Sacramento has been among the league’s worst defensive clubs all season long, hovering around a 121 defensive rating while still maintaining a perfectly respectable offensive footprint. Defense leaking efficient attempts is ideal when you’re betting an over, because if shot quality is maintained you don’t need a track meet for the total to hit. New Orleans can help facilitate that as well, Zion Williamson availability notwithstanding (they’ve scored meaningfully more in his minutes overall and play at an above-average pace with him).

Pace feels like the other pillar of this bet. Sacramento has lived around the 99–100 possession mark for much of the season, and New Orleans has been fine playing at an uptempo clip when their best offensive players are on the floor. If both teams settle into that range, it doesn’t take much else: Game just kind of plays out normally with average shooting/FT rate and you’re in the 230s. Important because the number in the marketplace has been sitting up in the mid-230s (234.5 or so at some shops).

Speaking of injuries, that can actually play into this over as well depending on who plays. Sacramento will be without significant size and scoring, namely Domantas Sabonis and Zach LaVine, but also Keegan Murray and De’Andre Hunter. When teams lose their core frontcourt rotation pieces they tend to allow weaker rim protection, second chances, and simply foul more. All great things when rooting for an over. New Orleans has Zion and Trey Murphy III questionable, both of whom would upgrade that team’s ability to score at the rim and shoot from the line. If Zion is out, I think there’s enough punch in this Pelicans lineup that Sacramento’s defensive baseline can still be low enough to reach an efficient number without sky-high shooting.

Bringing it all together, the layup over script is pretty easy to find: New Orleans cooks against a shorthanded Kings defense, Sacramento puts up enough points to keep fans happy in Sacramento and keep their starters in game, and everyone plays at an honest pace that lands somewhere in the 99–101 possession range rather than slowing to a crawl.

Jim's Play: 579. Pelicans/Kings OVER 

Look at the Nuggets–Jazz on Monday, March 2, 2026. There’s a good reason to lean Over in this spot because the market tells us it’s going to be a high-possession/high-efficiency game and the roster tells us that Utah will be more defensively vulnerable than they can afford to be against Denver. The total is parked up in the mid-240s (some sportsbooks have 243.5 while others are even higher), which feels huge until you realize that Denver is capable of erupting offensively whenever Nikola Jokic is cooking and the players currently available to Utah will weaken the paint and the back line. Lauri Markkanen and Walker Kessler were out on Utah’s last NBA injury report, and both guys play major roles in terms of size/defense. If they’re out again on Monday, Denver should have more room to operate in the half-court (post ups, cutters, corner threes) and Jokic will have more opportunities to utilize his passing to create great looks for his teammates. As for Denver, Jokic logged another massive line (35/13/9) on Sunday, March 1 and Denver tends to remain efficient when he’s heating up, even if their pace slows down. Lastly, Utah can shoot enough threes to help keep their scoring afloat; they’re averaging nearly 112 points per home game this season and they still managed to score 105 against New Orleans on March 1. If Denver’s defense isn’t switching with 100% intensity because of fatigue or rotation crunches, the Jazz should have no problem reaching 110+ in this spot. All these parts work together to create an “Over script” that’s pretty simple: Denver scores efficiently because they don’t face reliable rim protection from Utah’s frontcourt, Utah makes enough three-pointers to avoid drying up and the final score is enough to cover most posted totals.

Jim's Play: 527. Nuggets/Jazz OVER 

Both teams are right around the league average in scoring pace these days with LA sitting around 115–116 PPG and Phoenix scoring about 112 PPG, so the teams profiles alone get us to this total quite easily if the game happens at an average-to-high tempo. Both teams also project in the 101+ possessions range in this matchup, which further pushes things toward the Over because more possessions = more shot attempts = more transition baskets = more free throws. L.A. ATTACKS THE RIM AND GREEN PIECES efficiently off LeBron pressure/full court Luka playmaking and Phoenix has capable half-court shot creators which allow them to keep buckets flowing even when the game slows down. DEFENSIVE MATCHUP DATA indicates that there should be “give” on paint/scoring frequency, three-point volume, and free throw rate. Rotation/injury impacts lean toward more offense as well (ex. If LA is without a wing defender or rolls with more offense-minded lineups), and we’ve seen this series CLEAR TOTALS already (previous meetings have ended up in the 230+ range).

Jim's Play: 551. Lakers/Suns OVER 

NC State and Virginia have a decent UNDER case tonight due to the total ranging from 151.5 to 152.5 points. That is a large number for any game in Charlottesville when Virginia can control tempo for extended stretches. A lot of betting previews have the game being listed in that neighborhood already so the market is anticipating points scored which creates potential value on the under if the game plays even slightly slower than advertised.

The best reason to expect an under is game environment and game script. This game is at John Paul Jones Arena and Virginia is favored by about 5.5 to 6.5 points. Those two factors usually lead to a game script where Virginia tries to dictate pace, force NC State to execute in the half court, and avoid playing in a track meet. Virginia getting a lead also helps the under because it lengthens possessions and limits transition opportunities for the team falling behind.

NC State also offers up some situational reasons to go under. The Wolfpack just played in a highly emotional rivalry game where they blewout North Carolina. In that game, they played one of their best of the season and shot the ball extremely well while only turning the ball over four times. NC State will have a hard time matching that level of offensive efficiency right away on the road against a ranked opponent and even a slight decrease in shooting percentages can matter against a low 150s total.

While a lot of previews mention Virginia’s improved offense and propensity to score more points than previous UVA teams, that is exactly why the total is getting pushed up to where it is. If either team goes into a cold shooting slump from three or Virginia’s defense forces NC State into late-clock situations, this game could end up in the 74-70 / 75-71 neighborhood and stay under most posted totals.

Jim's Play: 615. NC St/Virginia UNDER 

Florida Atlantic University and North Texas under is one I like because the total has actually hovered around 140.5 for this game throughout the week. UNT games have a tendency to come down to defense and tempo control/tough half-court possessions, especially at home. I’ve seen several previews list UNT as a small favorite with a 140.5 total in Denton. Why is that detail important for an under bet? Simply because UNT’s game doesn’t exactly revolve around putting up crazy numbers. They have proved to be far better at preventing points than facilitating them (UNT is allowing 66.6 points per game, which ranks top-25 nationally in one publication). FAU does score more points, but they have also been less consistent on the defensive end and away from home. Games often slow down on the road against disciplined teams that force you to execute in the half-court. Bottom line: The offenses aren’t great enough on both sides to push well past 140. Last angle: venue/style of play. North Texas at home has turned plenty of games into defensive phone-booth fights throughout their wins in Denton the past few seasons. Even if you’ve read some handicap previews for this matchup, they too mention what likely will be a defensive battle in the Super Pit. Limit turnovers, limit FAU’s fast-break opportunities and force the Owls to score over a set defense and this game has a chance to stay in the 60s/low 70s on both sides of the ball and stay UNDER the posted number.

Jim's Play: 859. FAU/North Texas UNDER

A few scenarios lead to Cavaliers–Nets going over the total on Thursday, Feb. 19, 2026. For the most part, they revolve around Cleveland’s offense coupled with a Brooklyn lineup that’s slightly compromised defensively. The Cavs have been one of the league’s most efficient scoring teams for a while now, and even this season they’re near the top of the league in points per game and offensive efficiency, which bodes well for a “one team can do a lot of the work” over profile. Nic Claxton is also out for Brooklyn, weakening their ability to defend the interior and rebound, so it’ll be easier for Cleveland to turn drives and paint touches into layups, free throws, and kick-out threes. The teams’ last meeting went 131–124 Cleveland, so we already know this matchup can produce points. That total won’t be hit every game, but that type of game script means even a modest second-half comeback can clear a regular NBA total. Brooklyn’s profile as a whole (big underdog, inconsistent defense) also tends to lead to a “keep shooting to stay close” game tempo, which is another boost for the over because you get more quick possessions and avoid grind-it-out segments.

