Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-30-21 | Jaguars v. Bengals -7.5 | 21-24 | Loss | -101 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
Cincinnati. Thursday Night Winner. Game 102. 5:20 pm pst. Joe Burrow and Joe Mixon have been steadily improving. One thing for sure, they have been consistent. Lining up against one of the NFL’s weakest defenses will surely pay off for the Cincy offense. The Jaguars are allowing over 30.3 PPG while accounting for e mere, 17.7 PPG. They are 0-3 both SU and ATS this season. The favorite is 3-0-1 ATS the last four meetings in this series. Jacksonville is 1-4 ATS the last five games played vs. AFC opponents, 1-5 ATS the last six games played as an underdog, and 1-6 the last seven games played overall. Take Cincinnati. Thank you. |
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09-26-21 | Packers +3 v. 49ers | 30-28 | Win | 101 | 35 h 2 m | Show | |
Overall, my BIG GAMES ARE ON-FIRE. This Sunday I have isolated just 2 BIG GAMES on the NFL card for you: 2-0 HIGH ROLLER and my first BOOKIE BUSTER of the season. They went 12-2 a season ago. Get both, go 2-0, and GET PAID. Free NFL WINNER: Green Bay Packers. Game 495. 5:20 pm pst. The Packers are still slated to represent the NFC come this February. Their embarrassing season-opening loss fueled their fire. Last week, their game was as sharp as we expect it to be. This is the matchup Green Bay needs to put any doubts behind them and go forward with confidence. San Francisco has a slew of injuries, particularly to their running game. Currently, five running backs are listed as questionable or out. Without a solid rushing attack to crutch on, Jimmy Garoppolo just isn’t the same quarterback folks. On the other hand, Aaron Rodgers is an MVP quarterback that shines in both tough situations and in big games. This contest, he shines like the sun. The 49ers are 2-6 ATS the last eight game played at home and 5-20-1 the last 26 games played as a home favorite. Take the Packers. Thank you. |
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09-26-21 | Seahawks -125 v. Vikings | 17-30 | Loss | -125 | 31 h 19 m | Show | |
Seattle. Bookie Buster. Game 493. 1:25 pm pst. The Seahawks enter this matchup angry after squandering a 24-9 halftime lead to eventually lose to the Titans in overtime, 33-30. That’s the first time since early 2015 they have blown a double-digit second half lead. This team is looking for vengeance and now they get to face to hapless, 0-2 Vikings. After their second very tough loss, Minnesota looked beaten emotionally and that is difficult to bounce back from. This is a team that crushed bettors, covering just once since mod-November. The Vikings defense is getting plowed for over 30.5 PPG and in comes Russell Wilson and the Seahawks mighty “O” (29.0 PPG). Seattle is 5-2 ATS the last seven meetings in this series, 5-1 ATS the last six games played in the month of September, and 34-15-4 ATS the last 53 games played following a SU loss. Take the Seahawks. Thank you. |
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09-26-21 | Ravens -7.5 v. Lions | 19-17 | Loss | -104 | 28 h 11 m | Show | |
Baltimore. High Roller. Game 473. 10:00 am pst. Guys, as far back as I can remember, no matter who is under center, Detroit just can’t win. The last year Barry Sanders donned a Lions uniform, I believe was 1998. It’s been 23 years and this offense hasn’t had a playmaker since. Let’s put a pin in that for a moment. Now, through the first two games, the Baltimore defense faced Vegas and KC, two big offenses. The Ravens “D” will make an example of Lions offense here. The Detroit defense has gotten smoked for over 76 points already. In comes one of the most-explosive offenses in the NFL here. Baltimore is No.1 in rushing, No.3 in total yards, and No.4 in scoring. YIKES!!! The Ravens have won and covered the L3 meetings in this series, outscoring the Lions, 110-39. This game gets uglier than a Kardashian prior to cosmetic surgery. LOL Baltimore is 6-1 ATS their last seven games played as a favorite, 11-5 ATS their last 16 games played on the road, and 8-2 ATS their last 10 games played overall. Take the Ravens. Thank you. |
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09-25-21 | Kentucky -4.5 v. South Carolina | 16-10 | Win | 100 | 21 h 41 m | Show | |
Kentucky. Annihilator. Game 315. 4:00 pm pst. For all you Gamecock fans out there that are excited that after six straight losses and no covers to finish last seasons campaign, that this season South Carolina has a record of 2-1 SU and 2-0-1 ATS, let’s pump those breaks a bit. Mark Stoops and his Wildcats have won six of the last seven meetings in this series SU and more importantly, seven of the last eight ATS. The most recent matchup, last December was a massacre with Kentucky shellacking South Carolina, 41-18. This season, Kentucky is already 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS. They beat ULM and bested Missouri and then in a sandwich spot took it easy on Chattanooga, looking ahead to this matchup. Penn-transfer, Will Levis is a heck of a gunslinger. The QB has a 64.6% completion rate, 800 yards passing, and 7/4 ratio. Then there’s the very exciting legs of running back, Chris Rodriguez, who has tallied 377 yards rushing and four TD’s. This tandem will keep the Gamecocks defense back peddling all game. While the stellar (and I mean STELLAR) defense of the Wildcats shut down the very pedestrian offense of the Gamecocks. South Carolina is 1-6 ATS the last seven games in conference play, 1-5-1 ATS the last seven games played as a home ‘dog, and 2-6 ATS the last eight games played vs. teams with a winning record. Lay the short price with Kentucky here. Thank you. |
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09-25-21 | Kansas State +6 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 20-31 | Loss | -120 | 20 h 47 m | Show |
Kansas State. BIG 12 GOM. Game 369. 4:00 pm pst. Both teams are 3-0. But that’s where their similarities end. The Oklahoma State offense is a far cry from the squads we have grown accustomed to. They can’t run the ball with any efficiency. And their passing game is the poorest we have seen in years. Now the struggling “O” must face one of the nation’s toughest defenses (15.7 PPG allowed) with a top-10 unit against the rush. Kansas State has faced not one but two good teams (Stanford and Nevada) and have crushed both. Running back, Deuce Vaughn (371 yards rushing 5 TD’s) is a monster. He will shred the Cowboys defense and allow the Wildcats to open up their passing attack. Kansas State is 8-2 ATS the last 10 meetings in this series, 11-4 ATS the last 15 games played as an underdog, 12-4 ATS the last 16 games played against conference opponents, 9-3 ATS the last 12 games played on the road, and 19-9 ATS the last 28 games played overall. Take the Wildcats. Thank you. |
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09-25-21 | Louisville v. Florida State | Top | 31-23 | Win | 100 | 16 h 30 m | Show |
Louisville. CONSENSUS. Game 367. 12:30 pm pst. Florida State is a mess. They are 0-3 SU (1-2 ATS). Granted they lost to a ranked Notre Dame team in their opener. But losing to Jacksonville State as a 28-point favorite is something to be concerned about. You would have thought, if they had any pride or talent, they would have bounced back after that loss. But no, they got smoked by Wake Forest, 35-14. Louisville is a solid, well-balanced club. The Cardinals took down the Seminoles last year, 48-14. Malik Cunningham and Jalen Mitchell are an outstanding 1-2 offensive punch. FSU just can’t stop the pass at all. Dual-threat Cunningham will establish the offense in the air and then run off the pass and move the chains. The Cardinals are 4-1 ATS their last five games played in this series. The Seminoles are 4-11 ATS their last 15 games played overall. Take Louisville. Thank you. |
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09-25-21 | Missouri v. Boston College +1.5 | 34-41 | Win | 100 | 13 h 20 m | Show | |
Boston College. Oddsmakers Mistake Play. Game 344. 9:00 am pst. Pay no mind to the fact that quarterback, Jurkovic went down. Senior, Grosel is an able backup. Besides, when you have a rushing attack accounting for over 205.7 YPG and you’re lining up against one of the nations weakest run defenses, it won’t matter. The Eagles will control the clock and the tempo. When on “D”, the very stingy BC stop-unit will contain the Tigers “O”. Missouri is 1-6 ATS their last seven games played as a road favorite, 0-6 ATS their last six games played vs. teams with a winning record, and 0-6 ATS their last six games played overall. Take Boston College. Thank you. |
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09-19-21 | Titans v. Seahawks -6.5 | 33-30 | Loss | -109 | 48 h 45 m | Show | |
Seattle. Las Vegas Strip Move. Game 292. 1:25 pm pst. Tennessee is a mess off the field as well as on it. Health protocols and injuries are already taking its toll in this team and it’s only Week 2. They were shelled by Arizona last week, 38-13. Now they must face one of the most complete teams in football. The Titans allowed Kyler Murray to light them up. Well, Russell Wilson will absolutely scorch them. Even if they didn’t have to contend with injuries and illnesses, they wouldn’t be to compete on this matchup. They are 0-4 ATS their last four games played in the month of September. Seattle is 5-0 ATS their last five games played this month. Take the Seahawks. Thank you. |
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09-19-21 | Broncos -6 v. Jaguars | Top | 23-13 | Win | 100 | 44 h 28 m | Show |
Denver. High Roller. Game 283. 10:00 am pst. Guys, I like Urban Meyer. And I like Trevor Lawrence. However, I like what I see in the Denver Broncos a heck of a lot more. Teddy Bridgewater and Melvin Gordon provide the perfect 1-2 punch to knockout most NFL defenses. And the Jacksonville defense, if you wanna’ call it that, they are in for a longer season than last year. Last week against Houston, they allowed 289 YP and 160 YR. Bridgewater and Gordon are salivating right now folks. Von Miller and the ferocious Broncos LB corps are going to go after the young Lawrence, wreak havoc, and create turnovers. Denver is still a well-kept secret to offer value, at least for another week or so. Here’s some ATS stats for you. Jacksonville is 3-8 ATS their last 11 games played vs. the AFC, 2-5 ATS their last seven games played at home, and 1-4 ATS their last five games played overall. Under a TD is an early Christmas present. Take the Broncos. Thank you. |
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09-18-21 | Utah v. San Diego State +8.5 | Top | 31-33 | Win | 100 | 27 h 46 m | Show |
San Diego State. Consensus. Game 178. 4:00 pm pst. San Diego State can run the ball successfully against any defense in the nation. They also have one of the best defenses we’ve seen thus far. Utah, on paper, should have beaten BYU last week. But was manhandled, eventually losing 26-17. Sure, they can beat the likes of Weber State. But here they are overmatched. The Aztecs will control the tempo and the clock with their stellar rushing attack, keeping the Utes defense on the field and tired come the second half. Utah’s only weapons are running back’s, Bernard and Thomas. But the San Diego State eight ranked rush defense will contain the pair. The Utes are 2-6 ATS their last eight games played as a favorite, 1-8 ATS their last nine games played in September, and 0-5 ATS their last five nonconference games. Take the Aztecs. Thank you. |
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09-18-21 | Kent State v. Iowa -22.5 | 7-30 | Win | 100 | 23 h 26 m | Show | |
Iowa. Annihilator. Game 148. 12:30 pm pst. Laying this type of lumber isn’t an issue here folks. Going back to last season, Iowa has won eight consecutive outings SU, going 7-1 ATS. Granted, this is bit higher of a price than they are used to laying, but Kent State is clearly outclassed and overmatched. This is the last tune-up game the Hawkeyes have before they start facing tough opponents and conference foes. Their stout and stingy defense will shut down the Golden Flashes “O” even worse than the last time they stepped up in class, a 41-10 loss to the Aggies just two weeks ago. Since 2002, Kent State has been outscored by 41.1 PPG while going 0-10 vs. top-10 teams. Iowa is 8-2 ATS their last 10 nonconference games. Take the Hawkeyes. Thank you. |
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09-18-21 | Purdue +7.5 v. Notre Dame | 13-27 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 36 m | Show | |
Purdue. Touchdown. Game 137. 11:30 am pst. For the life of me, I can’t figure out how Notre Dame can be ranked 12th in the nation. Guys, they have no rushing attack whatsoever. Their QB, Wisconsin-transfer, Jack Croan ….it’s not his six TD’s that impresses me. It’s his two interceptions that stand out far more to me. The team needed overtime to beat FSU and then need a last-minute score to beat Toledo. COME ON. Their swiss-cheese like offensive line has yielded 10 sacks against two mediocre defenses. On the flipside, their defense is getting plowed for 5.0 YPC and has yielded 5 TD’s on the ground. Well folks, in comes a Purdue team riding high after a season-opening win and cover over Oregon State and then a real confidence building 49-0 shutout over UConn. QB, Jack Plummer is the real deal. He’s a great leader and has at his disposal, amazing receivers in TE, Durham, and WR Bell. He’s also got two solid ball-carriers in Dourue and Downing. And it’s that backfield that will earn them this win here. The Boilermakers are 5-1 ATS the last six games played at the Fighting Irish. I like them outright so the +7.5 is a gift. Take Purdue. Thank you. |
