Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-24-23 | New Mexico State +2.5 v. Louisiana Tech | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 23 h 53 m | Show | |
New Mexico State. Contrarian play. Game 101. 5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST. I know as of posting this play, most of the money is coming in on Louisiana Tech. And in all sincerity guys, I just don't see why. I have made money for all of us quite a few times on the Aggies this season. I mean folks, they are a half-point away from covering five straight outings. They enter this matchup with a very talented, dual-threat quarterback at the helm in Diego Pavia. They have a well-balanced offense. They don't make many mistakes. And they have a solid defense. Louisiana Tech comes in here dropping their last two games, both straight up and against the spread. Granted, they played a couple of tough teams this season. But I just don't see why everybody's playing them here. They are basically mediocre on both sides of the ball. Yes, they're pretty good against the pass. But they ranked 125th against the rush. And they must go up against the 18th ranked ground attack in college football here. New Mexico State will control the clock and the tempo, move the chains, and win this game outright. But I'll take the points here, folks. Take the Aggies. Thank you. |
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10-23-23 | 49ers -7 v. Vikings | 17-22 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
San Francisco 49ers. Game 473. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. My friends, the line is a little bit short here and for a good reason. The 49ers have several key players that are either out or listed as questionable as of posting this play. However, you cannot deny that this team is loaded on both sides of the ball. They rank second in scoring and second in points allowed. They rank in the top-10 in just about every major offensive and defensive category. On top of that, they don't turn the ball over at all. They come off their first loss of their season and must bounce back here, for sure. I know they have the Bengals on deck. And if Cincinnati was the team that we had thought they were going to be at this point in the season, I might look to go against San Francisco this evening. But they are not the team that we figured them to be and I don't think the 49ers will be in a look ahead spot. Minnesota cannot run the ball at all. And without a solid ground game to keep the San Francisco defense honest, I just don't think they're going to be able to pull up too many points on the board here. Take the 49ers. Thank you. |
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10-22-23 | Chargers v. Chiefs -5 | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 29 h 38 m | Show | |
Kansas City Chiefs. AFC West GOW. Game 468. 1:25 PM, PST/4:25 PM EST. I know there's money coming in on the underdog here. I know last year’s meetings were each separated by three-points. But football and sports betting are each based on situations. Let's face it, Los Angeles isn't the greatest road team, while Kansas City is a monster team at Arrowhead Stadium. Since they dropped their season-opening game by one-point to the Lions, the Chiefs have rattled off five consecutive straight up wins, going 4-1 ATS. And if you're keeping records, they have also won 12 straight Division games, straight up. Not only do they like to win games, they particularly enjoy beating AFC West opponents. Patrick Mahomes must be salivating, knowing the second-ranked passing offense in the NFL is going to line up against the 32nd-ranked pass defense in the League. Now that the Chiefs offense is starting to click, let's face it they are the most-complete team in football right now. Their defense has been outstanding, ranking second in points allowed, yielding just 14.7 points per game. I see they're LB corps spending more time in the Chargers backfield than the Chargers players lol. I look for Kansas City to make a statement here. Take the Chiefs. Thank you. |
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10-22-23 | Packers -120 v. Broncos | Top | 17-19 | Loss | -120 | 29 h 33 m | Show |
Green Bay Packers on the moneyline. BEST BET. Game 469. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. Does anyone remember when the Denver defense was feared? It seems like years have passed since those days. But it all sincerity, they were supposed to be a force to be reckoned with this year. And yet this team is 1-5 SU, failing to cover a single outing yet in the 2023/2024 campaign. Not only that, but their so called, “stop- unit” ranks dead last in the League. That's right, they are 32nd in points allowed (33.3 PPG), 30th in passing yards allowed (268.0 PY), 32nd in rushing yards allowed (172.3), and their offense has twice as many turnovers as their defense has takeaways (11/5). Because their “D” is so overworked and tired, their “O”, which was never a great offense, let's face it, is absolutely horrible. They rank in the bottom half in the NFL in every major category. Mind you, Green Bay, at 2-3, isn't all that great either. But I think we can all agree that they’ve been a bit more competitive this season, than many thought. And for us, sports bettor's, they have covered three of their five outings. The status of starting running back, Aaron Jones is still uncertain as of this post (check status). However, if he does not play, AJ Dillon has proved he can step in and contribute without missing a beat. And let's face it, as I mentioned earlier, the Denver defense ranks dead last against the run. The ability to move the chains on the ground will certainly open up the passing game for Jordan Love. Russell Wilson's numbers are horrible, ranking 27th in a league with a QBR of 39.8. He will have another long day here, going up against the much-improved, ninth-ranked pass defense of Green Bay. In my opinion, the Packers should be a favorite in this matchup of anywhere from 1.5-3.0. If you recall in the beginning of this breakdown, I mentioned about anybody remembering when the Broncos defense was feared. Here's another question I post to you; does anyone remember when playing at home was a must play on Denver? It seems like it was just yesterday that playing at Mile High was a definite play on the home team. Well, this team has failed to cover all three games played at Empower Field this season. Take Green Bay on the moneyline. Thank you. |
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10-22-23 | Lions +3 v. Ravens | 6-38 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 19 m | Show | |
Detroit Lions. High Roller Game 457. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. I admit it folks, I am drinking the Kool-Aid. Just from a sports betting point of view, the Lions are money. Going back to last season, they are on a 14-2 ATS cover streak. And when an underdog, they have covered seven straight. On the other hand, Baltimore is just 3-9ATS their last 12 games when laying a field goal or more. In my opinion, the wrong team is favored here. Very quietly, Detroit's offense ranks in the top-10 in every major category. I know the Baltimore defense is a true force. But they haven't faced a team this complete in quite a while, my friends. On the opposite side of the ball, the Lions stop-unit tops the League against the run. If they could at least slow down Lamar Jackson and the rushing offense of the Ravens, this game can surely get out of hand. Take Detroit. Thank you. |
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10-21-23 | Utah +7 v. USC | 34-32 | Win | 100 | 44 h 48 m | Show | |
Utah. Pac-12 Payday. Game 381. 5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST. All season long the Trojans have been overvalued by the oddsmakers. They are just 2-5 ATS this season, failing to cover the last four outings. To make matters worse, their defense has been bleeding all season long. Last week against the Fighting Irish, their weaknesses were unveiled. I do not expect a big revenge game here as the Utes handed them not just their only regular season loss, but also took them down with authority in the Conference Title game, last year. Utah's offense isn't so flashy, for sure. But their defense is outstanding. In their five victories this season, they have not yielded more than two touchdowns. FYI, and although they have Oregon on deck, I don't see a look ahead situation for the team. They can run the ball and they can stop the run. Not only that, but they make very few miscues on “O”, while forcing and snagging a lot of turnovers on “D”. This is way too many points for USC to lay. Take Utah. Thank you. |
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10-21-23 | Michigan -24 v. Michigan State | 49-0 | Win | 100 | 44 h 31 m | Show | |
Michigan. BIG TEN GOM. Game 337. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. It's no secret that Michigan State has dominated this rivalry for quite a while now. After taking the two previous meetings, both straight up has underdogs, the Spartans got routed last year by the Wolverines, 29-7. The worm has turned my friends. And this year, these are very different teams. MSU is only four-game straight up losing streak, only covering one of those outings. And after last week’s, 27-24 loss on the road Rutgers, blowing a 24-6 lead, there is no way they could get up for this contest. With Ohio State playing Penn State early this morning today, no matter the outcome, Michigan must rev the engine, and turn it up here. After this game, they have an off week before they go home and face Purdue. The following week they go on the road at Penn State. They also go on the road after that to face Maryland. Then it is their regular season finale at home against Ohio State. As I mentioned earlier, they cannot take their foot off the gas here. On both sides of the ball, they are significantly stronger, without question the strongest opponent Michigan State has faced yet this season. The mistake-prone Sparty offense is going to turn the ball over quite a bit. And Michigan will capitalize. Over the last few weeks, the Wolverines have covered as favorites of 17.5, 19.0, and 31.5 against conference opponents. Lay the wood with Michigan. Thank you. |
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10-21-23 | Toledo v. Miami-OH +2 | Top | 21-17 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 48 m | Show |
Miami-Ohio. MAC GOM. Game 362. 1:00 PM PST/4:00 PM EST. Oddly enough, these two MAC teams haven't met in over a decade. Both teams hold 3-0 records in Conference play as well as 6-1 overall marks. But when it comes to covering the spread, that's where they differ. Toledo is on a 0-5 ATS no cover streak. But checking our stats going a little further, they are also 0-8 ATS when coming off of a win as a favorite as well as 2-11 ATS their last 13 overall as a favorite. Meanwhile, Miami Ohio has not just won their last six games straight up, they've also covered their last six games as well. The Redhawks are a little more well-balanced on both sides of the ball. The wrong team is favored here. Take Miami-Ohio. Thank you. |
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10-21-23 | Penn State v. Ohio State -4.5 | 12-20 | Win | 100 | 36 h 7 m | Show | |
Ohio State. Contrarian GOM. Game 326. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. Everybody and their mothers are playing Penn State here. And why not? They are perfect 6-0 this season, both straight up and against the spread. And going back to last season, the Nittany Lions have covered 13 straight outings. The team possesses some of the best statistics in the nation on both sides of the ball. But folks, look at their schedule thus far; West Virginia, Delaware, Illinois, Iowa, Northwestern, and Massachusetts. They haven't been less than a 14-point favorite over any opponent this season. Let's be honest, my friends, not one of those adversaries possess a solid offensive unit. And only one of them owns a decent defensive unit. They haven't been tested yet. They're going to come into this match up with a false sense of self-worth to face the third-ranked Ohio State Buckeyes, which have faced some solid opposition already. Offensively, Ohio State has the depth and the talent to move the chains. Defensively, they rank fourth against the pass, 23rd against the rush, seventh in total yards allowed, and third in points allowed. After this week, Ohio State doesn't have another formidable foe until their regular season finale on the road at Michigan. They cannot afford to take their foot off the gas here. This is a low number. Take the Buckeyes. Thank you. |
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10-21-23 | Rutgers -5 v. Indiana | 31-14 | Win | 100 | 36 h 53 m | Show | |
Rutgers. TD play. Game 343. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. Coming back and winning the game against Michigan State the way they did last week, shows a lot about this Rutgers team. They enter this matchup with momentum and motivated. At 5-2, the Scarlet Knights need another win to become bowl eligible. My friends, after this contest, they have matchups against the Buckeyes, the Hawkeyes, the Nittany Lions, and the Terrapins. To put it lightly, they must win here. Indiana comes in here losing their last two games, both on the road, by a combined 96-24. They are also riding a three-game ATS no cover streak. Look for Rutgers running back, Kyle Monangai, who leads the Conference in rushing, to absolutely steamroll the Indiana run defense. Lay the short price here with the road favorite. Take the Scarlet Knights. Thank you. |
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10-21-23 | Central Florida v. Oklahoma -17 | Top | 29-31 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 38 m | Show |
Oklahoma. Consensus GOM. Game 390. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. UCF Head Coach, Gus Malzahn stated starting quarterback, John Rhys Plumlee is close to 100% and is expected to see action here (check status). In my opinion, although the play-caller is talented, it will not matter. His numbers weren’t all that great when he was on the field. The Knights are on a three-game slide, both SU and ATS. They have failed to cover all three of their road games this season. And going back to last season, failed to cover six in a row away from home. Normally, I would look to fade Oklahoma following the Red River Rivalry. But this team is playing on another level. Following their road win and cover as an underdog to Texas, they had a week off to rest, heal, and prepare. They are not just 6-0 straight up this season, they are 6-0 against the spread as well. The Sooners have a real chance to run the gauntlet and go undefeated during the regular season and make a case for the CFP. Oklahoma quarterback, Dillon Gabriel is salivating here. He has a chance to go up against his former team, and show them why he left. The Knights defense has allowed 44, 36, and 51 points in consecutive contests. The Central Florida offense solely relies upon their ability to run the ball. This doesn't bode well as Oklahoma's stop-unit ranks 32nd in the nation against the rush. The Sooners have already covered pointspreads of 13.5 and 20.5 over Conference foes. This game gets ugly. Take Oklahoma. Thank you. |
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10-21-23 | Mississippi State v. Arkansas OVER 47.5 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 32 m | Show |
Over in the Mississippi State/Arkansas matchup. Total of the MONTH. Game 395/396. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. Trust me, when I tell you, my friends, the total in this matchup is way too low. Both of these teams are looking for their first Conference victory. And both will fight to get it. Mississippi State comes off a bye last week and Arkansas returns home after several weeks. Starting with the basics: these two teams have combined to play eight overs, four unders, and one push this season. The Bulldogs enter this matchup on a four-game over run, while the Razorbacks have played to four overs in their last five outings. Going back the last eight matchups, six of them have gone over the total, this includes four of the last five, and the last two meetings, the last two seasons. Neither offense is particularly exciting. But they do combine for over 60 points per game. Makes you think, doesn’t it? I just don't see this being a low-scoring contest. Take the over. Thank you. |
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10-19-23 | Jaguars v. Saints UNDER 40 | 31-24 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
Under in the Jax/NO matchup. Games 311/312. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. Just like me, I'm going to keep this analysis, short and sweet, (lol). As of posting this play, the status of Trevor Lawrence is still uncertain. My friends, whether he plays or not, I feel this is the contest Jacksonville will feel a little jet leg and suffer the consequences of a time difference. As we all know the Jaguars spent several weeks in London, beating both the Falcons and the Bills. They came back to the United States last week, and took care of business at home against the Colts. I believe that was on shear strength and momentum. This week they're going to feel a little jetlagged and certainly feel the difference between time zones. They face a Saints team that are a mediocre, 3-3 this season. Defense has been the reason why they still have a chance at making 2023 successful. Going back to last season, this team has played to 12 consecutive unders, which includes all six outings this season. And when, facing the AFC South, five consecutive contests have gone under the total. On the flipside, let's face it, their offense just can't score behind the shakiness of quarterback, Derek Carr. With a game at Pittsburgh 10 days from this outing and then going home two weeks after that, well rested to face San Francisco, I can expect the Jacksonville to take their foot off the gas a little bit here. Take the under. Thank you. |
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10-19-23 | James Madison -3.5 v. Marshall | 20-9 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
JMU Dukes. Money Maker. Game 313. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. James Madison is on a nine-game straight up winning streak going back to last November. This season, they are on a four-game ATS cover streak. They do pretty well on the road for us as well, my friends, covering their last two as a guest. Meanwhile, not only has Marshall dropped their last two games in a row straight up, they have failed to cover their last three overall outings. Their defense, which was respected earlier on the season, has now allowed a combined 124 points over the last three. Just for the record, that's 41.3 points per game. The Dukes are accounted for over 34.5 points per game on their well-balanced offense that rarely turns the ball over. Meanwhile, although their pass defense leaves a lot to be desired, they are actually the top team in the nation against the rush, allowing a mere, 42.8 yards per game on the ground. And they have already taken away 10 turnovers. I think those two items will be the key here. Take James Madison. Thank you. |
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10-16-23 | Cowboys -125 v. Chargers | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 55 h 15 m | Show | |
Dallas Cowboys ON THE MONEY LINE. OM play. Game 277. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. Coming off a bye week, following back-to-back wins, with the expected return (check status) of running back, Austin Ekeler, and getting points at home, makes Los Angeles a very enticing play. But as in life, sometimes things can seem too good to be true. That is the case here. Getting Dallas coming into this matchup, seeking redemption and vengeance after last Sunday’s demoralizing, 42-10 loss at San Francisco is a huge betting angle. For that alone, I would back to Cowboys. But the icing on the cake, they are 8-0 ATS their last eight games played following a loss. By the time they take the field on Monday, the Chargers would have been idle for 15 days. Can you say “Stale, Flat, & Rusty? Dak Prescott had his ugliest outing last week: 153 yards passing, 1 TD, 3 INT’s. He lines up across the NFL’s 32nd ranked pass defense here, a unit that has yielded over 26.0 PPG. Guys, Dallas is a good team. They are not a team to dwell on a past defeat, letting it linger. One big win, on national TV here, sets them back on track. Oh, BTW, my numbers have them a TD favorite in this matchup. Take the Cowboys ON THE MONEY LINE (Just to err on the side of caution. But, we ain’t gonna’ need it. The line, while I was posting this, dropped a bit. So I saw value in the extra few pennies on the ML. Thank you. |
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10-15-23 | Cardinals v. Rams -7 | Top | 9-26 | Win | 100 | 28 h 50 m | Show |
Los Angeles Rams. TEN DIMES PLAY. Game 272. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. Covering their first three games of the season, Arizona was shaping up to be an under the radar ATS moneymaker. But when October arrived, the Cardinals fell back down to Earth, going 0-2, both straight up and against the spread as underdogs of 14.5 and 3.0 points. On the other hand, the Rams just might be the best sub .500 team in the League right now. And if they're going to take it up a notch, this is the matchup to kick it off. They have dominated their division foe, taking eight of their last 10 meetings, both SU and ATS. Arizona's only true offensive weapon, running back, James Conner is out, dealing a critical blow to the team. Reports are L.A. star wide receiver, Cooper Kupp will be a major factor here in his second game back from injury. Kupp, in his first game back from injury, a week ago, had eight receptions for 118 yards. The cobwebs have been shaken off now. Expect the Stafford/Kupp connection to pick apart the 26th ranked pass defense of ‘Zona in one of my highest-rated plays on the board this week. Take the Rams. Thank you. |
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10-15-23 | Eagles -6 v. Jets | Top | 14-20 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 44 m | Show |
