpart, Dillon Gabbriel (1,338 yards passing, 14/2). But, the biggest difference here will be the superiority of the Knights rushing attack (232.6 yards per game on the ground). They will keep the Bearcats defense on the field and gasping for air come the second half. UCF has won and covered the last three meetings in this series, with the average margin of victory coming by 24.6 PPG. Cincinnati folds like a cheap suit when facing solid opposition, going 5-16 ATS the last 21 games vs. teams with a winning record. The Knights are 6-2 ATS the last eight games on the road, 8-3 ATS the last 11 games vs. conference foes, and 14-6 ATS the last 20 games overall. Take UCF. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-04-19 | Twins v. Yankees -1.5 | 4-10 | Win | 109 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
Take New York on the Run Line. Game 924. 4:07 pm pst. New York has taken four of the six meetings this season over Minnesota. RH, Jose Berrios (14-8, 3.68 ERA TY) is 0-2 in two career starts in the Bronx. LH, James Paxton (15-6, 3.82 ERA TY) is 7-3 with a 3.35 ERA at Yankees Stadium this season. The Twins are 12-40 the last 52 at the Yankees, 0-6 the last six Playoffs road games, and 1-7 in Berrios' last eight starts vs. teams with a winning record. The Yankees are 52-17 the last 69 at home, 7-2 the last nine Playoffs home games, and 5-0 in Paxton's last five starts at home. Take New York on the Run Line. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-04-19 | Twins v. Yankees OVER 8.5 | 4-10 | Win | 100 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
Take the OVER in the TWINS/YANKEES matchup. This is my TOW. Games 923/924. 4:07 pm pst. Five of the six meetings this season have gone over the total. These are the two highest scoring teams in baseball (NYY 5.82 RPG, Minny 5.80 RPG). The over is 7-2 the last nine meetings in the Bronx. take the over. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-03-19 | Temple -11 v. East Carolina | 27-17 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
Take Temple. This is my AAC GOW. Game 305. 5:00 pm pst. Temple has won and covered all five meetings in this series since 2014, including last year's, 49-6 thumping. Not much has changed to think this year's matchup would have any different of an outcome. The Owls own a top-25 passing game and a top-10 defense against the pass. Overall, they account for 30.5 PPG and only allow 17.2 PPG. They are also one of the healthiest squads in the nation. The Pirates pose very little threat offensively, averaging just 21.4 PPG. Quarterback, Holton Ahlers makes some very bad decisions, which is evident in his 4/5 TD/INT ratio and 54.1% completion rate. Temple is 22-6 ATS the last 28 vs. conference opponents, 15-7 ATS the last 22 vs. teams with a winning record, and 40-19 ATS the last 59 overall. |
|||||||
10-01-19 | Brewers v. Nationals OVER 7.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
Take the OVER in the BREWERS/NATIONALS matchup. Games 911/912. 5:08 pm pst. Four of the six meetings this season have gone over the total, including Woodruff's only start against Washington and Scherzer's sole turn vs. Milwaukee. Both lineups have been crushing the ball. The over is 6-2 the last eight overall meetings, 4-0 in Woodruff's last four starts vs. teams with a winning record, and 4-1 in Scherzer's last five starts at home. Take the OVER. Thank you. |
|||||||
10-01-19 | Brewers v. Nationals -172 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
Take Milwaukee. Game 911. 5:08 pm pst. Milwaukee has taken four of the six meetings in 2019 and five of the last seven overall vs. Washington. RH, Brandon Woodruff won his only start against the Nationals this season and posted a 1.46 ERA in four games (one starts) in the 2018 postseason. RH, Max Scherzer lost his only turn against the Brewers this year and owns a career, 4-5 record with a 3.73 ERA in 16 postseason games (13 starts). Milwaukee is 22-5 in Woodruff's last 27 overall starts and 11-4 the last 15 on the road. Washington is 2-5 in Scherzer's last seven starts vs. the NL Central and 1-8 in Scherzer's last nine starts during Game 1 of a series. Take the Brewers. Thank you. |
|||||||
09-30-19 | Bengals +3.5 v. Steelers | 3-27 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
Take Cincinnati. Game 277. 5:15 pm pst. The last three meetings in this AFC North rivalry were decided by a total of 13 points, with Cincinnati covering two of the three matchups. Andy Dalton leads the #2 passing unit in the NFL and goes up against the 30th ranked passing defense in the league here. Mason Rudolph has a few more weapons at his disposal. Neither offense is having any success running the ball and both rank near the bottom of the NFL in scoring (Cincinnati 18.0 PPG, Pittsburgh 16.3 PPG). I just can't seem to back the Steelers until they show some signs of life. Take Cincinnati. Thank you. |
|||||||
09-29-19 | Chiefs -6 v. Lions | Top | 34-30 | Loss | -110 | 60 h 49 m | Show |
Take Kansas City. This is my NFL GOM. Game 261. 10:00 am pst. Detroit, at 2-0-1, is one of this season's most pleasant surprises. However, beating a banged-up, Philadelphia team last week is going to prove to be a much easier task than facing a true, NFL powerhouse like Kansas City, this week. Patrick Mahomes leads the top passing unit in football and the third overall scoring offense (33.7 PPG). The Chiefs quarterback is going to shred the 22nd ranked Lions passing defense here. While I like head coach, Matt Patricia, he is overmatched and outclassed by Andy Reid. Kansas City is 8-2-1 ATS the last 11 games played on the road, 16-5 ATS the last 21 games played in the month of September, and 5-1 ATS the last six games played overall. Take the CHIEFS. Thank you. |
|||||||
09-29-19 | Patriots -7 v. Bills | Top | 16-10 | Loss | -104 | 60 h 43 m | Show |
Take New England. This is my AFC EAST GOM. Game 263. 10:00 am pst. The fans in upstate New York are the happiest they have been since Jim Kelly was at the helm. QB, Josh Allen leads the 3-0 Bills. I hate to burst the bubble for the people of Buffalo, but the teams record was earned against three teams that are collectively, 1-8 (Jets 0-3, Giants 1-2, Bengals 0-3). Granted, the Patriots three opponents (Steelers, Dolphins, Jets) are a combined, 0-9, but, New England is still in a class shared by few. The Patriots (along with the Chiefs) are the cream of the AFC crop. Future Hall Of Famer, Tom Brady leading the NFL's #2 scoring offense (35.3 PPG) is nothing new. But, the New England defense ranks #1 in points allowed, passing yards, rushing yards, and total yards. Patriots defensive coordinator, Brian Flores and head coach, Bill Belichick will have their defense primed and ready to befuddle the Bills offensive line and their young quarterback. New England will not allow the other AFC East, 3-0 team to maintain any confidence. They are 4-1 ATS the last five meetings vs. Buffalo, 16-5-1 ATS the last 22 meetings in Buffalo, 20-8 ATS the last 28 games played on the road, 7-3 ATS the last 10 games played vs. the AFC East, and 42-18 ATS the last 60 games played overall. Take the PATRIOTS. Thank you. |
|||||||
09-28-19 | Ohio State -16.5 v. Nebraska | Top | 48-7 | Win | 100 | 43 h 41 m | Show |
Take Ohio State. This is my BIG TEN GOM. Game 195. 4:30 pm pst. I don't think there's another team in the nation with a record like Nebraska's (3-1) that has a bigger false sense of worth. This is a team that is 1-3 ATS in 2019 with their only good performance coming against NIU. Ohio State is a FG away from being 4-0 ATS. They have covered numbers of 14.5 against Cincinnati, 17 at Indiana, and 38.5 vs. Miami-Ohio. The Buckeyes third ranked offense (53.5 PPG) will steamroll a Cornhuskers defense (25.2 PPG allowed) that hasn't faced a squad anywhere near this level. Look for OSU to gain some style points from the pollsters here and make a statement to the rest of the Big Ten. They are 6-0 ATS the last six games played following a SU win and 6-1 ATS the last seven games played overall. Nebraska is 1-6 ATS the last seven games played in the month of September and 4-12 ATS the last 16 games played at home. Take the BUCKEYES. Thank you. |
