Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-23-22 | Blazers +3.5 v. Lakers | 106-104 | Win | 100 | 5 h 32 m | Show | |
Take Portland. Crash the Boards. Game 501. 12:30 PM PST/3:30 PM EST. Most of the early money this morning is coming in on the Lakers because the general public feels that after starting the season off going 0-2, that they are due for a victory. Well waiting for LeBron James and Los Angeles to get their first win, is worse than waiting for a check in the mail from Publishers Clearing House. Portland travels to LA with sporting their first 2-0 start since the 2018 campaign. Let’s throw away the fact that the Blazers are 14-6 ATS the last 20 meetings with the Lakers in Los Angeles. Let’s look at the present day. The Blazers are relatively healthy, while once again the Lakers are already listing most of their stars as questionable or probable here today. No one expect too much from LA. And I really don’t think their fans are expecting a victory here today. Despite all their superstar personnel, the Lakers are accounting for just 103.0 points per game. And now must face a much-improved Portland squad that is brimming with confidence, following wins and covers on the road at Sacramento and at home a few nights ago against Phoenix. Damian Lillard will light up the scoreboard here today in this match up. Take Portland. Thank you. |
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10-21-22 | Grizzlies -6.5 v. Rockets | 129-122 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
Memphis Grizzlies. Las Vegas Strip Move Play. Game 547. 5:10 PM PST/8:10 PM EST. Memphis begins their campaign off with a big win at Madison Square Garden two days ago, taking New York down 115-112 in overtime. Houston put up a valiant effort in Atlanta in their season opener, falling short 117-107 in Atlanta. Important to tell you that the Grizzlies did fail to cover, while the Rockets eked by with a cover by a half-point. The Memphis one of the strongest teams in the West. And once again, Houston is one of the worst. No one expects too much from them. However, the Grizzlies have high hopes this season. After a lackluster overtime win against the Knicks, the they must put their foot on the gas in this matchup to give the team a little momentum and confidence and their fans something to be excited about. Going back to last season the Rockets have now dropped eight in a row straight up. They are pretty good against the spread. But Memphis has had their way with them, taking five of the last six straight up and four of those six against the spread. Houston is just 0-5 ATS the last five games played vs. teams with the winning percentage above .600. They are also a dismal 25-55 AYTS the last 80 games played at home. Ja Morant and company are just too much for their counterpart to handle here. Take the Grizzlies. Thank you. |
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10-20-22 | Clippers -5.5 v. Lakers | 103-97 | Win | 100 | 13 h 13 m | Show | |
Los Angeles Clippers. Above The Rim Play. Game 531. 7:00 PM PST/10:00 PM EST. After the beating the Lakers received at the hands of the Warriors in their season-opener a few days ago, I would normally look to jump on a team like that to bounce back in their second game of the campaign. However, the Lakers are a whole different story. And now that they have to face the Los Angeles Clippers, their crosstown rival in their season opening contest, I think things are going to go from bad to worse for LeBron James and company. The Clippers are at full strength with no significant injuries to the roster. This is very exciting because it is the first game Kawhi Leonard will be taking the floor in about 15 months. Not only that, but it is the first game he and Paul George are both on the floor for in quite a while. And when you have a guy like John Wall coming off the bench, I think it’s safe to say that your team is loaded. The Clippers have taken seven consecutive meetings straight up with the Lakers, including all three a season ago. They are 10-1 against the spread the last 11 meetings at the Lakers and 35-17 against the spread the last 52 overall meetings with the Lakers. I look for Leonard to come out here and play very well as the team flexes their muscles against their crosstown rival. Take the Clippers. Thank you. |
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10-18-22 | Lakers v. Warriors -6 | 109-123 | Win | 100 | 29 h 7 m | Show | |