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09-18-21 | Virginia Tech +2.5 v. West Virginia | 21-27 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 16 m | Show | |
Virginia Tech. NO LIMIT. Game 119. 9:00 am pst. The Virginia Tech defense is going to maul the slow-footed, West Virginia quarterback, Jarrett Doege while Braxton Burmeister (311 yards passing 7/2 in the air and 94 yards rushing and one TD on the ground) and his arsenal of weapons cut through the Mountaineers “D” like a hot knife through butter. The Hokies are 7-2 ATS their last nine games played as an underdog and 5-2 ATS their last seven games played in this series. Take Virginia Tech. Thank you. |
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09-13-21 | Ravens -4 v. Raiders | 27-33 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
Baltimore. MNF winner. Game 481. 5:15 pm pst. With so many underdogs (11 of 15) not just covering, but also winning outright (8 of 15), Baltimore won’t take any chances this Monday Night Football contest. Ravens head coach, John Harbaugh is notorious for covering in the teams’ season-opener, going 5-0 ATS their last five in Week 1. They also get us bettors paid when in this situation, going 5-1 ATS their last six games played vs. the AFC, 4-1 ATS their last five games played on the road, 8-3 ATS their last 11 games played as a road favorite, and 12-5 ATS their last 17 games played on MNF. Take Baltimore. Thank you. |
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09-12-21 | Broncos -3 v. Giants | 27-13 | Win | 100 | 37 h 17 m | Show | |
Denver. High Roller. Game 475. 1:25 pm pst. New York quarterback, Daniel Jones better take some life insurance out this week. He will be mauled by Von Miller and Bradley Chubb and the now full-strength Denver “D”. The Giants are in for a very long season and starting it off in Week 1 against the new and improved Broncos which are out to make a statement, just might be fatal. Denver is 4-1 ATS the last five meetings in this series and 6-1 ATS their last seven games played on fieldturf. New York is 0-4 ATS their last four games played in week 1 and 6-17-1 ATS their last 24 games played at home. Take the Broncos. Thank you. |
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09-12-21 | Seahawks -3 v. Colts | 28-16 | Win | 101 | 34 h 1 m | Show | |
Seattle. Las Vegas Strip Move. Game 465. 10:00 am pst. The Colts are dealing with COVID issues along with some key injuries. But even at full strength, Indianapolis just doesn’t match up well with Seattle. The Seahawks are strong both up front and in their secondary. The seasoned Russell Wilson-led team are notoriously strong starters, going 4-0 ATS their last four games played in the month of September. The Colts are not, going 1-11-1 ATS their last 13 games played in Week 1 and 0-5 ATS their last five games played as a home ‘dog. Take Seattle. Thank you. |
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09-12-21 | Chargers v. Washington Football Team -105 | Top | 20-16 | Loss | -105 | 34 h 18 m | Show |
Washington Football Team. BLUE CHIP PLAY. Game 462. 10:00 am pst. To me, this just might be one of the strongest plays this entire weekend. Let’s talk coaches really quick. One side, Brandon Staley. He’s been an assistant for eight or nine years now. This is his first game ever as a head coach. The other side, we have Ron Rivera in his 25th season as a coach in the NFL. One of the best at game prep, one of the sharpest and well-liked player-coaches in football. Quarterbacks…Justin Herbert one year as a starter. Impressive numbers but that inexperience will hurt here. Then there’s Ryan Fitzpatrick. Not flamboyant, but over a decade as a starter under his belt. The Chargers have ball carriers, even I don’t know all their names. The WFT has a hungry, talented slew of running backs that will move the chains here. Defensively, the WFT is one of the most complete and underrated stop-units in the NFL. DE, Chase Young, CB, William Jackson III, and LB, Jamin Davis lead a defensive unit that will spend more time in the L.A. backfield than the L.A. team themselves. The WFT is the best kept secret in the NFC. Take the WFT. Thank you. |
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09-11-21 | Utah -7 v. BYU | 17-26 | Loss | -108 | 20 h 10 m | Show | |
Utah. Holy War Winner. Game 383. 7:15 pm pst. Utah has dominated the “Holy War” winning the L9 meetings with their in-state rival, BYU. My friends I was in attendance last Saturday at Allegiant Stadium when BYU came to town to meet the doormat also known as Arizona. They eked by with a win and no cover. In no way, shape, matter, or form is this the same Cougars team that suffered just one loss a year ago. It’s not just the departure of Zach Wilson, who is now donning a New York Jets uniform. He’s gone, the running game is gone, and a few major defenders are gone too. Utah is a solid squad. Under head coach, Kyle Wittingham, they are smart, disciplined, and make very few mistakes. The explosive offense returns 10 starters and has added QB Charlie Brewer. You may remember from his time at Baylor, carving up BIG 12 defenses for over 9700 yards passing and 65 TD’s. Oh, the offense also added a couple of Power-5 transfers in their backfield as well. This unit will light up scoreboards this season BIG TIME. The Utes are 5-0 ATS their last five games played at the Cougars. BYU is 2-5 ATS their last seven games played vs. the PAC 12. Take Utah. Thank you. |
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09-11-21 | Texas -7 v. Arkansas | 21-40 | Loss | -108 | 17 h 2 m | Show | |
Texas. Wiseguy Play. Game 371. 4:00 pm pst. Texas thumped a very good ULL team last week. The 1-2 punch of quarterback, Hudson Card and running back, Bijan Robinson are too much for an Arkansas defense that has more leaks than the Titanic. The team was losing to Rice thru three quarters last week. The Razorbacks are a rushing team. Well, the Longhorns are reported to possess one of the toughest run defenses in their conference. Steve Sarkisian has his “O” resembling ‘Bama from his days with them. Texas is 5-0 ATS their last five nonconference games and 4-1 ATS their last five games played as a road favorite. Arkansas is 3-10-2 ATS their last 15 nonconference games and 5-16 ATS their last 21 games played following a SU win. Take the Longhorns. Thank you. |
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09-11-21 | Liberty -4 v. Troy | Top | 21-13 | Win | 100 | 17 h 12 m | Show |
Liberty. Consensus play. Game 367. 4:00 pm pst. Just because a game doesn’t consist of Power-5 teams doesn’t mean there isn’t gold in them thar hills. The Liberty Flames weren’t just a good team a season ago, going 10-1 SU including a big Bowl victory, they were also money to us bettors. The Flames went 9-2 ATS in the 2020/2021 campaign, rattling off eight straight covers to finish the season. Quarterback, Malik Wills is a stud. Last year he had a 64% completion rate, 2,040 yards passing, 20 TD’s and only 4 INT’s. Add another 900 plus yards and 14 more scores on the ground and each game Wills can star in his own highlight reel. With him at the helm, opposing defenses stay on the field a long time and come the 2nd half, run out of gas. Troy is a good team. But they are not a great team. Missouri-transfer, QB, Taylor Powell has Trojans fans very excited. However, overall, they just don’t have the personnel to compete in this contest. Particularly on the stop-end of the ball. Liberty is 8-0 ATS their last eight nonconference games, 6-1ATS their last seven games played vs. the Sunbelt conference, and 23-8 ATS their last 31games played on the road. Take the Flames. Thank you. |
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09-11-21 | Air Force -6 v. Navy | 23-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 54 m | Show | |
Air Force. Touchdown play. Game 337. 12:30 pm pst. Once again, this season, the Navy offense looks to be struggling. They accounted for just seven points in their season-opening, 49-7 shellacking by Marshall. This makes four consecutive games they have posted seven or less points. Things will go from bad to worse here as they face a very tough Air Force defense. The Falcons will control the clock and the tempo, keeping the Middies “D” on their heels the entire contest. Air Force is 4-1 ATS their last five meetings with Navy, 21-8 ATS their last 29 nonconference games, and 4-1 ATS their last five games played following an ATS loss. Take the Falcons. Thank you. |
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09-11-21 | Toledo v. Notre Dame -16.5 | 29-32 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 5 m | Show | |
Notre Dame. Gridiron Play. Game 334. 11:30 am pst. After losing their final two games last season, Notre Dame had problems in their season-opening win and no cover last week with Florida State. If the Irish are going to be taken seriously in the polls, they must destroy all lesser foes. Toledo is a lesser foe. Notre Dame is 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS their last five game played vs. MAC opponents. The Rockets are in way over their head here. They are 0-4 ATS their last four games played vs. teams with a winning record, 0-6 ATS their last six games played as a road underdog, and 0-5 ATS their last five games played following an ATS win. Take the Fighting Irish. Thank you. |
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09-04-21 | Nevada +3.5 v. California | 22-17 | Win | 100 | 36 h 24 m | Show | |
Nevada. Consensus Play. Game 217. 7:30 pm pst. 8 Stars. +3.5. MWC contender, Nevada is a monster team. They have a Heisman-hopeful at the helm in Carson Strong. The quarterback tossed for over 2,585 yards with 27 TD’s, and just four INT’s. Cal is supposed to have a strong defense. However, they give up a lot of points. The Wolfpack plays strong, smart, aggressive football. And certainly, when stepping up, has done very, very well. Take Nevada. Thank you. |
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02-07-21 | Chiefs -3 v. Bucs | 9-31 | Loss | -106 | 46 h 53 m | Show | |
Kansas City Chiefs. Super Bowl LV WINNER. Game 101. 3:30 pm pst. In a game that puts together the defending Super Bowl Champion and the league’s hottest young quarterback against a team led by the winningest quarterback in the history of the league, do away with all the smoke and mirrors. These two teams met back in the end of November in this same stadium, with Kansas City prevailing, 27-24. Patrick Mahomes bested Tom Brady. These are the NFL’s No.1 and No.2 passing offenses. Tampa Bay did away with the running attack for most of the season but as of late started to utilize the ground game. Kansas City has a mediocre rushing attack and has had a bit more success on the ground. Both offenses put up about the same number of points. A lot has been spoken about the Bucs defense being stellar against the run. They are. But these are two of the best QB’s in the game and both units are primarily passing attacks. Having said that, overall, these two defenses yield about the same number of points, literally a half-point difference. This game is going to come down to four major factors. First, coaching, Andy Reid is a much sharper coach with a better and more experienced playoff staff around him than Bruce Arians. Second, defense. We all know how good these offenses are. But the Chiefs are significantly better against the pass ranking 14th compared the Buccaneers, which are 28th. Third, special teams. Both have good kickers but KC has much better return specialists. Last, mistakes. And Patrick Mahomes has been more consistent than Tom Brady and overall, the Chiefs turn the ball over less. The Chiefs are 4-1 ATS L5 playoff games and 11-5 ATS L16 vs. teams with a winning record. Tale Kansas City. Thank you. PROPS The first set of props consist of smart money plays that offer little risk. The second set are a few props that offer huge value with a chance for a big payday. -Will Game Be Tied After 0-0, YES -110 -Largest Lead of The Game 14.5 Points, Under +100 -Total Sacks by Both Teams 3.5, OVER -120 -Shortest FG Under 27.5 Yards, YES -110 -Total Interceptions by Both Teams 1.5, Over +140 -Patrick Mahomes TD Passes 3, Over +200 -Darrel Williams Longest Rush 8.5 Yards, Over -110 -Travis Kelce Total Receptions 7.5, Over -135 -Harrison Butker Total FG’s 1.5, Over -125 -Tom Brady TD Passes 2, Over -125 -Leonard Fournette Total Rushing Yards 46.5, Over -110 -Mike Evans Total Receptions 4.5, Over -120 -Chris Godwin Total Receptions 5.5, Over -110 -Ryan Succop Total FG’s 1.5, Over -120 ----------------------------------------------------------------- -Will Game Be Decided by Exactly 3 Points, YES +425 -Will There Be More Than 3.5 Kickoff Returns, Yes +170 -First Score of The Game FG/Safety, YES +190 -Will There Be A Safety, Yes +800 -Will There be a Defensive TD, Yes +250 -Total Number of Kickoff Returns by Both Teams 3.5, Over +170 |