|||||||
09-28-19 | UAB -3 v. Western Kentucky | Top | 13-20 | Loss | -110 | 42 h 0 m | Show |
Take UAB. Game 191. 4:00 pm pst. The odds makers are a bit off on this line. I have the number closer to double digits as last year's Conference USA champions, UAB Blazers are the only unblemished team in the league (3-0). Western Kentucky is very beatable, as they proved in losing 35-28 to Central Arkansas, and getting routed, 38-21 to Louisville. The Hilltoppers don't have much of a running game and their starting quarterback, Steven Duncan is out with a foot injury and none of the backups have that much experience. The Blazers have a very fast and talented, stop-unit (18th, 14.0 PPG allowed). And, soph quarterback, Tyler Johnston is a stud, throwing for 746 YP, a 64.3% CR, 8/2 in the air and another 114 YR and one score on the ground. UAB is 6-2 ATS the last eight games played on the road, 5-0 ATS the last vs. teams with a losing record, and 4-1 ATS the last five games played overall. Western Kentucky is 1-4 ATS the last five games played at home, 3-8 ATS the last 11 games played vs. teams with a winning record, and 3-7 ATS the last 10 games played overall. Take the BLAZERS. Thank you. |
|||||||
09-28-19 | SMU -7.5 v. South Florida | 48-21 | Win | 100 | 39 h 7 m | Show | |
Take SMU. This is my AAC GOM. Game 121. 1:00 pm pst. I have no problem laying a TD and a hook with an SMU team that has won and covered all four of their outings this season, including last week's, start-to-finish, 41-38 road victory over rival, TCU. South Florida has notched just one win since last October and that was a week ago against South Carolina State. The lackluster, Bulls offense (21.7 PPG) can not keep pace with the well-balanced, "O" of the Mustangs (43.5 PPG). Southern Methodist's quarterback, Shane Buechele (1159 YP, 66.7% CR, 7/4) and running back, Xavier Jones (370 YR, eight TD's) are going to light up the scoreboard so much, they are going to need to replace the bulbs. South Florida is 3-10 ATS the last 13 games played vs. conference opponents and 1-6 ATS the last seven games played at home. Take SMU. Thank you. |
|||||||
09-26-19 | Eagles v. Packers -4 | 34-27 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
Take Green Bay. This is my HR. Game 102. 5:20 pm pst. Philly is one of the NFL's most banged-up teams. Even at full strength, they would have a tough time in this matchup. Not only are they 1-2 SU, but they have yet to cover a game yet this season. Green Bay is 3-0, both SU and ATS, beating some very talented team (Chicago, Minnesota, Denver). Philadelphia, with a ground game that averages under 100 YR per game , relies upon their passing game. Well, they face the #5 pass defense in football here. The Eagles are 0-6 ATS the last six in the month of September. The Packers are 4-0 ATS the last four games played in the month of September. Take Green Bay. Thank you. |
|||||||
09-26-19 | Navy +11 v. Memphis | 23-35 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
Take Navy. This is my TD play. Game 103. 5:00 pm pst. Navy has covered the last four meetings with Memphis, going 3-1 SU. The Midshipmen own the #1 rushing attack in the nation, averaging over 371.5 YPG on the ground. They control the tempo and the clock. Defensively, they rank 2nd in college football, yielding just 8.5 YPG. Dual-threat QB, Malcolm Perry (68.8% CR 2 TD's in the air, 184 YR 5 TD's on the ground) is going to take this game on his shoulders. The Midshipmen are 5-0-1 ATS the last six games played overall. Take Navy. Thank you. |
|||||||
09-23-19 | Bears v. Redskins +5.5 | 31-15 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
Take Washington. This is my MNF winner. Game 490. 5:15 pm pst. There is no questioning that the Bears defense is the reason why they aren't 0-2. Their offense is a league-ranked 31st, accounting for 9.5 PPG. The Redskins defense is no world-beater. However, their "O" put up 27 points on the Eagles and 21 points on the Cowboys. Case Keenum can throw the ball. And with several RB's banged up, you can expect a heavy dose of AP (Adrian Peterson). Washington has won seven straight in this series, going 6-1 ATS, with five consecutive covers. Chicago is notoriously slow starters, going 5-12 ATS the last 17 games played in the month of September. Take the Redskins. Thank you. |
|||||||
09-22-19 | Saints v. Seahawks -4 | 33-27 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 21 m | Show | |
Take Seattle. This is my NFC GOW. Game 482. 1:25 pm pst. Drew Brees is out leaving the reins in the hands of Teddy Bridgewater and Taysom Hill. HC, Sean Payton said both will see action here. Without Brees, the offense must lean on RB, Alvin Kamara. Well, Seattle's rush defense ranks 4th in the NFL. This along with the fact that Russell Wilson is healthy and playing better than ever, prompts me to lay the points here. The home team is 4-1 ATS the last five meetings in this series. The Saints are 0-5 ATS the last five vs. teams with a winning record, 0-5 ATS the last five vs. the NFC, and 0-7 ATS the last seven overall. The Seahawks are 17-5 ATS the last 22 in Week 3, 7-2-1 ATS the last 10 vs. the NFC, and 10-4-1 ATS the last 15 overall. Take Seattle. Thank you. |
|||||||
09-22-19 | Broncos v. Packers -7 | 16-27 | Win | 100 | 38 h 9 m | Show | |
Take Green Bay. this is my NO LIMIT. Game 462. 10:00 am pst. Green Bay has the NFL's #2 defense, yielding 9.5 PPG. Denver has the NFL's 28th ranked offense, posting just 15.0 PPG. Expect a lot of three-and-outs for the Broncos, thus putting Aaron Rodgers on the field to work his magic. The home team is 6-1 ATS the last seven meetings in this series. The Broncos are 5-14 ATS the last 19 on the road and 1-5 ATS the last six overall. Take the Packers. Thank you. |
|||||||
09-22-19 | Broncos v. Packers UNDER 44 | Top | 16-27 | Win | 100 | 38 h 4 m | Show |
Take UNDER in the Denver/Green Bay matchup. This is my TOW. Game 461/462. 10:00 am pst. Neither offense is lighting up scoreboards as Denver averages 15.0 PPG and Green bay accounts for 15.5 PPG. Both defenses are playing well and both teams have played all their games to UNDERS. Counting this preseason the Broncos have played to 15 straight UNDERS and in just regular season play, the UNDER is 19-61 the last 26 overall. The UNDER is 9-3 in the Packers last 12 regular season games and 4-1 their last five at home. Take the UNDER. Thank you. |
|||||||
09-21-19 | Nebraska -13 v. Illinois | 42-38 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 55 m | Show | |
Take Nebraska. This is my LVSM. Game 323. 5:00 pm pst. The Illinois defense has sprung a few leaks, yielding 23 points to Connecticut and 34 points to Eastern Michigan. This doesn't bode well as they line up against QB, Adrian Martinez and a Nebraska offense that's averaging over 36.7 PPG. The Cornhuskers have won three in a row and five of the last six in this series (4-2 ATS). They are 6-0-1 ATS the last seven vs. conference opponents. The Fighting Illini are 3-7 ATS the last 10 games played overall. Take Nebraska. Thank you. |
|||||||
09-21-19 | Central Florida -10.5 v. Pittsburgh | 34-35 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 25 m | Show | |
Take Central Florida. This is my TD play. Game 319. 12:30 pm pst. Central Florida thumped Stanford,45-27 to earn a 3-0 start, both SU and ATS. The Knights moved up two spots in the polls to #15. They face a Panthers squad they shredded a year ago, 45-14. Not much has changed. Pitt has no ground game whatsoever and relies solely on their passing game. Well, UCF owns one of the top defenses in the nation (13.7 PPG allowed), including the 21st ranked pass defense. The Knights are 6-1 ATS the last seven games played on the road, 5-1 ATS the last six games played vs. nonconference foes, and 20-8-1 ATS the last 29 games played overall. Take Central Florida. Thank you. |
|||||||
