Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-11-23 | Nuggets +3.5 v. Suns | 125-100 | Win | 100 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
Denver Nuggets. Slam Dunk Play. Game 556. 7:00 PM PST/10:00 PM EST. To say this series has been “heated“, would be an understatement. These two teams seriously do not like each other. To say that the Nuggets are a better team, would also be an understatement. I think we could all agree that Nikola Jokic has shined, while Deandre Ayton has tarnished. The absence of Chris Paul certainly plays a part in the outcome of this matchup. Losing a player with his postseason experience is significant. But this is still a professional basketball team, the Phoenix Suns, that are 51-41 this season. They seemed to have a real look of defeat on their faces and the faces of their coaching staff at the end of last game. Just since the beginning of January, these two Western Conference rivals have met eight times, as Denver has covered six of those eight meetings. Now they come in here with a chance to eliminate a hated rival from the postseason. Making them underdog is a serious mistake made by the odds makers. The Suns are just 3-8 ATS their last 11 games played versus teams with a winning percentage of .600. Oh and by the way, they are also 2-5 ATS their last seven Conference Semifinal games. Take Denver. Thank you. |
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05-11-23 | Celtics v. 76ers +2.5 | 95-86 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
Philadelphia 76ers. Fast Break Play. Game 554. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. Boston was leading the series 2-1 and then things fell apart for the Celtics. Philadelphia has taken the last two games and have an opportunity to eliminate their Eastern Conference rival from the postseason. I keep hearing about Joel Embiid’s injury issues. My friends, on a bad knee the other night, he accounted for 33-points, seven rebounds, and four blocks. So, don’t put any stick into the injury rumors. Feeling the pressure now having to take it to the road, Boston is in big trouble. I just don’t see them coming back. Momentum is definitely on the side of Philadelphia. And momentum means quite a bit in the NBA. Now they got to close out the series of a hated rival at home in front of their loyal fan base. The 76ers are 27-13 ATS their last 40 games played at home, 5-2, ATS their last seven games played on one days rest, and 9-2 ATS their last 11 games played overall. Take Philadelphia. Thank you. |
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05-10-23 | Tigers +106 v. Guardians | 5-0 | Win | 106 | 3 h 39 m | Show | |
Detroit Tigers. Game 915. 10:10 AM PST/110 PM EST. The AL Central currently has just one team sporting a winning record. The Twins, at 19-17 own a two-game lead over the Guardians, which sit at 17-19. The Tigers are just a half-game behind them at 16-19. Detroit has fared well against division rivals, winning 11 of their last 14 games played against the AL Central. They took the opening game of this series. But did drop Game 2, yesterday. This is a team that has won five of their last seven overall games played on the road and six of their last eight games played overall. They get us bettors paid, folks. Scheduled starters today are Rodriguez and Battenfield. The Tigers left-hander is 3-2 with a 1.81 ERA on the season. Over his career, in five starts against the Guardians, he is 3-0 with a 3.12 ERA. Getting the start at home, the right-hander is winless in 2023, going to 0-3 with a 4.07 ERA. There is an argument that he just hasn’t gotten any run support this season. But you can’t ignore the facts, the trends, and the stats. The team has lost all five games that he has made an appearance in. This does include his four starts. Overall, Cleveland is just 2-6 their last eight games played following a win and 1-9 their last 10 games played versus left-handed starters. Take Detroit. Thank you. |
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05-09-23 | Suns v. Nuggets -6 | 102-118 | Win | 100 | 9 h 0 m | Show | |
Denver Nuggets. Slam Dunk Play. Game 548. 7:00 PM PST/10:00 PM EST. All four meetings in this playoff series have been won and covered by the home team. Denver took the first two at home, while Phoenix took the last two at home. Now this series moves back to the Ball Arena, a place that is by far the hardest in the NBA for any visitor to be successful at. The Nuggets are 39-7 straight up at home this season. Just going back the last several weeks, they have covered six of their last seven games played as host. We all know the Suns are not the greatest road team, sporting a 19-26 away record this season. They have failed to cover four of their last five games played as a guest. There is no question in my mind that Denver is a better team than Phoenix. And being that they allowed the Suns to even up this series on the road, I look for them to come out with a vengeance here tonight, prove something, and get a big win and cover. They have covered five of their last seven overall meetings in this Western Conference rivalry. Take the Nuggets. Thank you. |
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05-09-23 | Dodgers v. Brewers +108 | 6-2 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
Milwaukee Brewers. NL GOW. Game 956. 4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST. We all know the Dodgers are once again, a force to be reckoned with. But my friends, as opposed to previous seasons, they are looking a bit mortal this season, especially on the road, where there are just 9-9 thus far. They were taken down in Game 1 of this series yesterday, 9-3. As a matter fact, the Brewers have taken three of the last five meetings, going back to last season in this National League rivalry. I know the beginning of May was a little tough for Milwaukee. But they have gotten back on track, winning their last two outings. This is a team with one of the best pitching staffs in baseball, ranking eighth, with a Team ERA of 3.58. Today’s schedule starters are Noah Syndergaard, and Eric Lauer. The Dodgers right-hander is off to an atrocious start to the campaign, going 1-3 with a 6.32 ERA this season. Don’t be fooled by his career record against today’s opponent as he is 2-1 was a 2.76n ERA in five lifetime appearances versus Milwaukee. He hasn’t faced the Brewers since April of 2019. He is allowing a lot of earned runs and a lot of home runs. The Brewers left-hander is 3-3 with a 4.40 ERA in 2023. Over his career in 11 starts against Los Angeles, he is 7-1 with a 2.37 ERA, which happens to be a .875 winning percentage, the best among out of pitchers versus Los Angeles with at least eight decisions. With Syndergaard struggling and Lauer’s successful history against the Dodgers, I am compelled to side with the home team here. By the way, the Dodgers 1-5 their six road games played versus left-handed starters. The Brewers are 4-1 their last five games played at home. Take Milwaukee. Thank you. |
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05-09-23 | 76ers +7.5 v. Celtics | 115-103 | Win | 100 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
