Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-26-25 | Commanders v. Eagles -6 | Top | 23-55 | Win | 100 | 73 h 8 m | Show |
Philadelphia Eagles. Game 102. 12:00 PM PST/3:00 PM EST. Let's start with the NFC Title game. Early money is coming in on the Washington Commanders, and with good reason. These two teams know each other all too well, sharing the division, the NFC East. The Commanders are riding a seven-game straight up winning streak, in which they have gone 5-2 against the number, while the Eagles have won 14 of their last 15, covering 10 of their last 14 games. These teams have met twice this season, with each home team winning and covering those contests. Yes, Washington is 7-3 away from home this season. But Philly is an astounding, 10-1 at Lincoln Financial Field (talk about a home field advantage. Lol). Obviously, Philadelphia has more players with postseason experience. Let’s put a pin in that, folks. I think we can all agree quarterback, Jayden Daniels has had a storybook season. But the playoffs are a whole different monster. Yes, they beat the top NFC seed, in the Detroit Lions last week. Guys, I feel the Lions came in underprepared, and overconfident. I do feel Washington comes in here in a letdown situation. In their two playoff games thus far, Philadelphia’s, Saquon Barkley and Jalen Hurts have combined for over 430 yards rushing. Overall, on the season, this team possesses the second-ranked rushing attack in the NFL. This is where the game is going to get out of hand. The Commanders defense, overall although very good, still ranks 30th in the league against the rush. The Philadelphia coaching staff is smart and will have their squad prepared even further for this weeks matchup. On the flipside, the Eagle’s stop-unit has allowed a mere, 17.8 points per game this season. Sports fans, in today's day and age, that is just amazing. They top the league against the pass, and rank 10th against the run. For all the reasons I just laid out, I like Philadelphia here to win and cover, and go on to the Super Bowl. Thank you. |
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01-20-25 | Ohio State -8 v. Notre Dame | Top | 34-23 | Win | 100 | 97 h 24 m | Show |
Ohio State. Game 287. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. There is no question the Notre Dame Fighting Irish is a very good team. I personally, have had them quite a few times this season, and have done very well with them. I'm going to take a different approach to this breakdown, my friends. Yes, overall, their regular-season schedule wasn't the toughest. For a team that averaged over 37.7 points per game in he regular-season, during the postseason, the Fighting Irish offense fell way short. Do you think it's a coincidence it's because they faced stronger opponents? I don't think so! They posted 27 against Indiana, 23 against Georgia, and 27 against Penn State. For a team, since there loss back on September 7, that posted 66, 28, 31, 49, 31, 51, 52, 35, 49, and 49, what was so different about their post season opponents? Because they we're all superior to their regular season adversaries. Next, let's talk about their passing attack, which ranks 92nd in college football. They have to go against the nation’s top-ranked pass defense here, which will make their offense very one-dimensional. Having said that, the Buckeyes stop-unit ranks third in college football against the rush. Speaking of Ohio State defense, outside of Oregon, who they played twice, no other opponent posted better than 17 points on them this season. And let's face it, they’ve played some good opponents. One more item I want to make you aware of; these two teams had two common opponents this season; they both played Indiana, in which Notre Dame was a favorite of 6.5-points. But Ohio State was a favorite of 10.5-points. They also both faced Purdue, which the Fighting Irish went off a 7.0-point favorite. Meanwhile, the Buckeyes closed a 37.0-point favorite in that matchup. Why is the line so short here? It's to make it attractive to both sides, folks. That's what the oddsmakers are looking to do, so they get wagers on both teams here, and make their juice. Don't fall for it. Take Ohio State. Thank you. |
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01-19-25 | Rams v. Eagles -6 | Top | 22-28 | Push | 0 | 74 h 4 m | Show |
Eagles. Game 392. 12:00 PM PST/3:00 PM EST. Sunday's NFC divisional matchup between the Los Angeles Rams and Philadelphia Eagles. A mistake most sportsbettor’s make is judging a team from their previous performance. Yes, Los Angeles took down one of the regular-season’s best teams in the Minnesota Vikings, with authority just a few days ago, 27-9. But let's face it, the Vikings might be one of the biggest posers this season. Case in point, how they played the previous week against the Detroit Lions when they needed the victory badly. Let's go back to the Rams. They have won six of their last seven, both straight up and against the spread. But (and yes there's always a but), but their three previous games were played in basically covered stadiums, not having to worry about weather. Not the case here as they have to travel cross country to Lincoln Financial Field where the weather is going to be cold, cold, cold. Not only that, but the Eagles are one of the best home teams in the NFL, going 9-1 when playing host this season. Let's go back to the Rams, folks. Yes, they have won and covered their four previous games played as a visitor. But those games were on the road at the lowly Jets, the hurting 49ers, the overrated Saints, and the dismal Patriots. Jalen Hurts his back, and the way he looked last week in his return, shows us this offense has returned to full strength. The Eagles are a monster team, folks. And yes, they have something to prove. They post over 27.2-points per game, and allow just 17.8-points per game. While the Rams are pretty darn good. They just don't compare statistically here. There's no way their 22nd ranked run defense can even slow down, let alone contain the machine that is Saquon Barkley. That would be tough enough. But when you throw in the mix the legs of Hurts, they are in downright dire straits here. Offensively, Los Angeles really does rely upon their passing attack. Well, well, well…they must line up across from the NFL's No. 1 ranked pass defense. Let's flip it and talk offense for Philly, my friends. We already talked about how dominating the rushing attack is. But I want touch on AJ Brown. He cannot be happy having just one reception last week in the teams victory over the Packers. I look for him to be a major factor in the air here to make the Eagles offense equally dominant up top as well as on the ground. This will be a double-digit win for Philadelphia at home. Take the Eagles and soar. Thank you. |
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01-18-25 | Texans +9.5 v. Chiefs | 14-23 | Win | 100 | 52 h 38 m | Show | |
Texans. Game 387. 1:30 PM PST/4:30 PM EST. Saturday's AFC Divisional matchup between the Houston Texans and Kansas City Chiefs. Let me start this analysis by saying anybody that questions the fact the Kansas City Chiefs are a current dynasty, is crazy. This team is the new, New England Patriots. Enough said. Having said that, what I really find intriguing about this matchup is the fact these two teams played roughly a month ago on the same field, at Arrowhead Stadium, and the line there was Kansas City -3 1/2. Same situation, a month later, same location, and the Chiefs are laying north of a touchdown at currently about -8.5. Ask yourself why? I think this is a trap set by the oddsmakers. Yes, they have had their way with the Houston Texans, taking four in a row, and covering three of those four. And again yes, this team when it comes to the postseason is money, money, money. Of course, Patrick Mahomes has a lot more postseason experience than CJ Stroud. And I watched last week's match up with the Chargers. Stroud looked less than stellar, and got a lot of help from his defense. But even if that's the case here because the Kansas City defense is one of the best in NFL. As good as Mahomes and their offense is, it is their defense that has kept them in games, and winning games. Yes, Mahomes gets the headlines because he does anything and everything to make his offense successful. But this is a unit that still averages just 22.6 points per game. Let's not sell short the Houston Texans stop-unit. They allow a mere, 21.9 points per game, rank sixth in the NFL against the pass, and 11th against the rush. Without a solid rushing attack by the Chiefs to keep the Texans defense honest, and on the field, and eat up the clock, I feel this game is going to be a lot closer than the pointspread. I really do. Let's not forget, Houston has covered five of their last seven games played on the road. This isn't about who wins my friends. This is about who covers. And I feel this is a lot of points. One last item, K.C. is 0-5 ATS this season laying seven or more points. Take the doggie here to take a bite out of your book. Thank you. |
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01-10-25 | Ohio State -6 v. Texas | Top | 28-14 | Win | 100 | 177 h 40 m | Show |
Ohio State Buckeyes. COTTON BOWL WNNER. Game 285. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. Sometimes it is better to be lucky than good. And let's face it, the Texas Longhorns have gotten pretty lucky a few times this season. Case in point, in their last game against the Arizona State Sun Devils. That's not the first-time luck was on their side. However, when you get to this platform, luck runs out. The way the Ohio State Buckeyes are looking with their well coach, disciplined squad, particularly their stellar defense, they are seriously going to outclass their opponent in this matchup. Please understand I when it comes to big games, defense and mistakes play a big part. I think we can all agree that the Buckeyes defense, which tops the nation, yielding just 12.1-points per game is a true force to be reckoned with. With all respect to the Longhorns stop-unit, which does rank fourth in college football, they just aren't on the same level. I also mentioned mistakes. The Texas offense has committed 24 turnovers, and cannot rely upon a steady effort from their field goal unit. Under a touchdown as a gift. Take Ohio State. Thank you. |
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12-31-24 | Alabama -11.5 v. Michigan | 13-19 | Loss | -115 | 109 h 27 m | Show | |
Alabama Crimson Tide. RELIAQUEST BOWL WINNER. Game 259. 9:00 AM PST/12: PM EST. Oh, how the mighty have fallen. Last season, the Michigan Wolverines were the National Champions. This season, they are just 7-5. Yes, their head coach as well as several key starters left for the NFL. And let's face it, if it wasn't for upsetting Ohio State in their last outing, they wouldn't have made it to any Bowl, let alone this one. In my opinion, that was their Super Bowl, so to speak. The already struggling offense will be without several of their most talented personnel here. If you remember, a season ago, on January 1, the Wolverines took down the Crimson Tide in overtime. This is a huge revenge situation for Alabama. Speaking of ‘Bama, they fell way short of expectations this season, going 9-3. By the way, their three losses are the most since 2010 when they finished the campaign at 10-3. As far as transfer portal goes, yes, some players will be leaving. But Jalen Milroe will be playing here, as of posting this play (check status). The dual-threat quarterback leads the team in touchdowns, rushing, and passing. He has a lot of weapons at his disposal. Remember this is an offense that averaged over 35.5 points per game, equally good in the air as they were on the ground. They face a Michigan defense that was pretty good. But will be without several key players as well. Defensively, Alabama allowed a mere 17.3 points per game, and down the stretch tightened it up pretty well. Remember this is a team that finished their campaign going 4-1, both straight up and against the spread. This is a big revenge factor, along with making a statement for next season. Take the Crimson Tide. Thank you. |
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12-30-24 | Lions -3 v. 49ers | Top | 40-34 | Win | 100 | 93 h 26 m | Show |
Detroit Lions. NFC GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 431. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. The road to the top-seed in the NFC has two possibilities for Detroit. If Minnesota defeats Green Bay on Sunday, the Lions will have to beat the Vikings in their regular-season finale to take the NFC North, and earn the No. 1 spot in the NFC playoffs. If the Packers win, Detroit can lock up the division, and the best record in the conference with a victory here this week. It's true, the Lions defense has surrendered quite a few points over their last several outings. But this team is in a must-win situation, and is a perfect, 7-0 SU as a visitor on the season, covering six of those seven road games. It's hard to believe San Francisco is eliminated from any postseason opportunities, as the 49ers are 6-9 this season. Losing several key players has been fatal to the team. Dropping five of their last six SU, and only covering two of their last nine, the writing is certainly on the wall for San Fran. Despite some solid statistics, the 49ers offense has only accounted for 22.1-points per game this season, and have coughed up the ball a whopping 22 times. I do expect quarterback, Brock Purdy to have some success in the air here. But his ground game will be absolutely shut down against the NFL's third-ranked rush defense. No matter how you cut it, the Lions offense ranks at or near the top in just about every category. I know their defense has given up some points in recent games. But their offense will keep the 49ers defense on the field, and more importantly San Francisco's offense off it. Take Detroit. Thank you. |
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12-29-24 | Dolphins -6.5 v. Browns | 20-3 | Win | 100 | 65 h 19 m | Show | |
Miami Dolphins. ODDSMAKERS MISTAKE PLAY. Game 429. 1:05 PM PST/4:05 PM EST. I feel the number in this game is definitely off by a few points. Maybe it's because the Dolphins are traveling into Cleveland to face the Browns, as the weather is supposed to be cold. We all know the statistics when Miami goes into cold weather. But this team is trying to make the postseason, hanging on by a thread. A victory here, and then next week against the Jets definitely helps their chances, although still very slim. Cleveland, at 3-12 SU, and 4-11 ATS, can't wait for this season to end. They've dropped and failed to cover four straight, and six of their last seven. Reports are the Browns will be going with Dorian Thompson-Robinson at the helm, who was just one start this season under his belt. The quarterback owns a QBR of 30.1, tossing zero TD’s, and five INT’s. The offense is absolutely atrocious, averaging a laughable, 16.3-points per game, and turning the ball over 30 times. This one will get out of hand. Take Miami. Thank you. |
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12-28-24 | BYU v. Colorado -3.5 | 36-14 | Loss | -109 | 56 h 3 m | Show | |
Colorado Buffaloes. ALAMO BOWL WINNER. Game 254. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. Starting this season off 9-0 gave BYU fans a lot to be excited about. However, they dropped two of their last three straight up at the hands of Kansas and Arizona State. Moreover, the second half of the season saw them being overvalued by oddsmakers, as they've only covered one of their last six outings. Their defense deserves a lot of credit. But has been exploited at times. The problem they have is when lining up against teams that aren't intimidated by them. There is no way head coach, Deion Sanders, and his players are intimidated here. News this week is that both Shedur Sanders and Heisman-Trophy winner, Travis Hunter will be taking part in the Alamo Bowl. Offensively, we all know the Buffaloes are a passing unit. While the Cougars pass defense can be frustrating, I just don't see them shutting down the fifth-ranked passing attack of Colorado. To make matters worse, BYU, I feel just won't be able to keep pace on the scoreboard in this matchup. There is a reason why the star players for the Buffaloes are playing here. There's also a big motivation factor for Deion Sanders to fulfill his prediction of a Bowl-victory. I feel this line should be a little bit higher. Take Colorado. Thank you. |