09-21-19 | Temple -14 v. Buffalo | Top | 22-38 | Loss | -125 | 17 h 10 m | Show |
Take Temple. This is my BLOWOUT. Game 325. 12:30 pm pst. Temple enters this contest 2-0 SU and ATS, with a defense that has allowed just 14.5 PPG. Granted, Buffalo was supposed to get spanked by Penn State (45-13), but last week's, 35-17 loss to Liberty exposed just how bad this team really is. Owls QB, Anthony Russo (686 YP, 66.7% CR, 7/2) leads the 5th ranked passing attack in college football. Temple is 4-1 ATS the last five meetings in this series, 5-0 ATS the last five vs. teams with a losing record, and 21-6 ATS the last 27 following an ATS win. Buffalo is 0-5 ATS the last five nonconference, 0-4 ATS the last four vs. teams with a winning record, and 0-5 ATS the last five overall. Take the Owls. Thank you. |
|||||||
09-21-19 | Auburn +4 v. Texas A&M | 28-20 | Win | 100 | 17 h 51 m | Show | |
Take Auburn. This is my SEC WEST GOM. Game 367. 12:30 pm pst. Auburn took each of the last two meetings with Texas A&M and enter this matchup a perfect, 3-0, both SU and ATS. Texas A&M steamrolled Texas State and Lamar but was never in it vs. Clemson. Now, the 8th ranked Tigers are getting too many points against the 17th ranked Aggies. Both teams can play defense. Auburn has one of the top ground attacks in the nation. They will control the clock here. The road team is 6-1 ATS the last seven meetings in this series. Take the Tigers. Thank you. |
|||||||
09-21-19 | Michigan State v. Northwestern +9.5 | 31-10 | Loss | -114 | 14 h 35 m | Show | |
Take Northwestern. This is WG play. Game 334. 9:00 am pst. Michigan State has a good defense, but their offense leaves a lot to be desired. They face a Northwestern team that has won and covered the last three meetings in this series and can eat up a lot of clock with a ground game that is averaging 184.5 YPG. This is a team that upended Utah and had a chance with Stanford. The Spartans are 1-6 ATS the last seven overall games. The Wildcats are 20-6-1 ATS the last 27 conference games. Take Northwestern. Thank you. |
|||||||
09-21-19 | California +2.5 v. Ole Miss | Top | 28-20 | Win | 100 | 13 h 28 m | Show |
Take California. This is my DOW. Game 353. 9:00 am pst. California owns a stifling defense, allowing a mere, 16.3 PPG, bringing them a 3-0 record and a top-25 ranking (23rd). They possess a stellar secondary. This is going to be fatal for Mississippi frosh QB, Matt Corral, who really hasn't been tested yet. Look for the 1-2 punch of QB, Gabers and RB, Brown Jr. to move the chains here. The Rebels are 1-4 ATS the last five in September, 1-4 ATS the last five at home, 5-15-1 ATS the last 21 vs. teams with a winning record, and 9-24-1 ATS the last 34 overall. Take the Golden Bears. Thank you. |
|||||||
09-20-19 | Utah -3.5 v. USC | 23-30 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
Take Utah. This is my FNL play. Game 305. 6:00 pm pst. USC, which comes off a sloppy loss at BYU, has Utah here then goes on the road to Washington and Notre Dame. Things are going to go from bad to worse for the Trojans as they face a stout, Utes defense that has not allowed an opponent to reach 100 yards rushing. Frosh QB, Slovis tossed three INT's against BYU a week ago. Look for more freshman mistakes here. Utah is 4-1 ATS the last five meetings in this series, 12-5 ATS the last 17 on the road, and 6-2 ATS the last eight in the conference. USC is 2-8 ATS the last 10 in September, 4-10 ATS the last 14 at home, and 7-19-1 ATS the last 27 overall. Take the Utes. Thank you. |
|||||||
09-15-19 | Saints v. Rams OVER 52 | 9-27 | Loss | -102 | 51 h 11 m | Show | |
Take OVER in the Saints/Rams matchup. This is my BB. Games 283. 284. 1:25 pm pst.
It has been nine months since these two teams last met. There were several controversial, no-calls when the Rams defeated the Saints, 26-23 in the NFC Championship. Both teams have a lot to prove here. New Orleans wants to exact some revenge. Los Angeles wants to prove they deserved to advance to the Super Bowl. Both offenses are explosive. Veteran quarterback, Drew Brees is a future Hall Of Famer. In his fourth season, Jared Goff certainly looks to be on his way. Both possess solid ground attacks with running back's, Alvin Kamara and Todd Gurley II. However, both defenses can be exploited. The Saints yielded 28 points to the Texans a week ago, while the Rams allowed the Panthers to put up 27 points in Week 1. These two NFC powerhouses have met four times over the last four seasons, with an average score of 61.25 PPG. The over is 8-3 the last 11 meetings in Los Angeles, 7-2 in New Orleans' last nine played in September, and 5-1 in Los Angeles' last six played at home. Take the OVER. Thank you. |
|||||||
09-15-19 | Bears v. Broncos UNDER 40.5 | Top | 16-14 | Win | 100 | 51 h 6 m | Show |
Take UNDER in the BEARS/BRONCOS matchup. This is my NFL TOTAL OF THE MONTH. Games 285-286. 1:25 pm pst. These two teams haven't faced one another since a 2015 matchup which resulted in 32 combined points. Going back further, they have played to six unders in the last seven meetings. Both offenses sputtered in Week 1 as Denver accounted for just 16 points in a loss at Oakland and Chicago mustered a mere, three points in a tough loss to rival, Green Bay at Soldier Field. Bears QB, Mitchell Trubisky is going to continue to struggle as he goes up against Vic Fangio, who was Chicago's defensive coordinator before taking the head coaching position for the Broncos. Both teams own very strong defenses. The under is 6-0 in the Bears last six overall and 7-0 in the Broncos last seven at home. Take the UNDER. Thank you. |
|||||||
09-15-19 | Bears -2 v. Broncos | 16-14 | Push | 0 | 51 h 1 m | Show | |
Take Chicago. This is my HR. Game 285. 1:25 pm pst. Chicago led the League in scoring defense last season and it's looking like their stop unit is just as string this season. Joe Flacco has never been known as quick-footed. The Bears "D" will get to him, especially because the Broncos do not have a solid ground game to keep defenses honest. Look for the Chicago offensive line (five sacks allowed last week) to play much better here and allow QB, Mitchell Trubisky to work his magic. The Bears are 5-0 ATS the last five meetings in this series, 4-1 ATS the last five on the road, and 9-3 ATS the last 12 overall. The Broncos are 0-4-1 ATS the last five in September, 3-9-1 ATS the last 13 at home, and 8-20-1 ATS the last 29 overall. Take Chicago. Thank you. |
|||||||
09-15-19 | Chargers -1.5 v. Lions | 10-13 | Loss | -106 | 48 h 51 m | Show | |
Take Los Angeles. This is my DOMINATOR. Game 263. 10:00am pst. Pay no mind into the holdout of Melvin Gordon. Austin Ekeler recorded 154 yards from scrimmage (58 rushing/96 receiving) and accounted for three TD's last week. The Chargers are an AFC elite team. They take on one of the worst teams in the NFC here. The Lions got a Week 1, 27-27 tie with bottom the bottom feeding, Cardinals. LA is one of the best road teams in the NFL, going 7-1 ATS the last eight as a visitor. Detroit is 4-1 ATS the last five at home. TAKE THE CHARGERS. Thank you. |
|||||||
09-14-19 | Northern Illinois +14 v. Nebraska | Top | 8-44 | Loss | -109 | 26 h 56 m | Show |
Take Northern Illinois. This is my HR. Game 193. 5:00 pm pst.
For the life of me, I can't figure out why Nebraska is laying two TD's here. I have this game about 8.5 points. The Cornhuskers have yet to cover in 2019. They allowed the Jaguars of South Alabama to post 21 points in the opening week and then blew a 17-point halftime lead in last weeks, 34-31 loss to the Buffaloes. The Huskies, which have covered both outings this season, have a ton of talent on both sides of the ball. Let's not forget they are 16-5 ATS the last 21 vs. the Big Ten and 7-3 ATS the last 10 in September. Nebraska tends to be overvalued in Lincoln, going 3-12 ATS the last 15 at home and are slow starters, going 0-5 ATS the last five in September. Take the Huskies. Thank you. |
|||||||
09-14-19 | Iowa -1 v. Iowa State | 18-17 | Push | 0 | 22 h 13 m | Show | |
Take Iowa. This is my TD. Game 153. 1:00 pm pst.