Philadelphia Eagles. Consensus play. Game 273. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. Only one of two undefeated teams left this season, Philadelphia is truly scary. Why? Because we still haven't seen their "A" game. With a meeting with Miami, up next, you can expect them to stay focused here. Granted, New York has a stellar rushing attack, behind running back, Breece Hall. But the Eagles counter with the No. 1 "D" in the NFL vs. the run. With a potentially limited ground game to crutch on, quarterback, Zach Wilson and the 32nd ranked passing "O" of the Jets is in real trouble here. They will not be able to exploit the Eagles, shaky secondary. Philly is money on the road, with a 3-0 ATS mark as a guest this season. In a huge mismatch, the 2nd ranked rushing attack of the Eagles, will shred the NFL’s 29th ranked rush defense of the Jets. Yes, overall, the NY stop-unit owns some solid statistics. But when facing well-balanced offenses (Dallas 30, Kansas City 23) they are very beatable. FYI, I give a “mulligan” to Buffalo on that first game of the season against NYJ (lol). Take Philadelphia. Thank you. |
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10-15-23 | Seahawks v. Bengals OVER 45 | 13-17 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 42 m | Show | |
Over SEAHAWKS/BENGALS. No Limit. Games 257/258. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. This is one of the most exciting games on the board this Sunday in pro football. As a capper, I thought it was very difficult to predict which team would triumph. But one thing I had no problem predicting is on the total. The Seahawks offense has come to life over recent weeks, accounting for a combined 108 points during the current three-game win streak. The problem is, their defense has been atrocious all season long. They have only held one opponent to under 27 points scored this season. And that was their last game against the lowly, Giants. The Bengals finally looked like the team we expected them to be this season in last week’s road win at the Cardinals, 34-20. Quarterback, Joe Burrow had his best performance this season. No surprise this coincides with him looking healthier than in previous weeks. Their struggling offense matches up very well here. I expect Burrow to have another stellar showing here as he lines up against the 30th ranked pass defense in the league. The Burrow/Chase connection is rolling. Look for a high scoring game. So much so they may have to replace the bulbs on the scoreboard afterwards. Taking over. Thank you. |
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10-15-23 | Panthers v. Dolphins OVER 47.5 | 21-42 | Win | 100 | 25 h 31 m | Show | |
Over in the Panthers/Dolphins. HIGH ROLLER. Game 265/266. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. There is no question the number one scoring offense in NFL of the Miami Dolphins will pick apart the 28th ranked scoring defense of the Carolina Panthers. If you're concerned about the absence of starting running back, Devon Achane, don't be. Raheem Mostert has accounted for over 314 yards on the ground, averaging 5.4 yards per carry. Oh, and by the way, he leads the team in touchdowns with seven. I know the Carolina team is 0-5, the only winless teams left in the League. And they possess an “O” ranking towards the bottom of the barrel. But as good as the Dolphins are, there hasn't been too many teams that haven't been able to score easily on them. They rank 26th in the League, allowing over 27.0 points per game. To be quite honest, going back to even last season, their defense has gotten steamrolled. It’s only due to their explosive offense they keep winning. Take the over. Thank you. |
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10-15-23 | Ravens v. Titans UNDER 43 | 24-16 | Win | 100 | 21 h 17 m | Show | |
Under Ravens/Titans. AFC TOTAL OF THE MONTH. Game 2517252. 6:30 AM PST/9:30 AM EST. Both, Baltimore, and Tennessee aren't exactly where they hoped to be at this point in the season. Both offenses are struggling to put points on the board. However, both defenses have been outstanding. These two squads match up pretty well. Coming into this match up, the Ravens and Titans have played to eight unders in their 10 combined games this season. Over there four most recent meetings, three have gone under the total. Take the under. Thank you. |
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10-14-23 | UCLA v. Oregon State -3.5 | Top | 24-36 | Win | 100 | 48 h 58 m | Show |
Oregon State. PAC 12 PAYDAY. Game 190. 5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST. All I keep reading is how good the Bruins defense is. However, they stepped up in class once this season and got spanked a few weeks back against Utah. On the other hand, Oregon State has looked strong against solid opposition. They are 5-1 straight up, going 4-2 against the spread. They opened the season against a couple of pushover foes, earning wins and covers. Then they took their foot off the gas winning, big but not covering a huge pointspread against San Diego State. I'll give them a mulligan in their heartbreaking three-point road loss against rival, Washington State a few weeks back. However, they bounced back and took control of their destiny beating Utah at home and Cal on the road, with authority. By the way, they covered both of those outings too. This is a team that gets us sportsbettors paid at home, covering 14 of their last 15 contests at Reser Stadium. Quarterback, DJ Uiagalelei has matured quite nicely, and found a home as the head of this team. They possess a solid ground attack. Defensively they're holding teams to under 20 points per game and I've already snagged four takeaways. I believe they're going to make it a very long day for Dante Moore, UCLA’s freshman quarterback that only has five games under his belt as a starter. With a more experienced quarterback, a significantly stronger rushing attack, a smart head coach, and playing at home, we must take the Beavers. Thank you. |
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10-14-23 | Auburn +11.5 v. LSU | Top | 18-48 | Loss | -110 | 47 h 2 m | Show |
Auburn Tigers. TD play. Game 159. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Whispers around the Las Vegas sportsbooks are that there's going to be some serious money coming in on LSU this Saturday. And why not? They rank 22nd in the nation. And following their road loss to Mississippi, they bounced back last week and took down Missouri as a visitor too. They return home to face an Auburn opponent riding a two-game straight up losing streak. But my friends, sportsbetting is about situations and matchups. And the situation here tells me the Tigers of Auburn are going to catch the Tigers of LSU at the right time. First of all, Auburn has covered the last four meetings in this series, winning two of those matchups straight up. The other two matchups, they lost by three and four points. They play LSU tough, my friends. Guys, Louisiana State was supposed to have an awesome defense this season. But to be quite honest, every halfway decent opponent they went up against, has put up points on them; Florida State 45, Arkansas 31, Mississippi 55, and Missouri 39. They certainly have a very talented quarterback at the helm, and a solid running back in the backfield. But Auburn owns some pretty good statistics as well, ranking 25th in the nation in points allowed, yielding just 18.2 points per game. They're equally strong against the pass as they are against the rush. And offensively they possess one of the most complete rushing units in college football, ranking 19th, and averaging over 200 yards per game on the ground. It is this area that I feel benefits Auburn the most. They will run the ball a lot, wear down the LSU defense, control the clock, and keeping the LSU defense on the field, while keeping their offense off it. Giving Auburn double-digits as they look to rebound from two straight up losses, and had a week off to rest, heal, and prepare is a mistake. Take Auburn. Thank you. |
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10-14-23 | Illinois v. Maryland -13 | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 34 m | Show |
Maryland Terrapins. No Limit. Game 128. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. Facing Maryland, following their first loss of the campaign, will prove to be fatal for Illinois. The Terrapins have too much fire power for the "not so" Fighting Illini. Maryland has played some solid football this season. And as far as covering the spread, following a couple of pushover opponents to start off the season, in which they pulled starters, and took the foot off the gas late in the games, they then covered three straight against the likes of Virginia, Michigan State, and Indiana. To be quite honest, last week’s loss at Ohio State was a lot closer than the score. Speaking of covering the spread, this team is 6-1 ATS their last seven as a home favorite of eight or more points. Meanwhile, Illinois has failed to cover any of their six contests in 2023. As a matter fact, going back a bit, they have failed to cover any outings in the calendar year of 2023, failing to cover seven straight games, going back to last season. Turnovers have been an issue for the Fighting Illini, and facing a Terrapins opponent here that has not turned the ball over offensively, and yet has snagged eight takeaways defensively, will be the nails in the coffin here. I'm both sides of the ball, Maryland outclasses Illinois. Take the Terrapins. Thank you. |
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10-13-23 | Tulane v. Memphis +5 | 31-21 | Loss | -112 | 34 h 17 m | Show | |
Memphis. Friday Night Lights. Game 122. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Guys, this might be one of the most exciting games on the board this weekend, believe it or not. There's a lot of drama surrounding this game. Both teams are 4-1 straight up. And believe it or not, even though we're about halfway done with the regular season, this match up has serious implications down the road for a New Year's Six Bowl possibility. Having said that, the home team has covered six of the last seven meetings in this series. I want to talk about last year's matchup. Tulane was at home in a sold-out stadium, leading 35-0 at halftime. Memphis rallied back, but unfortunately lost the game, 38-28. I'm sure that left a very bad taste in the Tigers mouth. Both teams beat teams they should've beaten already, while both have also lost to teams that on paper, they were inferior than. Looking at each teams loss this season, the Green Wave took a bit of a beating at home against the Rebels. Meanwhile, the Tigers held on very tough on the road at the other Tigers (LOL) of Missouri. While both teams possess able quarterbacks and decent running backs, there is no question that Memphis owns a much stronger offensive unit. They average over 36.6 points per game, nearly seven points per game more than does Tulane. Defensively, the Green Wave puts up some very good numbers. But they're facing a very well-balanced offensive unit. One more item my friends that I feel is very significant; Tulane has turned the ball over seven times already. They make a lot of mistakes. This is a big matchup, lots of pressure, that they are playing on the road. I think the wrong team might be favor to hear. That's why I'm prompted to take Memphis plus the points. Thank you. |
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10-12-23 | West Virginia -145 v. Houston | 39-41 | Loss | -145 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
West Virginia on the moneyline. OM Play. Game 119. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. West Virginia has been one of college football’s pleasant surprises so far this season going for 4-1, both straight up and against the spread. They opened the campaign off with a loss and no cover on the road a Penn State. They then followed that up with wins and covers against Duquesne and Pittsburgh. They started their Big 12 Conference play, winning both against Texas Tech at home and TCU on the road, outright as the underdog in both outings. On the other hand, Houston is heading in the opposite direction. They started the campaign off winning and covering at home against UTSA. But over the last four outings, they have been atrocious, losing and failing to cover three of four against the likes of Rice, TCU, and Texas Tech. Their only victory since early-September was against Sam Houston State. It is their losses in Big 12 play that caught my eye. They lost, 36-13 at home against the Horned Frogs and then on the road, 49-28 against the Red Raiders. Just for the record, the Mountaineers took down both of those Conference representatives. They beat Texas Tech, 20-13 at home and TCU, 24-21 on the road. The Cougars have gotten plowed defensively in conference play. They are particularly bad against the rush. This does not bode well as West Virginia is running the ball nearly 70% of the time. I look for the Mountaineers offense to grind down the already tired, Cougars defense, and move the chains. On the flipside, Houston isn't too much of a threat offensively. And let's face it, the West Virginia stop-unit has looked solid, allowing just 19.0 points per game. The Mountaineers have to keep their foot on the gas here. Their next five opponents are all teams they beat in previous meetings. If they stay focused, they have a real opportunity to compete for the Conference crown. Take West Virginia on the moneyline. Thank you. |
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10-10-23 | Coastal Carolina v. Appalachian State -5 | 27-24 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
Appalachian State Mountaineers. Best Bet play. Game 102. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. Appalachian State has taken four of the last six meetings going back to 2017, with Coastal Carolina. This season, the Chanticleers are falling a little bit short. Granted, they started their season covering the first three games, but they have since failed to cover their last two outings. And to be quite honest, they look pretty bad against both Georgia State, and Georgia Southern. Going 3-2 straight up and 2-2-1 against the spread, the Mountaineers aren’t exactly where they wanted to be at this point either. But I must tell you, they beat all the teams they should've beaten, and against the two that on paper are better than them, they covered both. Those were games against the Tar Heels and the Cowboys. They match up well here. Coastal Carolina has a decent quarterback, but no running game whatsoever. This doesn't bode well for the Chanticleers as the Mountaineers possess an extremely strong pass defense. On the flipside, not only does Appalachian State have an extremely good quarterback, they have one of the best running backs in the conference. They have the ability to control the tempo and the clock and move the chains here. Take the Mountaineers. Thank you. |
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10-09-23 | Packers +2.5 v. Raiders | 13-17 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
Green Bay Packers. Game 475. 5:15 PM PST/7:15 PM EST. Green Bay had a few extra days to rest, heal, and prepare for this matchup tonight. Losing at home against division rival, Detroit will further motivate them to put forth a solid performance on national TV. What better team to face than Las Vegas. My friends, I know the Raiders team very well. I watch them during practices. I see them each home game. I can tell you this is not a very good team, no matter who is at the helm. Latest reports show Jimmy Garoppolo (check status) will be back under center. But guys, does it really matter? The offensive unit ranks 30th in scoring, averaging a mere, 15.5 points per game. They rank dead last in rushing. And without a solid ground attack in the league in today's game, a quarterback like Jimmy G is usually a sitting duck. They've already coughed the ball up 10 times as well. Meanwhile, defensively, their numbers are just as bad. They are allowing over 25.3 points per game and rank dead last, and for the record, that's 32nd in the league with just one take away. Jordan Love had a less than stellar (lol) performance last week. I expect him to bounce back here against a very beatable “D”. It's true, he also has one of the worst rushing attacks in football. However, they can put up points, they rarely turn the ball over, and he is a good passer. He has several solid receivers at his disposal. And I do think the ground game will get going a little bit here and give the quarterback some breathing room, keeping the Las Vegas defense honest. For everyone that likes trends out there: Green Bay has covered three of their four outings this season, which does include both road contests. Going back a bit, they've covered four in a row as a visitor. Meanwhile, Vegas has covered just one game in the 2023 campaigns thus far, failing to cover either of their two games played at home. I'll take the points with a Packers here. Thank you. |
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10-08-23 | Chiefs -3 v. Vikings | Top | 27-20 | Win | 100 | 24 h 36 m | Show |
Kansas City Chiefs. High Roller. Game 471. 1:25 pm pst/4:25 pm est. Following their season-opening loss in which they were shorthanded for sure, Kansas City has now rattled off three consecutive wins, going 2-1 against the spread. Meanwhile, on the other end of the spectrum, Minnesota opened the season up going 0-3, both straight up against the spread, but came up with a big win last week on the road at Carolina to also earn their first cover of the campaign. But I've got to be honest, my friends, their defense has been absolutely atrocious and beating the Panthers is no big achievement. A big mistake made by sports bettor's out there is judging a team by their previous performance. I can tell you the Chiefs did not play their best game last week when they did eke by the Jets on the road. This is a game they have to get back on track, get all their ducks in a row, and get their foot on the gas. Facing an inexperienced quarterback that just can't seem to get a grasp of the NFL in Bryce Young is a far cry from going up against the most accomplished quarterback in the league today in Patrick Mahomes. Don't expect the Vikings defense to have the same success here this week at all. As a matter of fact, they are in for a huge let down for sure. On the opposite side of the ball, the Kansas City defense has really been superb, allowing just 15.0 points per game. My friends, please remember that the Vikings offense ranks dead least in the league in turnovers. I expect that number to skyrocket and for them to keep their 32nd ranking in tact after this contest. I look for this game to get out of hand. Take Kansas City. Thank you. |
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10-08-23 | Eagles v. Rams +4 | 23-14 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 22 m | Show | |
Los Angeles Rams Touchdown play. Game 468. 1:05 pm pst/4:05 pm est. Guys I'm going to level with you. While, I think the Philadelphia Eagles are a good team. I mean obviously, they are at 4-0. I just don't think they're the same team they were even a season ago. I think this team is struggling a bit. And the oddsmakers are still treating them like the team they used to be. Yes, they are perfect so far this season. But let's take a look at some of their opponents: New England Patriots, Minnesota Vikings, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, and Washington Commanders (only one team with a winning record). Oh, by the way, they've only covered two of their four outings this season, too. The Los Angeles Rams are just 2-2 this season. However, they're a half a point away from covering all four outings. Let's start with some basics. First of all, the Eagles are traveling across the country. Jalen Hurts looks to be struggling. His numbers are certainly off from the season ago. And their defense has absolutely been atrocious. I mean come on folks, they allowed the Patriots to put up 20, the Vikings to put up 28, and the Commanders to put up 31. I see a major mismatch here between their 27th ranked pass defense and the explosive Rams passing offense, which ranks second in the NFL. On the flipside, I look for the seventh ranked pass defense of Los Angeles to wreak some havoc on Hurts and the 13th ranked passing attack in the league. I think the line is way off here. I think this is going to be a very tight game. To be honest with you, I feel Los Angeles has what it takes to possibly win this outright. But I will take four points at home with the Rams for sure. Thank you. |
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10-08-23 | Texans +2 v. Falcons | 19-21 | Push | 0 | 21 h 30 m | Show | |
Houston Texans. Bookie Buster. Game 453. 10:00 am pst/1:00 pm est. These two teams started the season very differently and now they’re heading in opposite directions again. The Atlanta Falcons started off the campaign winning their first two outings at home over both Carolina and Green Bay. But has since dropped road games against Detroit and Jacksonville. By the way, they failed to cover three in a row. The Houston Texans opened the season up with a road loss at Baltimore, and then a home loss against Indianapolis, only to win their next two games, the first on the road at Jacksonville, and the second at home against Pittsburgh. By the way, they've covered their last two outings. The last few weeks the Falcons defense have been nonexistent, while their offense has struggled badly. The opposite can be said for the Texans. Without question CJ Stroud is a quantum leap ahead of where Desmond Ridder. Stroud, who has 1,212 yards passing, six touchdowns, and zero interceptions, isn’t just producing, he is making zero mistakes. On the other hand, Ridder has only 744 yards passing, with only three touchdowns, and three interceptions. By the way, outside of running back, Bijan Robinson, Atlanta hasn't been too threatening offensively. Defensively, these teams have very similar statistics, however, one that stands out and certainly favors Houston is that they rank ninth against the pass, while Atlanta ranks dead last in the league at 32nd in passing. This is huge, my friends. Football is streaky right now. The Texans are streaking. Take Houston. Thank you. |
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10-08-23 | Titans -135 v. Colts | 16-23 | Loss | -135 | 20 h 24 m | Show | |