Golden State Warriors. Slam Dunk Play. Game 504. 7:00 PM PST/10:00 PM EST. Funny thing folks, the Golden State Warriors are touted to take the Western Conference. However preseason predictions have the Phoenix Suns actually taking the Pacific Division. That can’t sit well with the Warriors. No matter how you look at it, Los Angeles just does not have the horses to run with Golden State. I know that last season they played each other three times and the Warriors took two of the three meetings straight up. And the Lakers took two of the three against the spread. Yes, they play each other very tough. But this is a new season and Golden State would love to come out here and make a statement not just to their hated rivals, but to the entire Western Conference. This is a team loaded with playmakers. Let’s not forget they also finished last year covering six of their final seven at home and four of their final five overall. There’s no way they come out and start the season off without making a statement. Take the Warriors. Thank you. |
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10-18-22 | 76ers +2.5 v. Celtics | 117-126 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 43 m | Show | |
Philadelphia 76ers. Vegas Insider Move. Game 501. 4:30 PM PST/7:30 PM EST. The Celtics are touted to take Atlantic Division this season. This is a very talented team. However, they did lose a couple of big names that would definitely make them more competitive in this match up with the Sixers here tonight. I just don’t think with their current personnel that they have anyone that can contest Joel Embiid in the paint. And when they start to double-team him, Philadelphia is loaded with playmakers that can score both inside and out. If you recall, over the las few seasons, the 76ers covered seven of the last eight meetings with the Celtics. And that was with Boston’s bigger, stronger personnel. I just don’t see them stopping the big man in the middle. Take Philadelphia. Thank you. |
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06-16-22 | Warriors +4 v. Celtics | 103-90 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
Golden State Warriors. Game 527. 6:00 pm pst. Taking Game 4 and 5, the Golden State Warriors seem to come up with a recipe for success in this series. They certainly don’t want to force a Game 7. I know that a lot of people out there are looking at the Boston Celtics to get a big win here to force that final game. However, something compelling struck me looking at the statistics from the last few games. Despite the fact that Golden State shot extremely poorly from beyond the arc and was significantly out rebounded in both matchups, and they still won both. This tells me that is their playoff experience will come through here again tonight. There’s no way that Steph Curry, who by the way broke his streak of 132 consecutive playoff games with a 3-pointer made will not come out and light it up from downtown. Yes, Boston has the muscle. And they certainly have several outstanding players. But their lack of playoff experience will certainly hurt them here not to mention that momentum is against them. The Warriors are 7-3 against the spread the last 10 games as an underdog and 8-3 against the spread the last 11 games overall. Take Golden State. Thank you. |
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06-13-22 | Celtics +4 v. Warriors | 94-104 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
Boston Celtics. High Roller play. Game 525. 6:00 PM PST. The winner of each game of this series has won and covered all four contests. Now going into Game 5, these two teams are clearly evenly matched. I strongly feel this matchup will be the closest and toughest fought of the series. Not wanting to fall three games to two, Boston will come out here and utilize their strengths. They are 8-1 against the spread the last nine games played on two days rest, 13-3 against the spread the last 16 games played following a straight up loss, and 18-7-2 against the spread the last 27 games played as an underdog. The Celtics will come in here and out play the Warriors physically, both on defense and in the paint. Take Boston. Thank you. |
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06-10-22 | Warriors +4 v. Celtics | 107-97 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
Golden State Warriors. Game 523. 6:00 PM PST. Whether you are a fan of the Western Conference or the Eastern conference, you must admit that this is a very evenly matched series. Two explosive offenses and two frustrating defenses. However, looking at this Game 4 matchup, I just don’t see Golden State giving this series up without a fight. They know very well that if they drop tonight’s game, it is going to be near impossible to then win three straight. I look for their third ranked defense to frustrate Boston’s top scorers, Tatum and Brown. I also look for Steph Curry to do what he does and take this game on his shoulders and soar. The Warriors are 4-0 against the spread the last four games following a straight up loss, 4-1 against the spread the last five games on one days rest, 7-3 against the spread the last 10 games as an underdog, and 6-2 against the spread the last eight games overall. Take Golden State. Thank you. |
