Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-10-24 | Bills -4 v. Colts | 30-20 | Win | 100 | 4 h 11 m | Show | |
Buffalo Bills. AFC GAME OF THE WEEK. Game 263. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Buffalo has begun to separate themselves from most of the AFC pack. They have the second-best overall record in the Conference, at 7-2. They enter today's matchup running red-hot, riding a four-game straight up win streak, in which they've covered three of the four games. They have the Chiefs up next, and normally I would look to stay away from a team like them today. But following next week’s contest with Kansas City, they then have a bye week before playing at home on December 1 against San Francisco. They're schedule won't get any easier as they take to the road to play the Rams, and then the following week must face the Lions in Detroit. So, I don't see a lookahead situation for this team. I actually feel this game is big one for them. They go into Indianapolis to face a Colts squad that is starting to show signs of cracking, dropping their last two games straight up. At home this season, Indy has played well, going 3-1. But the three victories as host came against a Miami team without their quarterback, and two September victories against struggling offenses of Chicago and Pittsburgh. Between their mistakes on offense (13 turnovers), and ranking 26th against the pass and 31st against the rush on defense, I just see this game getting out of hand. Take Buffalo. Thank you. |
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11-09-24 | BYU -4 v. Utah | 22-21 | Loss | -109 | 79 h 56 m | Show | |
BYU Cougars. Bookie Buster. Game 145. 7:15 PM PST/10:15 PM EST. The ninth-ranked BYU Cougars are not only the only undefeated team in the Big 12 (5-0), but they are also only one of five teams in the nation (8-0) that remain unblemished. That tells us they must keep their foot on the gas here. Just behind them tied for second place in the Conference, is both Iowa State and Colorado, which are both at 4-1. With regular season games remaining against Kansas, Arizona State, and Houston, it is very likely, they can run the gauntlet, and finish the regular season perfect. The Utah Utes are a train wreck. They are just .500, at 4-4 overall, which does include a dismal, 1-4 in Conference play. They are sliding badly, riding a four-game lose and no cover streak. Granted, both teams come off a bye week, the Cougars are certainly healthier. I don't see them in a “lookahead” mode, or even a “letdown” mode here as we all know they know this opponent very well, and furthermore, dislike them immensely. Please remember Utah had their way in this rivalry for many years, taking nine consecutive meetings, going back to November 2010, prior to 2021's, loss on the road, 26-17. The tide has turned in this rivalry. Sure, the Utes have a solid defense But, their offense is absolutely atrocious, ranking 105th in scoring (22.8 points per game), and committing 14 turnovers. They just won't be able to keep pace on the scoreboard with the explosive, 24th-ranked scoring offense of the Cougars, which are accounting for over 35.0-points per game. By the way, the BYU defense ain't too shabby, yielding just 19.6 PPG, and snagging 14 turnovers. Take the Cougars. Thank you. |
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11-09-24 | Oklahoma v. Missouri +3 | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 44 h 23 m | Show | |
Missouri tigers. SEC SMASH. Game 160. 4:45 PM PST/7:45 PM EST. The SEC has certainly lost a lot of its luster. But this Saturday, there's a big matchup I feel the oddsmakers have the wrong team favored. Oklahoma is just 5-4 overall, which does include a 1-4 record in SEC play. They've lost three of the last four straight up, and are only 1-1 on the road this season. But yet, the oddsmakers are still overvaluing them making them a three-point favorite over the home team Missouri Tigers. The Tigers are perfect 5-0 SU at home, 6-2 overall, and sit in the middle of the pack at 2-2 in Conference play. We all know that towards the end of the regular season, you will see better matchups. With a couple of victories, Mizzou can certainly up their stock. They come off a loss on the road at Alabama, and embarrassing defeat, 34-0. The last time they dropped a game, they bounced back to win and cover their following two outings. And I feel they're going to bounce back here, folks. The Sooners have the Crimson Tide and the LSU Tigers on deck to close out their regular season, while Missouri has South Carolina, Mississippi State, and Arkansas. Oklahoma just might overlook this opponent here on Saturday. The Sooners aren’t the team they once were on either side of the ball. Their offense, their once-feared offense, ranks 91st in scoring, 111th in total yards, 107th in passing, and 82nd in rushing. And they turned the ball over 13 times. Their defense, is decent, but certainly not threatening, especially not against the pass. Missouri will completely shut down their passing game, as they did against most opponents this season, and only allow 17.9 points per game against some very good offenses. They also have a very solid ground game with control the clock here. I think those factors will be the difference. Giving them points as a mistake. Take the doggie here WOOF WOOF. Take the Tigers. Thank you. |
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11-09-24 | Georgia v. Ole Miss +3 | 10-28 | Win | 100 | 40 h 12 m | Show | |
‘Ole Miss Rebels. Game 162. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. At first glance I feel this is very tough matchup. However, the Bulldogs have been overvalued for most of the season, as they've only covered one of their last seven outings. To make matters worse for Georgia, they have Tennessee on deck at home, may be in a position to get caught just right by a very dangerous ‘Ole Miss squad. There's no doubt the Bulldogs 12th-ranked passing unit will have some success in the air here. But I doubt very much they'll be able to keep their opponents defense honest with their running game, which ranks 97th, and lining up across from the second-ranked rush defense in the nation. The Bulldogs offensive also makes a lot of mistakes, committing 12 turnovers against five takeaways on the defensive side of the ball. These are two places the Rebels are certainly superior. I see the offense of the home team moving the chains with their well-balanced attack. Being the fact, they can shut down their opponents rushing game, tells me their ground game will control the clock in the tempo. Take Mississippi. Thank you. |
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11-09-24 | Clemson -6.5 v. Virginia Tech | 24-14 | Win | 100 | 40 h 50 m | Show | |
Clemson Tigers. HIGH ROLLER. Game 197. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. The ACC’s Clemson Tigers come off their first loss since when folks? Since August! They were on a six-game straight up winning streak until last week, when they hosted the Louisville Cardinals as a 10 ½-point fav, and got thumped, 33-21. Well, this team, and their head coach, does not take losing lightly. I expect them to bounce back here, and put a big hurt on the Virginia Tech Hokies. Going back more than a decade, Clemson has taken six straight meetings in this series straight up, covering five of the six meetings. This team is sitting in third place in the ACC, at 5-1 in Conference play. With this Conference matchup, and only one more, their next against the Panthers, they really need these two victories badly. They face a Virginia Tech team that's just 3-2 in ACC play, and come off a road loss at the hands of Syracuse. The Hokies have had trouble with well-balanced opponents. They won't be able to do much in the air here, as they rank 113th in passing. Their entire offense relies upon their running game. Well folks, they're going up against a very stout, run defense here, that's only yielding 140 yards per game on the ground. I don't see them moving the chains… at all. On the flipside, the Tigers rank in the top-25 in both passing and rushing, and are ninth in the nation in scoring, averaging just shy of 40 points per game (39.4 PPG). They also don't make too many mistakes, committing just four turnovers, while snagging nine takeaways in the process. I think this game is gonna’ be one of the ugliest mismatches on the board. Under a touchdown is an early Christmas present. Take Clemson. Thank you. |
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11-09-24 | Miami-FL -10.5 v. Georgia Tech | 23-28 | Loss | -112 | 37 h 32 m | Show | |
Miami-Fl. Hurricanes. EARLY WINNER. Game 131. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. Miami cannot let their foot off the gas. The 4th ranked Hurricanes are a perfect 9–0 this season overall, and tied with the Mustangs at 5-0 in ACC play. With games remaining against Georgia Tech, Wake Forest, and Syracuse, it is very logical this team can finish the regular season perfect. To go one further, they can also exact a little revenge on an opponent that took them down last season, 23-20, when they were a 19.0-point favorite. Quarterback, Cam Ward can up his Heisman status as he goes up against a very lax, 60th-ranked pass defense. On both sides of the ball, the ‘Canes outclass the Yellow Jackets. I expect the No. 1 scoring team in the nation, to stay that way. Take Miami. Thank you. |
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11-09-24 | Minnesota -6 v. Rutgers | 19-26 | Loss | -105 | 36 h 18 m | Show | |
Minnesota Golden Gophers. BIG TEN BLOCKBUSTER. Game 179. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST With remaining games against Penn State and Wisconsin, this week's contest against Rutgers is Minnesota's only pushover opponent. The Golden Gophers are a very respectable 4-2 in Conference action (Scarlet Knights 1-4 in Big 12), enroute to an overall, 6-3 record. To us sportsbettors, they've been money, going 7-1-1 ATS this season. They are riding a four-games SU win streak, and a five ATS cover streak. They face a Rutgers team that is sliding, losing and failing to cover their last four outings. The Golden Gophers do not do it pretty. But their defense, which ranks 12th in the nation, allowing a mere, 16.8-points per game and snagging 15 takeaways, will completely shut down the lackluster, Scarlet Knights offense. If you're someone who just likes to compare games, in the last month, Minnesota took down both USC and UCLA, holding both teams are 17 points scored, while those two teams shredded Rutgers the last few weeks 35-32, and 42-20. By the way, during their current four-game slide, the Scarlet Knights average margin of the defeat is 14.2-points per game. Take the Golden Gophers. Thank you. |
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11-03-24 | Dolphins v. Bills -6 | 27-30 | Loss | -108 | 27 h 30 m | Show | |
Buffalo Bills. OM PLAY. Game 458. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. I think the line is a bit short here, my friends. Buffalo has taken the five in a row and nine of the last 10 in this series SU, covering the last three, and six of the last nine meetings. We all know that Tua Tagovailoa is back at the helm for the Miami Dolphins. He did spark their offense last week in a losing effort, as they put up twice their season average, scoring 27-points. But they go into Highmark Stadium to face a Buffalo Bills opponent that wants to stay above the rest of the AFC East. Buffalo is 3-0 at home this season, and are on a three-game SU/ATS hot streak. I just don't see the Bills easing back here against a Division opponent they truly dislike. Take Buffalo. Thank you. |
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11-03-24 | Commanders -4 v. Giants | 27-22 | Win | 100 | 26 h 22 m | Show | |
Washington Commanders. NFC EAST GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 467. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Very quietly, the Washington Commanders are only one of three teams in the NFC that have claimed six-victories already. They are sitting atop the competitive, NFC East, at 6-2, with the Philadelphia Eagles over their shoulder, at 5-2. They can get another big Division victory here, and put some more distance between themselves and the rest of the NFC East. You may not realize this, but they are also money to anyone that bets them, as they are just a half-point away from covering seven straight games (6-0-1 ATS run). They took a September 15 meeting at home against the New York Giants, 21-18. But so much has changed since then, for the better. The Commanders are absolutely crushing opponents. Speaking of which, the Giants are winless at home at 0-4 SU, failing to cover yet when playing host as well as they are 0-3-1 ATS. I just don't see New York and their 31st ranked scoring offense (14.6 points per game) keeping pace at all on the scoreboard with the third-ranked scoring "O" of Washington, which is averaging over 29.5-points per game. Oh, by the way, they rarely turn the ball over, something the Giants offense does quite a bit (10 turnovers). This game gets ugly. Take the Commanders. Thank you. |
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11-02-24 | Indiana -7.5 v. Michigan State | Top | 47-10 | Win | 100 | 40 h 43 m | Show |
Indiana. Game 349. 12:30 pm pst/3:30 pm est. Indiana has something to prove in this matchup. The Hoosiers are 8-0, are only one of two teams in the nation that haven't trailed in any game, and are ranked only 13th in the polls. The Hoosiers have the Wolverines up next at home before a showdown on the road at the Buckeyes. They must win big here and next week before the November 23 meeting with Ohio State. They've covered three of the last five meetings in this series, which does include all three matchups at Michigan State. No matter which quarterback is under center here, their offense has proven that they can move the chains, and score points on just about any opponent. Believe it or not, this team is averaging over 46.5 points per game, equally strong on the ground as they are in the air. Furthermore, they've only turned the ball over six times, while their defense, which is seventh in the nation, allowing just 14.1 points per game, has snagged nine takeaways. Michigan State, usually falls flat following a meeting with Michigan. The team has dropped four of their last five, straight up, only accounting for 21.0 points per game, while committing 16 turnovers. Yes, their defense is pretty good, but have allowed six of their last seven opponents to put up a minimum of 20-points. The Hoosiers must keep their foot on the gas. Take Indiana. Thank you. |
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11-02-24 | Oregon -14.5 v. Michigan | Top | 38-17 | Win | 100 | 40 h 36 m | Show |
Oregon. Game 383. 12:30 pm pst/3:30 pm est. For Saturday, I'm looking at a high-profile game, between the No. 1 ranked Oregon Ducks and the Michigan Wolverines. Just like me folks, I'm going to’ keep this breakdown very short, and extremely sweet (lol). Yes, my friends, currently the line here is a little bit better than two touchdowns. But the top-ranked, Ducks need to keep their foot on the gas. As you know, they're undefeated at 8-0, and sports fans, they need to stay that way. Moreover, even though the Wolverines aren't what they were, they are still the defending National Champions, and this contest will be on national TV. Obviously, style points count these days. And with their remaining outings against the Terrapins, Badgers, and Huskies, I don’t see them falling short in a look-ahead, let-down situation. Behind Oregon are seven other undefeated squads, all ranked in the top-25. It is the 3rd ranked Penn State Nittany Lions that could certainly jump up in the polls with a victory over the Ohio State Buckeyes Saturday morning, further motivating the Ducks. I don't see Oregon easing up at all here. Please remember, Michigan was the team to beat for so long, and this would be big, big, win for the Oregon. Throw into the mix, with a huge performance here, quarterback, Dillon Gabriel could certainly up his stock in the Heisman voting. The Ducks will make a statement against the Wolverines, and let the rest of the top-10 know, they are the team to beat. Lay the wood with Oregon and take your bookmakers money…QUACK QUACK. Thank you. |
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11-02-24 | Vanderbilt +7.5 v. Auburn | 17-7 | Win | 100 | 37 h 1 m | Show | |