Iowa has had Iowa State's number, taking the last four meetings in this series SU, going 3-1 ATS. The average margin of victory is 16.5 PPG. The Hawkeyes have some things this season they haven't had in recent campaigns. That is a solid offense, and a big time play caller in Nate Stanley. The quarterback has tossed six TD's and 0 INT's. He also has the tandem of running back's, Mekhi Sargent and Toren Young, who have combined for 257 yards rushing and two TD's. They will light up the scoreboard here going up against a defense that yielded 26 points to the Panthers of Northern Iowa last week. Cyclones quarterback, Brock Purdy does not have the luxury of a ground game to help open up the passing game. So, facing one of the strongest stop units in the nation is going to be fatal once again. Iowa State is 0-4 the last four at home and 0-6 ATS the last six overall. Take the Hawkeyes. Thank you. |
|||||||
09-14-19 | Kansas State +7.5 v. Mississippi State | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 18 h 15 m | Show | |
Take Kansas State. This is my LVSM. Game 111. 9:00 pm pst.
They say revenge is a dish best served cold. Kansas State took a 31-10 loss at the hands of Mississippi State last September. But, these are two very different teams right now. Under first year HC, Chris Klieman, the Wildcats are much improved. Granted, they beat up on lesser foes (2-0 SU and ATS), but they have a solid backfield with quarterback, Skylar Thompson (74.3% CR, 363 yards passing, 3/0) and Ball State transfer running back, James Gilbert (218 yards rushing, 3 TD's). They will keep a Bulldogs defense honest that has allowed the Rajun' Cajuns and the Golden Eagles to put up 43 combined points on them. While Mississippi State's "O" is good, they will have a long day lining up against a very stout, K State front seven. The Wildcats are 6-2 ATS the last eight on the road, 15-5 ATS the last 20 as an underdog, and 4-0 ATS the last four overall.Take the Wildcats. Thank you. |
|||||||
09-11-19 | Reds -140 v. Mariners | 3-5 | Loss | -140 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
Take Cincinnati. This is my IL GOW. Game 979. 7:10 pm pst. In this matchup, I am not playing the team as much as I am playing the pitching matchup.Cincinnati's Sonny Gray possesses a respectable, 10-6 record. But, he also owns a 2.75 ERA with 181 K's in 157.1 IP. The Vanderbilt product has made the transition from an AL pitcher to an NL pitcher look rather smooth. So, he knows the American League teams and how to face them. By the way, he hasn't lost a start since July 17th. Seattle's Marco Gonzales has pitched well, donning a 14-11 record with a 4.37 ERA. But, has just 128 K's in 175.0 IP. The Mariners are 5-10 this season in Interleague play and 10-24 overall the last 34 vs. National League foes. Take the Reds. Thank you. |
|||||||
09-11-19 | Cardinals -143 v. Rockies | 1-2 | Loss | -143 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
Take St. Louis. This is my NL GOW. Game 957. 5:40 pm pst. The Colorado Rockies just might be the biggest disappointment this season. Just a season ago, they finished 1.0 GB of the Los Angeles Dodgers with a 91-72 record. Twelve months later, they dwell in the cellar of the NL West, 32.5 GB at 66-84. And talk about quitting...the Rockies are on a 4-17 run. The St. Louis Cardinals lead the NL Central by 4.0 games at 81-63. They, on the other hand, are playing their best baseball of the season, going 37-18 the last 55 games. Dakota Hudson takes the hill here. The RH owns a remarkable, 15-6 record with a 3.40 ERA. The teams 2016 first round pick shut out Colorado in his only start against them this season, going 6.0 IP to earn the victory. Antonio Senzatela takes the bump at home. The RH sports an 8-10 record with a whopping ERA of 7.19. The Venezuelan native has lost four consecutive turns including a start vs. the Cards in which he was plowed for six earned runs in 5.0 IP. The Cardinals are 5-3 the last eight games played on the road and 7-2 the last nine games played vs. the NL West. The Rockies are 1-6 the last seven games played at home and 2-10 the last 12 games played vs. the NL Central. St. Louis is 4-1 this season vs. Colorado with the average margin of victory coming by 4.75 RPG. Take the Cardinals. Thank you. |
|||||||
09-11-19 | Braves -124 v. Phillies | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
Take Atlanta. This is my NL EAST GOW. Game 951. 4:05 pm pst. Atlanta has a 9.5 lead in the NL East and owns the National League's second best overall record (90-56). The Braves are on-fire, winning 18 of the last 22 outings. Philadelphia is just 2.0 GB of a wild card spot and has played some very good baseball this season (75-69). Atlanta, which is the best road team in the NL at 43-28, is averaging over 5.28 RPG as a visitor. They have taken five of the last seven meetings with Philly. Dallas Keuchel gets the start here. The LH owns a 7-5 record with a 3.47 ERA, which includes a loss in his only start this season against Phillies, despite going 7.0 IP and allowing just two earned runs. Zach Eflin (8-11, 4.31 TY) takes the hill today. The RH faced the Braves twice this year, going 0-2 in a combined, 5 2/3 IP, surrendering 17 runs (12 ER's) on 14 hits and six BB's. Atlanta is 42-23 this season vs. the NL East. Take the Braves. Thank you. |
|||||||
09-09-19 | Texans v. Saints -6.5 | 28-30 | Loss | -110 | 92 h 31 m | Show | |
Take New Orleans. This is my MNF winner. Game 480. 4:10 pm pst. New Orleans got caught looking in Week 1, a season ago, as they lost, 48-40 to Tampa Bay. The Saints then went on to win 10 in a row SU, going 9-1 ATS. This is one of the most explosive, experienced, and well-coached teams in the NFL. They are only one of six teams touted to reach double-digit wins (10.5).Veteran gunslinger, Drew Brees will exploit a Texans "D" that is now without Jadevon Clowney (traded to Seahawks). HC, Sean Payton and DC, Dennis Allen will have the defense primed and ready to get to DeShaun Watson through an offensive line that yielded a whopping, 62 sacks last year. Houston is 3-7-1 ATS the last 11 games played on the road. Take New Orleans. Thank you. |
|||||||
09-08-19 | 49ers +1.5 v. Bucs | 31-17 | Win | 100 | 65 h 59 m | Show | |
Take San Francisco. This is my HR. Game 461. 1:25 pm pst. Bringing in Bruce Arians is not going to help the Buccaneers. The HC had a ton of talent at his disposal with the Cardinals and still went just 15-16-1 the last two seasons. This is a team that allowed an NFC-high, 29.0 PPG last year. They must now face a healthy, Jimmy Garoppolo, who has a slew of weapons in his arsenal. Defensively, the 49ers acquired defensive linemen, Dee Ford and Nick Bosa to assist sack-master, DeForest Buckner. Bucs quarterback, Jameis Winston would be smart to take out some extra life insurance this week. San Francisco is 6-2 ATS the last eight games played in Week 1 of the season. Take San Francisco. Thank you. |
|||||||
09-08-19 | Falcons v. Vikings -4 | 12-28 | Win | 100 | 62 h 50 m | Show | |
Take Minnesota. This is my BB. Game 454. 10:00 am pst. Minnesota is 3-0, both SU and ATS vs. Atlanta under Zimmer. They come off a very strong preseason campaign, and unlike the Falcons have no distractions. The fact that the Vikings are a playoff caliber team that did not make the postseason last year is going to motivate them this year. Minny, had one of the stingiest defenses in the league LY. Their offense, led by Kirk Cousins is going to shred an Atlanta "D" that ranked near the bottom of the barrel a season ago and still has serious issues in their secondary. By the way, Matt Ryan's passer rating plummets on the road. The Vikings are 4-1 ATS the last five games played in Week 1 and 36-16-1 ATS the last 53 games played at home. The falcons are 1-4 ATS the last five games played on the road and 2-6 ATS the last eight games played overall. Take Minnesota. Thank you. |
|||||||
09-08-19 | Ravens -6.5 v. Dolphins | 59-10 | Win | 100 | 62 h 44 m | Show | |
Take Baltimore. This is my AFC GOM. Game 459. 10:00 am pst. Miami is touted to be the worst team in the NFL at 500/1 to win the Super Bowl and win a league-low, 4.5 games. Baltimore had to replace a few key players from last year's #2 scoring defense and are expected to be just as tough. They have a solid ground attack that will steamroll one of the NFL's most porous rush defenses. The Ravens have covered eight straight meetings over the Dolphins, including five in a row in Miami. Take Baltimore. Thank you. |
|||||||
09-07-19 | Wyoming -7 v. Texas State | 23-14 | Win | 100 | 45 h 17 m | Show | |
Take Wyoming. This is my TD play. Game 353. 4:00 pm pst. There are times to judge a matchup from a previous performance. And, there are times you should not. This is the earlier of the two. Texas State was shellacked by Texas A&M, 41-7, while Wyoming upended Missouri, 37-31, as a 15-point underdog. Granted, the Bobcats faced a better team in the Aggies, however, only eked out eight yards rushing as they yielded over 232 yards on the ground. The Cowboys can run the ball and keep the Bobcats defense on the field and winded come the second half. Wyoming gets the bettors paid, going 7-1 ATS the last eight games played vs. Sun Belt opponents and 5-1 ATS the last six games played overall. Take Wyoming. Thank you. |
|||||||
09-07-19 | Central Florida -10.5 v. Florida Atlantic | Top | 48-14 | Win | 100 | 45 h 9 m | Show |
Take Central Florida. This is my TEN DIMES PLAY. Game 359. 4:00 pm pst.