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06-08-22 | Warriors +3.5 v. Celtics | 100-116 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 30 m | Show | |
Golden State Warriors. Las Vegas Strip Move Game of the Year. Game 521. 6:00 pm pst/ 9:00 pm est. +3.5 Consensus. Wednesday June 8, 2022. Following an embarrassing Game 1 loss at home, Golden State took Game 2 of the Finals with authority. Not only did they light up a very good Boston defense for 107 points, but their defense held the Celtics to their lowest output this postseason, just 88 points. I understand that many out there subscribe to the zigzag theory come the NBA postseason. First of all, I don’t subscribe wholeheartedly to any theories or angles when it comes to sports betting. Once I look at a game from every angle, if there is a specific theory that confirms my initial feel, then I will put some stock into it. But by no means do I put stock in any one theory as an absolute. Having said that, the Warriors evened the series and now take it on the road to the TD Garden. Granted, Boston has not lost back-to-back games this entire postseason. But they haven’t faced Golden State either. While they certainly belong here, many out there are underestimating the well-balanced, well-coached Warriors squad. This is a team that possesses one of the most frustrating defenses in all of basketball. Not only that, but offensively they can score both inside and out. And unlike several of the Celtics other opponents during this playoffs season, they don’t just have a big man to shut down. The Warriors have a slew of talent. Of course, Steph Curry is the key cog in the wheel. However, Draymond Green stepped up big time in Game 2. And you can bet you’re going to see a lot more of what he did there here in Game 3. To go back to the Warriors defense, they held Brown to just 17 points on Sunday. Tatum did get his points, but the pair were surely out of sync. Other than that, Boston’s leading scorer was White with just 12 points. Every other Celtic had six-points or less. Golden State forced a lot of turnovers and that’s what they do folks. They slowed down and disrupted Boston’s flow in transition. And that’s where the Celtics have had much of their success. You can look for more of the same here. Now that the series is even, trust me when I tell you the Warriors want this win so bad to take a lead in the Finals, they can taste it. I get the number here. But making them an underdog is a gift by the oddsmakers. They are 7-3 against the spread the last 10 games played in the underdog role and 6-2 against spread the last eight games played overall. Take Golden State. Thank you. |
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06-05-22 | Celtics v. Warriors -4 | Top | 88-107 | Win | 100 | 33 h 43 m | Show |
Golden State Warriors. NBA Finals Game of the Year. Game 520. 5:00 pm pst. My friends, make no mistake of it, Boston dominated Game 1. They came in with a game plan, executed it, and took a very crucial road victory. Well, Golden State desperately needs to win Game 2. Not only to even up to series, but to establish their presence in this matchup. This isn’t the “due-for” factor or the “zig zag” theory. This is logic. The Warriors have not lost back-to-back games this postseason. As a matter fact they have not dropped two games in a row in over two months. In the series opener, Golden State only shot 44% overall from the floor, 42% from beyond the arc, and only went to the free-throw line 15 times, making 11 out of 15 free throws. They also allowed Boston to put up 120 points. That has only happened twice this entire postseason. And they faced some very good offenses. You can expect both teams to be basically at full force in this match up. Anyone that can suit up and play, will suit up and play. Having said that, look for the Warriors to make their shots on offense, play a little more physically, go to the line and make their free throws, and do what they do defensively. And that is to frustrate opponents’ offenses. There is no way Steve Kerr, Steph Curry and company will drop a second game at home and go down two games to zero in the series. They are also 5-1 against the spread the last six games played following a straight up loss, 4-1 against the spread the last five games played at the Chase Center, and 5-2 against the spread the last seven games played overall. Take the Warriors. Thank you.