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01-24-21 | Bills +3 v. Chiefs | Top | 24-38 | Loss | -100 | 53 h 22 m | Show |
Buffalo Bills. AFC TITLE GAME WINNER. Game 313. 3:40 pm pst. The defending Super Bowl champion, Kansas City Chiefs certainly deserve all their praise. But they haven’t covered a game since November 1. As a matter of fact, their last seven regular season wins came by 2, 4, 3, 6, 6, 3, and 3 points. Throw in the mix last week’s six-point win over the Cleveland Browns, who outscored them in the 2nd half, and you realize they aren’t as unbeatable as their record shows. The Buffalo Bills enter this contest winning their last eight SU and going 9-1 ATS their last 10. In the regular-season matchup, the Chiefs came off their first loss of the campaign and was focused to bounce back against a still-maturing Bills squad. Buffalo has the confidence, the momentum, and the defense to rattle Patrick Mahomes and slow the Kansas City offense down. On the flip side, Josh Allen is 6-0 vs. top-10 total defenses this season. The Bills “O” ranks 2nd in scoring, putting up over 31.3 PPG. This doesn’t bode well as the Chiefs “D” is very beatable. Buffalo is 5-1 ATS L6 at the Chiefs, 4-0 ATS L4 on the road, 7-1-2 ATS L10 as a road ‘dog, and 6-1 ATS L7 vs. the AFC. Kansas City is 1-4 ATS L5 vs. teams with a winning record, 0-5 ATS L5 at home, 0-4 ATS L4 as a home fav, and 0-5 ATS L5 vs. the AFC. Take the Bills. Thank you. |
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01-24-21 | Bucs v. Packers -3 | 31-26 | Loss | -125 | 50 h 53 m | Show | |
Green Bay Packers. NFC TITLE GAME WINNER. Game 312. 12:05 pm pst. In a rematch from a mid-October meeting in which Tampa Bay throttled Green Bay, 38-10, you can expect a very different outcome here. That meeting was before the Packers offense became more well-balanced. The Buccaneers defense is good, but is vulnerable to the pass. Last week’s performance against Drew Brees, they took advantage of his diminished arm strength. Well, that’s not going to happen here. In comes Aaron Rodgers (48 TD’s, 5 INT’s, 70.7% CR, 4,299 YP) and one of the most explosive aerial assaults in the NFL. RB, Aaron Jones will keep the Tampa Bay “D” honest, allowing Rodgers to light up the sky in the air vs. the 21st ranked pass defense of the Bucs. We all know Tampa Bay abandoned the run this season. They don’t run the ball at all. When good, aggressive defenses go up against Tom Brady and key on him, the TB “O” sputters. Let’s face it the GB stop-unit vastly improved over the last two months, holding all opponents to 25 or less points. Remember that the Packers score 30 or more 13 times this season and have not turned the ball over in 11 outings. They rank No.1 in the NFL in offensive miscues. They don’t make mistakes. The Home Team is 5-2 ATS L7 meetings in this series. Tampa Bay is 3-7 ATS L10 in the month of January. Green Bay is 5-1 ATS L6 playoffs home games. Take the Packers. Thank you. |
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01-17-21 | Bucs v. Saints -3 | Top | 30-20 | Loss | -112 | 49 h 58 m | Show |
NO. NFC GAME OF THE YEAR. Game 308. 3:40 pm pst. With no running game to speak of, Tampa Bay solely relies upon Tom Brady throwing the ball. Well, New Orleans owns a tough defense (21.1 PPG allowed) that ranks 5th vs. the pass. They have bested Brady and the Bucs both meetings this season SU and ATS and going back a bit, have won and covered five straight in this series. Drew Brees is 100% healthy and has the dangerous Alvin Kamara running the ball. Also, perhaps the most dangerous RB in the NFL coming out of the backfield as a receiver. Brees will hook up often with stellar wideouts, Harris and Thomas especially against the very vulnerable pass defense of the Buccaneers. Tampa Bay is 1-4 ATS L5 in January and 1-4 ATS L5 as a road underdog. New Orleans is 7-1 ATS L8 vs. the NFC and 8-2 ATS L10 overall. Take the Saints. Thank you. |
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01-17-21 | Browns +10.5 v. Chiefs | 17-22 | Win | 100 | 45 h 26 m | Show | |
Cleveland. VIM. Game 305. 12:05 pm pst. KC deserves their praise. However, the oddsmakers have “inflated” their lines thus resulting in this team failing to cover their last eight outings. While Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs offense can score, the defense leaves a lot to be desired. Particularly against the run. Every decent ground attack has piled up yardage and points on Kansas City. Well, in comes the NFL’s 3rd ranked rushing unit. While RB’s, Chubb and Hunt, who have combined for over 2,000 yards rushing and 20 TD’s on the ground, keep the KC defense honest and allow Baker Mayfield, who has thrown just one INT in the last 10 games, to hook up with his arsenal of receivers. Kansas City is 0-4 ATS L4 at home and 0-4 ATS L4 vs. the AFC. Take Cleveland. Thank you. |
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01-16-21 | Ravens +2.5 v. Bills | 3-17 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 39 m | Show | |
Baltimore. SMP. Game 303. 5:15 pm pst. Giving Lamar Jackson and the NFL’s No.1 rushing attack points in the playoffs is a mistake. This is a team that enters this contest winning six in a row SU and seven straight ATS. The matchup favors the Ravens ground attack against the lax 17th ranked rush defense of the Bills. When the postseason inexperienced Josh Allen and the Buffalo squad has the ball, they must line up against the No.2 stop-unit in football. The Baltimore “D” has made a habit of shutting down offenses that usually account for 30 points per game. The Ravens are 7-0 ATS L7 playoff road games, 16-5 ATS L21 vs. the AFC, 9-3 ATS L12 in January, and 20-8 ATS L28 overall. Take Baltimore. Thank you. |
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01-16-21 | Rams v. Packers -6.5 | Top | 18-32 | Win | 100 | 23 h 3 m | Show |
GB. BCP. Game 302. 1:35 pm pst. There is no team in the NFL that is as “Jekyll & Hyde” as LA. While Green Bay has played the most consistent football in the league this season. Jared Goff will be under center here. That thumb injury may be a factor folks. The Rams won’t be able to keep pace offensively with the No.1 scoring offense in the NFL. FYI, the Packers defense have held their last six opponents to an average of 18.5 PPG. When Green Bay has the ball, the “Big 3” of Rodgers, Adams, and Jones will keep the Los Angeles “D” on the field, on their toes, and very busy. The favorite is 9-1 ATS L10 meetings in this series. The Rams are 0-6 ATS L6 vs. the Packers. The Packers are 7-2 ATS L9 in the month of January. Take Green Bay. Thank you. |
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01-11-21 | Ohio State v. Alabama -7.5 | Top | 24-52 | Win | 100 | 121 h 58 m | Show |
Alabama. NCAAF CHAMPIONSHIP GAME WINNER. Game 500. 5:00 pm pst. With the National Championship game upon us, for the first time in a long time there are no arguments, no debates, and no protests as to why other teams are more deserving to be here. The last two undefeated ranked teams in the nation square off in the matchup everyone was hoping for. I made the line here between -8 and -10 points depending on injury/illness. When it officially came out making Alabama a seven-point favorite, the public immediately bet it up to -8 and it is now floating between -7 and -8. For many years the favorite won and covered in the Title game. Then the tide (no pun intended) flowed in the opposite direction with the underdogs not just covering but winning a few contests outright as well. For me personally, I am torn. When I was a kid in the early ‘70’s, my father, a respected horse player and sports bettor, turned on the tube one Saturday morning to watch a game he had wagered on. I took one look at Paul “Bear” Bryant on the sideline, arms folded with that stoic look on his face, and that patented houndstooth fedora and I immediately fell in love with Alabama football. But there are two places your heart doesn’t belong, in love and in sports betting. Growing up now, the handicapper in me instantly leaned on the underdog here with all those points. Especially after last week’s dismantling of a Trevor Lawrence-led Clemson team in the Sugar Bowl. Many out there felt (including me) that Ohio State did not belong in the CFP. Prior to last week’s CFP semifinal, I did not feel the Buckeyes would be so dominating on both sides of the ball. They showed how good they are by overcoming a seven-point deficit to then outscore the Tigers 42-14. However, there are no more cards up OSU’s sleeve, the cat is out of the bag now. ‘Bama has seen all they can do. And there are very few coaches as good at preparing a squad for a big game as Nick Saban. And a big no-no in betting is not judging a team solely from their last performance. Saban and Alabama does have their work cut out for them. Ohio State has a well-balanced offense and Justin Fields has taken his game to another level. This is a unit that ranks 42nd in passing, 5th in rushing, and 8th in scoring. Take note, that this “O” revolves around Fields and last week he got banged up a bit against Brent Venables “D”. He will play but those ribs might still be tender here and that may be a factor. Speaking of injuries, the Buckeyes injured list is so long it rivals a Bill Belichick Patriots list (check status). Something the Crimson Tide doesn’t have to worry about, being just about full strength. Head coach Ryan Day must be concerned with the vastly improved defense of Alabama. Outside of the shootout with Florida in the SEC Title game, Pete Golding’s stop-unit have held every opponent to 24 or less since early-October. On the opposite side of the ball, Mac Jones and the explosive Crimson Tide offensive juggernaut, which accounts for 49.7 PPG, the Buckeyes will not have the same success defensively as last week in getting their foe off the field. Bama’s big three, Mac Jones, Najee Harris, and DeVonta Smith will control the clock and keep the OSU defense on the field and more importantly, their offense off of it. Mac Jones is smart and savvy and has the luxury being protected by one of the biggest and stoutest offensive lines in the nation. Ryan Day is a sharp guy and his team is loaded with talent but they are not impervious to perhaps being in a letdown situation here either. That game last week vs. the Tigers was a matchup the Buckeyes were dreaming of since being ousted from last year’s CFP semifinal by Clemson. Maybe the wind just might be out of their sails a bit here. Ohio State is 1-4 ATS the last five following an ATS win and 1-4 ATS the last five vs. teams with a winning record. Alabama is 7-1 ATS the last eight following an ATS loss and 7-1 ATS the last eight vs. the Big Ten. Being that this line is around a hot number, listen to Smokey Robinson’s mama, and shop around and get the best number you can. Lay the points and roll with the Tide. Take Alabama. Thank you. |
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01-10-21 | Ravens -180 v. Titans | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 3 h 51 m | Show | |
Baltimore. WCWEBB. Game 147. 10:05 am pst. There is no question that Derrick Henry is a stellar RB. And he has done well vs. the Ravens. But after losing to Tennessee last January and again this past November, expect Baltimore to come in here prepared to handle the ballcarrier. This is a team running hot, winning their last five SU and their last six ATS. The offense can and will keep the Titans “D” on the field with the NFL’s No.1 ranked rushing unit and more importantly, keep the Titans offense off of it. The Ravens are 4-0 ATS L4 vs. the AFC, 5-1 ATS L6 Wild Card games, 8-3 ATS L11 in January, and 7-3 ATS L10 as a road favorite. Take Baltimore. Thank you. |
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01-09-21 | Bucs v. Washington Football Team +8 | 31-23 | Push | 0 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
WFT. SMP. Game 146. 5:15 pm pst Washington has come alive the latter half of the season, wining five of their final seven games both SU and ATS. Their defense has held every opponent since mid-November to 20 points or less. Tampa Bay with Tom Brady has become solely a passing offense abandoning the run the entire season. This is a problem today as the WFT secondary ranks No.2 in passing yards allowed and 4th overall in scoring. Washington is 4-0 ATS L4 following a SU win, 4-1 ATS L5 as an underdog, and 4-0 ATS L4 on Saturday. Take the WFT. Thank you. |
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01-09-21 | Rams v. Seahawks UNDER 42 | 30-20 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
UNDER in the RAMS/SEAHAWKS. LVSM. Games 143/144. 1:40 pm pst. Both defenses have vastly improved over the last month or so. As of post, Jared Goff’s status is still unknown. If he plays, his passing efficiency will be hampered by an injury to his thumb on his throwing hand. If he doesn’t, his backup only has one pro game under his belt. The Seattle offense was limited to a total of 36 points in two matchups with LA this season. The last three meetings have all gone under the total. The under is also 8-2 in the Rams L10 vs the NFC and 4-0 in the Rams L4, 4-0 in the Seahaw3ks L4 at home and 7-1 in the Seahawks L8 overall. Take the UNDER. Thank you. |