Vanderbilt. Game 331. 9:45 am pst/12:45 pm est. Vanderbilt has been money to sportsbettors, covering six of eight outings this season, and seven of their last nine overall contests. The Commodores come off their first loss since the end of September, a 27-24 defeat at home at the hands the Longhorns in which they were a 17-point underdog. When asked to step up in class, this team has done well. They not only kept it close with Texas, but covered against Kentucky, Alabama, and Missouri. By the way they took down the Wildcats and Crimson Tide. Let's not forget they opened their regular season with seven-point win at home as a two-touchdown underdog against Virginia Tech. Meanwhile, Auburn just got their first victory in a than a month and a half following a four-game straight up losing streak. Granted, hey were playing some solid opposition. But this team is struggling. By the way, one more victory and Vandy is Bowl-eligible. This is way too many points, folks. Take the 'dog. Thank you. |
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11-01-24 | Georgia State v. Connecticut -8 | 27-34 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 20 m | Show | |
UConn. Game 316. 4:00 pm pst/7:00 PM est. This is a great spot for Connecticut to exact a little revenge from last season’s, 35-14 loss on the road at Georgia State in which they were just a 2.5-point underdog. The Huskies are 5-1 straight up at home, and won four of their last five overall outings straight up, and have covered seven of their last 10. Meanwhile, the Panthers have dropped four in a row straight up, only covering one of those games, and are winless on the road this season, at 0-3. By the way, this is the third consecutive game in which they are on the road. I just don't see them keeping pace, especially with a defense that is getting burned for over 30.7 points per game. Take Connecticut. Thank you. |
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10-31-24 | Texans +2 v. Jets | Top | 13-21 | Loss | -108 | 57 h 50 m | Show |
Texans. Game 311. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. The oddsmakers are looking to trap you here. But my friends, we are not going to fall for it. Just because the Texans are a little banged up, they are daring you to play the Jets. Well, New York is a two-point favorite as of posting this game, and are riding a five-game losing streak, both SU/ATS. As a matter fact, they haven't covered a game as a favorite since September 19. Meanwhile, Houston has won six of their eight outings this season, and have covered their last two games played as a visitor. They are also 3-1 ATS their last four overall outings. Looking at this matchup, it is expected that CJ Stroud will have a tough time against the second-ranked passing attack of New York. However, they do have a stronger rushing attack, much stronger. They average over 118.9 yards per game on the ground, as opposed to the paltry, 86.1 yards per game rushing the Jets account for. They will control the clock, and move the chains on the ground to keep the New York defense honest, allowing them to open up their passing game. Please understand, New York cannot score. They are averaging just 18.8 points per game, and have turned the ball over nine times. Now through this point in the season, many offenses have turned the ball over. But the Jets defense has accounted for just two takeaways. Compare that to the Texans stop-unit, which have snagged eight turnovers already. The difference in this game is evident. Take Houston. Thank you. |
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10-29-24 | UL-Lafayette +4 v. Texas State | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
Ragin' Cajuns. Game 305 5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST. Sports fans, these two teams are very evenly matched. But the Ragin' Cajun's enter this matchup with momentum as they have won four in a row straight up, and have dominated this rivalry, winning the last 10 matchups SU, covering nine of those 10 meetings. They have also found a way to win on the road, as they are a perfect, 4-0 straight up as a visitor this season. Going back to last season, they have covered four of their last five on the road. I just think the team is favored here. Take ULL. Thank you. |
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10-27-24 | Bears v. Commanders +3 | Top | 15-18 | Win | 100 | 71 h 33 m | Show |
Washington Commanders. Game 276. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. My Sunday play is a very interesting one because I feel it is a mistake made by the oddsmakers. Let's talk about the matchup between the Bears and Commanders. Yes, both teams are surprising everyone this season. Washington which is 5-2, which does include a perfect 3-0 straight up and against the spread record at home. is perched atop the competitive, NFC East. NO SMALL FEAT, my friends. Chicago, believe it or not, at 4-2 is in last place in the NFC North. They do own one of the top defenses in football, and are riding a three-game straight up and against the spread hot streak. But let's not get all crazy folks, those three victories were against the Rams, Panthers, and Jaguars, which are a combined 5-15 this season. The line is off here because there's a big question mark on Commanders quarterback, Jayden Daniels. As of Thursday morning, odds are against the standout quarterback to see any action this week. Whether he is or isn't under center on Sunday, only affects the line, and nothing else. His backup, Marcus Mariota… although going up against Carolina last week in Daniels’ absence, looked great, passing for 205 yards, two touchdowns, zero interceptions, and adding another 34 yards on the ground. He is a seasoned quarterback and fits in quite nicely with this offense, and will be a handful if he does play this week. By the way, the Bears are winless on the road this season, at 0-2. And while their own rookie quarterback, Caleb Williams has a lot of people in Chicago excited, he also makes a lot of mistakes. And the way the Commanders defense has been playing, I think he's in real trouble this weekend. The wrong team is favored here. Take the Commanders. Thank you. |
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10-27-24 | Packers -3.5 v. Jaguars | Top | 30-27 | Loss | -120 | 50 h 31 m | Show |
Green Bay Packers. Game 267. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Green Bay enters this week’s matchup with Jacksonville, one of the hottest teams in the NFC, winning three in a row, and sitting in second place, tied with Minnesota in the NFC North, at an overall 5-2. With the Vikings loss on Thursday night, the Packers have an opportunity to slip into sole possession of second place in the very competitive Division. I feel the Jaguars are in a huge letdown situation here, following their win at home last week against the lowly, Patriots. This is a team that is just 3-7 overall their last 10 outings straight up, and have only covered four of their last 10 outings. They are being outscored by 7.0-points per game this season. While their offense has decent numbers, they have still committed seven turnovers. Meanwhile, their defense is absolutely horrible, ranking 30th in the League, yielding over 27.7-points per game, ranking 31st against the pass, and have only snagged one takeaway. I feel the top-10 passing unit, led by Jordan Love, will absolutely shred the Jaguars secondary here. No matter how you cut it, the Green Bay offense ranks in the top-10 is just about every single category. This does not bode well for Jacksonville. The Packers have the Lions on deck, and I do not see them in a look ahead spot. They must fine-tune their team here so they are ready to take on their rival next week. Take Green Bay. Thank you. |
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10-26-24 | Kansas v. Kansas State -9.5 | 27-29 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 18 m | Show | |
Kansas State. Game 182. 5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST. I love rivalry games guys. On Saturday, we will see the ninth most played rivalry in college football, going back to 1902, as Kansas and Kansas State square off for the 122nd time. These two teams have very different outlooks right now. The Jayhawks are 1-3 in Conference play, enroute to an overall, 2-5 record, while the Wildcats are tied in the Big 12 with the Red Raiders, Bearcats, and Buffaloes, all at 3-1, and all sitting in second place behind the Cougars and Cyclones, which are both at 4-0. This is a big game for Kansas State, as they can get another big Conference win, especially against the team they truly hate. To say they've had their way in this series, would be an understatement. Just going back the last 10 years, they have taken 10 consecutive matchups with Kansas, covering the spread in six of those meetings. To be quite honest, in the five most recent meetings, only one would be less than the pointspread this week as they have won those by 28, 31, 25, 20, and last year, by just four-points. It is because they only won by a slim margin a season ago that I feel they're going to come back here and really stomp their most-hated rival. I don't see them taking their foot off the gas or be in “look ahead” mode because on deck, they have Houston, Arizona State, and Cincinnati, before a matchup on the road at Iowa State to finish the regular season. Kansas, which does own a solid ground attack, has to lineup against the nation’s fifth-ranked run defense. The Kansas State defense has been solid, yielding just 20.6-points per game. I just don't see their opponent keeping pace on the scoreboard here. At home against their loyal fans, I see Kansas State running the score up for sure. Take the Wildcats to maul here. Thank you. |
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10-26-24 | LSU +1 v. Texas A&M | Top | 23-38 | Loss | -109 | 32 h 25 m | Show |
LSU. Game 165. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. The only two undefeated SEC teams square off here, with serious implications down the road. Both Texas A&M and LSU are 6-1 overall, with the Aggies 4-0 in Conference play, and the Tigers 3-0 in SEC action this season. Both teams started the season off with a loss, as both have since run the gauntlet, winning six consecutive outings. LSU has certainly had their way with Texas A&M, taking seven of the last 10 meetings straight up, and nine of the last 10 against the spread. There was a time when the Tigers were a little shaky when they travel. But this season, they are 2-0 as a visitor. Granted, Texas A&M has played a very good football. But I believe they're a bit overvalued coming into this matchup, dropping eight of their last 10 outings against the spread, going back to last November. Meanwhile, LSU enters this matchup covering three straight, and matches up well here. They own the eighth-ranked passing attack in the nation, which will exploit the lax, Texas A&M pass defense. On the flipside, the Aggies are extremely successful on the ground offensively. But they must line up against the stout, 33rd ranked run defense in this matchup. I believe the wrong team is favored here folks. Normally, I would step away from the Tigers when they have the Crimson Tide on deck. But they have an off week next week, and let's face it, ‘Bama isn't a team they once were. Take LSU. Thank you. |
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10-26-24 | Michigan State +5 v. Michigan | 17-24 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 24 m | Show | |
MSU. Game 155. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. Wow, has Michigan football taken a significant step down in class or what? Winning the National Title a season ago, then losing their head coach, starting quarterback, and starting running back, definitely hurt the Wolverines. However, there is so much more missing from this year’s squad. This is a team that is 4-3 straight up, and that failed to cover six of seven games this season. They rank 112th in scoring, averaging just 21.1 points per game, and have coughed up the ball 15 times on offense, with a passing unit ranking 130th. Last season’s feared defense, is no more. They are an absolute doormat against the pass, and are allowing over 22.1 points per game. While Michigan State can throw the ball, their defense has really stepped up this season. Believe it or not, statistically their stop-unit ranks better than their rivals here, as they allow just 20.9 points per game, and have snagged eight turnovers already. Michigan has games with Oregon at home and then Indiana on the road up next. This is an ideal spot for the Spartans to a little revenge and catch their heated and hated rival at the right time. Take MSU. Thank you. |
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10-26-24 | Florida State v. Miami-FL -21 | 14-36 | Win | 100 | 32 h 48 m | Show | |
Miami Fl. Game 122. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. With five games remaining in the regular season, Miami Florida has a real chance to play in the ACC Title game. For starters, their quarterback, Cam Ward right now seems to be the favorite to take the Heisman Trophy. This is a team that has run the gauntlet, winning all seven of their outings already this season, and despite laying some big numbers, is still 4-3 against the spread. They face a Florida State opponent that has taken the last three meetings in this series. However, the Seminoles this season, are a much different team than we have seen in recent seasons. They are just 1-6 straight up, and have only covered two games since the beginning of last December. Each week seems to be getting worse and worse for FSU. They rank 132nd in scoring, averaging just 15.0 points per game, and have turned the ball over 13 times. That would be bad enough, but their defense has been getting plowed on the ground and has only snagged two takeaways this season. There is no way they can compete with the number two scoring offense in the nation. Miami. Thank you. |
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10-26-24 | Oregon State +11 v. California | 7-44 | Loss | -109 | 29 h 37 m | Show | |
Oregon State. Game 197. 1:00 PM PST/4:00 PM EST. Cal began the season off 3-0, which did include a high-profile road victory over Auburn. However, they now sit at 3-4 straight up, and are losing games that they really should not. Granted, Oregon State has dropped their last two straight up, and their last three ATS. But I just don't see the Golden Bears laying double-digits against a game, Beavers opponent that has won covered the last two meetings in this rivalry. Offensively, Cal is one-dimensional, with a decent passing game. But OSU ranks 20th defensively against the pass. The Beavers also have an amazing rushing attack that will control the clock and keep their opponents defense on the field. This is way too many points to give OSU. Take Oregon State. Thank you. |
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10-20-24 | Jets v. Steelers +1.5 | 15-37 | Win | 100 | 44 h 34 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh Steelers. Game 474. 5:20 PM PST/8:20 PM EST. Has the tarnish worn off this Aaron Rodgers situation yet? My friends, we've been hearing about Aaron Rodgers since he signed with the Jets. Then after the injury on the season-opener a year ago, what we've been hearing is wait until Rodgers returns. Well, the 40-year-old quarterback is back, and has his team just 2-4 overall. Their offense is actually deplorable, ranking 24th in the NFL in scoring, posting a measly, 18.8-points per game. On top of that, they can't get in sync, as they've committed seven turnovers already. They have to take it on the road to face Mike Tomlin, who is never happy about being an underdog, especially at home, and a Steelers opponent which got back on track last week on the road, routing the Raiders, 32-13. The Pittsburgh offense matches up well here, and will move the change with ease. But it will be their defense that will shine completely, shutting down the nonexistent offense of New York. I mean they're allowing just 14.3 points per game. Take the Steelers. Thank you. |
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10-20-24 | Chiefs +2 v. 49ers | 28-18 | Win | 100 | 40 h 43 m | Show | |