Jim's Play: 503. Net/Cavaliers OVER 

Portland/Minnesota lands cleanly in the over column tonight as both offenses will play in rhythm while their defenses have provided value in recent weeks. Portland's offense erupted for 122 points on excellent ball movement and volume from deep. When the Blazers play up tempo, their games typically get high early. Minnesota scored 138 points thanks to an 81 point first half showing how lethal they can be when attacking downhill early in the shot clock. Both teams share a similar recipe entering this game, with the Timberwolves showing top tier efficiency and elite transition production. Multiple scorers should create problems against a Portland defense that has struggled away from home and consistently allows clean looks and second chance opportunities. These teams have also trended high in recent years, with Minnesota rarely finishing outside of the 110–120 range versus this defense. Combine Minnesota’s ability to set the tempo and Portland's inconsistent defense leading to extra possessions, this one should play fast and finish higher than the number indicates.

Jim's Play: 543. Trail Blazers / TWolves OVER 

The over on this game makes sense tonight because the matchup naturally inflates possessions/high-quality looks and the number is priced in a range where it can be gotten to even if only one side really explodes. We’re seeing Pacers–Knicks totals around 224.5 at most books.  First, the pace/possession profile of this game ticks in the direction of the over. Despite Indiana’s season taking a turn towards awfulness, the Pacers have played faster basketball recently and when they match up with a team that can both punish the glass and manufacture offensive rebounds - like New York - you often end up getting inflated shot volume compared to an average Knicks game. Probably the biggest piece of this game that tilts the totals towards the over is New York’s knack for offensive rebounding this year (especially at home), which leads to second chance buckets and “invisible” possessions that totals tend to struggle pricing in.

Second, the injury reports actually suggest that both teams score efficiently tonight. Indiana is without Tyrese Haliburton (Achilles) and rookie Johnny Furphy (ACL), and then have a few rotation players listed as questionable including T.J. McConnell and Aaron Nesmith. When a team loses its primary creator your offense often gets uglier, but it can also become more simplistic: more early-clock action, more straight-line drives, and more shot attempts overall before the defense is able to get set. Meanwhile, New York has enough home court shot creation to hypothetically post up more than half the total themselves, which is why we’re comfortable seeing a mid-220s number even with Indiana dealing with injuries.

Third, the implied game script leads to efficient late-game scoring. New York is laying huge odds on the Knicks, which means that there will likely be “foul-and-free-throw” endings if the Pacers hang around the number with under a minute to play. Even if the game is mostly in hand, you can still get over if you get two empty defensive possessions and a free-throw parade at the end of the game. NY’s recent form combined with Indiana’s propensity to allow games to get away makes that outcome feel live.

I'll take the OVER here tonight, even in a Knicks blowout win.

Jim's Play: 521. Pacers/Knicks OVER 

I’m fine taking the Over in Pelicans–Timberwolves on Friday because of why the baseline game is inflated to begin with: the total is around 236.5. New Orleans has been one of the league’s most generous defenses when it comes to Overs allowed (120.96 games per game) this season, so even when they’ve faced middling offenses they’ve still managed to get into the 120s. Minnesota has the sort of lead scorer that can take it into track meet territory by himself: Anthony Edwards is putting up 29.7 ppg and the Wolves offense has been fantastic with him on the floor (118.4 offensive rating with Edwards in the game). The matchup also bodes well for easy paint points/breakdowns: team tracking data has the Pelicans allowing near the league’s worst number of points in the paint (52.7). That spells good things for efficient offense and limiting empty trips. Then there’s the injury/availability aspect tilting things further toward fewer stops: New Orleans is without Jose Alvarado (out, did not travel with team) and Dejounte Murray (out), guards who matter most when engaged on-ball or at the point of attack. Minnesota might have a couple names on their injury report, but they’ve recently added another playmaker/scorer in Ayo Dosunmu who should help them maintain scoring pressure (15.0 ppg, 45.1% from three last season, via Reuters). Combine all that and you get a Wolves offense that can easily reach a high number and a Pelicans team that only needs to “facilitate” in the 110s to top the posted total.

Jim's Play: 537. Pelicans / Twolves OVER 

Chicago scores at a top-5 pace this season (about 117.9 ppg), but they also allow almost as many points themselves (about 119.7 ppg). That’s a great formula for the over as Chicago doesn’t just score, they allow their opponents to feel comfortable all game long. Tack on Chicago’s speed on offense (they rank top-5 in pace at around 101.4 possessions per game) and you have more trips up the floor than your average NBA game, which translates to more total points.

Looking at how the Lakers score, the offense checks out from an efficiency standpoint (team offense rating is around 117 this year). Even if Los Angeles isn’t lighting it up from deep, they can manufacture a total like this with good half-court offense and free throws.  If LA hits the free throw line in the high teens/low 20s and Chicago continues to make shots, the over is still very much alive even if it’s not a track meet.

Chicago is without Zach Collins (toe) and may not have Tre Jones (day to day, hamstring). Los Angeles will be without Austin Reaves (calf) while Victor and Lakerpert are noted as other rotation players being questionable. Missing/limited players typically have a larger impact on the defensive end of the floor (communication, scheme, rotational minutes) than they do on offense making shots, and that inherently leans towards the total going up.

Long story short: Bulls pace + Bulls defense is why this plays as an over and with 237.5 on the board you’re essentially betting that Chicago turns this into a high-scoring affair where both teams play through long stretches where they trade buckets instead of trying to create stops.

Jim's Play: 523. Lakers/Bulls OVER 

This is a nice matchup for an Over around 154.5, as Arkansas State plays with pace and scores points while South Alabama’s offensive trademarks (efficiency, free throws) can provide floor coverage during potential droughts. Arkansas State scores 83.3 points per game while ALSO allowing 78.0 points per game per their opponents, which is exactly the defensive profile you look for when conference games turn into shootouts with both squads hitting shots. South Alabama scores right at 74 points per game while shooting 46.9% from the field, so they don’t have to grind down the shot clock to find buckets. Another strong “Over” indicator in this game is free throws. Arkansas State makes 18.6 free throws per game (and South Alabama is good at drawing fouls too) which can help elevate the total late with “clock-stop” points even in the event of one team struggling from beyond the arc. Throw in South Alabama’s defense allows plenty of three-point attempts (teams shoot 35.2%) and Arkansas State makes threes at a high volume (8.6 made per game), and you’ve got a game with the potential for quick scores. With the total sitting in the mid-150s and recent meetings providing at least SOME shootout ability (one game went OVER 95 points last season at 95-78), I feel like the safest way to the Over is Arkansas State playing with pace and South Alabama responding with enough efficiency to keep both teams in the 80s/70s.

Jim's Play: 815. Arkansas State/ S0.Alabama OVER

Washington State travels to Seattle U Tuesday, Dec. 30, 2025 (7:00 p.m. PT) at Climate Pledge Arena. The total is sitting in the mid-to-high 140s (about 147.5) which feels a little rich for how this one can play out.  The biggest “Under” angle is tempo/shot quality: Seattle plays on the slow side (67.7 possessions/40) and tends to draw opponents into long, methodical half-court possessions, while Washington State is faster than Seattle but not a true track meet (71.4 possessions/40). From there, you’re hoping Seattle’s defense can keep WSU out of rhythm (the Redhawks are allowing about 69.1 points per game) and WSU’s offense can leave points on the table with empty possessions in a road environment. Put it together and you get a game script where possessions are a little tighter than the total suggests, both teams have to earn looks late in the clock and the “easy” points (transition, quick threes, second-chance runouts) aren’t as plentiful, good ingredients for an Under.

Jim's Play: 649. Wash St/Seattle UNDER 

The Mavericks–Kings matchup sets up cleanly for an Over because both teams are coming in playing high-tempo, high-scoring basketball with defenses that haven’t been getting stops. Dallas just played a 126-116 game on Christmas, while Sacramento’s most recent outing was a 136-127 shootout,  both comfortably Over results. The projected scoring for this matchup already sits right around the posted number, with models placing the combined total in the 232–233 range, which signals a game that should naturally play into the Over. Sacramento has been giving up big numbers lately, allowing 136 and 122 in two of its last three, and Dallas hasn’t been much better defensively after surrendering 126 to Golden State. Pace also pushes this total upward, as the Kings have been playing faster and the Mavericks lean heavily on early-clock offense and perimeter creation. Key scorers on both sides are in rhythm, and neither team is protecting the rim well, especially with Dallas missing interior help. With recent head-to-head matchups already trending toward high scoring as I look for this game to easily make it over the posted total. 