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01-03-21 | Saints -6 v. Panthers | 33-7 | Win | 100 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
NO. NFC SOUTH GOM. Game 113. 1:25 pm pst. The Saints can clinch the No.1 seed in the NFC with a win here and some help. RB, Alvin Kamara is out. But the offense is loaded with playmakers while the defense ranks among the best in the NFL. The Saints are 5-1 ATS L6 at the Panthers, 6-1 ATS L& vs. the NFC South, and 15-6 ATS L21 as a road favorite. Take New Orleans. Thank you. |
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01-03-21 | Titans -7 v. Texans | Top | 41-38 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 50 m | Show |
Tennessee. AFC SOUTH GOM. Game 111. 1:25 pm pst. Tennessee needs to win for a chance at the postseason. They own one of the best scoring offenses in the NFL (30.0 PPG). RB, Derrick Henry is looking to hit the 2,000-yard milestone and has a very good shot at it as he faces the league’s 31st ranked run defense. The favorite is 10-3 ATS L13 meetings in this series. The Texans are 2-5 ATS L7 at home, 3-8 ATS L11 as an underdog, and 5-11 ATS L16 overall. Take the Titans. Thank you. |
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01-03-21 | Cowboys -1 v. Giants | Top | 19-23 | Loss | -114 | 3 h 30 m | Show |
Dallas. NFC EAST GOM. Game 107. 10:00 am pst. A few things need to happen for Dallas to take the NFC East and make the playoffs. But they first need to win here. They have won and covered three straight as their defense has stepped up and both Andy Dalton Ezekiel Elliott are playing their best football of the season. Oh, and both are looking to reach season milestones. The Cowboys are 6-1 ATS L7 meetings in this series. Take Dallas. Thank you. |
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01-02-21 | Oregon v. Iowa State -3.5 | 17-34 | Win | 100 | 27 h 32 m | Show | |
Iowa State. Fiesta Bowl Winner. Game 496. 1:00 pm pst. On both sides of the ball, we can expect the well-balanced and more battel-tested Cyclones to dominate here. The 2020/2021 Ducks are not as explosive as past squads. Look for one of the nation’s best 1-2 punches of QB, Brock Purdy (2,594 YP, 66.4% CR, 18/9) and RB, Breece Hall (1,436 YR, 19 TD’s) to control the tempo and the clock while the ISU stop-unit (21.8 PPG allowed) contains the Oregon offense. The Ducks are 7-15 ATS L22 following an ATS win and 5-11-1 ATS L17 nonconference games. Iowa State is 5-1 ATS L6 as a favorite and 16-7 ATS L23 following a SU loss. Take the Cyclones. Thank you. |
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01-02-21 | Ole Miss v. Indiana -8.5 | 26-20 | Loss | -109 | 23 h 58 m | Show | |
Indiana. Outback Bowl Winner. Game 494. 9:30 am pst.
Things are going to get ugly for the Mississippi offense here. Their two best receivers, Elijah Moore and Kenny Yeboah opted out prior to the LSU matchup (53-48 loss and no cover). The duo caught 55% of the passes this season and 50% of the TD’s. Without the tandem on the field, Indiana and their 19th ranked defense can key on the ground game. But things get even uglier as the Hoosiers offense (30.1 PPG) line up against just about the worst defense in college football (127th vs. the pass, 104th vs. the rush, 122nd in scoring). Backup quarterback, Jack Tuttle believe it or not owns a better QBR than did starter, Michael Penix Jr. Indiana is 7-0 ATS in 2020, 4-1 ATS last five vs. losers, and 4-1 ATS last five nonconference games.Take the Hoosiers. Thank you. |
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01-01-21 | Ohio State v. Clemson -7 | Top | 49-28 | Loss | -113 | 56 h 39 m | Show |
Clemson. BOWL GOY/SUGAR BOWL WINNER. Game 334. 5:45 pm pst. Many people in and out of the college football arena feel that Ohio State does not belong in the CFP. I will leave the debating to those who DO NOT bet on games. I say they do belong here for the sole purpose of them being outclassed gets us paid in this matchup. Just over the past month, the Buckeyes have struggled with the Scarlett Knights, Hoosiers, and Wildcats. And folks, you can combine those three teams and still wouldn’t be close to the talent level that Tigers possess. They have gotten burned for 260.3 yards per game in the air in 2020. I have two words for you, Trevor Lawrence. He is always superb but since returning to action from covid protocol he has been stellar. Don’t forget, he personally took down Ohio State in the 2019 Fiesta Bowl when the Buckeyes were a more talented team than the current squad. Not only will he shred them in the air but the uncharitable Clemson defense (27th vs. the pass, 9th vs. the run, 11th in scoring) will shut them down offensively. The Buckeyes are 1-5 ATS the last six vs. the ACC and 0-4 ATS the last four vs. winners. The Tigers are 10-2 ATS the last 12 Bowls and 17-4 ATS the last 21 on neutral sites. Take Clemson. Thank you. |
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01-01-21 | Auburn v. Northwestern -3 | 19-35 | Win | 100 | 48 h 23 m | Show | |
NORTHWESTERN. Citrus Bowl WINNER. Game 330. 10:00 am pst. In a peculiar Bowl season this game actually puts together two teams that should be Bowling. Both are six-win teams from Power-five conferences. For those of you who enjoy nostalgia, eleven years to the day after facing off in a thrilling bowl game, these two teams meet again on New Year's Day in the Citrus Bowl at Orlando, Florida. The teams played in the 2010 Outback Bowl, with the Tigers pulling out a 38-35 overtime victory. Current Kansas City Chiefs quarterbacks coach Mike Kafka completed 47 of 78 passes for 532 yards with four touchdowns and five interceptions for the Wildcats. Wow, how’s that for eerie? Both teams are in different places mentally. The Tigers have since fired head coach, Gus Malzahn and hired Boise State boss, Bryan Harsin. On the flip side, the Wildcats might be the most harmonious team in action right now. As a matter of fact, the game will be the last in the career of Northwestern's defensive coordinator Mike Hankwitz, who would reach 400 career wins if the Wildcats win here. Trust me, the team will go all out for their DC here. While neither team possesses a very exciting or explosive offense, the big disparity here is on the defensive side of the ball. Northwestern owns the nation’s 5th ranked stop-unit, yielding only 15.5 PPG. This is a squad that is equally strong against the pass and the run. In recent years it seems that teams have abandoned the basics, but not the Wildcats. And that will be the difference in this matchup. The Tigers are 1-4 ATS L5 vs. the Big Ten, 0-4 ATS L4 vs. winners, and 0-4 ATS L4 in January. Take Northwestern. Thank you. |
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01-01-21 | Cincinnati +7 v. Georgia | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 47 h 29 m | Show | |
Cincinnati. Peach Bowl WINNER. Game 327. 9:00 am pst. There are those out there that will automatically take the SEC team in a matchup over the AAC representative. Well, that may have worked in the past, but 2020 is full of surprises. And if we have learned anything, it’s that we must expect the unexpected. With all respect to head coach Kirby Smart and the Bulldogs, they are not unbeatable. They were picked apart by quarterbacks Mac Jones and Kyle Trask. Sports fans, Desmond Riddler (2,090 yards passing, 66.4% completion rate, 17/6) may not be as popular as the previously mentioned, but he is darn good and has an arsenal of receivers to dissect the 90th ranked pass defense of Georgia. Then there is the way we look at the Bulldogs when they are on offense. They have very pedestrian numbers. Sure, they can smash lesser defenses like that of the Razorbacks, Gamecocks, and Tigers (Missouri) but this defense they face here, is not a lesser one. And don’t think for a moment that the Bearcats ”D”, which ranks 8th nationally (16.0 PPG) can be intimidated here. Cincy is 4-1 ATS the last five nonconference games and 4-0 ATS the last four games played as an underdog. Take the points with Cincy here and watch an AAC rep gets you paid over the mighty SEC. Take the Bearcats. Thank you. |
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12-31-20 | Ball State v. San Jose State -9 | 34-13 | Loss | -117 | 26 h 49 m | Show | |
San Jose State. Arizona Bowl WINNER. Game 322. 11:00 am pst. Ball State vs. San Jose State -9.5: If ever a team was in “let down” mode it is Ball State following their 38-28 victory over Buffalo in the MAC Title game nearly two weeks ago. This is the matchup they will sorely miss their top running back, Caleb Huntley (opted out). Playing in the MAC, the Cardinals have not faced a defense as well-balanced or as ferocious as the Spartans (13th, 17.9 PPG allowed). On the other side of the ball, look for quarterback, Nick Starkel (1,906 yards passing, 65.1% completion rate, 16/4) and the top-20 SJ State passing attack to put up the best numbers of 2020 against the 119th ranked pass defense of Ball State. The Cardinals are 0-4 ATS the last four Bowl games. The Spartans are 6-0 ATS the last six in the month of December. Take San Jose State. Thank you. |
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12-31-20 | Mississippi State v. Tulsa -1 | 28-26 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 56 m | Show | |
Tulsa. Armed Forces Bowl Winner. Game 318. 9:00 am pst. It’s just not a good situation for Mike Leach and his Mississippi State Bulldogs. In a “normal” season, this 3-7 team wouldn’t be able to play in a Bowl. Several players have opted out. The few wins they had were far from convincing. They account for a dismal, 20.7 PPG. And they are one of the nation’s worst at turning the ball over. Just the opposite for the Tulsa Golden Hurricane. They are money, covering seven of eight outings in 2020. Their only losses came at the hands of notables Oklahoma State and Cincinnati. And they are stacked with talent on both sides of the ball. Particularly on the “D” side where they allow just 20.8 PPG. Tulsa is 6-1 ATS the last seven Bowls. Take the Golden Hurricane. Thank you. |
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12-30-20 | Florida v. Oklahoma -5 | 20-55 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
Oklahoma. Game 316. 4:15 pm pst. Early season losses kept Oklahoma from a CFP spot. But it didn’t stop them from being motivated to win. Both teams will be able to pass the ball but Florida is without their biggest playmaker and Kyle Trask’s “go to” guy, TE, Kyle Pitts (opted out). This will make it tougher for the Gators. The Sooners defense improved as the season progressed and kept quite a few solid offenses in check. Florida is 2-8 ATS L10 on field turf and 1-3-1 ATS L5 overall. Oklahoma is 5-2 ATS L7 vs. the SEC and 6-1 ATS L7 overall. Take the Sooners. Thank you. |
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12-26-20 | Dolphins -3 v. Raiders | 26-25 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 52 m | Show | |
Dolphins. LVSM. Game 461. 5:15 pm pst. The Raiders defense is one of the worst in football, ranking 29th and yielding 30.1 PPG. The Dolphins need to keep winning to maintain a postseason spot. This is a team that has been money winning eight of their last 10 SU and going 9-1 ATS. Very quietly they own the NFL’s No.1 defense allowing foes a mere 18.4 PPG. Going back a decade, they have taken five of six meetings with the raiders SU while covering all six. Las Vegas is 3-7 ATS L10 at home, 2-7 ATS L9 in December, and 0-4 ATS L4 overall. Miami is 4-0 ATS L4 vs. the AFC, 5-0 ATS L5 in December, and 20-6 ATS L26 overall. Take the Dolphins. Thank you. |
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12-26-20 | Liberty +7 v. Coastal Carolina | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 22 h 28 m | Show | |
Liberty. Game 283. 4:30 pm pst. Things changed for Cinderella at midnight. And the same will happen for Coastal Carolina here. Liberty’s sole defeat was a 15-14 cover against NC State. Superstar, Malik Willis (2,040 yards passing 20/4 in the air, 807 yards rushing 10 TD’s on the ground) has the offensive personnel to control the clock and keep the Coastal Carolina offense off the gridiron. The Flames are 21-7 ATS the last 28 as an underdog, 5-1 ATS the last six vs. the Sun Belt, and 7-0 ATS the last seven overall.Take Liberty as the carriage turns into a pumpkin here. Take Liberty. Thank you. |
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12-26-20 | 49ers v. Cardinals -5 | 20-12 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 12 m | Show | |
Cardinals. NFC WEST GOM. Game 460. 1:30 pm pst. No matter who is at the QB position, San Francisco is in trouble here. They are severely undermanned at quite a few key spots and without a true ballcarrier, they will have problems moving the chains. Arizona is fighting for a playoff spot as the Cardinals are red-hot, winning and covering their last two outings. The 49ers are 0-5-1 ATS L6 meetings in this series, 1-5 ATS L6 vs. the NFC, and 1-6 ATS L7 overall. The Cards are 4-1-1 ATS L6 in December, 4-1 ATS L5 vs. losers, and 6-2-2 ATS L10 following an ATS win. Take Arizona. Thank you. |
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12-26-20 | UL-Lafayette v. UTSA +14 | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 18 h 17 m | Show | |
UTSA. Game 286. 12:30 pm pst.