Kansas City Chiefs. Game 471. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. Guys let me make a preemptive strike here and tell you that I feel the San Francisco 49ers are a very good football team. But, like several other preseason favorites, they just aren't hitting their stride just yet. Yes, there's an argument that they've been hit with the injury bug. This is a team sitting at 3-3, both straight up and against the spread this season. Which makes me question why the oddsmakers have made them a small favorite at Levi’s Stadium this Sunday. I think the wrong team is favored here, folks. You can say what you want about the Kansas City Chiefs. But this is a team that finds new and improved ways to win week after week. They are on an 11-game straight up win streak, going 10-1 against the number, folks. They are money no matter what role the oddsmakers put them in. They find ways to win, and they find ways to cover, too. They did have a few extra days to rest, heal, and prepare for this contest. We all know how great Patrick Mahomes and the offense is. But give some credit to this Kansas City defense, which is holding opponents to 17.0-points per game. They have been monsters at stopping the rush, and also pretty darn good against the pass. But it will be that run defense that I think will shine here. This is a stop unit that has contained Alvin Kamara, Derrick Henry, Zack Moss, Bijan Robinson, and JK Dobbins to 26, 46, 34, 31, and 32 yards rushing in consecutive weeks. By the way, let's not forget Kansas City has covered seven straight in the underdog role. Giving them points is a mistake. I like them outright. But I'll take the 1.5-points here. And I will take it to the bank. Take the Chiefs. Thank you. |
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10-19-24 | Georgia v. Texas -4.5 | 30-15 | Loss | -109 | 19 h 3 m | Show | |
Texas. Game 402. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. With all respect to the Bulldogs, they just don't look like the team many thought they would be at this point. Following their first loss of the season on the road at Alabama at the end of September, they couldn't blow up or even pull away from either Auburn or Mississippi State in their last two outings. They are now riding an 0-5 ATS cold streak. That tells us, they are being severely overvalued by the oddsmakers, my friends. This is by far, in my opinion the toughest team they've had to face yet this season. The Longhorns are deserving of their No. 1 ranking. They aren't just a perfect, 6-0 straight up, they also covered five of their six contests this season. And let's face it, they’ve faced some solid opposition. If the Longhorns want to remain the Nation’s No. 1 team, they must win with authority here this week. And I believe they can. A healthy, Quinn Ewers is back at the helm, to go along with that very solid ground game. I believe it will be that ground game that will control the tempo and the clock in this matchup against the very overrated Bulldogs defense. I mean Georgia allowed Alabama to put up 41 and Mississippi State to put up 31 on them, extending their no cover slide to five straight games. And let's face it, on the offensive side of the ball, the Bulldogs just don't have that same rushing attack to keep defenses honest. I don't see them keeping pace on either side of the field in this match up. Lay the points with the Longhorns. Thank you. |
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10-19-24 | Iowa -6 v. Michigan State | 20-32 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 59 m | Show | |
Iowa. Game 415. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. Iowa, which is 4-2 overall on the campaign, has a real opportunity to finish the season running the gauntlet, and winning out. Yes, they lost Iowa State by one-point and got a beatdown on the road at the hands of Ohio State, but the Hawkeyes can finish out their regular season not losing another game. They must first get past their hated-rival, the Spartans. On both sides of the ball, Michigan State is outclassed. They are averaging just 19.8 points per game, and have committed 14 turnovers on offense already. Meanwhile, while their numbers aren't the worst on defense, they are still yielding over 21.0 points per game. I just don't see this defense slowing down the explosive rushing attack of Iowa. On the opposite side of the line of scrimmage, the Hawkeyes possess one of the stingiest, one of the nastiest, one of the most ferocious defenses in college football. They will completely shut down the lackluster “O” of MSU. Take Iowa. Thank you. |
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10-19-24 | Baylor v. Texas Tech -5.5 | 59-35 | Loss | -109 | 16 h 41 m | Show | |
Texas Tech. Game 362. 1:00 PM PST/4:00 PM EST.
In what just might be the biggest mismatch on the board this Saturday in college football as Texas Tech, which is 3-0 in Conference play, hosts Baylor, which is 0-3 in the Big 12 this season. The Bears are on a three-game straight up and against the spread slide, while the Red Raiders are red-hot, winning and covering their last four outings. They come here with confidence knowing they took down Baylor a season ago, 39-14 on the road. This game gets even uglier. Take Texas Tech. Thank you. |
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10-18-24 | Oklahoma State v. BYU -9 | 35-38 | Loss | -111 | 34 h 15 m | Show | |
BYU. Late Bailout. Game 322. The Big 12 is a very competitive conference, and right now, the BYU Cougars are sitting atop the Conference, tied with the Iowa State Cyclones and the Texas Tech Red Raiders at 3-0 in conference play. However, only Iowa State joins them and being undefeated overall, at 6-0. After starting the season 3-0, the Oklahoma State Cowboys are now sitting at 3-3, also failing to cover their last three contests. Can you say revenge? The Cowboys took down the Cougars in overtime last November in the Big 12 Championship. Oh, how the mighty have fallen. Oklahoma State cannot run the ball, turning the ball over on offense every game, and possess a defense that is absolutely getting steamrolled for over 27.2-points per game. They must face, a well-balanced offense here, and also must line up against one of the stingiest defenses in the nation. I see BYU keeping their foot on the gas. Take the Cougars. Thank you. |
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10-18-24 | Oregon -28 v. Purdue | 35-0 | Win | 100 | 32 h 2 m | Show | |
Oregon. TD play. Game 319. 5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST. Normally, I would look to fade a team like Oregon coming off a big victory over Ohio State last week. However, the second-ranked Ducks are sitting behind the nation’s top-ranked, Longhorns. Now this game between Oregon and Purdue is being played on Friday night. Late Saturday afternoon, Texas hosts Georgia. If they happen to go down, Oregon would be in an ideal spot to leapfrog them in the polls with a solid showing here. The Ducks don't have anybody solid coming up for a few weeks. So, they have to keep their foot on the gas here because style points count. Purdue has been outscored by an average of 15.3 points per game this season. And they have not had to face a team as complete as they're facing here this week. This game gets ugly. Take Oregon. Thank you. |
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10-13-24 | Texans -6.5 v. Patriots | 41-21 | Win | 100 | 18 h 17 m | Show | |
Houston Texans. Game 269. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Houston and New England are certainly two teams heading in opposite directions. The Texans are 4-1 and have taken down some solid opposition. Meanwhile, the 1-4 Patriots are really sliding. They came out of the gate to win their season-opener. But have dropped four consecutive games, both straight up and against the spread. Their offense is accounting for a mere 12.4 points per game. Now reports are they handing the reigns over to Drake Maye. Even if the rookie quarterback lights a bit of a spark, he is still going up against the NFL's third-ranked pass defense. To make matters worse, he will be without the team’s best running back, in Rhamondre Stevenson. On the flipside, I just don't see the 25th ranked Patriots pass defense slowing down the juggernaut which is CJ Stroud and the second-ranked passing attack in the NFL. On a sidenote, Houston has covered the last three meetings in this series going back to 2019. Take the Texans. Thank you. |
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10-12-24 | North Texas -5 v. Florida Atlantic | 41-37 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 56 m | Show | |
UNT. Game 157. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Chandler Morris has been outstanding. The quarterback leads the fourth-ranked passing attack in college football, averaging over 348.6 yards per game in the air. Granted, the FAU pass defense is tough. But they have problems when facing two-dimensional offenses. The fact the Mean Green can run the ball with efficiency will keep their opponents defense honest, and allow them to open up and have success with the passing game here. I just don't see the Owls keeping pace on the scoreboard with an offense that averages just 22.0 points per game. This game will get out of hand. Take North Texas. Thank you. |
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10-12-24 | Northern Illinois +3 v. Bowling Green | 17-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
NIU. Game 135. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. I feel the wrong team is favored here. I see the visitor here being favored by at least one or two-points. Having said that, Northern Illinois should have no problem moving the chains on the ground with the nation’s, 10th ranked rushing attack against 114th ranked rush defense. This will also allow them to control the clock and the tempo. On the defensive side of the ball, they allow just 19.2 points per game. As I mentioned earlier, the wrong team is favored. Take the Huskies. Thank you. |
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10-06-24 | Packers -3 v. Rams | 24-19 | Win | 100 | 40 h 25 m | Show | |
Packers. Crusher. Game 469. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. Jordan Love will shake the injury rust off here against a Rams defense ranking 31st, getting shredded for 28.8-points per game. They're horrible against the pass. But rank 32nd in the NFL against the rush. That does not bode well, lining up against the league’s explosive, 2nd ranked rushing attack. To throw gas on the fire, Green Bay is also 10-0 against the spread, the last 10 meetings with Los Angeles. Take the Packers. Thank you. |
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10-06-24 | Raiders +3 v. Broncos | 18-34 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 9 m | Show | |
Raiders. AFC WEST GOM. Game 465. 1:05 PM PST/4:05 PM EST. Off the field headlines surrounding head coach, Antonio Pierce, and wide receiver, Davante Adams would normally be a distraction for any team in the NFL. But our Las Vegas Raiders are no strangers to distractions. Plus, they enter this matchup knowing they have dominated the Denver Broncos, taking nine of the last 10 meetings, both straight up and against the spread. Gone are the days Denver is money in Mile High, covering just six of their last 17 at home. Maxx Crosby is expected to return here (check status), and will make his presence known, wreaking havoc on the young, Bo Nix. Take the Raiders. Thank you. |
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10-06-24 | Browns v. Commanders -3 | 13-34 | Win | 100 | 37 h 9 m | Show | |
Commanders. LIM. Game 464. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Cleveland is supposed to be getting some pieces back in their puzzle this week. But is that enough to take them on the road against a Washington team riding a three-game straight up and against the spread hot streak? While the Browns defense hasn't been that bad. They still rank dead-last in the NFL with zero takeaways, and must face the third-ranked rushing attack in football. On the flipside, Deshaun Watson and the Browns “O” can't do anything right, turning the ball over five times, resulting in a mere, 16.5-points per game. This is one area the Commanders rank 1st in the NFL, turning the ball over only once. Not crazy about laying a field goal with the Commanders. But it's better than the alternative. Take Washington. Thank you. |
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10-05-24 | Duke +9.5 v. Georgia Tech | 14-24 | Loss | -105 | 31 h 43 m | Show | |
Duke Blue Devils. OM Play. Game 339. 5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST. The oddsmakers have this game all wrong, my friends. No way should Georgia Tech be any more than a five or six-point favorite here at home. Duke is playing some good football. They are riding a seven-game straight up win streak, going back to last November. Granted, the Yellow Jackets put up more points. But their passing game is going to run into some problems here against the 19th ranked pass defense. As a matter of fact, overall, the Blue Devils stop-unit hasn’t allowed a single opponent to score more than 21 points this season. Way too many points to give a team with a solid defense, looking for a little vengeance from dropping the last three meetings in this rivalry. Take Duke. Thank you. |
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10-05-24 | Clemson -14.5 v. Florida State | 29-13 | Win | 100 | 30 h 46 m | Show | |
Clemson Tigers. ACC GAME OF THE WEEK. Game 325. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Clemson is rolling, winning and covering three in a row, and get a chance to avenge last season’s, 31-24 overtime loss at home at the hands of Florida State. Speaking of the Seminoles, things couldn't get much worse for this team, which is on a 1-5 SU/ATS run. The ACC’s top team can further solidify their top spot in the Conference with another big win here, and move up to poles from their current 15th ranking. Take the Tigers. Thank you. |
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10-05-24 | Indiana -13.5 v. Northwestern | 41-24 | Win | 100 | 44 h 18 m | Show | |
Indiana Hoosiers. EIM. Game 353. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. Let’s talk about the Indiana Hoosiers. They are currently 5-0 straight up, and have covered four of their five contests this season. In all sincerity, with teams like Nebraska, Washington, Michigan State, and Michigan all up next in consecutive games, this team could very possibly be undefeated at 10-0 when they go in to play Ohio State on the road in the third week of November. I don't see them looking ahead here either, folks, and that's for one main reason… although they took last year's meeting in this match up with the Northwestern Wildcats, 34-3. That game was at home. They haven't won on the road at Northwestern since like 1993. Remember this team took to the road about three weeks ago and thrashed UCLA, 42-13. Going back to their being money to us bettors, they could very well be 5-0 against the spread as well, as they eased off the gas in their season opener against FIU, wining 31-7 as a 26-point fav. I'm hearing the Wildcats defense is pretty darn good. But they stepped up twice, and got slashed twice, allowing the Blue Devils to score 26, and the Huskies to put up 24 points. They failed to cover their last three, and I just don't see this team, which by the way is averaging a paltry, 17.3 points per game, trading blows with the explosive, Hoosier’s offense, which is averaging over 48.0 points per game, and are equally strong on the ground as they are in the air. There's no way the Hoosiers don't exact some revenge and finally get a big win in Evanston. Take Indiana. Thank you. |
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10-05-24 | Navy -9.5 v. Air Force | 34-7 | Win | 100 | 23 h 38 m | Show | |
Navy Midshipmen. Game 347. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. Air Force has had their way in this series, taking four in a row, and seven of the last 10 meetings over Navy. However, this season, these are two very different teams from past seasons. The Midshipmen are 4-0 straight up, and less than a field goal away from going 4-0 against the spread. On the other hand, the Falcons are just 1-3 straight up, and have failed to cover all four games this season. Navy can now pass the ball to go along with the nation’s fifth-ranked rushing offense. This is a unit that's averaging over 46.0-points per game, while Air Force can't score at all, averaging just 12.5-points per game. They've also turned the ball over five times. This game gets out of hand. Lay the wood. Take the Midshipmen. Thank you. |
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10-05-24 | Missouri +2.5 v. Texas A&M | 10-41 | Loss | -109 | 23 h 33 m | Show | |