Tennessee Titans on the moneyline. Consensus play. Game 457. 10:00 am pst/1:00 pm pst. Guys, I am going to keep this analysis just like me, short and sweet (lol). Tennessee's defense has very quickly become one of the toughest in the NFL. They are allowing just 17.5 points per game and have held some very good offenses in check. I look for their aggressive stop-unit to go after the mistake-prone, Anthony Richardson and wreak some havoc. On the flipside, running back extraordinaire, Derrick Henry is back to doing what he does best. With him carrying much of the workload, he will keep the Colts defense honest, and on the field. Oh, by the way, Tennessee has won and covered the last five meetings in the series. Take the Titans on the money line just in case. Thank you. |
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10-08-23 | Jaguars v. Bills -5.5 | Top | 25-20 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 8 m | Show |
Buffalo Bills. No Limit Game 452. 6:30 AM PST/9:30 AM EST. Guys, I am well aware that Jacksonville has become a fan favorite in London. And they did not have to travel last week following their win against Atlanta across the pond. But Buffalo has revenge in their eyes. These two teams met at Wembley stadium in 2015 when the Jaguars came out victorious, 34-31. Losing doesn't sit well with the Bills. Speaking of the team, following their season-opening embarrassing loss on national TV to a jets team minus Aaron Rodgers, the team has now won and covered three consecutive outings against some solid competition. In all sincerity, the Jaguars haven't had to face an opponent as complete as the Bills yet this season. Trevor Lawrence is struggling. And now has to line up against one of the most ferocious stop-units in the NFL. As a matter fact, Buffalo ranks fourth against the pass sixth in total yards allowed, second in points scored, and first in takeaways, snagging 11 already. And now that Josh Allen is back on track and doing what he does, I see him absolutely dissecting the 21st ranked pass defense of Jacksonville. This game is going to get out of hand while Buffalo gets their revenge. Take the Bills. Thank you. |
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10-07-23 | Fresno State -5.5 v. Wyoming | 19-24 | Loss | -112 | 29 h 45 m | Show | |
Fresno State Bulldogs. High Roller. Game 369. 5:00 PM PST/8;00 PM EST. Following their season-opening outright win as nearly a two-touchdown underdog at home against Texas Tech, there was a lot of excitement in the Wyoming camp. Granted, they won three of their last four outings, but they have really failed to impress me for sure. They played Texas tough for nearly three quarters a few weeks back, But, then the Longhorns went to town in the fourth quarter outscoring them, 21-0 to get the 31-10 win and no cover. If you're keeping records, please note that Wyoming has failed to cover their last three at home. Fresno State enters this matchup at 5-0 and ranked 24th in the nation. They have faced several good opponents in Purdue and Arizona State, winning and covering both of those contests, one as an underdog and one as a slight favorite. The other games that were huge favorites of 30, 27.5, and 25.5. Head-to-head with the Cowboys, the Bulldogs have now won and covered four consecutive meetings going back to 2017. However, the two most recent meetings, the last two seasons, they won 17-0 and 30-0. The matchups in this game heavily favor Fresno State. This is a team, granted that does not run the ball very well, but they rank 14th in the nation in passing, average over 36.4 points per game, and have yet to turn the ball over. I just don't see the very lackluster, very mediocre defense of Wyoming slowing them down, let alone stopping them. On the flipside, the Cowboys can't pass the ball at all. They rank 127th in that category. They rely solely upon the run, of which they do adequately. If there is one major mismatch here, it is their ground game going up against the 16th ranked rush defense of the Bulldogs. Overall, Fresno State allows a mere 17.0 points per game and has already snagged eight turnovers. This game isn't even close. It gets out of hand. Lay the short price with the Bulldogs. Thank you. |
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10-07-23 | Notre Dame -6.5 v. Louisville | 20-33 | Loss | -107 | 29 h 37 m | Show | |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish. Crusher. 333. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. Louisville might be 5-0, but this week they're currently ranked 25th in the nation. What does that tell you? It tells you they haven't played anybody good yet. And yet they've only covered two games so far this season. This is a major step up in class for the Cardinals, as they face a Fighting Irish opponent that that has faced some good opposition already. They covered against Ohio State a few weeks ago and played them extremely tough as the game came down to the final minutes. They followed that loss up by dominating Duke on the road a week ago. The Fighting Irish rank 10th in the nation, being the only team in the top-10 with a loss. They cannot afford another one. Therefore, I don't see them taking their foot off the gas here and easing up a bit even though they have the Trojans on deck. This is a game they have to rev the engines from start to finish and get some style points from the pollsters. Prior to the season starting, many thought Louisville will have one of the most-explosive offenses in college football. But only putting up 21 points against Indiana and 13 points against NC State tells me a lot about this offensive unit. And they have yet to face a defense as ferocious as they're going to line up against this week in the Notre Dame stop-unit, which has allowed just 13.0 points per game. I just don't see the out of sync QB, Jack Plummer having too much success in the air here. I do see him adding to his six INT's already. On the flipside, look for the Notre Dame well-balanced “O” to move the chains at will, get into the red zone, and put points on the board. In my opinion, they should be favored by double-digits. So, let’s lay the short price here and take the Fighting Irish. Thank you. |
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10-07-23 | Michigan -17.5 v. Minnesota | Top | 52-10 | Win | 100 | 28 h 15 m | Show |
Michigan Wolverines. Oddsmakers mistake. Game 401. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. My friends, Michigan is sitting pretty right now. They are a perfect 5-0, ranked second in the nation in the polls, and don't have a very tough opponent for quite a while until November 11, when they face Penn State. Normally you would think that you don't want to lay this type of wood when they have several weeks of pushover opposition upcoming. But they can't let themselves get stale, that's for sure. They also can’t put in a lackluster performance in which a result might be drop in the polls. These days style points mean a lot my friends. They have dominated Minnesota, taking nine of the last 10 meetings straight up, covering eight of those 10, which includes wins and covers in the last two meetings. Speaking of the Golden Gophers, they got their first cover since last December last week, against the Ragin' Cajuns. This is a team that has really not impressed at all. They couldn't cover against Nebraska, Eastern, Michigan, North Carolina, or Northwestern. It was the last two games that I really focused on. Granted, they were on the road in both of those outings, but they got crushed at the hands of the Tar Heels offense, and then against the very mediocre Wildcats, they were just simply outplayed. The Wolverines possess one of the most well-balanced offensive units in college football. They average over 34.4 points per game and they've only committed one turnover. Defensively, they are the top stop-unit in the nation, allowing a mere 6.0 points per game, ranking 11th against the pass and 14th against the rush. By the way, they've already snagged five takeaways, too. This game will get seriously out of hand. But remember it's only the second game back for Coach Harbaugh, and last week against Nebraska on the road, they devoured the Cornhuskers, 45-7. This team will go above and beyond with their coach back on the sidelines to crush the Golden Gophers. As I mentioned earlier, style points mean a lot right now, especially being they’re playing some less than great opposition in the upcoming schedule. Take Michigan. Thank you. |
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10-07-23 | Kentucky +15 v. Georgia | 13-51 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 5 m | Show | |
Kentucky Wildcats. Shocker. Game 329. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. With all due respect to the Georgia Bulldogs, how did they really earn the number one spot this season? In my opinion they really haven't impressed me all that much. Yes, they are a very good team. But this is a team that has only covered one of their five outings, and that was against Ball State my friends. They failed to cover against Tennessee-Martin, South Carolina, UAB, and most recently, Auburn. But in all sincerity, I'm not sold on their offense, folks. One thing I know about the Kentucky Wildcats, they have a real-deal defense. Not only that my friends, but they very quietly have accumulated a record of 5-0 straight, up covering four of their five outings this season. They too, won and covered against Ball State, along with victories and ATS wins for us against Akron, Vanderbilt, and Florida. They did not cover as they took it easy and let their foot off the gas against Eastern Kentucky. They certainly impressed me shutting down Florida's “O” a week ago. This is a team holding opponents to just 75.8 rushing yards per game. The rush is not a strength of the Bulldogs. But if they can slow down the rush, they can certainly get to quarterback, beck and force some mistakes. Offensively, the Wildcats, leave a lot to be desired, but they don't make many mistakes, and they do have a more than adequate ground game. With an offense that makes very few mistakes, a decent ground attack, and a ferocious stop-unit, I think this game is going to be a lot closer than the 14.5-point spread. Take the Wildcats. Thank you. |
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10-06-23 | Nebraska +3.5 v. Illinois | 20-7 | Win | 100 | 14 h 41 m | Show | |
Nebraska Cornhuskers. Friday Night Lights. Game 317. 5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST. Yes, it's true, both teams sit a 2-3 straight up this season. It is also true, neither has been very impressive. However, I just can't see Illinois laying points to any opponent out there. This is a team that hasn't covered a game since November of last season. They have also failed to cover five consecutive games played at home. Nebraska's played very competitively for most of the season until last week’s, 45-7 loss at the hands of Michigan at home. But I think we can all agree, the Wolverines are one of the top teams in the country and taking a beating from them shouldn't warrant too much shame. I'll look for them to bounce back here. You may not realize this because their numbers overall aren’t very impressive, but the Cornhuskers rank 15th nationally in rushing, averaging over 209.0 yards per game on the ground. They have the ability to control the tempo on the clock and keep the Fighting Illini’s “not so fighting defense” on the field, and their offense of it. One more item folks, they also possess the nation’s 15th ranked run defense. Thus, getting Illinois lackluster offense off the field in a hurry. I like the line here. Take Nebraska. Thank you. |
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10-02-23 | Seahawks -120 v. Giants | 24-3 | Win | 100 | 48 h 20 m | Show | |
Seattle Seahawks on the moneyline. MNF WINNER. Game 279. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. I think we can all agree that the Giants struggle on nationally televised games, particularly against solid opponents. Granted, the team is dealing with some injuries. But they are just 1-2 SU, failing to cover all three outings thus far this season. They opened the campaign up suffering a devastating loss at home against the Cowboys, 40-0. They then went on the road and eked by with a three-point victory over the Cardinals. There was some hype coming out of their camp following the win. Then they came back down to Earth, getting crushed in San Francisco at the hands of the 49ers, 30-12. Despite having a few extra days off to rest, heal, and prepare it is most likely they will once again be without running back, Saquon Barkley (check status). As of this post, technically, he is a gametime decision. The one positive note for New York is that they should see the return of left tackle, Andrew Thomas. The Giants have yielded 12 sacks already. Quarterback, Daniel Jones has been knocked around quite a bit, and seems to be running for his life regularly (LOL). Offensively, New York possesses one of the worst units in football, ranking 31st in points scored, averaging just 14.3 points per game. They’ve also turned the ball over five times in just three contests. Defensively, their statistics are just as dismal, ranking 30th in points allowed, getting plowed for over 32.7 points per game. To add insult to injury, their so-called stop-unit hasn’t recorded a single takeaway. The Seahawks opened up the campaign at home with an ugly loss to the Rams, 30-13. They then went on the road to take down a very talented opponent, beating the Lions, 37-31. Last week at home, they got another win and cover against the Panthers. With a well-balanced offense, Seattle ranks fourth in the NFL in scoring, accounting for over 29.0 points per game, while only turning the ball over once. Their defense leaves a lot to be desired. However, a bright spot is ranking sixth in the League against the rush. If you recall, they took down the Giants at home last season, 27-13 to give them their fifth ATS cover against the G-Men over the last six meetings. Seattle is a better team on both sides of the ball and comes into this Monday Night matchup riding two consecutive wins and covers. Take the Seahawks on the money line. Thank you. |
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10-01-23 | Patriots v. Cowboys -6 | Top | 3-38 | Win | 100 | 48 h 34 m | Show |
Dallas Cowboys. Consensus Play. Game 274. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 EST. My friends, I think the line is a little off here. I think it should be closer to a -9 or even -10. Yes, I know Bill Belichick and the New England Patriots got a win ND cover last week on the road against the Jets. But haven’t they beat them like 15 straight times? Let’s look at their performance prior to last week when they beat a Jets team with a shaky quarterback. They opened up the season losing, 25-20 at home against Philadelphia, and then followed it up also at home, losing to Miami, 24-17. Last week’s win and cover was a rarity. That was their first win since January 1. And that was the first cover since December 12 of last year. I know “the Hoodie” is an amazing coach. But he just doesn’t have the personnel any more, my friends. Let’s look at Dallas. They opened up the campaign annihilating the New York Giants on the road, 40-0, then followed that up with a Week 2 win at home against the New York Jets, 30-10. Last week as an 11-point favorite, they lost outright on the road to Arizona, 28-16. This is a perfect “bounce back” situation for the Cowboys. I know they took a serious blow when they lost CB, Trevon Diggs. But this team is loaded and they have a lot of play makers on defense. I mean they rank third in points allowed, yielding just 12.7 points per game. They’ve already snagged seven takeaways as well. They are a little bit better against the pass than they are against the rush. But let’s face it, the New England 26th ranked scoring offense…to put it very simply, is lackluster. I doubt Mac Jones will have any success in the air here, even without Diggs in the secondary. And in all sincerity, their rushing attack isn’t very threatening. Defensively, they put up some decent numbers overall. But they did give up 25 points to the Eagles and 24 points to the Dolphins. Last week when they only allowed the Jets to put up 10 points…well guys, that’s the Jets. I see Dallas bouncing back with authority here getting the win and cover at home. By the way, the Patriots are just 1-3 ATS their last four on the road, while the Cowboys are 7-2 ATS their last nine games played in their house. Take Dallas. Thank you. |
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10-01-23 | Ravens v. Browns -140 | Top | 28-3 | Loss | -140 | 125 h 16 m | Show |
Cleveland Browns on the moneyline. NO LIMIT Play. Game 260. Sunday, October 1, 2023. 10:00 AM PST/1:00PM PM EST. The Cincinnati Bengals were predicted to run away with the AFC North. After three games into the regular season, they dwell in the division cellar at 1-2. Meanwhile, the Pittsburgh Steelers, Baltimore Ravens, and Cleveland Browns are all tied at 2-1. This past Monday night, the Bengals eked by the Rams, 19-16, still not showing much. This upcoming week Cincinnati will go up against Tennessee, while Pittsburgh faces Houston. This is an ideal opportunity for Cleveland to beat a division rival and make a statement to the rest of the AFC North. This is an interesting matchup as the Browns have won and covered two of the last three meetings with the Ravens, which includes the most recent matchup, last December, 13-3. Losing running back, Nick Chubb is a significant blow to Cleveland. They did pick up a well-known face in ball-carrier, Kareem Hunt last week to combine with RB, Jerome Ford. However, their ground game really couldn’t get it going in their 27-3 victory at home against Tennessee. They must establish the run here. And I feel they will. It seems each year they possess one of the top rushing offenses in the NFL. One thing for sure, they can still score points. They have accounted for 24.3 points per game thus far this season. And when you have Deshaun Watson as your quarterback, you know he’s going to also keep defenses honest with his legs. No matter what, their defense once again is ferocious. As of post, they rank number one in overall yards allowed, number one passing yards allowed, number two in rushing yards allowed, and number one in points allowed. The stop-unit is the reason why they have won two games already. Their offense did cough the ball up quite a bit through Games 1 and 2. But reports are head coach, Kevin Stefanski was pleased after this past Sunday’s victory as Watson did not throw any INT’s and the team only lost one fumble. They are definitely improving. The Ravens, despite a winning record, have looked quite lackluster this season. They took down the Texans, and did beat a banged-up, Joe Burrow and the Bengals on the road. But just couldn’t do anything right against the mediocre, Colts this past weekend, losing 22-19. I think they are in real trouble here this upcoming week. Just looking at last week’s numbers, Lamar Jackson, accounted for 303 of their 364 total yards of offense. Facing a defense like they are going to face this week I feel Jackson’s numbers will plummet. The Browns DC, Jim Schwartz is a pretty sharp guy, and he certainly has the personnel to throw a lot of different schemes at Jackson and force mistakes. Going back to last season, Cleveland is 5-1, both straight and against the spread their last six games played at home. Playing at Cleveland Browns Stadium, in front of some of the loudest, rowdiest, and most loyal fans, against a hated rival is going to be an added factor for the Browns here. There is no love lost between these teams. I feel the Ravens are in big trouble. Just in case the number moves, take Cleveland on the money line. Thank you. |
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10-01-23 | Dolphins v. Bills -145 | Top | 20-48 | Win | 100 | 44 h 10 m | Show |
Buffalo Bills on the money line. Bookie Buster. Game 254. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Guys, last week I was all over Miami in their 70-20 blowout at home against Denver. Yes, it’s true, they have won all three of their outings this year, both straight up and against the spread. And going back to last year, they have covered six consecutive outings. But after last week’s massacre, they are in a huge “letdown” mode here as they must face the very dangerous Buffalo bills. I know the Dolphins play the Bills very tough, as all three of last year’s matchups we’re settled by three or less points. However, there is no place for Miami to go but down following last week’s performance. Please understand this will be the Dolphins third road trip in the last four weeks. And playing up in Orchard Park is always a tough task for any visitor. Their season-opening loss on the road on Monday Night Football to the Jets without Aaron Rodgers, motivated the Bills to then go out and destroy the Raiders at home, 38-10, and then go on the road and shred the Commanders, 37-3. That Week 1 MNF game raised a lot of concerns about Josh Allen and the team in general, as they turned the ball over again and again. However, their last two contests, they’ve only coughed the ball up once. And their defense has really stepped up.Miami’s statistics are a bit skewed due to their blow out of Denver last week. In just about every offensive category, they top the NFL. But they’ve also turned the ball over three times on offense against some less than stellar defenses. And to be quite honest, their defense leaves a lot to be desired. This is by far the best offense and the best defense they have had to face yet this season. Buffalo ranks second in the league in scoring and second in the league in points allowed. I doubt very much the Dolphins will be able to slow down Josh Allen and the juggernaut, which is the Bills “O”. On the flipside, the Buffalo stop-unit has looked absolutely ferocious, topping the league with nine takeaways, and only allowing 11.7 points per game. The clock strikes midnight for Cinderella here and the carriage will turn back in to a pumpkin. Just in case the line moves, let’s err on the side of caution and play Buffalo on the money line. Thank you. |
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09-30-23 | Oregon -27 v. Stanford | 42-6 | Win | 100 | 42 h 1 m | Show | |
Oregon. High Roller. Game 173. 3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST.