Philadelphia 76ers. First Break play. Game 545. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. With the series now tied at 2–2, I feel we’re going to see a very competitive game here. It seems that Philadelphia’s success rides on the success of James Harden. If he plays, well, they win. If he doesn’t, they do not. I really feel the line here is inflated. I just don’t see Boston being a 7.5-point favorite, even at home. The 76ers are an excellent road team winning 28 of their 45 games played away from home this season. They have covered five of their last six games played as a visitor and eight of their last 10 games played overall. They have been very good to us bettors against the number. Granted, the Celtics are pretty good ATS as well. But once again, I just feel the odds makers have put out an inflated line here. Take Philadelphia. Thank you. |
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05-09-23 | Rays -129 v. Orioles | 2-4 | Loss | -129 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay Rays. Double Play release. Game 965. 3:35 PM PST/6:35 PM EST. Tampa Bay continues to play at such a high level, winning out of their last 10, including Game1 of this series yesterday. Baltimore, which sits 6.5-games behind them in the American League East, has dropped three straight, as their offense is starting to struggle. Going back to last season, the Rays have taken three straight over the Orioles, and overall, 37 of their last 52 meetings. Eflin and Rodriguez are scheduled here today. The Tampa Bay right-hander is 4-0 with a 2.25 ERA on the campaign. The team has won all five of his starts in 2023. He is averaging over five innings per outing. And has only allowed seven earned runs in 28.0 innings pitched. The Baltimore right-hander is 1-0 with a 5.46 ERA on the campaign. Despite the team winning his last outing, he allowed six earned runs in just 3.2 innings pitched. Tampa Bay has won six of their last seven games played on the road, four of their last five versus the A.L. East, and six of their last seven versus teams with a winning record. take the Rays. Thank you. |
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05-08-23 | Dodgers -102 v. Brewers | 3-9 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
Los Angeles Dodgers. Home Run Play. Game 905. 4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST. The Dodgers are surging, winning eight of their last nine outings coming into today’s Game 1 matchup with the Brewers. They catch Milwaukee struggling, dropping six of their last seven contests. The Brewers have been dominated in this rivalry, taking losses in eight of the last 11 meetings with the Dodgers. Tony Gonsolin and Freddy Peralta are scheduled starters here. The Los Angeles right-hander is 0-0 with a 3.38 ERA in 2023. A season ago, he made his only two career starts against Milwaukee, going 2-0 with a 0.75 ERA. The Milwaukee right-hander is 3-2 with a 3.63 ERA on the campaign. In three lifetime turns facing L.A., he is 1-1 with a 1.93 ERA. The team has lost three of his last four starts. Despite respectable numbers, Peralta allows hits, gives up runs (especially the long ball), and is going through some control issues, walking batters. The Brewers are 1-5 their last six games played against the NL West, 2-5 their last seven games played against right-handed starters, 1-4 their last five games played during Game 1 of a series, and 1-6 their last seven games played overall. Take the Dodgers. Thank you. |
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05-06-23 | Dodgers +113 v. Padres | 2-1 | Win | 113 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
Los Angeles Dodgers. Game 909. 5:40 PM PST/8:40 PM EST. A season ago, Los Angeles got the better of San Diego, taking 14 of 19 regular season matchups. However, when they met in October, the Padres sent them home packing for the season. The Dodgers dropped Game 1 of this series yesterday, 5-2. That followed a six-game win streak. L.A. is now just a half-game ahead of the Arizona in the West. And if there are not careful, can lose control of this division very quickly. They must win here today, my friends. Over their careers, starter Blake Snell has done better against the Dodgers lineup than counterpart, Dustin May has done against the Padres offense. But this season things are going very differently for these two pitchers. The Los Angeles right-hander is 3-1 with a 3.15 ERA on the campaign. He comes off back-to-back victories. The San Diego left-hander is just 1-4 with a whopping ERA of 5.28 in 2023. The team has dropped five of the six turns this season. In each of his outings, he has allowed no less than two earned runs. One more item my friends, in five consecutive performances Snell has allowed at least one home run. This does not fare well as he must take the mound 60-feet away from the third-best home run hitting team in baseball. The Padres are just 2-5 their last seven home games played versus a team with a winning record. The Dodgers are 60-26 their last 86 games played following a loss, 48-22 their last 70 games played versus the NL West, and 70-27 their last 97 games played versus right-handed starters. Take Los Angeles. Thank you. |
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05-06-23 | Twins -105 v. Guardians | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
Minnesota Twins. Game 913. 3:10 PM PST/6:10 PM EST. Very quietly, the Minnesota Twins have taken control of the American League Central with a four-game lead. This is a team that has a winning record, both at home and on the road. Something that is a rarity these days. The Cleveland Guardians sit in third place in the division, 4.5-games back. They have lost three straight outings, including Game 1 of the series yesterday, 2-0. A season ago, the Guardians had their way with the Twins, taking eight of the final nine matchups between these division rivals. However, 2023 is a very different campaign for them. Their offense, or should I say, lack of offense, ranks at or near the bottom in every major category. They rank 27th in scoring, 29th in batting average, 30th in OPS, and 30th in home runs. I am afraid things are going to go from bad to worse for the team as they go up against the Majors third-ranked pitching staff here. I mean their lineup has accounted for three runs or less in 12 of their last 16 outings. Sonny Gray and Logan Allen are schedule starters here. The Minnesota right-hander is off to an amazing start, going 4-0 with an anemic ERA of 0.77, which leads the Majors. He has made six starts this season, in which the team has won five of those 6 turns. And by the way, he has not allowed more than one earned run in any outing in 2023. The Cleveland left-hander is off to a good start as well, going 1-1 with a 2.45 ERA. However, he has only made two starts. He hasn’t worked out the kinks yet. Playing at home would normally benefit a team. But the Guardians are a dismal 4-9 at Progressive Field this season. They are also 0-5 their last five games played during Game 2 of a series, 1-4 their last five games played versus right-handed starters, at 1-5 their last six games played overall. Take Minnesota. Thank you. |