Missouri Tigers. TD play. Game 379. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. Missouri comes in here taking it on the road for the first time this season. They also come here well-rested, having had not taking the field since September 21. They are also 6-0 ATS their last six games played away from home (road/neutral). They also don't have anybody solid up next as they travel to the east coast to take on UMass next week. So, I doubt you'll see them in a look ahead situation. Meanwhile, Texas A&M is once again being overvalued. They are just 1-4 ATS this season. Going back to last season, they have covered just one of their last eight outings. And when playing in College Station, they are severely overvalued, as they have failed to cover five straight on their home field. Let's not forget the Tigers are riding and eight-game straight up winning streak going back to last November, beating such notables as the Volunteers, Gators, Razorbacks, and Buckeyes. They've also covered four straight in an underdog role. Take Missouri. Thank you. |
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10-04-24 | Syracuse v. UNLV -6.5 | 44-41 | Loss | -109 | 26 h 49 m | Show | |
UNLV Rebels. Game 368. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. The entire college football world is waiting for a shoe to drop on the UNLV Rebels. Well, I'm here to tell you, despite playing the 3-1 Syracuse Orange, that isn't going to happen. While the Orange are a good team, and certainly a formidable foe, they are pointspread poison, failing to cover seven of their last 10 games. Not only that, but their defense has gotten shredded, allowing the Bobcats to put up 22, the Yellow Jackets to post 28, and the Cardinal to dissect them for 26 points. The Rebels defense is for real. They have yet to allow us a single opponent to post more than 20 points, and they faced some good offenses; Cougars, Jayhawks, and Bulldogs. They proved last week that they could win after their official regular season starter at quarterback made plans to leave and sat. This team is doing it with good with defense and good coaching. Two things Syracuse certainly lacks. Under a touchdown is a gift. Take UNLV. Thank you. |
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10-03-24 | Bucs +1.5 v. Falcons | 30-36 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers. NFL NO LIMIT. Game 301. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. Obviously, both Tampa Bay and Atlanta are playing on a short week. However, the Buccaneers coaching staff certainly is more experienced in this situation. The Falcons coaching staff consists of head coach, Raheem Morris, who has been around the League for a bit. But his offensive and defensive coordinators, along with his quarterback are all relatively new to this system, and playing on a short week with less time to prepare, will hurt here. I think it's a lot to ask this team to play a Division game on a short week, on national TV. Please note this team did not score an offensive touchdown in their win over the Saints last week. Not only that, but their one-point victory on the road at the Eagles a few weeks back, could've very easily been a loss. They have won two games thus far, by a combined three-points. On the other hand, Tampa Bay has won and covered three of their four outings already this season. With a victory here tonight, they could take a stronghold in the NFC South. Very quietly, Baker Mayfield has over 985 yards passing with a 70.5% completion rate, and is 8/2 TD/INT. His counterpart, Kirk Cousins is struggling. Yes, he has thrown for some yardage, and has a decent completion percentage. But he has just 4 TD’s against 4 INT’s. There is no comparison between the offenses at all. Not only that, but the Tampa Bay defense has looked considerably stronger. Take the Buccaneers. Thank you. |
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09-29-24 | Vikings +2.5 v. Packers | 31-29 | Win | 100 | 50 h 11 m | Show | |
Minnesota Vikings. NFC NORTH GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 269. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. In what just might be one of the two most viewed NFL games this week, the other being the late-Sunday, Bills/Ravens matchup, I love the NFC North matchup between the Vikings/Packers. The big news here is the status of Jordan Love. As of just before posting this play, he is still questionable. But reports are he did take snaps this week, and is looking pretty good. I think giving the visiting, Minnesota Vikings points is a huge mistake. Many naysayers out there are waiting for a shoe to drop on Minnesota. I'm here to tell you, the team which is 3-0, both straight up and against the spread is going to continue to win this week. Whether Love plays or not, Malik Wills has won back-to-back games for Green Bay. No matter who is under center for the Packers this here, this defense will be the toughest they have faced yet. Let's face it, the Vikings stop-unit ranks second in points allowed, yielding just 10.0 points per game, second against the rush, and have already snagged five takeaways. That would be enough for me here, my friends. However, Sam Darnold leads the third highest-scoring offense in the NFL, averaging over 28.3 points per game. They are equally strong on the ground as they are in the air. Let's not forget Minny, is also seeking some vengeance from last December 31’s, 35-10 loss, while they were sliding at the end of the regular season. Green Bay, which ranks number one in football rushing the ball, will just not have the same success they have had against recent opponents here. Oh, one more item, Vikings running back, Aaron Jones gets his first crack in Lambeau, against the team he spent the first seven years of his career with. That to me is the cherry on top of the sundae. I like the Vikings out right. But I'll take the points with them here, folks. Take Minnesota. Thank you. |
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09-29-24 | Saints +3 v. Falcons | 24-26 | Win | 100 | 28 h 51 m | Show | |
New Orleans Saints. Late Week Info Move. Game 263. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. I feel the wrong team is favored here. I know New Orleans is the visitor. However, I feel they should be at least a 1.0 to 1.5-point favorite in this matchup. They have looked more consistent, their defense has played much stronger, and at key positions, they are healthier. The icing on the cake is the contrast between the Saints rushing attack and the Falcons run defense. Big mismatch. Take New Orleans. Thank you. |
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09-28-24 | Washington State +7 v. Boise State | 24-45 | Loss | -109 | 37 h 36 m | Show | |
Washington State Cougars. NO LIMIT. Game 161. 7:00 PM PST/10:00 PM EST. Both, Washington State and Boise State are playing some good, solid football right now. However, the big difference is the Broncos are being overvalued, while the Cougars are being undervalued. BSU is just 1-2 ATS this season already, while WSU is 3-1 against the number. As a matter of fact, Washington State is 5-1 ATS their last six games, going back to last season. One thing for sure, the Cougars do not want a repeat of last year’s situation, when they started the campaign going 4-0 straight up (3-1 ATS), then they collapsed. This is a big win for them if they can get it. I believe this game is going to come down to the last team to score. Obviously, their explosive passing attack is going to do some damage here against a very lax, pass defense of Boise State. One thing you must understand, Washington State is equally good on the ground as they are in the air, and that will be the difference here. Take the Cougars. Thank you. |
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09-28-24 | Ohio State -23.5 v. Michigan State | 38-7 | Win | 100 | 34 h 34 m | Show | |
Ohio State Buckeyes. OM PLAY. Game 205. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. In what is billed as their first true test of this regular season, the Ohio State Buckeyes take to the road to take on an old rival in Michigan State. The third-ranked Buckeyes have a big opportunity here with a big showing. You see, just in front of them in the national rankings is Georgia, which have a showdown with Alabama about the same time this game starts on Saturday (30 minutes earlier). OSU has an opportunity to jump into second place in the national rankings before their schedule gets a bit tougher. The fourth-ranked scoring defense in the nation, which is allowing a mere 6.7 points per game, is equally strong against the pass as they are against the rush. They also go up against an MSU offense which has turned the ball over an astounding 10 times already. When it comes to mistakes, the Spartans make a lot of them, and the Buckeyes can and certainly will capitalize. On the flipside of the ball, Ohio State has only turned the ball over once, and makes few mistakes offensively. This is a true opportunity for the Buckeyes to make a statement, earn some style points, and possibly step into a ranking of No. 2 in the nation. Take Ohio State. Thank you. |
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09-28-24 | Mississippi State v. Texas -37.5 | 13-35 | Loss | -109 | 31 h 38 m | Show | |
Texas Longhorns. TD Play. Game 170. 1:15 PM PST/4:15 PM EST. Texas owns the No. 1 ranking in the nation right now, and wants to keep it. They enter this match up here against their first ever SEC opponent as an SEC representative. They truly want to make a splash. If you’re worried about them having Oklahoma on deck, don't be because the Sooners aren't the team they were, and the Longhorns still have a bye week after this game here this week. Having said that, they possess the top-scoring defense in the nation, allowing just 5.5 points per game. Please take note, Mississippi State will be without their starting quarterback, Blake Shapen, and in his place will be true freshman, Michael Van Buren, who has just seven completions under his belt this season. This is not an offense that can rely on a running game either, to keep defenses honest. On the flipside, there is no way the Bulldogs 107th ranked scoring defense is going to slow down, let alone contain the explosive offense of the Longhorns, which are accounting for over 45.0 points per game. This matchup gets ugly. Take Texas. Thank you. |
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09-28-24 | BYU +3.5 v. Baylor | 34-28 | Win | 100 | 26 h 10 m | Show | |
BYU Cougars. Early Winner. Game 171. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. The sting of losing last week’s matchup at Colorado in overtime, fumbling in the end zone is going to linger a bit with Baylor. Not only that, but the Bears have some big games coming up against the Cyclones, Red Raiders, Cowboys, etc. Meanwhile, BYU enters this matchup a perfect 4-0, both SU and ATS. As a matter fact, going back to last season, they have covered six consecutive contests. They will see the return of their starting running back, LJ Martin, who sat out last game with an ankle issue. I look for the Cougars defense, which is allowing just 12.8 points per game, to add to their already five takeaways against the Bears offense that's turned the ball over already six times. Giving BYU points here is a mistake. Take the Cougars. Thank you. |
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09-27-24 | Virginia Tech v. Miami-FL -17.5 | 34-38 | Loss | -109 | 15 h 34 m | Show | |
Miami Hurricanes. Friday Night Lights Winner. Game 106. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. The seventh-ranked Miami Hurricanes are taking no prisoners. They are outscoring opponents by over 42.0 points per game with the second-ranked passing attack in the nation and the 32nd ranked rushing attack. Veteran quarterback, Cam Ward has emerged in Heisman talks already, throwing for over 1,439 yards passing, with 14 TD’s and two INT’s. The Hokies, which over the last few seasons are having trouble on the road, opened their campaign with a loss on the road at Vanderbilt, couldn't cover at home against Marshall, had problems on the road at Old Dominion, and just came off a loss at home against Rutgers. While they have done well against the pass, they haven't gone against a true aerial assault like they're seeing this week. To make matters worse, they cannot stop the rush at all on defense. On offense, they've already committed five turnovers. The Hurricanes, which are 4-0 straight up and 3-1 against the spread, are playing the first Conference contest. I look for them to keep their foot in the gas. Take Miami. Thank you. |
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09-26-24 | Cowboys -5.5 v. Giants | 20-15 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
Dallas Cowboys. TNW. Game 101. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. Back in August, many out there felt the Dallas Cowboys were not just a contender for their Division’s top spot, but also for the NFC Title. Nearly a month later, and they are tied with the New York Giants in the NFC East at 1-2. Not only that, but this team comes in here off of back-to-back embarrassing defeats. Their stop unit, was burned for over 72 points the last two weeks. It is no secret Cowboys owner, Jerry Jones read the team and the coaching staff the riot act following last Sunday’s, 28-25 loss at home against the Ravens. The last time the owner had to do this, they came back to go on a hot streak. By the way, this was their second home loss in as many weeks. This is a team that is not known to drop games in Arlington. In my opinion, if they don't win here with authority this week, the entire first half of their season is going to be a big disappointment. They play their rival, the New York Giants, which come off their first victory of the season, a 21-15 road win at Cleveland Browns. Let’s pump the breaks a bit here folks, and not give the Giants too much credit. The Browns are an absolute mess. Having said that, New York is averaging a mere, 15.0 points per game and has turned the ball over five times. This does not bode well facing an angry Dallas stop-unit looking for redemption. On the other side of the ball, I doubt very much the Giants lackluster defense is going to be able to slow down, let alone stop the No. 1 passing offense in the NFL. I believe Dak Prescott will have his best game to date this season, which will allow their sputtering running game, to get back on its feet so to speak, and roll here. This game will get ugly, and will be a double-digit victory for the visiting Cowboys. Lay the points with Dallas. Thank you. |
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09-26-24 | Army -12 v. Temple | 42-14 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
Army Black Knights. TD Play. Game 103. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. The Black Knights of Army are 3-0 overall, which does include a 2-0 mark in Conference play. Another victory tonight against one of the Conferences poorest teams, the Temple Owls, and they can put some real distance between themselves and the rest of the AAC. This is a team that travels well, is a perfect 3-0 against the spread this season, and possesses one of the most ferocious rushing units in the nation. They are averaging over 356.0 yards per game on the ground, over 34.3 points per game, and have only turned the ball over once. Meanwhile, their stop unit is exactly that, allowing just 9.3 points per game. Yes, maybe they haven't faced some of the toughest opposition yet, but Temple is hardly that, a tough opponent. The Owls come off their first win of the campaign, and I look for them to come back down to Earth here, and get trampled. Offensively, not only do they score just 19.8 points per game, but they've already committed 11 turnovers. And with no rushing attack whatsoever(113th), there's no way they can control the clock or the tempo in this matchup. The Black Knight’s know they are just a couple of solid victories away from perhaps cracking the Top 25. They will make a statement. Take Army. Thank you. |
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09-23-24 | Jaguars v. Bills -5 | 10-47 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
