Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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08-17-22 | Diamondbacks v. Giants -1.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 10 m | Show | |
San Francisco Giants on the run line. Home Run Play. Game 914. 6:45 PM PST/9:45 PM EST. San Francisco is just 4.5-games back of a Wildcard spot. They have taken games 1 and 2 of this series by a combined score of 8-2. They have had their way with Arizona, taking 37 of the last 53 overall meetings. And take it up a notch when playing their division rival at Oracle Park, taking 21 of the last 26 meetings at home. Overall, the Giants are starting to heat-up, winning five in a row and eight of their last 10 contests. Not only has the offense been exploding, but their pitching staff has been absolutely outstanding. Today Zach Davies and Carlos Rodon are scheduled. Davies it’s just 2-4 with a 4.11 on the campaign. And when the right-hander takes it on the road, things get worse, as he is 1-3 with a 5.00 ERA this season away from home. He has been getting shelled resulting in the team losing seven of his last nine turns. On the other hand, Rodon has some very respectable numbers. The left-hander is 11-6 with a 2.95 ERA overall on the season. Over his last three outings, he is 3-0 with a 1.47 ERA. And when at home in 2022, he has been lights-out, sporting a 6-1 record with an anemic 1.89 ERA. The team has won his last three starts, which are all wins for the pitcher as well. San Francisco is 10-1 the last 11 versus teams with a losing record, 4-0 the last four versus right-handed starters, and 5-0 the last five at home. Take the Giants on the run line. Thank you. |
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08-15-22 | Phillies -1.5 v. Reds | 4-3 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
Philadelphia Phillies on the run line. Grand Slam Play. Game 901. 3:40 PM PST/6:40 PM EST. Dropping their last two games, while both the Mets and the Braves are winning, the Phillies have now dropped to 11.5-games back in the division. But they still own a Wildcard spot in the NL. This team needs to get back on track and pile up some victories. What better team to face in to do that than their Reds. Cincinnati is one of the poorest home teams in the National League, sporting a 25-34 record this season at Great American Ball Park. They dropped five of their last six coming into today’s series opener. Their offense is struggling to say the least. Prior to Sunday’s victory, their lineup accounted for two runs or less in five consecutive contests. All this while they’re pitching staff has gotten shelled, allowing five runs or more in seven of the last nine outings. While Noah Syndergaard has had serious problems on the road this season, he’s had enormous success against the Reds in his career, going 5-0 with a 2.11 ERA in six starts against them. The right-handers record will certainly improve as he will get more run support with the Phillies than when he was with the Angels. Mike Minor, who is 1-9 with a 6.24 ERA on the campaign, is horrible. His home record in 2022 is 0-6 with a 6.25 ERA. And overall, the team has lost his last nine appearances. And 11 of his 12 total appearances this season. The Phillies are 4-0 the last four versus the NL Central, 4-0 the last four versus left-handed starters, 4-1 the last five following a loss, 9-3 the last 12 on the road, and 13-4 the last 17 overall. Take Philadelphia on the run line. Thank you. |
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08-11-22 | Giants v. Patriots +2.5 | 23-21 | Win | 105 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
New England Patriots. Thursday Night Winner. Game 106. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. This season, the New England Patriots are expected to win just 8.5-games. Well sports fans, I cannot remember the last time they were touted to win so few contests. Their opponent today, the New York Giants, are expected to win just seven outings this season. Let’s be honest, no one expects too much from the team again this year. They are predicted to finish dead-last in the very competitive, NFC East. Meanwhile, the Patriots are thought to finish second behind the Bills in the AFC East. Those numbers just don’t add up to me to be honest with you, my friends. This is a team steeped in tradition with a lot of success the last 20+ years. They are currently 50-1 to win the Super Bowl. That’s just not gonna’ sit well with their loyal fans. They must come out and get their fans excited for the upcoming campaign with a big win in their first performance this season. Not only that but they’re a little deeper at some key positions than the Giants. They have a couple of good backup quarterbacks, a couple of solid running backs, and a slew of very talented receivers. Well, New York has a couple of quarterbacks and running backs you may know. Several of their second and fourth string players at those positions are either out or questionable here today. One more item I’d like you to keep in mind. The last three preseasons, New England is 9-2 straight up and 8-3 against the spread. I expect them to come out and make a statement here today and get their loyal fans as well as their roster excited. Take New England. Thank you. |
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08-10-22 | Rangers v. Astros -1.5 | 8-4 | Loss | -135 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
Houston Astros on the run line. Grand Slam Play. Game 972. 5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST. The Houston Astros, like so many other opponents, have dominated the Texas Rangers again this season. They took Game 1 of this series yesterday by a score of 7-5. That victory gave them three straight in this rivalry, eight of the list 10 this season, and 39 of the last overall 54 meetings. The American League West’s top-team now owns an 11.5-game lead in the division. Meanwhile, things aren’t looking too good for Texas. Despite being in third-place in the West, they are 13-games under .500, 22-games back in the division, and 10-games back for a Wildcard spot. Their offense is erratic at best. And their pitching staff has been downright deplorable. This does not bode very well as they face a lineup today that has been heating up recently. Not only does Ranger starter, Glenn Otto allow a lot of runs on a lot of hits, but the team has lost his last eight starts. On the other hand, that is not the case with Astros ace, Justin Verlander. The team has won his last seven turns and 16 of his 20 overall starts in 2022. The seasoned veteran has been stellar. During those last seven outings, he is allowed a total of four earned runs in 50.2 innings pitched. Texas is 1-6 the last seven during game 2 of series, 2-7 the last nine versus right-handed starters, 2-6 the last eight on grass, and 4-11 the last 15 versus the American League West. Take Houston on the runline. Thank you. |
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08-09-22 | Reds v. Mets -1.5 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
New York Mets on the run line. Grand Slam Play. Game 904. 4:10 PM PST/7:10 PM EST. New York has won four in a row and eight their last 10 to give the first-place team a seven-game cushion in the NL East. They took Game 1 of this series yesterday by a score of 5-1 to give the Mets their third win in four meetings with the Reds in 2022. Speaking of Cincinnati, they are just dreadful. They are currently 16-games back, tied for third-place with the Cubs in the NL Central with an overall record of 44-64. They happen to be one of the poorest road teams in baseball, sporting a 20-32 mark away from home. This is a team which possesses a lineup that has been erratic at best and currently the 29th-ranked pitching staff. They send Mike Minor to the mound today. The left-hander is 1-8 with a 6.19 ERA on the campaign as as a team has lost his last eight appearances. Carlos Carrasco takes the hill at home. The right-hander is 12-4 with a 3.82 ERA on the campaign. And has been outstanding at CitiField, donning a 7-1 record with a 3.41 ERA at home this season. By the way, the team has won his last six turns. In those six turns he has allowed three or less runs in each. The Reds are 6-15 the last 21 at the Mets, 1-5 the last six on the road versus right-handed starters, and 16-35 the last 51 during Game 2 of a series. The Mets are 5-1 the last six versus the NL Central, 13-3 the last 16 following a win, and 40-19 the last 59 at home. Possessing top-five rankings both on the mound and at the plate, look for New York to win another game here. Take the Mets on the run line. Thank you. |
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08-06-22 | Nationals v. Phillies -1.5 | 5-11 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
Philadelphia Phillies on the run line. Home Run Play. Game 956. 3:05 PM PST/6:05 PM EST. Currently, the Philadelphia Phillies own a Wildcard spot for the National League postseason. But at nine-games back in the NL East, they certainly want to better their situation in the division. And what better team to face than the Washington Nationals. The Nationals possess the Majors worst overall record at 36-72. Not only that, but as of this morning, they are 32-games back in the NL East and 23-games back of a Wildcard slot. They have lost three in a row, which includes both Games 1 and 2 of this series by a combined score of 12-6. Philly has taken three straight and eight of the last 10 over Washington this season alone. Going back a bit, they are 22-8 the last 30 overall meetings in this NL rivalry. Both on the mound and at the plate, the Nationals are significantly outclassed. Their pitching staff ranks 30th with a Team ERA of 5.20. And their offense ranks 27th in scoring, averaging just 3.81 runs per game. This does not bode well as Philadelphia ranks in the top-10 in both of those areas. Today Patrick Corbin and Ranger Suarez are set to take the hill. Corbin is 4-15 with a 6.57 ERA this season Suarez is 7-5 with a 3.60 ERA. Corbin has gotten shelled for four or more runs in five straight turns. As a matter of fact, the team has lost his last eight starts. Suarez has not allowed a run in his last three outings. While the team has won five of his last six turns. The Nationals are just 3-9 the last 12 on the road, 16-41 won the last 57 versus left-handed starters, and 15-37 the last 52 overall. Philadelphia is 37-17 the last 54 on grass, 9-2 the last 11 versus the NL East, and 8-1 the last nine overall. Take the Phillies on the runline. Thank you. |
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08-02-22 | Brewers -1.5 v. Pirates | 3-5 | Loss | -140 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
Milwaukee Brewers on the run line. Home Run Play. Game 957. 4:05 PM PST/7:05 PM EST. Milwaukee made the news yesterday by trading away Josh Hader. However, they got Taylor Rogers in return. This tells me they’re going to do everything they can to make a real push in the second half of the season and extend their lead in the NL Central. They are currently leading the second-place St. Louis Cardinals by three-games in the division. Today is a very good situation for the Brewers. Just about everybody in the National League has dominated the Pittsburgh Pirates. But they have really had their way with them. They are 7-2 the last nine meetings in Pittsburgh. And 42-17 the last 59 overall meetings. The Pirates are starting to spiral. This is a theme riding a seven-game losing streak as they are being outscored by an average of two runs per game during the slide. Corbin Burnes is scheduled to face Bryse Wilson. Burnes is 8-4 with a 2.31 ERA on the campaign. He seems to be getting stronger this year. Over his last eight starts, he is 5-0 with a 2.08 ERA. And over his career, he is a perfect 6-0 with a 2.63 ERA in 18 games, which includes six starts against the Pirates. On the other hand, Wilson has really struggled this season, going 1-6 with a 6.31 ERA. In five lifetime appearances, which includes four starts against the Brewers, he is 1-2 with a 4.30 ERA. Milwaukee is 12-5 the last 17 following a loss, 5-0 the last five following an off day, and 6-1 the last seven versus right-handed starters. Take the Brewers on the run line. Thank you. |
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08-01-22 | Mets -1.5 v. Nationals | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
New York Mets on the run line. Grand Slam Play. Game 903. 4:05 PM PST/7:05 PM EST. The New York Mets are the hottest team in baseball winning six in a row. They own one of the best overall records in the Majors. And heading into Game 1 of this series facing a team they have dominated. Not just that but they get to go up against the team that possesses the worst overall record in baseball. New York owns a three-game lead in the NL East with an overall record of 64-37. Washington dwells in the division cellar, 30-games back at 35-68. The Mets have taken eight of the last 10 meetings against the Nationals this season alone. And going back a bit, they have taken 16 of the last 21 matchups. New York’s pitching has been good for several seasons. The problem they have had in the past, is that their hitting was very inconsistent. Well, that’s not the case this season. They currently ranked fifth in baseball offensively, averaging over 4.7 runs per game. They also have a Team Batting Average of .256, which also ranks them at fifth. Both on the mound and on the plate, Washington is significantly outclassed here. They rank 27th in scoring, accounting for a dismal, 3.82 runs per game. And they rank dead-last in the Big Leagues with a team ERA of 5.14. Max Scherzer and Patrick Corbin are schedule today. Scherzer is 6-2 with a 2.09 ERA on the campaign. And owns a career record of 2-0 against the Nationals. Corbin is 4-14 with a 6.49 ERA this season. The team has lost all five of his starts in July, in which the pitcher got losses in four of those starts. He also owns a lifetime record of 5-9 with a 4.51 ERA against New York. The Nationals statistics and trends are just horrible. They are 22-58 the last 80 at home, 17-64 the last 81 versus division opponents, and 17-37 the last 54 overall. My friends, they are being outscored by nearly 1.5 runs per game as it is. And facing a New York team that is starting to truly surge is going to make things go from bad to worse for them. Take the Mets on the run like. Thank you. |
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07-25-22 | Nationals v. Dodgers -1.5 | 4-1 | Loss | -144 | 13 h 28 m | Show | |
Los Angeles Dodgers on the run line. Home Run Play. Game 962. 7:10 PM PST/10:10 PM EST. Winning eight in a row, the Dodgers now possess the best record in baseball at 64-30. They come off a sweep of division rival Giants and enter Game 1 of this series with another team they have dominated, the Nationals. They have taken nine of the last 10 meetings against the NL East’s last place squad. Only one of those nine victories have come by a single run. As a matter of fact, Los Angeles has outscored Washington 58-21 in those last 10 matchups. Reliever turned starter; Paolo Espino takes the mound on the road today. The right-hander has not earned a victory as a starter as the team has lost six of his seven appearances made as a starter. On the other hand, the Dodgers have won nine consecutive starts made by Tony Gonsolin, who happens to be 11-0 on the campaign. Not only that but he owns an anemic 2.02 overall ERA. He gets even tougher at home where he is 7-0 with a 1.12 ERA. Los Angeles accounts for nearly one and a half runs more while they’re pitching staff yields more than two runs less. They are also 53-15 the last 68 at home, 43-17 the last 60 versus right-handed starters, and 44-18 the last 62 overall. Take the Dodgers on the run line. Thank you. |
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07-16-22 | Braves -1.5 v. Nationals | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 37 m | Show | |