As of post, there are currently six teams in the Pac-12 ranked in the top-25 in the nation. There are also five teams in the Conference, that has started the season off at 4-0. This week, Oregon faces Stanford. In my opinion, the Pac-12’s preseason highest-touted team, USC, although is very strong, has a defense that is very beatable. This is the Ducks last opportunity to fine-tune their skills before serious conference competition. They have the Huskies up next. This is a team that has no problems running up scores. So far this season they’ve been favorites of 48, 4.5, 38, and 21.5, covering all four outings. Meanwhile, the Conference’s worst team, the Stanford Cardinal are 1-3 overall, which does include an 0-2 record in Pac-12 play. They opened the season with a respectable win and cover on the road at Hawaii. Then got shredded by USC, and believe it or not, Sacramento State, before losing a tight one at home against Arizona. Last year’s meeting saw Oregon shred Stanford at home, 45-27. That marked the third win and cover for the Ducks over the Cardinal in the last four meetings. Quarterback Nix, looks like he has found a home at the helm of the Oregon offense. So far this season he has a 79.4 completion percentage, thrown for over 1,169 yards, with 11 TDs and just one INT. He has an arsenal of receivers at his disposal along with a trio a very solid ball-carriers. As a matter of fact, running backs, Irving, James, and Whittington have combined for over 660 yards rushing and 11 TDs on the ground. The defensive of Oregon is almost as impressive, as their stop-unit ranks 10th against the pass, 33rd against the rush, and 17th nationally in points allowed, yielding just 13.3 points per game. Oh, by the way, going back to their offense, every aspect of it ranks in the top-10 in the nation, while not turning the ball over at all. My friends, in all sincerity Stanford is atrocious. They can’t score offensively and they can’t stop anyone defensively. I look for Nix to have his finest performance of the season thus far against the 126th ranked pass defense of Stanford. In an era where style points count for something in the polls, look for Oregon to light up Stanford like it’s the Fourth of July. Take the Ducks. Thank you. |
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09-30-23 | LSU -140 v. Ole Miss | Top | 49-55 | Loss | -140 | 41 h 22 m | Show |
LSU on the moneyline. OM PLAY. Game 201. 3:00 PM PST/6:00 PM EST. My friends, this game caught my eye the moment the lines came out. And I’ve got to tell you, every day that I’ve looked at this matchup since, I’ve liked it more and more. Following their season-opening loss on the road at Florida State, LSU has rattled off three consecutive wins, going 2-1 against the spread. At 3-1 straight up, Mississippi’s record in my opinion can be a bit misleading. They played Mercer, Tulane, and Georgia Tech before losing to Alabama. In all sincerity, I think they got a little bit lucky, against both the Green Wave and Yellow Jackets matchups. The Tigers took last year’s meeting at home, 45-20. Dual-threat quarterback, Jaden Daniels is putting up some serious numbers. He leads an offense that ranks 10th in the nation in scoring, averaging over 42.8 points per game. This is a unit that does not turn the ball over, while they rank in the top-10 in both total yards and passing yards, and 37th in rushing yards. They will control the clock and keep their opponents defense on the field. The Rebels just don’t have the ground game to keep the Tigers defense honest and control the tempo at all. I just don’t see Mississippi keeping pace offensively with LSU here. Take the Tigers on the moneyline. Thank you. |
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09-30-23 | Georgia -14 v. Auburn | 27-20 | Loss | -110 | 39 h 56 m | Show | |
Georgia. VI MOVE. Game191. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. Believe it or not, Georgia is one of only three undefeated teams left in the SEC. The nation’s top-ranked team needs to pile up victories and pile them up with big margins for sure. What a better team to face than Auburn. The Bulldogs have had their way with the Tigers, taking six in a row and nine of the last 10 meetings, both straight up and against the spread. Just going back, the last three years, Georgia has won by margins of 21, 24, and 32 points. Don’t put too much stock in the fact that this team has only covered one of their four games this season. None of those pointspreads were less than 26 points. They had each of the games won and started pulling starters out. This is a Conference matchup and with the Kentucky Wildcats up next, I expect the Georgia Bulldogs to flex their muscles and show the rest of the Conference that they deserve to be the top team in it as well as in the country. The Tigers started the season off winning three straight before stepping up in class on the road and getting embarrassed, 27-10 at the hands of the Aggies in College Station. That no cover marked the third consecutive for Auburn as they couldn’t cover in the SU win on the road at Cal and also failed to cover a big pointspread at home against Samford. While they’re defense seems to be adequate. They have not faced an offense of the caliber that they will face here this week. On the flipside, I doubt very much they’re going to move the chains at all against the stout, 10th ranked Georgia “D”, which has allowed just 11.3 points per game. One more item that has really stood out to me: the Bulldogs defense has snagged seven takeaways. Meanwhile, the Tigers offense have already coughed the ball up four times. Look for the Georgia defense to create some turnovers here and capitalize them with ease. Take the Bulldogs. Thank you. |
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09-29-23 | Louisville -3 v. NC State | 13-10 | Push | 0 | 22 h 53 m | Show | |
Louisville. Friday Night Lights Play. Game 113. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Louisville is only one of two ACC teams to have started this season off 2-0 in Conference play and 4-0 overall. Going back to last season, the Cardinals have won five consecutive outings SU. While NC State is off to a 3-1 start, they have been pointspread poison, failing to cover all four outings thus far this season. This is nothing new for the Wolfpack, as they have failed to cover five in a row and eight of the last 10 going back to last October. The only bright spot for the team has been their rushing game. However, sometimes statistics can be very deceiving. They piled up yardage on the ground against both Connecticut and VMI. I doubt they will have the same success against a very stout, Louisville defense, which has only allowed 19.0 points per game. Offensively, I don’t see how the Wolfpack can slow down, let alone stop the well-balanced offense of the Cardinals, which are accounting for over 43.0 points per game. The 1-2 punch of quarterback, Jack Plummer and running back, Jawhar Jordan will not just move the chains at will, but will light up the scoreboard here. Louisville just has too much fire power. And to be honest, they know if they play things right, they have a chance at competing for the Conference crown. Take the Cardinals. Thank you. |
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09-28-23 | Lions -129 v. Packers | 34-20 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
Detroit Lions on the money line. Touchdown play. Game 101. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. Ya’ know my friends, I keep reading about “drinking the blue Kool-Aid.” But the Detroit Lions have been winning for a while now. And as far as covering games, they have been money. So don’t be ashamed if you walk around with blue stains around your lips from drinking the blue Kool-Aid (lol). Granted, both teams are 2-1 straight up this season, while the Lions have covered two of their three contests, and the Packers all three of their outings. You know, for quite a while, the Packers had their way in this series. However, Detroit has now won and covered the last three meetings against their division rival. Not only that, but this past January, they took their first overall meeting in Green Bay in quite a while. My friends, the worm has turned. The Lions overcame quite a bit last week in their 20-6 win and cover over the Falcons at home. They were a little banged up, didn’t really do too well on third down conversions, had a turnover, and yet they still dominated a formidable opponent. On the other hand, looking at the Green Bay victory at home against New Orleans last Sunday, they only started moving to chains and putting points on the board, after quarterback, Derek Carr went down for the Saints. While, both teams are dealing with some key players that a questionable tonight (check status), I just fell on both sides of the ball, the Lions are a bit stronger. I don’t feel Green Bay quarterback, Jordan Love is reading defenses as much as the team would’ve liked at this point. And without an adequate rushing game, I feel Detroit will put a lot of pressure on him and force mistakes. Speaking of mistakes, in the last three meetings between these two teams, the Packers are -8 in turnover margin. Lions head coach, Dan Campbell is a pretty sharp guy who knows how to get the most out of his personnel. And by the way, he is 10-2 against division opponents straight up the last 12. As both teams are 2-1, while the Vikings and Bears are sitting at 0-3 in the NFC North, Detroit has a real opportunity to take hold of the division. Take the Lions on the money line just to err on the side of caution. Thank you. |
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09-25-23 | Eagles v. Bucs +5 | 25-11 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 33 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers. MNF GOM. Game 478. 4:15 PMPST/7:15PM EST. Granted, Philadelphia is 2-0 this season. But in all sincerity, they really haven’t impressed me too much. Their defense has allowed 24.0 points per game against the likes of New England and Minnesota. I understand they own one of the top rushing offenses in football right now. But the Tampa Bay run defense has been stellar, yielding just 54.0 yards per game on the ground. I don’t have too much faith in Jalen Hurts and the NFL’s 29th ranked passing unit. And they must face a frustrating “D” that has already snagged five takeaways. In my opinion, the Buccaneers wins against the Vikings and Bears having more impressive. Offensively, it’s tough to put any real faith in Baker Mayfield. However, this unit has not turned the ball over yet, which is huge. By the way, the Eagles are just 4-10 ATS their last 14 as a road favorite. And going back to the start of last season, away from home, they are a dismal, 3-7 ATS overall. This game does include last year’s Super Bowl. Home ‘dog on Monday night is the way to go. Take the Buccaneers. Thank you. |
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09-24-23 | Patriots -145 v. Jets | 15-10 | Win | 100 | 36 h 53 m | Show | |
New England Patriots. Consensus. Game 457. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. With all respect to Zach Wilson and the New York Jets, they came back down to Earth last week, getting crushed by the Dallas Cowboys on the road, 30-10. Now they must face a team they have not beaten in years. Let me put it this way folks, the last time New York took down New England, Ryan Fitzpatrick was at the helm. My friends, that was back in December of 2015. The patriots have beaten the Jets 14 straight times since. New England is 0-2 (both straight up and against the spread) for the first time since Drew Bledsoe went down, and Tom Brady came in off the bench. I can’t remember the last time the team started 0-3 (LOL). And guess what folks? It’s not going to happen this season. They played two extremely strong opponents thus far, in Philadelphia and Miami and played them both very tough. I just don’t see Zach Wilson, putting up too many points on an angry, New England defense. On the flipside, Mac Jones has looked OK. They need to put a little more stress on the running game. But either way, their offense will be too much for an overworked and battered, New York defense. I expect “The Hoodie” to come out with an extremely strong game plans and throw everything but the kitchen sink at Wilson and force mistakes. New England gets their first win of the season. And for us they get their first cover. Take the Patriots. Thank you. |
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09-24-23 | Broncos v. Dolphins -6.5 | 20-70 | Win | 100 | 36 h 52 m | Show | |
Miami Dolphins. No Limit. Game 462. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. The Miami dolphins have played some stellar football thus far in this young season, going 2-0, both straight up and against the spread. As a matter of fact, as far as us, sports bettors are concerned, they have covered five straight games going back to last season. They face a Denver Broncos team that was supposed to be much improved this year. However, after both losses, and no covers at home against Las Vegas and Washington, they now hit the road. Russell Wilson and the offense finally put up some points. But it was is a losing effort against the Commanders. Let’s face it, the Broncos defense was supposed to be their strength again this season. And yet, Washington posted 35 points on them. This is Miami’s first home game. They have a loyal fan base that will further motivate them here and big part of another victory for this team. To add insult (no pun intended) to injury, the Bronco’s secondary is a little banged up. Look for Tagovailoa to have his best performance yet this season. Take the Dolphins. Thank you. |
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09-24-23 | Bills -6 v. Commanders | Top | 37-3 | Win | 100 | 36 h 51 m | Show |
Buffalo Bills. Ten Dimes. Game 463. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. The Buffalo Bills have extremely high expectations again this season. They are tired of being a bridesmaid. Following their season-opening loss to the Jets, sans Aaron Rodgers, they bounced back last week to absolutely crush the Raiders. Not only did their defense step up, play strong, and create turnovers, but Josh Allen played mistake free football. Great effort from running back, James Cook as well. Going back to Allen, he really wants to shake the reputation of being mistake-prone. I understand the Washington Commanders are off to a 2-0 start. But before we begin handing out Lombardi Trophies to Ron Rivera and his team, let’s please remember that this team has a lackluster offense, and a defense that sprung a lot of leaks a season ago. Their supposed “stop-unit” allowed the lackluster, Denver Broncos “O” to post 33 points on them last week. Quarterback, Sam Howell has a whopping, three starts at this level under his belt. And trust me when I tell you, none of the defenses he had to lineup against were as tough, as talented, or as angry as a defense he’s going to face this week. That Week 1 loss the Buffalo Bills experienced will not only make them a better team, it will make them a team looking for vengeance. They outclass the Washington Commanders in every aspect of the game. Lay the points with Buffalo. Thank you. |
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09-23-23 | Oregon State v. Washington State +3 | Top | 35-38 | Win | 100 | 21 h 40 m | Show |
Washington State. No Limit. Game 376. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Both teams are 3-0 straight up. Both teams are 2-1 against the spread. But that’s where their similarities end. Oregon State has faced the likes of San Jose State, UC Davis, and San Diego State. Meanwhile, Washington State has gone up against Colorado State, Wisconsin, and Northern Colorado. Granted their last opponent leaves a lot to be desired. But they have gone up against some very stiff competition and have played very well. They can counter the Beavers strong rushing attack with an extremely stout run defense. And I just don’t see Oregon State slowing down their explosive passing attack. Prior to last season’s meeting, the Cougars had won eight consecutive matchups in this rivalry straight up, going 6-3 against the spread. They will get revenge from last year’s loss. Take Washington State. Thank you. |
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09-23-23 | Georgia Tech +4 v. Wake Forest | 30-16 | Win | 100 | 20 h 28 m | Show | |
Georgia Tech. Contrarian play. Game 315. 3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST. All the stats so far this season would support taking Wake Forest here. I mean why not? They are 3-0 straight up. But in all sincerity, look at the teams they have beaten; Elon, Vanderbilt, and Old Dominion. Meanwhile, despite being 1-2, Georgia Tech has gone up against Louisville, South Carolina, and ‘Ole Miss. The line is off here. The Yellow Jackets match up well with the Demon Deacons. They’re pretty well-balanced offensively. They have a heck of a quarterback in King, who has already tallied nine TDs and just one INT. The line is off. Take the ‘dog. Thank you. |
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09-23-23 | Maryland -7.5 v. Michigan State | 31-9 | Win | 100 | 17 h 59 m | Show | |
Maryland. High Roller play. Game 379. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. Guys, I’ve got to tell you, I rarely pick a game because of their previous week’s performance. But when Maryland came back and scored 42 unanswered points last week to win and cover over Virginia, it showed me what the team is made of. Meanwhile Michigan State is, how can I put this, “a hot mess.” I know there are 2-1, both straight up against the spread. But their two wins and covers were against Central Michigan and Richmond. Teams they were favorite by 14 and 29 points. When they went up against Washington last week, they got humiliated by a score of 41-7. This is a big game for both teams as they enter conference competition. Quarterback, Tagovailoa, has had huge success against the Spartans. In two starts against them, he has thrown for over 664 yards passing with three touchdowns in the air. Defensively, the Terrapins will completely shut down the lackluster “O” of the Spartans. By the way, Maryland has not won five consecutive games going back to last season and have covered four of their last six. I am not afraid of this line at all. And neither should you be. Take the Terrapins. Thank you. |
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09-23-23 | SMU v. TCU -7 | 17-34 | Win | 100 | 13 h 20 m | Show | |
TCU. Oddsmakers Mistake. Game 384. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. I’m going to give TCU a mulligan on their season-opening loss to the very well hyped and publicized Colorado team. Over the last two weeks I think we would all agree the Buffaloes are a decent team headed by a very good coach. Many teams would’ve folded like a cheap suit after that game. They came out and bounced back to crush Nicholls State, 41-6. Then last week on the road, shredded Houston, 36-13. Please don’t forget that a season ago, this was one of the top teams in college football as they started the regular season, 12-0. They lost their final game of the regular season, then beat up on Michigan in a Bowl game to earn a spot in the National Title game. Yes, they were humiliated by Georgia. But this is a team that takes no opponent lightly. SMU is a good team. But this is their first attempt as a member of the Big 12. And I believe they are in way over their head. If you recall a season ago, this team took losses at the hands of Maryland, yes…TCU, Central Florida, Cincinnati, and Tulane during the regular season. Then they lost to BYU in a Bowl. This season they did destroy the likes of Louisiana Tech and Prairie View A&M. But sandwiched in between those two victories, they got destroyed on the road and Oklahoma. That is the same Sooners team that the Horned Frogs destroyed last October, 55-24. That season-opening loss will further motivate TCU not to take their foot off the gas here. Take the Horned Frogs. Thank you. |
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09-22-23 | Air Force -6 v. San Jose State | 45-20 | Win | 100 | 15 h 54 m | Show | |
Air Force Falcons. Friday Night Lights play. Game 313. 7:30 PM PST/10:30 PM EST. I have been reading that Air Force, despite possessing one of the top defenses of the country, really hasn’t played any strong opponents as of yet. But folks, if you looked at last year’s schedule, when they did play some solid opponents, their defense was one of the best in the country, holding opponents to 20 points or less in 12 of the 13 overall outings. This does include a late-December Bowl win and cover against Baylor. San Jose State is just 1-2, with their only victory coming against Cal Poly SLO. They did play a couple of formidable foes in Oregon State and Toledo. But I’ve got to be honest, they really didn’t show me too much. I don’t think they’re going to have too much success moving the ball here against the Falcons stout defense. And I do see Air Force continuing to do what they do best, and that is rushing the ball with success. The Spartans aren’t the team that we’ve come to know over several seasons being pointspread royalty. They are now pointspread bums. They finished last season failing to cover seven consecutive outings. Take Air Force. Thank you. |
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09-18-23 | Saints -3 v. Panthers | 20-17 | Push | 0 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