Buffalo Bills. Monday Money Maker. Game 478. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. Trevor Lawrence and the Jacksonville Jaguars are struggling. They are winless so far this season at 0-2. Going back to last season, they have now dropped seven of their last eight straight up, failing to cover six of those eight. On the other hand, the Buffalo Bills are perfect thus far, going 2-0 SU, and can really take a stronghold with the top spot in the competitive, AFC East with a big victory here tonight. The Bills will be in front of their faithful fans looking to exact a little revenge from last October’s surprising, 25-20 upset at the hands of the Jaguars as a 5.5-point favorite. Buffalo wants this game, Buffalo needs this game, Buffalo wild get this game. Lay the points with the home team here. Take the Bills. Thank you. |
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09-22-24 | Texans v. Vikings +2 | 7-34 | Win | 100 | 25 h 58 m | Show | |
Minnesota Vikings No Limit. Game 456. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. I just want everybody to know it's not that I'm gonna’ twist my ankle jumping on the Vikings band wagon ha ha ha. But on both sides of ball, this team has looked extremely good this season thus far, winning and covering both of their games. I'm not looking to take anything away from the Texans, which have won both of their games. But have been overvalued in each, as they have failed to cover both. Running back Joe Mixon has allowed CJ Stroud to open up the passing game. The one-two punch has looked solid. And let's face it, they haven't turned the ball over but one time. But this offense is going up against a very stout run defense. I'm not saying Minnesota is going to completely shut down the rushing game of Houston. But I do feel Minnesota's stop unit will slow it down significantly, and force Stroud to finally make some mistakes. On the other side of the ball, Sam Darnold has performed extremely well, and having Aaron Jones in the backfield isn't gonna’ hurt. Granted, he hasn't broken out yet. I do think this is the game that he really does get significant yards, moves the chains, and allows his offense to make it in the end zone. I'll take the points with the home ‘dog here. Take the Vikings. Thank you. |
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09-21-24 | Kansas State -6.5 v. BYU | 9-38 | Loss | -109 | 37 h 47 m | Show | |
Kansas State Wildcats. Crusher. Game 353. 7:30 PM PST/10:30 PM EST. At 3-0, Kansas State enters this matchup ranked 13th in the nation, and faces a BYU opponent to open up their Big 12 schedule. The oddsmakers are giving the Wildcats a lot of respect here, making them a touchdown favorite in Provo. But for good reason. K State is a very good team. They've already taken down a few solid opponents in Tulane and Arizona. While, the Cougars looked good against SMU, I think we can agree, the Mustangs aren’t the team they once were. I believe, despite covering five straight games, BYU is overvalued here. This line should be a little bit higher. In my opinion, it should be double-digits. The Cougars had a lot of problems facing Conference opponents a season ago. And I believe this season, things will go from bad to worse for them in Big 12 play. Without a solid ground attack to keep the Wildcats defense honest, I don't see their offense moving to chains too well. Especially because through three games, they've already committed four turnovers. On the flipside, I see Kansas State running amok with a solid ground attack, that will open up their passing game. This game gets ugly. Take the Wildcats. Thank you. |
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09-21-24 | Fresno State -12.5 v. New Mexico | 38-21 | Win | 100 | 35 h 36 m | Show | |
Fresno State Bulldogs. Late Info Move Game 351. 5:30 PM PST/8:30 PM EST. They say revenge is a dish best served cold. When Fresno State comes to Albuquerque, trust me, they will exact some revenge from last November’s 25-17 loss as a 23.0-point favorite. Very quietly, the Bulldogs are just one of three Mountain West teams currently with winning records. Just in front of them is San Jose State, which I think we can all agree is beatable, and UNLV, which hasn't surprised us here in Southern Nevada. But it's surprising many out there. The Bulldogs have an opportunity to go 3-1 and also win their Conference opener. This team kept the game a lot closer than the 30-10 loss on the road at Michigan to open up the regular season. Trust me when I tell you that game was a lot closer than the score. They did cover the pointspread though, folks. Then they came back and shut down Sac State, and absolutely shredded New Mexico State last week. Meanwhile New Mexico, despite covering two of their three outings, has a defense that absolutely looks to be the doormat of the Conference. They allowed Middle Tennessee State to put up 35 points, Arizona to post 61, and Auburn to slash them for 45. Granted, they were a big underdog in all three of those contests. But this team is absolutely horrible on the defensive side of the ball. To be honest, they rank 131st in points allowed. While we're on the subject, they rank dead last in college football against the rush, and 123rd against the pass. This does not bode well as they are facing a very dangerous, FSU offense, behind the arm of quarterback, Keene, and the legs of running back, Sherrod. They are very well-balanced. Normally, I would look to fade a team like this in this situation because they are taking it to the road their next game to play the undefeated, UNLV Rebels. But I think this is a game that they seriously want because they lost last year in an embarrassing fashion. Lay the points with the Bulldogs to take a bite out of the Lobos, and get their revenge. Take Fresno State. Thank you. |
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09-21-24 | Baylor +2.5 v. Colorado | 31-38 | Loss | -109 | 34 h 14 m | Show | |
Baylor Bears. Consensus. Game 357. 5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST. After a hot start at the beginning of the 2023/2024 season, in which Colorado won their first three outings, they finished the regular season dropping eight of their final nine games. They opened up this campaign with a lackluster five-point victory over North Dakota State, then got crushed on the road at Nebraska. Last week they came back to beat a very mediocre, Colorado State opponent also on the road. They return home here still getting headlines. Maybe it's because of their famous, head coach or because his son is the quarterback. Speaking of which, with all respect to Shedur Sanders, who many feel is already distracted, looking forward to the NFL next season, he has to line up against a Baylor pass defense that ranks number one in the nation, allowing just 75.7 yards per game in the air. If you're looking for money, look no further than the Bears, which have covered four straight games going back to last season. This is a matchup you will see the Buffaloes weaknesses exploited. This team is not only poor against the pass, they are extremely poor against the run as well. And that will be the difference. The fact the Bears can run the ball with success, control the clock, and the tempo of the game is going to be a big benefit for the team. Colorado does not have a rushing attack. Therefore, it makes them one-dimensional, offensively, allowing the Baylor defense to attack the young quarterback and force turnovers. The wrong team is favored here. But I'll take the points with the Bears. Take Baylor. Thank you. |
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09-21-24 | California +2.5 v. Florida State | 9-14 | Loss | -105 | 33 h 25 m | Show | |
Cal Golden Bears. TOP PLAY BEST BET. Game 339. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. For starters, I feel the line is off here. The game should be a pick 'em. Having said that, Florida State, held a preseason ranking of number 10 in the country. Wow, was that an incorrect ranking or what? OK, they got stunned in their first outing this season on the road at Georgia Tech. But if they were any good, they would've come back, I should say bounced back and put a whooping on Boston College at home, which they did not. They lost out right as a double-digit favorite. To go one further, if they had any grit whatsoever, they would have avenged that loss the following week at home against Memphis. This is an offense that has accounted for only 46 points through three games against some less than stellar defenses. On the other hand, Cal has won all three of their outings covering two of the three, and to be honest, they could've covered their first outing at home against UC Davis. But this is a team that took to the road already all the way to the East Coast to beat Auburn as a double-digit underdog on Auburn's home field, 21-14, then they absolutely manhandled San Diego State last week. They don't do it pretty. But the Golden Bears are winning games with a well-balanced offense, and really don't turn the ball over. On the flipside, the defense very quietly leads the nation in turnovers. They've snagged nine takeaways already. This doesn't bode well for DJ Uiagalelei, who we always felt was a bit overrated. The guys having issues. Giving this team points is a mistake. I'd like them out right but I'll take the 2.5 points here. Take Cal. Thank you. |
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09-21-24 | Arkansas +2.5 v. Auburn | 24-14 | Win | 100 | 30 h 40 m | Show | |
Arkansas Razorbacks. TD play. Game 365. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. At first glance, you would think the fav is the play here. Don't get me wrong, it is a tough matchup. However, Auburn is seriously overvalued here. Arkansas has played extremely well so far this season. Yes, they blew up Ark. Pine Bluff to start the campaign. It is their second game of the season, their only loss, on the road at Oklahoma State that really intrigues me. They had a chance to win that game, but did cover, losing a heartbreaker, 39-31 on the road. And then came back and took down UAB a week ago. Auburn did the same thing in their annihilation of Alabama A&M. But then got embarrassed as a double-digit favorite at home against Cal. They did come back last week to dismantle New Mexico at home. But this team really hasn't been tested thus far. The Razorbacks are battle-tested after that competitive road contest at the Cowboys. Arkansas has a smart quarterback, a solid ground game, and defensively is extremely tough against the run. They have an opportunity here to control the clock of this contest. One more thing that really compels us to side with the ‘dog here: Auburn has committed nine turnovers already on offense. This doesn't bode well as they're facing their first SEC defense. Take Arkansas. Thank you. |
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09-21-24 | Rice v. Army -7 | 14-37 | Win | 100 | 26 h 21 m | Show | |
Army Black Knights. OM Play. Game 348. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. Army comes into this matchup well rested, coming off a bye week following a perfect 2-0 start to the season, both straight up and against the spread. As a matter of fact, going back to last season, the Black Knights are now riding a six-game straight up win streak in which they've covered five of the six games. They line up against, in all honesty, what will be one of their easiest opponents of the 2024 campaign. Before they go into some tough conference matchups, this is their last opportunity to fine-tune their squad. What better team to take it out on then an Owls opponent, possessing very little offense, and a defense that is getting slashed over 151 yards per game on the ground. By the way, Army tops the nation in rushing, averaging, get this, 390 yards per game on the ground. Take the Black Knights. Thank you. |
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09-19-24 | Patriots +6.5 v. Jets | 3-24 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
New England Patriots. Game 301. 5:15 PM PST 8:15 PM EST. There is no question Jets fans are gonna' be revved up tonight as they will see Aaron Rodgers play his first home game, particularly coming off his first win as a Jet last in week's, 24-17 road victory over the Titans. However, we cannot ignore the Patriots defense has played pretty well. I'm not just talking about this season. Going back to last season, they kept some good offense is in check. The New York rushing attack, which has sputtered, ranking 26th, averaging just 84.5 yards per game on the ground, just can't seem to move the ball without the legs of starter, Breece Hall (injured check status). Their defense took a couple hits this past week as well. New England isn't without their injury issues too, taking a hit to several of their defenders. But they still have a very good core at the stop-end of the field. I feel this is gonna’ be a very tight game, and giving the 'dog nearly a touchdown is a mistake. Take the Patriots. Thank you. |
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09-16-24 | Falcons v. Eagles -5 | 22-21 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
Philadelphia Eagles. MNF winner. Game 292. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. I think we can all agree it was a very strange NFL Sunday. The Atlanta Falcons offense is absolutely stagnant, as they showed us last week, accounting for just 10 points in their, home loss against the Pittsburgh Steelers, losing 18-10. This team is riddled with injuries, and reports are they've got some new additions starting here tonight. On the other hand, the Philadelphia Eagles took down the Green Bay Packers in their season-opener 10 days ago, at home, 34-29. They've had a few extra days to rest, heal, and prepare for this Monday Night showdown. They also know, with Dallas and Washington both splitting out already (1-1), and New York going winless (0-2), they have an opportunity with a victory tonight to take an early stronghold in the competitive, NFC East. I'm sure they are aware of quite a few highly-touted teams already going down. They're not going to take any chances here tonight. This is the third straight season Falcon quarterback, Kirk Cousins will be traveling to Lincoln Financial Field in Week 2 for a primetime game. He lost the two previous years, while playing with the Minnesota Vikings. I think the line is a little bit off in this matchup because of a few reasons. For starters; Atlanta's defense held the Steelers to six field goals last week. But let's face it, Pittsburgh doesn't have that stellar of an offense to begin with. Next; the fact the Eagles stop-unit allowed the Packers offense to put up 414 yards, has this number a bit off. Philly’s defense will tighten up this week. Their “O”, has Saquon Barkley coming off an amazing game, running for 132 yards and scoring three touchdowns. The Eagles are a solid team and have a legitimate shot at the NFC Title down the road. In the present, they can take hold of the NFC East with a big win tonight. Take the Eagles. Thank you. |
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09-15-24 | Bengals v. Chiefs -5.5 | 25-26 | Loss | -108 | 65 h 46 m | Show | |
Chiefs. HIGH ROLLER. Game 286. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST Believe it or not, Kansas City has neither lost nor failed to cover since Christmas Day last year. That's right, they have won and covered seven consecutive contests. They face a team they know all too well. The Chiefs took both meetings against the Bengals a season ago, both straight up and against the spread. Oh, by the way, both of those games were played at Arrowhead Stadium just like this week’s matchup. Speaking of Cincinnati, their once-feared rushing attack is no more with the departure of Joe Mixon, and the receiving core is either banged up or seriously rusty as we saw last week. I know the Chiefs record coming off of a Thursday night game isn't anything to write home about. But they still had a few extra days to rest, heal, and prepare for this matchup. Under a touchdown as a gift. Take Kansas City. Thank you. |
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09-15-24 | Rams +1.5 v. Cardinals | 10-41 | Loss | -108 | 65 h 31 m | Show | |
Rams. VI MOVE. Game 283. 1:05 PM PST/4:05 PM EST. If Los Angeles didn't have a few injuries, they would be a favorite on the road here. But that's OK because the oddsmakers are overcompensating in the opposite direction for those injuries. Los Angeles, with Matt Stafford at the helm and Cooper Kupp receiving, is one of the deadliest 1-2 punches in the air in the NFL. And let's face it, Arizona is absolutely horrible at defending the pass. To make matters worse, the Rams have taken eight of the last 10 meetings straight up, covering seven of those 10, which does include four consecutive wins and covers at State Farm Stadium. Los Angeles is a better team, and coming off a heartbreaking loss to the same team that ousted them from the playoffs a season ago, will further motivate them to get back on track and win here. Take the Rams. Thank you. |