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06-02-22 | Celtics v. Warriors -3.5 | Top | 120-108 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 32 m | Show |
Golden State Warriors. NBA Finals Game 1 Winner. Game 518. 6:00 pm pst. There is no question both of these teams belong here. But there are certainly more than a few advantages on the side of the Warriors. First of all, they’re playing at home where they sport a 39-10 SU record this season. They have also covered four straight at the Chase Center. Next, they had a few extra days to rest, heal, and prepare for the Championship series. And lastly, which I feel is the most important, this is a whole different monster of an opponent than the Celtics have faced in the playoffs. In the first several rounds, Boston had to deal with very good opponents. But each of the opponents have one main player they had to contain. That is not the case here. Golden State is chock-full of talent. And they can beat you both inside and out. Not only that, but an enormous amount of the Celtics success comes in transition. They are excellent in transition. However, they will not have that same opportunity here in this match up with the Warriors. Golden State owns one of the nastiest, most frustrating, and well-disciplined defenses in the NBA. They can swarm you man-to-man, they can play zone, they are excellent on the boards, they can steal the ball, they can create turnovers, and they can force a lot of mistakes. There is one more major factor here in the first game of the NBA finals that significantly benefits the Warriors. Their players have a lot more postseason experience. They don’t rattle very easily in big game situations. Obviously, the Celtics have played well. They got to the Finals. But they certainly have some cracks and the Warriors can and will exploit those cracks. Boston is 2-5-1 against the spread the last eight games following a straight up win. Golden State is 5-1 against the spread the last six games overall. Take the Warriors. Thank you. |
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05-22-22 | Warriors +3 v. Mavs | Top | 109-100 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
Golden State Warriors. Slam Dunk Game of the Year. Game 563. 6 pm pst. Taking Game 1 and 2 of this series at home, the odds makers are looking to beat you here. But we aren’t going to fall for the trap as the Warriors have won and covered three straight in the postseason. Their frustrating defense along with their very deep, talented, and experienced bench and crafty team, is just too strong in the series for Dallas to handle. Giving them points here is a huge mistake. Take the Warriors. Thank you. |
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05-20-22 | Mavs v. Warriors -6 | 117-126 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
Golden State Warriors. Game 648. 6:00 pm pst. The Dallas Mavericks are a very good team. However, they lose a little something when they travel. And let’s be honest, the Golden State Warriors defense is absolutely outstanding. Andrew Wiggins handcuffed Luka Doncic in Game 1 as good or better than we’ve seen anybody defend the forward this season, holding him just 20 points and seven rebounds in the series opener. The Mavericks have trouble when they travel. Not just straight up, but against the spread as well as they are 1-4 ATS their last five games played on the road. On the other hand, the Warriors have really turned it up the ladder half of the season and in the playoffs. They have won all seven postseason games played at home in 2022, going 5-2 against the spread. Overall, this team is 8-2 ATS the last 10 games played at the Chase Center. Dallas will make some adjustments at the start of this game but so will Golden State. The Warriors are just going to be kryptonite for the Mavericks in this series. Particularly here at home where they know they need to take another victory before Game 3 on the road. Take Golden State. Thank you. |
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05-19-22 | Celtics +3.5 v. Heat | 127-102 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
Boston Celtics. Game 543. 5:30 pm pst. Both teams were missing some key players in the Game 1 match up. However quite a few things went wrong for Boston. This is a team that owns the NBA’s number one scoring defense, and yet they allowed the most points this postseason in Tuesday’s match up. While Al Horford is listed as doubtful here, Marcus Smart, they’re defensive key, is listed as probable. That will be big for Boston here. The Celtics cannot afford to go down two games in this series. Look for NBA Defensive Player of the Year, Smart (check status) to return here and make an impact right away, thus allowing the Celtics to succeed in transition and allow superstars Tatum and Brown to shine. Boston is 4-0 against the spread the last four games played following a straight up loss, 7-1-1 against the spread the last nine games played as underdog, and 19-7-1 against the spread the last 27 games played on the road. Take the Celtics. Thank you. |