New Orleans Saints. MNF Winner. Game 289. 4:15 PM PST/7:15 PM EST. New Orleans opened up the season with a win, while Carolina did not. Derek Carr seems to have adjusted quite well to his new team and the role of quarterback and team leader. While I think we could all agree that Bryce Young has a bright future in this league, it’s going to take a while for him to adapt to the speed and the intricacies of the NFL. I don’t expect him to get in sync with his offense anytime soon. There is a reason why preseason predictions have the Saints running away with their division. This is an ideal opportunity for them to make a statement to a division rival and furthermore to the rest of the NFC South…that they are the top team in the division. On both sides of the ball, Carolina might be missing some key players (check status). New Orleans, which is certainly a little deeper, has a seasoned veteran quarterback at the helm, and reportedly a much-improved defense. You can expect head coach, Dennis Allen to throw everything at the rookie quarterback, Young, but the kitchen sink. The Saints defense will go at the Panthers offense and wreak havoc, forcing mistakes and at the very least, getting them off the field quickly. Thus, allowing New Orleans QB Carr to work his magic. Take the Saints. Thank you. |
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09-17-23 | Packers +2.5 v. Falcons | 24-25 | Win | 100 | 24 h 1 m | Show | |
Green Bay Packers. No Limit. Game 265. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Guys, I really feel the wrong team is favored here. I like the matchups for Green Bay very much. While both teams are truly a work in progress, I think the Packers are a little further along. As far as ATS trends go, the Falcons are 3-13 ATS the L16 in the second of consecutive home games. Meanwhile, the Pack are 5-1 ATS in the second of consecutive away games the last six times in that situation. Green Bay shut down the Chicago ground game last week. I feel they can do the same here against Atlanta, and if so, will make it a lot tougher for Falcons quarterback, Desmond Ridder to have any success in the air. He had some trouble last week against the less than stellar Panthers defense. Without a running game he is going to be a sitting duck and turn the ball over. Take Green Bay. Thank you. |
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09-17-23 | Seahawks v. Lions -4.5 | 37-31 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 56 m | Show | |
Detroit Lions. High Roller. Game 270. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Sports fans, all week long I’ve been reading about how Detroit got lucky winning on the road at Kansas City because they were missing a couple of key players. They still went on the road in Kansas City, the defending Super Bowl Champions and beat them. I am well aware of the fact that Seattle has had their number. The Seahawks have won five in a row, covering the last four going back to 2015. However, the worm has turned my friends. If people want to keep saying Detroit is just a lucky team, then they must be one of the luckiest teams on the planet. The second half of last season they went 8-2 their final 10 games covering nine of the 10 final contests. Now they return home for the first game in this campaign with a very big fan base in a very loud stadium. The Seahawks, lack of offensive prowess has been highly publicized. And now a couple of their offense of lineman are a little banged up (check status). The lions defense stepped up big time against some solid opposition a season ago. They come into this game with a little momentum following the Chiefs match up. I’m not a big fan of Geno Smith, guys. And to be honest with you, although Pete Carroll deserves the respect, I think his best days are in the rearview. Lay the points with the Lions at home. Thank you. |
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09-17-23 | Bears v. Bucs -140 | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 24 h 50 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Late Info Move. Game 272. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. My friends, I’m sorry for my lack of eloquence, but to put it very simply, the Chicago Bears are absolutely atrocious. This team has lost 11 in a row now. Justin Fields and the offense, if you could call them that, has to go against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense that has certainly improved from last season. This is a stop-unit that possesses some real veterans and some true talent. Offensively, the Buccaneers are led by Baker Mayfield. We all know the last few seasons have been rough on the quarterback. But he has a couple of good receivers at his disposal to make his life a lot easier, this season. I see him having the same success in the air, that Jordan Love and the Packers had last week against the Bears. Tampa Bay is playing at home for the first time this season coming off a very big victory on the road at Minnesota last week. They come in here with some momentum for sure. On both sides of the ball, they outclass their opponent here. Take the Buccaneers. Thank you. |
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09-16-23 | Fresno State -3 v. Arizona State | 29-0 | Win | 100 | 29 h 7 m | Show | |
Fresno State Bulldogs. Late Bailout. Game 209. 7:30 PM PST/10:30 PM EST. At first glance, you may think that Arizona State at home getting a field goal is the play here. I mean why not? The Sun Devils play in a bit stronger of a conference for sure. And they are at home. But there’s a few things you may not know. For starters, ASU just came off an ugly loss at home against Oklahoma State. Up next for this team is USC at home as well. I think this is a definite sandwich spot, or even a lookahead spot in which FSU can catch them off guard. Next up, these two teams met a few years back in December bowl matchup in which Fresno State took down Arizona State, 31-20, so they have the confidence of knowing they beat this opponent before. And then there’s the fact that the Bulldogs took down the Boilermakers in Week 1 on the road, 39-35 as a 4.0-point underdog. Fresno State is also riding an 11-game SU win streak, which does include a Bowl win last December against Washington State. There is too many questions offensively and a big concern on defense too, for the Sun Devils. Take the Bulldogs. Thank you. |
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09-16-23 | Penn State -14 v. Illinois | Top | 30-13 | Win | 100 | 19 h 25 m | Show |
Penn State Nittany Lions. Oddsmakers Mistake. Game 127. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM PST. My friends, Penn State should be at least an 18 to 21-point favorite in this matchup. If there is a true mismatch on the board this Saturday in college football, this game is it. My friends, it was just last season that the Illinois defense was making headlines. This season, not so much. They have failed to cover both outings so far, as they eked by Toledo, 30-28 as a 7.5-point favorite and then lost, 34-23 on the road at Kansas, as a 3.5-point underdog. Their defense has sprung a big leak. Granted, Penn State really didn’t have any opposition thus far, winning and covering at home against both West Virginia and Delaware. But don’t forget that this team has been money against the spread, covering nine straight games going back to last season. Might I remind you they’ve been big favorites on more than one occasion during that span. This is their first conference matchup, and the Nittany Lions must make a statement to the rest of the Big Ten. Penn State has gotten the better of Illinois, winning and covering three of the last four overall meetings. Going back a bit, they have covered three of the last four contests played at Illinois as well. Without the defensive mind of Ryan Walters, who departed for Purdue, I just don’t see the Fighting Illini putting up much of a fight against the well-balanced offense of the Nittany Lions. They have a smart coach, a seasoned quarterback, and a seven-game straight up winning streak going back to last year. PSU needs to make a splash in this conference. And what better way than to shred Illinois here. Take Penn State. Thank you. |
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09-16-23 | Kansas State -3.5 v. Missouri | 27-30 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 5 m | Show | |
Kansas State Wildcats. High Roller. Game 129. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. Coming into this matchup, Kansas State ranks 15th in the nation. Guys, to be very blunt, Missouri’s offense is a mess. They failed to cover, despite winning straight up against South Dakota and Middle Tennessee State. To be even more blunt, I just don’t see their lackluster offense keeping pace with Will Howard and the explosive, Kansas State “O”. If you recall, these two teams met a season ago as the Wildcats shredded the Tigers, 40-12. To be quite honest, not too much has changed on the Missouri side of the ball to think that this game will have any different of an outcome. The Tigers, as I mentioned earlier, have a lackluster offense. If they couldn’t move the ball very well, or I should say with ease against their two less than stellar opponents already, I just don’t see them moving the ball here. And if that is the case, their defense is going to be spending a lot of time on the field, facing the very well-balanced offense of the Wildcats. I mean, after all, this team possessing a dangerous backfield, and one of the most exciting quarterbacks in college football today. This explosive unit put points a season ago against just about every opponent they went up against. Need a remind you, they play some very good opposition. They also covered 10 of the 13 outings during the last year’s regular season. This is a small number to lay on the road here. Lay it and take your bookmaker’s money. Take Kansas State. Thank you. |
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09-16-23 | LSU v. Mississippi State +9.5 | 41-14 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 2 m | Show | |
Mississippi State Bulldogs. Touchdown Play. Game 132. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. (PLEASE NOTE, I accidentally hit the wrong button when posting this game yesterday. The analysis and pick was for the Bulldogs, as I wanted it,. But I did hit the wrong team when posting originally. THIS IS THE CORRECT POST. My apologies. Good luck-JD A big mistake made by many in sports betting is judging a team by their previous week’s performance. Of course, LSU was supposed to destroy Grambling a week ago. But their season opening loss on the road at Florida State, I believe, showed us a lot about this team. Also, to any of us sports bettors, this is a team that is just 1-7 ATS the last eight as a road favorite. Guys, I am well aware of the fact that LSU has covered the last two years in this match up. And I do put a bit of stock in trends and streaks. However, going on the road and laying nearly double-digits against a very game team looking for a little revenge, I feel is a gift. Going back to last season the Bulldogs have now won five in a row straight up, going 4-1 against the spread. Outside of a couple of expected drubbing at the hands of Alabama and Georgia a season ago, this team has been competitive in every single game they have played since the beginning of last season. They can run the ball, which means they can control the tempo and the clock here, keeping the LSU defense on the field, and their offense off of it. You can bet your butt that the Bulldogs coaching staff watched the game film of the LSU/FSU matchup more than once, and will take a page out of it and apply it here. Take the points with Mississippi State. Thank you. |
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09-16-23 | Florida State -24.5 v. Boston College | Top | 31-29 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 21 m | Show |
Florida State Seminoles. ACC Game of the Month. Game 117. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. With Clemson already at 1-1 overall, which does include an 0-1 conference record, Florida State has a legitimate shot at taking the ACC crown this season. This team came out of the chute and blasted LSU as a one-point underdog in Week 1, 45-24. If there was going to be a letdown situation, it would’ve been last week when they did cover as a 31-point favorite over Southern Miss at home, 66-13. This is their last game against a pushover before they take on some serious conference opponents. They have Clemson up next. This is their last opportunity to fine tune their offense and defense. And trust me, they are not going let their foot off the gas against an ACC foe. They face a Boston College opponent here that fell way short in their season opener, dropping a 27-24 home game against Northern Illinois as an eight-point favorite. If they were going to show some moxie, they would’ve done it last week when they eked by Holy Cross by only three points as a double-digit favorite. Over the last four seasons, the Seminoles have taken four meetings against the Eagles, both straight up and against the spread. Last year’s matchup saw an absolute beat down as Florida State thumped Boston College, 44-14. Offensively, the Eagles are very little threat as they’re having trouble both on the ground and in the air. Defensively, it’s going to be a long day for their defense, going up against one of the most explosive offenses in the country, that is accounting for over 55.5 points per game. The Seminoles are equally strong on the ground and in the air. They have a very solid, rushing attack to control the tempo and the clock, while their explosive air assault can go down field at well. Take Florida State. Thank you. |
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09-15-23 | Virginia v. Maryland -14.5 | 14-42 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
Maryland Terrapins. Friday Night Lights Game 110. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. This is the final tune-up game for Maryland before they go into some serious conference play. These two teams haven’t faced one another in a decade, since they were both in the same conference. Let’s start with the Cavaliers folks. Virginia opened the season by getting shellacked, 49-13 on the road at Tennessee. Then last week at home against James Madison, they took a one-point loss. Guys this was supposed to be a very big win for them, especially because they had a dedication ceremony to the players that unfortunately passed away not that long ago. There was a break in the action due to some weather issues, but this is a team that couldn’t get past James Madison, my friends. Going back a bit, they have failed to cover five consecutive outings, and eight of the last nine overall contests. Now they have to take it on the road on a short week, coming off a devastating loss. By the way folks, this team is only touted to win 3.5 games this season. Maryland on the other hand, plays in a very tough conference and is looking to pad their win/loss record before going into conference play. This is a team that going back to last season has won four in a row straight up and three of the last five against the spread. They started the season with two decisive victories over Towson and Charlotte. Granted, they didn’t cover either game, but laying 38 and 24 points, they had easy wins, going into the last portion of both outings, so they eased back a bit. There’s no question that the Terrapins possess the better quarterback in Tagovailoa. He has more experience and savvy at the helm. And believe it or not, this team possesses the much stronger stop-unit. By the way, my friends, Maryland has taken four of the last five against ACC opponents. This may be a lot of points, but I’m not afraid to lay it. Take the Terrapins. Thank you. |
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09-10-23 | Raiders +3.5 v. Broncos | Top | 17-16 | Win | 100 | 53 h 58 m | Show |
Las Vegas Raiders. NFL ANGLE PLAY. Game 471. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. With a new quarterback at the helm and signing their running back to a long-term deal, the Las Vegas Raiders are entering the 2023 regular season with excitement. Many out there will say the same for the Denver Broncos. However, an aging quarterback with a lackluster offense, which in turn had their defense spending too much time on the field last season and springing leaks, I feel this team is in trouble. For the Raiders, what better team to face than the Broncos. For us sports bettors, they have covered nine of the last 10 meetings, going back to September, 2018. They have also won eight of the last 10 straight up, which includes six consecutive matchups with their division rival. Jimmy Garoppolo had a 40-17 regular season record as a starter in six seasons with the San Francisco 49ers. He’s got some big receivers, including superstar wideout, Davante Adams. In the backfield, Josh Jacobs, who had 1,653 yards rushing a season ago is a workhorse. With a solid passing game and an incredible ground attack, this offense is going to be very hard to defend. Speaking of defense, Las Vegas certainly beefed up their stop-unit in the off-season. Let’s face it, Wilson is not the quarterback he once was. He doesn’t have the legs as he did in his youth. And without a solid ground attack, I feel the Broncos “O” is going to struggle once again this season. On paper, it looks like Denver has edges both overall on the roster and in coaching. But the last time this team beat the Raiders by more than one-point on their home field, was back in 2017. Playing in Mile High doesn’t offer the big advantage it once did. If you recall a season ago, the Broncos failed to cover four of their first five at home. This is way too many points to give a very hungry visitor, which has had their way in this series for years. By the way, Denver has failed to cover six straight as a divisional home favorite. Take Las Vegas. Thank you. |
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09-10-23 | Jaguars -4.5 v. Colts | 31-21 | Win | 100 | 34 h 32 m | Show | |
Jacksonville Jaguars. No Limit. Game 459. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. The Jacksonville Jaguars enters this season with confidence, being touted as the top-team in the AFC South. They will begin the campaign the same way they finished last year’s campaign, with momentum. The Jags completed the regular season winning five straight then won the Wildcard contest, and fell just short in the divisional round. As far as us sports bettors go, they were money, going 9-2 ATS their last 11 contests, which includes both postseason outings. Speaking of covering the number, they face an opponent here, covering six of their last seven meetings against. On the other hand, the Colts were a dismal, 4-12-1 SU a season ago, failing to cover 11 of 17 outings. Rookie quarterback, Anthony Richardson will be making his first pro start here, after making a mere, 13 college starts for Florida. In my opinion, the youngster is in way over his head in this matchup. Not only are there major concerns surrounding the offensive line, but he doesn’t have stellar ball-carrier, Jonathan Taylor in the backfield. The star running back will be out of action for the first four games of the season. Jacksonville QB, Trevor Lawrence matured significantly last season. The “O” is well-balanced, possessing three solid rushers, along with an arsenal of talented receivers. Lawrence will absolutely pick apart the very beatable pass defense of Indy here. The Colts playing on their own field hasn’t been an advantage, dropping their last five games played at home SU, and going 1-4 ATS in that span. Meanwhile, the Jags took three of their last four as a visitor a season ago SU, finishing with four ATS covers. Take Jacksonville. Thank you. |
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09-10-23 | Titans v. Saints -2.5 | 15-16 | Loss | -120 | 33 h 22 m | Show | |
New Orleans Saints. Late Info Move. Game 464. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. The line in this game is a bit off. At home, in the Superdome, in front of their loyal, loud, faithful fans, the Saints should more of a favorite. Maybe it’s because RB, Alvin Kamara will be missing three games, serving a suspension. Maybe it’s because the offense has a new QB at the helm in Derek Carr, who didn’t see very much playing time in the preseason. Or maybe it’s because last season, the New Orleans defense had some ugly performances. But, in the offseason, they signed ball-carrier, Jamaal Williams, the NFL’s touchdown leader a season ago. Carr is a veteran, who by the way, is reunited with his former coach, Dennis Allen. Maybe it gets overlooked, but the play-caller brings a ton of experience and solid stats to the table. He also has newly-acquired TE’s, Foster Moreau and Jimmy Graham. And back from an injury, WR, Michael Thomas is reported to be in solid form. Despite owning the League’s top-rushing defense, the Titans slumped last season, losing their final seven contests SU, only covering once, the last game of the season. The Tennessee offense has some outstanding talent. But they did rank among the worst in football in passing. The team beefed up their receiving core with the addition of WR, DeAndre Hopkins. As we all know, the success of this unit revolves around RB, Derek Henry. With some issues regarding their offensive line, especially without Nicholas Petit-Frere, Henry is carrying an even larger load on his shoulders…or should I say, legs. The line here is a gift. Take the Saints. Thank you. |