Jim's Play: Take: 519. Mavericks/Kings OVER

Denver has a pretty legit shootout profile to start, with the Nuggets games have gone over in 19/30 this season and Denver + opponent averaging about 238.7 points combined over Denver’s last 10 (total O/U listed at 240.5 in that preview box).   Offensively, Denver is averaging elite numbers (125.2 PPG) and Minnesota’s own scoring level is high enough to do its part of the heavy lifting (118.5 PPG, Denver allowing 116.5), which is a pretty clean math path to the high 230s/low 240s if both teams play close to their norms. Injury reports also lean “points” in my opinion, with the NBA’s official injury report listing Aaron Gordon (out), Christian Braun (out), and Cameron Johnson (out) for Denver which can soften Denver’s defensive matchups/rotations and lead to easier scoring for Minnesota.  Lastly, Denver just played in a 131–130 game with Dallas, which is a fun reminder of how quickly Nuggets games can get into the 240s when the ball is moving fast/shot-making is there.  I'm sticking with the OVER here on Christmas day as my Total of the Month. 

Jim's Play : 595. T'Wolves/Nuggets OVER 

Take: 511. Cavaliers / Bulls OVER 243 

This game has excellent setup for an over because Chicago plays at one of the fastest paces in the league (league's 2nd highest pace) and also ranks quite low defensively (24th ranked defense). Both of these factors usually lead to extra possessions and higher-quality looks for the Bulls' opponents. On the other side of the ball, Cleveland has been very productive on offense (116.7 offensive rating, 118.7 PPG) and Evan Mobley being out (calf strain) combined with several other players missing in the rotation lower the Cavs' defensive ceiling and rim protection, making it easier for the Bulls to put up enough points to keep the high total in the game. Also considering the posted number is already in the low 240s, we have a clear avenue for getting to the points through pace, transition opportunities, and a softened Cleveland defense, so it's easy to see this game getting into the 120s on both sides if the shooting is just average.

Jim's Play: 511. Cavaliers / Bulls OVER 

The over makes sense in Spurs-Knicks on Tuesday because you’re getting two teams that can put points up in a hurry, led by an elite Knicks offense (122.0 offensive rating, 2nd in the NBA) and a Spurs group that’s also producing efficiently (118.0 offensive rating). San Antonio’s ability to score in transition can push the pace and create quick buckets, while New York’s half-court attack can keep the scoreboard moving with Brunson’s foul-drawing style that produces efficient, clock-stopping points. Add in the Knicks’ potential edge on the glass for second-chance points, and you’ve got a matchup where extra possessions can quietly lift the total. Finally, the injury reports don’t appear to remove the main scoring engines on either side, so the offensive profiles that point to an over should be intact.

Jim's Play: 509. Spurs/Knicks OVER 

The Spurs and Thunder meet on Saturday, December 13, 2025 in a matchup that sets up cleanly for a game that can push over the total, thanks to pace, offensive efficiency, and matchup dynamics that favor scoring on both ends. Oklahoma City continues to operate as one of the league’s most fluid, high-tempo offenses, with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Chet Holmgren driving a system built on spacing, quick decisions, and relentless rim pressure. OKC’s ability to create early offense-whether off rebounds, turnovers, or simple pace pushes-forces opponents into faster possessions, and San Antonio has shown all season that they’re willing to run when the game environment demands it.

For the Spurs, Victor Wembanyama remains the centerpiece, and his offensive growth has opened up the floor for San Antonio’s guards and wings. The Spurs have been far more effective in transition and semi-transition than in half-court sets, and OKC’s style naturally pulls them into that type of game. With Devin Vassell and Stephon Castle providing perimeter scoring and Wembanyama drawing constant defensive attention, San Antonio has enough firepower to keep pace and contribute meaningfully to the total. Defensively, the Spurs still struggle with ball containment and rotations-issues that OKC’s guard play is built to exploit-which further supports a high-scoring script.

The Thunder’s offensive consistency, combined with San Antonio’s willingness to play faster and their defensive vulnerabilities, creates a matchup where both teams should find efficient scoring opportunities. OKC’s ability to generate threes and paint touches at volume, paired with the Spurs’ improving offensive rhythm, points toward a game with extended runs, quick possessions, and minimal scoring droughts.

Jim's Play: 507. Spurs/Thunder OVER 

Offense should thrive in this matchup and help it finish over the total on Friday. Cleveland has been more perimeter-oriented and more uptempo over the last few seasons. They have multiple guards and wings who can create off the dribble, open up the floor with threes, and attack defenses in the pick-and-roll. The Cavs are at their best when they get good spacing, attack mismatches, and force teams to scramble, which tends to lead to open threes or trips to the charity stripe. Washington has been more of a defense-optional team more than they have not, giving up open looks in transition and struggling to corral dribble penetration for an entire 48 minutes. That combination should lead to a more productive night on the stat sheet for Cleveland.

The Wizards have enough on offense to hold up their end and make this finish over the number as well. Washington generally plays a quicker tempo, encouraging early offense, drive-and-kick action, and a high volume of three-point attempts. Even if their shooting goes cold, the overall volume of possessions and shots is likely to create an over-friendly game script, especially against a Cavs team that can occasionally live a little on the defensive end to get back into a game when the pace opens up. If Washington can make a reasonable percentage of their three-point attempts and get some bench production, they should be able to stay competitive and keep Cleveland’s starters on the floor late instead of turning this into a slow, grind-it-out kind of finish. With both teams capable of going on runs, Washington playing down a notch on the defensive end, and enough shot-making for long stretches of time, this should be a game that goes back-and-forth and finishes over on Friday night.

551. Cavaliers / Wizards OVER  

Cy-Hawk continues with a Thursday night meeting, which bodes well for an under and lower-scoring affair. Iowa has offensive reputation and identity but the Hawkeyes rarely play at the same level of pace and efficiency away from Iowa City against a tough and engaged defense like Iowa State. The Cyclones under T.J. Otzelberger have relied on full court pressure, toughness and half-court defense to grind possessions, forcing opponents to burn their shot clock for difficult looks. That’s a style that bodes well for an under: clean transition opportunities at a premium for Iowa, more time for the opponent with each possession and a premium on every trip. Meanwhile, Iowa State’s offense has been more functional than explosive in the first half of the season, relying on offensive rebounds, free throws and opportunistic threes more than a barrage of shot-making. In a rivalry game, you also have to assume both coaches tighten their rotations, prioritize shot selection and ball security and play a slower tempo to keep the other team from making a big run. Add in crowd atmosphere and physicality that typically comes with this in-state rivalry and a whistle that should allow some contact and you have the makings of a defensive, half-court affair that favors the under.

Jim's Play: 677. Iowa / Iowa State UNDER 

Santa Clara and New Mexico meet on Saturday in a matchup that has a good chance to land under the total because of both teams’ defensive tendencies and how they like to operate in the half court. New Mexico usually gets the reputation of a fast, athletic Mountain West team, but in recent seasons they’ve been more selective with their tempo, working through their primary scorers in set actions rather than trying to run for 40 minutes. Santa Clara, meanwhile, typically plays a more methodical West Coast Conference style, relying on solid spacing, ball movement, and inside-out offense rather than constant transition. That approach often leads to longer possessions, a lot of time used on the shot clock, and fewer total trips up and down the floor.

On the defensive end, both sides have the personnel to make life difficult. Santa Clara generally brings good size on the wings and a capable rim protector, which helps them contest threes and funnel drives into traffic. New Mexico’s guards can pressure the ball and disrupt rhythm, forcing opponents into late-clock looks and limiting easy catch-and-shoot opportunities. In a game where both coaches know they’re facing a quality opponent, you can expect more emphasis on shot selection, taking care of the ball, and limiting transition chances, rather than trading early-clock threes. If this turns into the type of physical, half-court battle it projects to be, with both teams having to work for clean looks and rely on their defense to stay in it, the pace and efficiency combination points more toward a modest final score and the game staying under the posted total.