This is way too many points for a Ragin’ Cajuns team to lay against the competitive and feisty Roadrunners squad. UTSA covered big numbers against such notables as BYU and UAB. They have the ground game to keep this one close. ULL is 2-5 ATS the last seven vs. winners and 1-4 ATS the last five following an ATS win. UTSA is 5-1 ATS the last six vs. winners and 6-1 ATS the last seven vs. nonconference opponents.Take the Roadrunners. Thank you. |
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12-25-20 | Vikings v. Saints -7 | 33-52 | Win | 103 | 28 h 46 m | Show | |
Saints. Game 452. 1:30 pm pst. Minny is riding a five-game no cover streak and possesses one of the poorest defenses against the rush in the NFL. Alvin Kamara will move the chains on the ground allowing Drew Brees to open up the passing game while also allowing the QB to shake of any rust before the postseason begins. On the other side of the ball, the only offensive weapon the Vikings have is Dalvin Cook. But the Saints “D: ranks 4th in the league yielding just 95.6 YPG on the ground. Minnesota is 2-5 ATS L7 meetings in this series, 0-4 ATS L4 vs. the NFC, and 1-4 ATS L5 in December. New Orleans is 9-2 ATS L11 vs. losers, 4-1 ATS L5 vs. the NFC, and 5-2 ATS L7 overall. Take the Saints. Thank you. |
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12-25-20 | Marshall v. Buffalo -5 | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 29 h 36 m | Show | |
Buffalo. Game 280. 10:30 am pst. Teams have figured out how to shut down the Marshall offense (13 total points scored the last two games) thus resulting in their defense spending way too much time on the field. Well, no team in the nation can keep a defense busy and on the field like the No.1 rushing unit of Buffalo. The Bulls come in here looking for vengeance following their first loss of the season. They are 6-2 ATS the last eight vs. C-USA, 4-0 ATS the last four following a SU loss, and 11-3 ATS the last 14 overall. Take Buffalo. Thank you. |
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12-23-20 | Florida Atlantic v. Memphis -8 | 10-25 | Win | 100 | 24 h 23 m | Show | |
Memphis. Game 275. 4:00 pm pst.
Memphis owns an explosive, well-balanced offense (31.6 PPG). This is a unit that can burn you both on the ground as well as in the air. Granted, the FAU “D” is one of the best in the nation (16.5 PPG allowed). But what good is having a strong defense if your offense can’t move the chains at all and just about every time you have the ball it’s a three-an-out? Their offense is so bad (20.0 PPG) it just doesn’t eat up any clock to give their stop-unit and rest. By the second half, the Owls defense will be gasping for air in this matchup. Tigers Quarterback, Brady White (3,096 yards passing 28/9) and running back, Rodrigues Clark (563 yards rushing) will put up career stats here. Memphis is 6-1 ATS the last seven vs. C-USA. FAU is 1-4 ATS the last five overall. Take Memphis. Thank you. |
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12-23-20 | Georgia Southern v. Louisiana Tech OVER 48 | 38-3 | Loss | -109 | 20 h 29 m | Show | |
Over. Games 273/274. 12:00 PM PST
Louisiana Tech head coach, Skip Holtz has done wonders with this year’s squad. Following the departure of three-year starter, superstar J’Mar Smith, the talk was that this team would have a problem putting points on the board. Well sports fans those doubters now need some water to wash down their foot as the Bulldogs offensive unit have accounted for over 29.3 PPG. If I had asked you before the season began to name a team that would play more games in 2020 despite the health crisis, I bet you would have never guessed Georgia Southern. But three months later the most battle-tested team in the nation, the Eagles are college football’s only team to complete a 12-game regular season. Their 7th ranked rushing unit will shred the lax 88th ranked run defense of Louisiana Tech. The Bulldogs have played three straight overs while the Eagles enter this matchup having played to four overs in their last five outings. This game flies over the total folks. Take the over. Thank you. |
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12-22-20 | Tulane v. Nevada +2.5 | Top | 27-38 | Win | 100 | 7 h 33 m | Show |
Nevada. Game 270. 12:30 pm pst. Tulane is making a 1,900-mile trip to play in freezing cold weather here. The Green Wave are a one-dimensional offense relying solely upon the run. That’s going to be a problem as the Wolfpack own the nation’s 30th ranked rush defense. On the flipside, Nevada and their seasoned and savvy QB, Carson Strong (2,587 YP, 69.4% CR, 22/4) will carve up the Tulane 115th ranked passing defense with their top-10 passing unit. The Wolfpack are used to playing in this weather and more importantly, in this stadium. Nevada is 5-0 ATS L5 as an underdog, 4-1-1 ATS L6 Bowl games, 7-2-1 ATS L10 in December, and 9-4 ATS L13 overall. Take the Wolfpack. Thank you. |
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12-20-20 | Chiefs v. Saints +3 | 32-29 | Push | 0 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
NO. Game 366. 125. With Drew Brees most-likely back at the helm and tied for the best record in the NFC, New Orleans comes in here following their first loss since September. This is the most well-balanced and strongest defense Kansas City has had to face. But the real mismatch here is the NFL’s 7th ranked rushing offense of the Saints lining up against the 26th ranked run defense of the Chiefs. New Orleans is 6-1 ATS L7 as a home ‘dog. KC is 0-5 ATS L5 overall. Take the Saints. Thank you. |
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12-20-20 | Seahawks -6 v. Washington Football Team | 20-15 | Loss | -109 | 22 h 21 m | Show | |
Seattle. LVSM. Game 355. 10:00 am pst. Alex Smith is out. Not sure it would make a difference as the Seattle defense has literally improved each of the last five weeks, yielding 23, 21, 17, 17, and 3 points. I wouldn’t put too much stock in the WFT’s four-game win streak. They have faced four flat-footed QB’s. Meanwhile the last several weeks the Seahawks have once again become a well-balanced offense with the return of RB, Chris Carson. He allows Russell Wilson to open up the passing game. The WFT stagnant offense (22.1 PPG) just can’t keep pace here. The road team is 4-0-1 ATS L5 meetings in this series. The favorite is 5-2-1 ATS the L8 meetings. Take Seattle. Thank you. |
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12-20-20 | Bears +3 v. Vikings | 33-27 | Win | 100 | 22 h 13 m | Show | |
Chicago. NFCN GOM. Game 357. 10:00 am pst. Chicago got off the snide last week in their 36-7 dismantling of Houston. Meanwhile Minnesota has crushed bettors failing to cover four in a row. They are in for real trouble here as they must now face a Bears offense that has the 1-2 punch of Trubisky and a healthy Montgomery. The Vikings “D” has gotten steamrolled foe 31, 27, 24, and 3-26 points in consecutive weeks. Mind you three of those contests were against the likes of the Cowboys, Panthers, and Jaguars. The Bears are 5-2 ATS L7 meetings in this series. The Vikings are 1-4 ATS L5 at home. Take Chicago. Thank you. |
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12-19-20 | Stanford v. UCLA -6.5 | 48-47 | Loss | -112 | 22 h 7 m | Show | |
UCLA. VJP. Game 222. 5:00 pm pst. UCLA possesses a backfield of outstanding runners. Felton, Brown, and yes, even Thompson-Robinson have combined for 1,252 yards rushing and 12 TD’s on the ground giving the Bruins the 16th ranked rushing offense in the nation. Well, the Cardinal have gotten steamrolled by the run ranking 102nd. The ground game will allow QB, DTR, who comes off his highest passer rating of 2020, to open up the passing attack. Stanford is 0-4 ATS L4 on grass, 2-7-1 ATS L10 on the road, and 2-6-1 ATS L9 overall. Take UCLA. Thank you. |
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12-19-20 | Boise State v. San Jose State +6.5 | Top | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 31 h 17 m | Show |
San Jose State. MWC GOY. Game 242. 1:15 pm pst.