Atlanta Braves on the run line. Home Run Play. Game 957. 1:05 PM PST/4:05 PM EST. The Atlanta Braves are hot on the trail of the New York Mets in the NL East. Winners of 13 of the last 18 outings, Atlanta is just two-games back in the competitive division. With All-Star break just around the corner, they want to close that gap. There is no better opponent for them to face to achieve that goal than Washington. The Nationals possess the worst overall record in baseball at 30-62. The team has dropped 12 of their last 13 contests, finding new and improved ways to lose. The Nats offense, or lack thereof, ranks 27th in baseball in scoring, averaging a mere 3.85 runs per game. That would be bad enough. But their pitching staff ranks 29th, with the Team ERA of 5.14. As a matter of fact, in most offensive and pitching categories, they rank at or near the bottom in the Majors. The Atlanta has dominated Washington once again this season, taking nine of the 11 meetings between them and outscoring them 79-40. Max Fried takes mound on the road today. The left-hander owns a 9-3 record with a 2.56 ERA on the campaign as the team has won his last nine starts. Paolo Espino, who is making his 27th appearance, is only making his seventh start of the season. The right-hander has an 0-2 record with a 3.42 ERA. The team has lost his last three starts. Overall, this is a team that has dropped 20 of his 26 appearances in 2022, which does include six of his last seven. Atlanta is 15-4 the last 19 on the road, 37-16 the last 53 versus the NL East, and 38-16 the last 54 overall. The Braves account for approximately a run more per game while their pitching staff yields almost two runs less per game here. Take Atlanta on the run line. Thank you. |
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07-15-22 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Angels | 9-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
Los Angeles Dodgers on the run line. Grand Slam Play. Game 929. 6:35 PM PST/9:35 PM EST. The Los Angeles Dodgers have already dominated their division. And in all sincerity, the National League. Today, they get an opportunity to also dominate the city of Los Angeles. This is a team that does very good in Interleague play, going 41-18 the last 59 in those contests. They are also very successful in playing the American League West, sporting a 30-12 record of the last 42 games against the division. Things aren’t looking too good for the Los Angeles Angels. They currently sit in fourth place in their division, 20-games back, dropping 10 of their last 12 contests. They lost both meetings against the Dodgers this season. And going back a bit further, they are on an 0-4 slide against their cross-town rivals. Clayton Kershaw and Patrick Sandoval are scheduled today. Despite missing five weeks of action due to a lower back issue, Kershaw is 6-2 with a 2.40 ERA on the campaign. Over his career he has had enormous success against the Angels, going 8-2 with a 2.31 ERA in 14 starts. Sandoval, despite an ERA of just 2.95 is only 3-4 on the season. Over his career, he has not done too well against the Dodgers, sporting a 0-2 record with a 4.76 ERA in four games, which includes three starts. And by the way, the team has lost six of his last seven appearances. Overall, the Dodgers account for more than a run more per game and allow just about a run less per game. Take Los Angeles Dodgers on the run line. Thank you. |
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07-15-22 | A's v. Astros -1.5 | 5-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
Houston Astros on the run line. Home Run Play. Game 926. 5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST. With the midway point of the regular season coming near, the Houston Astros have shown no signs of slowing down. They own are tied for second best overall record in all of baseball at 58-30. And currently have an 11-game lead in the American League West. They have had their way with this division, going 23-8 the last 31 versus AL west opponents. Today in Game 1 of this series, they face the divisions last place, Oakland Athletics. They have taken seven of the last eight meetings in this rivalry, which includes a 5-1 mark in 2022. Cole Irvin and Jake Odorizzi are scheduled starters today. Irvin, who is 3-7 with a 3.32 ERA this season has gotten decimated by the Astros in his career. In six lifetime starts against them, he owns a 0-4 record with a 5.57 ERA, which includes 0-1 mark this season alone. Odorizzi is 4-2 with a 3.38 ERA on the campaign. And over his last four starts, he seems to be getting even stronger, possessing a 4-0 mark with a 1.87 ERA. In their five victories over the A’s this season, the Astros have outscored them by a combined, 27-10. Today’s matchup won’t be any different. They are 47-19 the last 66 during Game 1 of a series, 44-20 the last 64 at home, and 5-1 the last six versus left-handed starters. The Athletics are 2-8 the last 10 on the road, 0-5 the last five following an off day, and 15-38 the last 53 versus teams with a winning record. Take Houston on the run line. Thank you. |
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07-10-22 | Cubs v. Dodgers -1.5 | 9-11 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
Los Angeles Dodgers on the run line. Home Run play. Game 960. 1:10 PM PST/4:10 PM EST. Los Angeles has had their way with most opponents this season. But when it comes to Chicago, they have absolutely dominated. They have taken all six meetings with the Cubs in 2022. And going back a bit further, the Dodgers have taken nine consecutive matchups in this National League rivalry. LA is rolling, riding a five-game win streak, winning nine of their last 10 overall outings. Meanwhile Chicago is slumping, dropping three straight and five of the last seven. Both on the mound and at the plate, the Cubs are significantly outclassed here. When you match up a team that averages over five runs per game with a team that allows over five runs per game, bad things are going to happen. Drew Smyly will be making his first start in nearly six weeks. In six career appearances, which includes four starts against the Dodgers, the left-hander is 0-2 with a 4.22 ERA. Julio Urias takes the mound at home. He sports a 2.57 ERA on the campaign. And in his career, in five appearances, which includes three starts against the Cubs, he is 1-1 with a 3.38 ERA. The Cubs are 5-13 the last 18 on the road, 7-21 the last 28 versus the NL West, and 6-14 the last 20 following a loss. Take the Dodgers on the run line. Thank you. |
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07-08-22 | Rays -1.5 v. Reds | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay Rays on the run line. Grand Slam play. Game 979. 3:40 pm pst. Tampa Bay owns sole possession of second place in the American League East by just a half-game. My friends, second-place in the toughest and most competitive division in all of baseball is big. With All-Star break just around the corner the Rays want, and more importantly need every victory they can earn right now. And playing the lowly Reds is perfect. Cincinnati owns the worst record in all the National League. They rank 21st in scoring and dead-last in the Majors in Team ERA. Speaking of pitching, Luis Castillo takes the mound at home here. There are rumors that he is a target with the trade deadline approaching. He comes off two solid performances. However, if you want to talk about solid performances, look no further than Tampa Bay starter, Shane McClanahan. He leads the American League in ERA, opponents average, and WHIP. Not to mention he is tied for the league-lead in strikeouts. He has allowed two or less runs in 11 consecutive turns. Meanwhile the team has won nine of his last 11 starts. The Tampa Bay bats have started to heat up. Just over the five victories in the last six outings their lineup has accounted for over 39 runs. This spells doom for Cincinnati. The Rays are 5-1 the last six games on the road, 8-2 the last 10 versus the NL Central, and 5-0 less five versus right-handed starters. Take Tampa Bay on the run line. Thank you. |
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07-07-22 | Cubs v. Dodgers -1.5 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
Los Angeles Dodgers on the run line. Home Run play. Game 916. 7:10 pm pst. Guys, I’m going to be very honest here. If I was a Chicago Cubs fan, or a season-ticket holder, I would ask for my money back. This team is playing with no heart or emotion whatsoever. Not only that, but it really feels like they’ve already thrown in the towel on the season. They may be sitting currently in third place in the NL Central, but they might as will be sitting on Mars. Let’s face it, the Cubs, Pirates, and the Reds really have no chance in this division, let alone at the playoffs. The NL Central is a two-horse race between the Brewers and the Cardinals. But that doesn’t mean they should stop trying. Having said that, the Cubs have lost all three meetings with the Dodgers this season. And going back a bit further, six consecutive matchups. Just this season alone, they’ve been outscored by Los Angeles, 20-3. But this is just indicative of their season. The only thing worse than their erratic lineup has been their deplorable pitching. Today Mark Leiter Jr. gets the start. Come on guys, this guy was out of the Big Leagues since 2018. That’s how desperate this team has been to put some new and fresh blood on the field. He is currently the owner of a 2-2 record with a 4.85 ERA. Speaking of pitching, Tony Gonsolin takes the hill at home. He is a perfect, 10-0 on the season with a 1.54 ERA. In his 15 appearances in 2022, the right-hander has not allowed more than two earned runs in a single outing. So, both on the mound and at the plate Chicago is significantly outclassed her. Let’s face it guys, the Dodgers own the No. 2 scoring offense and the No. 2 pitching staff in the Majors. As I said, the Cubs are outclassed. There are also 4-10 the last 14 on the road and 0-4 the last four versus the NL West. Take the Dodgers on the run line. Thank you |
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07-06-22 | Royals v. Astros -1.5 | 7-4 | Loss | -130 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
Houston Astros on the run line. Crusher play. Game 974. 5:10 pm pst. If any other team in baseball where on the eight-game win streak, we would certainly say they were running red-hot. However, it seems that the Houston Astros have been running hot all seasoned long. They own the Majors second best overall record at 53-27. Not to mention that they have a 13.5-game lead in the American League West. On the other hand, the Kansas City Royals are once again struggling, to say the least. They possess one of the worst records in all of baseball and dwell in the American League Central division at 29-50, a whopping 15.5-games back. Houston has taken four of the five meetings over Kansas City this season. Going back a bit the Royals are 0-4 the last four matchups at the Astros and an overall 1-6 the last seven match ups. Brad Keller and Christian Javier are starting pitchers today. Keller, is 3-9 with a 4.24 ERA. Javier, who is 6-3 with a 2.58 ERA on the campaign has never faced Kansas City as a starter (two relief appearances). The Royals are significantly outclassed in this matchup, both on the mound and at the plate. Take the Astros on the run line. Thank you. |
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07-05-22 | Royals v. Astros -1.5 | 7-9 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
Houston Astros on the run line. MLB Crusher play. Game 920. 5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST. As we approach the All-Star break, the Houston Astros aren’t taking their foot off the gas. They have won seven in a row and nine of their last 10 contests. The team is perched atop the American League West with a record of 52-27, and a 13.5-game cushion in the division. They took Game 1 of this series yesterday 7-6, giving them three victories in the four matchups with the Kansas City Royals in 2022. Scheduled starters are Zack Greinke and Luis Garcia. The Royals right-hander is 2-4 with a 4.38 ERA on the campaign. In all sincerity, the 38-year-old is not the pitcher he once was. And now he must face an Astros lineup that is striding. Just over their current seven-game win streak, they have outscored opponents 41-12. Garcia has won his last three starts, owning a 6-5 record with a 3.54 ERA this season. Kansas City has trouble facing the right-handers going 16-35 the last 51 against them. To make matters worse they are dominated by AL West representatives going to 37-83 the last 120 versus the division. Houston is 42-19 the last 61 at home and 41-16 the last 57 overall. Both on the mound and at the plate, the Astros are far superior. Their lineup accounts for more than half a run per game, while their pitching staff allows just about two runs less per game. Take Houston on the run line. Thank you. |
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07-04-22 | Royals v. Astros -1.5 | 6-7 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
Houston Astros on the run line. Best Bet play. Game 970. 1:10 pm pst. The Astros show no sign of taking their foot off the gas, winning six in a row and eight of their last nine contests. Behind the No. 1 pitching staff in baseball, the team is surging. In those eight victories over the last nine games, the staff has allowed just seven runs. Jake Odorizzi returns, coming off the injured list to make his first appearance since mid-May. The right-hander is 3-2 with a 3.13 ERA on the campaign. Prior to the layoff, he went 3-0 with a 0.79 ERA over his last four turns. This is an ideal spot to make his return facing a Royals lineup that ranks 27th in scoring, averaging just 3.84 runs per game. Jonathan Heasley takes the hill today for Kansas City. The rookie right-hander is 1-4 with a 5.20 ERA on the season, going winless over his past three starts. Houston has taken two of three meetings over Kansas City in 2022. And going back a bit, four of the last five matchups. They are 41-19 the last 60 at home, 20-6 the last 26 versus right-handed starters, and 44-19 the last 63 during Game 1 of a series. Take the Astros on the run line. Thank you. |
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07-03-22 | Angels v. Astros -1.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 12 m | Show | |
Houston Astros on the runline. Best Bet play. Game 920. 11:10 am pst. The Astros are in an ideal spot to further widen their lead and the AL West. They currently have a 12.5-game cushion in the division and enter Game 3 of this series with confidence. Houston has taken the first two games over the Angels by combined score of 17-2. The Astros have dominated the Angels once again this season taking six of the nine meetings with their division rival. Los Angeles is having problems, both at the plate and on the mound. Their lineup is in a severe slump while the pitching staff is getting crushed. Houston is red-hot, riding a 13-3 hot streak, with a combination of a surging lineup and a stellar pitching staff. They have dominated their division, taking 18 of the last 24 meetings against AL West rivals. They take it to another level at Minute Maid Park, winning 40 of the last 59 contests at home. This does not bode well for Los Angeles as they are 4-14 the last 18 games played on the road. Take the Astros on the runline. Thank you. |
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07-01-22 | Padres v. Dodgers -1.5 | 1-5 | Win | 120 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
Los Angeles Dodgers on the run line. NL West Game of the Week. Game 912. 7:10 pm pst. Following a quick stint in second place in the NL West, the Dodgers have reclaimed the top-spot in the division, winning seven of their last 10 games to give them a 2.5 game lead over the Padres. Playing San Diego is ideal for Los Angeles to further widen their cushion in the division. They won Game 1 of this series yesterday 3-1. They have taken three or four meetings with the Padres this season. And going back a bit, nine of the last 10 overall matchups. Blake Snell is winless in 2022, going 0-5 with a 5.60 ERA. The team has lost all seven of his starts this season. On the other hand, Tony Gonsolin, who is 9-0 with a 1.58 ERA, has not allowed more than two earned runs in any of his 14 appearances this season. Los Angeles owns the top scoring lineup in baseball, averaging over 5.05 runs per game. This does not bode well for a San Diego squad which have managed to score over five runs just three times in the last 13 outings. San Diego is 1-5 the last six on the road, 1-4 the last five on grass, and 0-4 the last four versus right-handed starters. Take Los Angeles on the run line. Thank you. |
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07-01-22 | A's v. Mariners -1.5 | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