Jim's Play: 729. Santa Clara/New Mexico UNDER

Thursday’s matchup in Philadelphia shapes up as a fast-paced, high-scoring affair, which points to this total going over. Golden State comes in at 11–11 and still profiles as an offense-first team, averaging roughly 114 points per game behind a perimeter-heavy attack, with Stephen Curry posting 27.9 points and 4.0 assists on 47% shooting and other scorers in double figures to give them multiple creators when the ball moves and the threes are falling. Even when Curry isn’t on the floor, the Warriors can keep the tempo high with wings and guards who like to push and pull up early in the clock, and their backcourt depth adds another transition threat and capable three-and-D presence who can generate extra possessions. Philadelphia sits at 11–9 and has turned into one of the league’s more explosive offenses, averaging over 118 points per game, driven by Tyrese Maxey’s breakout season at around 32 points and 7 assists per night with strong efficiency from deep and the line, while Joel Embiid chips in his usual strong scoring, rebounding, and playmaking, stretching defenses inside and out. The Sixers have been involved in plenty of track meets, pushing pace whenever Maxey has the ball in space. With both teams leaning on the three-point line, drawing fouls at a good clip, and capable of going on extended scoring runs, plus the possibility of late-game fouling and free throws if it’s tight, the ingredients are here for four quarters of offensive fireworks, so the play is for Warriors–76ers to land over the posted total.

Jim's Play: 503. Warriors/76ers OVER

The New York Knicks (10-6) enter this contest riding momentum from a 113-100 win over Brooklyn, where Karl-Anthony Towns broke out of his shooting slump with 37 points on 14-for-20 shooting. Alongside Jalen Brunson’s steady playmaking, the Knicks have developed into one of the more balanced offenses in the East, averaging 120.3 points per game while ranking near the top of the conference in three-point production at 15.5 makes per game. Their ability to stretch defenses with perimeter shooting, combined with Towns’ interior scoring, makes them difficult to contain for extended stretches.  

Charlotte (4-13), despite their struggles, has shown flashes of offensive firepower. Miles Bridges leads the Hornets with 22 points per game, while rookie Kon Knueppel has been a revelation, averaging 28 points per contest. The Hornets rank among the league’s leaders in three-point attempts, knocking down 14.2 per game, and their pace of play often forces opponents into shootouts. Defensively, however, Charlotte has been porous, allowing opponents to average 118.7 points per game, which sets the stage for New York’s scorers to thrive.  

The Knicks have cleared the 110-point mark in three of their last four games, while the Hornets’ defensive inefficiencies consistently push contests into the 240+ range. Both teams’ reliance on perimeter shooting increases variance and scoring runs, which favors an over outcome. Additionally, Charlotte’s tendency to fall behind early often leads to extended garbage-time scoring, padding totals late.  

Jim's Play: 529. Knicks/Hornets OVER 

This Wednesday night clash between the Golden State Warriors and Miami Heat at Kaseya Center sets up as a high-scoring affair, with the best play being on the game to go Over the total points.  The Warriors enter at 9-7, wrapping up a long road trip with their second game in Florida after a tough loss to Orlando. Despite the setback, Stephen Curry remains the focal point, averaging nearly 28 points per game, and his ability to stretch defenses with deep shooting ensures Golden State can push pace. The Warriors have also seen strong contributions from Moses Moody, who poured in 32 points against New Orleans earlier in the trip, and Jimmy Butler III, who adds another scoring option after being acquired in last season’s trade. Golden State’s offense has been humming, averaging over 115 points per game, but their defense has been inconsistent, allowing opponents to shoot nearly 46% from the field.

Miami comes in at 8-6, fresh off a narrow 115-113 win over the Knicks.  With Bam Adebayo battling injuries and Tyler Herro sidelined, Miami has relied on role players like Norman Powell and Jaime Jaquez Jr. to step up offensively. The Heat have been one of the league’s highest-scoring teams at home, averaging 124.6 points per game in Miami, and their ability to push tempo alongside Golden State sets the stage for fireworks.

The Warriors rank among the league leaders in three-pointers made per game, while Miami has consistently attacked the rim and converted at a high percentage. With both teams capable of putting up 120+ points, the Over is the logical play. Expect Curry and Moody to lead Golden State’s perimeter attack. With both teams thriving in up-tempo play and defenses showing vulnerability, this matchup projects to be a shootout. Play the game to go Over the total points on Wednesday night.

Jim's Play: 505. Warriors / Heat OVER 

This Tuesday night showdown between the Utah Jazz and Los Angeles Lakers at Crypto.com Arena sets up as a high-scoring affair, and the best angle is to play the game to go Over the total. The Lakers enter at 10-4, riding momentum from a convincing 119-95 win over Milwaukee where Luka Doncic exploded for 41 points, nine rebounds, and six assists. Doncic has been the league’s top scorer at over 34 points per game, and his ability to push pace and create offense has transformed the Lakers into one of the NBA’s most dangerous attacks. Alongside him, Austin Reaves has emerged as a secondary scorer averaging nearly 28 points per game, while Deandre Ayton provides interior presence and rebounding. The Lakers’ offense has been humming, averaging well over 115 points per game, and with the possible return of LeBron James from injury, their scoring ceiling only rises.

The Jazz, meanwhile, come in at 5-8, but they’ve shown they can light up the scoreboard. In their last outing, they outlasted Chicago in a 150-147 double-overtime thriller, led by Lauri Markkanen’s 47 points and Keyonte George’s 33. Utah has leaned heavily on Markkanen’s offensive brilliance, as he ranks among the league’s top scorers at over 30 points per game. While their defense has been porous-allowing opponents to shoot nearly 45% from the field-their offensive firepower ensures they can keep pace in shootouts.

Both teams thrive in up-tempo play, and with the Jazz struggling defensively while the Lakers push pace behind Doncic’s playmaking, this game projects to be a track meet.  Expect fireworks in Los Angeles, with Doncic and Reaves leading the Lakers’ attack while Markkanen keeps the Jazz competitive. With both teams capable of putting up 120+ points, the safest play is on the scoreboard. Take the game to go Over the total on Tuesday night.

Jim's Play: 569. Jazz/Lakers OVER 

Friday night’s clash between the Portland Trail Blazers and Houston Rockets at the Toyota Center promises fireworks, with both teams’ offensive profiles pointing toward the game going over the total of 236.5 points.  The Rockets enter at 7-3, riding a three-game home winning streak and averaging over 120 points per game during that stretch. Kevin Durant has been the steadying force, scoring 23 in their most recent win over Washington, while Alperen Sengun continues to shine as a versatile big man, averaging a near triple-double with points, rebounds, and assists. Houston’s pace and efficiency at home have been outstanding, and they’ve hit the over in eight of their first eleven games, showing a consistent trend toward high-scoring contests.

Portland, meanwhile, comes in at 6-5, fresh off a 125-117 win over New Orleans. The Blazers’ young core of Shaedon Sharpe and Anfernee Simons has provided explosive scoring, while Jerami Grant adds veteran stability. Portland thrives in transition and has averaged nearly 121 points per game over its last three outings. Defensively, however, the Blazers have struggled to contain opponents, allowing nearly 119 points per game, which sets the stage for another shootout against Houston’s high-powered attack.

Portland plays fast and looks for high-efficiency shots, while Houston’s offense thrives on corner threes, rim attacks, and free-throw opportunities. With both teams capable of pushing the tempo and exploiting defensive lapses, this matchup is tailor-made for points. Expect a high-octane battle in Houston, with the Trail Blazers and Rockets combining for plenty of scoring. The game is primed to go over the total, delivering fans an entertaining Friday night shootout.

Jim's Play: 507. Trail Blazers / Rockets OVER 

Detroit comes in riding a strong early run, sitting 7-2 and showing signs of a revitalized offence and defensive edge. They’re averaging around 115 points per game while holding opponents to roughly 110. Washington, meanwhile, is struggling,  1-9 so far and giving up about 128 points per game on the road. That kind of disparity suggests Detroit’s pace and scoring potential will likely be unchecked.