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09-15-24 | 49ers -5 v. Vikings | 17-23 | Loss | -108 | 62 h 33 m | Show | |
49ers. TD PLAY. Game 275. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Whether Christian McCaffrey is in the backfield or not, I think we can all agree the San Francisco 49ers offense can move the ball on the ground, as we saw last week when Jordan Mason accounted for 147 yards rushing. San Francisco is also a pretty darn good team when they travel as opposed to Minnesota, which has lost and failed to cover their last three games played at US Bank Stadium. As a matter fact, last week’s road victory was the Vikings first overall cover since mid-November. They are pointspread poison. Their defense does look good. But they are still not good enough to contain all the weapons of the 49ers offense. Oh, by the way, this is also a big revenge game as Minnesota took down San Francisco at home late-October a season ago. Take the 49ers. Thank you. |
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09-14-24 | Central Florida v. TCU +2.5 | 35-34 | Win | 100 | 49 h 13 m | Show | |
TCU. Consensus. Game 188. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. Nothing like beating New Hampshire and Sam Houston to boost your ego. However, Central Florida is in for a rude awakening here as they travel to Amon G. Carter Stadium to face TCU on their own home field. The Horned Frogs are 7-2, both SU and ATS in Conference home games over the last two seasons, with their two losses both coming by just a field goal against the Mountaineers and the Longhorns. Giving them points at home is a mistake. Take TCU. Thank you. |
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09-14-24 | Indiana v. UCLA +3 | 42-13 | Loss | -105 | 49 h 8 m | Show | |
UCLA. No Limit. Game 194. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. I really feel the odd makers have it way off here. I don't see Indiana being a favorite on the road in their Big Ten opener. Facing FIU and WIU at home is a far cry from facing UCLA in the Rose Bowl. The bruins roar here. Thank you. |
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09-14-24 | Oregon v. Oregon State +17 | 49-14 | Loss | -110 | 46 h 38 m | Show | |
Oregon State. Game 140. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. With lackluster performances over Idaho and Boise State, Oregon has failed to cover both outings this season. They take to the road for the first time to face an opponent in Oregon State that knows them quite well, doesn't like them at all, and will come in here to play their most important game of the season. Way too many points. Take the Beavers. Thank you. |
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09-14-24 | West Virginia v. Pittsburgh +2 | 34-38 | Win | 100 | 46 h 33 m | Show | |
Pitt. Backyard Brawl. Game 142. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. The Backyard Brawl is back! It's true, West Virginia has looked sharper than Pitt over recent seasons. However, I believe they are both trending in different directions now. The Mountaineers have failed to cover both outings thus far, and are taking it on the road for the first time this season. Meanwhile, the Panthers have won and covered both of their outings thus far. Getting points under Pat Narduzzi is a gift, particularly at home. Take Pitt. Thank you. |
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09-14-24 | Notre Dame -9 v. Purdue | 66-7 | Win | 100 | 45 h 18 m | Show | |
Notre Dame. Oddsmakers Mistake. Game 149. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. I really feel bad for Purdue here, my friends. Yes, they have won both of their games already this season. But they must now face a Notre Dame opponent which comes off their most embarrassing defeat in as far back as I can recall. Please remember the Fighting Irish still have a heck of a defense, and quarterback, Riley Leonard must break out here before he loses his starting spot. What better stop-unit to face to do just that, than a Boilermakers "D" that is one of the softest in the nation. Take Notre Dame. Thank you. |
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09-14-24 | Alabama -16 v. Wisconsin | 42-10 | Win | 100 | 42 h 16 m | Show | |
Alabama. Early Winner. Game 115. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. I know road openers aren't the biggest priority over recent years for the Crimson Tide. However, this is a big game for the team. While the Badgers are not a top-25 team, they are just outside the bubble. Looking at Alabama's recent performances against Big Ten foes, they are 5-0 ATS the last five in this situation. I know how good Wisconsin is as an underdog, especially a double-digit 'dog at home. But going up against the likes of Western Michigan and South Dakota, which by the way they failed to cover in both, is a big difference from stepping up in class and playing a team that needs to keep their foot on the gas because they lost their legendary head coach, and a few big names to the NFL. 'Bama has something to prove here. After this week, they have a bye before taking on Georgia at home. They must fine tune their squad here and now. Take the Tide. Thank you. |
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09-13-24 | Arizona +7.5 v. Kansas State | 7-31 | Loss | -112 | 26 h 25 m | Show | |
Arizona. Friday Night Lights. Game 109. 5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST. Kansas State trailed Tulane by 10 at halftime last week, and got lucky finishing the game with a 34-27 win and no cover on the road. Arizona won both home games already against New Mexico and Northern Arizona. But they have failed to cover both. One thing for sure, despite yielding 39 points to the Lobos, they certainly possess the better defense. This is a team that has now won nine consecutive games SU, going back to mid-October of last season. Oh, by the way they also won five of six regular season road games a season ago, straight up, covering four of the six. And that was before taking down Oklahoma in a December 28 Bowl game on a neutral site. Giving them a touchdown is way too much. Take the Wildcats. Thank you. |
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09-08-24 | Cowboys +2.5 v. Browns | 33-17 | Win | 100 | 54 h 5 m | Show | |
Cowboys. Shocker. Game 477. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. Yes, I am aware the Cowboys cover more games at home than they do on the road. And I am also aware Cleveland was a solid host a season ago. But I look at this matchup and I see two very evenly matched teams. The Browns do have one “heckuva” roster. But they also have some question marks at several key positions that I feel make the Cowboys very appealing in this matchup. Take Dallas. Thank you. |
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09-08-24 | Raiders v. Chargers -3 | 10-22 | Win | 100 | 54 h 48 m | Show | |
Chargers. AFC WEST GOW. Game 472. 1:05 PM PST/4:05 PM EST. Sport fans, I live in Las Vegas for over 34 years, I watch the Raiders practice, and I know this team very well. I have to tell you they are not a very good team. I know they have played the Chargers very competitively over recent seasons. However, reports are Los Angeles will be a team to be reckoned with this year. They have a new head coach in Jim Harbaugh. We all know how competitive he can be, and how much he likes to beat up on opponents. He needs to make a splash in the NFL, and he needs to do it here this week in the opening contest of the season. Take the Chargers. Thank you. |
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09-08-24 | Titans +3.5 v. Bears | 17-24 | Loss | -108 | 51 h 54 m | Show | |
Titans. ‘Dog of the Week. Game 465. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. While both teams showed a lot of enthusiasm and excitement in having successful preseasons, I just don't see why Chicago is this much of a favorite here. I do feel their new quarterback, Caleb Williams has a bright future in the NFL. But playing in the preseason and succeeding there, is a far cry from succeeding in the regular season. Especially in the first regular season game of your career. Tennessee has invested in some big name free agents in the off-season. There is no predicting how well they will mesh early on this season. One thing for sure, they do have some talent on both sides of the ball. This team keeps games very close. That's for sure. What can't be ignored is the receiving core for the Titans, and how they can exploit certain mismatches here. Take Tennessee. Thank you. |
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09-08-24 | Texans -2.5 v. Colts | 29-27 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 47 m | Show | |
Texans. AFC SOUTH GOW. Game 469 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Very quietly, the Houston Texans are predicted to be one of the better teams in the Conference. One thing for sure though, preseason prognosticators have them running away with the AFC South, while the Indianapolis Colts are picked to be the third best team in the Division. The way the Texans aerial attack dominated a season ago, tells me that they are going to absolutely pick apart the extremely beatable Colts defense. A season ago, the Indy "D" was one of the poorest in football. I doubt very much things will change this season. Look for Houston to flex their muscles against a Division opponent that doesn't match up with them very well. Take the Texans. Thank you. |
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09-08-24 | Cardinals v. Bills -6.5 | Top | 28-34 | Loss | -108 | 51 h 50 m | Show |
Bills. Bookie Buster. Game 468. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. I feel this line is way off here, my friends. You've got an Arizona Cardinals team predicted to be one of the poorest in the NFC, opening their season up on the road against one of the best teams in the AFC. Once again last season Buffalo fell short of expectations. I expect them to come out here and prove a point. Let's not forget that last year's regular season opener, they fell on the road in New York, in overtime to a team without their best QB at the helm quarterback (Aaron Rodgers got injured in the first series of the game). They have to come out here and prove a point. Under a touchdown is a gift. Take the Bills. Thank you. |
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09-07-24 | Houston v. Oklahoma -27.5 | Top | 12-16 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 45 m | Show |
Oklahoma. Crusher Play. Game 384. 4:45 PM PST/7:45 PM EST. With last week’s lackluster, 27-7 defeat at the hands of UNLV at home as a 3.5-point favorite, Houston has now dropped and failed to cover four straight going back to last season. With some of the top ranked teams in college football already going down or looking vulnerable, Oklahoma, which loves to open a season beating up on lesser opponents, will come out here with something to prove, and make a statement that they deserve to be in the top-10. To insult to injury, the Sooners, which left the Big 12 for the SEC this season, get to take down a representative from their old Conference. Take Oklahoma. Thank you. |
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09-07-24 | Colorado v. Nebraska -7 | 10-28 | Win | 100 | 34 h 34 m | Show | |
Nebraska. Consensus Play. Game 382. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. They say revenge is a dish best served cold. Nebraska, which happens to be significantly stronger this season, dropped last season's meeting with Colorado in Boulder, 36-14. That was back when the Buffaloes, led by head coach, Deion Sanders were the talk of the college football town. Since then, the team has come back down to Earth, and have shown very little. Yes, quarterback Sanders and wide receiver, Hunter are a very dangerous 1-2 punch. But there aren't too many more weapons offensively for Colorado, and we all know their defense is one of the worst in the nation. I really think this line should be between 10-14 points. Take the Cornhuskers. Thank you. |
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09-07-24 | South Florida v. Alabama -30.5 | 16-42 | Loss | -116 | 33 h 12 m | Show | |
Alabama. High Roller play. Game 360. 4:00 PM PS/7:00 PM EST. On paper, this is a real test, the first true test for Alabama. However, football is in played on paper, it is played on the gridiron. Last season when these two teams met, there were a lot of different variables in play when the Crimson Tide took down the Bulls, 17-3. They will not take this game lightly. Please understand while South Florida is a good team, when they face solid opposition, they fold like a cheap suit. I just don't feel they have the talent to compete in this one with an Alabama opponent trying desperately to make a name themselves in the post-Nick Saban era. Take the Crimson Tide. Thank you. |
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09-07-24 | Virginia +1.5 v. Wake Forest | 31-30 | Win | 100 | 33 h 8 m | Show | |
Virginia. OM play. Game 363. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. My friends, I looked at this game every which way, and I just don't see how Virginia is an underdog. Hug revenge factor here for the Cavaliers, which have dropped five in a row against the Demon Deacons, both straight up and against the spread, going back to 2008. Not impressed at all with Wake Forest’s win and no cover against North Carolina AT&T last week. Prior to that, this team lost five in a row and eight of their last nine straight up only covering three of those contests. With ACC representatives, Florida State, Clemson, and Virginia Tech all losing already, Virginia knows they have an opportunity to jump out in the Conference. Take the Cavaliers. Thank you. |
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09-07-24 | Kansas State v. Tulane +9.5 | 34-27 | Win | 100 | 26 h 16 m | Show | |
Tulane. No Limit. Game 308. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. While I do feel Kansas State is a good team, making them nearly a double-digit favorite over one of the best Group of Five squads in the nation is a huge mistake here. The Green Wave took down the Wildcats two years ago, and not much has changed here. They have what it takes to notches compete here. They can win this contest outright. So, making them this much of a ‘dog is a gift for us. Take to Tulane. Thank you. |
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09-01-24 | LSU -4 v. USC | 20-27 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
LSU Tigers. Late Bailout. Game 217. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. Yes, it's true both LSU and USC lost a ton of talent. Both of these teams were all about offense last season, both possessing top-five scoring units. It is also true neither defense was ranked too well. However, there are a couple of key items that I want you to understand. For starters, the Tigers offensive unit did not turn the ball over last season. Meanwhile, the Trojans had problems, despite having all those stars on their squad. LSU also played pretty consistent football throughout the regular season, and had a January 1 Bowl game victory over Wisconsin. Meanwhile USC was a top-10 ranked team through the first week of October a season ago. But they didn't play anyone of standing. I mean, they were favorites of between 21.5 to 38.0 points in all of those contests. When their schedule toughened, they went 1-5, both straight up and against the spread. There's a big difference playing teams like San Jose State and Nevada, and playing opponents like Notre Dame and Oregon. By the way, they also failed to cover nine of their 12 regular season outings. LSU was successful against the number, going 8-4 ATS during the regular season. I believe there's more of an urgency for the Tigers to make a showing here. In two weeks, they have to go on the road and play the Gamecocks, and the following week, at home against the Bruins. They have to fine-tune their team prior to that. Meanwhile the Trojans have a “gimme” game next week and can take it easy against the Aggies of Utah State at home, before an off week, and then must travel up to Ann Arbor to take on the Wolverines. So, they have a little time. You will see a lot of offense here, for sure. LSU also remains in their same Conference of the SEC, while USC moved over to the Big Ten. A lot of changes for the Trojans to adjust to. Oh, one more item: I live in Vegas. You would think there would be significantly more Trojans fans here. Not the case at all. Take the Tigers. Thank you. |