Seattle Mariners on the run line. Best Bet play. Game 924. 7:10 pm pst. One game separates three teams in the AL West from possessing sole possession of second place in the division. And right now, the Seattle Mariners are the hottest of those teams. They have won three in a row and eight of the last 10 outings. This includes a Game 1 victory yesterday over Oakland, 8–6. That defeat was the A’s fourth in a row. The Mariners have taken five of seven meetings with their division rival this season, outscoring them by 19 runs in those five victories. James Kaprielian and Marco Gonzales are scheduled here today. Kaprielian is 0-5 with a 5.88 ERA while Gonzales is 4-8 with a 3.31 ERA. In seven career appearances against Seattle, Kaprelian has a whopping ERA of 6.26 as Gonzales, in 17 appearances versus Seattle has an ERA of just 3.94. Gonzales is already 2-0 versus Oakland this season while Kaprielian is 0-1 in two starts against the Mariners. The Athletics are 2-8 the last 10 meetings at the Mariners and 6-20 the last 26 overall meetings. To make matters worse they have lost four straight on the road and 20 of the last 26 versus division opponents. Take Seattle on the run line. Thank you. |
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06-30-22 | A's v. Mariners -1.5 | 6-8 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show | |
Seattle Mariners on the run line. Run Line Game of the Month. Game 966. 7:10 pm pst. Not only does Oakland possess the worst record in the American League, they also possess the worst record in all of baseball. They dwell in the AL West cellar, 23.5 games back at 25-52. Their numbers don’t improve at all in this situation either. They have dropped 11 of the last 15 on the road, 22 of their last 29 versus division opponents, and 43 of their last 58 overall. While Seattle is just five-games under .500, please understand that a mere 1.5 games separate three teams in this division. A small win streak now and a little help can leapfrog this team into second place in the West. And playing Oakland is just what they need to achieve their goal. They have taken three straight and eight of the last 10 overall in this rivalry. As a matter of fact, they are 7-2 the last nine meetings in Seattle and 21-7 the last 28 overall meetings. Adrian Martinez and Logan Gilbert are scheduled starters here. Martinez is making just his second career start while Gilbert is 8-3 with a 2.44 ERA on the season. And has faced the Athletics four times in his career. The Mariners are 5-1 the last six versus the American League West, 7-2 the last nine versus right-handed starters, and 7-2 the last nine overall. Take Seattle on the run line. Thank you. |
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06-28-22 | A's v. Yankees -1.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
New York Yankees on the run line. Home Run play. Game 966. 4:05 pm pst. There are several things contributing to New York’s success this season. For starters, they’re coming back to win ball games. This is something they haven’t done in recent seasons. Last night’s victory over Oakland in Game 1 of this series was their 23rd comeback win this season alone. Something else that is contributing to the teams Major League best record is their pitching staff. Granted, their lineup is ranked No. 1 in scoring, OPS, and home runs. But unlike recent seasons, this season they’re pitching staff ranks second overall, with a Team ERA of 2.97. It’s not just their starters that are playing well. Their relievers are playing just well too. They should have no problem continuing their winning ways here today. The Yankees have dominated the Athletics, taking five of the last six meetings in New York. And seven of the last 10 meetings overall. The A’s currently possess the worst record in all of baseball at 25-50. Today they send Frankie Montas to the hill. The right-hander has notched just one win since mid-April. That’s right. Over his last 12 starts, he is 1-6, while the team is just 1-11 in those 12 starts. For New York, JP Sears will make his fourth appearance and second start of the campaign. Recalled from AAA Scranton/Wilkes-Barre, the left-hander Has looked good in his three appearances. I don’t think he’ll be threatened too much against the league’s 29th-ranked offense. To be honest with you, not only does Oakland rank 29th in scoring and home runs, they also rank 30th in both Team BA and OPS. If he does get in a little trouble, I have full faith in the Yankees bullpen to keep the Athletics lineup in toe. Oakland is 1-9 the last 10 versus the AL East, 5-16 the last 21 versus left-handed starters, and 7-19 the last 26 following a loss. Take New York on the run line. Thank you. |
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06-23-22 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Reds | 10-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 34 m | Show | |
Los Angeles Dodgers on the run line. Early Game Winner. Game 905. 9:35 pm pst. With both Los Angeles and San Diego winning on Wednesday, these two NL West rivals continue to share the top-spot in the division. With just a few weeks remaining in the first half of the regular season, the Dodgers know all too well that they need every win they can get right now. And playing the Reds is just ideal for them to reach their goal. They have taken all six meetings with Cincinnati in 2022 and going back a little bit further eight consecutive matchups, which does include four straight at Great American Ball Park. Just in this series, Los Angeles has outscored Cincinnati 16-6 in Games 1 and 2. Today they send Clayton Kershaw to the mound. The left-hander owns a 4-1 record with a 2.08 ERA on the campaign. To be quite honest the team has lost three of his last four turns. However, he has not allowed more than two earned runs in five consecutive starts. In 13 career starts against the Reds, Kershaw is 5-2 with a 2.30 ERA. For Cincinnati, Hunter Greene takes the bump. The right-hander is 3-7 with a whopping ERA of 5.26 on the season. And has had three poor outings in his last five starts. The team has lost 10 of his last 12 turns. The Reds own the worst record in the NL, at 23-45, losing six in a row. Cincinnati is struggling both at the plate and on the mound. They rank 18th in scoring and 30th in Team ERA. That just isn’t going to cut it in a matchup with a team that ranks second in baseball in both of those categories. The Reds are 0-7 the last seven at home, 15-39 the last 54 versus the NL West, and 16-40 the last 56 following a loss. Take the Dodgers on the run line. Thank you. |
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06-16-22 | Warriors +4 v. Celtics | 103-90 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
Golden State Warriors. Game 527. 6:00 pm pst. Taking Game 4 and 5, the Golden State Warriors seem to come up with a recipe for success in this series. They certainly don’t want to force a Game 7. I know that a lot of people out there are looking at the Boston Celtics to get a big win here to force that final game. However, something compelling struck me looking at the statistics from the last few games. Despite the fact that Golden State shot extremely poorly from beyond the arc and was significantly out rebounded in both matchups, and they still won both. This tells me that is their playoff experience will come through here again tonight. There’s no way that Steph Curry, who by the way broke his streak of 132 consecutive playoff games with a 3-pointer made will not come out and light it up from downtown. Yes, Boston has the muscle. And they certainly have several outstanding players. But their lack of playoff experience will certainly hurt them here not to mention that momentum is against them. The Warriors are 7-3 against the spread the last 10 games as an underdog and 8-3 against the spread the last 11 games overall. Take Golden State. Thank you. |
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06-16-22 | Phillies -1.5 v. Nationals | 10-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
Philadelphia Phillies on the runline. Best Bet play. Game 953. 4:05 PM PST. With All-Star break just around the corner, the Philadelphia Phillies have heated up. They know all too well that going into the break streaking will definitely give them momentum come the second half of the season. The only problem is the Atlanta Braves, which are currently in second place in the NL East, have won 14 in a row. Philadelphia has won eight of the last 10 games. Mainly due to their exploding lineup. They come into this series opener with confidence, knowing that although this is the first meeting with Washington this season, they have won eight straight against their division rival. The Nationals own the worst record in the National League. Zach Wheeler takes the mound on the road. The right-hander is 4-0 in his last five starts as a team has won five of his last six overall turns. Despite winning his last two outings, Patrick Corbin has been giving up a lot of runs. There is no comparing these two starters. Wheeler has an ERA of 2.84 on the campaign, while Corbin owns a whopping 6.65 ERA. The Phillies are 10-1 the last 11 meetings at the Nationals, 4-0 the last four during Game 1 of a series, and 9-2 the last 11 as a favorite. Take Philadelphia on the run line. Thank you. |
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06-13-22 | Celtics +4 v. Warriors | 94-104 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
Boston Celtics. High Roller play. Game 525. 6:00 PM PST. The winner of each game of this series has won and covered all four contests. Now going into Game 5, these two teams are clearly evenly matched. I strongly feel this matchup will be the closest and toughest fought of the series. Not wanting to fall three games to two, Boston will come out here and utilize their strengths. They are 8-1 against the spread the last nine games played on two days rest, 13-3 against the spread the last 16 games played following a straight up loss, and 18-7-2 against the spread the last 27 games played as an underdog. The Celtics will come in here and out play the Warriors physically, both on defense and in the paint. Take Boston. Thank you. |
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06-10-22 | Warriors +4 v. Celtics | 107-97 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
Golden State Warriors. Game 523. 6:00 PM PST. Whether you are a fan of the Western Conference or the Eastern conference, you must admit that this is a very evenly matched series. Two explosive offenses and two frustrating defenses. However, looking at this Game 4 matchup, I just don’t see Golden State giving this series up without a fight. They know very well that if they drop tonight’s game, it is going to be near impossible to then win three straight. I look for their third ranked defense to frustrate Boston’s top scorers, Tatum and Brown. I also look for Steph Curry to do what he does and take this game on his shoulders and soar. The Warriors are 4-0 against the spread the last four games following a straight up loss, 4-1 against the spread the last five games on one days rest, 7-3 against the spread the last 10 games as an underdog, and 6-2 against the spread the last eight games overall. Take Golden State. Thank you. |
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06-09-22 | Yankees -1.5 v. Twins | 10-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
New York Yankees on the run line. Best Bet play. Game 913. 4:40 PM PST. Not only did the best team in baseball take a loss yesterday, but one of the most dangerous lineups in the Majors were held to just a single run. That’s right, after winning seven in a row, the New York Yankees took an embarrassing 8-1 loss to the Minnesota Twins in Game 2 of this series. That isn’t going to sit well with this team and they will bounce back here today. Gerrit Cole takes the mound. The right hander is 5-1 with a 2.78 ERA on this season. He owns a career record of 3-0 with a 0.95 ERA in three starts against the Twins. And the team has won eight of his 11 turns in 2022. Opposing him will be Dylan Bundy. He is 3-3 with a 5.57 ERA this season, which does include a 0-3 mark with an 8.44 ERA over his past six starts. In 15 career appearances against the Yankees, which includes 12 starts, he is 2-6 with a 6.42 ERA. New York is 18-6 the last 24 following a loss, 45-15 the last 60 versus the AL Central, and 14-6 the last 20 on the road. Minnesota is 0-6 to last six following a win, 1-5 the last six as a home underdog, and 2-5 the last seven overall. Take the Yankees on the run line. Thank you. |
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06-08-22 | Warriors +3.5 v. Celtics | 100-116 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 30 m | Show | |
Golden State Warriors. Las Vegas Strip Move Game of the Year. Game 521. 6:00 pm pst/ 9:00 pm est. +3.5 Consensus. Wednesday June 8, 2022. Following an embarrassing Game 1 loss at home, Golden State took Game 2 of the Finals with authority. Not only did they light up a very good Boston defense for 107 points, but their defense held the Celtics to their lowest output this postseason, just 88 points. I understand that many out there subscribe to the zigzag theory come the NBA postseason. First of all, I don’t subscribe wholeheartedly to any theories or angles when it comes to sports betting. Once I look at a game from every angle, if there is a specific theory that confirms my initial feel, then I will put some stock into it. But by no means do I put stock in any one theory as an absolute. Having said that, the Warriors evened the series and now take it on the road to the TD Garden. Granted, Boston has not lost back-to-back games this entire postseason. But they haven’t faced Golden State either. While they certainly belong here, many out there are underestimating the well-balanced, well-coached Warriors squad. This is a team that possesses one of the most frustrating defenses in all of basketball. Not only that, but offensively they can score both inside and out. And unlike several of the Celtics other opponents during this playoffs season, they don’t just have a big man to shut down. The Warriors have a slew of talent. Of course, Steph Curry is the key cog in the wheel. However, Draymond Green stepped up big time in Game 2. And you can bet you’re going to see a lot more of what he did there here in Game 3. To go back to the Warriors defense, they held Brown to just 17 points on Sunday. Tatum did get his points, but the pair were surely out of sync. Other than that, Boston’s leading scorer was White with just 12 points. Every other Celtic had six-points or less. Golden State forced a lot of turnovers and that’s what they do folks. They slowed down and disrupted Boston’s flow in transition. And that’s where the Celtics have had much of their success. You can look for more of the same here. Now that the series is even, trust me when I tell you the Warriors want this win so bad to take a lead in the Finals, they can taste it. I get the number here. But making them an underdog is a gift by the oddsmakers. They are 7-3 against the spread the last 10 games played in the underdog role and 6-2 against spread the last eight games played overall. Take Golden State. Thank you. |
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06-05-22 | Celtics v. Warriors -4 | Top | 88-107 | Win | 100 | 33 h 43 m | Show |
Golden State Warriors. NBA Finals Game of the Year. Game 520. 5:00 pm pst. My friends, make no mistake of it, Boston dominated Game 1. They came in with a game plan, executed it, and took a very crucial road victory. Well, Golden State desperately needs to win Game 2. Not only to even up to series, but to establish their presence in this matchup. This isn’t the “due-for” factor or the “zig zag” theory. This is logic. The Warriors have not lost back-to-back games this postseason. As a matter fact they have not dropped two games in a row in over two months. In the series opener, Golden State only shot 44% overall from the floor, 42% from beyond the arc, and only went to the free-throw line 15 times, making 11 out of 15 free throws. They also allowed Boston to put up 120 points. That has only happened twice this entire postseason. And they faced some very good offenses. You can expect both teams to be basically at full force in this match up. Anyone that can suit up and play, will suit up and play. Having said that, look for the Warriors to make their shots on offense, play a little more physically, go to the line and make their free throws, and do what they do defensively. And that is to frustrate opponents’ offenses. There is no way Steve Kerr, Steph Curry and company will drop a second game at home and go down two games to zero in the series. They are also 5-1 against the spread the last six games played following a straight up loss, 4-1 against the spread the last five games played at the Chase Center, and 5-2 against the spread the last seven games played overall. Take the Warriors. Thank you.