On top of that, the betting totals have been set around the mid-230s range (235 to 236.5) in this matchup. Given Washington’s porous defence and Detroit’s emerging offensive rhythm, and the fact Washington tends to allow a lot of points on the road, it’s logical to expect both teams to push the tempo and trade scores.

So for this contest, expect a fast-paced affair with the Pistons dictating tempo and Washington forced into trying to keep up. All signs point toward the total going over, with the final combined score likely landing somewhere over 240.

Jim's Play: 519. Wizards/Pistons OVER 

11/09 06:10 PM PT / 9:10 PM ET 

NBA   (513) MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES  VS  (514) SACRAMENTO KINGS

Take: 513. T'Wolves/Kings OVER 236.5

Minnesota comes in with a 5-4 record, riding a wave of momentum after a 137-97 dismantling of the Utah Jazz in which Anthony Edwards exploded for 37 points and Julius Randle recorded a triple-double. Offensively they’re firing - averaging around 118 points per game while shooting near 50 %. Meanwhile Sacramento is 3-6 and at home, fresh off a 132-101 loss to the Oklahoma City Thunder where their defense got exposed.

From a betting perspective, the over/under is set at 236.5 points. Here’s why the over is appealing: Minnesota’s games have hit the over in eight of their last nine versus Western Conference teams. Sacramento, despite being at home, has been allowing opponents to feast - they’re giving up over 121 points per game recently. On the offensive side, both teams have enough firepower: Edwards rekindled his elite scoring, Randle is distributing, and on the Kings’ side, the guard tandem of Zach LaVine and DeMar DeRozan give them scoring punch, while their defensive lapses invite high totals.

Also, the narrative suggests Minnesota should cover the spread (they are favored by roughly 5.5) and the tempo of the game is likely to be up-and-down - Sacramento will need to push the pace given their margin for error is thin. According to one betting preview, six of Sacramento’s nine games this season have gone over the 234.5 line or higher.

Expect a lively tempo, plenty of baskets, and minimal defensive resistance from the Kings.

JIm's Play : 513. T'Wolves/Kings OVER 

The Golden State Warriors will host the Phoenix Suns on Tuesday night at Chase Center in San Francisco. The two teams are both coming in with what could potentially set up as a track meet, as both teams are capable of exploding for points in a hurry.  Golden State is coming in at 4–3 and has been good at home, winning all three of their games at Chase Center, with their opponents averaging nearly 118 points per game. The team also has gone over the total in four of its first seven games, which should allow it to post enough offense to keep up with Phoenix. It is also hard to bet against Stephen Curry when he is in form, and he will likely pick apart a perimeter defense that has been soft at times for Phoenix. The Warriors like to push the pace, which, coupled with an able-bodied bench that averages over 40 points per game, should produce buckets all night.

Phoenix comes into this game at 3-4, but the Suns showed last game against San Antonio that its offense has started to gel, winning 130-118, as Devin Booker and Bradley Beal continue to find a rhythm as a backcourt duo. Phoenix has topped the 115-point mark in three of its past four games, but its defense has been lacking, meaning that Golden State’s offense should be able to keep pace. On paper, the Suns have not been able to slow down top guards in any of their games, meaning that Curry  will be able to produce.

The game itself should be a classic shootout, with Golden State running and  pushing the pace and sinking three-pointers, while Phoenix will answer with isolation plays and fast-break chances. Statistically, the two teams both rank in the top half of the league in possessions per game, and neither has shown the defensive chops to contain the other team, meaning that we are likely to see a high-scoring game.

Jim's Play: 509. Suns/Warriors OVER 

The Orlando Magic (1-4) will be looking to avoid a second straight winless trip in the early part of the season, but after what they have done in recent games, it should be noted that they will be good for at least their half of an over bet. In their last game, Orlando lost to the Philadelphia 76ers 136-124. The Magic shot the ball extremely well in this game, making 54.9% of their field goals while also recording 27 assists. Even though the Magic had open looks from beyond the arc, they showed an ability to get buckets anywhere on the court. During this game, Paolo Banchero and Franz Wagner were excellent, but also do not be surprised to see Orlando make it to the charity stripe frequently. With how much they score in transition, how aggressive they are on offense, and how weak their defense is, 241.5 total points in this game is completely reasonable.

The Charlotte Hornets (2-2) have been a wild-card so far this season. They have won one game, but only by 5 points. In the two games they have won, they have scored over 120 points, so we know the Hornets are an offensive-minded team, at the very least. LaMelo Ball is dangerous in the pick and roll, he can create his own shot whenever he wants to, and when paired with Terry Rozier on the wing, the Hornets backcourt has the ability to be lights out on offense. Additionally, Charlotte has been playing an extremely fast pace, already ranking in the top third of the league in terms of possessions per game in the early going. The Hornets have won their last two at home, so they should feel good about themselves, especially with Orlando losing each of their first four away from Orlando.

As can be seen from their last three games, this game has a legitimate chance to go over 241.5 points. Charlotte and Orlando are averaging at least 116.5 points in each of their last three games, and it would not be surprising to see either defense let up at all. If each of these teams shoot the ball well on Thursday, the over should easily hit, so this bet makes a lot of sense.

Jim's Play: 501. Magic/Hornets OVER 

Tuesday's matchup between the Miami Heat and Charlotte Hornets looks to be a high-scoring affair, as the Southeast Division foes come together for a rare matchup of 2-1 teams with the total sitting at 241.5.  

Charlotte opens in South Beach in the midst of an offensive explosion, averaging 139 points on the back of LaMelo Ball’s 38-13-13 triple-double and a second-half resurgence driven by accountability and culture. Meanwhile, the Heat have relied on Bam Adebayo to produce consistently with a balanced supporting cast. Miami will be without Tyler Herro (ankle surgery) and could be without rookie Kasparas Jakucionis (groin). Still, both teams have been shooting well in the early goings with multiple Hornets and Heat starters hitting the 20-point mark and depth on both benches. Miami is favored by 6.5 points as Charlotte will look to use its transition game and shot-making ability to attack a Heat perimeter defense that was middle of the pack in 2022-23, ranking top-five in pace through opening week and leading the league in possessions per game. 

Charlotte has gotten a recent boost of energy from its players and appears to have the correct formula to win games, while Miami has the home-court advantage, thus making this a competitive affair in which we can anticipate a shootout. Charlotte’s pressure D should be able to generate turnovers against a Heat team that turned the ball over at a league-average rate (12.6 last season) to create transition opportunities. The Hornets shot over in seven of eight games as the total was set at 231 or higher, so we can take the play here with a line set at 241.5, as a shooting performance from Ball could be met by one from Butler, Adebayo and Duncan Robinson.

I'll be on the OVER as this one looks to be end to end action on Tuesday.

Jim's Play: 543. Hornets/Heat OVER (Total of the Month)

Take: 561. Hornets/76ers OVER 237 

The Philadelphia 76ers host the Charlotte Hornets on Saturday, October 25th, 2025, in what should be a fast-paced offensive matchup that points toward the game going over the total. Philadelphia’s offense continues to hum behind Joel Embiid’s dominant inside presence and Tyrese Maxey’s improved perimeter shooting, as the Sixers have averaged over 118 points per game through the first week of the season. Charlotte, meanwhile, leans heavily on LaMelo Ball’s playmaking and rookie Brandon Miller’s scoring touch on the wing, giving the Hornets a young and aggressive look in transition. The Hornets’ defense remains a liability, particularly against elite big men, and that could spell trouble trying to contain Embiid in the paint. Still, Charlotte’s pace and three-point shooting keep them within striking distance throughout. Expect both teams to trade baskets in an up-tempo game that pushes well past the total, with Philadelphia pulling away late in what should be a high scoring game. 

Jim's Play: Hornets/76ers OVER

The Miami Heat and Orlando Magic meet Wednesday, October 22, 2025, in a Sunshine State showdown to open the new NBA season. Orlando comes in as the home favorite and is expected to push the pace behind a young, energetic lineup, while Miami looks to rebound from a disappointing 37-45 campaign. Both teams feature offensive upgrades and enough scoring depth to make this one entertaining from start to finish.