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12-28-24 | Chargers -4 v. Patriots | Top | 40-7 | Win | 100 | 38 h 19 m | Show |
Los Angeles Chargers. AFC GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 407. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. The Chargers are playing for a higher seed here, while the Patriots are done for the season. Los Angeles enters this matchup having a few extra days to rest, coming off their December 19 road victory at Denver. That ATS cover was there seventh over their last nine outings. Meanwhile, New England is currently just 3-12 on the campaign, dropping five straight coming into this contest, losing by an average of 28.2-points per game during that span. The L.A. defense tops the league, yielding just 18.3-points per game, and snagging 14 takeaways. Things don't look too good for Drake Maye and the New England offense, which ranks 30th in the NFL, posting a dismal, 17.3-points for game, and committing 21 turnovers. Coach Harbaugh will have his team motivated, and certainly has an edge over his counterpart. Take the Chargers. Thank you. |
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12-27-24 | Oklahoma v. Navy +3 | 20-21 | Win | 100 | 26 h 20 m | Show | |
Navy Midshipmen. ARMED FORCES BOWL WINNER. Game 234. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. It's funny how first impressions in sportsbetting can be quite misleading. When I first looked at this matchup, and the line, I circled Oklahoma. But as I did my due diligence, and looked further into the Armed Forces Bowl, I quickly changed my mind. Oklahoma, has been decimated by players opting out and/or going into the transfer portal. Their offense is totally depleted. They lose their quarterback, Jackson Arnold, and several of their receivers. This does not bode well as the Sooners offense was horrible this season. Not only was it not near the standard we are used to seeing, but it was downright ugly, averaging a mere, 24.3 points per game, ranking 123rd in passing, and 76th in rushing. Togo one further, they couldn't get out of their own way, committing 19 turnovers. Yes, it's true their defense ranks 34th in the nation, allowing just 21.6 points per game. And they are very good against the rush. But playing in the SEC, they have not had to face a team that runs the triple-option. Funny thing about that offense, you know it's coming, you do your best to prepare for it, and you still get steamrolled by it. Navy comes off a big high-profile win against Army back on December 14. Now normally I would look to fade a team following a game like that. But not here guys. I don't know if you realize this, but they took down Memphis, UAB South Florida, and ECU. All notable opponents. This is a team that cannot be intimidated. They also have a head coach that grew up just a few miles away from Sooners football, in Norman, Oklahoma. Yes, Brian Newberry grew up a big Oklahoma fan, and knows this team well. To add to their motivation, Navy is looking for just their sixth 10-win season in program history. It is well within their grasp, and I think they just might get it. Take the Midshipmen. Thank you. |
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12-26-24 | Seahawks -4 v. Bears | 6-3 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 53 m | Show | |
Seattle Seahawks. TOUCHDOWN PLAY. Game 405. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. This is certainly the time of year when you have to do your due diligence in the NFL. What I mean by that is you’ve got to look at certain teams that need to win, the teams that can better their situation for the postseason, and the teams that are eliminated from any chance at the playoffs. It's funny how the Seahawks went from the No. 3 seed in the NFC playoff picture to the No. 9 seed. They are in a must win situation here tonight, and even if they beat the Bears, and the Rams in Week 18, there is still a chance they will be on the wrong side of the cutline for the postseason. All that aside, they must win here tonight, as they face a Bears team that has been eliminated from any playoff opportunity. Chicago is riding a nine-game straight up losing streak, and have only covered two games since mid-October. This team has fallen way short of expectations. Their offense ranks 27th in NFL, accounting for just 18.9 points per game, and there once-feared defense is overworked and tired. Just over the last month, in their last five outings, they've gotten plowed for over 31.0-points per game. I feel Geno Smith, who by the way will reach 4,000 yards passing, probably in the first quarter of this game will shred the league’s 21st ranked pass defense. While the Seattle ground game isn't too threatening, just about everyone they have faced, has ran the ball with success against the 26th ranked run defense of Chicago. This comes down to which teams need it and which teams don't. And right now, the Seahawks need it. Let's face it, facing the likes of the Packers and the Vikings, which were their last two opponents, they now significantly step down in class and face Bears adversary here that has nothing to play, and shouldn’t be jeopardizing any of their stars. By the way, the Seahawks have also won and covered their last four games as a visitor. Take Seattle here folks. Thank you. |
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12-22-24 | Lions -6.5 v. Bears | 34-17 | Win | 100 | 26 h 60 m | Show | |
Detroit Lions. OM PLAY. Game 107. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Yes, Detroit had a tough time with Chicago back on Thanksgiving Day. And yes, they have been hit with the injury bug. However, the lions, at 12-2 have remaining games after this week on the road at the 49ers, then at home against the Vikings. They want nothing more than to finish the top seed in the NFC, and all the advantages that go along with it. Chicago is done for the season, and let's face it, their offense is absolutely horrible. They have to go up against the seventh-ranked defense in the NFL, and try to compete on the scoreboard with the top scoring offense in the league as well. There's no way they can do that. Take the Lions. Thank you. |
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12-21-24 | Tennessee +7.5 v. Ohio State | 17-42 | Loss | -109 | 54 h 42 m | Show | |
Tennessee Volunteers. FBS FIRST ROUND MATCHUP WINNER. Game 217. 5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST. Let's start with the elephant in the room folks…and NO, my ex has not walked in LOL. I am not siding with the underdog, Tennessee volunteers because of Ohio State’s performance in their last outing, a lackluster, 13-10 loss at the hands of the less than stellar, Michigan Wolverines. I also want you guys to throw out all the B.S. you are hearing about the weather at Ohio Stadium. Yes, it is going to be in the mid-20’s at game time. And normally, when you get an SEC team traveling to a cold weather area to play, it can play part in the game. However, the Volunteers have been practicing in the mid to high-30’s in Tennessee before traveling the short, five-hour drive from Knoxville to Columbus. Let's throw away the bones and just talk to meat, folks. The Buckeyes offensive line is a mess. They will be without several key cogs in their offensive line wheel. And I think that's going to be a big part in this matchup. Overall, yes, you cannot ignore the Ohio State defense is best in the nation, allowing just 10.9 points per game. But they don't force a lot of turnovers and, I feel their offense will have a hard time in the air as well as on the ground in this matchup. It will take w while for them to get in a flow. The Volunteers stop-unit ranks fourth in total yards, 17th against the pass, eighth against the rush, and fourth in points allowed. Let's circle back to the offensive line issue of Ohio State. The Tennessee defense has accounted for over 29 sacks this season. I just think giving this team more than a touchdown is a big mistake. I feel it's going to be a lot closer than the points spread. And I'm taking the Vols to cover here, folks. Thank you. |
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12-20-24 | Indiana v. Notre Dame -7 | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 30 h 46 m | Show | |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish. FBS FIRST ROUND MATCHUP WINNER. Game 212. 5:00 PM ST/8:00 PM EST. I personally was a big believer this regular season in the Indiana Hoosiers. I had them quite a few times, and always did well with them. We did well because they were under the radar. Well, they're not under the radar anymore. Their nonconference schedule was a joke, to say the least. And the game with Michigan, a little more than a month ago, was a lot closer than their 20-15 final score in which they were better than a two-touchdown favorite. They did get shellacked by Ohio State, in their following game after a bye week, 38-15. Their last outing which was impressive, as they shredded Purdue, 66-0, will definitely play a part in why the general public is behind them this week. But that is a huge common mistake made by bettors. Reports are weather will play a part in this contest. Now being that both teams are from Indiana, and are playing in Indiana, I doubt very much it will affect them. What I do think the big factor here that gives the Fighting Irish a major advantage, is that this will be a very physical matchup. And the Irish are certainly better in the trenches. I also feel the Notre Dame team, and their coaching staff is a little more experienced in big games situations. I may be Sicilian. But this Friday, I am all Irish. Take the Fighting Irish. |
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12-20-24 | Ohio -4.5 v. Jacksonville State | 30-27 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 41 m | Show | |
Ohio Bobcats. CURE BOWL WINNER. Game 207. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. Reports this week for the Cure bowl are that both Ohio and Jacksonville State’s head coaches have departed for other jobs. Having said that, these are two very good teams, despite not playing in Power Five conferences. Both are led by solid quarterbacks. But both possess some of the most feared rushing offenses in the nation. The Gamecocks rank second in college football in rushing, while the Bobcats rank 13th. It is true, Jacksonville State commits less turnovers offensively. But I feel the main difference in this game is going to be the superior defensive play of Ohio. They allow just 17.5 points per game, and rank fifth nationally against the rush. Their opponent allows 8.3 points per game more, and ranks 95th against the run. I believe that's where the difference in this matchup will be. Oh, by the way, they also come in her hotter, winning and covering six in a row. So, take the Bobcats to maul the Gamecocks. Thank you. |
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12-18-24 | Western Kentucky v. James Madison -7 | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 30 h 38 m | Show | |
James Madison Dukes. Boca Raton Bowl Winner. Game 202. 2:30 PM PST/5:30 PM EST. It's definitely that time of year when we have to worry about transfer portals. Weston Kentucky has a laundry list of players that are entering the transfer portal. However, there are no confirmations as of yet who will play and who will not. So, let's just go on the basis that everybody on both teams will play. Having said that, Western Kentucky has lost three of their last four straight up, getting blown out in their Conference Championship, 52-12 at the hands of Jacksonville State. This is a team that can throw the ball. But has absolutely no rushing attack whatsoever to keep defenses honest. Defensively, they can't stop the rush at all. Their “O” has committed 21 turnovers, while their “D” has snagged just 10 takeaways. James Madison is a rushing team. Not only that, but they their defense is one of the best in a nation, allowing a mere 20.8 points per game, equally good against the pass as they are against the rush. Their offense makes very few mistakes, while their defense has accounted for 17 takeaways. They enter this matchup losing their last two games but have a lot more talent on the field. Take the Dukes. Thank you. |
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12-17-24 | Memphis -4.5 v. West Virginia | 42-37 | Win | 100 | 33 h 58 m | Show | |
Memphis Tigers. Frisco Bowl Winner. Game 199. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. This is a Bowl matchup consisting of two teams that have never met before. Having said that, Memphis is a well-balanced machine. But West Virginia has certainly played better competition. The Tigers will be without their leading ball-carrier, Mario Anderson, who ran for almost 1300 yards, and notched 17 touchdowns. However, they do have a solid backfield with Thomas and Desrosiers, who combined for over 500 yards rushing and 10 TD’s. This is also a team that is known to possess one of the best passing attacks in the nation (10th). They rarely turn the ball over, and average over 35.2 points per game. I believe their aerial assault will dissect the 125th ranked pass defense of the Mountaineers. West Virginia can run the ball. But they go up against the 10th ranked run defense in the nation. By the way, West Virginia also commits a lot of turnovers, as their offense has committed 17 miscues already, and their defense has only snagged five takeaways. I think that will be the big difference here. Take Memphis. Thank you. |
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12-16-24 | Bears v. Vikings -7 | Top | 12-30 | Win | 100 | 56 h 29 m | Show |
Minnesota Vikings. MNF GOY. Game 482. 5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST. Chicago started the season off 4-2. But are currently riding the third-worst losing streak in the NFL, thanks to our own Las Vegas Raiders, and the New York Giants. Now they have to take it on the road and go into US Bank Stadium to face the 11-2 Minnesota Vikings. A Vikings team that is red hot, riding a six-game win streak. By the way folks, Chicago is winless as a visitor this year at 0-6 on the road, while Minnesota is 6-1 on their own field. Having said that, there's a couple of teams in the NFC that are already set. But a couple more wins can certainly help, and the Vikings are one of those teams. To close out their season, they're at home this week against the Bears, then take it on the road to Seattle, come back to Minneapolis to play Green Bay, and then finish their regular season off, and this might be a big game that decides division, on the road against the Lions. So, a “gimme” win here is big for this team right now, especially against a division rival. The once-feared Chicago “D” is no more. Their offense is so bad, their defense is overworked and tired. During their current losing streak, they have allowed an average of 25.2 points per game. Minnesota and their well-balanced offense are posting over 26.1 points per game. They have a phenomenal passing attack, and a pretty solid running game. But it is their defense that has been a big reason why they're so successful this season. They rank second against the rush, first in takeaways, and sixth in points allowed. Take the Vikings. Thank you. |
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12-14-24 | Navy v. Army -6.5 | 31-13 | Loss | -110 | 123 h 8 m | Show | |
Army. Game 454. 12:00 PM PST/3:00 PM EST. Since they are sole defeat of the regular season a few weeks ago at the hands of Notre Dame, Army has won their last two games. This week’s rankings have them up two spots to the No. 22 team in the country. There are only three other teams ranked in the top 25 with one loss; Notre Dame, Indiana, and Boise State. All of which have made the CFP. This is the Black Knights opportunity to prove all the pollsters wrong, and make an example of a formidable opponent. Army has taken six of the last eight meetings in the historic rivalry, straight up, covering six of the last eight meetings as well. Navy has had a few extra days to rest and prepare for this matchup. However, I don't think it's going to matter. Both teams are monsters at rushing the ball. The Army defense is significantly better. They allow just 15.0 points per game, rank 11th against the rush, and 34th against the pass. They've also committed just five turnovers, which tops college football, while their defense has snagged 17 takeaways. I think that's going to be the big difference here. The fact the Midshipmen offense committed 14 turnovers, and are definitely beatable defensively against the run. The Black Knights will come out here to prove a point, and make a statement. Take Army. Thank you. |