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06-04-22 | Tigers v. Yankees -1.5 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 3 h 25 m | Show | |
New York Yankees on the run line. Best Bet play. Game 968. 10:05 am pst. New York has won four row and eight of their last 10 resulting in the best overall record in baseball. My friends, they are not winning by accident. They own a top-five offense and the second-ranked pitching staff in all of baseball. They have taken three or four meetings this season with Detroit. Mind you each of those three victories have come by no less than two runs. As a matter of fact, overall, they average almost 2 runs more a game than the Tigers and allow a full run less a game. They took Game 1 of this series yesterday hammering Detroit 13-0. Facing Luis Severino, who is 3-1 with a 3.38 ERA on the season, is going to be impossible here. The RH owns a 3-1 record with a 2.52 ERA at 6 career starts against the Tigers. And comes off one of his poorest performances as far back as I can remember. He will bounce back here, make an example of the lackluster Detroit lineup, while the Yankees powerful batters do the rest. The Tigers or 0-4 the last for meetings in New York. Take New York on the run line. Thank you. |
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06-03-22 | Twins v. Blue Jays -1.5 | 9-3 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
Toronto Blue Jays on the runline. Home Run play. Game 920. 4:05 pm pst. I’ve said it before, and I’ll say it again. Sports betting has a lot to do with streaks. And in no sport does this ring truer than in baseball. The Toronto Blue Jays have won eight in a row with a combination of an exploding lineup and solid pitching. During their current win streak, they are outscoring opponents by an average of three runs per game. Today they send Yusei Kikuchi to the hill. The left-hander is 2-1 with a 3.48 ERA on the campaign. And over his career in three starts, he is 1-0 with a 2.12 ERA against the Twins. While Minny is still holding a small lead in the American League Central division, they are certainly sputtering. They have dropped three in a row and seven of their last 10 contests. And they’re starting to have trouble when they travel going just 1-4 the last five on the road. Today they send Chi-Chi Gonzalez to the hill to make his Major League season debut. He hasn’t pitched at this level in quite a while. In 61 Major League appearances, which includes 47 starts, he is 9-24 with a 5.64 ERA. Minnesota is 1-6 the last seven as an underdog while Toronto is 5-0 the last five as a favorite. Take the Blue Jays on the runline. Thank you. |
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06-02-22 | Celtics v. Warriors -3.5 | Top | 120-108 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 32 m | Show |
Golden State Warriors. NBA Finals Game 1 Winner. Game 518. 6:00 pm pst. There is no question both of these teams belong here. But there are certainly more than a few advantages on the side of the Warriors. First of all, they’re playing at home where they sport a 39-10 SU record this season. They have also covered four straight at the Chase Center. Next, they had a few extra days to rest, heal, and prepare for the Championship series. And lastly, which I feel is the most important, this is a whole different monster of an opponent than the Celtics have faced in the playoffs. In the first several rounds, Boston had to deal with very good opponents. But each of the opponents have one main player they had to contain. That is not the case here. Golden State is chock-full of talent. And they can beat you both inside and out. Not only that, but an enormous amount of the Celtics success comes in transition. They are excellent in transition. However, they will not have that same opportunity here in this match up with the Warriors. Golden State owns one of the nastiest, most frustrating, and well-disciplined defenses in the NBA. They can swarm you man-to-man, they can play zone, they are excellent on the boards, they can steal the ball, they can create turnovers, and they can force a lot of mistakes. There is one more major factor here in the first game of the NBA finals that significantly benefits the Warriors. Their players have a lot more postseason experience. They don’t rattle very easily in big game situations. Obviously, the Celtics have played well. They got to the Finals. But they certainly have some cracks and the Warriors can and will exploit those cracks. Boston is 2-5-1 against the spread the last eight games following a straight up win. Golden State is 5-1 against the spread the last six games overall. Take the Warriors. Thank you. |
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06-01-22 | Astros -1.5 v. A's | 5-4 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
Houston Astros on the runline. Triple Play. Game 917. 12:37 pm pst. Houston has certainly begun to separate themselves from the rest of the American League West. They have won three in a row to give themselves a five-game cushion in the division. The team is doing it behind a steadily improving offense and some great pitching. On the other hand, Oakland just keeps sinking further and further into the abyss, dropping seven of their last 10 to drop them into the division cellar, 13 GB. Justin Verlander is 6-2 with a 2.03 ERA on the campaign. And in 24 lifetime starts against the A’s, he owns a 14-7 record with a 2.90 ERA. Cole Irvin is 2-2 with a 3.15 ERA on the season. The team has lost his last three starts and over his career is 0-3 with a 7.40 ERA in four turns against the Astros. The Oakland pitching is bad enough, but their hitting has been absolutely deplorable ranking 29th, and averaging a mere 3.37 runs for game. Houston has taken four consecutive meetings in this rivalry and 10 of the last 14 overall meetings at RingCentral Coliseum. They are also 12-3 the last 15 vs. the American League West, 24-7 the last 31 on grass, and 21-7 the last 28 overall. Take the Astros on the run line. Thank you. |
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05-28-22 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Diamondbacks | 3-2 | Loss | -112 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
Los Angeles Dodgers on the run line. NL WEST GOM. Game 909. 4:45 pm pst. Los Angeles is clearly the best team in the National League with a record of 31-14. They are just as good on the road as they are at home. And when they play within their division, they are crushing opponents. The Dodgers own a 36-15 record the last 51 games vs. NL West foes. They have dominated Arizona taking six in a row and seven of nine overall meetings this season. Going back a bit further they’ve won 14 of the last 19 meetings at Chase Field and 41 of the last 55 overall meetings. Tony Gonsolin is 4-0 with a 1.62 ERA this season. Merrill Kelly is 3-2 or 3.49 ERA this season. The big difference is the Dodgers have won three of Gonsolin’s last four starts while the Diamondbacks have lost three consecutive starts Kelly has made. Look for Los Angeles to continue their domination of Arizona and win big here. Take the Dodgers on the run line. Thank you. |
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05-25-22 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Nationals | 0-1 | Loss | -125 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
Los Angeles Dodgers on the run line. High Roller play. Game 955. 1:05 pm pst. With yesterday‘s 9-4 victory, the Dodgers have now taken eight consecutive meetings with the Nationals. José Urias has done well when facing the Washington lineup, with a 2-0 record and a 2.66 ERA with 17 strikeouts, and only four walks in five career appearances (four starts) in 23 2/3 innings pitched against them. When hosting this season, Washington is absolutely horrible, possessing the worst home record in all of baseball, dropping 17 of 22 at Nationals Park this season. Both on the mound and at the plate, the Nats are significantly outclassed here. Look for things to get worse for the team. They are 8-23 the last 31 meetings with Los Angeles at home, 3-9 is the last 12 vs. the NL West, 6-20 the last 26 home games vs. LH starters, and 11-43 the last 54 games as a home underdog. Take the Dodgers on the run line. Thank you. |
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05-24-22 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Nationals | 9-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
Los Angeles Dodgers on the run line. Home Run play. Game 905. 4:05 pm pst. Los Angeles took Game 1 of this series yesterday routing Washington, 10-1. That victory gave the Dodgers their eighth consecutive win over the Nationals. Overall, they have won eight of their last nine outings while the Nationals have dropped 12 of their last 17. Playing at home is a nightmare for Washington, as they possess the worst home record in all of baseball going a dismal 5-16 at Nationals Park this season. Things are going to get worse for them here today as they face a Los Angeles team that ranks number one overall both at the plate and on the mound. Take the Dodgers on the run line. Thank you. |
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05-22-22 | Warriors +3 v. Mavs | Top | 109-100 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
Golden State Warriors. Slam Dunk Game of the Year. Game 563. 6 pm pst. Taking Game 1 and 2 of this series at home, the odds makers are looking to beat you here. But we aren’t going to fall for the trap as the Warriors have won and covered three straight in the postseason. Their frustrating defense along with their very deep, talented, and experienced bench and crafty team, is just too strong in the series for Dallas to handle. Giving them points here is a huge mistake. Take the Warriors. Thank you. |
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05-20-22 | Mavs v. Warriors -6 | 117-126 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
Golden State Warriors. Game 648. 6:00 pm pst. The Dallas Mavericks are a very good team. However, they lose a little something when they travel. And let’s be honest, the Golden State Warriors defense is absolutely outstanding. Andrew Wiggins handcuffed Luka Doncic in Game 1 as good or better than we’ve seen anybody defend the forward this season, holding him just 20 points and seven rebounds in the series opener. The Mavericks have trouble when they travel. Not just straight up, but against the spread as well as they are 1-4 ATS their last five games played on the road. On the other hand, the Warriors have really turned it up the ladder half of the season and in the playoffs. They have won all seven postseason games played at home in 2022, going 5-2 against the spread. Overall, this team is 8-2 ATS the last 10 games played at the Chase Center. Dallas will make some adjustments at the start of this game but so will Golden State. The Warriors are just going to be kryptonite for the Mavericks in this series. Particularly here at home where they know they need to take another victory before Game 3 on the road. Take Golden State. Thank you. |
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05-19-22 | Celtics +3.5 v. Heat | 127-102 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
Boston Celtics. Game 543. 5:30 pm pst. Both teams were missing some key players in the Game 1 match up. However quite a few things went wrong for Boston. This is a team that owns the NBA’s number one scoring defense, and yet they allowed the most points this postseason in Tuesday’s match up. While Al Horford is listed as doubtful here, Marcus Smart, they’re defensive key, is listed as probable. That will be big for Boston here. The Celtics cannot afford to go down two games in this series. Look for NBA Defensive Player of the Year, Smart (check status) to return here and make an impact right away, thus allowing the Celtics to succeed in transition and allow superstars Tatum and Brown to shine. Boston is 4-0 against the spread the last four games played following a straight up loss, 7-1-1 against the spread the last nine games played as underdog, and 19-7-1 against the spread the last 27 games played on the road. Take the Celtics. Thank you. |
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05-18-22 | Mavs +5 v. Warriors | Top | 87-112 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
Dallas Mavericks. Western Conference Finals Game of the Year. Game 539. 6 PM PST/9 PM EST. I’m not looking to take away anything from the Golden State Warriors series win over the Memphis Grizzlies. But their opponent was without superstar Ja Morant for a few contests. The Dallas Mavericks got better as the series with the Phoenix Suns progressed. Their offense was on-fire while their defense really stepped up to hold the Suns powerful “O” intact the last several games. The Warriors are an excellent team and certainly deserve to be here. However, the Mavericks own a frustrating defense overall and particularly from beyond the arc where Golden State excels. Looking at the health of both teams, Dallas is quite a bit healthier as they’re only listed injured player is Hardaway Jr. On the other hand, the Warriors have several guys, significant cogs in the wheel, that will be missing here or at the very least, banged-up. This was evident recently where they struggled to cover the spread. They are just 3-5 their last eight games against the spread these playoffs. They haven’t exactly been blowing away opponents. On the other hand, The Mavericks covered four of their last five coming into the Western Conference Finals. And this season have had their way in this Conference rivalry winning and covering three or four meetings with Golden State. Going back a bit, they are 6-1 against the spread the last seven meetings in Golden State and 7-3 the last 10 overall meetings with Golden State. The Warriors are 0-5 against the spread the last five games played following a straight up wind. This is way too many points to give the very scrappy, Dallas team. Take the Mavericks. Thank you. |
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05-17-22 | Celtics +2 v. Heat | 107-118 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
Boston Celtics. Game 535. 5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST. Well, it is without question that both of these teams deserve to be here. However, looking at the postseason you can’t argue the fact that the Celtics have beaten better opposition. Very quietly, Boston owns the number one ranked defense in all of the NBA. The Celtics are chock full of two-way players. While both teams have a few question marks and maybe a player out, I do believe the Heat is going to severely miss Kyle Lowry in tonight‘s matchup. Boston took two of three meetings this season with Miami, both straight up and against the spread and are an overall 13-6 against the spread the last 19 meetings in Miami. They also happen to be one of the best teams in the NBA when traveling, going 19-6-1 against the spread the last 26 games played on the road. Take the Celtics. Thank you. |
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05-17-22 | Yankees -1.5 v. Orioles | 5-4 | Loss | -130 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
New York Yankees on the run line. Grand Slam winner. Game 971. 4:05 PM PST/7:05 PM EST. New York continues to win no matter the opponent. They took Game 1 of this series yesterday, 6-2 to now take four consecutive meetings with their division rival and overall five of the seven matchups this season. With a combination of an explosive lineup ranking third in scoring and first in home runs, and the number one ranked pitching staff in all of the Majors, the Yankees are just piling up victories. Meanwhile, Baltimore just keeps thinking further and further into the abyss. They are currently 12 1/2 games back of New York in the American League East dropping four straight games. James Taillon (3-1, 2.93 ERA) has won his last two starts while the team has won his last five starts. This includes two turns against the Orioles. Spenser Watkins (0-1, 5.19 ERA) comes off his worst outing of the campaign, yielding seven runs on eight hits and lasting just 3.2 innings less than a week ago. The Orioles ranked 29th in scoring as well as being in the bottom third of just about every offensive category. When you average a mere 3.22 runs per game, you just can’t compete with a team like the Yankees. New York is 26-9 the last 35 meetings in Baltimore, 9-0 the last 11 on the road, and 8-1 the last nine versus the American League East. Take the Yankees on the runline. Thank you. |
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05-16-22 | Yankees -1.5 v. Orioles | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
New York Yankees on the runline. Grand Slam play. Game 915. 4:05 PM PST/7:05 PM EST. New York is off to one of their best starts in franchise history. They sit atop the American League East with a 4 1/2 game cushion at 25-9. They send Luis Severino to the hill. The right-hander, who is 2-0 with a 4.08 ERA on the season, has dominated Baltimore in 11 games (nine starts) throughout his career. He is 6-1 with a 3.59 ERA with 58 strikeouts and only 15 walks in 57 2/3 innings pitched against them. The Yankees have taken four of six meetings with their division rival this season and overall have taken 25 of the last 34 in Camden Yards. The O’s rank 29th offensively, averaging just 3.26 runs per game. They just cannot compete with the mighty Bronx Bombers lineup averaging nearly 5 runs per game. Take New York on the runline. Thank you. |
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05-13-22 | Celtics +1.5 v. Bucks | 108-95 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
Boston Celtics. Game 515. 4:30 pm pst. A team with their back to the wall is a very dangerous team. Facing elimination tonight, the Boston Celtics and their league-leading defense will keep their postseason hopes alive with a big outright win here. If Boston goes with a bigger lineup, they can match Milwaukee down low. If they go to smaller lineup, they will do what they’ve done to every other opponent this season, and that is to frustrate them. They have a smart head coach who will rotate his players when needed. Please remember that the Celtics are 5-0-1 against the the spread the last six meetings at the Bucks and an overall 9-2-1 against the spread the last 12 overall meetings versus the Bucks. Moreover, this is a team that is excellent on the road going 18-7-1 against the spread last 26 games played away from home, 8-2 against the spread the last 10 games played following a straight up loss, and 15-5-2 against the spread the last 22 games played as an underdog. Take a Celtics plus the points. Thank you. |