The Magic Heat, will rely on Paolo Banchero and Franz Wagner to set the tone early, attacking Miami’s defense in transition and from the perimeter. The Heat, known for their grit, have added shooting help and still have Jimmy Butler and Tyler Herro capable of creating their own looks. Miami’s offense should be sharper than last season’s inconsistent form, especially if they can get easy buckets in transition and capitalize on second-chance opportunities.

Early-season NBA games often feature faster tempos and looser defensive rotations, and this matchup fits that trend perfectly. With both teams eager to start hot and plenty of offensive talent on the floor, expect a high-scoring contest.

Jim's Play: 509. Heat/Magic OVER 

It all comes down to this, Game 7, on Sunday, June 22, 2025, in Oklahoma City as the Oklahoma City Thunder host the Indiana Pacers for the NBA Championship. Both teams have shown why they belong here, but the Thunder enter as heavy favorites. OKC was the NBA’s top regular-season team (68-14), and MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been nearly un-guardable, averaging over 30 points per game in the Finals and leading a home-court charge that includes eight playoff wins at Chesapeake Energy Arena this postseason. Yet Indiana has refused to fold, overcoming early deficits and clinching a lopsided Game-6 win (108-91) behind clutch play from Tyrese Haliburton and spark from T.J. McConnell.

Turning to the betting angle, Jim Feist, known for his sharp player-prop instincts, has pegged this as a high-scoring affair and is backing the “over” for the total points. With both teams playing up-tempo, trading baskets, and leaning on their star guards (SGA and Haliburton) along with efficient role players like Jalen Williams, Bennedict Mathurin, and Pascal Siakam, the projection makes sense. The over/under is set around 214 to 215 points, the highest for a Finals Game-7 ever.

Why Jim playing the over? First, history favors this outcome. Every team to force a Game-7 after winning Game-6 has gone on to win, and Game-7s tend to produce fireworks. Home teams typically prevail, but road dogs bring no fear-and Indiana plays its brand of fast-paced, passing-heavy basketball that pushes tempo. Both offenses thrive under pressure: OKC pours in points with SGA and Williams combining for 70-plus in Game 5, while Indiana’s bench and Haliburton’s playmaking have unlocked efficient scoring bursts.

Second, Game-7 intensity often flips defense to offense-teams push harder, pace quickens, shots come faster. Jim figures SGA’s knack for fouls, quick baskets, and Haliburton’s clutch shot-making (ask Game-1 or Game-3) will grease the scoring wheels.

Players like McConnell, Mathurin, and Siakam. who can explode offensively if left unchecked. add to the confidence in crossing 215. The big question: can the defenses clamp down, slow things down? That would be needed to hold things under the total. 

So, Jim Feist playing the over isn't a flier. it's a bet on two high-octane teams locked in at do-or-die levels, underpinned by star talent and explosive bench depth. Expect Game 7 to be a back-and-forth, full-throttle slugfest, with the over flashing green.

Enjoy the game, it’s gonna be one for the ages.

Jim's Play: 513. Pacers/Thunder OVER

Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis will host Game 3 of the 2025 NBA Finals between Oklahoma City Thunder and Indiana Pacers with the series evenly matched at one game each. Oklahoma City Thunder turned the tables in Game 2 with a commanding 123-107 win after Indiana Pacers snatched Game 1 in a nail-biting finish. Oklahoma City MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander leads them to maintain resilience throughout the season with an 18-2 record regardless of losses. The Thunder's offensive production tends to decrease during away playoff games compared to home games and Indiana plans to take advantage of this pattern.

Indiana's quick offensive style and excellent three-point shooting were essential to their surprising Game 1 victory. Tyrese Haliburton must excel in playmaking because his skill in generating plays for teammates takes precedence over his own scoring reputation. Indiana receives a significant home-court advantage because they maintain strong playoff performances at Gainbridge Fieldhouse with a 6-2 record straight up and 5-3 against the spread. Indiana's role players who excel at shooting three-pointers need to improve their performance because their combined long-range shooting proved pivotal during Game 1. 

The Thunder will use their tough perimeter defense to prevent Indiana from succeeding with long-range shots and push them into difficult positions. The upcoming Game 3 outcome will depend on which team best executes their strategy while leveraging their home-court advantage after proving their adaptive skills in previous games. 

I look for the Pacers to get many more points here at home and the Thunder to keep pace. I'm taking the OVER here in game 3. 

Jim's Play: 505 Pacers/Thunder OVER 228

6/08 05:00 PM PT / 8:00 PM ET 

NBA   (503) INDIANA PACERS  VS  (504) OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER

503. Pacers/Thunder OVER 227.5 (5 PT / 8 ET) 

Game 2 of the NBA Finals between the Indiana Pacers and the Oklahoma City Thunder is set for Sunday, June 8, at 5:00 PM PDT at the Paycom Center in Oklahoma City. The Thunder are 11-point favorites, with the over/under set at 227.5 points. 

In Game 1, the Pacers pulled off a remarkable comeback, overcoming a 15-point fourth-quarter deficit to win 111–110. Tyrese Haliburton's game-winning jumper with 0.3 seconds left capped the rally, marking Indiana's fifth postseason win after trailing by 15 or more points—an NBA record in the play-by-play era.  

Despite the Thunder's strong defense and MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's 38-point effort in Game 1, the Pacers' balanced offense and depth have been effective. Indiana leads the playoffs in assists (28.1), field goal percentage (49.7%), and three-point shooting (40.1%). Their ability to distribute scoring responsibilities among starters and bench players like Andrew Nembhard and Obi Toppin makes them a challenging opponent. 

Given both teams' offensive capabilities and the high-scoring nature of Game 1, betting on the over in Game 2 is my total play in this game.

Jim's Play: OVER the Total

6/05 05:30 PM PT / 8:30 PM ET  

NBA   (501) INDIANA PACERS  VS  (502) OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER

Take: 501. Pacers/Thunder OVER 230.5

Game 1 of the 2025 NBA Finals tips off Thursday night in Oklahoma City, where the top-seeded Thunder host the Indiana Pacers. The Thunder are heavy favorites, but the Pacers have been defying expectations all postseason. For bettors, this game presents an intriguing opportunity: Backing a big dog or favorite play or playing the over/under on the total points. 

The Thunder boast the league's best record at 68–14 and have dominated the playoffs with a 12–4 run. Led by MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who averaged 32.7 points per game during the regular season, Oklahoma City has been nearly unbeatable at home, going 8–1 in the playoffs with an average margin of victory of 21.3 points.  

However, the Pacers have been on a remarkable journey. After a 10–15 start to the season, they turned things around, finishing with a 50–32 record. Indiana's offense, orchestrated by Tyrese Haliburton and bolstered by Pascal Siakam, has been potent, leading the league in assist percentage and true shooting percentage. Their depth and resilience have been evident throughout the playoffs, culminating in a 125–108 victory over the Knicks to clinch their first Finals appearance since 2000.  

The over/under is set at around 230.5 points. Given both teams' offensive capabilities and recent trends, playing the over seems like a solid bet. The Pacers have consistently hit the over in their playoff games, and the Thunder's home games have been high-scoring affairs. 

In summary, I belieive the likelihood of a high-scoring game will be what we see here in games one. I'm taking the OVER the total in this one. 

Jim's Play: 501. Pacers/Thunder OVER 230.5

Saturday, May 31, 2025 will feature a crucial Game 6 between the New York Knicks and Indiana Pacers at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis during the Eastern Conference Finals. The Indiana Pacers hold a 3-2 series lead while pursuing their first NBA Finals appearance since 2000 but must face the New York Knicks who need a Game 6 today and Game 7 victory at Madison Square Garden to punch their ticket to the NBA Finals. 

The Knicks secured a decisive 111-94 win during Game 5 with Jalen Brunson scoring 32 points while Karl-Anthony Towns added 24 points and 13 rebounds to their performance. Their performance played a key role in preventing elimination and restored momentum for New York. Throughout the series Brunson consistently displayed offensive dominance by averaging 33.0 points per game.