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12-08-24 | Bills -4.5 v. Rams | Top | 42-44 | Loss | -108 | 97 h 13 m | Show |
Buffalo Bills. Game 137. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. The Buffalo Bills wrapped up the AFC East already, and at 10-2, are just one-game behind the conference’s top team, the Kansas City Chiefs. This is not unfamiliar territory for Buffalo. However, as we all know over recent seasons, they have fallen short when it comes down to crunch time. They definitely want a different outcome this season. Many people out there might think that they're going to take their foot off the gas a little bit. But I am here to tell you they would be wrong. Buffalo is one of the hottest teams in football, winning seven in a row, and covering six of those seven. In consecutive games their offense scored 23, 34, 31, 30, 30, 30, and 35 points. Now they go into a domed stadium with perfect conditions. That to me spells doom for the host Los Angeles Rams. Speaking of the Rams, they have dropped their last two games played at home at the hands of the Miami Dolphins and the Philadelphia Eagles. Their defense has looked very vulnerable. They also have the San Francisco 49ers on deck, and can definitely be in a lookahead situation. I mentioned earlier the Los Angeles defense is beatable. They rank 21st in the league in points allowed, 15th against the pass, 28th against the rush, and 25th in total yards allowed. This does not bode well as they're going up against one of the most explosive, and well-balanced offenses in football. Not only that, but the Bills offense makes very few mistakes. On the flipside of the ball, the Buffalo stop unit is only allowing 18.7 points per game, and have snagged 13 takeaways already. Let's face it, we all know the Rams offense solely relies upon their passing game. Well, they're going up against the eighth ranked pass defense in the league. I mentioned earlier, many out there might think Buffalo might take their foot of the gas. But they cannot afford to do so. They want the top seed in the AFC, and they want what comes with it, home-field advantage throughout the playoffs. Under a touchdown as a gift. Take Buffalo. Thank you. |
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12-08-24 | Browns v. Steelers -6.5 | 14-27 | Win | 100 | 25 h 56 m | Show | |
Steelers. OM Play. Game 130. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. I'm not in love with laying a big number with the Steelers. However, after this week Pittsburgh has to travel to Philly, then Baltimore, then return back home to face Kansas City and Cincinnati. They have a tough schedule to close out the regular season. The Steelers currently sit in first place in the AFC North at 9-3. They need victories. And what better team to face than the Cleveland Browns. Cleveland has dropped eight of their last 10 straight up, seven of those 10 against the spread. They are a horrible road, team only covering one of their last five games played as a visitor this season. Now we throw in the "X" factor. The Browns took the Steelers down just a few weeks ago at home in poor weather conditions. Mike Tomlin and the Steelers are great in revenge situations. By the way, the Steelers have won six of their last seven game straight up, with their average margin of victory in those wins coming by 8.0 ppg. Take Pittsburgh. Thank you. |
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12-07-24 | Clemson +3 v. SMU | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 32 h 12 m | Show | |
Clemson. ACC TITLE GAME WINNER. Game 117. 5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST. I feel many people out there are looking to play SMU because of Clemson’s performance in their last game, a 17-14 loss at home against South Carolina. However, there were some contributing factors in that game. They felt their season was over, and what happened? The Miami Hurricanes blew their game, which opened the gate for the Tigers to step into the ACC Title game. Having said that, Clemson has an experienced quarterback, a smart head coach, a very well-balanced offense that makes very few mistakes, and a team that is no stranger to playing on this platform. I believe QB, Cade Klubnik will be able to take advantage of SMU's lax 85th ranked pass defense. I also feel their own stop-unit is going to come up big here and force some mistakes. Take the Tigers. Thank you. |
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12-06-24 | Western Kentucky v. Jacksonville State -4.5 | 12-52 | Win | 100 | 32 h 58 m | Show | |
Jacksonville State. CUSA TITLE GAME WINNER. Game 106. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. They say revenge is a dish best served cold. And my friends, I'm Sicilian, I know a lot about revenge lol. The Conference USA title game is a quick turnaround from last week’s Western Kentucky’s slim, 19-17 win at home. Now that Hill Toppers take to the road where they're just 3-3 straight up this season failing to cover the last two as a guest. Meanwhile, the Gamecocks are a monster team. They rattled off eight consecutive straight up wins, going 6-2 against the spread before the November 30 heartbreaking loss in which they blew a late lead. I see Jacksonville State with the nation’s third-ranked rushing attack playing a little different scheme here. They will totally control the clock, and the tempo, keeping the ball on the ground, and their opponents defense on the field. Take the Gamecocks for the revenge. Thank you. |
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12-01-24 | Steelers +3.5 v. Bengals | 44-38 | Win | 100 | 6 h 43 m | Show | |
Steelers. AFC NORTH GOW. Game 465. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. One thing Mike Tomlin and the Pittsburgh Steelers know how to do, is win during crunch time. Coming down the homestretch in the regular season, and playing good football it's something the Steelers team is accustomed to. Following their five-game straight up and against the spread hot streak. They can further distance themselves in their division, and in the AFC overall with a big victory here today. Cincinnati, let's be honest their season is over. There are 4-7 and have only won one game at home this season. The stout Pittsburgh defense, which ranks third in the NFL, allowing just 16.9 points per game, will wreak havoc on the Cincinnati offense. Yes, Joe Burrow leads the top passing unit in the league. However, without a stable ground attack to keep defenses honest, he is a sitting duck here today. Also, you can expect the Steelers offense to give the Bengals defense a heavy dose of the ground and pound. They will control the clock, the tempo, and the game. Take Pittsburgh. Thank you. |
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12-01-24 | Seahawks +1 v. Jets | 26-21 | Win | 100 | 6 h 40 m | Show | |
Seahawks. OM PLAY. Game 473. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Is there a bigger train wreck in the NFL this season than the New York Jets? I don't think so! Their head coach is gone, general manager is gone, play caller demoted, and their interim head coach is in way over his head. And let's face it, Aaron Rogers time in New York is coming to an end. Believe it or not, his winning percentage is lower than both Zach Wilson's and Sam Darnold’s. The Jets is done. They are just 1-7, both straight up and against the spread their last eight outings. The face a Seattle Seahawks opponent that is running hot, winning and covering their last two games, and looking to put some distance between themselves and the rest of the NFC West. A big victory here today will do just that. The only issue the Seahawks have is Geno Smith turning the ball over. And I doubt very much you're going to see any forced mistakes made by the lackluster, Jets defense. I mean they rank 31st in the league with just two takeaways. The general public is on the wrong side, and the oddsmakers are going along with it. It is a mistake that we will take advantage of. Take Seattle. Thank you. |
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11-30-24 | Notre Dame -7 v. USC | Top | 49-35 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show |
Notre Dame. GAME OF THE MONTH TOP PLAY. Game 437. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. Since losing in their second outing of the campaign to Northern Illinois, Notre Dame has very quietly run off nine consecutive wins, going 8-1 against the spread. There is an argument that their schedule was a little less than difficult. So, they must continue to annihilate their last opponent of the regular season here. Let's make no mistake of it, they know USC, and they don't like USC at all. As a matter of fact, going back 10 years, they have taken seven of the last 10 meetings straight up, covering six of those meetings. This does include last October’s, 48-20 demolishing. Granted, the Trojans are pretty good at home. But they have lost to some less than stellar opponents. I feel they are very vulnerable, and will get a beat down right here today. The Trojans offense relies solely upon their passing game. Well, this does not bode well as the Irish defense ranks number one in the nation against the pass. Oh, by the way they also rank second in points allowed. Take Notre Dame. Thank you. |
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11-30-24 | South Carolina +3 v. Clemson | 17-14 | Win | 100 | 4 h 52 m | Show | |
South Carolina. HIGH ROLLER. Game 347. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. South Carolina is 8-3 overall this season, and they are also 8-3 against the spread. They are on a five-game SU win streak. Oh, by the way, they've also covered four of five as an underdog this season. Because of their three conference losses they cannot take part in the conference title game. They would love nothing more than to beat their old rival, Clemson in their final regular season contest. I feel the Gamecocks ferocious defense, which ranks 14th in the nation, allowing just 18.2 points per game, is going to put pressure on the Tigers quarterback and force mistakes. Meanwhile, their stout rushing attack will control the tempo on the clock here. Take South Carolina. Thank you. |
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11-30-24 | Tennessee v. Vanderbilt +11 | 36-23 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 49 m | Show | |
Vanderbilt. SEC MONEY PLAY. Game 362. 9:00 ASM PST/12:00 PM EST. It's no secret the last three times Tennessee played outside of Knoxville; their offense has struggled. There is also been quite a few close calls at home. They face a Vanderbilt opponent here that is much improved from recent seasons. This is a team that has covered seven of their last 10, including ATS covers against Missouri, Alabama, Kentucky, Texas, Auburn, and LSU. Tennessee continues to be seriously overvalued, as they have only covered two of their last seven, and their last cover they got on the road was back at the end of September. They're giving the Volunteers too much credit. Take the Commodores. Thank you. |
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11-28-24 | Dolphins v. Packers -3 | 17-30 | Win | 100 | 26 h 50 m | Show | |
Green Bay Packers. Late Game Bailout. Game 310. 5:20 PM PST/8:20 PM EST. Yes, the Miami Dolphins have won three in a row, and covered their last four. But (and there's always a big but), but when playing in temperatures below 40°, Tua Tagovailoa’s numbers are absolutely deplorable. He struggles badly, and so does the team. The weather forecast is cold, cold, cold, in Lambeau Field for this matchup. Please understand the Packers are playing really good football. There are 8-2 straight up their last 10, and are starting to really hit their stride. The Dolphins not only struggle in cold weather, but they're actually horrible when they travel too. Something Green Bay doesn’t do at home. Take the Packers. Thank you. |
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11-28-24 | Giants v. Cowboys -3 | Top | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 22 h 6 m | Show |
Dallas Cowboys. OM GOM. Game 308. 1:30 PM PST/4:30 PM EST. Getting off a five-game loss and no cover slide last week, taking down a division rival on the road, will take a lot of pressure off the Dallas Cowboys. Now they face another division rival, and this time they are at home, where they must desperately get a big win to excite their loyal fan base. The Giants are riding their own six-game losing streak, both SU and ATS. They are having quarterback issues to boot. This is an offense that is non-existent. Because of this, their defense is overworked and tired. I look for the Cowboys to make a statement here at home, and turn it up the stretch. Take Dallas. Thank you. |
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11-24-24 | 49ers +2.5 v. Packers | 10-38 | Loss | -115 | 73 h 27 m | Show | |
San Francisco. NFC GOW. Game 269. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. I feel the oddsmakers have an off-line here. Currently, as of posting this game, the Green Bay Packers are a 2½-points favored over the San Francisco 49ers at home in an afternoon game. My numbers have the 49ers a 1.0 to a 1.5-point favorite here. Now, I know San Francisco is dealing with a slew of injuries. But Green Bay is also dealing with a laundry list of health problems, as well. Having said that, the 49ers have taken the last two meetings in this series straight up, winning by three-points in both. They enter this matchup off a loss at home against Seattle. I think this will further motivate them to turn things around before they come down the homestretch of the regular season. Meanwhile, Green Bay had big victory at Chicago last week. Despite winning, it was their fourth consecutive no cover. Remember folks, this isn’t about which team wins. It’s about which team covers. Both offense rank in the top-10 in scoring, and both are defenses allow just about the same number of points. However, there is no denying overall, the San Francisco defense is much stronger, both against the pass, and against the rush. Let's be honest, when you put pressure on Jordan Love, he tends to make mistakes. He's already thrown 11 interceptions already. I would much prefer to take Brock Purdy when being pressured, no BS. I think that's gonna’ be the big difference here folks. Like I said, I had the 49ers as a one to a one-and-a-half-point fav. I think this game will come down to mistakes, and which team scores last…the difference may be a field goal or less. San Francisco is the play. Thank you. |
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11-24-24 | Broncos -5.5 v. Raiders | 29-19 | Win | 100 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
***BRONCOS/RAIDERS WINNER*** Broncos. Game 265. 1:05 PM PST/4:05 PM EST*** It seems as though the Denver Broncos enjoy beating inferior opponents. They have been favored four times this season, and are 4-0, both straight up and against the spread in those games. Las Vegas is a train wreck, riding a six-game straight up slide, and just can't seem to get out of their own way. They've committed 20 turnovers on offense, and have only accounted for 18.7 points per game. As a matter of fact, ranking 32nd in the NFL in rushing has destroyed this unit. Because they are so bad offensively, their defensive is overworked, ranking 29th, and getting shredded for over 28.5 points per game. Take the Broncos. Thank you. |
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11-24-24 | Lions -7.5 v. Colts | 24-6 | Win | 104 | 4 h 56 m | Show | |
Lions. OM. Game 251. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. With the combination of the NFL’s top-ranked scoring offense, and it's fifth-ranked scoring defense, the Lions are rolling. They are just one-point away from covering eight consecutive contests, as they are riding an eight-game straight up win streak. They get another win and cover here today. Take Detroit. Thank you. |
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11-24-24 | Vikings -3.5 v. Bears | 30-27 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 53 m | Show | |