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05-11-22 | Warriors -4 v. Grizzlies | 95-134 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
Golden State Warriors. Game 509. 6:30 PM PST. Just about everyone in the world thought Golden State would have it an easy time of it in the Game 4 meeting with Memphis minus Ja Morant. Despite the Grizzlies going 20-5 straight up minus their star guard during the regular season, in all sincerity most of those games were against sub .500 teams. And yet we’re back to the fact that the Warriors should’ve had a picnic on Monday. Believe it or not even experience veterans like Steph Curry and company could enter a match up overconfident. That’s exactly what happened in the 101-98 win and no cover in the last contest. With that in mind and the opportunity to close the series out, you can be sure Golden State will do just that. They won’t take Memphis lightly tonight and they will close out to series. Take the Warriors. Thank you. |
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05-10-22 | 76ers v. Heat -3 | 85-120 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
Heat. Game 502. 4:30 PM PST. The home team has won and covered all four games in this series. As a matter of fact, going back a bit, Philadelphia is just 1-6-1 ATS the last eight games played in Miami. They are pointspread poison away from home going a dismal, 2-8 ATS the last 10 when they travel. The Heat are money at the FTX Arena covering seven of their last eight at home. Take Miami. Thank you. |
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05-09-22 | Celtics +1 v. Bucks | 116-108 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
Boston Celtics. Game 581. 4:30 PM PST. Boston shot just 37% from the floor and a dismal 27% from beyond the arc in Game 3. Giannis Antetokounmpo contributed 42 points and 12 rebounds lighting up the scoreboard. All this and yet the Celtics still only lost by two points. With Middleton out and Hill a bit rusty, look for the Celtics to bounce back here and even up the series. Boston is 8-1-1 against the spread the last 10 meetings with Milwaukee and 4-0-1 against the spread the last five meetings in the Fiserv Forum. They are also 7-2 against the spread the last nine games played following a straight up loss, 5-0-1 against the spread the last six games played as a road underdog, 6-2 against the spread the last eight games played on one days rest, and 16-5-1 against the spread the last 22 overall road games. Take the Celtics. Thank you. |
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05-08-22 | Heat +2 v. 76ers | 108-116 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
Miami Heat. Best Bet play. Game 579. 5:00 PM PST. Joel Embiid made his debut in the series in Game 3 to give the 76ers their first win. Game 3 was a dominating victory for Philadelphia, 99–79. Miami will make adjustments here in Game 4 and rotate their deep bench to tire out the Philadelphia center. You can rest assure that Miami will bounce back from their poor shooting performance in the last game. Kyle Lowry was getting his legs back in Friday’s game and will have a much better performance here tonight. Look for the Heat defense to frustrate the Philadelphia offense and also dominate on the boards. They are 11- 4-1 against the spread the last 16 games played on the road, 17-7 against the spread the last 24 games played as an underdog, and 11-4 against the spread the last 15 games played overall. Take Miami. Thank you. |
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05-07-22 | Grizzlies +7 v. Warriors | 112-142 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
Memphis Grizzlies. Slam Dunk Play. Game 573. 5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST. For a team that was a last-second missed shot away from being up two games to none in this series to be a seven-point underdog here only because they took it on the road, astounds me. Guard, Gary Peyton II is out here today. Well, he was Golden States best defender against Ja Morant. Morant was 3-for-8 shooting against Peyton and 23-for-50 against the rest of the Warriors. Memphis possesses the number two overall scoring team in the NBA. They can score on any opponent. While Golden State has an enormous amount of talent, defensively they are having a tough time trying to contain Morant. Head coach, Taylor Jenkins came up with an excellent defensive gameplan to cut the Warriors knees off from downtown in Game 2. Look for a little more of that and for Ja Morant too light up the scoreboard once again. This game will be a lot closer than the point spread. Memphis is 4-0 against the spread the last four meetings with Golden State, 16-6-1 against the spread the last 23 games played as an underdog, and 8-3-1 against the spread the last 12 games played following a straight up win. Take the Grizzlies. Thank you. |
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05-06-22 | Heat -3 v. 76ers | 79-99 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
Miami Heat. Las Vegas Strip Move. Game 549. 4:00 PM PST. Miami has taken Games 1 and 2 of this series with authority. It’s not just the absence of Joel Embiid that has led to Philadelphia’s hole. This is a team that has lost four the last five playoff games both straight up and against the spread. Right now, they have no answer for the Miami Heat defense. Without Embiid in the paint, the 76ers are forced to shoot from beyond the arc. During the regular season they shot 36.4% from three-point range. However, they shot just 18% in Game 1 and 27% in Game 2. I understand that Philly is going home now for Game 3 and they are a good home team. But Miami is a darn good road team as well. They are 11-3-1 against the spread the last 15 road games, 6-2 against the spread the last eight games played on one days rest, 9-3 against the spread the last 12 games played as a favorite, and 11-3 against the spread the last 14 games played overall. Take the Heat. Thank you. |
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05-04-22 | Mavs +6.5 v. Suns | 109-129 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
Dallas Mavericks. Slam Dunk play. Game 543. 7:00 PM PST. The combination of the Mavericks starting slowly and the fact that the NBA’s second-ranked defense was definitely not playing par for their course resulted in a Game 1 loss. I know the Suns have had their way in this rivalry. But with everything going wrong for Dallas in the series opener, they still rallied from a 21-point deficit late on the game. I feel they’ll take a lot from the first match up and their momentum from the second half will carry over into this game here tonight. Something else to keep in mind is the fact that the supporting cast for the Mavericks really didn’t do too much in Monday’s contest. I expect the supporting cast (starters as well as the bench) to step up here in Game 2. I’m siding with Dallas to fight back here. Take the Mavericks plus the points. Thank you. |
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05-02-22 | Mavs +6 v. Suns | 114-121 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
Dallas Mavericks. Game 523. 7:00 PM PST/ PM EST. I know Phoenix has won all three meetings with Dallas this regular season. But the Mavericks have covered two of the three and let’s be honest, they haven’t met in over three months. Dallas enters today’s Game 1 matchup covering five straight games and 13 of the last 17. Both teams top players have missed some time this postseason but both are back and look to be playing at 100%. Both teams can score points. There’s no questioning that. However, Dallas is much better defensively and can counter the Phoenix offensive strengths of their three-point shooting and their rebounding with one of the best defensive perimeter squads and rebounding squads in the NBA. I believe the combination of the addition of Dinwiddie now wearing a Mavericks uniform and the fact that Dallas has a deeper and stronger bench will be the difference in this matchup. The Mavericks are 5-0 against the spread the last five games played on the road, 4-1 against the spread the last five games played as an underdog, and 25-10-1 against spread the last 36 games played overall. Take Dallas. Thank you. |
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04-30-22 | Yankees -1.5 v. Royals | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
New York Yankees on the runline. Triple Play play. Game 923. 4:10 PM PST/7:10 PM EST. Whether you love them or love to hate them, the New York Yankees own the best record in the American League at 14-6. They have won nine of their last 10, including Game 1 of this series yesterday, a 12-2 drubbing over the Kansas City Royals. They have dominated their American League rival taking six of the last seven meetings going back to June of last season. They are winning right now because both on the mound and at the plate they’re ranked third in baseball averaging 4.85 runs per game with a Team ERA of 2.84. Garrett Cole takes the mound. In five career stats against the Royals, he is 3-1 with a 2.41 ERA. Carlos Hernandez takes the hill at home. He has made two career appearances including one start against the Yankees producing no decisions and a 3.12 ERA. And this season he has allowed at least three runs and six hits without ever completing six innings in his three starts. Kansas City ranks near the bottom both at the plate and on the mound and are in trouble in this match up as they are just 2-7 the last nine meetings with New York at Kauffman Stadium. Take The Yankees on the runline. Thank you. |
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04-29-22 | Nationals v. Giants -1.5 | 14-4 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 21 m | Show | |
San Francisco Giants on the run line. NL Best Bet play. Game 962. 7:15 PM PST/10:15 PM EST. San Francisco has dominated Washington winning the last six meetings in a row, including all three games played this season. As a matter fact, the Giants have outscored the Nationals 24-6 in those three matchups. Washington enters today’s contest the coldest team in all of baseball, riding a seven-game losing streak. Their lineup has really been struggling, accounting for three or less runs in nine of the last 10 outings resulting in one of the poorest offenses in baseball, ranking 27th and scoring an average of 3.19 runs per game. To make matters worse their pitching staff also ranks among the worst in both leagues with a team ERA of 5.01 which ranks them at 28th. San Francisco, both on the mound and at the plate possess top-five squads and will enter this matchup today looking for a little redemption as their last outing was a 1-0 loss at home against Oakland following a five-game win streak. The Giants are41-14 the last 55 during Game 1 of a series, 21-5 the last 26 following an off day, 4-1 the last five versus the NL East, and 42-12 the last 54 as a favorite. The Nationals are 4-12 the last 16 during Game 1 of a series, 8-21 the last 29 versus left-handed starters, 7-20 the last 27 versus the NL West, and 18-49 the last 67 as an underdog. Take San Francisco. Thank you. |
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04-28-22 | Mavs +1 v. Jazz | Top | 98-96 | Win | 100 | 13 h 5 m | Show |
Dallas Mavericks. Slam Dunk play. Game 565. 7:00 PM PST/10:00 PM EST. Very simply, Dallas is just playing better basketball than Utah. They started the series very competitively without their superstar, Luka Doncic. Yes, in his first game back they dropped the game, but they still played very competitively as the forward was getting his sea legs. Well, Game 5 had a much different outcome. The Mavericks blew away the Jazz 102-77 to give them four consecutive covers in this series. Without question Utah has a lot more pressure on them here. They play in front of their home crowd who is used to them not succeeding in the postseason. That will weigh on their shoulders during this matchup. And less pressure, momentum, and having Doncic on the floor and healthy, there is no question in my mind that the Mavericks win this game. Throw into the mix that Donovan Mitchell is a little banged-up and that spells DOOM for Utah. The Mavericks are 4-0 against the spread the last four meetings at the Jazz, 4-0 against the spread the last four games played on the road, and 20-8 against the spread the last 28 games played versus teams with a winning record. Take Dallas. Thank you. |
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04-28-22 | Suns v. Pelicans +2.5 | 115-109 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
New Orleans Pelicans. Las Vegas Strip Move play. Game 564. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. The Pelicans are no strangers to facing illumination. As a matter of fact, they play some of their best basketball when their back is to the wall. They won elimination games against the Spurs and the Clippers in the play-in tournament and once again are facing elimination here today. They lost Game 5 partly the fact that their star, CJ McCollum had a very poor shooting night. The guard will make sure that won’t happen again. Something else that caught my eye in the last game was the fact that Chris Paul really looked exhausted late in the second half. He’s not a kid anymore and I expect him to experience some tire legs once again here in Game 6. Overall, Phoenix is not the strongest team when playing on one days rest as they are 2-7 against the spread the last nine in the situation, 1-5 against the spread the last six games played as a road favorite, and 1-5 against the spread the last six games played following a straight up win. Take New Orleans. Thank you. |
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04-26-22 | Hawks v. Heat -7.5 | 94-97 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
Miami Heat. Game 540. 4 PM PST/7 PM EST. Just to recap a little bit of the series, Games 1 and 2 played at the FTX Arena were won by Miami by a combined 34-points. Atlanta took Game 3 at home in Philips Arena. That loss truly upset the Heat. As a matter of fact, it downright pissed them off. They came back out in Game 4 and dominated from start to finish winning 110-86. They now return back home and can and will finish this series off in front of their faithful fans. These two teams met eight times this season as the Heat won and covered six of the eight meetings. It just so happens to be that they won and covered all four at home. It’s no secret that when Atlanta hits the road, they lose a little something. They are just 8-20 against the spread the last 28 games played away from home. Their biggest star, point guard Trae Young, who averaged 28.4 points per game during the regular season, is only averaging 16.5 points per game in the postseason. The frustrating Miami defense has gotten to him as well as the rest of the squad. They are swarming Atlanta and also dominating on the defensive boards taking away any of the Hawks second chance shots. The Heat are 5-0 against the spread the last five games played at home, 5-1 against the spread the last six games played on one days rest, and 9-2 against the spread the last 11 games played overall. Take Miami. Thank you. |
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04-25-22 | Jazz v. Mavs -2.5 | Top | 77-102 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
Dallas Mavericks. SD play. Game 536. 6:30 pm pst. With The series tied 2-2, Dallas doesn’t just want this victory here tonight, they need it. It seems as though the Mavericks, which have covered Games 2, 3, and 4, have the recipe for frustrating Utah. As everyone knows, star forward, Luka Doncic returned in Game 4. Don’t overthink the fact that when he finally got back on the floor that the team lost. He really didn’t get into a rhythm until just before the half. That would concern me more than anything if I were the Jazz. Dallas has covered four of the last five matchups in this rivalry at home and eight of the last nine overall. This is an issue for Utah, as they are not a strong road team. They are also not very good in the role of an underdog or when playing on just one days rest. They sport a 6-19-1 against the spread mark the last 26 games played on the road, an 0-4 against the spread mark the last four games played as an underdog, an 1-9 against the spread mark the last 10 games played on one days rest. Take the Mavericks. Thank you. |
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04-25-22 | Celtics +1.5 v. Nets | 116-112 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
Boston Celtics. LVSM play. Game 531. 4:00 pm pst. Up 3-0 in this series, the Boston defense is just too much for Brooklyn to handle. The Celtics know that if they close the series out today, they will have a few extra days to rest and prepare for the next round of the playoffs. Once again, there is news surrounding the fact that Ben Simmons should make his debut here. Either way he won’t be as much is a factor as people think as he hasn’t been on the court in a very long time. There is no questioning the fact that Kevin Durant is one of the best to ever play in the NBA. However, he’s not a kid anymore and it is evident that the Boston defense has wreaked havoc on his game. Since the beginning of February, these two teams have met six times with Boston winning all six and covering five of the six. The Celtics are also 13-3 against the spread the last 16 games on the road, 4-0 against the spread the last four games as an underdog, and 8-1 against spread the last nine games following a straight up win. Take Boston. Thank you. |
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04-24-22 | Warriors -4 v. Nuggets | Top | 121-126 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 18 m | Show |
Golden State Warriors. Las Vegas Strip Move Game of the Month. Game 523. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. Up 3-0, Golden State can get some extra rest by putting Denver here away as their next matchup will be between the Memphis/Minnesota winner. That series is tied 2-2. The Warriors haven’t just won every game in this series, they’ve won each one with ease. And for us sportsbettors, they have covered all three as well, winning by an average margin of 13.6 points per game. The Nuggets aren’t just losing this series, they have a dropped the last four overall straight up. And they have also dropped seven of the last nine against the spread. Denver is just simply way in over their heads here as they have failed to cover the last five meetings with Golden State, 18 of the last 24 games played at home, and the last five played as a home underdog. Take the Warriors. Thank you. |