San Jose State isn’t just undefeated (6-0), they are also one of college football’s best teams against the spread (5-0-1). With all respect to Boise State, I think we would all agree that the Broncos just aren’t the same team when not playing on their blue carpet. Point in fact, they did not cover either of their last two outings, both on the road at Hawaii and Wyoming. Which are two lesser foes. Boise State had problems with the BYU defense in their 51-17 drubbing at the hands of the Cougars. Don’t look now but San Jose State owns a very stingy “D” (13th) that yields a mere 17.5 PPG. The Spartans have held both good passing and good rushing units to some of their lowest performances this season. The Broncos are in for a long day. San Jose State is 12-3-1 ATS the last 16 as a ‘dog, 18-7-3 ATS the last 28 in conference play, and 5-0 ATS the last five in December. Take San Jose State. Thank you. |
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12-19-20 | Minnesota +13 v. Wisconsin | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 31 h 49 m | Show | |
Minnesota. GI. Game 211. 1:00 pm pst.
To say Wisconsin has had a disappointing season is truly an understatement. Granted, the Badgers have been impacted by Covid-19 about as bad as any team in the country. But, their once potent offense is no more. After opening the campaign with decisive wins over Illinois and Michigan, Wisconsin has now dropped three in a row (both SU and ATS) to opponents that were all favored by. During their current slide, the offense has mustered a total of 20 points. Minnesota has trudged through 2020 quite nicely, winning and covering three of their last four outings. Veteran quarterback, Tanner Morgan has a stellar ballcarrier at his disposal in Mohamed Ibrahim (925 yards rushing, 15 touchdowns) to keep the Wiscy defense honest and this game closer than the point spread. The Golden Gophers are 4-1-1 ATS the last six at the Badgers, 8-2-1 ATS the last 11 on the road, and 11-5 ATS the last 16 overall. Take Minnesota. Thank you. |
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12-19-20 | Oklahoma -5.5 v. Iowa State | 27-21 | Win | 100 | 27 h 43 m | Show | |
Oklahoma. Game 231. 9:00 am pst.
Both teams have had a week off to rest, heal, and prepare. Iowa State deserves all their praise as the Cyclones have played solid football all season long. But Oklahoma is red-hot, winning six in a row SU and going 5-1 ATS. On both sides of the ball, I see the Sooners outclassing their counterpart here. ISU’s weakness is stopping the pass. Spencer Rattler (2,512 yards passing, 68.5% completion rate, 24/7) will carve up the Cyclones secondary like a holiday dinner. Defensively, Oklahoma owns the best rush defense that Iowa State has faced in 2020. The Cyclones are a run-oriented offense. Well, the Sooners have stuffed every ground attack during their hot streak with the nation’s 4th ranked run defense. ISU is 0-5 ATS the last five on neutral sites, 0-4 ATS the last four as a ‘dog, and 2-6 ATS the last eight in December. Take Oklahoma. Thank you. |
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12-18-20 | Oregon v. USC OVER 63.5 | Top | 31-24 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
OVER in the Ducks/Trojans. Pac-12 TOM. Games 251/252. 5:00 pm pst. Pac-12 Championship between Oregon Ducks and USC Trojans. The total is currently 64. Six of the last seven meetings in this rivalry have gone over the total folks. Two offenses that can put up 35 points on just about any defense in the nation square off here. You can expect another seesaw shootout here. They may need to replace the bulbs in the scoreboard by halftime. Take the over. Thank you. |
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12-18-20 | Nebraska v. Rutgers +7 | 28-21 | Push | 0 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
Rutgers. TD play. Game 207. 1:00 pm pst. Nebraska Cornhuskers at Rutgers Scarlet Knights. The line is currently Nebraska -6.5. After finally sporting a victory at Purdue, Nebraska then plummeted back to Earth last week losing to Minnesota by seven as a nine-point favorite. Rutgers quarterback, Noah Vedral is questionable here (check status). But if doesn’t go, no worries because three-year play-caller, Artur Sitkowski has got what it takes to lead (67.2% completion rate, 311 yards passing, 3/0). Nebraska has several key players out and their star wideout has opted out for the season, seeing the writing on the wall. The Cornhuskers are 1-6 ATS the last seven games as a favorite. Take the points with the Scarlet Knights. Thank you. |
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12-13-20 | Steelers +2.5 v. Bills | Top | 15-26 | Loss | -101 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
Pittsburgh. LIM. Game 177. 5:20 pm pst. The pressure is off the Steelers as they come off their first loss of the season. They are also most-likely to see the return of their RB, James Connor. The Bills haven’t had to face a solid defense in months. Well, after their last week, you can expect the No.1 stop-unit in the NFL (17.6 PPG allowed) to come in here angry. Knowing quite well that they just might meet Buffalo in the postseason, Pittsburgh, which is the more seasoned team, will want this win. The Steelers are 6-1 ATS L7 vs. the AFC, 21-7-2 ATS L30 as an underdog, and 4-1 ATS L5 on the road. Take Pittsburgh. Thank you. |
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12-13-20 | Saints -7.5 v. Eagles | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
NO. BB. Game 173. 1:25 pm pst. New Orleans has won nine in a row SU and the last five ATS. Taysom Hill has been solid, making very few mistakes. Bit it is the stellar Saints defense that will once again shine here as they have help opponents to just 8.8 PPG during their current ATS win streak. Whether it’s an ice-cold Wentz or the inexperienced Hurts, the Eagles are in trouble here. Philly is 3-7 ATS L10 vs. winners and 4-9 ATS L13 overall. New Orleans is 24-9 ATS L33 vs. losers and 37-15 ATS L52 on the road. Take The saints. Thank you. |
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12-13-20 | Cardinals v. Giants +3 | 26-7 | Loss | -120 | 5 h 14 m | Show | |
NYG. NFC GOW. Game 158. 10:00 am pst. The golden rule of sports betting is to ride a hot team. And there is no team hotter than the New York Giants. The “boys in blue” have rattled off four consecutive wins SU and are money, going 7-2 ATS their last nine outings. This is a big game for the G-men as they are tied for the NFC East lead with the WFT. The team is optimistic that Daniel Jones will play here. But even if he does not, having Colt McCoy is quite fortuitous. Arizona has sprung a leak dropping three in a row SU and five straight ATS. Their strength is running the ball. Well, NY’s is stopping the run. Take the Giants. Thank you. |
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12-13-20 | Texans -1 v. Bears | 7-36 | Loss | -112 | 5 h 9 m | Show | |
Houston. LVSM. Game 159. 10:00 am pst. In case you might have overlooked it, Chicago has gone from 5-1 to 5-7 and haven’t covered since November 1 (0-4 ATS run). Mitch Trubisky is always reliable to find new and improved ways to lose. Houston and the NFL’s No.2 passing unit are getting the bettors paid, riding a 3-1 ATS streak. DeShaun Watson, despite missing a few key receivers will wreak havoc on an overworked Bears defense that has given up 75 points the last two games. By the way, the Texans are 4-0 ATS the last four meetings in this series. Take Houston. Thank you. |
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12-12-20 | San Diego State v. BYU -16.5 | 14-28 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 24 m | Show | |
BYU. TD. Game 432. 7:00 pm pst.
While I don’t exclusively look at betting angles, I do put some stock in them when deciding on games. This contest has several. For starters, BYU got their perfect season broken up last week against an opponent that was virtually unknown prior to 2020. Look for their very talented team (7th offensively, 4th defensively) to bounce back here against a well-known and respected team, and make a statement. Next, I don’t fall into the trap of judging a team solely on their previous performance. Many will look at last week’s San Diego State victory over Colorado State and play them here because of it. Lastly, the revenge factor. After dominating this series winning six in a row SU, the Cougars got shut down last season, 13-3. These are very different squads this season and BYU will exact some revenge here. The Aztecs are 1-4 ATS the last five on the road and 2-5 ATS the last seven following a SU win. The Cougars are 9-3 ATS the last 12 vs. the MWC and 10-4 ATS the last 14 following a SU loss.Take BYU. Thank you. |
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12-12-20 | Virginia +3 v. Virginia Tech | Top | 15-33 | Loss | -108 | 69 h 45 m | Show |
Virginia. GI GOY. Game 421. 5:00 pm pst. My friends,the odds makers make mistakes too. Trust me when I tell you, they have made a huge error in the line in this matchup. I honestly feel the wrong team is favored. Virginia should be at least a 1.5-2.5 favorite here. The once-feared Virginia Tech defense has fallen from grace to become a doormat, ranking 96th and getting plowed for over 33.8 PPG, resulting in the teams four-game slide both SU and ATS. On the other sideline, Virginia is red-hot, winning four in a row SU and their last five ATS. Cavaliers dual-threat quarterback, Brennan Armstrong has matured nicely. He has racked up over 1,858 yards passing and 529 yards rushing. Believe me when I tell you he will star in his own highlight reel here. Not only does UVA get bragging rights here but they also get to stop their rival from a Bowl invite for the first time since 1992 and aid in a probable departure for head coach, Justin Fuente. The underdog is 6-2 ATS the last eight meetings in this series. The Hokies are 1-4 ATS the last five vs. winners and 1-4 ATS the last five as a fav. The Cavs are 15-5-1 ATS the last 21 on grass and 4-1 ATS the last five as a ‘dog. Don’t be so “Cavalier” and take the underdog all the way to the bank here folks. Take Virginia. Thank you. |
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12-12-20 | Coastal Carolina -13.5 v. Troy | 42-38 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
CC. HR. Game 119. 12:00 pm pst. At 10-0 SU, Coastal Carolina has become the most popular team in college football. More importantly, to us bettors, they are money at 8-1-1 ATS. With their victory over the Cougars the Chanticleers have done away with any naysayers. In this health-conscious season, this team is at full force, listing zero players on their injury report (as of deadline). Offensively, they put up over 37.0 PPG on the arm of Grayson McCall (1,832 yards passing, 67.2% completion rate, 20/1) and the legs of a backfield that would make NFL teams envious (227.9 yards per game). Defensively, (11th, 16.8 PPG allowed) they have not allowed any opponent to shake them. Don’t put any stock in the performance Troy showed last week in their shutout of the 4-7 South Alabama. This is a team that is outclassed on both sides of the ball here. They are 0-5 ATS the last five vs. winners, 1-4 ATS the last five at home, and 1-4 ATS the last five as a ‘dog. Coastal Carolina is 4-0 ATS the last four in December, 16-5 ATS the last 21 on the road, and 15-5-1 ATS the last 21 overall. Take the Chanticleers. Thank you. |
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12-12-20 | Utah v. Colorado +2 | 38-21 | Loss | -104 | 5 h 45 m | Show | |
Colorado. Wiseguy Move. Game 258. 9:00 am pst. Very quietly, Colorado has a 4-0 record (both SU and ATS. While Utah needed to face an Oregon State team with a QB making his first career start to get a win. The Buffaloes have a monster ballcarrier in Jake Broussard (733 yards rushing, 3 TD’s). he and QB, Sam Noyer (179 yards rushing, 5 TD’s) will control the clock and keep the Utah defense om the field. Not that the Utah offense is anything to worry about (22.7 PPG). Colorado is 5-0 ATS L5 at home and 4-1 ATS L5 as a ‘dog. Take the Buffaloes. Thank you. |
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12-10-20 | Pittsburgh -6.5 v. Georgia Tech | 34-20 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