**NFC NORTH GAME OF THE MONTH*** Vikings. NFC NORTH GOM. Game 255. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. This might be the third straight road game for the Vikings, but they face a Bears team that are having trouble scoring, and must face a Minnesota defense that have allowed just 11.0 points per game in the month of November. We're coming down the homestretch in the NFL regular season, and cream rises to the top. Take the Vikings. Thank you. |
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11-24-24 | Cowboys +11 v. Commanders | 34-26 | Win | 100 | 4 h 50 m | Show | |
***COWBOYS/COMMANDERS WINNER*** Cowboys. Game 257. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. I am well aware of how bad the Dallas Cowboys are playing. We all know they lost their quarterback, and have dropped five in a row, both straight up, and against the spread. But the Commanders are on a slide themselves, losing and failing to cover their last two outings. Sooner or later, Dallas has to show some heart. Giving them double-digits is an insult. Take the Cowboys. Thank you. |
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11-24-24 | Patriots v. Dolphins -6.5 | 15-34 | Win | 100 | 4 h 47 m | Show | |
***GAME OF THE MONTH PLAY***AFC EAST GAME OF THE MONTH*** Dolphins. AFC EAST GOW. Game 262. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Miami is starting to gain some traction, winning their last two straight up, and covering their last three. If there is one team Tua Tagovailoa has had success against, it is New England. Overall, the Dolphins have had their way with the Patriots, taking eight of the last 10 meetings SU, covering nine of those 10. This does include eight consecutive covers. Just over the last three meetings since September 2023, the Dolphins have won and covered all three. This team knows if they're going to make any sort of a move towards the postseason, they must get serious right now. Take the Dolphins. Thank you. |
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11-23-24 | Iowa State -6.5 v. Utah | 31-28 | Loss | -109 | 30 h 21 m | Show | |
Iowa State. Game 171. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. Iowa State still has a chance at the Big 12 Title game. However, they must get a little bit of help and without question, win out the rest of their regular season contests. They bounced back from a two-game slide last week, taking down Cincinnati, 34-17. They face a Utah opponent that has now dropped six in a row straight up, and I've only covered two games since August. Things are going from bad to work for the Utes, as injuries has hurt this team badly. Either way, the Cyclones offense is just way too explosive, while they're defense creates a ton of turnovers. Take Iowa State. Thank you. |
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11-23-24 | Alabama -13.5 v. Oklahoma | 3-24 | Loss | -109 | 30 h 19 m | Show | |
Alabama. Game 223. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. Alabama needs to make an example on the road in Oklahoma this week, and then at home next week against Auburn to keep their CFP chances alive. I am well aware they suffered their two defeats this season on the road. But that is why they cannot afford another road loss or another poor showing as a visitor. They face an Oklahoma team that has played well enough for the talent they have. But they have dropped five of their last seven straight up, and five of their last nine against the spread. Playing at home has been no bargain for this team either. It is not the advantage it once was. The Sooners offense is less than mediocre (to be kind), and their defense neither strikes fear in any opponents, nor does it create any turnovers. They go up against a team that is as well-balanced as they have seen this season, and are seriously outmanned and outclassed. Take the Crimson Tide. Thank you. |
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11-23-24 | Penn State -11.5 v. Minnesota | 26-25 | Loss | -109 | 26 h 26 m | Show | |
Penn State. Game 155. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. The 9-1, fourth-ranked Nittany lions must, I repeat, must blow up their final two regular season opponents to be considered for the CFP. Following this game, they go home to play Maryland. Meanwhile, the 6-4 Golden Gophers are already Bowl-eligible. They have had a week off to digest their road loss at the hands of the Scarlet Knights. But I just don't think they have enough talent on the field or on the sidelines to compete here. Yes, their defense is pretty darn good. However, their offense, lacks the explosiveness to contend on the scoreboard in this matchup. On both sides of the line scrimmage, Penn State outclasses Minnesota, averaging over 33.0-points per game, and yielding adjust 13.6-points per game. They will completely shut down the Golden Gophers lackluster offense, while their well-balanced "O" moves the chains. Take the Nittany Lions. Thank you. |
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11-23-24 | Indiana +12 v. Ohio State | 15-38 | Loss | -109 | 45 h 5 m | Show | |
Indiana. BIG TEN BB. Game 159. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. Sport fans, as well you all know, there are only three undefeated college football teams remaining in the nation: Army, Oregon, and Indiana. Now Indiana following this game this week at Ohio State, finishes their regular season at home against Purdue. To be quite honest, this is by far, their toughest opponent today. And to be even more open, unless they make a good showing here, it will change whatever happens down the road as teams will look at them very differently. They must make a good showing or win outright in this matchup. There is an argument, they can phone it in this week and not jeopardize any key cogs in their wheel and still be good to go. But a bad loss here, may bump them for the Conference Title game and more. Making them nearly a two-touchdown underdog, I feel as a big mistake. While Ohio State is a monster team with a monster defense, I think you're going to see this game come down to a few factors: For starters, the Hoosiers can run the ball themselves. But they also own the nation’s No. 1 run defense. I believe they'll slow down the Buckeyes rushing game just a bit. But they themselves can run the ball and eat up a lot of clock. They are also just like Ohio State, a very good passing team. While the Buckeyes are a bit better against the pass, I really do believe the fact that Indiana will have success on the ground to open up their passing game will make them a lot more dangerous offensively. One more item I feel this game will come down to, and that is mistakes. Ohio State has committed nine turnovers while Indiana just seven. And even though the Buckeyes defense is the No. 1 stop-unit in the country in points allowed, they only have seven takeaways, while the Hoosiers have already snagged 11 turnovers. This game is gonna’ come down to running the ball with success and turnovers. While, I feel Ohio State should win this game, I don't think they're going to cover two touchdowns. I would take the points with Indy here. Thank you. |
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11-21-24 | Steelers -3 v. Browns | 19-24 | Loss | -118 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh Steelers. AFC NORTH GOW. Game 111. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. Pittsburgh is playing some great football, riding a five-game win streak, both SU and ATS. Meanwhile, Cleveland has notched just one victory and two covers since mid-September. Their offense is nonexistent, averaging just 16.2-points per game, and committing a whopping, 12 turnovers. On the other side of the line of scrimmage, I doubt very much they'll be able to contain the explosive, eighth-ranked rushing attack of the Steelers. Remember, the last time these two teams met was last November, almost exactly a year ago in Cleveland, as the Browns prevailed 13-10. One thing about Mike Tomlin and the Steelers, they like their revenge. Take Pittsburgh. Thank you. |
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11-21-24 | NC State +9 v. Georgia Tech | 29-30 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show | |
NC State. ACC ANNIHILATOR. Game 113. 4:30 PM PST PST/7:30 PM EST. The NC State Wolfpack is sitting at 5-5 overall, and are looking for that sixth victory to become bowl-eligible. Obviously, they know the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets very well. Speaking of the Yellow Jackets, they are sitting at 6-4 overall, and after this game tonight, they have a matchup on the 29th at Georgia. They just might be in a situation looking ahead to the final game of the regular season. While I do think they are a better team, that will most-likely control the clock with their running game, I do believe NC State will have some success in the air here, and keep this game a lot closer than the pointspread. Way too many points. Take the Wolfpack. Thank you. |
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11-17-24 | Chiefs +2.5 v. Bills | 21-30 | Loss | -108 | 53 h 9 m | Show | |
Chiefs. Game 469. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. In arguably the biggest matchup on Sunday, two AFC power houses meet, as the Chiefs travel to Highmark Stadium to face the Bills. My friends, say what you want about the Kansas City Chiefs. But this team each week, finds ways to win. I'm sure that they are well aware they're coming into this matchup as an underdog, which has only happened once this season, taking down the San Francisco 49ers on the road. Last season they were made a ‘dog twice in the regular season against the Dolphins and the Chargers, and their final three games, the Divisional playoffs at Buffalo, the Conference Championship at Baltimore, and then in the Super Bowl against San Francisco. They won and covered all five of those as you know. I am aware the Bills are the five-game win streak, covering four of those five games. But there is a very good chance that these two teams will be meeting in the postseason, and I just don't see Andy Reid, Patrick Mahomes, and the rest of the K.C. team giving Buffalo the mental edge with win here because that plays a big part down the road in the postseason. The Chiefs defense matches up well, and I do believe they will force Josh Allen into making mistakes. Take Kansas City. Thank you. |
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11-17-24 | Packers -5 v. Bears | 20-19 | Loss | -108 | 16 h 32 m | Show | |
Green Bay Packers. NFC NORTH GOW. Game 451. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Green Bay has taken 10 in a row over Chicago, both straight up and against the spread. They also come into this matchup coming off their first loss in over a month. Meanwhile the Bears are on a three-game slide, both straight up and against the spread, in which their offense has accounted for a mere nine-points per game. Because their offenses struggling so badly, their defense is overworked, and tired. This is an area in which the Packers are not struggling at all, ranking in the top-10 in just about every major offensive category. Defensively, they're holding teams just 21.6-points per game. I doubt very much the Bears are going to slow down, let alone stop their opponent’s offense here. Green Bay continues to dominate this rival. Take the Packers. Thank you |
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11-17-24 | Ravens -3 v. Steelers | 16-18 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 27 m | Show | |
Baltimore Ravens. AFC NORTH GOW. Game 457. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. All week I keep hearing about how solid the Steelers defense is. And they are good against the likes of the Raiders, Jets, and Giants. But last week they faced a formidable foe in the Commanders, and got shredded for 27-points. They did win the game. I'll give them credit for winning and covering four consecutive games. But the Baltimore Ravens know this team well, don't like them at all, and are running hot themselves. This is a team that's less than a touchdown away from winning eight consecutive games straight up, and covering six of those eight games. The Ravens offense is two-dimensional, as they rank third in passing, first and rushing, first in scoring, and first and total yards. On the flipside, the Pittsburgh offense is having trouble in the air, and relies solely upon their ground game. Well folks, the Baltimore defense tops the NFL, allowing 73.0 yards per game on the ground. To add to this, the Steelers have taken the last three meetings in this series. But this is a whole different Ravens monster this season. They will get their revenge. Take Baltimore. Thank you. |
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11-17-24 | Vikings -6 v. Titans | 23-13 | Win | 100 | 15 h 24 m | Show | |
Minnesota Vikings. OM PLAY. Game 463. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Tennessee has no offense whatsoever, averaging of 17.4 points per game, and committing a whopping, 17 turnovers. Granted, their defense tops the league against the pass. But they go up against one of the most well-balanced offenses in football, and to be quite honest, the Minnesota defense ranks first in takeaways with 15, and third points allowed, yielding just 17.4 points per game. They also own the number two run defense. So, I doubt very much the Titans will have any success offensively. With the Vikings looking to make a move in the NFC, I see this as an easy win for them. Take Minnesota. Thank you. |
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11-16-24 | Oregon -12.5 v. Wisconsin | 16-13 | Loss | -109 | 32 h 20 m | Show | |
Oregon. Late Bailout. Game 403. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. Topping the college football rankings, and being 10-0, Oregon must, I repeat, must keep their foot on the gas here this week. Behind them in the polls and also in the Big Ten, is the undefeated, fifth-ranked, Indiana Hoosiers. Both teams are perfect in the Conference, and both teams are perfect overall. However, the Hoosiers are off this week, and don't have another contest until the 23rd when they face Ohio State on the road. They then finish up their regular season at home against Purdue. Having said that, after this game this week, the Ducks finish off their campaign in a few weeks at home against the Huskies. In all sincerity, this team can stay perfect during the regular season. If they put up a ton of points here, and remember style-points count these days, they will keep their number one status for sure. They have covered three of their four games played on the road this season, missing one by just two-points. Wisconsin comes in here losing and failing to cover each of their last two outings, getting crushed by Penn State, 28-13, and then throttled by Iowa, 42-10. This is a team already sporting four losses this season, and I doubt very much they're going to put up any fight here. They are just outclassed and outmanned. Oregon possesses one of the most complete football teams on both sides of the line of scrimmage in this nation. And I just don't feel Wisconsin matches up at all here. Particularly because they committed 15 turnovers while only snagging three. Trust me when I tell you they're going to make mistakes here. Take the Ducks. Thank you. |
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11-16-24 | Tennessee +10 v. Georgia | Top | 17-31 | Loss | -115 | 33 h 30 m | Show |
Tennessee. SEC RS GOY. Game 379. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. Let's go to Saturday in a big SEC matchup between the seventh-ranked Tennessee Volunteers and the 12th-ranked Georgia Bulldogs. My friends, for the life of me, I don't understand why Georgia is laying 10 1/2 points in this matchup. At best, at home at Sanford Stadium I make them possibly a 6 1/2 to a seven-point favorite. The Volunteers sit atop the SEC at 5-1 in Conference play, and 8-1 overall. Yes, Georgia has taken the last seven meetings in this series, straight up covering six of those seven matchups. But this season, they are not the same team that they were over recent years. They have failed to cover all three games played at home in 2024 and, their once mighty defense has sprung a leak. They allowed Alabama to put up 41 on them, Mississippi State to post 31, Florida to put up 20, and Mississippi to put up 28. You guys know the Tennessee “D” has not allowed a single opponent to score better than 19-points this season. The Bulldogs cannot run the ball, relying solely upon the pass. Well, they have to face the 15th-ranked “D” in the nation against the pass, and overall, they only allow 12.6-points per game. Meanwhile, their gonna’ be in trouble trying to contain the well-balanced offense of the Volunteers, which are averaging over 37.6-points per game. This is the last big test for UT. After this they have UTEP up next, and then they finish the regular season on the road at Vanderbilt. I just don't see them letting their foot off the gas, and getting double-digits is an early Christmas present. Take the Volunteers, my friends. Thank you. |