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05-05-23 | Nuggets +4.5 v. Suns | 114-121 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 35 m | Show | |
Denver Nuggets. Game 531. 7:00 PM PST/10:00 PM EST. Sports fans, I expect this game to be the most competitive yet in this series. We all know Denver is up 2-0 in this round as they have taken both games so far with at home with authority. They took Game 1 by 18-points and Game 2 by 10-points. We are also all well aware of the fact that they are a much better home team than they are a road team. The same could be said for Phoenix. And normally being down 2-0 in a series and going home for your first contest played in front of your fans, I would look to play that team. However, the Nuggets did cover the last two games played at the Footprint Center. But that’s not all, folks. The Suns will be without Chris Paul. While he hasn’t put up monstrous numbers this round, the point guard is a true veteran that has a ton, and I mean a ton of postseason experience. He has averaged a lot of minutes both during the regular and the postseason. They lose a true seasoned veteran with him on the bench here tonight. I think that will be a major factor in this matchup. Please remember Denver has covered five straight meetings in this rivalry, their last five games played on three or more days rest, 20 of their last 28 games played versus teams with a winning record, five of their last six games played following a straight up win, and six of their last eight games played overall. Meanwhile Phoenix has only covered one of their last five games played on three or more days rest, three of their last 10 games played following a straight up loss, one of their last five games played versus teams with a winning record, none of their last four Conference Semifinal games played, and only one of their last five games played overall. I have to take the points with the Nuggets. Thank you. |
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05-05-23 | Dodgers -107 v. Padres | 2-5 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
Los Angeles Dodgers. Home Run Play. Game 957. 6:40 PM PST/9:40 PM EST. Oh boy! The Dodgers have had this series circled since the schedule came out. During the 2022 regular season, Los Angeles went 14-5 against San Diego. They even took the NL West. However, when they met in October for the NLDS, they were sent home early to play golf instead of competing for the National League Pennant. Revenge is a dish best served, cold my friends. And the Dodgers are looking to serve up some revenge here today. They enter this series opener here, red-hot, winning six in a row and eight of their last 10 outings. Granted, the Padres have won seven of their last 10 as well. However, Los Angeles has accounted for six or more runs in seven of those eight victories over the last 10 contests. Their offense is absolutely exploding. Today’s pitching matchups are Kershaw and Darvish. The Dodgers left-hander is 5-1 with a 1.89 ERA on the campaign. And in his career, in 45 starts against San Diego, he is 23-9 with a 2.03 ERA. By the way, if you’re worried about him pitching on the road, don’t be, as Kershaw is 11-4 with a 1.87 ERA in 20 starts at Petco Park. The Padres right-hander is 1-2 with a 3.60 ERA in 2023. Against the Dodgers in his career, he is 3-5 with a 2.47 ERA in 10 starts. The team has lost three of his five turns this season. And he does come off a very poor performance, despite the team winning, allowing four earned runs in six innings pitched against San Francisco less than a week ago. Oh, by the way, San Diego is also 2-5 their last seven home games played versus teams with a winning record and 1-5 their last six games played following an off day. Take Los Angeles. Thank you. |
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05-04-23 | Orioles -173 v. Royals | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 3 h 12 m | Show | |
Baltimore Orioles. |
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05-03-23 | Angels -123 v. Cardinals | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
Los Angeles Angels. Home Run Play. Game 979. 4:45 PM, PST/7:45 PM EST. My friends, the line is way off in this matchup. The Angels, which have won five of their last seven outings including yesterday’s Game 1 matchup with the Cardinals, are playing some very solid baseball. On the other hand, one of the biggest disappointments so far this season is the Cardinals, which are in the cellar of the NL Central, 10-games back in the division, tied for the poorest record in the NL. So why is this line so off? Because Ohtani comes off his worst performance of the season, while Mikolas comes off his best performance of the campaign. The Los Angeles right-hander is 4-0 with a 1.85 ERA on the campaign. One thing for sure, he rarely has back-to-back “off“ outings. The team has won his last five turns, sports fans. And I expect him to be revved up and motivated here today. The Cardinals right-hander is 1-1 with a 5.97 ERA on the campaign. And prior to his last outing, in which he allowed zero earned runs, he was roughed up in just about every performance thus far. The Angels average nearly a run more per game on offense, while their pitching staff allows nearly a run less per game. Something I want you to take it to consideration folks is that the Cardinals have dropped seven of their last eight outings. In those seven defeats, they have averaged a mere, 2.0 runs per game. I expect Ohtani to come out here with something to prove against a lackluster lineup, while his offense gets him quite a bit of run support. Los Angeles is 4-1 their last five games played against right-handed starters, while St. Louis is just 1-7 their last eight games played versus the American League West. Oh, by the way, they are also 3-8 their last 11 games played at home and 7-27 their last 27 games played versus right-handed starters. Take the Angels. Thank you. |
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05-02-23 | Orioles -156 v. Royals | Top | 11-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
Baltimore Orioles. Double Play. Game 917. 4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST. Playing in the most the competitive division in baseball with the Major Leagues top team, the Baltimore Orioles are getting too much ink. However, very quietly they are just 3.5-games behind the Tampa Bay Rays in the division and overall possess the third best record in the Majors at 19-9. This does include a 10-5 away mark. They travel to Kauffman Stadium to face a team with the second-worst record in all of baseball, the Kansas City Royals. K.C. is just 7-22, which does include the poorest home record in the Majors, A deplorable, 1-12 when hosting. This is the first meeting between these two teams this season. But the Orioles enter today’s Game 1 matchup on the 1122 run, while the Royals are just 3-12 their last 15 outings. Both at the plate and on the mound, Baltimore is just simply far better. They average almost two runs a game more, while their pitching staff allows more than a run less. Just over the last nine outings, the explosive Baltimore lineup has accounted for five or more runs twice. Tyler Wells and Ryan Yarbrough are scheduled for today. The Baltimore right-hander is 1-1 with a 2.79 ERA this season. The team has won four of his five turns and he has looked spectacular so far. The Kansas City left-hander is 0-3 with a 6.35 ERA on the campaign. Both as a starter and as a reliever, he has made quite a few appearances in 2023. However, the team has lost each of his last three appearances. The Orioles are 35-16 their last 51 games played in Game 1 of a series, 8-2 their last 10 games played following a win, 6-1 their last seven games played on the road, 6-1 their last seven games played versus left-handed starters, and 7-1 their last eight games played versus the AL Central. I can give you a ton of stats and trends about the Royals. But they are all ugly. Take Baltimore. Thank you. |