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04-23-22 | Celtics +3 v. Nets | 109-103 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
Boston Celtics. Las Vegas Strip Move play. Game 515. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. The Boston Celtics defense, which ranks No. 1 in the league, has truly frustrated the Brooklyn Nets. Brooklyn has a star-studded roster. And they all seem to be having issues facing this swarming “D “. Rumors are that Ben Simmons will make his long-awaited debut this evening. Well, if he plays, I feel it will take away from any rhythm this team had. And if he doesn’t, well we go back to my first point that they’re having problem with the Celtic defense. Brown and Tatum have turned it up this series when needed. And Horford has been an absolute monster in the paint. Nothing is going change your being that the venue is now different. Boston is 4-1 against the spread the last five meetings with Brooklyn, 4-0 against spread the last four games played on the road, and 6-0 against the spread the last six games played on two days rest. Take the Celtics. Thank you. |
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04-23-22 | Mavs +6.5 v. Jazz | 99-100 | Win | 100 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
Dallas Mavericks. SLAM DUNK PLAY. Game 513. 1:30 PM PST/4:30 PM EST. Many out there were concerned that the Utah Jazz would fold like a cheap suit like they traditionally do come the postseason. Well dropping Games 2 and 3 of this series, it seems like history is repeating itself. Once again, the big news is the status of Luka Doncic. Latest rumors is that he is probable to play this evening. That’s as of posting this analysis. The star forward hasn’t played since April 10 and the team has done just well in the series without him. Dallas possesses the leagues No. 2 ranked scoring defense. And it has been this defense that has certainly frustrated Utah. Now being booed at home in Salt Lake City, is putting added pressure on the Jazz. The Mavericks have won 11 of the last 14 straight up covering 10 of those outings. They are also excellent in the role of an underdog covering 10 of those last 14. Moreover, they have no problem playing with very little rest covering five of the last seven and one days rest. Utah is 1-3-1 against the spread the last five games played as a home favorite, 6-19-3 against the spread the last 28 played following an ATS loss, and 1-8 against the spread the last nine games played on one days rest. Take the Mavericks. Thank you. |
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04-21-22 | Warriors -1.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 118-113 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
Golden State. NBA 1st RD GAME OF THE YEAR. Game 573. 7:00 pm pst.10:00 pm est. It’s no coincidence that when Golden State started getting healthy, they started winning games. Not only have they won seven in a row straight up, they are also 7-1 against the spread the last eight. Of course, this includes Games 1 and 2 of this series thumping Denver by 16 and 20-points. The starting five of Curry, Poole, Thompson, Wiggins, and Green are enough to give any opponent nightmares. Throw into the mix the fact that their bench has been stepping up as well, and this is one outstanding basketball team. Denver doesn’t have neither the starters nor do they have the depth to compete in this matchup. Please understand this, with superstars like Curry and Middleton now healthy, the Warriors can post 120-points on any team in the NBA. However, you may not realize that for most of the season several of their big-name players were sideline with injuries and yet they still ranked third in the league on “D” and top-five in every major defensive category. Now they are at full strength and if you can believe it are getting better with each game. The Warriors are 4-0 against the spread the last four meetings with the Nuggets and 31-12 against the spread the last 43 Conference Quarterfinals games. The Nuggets are 1-5 against the spread the last six games played at home and 0-4 against the spread the last four games played as a home underdog. Take Golden State. Thank you. |
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04-21-22 | Mavs +7 v. Jazz | 126-118 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
Dallas Mavericks. Game 571. 6:00 pm pst/9:00 pm est. There are some reports stating that Luka Doncic may make his return here in Game 3. Whether the star forward is on the floor or not, this is just way too many points for Utah to lay. Yes, a lot of the Dallas success this season has come because of their superstar forward. However, they’ve played pretty competitively in Games 1 and 2 of this series without him. I understand that those games are played at home and now the Mavericks and must take it on the road. But guys, they have been money to anyone who wagers on them in this rivalry covering six of the last seven meetings with the Jazz. And when playing as an underdog, they are 9-4 against the spread the last 13 in that role. They can stay with Utah offensively there’s no question about that. But it has been their stellar defensive play throughout the entire season that has made this team outstanding. Just look at what they’ve done to Utah holding them way below their season average. Utah is 3-7-1 against the spread the last 11 games played as a favorite and 3-9-1 against the spread the last 13 games played overall. Take Dallas. Thank you. |
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04-20-22 | Nets +3.5 v. Celtics | 107-114 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
Brooklyn Nets. Game 561. 4:00 PM PST. Not only did the Nets lose Game 1 to the Celtics on a buzzer beating layup, but star guard, Kyrie Irving got fined $50,000 for giving the TD Garden fans a specific hand gesture. I look for Brooklyn to come in here extra motivated bouncing back and taking Game 2. The Nets, which are 4-1 against the spread the last five games played as an underdog and 10-3-1 against the spread the last 14 road games, are pissed off and I looking for some redemption here. While they did cover the opening game, they need a win here to even up this series and go back home tied. They are also 14-6 against the spread the last 20 meetings with the Celtics. Take Brooklyn plus the points. Thank you. |
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04-19-22 | Pelicans v. Suns -9.5 | 125-114 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
Phoenix Suns. Slam Dunk play. Game 554. 7:00 PM PST. I know many sports bettors out there, prior to Game 1 of this series looked at how hot New Orleans was playing along with fact that Phoenix was a little shaky towards the end of the regular season and played the Pelicans. Well, they didn’t take into the consideration that the Suns were locked into their number one seed for a while. They had a chance to rest their starters and coast into the postseason. When a team wins battle of the boards 55-35 and you still lose by 11-points, it tells you something. Both offensively and defensively Phoenix outclasses New Orleans. Look for the Suns to put the Pelicans away very quickly here and go up 2-0 in this series. New Orleans is 1-5 against the spread the last six meetings with Phoenix, 1-6 against the spread the last seven the last seven games played versus teams with a winning record, and 0-4 against the spread the last four games played as an underdog. Take the Suns. Thank you. |
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04-18-22 | Nuggets v. Warriors -6.5 | 106-126 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
Golden State Warriors. Slam Dunk play. Game 546. 7:00 pm pst. Guys, many of the statistics you are seeing for the Golden State Warriors this season are skewed. For much of the season they were without some of their top stars and yet they are still one of the best rebounding teams on both ends of the court, rank third in the NBA in points allowed, and are top-five in every single major category on defense. Now they are at full force and are looking as good as they ever were. This is a team that rattled off six consecutive straight up wins, covering six of the last seven overall games. They are just too much for the Denver Nuggets to handle. They have covered the last three meetings in this rivalry winning the last two by a combined 27 points. Denver is 3-10 against the spread the last 13 meetings with Golden State. Golden State is 4-0 against this spread the last four games played at home. Take the Warriors. Thank you. |
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04-18-22 | Raptors +7.5 v. 76ers | 97-112 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
Toronto Raptors. LVSM play. Game 541. 4:30 pm pst. My friends, no one expected (including myself) Toronto to lose Game 1 of the series by 20-points. However, a lot of things went right for Philadelphia. Tyrese Maxey put up 38 points. Thaddeus Young left the game at halftime. And the 76ers committed just three turnovers while hitting 50% from beyond the arc. Well, the Raptors had a few days to deal with any missing players here and prepare for that. And I doubt the Sixers can replicate their season opening numbers. Having said that, Toronto can and will keep pace offensively and defensively here but I do feel they will have an edge on the offensive boards here. The Raptors are 7-3 against the spread the last 10 games played on the road, 4-1 against the spread the last five games played following a straight up loss, and 4-1 against the spread last five games played as an underdog. Take Toronto. Thank you. |
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04-17-22 | Bulls v. Bucks -10.5 | 86-93 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
Milwaukee Bucks. Oddsmakers Mistake play. Game 530. 3:30 PM PST. The Chicago Bulls haven’t won a post season game since 2017. And to be quite honest guys, they’re not going to win one here today either. They have limped into the playoffs dropping 15 of the last 22 straight up and 16 of those against the spread. On the other hand, the Milwaukee Bucks are running red hot, winning 15 of the last 21 straight up and 13 of those against the spread. If you’re worried about this number, don’t be as the Bucks have covered 10 of the last 13 laying double-digits. These two Eastern Conference rivals have played four times the season with Milwaukee winning all four SU, covering the last three ATS. They have taken the four meetings by an average score of 14.75 points per game. With Lonzo Ball sidelined the Bulls just don’t have the depth to compensate here. This is a team that is 7-21 against the spread the last 28 games played as an underdog 3-10 against the spread the last 13 games played on the road, and 1-4 against the spread the last five games played overall. Take Milwaukee. Thank you. |
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04-17-22 | Reds v. Dodgers -1.5 | 1-9 | Win | 100 | 6 h 48 m | Show | |
Los Angeles Dodgers on the run line. Grand Slam Play. Game 962. 1:10 PM PST. Going back to last season, Los Angeles has taken the last five meetings with Cincinnati by an average margin of victory of 3.61 runs per game. This includes Games 1, 2, and 3 of this series. As a matter fact, the Reds are now on a five-game slide sporting one of the worst pitching staffs in baseball, ranking 27th in Team ERA at 5.09. Their offense leaves a lot to be desired as well. But no matter what they can score offensively, they just cannot compensate for how poor their pitching has been. Well, this does not bode well here today as the Dodgers are crushing the ball, ranking fifth offensively in runs scored at 5.25 runs per game fifth offensively in Team BA at .267. By the way, L.A. is riding a five-game win streak right now. Take the Dodgers on the run line. Thank you. |
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04-16-22 | Raptors +5 v. 76ers | Top | 111-131 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
Raptors. LVSM. Game 521. 3:00 pm pst. Sports fans, Toronto has been locked into this seeding for quite a while now. So, the Raptors enter the postseason very well rested. Not only that but they start the playoffs red-hot, winning 14 of the last 18 game straight up and covering 12 of those 18 outings. To add to their advantages, this team is one of the few participating in the postseason that are at full strength, with no injuries. They can certainly match Philadelphia in scoring and are significantly better on the boards. And in my opinion, that is where this game will be won. The 76ers have several players that are still out and a few more that are a little banged up. Therefore, rotating fresh legs is not in the cards for them. And for us who wager on games, they have failed to cover seven of the last nine overall entering this matchup. Speaking of matchups, Toronto has taken three or four straight up in the series this season while covering all for meetings with Philadelphia. They are also 7-2 against the spread the last nine games played on the road, 4-1 against the spread the last five games played as an underdog, and 5-1 against the spread the last six Conference Quarterfinal games. Take the Raptors. Thank you. |
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04-15-22 | Pelicans +4 v. Clippers | 105-101 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show | |
Pelicans. SD. Game 511. 7:05 pm pst. Sports fans, we all know that New Orleans had a big win and cover against San Antonio the other day while Los Angeles imploded, dropping a big lead in Minnesota and even getting a lot of us the no cover. I know prior to that defeat, the Clippers were running pretty hot. And while they are a much better team with Paul George on the floor, I do believe that there’s a catch 22 with him. Since he’s been back, he has put up some outstanding numbers but the rest of the team aren’t contributing as much. Knowing this, the Pelicans with their nasty defense and third ranked rebounding unit will key on him for sure here. On the other side of the court while New Orleans has the ball, look for them to get a ton of second chance shots as they rank 11th in the league on the offensive boards and Los Angeles ranks 28th on the defensive boards. The Pelicans have covered six of the last seven meetings in this series, winning five of those straight up. They are also 13-5 ATS the last 18 games played on the road. The Clippers are just 7-19 ATS the last 26 games played on too days rest. Take New Orleans. Thank you. |
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04-15-22 | Reds v. Dodgers -1.5 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
Dodgers on the run line. HR. Game 964. 7:10 pm pst. After a shaky start, Los Angeles has now won three straight outings beating opponents by a combined 23-5. One of those outings was Game 1 of this series yesterday in which they decimated Cincinnati, 9-3. As a matter fact, going back to last season, the Dodgers have taken three consecutive matchups against the Reds, by a combined 22-9. Not one of those games came within three runs. Cincinnati is back to their old ways. They are now on a three-game slide as their pitching has allowed 25 runs during their current skid. Gutierrez and Gonsolin are slated to take the hill here. Both on the mound at the plate Los Angeles significantly outclassed Cincinnati. Look for their fourth ranked lineup, which is averaging 5.67 runs per game to light up the scoreboard against Cincinnati‘s 27th ranked pitching staff, which has a Team ERA of 5.55. Take the Dodgers on the run line. Thank you. |
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04-13-22 | Spurs +6 v. Pelicans | 103-113 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 0 m | Show | |
San Antonio. LAS VEGAS STRIP MOVE play. Game 507. 6:30 pm pst. Sports fans the odds makers have the line way off in this matchup. San Antonio has taken three of the four meetings with New Orleans this season, both straight up and against the spread. Going back a ways, they have covered seven of the last eight matchups in this series. Yes, I know the Spurs have dropped three in a row straight up, but they have been on-fire to anyone who wagers on them, covering seven straight and 10 of the last 11. Not only that, but during that ATS hot-streak, they’ve beaten some pretty darn good teams, including a 107-103 win and cover in New Orleans less than three weeks ago. I know in the latter leg of this season the Pelicans have turned it up a little bit. We all know they have been without their superstar, Zion Williamson the entire campaign. And they just picked up CJ McCollum, who has bolstered the squad. However, I think this is the matchup they will severely miss Williamson on the floor. I wouldn’t read into this game any further than the fact that the Spurs played well against teams that aren’t very threatening as most of their troubles came against teams that were above. 500. The Pelicans are certainly not a team that can threaten them. San Antonio is 7-0 against the spread the last seven meetings at the Smoothie King Center, 6-1 against the spread the last seven games played on the road, and 11-4 against the spread the last 15 games played on two days rest. Take Antonio. Thank you. |
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04-12-22 | Clippers +3.5 v. Wolves | 104-109 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
Los Angeles. PI GOM. Game 503. 6:30 pm pst. Los Angeles comes into this match up winning five in a row and six of the last seven straight up. They have covered five of those seven outings. Funny thing how they started to win when their team started to get healthy. They now have both Paul George and Norman Powell suited up and ready to go. Funny thing, Minnesota only won one of the four meetings this season. That being the most recent when neither George nor Powell we’re on the floor. The three other meetings, the Clippers won and covered all three by an average score of 18.6 points per game. By the way George led all scorers in all three. Los Angeles is 4-1 against the spread the last five meetings in this series overall and 15-6-1 against the spread the last 22 meetings in Minnesota. Minnesota is 1-4 against the spread the last five games played at home and 0-4 I get to spread the last four games played overall. Take the Clippers. Thank you. |