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11-16-24 | LSU -3.5 v. Florida | 16-27 | Loss | -109 | 29 h 42 m | Show | |
LSU. SEC SMASH. Game 393. 12:30 PM PST/3:30PM EST. On Saturday as LSU travels to Ben Hill Griffin Stadium to take on Florida. Both teams come in here riding a two-game straight up slide. But the Tigers have certainly dominated this series, taking five meetings in a row, both straight up and against the spread. LSU quarterback, Garret Nussmeier is a real gunslinger. Coming into this game, he's already thrown for over 2,866 yards, with 21 TD’s, and a 62.7% completion rate. That does not bode well for a Florida defense, allowing 27.6 points per game and getting burned for 234.2 yards per game in the air. On the flipside, the Tigers stop-unit lines up across from a Gators offense that can't get out of their own way, committing over 15 turnovers, and in all honesty, have nothing threatening, offensively. They have to play Mississippi at home next week, and then they finish up against their old rival Florida State on the road. I think they're definitely gonna’ be in a “look-ahead” spot here. LSU has Vanderbilt up next, followed by Oklahoma, both games played at home. I don't see them falling short here. Take LSU folks. Thank you. |
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11-16-24 | Tulane -7 v. Navy | 35-0 | Win | 100 | 25 h 54 m | Show | |
Tulane. Early Winner. Game 345. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. Tulane, with a victory here can basically guarantee themselves a slot in the AAC Title game. Ahead of them in the Conference is Army as they are both undefeated in AAC. However, as you know, the Black Knights are undefeated overall, while the Green Wave sit at 8-2 on the season. Not only are they winning, they are covering, going 8-2 ATS this season. Navy came back down to reality after starting the campaign off undefeated through their first six-games, getting thrashed by both Notre Dame and Rice. Last week they did take down South Florida. However, they just don't match up well with Tulane. The Green Wave possess a solid run defense. But also, can rush the ball themselves. And the Midshipmen just aren't built for that. Lay the TD and ride the Green Wave. Take Tulane. Thank you. |
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11-14-24 | Commanders +3.5 v. Eagles | 18-26 | Loss | -110 | 58 h 34 m | Show | |
Washington Commanders. Game 313. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST This Thursday night matchup is in my opinion, one of the best you're going to see all season long. It's a battle for first place in the competitive, NFC East. Right now, the Philadelphia Eagles sit in the top spot at 7-2. Just behind them at 7-3 is the Washington Commanders. The Eagles can separate themselves with a victory. But the Commanders can tie them with a win here. Getting Washington coming off a heartbreaking, 28-27 loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday, I think will further motivate this team to come out here and get back on the winning track. Yes, Philadelphia is riding a five-game straight up win streak. But this is the most complete team they have had a face in quite a while. If you look at the regular season schedule for both teams, Washington took down some good opponents. They haven't suffered a bad loss since September 8 on the road at Tampa Bay. Since then, they are 3-0-1 ATS as a guest, and their only defeat since then has been to a very strong, Baltimore squad back in mid-October. When the Eagles have been asked to step up in class, which really only happened once on the road at the Buccaneers, they got thrashed, 33-16, back at the end of September. Washington is 6-2-2 ATS the last 10 meetings in this rivalry. I feel their fourth-ranked running attack will open up their 11th-ranked passing attack. On the flipside, Philadelphia isn't really all that great at passing the ball. But they are monsters on the ground. I do feel the Commanders will come in here and slow their ground game down significantly. One more item that makes me side with the visitor here: their offense makes very little mistakes, while Philadelphia's "O" has turned the ball over 11 times. Take Washington. Thank you. |
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11-12-24 | Western Michigan +8.5 v. Bowling Green | 13-31 | Loss | -113 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
WMU Broncos. MAC MM. Game 303. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. This is going to be a very tough matchup. Western Michigan is currently tied with three other teams, including Bowling Green atop the MAC at 4-1. There are all also 5-4 overall. Having said that, the Broncos following a four-game straight up win streak took one on the chin a little less than a week ago at home against the Huskies, 42-28. That also ended their three-game ATS cover Streak. Bowling Green has played some good football over their last three outings. However, they are severely overvalued as they have only covered one of their last five contests. This is an opportunity for Western Michigan to exact a little revenge as they lost the last two meetings in this rivalry. If they can get past this obstacle this week, they have two easy games coming up to finish off the regular season. Meanwhile, Bowling Green has this game this week followed by an easy one at Ball State, and then finish up their regular season against Miami Ohio, a tough matchup. The Broncos, with their 18th-ranked rushing attack will control the clock, the tempo, and keep the Falcons defense on the field, and their offense off it. Way too many points. Take Western Michigan. Thank you. |
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11-10-24 | Bills -4 v. Colts | 30-20 | Win | 100 | 4 h 11 m | Show | |
Buffalo Bills. AFC GAME OF THE WEEK. Game 263. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Buffalo has begun to separate themselves from most of the AFC pack. They have the second-best overall record in the Conference, at 7-2. They enter today's matchup running red-hot, riding a four-game straight up win streak, in which they've covered three of the four games. They have the Chiefs up next, and normally I would look to stay away from a team like them today. But following next week’s contest with Kansas City, they then have a bye week before playing at home on December 1 against San Francisco. They're schedule won't get any easier as they take to the road to play the Rams, and then the following week must face the Lions in Detroit. So, I don't see a lookahead situation for this team. I actually feel this game is big one for them. They go into Indianapolis to face a Colts squad that is starting to show signs of cracking, dropping their last two games straight up. At home this season, Indy has played well, going 3-1. But the three victories as host came against a Miami team without their quarterback, and two September victories against struggling offenses of Chicago and Pittsburgh. Between their mistakes on offense (13 turnovers), and ranking 26th against the pass and 31st against the rush on defense, I just see this game getting out of hand. Take Buffalo. Thank you. |
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11-09-24 | BYU -4 v. Utah | 22-21 | Loss | -109 | 79 h 56 m | Show | |
BYU Cougars. Bookie Buster. Game 145. 7:15 PM PST/10:15 PM EST. The ninth-ranked BYU Cougars are not only the only undefeated team in the Big 12 (5-0), but they are also only one of five teams in the nation (8-0) that remain unblemished. That tells us they must keep their foot on the gas here. Just behind them tied for second place in the Conference, is both Iowa State and Colorado, which are both at 4-1. With regular season games remaining against Kansas, Arizona State, and Houston, it is very likely, they can run the gauntlet, and finish the regular season perfect. The Utah Utes are a train wreck. They are just .500, at 4-4 overall, which does include a dismal, 1-4 in Conference play. They are sliding badly, riding a four-game lose and no cover streak. Granted, both teams come off a bye week, the Cougars are certainly healthier. I don't see them in a “lookahead” mode, or even a “letdown” mode here as we all know they know this opponent very well, and furthermore, dislike them immensely. Please remember Utah had their way in this rivalry for many years, taking nine consecutive meetings, going back to November 2010, prior to 2021's, loss on the road, 26-17. The tide has turned in this rivalry. Sure, the Utes have a solid defense But, their offense is absolutely atrocious, ranking 105th in scoring (22.8 points per game), and committing 14 turnovers. They just won't be able to keep pace on the scoreboard with the explosive, 24th-ranked scoring offense of the Cougars, which are accounting for over 35.0-points per game. By the way, the BYU defense ain't too shabby, yielding just 19.6 PPG, and snagging 14 turnovers. Take the Cougars. Thank you. |
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11-09-24 | Oklahoma v. Missouri +3 | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 44 h 23 m | Show | |
Missouri tigers. SEC SMASH. Game 160. 4:45 PM PST/7:45 PM EST. The SEC has certainly lost a lot of its luster. But this Saturday, there's a big matchup I feel the oddsmakers have the wrong team favored. Oklahoma is just 5-4 overall, which does include a 1-4 record in SEC play. They've lost three of the last four straight up, and are only 1-1 on the road this season. But yet, the oddsmakers are still overvaluing them making them a three-point favorite over the home team Missouri Tigers. The Tigers are perfect 5-0 SU at home, 6-2 overall, and sit in the middle of the pack at 2-2 in Conference play. We all know that towards the end of the regular season, you will see better matchups. With a couple of victories, Mizzou can certainly up their stock. They come off a loss on the road at Alabama, and embarrassing defeat, 34-0. The last time they dropped a game, they bounced back to win and cover their following two outings. And I feel they're going to bounce back here, folks. The Sooners have the Crimson Tide and the LSU Tigers on deck to close out their regular season, while Missouri has South Carolina, Mississippi State, and Arkansas. Oklahoma just might overlook this opponent here on Saturday. The Sooners aren’t the team they once were on either side of the ball. Their offense, their once-feared offense, ranks 91st in scoring, 111th in total yards, 107th in passing, and 82nd in rushing. And they turned the ball over 13 times. Their defense, is decent, but certainly not threatening, especially not against the pass. Missouri will completely shut down their passing game, as they did against most opponents this season, and only allow 17.9 points per game against some very good offenses. They also have a very solid ground game with control the clock here. I think those factors will be the difference. Giving them points as a mistake. Take the doggie here WOOF WOOF. Take the Tigers. Thank you. |
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11-09-24 | Georgia v. Ole Miss +3 | 10-28 | Win | 100 | 40 h 12 m | Show | |
‘Ole Miss Rebels. Game 162. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. At first glance I feel this is very tough matchup. However, the Bulldogs have been overvalued for most of the season, as they've only covered one of their last seven outings. To make matters worse for Georgia, they have Tennessee on deck at home, may be in a position to get caught just right by a very dangerous ‘Ole Miss squad. There's no doubt the Bulldogs 12th-ranked passing unit will have some success in the air here. But I doubt very much they'll be able to keep their opponents defense honest with their running game, which ranks 97th, and lining up across from the second-ranked rush defense in the nation. The Bulldogs offensive also makes a lot of mistakes, committing 12 turnovers against five takeaways on the defensive side of the ball. These are two places the Rebels are certainly superior. I see the offense of the home team moving the chains with their well-balanced attack. Being the fact, they can shut down their opponents rushing game, tells me their ground game will control the clock in the tempo. Take Mississippi. Thank you. |
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11-09-24 | Clemson -6.5 v. Virginia Tech | 24-14 | Win | 100 | 40 h 50 m | Show | |
Clemson Tigers. HIGH ROLLER. Game 197. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. The ACC’s Clemson Tigers come off their first loss since when folks? Since August! They were on a six-game straight up winning streak until last week, when they hosted the Louisville Cardinals as a 10 ½-point fav, and got thumped, 33-21. Well, this team, and their head coach, does not take losing lightly. I expect them to bounce back here, and put a big hurt on the Virginia Tech Hokies. Going back more than a decade, Clemson has taken six straight meetings in this series straight up, covering five of the six meetings. This team is sitting in third place in the ACC, at 5-1 in Conference play. With this Conference matchup, and only one more, their next against the Panthers, they really need these two victories badly. They face a Virginia Tech team that's just 3-2 in ACC play, and come off a road loss at the hands of Syracuse. The Hokies have had trouble with well-balanced opponents. They won't be able to do much in the air here, as they rank 113th in passing. Their entire offense relies upon their running game. Well folks, they're going up against a very stout, run defense here, that's only yielding 140 yards per game on the ground. I don't see them moving the chains… at all. On the flipside, the Tigers rank in the top-25 in both passing and rushing, and are ninth in the nation in scoring, averaging just shy of 40 points per game (39.4 PPG). They also don't make too many mistakes, committing just four turnovers, while snagging nine takeaways in the process. I think this game is gonna’ be one of the ugliest mismatches on the board. Under a touchdown is an early Christmas present. Take Clemson. Thank you. |
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11-09-24 | Miami-FL -10.5 v. Georgia Tech | 23-28 | Loss | -112 | 37 h 32 m | Show | |
Miami-Fl. Hurricanes. EARLY WINNER. Game 131. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. Miami cannot let their foot off the gas. The 4th ranked Hurricanes are a perfect 9–0 this season overall, and tied with the Mustangs at 5-0 in ACC play. With games remaining against Georgia Tech, Wake Forest, and Syracuse, it is very logical this team can finish the regular season perfect. To go one further, they can also exact a little revenge on an opponent that took them down last season, 23-20, when they were a 19.0-point favorite. Quarterback, Cam Ward can up his Heisman status as he goes up against a very lax, 60th-ranked pass defense. On both sides of the ball, the ‘Canes outclass the Yellow Jackets. I expect the No. 1 scoring team in the nation, to stay that way. Take Miami. Thank you. |
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11-09-24 | Minnesota -6 v. Rutgers | 19-26 | Loss | -105 | 36 h 18 m | Show | |
Minnesota Golden Gophers. BIG TEN BLOCKBUSTER. Game 179. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST With remaining games against Penn State and Wisconsin, this week's contest against Rutgers is Minnesota's only pushover opponent. The Golden Gophers are a very respectable 4-2 in Conference action (Scarlet Knights 1-4 in Big 12), enroute to an overall, 6-3 record. To us sportsbettors, they've been money, going 7-1-1 ATS this season. They are riding a four-games SU win streak, and a five ATS cover streak. They face a Rutgers team that is sliding, losing and failing to cover their last four outings. The Golden Gophers do not do it pretty. But their defense, which ranks 12th in the nation, allowing a mere, 16.8-points per game and snagging 15 takeaways, will completely shut down the lackluster, Scarlet Knights offense. If you're someone who just likes to compare games, in the last month, Minnesota took down both USC and UCLA, holding both teams are 17 points scored, while those two teams shredded Rutgers the last few weeks 35-32, and 42-20. By the way, during their current four-game slide, the Scarlet Knights average margin of the defeat is 14.2-points per game. Take the Golden Gophers. Thank you. |