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08-31-24 | Fresno State v. Michigan -20.5 | 10-30 | Loss | -112 | 50 h 5 m | Show | |
Michigan. Best Bet. Game 208. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. Playing in Ann Arbor isn't easy for any visitor, that's for sure. But I think you're going to see a Michigan Wolverines team here come out to make a statement. Yes, it's impossible to match a 15-0 season that ended with a National Championship my friends. And it is true the Wolverines have seen their head coach, their starting quarterback, and their top running back all the depart for bigger and better. Maybe that's why this team is ranked only ninth by the preseason pollsters. But their head coach, Sherrone Moore was the acting coach four games last year when Jim Harbaugh was suspended. I doubt very much he's going to be overwhelmed here. There are certainly questions about Michigan's offense this season. However, please understand that the top teams in the country are stacked with talent higher than the pancakes at your favorite breakfast establishment. They also return quite a few playmakers from what was one of the toughest stop-units in the country a season ago. If you recall in most of their games, they allowed 13 or less points. Only Maryland and Ohio State were able to score more than 20, and mind you, Michigan won both of those games. They also have Texas up next. Sometimes I look at situations and say a team is going to get caught in a “look ahead” mode. That’s not the case here. They have to come out here and keep their foot on the gas from start to finish. They must fine tune their offense so they are prepared for Texas next week. As far as Fresno State goes, three Mountain West teams have visited Ann Arbor over the last several seasons, and all three lost by at least 28 points. If you recall, a season ago, the Bulldogs went -76 yards per game differential. There's no way they could perform here like that and keep this matchup anywhere near the pointspread. To add insult to injury, head coach, Jeff Tedford had to leave a month ago, and whispers around college football says his team still hasn't recovered. Their quarterback is decent. But turns the ball over way too much. This doesn't bode well lining up against this top-ranked defense that also snagged 18 turnovers a season ago. I think Michigan comes out here with something to prove, and proves it with authority. Take the Wolverines. Thank you. |
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08-31-24 | Penn State -8 v. West Virginia | 34-12 | Win | 100 | 43 h 36 m | Show | |
Penn State. Early Game Winner. Game 171. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. Penn State enters the first game of this season ranked eighth in the nation. On the other hand, West Virginia shocked a lot of people out there, last season, by finishing fourth in the Big 12. Two teams that finished ahead of them were Texas and Oklahoma, which have both coincidentally left the Conference. So many out there think the Mountaineers are going to be a force to be reckoned with in their League. Having said that, the Nittany Lions head coach, James Franklin certainly enjoys beating up on lesser foes. These two met in last year's season opener, which had PSU win and cover the 21-point spread, 38-15. It is true, Penn State has new coordinators both on offense and defense. But a lot of playmakers are returning on both sides of the ball, and they are loaded my friends. The Nittany Lions don't have a serious threat for a while on their schedule. So, they must maintain their top 10 status, and also use this game here to get all their ducks in a row for the regular season. If you recall, a season ago, not only was their offense extremely successful, but their defense was one of the best in college football. That's where this game will be won. Their stout defense against an offense, particularly the West Virginia offensive line which only returns two starters upfront, is going to get manhandled. They did finish off last season with an embarrassing loss in a Bowl game on December 30, at the hands of Mississippi, 38-25 as a 6.0-point favorite. I look for them to come out here and really make a statement to the nation and the pollsters. I know this is a game that can be overlooked. But I doubt Coach Franklin will take it very lightly. Remember, style points count. The Nittany Lions will roar here. Take Penn State. Thank you. |
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08-24-24 | Florida State -10.5 v. Georgia Tech | 21-24 | Loss | -107 | 15 h 59 m | Show | |
Florida State Seminoles. Season Kickoff Winner. Game 305. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. My friends, I am always apprehensive about laying double digits, especially in the first week of the season. But this is a very interesting matchup. Florida State enters this regular season ranked 10th nationally. Preseason predictions have them fighting it out with Clemson for the ACC title. The Seminoles do have a matchup with the Tigers on October 5. Prior to that, I don't see them having too much opposition. Having said that, if you recall a season ago FSU ran the gauntlet and went perfect during the regular season at 12-0. They also, despite laying double-digits in all but three games, did pretty good against the spread, covering seven of those 12 contests. They then went onto the Conference Championship and took the Louisville Cardinals down as an underdog, 16-6. We all know what happened when they faced the Georgia Bulldogs in late-December. Yes, granted there were without several key starters on offense, but they were absolutely blown out. As a matter of fact, it was a true embarrassment for this team. Especially after the wonderful season they had. Not much is expected of the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets this season. However, a season ago they were money, covering seven of their 10 outings. Now the last time these two teams met, was back in October of 2022 when Florida State shredded Georgia Tech, 41-16. As I mentioned earlier in this breakdown, I don't like laying double-digits especially this early in the campaign. Guys, I do feel the Seminoles have to come out here and make a statement, not just to the rest of the Conference, but the entire nation that they are well-deserved and worthy of their national ranking. I think they come out here and crush it. Please remember that this team is loaded with veteran playmakers. They are loaded on offense for sure. But their defense was so tough last year, and they return some big names on the stop end of the ball. They have to come out here and make a statement for sure. Take Florida State. Thank you. |
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02-11-24 | 49ers v. Chiefs +2.5 | Top | 22-25 | Win | 100 | 98 h 3 m | Show |
Kansas City Chiefs. Game 102. 3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST. Hello friends, in all sincerity, I feel both of these teams deserve to be playing in the Super Bowl. As a matter fact, I predicted in the preseason, that these two teams would be playing for this season’s Lombardi Trophy (notice they named it after an Italian lol). Having said that, with all respect to the San Francisco 49ers and Brock Purdy, they just have proven that they could win at this level. I know Purdy was not there a few years back when the 49ers made it to the Super Bowl. But I still feel that they are a little bit short of what they need to do to win the Super Bowl. Whether you like it or not, Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs are the new Tom Brady and the Patriots. Not only have they gotten here quite a few times over the last several seasons, but they have prevailed on this platform. I have said it before and I will say it again, whatever you did prior to the Super Bowl does not matter. It is a moot point. Patrick Mahomes is a money player. He comes up big in big game situations. If you are worried about the hype about this team not being what they were, or that their defense can't stop the rush, just look at the Conference title game against a Ravens opponent, which happened to be the NFL’s top-rushing offense. They possess a defensive unit that has not allowed a single opponent to put up better than 27 points this season. My friends, after the Conference Title win, Patrick Mahomes was interviewed, and made it a point to say that the team was cognizant of being an underdog there. HMMM. How would you feel if you were the heavyweight champion of the world, and yet you faced the new kid on the block and were an underdog? Trust me when I tell you, Mahomes and the Chief will take care of business here and probably win this game outright. But I will take the points to err on the side of caution. Kansas City is the play plus the points. Thank you. Props As far as props go, we are all well-aware that not just in the Super Bowl (which was usually the only major prop contest of the year), PROPS have really exploded over recent years. Every single game in every sport, every day you'll find a list of prop bets available to you longer than your arm. Listen folks, when it comes to props, if it doesn't give you value, step away. If you just want to bet some props for poops and giggles, then bet 20 props for 10 bucks a game, and have all the poops and giggles you can possibly handle. However, if you're serious about making money, be disciplined. Let me tell you what I mean by that: There is a prop out there about Patrick Mahomes throwing a touchdown; Will Mahomes throw a TD? Do I think he's gonna’ throw a TD? I think he's gonna’ throw several TD’s. But the odds on him to throw a TD, ranges from -450 to -500. There is no value in it my friends. There is no value at all. Listen, God forbid on the first series of the game he gets hurt and he is sidelined, then you are screwed. And to be honest with you, unless you're betting hundreds of thousands of dollars, there's no significant profit in it anyway. Let it go. Below are some props that I really feel strongly about. They are all props that I feel give us value. PROPS These are the props I feel are most “valuable” and the ones with a star are stronger, two stars are really strong as far as “value” goes. Will the game be tied after 0-0? YES +145 * Shortest FG of game 27.5 yards. UNDER -110 * Will there be a ST or Defensive TD? Yes +250 * Longest rush by Purdy 6.5 yards. OVER Even Money Total TD passes by Purdy 1.5. OVER -110 Total receiving yards by Kittle 49.5. OVER -110 * Will Kittle score a TD? Yes +170 Total TD passes by Mahomes 2. OVER +170 Will Pacheco score a TD? Yes +120 10)Total receiving yards by Kelce 72.5. OVER -110 * 11)Longest reception by Kelce 21.5 yards. OVER Even Money 12)Total receptions by Kelce 6.5. OVER -110 ** 13) Will Kelce score a TD? YES +105 ** |
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01-28-24 | Lions v. 49ers -7 | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 32 m | Show | |
San Francisco 49ers. NFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME WINNER. Game 322. 3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST. My friends, I'm gonna’ keep this analysis a lot like me, very short and extremely sweet (LOL). I will admit that I drank the blue Kool-Aid several times this season winning a few and dropping a few with the Lions. This is a very good team. Don't get me wrong. They are certainly deserving of their postseason spot. But could we possibly be jumping the gun here and maybe more wanting them to wins than thinking they're going to win? Let's start with the elephant in the room. As of posting this play, the status of Deebo Samuel is uncertain. However, please remember that that situation is already included in the current number. In my opinion, if he plays this number should be closer to -9 or -10. And that's only so they don't get overwhelmed with underdog bets. If he plays, great. If he does not, it will not significantly affect the offense. This squad is loaded with playmakers. They've got an arsenal of receivers, one of the best tight ends in the game, and let's not forget in the backfield, one of the most valuable players to their team playing today. I feel Brock Purdy and the fourth-ranked passing offense of San Francisco will totally pick apart the 27th ranked pass defense of Detroit. Let's be honest guys, just about every opponent the Lions have faced since early-November, has put a lot of points up on them. While they own solid, stop-unit against the rush, they haven't faced too many offenses that is as loaded at every key position as they're going to face here this weekend. A big part of their success offensively, is there ground game. Once again, they're lining up against the second-ranked run defense in the league. As far as the passing game goes, there is no question. Jared Goff has put up some very impressive numbers. However, look at their schedule and you will see that when the quarterback has faced defenses that are strong in the middle of the field with good linebacking corps, he has put up his five worst performances this season. I'm happy for the Detroit fans. They certainly deserve some excitement. But maybe they're a little overexcited and come in here overconfident. One more item my friends, big games usually come down to big plays by quarterbacks and mistakes. Brock Purdy makes very few mistakes. As a matter fact, the offense has done very well not turning the ball over too often. The same can't be said for Detroit. They have committed 23 turnovers on offense this season. That does not bode well when you're going up against the team that's already snagged 27 takeaways. Take the 49ers. Thank you. |
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01-28-24 | Chiefs +3.5 v. Ravens | Top | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 142 h 29 m | Show |
Kansas City Chiefs. AFC Championship Game Winner. Game 319. 12:00 PM PST/3:00 PM EST. There is no question these are the two best teams in the AFC. However, you cannot ignore the success of Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs in the postseason. As far as Lamar Jackson and the Ravens are concerned, they are certainly a great squad. But let's be honest, when it comes down to the playoffs, Jackson and the team overall, falls a bit short. Trust me when I tell you, Kansas City did what they needed to do on the road in Buffalo last Sunday. Although Baltimore did the same at home against Houston, there is a big difference in the level of opponent from last week to this week for them. The Chiefs are clicking at the right time. They overcame injury issues mid-season. But finished strong, and won and covered both postseason contests. The Ravens have been solid all season long. But at times their defense has shown cracks. I know this somewhat contradicts their top-ranked scoring defense. But hear me out. At times, they showed vulnerability. You cannot say the same for the Kansas City stop-unit. Yes, I am aware that Baltimore's "D" allows just 16.5 points per game, while the KC "D" allows 17.3 points per game. But Kansas City has not allowed a single opponent this season to reach 30 points in scoring (27). Offensively, the Ravens put up more points statistically. They top the league on the ground. But leave a lot to be desired in the air. This is going to be an issue because they are facing one of the toughest pass defenses in football. Kansas City will completely shut down the passing game of Baltimore and allow their defense to key on the running game. The Chiefs have proven they could win a tough game on the road against a solid opponent in the playoffs. They showed us this last week. I also think they are better coached, more disciplined, and a lot more experienced in the postseason. Take Kansas City. Thank you. |
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01-21-24 | Chiefs +3 v. Bills | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 79 h 49 m | Show |