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09-10-23 | 49ers v. Steelers +3 | 30-7 | Loss | -125 | 33 h 8 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh Steelers. Bookie Buster. Game 466. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. The 49ers are once again predicted to be one of the best teams in the NFL this season. On both sides of the ball, San Francisco possesses some of the best talent in football. Back at the helm is QB, Brock Purdy. Exactly how stable, healthy, and successful he will be in his first game returning from injury and surgery on his elbow, is uncertain. On the stop-end, Nick Bosa is going to be starting, reportedly seeing action for most of the game. He heads one of the most-ferocious defenses in the NFL. But both, the 49ers offense and defense are in for a tough battle here. The Steelers, which made a strong finish a season ago, winning seven of their last nine contests SU, and covering 9 of their final 12 ATS, are coming into this season expected to be the cellar-dweller in the AFC North. Not a familiar situation for this storied franchise, team, and city. Head coach, Mike Tomlin is not one to take bad reports lightly. Kenny Pickett matured quite well and has become the leader of the team and a true favorite of the fans. The QB has a slew of talented playmakers at his disposal, both on the ground and in the air. The “O” sports a brick wall in one of the most experienced offensive lines in the game today. The luxury of RB, Najee Harris along with a few new additions, will move the chains here for sure. On the defensive side of the ball, Pittsburgh has the personnel to possibly be one of the stingiest in the League. A healthy, TJ Watt will wreak havoc on the untested and unsteady, Purdy. Let’s not forget, this is a “D” that allowed 18 or fewer points 11 times last season. San Fran is 1-5 ATS the last six season openers, while Pitt is 8-1-1 ATS the last 10 as a home ‘dog. Take the Steelers. Thank you. |
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09-09-23 | Texas v. Alabama -7 | 34-24 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 53 m | Show | |
Alabama Crimson Tide. Marquee Game Winner. Game 384. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Let’s put aside the fact that all the headlines this week wrote how successful Nick Saban has been against his former assistants, going 28-2 all-time against them. For the first time, in as far back as most of us can remember, Alabama did not make the College Football Playoff last season. Not only will he come out here to make a statement, he is going to come out here with a vengeance and make a statement against a top-10 ranked opponent on national TV at home. For starters, although Quinn Ewers is an excellent quarterback, there is a lot of questions surrounding his offensive line. Going up against a defense like Alabama possesses is going to be a nightmare for the quarterback here. I know that the Longhorns return 10 starters from last season. I am also well aware of the fact that Bryce Young has since departed the Crimson Tide and their offense is now in the hands of Milroe. But you must understand that Alabama is stacked higher and deeper than the pancakes at your favorite breakfast joint. Saban won’t take any chances here and rev the engines the entire game against a team that they eked by with a one-point victory a season ago. Guys, when playing at home, the Crimson Tide are on a 15-3 ATS run in Tuscaloosa. By the way, folks, Texas is just 1-5 ATS their last six nonconference road tilts and 3-9 ATS their last 12 versus SEC opponents. After last year’s close game scare, and being shunned for the CFP, Nick Saban is going to make an example of Texas here. Take Alabama. Thank you. |
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09-09-23 | Oregon -6 v. Texas Tech | 38-30 | Win | 100 | 26 h 49 m | Show | |
Oregon Ducks. Touchdown Play. Game 359. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. My friends, I am going to ask you to do a little bit of math here. The Oregon Ducks are the second-choice in the Pac 12, and are touted to win 9.5 games. The Texas Tech Red Raiders are supposed to be the fourth best in the Big 12, slated to win just 7.5 games. Now going to the preseason predictions to win the National Championship, the odds for the ducks are twice as strong as the Red Raiders. With the way, the USC defense has looked thus far, in my opinion Oregon and Washington are the best teams in that conference by far. You can’t say the same for the Big 12 as far as the Texas Tech goes. Texas, Oklahoma, and Kansas State are all rated significantly higher in the conference than is Texas Tech. They did finish last season strong, winning and covering their final four outings. However, they opened this season up with a very poor performance, losing outright, 35-33 as a 13.5-point favorite in Wyoming. Some bettors out there will think they’re going to bounce back strongly to make a point here. I think they exposed their weaknesses. This is a home game for the Red Raiders. But you cannot dismiss the fact that the Ducks are a monster road team, accounting for 34, 49, 42, 49, and 44 points against some solid opposition. They also have a well-balanced offense, equally strong in the air and on the ground. Bo Nix has found his home with this team. He is a stud, a good play-caller, and possesses a solid arm. He also has the luxury of having a monster ground attack. Oregon will control the clock and the tempo, keeping the Texas Tech defense on the field and their offense off of it. The Red Raiders rushed for just 95 yards against the Cowboys last week. If you can’t run the ball, you can’t keep opponent’s offenses on the sideline. And that is one thing you must do to at least slow down the juggernaut which is the Ducks offense. Don’t forget Texas Tech ranked 97th in opponents points per game last year and 102nd in yards per play against. They might come out here with some fire bellies. But they just don’t have the personnel to contend on the scoreboard in this one. Take Oregon. Thank you. |
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09-09-23 | Notre Dame -7 v. NC State | 45-24 | Win | 100 | 21 h 6 m | Show | |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish. Oddsmakers Mistake. Game 303. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. Sports fans, I keep reading that this is the first true test for Notre Dame this season. I’m looking at it at a different point of view. I think it’s their first opportunity to show the nation they are a true force to be reckoned with. Fighting Irish quarterback, Sam Hartman is no stranger to playing against this conference. The gunslinger left the ACC with the most touchdown passes in the history of the conference. And lit up this specific secondary for nearly 700 yards passing the last two meetings with NC State. Please don’t forget Notre Dame is 8-1-1 ATS the last nine versus the ACC just over the last two campaigns. Furthermore, they are also 14-2 ATS as a favorite of 10 or less points the last 16 in the situation. I will admit that facing NC State is a step up from their last two opponents, Navy, and Tennessee State. But we all must admit that the Wolfpack didn’t have that easy of a time last week against the Huskies in their 24-14 victory over them on the road. We could all agree that Brennan Armstrong just doesn’t put up the same numbers anymore. And for him and the NC State offense, this is a very, very big step up in class from Connecticut. I just feel that they do not have either the playmakers or the depth to keep pace on the scoreboard in this matchup. Being around the hot number of 7.0 or 7.5 doesn’t scare me one bit. Take the Fighting Irish. Thank you. |
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09-03-23 | LSU v. Florida State +2.5 | 24-45 | Win | 100 | 53 h 16 m | Show | |
Florida State Seminoles Oddsmakers Mistake. Game 232. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. My friends, my staff and I have come up with a line on this game that Florida State should be a three-point favorite. Please remember that they’re playing in Orlando, Florida. Also, remember that last year’s meeting, the Seminoles blocked a kick at the end of the game to win 24-23. They come into this meeting with confidence. Believe it or not, FSU comes in here with a lot less pressure on them. They also come in here very optimistic. Last year they were the only team in the country to lead its conference in both total offense and total defense. Now, I will tell you both starting quarterbacks are back. However, a major advantage gives FSU an edge here. LSU defensive tackle, Maason Smith has been suspended. Let me tell you how significant he is to the squad. Head coach, Brian Kelly tried to get a Week 0 game scheduled so he could actually serve out his suspension against a no-name team and be available for this game. While I believe the Tigers are a good team, I just don’t believe all the hype that they are a great team. Trust me when I tell you folks, Florida State is a great team. Defensively they are a little stronger, a little more consistent, and possess bigger playmakers overall. And they’re at 100% coming into this contest. Granted, it’s not technically a home game for the Seminoles. But playing in Orlando, Florida certainly gives them a lot more friendly fans in the stands. Please remember that a season ago LSU, during the regular season went 1-4 against the spread away from home. I still feel FSU should be the favorite. Take the points with the Seminoles. Thank you. |
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09-02-23 | UTSA -120 v. Houston | 14-17 | Loss | -120 | 29 h 47 m | Show | |
UTSA Roadrunners on the monyeline. CONSENSUS. Game 211. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Sports fans, as of posting this game on the websites Friday morning, money is coming in on Houston. I have to tell you I have made extremely successful career going against the grain. As you know, the general public loses most of the time. And guess what? They’re going to lose here again on Saturday. Every sharp guy in Vegas I know likes this game and it is for a few different reasons. First and foremost, there is a big revenge factor here as UTSA lost in last year’s opener triple overtime. With quarterback, Clayton Tune gone, leaving for the NFL, the Cougars offense returns just five starters. This does not bode well as last season their defense got steamrolled for over 33.5 points per game. Whether it be in the air or on the ground, they gave up significant yardage. The Roadrunners took their spot in the AAC as the Cougars are now in the Big 12. You cannot ignore the fact that seventh-year quarterback, Frank Harris is one of the most seasoned play callers in the nation. He led an offense last year that ranked 12th in scoring, 12th in passing, ninth in total yards, and 50th in rushing. The passing game of UTSA would be successful against just about any defense in college football today. Plus, reports are their ground game has been beefed up and can eat up some clock in the process. They’ve had this game circled since the schedule came out folks. They have revenge on their mind, one of the most experienced quarterbacks in college football, and are looking to make a splash in their new conference. Take the Roadrunners on the moneyline. Thank you. |
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09-02-23 | Ohio State -30 v. Indiana | 23-3 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 24 m | Show | |
Ohio State Buckeyes. NO LIMIT. Game 165 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. The preseason polls have Ohio State figured to be one of the top teams in college football again this season. There are some questions about their quarterback because head coach Ryan Day hasn’t officially named the starter yet to replace CJ Stroud. My friends, this team is loaded on both sides of the ball and they do have one of the best wide receiver tandems in college football today. So any QB at the helm will thrive. They face a team that they have beaten 28 consecutive meetings, and which is supposed to finish this season dead last in their conference. The Buckeyes have averaged over 50.1 points per game in the last six meetings with the Hoosiers. But even more than that, my friends this game takes place 12:30 pst/3:30 PM EST. The other team in the conference that’s supposed to be the best and one of the highest touted teams in college football, the Michigan Wolverines have a contest early at 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST against East Carolina at home. Follow this logic; if Michigan blows up East Carolina, Ohio State hast to keep their foot on the gas to keep pace with them and show them that they too are a team to be reckoned with. If the Wolverines maybe don’t cover against the Pirates, and it’s a little bit closer than many people think, then the Buckeyes still have to keep their foot on the gas to show the Wolverines that they are the best team coming out of the gate and possibly even solidify a top spot in the polls. Either way guys, Ohio State must crush Indiana. And there’s no reason why they shouldn’t. Take the Buckeyes. Thank you. |
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09-02-23 | Boise State v. Washington -14 | Top | 19-56 | Win | 100 | 25 h 23 m | Show |
Washington Huskies. HIGH ROLLER. Game 198. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. My friends, this might be one of the biggest mismatches on the college football board this Saturday. To say that the Pac 12 is in a state of flux, would be an understatement. The USC Trojans were supposed to run away with this conference this season. However, after watching their defense allow San Jose State to put up 28 points on them as they failed to cover last week, we must admit that they might have the same problems they had in recent years. Their defense, their defense, their defense!. Both the Oregon Ducks and the Washington Huskies are touted to vie for the PAC 12 title. And right now, I have to be honest, the Huskies are sitting in the catbird seat. There is no question Boise State is a solid team in the Mountain West. They are supposed to be the top team in the conference this season. If you recall, they went up against Oregon State in Week 1 of last season and got blown up, 34-17. Let’s be honest, they just don’t face the same level of competition as does their opponent here this weekend. Their “all-universe” quarterback, Hank Bachmeier has departed the team and is now wearing a Louisiana Tech uniform. The Broncos are also missing some of their coaching staff, who have also departed for bigger and better. Maybe the writing is on the wall. Guys, there is no way they can keep pace offensively with the high-flying squad headed by Michael Penix Jr. A season ago, the Huskies offense ranked number one in passing yards, number two in total yards, and number four in points scored. Oh, by the way, they also didn’t turn the ball over too much, ranking second in college football in that category. Statistics can be quite deceiving my friends. Last season, Boise State possessed one of the best pass defenses in the land. However, when you go up against run-heavy offenses, like they did (Wyoming, Air Force, San Diego State, UTEP, New Mexico, Oregon State) the statistics are going be padded for sure. This is not just a step up in class for their pass defense. This is a step up, step up, step up, like they’ve never experienced before. This is a true mismatch. Lay the two TDs with the Huskies. Thank you. |
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02-12-23 | Chiefs v. Eagles -120 | 38-35 | Loss | -120 | 31 h 55 m | Show | |
Super Bowl LVII winner. Game 102. 3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST. My friends, you all know me as someone who writes detailed, lengthy analysis, with angles appealing to every type of sports bettor. I’m going to forgo that for this Super Bowl side release. I’m going to keep it very simple. Both teams certainly deserve to be here. I do feel this will be one of the most competitive Super Bowls we seen in recent memory. However, I believe this game will be decided due to two major reasons: For starters, this matchup will be won by in the trenches. There is no doubt the Eagles possess the better offensive and defensive lines. Secondly, whichever team makes fewer mistakes will take home the Lombardi Trophy. On both sides of the ball, Philadelphia is significantly stronger. They rank fifth offensively, only committing 19 miscues this season. They face a Kansas City defense ranking 24th, only snagging 19 takeaways. On the other side of the line of scrimmage, the Eagles rank third in the league, snagging 27 turnovers. Meanwhile, the Chiefs have coughed up the ball up quite a bit this season ranking, 24th and committing 23 turnovers. So, for both of those reasons I like the Eagles to soar here. I know the line is varying a bit from sportsbook to sportsbook. So just to err on the side of caution, take Philadelphia on the money line. Thank you. Props Offering Value: Courtesy of my good friends at the SuperBook 11 PROPS In Order of Strength STRONGEST TO WEAKEST *** Will The Game Be Tied After 0-0 YES EVEN *** Largest Lead Of Game By Either Team 14.5 UNDER -135 *** Total Receptions By Travis Kelce 6.5 OVER -135 *** Will Travis Score a TD YES EVEN Total Rushing Yards By Mahomes 10.5 OVER EVEN Longest Rush By Mahomes 6.5 Over -110 Will There Be A Lead Change In The 4Th Quarter YES +270 Will Both Teams Have The Lead In the 1st Half YES +140 WILL THE GAME BE DECIDED BY EXACTLY 1 PT +1500 2 PTS +1300 3 PTS +475 Total Gross Passing Yards By Mahomes 288.5 UNDER EVEN Will There Be A ST Or Defensive TD Yes +270 |
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02-12-23 | Chiefs v. Eagles UNDER 51 | 38-35 | Loss | -105 | 31 h 54 m | Show | |
Under 51. Super Bowl LVII Total Winner. Games 101/102. 3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST. My friends, you all know me as someone who writes detailed, lengthy analysis, with angles appealing to every type of sports bettor. I’m going to forgo that for this Super Bowl total release. I’m going to keep it very simple. Guys, I know the general public is betting the over. And on paper, it makes sense. You’ve got two of the best scoring offenses in the NFL facing one another here. The Chiefs average 29.2-points per game, while the Eagles account for over 28.1-points per game. However, these are two very good defenses as well. Kansas City allows just 21.7-points per game, while Philadelphia yields a mere 20.2-points per game. You’ve got two smart head coaches. Two very savvy quarterbacks. One has more Super Bowl experience. Mahomes obviously still not 100% with that ankle issue. That changes the way their unit attacks offensively. In any case, they line up against the top ranked pass defense in the NFL. The other quarterback heavily relies upon the ground game to open up the passing game. Well, they face one of the best run defenses in football. Both teams have to establish the run to keep the opponents defense honest. Both quarterbacks are smart and make very few mistakes. Both coaches know that this is a game that has to be strategically played. And whoever makes the fewer mistakes or takes the fewer chances I should say, has a high percentage leading when the gun sounds. Coming into this match up Kansas City has played four unders in the last five outings, while Philadelphia’s last six contests, have seen five unders. There’s a ton more trends that further confirm why we are taking the under. But I think we’re all good to go folks. Take under. Thank you. Props Offering Value: Courtesy of my good friends at the SuperBook 11 PROPS In Order of Strength STRONGEST TO WEAKEST *** Will The Game Be Tied After 0-0 YES EVEN *** Largest Lead Of Game By Either Team 14.5 UNDER -135 *** Total Receptions By Travis Kelce 6.5 OVER -135 *** Will Travis Score a TD YES EVEN Total Rushing Yards By Mahomes 10.5 OVER EVEN Longest Rush By Mahomes 6.5 Over -110 Will There Be A Lead Change In The 4Th Quarter YES +270 Will Both Teams Have The Lead In the 1st Half YES +140 WILL THE GAME BE DECIDED BY EXACTLY 1 PT +1500 2 PTS +1300 3 PTS +475 Total Gross Passing Yards By Mahomes 288.5 UNDER EVEN Will There Be A ST Or Defensive TD Yes +270 |
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01-29-23 | Bengals -125 v. Chiefs | Top | 20-23 | Loss | -125 | 128 h 26 m | Show |