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05-02-23 | Braves +114 v. Marlins | 6-0 | Win | 114 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
Atlanta Braves on the money line. Home Run Play. Game 901. 3:40 PM PST/6:40 PM EST. Tuesday, April 2, 2023. Sports fans, the Braves are proving that last season’s success was no fluke. With over a month of the regular season in the rearview, they lead the competitive, NL East by three-games, at 19-10. They aren’t just winning, they are winning with authority. No team in all of the Majors are a strong as Atlanta is on the road. They are an astounding, 12-3 when they travel this season. They visit LoanDepot Park to face the divisions second-place team, the Miami Marlins. The Marlins are a respectable 16-13, which does include a 10-6 record at home. These two rivals met a week ago in Atlanta, as the Braves took the series 3-1. Atlanta outscored Miami 28-13. Going back a little further, to say Atlanta has gotten the better of Miami would be an understatement. They have taken seven of the last 10 meetings and 62 of the last overall 88 matchups. Bryce Elder and Sandy Alcantara are schedule starters here. The Atlanta right-hander is off to a wonderful start, sporting a 2-0 record with a 2.17 ERA. The team has won four of his five turns in 2023. Over his career, the 23-year-old has made five starts against the Marlins, going 0-2 with a 3.54 ERA. But this season he is looking very different from previous campaigns. Speaking of looking differently this season, the Marlins, right-hander is off to a deplorable start, going 1-2 with a whopping ERA of 5.04. People expected a lot more of Alcantara, who is the reigning National League Cy Young Award winner. In 11 career starts against the Braves, he is 4-2 with a 2.48 ERA. But as I mentioned a moment ago, things are very different for him this season. As a matter of fact, the team has dropped four of his five turns in 2023. Both at the plate and on the mound, Atlanta significantly outclasses Miami. They average nearly a run and a half more on offense, while their pitching staff allows nearly a full run less. The Braves are 4-1 their last five games played versus teams with a winning record, 4-1 their last five games played versus right-handed starters, 5-2 their last seven games played versus the NL East, and 36-15 their last 51 games played during Game 1 of a series. Take Atlanta. Thank you. |
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05-01-23 | Suns v. Nuggets OVER 228.5 | 87-97 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
Over in the Phoenix Suns/Denver Nuggets matchup. Games 513/514. 7:05 PM PST/10:05 PM EST. Game 1 of this series went over the total to now make it five overs in the last seven meetings between these two Western Conference rivals. The first game saw Denver absolutely embarrass Phoenix, 125-107. Kevin Durant committed an uncharacteristic seven turnovers. The Suns also shot just 7-23 from downtown. I expect Phoenix to come in here a little bit stronger and motivated. The way both offenses are lighting up the scoreboard, you can expect a very high-scoring affair. The over came in eight of Phoenix’s his last nine outings and seven of Denver’s last nine contests. These two teams do not match up well with one another defensively. You can expect another high-scoring game as I mentioned earlier. The over is 4-1 the last five meetings in Denver, 10 of the Suns last 12 games played on the road, and five of the Nuggets last six games played versus teams with a winning record. Take the over. Thank you. |
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04-30-23 | Guardians +111 v. Red Sox | 1-7 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 9 m | Show | |
Cleveland Guardians. Game 913. 10:35 AM PST/1:35 PM EST. Cleveland took Game 1 of this series and lost a heartbreaker yesterday in Game 2 in extra innings. This is a team that has been very successful on the road, winning 19 of the last 27 games played as a guest. Logan Allen and Chris Sale are scheduled starters here. The Guardians left-hander owns a 1-0 record with a 1.50 ERA on the campaign, while the Red Sox left-hander is just 1-2 with a whopping ERA of 8.22 this season. Sale has not won since his second start back on April 6, going 0-2 in three decisions since. He is having problems with control and over his career in 31 appearances, which includes 20 starts against Cleveland, he is just 5-8 with a 4.76 ERA. The Red Sox are 1-5 the last six games played following a win. Take Cleveland. Thank you. |
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04-29-23 | Cardinals v. Dodgers -144 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
Los Angeles Dodgers. Game 962. 6:10 PM, PST/9:10 PM EST. The Dodgers, which have won six of their last 10 outings, are currently sitting one-game behind the Diamondbacks in the NL West. My friends, taking a backseat to any team in the division, does not sit well with Los Angeles. They enter today’s matchup following yesterday’s Game 1 win over St. Louis, 7-3. They have had their way in this NL rivalry. Going back to last season, they have taken three in a row and five of the last six meetings. Jordan Montgomery and Clayton Kershaw are scheduled here today. The Cardinals left-hander is 2-3 with a 3.81 record on the campaign. The team has lost his last three turns. On the other hand, the Dodgers left-hander is 4-1 with a 2.32 ERA on the season. The team has won four of his five turns in 2023. In 20 career regular season starts against the St. Louis, Kershaw is a very respectable, 9-5 with a wonderful ERA of 2.97, striking out 134 batters in 124 1/3 innings pitch. In his only start against Los Angeles a season ago, Montgomery was shelled for 6 earned runs in just 4-0 innings pitched. He allowed a whopping three home runs in that short stint, my friends. L.A. currently ranks second in the Majors in home runs, hitting a whopping 47 round-trippers. It looks like it’s going to be another long day for the Cardinals pitching staff. They are just 1-5 the last six meetings in Los Angeles, 1-4 the last five overall games played on the road, 5-12 the last 17 games played versus teams with a winning record, and 1-4 the last five games played overall. Take the Dodgers. Thank you. |
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04-28-23 | Grizzlies v. Lakers -4.5 | Top | 85-125 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