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04-12-22 | Royals v. Cardinals -1.5 | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
St. Louis. Run Line Game of The Week. Game 926. 4:45 pm pst. My friends, the St. Louis Cardinals are the only team in the NL Central that aren’t either rebuilding or trying to get a slew of newly acquired players acclimated. Kansas City, which is not a very good team, lost their last two outings coming into today’s matchup. In those two games, their pitching allowed 27 total runs. Trust me when I tell you, that’s just the tip of the iceberg. St. Louis won their first two outings, shellacking Pittsburgh by combined 15-2 only to drop Game 3 of the series two days ago. Look for them to be in serious bounce-back mode as they send crafty RH, Dakota Hudson to the mound. The 27-year-old has very impressive career numbers, going 24-10 with a 3.14 ERA. That includes a 1-0 record with a 2.13 ERA in three career appearances against the Royals, including two starts. LH Daniel Lynch went 4-6 with a 5.69 ERA and 15 starts as a rookie last season. As the season progressed his numbers significantly worsened. Believe it or not, these two teams met six times in 2021 with St. Louis taking five of the six meetings. The Cardinals are 10-4 the last 14 games played at home, 7-1 the last eight games played during Game 1 of a series, and 4-1 the last five interleague games. Take St. Louis. Thank you. |
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04-10-22 | Pirates v. Cardinals -1.5 | 9-4 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 53 m | Show | |
St. Louis on the Run Line. Home Run Play. Game 906. 11:15 am pst. St. Louis has taken the first two games of this series with authority, outscoring Pittsburgh 15-2. They have had their way with their Division rival taking 45 of the last 65 meetings. Today, Steven Matz gets the home start. The left-hander comes off a very impressive 14-7, 3.82 ERA campaign a season ago with Toronto. I wouldn’t be too concerned with the fact that he’s now pitching in the National League as he spent the first six years of his career winning games for New York. Bryse Wilson takes the hill for the Pirates. The right-hander came over to Pittsburgh last season from Atlanta and was an unimpressive 1-4 with a 4.91 ERA for the Pirates. Along with the Oakland Athletics, the Baltimore Orioles, and the Arizona Diamondbacks, the Pittsburgh Pirates have the longest odds to win the World Series. Let’s face it folks this team is once again horrible. They are 14-45 the last 59 games played on the road, 18-48 the last 66 games played versus NL Central opponents, and 16-46 the last 62 games played versus left-handed starters. Take the St. Louis Cardinals on the run line. Thank you. |
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04-10-22 | Orioles v. Rays -1.5 | 0-8 | Win | 110 | 3 h 42 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay on the run line. BEST BET Play. Game 916. 10:10 am pst. Once again, this season Baltimore isn’t just picked to finish dead-last in the Division, they are also picked to finish the season as the worst team in the American League. Judging from the first two games, that prediction seems to be very true. Yes, I’m not gonna’ argue that the American League East is one of the most competitive Divisions in all of baseball. However, this team is just horrible. They face a very good Tampa Bay squad which happens be starting for the first time, newly-acquired Corey Kluber. The right-hander is a monster pitcher sporting a 103-61 career record with a 3.19 ERA. Even after 11 seasons in the big leagues, “Klubes“ is still one of the best strikeout men in the game. The two-time Cy Young Award winner owns a lifetime record of 5-1 with a 3.15 ERA in 10 starts against the Orioles. Tyler Wells is making just his sixth appearance ever and his first start. The right-hander went 2-3 with a 4.11 ERA a season ago. He is in way over his head, trust me folks. Going back just 10 games through last season, the Rays have taken all 10 contests over the Orioles, with only two of those games coming by just one run. As a matter fact, they are 42-12 the last 54 meetings in this series. This game gets ugly and Tampa Bay wins big. Take the Rays on the run line. Thank you. |
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04-08-22 | Bucks -5 v. Pistons | 131-101 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
Milwaukee Bucks. LVSM Play. Game 515. 4:10 pm pst. A victory here tonight will further strengthen the Milwaukee Bucks hold on the second seed in the East come the playoffs. Not only that, but they can exact a little revenge on the Detroit Pistons as well. After winning nine consecutive meetings with the Pistons, back on January 3 the Bucks got embarrassed at home 115-106. I know Detroit, prior to Wednesday’s 18-point loss at home to Dallas, covered five consecutive games, but this is a whole different monster. And that monsters name is Giannis Antetokounmpo. The superstar will lead the number three ranked offense in the league and decimate the Pistons both inside and out. Many out there don’t realize it, but not only does this team score points, they also rank fourth from beyond the arc and second on the offensive boards. All places that the Pistons defense rank among the poorest in the league. This game gets ugly and the Bucks get their revenge. They are 6-1-1 against the spread the last eight meetings in Detroit, 13- 3-1 against the spread the last 17 overall meetings, 10-4 against the spread the last 14 played on the road, and 6-1 against the spread the last seven games played following an against the spread loss. Take Milwaukee. Thank you. |
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04-07-22 | Celtics +6.5 v. Bucks | 121-127 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
Boston Celtics. LVSM Play. Game 503. 4:30 pm pst. There is a lot on the line in this contest tonight. The second seed in the conference remains up for grabs and the loser here could mathematically slide all the way down to the number four-spot. Boston and their number one ranked defense will once again frustrate Milwaukee. This is a team that has covered six straight meetings in this rivalry going back to December 2020. That includes all three matchups this season as they have won two straight up, while the most-recent, played on Christmas Day was separated by just four-points. No debating that Giannis Antetokounmpo is a monster player that will always get his numbers. However, Jayson Tatum can match him in statistics very easily. The combination of the Celtics defense and the fact that their offense is exploding for over 123 points per game just over the last 10 outings, prompts me to take the points here with the underdog. Boston is 4-1 against the spread the last five games played in Milwaukee, 6-1 against the spread the last seven games played on the road, and 8-3 against the spread the last 11 games played overall. Take the Celtics. Thank you. |
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04-07-22 | Pirates v. Cardinals -1.5 | 0-9 | Win | 115 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
St. Louis Cardinals on the RUN LINE. HR Play. Game 974. 1:15 pm pst. It’s not easy being a Pittsburgh Pirates fan, my friends. Once again, this season they are clearly the worst team in the National League and possess the longest odds to win the World Series. Even if they didn’t play in the very competitive, NL Central, they would still be a division cellar-dweller anywhere else. The St. Louis Cardinals are the only team in the division that aren’t currently either in a rebuilding year or undergoing changes. They have had their way with today’s opponent, winning 43 of the last 63 meetings, including six of the last 10. Today they send one of their most seasoned pitchers in Adam Wainwright to the mound. The RH comes off a very good 17-7, 3.05 ERA campaign. A season ago, in his four starts against the Pirates, the Cardinals won all four meetings. JT Brubaker takes the hill for Pittsburgh. The RH had a 5-13 record last year, with a whopping, 5.36 ERA. It just so happens that Pittsburgh lost all four of his starts against St. Louis. The Pirates are one of the worst road teams in the Majors, sporting a 14-43 record the last 57 games played away from home. St. Louis has been money in the division, winning 13 of the last 16 versus NL Central opponents. They are also 8-3 the last 11 at home, 17-5 the last 22 versus RH starters, 50-24 the last 74 as a favorite, and 35-17 the last 52 overall. Take the Cardinals on the RUN LINE. Thank you. |
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04-06-22 | Celtics -7 v. Bulls | 117-94 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
Boston Celtics. LVSM play. Game 585. 5:10 pm pst 8:10 pm est. With three games remaining in the regular season the Boston Celtics are in a tie with the Milwaukee Bucks and the Philadelphia 76ers. Each are just 2.5 games back of the Eastern Conference’s leading team, the Miami Heat. A lot of things can happen between now and the end of the regular season. A win here would be crucial for the Celtics to take the Atlantic Division. Moreover, to better their situation come in the postseason. Granted, the Bulls have covered four straight in this rivalry going back to April of last year. However, these are two very different teams right now. Boston owns the top defense in the NBA, ranking number one in points allowed, number one and field goal percentage, number two in three-point percentage, and 11th on the defensive boards. The last month and a half Chicago have really struggled going just 6-13 straight up and 5-14 against the spread. They played last night and got crushed, 127-106 at home against Milwaukee. This was the second of back-to-back home losses for the team. Meanwhile a fresher, Boston team comes in here off a huge demolishing of Washington on Sunday, 144-102. Look for the Celtics to better their situation with a big win and for us, a cover here tonight. The Bulls are 1-10 against the spread the last 11 games played versus teams with the winning percentage above .600, 17-35 against read the last 52 games played as an underdog, and 9-21 against the spread the last 30 home games played versus teams with a winning record. Take Boston. Thank you. |
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04-05-22 | Bucks -4.5 v. Bulls | 127-106 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
Milwaukee Bucks NBA APRIL EASTERN CONFERENCE GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 567. 5:10 pm pst/ 8:10 pm est. With just four games remaining in the regular season, the Bucks sit in the third seed in the Eastern Conference, just a half-game behind the Celtics, and 2.5 games behind the Heat. The defending NBA champions are looking to better their seeding and grab the top-spot in the Conference. Playing the slumping Bulls is just what the doctor prescribes to do just that. Milwaukee has dominated Chicago, winning nine of the last 10 meetings straight up including all three this season, covering the two most recent, both last month. This team needs to go into the postseason with momentum. They have dropped each of the last two outings both straight up and against the spread to a Clippers team that pulled all their starters and a Mavericks squad just two days ago. The Bucks will bounce back here to boost their confidence come the playoffs. The Bulls are a mess, dropping 12 of the last 18 straight up and 13 of those 18 against the number. FYI, most of those games were with Vukovic, LaVine, and DeRozan all available. Since the All-Star break, Milwaukee has ranked second in the NBA in rebounding. That is where this game will be won, on the boards. Chicago just cannot contend on the glass in this matchup. They are outclassed and outmanned on both ends of the court. Look for the Bucks to also exploit the Bulls 26th ranked three-point defense with their fifth-ranked three-point shooting offense. With the Boston Celtics up next followed by the Detroit Pistons and the Cleveland Cavaliers to finish out their regular season, the Milwaukee Bucks will get back on their winning ways and make a statement to the rest of the Eastern Conference here. Milwaukee is 10-1 against the spread the last 11 games played in Chicago, 5-1 against the spread the last six games played following an ATS loss, 7-2 against the spread the last nine games played as a road favorite, 7-2 against the spread the last nine games played on one days rest, and 10-4 against the spread the last 14 games played overall. Take the Bucks. Thank you. |
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04-04-22 | North Carolina v. Kansas -4 | 69-72 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
Kansas. NATIONAL TITLE GAME WINNER. Game 722. 6:20 pm pst. Without question, both combatants deserve to be here in the National Title Game. However, I really do feel the line is way off. Kansas should be several points higher as a favorite. North Carolina is well coached and has played extremely strong to close out the regular season and during this postseason. However, the Jayhawks are one the toughest teams in the nation, defensively. Look at their two recent games played against other defensive powerhouses, the Cavaliers and the Hokies. They did beat Virginia 63-43 But, the Tar Heels offense sputtered. Then they lost to Virginia Tech 72-59, another poor offensive output. UNC lives and dies by the “3“. Well, that doesn’t bode too well as the Jayhawks own a top-20 three-point defense. Offensively, Kansas matches up quite well with the lax, North Carolina defense. They have both, big men and athletic guards. Not only that but they can go to the well and rotate in fresh legs throughout the contest as they are significantly deeper. The Jayhawks are 7-2 against the spread the last nine games played as a favorite, 6–2 against spread the last eight games played on neutral sites, and 7-2 against the spread of the last nine games played following a straight up win. Take Kansas. Thank you. |
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04-02-22 | North Carolina v. Duke -4 | Top | 81-77 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 23 m | Show |
Duke. Game 704. 5:45 pm pst Sports fans, the drama surrounding this Final Four matchup is unrivaled. North Carolina and Duke have been going out each other for as far back as I can remember. Obviously, there’s the story surrounding Coach Mike Krzyzewski retiring after this Tournament. And obviously, the team wants to win for him. There’s also all the brouhaha surrounding the fact that Duke took the first meeting this season back in February by 20-points and then in Coach K’s final game at Cameron Indoor Stadium North Carolina shredded them by 13-points. Hubert Davis is a good coach. He’s done a lot with his Tar Heels team this season. But he is certainly outmanned and outclassed here. It goes without saying he doesn’t have anywhere near the coaching experience as his counterpart. Nor does he have his big game intelligence or savvy. The Blue Devils score more offensively and allow less defensively. They’re also one the most accurate teams in the country both from beyond the arc and overall, from the floor. Let’s not forget the fact that they are one of the best in the nation on the offensive boards. North Carolina can score and is accurate from downtown as well. And also grab a lot of offensive rebounds. But the mismatch you’re going to see is between the Duke offense and the North Carolina defense. There is a huge disparity in ability, talent, and statistics. The Blue Devils can go to the well for fresh legs throughout the game as they are a little bit deeper and have that monster frontcourt with four big men in the starting lineup. The Tar Heels are 8-18-1 against spread the last 27 neutral side games played as underdog and 2-6 against spread eight NCAA Tournament games played as an underdog. Take Duke. Thank you. |
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04-02-22 | Villanova v. Kansas -4 | 65-81 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
Kansas. Game 701. 3:05 pm pst. Both teams deserve to be here. Please take note that Kansas had no problems dispatching of two Big East representatives in this Tournament in Creighton and Providence. And so, this tells you all the hoopla about facing a physical, Big East team is all smoke and mirrors. Upfront, the Jayhawks are just as big and just as strong. And in the back court, just as explosive. Please remember that the Wildcats number two scorer during both the regular and postseason, Justin Moore is out for this matchup. Unfortunately, the guard tore his Achilles in the last game. Replacing him with someone with less experience and less ability is going to be fatal for the team in this matchup. KU is just too deep both inside and out for their adversary here. And don’t forget that they are excellent on the offensive boards, which allows them to get a ton of second chance shots. The Jayhawks are 9-3 against the spread the last 12 games played following a straight up win, 5-2 against the spread the last seven games played versus teams with the winning percentage above. 600, and 6-2 against the spread the last eight games played overall. Take Kansas. Thank you. |
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04-02-22 | Hornets +5.5 v. 76ers | 114-144 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 24 m | Show | |