Cincinnati Bengals on the money line. AFC Game of the YEAR. Game 323. Sunday, January 29, 2023. 3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST. My friends, with all respect to Patrick Mahomes and his success, he is not above getting rattled. He has lost the last three meetings against Cincinnati, all since January, 2022. For our purpose guys, Kansas City has also failed to cover all three of those meetings as well. That has got to be weighing on the mind of Mahomes as well as the rest of the team. To add to the pressure, all three of those matchups were when the quarterback was 100% healthy. Granted, he will have some time to rest his ailing ankle. But much of the offenses success comes from his ability to be mobile. The Chiefs “O” must also lineup across from one of the nastiest and stingiest “D’s” in the NFL. The Bengals stop-unit ranks sixth in the league, allowing just 20.1-points per game. They are incredibly strong against the run. And to be quite honest with you, even though overall they may be 23rd against the pass, they have contained some very good opposing quarterbacks in the air. Obviously, KC has a lot of talent with Pacheco on the ground and Kelsey and Smith-Schuster in the air. But I do feel this team has significantly more pressure on their shoulders than does Cincinnati. Speaking of the Bengals, not only are they winning, they seem to be improving with each passing week. And come in here red-hot, winning 10 in a row straight up, and missing 10 straight covers by a mere, half-point. I mentioned pressure a moment ago. If you look at the way Joe Burrow is leading this entire team, they are playing with an enthusiasm and an excitement you rarely see in the NFL these days, let alone come to playoffs. They are getting the job done and also having a little fun in the process. We know that the Kansas City defense has had issues at times this season against well-balanced offenses. While Joe Burrow leads the fifth-ranked aerial assault in the League, while Joe Mixon has absolutely taken it up a notch. Overall, on the season the numbers are a bit skewed on the ground for Cincy. But don’t let that fool you at all, the running back is more than adequate to move the chains on the ground and allow Burrow to open up the passing game and exploit the weaknesses on the Chiefs defense. He also has an arsenal of playmakers at his disposal in Chase, Higgins, Boyd, and even Mixon coming out of the backfield. I think we can all agree the Chiefs are seriously overvalued by the oddsmakers. Now I know the line has moved a bit and now the Bengals are a slight favorite as of this post, but I still feel even with no points and taking Cincinnati on the money line, that they are the play and offer us enormous value. We know Mahomes has won the big game in February. If you’re worried about Burrow doing the same, don’t be. This is a team that went to the Super Bowl last year, and instead of suffering a hangover this year, have risen to be one of the best teams in the NFL this season. Not only that, but if you recall, Burrow did win on a national platform a few years ago bringing a National Title to LSU in a perfect 15-0 season. Take the Bengals on the money line. Thank you. |
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01-29-23 | 49ers +2.5 v. Eagles | Top | 7-31 | Loss | -100 | 120 h 13 m | Show |
San Francisco 49ers. NFL POSTSEASON ANGLE PLAY. Game 321. 12:00 PM PST/3:00 PM EST. There is no question in my mind both the 49ers and Eagles deserve to be in the NFC Championship game. I mean finally we can throw away the bones and just eat the meat on an NFC matchup folks. Guys, an enormous amount of Philadelphia’s success comes from their ability to run the football. Hence it comes from their offensive lines ability to manhandle opposing defensive lines. That’s not going to be the case here this week, folks. San Francisco’s defense ranks No. 1 in the NFL in points allowed, No. 1 in total yards allowed, and No. 2 at stopping to rush. Oh, by the way they also rank 2nd in the League in takeaways, snagging 28 turnovers. And there is no way this defensive front is going to get manhandled. I’m not looking to take away anything from the Eagles offensive line. They are very good. But they’re not going to be able to manhandle their opponent here. That is going to seriously stunt their ground game. Jalen Hurts is a good quarterback. But I don’t think he would be the same quarterback put in other systems in the NFL. He’s also not 100%. And I think that will be an issue as well. Let’s face it guys, he isn’t the greatest passer in the world. And I really feel the San Fran secondary is going to add to their NFL-high 20 INT’s this season. You can also look for DE, Nick Bosa to have one of his best performances of the campaign as he goes up against LT, Jordan Mailata (Big mismatch, folks). Now defensively, Philly is pretty damn good as well. They are tops in the League against the pass and rank eighth in points allowed. They’re also pretty good at snagging takeaways, themselves. However, the 49ers “O” does not make many mistakes and does not turn the ball over very often. That is huge inn the playoffs, sports fans. Now, I keep hearing about how Brock Purdy is a rookie quarterback. Well folks, he spent four years as a starter in the Big 12. And he was on quite a few big game platforms in those four years. Now he’s in the NFL as a rookie. Yes, we all know he is a rookie. Well, he’s got seven games as a starter under his belt, which in case you’ve forgotten, are all victories. Guys, one more item on the subject of Purdy: when you are a “less-experienced” QB, you tend not to take any chances and force making plays. Therefore, make less mistakes. Keep that in mind. Listen folks, if you’re cooking in the kitchen and you’ve got Christian McCaffrey, Brandon Aiyuk, and George Kittle in the recipe, that’s going to be a pretty damn fine meal. Throw in the mix, Deebo Samuel, and you got the best food on the planet. I don’t feel the Eagles defense will be able to contain every one of those weapons. Particularly, McCaffrey coming out of the backfield. He will be a big reason why San Francisco moves the chains at will here. By the way folks, Philly has only covered one of the last six games played in the month of January, one of the last five games played versus NFC opponents, and one of the last five games played overall. On the flipside, San Francisco has covered 20 of the last 26 in the month of January, 20 of the last 26 versus NFC foes, and 23 other last 31 overall. Take the points with the 49ers and get paid. Thank you. |
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01-22-23 | Cowboys v. 49ers -4 | 12-19 | Win | 100 | 48 h 56 m | Show | |
San Francisco 49ers. NFC GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 318. 3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST. I know, I know, I know all the headlines this week is that Mike McCarthy, Dak Prescott, and the Dallas Cowboys finally won a playoff game last week. Well sports fans, look who they beat. With all respect to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, they really weren’t a very good team. They couldn’t score, couldn’t stop opponents from scoring, have an aging quarterback, no running game, and are very weak in the trenches on both the offensive and defensive lines. So, let me ask you, who did the Cowboys really beat? Well, they enter this matchup against a San Francisco 49ers opponent that has rattled off 10 consecutive victories, covering eight of those 10 contests. Yes, I know Brock Purdy is a rookie quarterback. But my friends, he has the luxury of having Christian McCaffrey in the backfield, with all-purpose superstar, Deebo Samuel, Brandon Aiyuk, and arguably the best tight end in the game in George Kittle at his disposal. Not only do the 49ers rank among the best in the NFL in scoring, averaging 26.5-points per game, they also lead the NFL on the defensive side, allowing a mere 16.3-points per game. This isn’t just a team that can score tons of points and hope they get the last possession of the game. This is a team very complete on both sides of the ball. Dallas has not played a team like this in quite some time. As a matter of fact, outside of the Philadelphia Eagles game on Christmas Eve, in which they went up against back up quarterback, Gardner Minshew, they haven’t played a great team in quite a while. I am still not sold on Dak Prescott as he is one of the most erratic quarterbacks in the NFL. Let’s face it guys, he is shaky at best. They also turn the ball over quite a bit. Their offense has coughed up the ball 23 times, which does not bode well because the San Francisco defense ranks second in the League with 28 takeaways. On the flipside the Cowboys “D“ tops the league with takeaways. However, The 49ers “O“ rarely turns the ball over, ranking third in the League, only committing 17 turnovers. I just don’t feel the Cowboys stop-unit will be able to slow down, let alone stop the well-balanced offense of the 49ers. Christian McCaffrey, who is one of the most valuable players to his squad in the NFL, goes up against the 22nd ranked run defense in the NFL. By the way guys, say what you want to by Brock Purdy having very little experience. But the guy has tossed 16 touchdowns and only four interceptions for over 1,700 yards passing. He has a lot of weapons, as I mentioned, at his disposal. Too many for the Cowboys defense to keep up with. Dallas has failed to cover the last four games played following a straight up win, four of the last five playoff games, and nine of the last 11 January games. San Francisco is 12-2 ATS the last 14 home games, 20-7 ATS the last 27 versus the NFC, and 5-0 ATS the last last five Divisional Playoff games. Take the 49ers. Thank you. |
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01-22-23 | Bengals +5.5 v. Bills | Top | 27-10 | Win | 100 | 44 h 28 m | Show |
Cincinnati Bengals. 98% ANGLE PLAY. Game 315. 12:00 PM PST/3:00 PM EST. My friends, I will tell you that both Cincinnati and Buffalo might have gotten a little lucky last week. I will also tell you that this is where Buffalo Bills fans are going to be very angry at me, that Josh Allen is one of the dumbest quarterbacks in this league. He makes a lot of stupid mistakes…a lot of stupid mistakes. Let’s face it, when he was at Wyoming, they had literally one of the worst ranked offenses in the nation. They had such a good defense, they kept him winning for a bit. He came to Buffalo and he is surrounded by good personnel. But he still makes stupid mistakes and he puts the defense in predicaments where they get tired. You know who isn’t a dumb quarterback… Joe Burrow. He won at LSU, he went to the Super Bowl last year, and instead of being in a hangover this year, this is a quarterback that has led his team to nine consecutive straight up victories, covering eight of the nine. Well let me rephrase that. Depending on when you bet the Bengals last week, you either won, pushed, or lost by a hook. I do believe both offenses will have success in the air. Both will struggle a bit on the ground, but eventually will get their ground games going. But this is going to come down to mistakes. And the Bills rank 30th in the NFL, committing over 27 turnovers. And you know what? Most of them fall on the shoulders of Allen. Yes, he has talent athletically. I’m not going to debate that. But his mind is mush. He makes a lot of stupid mistakes. I am going with the smarter, more stable, proven winner in Burrow. This game is going to be a tight one, coming down to whichever team makes fewer mistakes. And that will be Cincinnati. The Bills have only covered two of the last seven at home, one of the last six against teams with a winning record, and only two of the last seven playoff games. Meanwhile, the Bengals are 6-1 ATS the last seven played the month of January, 36-17 ATS the last 53 on the road, and 5-1 ATS the last six in the playoffs. Take the points with the Bengals. Thank you. |
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01-22-23 | Bengals v. Bills OVER 49 | Top | 27-10 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 27 m | Show |
OVER in the BENGALS/BILLS matchup. AFC STRONGEST TOTAL OF THE SEASON. Games 315/316. 12:00 PM PST/3:00 PM EST. My friends, make no mistake of it, this is the most anticipated matchup in this conference this season. Yes, Saturdays Jacksonville/Kansas City contest certainly has some excitement. But I think we can all agree that no matchup in the AFC has been as anticipated as the Cincinnati/Buffalo meeting. As we all know these two teams met on January 2, and after the unfortunate incident to Damar Hamlin, the game was suspended and eventually canceled. Cincinnati enters this matchup winning the last nine games straight up, while Buffalo has won eight in a row coming into Sunday’s contest. The Bengals have played to three overs in their last four outings, while the Bills are on a four-game over streak. You’re looking at two of the highest-scoring teams in the League as Cincy averages 26.1-points per game and Buffalo accounts for 28.4-points per game. Granted, both defenses ranked in the top-six, but as the season progressed, both stop-units have looked a little bit fatigued. Both quarterbacks are certainly two of the best in the game today. Joe Burrow leads the fifth-ranked passing attack and they will have a lot of success in the air against the 15th-ranked pass defense in the NFL. Josh Allen leads the seventh-ranked aerial assault and they too will have a lot of success throwing the ball against the 23rd-ranked pass defense in the League. Both offenses have stellar ground attacks. Joe Mixon is a workhorse. And Devin Singletary is the same. Both offenses will establish the run to keep the opponents defenses honest, and then pass off of the run. I sincerely feel that neither defense is going to be able to stop either offense from throwing the ball, moving the chains, and crossing the goal line. In my opinion this will be one of the highest-scoring games for either one of these teams this season. The over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings between these two conference rivals. Expect another high-scoring affair. Take the over. Thank you. |
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01-21-23 | Giants +7.5 v. Eagles | 7-38 | Loss | -108 | 26 h 45 m | Show | |
New York Giants. NFC EAST GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 303. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. As good as the Philadelphia Eagles record is, they come into the postseason failing to cover the last four outings. Oh, by the way, they’ve lost two of the last three straight up as well. Jalen Hurts, as we all know is not 100%. A lot of people are looking at the fact that New York also has lost more than they have won since mid-November. However, they have covered four straight and 14 of their 18 contests this season. No, they’re not flashy or flamboyant. But they do have a quarterback who doesn’t make many mistakes. Granted, they face a defense that ranks No. 1 in the NFL against the pass. But what the Eagles do have problems with, and they’ve had problems with this all season, is well-balanced offenses. They have problems with offenses that could run the ball and then pass off the run. Well folks, Saquon Barkley is healthy and looking very, very good right now. We are talking about a running back who has tallied nearly 1,400-yards on the ground this season. Daniel Jones will keep the Philly defense honest by handing the ball off the Barkley, which will then open up the passing game. Because Barkley is such a strong ball-carrier, they will also eat up the clock and keep the Eagles “D” on the field and most importantly, their offense off it. The Eagles are a little hobbled and I do believe laying better than a touchdown is a huge mistake here. Remember one more item folks, nobody expected the Giants to get this far. There is no pressure on this team to win. All the pressure is on Philadelphia. New York has covered five of the last six meetings in Philadelphia. The road team has covered seven of the last 10 meetings in this series. Oh, by the way the Giants are also 5-0 ATS the last five games played on the road. Meanwhile, the Eagles have failed to cover the last four versus NFC opponents and the last five in the month of January. Take New York. Thank you. |
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01-21-23 | Jaguars +9.5 v. Chiefs | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 22 h 2 m | Show | |
Jacksonville Jaguars. Postseason Angle Play. Game 301. 1:30 PM PST/4:30 PM EST. My friends, you can say what you want about the Kansas City Chiefs. Yes, they are one of the most successful teams over the last several years. And yes, overall, this season they own a 14-3 record. However, this team is perennially overvalued. They have only covered five games on the campaign. And when playing host at Arrowhead Stadium, they have only covered one of their last nine. Let’s face it, this team is point spread poison. They face a red-hot Jacksonville Jaguars opponent here. This is a team that has won six consecutive outings straight up, going 5-1 against the spread. Yes, we all know they lost the November 13 matchup on the road to Kansas City. That was in the earlier stages of their development, where they were just trying to get in sync and on track. They followed that loss off with a win at home against Baltimore, then lost badly in Detroit, only to finish up the regular season winning out, before taking down Los Angeles a week ago in the WC round. It is specifically the Chargers win last week, being down badly and making a miraculous comeback that tells me how good this team really is. And furthermore, how good their quarterback is. The Jaguars are a much better team right now than the last time they faced the Chiefs. Let’s face it folks, Kansas City has looked very mortal this season. I mean just since the start of December, they’ve allowed Cincinnati to beat them and put up 27 points, then granted they rattled off five consecutive victories. But they allowed Denver to put up 28, Houston to put a 24, and Denver once again to put 24 on them. Their defense is looking fatigued and overworked. I think you’re going to see Trevor Lawrence have a lot of success here, especially coming in here motivated after last weeks come from behind victory. Jacksonville has covered seven of the last eight against AFC opponents and six of the last eight in the month of January. Take the Jaguars. Thank you. |
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01-21-23 | Jaguars v. Chiefs OVER 52 | 20-27 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 1 m | Show | |
Jaguars/Chiefs OVER. TOUCHDOWN PLAY. Games 301/302. 1:30 PM PST/4:30 PM EST. My friends, look for a very high-scoring affair in the Jaguars/Chiefs matchup. Both offenses are clicking on all cylinders. Obviously, Kansas City owns the No. 1 scoring “O“ in the NFL, averaging 29.2-points per game. You will see Patrick Mahomes and the top-ranked passing unit of Kansas City have enormous success in the air against the 28th ranked pass defense in the League. On the flipside, Trevor Lawrence and company are putting up a lot of points. Just during their six-game win streak, they have averaged 29.5-points per game. Just since the beginning of December, we have seen the Chiefs defense look a little fatigued and overworked as they allowed the Bengals to put up 27, the Broncos to put up 28 and 24 and the Texans to put up 24. I feel Lawrence will have a lot of success as well in the air against the 18th ranked pass defense in the NFL. The over is 8-3 in the Jaguars last 11 games played on the road and 4-0 the their last four games played versus teams with a winning record. It is also 10-3 in the Chiefs last 13 games played in the month of January and 8-3 in their last 11 games played following an ATS win. Take the over. Thank you. |
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01-16-23 | Cowboys v. Bucs +2.5 | 31-14 | Loss | -107 | 37 h 13 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers. MNF Winner. Game 152. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. Sports fans, here’s a couple of facts for you; the Cowboys haven’t won a road playoff game in 30 years. Mike McCarthy, in his third year with the team, has yet to win a playoff game. Dallas is a lowly 6-18 ATS the last 24 games played in the month of January. And furthermore, they are 0-7 against Tom Brady, who already defeated them this season. Yes, I know I know I know, Tampa Bay has been point spread poison this season, going 4-12-1 against the number. But let’s face it, I doubt that things will change for Dallas here. I mean they needed last weeks win to significantly better their playoff situation. And yet they still could not earn a victory come crunch time. I am not a big fan of Mike McCarthy. I am not a big fan of Dak Prescott. Going back to Tampa Bay, you can’t argue Tom Brady is the most successful NFL playoffs player ever. When you come into the postseason it is a whole different monster. And there is no one better in January and February then Tom Brady. Understand that this is the first losing season as a starting quarterback in the NFL. Understand also Dallas has a lot more pressure on them than Tampa Bay. They had high hopes of being an NFC representative in the Super Bowl this season. Nobody expected too much of the Bucs. Let’s face it, they backed into the playoffs in arguably the weakest division in the NFL. But defensively overall they match up pretty good here. And one more item folks, they are also 11-2-1 against the spread as a home ‘dog the last 14 times in that situation. Oh, wait they’re also 5-1 straight up in the postseason under Brady. By the way, not only is Dallas 1-4-1 ATS the last six road games, they are also 0-4 ATS the last four playoff games. Take Tampa Bay. Thank you. |
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01-15-23 | Ravens v. Bengals -8.5 | Top | 17-24 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 25 m | Show |