Don't put too much stock in the fact that Florida Atlantic covered a 27-point spread against Ohio State last week. The Owls weren't getting the Buckeye's "A-game," especially after trailing, 28-0 at the end of the first quarter. Now they face the AAC 's strongest representative in Central Florida. The Knights are one of the deepest squads in the nation, offensively, and can put up points on any defense in college football. The 1-2 punch of quarterback, Brandon Wimbush and running back, Adrian Killins Jr. will completely decimate an Owls "D" notorious for being a doormat. Central Florida is 5-1 ATS the last six games played on the road, 6-1 ATS the last seven games played in the month of September, and 4-1 ATS the last five games played vs. the CUSA. Take Central Florida. Thank you. |
|||||||
09-07-19 | Charlotte v. Appalachian State -21.5 | 41-56 | Loss | -110 | 42 h 54 m | Show | |
Take Appalachian State. This is my CRUSHER play. Game 338. 12:30 pm pst. Not too much has changed for either of these teams since last September's matchup in which Appalachian State shredded Charlotte, 45-9. This contest puts together the Sun Belt's best team against the Conference USA's worst. The Mountaineers are loaded with talent on both sides of the ball and are 17-2 SU at home since 2016, with the average margin of victory coming by 27.2 PPG. They are 4-0 ATS the last four games played vs. the CUSA, 5-0 ATS the last five games played in the month of September, and 6-0 ATS the last six non-conference games played. The 49ers are 1-4 ATS the last five games played vs. teams with a winning record, 4-12 ATS the last 16 games played in the month of September, and 2-9 ATS the last 11 non-conference games. Take Appalachian State. Thank you. |
|||||||
09-07-19 | Syracuse +2 v. Maryland | 20-63 | Loss | -110 | 39 h 33 m | Show | |
Take Syracuse. This is my UOW. Game 317. 9:00 am pst. Don't put too much stock in Maryland's, 79-point drubbing of Howard in Week 1. They will have no such luck against a stellar, Syracuse defense that returns a pair of defensive ends that each had double-digit sacks last year and a veteran secondary. Sophomore quarterback, Tommy Devito was a bit flat in 'Cuse's, 24-0 blanking of Liberty. However, expect a big bounce back here, especially under head coach, Dino Barbers and a very capable roster of ball-carriers. The Orange is 10-3 ATS the last 13 games played on the road. Take Syracuse. Thank you. |
|||||||
09-06-19 | Yankees -122 v. Red Sox | 1-6 | Loss | -122 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
Take New York. Game 917. 4:10 pm pst. Anytime you can get the best team in baseball with their best starting pitcher on the mound at even money, you must take advantage of it. New York is a ML best, 92-49 and send baseball's wins leader, Domingo German to the mound. The RH is 17-3 with a 4.01 ERA on the season, including a 2-0 record in three starts against Boston. The Red Sox, which are 16.5 GB in the AL East and 6.5 GB for a wild card spot, give Jhoulys Chacin the nod. The RH is 3-10 with a 5.79 ERA on the campaign. The Yankees have taken five in a row against their division rivals en route to a 9-4 series mark in 2019. They are also 4-0 in German's last four starts vs. Boston. Boston is 1-4 the last five games played at home and 3-8 the last 11 games played vs. AL east foes. Take the Yankees. Thank you. |
|||||||
09-04-19 | Phillies -130 v. Reds | 5-8 | Loss | -130 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
Take Philadelphia. This is my NL GOW. Game 903. 3:40 pm pst. Philadelphia is looking to earn a wild card spot (2.5 GB) and need every win they can get right now. They face a Cincinnati team that lost their last two outings and six of the last seven overall. The Phillies give Aaron Nola the nod. The RH (12-4, 3.45 ERA TY) owns a career, 2-1, 2.86 mark in five starts vs. the Reds. The Reds send Trevor Bauer to the bump. The RH (10-12, 4.53 ERA TY) is on a four-start losing streak and sports a whopping, 8.40 ERA in six starts since being acquired from the Indians. Philadelphia is 4-1 the last five vs. Cincinnati, 16-5 the last 21 vs. the NL Central, 5-2 the last seven on the road, and 8-3 in Nola's last 11 road starts. Take the Phillies. Thank you. |
|||||||
09-02-19 | Twins -1.5 v. Tigers | 4-3 | Loss | -138 | 5 h 42 m | Show | |
Take Minnesota on the RUN LINE. This is my AL CENTRAL GOW. 10:10 am pst. The Al Central's best team goes on the road to take on the division's worst team here. Minnesota, which has won seven of the last eight, owns a 5.5 game lead in the Central. Detroit, which is 15-55 the last 70 games, dwells in the cellar, 43.0 GB. RH, Jake Odorizzi (14-6, 3.55 TY) is 2-0 in two starts vs. the Tigers this season, allowing one run and six hits in 13.0 IP against them. RH, Jordan Zimmerman is 1-9 with an ERA of 6.24 on the campaign. The Twins are 7-2 the last nine games played at the Tigers and 6-0 in Odorizzi's last six starts vs. the Tigers. They average a whopping, 6.30 RPG on the road while Detroit accounts for a mere, 3.40 RPG at home. Take Minnesota on the RUN LINE. Thank you. |
|||||||
08-31-19 | Georgia -21 v. Vanderbilt | 30-6 | Win | 100 | 31 h 3 m | Show | |
Take Georgia. This is my SEC EAST GOM. Game 201. 4:30 pm pst. I don't normally like laying wood like this in the early weeks of the season, but National title contender, Georgia (which shares the SEC with Alabama) must come out of the gate strong and keep their foot on the gas all season, hoping for 'Bama to slip up. This game will be won in the trenches, where the Bulldogs have an overwhelming edge. They have won and covered the last two years over the Commodores, by 28 and 31 points. Lat the points with Georgia. Thank you. |
|||||||
08-31-19 | Northwestern +6.5 v. Stanford | 7-17 | Loss | -108 | 28 h 33 m | Show | |
Take Northwestern. This is my NO LIMIT. Game 185. 1:00 pm pst. These two teams only met once in recent years as Northwestern, a 10-point underdog, bested Stanford, 16-6, back in September of 2015. Stanford is one of the least experienced squads in the nation, returning just nine starters to a team that ranked 123rd in rushing last year. The Cardinal does have a stud of a quarterback in K.J. Costello. However, the Wildcats, which have covered eight straight as a road underdog, have a talented running back in Isaiah Bowser (864 yards rushing in eight games last season) and most of a defense that only gave up points to some of the best offenses in the nation a season ago. I am not saying that Stanford is looking forward here, but with Southern Cal on deck (Northwestern has UNLV up next), they might be a bit distracted. Take the Wildcats. Thank you. |
|||||||
08-31-19 | Eastern Michigan -6 v. Coastal Carolina | 30-23 | Win | 100 | 27 h 13 m | Show | |
Take Eastern Michigan. This is my TD play. Game 179. 12:30 pm pst. The Eastern Michigan offense returns most of its key components. Coastal Carolina has a new HC, very little experience, no real starting QB, and lost their best defensive player to transfer. The Eagles are a solid team with a very good QB that beat the Boilermakers on the road and only lost by three at the Aztecs. They are 20-6-1 ATS the last 27 games played on the road, 16-5 ATS the last 21 non-conference games, and 25-11 ATS the last 36 games played overall. Take Eastern Michigan. Thank you. |
|||||||
08-31-19 | Toledo +12 v. Kentucky | 24-38 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 50 m | Show | |