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11-03-24 | Dolphins v. Bills -6 | 27-30 | Loss | -108 | 27 h 30 m | Show | |
Buffalo Bills. OM PLAY. Game 458. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. I think the line is a bit short here, my friends. Buffalo has taken the five in a row and nine of the last 10 in this series SU, covering the last three, and six of the last nine meetings. We all know that Tua Tagovailoa is back at the helm for the Miami Dolphins. He did spark their offense last week in a losing effort, as they put up twice their season average, scoring 27-points. But they go into Highmark Stadium to face a Buffalo Bills opponent that wants to stay above the rest of the AFC East. Buffalo is 3-0 at home this season, and are on a three-game SU/ATS hot streak. I just don't see the Bills easing back here against a Division opponent they truly dislike. Take Buffalo. Thank you. |
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11-03-24 | Commanders -4 v. Giants | 27-22 | Win | 100 | 26 h 22 m | Show | |
Washington Commanders. NFC EAST GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 467. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Very quietly, the Washington Commanders are only one of three teams in the NFC that have claimed six-victories already. They are sitting atop the competitive, NFC East, at 6-2, with the Philadelphia Eagles over their shoulder, at 5-2. They can get another big Division victory here, and put some more distance between themselves and the rest of the NFC East. You may not realize this, but they are also money to anyone that bets them, as they are just a half-point away from covering seven straight games (6-0-1 ATS run). They took a September 15 meeting at home against the New York Giants, 21-18. But so much has changed since then, for the better. The Commanders are absolutely crushing opponents. Speaking of which, the Giants are winless at home at 0-4 SU, failing to cover yet when playing host as well as they are 0-3-1 ATS. I just don't see New York and their 31st ranked scoring offense (14.6 points per game) keeping pace at all on the scoreboard with the third-ranked scoring "O" of Washington, which is averaging over 29.5-points per game. Oh, by the way, they rarely turn the ball over, something the Giants offense does quite a bit (10 turnovers). This game gets ugly. Take the Commanders. Thank you. |
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11-02-24 | Indiana -7.5 v. Michigan State | Top | 47-10 | Win | 100 | 40 h 43 m | Show |
Indiana. Game 349. 12:30 pm pst/3:30 pm est. Indiana has something to prove in this matchup. The Hoosiers are 8-0, are only one of two teams in the nation that haven't trailed in any game, and are ranked only 13th in the polls. The Hoosiers have the Wolverines up next at home before a showdown on the road at the Buckeyes. They must win big here and next week before the November 23 meeting with Ohio State. They've covered three of the last five meetings in this series, which does include all three matchups at Michigan State. No matter which quarterback is under center here, their offense has proven that they can move the chains, and score points on just about any opponent. Believe it or not, this team is averaging over 46.5 points per game, equally strong on the ground as they are in the air. Furthermore, they've only turned the ball over six times, while their defense, which is seventh in the nation, allowing just 14.1 points per game, has snagged nine takeaways. Michigan State, usually falls flat following a meeting with Michigan. The team has dropped four of their last five, straight up, only accounting for 21.0 points per game, while committing 16 turnovers. Yes, their defense is pretty good, but have allowed six of their last seven opponents to put up a minimum of 20-points. The Hoosiers must keep their foot on the gas. Take Indiana. Thank you. |
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11-02-24 | Oregon -14.5 v. Michigan | Top | 38-17 | Win | 100 | 40 h 36 m | Show |
Oregon. Game 383. 12:30 pm pst/3:30 pm est. For Saturday, I'm looking at a high-profile game, between the No. 1 ranked Oregon Ducks and the Michigan Wolverines. Just like me folks, I'm going to’ keep this breakdown very short, and extremely sweet (lol). Yes, my friends, currently the line here is a little bit better than two touchdowns. But the top-ranked, Ducks need to keep their foot on the gas. As you know, they're undefeated at 8-0, and sports fans, they need to stay that way. Moreover, even though the Wolverines aren't what they were, they are still the defending National Champions, and this contest will be on national TV. Obviously, style points count these days. And with their remaining outings against the Terrapins, Badgers, and Huskies, I don’t see them falling short in a look-ahead, let-down situation. Behind Oregon are seven other undefeated squads, all ranked in the top-25. It is the 3rd ranked Penn State Nittany Lions that could certainly jump up in the polls with a victory over the Ohio State Buckeyes Saturday morning, further motivating the Ducks. I don't see Oregon easing up at all here. Please remember, Michigan was the team to beat for so long, and this would be big, big, win for the Oregon. Throw into the mix, with a huge performance here, quarterback, Dillon Gabriel could certainly up his stock in the Heisman voting. The Ducks will make a statement against the Wolverines, and let the rest of the top-10 know, they are the team to beat. Lay the wood with Oregon and take your bookmakers money…QUACK QUACK. Thank you. |
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11-02-24 | Vanderbilt +7.5 v. Auburn | 17-7 | Win | 100 | 37 h 1 m | Show | |
Vanderbilt. Game 331. 9:45 am pst/12:45 pm est. Vanderbilt has been money to sportsbettors, covering six of eight outings this season, and seven of their last nine overall contests. The Commodores come off their first loss since the end of September, a 27-24 defeat at home at the hands the Longhorns in which they were a 17-point underdog. When asked to step up in class, this team has done well. They not only kept it close with Texas, but covered against Kentucky, Alabama, and Missouri. By the way they took down the Wildcats and Crimson Tide. Let's not forget they opened their regular season with seven-point win at home as a two-touchdown underdog against Virginia Tech. Meanwhile, Auburn just got their first victory in a than a month and a half following a four-game straight up losing streak. Granted, hey were playing some solid opposition. But this team is struggling. By the way, one more victory and Vandy is Bowl-eligible. This is way too many points, folks. Take the 'dog. Thank you. |
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11-01-24 | Georgia State v. Connecticut -8 | 27-34 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 20 m | Show | |
UConn. Game 316. 4:00 pm pst/7:00 PM est. This is a great spot for Connecticut to exact a little revenge from last season’s, 35-14 loss on the road at Georgia State in which they were just a 2.5-point underdog. The Huskies are 5-1 straight up at home, and won four of their last five overall outings straight up, and have covered seven of their last 10. Meanwhile, the Panthers have dropped four in a row straight up, only covering one of those games, and are winless on the road this season, at 0-3. By the way, this is the third consecutive game in which they are on the road. I just don't see them keeping pace, especially with a defense that is getting burned for over 30.7 points per game. Take Connecticut. Thank you. |
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10-31-24 | Texans +2 v. Jets | Top | 13-21 | Loss | -108 | 57 h 50 m | Show |
Texans. Game 311. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. The oddsmakers are looking to trap you here. But my friends, we are not going to fall for it. Just because the Texans are a little banged up, they are daring you to play the Jets. Well, New York is a two-point favorite as of posting this game, and are riding a five-game losing streak, both SU/ATS. As a matter fact, they haven't covered a game as a favorite since September 19. Meanwhile, Houston has won six of their eight outings this season, and have covered their last two games played as a visitor. They are also 3-1 ATS their last four overall outings. Looking at this matchup, it is expected that CJ Stroud will have a tough time against the second-ranked passing attack of New York. However, they do have a stronger rushing attack, much stronger. They average over 118.9 yards per game on the ground, as opposed to the paltry, 86.1 yards per game rushing the Jets account for. They will control the clock, and move the chains on the ground to keep the New York defense honest, allowing them to open up their passing game. Please understand, New York cannot score. They are averaging just 18.8 points per game, and have turned the ball over nine times. Now through this point in the season, many offenses have turned the ball over. But the Jets defense has accounted for just two takeaways. Compare that to the Texans stop-unit, which have snagged eight turnovers already. The difference in this game is evident. Take Houston. Thank you. |
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10-29-24 | UL-Lafayette +4 v. Texas State | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
Ragin' Cajuns. Game 305 5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST. Sports fans, these two teams are very evenly matched. But the Ragin' Cajun's enter this matchup with momentum as they have won four in a row straight up, and have dominated this rivalry, winning the last 10 matchups SU, covering nine of those 10 meetings. They have also found a way to win on the road, as they are a perfect, 4-0 straight up as a visitor this season. Going back to last season, they have covered four of their last five on the road. I just think the team is favored here. Take ULL. Thank you. |
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10-27-24 | Bears v. Commanders +3 | Top | 15-18 | Win | 100 | 71 h 33 m | Show |
Washington Commanders. Game 276. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. My Sunday play is a very interesting one because I feel it is a mistake made by the oddsmakers. Let's talk about the matchup between the Bears and Commanders. Yes, both teams are surprising everyone this season. Washington which is 5-2, which does include a perfect 3-0 straight up and against the spread record at home. is perched atop the competitive, NFC East. NO SMALL FEAT, my friends. Chicago, believe it or not, at 4-2 is in last place in the NFC North. They do own one of the top defenses in football, and are riding a three-game straight up and against the spread hot streak. But let's not get all crazy folks, those three victories were against the Rams, Panthers, and Jaguars, which are a combined 5-15 this season. The line is off here because there's a big question mark on Commanders quarterback, Jayden Daniels. As of Thursday morning, odds are against the standout quarterback to see any action this week. Whether he is or isn't under center on Sunday, only affects the line, and nothing else. His backup, Marcus Mariota… although going up against Carolina last week in Daniels’ absence, looked great, passing for 205 yards, two touchdowns, zero interceptions, and adding another 34 yards on the ground. He is a seasoned quarterback and fits in quite nicely with this offense, and will be a handful if he does play this week. By the way, the Bears are winless on the road this season, at 0-2. And while their own rookie quarterback, Caleb Williams has a lot of people in Chicago excited, he also makes a lot of mistakes. And the way the Commanders defense has been playing, I think he's in real trouble this weekend. The wrong team is favored here. Take the Commanders. Thank you. |
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10-27-24 | Packers -3.5 v. Jaguars | Top | 30-27 | Loss | -120 | 50 h 31 m | Show |
Green Bay Packers. Game 267. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Green Bay enters this week’s matchup with Jacksonville, one of the hottest teams in the NFC, winning three in a row, and sitting in second place, tied with Minnesota in the NFC North, at an overall 5-2. With the Vikings loss on Thursday night, the Packers have an opportunity to slip into sole possession of second place in the very competitive Division. I feel the Jaguars are in a huge letdown situation here, following their win at home last week against the lowly, Patriots. This is a team that is just 3-7 overall their last 10 outings straight up, and have only covered four of their last 10 outings. They are being outscored by 7.0-points per game this season. While their offense has decent numbers, they have still committed seven turnovers. Meanwhile, their defense is absolutely horrible, ranking 30th in the League, yielding over 27.7-points per game, ranking 31st against the pass, and have only snagged one takeaway. I feel the top-10 passing unit, led by Jordan Love, will absolutely shred the Jaguars secondary here. No matter how you cut it, the Green Bay offense ranks in the top-10 is just about every single category. This does not bode well for Jacksonville. The Packers have the Lions on deck, and I do not see them in a look ahead spot. They must fine-tune their team here so they are ready to take on their rival next week. Take Green Bay. Thank you. |
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10-26-24 | Kansas v. Kansas State -9.5 | 27-29 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 18 m | Show | |
Kansas State. Game 182. 5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST. I love rivalry games guys. On Saturday, we will see the ninth most played rivalry in college football, going back to 1902, as Kansas and Kansas State square off for the 122nd time. These two teams have very different outlooks right now. The Jayhawks are 1-3 in Conference play, enroute to an overall, 2-5 record, while the Wildcats are tied in the Big 12 with the Red Raiders, Bearcats, and Buffaloes, all at 3-1, and all sitting in second place behind the Cougars and Cyclones, which are both at 4-0. This is a big game for Kansas State, as they can get another big Conference win, especially against the team they truly hate. To say they've had their way in this series, would be an understatement. Just going back the last 10 years, they have taken 10 consecutive matchups with Kansas, covering the spread in six of those meetings. To be quite honest, in the five most recent meetings, only one would be less than the pointspread this week as they have won those by 28, 31, 25, 20, and last year, by just four-points. It is because they only won by a slim margin a season ago that I feel they're going to come back here and really stomp their most-hated rival. I don't see them taking their foot off the gas or be in “look ahead” mode because on deck, they have Houston, Arizona State, and Cincinnati, before a matchup on the road at Iowa State to finish the regular season. Kansas, which does own a solid ground attack, has to lineup against the nation’s fifth-ranked run defense. The Kansas State defense has been solid, yielding just 20.6-points per game. I just don't see their opponent keeping pace on the scoreboard here. At home against their loyal fans, I see Kansas State running the score up for sure. Take the Wildcats to maul here. Thank you. |
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10-26-24 | LSU +1 v. Texas A&M | Top | 23-38 | Loss | -109 | 32 h 25 m | Show |