The Pacers showed weakness in Game 5 when they turned the ball over 20 times and couldn't stop the Knicks' strong attack. Despite his Game 4 triple-double performance Tyrese Haliburton recorded only eight points and six assists during Game 5. Despite the Game 5 setback, Haliburton remains confident about the team's ability to recover because of their demonstrated resilience and preparedness to face pressure situations.

The Pacers displayed exceptional home performance this season with a 29-11 record while scoring an average of 115 points across their two home games in this series. The Pacers aim to use their home-court advantage and fan support to finish the series.

The Knicks will need to keep their defensive intensity while reducing turnovers to prolong the series. The team needs to reduce turnovers through simplified play according to Coach Tom Thibodeau who emphasized that risky passes have been a consistent problem.

The knowledge of what's at stake ensures that Game 6 will be an intense matchup between both teams. The series outcome will depend on Brunson and Haliburton's performances combined with each team's execution of their strategies.

The Pacers are a high scoring team on their home court and that means the Knicks will need to keep up on Saturday. I'm taking the OVER here on Saturday. 

Jim's Play: Take: 555. Knicks/Pacers OVER 219.5

Game 5 of the Western Conference Finals between the Oklahoma City Thunder and Minnesota Timberwolves will take place at the Paycom Center in Oklahoma City on Wednesday, May 28, 2025. Standing at a 3-1 lead in the series, the Thunder need only one more win to reach the NBA Finals since their last appearance in 2012. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET, with the game airing on ESPN.

After enduring a 42-point defeat in Game 3 Oklahoma City achieved a close 128-126 win in Game 4 which demonstrated the determination and skill of their youthful team members. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander recorded 40 points with 10 rebounds and nine assists to lead his team while Jalen Williams scored 34 points and Chet Holmgren added 21 points along with seven rebounds and three blocks.

To prolong the series Minnesota must receive extraordinary performances from their leading players while facing elimination. Anthony Edwards and Julius Randle need to improve after scoring only 16 and five points respectively in Game 4. The Minnesota bench shined during their last match as Nickeil Alexander-Walker and Donte DiVincenzo scored a total of 44 points together.

Oklahoma City holds an 8.5-point advantage while the total points projection stands at 220.5. Oklahoma City stands strong with their depth and defensive capabilities while benefiting from home-court advantage yet the Timberwolves have demonstrated their ability to perform well when facing challenges. I'm turning to the total here tonight as I look for this game to get over the posted number. 

Jim's Play: 549. T’Wolves/Thunder OVER 220.5

The Eastern Conference Finals will continue with Game 4 between the New York Knicks and Indiana Pacers at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis on Tuesday, May 27, 2025. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:00 p.m. 

Indiana Pacers hold a 2-1 advantage in the current seven-game series. The Pacers triumphed in Games 1 and 2 with a 138-135 victory followed by a 114-109 win. The Knicks managed to close the series gap by winning Game 3 with a score of 106-100.

The Knicks showed exceptional determination in Game 3 by turning around a 20-point disadvantage to achieve their inaugural postseason victory at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Since 1997 no team in the play-by-play era has managed three playoff victories from deficits of 20 points or more like the Knicks did in this game.

Karl-Anthony Towns scored 20 fourth-quarter points to make a key contribution to the comeback. However, a challenge persists: Whenever Jalen Brunson and Towns share time on the court together their defensive performance often results in negative outcomes.

The Pacers under Tyrese Haliburton and Pascal Siakam leadership look to recover from their Game 3 second-half breakdown. Indiana relies on Haliburton to lead their offensive efforts after he took personal responsibility for their defeat.

Indiana forward Aaron Nesmith remains undecided for Game 4 participation because of a right ankle injury he suffered during Game 3. Nesmith delivered his best game with a career peak of 30 points in Game 1 but has struggled to maintain that level of scoring in later matches.

The Knicks perform better defensively during road games which have a defensive rating of 110.1 compared to their home games with a rating of 114.6. Mikal Bridges and Josh Hart credit their achievements to the increased focus and team unity they build in challenging environments.

I once again look for the Knicks to flex their defensive muscles here on Tuesday. In a slower paced game I like the UNDER in this one. 

Jim's Play: 547. Knicks/Pacers UNDER 

Game 3 of the Eastern Conference Finals will see the New York Knicks and Indiana Pacers compete tonight at Gainbridge Fieldhouse with the Pacers leading the series 2-0 based on their narrow wins in New York. 

The Pacers maintained their high offensive output from the regular season where they averaged 117.4 points per game into the postseason. The quick offensive approach led by Tyrese Haliburton and Pascal Siakam has proved dominant against their opponents. Indiana scored 138 points in Game 1 while their Game 2 performance resulted in 114 points with Siakam achieving a playoff career-best 39 points. The Pacers' top-tier ability to operate quickly on offense combined with their scoring proficiency makes betting on the over appealing.

The Knicks depend on Jalen Brunson who scored 43 points in the first game and 36 points in the second game. The Knicks maintained close scores in their games and showed effective offensive performance despite their defeat. The Knicks demonstrate strong performance in playoff road games with a 5-1 record showing they can succeed without playing at Madison Square Garden. The potential for high scoring from both teams together with past game totals of 138-135 and 114-109 makes betting on the over a sound decision.

Indiana's explosive offense combined with New York's scoring potential led by Brunson indicates that Game 3 will likely produce high total points. The over on 223.5 points emerges as a strong wager based on current trends and team performances.

Jim's Play: 543. Knicks/Pacers OVER

The New York Knicks welcome the Indiana Pacers to Madison Square Garden for Game 2 of the Eastern Conference Finals tonight at 8:00 PM ET. The Pacers took a 1–0 series lead after defeating the Knicks 138–135 in overtime by surmounting a 14-point deficit with less than three minutes to go. The Pacers mounted their comeback thanks to Aaron Nesmith's six fourth-quarter three-point shots and Tyrese Haliburton's 31 points with 11 assists.

The Knicks look to bounce back from their Game 1 defeat behind Jalen Brunson's 45 points and Karl-Anthony Towns' 35 points with 12 rebounds. Head coach Tom Thibodeau stressed the importance of learning from late-game errors while maintaining constant focus during each game.

This postseason opponents have struggled to defend Indiana's quick offensive plays directed by Haliburton. The Pacers have shown exceptional execution when facing high-pressure situations throughout their playoff campaign.

I still believe these teams will look to slow the pace here tonight, especially by the Knicks who don’t want to get into another run and gun showdown like they did in game one.

Jim’s Play: Under the Total 

The Indiana Pacers and New York Knicks renew their storied rivalry tonight in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals at Madison Square Garden, tipping off at 8:00 p.m. ET on TNT. This marks the ninth playoff meeting between the two franchises, with the Pacers holding a 5–3 edge in prior series. The Knicks won two of the three regular-season matchups this year, including a commanding 123–98 victory in the opener. 

New York enters the series riding high after a decisive six-game triumph over the defending champion Boston Celtics. Jalen Brunson has been the engine of the Knicks' offense, averaging nearly 29 points and over seven assists per game in the postseason. Karl-Anthony Towns has provided a strong interior presence, averaging 19.8 points and 11.3 rebounds per game. The Knicks' supporting cast, including OG Anunoby, Mikal Bridges, and Josh Hart, has contributed significantly, with Hart notably recording a triple-double in the series-clinching win over Boston.  

The Pacers arrive in New York after a convincing five-game series win over the top-seeded Cleveland Cavaliers. Tyrese Haliburton has been instrumental, averaging 19 points and nine assists per game, and delivering in clutch moments. Pascal Siakam brings championship experience and versatility, averaging 20.2 points and 6.9 rebounds per game. Myles Turner adds a defensive anchor, contributing 16 points, seven rebounds, and two blocks per game.  

Tthe Pacers' depth and offensive versatility could pose significant challenges for the Knicks. The game is expected to be a physical battle, reminiscent of the intense matchups between these teams in the 1990s.  