Take Toledo. This is my SHOCKER play. Game 171. 9:00 am pst. Mark Stoops' Wildcats come off their best season in decades, but I don't see how this team can lay double-digits here. They rely solely upon throwing the ball after losing their top ball-carrier, Benny Snell Jr. to the NFL, and only return four defensive starters. This includes their entire secondary. This doesn't bode well as they face a Rockets team that has most of their offense back, including quarterback, Mitchell Guadagni (candidate for MAC Offensive Player of the Year). This is an explosive offense that put up over 50 points six times a season ago, while averaging over 40.3 PPG. take Toledo. Thank you. |
|||||||
08-30-19 | Mets v. Phillies -135 | 11-5 | Loss | -135 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
Take Philadelphia. this is my NL EAST GOW. 4:05 pm pst. Philadelphia is just 2.5 GB of a wild card spot and face a New York team that they have beaten seven of the last eight meetings. Aaron Nola takes the hill at home. The RH is 12-4 with a 3.53 ERA this season. New York gives Zack Wheeler the nod. The RH is 9-7 with a 4.46 mark on the campaign. The Phillies are 7-1 in Nola's last eight starts vs. the Mets and 6-0 the last six games played vs. teams with a winning record. New York is 1-5 the last six games played vs. the NL East and 0-6 the last six games played vs. teams with a winning record. Take Philadelphia. Thank you. |
|||||||
08-30-19 | Brewers v. Cubs -141 | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 6 h 52 m | Show | |
Take Chicago. This is my GS play. 11:20 am pst. The Cubs are surging, winning three straight and seven of the last 10. They give Jose Quintana the home start. The LH (11-8, 4.05 TY) owns a 7-1, 3.38 mark over his last 10 turns, and a career, 7-4, 2.82 record in 15 encounters with the Brewers. Milwaukee now sits in 3rd place in the division and gives Chase Anderson the start. The RH (6-3, 4.34 TY) is not as tough on the road this season, where he allows opponents to bat .287 against him with a 5.40 ERA. The Brewers are 0-4 the last four games played at the Cubs, 0-5 the last five games played overall vs. the Cubs, and 4-12 the last 16 games played vs. LH starters. Chicago is 8-3 the last 11 games played overall, 7-3 the last 10 games played vs. the NL Central, and 7-3 the last 10 games played vs. RH starters. Take the Cubs. Thank you. |
|||||||
08-29-19 | Dolphins +3.5 v. Saints | 16-13 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
Take Miami. This is my NFLX GOM. Game 125. 5:00 pm pst. Here we see just about the worst team in the NFL take on one of the best. The Dolphins have covered all 3 preseason outings, while the Saints are 1-1-1 ATS. The 3.5 here definitely prompts me to side with a Miami organization that needs to sell season tickets. TAKE 3.5 with the Fins. Thank you. |
|||||||
08-28-19 | Cardinals -126 v. Brewers | 1-4 | Loss | -126 | 4 h 5 m | Show | |
Take St. Louis. This is my NL CENTRAL GOW. Game 951. 11:10 am pst. St. Louis is red-hot, riding a six-game win streak, including Games 1 and 2 of this series. The Cardinals have decimated the Brewers, taking eight of the last nine meetings against their division rivals. Jack Flaherty (8-6, 3.32 TY) gets the road start. The RH is 4-0 is 4-0 with an ERA of 0.84 over his last eight turns. Jordan Lyles takes the hill at home. The RH (8-8, 4.69 TY) owns a 1-4, 5.35 mark in 11 career appearances (six starts) vs. St. Louis. The Brewers are 1-4 the last five games played vs. the NL Central, 1-5 the last six games played vs. teams with a winning record, and 1-4 the last five games played following a loss. The Cardinals are 5-0 the last five games played vs. RH starters, 4-1 the last five games played on the road, and 15-3 the last 18 games played overall. Take St. Louis. Thank you. |
|||||||
08-25-19 | Nationals -123 v. Cubs | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 35 m | Show | |
Take Washington. This is my NL GOW. Game 911. 11:20 am pst Washington has taken Games 1 and 2 of this series, by a combined score of 16-5. The Nationals, which own a wild card spot, are just 6.0 GB of the Braves in the NL East, going 40-19 the last 59 games. Today, they send Team Wins Leader, Stephen Strasburg to the mound. The RH (15-5, 3.65 ERA TY) is going for his career-high, 16th victory. The 31-year old needs nine K's to reach 200 for the third time and has a lifetime, 2.05 ERA in seven starts vs. the Cubs. Chicago gives Cole Hamels the nod. The LH (7-4, 3.73 ERA TY) is 0-1 with a 10.80 ERA in his first three starts since returning back to the rotation. Washington is 5-2 in Strasburg's last seven starts vs. Chicago, 4-0 the last four on the road, and 12-2 the last 14 vs. the NL Central. Chicago is 1-4 the last five following a loss, 1-5 the last six vs. teams with a winning record, and 0-5 the last five vs. the NL Central. Take the Nationals. Thank you. |
|||||||
08-24-19 | 49ers +3.5 v. Chiefs | 27-17 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
Take San Francisco. This is my TD play. Game 275. 5:00 pm pst. If this was the regular season, this game would have a very different line...even higher than 3.5 points. It's that extra .5 point that I really like here. San Francisco is 2-0, both SU and ATS this preseason while not touted to be any true threat in the NFC come the regular season. hey have good numbers coming from both their QB's and RB's. Kansas City, which is 1-1, both SU and ATS, but is expected to be a contender for the AFC title. They are not going to jeopardize any key players here more than they have to. take the 49ers plus the 3.5 points. Thank you. |
|||||||
08-23-19 | Bills -2 v. Lions | 24-20 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
Take Buffalo. This is my TD PLAY. Game 265. 5:00 pm pst. WOW, is Detroit just pathetic. The Lions are 0-2, both SU and ATS this preseason, while the Bills are 2-0, both SU and ATS. The Lions, guys, they do not possess a single able QB or RB. Even Detroit fans would have a difficult time naming the backfield starters. I know I didn't know them all. On the flip side, the Bills have three adequate QB's, and several solid RB's. Buffalo has a good front office and very loyal fans. They will come out here to impress both. TAKE THE BILLS -2.0. Thank you. |
|||||||
08-23-19 | Browns -3 v. Bucs | 12-13 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
Take Cleveland. This is my TV GAME WINNER. Game 263. 4:30 pm pst. The hype surrounding Cleveland is for real. This is a team that went from a league doormat to a league contender in just a few seasons. AND, they take preseason football very seriously, going 9-1, both SU and ATS the last 10 exhibition outings. Tampa Bay does possess several good QB's, but are without a true threat at RB. The Browns stay hot. LAY THE 3 WITH CLEVELAND here guys. Thank you. |
|||||||
08-22-19 | Packers v. Raiders +3 | 21-22 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
Take Oakland. This is my TV GAME WINNER. Game 260. 5:00 pm pst. There's a lot of pressure on Jon Gruden's Raiders to win. They are 2-0, both SU and ATS in exhibition play as QB, Mike Glennon has tallied 375 YP on a 71.8% CR, with two TD's. Green Bay is touted to be a force in the NFC. But, Aaron Rodgers has yet to take a snap and once again the Packers have no ground game whatsoever. Oakland is 5-1, both SU and ATS the last six NFL preseason outings. TAKE THE POINTS WITH THE RAIDERS AT HOME. Thank you. |
|||||||
08-22-19 | Giants +3 v. Bengals | 25-23 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
Take New York. This is my TD play. Game 251. 4:00 pm pst. New York is 2-0, both SU and ATS this preseason. They are stacked at the QB position and have a lot of pressure coming from the front office to win. Getting three points here is a gift. TAKE THE GIANTS. Thank you. |
|||||||
08-19-19 | Brewers v. Cardinals -117 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