Los Angeles Lakers. Game 550. 7:30 PM PST/10:30 PM EST Up 3-2, Los Angeles cannot afford to allow Memphis to tie this series up. Playing at the Crypto.com Arena certainly benefits the Lakers, as they have covered four consecutive meetings against the Grizzlies on their home court. What furthermore prompts me to side with them here in this game 6 matchup is the fact that they were absolutely humiliated in Game 5 on the road, 116-99. That was an embarrassing loss. And that’s something that does not sit well with King James and company. Whether you love him or love to hate him, LeBron James is one of the most successful postseason players in the history of the NBA. He wins when it counts. Memphis has won just one of their last six games played on the road, seven of their last 22 road games played versus teams with the winning home record, none of the last six games played following a straight up win, and just three of their last seven games played overall. Take Los Angeles. Thank you. |
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04-28-23 | Angels v. Brewers -129 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
Milwaukee Brewers. Game 926 5:10 PM, PST/8:10 PM EST. With all respect to Los Angeles Angels, which does possess quite a bit of talent, in my opinion, they are one of the most inconsistent and erratic teams in baseball. Let’s face it, they’re sitting at 14-12 overall, which does include a 6-7 road record. They come off a series with the Oakland A’s in which they took the last three of a four game home stand. As a matter fact, this is the first time they are away from home since the 20th of the month. On the other hand, Milwaukee is a very good team. They are 16-9, which does include a respectable home record of 7-5. When it comes to Interleague play, statistics can be very deceiving as teams don’t face one another sometimes for several years. That is the case here. The last time these two teams met was April of 2019. So, folks the trends and streaks in this rivalry can be thrown out the window. Today’s schedule starters are Anderson and Miley. The Los Angeles last-hander, despite a 1-0 record, possesses a whopping ERA of 7.20. He has allowed 16 runs over his last three outings, in which he went a total of 13.3 innings pitched. By the way, the team has lost his last two turns. The Brewers left-hander is 3-1 with a 1.96 ERA on the campaign. The team has won three of his four starts this season. He has allowed a total of five earned runs in 23 innings pitched, blanking two opponents. Over his career in eight starts versus the Angels, he is a very respectful 5-1 with a 3.30 ERA. Anderson in four lifetime starts against the Brewers is 2-2 with a 5.82 ERA. He has done very poorly at American Family Field, allowing 14 runs in 14 2/3 innings pitched, going 1-2 is 8.59 ERA. Los Angeles is just 2-5 their last seven games played on the road, 5-13 their last 18 Interleague games played, and 2-10 their last 12 road games played versus left-handed starters. On the other hand, Milwaukee is 4-0 their last four games played versus the American League West, 4-0 their last four games played at home versus teams with a winning record, 20-8 their last 28 Interleague games played, and 7-2 their last nine games played versus teams with a winning record. Take Milwaukee. Thank you. |
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04-28-23 | Rays -144 v. White Sox | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
Tampa Bay Rays. GAME OF THE MONTH Game 919. 4:10 PM PST for 7:10 PM EST. Many people thought in the preseason that Tampa Bay and Chicago had a good shot at fighting it out for the American League Pennant down the road. However, a month into the campaign, Tampa Bay sits atop the American League East at 21-5, which by the way, is the best overall record in baseball, while Chicago dwells in fourth place in the Central at 7-19. The Rays, which have won seven of their last nine, travel to Guaranteed Rate Field to take on a White Sox squad riding an eight-game slide. Tampa Bay swept Chicago three games to none at home, less than a week ago. Both on the mound at the plate, they outclass their opponent here as they top the Majors in both Team ERA (2.83) and RPG (6.58). Eflin is certainly off to a much better start than Giolito. And over their careers, he has fared much better against today’s opponent than his counterpart. Chicago is just 1-4 their last five games played at home, 7-20 their last 27 games played versus the AL East, and 1-10 their last 11 games played against right-handed starters. Take Tampa Bay. Thank you. |
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04-28-23 | Braves -126 v. Mets | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
Atlanta Braves. Game 905. 4:10 PM PST/7:10 PM EST. All of last season, even before it started, I preached that the Braves are the best team in the NL East. They battled it out with the Mets and edged them out because they took the season series 10-9. I’m here to tell you that once again this season, Atlanta is a much better team than New York. Let’s face it, they have the Mets number. They took four in a row and six of the last seven meetings in this rivalry. They enter this matchup scoring a bit more at the plate and allowing a bit less on the mound. Max Fried is certainly without question a much stronger, better, more consistent, and reliable pitcher than David Peterson. The Atlanta southpaw is 1-0 with a 0.60 ERA this season, while the New York left-hander is 1-3 with a 7.36 ERA. The Braves have been nearly unstoppable on the road, winning eight of their last nine while taking five of their last seven versus the NL East, and 38 of their last 53 versus left-handed starters. Take Atlanta. Thank you. |
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04-27-23 | A's v. Angels -1.5 | Top | 7-8 | Loss | -140 | 5 h 57 m | Show |
Los Angeles Angels on the run line. AL West Game of the Month. Game 962. 1:07 PM PST/4:0 7 PM EST. Without question, the Oakland A’s are the worst team in baseball. Just in the last week of April, at 5-20, this team is already 9.5-games back in the NL West, dwelling in the division cellar. Their offense ranks 27th in both runs scored and Team batting average, accounting for just 3.68 runs per game and hitting just .225. Their pitching staff is the poorest in the Majors, with a Team ERA of 7.97. They face a division rival in the Los Angeles Angels, which has had their number. LA has taken four of the six meetings between these two teams this season, including the last two matchups. The Angels, on the other hand, possess some pretty good stats. They rank fifth in baseball, accounting for over 5.24 runs per game. And their pitching staff is still in the top half, with a Team ERA of 3.98. Speaking of pitchers, JP Sears and Shohei Ohtani are scheduled here today. The A’s left-hander is 0-1 with a 4.98 ERA’s on the campaign. He has allowed at least two earned runs in every outing this season. The Angels right-hander is 3-0 with an anemic 0.64 ERA in five starts on the campaign. He has yet to give up more than three hits in a game. He will be facing Oakland for the 12th time over his career, which is the most he’s faced any Major League team. He has a 4-4 record against them in his career, with a 2.66 ERA. My friends, Oakland is struggling so badly, they have dropped eight of their last 10 games overall, and only twice in those last 10 outings, have they scored more than three runs. Their lineup is deplorable to say the least. And I doubt that they are going to have any success here against Ohtani. Let alone, against a bullpen that has certainly improving. THE A’s are just 1-5 their last six games played at the Angels, 1-4 their last five games played versus the AL West, 18-43 their last 61 games played versus right-handed starters, and 17-40 their last 57 games played on the road. By the way folks, each of the four victories Los Angeles has over Oakland, this season, not one has come by just one run. Take the Angels on the run line. Thank you. |