LSU. Game 165. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. The only two undefeated SEC teams square off here, with serious implications down the road. Both Texas A&M and LSU are 6-1 overall, with the Aggies 4-0 in Conference play, and the Tigers 3-0 in SEC action this season. Both teams started the season off with a loss, as both have since run the gauntlet, winning six consecutive outings. LSU has certainly had their way with Texas A&M, taking seven of the last 10 meetings straight up, and nine of the last 10 against the spread. There was a time when the Tigers were a little shaky when they travel. But this season, they are 2-0 as a visitor. Granted, Texas A&M has played a very good football. But I believe they're a bit overvalued coming into this matchup, dropping eight of their last 10 outings against the spread, going back to last November. Meanwhile, LSU enters this matchup covering three straight, and matches up well here. They own the eighth-ranked passing attack in the nation, which will exploit the lax, Texas A&M pass defense. On the flipside, the Aggies are extremely successful on the ground offensively. But they must line up against the stout, 33rd ranked run defense in this matchup. I believe the wrong team is favored here folks. Normally, I would step away from the Tigers when they have the Crimson Tide on deck. But they have an off week next week, and let's face it, ‘Bama isn't a team they once were. Take LSU. Thank you. |
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10-26-24 | Michigan State +5 v. Michigan | 17-24 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 24 m | Show | |
MSU. Game 155. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. Wow, has Michigan football taken a significant step down in class or what? Winning the National Title a season ago, then losing their head coach, starting quarterback, and starting running back, definitely hurt the Wolverines. However, there is so much more missing from this year’s squad. This is a team that is 4-3 straight up, and that failed to cover six of seven games this season. They rank 112th in scoring, averaging just 21.1 points per game, and have coughed up the ball 15 times on offense, with a passing unit ranking 130th. Last season’s feared defense, is no more. They are an absolute doormat against the pass, and are allowing over 22.1 points per game. While Michigan State can throw the ball, their defense has really stepped up this season. Believe it or not, statistically their stop-unit ranks better than their rivals here, as they allow just 20.9 points per game, and have snagged eight turnovers already. Michigan has games with Oregon at home and then Indiana on the road up next. This is an ideal spot for the Spartans to a little revenge and catch their heated and hated rival at the right time. Take MSU. Thank you. |
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10-26-24 | Florida State v. Miami-FL -21 | 14-36 | Win | 100 | 32 h 48 m | Show | |
Miami Fl. Game 122. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. With five games remaining in the regular season, Miami Florida has a real chance to play in the ACC Title game. For starters, their quarterback, Cam Ward right now seems to be the favorite to take the Heisman Trophy. This is a team that has run the gauntlet, winning all seven of their outings already this season, and despite laying some big numbers, is still 4-3 against the spread. They face a Florida State opponent that has taken the last three meetings in this series. However, the Seminoles this season, are a much different team than we have seen in recent seasons. They are just 1-6 straight up, and have only covered two games since the beginning of last December. Each week seems to be getting worse and worse for FSU. They rank 132nd in scoring, averaging just 15.0 points per game, and have turned the ball over 13 times. That would be bad enough, but their defense has been getting plowed on the ground and has only snagged two takeaways this season. There is no way they can compete with the number two scoring offense in the nation. Miami. Thank you. |
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10-26-24 | Oregon State +11 v. California | 7-44 | Loss | -109 | 29 h 37 m | Show | |
Oregon State. Game 197. 1:00 PM PST/4:00 PM EST. Cal began the season off 3-0, which did include a high-profile road victory over Auburn. However, they now sit at 3-4 straight up, and are losing games that they really should not. Granted, Oregon State has dropped their last two straight up, and their last three ATS. But I just don't see the Golden Bears laying double-digits against a game, Beavers opponent that has won covered the last two meetings in this rivalry. Offensively, Cal is one-dimensional, with a decent passing game. But OSU ranks 20th defensively against the pass. The Beavers also have an amazing rushing attack that will control the clock and keep their opponents defense on the field. This is way too many points to give OSU. Take Oregon State. Thank you. |
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10-20-24 | Jets v. Steelers +1.5 | 15-37 | Win | 100 | 44 h 34 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh Steelers. Game 474. 5:20 PM PST/8:20 PM EST. Has the tarnish worn off this Aaron Rodgers situation yet? My friends, we've been hearing about Aaron Rodgers since he signed with the Jets. Then after the injury on the season-opener a year ago, what we've been hearing is wait until Rodgers returns. Well, the 40-year-old quarterback is back, and has his team just 2-4 overall. Their offense is actually deplorable, ranking 24th in the NFL in scoring, posting a measly, 18.8-points per game. On top of that, they can't get in sync, as they've committed seven turnovers already. They have to take it on the road to face Mike Tomlin, who is never happy about being an underdog, especially at home, and a Steelers opponent which got back on track last week on the road, routing the Raiders, 32-13. The Pittsburgh offense matches up well here, and will move the change with ease. But it will be their defense that will shine completely, shutting down the nonexistent offense of New York. I mean they're allowing just 14.3 points per game. Take the Steelers. Thank you. |
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10-20-24 | Chiefs +2 v. 49ers | 28-18 | Win | 100 | 40 h 43 m | Show | |
Kansas City Chiefs. Game 471. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. Guys let me make a preemptive strike here and tell you that I feel the San Francisco 49ers are a very good football team. But, like several other preseason favorites, they just aren't hitting their stride just yet. Yes, there's an argument that they've been hit with the injury bug. This is a team sitting at 3-3, both straight up and against the spread this season. Which makes me question why the oddsmakers have made them a small favorite at Levi’s Stadium this Sunday. I think the wrong team is favored here, folks. You can say what you want about the Kansas City Chiefs. But this is a team that finds new and improved ways to win week after week. They are on an 11-game straight up win streak, going 10-1 against the number, folks. They are money no matter what role the oddsmakers put them in. They find ways to win, and they find ways to cover, too. They did have a few extra days to rest, heal, and prepare for this contest. We all know how great Patrick Mahomes and the offense is. But give some credit to this Kansas City defense, which is holding opponents to 17.0-points per game. They have been monsters at stopping the rush, and also pretty darn good against the pass. But it will be that run defense that I think will shine here. This is a stop unit that has contained Alvin Kamara, Derrick Henry, Zack Moss, Bijan Robinson, and JK Dobbins to 26, 46, 34, 31, and 32 yards rushing in consecutive weeks. By the way, let's not forget Kansas City has covered seven straight in the underdog role. Giving them points is a mistake. I like them outright. But I'll take the 1.5-points here. And I will take it to the bank. Take the Chiefs. Thank you. |
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10-19-24 | Georgia v. Texas -4.5 | 30-15 | Loss | -109 | 19 h 3 m | Show | |
Texas. Game 402. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. With all respect to the Bulldogs, they just don't look like the team many thought they would be at this point. Following their first loss of the season on the road at Alabama at the end of September, they couldn't blow up or even pull away from either Auburn or Mississippi State in their last two outings. They are now riding an 0-5 ATS cold streak. That tells us, they are being severely overvalued by the oddsmakers, my friends. This is by far, in my opinion the toughest team they've had to face yet this season. The Longhorns are deserving of their No. 1 ranking. They aren't just a perfect, 6-0 straight up, they also covered five of their six contests this season. And let's face it, they’ve faced some solid opposition. If the Longhorns want to remain the Nation’s No. 1 team, they must win with authority here this week. And I believe they can. A healthy, Quinn Ewers is back at the helm, to go along with that very solid ground game. I believe it will be that ground game that will control the tempo and the clock in this matchup against the very overrated Bulldogs defense. I mean Georgia allowed Alabama to put up 41 and Mississippi State to put up 31 on them, extending their no cover slide to five straight games. And let's face it, on the offensive side of the ball, the Bulldogs just don't have that same rushing attack to keep defenses honest. I don't see them keeping pace on either side of the field in this match up. Lay the points with the Longhorns. Thank you. |
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10-19-24 | Iowa -6 v. Michigan State | 20-32 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 59 m | Show | |
Iowa. Game 415. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. Iowa, which is 4-2 overall on the campaign, has a real opportunity to finish the season running the gauntlet, and winning out. Yes, they lost Iowa State by one-point and got a beatdown on the road at the hands of Ohio State, but the Hawkeyes can finish out their regular season not losing another game. They must first get past their hated-rival, the Spartans. On both sides of the ball, Michigan State is outclassed. They are averaging just 19.8 points per game, and have committed 14 turnovers on offense already. Meanwhile, while their numbers aren't the worst on defense, they are still yielding over 21.0 points per game. I just don't see this defense slowing down the explosive rushing attack of Iowa. On the opposite side of the line of scrimmage, the Hawkeyes possess one of the stingiest, one of the nastiest, one of the most ferocious defenses in college football. They will completely shut down the lackluster “O” of MSU. Take Iowa. Thank you. |
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10-19-24 | Baylor v. Texas Tech -5.5 | 59-35 | Loss | -109 | 16 h 41 m | Show | |
Texas Tech. Game 362. 1:00 PM PST/4:00 PM EST.
In what just might be the biggest mismatch on the board this Saturday in college football as Texas Tech, which is 3-0 in Conference play, hosts Baylor, which is 0-3 in the Big 12 this season. The Bears are on a three-game straight up and against the spread slide, while the Red Raiders are red-hot, winning and covering their last four outings. They come here with confidence knowing they took down Baylor a season ago, 39-14 on the road. This game gets even uglier. Take Texas Tech. Thank you. |
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10-18-24 | Oklahoma State v. BYU -9 | 35-38 | Loss | -111 | 34 h 15 m | Show | |
BYU. Late Bailout. Game 322. The Big 12 is a very competitive conference, and right now, the BYU Cougars are sitting atop the Conference, tied with the Iowa State Cyclones and the Texas Tech Red Raiders at 3-0 in conference play. However, only Iowa State joins them and being undefeated overall, at 6-0. After starting the season 3-0, the Oklahoma State Cowboys are now sitting at 3-3, also failing to cover their last three contests. Can you say revenge? The Cowboys took down the Cougars in overtime last November in the Big 12 Championship. Oh, how the mighty have fallen. Oklahoma State cannot run the ball, turning the ball over on offense every game, and possess a defense that is absolutely getting steamrolled for over 27.2-points per game. They must face, a well-balanced offense here, and also must line up against one of the stingiest defenses in the nation. I see BYU keeping their foot on the gas. Take the Cougars. Thank you. |
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10-18-24 | Oregon -28 v. Purdue | 35-0 | Win | 100 | 32 h 2 m | Show | |
Oregon. TD play. Game 319. 5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST. Normally, I would look to fade a team like Oregon coming off a big victory over Ohio State last week. However, the second-ranked Ducks are sitting behind the nation’s top-ranked, Longhorns. Now this game between Oregon and Purdue is being played on Friday night. Late Saturday afternoon, Texas hosts Georgia. If they happen to go down, Oregon would be in an ideal spot to leapfrog them in the polls with a solid showing here. The Ducks don't have anybody solid coming up for a few weeks. So, they have to keep their foot on the gas here because style points count. Purdue has been outscored by an average of 15.3 points per game this season. And they have not had to face a team as complete as they're facing here this week. This game gets ugly. Take Oregon. Thank you. |
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10-13-24 | Texans -6.5 v. Patriots | 41-21 | Win | 100 | 18 h 17 m | Show | |
Houston Texans. Game 269. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Houston and New England are certainly two teams heading in opposite directions. The Texans are 4-1 and have taken down some solid opposition. Meanwhile, the 1-4 Patriots are really sliding. They came out of the gate to win their season-opener. But have dropped four consecutive games, both straight up and against the spread. Their offense is accounting for a mere 12.4 points per game. Now reports are they handing the reigns over to Drake Maye. Even if the rookie quarterback lights a bit of a spark, he is still going up against the NFL's third-ranked pass defense. To make matters worse, he will be without the team’s best running back, in Rhamondre Stevenson. On the flipside, I just don't see the 25th ranked Patriots pass defense slowing down the juggernaut which is CJ Stroud and the second-ranked passing attack in the NFL. On a sidenote, Houston has covered the last three meetings in this series going back to 2019. Take the Texans. Thank you. |
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10-12-24 | North Texas -5 v. Florida Atlantic | 41-37 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 56 m | Show | |
UNT. Game 157. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Chandler Morris has been outstanding. The quarterback leads the fourth-ranked passing attack in college football, averaging over 348.6 yards per game in the air. Granted, the FAU pass defense is tough. But they have problems when facing two-dimensional offenses. The fact the Mean Green can run the ball with efficiency will keep their opponents defense honest, and allow them to open up and have success with the passing game here. I just don't see the Owls keeping pace on the scoreboard with an offense that averages just 22.0 points per game. This game will get out of hand. Take North Texas. Thank you. |
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10-12-24 | Northern Illinois +3 v. Bowling Green | 17-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
NIU. Game 135. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. I feel the wrong team is favored here. I see the visitor here being favored by at least one or two-points. Having said that, Northern Illinois should have no problem moving the chains on the ground with the nation’s, 10th ranked rushing attack against 114th ranked rush defense. This will also allow them to control the clock and the tempo. On the defensive side of the ball, they allow just 19.2 points per game. As I mentioned earlier, the wrong team is favored. Take the Huskies. Thank you. |
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10-06-24 | Packers -3 v. Rams | 24-19 | Win | 100 | 40 h 25 m | Show | |
Packers. Crusher. Game 469. 1:25 PM PST/4:25 PM EST. Jordan Love will shake the injury rust off here against a Rams defense ranking 31st, getting shredded for 28.8-points per game. They're horrible against the pass. But rank 32nd in the NFL against the rush. That does not bode well, lining up against the league’s explosive, 2nd ranked rushing attack. To throw gas on the fire, Green Bay is also 10-0 against the spread, the last 10 meetings with Los Angeles. Take the Packers. Thank you. |