Take St. Louis. This is my NL CENTRAL GOW. Game 906. 4:25 pm pst St. Louis is hot, winning seven of the last nine overall games and have taken four straight meetings over Milwaukee. They are 34-23 at Busch Stadium while the Brewers are just 28-34 on the road. Dakota Hudson (11-6, 3.82 ERA TY) is 5-2 over his last eight turns. The RH has allowed three ER's or less in 23 of his 25 starts in 2019. Zach Davies (8-5, 3.74 ERA TY) is making his first start since returning from the IL. The RH has just one win in his last 10 starts, with his last start, nearly three weeks ago on August 2nd, where he suffered his third straight loss. St. Louis is 4-0 the last four games played at home, 16-5 the last 21 games played vs. the NL Central, and 4-0 in Hudson's last four starts vs. the NL Central. Take the Cardinals. Thank you. |
|||||||
08-17-19 | Cowboys v. Rams UNDER 41 | 14-10 | Win | 100 | 79 h 51 m | Show | |
Take UNDER in the COWBOYS/RAMS matchup. This is my NFLX TOTALOF THE WEEK. Games 421/422. 4:00 pm pst. Neither squad showed too much offense as both lost in Week 1 action. There is no doubting that both teams are bound for the playoffs this upcoming season. But, please understand for teams like these two, the exhibition campaign is about not getting your biggest playmakers injured. I don't think you're going to see too much of either teams key players play more than a few series and offense will once again be lacking. TAKE UNDER. Thank you. |
|||||||
08-17-19 | Dodgers -147 v. Braves | 3-4 | Loss | -147 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
Take LA. This is my TR play. Game 909. 4:20 pm pst. LA is an astounding, 21-7 vs. the NL East in 2019, including winning all four meetings vs. Atlanta, outscoring the Braves by a combined, 31-10. LH, Hyun-Jin Ryu is 12-2 with a 1.45 ERA this season. RH, Mike Foltynewicz is 4-5 with a 6.24ERA. The Dodgers are 35-16 the last 51 overall meetings with the Braves, 9-3 the last 12 games played at Sun Trust Park, 4-1 in Ryu's last five starts vs. the Braves, 5-1 the last six games played on the road, 39-14 the last 53 games played vs. teams with a winning record, 53-21 the last 74 games played vs. RH starters, 40-16 the last 56 games played vs. the NL East, and 6-0 in Ryu's last six starts vs. the NL East. Take Los Angeles. Thank you. |
|||||||
08-17-19 | Brewers v. Nationals -125 | 15-14 | Loss | -125 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
Take Washington. This is my GS play. Game 908 4:05 pm pst. Washington is on-fire, riding a five-game winning streak while Milwaukee has dropped three of their last four. RH, Jordan Lyles (7-8, 4.71 ERA TY) owns a career, 0-2 record with a 5.55 ERA in 10 appearances (two starts) vs. the Nationals. RH, Anibal Sanchez (7-6, 3.75 ERA TY) is unbeaten in his last 14 trips to the hill, winning seven of those outings. Milwaukee is 27-33 SU on the road, averaging only 4.63 RPG compared to Washington's, 35-25 home record, where they account for 5.20 RPG. The Nationals are 6-0 the last six games played vs. the NL Central, 4-0 the last four games played at home, 36-17 the last 53 games played vs. RH starters, and 10-4 in Sanchez's last 14 overall starts. Take Washington. Thank you. |
|||||||
08-17-19 | Astros -131 v. A's | 4-8 | Loss | -131 | 3 h 10 m | Show | |
Take Houston. This is my AL WEST GOW. Game 919. 1:05 pm pst. Houston has dropped four straight, including Games 1 and 2 of this series, after winning 12 of their previous 14 outings. They own an 8.5 game lead over Oakland in the AL West. Today, Rogelio Armenteros gets the nod. The RH is making his second career start and fifth major-league appearance, donning an 1-0 record with an ERA of 1.93, fanning 15 batters with just four BB's, in 14.0 IP. The A's send Chris Bassitt to the hill. The RH is 8-5 with a 3.56 ERA, while losing to the Astros on July 24th. Houston is a solid bounce-back team that averages 5.48 RPG on the road. They are a completely dangerous squad, ranking in the top-five in both, every major offensive and pitching categories. They are 21-9 the last 30 games played at Oakland, 40-18 the last 58 overall games played vs. Oakland, and 41-14 the last 55 games played vs. the AL West. Take the Astros. Thank you. |
|||||||
08-17-19 | Browns +3 v. Colts | 21-18 | Win | 105 | 73 h 57 m | Show | |
Take Cleveland. This is my BB play. Game 417. 1:00 pm pst. Andrew Luck is scheduled to see action here. The news has moved the line (as of print) from Cleveland -1 to Indy -3. Indianapolis fell short to Buffalo last week, 24-16, while Cleveland blasted Washington, 30-10. Both coaches and both teams like to play hard in the preseason. However, there is so much hype surrounding the Browns that I feel the organization, the team, and their fans don't just want, but need to win here. Take Cleveland. Thank you. |
|||||||
08-16-19 | Bears +2.5 v. Giants | 13-32 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
Take Chicago. This is my TV GAME WINNER. Game 413. 4:30 pm pst. Chicago showed very little in a 23-13, Week 1 loss to Carolina. But no significant starters saw action. The Giants outlasted the Jets, 31-22 as the G-men did have some key players play. The Bears are a highly-touted team and do try in NFL exhibition games. A few more starters will see action here for Chicago. Giving the Bears points is a gift. I kinda' like them outright, but take the 2 with Chicago. |
|||||||
08-16-19 | Dolphins +3 v. Bucs | 14-16 | Win | 100 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
Take Miami. This is my FNL winner. Game 415. 4:30 pm pst. Sports fans, what can you say about the Dolphins? They are touted to be the worst team in the NFL this season at 500-1 to win the Super Bowl, while forecasted to win a League-low, 4.5 games. Certainly, gone are the days of Larry Czonka led teams of the 70's and the Dan Marino led teams of the 80's and 90's. However, cross-state rivals, Tampa Bay AIN'T that much better. Miami bested Atlanta in Week 1, 34-27, and Tampa Bay gave Pittsburgh a tough game in a 2-point loss at Heinz Field. But, with a line of 3 here, be smart and take the points. Take the Dolphins. Thank you. |
|||||||
08-16-19 | Bills v. Panthers -1 | 27-14 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 5 m | Show | |
Take Carolina. This is my LVSM. Game 412. 4:00 pm pst. Both squads looked good as both had wins in Week 1. There's a lot of pressure on Carolina to succeed, although both teams are slated to win just 7.5 games this upcoming season. However, looking at the last several exhibition campaigns, I must side with a Panthers team that is 6-3, both SU and ATS the L9 August contests. Lay under a FG here. Take Carolina. Thank you. |
|||||||
08-15-19 | Raiders +3.5 v. Cardinals | 33-26 | Win | 100 | 29 h 3 m | Show | |
Take Oakland. This is my TD play. Game 409. 5:00 pm pst. Both teams won in Week 1 against superior foes. Both also try in the preseason, as both went 3-1 SU and ATS a year ago. And, both are touted to finish last in their divisions. But, with a line (as or print) of 3.5 with some3's, I must be smart and take that edge with Jon Gruden here. Take the Raiders. Thank you. |
|||||||
08-15-19 | Jets v. Falcons -1.5 | 22-10 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 41 m | Show | |
Take Atlanta. This is my MONEY PLAY. Game 504. 4:30 pm pst. The Atlanta Falcons are already 0-2, and took a loss last week to the NFL's worst team, the Miami Dolphins. The New York Jets took a defeat at the hands of the other New York team, the Giants. Both teams are slated to improve from last year's teams, but I feel the Falcons need to get in sync here. Take Atlanta. Thank you |
|||||||
08-14-19 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Marlins | 9-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show | |