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04-26-23 | Heat +12 v. Bucks | 128-126 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
Miami Heat. Game 527. 6:30 PM PST/9:30 PM EST. With another victory, Miami will send Milwaukee home for the season. Not many out there gave the Heat a chance in this series with the Bucks. After all, Milwaukee was the top seed. While the Heat are dealing with injuries, what has helped them is the way head coach Eric Spoelstra has rotated in players in their absence. It makes it very difficult for Milwaukee to prepare for any one starting lineup. You can expect the Greek Freak to come out here today and try to take this series on his shoulders. However, this will also benefit Miami, as Milwaukee’s offense will become more one-dimensional. No matter what, you can expect the Heat, which have covered seven of their last 10 overall meetings with the Bucks, to come out here and be extremely competitive. They do not want their opponent to gain any momentum. They have also covered five consecutive outings played on one days rest. Meanwhile, the Bucks have failed to cover five of their last six games played overall and four straight outings played on one days rest. Take Miami. Thank you. |
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04-26-23 | Padres v. Cubs +100 | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
Chicago Cubs. Home Run Play. Game 908. 4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST. Chicago took Game 1 of this series with a authority, blanking San Diego, 6-0. That victory brought the Cubs two .500 this season at Wrigley Field, at 7-7. Both at the plate and on the mound, the Cubs significantly outclass the Padres. They average over two runs per game more in scoring, while they’re pitching staff is yielding nearly one run per game less. Speaking of pitching, Michael Wacha and Drew Smyly are scheduled today. Despite a 2-1 record, the San Diego, right-hander has a whopping ERA of 7.08. He comes off two very bad outings, getting smoked for 12 earned runs in just 8.1 combined innings pitched. The Cubs left-hander is also 2-1. However, he possesses a 3.13 ERA. The team has won his last three starts, in which he has allowed a total of two earned runs in just under 18 innings pitched. If you recall, he was very close to a perfect game in his last outing. Normally, I would love to fade a pitcher on the following start. However, he’s looking to prove a point here. And he can against the team he has been successful against. In four career games, which includes two starts against the Padres, he is 1-1 with a 2.04 ERA. In his past seven home starts, Smyly is 3-1 with an anemic ERA of 0.89. The Padres are just 1-5 their last six games played versus the NL Central and 0-4 their last four games played versus left-handed starters. Take Chicago. Thank you. |
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04-26-23 | Knicks +6 v. Cavs | 106-95 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
New York Knicks. Game 529. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. A lot of people did not give the New York Knicks even a slim chance in this series with the Cleveland Cavaliers. Coming into the postseason, Cleveland possessed the NBA’s top-ranked scoring defense. However, the switch has been flipped in this match up with New York, as the Knicks have swarmed them with a stifling defense, allowing just 94.0-points per game. In the series opener, the New York proved that they can beat the Cleveland on their own court. My friends, New York has covered six of their last seven meetings with Cleveland going back to December. By the way, they’ve also won six of their last seven meetings straight up. They are a monster road team as far as us bettor‘s are concerned, going 37-16-1 ATS their last 54 games played on the road. They also seem to step up against good teams against the spread, covering 16 of their last 21 games played versus teams of the winning percentage above .600. Meanwhile, Cleveland has struggled, covering just one of their last five games played at home and one of their last six games played versus teams with a straight up winning record. Take the Knicks. Thank you. |
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04-25-23 | Padres v. Cubs -116 | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
Chicago Cubs. HOME RUN PLAY. Game 958. 4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST. We are just be about a month into the season. But make no mistake of it, his is an important game for the Chicago Cubs. A win here would bring them back to .500 at Wrigley field this season. It would also give them some well needed payback for getting swept four games to none the last time they met the San Diego Padres. Very quietly, Chicago possesses a top-three offense in several categories, including the most important, scoring. They rank third in the Majors, accounting for over 5.76 runs per game. Their pitching is also doing quite well. They possess a pitching staff ranking ninth with a Team ERA of 3.67. Speaking of pitching, Blake Snell and Justin Steele are scheduled here today. Snell is just 0-3 with a 6.00 ERA on the campaign, while Steele is 3-0 with a 1.44 ERA this season. Both at the plate and on the mound, the Padres are outclassed today. They are accounting for a dismal 3.83 runs per game which ranks them 24th. Their Team Batting Average is almost the worst in baseball, ranking 28th at .216. Just over the last four games, in which they went 3-1, their pitching has allowed 22 combined runs. They are also 0-4 their last four games played following an off day, 1-4 their last five games played versus the NL Central, and 1-4 their last five games played during Game 1 of a series. Chicago is 6-1 their last seven games played following an off day, 5-1 their last six games played following a loss, and 12-3 their last 15 games played during Game 1 of the series. Take the Cubs. Thank you. |
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04-25-23 | Rangers -131 v. Reds | 6-7 | Loss | -131 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