Kansas City Chiefs. AFC JANUARY GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 317. 3:30 PM PST/6:30 PM EST. Two of the most acclaimed quarterbacks in the NFL are going to be meeting one another for the seventh time. Kansas City and Buffalo have each won three of the previous matchups. However, Patrick Mahomes has bested Josh Allen when it counts, taking both playoff meetings. I don't want to upset any Bill fans. But I've been doing this for a long time, and I want you to know there are fun players, and there are money players. Josh Allen is the first. He puts up amazing numbers every year. But when it comes down to games he must win, let's be honest, the mistakes pile up and the Bills lose. On the other hand, Patrick Mahomes is a money player. He wins when games are on the line. He wins when crunch time is upon him. And he wins in the postseason. No matter what you do during the regular season, when it comes to the playoffs, it is a whole different monster. I hear people talking about the weather up in Buffalo. But Kansas City is no stranger to cold weather. I know the Bills closed out the regular season one of the hottest teams in the league. And that did include a three-point outright win on the road at Arrowhead in early-December. But giving Mahomes and the experienced, Kansas City Chiefs points in January is a big mistake. Not only will Mahomes be a major difference in this contest. But the consistently solid defense of the Chiefs will be a major factor as well. This is a squad that has yielded a mere, 17.3 points per game, and ranks fourth against the pass. They are going to get a lot of pressure on Allen and force him to make mistakes. Take Kansas City. Thank you. |
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01-15-24 | Eagles v. Bucs +3 | 9-32 | Win | 100 | 56 h 17 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers. WC CONSENSUS GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 152. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. You would think that this time of year in the playoffs Philadelphia would be the play. I'm here to tell you they are a go against. This is not the same Eagles team we have come to watch over the last several seasons. Let's face it, they backed into the postseason, losing five of their last six straight up, and failing to cover seven straight and eight of their last 10. Meanwhile, the Buccaneers have been a surprise, earning a postseason spot, winning five of their last six SU, and covering seven of their last 10 ATS. Momentum plays a big part come the postseason, my friends. And to be honest with you, Tampa Bay wasn't expected to be here. And a team with nothing to lose is very dangerous. The Philadelphia defense has gotten shredded for over 25.2 points per game this season, ranking 30th in points allowed. While their offense still has a lot of weapons, they also make a lot of mistakes, turning the ball over 28 times this season. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay has a solid run defense, ranking fifth in the league, which can and will neutralize the rushing attack of Philadelphia here. They will cause a lot of three-and-outs thus putting the Eagles “D” on the field a little more than they would like to be. I believe 4000-yard passer, Baker Mayfield (check status) will have a very good day here lining up against the 31st ranked pass defense of Philly. I expect him to play, folks. Take the Buccaneers. Thank you. |
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01-14-24 | Packers v. Cowboys -7 | 48-32 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 37 m | Show | |
Dallas Cowboys. Sunday WILD CARD BEST BET. Game 148. 1:30 PM PST/4:30 PM EST. I am aware the Packers have won covered the last four meetings with the Cowboys, going back to 2017. I am also aware they have won three in a row straight up, covering their last two, coming into the playoffs. But if there is any team in the NFL that has a significant home-field advantage, it is Dallas. They are on a 16-game win streak at AT&T Stadium. They are a perfect, 8-0 on their own field this season. They also know they can't let their guard down here in this round. You know this stadium is going to be loud and crazy as the loyal fans of the Cowboys are going to watch their first home playoff game since 2018. Please remember that although Green Bay is a good team. They haven't been consistently good this season. They are also at a big disadvantage as the Dallas Cowboys head coach knows the Green Bay Packers team inside and out. On both sides of the ball, the home team here is one of the most complete in all of the NFL. I see their rushing attack moving the chains and allowing Dak Prescott to open up the passing attack. I don't see the Cowboys letting their foot off the gas here. They will leave no doubt. Take Dallas. Thank you. |
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01-13-24 | Dolphins v. Chiefs -4.5 | 7-26 | Win | 100 | 25 h 25 m | Show | |
Kansas City Chiefs. Saturday Wild Card Best Bet. Game 144. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. When this line first came out, I will admit I leaned towards the ‘dog. However, looking at the injury report and recent performances has compelled me to take the favorite here. The story of the Dolphins this season was a very good story. However, they have dropped three of their last five games, both straight up and against the spread, including their last two coming into the postseason. Momentum means a lot this time of year, my friends. Their once once powerful offense has tallied a total of 33 points the last two outings, while their defense has gotten flattened for 77 points. Something you may find very strange is this team has only averaged a mere 19 points per game against the six fellow playoff teams they faced this season. By the way, they lost five of those games. What does that tell you? It tells you this team can put up some numbers, but when they have to step up in class, they fall short. Kansas City was struggling for sure. But they still made it to 11 wins this season. Their offense started to step up a bit. And it's hard to go against Patrick Mahomes at home in the month of January. But I believe it will be their defense that will shine in this matchup. You may not realize this, but this defense ranks second in the league in point scored, allowing only 17.3 points per game. I know the Miami offense tops the NFL in passing yards per game. However, they are going up against one of the best pass defenses in football. Oh, by the way, as I mentioned earlier, the Dolphins are going to be without quite a few starters on the defensive side of the ball. Take the Chiefs. Thank you. |
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01-08-24 | Washington v. Michigan -4 | Top | 13-34 | Win | 100 | 50 h 54 m | Show |
Michigan Wolverines. National Championship Game Winner. Game 288. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. Just like me, I'm going to keep this game analysis very short and extremely sweet (lol). There is no question that both Washington and Michigan deserve to be here. Both completed the entire campaign perfect, at 14-0. Both played and beat the best in their conference title games. I mean the Huskies took down the Longhorns, 37-31 as a 3.5-point underdog. The Wolverines came on strong at the end of the fourth quarter, and then won in overtime against, what many people thought was the best team in the College Football Playoff, the Crimson Tide. There are a few major disparities here. With all respect to Washington, and their top-ranked, passing offense, they have not faced a defense as complete as the one they are lining up against here. Not only is Michigan the most ferocious and well-balanced defense they will have faced this season, but they are equally strong in the air and on the ground. The Wolverines stop-unit leads the nation, allowing just 9.5 points per game, ranks second against the pass, six against the rush, second in total yards allowed, and sixth in takeaways. On the opposite side of the ball, let's face it, the Huskies give up a lot of points. That rank 50th nationally, allowing 23.6 points per game. That's bad enough. But the Wolverines offense is so well-balanced and so dangerous it is impossible to shut them down. They have a smart quarterback at the helm. And I believe that's where the big contrast will be. The Huskies rank 122nd, defensively against the pass. Quarterback, JJ McCarthy is smart, capable, and must be salivating, knowing he's going to pass the ball at will here. Remember, if the Huskies key on the pass attack of the Wolverines, Michigan could then fall back on the rushing attack of Blake Corum. A lot of talk is that head coach, Jim Harbaugh is going to be departing for the NFL after this game. Now these are just rumors. But there's a lot of talk surrounding his future just might just be in Las Vegas. And if that does happen, he also just might be taking his starting quarterback with him. He will want to leave Ann Arbor with a National Title. Take Michigan. Thank you. |
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01-07-24 | Vikings v. Lions -3.5 | Top | 20-30 | Win | 100 | 19 h 20 m | Show |
Detroit Lions. NFC North Game of the Month. Game 478. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Detroit currently has the No. 3 seed in the NFC playoff picture. But does have an opportunity to step up to the No. 2 seed with a win here and some help. The Vikings playoffs chances are basically hanging on by a thread. Now normally I would be a little apprehensive about a game like this. But Detroit head coach, Dan Campbell announced he will be playing quarterback, Jared Goff, and his starters in this contest. For how long, who knows. But they want this win. They lost a heartbreaker last week on the road to Dallas by one-point. That ended a two game straight up win streak. But did extend their ATS cover streak to three consecutive games. They don't want to go into the postseason on a two-game slide. They need a big ego boost here. And what better team to face than their hated division rival, which happens to be on a three-game slide straight up themselves. As a matter fact, they've lost five of their last six straight up. failing to cover five straight. One thing for sure, with the announcement that Nick Mullins will start at quarterback for the Vikings, you can expect the Lions to throw a lot of different schemes at him with their very talented defense. On the flipside of the ball, Goff is going to have his best performance of the regular season because most of Minnesota secondary is either banged-up or out here. FYI, Detroit has taken three of the last four meetings in this series straight up and six in a row against the number. Take the Lions. Thank you. |
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01-07-24 | Bucs -4 v. Panthers | Top | 9-0 | Win | 100 | 19 h 15 m | Show |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers. NFC South Game of the Month. Game 479. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Tampa Bay controls their destiny here folks. In other words, they win and they are in the playoffs. Let's throw away the fact the Buccaneers are 7-1 ATS as a visitor this season. Let's throw away the fact Carolina has been eliminated from any postseason chances quite a while back. Throw away the fact that this home team is just 2-14, which is the worst record in the NFL this season. And throw away the fact that Carolina is also just 1-4 SU against division opponents this season. The Buccaneers are a smart, well-coached, disciplined squad, certainly outclassing their opponent in this matchup. They were riding a four-game straight up win streak prior to last weeks, 23-13 loss on the road at the Saints. But did extend their ATS cover streak to three in a row. They have dominated this division rivalry, taking eight of the last 10 meetings, straight up, and covering seven of those 10 matchups. The Panthers aren't going to jeopardize any of their significant starters here. And let's face it, even if they were going to play all out, they just don't have the personnel to contend here. If they did, they wouldn't have finished this season with the worst record in football. Take the Buccaneers. Thank you. |
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01-01-24 | Alabama +2 v. Michigan | Top | 20-27 | Loss | -110 | 237 h 15 m | Show |
Alabama Crimson Tide. Game 279. 2:00 PM PST/5:00 PM EST. With all respect to Michigan and their 13-0 season, I think we can all agree, they didn't play the toughest schedule out there. And as the season, progressed, and they did play some better teams, they had struggled a bit. Penn State, Maryland, and Ohio State all gave them a tough time. But make no mistake of it, they are going up against the toughest defense they will have had to face this season. Alabama not only owns a stop-unit that allows just 18.4 points per game, but they have gone up against and completely shut down quite a few solid offenses. I think we can all agree that neither in the air or on the ground, the wolverines Are explosive. It is their defense that allows their offense success. I believe their passing a game will be in real trouble here as the Crimson Tides pass defense has improved with each game this season, and is now in my opinion, one of the best in the nation. Offensively, Alabama's quarterback, Jalen Milroe has matured better than any other player in the country. Let's be honest, my friends, when this team dropped their second game of the season in early-September, at the hands of Texas, Nick Saban read them the riot act, and they got on course and were on a mission. They have not dropped the game since, annihilating all opponents. Not only that, but they've covered eight of 10 since that loss. Sabin and his coaching staff have had more than enough time to prepare for the Michigan team. There is no way they're going to drop this game as they want nothing less than another national title. The only thing standing is this week’s opponent. There is one more thing that I think is very significant here, my friends. And that is all the off the field distractions the Wolverines are going through. The entire football team, their athletic department, their head coach, coaching staff, etc. There is a lot of distractions. The rumor has it, Jim Harbaugh, no matter what happens, this season, is going to go onto the NFL. There is also some whispers that he will be in a position to also take his quarterback with him. Trust me when I tell you this is a distraction. The Crimson Tide have no distractions. They have one thing on their minds and that is a national title. They scratched and clawed to get here. I believe Michigan will come in a bit overconfident and get taken by surprise. Take Alabama. Thank you. |
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01-01-24 | Iowa v. Tennessee -5.5 | 0-35 | Win | 100 | 5 h 53 m | Show | |
Tennessee Volunteers. Game 276. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. I am well aware Tennessee lost their starting quarterback, Joe Milton III, who opted out of the Citrus Bowl. We all know how good the Iowa defense has performed once again this season. However, the offense is absolutely atrocious. They can't put up too many points on any opponent. The one thing Tennessee has, is depth. They have enough talent to not just get a win here, but get the cover for us. Take the Volunteers. Thank you. |
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01-01-24 | Liberty v. Oregon -18 | 6-45 | Win | 100 | 5 h 47 m | Show | |
Oregon Ducks. Game 278. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. In all sincerity, the Oregon Ducks were just a few points away from a College Football Playoff invitation. Losing to the Washington Huskies in the Pac-12 Championship game by three-points, dropped this team to the No. 5 spot and a New Year's Day Bowl. There is nothing this team wants more than to exact a little revenge and show the nation that they deserved to be in the CFP. Bo Nix, who is without question one of the greatest college football quarterbacks of all time, will be playing in his last game at the collegiate level. Trust me when I tell you he wants to go out on a high note. They don't just want to win this game; they want to crush the Liberty Flames. Speaking of which, the Flames finished the campaign off at 13-0 and have some impressive numbers on both sides of the ball. They rank fifth in the nation in scoring and 46th on defense. That's all well and good. However, they haven't faced a top tier team. For goodness sake, they haven’t even faced a medium tier team. While there is a lot of talent on this squad, I just don't see them competing with the Mighty Ducks (LOL). What better way to go out for Nix and the Oregon team, then to annihilate the Flames, giving them their first loss of the season and giving the pollsters something to remember. Take Oregon. Thank you. |