Take Los Angeles on the RUN LINE. This is my NL GOW. Game 957. 4:10 pm pst. Los Angeles has taken five in a row against Miami, including all four 2019 meetings. They average margin of victory over the last five meetings is 7.0 RPG. LH, Clayton Kershaw is 11-2 with a 2.77 ERA TY. RH, Elieser is 2-4 with a 4.94 ERA TY. The Dodgers average 5.61 RPG on the road while the Marlins account for just 3.84 RPG at home. Los Angeles is 38-15 the last 53 games played vs. the NL East and 89-29 in Kershaw's last 118 overall starts. Miami is 0-5 the last five games played during Game 2 of a series and 2-9 the last 11 games played overall. Take the Dodgers on the RUN LINE. Thank you. |
|||||||
08-14-19 | Red Sox v. Indians -1.5 | 5-1 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 29 m | Show | |
Take Cleveland on the RUN LINE. This is my BEST BET play. Game 966. 10:10 am pst. Don't look now, but the Cleveland Indians are just a .5 GB the Minnesota Twins for the AL Central's top spot at 72-48. The Indians are red-hot, as they own a 38-15 record the last 53 games played overall. They host a Boston Red Sox team that has cooled down, dropping 12 of the last 16 outings. The Bosox are 17.5 GB for in the AL East and 8.5 GB for a WC spot. The Cleveland offense has come alive. But when you own the Major League's 3rd ranked pitching staff, with a Team ERA of 3.69 this time of year, you pile on the "W's". What worried Boston fans in the opening months of the season, has now become an issue again. The Red Sox pitching has been a nightmare, ranking 22nd, with a Team ERA of 4.81. With David Price on the 10-day injured list, it looks to be Brian Johnson on the hill. The LH owns a 1-1 record with an ERA of 7.32. "BJ" has been activated once again and has not won a game in his four starts this season, not making it past 5.0 IP. Shane Bieber gets the nod at home. The RH has a 12-4 record with a 3.28 ERA in 2019, fanning 193 hitters in 156.1 IP. The sophomore pitcher has shown incredible control, walking just 32 batters and won his only start vs. the Red Sox this season. Boston is 6-14 the last 20 games played at Cleveland, 1-6 the last seven games played on the road, 2-7 the last nine games played vs. RH starters, and 1-9 the last 10 games played vs. teams with a winning record. Cleveland is 6-2 the last eight games played at home and 23-8 the last 31 games played vs. LH starters. Take Cleveland on the RUN LINE. Thank you. |
|||||||
08-13-19 | Orioles v. Yankees -1.5 | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
Take New York on the RUN LINE. This is my AL EAST GOW. Game 912. 4:05 pm pst. New York has taken 14 in a row this season over Baltimore, with an average margin of victory coming by 4.35 RPG. RH, Domingo German (15-2, 4.05 TY) is 3-0 with a 2.50 ERA vs. the Orioles this season. LH, John Means (8-7, 3.36 TY) is 1-3 with a 7.11 ERA in four starts since the All Star break. Baltimore is 14-39 the last 53 games played vs. New York, 42-112 the last 154 games played on the road, and 1-6 in Means' last seven road starts. New York is 45-14 the last 59 games played vs. the AL East, 40-11 the last 51 games played at home, and 12-0 in German's last 12 starts vs. the AL East. take New York on the RUN LINE. Thank you. |
|||||||
08-12-19 | Red Sox v. Indians +106 | 5-6 | Win | 106 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
Take Cleveland. This is my BEST BET. Game 962. 4:10 pm pst. Cleveland is red-hot, with a record of 36-15 the last 51 games. Boston is ice-cold, dropping 11 of the last 14 outings. LH, Eduardo Rodriguez is 13-5 with a 4.17 ERA on the season. RH, Zach Plesac (6-3, 3.13 TY) is unbeaten in his last six turns (3-0). The Indians took two of three meetings with the Red Sox this season. Cleveland is 5-1 the last six games played at home, 22-7 the last 29 games played vs. LH starters, and 16-5 the last 21 games played following a loss. Boston is 5-13 the last 18 games played at Cleveland, 0-5 the last five games played on the road, and 0-8 the last eight games played vs. teams with a winning record. Take the Indians. Thank you. |
|||||||
08-10-19 | Bengals +3.5 v. Chiefs | 17-38 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
Take Cincinnati. This is my LVSM. Game 277. 5:00 pm pst. The Kansas City Chiefs, along with the New England Patriots, are the favorites to not just take the AFC Championship at 3/1, but both are also the overall fav's to win the Super Bowl at 6/1. They are only one of seven teams touted to win double-digit games this season (10.5). They come off a 12-win campaign last year, losing to the Patriots in the AFC Title game, in OT. Cincinnati comes off a six-win season last year (slated to win six this year), is picked to finish last in the AFC North, is 50/1 to win the AFC and 100/1 in Super Bowl odds. The team and their fans don't expect too much this upcoming season. So coming out here and starting the campaign with a big showing will boost their confidence and give their loyal fans something to be excited about. They were 3-1 both SU and ATS in last year's exhibition play. The Chiefs will not put any of their playmakers at risk here, especially in Week 1 of the preseason and hurt any chances of returning to the AFC Championship and a possible Super Bowl appearance. Take the Bengals. Thank you. |
|||||||
08-09-19 | Bucs v. Steelers -2.5 | 28-30 | Loss | -109 | 54 h 49 m | Show | |
Take Pittsburgh. This is my GOW. Game 274. 4:30 pm pst. There is a lot of pride within the Pittsburgh Steelers team and their fans. Despite the fact that they certainly aren't the team we got so accustomed to seeing over recent years, Pittsburgh is 9/1 to win the AFC championship. Big Ben is getting old and let's face it, he is injury prone. But yet, they are still a very tough team. Tampa Bay is picked to finish last in the NFC South this season and have to start their campaign here, facing a Pittsburgh team that went 6-2, both SU and ATS the last two exhibition season's in Heinz Field. TAKE THE STEELERS. Thank you. |
|||||||
08-09-19 | Astros -1.5 v. Orioles | 3-2 | Loss | -150 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
Take Houston on the RUN LINE. This is my AL GOW. Game 917. 4:05 pm pst. Houston has won six in a row and nine of their last 10 outings to give the team a 10 game lead in the AL West. Their lineup, which ranks in the top-five in every major category, has taken it up a notch, averaging 9.0 RPG during their current winning streak. The Astros have taken two of three meetings against the Orioles this season, and 22 of the last 27 overall meetings, including an 8-2 record the last 10 matchups at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Baltimore is on a three game skid and have dropped seven of their last 10, dwelling in the AL East cellar, 37.0 GB. Their 30th ranked pitching staff has gotten crushed, allowing five or more runs in nine of those last 10 contests, for a total of 74 runs. LH, Wade Miley (10-4, 3.05 ERA TY) has been outstanding, yielding three or less runs in each of his last seven turns. RH, Dylan Bundy (5-11, 5.15 ERA TY) lost in his only start vs. the Astros, back on June 9th (against Miley no less) and has been tagged for 24 HR's thus far. This doesn't bode well as he faces a Houston offense ranking 3rd in round-trippers, with 192 HR's. Baltimore is 18-44 the last 62 games played at home, 15-42 the last 57 games played vs. the AL West, and 7-20 in Bundy's last 27 starts at home. Houston is 13-3 the last 16 game played vs. RH starters, 21-5 the last 26 games played following an off day, and 4-0 in Miley's last four starts on the road. Take the Astros on the RUN LINE. Thank you. |