Texas Rangers. BEST BET PLAY. Game 973. 3:40 PM PST/6:40 PM EST. Add 14-8, the Rangers own one of the best records in baseball. They currently have a 2.5-game lead over the Astros in the AL West. However, they lost yesterday in Game 1 of this series to the Reds. Trust me when I tell you, that won’t would sit well with them. Especially coming against a team that prior to Monday’s opener was on a six-game losing streak. Cincinnati isn’t known to score too many runs. But did outlast Texas yesterday, 7-6. This is a team that both on the mound and that the plate is significantly outclassed here. The Rangers are crushing the ball. Their offense is absolutely exploding, ranking second in the Majors, accounting for over 6.59 runs per game. Their pitching is also top-10, ranking sixth, with a Team ERA of 3.46. Starting today are scheduled to be Perez and Weaver. The left-hander for Texas is off to a 3-1 start with a 3.38 ERA. The Cincinnati right-hander is 0–1 with a 6.00 ERA. The team has won three of Perez’ four starts this season in which he is went a minimum of 5.0 innings in each. Texas is 4-1 their last five games played on the road, 4-0 their last four games played versus right-handed starters, and 4-0 their last four games played following a loss. Take the Rangers. Thank you. |
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04-24-23 | Astros v. Rays -145 | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay Rays. Double Play. Game 908. 3:40 PM PST/6:40 PM EST. Both teams come in to his series on win streaks. But Tampa Bay is undefeated at home, donning a 13-0 mark at Tropicana Field. Owning both the top scoring lineup and the Majors best pitching staff, the Rays are just simply playing the best baseball in the game. Both starters are solid. So, this matchup will come down to the more consistent offense along with the stronger bullpen. And those both belong to Tampa Bay. The Rays are 13-3 their last 16 games played against right-handed starters, 39-13 their last 52 games played at home, and 19-7 their last 16 games played overall. Take Tampa Bay. Thank you. |
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04-23-23 | Nuggets -3.5 v. Wolves | 108-114 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
Denver Nuggets. Game 507. 6:30 PM PST/9:30 PM EST. I feel the line is a little low here, because the odds makers are looking to throw a trap at you folks. Don’t fall for it. Denver has dominated Minnesota, winning and covering all three games of the series thus far, taking the first meeting by 29-points, the second by 9-points, and the third by 9-points as well. Yes, they can afford to ease back a bit. But my friends, why would they? They finish the series off today, and they will have a huge edge over their next opponent, resting, healing, and preparing. The Timberwolves have only covered two of their last 10 games played at home, one of their last seven games played on one days rest, and one of their last five games played following a straight up loss. They are deeply overmatched and they are going to end their season today and start making plans to play golf. Take the Nuggets. Thank you. |
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04-23-23 | Celtics -5.5 v. Hawks | 129-121 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
Boston Celtics. Game 505. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Knowing that their next opponent, the Philadelphia 76ers are already resting and preparing for the upcoming series, the Boston Celtics can not take their foot off the gas here. It is obvious that they are a better team than their opponent in this series. After taking Games 1 and 2, they were beat in the first road game played on Friday, 130-122. They don’t want to let Atlanta back into series, nor do they want to give up any edge whatsoever. There is no way the Hawks, which are seriously overmatched, can contend with the Celtics. Understand that Boston has dominated Atlanta prior to Friday’s loss, taking seven in a row, both straight up and against the spread. They want to finish the series off so they can get a little time to rest against Philadelphia. By the way, they’ve also covered five of their last six games played following a straight up loss. Take the Celtics. Thank you. |
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04-23-23 | Kings +7.5 v. Warriors | 125-126 | Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
Sacramento Kings. Game 503. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. Taking Games 1 and 2 at home was big for Sacramento. But Game 3, which obviously was the first game being played at Golden State, they were not just embarrassed, they were downright humiliated, being downed 114-97. Perhaps the Warriors have gotten back on track. However, giving a team like the Kings this many points is a huge mistake made by the odds makers. Don’t let them trap you here, my friends. Sacramento is not just a healthy squad they also possess the top-scoring offense in the NBA. This is a team that matches up very well with their opponent here. This is way too many points to give a team that has covered 15 of their last 21 overall meetings with Golden State, 11 of their last 14 meetings played at Golden State, and 11 of their last 14 overall road games. Take the Kings. Thank you. |
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04-22-23 | 76ers -128 v. Nets | 96-88 | Win | 100 | 3 h 45 m | Show | |
Philadelphia 76ers on the money line. Game 563. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. The number is so low in this match up because Joel Embiid has been listed as out for Game 4. While he is one of the most dominant big men in the NBA, Philadelphia does not need him to beat Brooklyn. The Nets just don’t have the personnel to contend here. They have lost and failed to cover four consecutive outings, all against Philadelphia. They dropped the last game of the regular season back on April 9 at home, 134-105. And as you know, they’ve dropped all three matchups in this series. They are just not loaded up front to take advantage of Embiid’s absence here today. They will also get decimated once again trying to slow down the top-ranked three-point shooting offense in the NBA with their 21st ranked three-point “D”. Going back to November, the 76ers have taken seven consecutive meetings over the Nets, covering six of the seven. Take Philadelphia on the money line. Thank you. |
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04-21-23 | Celtics -5 v. Hawks | 122-130 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
Boston Celtics. Vegas Insider Move. Game 555. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Obviously, up to two games to none in the series, Boston has had their way with Atlanta. But their domination in this rivalry goes much further back. The Celtics have now taken seven consecutive meetings over the Hawks, both straight up and against the spread. Two of those games were played at the State Farm arena. Speaking of Atlanta, and their home court “advantage,“ they used to be one of the most bankable teams in the NBA when hosting. That’s not the case anymore folks. They have failed to cover four of their last five games played at home. But overall, this team has been quite inconsistent of late, winning just one of their last five outings, both straight up and against the spread. Overall, their defense has been absolutely deplorable, ranking 26th in the league, allowing 118.1 points per game. They just cannot stop, let alone slow down the Boston offense. The Celtics enter this contest running red-hot, winning seven of their last eight games, straight up. And also covering seven of those last eight games as well. You can expect the same outcome here tonight as they will once again dominate Atlanta. And get another win and cover. Take the Celtics. Thank you. |