Charlotte. SD Play. Game 521. 9:40 am pst. Normally I would look to play a team of Philadelphia’s caliber following losses to decent teams like Phoenix and Milwaukee and then losing to a bad team like Detroit. However, Charlotte is running red-hot. The Hornets currently have officially qualified for the play-in tournament for the second consecutive season. But they are far from happy with this. And they can certainly better their situation. With five games remaining in their regular season, they can creep up several seeds without a doubt. Losing three straight has dropped the 76ers into the number four spot in the Eastern Conference. We’re seeing problems between Coach Doc Rivers and his superstar James Harden over recent weeks. The Philly offense is just dismal, ranking 21st in scoring, 18th in field goal percentage, and 29th on the boards. They just can’t keep pace with the fifth ranked Charlotte ”O”. Throw in the mix the fact that Gordon Hayward is expected to make his return tonight after missing over 22 games and this offense will get even better. By the way, the Hornets have won eight of the last 10 straight up, covering seven of those 10 outings. They are also 7-1-1 against the spread the last nine games played on two days rest, 6-1-1 against the spread the last eight games played as a road underdog, and 15-5-1 against read the last 21 overall road games. The 76ers are 1-5 against the spread the last six games played on one days rest, 2-6-1 against the spread the last nine games played as a favorite, and 3-7 against the spread the last 10 games played at home. Take Charlotte. Thank you. |
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04-01-22 | Fresno State v. Coastal Carolina +3 | 85-74 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
Coastal Carolina. TBC TGW. Game 894. 3:00 pm pst. Well sports fans, two teams that certainly deserve to be in the TBC Title game are matching up today. Fresno State, which owns one of the nastiest and stingiest defenses in all of college basketball, travels nearly 2700 miles to Conway, South Carolina to face a striding Coastal Carolina team. There is no doubt that on a regular basis the Bulldogs face a little tougher level of competition then does the Chanticleers. However, looking at both schedules, Fresno State had some issues earlier in the season with Cal, San Francisco, and Utah, and in their own conference against the top-tier teams. On the other hand, Coastal Carolina stepped up in class and took down Valparaiso and South Carolina earlier on his campaign and did well against the best teams in their league. Another major difference is the fact that the Bulldogs are just 1-4 against the spread this postseason while the Chanticleers are 3-1 against the spread in the playoffs. As a matter of fact, Coastal Carolina is 6-1 ATS the last seven games overall. I know how good the Fresno State defense is however, their offense just can’t compensate in this matchup. If you look at their last few games, they allowed Eastern Washington to post 74 points and Youngstown State to put up 71 points. These are not offensive powerhouses, folks. Not only can Coastal Carolina score points and drain “3’s”, but they are monsters on the offensive boards as well. They too have a decent defense ranking among the best in the nation defending the perimeter and only allowing 65.1 points per game on the season. Orlando Robinson is a monster. No doubt about that. However, Essam Mostafa can outmuscle the big man. And at the very least give him a hard time and slow him down a bit. The Chanticleers backcourt of Cole, Williams, and Dibba are a little more athletic than their counterparts and will control the tempo here. The Bulldogs are 1-4 against the spread the last five games played as a favorite. The Chanticleers are 4-0 against the spread the last four games played versus teams with a winning percentage above .600. Take Coastal Carolina. Thank you. |
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03-31-22 | Cavs v. Hawks -5 | Top | 107-131 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
Atlanta. EC GOM. Game 586. 4:40 pm pst. Both teams here are hoping for playoffs appearances. Currently the Cavaliers are seventh in the East. Atlanta, at the moment is in tenth and they are trying to catch an eighth-place Brooklyn team and a ninth-place Charlotte team. Both played last night as a Cavaliers took a 120-112 loss at home against the Mavericks while the Hawks visited Oklahoma City and beat the Thunder, 136-118 to give the team their third consecutive win and cover. They had a short plane ride home for today’s matchup. The Cavaliers have been bitten badly by the injury bug. Allen has been out for a while joining Rondo, Wade, and Sexton. However just added to the injured list is center, Evan Mobley. Now with him out this team seems like they just can’t score at all. They have failed to cover six in a row and nine of the last 11 outings. As a matter fact, they lost and failed to cover the two most-recent meetings with Atlanta, coming at the end of December and mid-February. And that was when they were at full strength. The last few weeks the Hawks have taken it to another level winning eight of the last 11 straight up. This is a team that is back at to where they used to be, dominating opponents on their home court, where the Hawks are 13-6 against the spread the last 19 games played at the State Farm Arena. Cleveland’s numbers are just horrible as they are 0-7 against the spread the last seven games played on zero days rest, 5-11 against the spread the last 16 games played following a straight up loss, and 2-6 against the spread the last eight games played on the road. Look for superstar, Trae Young to once again light up the Cavaliers as he has accounted for 35 and 41 points in the last two meetings. Take Atlanta. Thank you. |
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03-30-22 | Wolves v. Raptors -2.5 | 102-125 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
Toronto. SD Play. Game 568. 4:40 pm pst. Both teams look like they’re in decent positions for a play-in spot at least, come the postseason. However, Toronto knows that both Brooklyn and Charlotte are right behind them and they need a couple of wins right now to close out the regular season. Minnesota’s high-powered offense is not compensating for their atrocious defense anymore, dropping three of the last four both straight up and against the spread. The Raptors had no problem taking the only meeting with the T-Wolves this season, a road win and cover approximately six weeks ago. Now they play at home in which during their current homestand they have won all three contests going 2-1 against the number. Minnesota is 1-5 against the spread the last six meetings in the series, 1-7 against the spread the last eight games played as a road underdog, and 2-7 against the spread the last nine games played versus teams with a winning home record. Take Toronto. Thank you. |
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03-30-22 | Heat v. Celtics -4 | 106-98 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
Boston OM Play. Game 570. 4:40 pm pst. Miami’s issues stretch way beyond their problems on the floor. Obviously with coaches and players arguing on the sidelines this team is in a lot more trouble than we originally thought. They finally got a win and a cover two nights ago following a 2-5 straight up run while going 0-7 against the spread. Meanwhile Boston has been playing some outstanding basketball behind the number one ranked defense in the entire NBA. It’s hard to believe that their game will improve this evening as both Tatum and Brown sat out Monday’s overtime loss in Toronto. Both star players are expected to return tonight (check status). The Celtics are on a killer run as they were on a six game straight up hot streak prior to that loss just two days ago. And they have been getting bettors paid going 6-1 against the spread the last seven. This is a big game with serious postseason implications. The Celtics, which are in better shape at the moment, want this victory to have that mental edge over the Heat come the playoffs. Miami is 0-4 against the spread the last four games played versus teams with a straight up winning record. Boston is 5-0 against the spread the last five games played following straight up loss. Take the Celtics. Thank you. |
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03-30-22 | Mavs -4.5 v. Cavs | 120-112 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
Dallas. LVSM Game 561. 4:10 pm pst. Sports fans, there are a few factors contributing to why I like the Dallas Mavericks today. For starters, Cleveland is without a few key players including Jarrett Allen. And last night Evan Mobley got a little bit banged-up and hurt his ankle a bit. Now it looks like (check status) he will be out this evening. On top of that, Luka Doncic played just under 30 minutes last night and he still scored 34 points and snagged 12 rebounds. He will be well rested here today as the Mavericks are looking for their fifth win over the last six games. The Cavaliers are now on a 0-5 no cover streak. There is one more item. The last meeting between these two teams back at the end of November Cleveland handed Dallas one of the worst home losses this season shellacking them 114-96. Revenge is a factor guys. The Mavericks are 7-2 against the spread the last nine games played at the Cavaliers, 4-0 against the spread the last four games played as a favorite, and 9-3 against the spread the last 12 games played versus teams with a winning record. Thanks Dallas. Thank you. |
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03-28-22 | Coastal Carolina +2.5 v. South Alabama | 69-68 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
TBC GOM. Game 887. 5:00 pm pst. You know sometimes when March rolls around it is difficult to try to gauge some of these matchups as they do not play each other during the regular season. However, today’s TBC matchup between Coastal Carolina South Alabama is not one of those times. These two teams both hail from the Sun Belt Conference. And let’s be honest, normally the top-four teams in every conference separate themselves from the rest. And these two representatives are right in the middle sporting 8-8 and 9-7 conference marks this season. They only met once this year as the Jaguars took a three-point win and cover over the Chanticleers. That contest took place about seven weeks ago. USA stole the victory with a three-point shot in the last minute. One thing you should take note of is that CC won the battle of the boards. They are one of the best offensive rebounds in squads in the nation and they’re pretty darn good on the defense of glass as well. They will take from the loss, come back here and avenge it. They possess one of the nastiest defenses in the country allowing just 65.1 points per game on 38.4% shooting. They have won and covered five of the last six games coming into today’s match up, both straight up and against the spread. On the other hand, the Jaguars have lost three of the last five both straight up and against the spread. This includes three consecutive no covers. The Chanticleers have too much muscle in the paint with center, Essam Mostafa. South Alabama is just 1-4 against spread the last five games played as a home favorite, 2-5 against the spread the last seven games played following an ATS loss, and 1-5 against the spread the last six games played overall. Coastal Carolina is 4-1 against the spread the last five games played as a road underdog, 4-1 against the spread their last five road games played versus teams with a winning home record, and 5-1 against the spread their last six games played overall. Take the Chanticleers. Thank you. |
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03-27-22 | Miami-FL +6 v. Kansas | 50-76 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
Miami Florida. Game 645. 11:20 am pst. Miami has played outstanding basketball over the last few weeks. They enter today’s Elite Eight contest covering all three Big Dance matchups. On the other hand, Kansas had their hands full in the last two rounds with Creighton and Providence, failing to cover both. The Hurricanes match up well with the Jayhawks. Offensively, look for Miami’s backcourt to control the tempo. Meanwhile defensively putting the same pressure on Kansas as they did the last several opponents. The Jayhawks were lucky to pull out the win against the Friars on Friday. The front court is struggling. And things will get worse here against the well-coached, aggressive ‘Canes defense. Miami is 19-6-1 against the spread the last 26 teams played as an underdog and 15-5-1 against the spread the last 21 games played overall. Kansas is 3-7 against the spread the last 10 games played followed an ATS loss and 1-5 against the spread the last six NCAA Tournament games. Take the Hurricanes. Thank you. |
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03-25-22 | Providence +7.5 v. Kansas | 61-66 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
Providence. Game 635. 4:25 pm pst. Providence enters today’s Sweet 16 contest knowing they totally dismantled each of their previous NCAA Tournament opponents. They devoured both South Dakota State and Richmond offensively while defensively holding both teams to an average of 54.0 points per game. Ed Cooley‘s boys are comprised of a slew of fourth-and-fifth-year college players. They have a ton of experience overall. Particularly in big game situations. And they are well-coached and disciplined. The Friars have accumulated a 27-5 record this season going 19-13 against the spread. They dominated the Big East conference, which happens to be one of the most physical leagues in college basketball. This will be an issue for the Jayhawks. Yes, Kansas has some big strong players. And yes, they can score points. But Providence counters that offense with a big, strong front court and a very talented back court. As I mentioned, the Jayhawks have had issues once again this season when facing opponents that play aggressive and physical basketball. This match up certainly favors the Friars. They are 19-7 against the spread the last 26 games played as an underdog, 19-7 against the spread the last 26 games played versus teams with a winning record, and 5-2 against the spread the last seven games played overall. Take Providence. Thank you |
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03-24-22 | Houston +1.5 v. Arizona | 72-60 | Win | 100 | 16 h 46 m | Show | |
Houston. Game 623. 6:59 pm pst. In any sport, postseason experience plays a significant factor. Having said that, this is the third straight season that Houston has advanced to the Sweet 16. Meanwhile, Arizona is making its first Sweet 16 appearance in six years. Basketball particularly at the collegiate level is about matchups. With all respect to the Wildcats and their high-powered offense, the Cougars defense own the best defense they’ve seen in quite a while. Houston enters this contest winning and covering all five of their postseason games and going back a little bit, is on a 9-1 run both straight up and against the spread. I mentioned matchups earlier. The Cougars have the size and the speed to slow down the Wildcats offense and they certainly will dominate on the glass here. Aside from their size upfront, their backcourt is just as fast, just as talented, and just as savvy. Houston is 12-3 against the spread the last 15 games played as an underdog and 25-9 against the spread the last 34 games played on neutral sites. Arizona is 0-4 against the spread the last four NCAA tournament games played as a favorite, and 4-11 against the spread the last 15 games played on neutral sites. Take the Cougars. Thank you. |
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03-24-22 | Michigan v. Villanova -5 | 55-63 | Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show | |
Villanova. Game 626. 4:29 pm pst. Michigan making it this far has certainly been a nice story. But stories are made for you to read to your children at bedtime. And it’s time for the Wolverines to be put to sleep. One thing for sure, this is a team that was inconsistent all season long. Case in point, they have won two games in a row in this Tournament, but they have not won three consecutive games this entire campaign. Villanova has been the epitome of the word “consistent.” They played strong basketball throughout the entire regular season and swept through the postseason winning all five outings. Center, Hunter Dickinson is going to give any opponent problems. However, his supporting cast isn’t as deep or as strong as their adversary’s is here today. The Wildcats have the muscle and the big men to rotate on the 7’1” standout. Two more major factors benefit the Wildcats. The first is being that they have a nasty, swarming defense that will frustrate the Wolverines offense for sure. The second thing is that this is going to be a very physical game. And when it comes down to free throws, they also possess the number one ranked free-throw shooting team in the nation. A place where Michigan has had problems the entire year. The Wildcats are 17-4 against the spread the last 21 NCAA Tournament games played as a favorite. The Wolverines are 1-7 against this spread the last eight games played following an ATS win. Take Villanova. Thank you. |
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03-24-22 | Arkansas +9.5 v. Gonzaga | 74-68 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
Arkansas. Game 627. 4:09 pm pst. Sports fans, I am not looking to take away anything from Gonzaga. The Bulldogs certainly deserve all the praise and accolades in the world. They’re a very good basketball team. But I think we can all agree that their level of competition overall, might not be a strong as their adversary here today faces. They only lost three games this season. They lost at the end of November to a mediocre, Duke team. They lost in the beginning of December to a mediocre Alabama team. And I will give them a mulligan on the final game of the regular season losing by 10 to Saint Mary’s. It’s true, overall, the Razorbacks numbers on both ends of the court aren’t as impressive. But they also play much tougher competition. And they enter today’s match up on a 17-3 straight up run. When Jaylin Williams is your number four scorer in the postseason, your offense is clicking on all cylinders. Gonzaga certainly has an advantage upfront between Drew Timme and Andrew Nembhard. But Eric Musselman utilizes his bench as good as any coach in the game. This is way too many points to give an Arkansas team that is 4-0 against the spread the last four games played as an underdog, 10-4 against the spread the last 13 games played following a straight up win, and 15-5 against the spread the last 20 games played overall. By the way, Gonzaga is point spread poison, going 0-4-1 against the spread the last five games played versus teams with a winning percentage above .600, 0-4 against the spread the last four NCAA Tournament games played as a favorite, and 1-3-1 against the spread the last five games played following an ATS loss. Take Arkansas. Thank you. |