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10-06-24 | Raiders +3 v. Broncos | 18-34 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 9 m | Show | |
Raiders. AFC WEST GOM. Game 465. 1:05 PM PST/4:05 PM EST. Off the field headlines surrounding head coach, Antonio Pierce, and wide receiver, Davante Adams would normally be a distraction for any team in the NFL. But our Las Vegas Raiders are no strangers to distractions. Plus, they enter this matchup knowing they have dominated the Denver Broncos, taking nine of the last 10 meetings, both straight up and against the spread. Gone are the days Denver is money in Mile High, covering just six of their last 17 at home. Maxx Crosby is expected to return here (check status), and will make his presence known, wreaking havoc on the young, Bo Nix. Take the Raiders. Thank you. |
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10-06-24 | Browns v. Commanders -3 | 13-34 | Win | 100 | 37 h 9 m | Show | |
Commanders. LIM. Game 464. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. Cleveland is supposed to be getting some pieces back in their puzzle this week. But is that enough to take them on the road against a Washington team riding a three-game straight up and against the spread hot streak? While the Browns defense hasn't been that bad. They still rank dead-last in the NFL with zero takeaways, and must face the third-ranked rushing attack in football. On the flipside, Deshaun Watson and the Browns “O” can't do anything right, turning the ball over five times, resulting in a mere, 16.5-points per game. This is one area the Commanders rank 1st in the NFL, turning the ball over only once. Not crazy about laying a field goal with the Commanders. But it's better than the alternative. Take Washington. Thank you. |
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10-05-24 | Duke +9.5 v. Georgia Tech | 14-24 | Loss | -105 | 31 h 43 m | Show | |
Duke Blue Devils. OM Play. Game 339. 5:00 PM PST/8:00 PM EST. The oddsmakers have this game all wrong, my friends. No way should Georgia Tech be any more than a five or six-point favorite here at home. Duke is playing some good football. They are riding a seven-game straight up win streak, going back to last November. Granted, the Yellow Jackets put up more points. But their passing game is going to run into some problems here against the 19th ranked pass defense. As a matter of fact, overall, the Blue Devils stop-unit hasn’t allowed a single opponent to score more than 21 points this season. Way too many points to give a team with a solid defense, looking for a little vengeance from dropping the last three meetings in this rivalry. Take Duke. Thank you. |
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10-05-24 | Clemson -14.5 v. Florida State | 29-13 | Win | 100 | 30 h 46 m | Show | |
Clemson Tigers. ACC GAME OF THE WEEK. Game 325. 4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST. Clemson is rolling, winning and covering three in a row, and get a chance to avenge last season’s, 31-24 overtime loss at home at the hands of Florida State. Speaking of the Seminoles, things couldn't get much worse for this team, which is on a 1-5 SU/ATS run. The ACC’s top team can further solidify their top spot in the Conference with another big win here, and move up to poles from their current 15th ranking. Take the Tigers. Thank you. |
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10-05-24 | Indiana -13.5 v. Northwestern | 41-24 | Win | 100 | 44 h 18 m | Show | |
Indiana Hoosiers. EIM. Game 353. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. Let’s talk about the Indiana Hoosiers. They are currently 5-0 straight up, and have covered four of their five contests this season. In all sincerity, with teams like Nebraska, Washington, Michigan State, and Michigan all up next in consecutive games, this team could very possibly be undefeated at 10-0 when they go in to play Ohio State on the road in the third week of November. I don't see them looking ahead here either, folks, and that's for one main reason… although they took last year's meeting in this match up with the Northwestern Wildcats, 34-3. That game was at home. They haven't won on the road at Northwestern since like 1993. Remember this team took to the road about three weeks ago and thrashed UCLA, 42-13. Going back to their being money to us bettors, they could very well be 5-0 against the spread as well, as they eased off the gas in their season opener against FIU, wining 31-7 as a 26-point fav. I'm hearing the Wildcats defense is pretty darn good. But they stepped up twice, and got slashed twice, allowing the Blue Devils to score 26, and the Huskies to put up 24 points. They failed to cover their last three, and I just don't see this team, which by the way is averaging a paltry, 17.3 points per game, trading blows with the explosive, Hoosier’s offense, which is averaging over 48.0 points per game, and are equally strong on the ground as they are in the air. There's no way the Hoosiers don't exact some revenge and finally get a big win in Evanston. Take Indiana. Thank you. |
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10-05-24 | Navy -9.5 v. Air Force | 34-7 | Win | 100 | 23 h 38 m | Show | |
Navy Midshipmen. Game 347. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. Air Force has had their way in this series, taking four in a row, and seven of the last 10 meetings over Navy. However, this season, these are two very different teams from past seasons. The Midshipmen are 4-0 straight up, and less than a field goal away from going 4-0 against the spread. On the other hand, the Falcons are just 1-3 straight up, and have failed to cover all four games this season. Navy can now pass the ball to go along with the nation’s fifth-ranked rushing offense. This is a unit that's averaging over 46.0-points per game, while Air Force can't score at all, averaging just 12.5-points per game. They've also turned the ball over five times. This game gets out of hand. Lay the wood. Take the Midshipmen. Thank you. |
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10-05-24 | Missouri +2.5 v. Texas A&M | 10-41 | Loss | -109 | 23 h 33 m | Show | |
Missouri Tigers. TD play. Game 379. 9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST. Missouri comes in here taking it on the road for the first time this season. They also come here well-rested, having had not taking the field since September 21. They are also 6-0 ATS their last six games played away from home (road/neutral). They also don't have anybody solid up next as they travel to the east coast to take on UMass next week. So, I doubt you'll see them in a look ahead situation. Meanwhile, Texas A&M is once again being overvalued. They are just 1-4 ATS this season. Going back to last season, they have covered just one of their last eight outings. And when playing in College Station, they are severely overvalued, as they have failed to cover five straight on their home field. Let's not forget the Tigers are riding and eight-game straight up winning streak going back to last November, beating such notables as the Volunteers, Gators, Razorbacks, and Buckeyes. They've also covered four straight in an underdog role. Take Missouri. Thank you. |
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10-04-24 | Syracuse v. UNLV -6.5 | 44-41 | Loss | -109 | 26 h 49 m | Show | |
UNLV Rebels. Game 368. 6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST. The entire college football world is waiting for a shoe to drop on the UNLV Rebels. Well, I'm here to tell you, despite playing the 3-1 Syracuse Orange, that isn't going to happen. While the Orange are a good team, and certainly a formidable foe, they are pointspread poison, failing to cover seven of their last 10 games. Not only that, but their defense has gotten shredded, allowing the Bobcats to put up 22, the Yellow Jackets to post 28, and the Cardinal to dissect them for 26 points. The Rebels defense is for real. They have yet to allow us a single opponent to post more than 20 points, and they faced some good offenses; Cougars, Jayhawks, and Bulldogs. They proved last week that they could win after their official regular season starter at quarterback made plans to leave and sat. This team is doing it with good with defense and good coaching. Two things Syracuse certainly lacks. Under a touchdown is a gift. Take UNLV. Thank you. |
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10-03-24 | Bucs +1.5 v. Falcons | 30-36 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers. NFL NO LIMIT. Game 301. 5:15 PM PST/8:15 PM EST. Obviously, both Tampa Bay and Atlanta are playing on a short week. However, the Buccaneers coaching staff certainly is more experienced in this situation. The Falcons coaching staff consists of head coach, Raheem Morris, who has been around the League for a bit. But his offensive and defensive coordinators, along with his quarterback are all relatively new to this system, and playing on a short week with less time to prepare, will hurt here. I think it's a lot to ask this team to play a Division game on a short week, on national TV. Please note this team did not score an offensive touchdown in their win over the Saints last week. Not only that, but their one-point victory on the road at the Eagles a few weeks back, could've very easily been a loss. They have won two games thus far, by a combined three-points. On the other hand, Tampa Bay has won and covered three of their four outings already this season. With a victory here tonight, they could take a stronghold in the NFC South. Very quietly, Baker Mayfield has over 985 yards passing with a 70.5% completion rate, and is 8/2 TD/INT. His counterpart, Kirk Cousins is struggling. Yes, he has thrown for some yardage, and has a decent completion percentage. But he has just 4 TD’s against 4 INT’s. There is no comparison between the offenses at all. Not only that, but the Tampa Bay defense has looked considerably stronger. Take the Buccaneers. Thank you. |
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09-29-24 | Vikings +2.5 v. Packers | 31-29 | Win | 100 | 50 h 11 m | Show | |
Minnesota Vikings. NFC NORTH GAME OF THE MONTH. Game 269. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. In what just might be one of the two most viewed NFL games this week, the other being the late-Sunday, Bills/Ravens matchup, I love the NFC North matchup between the Vikings/Packers. The big news here is the status of Jordan Love. As of just before posting this play, he is still questionable. But reports are he did take snaps this week, and is looking pretty good. I think giving the visiting, Minnesota Vikings points is a huge mistake. Many naysayers out there are waiting for a shoe to drop on Minnesota. I'm here to tell you, the team which is 3-0, both straight up and against the spread is going to continue to win this week. Whether Love plays or not, Malik Wills has won back-to-back games for Green Bay. No matter who is under center for the Packers this here, this defense will be the toughest they have faced yet. Let's face it, the Vikings stop-unit ranks second in points allowed, yielding just 10.0 points per game, second against the rush, and have already snagged five takeaways. That would be enough for me here, my friends. However, Sam Darnold leads the third highest-scoring offense in the NFL, averaging over 28.3 points per game. They are equally strong on the ground as they are in the air. Let's not forget Minny, is also seeking some vengeance from last December 31’s, 35-10 loss, while they were sliding at the end of the regular season. Green Bay, which ranks number one in football rushing the ball, will just not have the same success they have had against recent opponents here. Oh, one more item, Vikings running back, Aaron Jones gets his first crack in Lambeau, against the team he spent the first seven years of his career with. That to me is the cherry on top of the sundae. I like the Vikings out right. But I'll take the points with them here, folks. Take Minnesota. Thank you. |
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09-29-24 | Saints +3 v. Falcons | 24-26 | Win | 100 | 28 h 51 m | Show | |
New Orleans Saints. Late Week Info Move. Game 263. 10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST. I feel the wrong team is favored here. I know New Orleans is the visitor. However, I feel they should be at least a 1.0 to 1.5-point favorite in this matchup. They have looked more consistent, their defense has played much stronger, and at key positions, they are healthier. The icing on the cake is the contrast between the Saints rushing attack and the Falcons run defense. Big mismatch. Take New Orleans. Thank you. |
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09-28-24 | Washington State +7 v. Boise State | 24-45 | Loss | -109 | 37 h 36 m | Show | |
Washington State Cougars. NO LIMIT. Game 161. 7:00 PM PST/10:00 PM EST. Both, Washington State and Boise State are playing some good, solid football right now. However, the big difference is the Broncos are being overvalued, while the Cougars are being undervalued. BSU is just 1-2 ATS this season already, while WSU is 3-1 against the number. As a matter of fact, Washington State is 5-1 ATS their last six games, going back to last season. One thing for sure, the Cougars do not want a repeat of last year’s situation, when they started the campaign going 4-0 straight up (3-1 ATS), then they collapsed. This is a big win for them if they can get it. I believe this game is going to come down to the last team to score. Obviously, their explosive passing attack is going to do some damage here against a very lax, pass defense of Boise State. One thing you must understand, Washington State is equally good on the ground as they are in the air, and that will be the difference here. Take the Cougars. Thank you. |
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09-28-24 | Ohio State -23.5 v. Michigan State | 38-7 | Win | 100 | 34 h 34 m | Show | |
Ohio State Buckeyes. OM PLAY. Game 205. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. In what is billed as their first true test of this regular season, the Ohio State Buckeyes take to the road to take on an old rival in Michigan State. The third-ranked Buckeyes have a big opportunity here with a big showing. You see, just in front of them in the national rankings is Georgia, which have a showdown with Alabama about the same time this game starts on Saturday (30 minutes earlier). OSU has an opportunity to jump into second place in the national rankings before their schedule gets a bit tougher. The fourth-ranked scoring defense in the nation, which is allowing a mere 6.7 points per game, is equally strong against the pass as they are against the rush. They also go up against an MSU offense which has turned the ball over an astounding 10 times already. When it comes to mistakes, the Spartans make a lot of them, and the Buckeyes can and certainly will capitalize. On the flipside of the ball, Ohio State has only turned the ball over once, and makes few mistakes offensively. This is a true opportunity for the Buckeyes to make a statement, earn some style points, and possibly step into a ranking of No. 2 in the nation. Take Ohio State. Thank you. |
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09-28-24 | Mississippi State v. Texas -37.5 | 13-35 | Loss | -109 | 31 h 38 m | Show | |
Texas Longhorns. TD Play. Game 170. 1:15 PM PST/4:15 PM EST. Texas owns the No. 1 ranking in the nation right now, and wants to keep it. They enter this match up here against their first ever SEC opponent as an SEC representative. They truly want to make a splash. If you’re worried about them having Oklahoma on deck, don't be because the Sooners aren't the team they were, and the Longhorns still have a bye week after this game here this week. Having said that, they possess the top-scoring defense in the nation, allowing just 5.5 points per game. Please take note, Mississippi State will be without their starting quarterback, Blake Shapen, and in his place will be true freshman, Michael Van Buren, who has just seven completions under his belt this season. This is not an offense that can rely on a running game either, to keep defenses honest. On the flipside, there is no way the Bulldogs 107th ranked scoring defense is going to slow down, let alone contain the explosive offense of the Longhorns, which are accounting for over 45.0 points per game. This matchup gets ugly. Take Texas. Thank you. |