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04-20-23 | Mets -114 v. Giants | 9-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
New York Mets. Double Play release. Game, 909 6:45 PM PST/9:45 PM EST. New York enters Game 1 of today’s series with San Francisco as they have started to stride, winning seven of their last nine outings. They are playing exceptionally well when they travel, winning five of their last six road games. Meanwhile, the Giants are struggling. This is a team at 6-11 overall on the campaign, dropping five of their last six overall, and own a dismal home record of 2-4. Today’s starters are scheduled to be Kodai Senga and Sean Manaea. The Mets right-hander is 2-0 with a 3.38 ERA on the campaign. The team has won all three of the games that he has appeared in this season. This will be his first ever appearance against the Giants. The San Francisco left-hander is off to a rocky start, having yet to earn a decision, at 0-0 with a 4.76 ERA on the campaign. He has only faced New York twice over his career, with a 3.55 ERA against them. New York is extremely successful when opening a series, winning 42 of the last 60 during Game 1 of a series. Meanwhile, San Francisco has failed to win any of the last four during Game 1 of a series, seven straight following a win, and four of their last five against right-handed starters. Take the Mets. Thank you |
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04-20-23 | 76ers -4.5 v. Nets | 102-97 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
Philadelphia 76ers. VI MOVE. Game 547. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. There is no way around it. No matter how you cut it, the Brooklyn Nets just do not possess the personnel to compete with the Philadelphia 76ers. Not only do they not have the talent to run in this series, but they are being outcoached as well. Doc Rivers adjustments have been crucial to Philly’s success, taking an overwhelming lead two games to none. For our purposes, not only has the 76ers won four games in a row, they have also covered fourth straight overall outings. They have certainly had Brooklyn’s number. They have won all six meetings with them this season straight up, covering five of the six. It doesn’t matter if they are at home or on the road, they dominate Brooklyn. Oddsmakers continue to overvalue the Nets, particularly at home, where they have only covered three of their last seven games played. By the way, they’ve also failed to cover five straight Conference Quarterfinals games as well. The 76ers are just too strong, too deep, too well-coached, and have too much power in the paint. They will once again own the glass here and get another win and cover. Take Philadelphia. Thank you. |
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04-19-23 | Rangers +106 v. Royals | 12-3 | Win | 106 | 3 h 37 m | Show | |
Texas Rangers. Double Play. Game 963. 11:10 AM PST/2:10 PM EST. Texas has taken Games 1 and 2 of this series by a combined score of 16-2. Kansas City is on a five-game slide. The Rangers have dominated the Royals this season, taking four of five meetings. Both on the mound and at the plate, the Rangers are just too strong for the Royals. They have also won five of their last six road games, six of their last eight games versus right-handed starters, and four of their last five games played versus the AL Central. Kansas City has lost 11 of their last 12 games played at home, four of their last five games played versus left-handed starters, and 92 of their last 134 games played versus the AL West. Take the Rangers. Thank you. |
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04-18-23 | Braves -127 v. Padres | 8-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
Atlanta Braves. Double Play release. Game 907. 6:40 PM PST/9:40 PM EST. Once again, this season, the Atlanta Braves are showing that they are not just going to vie for the NL East title, but they will also compete for the National League Pennant as well. At 13-4, they currently possess the best overall record in the NL and the second-best overall record in baseball. They enter today’s Game 2 match up with the San Diego Padres the hottest team in the Majors, winning seven consecutive games. Obviously, this includes yesterday’s Game 1 victory, 2-0. That defeat was San Diego’s fifth over the last six outings. Both on the mound and at the plate, the Braves possess some of the best numbers in baseball. Statistically, offensively they average over 1.3 runs per game, while their pitching staff has a Team ERA of more a half a run less. They have dominated the Padres at Petco Park, taking nine of the last 11 meetings there. Strider and Snell are scheduled starters today. The Atlanta right-hander is 1-0 with a 3.38 ERA, while the San Diego left-hander is 0-2 with a 6.92 ERA this season. The Braves are money when they travel, winning seven straight games played on the road, while the Padres are just 1-5 the last six games played at home. Take Atlanta. Thank you. |
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04-18-23 | Knicks +6 v. Cavs | 90-107 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
New York Knicks. Above The Rim Play. Game 553. 4:30 PM PST for 7:30 PM EST. I know a lot of people subscribe to the zigzag method of betting when the NBA postseason comes around. However, I just don’t see the Cavaliers coming out here and dominating the Knicks. New York came out in the series opener with authority, winning and covering, 101-97. That win and cover gave them four consecutive wins and covers against their Eastern Conference rival. A few things did not go their way in the first meeting, and yet they still prevailed. The way the Cavaliers defense has been playing, I just don’t see them stopping the motivated New York offense right now. Just since the last few days of March, they have allowed 120, 130, 105, 113, 94, 106, and 101-points in consecutive contests. New York has covered six of the last eight meetings played in Cleveland, while the Cavaliers have failed to cover four consecutive outings played at the Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse. Take the Knicks. Thank you. |
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04-18-23 | Hawks v. Celtics UNDER 231 | 106-119 | Win | 100 | 7 h 51 m | Show | |
Under in the Hawks/Celtics matchup. Vegas Insider Move. Games, 531/532. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Game 1 of this series resulted in an under. The way the Boston defense has been playing, they will once again come out and swarm the Atlanta offense. Now, I do feel the Hawks will have to make some sort of an adjustment here. But those adjustments will slow down the pace of this game, which once again, will aid in the results of this game going under the total. The under is 6-2 in Atlanta’s last eight versus teams with a winning record and 4-0 in Boston’s last four versus teams with a losing record. Take the under. Thank you. |