Cincinnati Bengals. No Limit. Game 150. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST I am sure you recall these two teams met a week ago. Cincinnati took the game, 27-16. Lamar Jackson is out again here. As you all know, he hasn’t taken the field since December 4. And hasn’t played any significant amount of time since November 27. Let’s face it, the offense’s entire success revolves around Jackson working his magic, allowing the ground game to keep defenses honest. Even when he was healthy, in all sincerity, this team really wasn’t scoring a ton of points guys. In my opinion, Cincy is just about the most well-balanced team right now in the NFL. Offensively, they’re averaging over 26.1-points per game. And you can expect the first-ranked passing offense, led by Joe Burrow to light up the sky here against the 26th-ranked pass defense of Baltimore. Overall, they’re rushing stats aren’t very impressive. However, Joe Mixon is more than adequate folks…he really is. On the flipside, the Bengals defense is allowing just 20.1-points per game and has seemed to have gotten stronger over the last month, yielding just 16.7-points per game over the last four outings. My friends, coming into the postseason, Cincy has rattled off eight consecutive wins and depending on your line last week, eight consecutive covers as well. At the very worst, you got a push last week guys. I don’t normally look at momentum coming into the postseason in the NFL because the playoffs are a whole different monster. But understand that Joe Burrow and company made it to the big game a season ago. He has won in the playoffs and a few years back on a huge platform playing for LSU. This is a team full of talent and are playing with an enthusiasm and excitement that we very rarely see these days. I know it’s a big number, but understand the Bengals have covered the last six games played at home, are 19-6-1 ATS the last 26 versus AFC opponents, and 4-0-1 ATS the last five playoff games. Lay the points here with Cincinnati. Thank you. |
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01-15-23 | Giants +3 v. Vikings | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
New York Giants. Angle play. Game 147. 1:40 PM PST/4:40 PM EST. My friends I’m not looking to downplay the Vikings 13-4 record. Obviously, you’ve got to do something right to amass 13 regular season wins in today’s NFL. However, I’m not going to sit here and tell you I don’t think a little bit of that was luck. This is a team with 11 victories by a margin of eight-points or less. Speaking of 13-4 records, the New York Giants are the most bankable team in pro football, going 13-4 against the spread the season. These two teams met approximately three weeks ago with Minnesota prevailing on the road, 27-24. Let’s face it a lot of things went wrong for New York and they still only lost by three-points. They enter this matchup covering four in a row and six of their last seven (Talk about being bankable). With the fourth-ranked rushing attack in the league, I feel the Giants will move the chains against the 20th ranked run defense in football. They will use the rush to keep the Vikings defense honest and allow Daniel Jones to pass off the run. Say what you want about the quarterback, but he doesn’t make too many mistakes. No, he is not flashy. But he has passed for over 3,205 yards with a 67.2% completion rate and a 15/5 TD/INT ratio. Something to understand folks: Minnesota ranks 28th in points allowed, 20th against the rush, 31st against the pass, and 31st in total yards allowed. Their defense is atrocious. And facing an offense that can run the ball and pass off the run is going to be fatal for this team. On the flipside, New York has played pretty well defensively. The Vikings are 1-4 ATS the last five games played following a straight up win and 2-8-1 ATS the last 11 games played versus NFC opponents. The Giants 4-0 ATS the last four games played on the road, 7-0 ATS the last seven games played following a straight up loss, 5-1 ATS the last six games played versus NFC opponents, and 9-1 ATS the last 10 playoff games played on the road. Take New York. Thank you. |
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01-14-23 | Chargers v. Jaguars +2.5 | 30-31 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
Jacksonville Jaguars. WC ANGLE PLAY. Game 144. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. Jacksonville comes into this Wildcard contest winning five in a row and six of the last seven straight up, covering five of those seven games. Yes, I know recently they haven’t faced some of the NFL’s premier quarterbacks. And they are certainly going to face a very talented QB here today. But the defense has stepped up, holding their last three opponents to a total of 22 points scored. I know the Jaguars possess one of the poorer pass defenses in the league. But their offense has played so well, it is keeping opponents defenses on the field and more importantly, their offenses off it. They are certainly more well-balanced offensively. And Jacksonville is 5-1-1 ATS the last seven games played versus AFC opponents. I definitely like the home ‘dog here in the Wildcard round. Take the Jaguars. Thank you. |
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01-14-23 | Seahawks v. 49ers -9.5 | 23-41 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
San Francisco 49ers. Touchdown Play. Game 142. 1:35 PM PST/4:35 PM EST. One month ago, San Francisco took down Seattle on the road to give them a sweep of the Seahawks in this regular season 2-0, both straight up and against the spread. The 49ers enter today’s matchup possessing the top-scoring offensive unit in the league since Week 14. I just don’t see Seattle and they are lackluster “O“, keeping pace here offensively. Especially because they have the tougher task of facing the No. 1 ranked scoring defense in the NFL. By the way, the 49ers have also snagged 28 takeaways, while the Seahawks have committed 23 turnovers. This heavily favors the 49ers folks. They are 5-0 ATS the last five games played at home, 19-7 ATS the last 26 games played versus the NFC, 5-1 ATS the last six games played in the postseason, 8-0 ATS the last eight games played versus the NFC West, and 21-8 ATS the last 29 games played overall. Take San Francisco. Thank you. |
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01-09-23 | TCU +12.5 v. Georgia | Top | 7-65 | Loss | -110 | 83 h 30 m | Show |
TCU Horned Frogs. National Championship Game Winner. Game 287. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. What many sports bettors fall victim to this time of year is overthinking the National Championship Game. Obviously, with nine days between the College Football Playoff and the Title Game, you’re going to read countless articles, columns, trends, streaks, etc. My friends, don’t overthink this matchup. There is no questioning the Georgia Bulldogs have earned the No. 1 spot in the nation and deserve of all their praise and accolades. However, making this team nearly a two-touchdown favorite is a mistake. The odds makers are hoping that you buy into all the media and the hype the last few weeks. Yes, the Bulldogs are 14-0 this season. Yes, the Horned Frogs lost one game, sporting a 13-1 straight up record. I will not argue I feel Georgia is a little stronger in the trenches in this matchup. However, they are also overvalued quite a bit by the oddsmakers only covering one of their last four outings. Their defense, which overall has been very impressive the season, has gotten plowed for 71 combined points over the last two games. And I feel they have significantly more pressure on them to win here on Monday. Not only that guys, but I think we can all agree that perhaps Buckeyes head coach, Ryan Day made a couple of bad in-game decisions last week. Granted, TCU did lose the Conference Championship in overtime to Kansas State a month ago. But it also showed this team and their coaching staff what they need to work on. I also don’t want you to solely judge the Horned Frogs by their decisive win over the Wolverines last week. Yes, Michigan is certainly one of the most complete teams in College Football this year. And TCU handled them pretty well. But looking at this team overall, this season they have knocked off five ranked teams, including three as an underdog. Many were worried that their biggest ball-carrier, Kendre Miller was sidelined. But I think we can all agree, Emari Demercado can fill in on the rushing game without missing a beat. On this platform, mistakes and turnovers usually play a key part in the outcome of the game. And once again, TCU is significantly better on both sides of the ball as they do not commit nearly as many turnovers as Georgia, and while they do snag more takeaways than the Bulldogs. One more item folks…they are money. They are 4-0 ATS the last four nonconference games played and 10-3-1 ATS the last 14 overall games played. Oh, by the way Georgia has failed to cover each of their last four nonconference games folks. I just feel this is way too many points to give a very talented and scrappy bunch like the Horned Frogs led by a quarterback, who perhaps possesses more heart and grit than any other QB in the nation. Take TCU. Thank you. |
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01-08-23 | Lions v. Packers -4.5 | Top | 20-16 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
Green Bay Packers. Late Bailout Play. Game 460. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. The Packers control their own destiny. They win and they’re in. Their division rival, the Lions need a bit of help as well as a victory here today. As a matter fact the Lions might be eliminated even before this game starts. They need the Seahawks to lose to the Rams this morning. If Seattle wins, Detroit has no chance of making the postseason. Not only does Green Bay have momentum, winning and covering four straight games coming into this contest. But they are led by one of the most seasoned veterans in the game today in Aaron Rodgers. He gets to go up against the 30th ranked pass defense in the NFL. By the way speaking of defenses, the Green Bay stop-unit has held their last four opponents to an average of just 17-points per game. To make matters worse, the home team has covered the last six meetings between these two rivals. Take the Packers. Thank you. |
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01-08-23 | Chargers +3.5 v. Broncos | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
Los Angeles Chargers. NFL Angle Play. Game 469. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST A lot of people are playing the Denver Broncos here because they think they’re looking to play spoiler I guess the Los Angeles Chargers. Denver is out of the postseason. They have absolutely no shot as they are just 4-12 this year. However, at 10-6, Los Angeles is looking to secure the number five AFC spot with a victory here. This is a team that is certainly riding momentum, winning and covering for in a row. Granted, they are not too much of a threat on the ground. But they enter this match up with the fifth ranked passing attack in the NFL. I know the Broncos overall are good defensively. However, this is a stop-unit that has started to spring a leak over the last few months. Let’s face it, they allowed Las Vegas to put up 22, Carolina to put up 23, Kansas City to put up 34, Los Angeles to put up 51, and Kansas City once again to put up 27. Their defense has sprung a leak. It is tired and overworked. It is very vulnerable in the air. On the flipside, we all know the Broncos possess the worst scoring offense in the NFL, averaging is 16-points per game. Making Los Angeles an underdog is a mistake as the ‘dog is 5-2 ATS the last seven meetings in this rivalry. Oh, by the way, LA is also 6-2 ATS the last eight games played on the road, 9-4 ATS the last 13 games played on grass, at 8-3-1 ATS the last 12 games played in the month of January. Take the Chargers. Thank you. |
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01-08-23 | Cowboys -6.5 v. Commanders | 6-26 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
Dallas Cowboys. HIGH ROLLER PLAY. Game 473. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. A victory here and a little bit of help, and Dallas will be home for the first round of the playoffs. There is even a slight chance that they would wind up with the NFC East’s top-seed. What a better opponent to face then a division rival in which they’ve had their way with. The Cowboys have won and covered three consecutive meetings with the Commanders, including this year‘s only matchup, an early-October, 25-10 annihilation on the road. Washington enters this matchup having not won a single game since the end of November. They have failed to cover four straight as well. Let’s face it, offensively they just can’t compete with the explosive Dallas “O“. I mean the Commanders average just 18.4-points per game. A lot has been said over the course of the regular season about how good their “D“ is. However, this is a unit that has allowed their last four opponents to put up over 101-points on them. And a couple of those opponents are not known to have explosive offensive units. The Cowboys have covered six of the last eight meetings in this series on the road and sixth of the last eight overall meetings. By the way, they are also 23-9 ATS the last 32 versus the NFC East. Take the Cowboys. Thank you. |
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01-08-23 | Browns v. Steelers -2.5 | 14-28 | Win | 100 | 3 h 24 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh Steelers. No Limit. Game 462. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. A lot has to happen, but Pittsburgh still has a slim chance of making the playoffs. Having said that, we all know Cleveland is out. The Steelers play at home in front of their loyal fans and can give them something to be excited about here with a big win. This is a team that has rattled off five wins over the last six outings, both straight up and against the spread. Not only that, but we all know Mike Tomlin and company enjoy payback. If you recall, the first meeting back at the end of September in Cleveland, the Browns embarrassed the Steelers 29-17. Even if Cleveland does look to play spoiler here, I don’t expect them to put their only true weapons, the rushing attack in jeopardy for far too long. Please remember, the Steelers do possess the seventh ranked run defense in the NFL. On the flipside, I just look for Kenny Pickett to continue to work his magic. The home team has covered seven of the last 10 meetings in this rivalry. Pittsburgh is 5-0 ATS the last five games played versus teams with a losing record and 17-7 -3 ATS the last 27 games played in the month of January. Take the Steelers. Thank you. |
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01-07-23 | Titans v. Jaguars -6 | 16-20 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 26 m | Show | |
Jacksonville Jaguars. AFC South Game of the Month. Game 458. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. Jacksonville took the December 11 meeting with Tennessee on the road, 36-22. That win and cover started their current four-game win and cover hot streak. On the other hand, the Titans are going in a very different direction. Since the end of November, they have lost and failed to cover six consecutive outings. Their offense has been non-effective and non-existent, accounting for a mere, 14.8-points per game during their slide. Being that they can’t move the chains offensively, their defense is overworked, tired, and getting plowed. This does not bode well as they are facing a Jags “O“ that comes off scoring performances of 36, 40, 19, and 31-points. I just don’t see the Titans 32nd ranked pass defense slowing down, let alone stopping Trevor Lawrence and the Jaguars 10th ranked passing attack. Derrick Henry is expected to play. But for how long we can only speculate. As of this post, even if he plays the entire game, he still must lineup against one of the toughest and stingiest run defenses in the NFL. To make matters worse, Tennessee has coughed-up the ball 21 times, while Jacksonville has snagged 24 takeaways. The Jaguars are 5-0-1 ATS the last six versus AFC opponents, 6-2 ATS the last eight on Saturday, and 5-1 ATS the last six in January. Take Jacksonville. Thank you. |
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01-02-23 | Tulane v. USC -130 | 46-45 | Loss | -130 | 5 h 3 m | Show | |
USC Trojans on the moneyline. Cotton Bowl Winner. Game 280. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Both Tulane and USC, like every other team this Bowl campaign are dealing with some opt outs/transfer portal. Both also come in here with exact 11-2 records. While the Green Wave was is also 11-2 ATS, the Trojans were 8-5 a ATS this season. The big news entering this matchup is the health of quarterback, Caleb Williams. Trust me when I tell you there is nothing wrong with his hamstring. He will be full force 100% here for the Cotton Bowl. Having said that, I do feel the Trojans offense are significantly more potent and more explosive than their counterpart. If you recall, USC finished their regular season winning five consecutive games, covering the last three. It was particularly their last two outings of the regular season, wins and covers against UCLA and Notre Dame that impressed me quite a bit. Then they got steamrolled on December 2 by Utah. I look for them to bounce back and redeem themselves and finish the campaign on a high note. I think we can all agree Tulane was very impressive this season. They finished the regular season winning and covering three straight, including a big win in the Title game over Central Florida. However, I look for them to be in let down mode here for sure. I also think we can all agree that overall, the Green Wave do not face the same level of competition as the Trojans. On this platform, experience plays a part. And it will play apart again here as the USC defense rank a second nationally with 19 takeaways. You will see them force the less experienced, Tulane offense into making mistakes. The Trojans are 4-0 ATS their last four nonconference games, 4-1 ATS their last five versus teams with a winning record, and 5-2 ATS their last seven in January. Take USC. Thank you. |
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01-01-23 | Vikings v. Packers -3 | 17-41 | Win | 100 | 26 h 56 m | Show | |
Green Bay Packers. NFC North GOM. Game 128. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. I’m not looking to take anything way from the Minnesota Vikings. But folks you’ve got admit, luck has played a part in their 12-3 record. Having said that I’m also going to give you a cliché. They say revenge is a dish best served cold. Well, the Green Bay Packers opened this season with an embarrassing 23-7 loss on the road at the hands of the Minnesota Vikings. They then won three consecutive victories before hitting a big slide. Since December began, things turned a corner for this team, winning and covering three straight games with authority. Green Bay is back in the playoff race. They can sneak into the postseason if they win their last two games as long as Washington loses at least once or the New York Giants lose both of their remaining contests. Either way the Packers must win here this week. This is a team that is striding at the right time. Plus, they have Aaron Rodgers at the helm who is out to prove there’s still some life left in his aging body. We talked about the Vikings being lucky. They’ve been very lucky. While they have won two of their last three games straight up, they failed to cover all three outings. Their main offensive strength is in the air. But they must go up against the NFL third ranked pass defense here. Dalvin Cook is solid. But in all sincerity, this “O” ranks 28th in rushing. On the flipside, they rank dead last in the NFL defending the pass and have to go up against a surging and angry Rodgers. Understand that the Packers have started to get healthy coincidentally the same time they started to win. The home team has covered nine of the last 13 meetings of the series. Green Bay has covered nine of the last 13 against Minnesota at home. Ohm, by the way the Vikings are just 0-3-1 ATS the last four versus NFC opponents. Take the Packers. Thank you. |
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01-01-23 | Browns v. Commanders -128 | 24-10 | Loss | -128 | 23 h 32 m | Show | |
Washington Commanders on the moneyline. High Roller Play. Game 106. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Cleveland has been eliminated from any postseason chances. So, I doubt they’re going to jeopardize any of their star players here in the game that does not matter to them. Even playing spoiler makes no sense. The last few weeks, let’s face it, their offense has gone from bad to worse, only counting for a total of 33-points over the last three outings, which resulted in a 1-2 mark, both straight up and against the spread. Washington looks to keep their postseason hopes alive here. They can clinch their second playoff berth in three seasons, with a win over the Browns combined with some help. If they do not win here, they can still make the playoffs. But a lot of things has to happen for them to do so. Carson Wentz will start for the Commanders. He leads an offense that too has sputtered a bit recently. However, I look for this unit to steam roll the 25th ranked rush defense of the Browns on the ground. Being that they run the ball with such efficiency, they will also keep the Cleveland defense on the field and their offense off it. Washington is 4-0 ATS the last four versus teams with a losing record. Take the Commanders. Thank you. |