Pitt. TD. Game 111. 4:00 pm pst. Pitt enters this matchup sporting a 5-5 record and would love to finish the season better than .500. The Panthers, which have won and covered the last two meetings with the Yellow Jackets, own a defense that yields just 25.0 PPG and ranks 12th in the nation with 12 takeaways. G tech are a one-dimensional offense, that solely relies upon the rush. They don’t match up well here facing the No. 5 run defense in college football. Gt also ranks 124th with 11 turnovers. I smell trouble here folks. On the flipside, Kenny Pickett’s numbers (outside of their meetings with Clemson) are getting better and better. Look for the QB to exploit the lax 114th ranked pass “D” of Tech here. The Panthers are 4-0 ATS L4 following a bye week. The Yellow Jackets are 0-6 ATSA L6 following an ATS win. Take Pitt. Thank you. |
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12-07-20 | Bills +1.5 v. 49ers | 34-24 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
Buffalo. LVSM. Game 458. 5:15 pm pst. The hot-handed Bills have won four of their last five SU and three straight ATS. The 49ers offense, which is dealing with some absences, has struggled. They now must face a Buffalo “D” that looks to be back on track. They will shake up Nick Mullens (6 TD/7 INT) who certainly is no Jimmy G. The Bills, which are 8-3, can taste the AFC East crown. But with the Dolphins right behind them at 8-4, need every win they can get right now. Buffalo is 5-2-1 ATS L8 on grass and 6-1-2 ATS L9 as a road ‘dog. San Francisco is 1-5 ATS L6 on grass and 9-21-1 ATS L31 as a fav. Take the Bills. Thank you. |
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12-06-20 | Patriots +1.5 v. Chargers | 45-0 | Win | 100 | 19 h 11 m | Show | |
Patriots. LVSM. Game 473. 1:25 pm pst. Cam Newton showed that he still has what it takes to spark his team to victory. The Patriots have now won three of their last four, trying to keep home alive on their season. The defense has recently frustrated Lamar Jackson and Kyler Murray and will frustrate the young, Justin Herbert. The Chargers have crushed bettors, not covering since October, riding a five-game ATS slide. New England is 5-0 ATS L5 meetings in this series and 37-17-3 ATS L57 as a ‘dog. LA is 0-5 ATS L5 vs. the AFC and 3-8 ATS l11 as a fav. Take the Patriots. Thank you. |
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12-06-20 | Giants +11 v. Seahawks | Top | 17-12 | Win | 100 | 19 h 56 m | Show |
Giants. BB. Game 467. 1:05 pm pst. Colt McCoy takes the reins for a New York team that has won three in a row SU and six of eight ATS. Seattle has gotten burned by just about every offense they have lined up against in 2020. Offensively, you will see a slower pace by the Seahawks as they expect the return of their RB, Chris Carson. The Giants are 5-0 ATS L5 following an ATS loss, 6-0 ATS L6 as a ‘dog, and 21-8 ATS L29 on the road. The Seahawks are 0-4 ATS L4 following a SU win, 0-3-1 ATS L4 in December, and 2-5 ATS L7 overall. Take New York. Thank you. |
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12-06-20 | Lions v. Bears -3 | 34-30 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 4 m | Show | |
Bears. TD play. Game 456. 10:00 am pst. With Trubisky back at the helm and just a game out of a playoff berth, Chicago will do what they’ve done in five straight meetings with Detroit, and that’s win and cover. The Lions are distracted by sidelined players and an interim head coach. Detroit is 3-8 ATS L11 on the road, 5-12 ATS L17 vs. the NFC, and 1-4 ATS L5 overall. Take Chicago. Thank you. |
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12-06-20 | Saints -2.5 v. Falcons | Top | 21-16 | Win | 100 | 16 h 56 m | Show |
NFC S GOM. Game 463. 10:00 am pst. Taysom Hill brings a whole new dynamic to the New Orleans offense. He along with Kamara and Murray will control the tempo of this game and the clock. They will do it on the ground. Their defense (7.0 PPG allowed L4) will get to Matt Ryan and force mistakes. New Orleans is on an eight-game SU win streak and have covered their last four by over 25.2 PPG. They are also 5-1 ATS L6 meetings in this series, 23-9 ATS L32 vs. losers, and 36-15 ATS L51 on the road. Take New Orleans. Thank you. |
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12-05-20 | Oregon State +11.5 v. Utah | Top | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 25 h 34 m | Show |
Oregon State. Wiseguy Move. Game 379. 7:30 pm pst. Oregon State has four games under their belt this season, going 3-1 ATS. Utah has played only two games in which they got blown out by USC and then gave up a 21-point lead to Washington en route to an 0-2 start. The Beavers have monster playmaker on offense. Tristan Gebbia and Jermar Jefferson are going to light up a Utes “D” that has gotten plowed for over 78 points thus far. Offensively, Utah is missing all their playmakers from the last few seasons. Their two QB’s have tossed a combined 2 TD’s against 5 INT’s. Way too many points here to give a very tough and confident Oregon State squad. The Beavers are 6-0 ATS L6 as an underdog and 8-0 ATS L8 on the road. Take Oregon State. Thank you. |
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12-05-20 | Clemson -21.5 v. Virginia Tech | 45-10 | Win | 100 | 56 h 1 m | Show | |
Clemson Game 343. 4:30 pm pst. In his first game back following a five-week hiatus, Trevor Lawrence put up 403 yards passing and two touchdowns against a highly-regarded Pitt defense. This is the final outing of the regular season for the quarterback and his third-ranked team. It is the last opportunity for both Lawrence to make a push for the Heisman and his team to solidify their place in the CFP. As much as the future No.1 draft pick shined, it was Brent Venables defense that stole the show, with four INT’s. The Tigers “D” will go thru the Hokies offensive line (allowed eight sacks last two games) and put pressure on Hendon Hooker. The quarterback has only accounted for 190.2 yards per game in 2020. Virginia Tech, which is riding a three-game loss and no cover streak is in real trouble on both sides of the ball here. Dabo Swinney took no mercy on Pitt in last week’s 52-17 rout and won’t show any this week. Clemson is 4-1 ATS the last five meetings in this series, 11-1 ATS the last 12 in December, and 11-3 ATS the last 14 as a road favorite. Take the Tigers. Thank you. |
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12-05-20 | Colorado -7 v. Arizona | 24-13 | Win | 100 | 55 h 4 m | Show | |
Colorado. GI. Game 381. 4:00 pm pst. There’s a new sheriff in the Pac-12 and their name is Colorado. Along with USC and Washington, they are the only other undefeated team. They are also getting bettors paid at 3-0 ATS. Just to show you how good the Buffaloes are this season, they decisively bested the Aztecs last week in a last-minute matchup. Arizona (0-3 SU, 1-2 ATS) was last victories mid-October, riding an 11-game SU skid. The Wildcats defense, or lack thereof, is getting burned for 35.0 PPG. Things will go from bad to worse here as the very confident and talented Buffaloes offense will shred them both in the air and on the ground. Look for the 1-2 punch of Noyer (650 yards passing 4/2, 112 yards rushing three touchdowns on the ground) and Broussard (432 yards rushing three touchdowns) to light up the scoreboard here in a mismatch. On an added note, Colorado has revenge on their mind, dropping the last three meetings with Arizona. The road team is 7-1 ATS the last eight meetings in this series. The Buffaloes are 5-0 ATS the last five on grass and 5-1 ATS the last six overall. The Wildcats are 0-4 ATS the last four in December and 2-8 ATS the last 10 overall. Take Colorado. Thank you. |
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12-05-20 | Florida Atlantic +2.5 v. Georgia Southern | 3-20 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 17 m | Show | |
FAU. HR. Game 361. 3:00 pm pst. The 5-1 Owls (11-1 SU going back to last season) possess a monster defense that ranks No. 2 nationally, will shut down the Eagles offense. The only weapon Georgia Southern has is there ground game and their only true threat, Shai Werts has slipped a bit lately. Oh, by the way, FAU is exceptional when facing good opposition and even better in big games. The Owls are 7-0 ATS L7 vs. winners, 25-8 ATS L33 as a road underdog, 5-2 ATS L7 vs. the Sun belt, and 9-4 ATS L13 overall. Take FAU. Thank you. |
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12-05-20 | Florida -17.5 v. Tennessee | 31-19 | Loss | -107 | 52 h 39 m | Show | |
Florida. NL. Game377. 12:30 pm pst. Want to make money? Keep going against Tennessee. The Volunteers are on a five-game slide both SU and ATS, never coming within double-digits. And they won’t here. Dan Mullen enjoys crushing Jeremy Pruitt. Since arriving in Gainesville, he has won and covered both meetings by a combined, 81-24. UF has just two games remaining on their schedule in which to make a case for a CFP spot. This matchup and their regular season finale in The Swamp against LSU. Add into the mix Kyle Trask and the nation’s No. 2 passing attack face one of the worst secondaries in the SEC, giving the star quarterback an ideal opportunity to boost his Heisman votes. The Gators are 5-1 ATS the last six in Knoxville. The Vols are 3-9 ATS the last 12 as a home ‘dog. Take Florida. Thank you. |
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12-05-20 | Ball State v. Central Michigan +2.5 | 45-20 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 9 m | Show | |
CMU. LVSM. Game 366. 11:00 am pst. Jim McElwain has outclassed and outcoached just about everyone since taking the reins at CMU. His offense has put up 27 or more on every opponent going back over a year. The Chippewas are 7-2 ATS L9 vs. winners. Cardinals are 8-20 ATS L28 as a favorite. Take CMU. Thank you. |
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12-05-20 | Oklahoma State v. TCU +2.5 | 22-29 | Win | 100 | 14 h 57 m | Show | |
TCU. TD. Game 394. 9:00 am pst. A home ‘dog getting points is always on the radar, but the Horned Frogs have played their best football of 2020 over the last month going 3-1 both SU and ATS against some decent foes. The once-feared Cowboys “D” has gotten lit up. They have allowed three of their last four opponents to put up no less than 41 points. Take TCU. Thank you. |
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11-29-20 | Saints -6 v. Broncos | 31-3 | Win | 100 | 27 h 39 m | Show | |
New Orleans. LVSM. Game 267. 1:05 pm pst. The Saints which are riding a seven-game hot streak, proved they can win without Drew Brees. Taysom Hill brings a whole new dynamic to the offense. Kamara, Murray, and Hill will wreak havoc on susceptible and very beatable Denver rush “D.” On the flipside, their defense has allowed a total of 25 points over their last three contests, all against the spread winners. Denver had a win over Miami last week because they just happened to catch them at the right time. They won’t have nearly the same success here vs. the New Orleans stingy stop-unit. The Broncos have an anemic offense to begin with, ranking 28th and accounting for a mere, 20.6 PPG. The Saints are 7-1 ATS L8 vs. losers, 13-5 ATS L18 as a road fav, and 30-14 ATS L44 following an ATS win. Take New Orleans. Thank you. |
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11-29-20 | Giants -5.5 v. Bengals | 19-17 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 47 m | Show | |
Take NYG. TD play. Game 255. 10:00 am pst. Brandon Allen, who has only appeared in three games in his four-year pro career, and none since November of last year, gets the start at QB for Cincy. Winners of their last two SU and four in a row ATS, New York with a win here will be tied for the top=spot in the NFC East with Washington. Daniel Jones has improved nicely and has been very efficient. Great timing as the G-men defense has held opponents with a TD in the first half over their last three outings and held the Eagles without a third-down conversion in nine attempts. The Bengals have dropped their last two and five of six SU, finding new and improved ways to lose. The Giants are 15-5-1ATS L21 vs. losers and 21-7 ATS L28 on the road. Take New York. Thank you. |
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11-29-20 | Chargers +4.5 v. Bills | 17-27 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 40 m | Show | |
Chargers. RA. Game 263. 10:00 am pst. The Chargers have been competitive in every game in 2020. Their losses were by 3, 5, 7, 3, 1, 5, and 8 points. This isn’t a very good matchup for Buffalo as in last week’s loss to Arizona showed once again that they have problems with dual-threat QB’s. Justin Herbert has a 68% completion rate for 2,699 yards passing, and 22/6 in the air and another 187 yards rushing and 3 more TD’s on the ground. The Chargers ground game will control the tempo and keep the Bills defense on the field, allowing Herbert and the 3rd ranked passing attack to move the chains in the air. The Bills don’t run the ball very well. They revolve around Josh Allen and the passing game. LA has a good secondary although they just lost CB, Hayward. No need to worry. They just activated both Harris and Facyson. They have won and covered the last four meetings in this series, are 4-1 ATS L5 following a bye week, 13-6-2 ATS L21 on the road, and 32-15-4 ATS L51 as a road ‘dog. Buffalo is 0-4 ATS L4 following a SU loss, 0-4 ATS L4 vs. the AFC, and 0-4 ATS L4 vs. losers. Take Los Angeles. Thank you. |
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11-28-20 | Duke +1.5 v. Georgia Tech | 33-56 | Loss | -121 | 95 h 58 m | Show | |
I have seen this line move a bit in Duke’s direction. That is because they should be a favorite here. The oddsmakers are looking to trap you. We’re not falling for it, folks. Statistically, the Blue Devils are better on both sides of the ball and have taken five of the last six meetings SU and more importantly, all six ATS. The combination of quarterbacks, Brice and Holmberg are starting to click, while running back, Durant (651 yards rushing, 6 TD’s) has barreled for three 100 plus yards performances over the last four games. He is going to run amok over the Yellow Jackets lax run defense (97th). Duke’s ball-hawking “D” (7 takeaways) will get to Georgia Tech’s mistake-prone quarterback, Jeff Sims (10 INT’s in only 177 pass attempts this season) and create turnovers. The Blue Devils are 4-1 ATS the last five at the Yellow Jackets and 9-2 ATS the last 11 following a bye week. The Yellow Jackets are 3-13 ATS the last 16 at home and 6-16 ATS the last 22 overall. Take Duke. Thank you. |
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11-28-20 | Maryland v. Indiana -10.5 | Top | 11-27 | Win | 100 | 88 h 52 m | Show |
Move over Archie Miller, there’s a new sheriff in town. Tom Allen has his Hoosiers 4-1 and ranked 12th in the nation. After suffering their first defeat of 2020 (6-0 ATS) to Ohio State, Indiana will floor it here against a stale Maryland team that hasn’t played since a November 7 win at a winless Penn State. The other Tagovailoa will come in here rusty and overconfident. He is exciting but does not have the experience to compete in this matchup and is certainly not in the class of his counterpart, Penix Jr. The IU quarterback (1,564 yards passing, 14/4) has running back, Scott (373 yards rushing, 5 TD’s) and a quartet of incredible wideouts including superstar, Fryfogle (642 yards receiving, 7 TD’s). The Terrapins are awful defensively and will have no answer for the Hoosiers either on the ground or in the air. This is a “D” that got burned for over 43 points by the Wildcats and 44 points by the Golden Gophers. This just might be one of the biggest mismatches on the board this week. The home team is 4-0 ATS the last four meetings. Maryland is 3-9 ATS the last 12 on the road and 5-11 ATS the last 16 as a ‘dog. Indiana is 5-1 ATS the last six at home, and 6-1 ATS the last seven vs. winners. Take the Hoosiers. Thank you. |
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11-27-20 | Notre Dame v. North Carolina OVER 68 | Top | 31-17 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 55 m | Show |
Take OVER in the ND/UNC matchup. This is my ACC TOTAL OF THE MONTH. Games 135/136. 12:30 pm pst. Two ACC (this season) powerhouses meet here as the No. 2 Fighting Irish and the No. 25 Tar Heels take the field. Notre Dame, which averages over 37.6 PPG, has put up points against just about every opponent this in 2020. They will be able to pass the ball with success here against the 92nd ranked pass defense in college football, while their devastatingly talented rushing attack moves the chains. North Carolina, which accounts for over 43.1 PPG can light up the scoreboard on any team in the nation with their well-balanced (11th passing, 15th rushing) offense. The Fighting Irish have gotten burned for over 71 points the last two outings against the Tigers without Trevor Lawrence and an Eagles squad that is not known for their offensive prowess. The Tar Heels one flaw is their “D”, which has gotten torched for over 30.8 PPG. These teams have combined to play 10 overs and just 6 unders this season. Five of the last seven ND games have gone over the total while UNC has played to four straight overs. Take the OVER. Thank you. |
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11-27-20 | Nebraska v. Iowa -13.5 | 20-26 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 12 m | Show | |
Take Iowa. This is my LVSM. Game 148. 10:00 am pst. Iowa seem tot be getting better as the season progresses. Over the last three weeks, the Hawkeyes are 3-0 both SU and ATS, winning by an average margin of 30.3 PPG. The offense is rolling behind QB, Petras and the tandem of RB’s, Goodson and Sargent (762 YR, 12TD’s combined). Nebraska owns a very poor defense, particularly against the rush (115th). Offensively, the Cornhuskers only threat is on the ground. But the 14th ranked rush “D” of the Hawkeyes will contain the run. Overall, Iowa allows only 16.0 PPG. Nebraska is 1-7 ATS L8 vs. winners, 1-6 ATS L7 on the road, and 3-10 ATS L13 in conference play. Iowa is 7-3 ATS L10 vs. losers, 3-1-1 ATS L5 at home, and 3-0-1 ATS L4 in conference play. Take the Hawkeyes. Thank you. |
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11-27-20 | Iowa State +1.5 v. Texas | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 23 h 18 m | Show | |
Take ISU. This is my NL. Game 143. 9:00 am pst. Last years meeting was won by Iowa State. The Cyclones own the Big 12’s top-spot at 6-1 in conference play. They have the Mountaineers on deck, a team they easily handled last season. So, I wouldn’t worry about a look-ahead situation here. Brock Purdy will be able to pass the ball with ease against the 111th ranked pass defense of Texas. They have Breece hall to keep the Longhorns “D” honest. The running back has amassed over 1,169 yards rushing and 15 TD’s. They will keep Sam Ehlinger in check with a very nasty stop-unit that ranks 30th, yielding a mere, 23.4 PPG. Not too shabby for the Big 12. The Longhorns are 1-3-1 ATS L5 following a bye week, 1-6 ATS L7 on Friday, and 1-4-1 ATS L6 inn conference play. Take the Cyclones. Thank you. |
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11-26-20 | Washington Football Team +3 v. Cowboys | 41-16 | Win | 100 | 30 h 34 m | Show | |
The winner of this game will take the top-spot in the NFC East. Dallas has become so reliant on the pass and now must face the NFL’s No.1 pass defense here. On the flipside, Alex Smith is beginning to get into a groove. He is smart, experienced, and capable. Any team can put points up on the league’s worst defense (31.8 PPG allowed). These two teams met October 25, when the WFT shut down the Cowboys with Dalton under center. WFT is 9-4 ATS L13 at Dallas, 5-2 ATS L7 following a SU win, and 5-1 ATS L6 in Week 12. Dallas is 1-7 ATS L8 vs. the NFC, 1-4 ATS L5 at home, and 2-8 ATS L10 overall. Take WFT. Thank you. |
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11-23-20 | Rams v. Bucs -4 | 27-24 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
I think you’re going to see the Rams in a “let down” mode after last Sunday’s, 23-16 win over the Seahawks. Not only does the Bucs have the defense to shake up the LA offense, but it’s very hard to go against “Tom Terrific” in a MNF spotlight. By the way, before Brady came to town, Tampa Bay took last year’s meeting, 55-40. They are a better offense now. The Rams are 6-13-1 ATS the last 20 as an underdog and 3-7-1 ATS the last 11 on MNF. The over is 5-0 in the Rams last five vs. the NFC, 5-0 in the Rams last five as an underdog, 14-3 in the Bucs last 17 vs. the NFC, and 18-6 in the Bucs last 24 overall. Take Tampa Bay. Thank you. |
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11-22-20 | Chiefs -7.5 v. Raiders | 35-31 | Loss | -105 | 33 h 23 m | Show | |
Kansas City. SNLBO. Game 471. 5:20 pm pst. Andy Reid and the Kansas City Chiefs do not like losing. Their one blemish in the 2020 campaign came at the hands of Las Vegas in Arrowhead. Since the defeat, they have won four in a row SU (3-1 ATS) by an average of 16.0 PPG. Need I remind you that this is the point in the season the Raiders usually start to plunge. KC can get some payback here while basically putting the division away in the process. The Chiefs are 12-5 ATS the last 17 at the Raiders, 24-9-1 ATS the last 34 on the road, and 33-16-2 ATS the last 51 overall. Take Kansas City, Thank you. |
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11-22-20 | Cowboys v. Vikings -7 | 31-28 | Loss | -101 | 30 h 34 m | Show | |
Minnesota. Consensus. Game 470. 1:25 pm pst. Dallas finally got a cover in their last game two weeks ago. Savor the flavor Cowboy fans, it’s not going to happen again here. It looks like Andy Dalton might get the start in place of Garrett Gilbert. It won’t matter who is under center. Without a ground game to keep the Minny defense honest, this offense won’t be able to move the ball. Ezekiel Elliott is getting pounded. During their current four game SU skid, the Dallas running back has 61 carries for just 208 yards (3.4 YPC). Dalvin Cook has brought life back to the Vikings offense. Since returning three games ago, the running back has tallied over 465 yards rushing and five TD’s on the ground along 125 yards receiving and another score in the air. The Cowboys own one of the worst rushing defenses in the NFL (31st). Cook will allow Kirk Cousins to pass the ball at will. The Vikings have covered the last five meetings vs. the Cowboys. They are also 4-1 ATS the last five vs. the NFC and 6-1 ATS the last seven overall. The Cowboys are 0-7 ATS the last seven vs. the NFC, 0-6 ATS the last six on the road, and 1-8 ATS the last nine overall. Take Minnesota. Thank you. |
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11-22-20 | Dolphins -3.5 v. Broncos | 13-20 | Loss | -114 | 29 h 1 m | Show | |
Miami. TD. Game 475. 1:05 pm pst. Miami is riding a five-game win and cover streak as “Tua-time” has become a phenomenon. As exciting as Tagovailoa is, it will be the Dolphins 5th ranked defense (20.2 PPG allowed) that will shine here. Whether it’s Drew Lock (check status) at the helm or not, the deplorable Denver offense just won’t be able to keep pace on the board with Miami in this matchup. Miami is 4-0 ATS the last four at Denver, 7-1 ATS the last eight vs. Denver, and 16-5 ATS the last 21 overall. Take the Dolphins. Thank you. |
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11-22-20 | Lions -2 v. Panthers | 0-20 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 35 m | Show | |
Detroit. LVSM. Game 455. 10:00 am pst. In one of this week’s larger line movements, the Lions went from a 2-point ‘dog to a 2-point favorite. We haven’t seen a swing like that since the days of Barry Sanders. LOL Quarterback issues on both sides of the field here. The Panthers have lost five in a row SU and things will go from bad to worse for this team as once again they are without their only offensive weapon, Christian McCaffrey. The Lions have won three of their last five both SU and ATS to creep back into playoffs talk. Detroit seems to beat lesser foes and Carolina certainly falls into that category. The Panthers are 1-7-1 ATS the last nine at home, 4-10-1 ATS the last 15 vs. the NFC, and 3-7-1 ATS the last 11 following a SU loss. Take the Lions. Thank you. |
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11-22-20 | Patriots -2 v. Texans | 20-27 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 30 m | Show | |
New England. Situation. Game 457. 10:00 am pst. Bill Belichick and the Patriots are not accustomed to sporting a losing record this far into the season. They are trying to make a run of it as they have turned a corner, rattling off two straight victories. Look for Cam Newton and the NFL’s 2nd ranked rushing attack to terrorize the Texans 32nd ranked run defense, allowing Newton to open up the passing game. The Patriots are 22-8 ATS the last 30 vs. teams with a losing record. The Texans are 2-8 ATS the last 10 overall. Take New England. Thank you. |