With both teams aiming for their first NBA Finals appearance in over two decades, tonight's game sets the stage for what promises to be a thrilling series. 

Jim is taking the UNDER here in game one.  Maybe nerves, physicality of the game should contribute to a lower scoring game one. 

Jim’s Play: Under the Total. 

The upcoming Game 6 matchup between the Knicks and Celtics at Madison Square Garden promises to be a high-point total contest. The Knicks who are leading the series 3–2 have the opportunity to secure their first Eastern Conference Finals appearance in 25 years. The Celtics show their fight spirit even when Jayson Tatum is absent from the game.

Boston's offense has been impressive lately. Boston achieved a 127-point game total during Game 5 with Derrick White taking an important role without Jayson Tatum. During the conference semifinals Derrick White has been putting up an average of 23 points while collecting 6 rebounds and dishing out 3 assists per game. The Celtics have maintained efficient shooting alongside Jaylen Brown's substantial performance.

Jalen Brunson remains an essential player for the Knicks. He has maintained postseason averages of 29.4 points and 7.8 assists despite his difficult performance in Game 5. The Knicks rely on Brunson and supporting play from Karl-Anthony Towns and OG Anunoby to match Boston's scoring output.

Tonight's over/under point total stands at approximately 211 The recent history of high-scoring matches combined with the strong offensive strengths of both teams shows me this game should go over, even without Tatum. Both teams will push the tempo in this fast-paced game which will result in higher total points. 

Jim’s Play: 509. Celitcs/Knicks OVER 

The Western Conference Semifinals of the 2025 NBA Playoffs begin tonight when the top-seeded Oklahoma City Thunder hosts Game 1 against the defending champion Denver Nuggets at Paycom Center. 

Oklahoma City approaches the series after completing their first-round sweep against Memphis Grizzlies on April 26 and enjoying full rest. The Oklahoma City Thunder showed strong offensive skills and defensive determination under the leadership of MVP candidate Shai Gilgeous-Alexander who averaged 32.7 points per game during the regular season. The team has achieved success this season thanks to their balanced offensive approach and roster depth.

After enduring an intense seven-game battle with the Los Angeles Clippers that ended with a decisive 120-101 win on May 3 in Game 7 the Denver Nuggets enter the series. The three-time MVP Nikola Jokic has led Denver by averaging a triple-double in the regular season while maintaining top-level performance throughout the postseason. The Nuggets' offensive rhythm depends heavily on Jamal Murray's scoring performance .

The regular-season match-up between these two teams ended with each team winning two games to demonstrate their equally matched abilities.

OKC has had plenty of rest while Denver coming off that hard fought 7-game win of the Clippers. I look for this game to have plenty of scoring tonight.

Jim’s Play: OVER the Total

Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse in Cleveland will host the opening game of the Eastern Conference Semifinals series between the Cleveland Cavaliers and Indiana Pacers on Sunday, May 4, 2025. Tip-off is scheduled for 6: The game will begin at 6:00 PM ET (3:00 PM PT) and will be broadcast across the nation on TNT.

The Cavaliers head into this match with renewed confidence after achieving their largest point differential against the Miami Heat in a first-round series sweep. Donovan Mitchell distinguished himself as a key player by scoring 23.8 points per game during the first round. Mitchell will break Michael Jordan's record for consecutive 30-point playoff opening performances if he scores 30 points during Game 1.

The Cleveland Cavaliers face potential uncertainty as All-Star guard Darius Garland remains day-to-day with a toe injury. Garland did not attend practice on Saturday but took part in a full-contact session on Friday. His status will be a game-time decision .

After securing a five-game series victory against Milwaukee Bucks, the Pacers now head to their matchup in Cleveland. Tyrese Haliburton has played a critical role in Indiana Pacers' winning streak by delivering 17.6 points and leading the playoffs with an average of 11.6 assists per game. The Cavaliers' defense must focus on stopping his playmaking abilities which enable him to generate scoring chances for his teammates.

The Pacers' defensive approach concentrates on reducing three-point shot attempts while they usually refrain from switching screens and maintain less emphasis on protecting the paint. 

Cleveland ranks first in the league with 121.9 points per game while Indiana holds seventh place with 117.4 points per game in offensive scoring throughout the regular season. The series is expected to produce many points while the Cavaliers maintain their lead by controlling Haliburton's playmaking skills and using their offensive depth to their advantage.

As the series begins fans will closely monitor Darius Garland's condition and how teams adjust their strategies to neutralize each other's strengths. I do expect a lot of points in this series and tonight I'm taking game one OVER the Total. 

Jim's Play: OVER the Total 

The Intuit Dome in Inglewood, California will host the decisive Game 6 between the Denver Nuggets and Los Angeles Clippers on Thursday, May 1, 2025. Jamal Murray scored 43 points with Nikola Jokic recording a triple-double as the Denver Nuggets achieved a commanding 131-115 victory in Game 5 to take a 3-2 series lead.

While Game 5 ended with high scoring totals the next matchup is expected to result in fewer points overall. The Clippers maintain a reputation for defensive discipline which propels them to top rankings in league points allowed per game and they anticipate intensifying their defense to prevent elimination from the series. The Clippers plan to break Murray's game flow and limit Jokic's playmaking abilities which should push Denver into making difficult and less effective shot attempts.

As the Clippers fight to avoid elimination with desperation tactics and the Nuggets work to finish the series with control and poise both teams will focus more intensively on half-court execution and defensive plays. The high stakes and playoff environment of Game 6 will turn this Western Conference showdown into a battle of endurance rather than a game of speed which makes betting 'under' my choice.

TAKE: Nuggets/Clippers UNDER the Total 

Game 3 between the Boston Celtics and Orlando Magic of their first-round NBA playoff series will take place at the Kia Center in Orlando on April 25, 2025. The Celtics lead their playoff series 2-0 after winning their initial two home games and aim to maintain this advantage with another win on the road.

Boston managed to secure a win in Game 2 without their star forward Jayson Tatum who is currently doubtful for Game 3 because of a right wrist bone bruise. Jaylen Brown delivered an impressive performance by scoring 36 points and grabbing 10 rebounds while dishing out five assists. Kristaps Porzingis delivered 20 points and 10 rebounds while Derrick White scored 17 points through key three-pointers during the final period. The Celtics demonstrated their team depth and resilience to handle Orlando's physical defense while keeping the series lead.

While implementing an aggressive defensive strategy, the Magic have failed to establish any offensive flow. Paolo Banchero's 32 points and Franz Wagner's 25 points could not compensate for the team's poor 24% shooting percentage from the three-point line. The Magic can prevent a 3-0 deficit by increasing their shooting precision and reducing turnovers while utilizing their home crowd's support.

Boston aims to stay dominant in Florida to advance to the second round while the Magic have a critical chance to regain control and maintain their playoff chances.

Even though Orlando struggled offensively at the start of the series they demonstrated potential scoring abilities through Paolo Banchero and Franz Wagner. Boston may have to continue without Jayson Tatum after consecutive challenging victories which creates an excellent opportunity for the Magic to strike back in their home arena. The Magic are expected to start the game with high intensity while both teams maintain a fast pace which will favor the over in this crucial matchup. I look for the OVER to come into play here in game three. 

Jim's Play: Over the Total

The NBA Playoffs open on Saturday, April 19, 2025 with an exciting first-round Eastern Conference series between the No. 4 seed Indiana Pacers and the No. 5 seed Milwaukee Bucks. The first game between Indiana Pacers and Milwaukee Bucks starts at 1:00 PM ET at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis. Indiana Pacers head into the playoffs as a strong team by winning 14 out of their last 17 regular-season games. Indiana's offense demonstrates considerable potency under the leadership of All-Star guard Tyrese Haliburton and forward Pascal Siakam through its top league standings in field-goal percentage and assists. Indiana maintains home-court advantage which becomes vital considering their impressive home performances after the All-Star break. 

As the regular season came to a close the Bucks had eight consecutive victories. Giannis Antetokounmpo maintains his dominance as a two-time MVP by delivering averages of over 30 points, 11 rebounds and 6 assists for every game he plays. Damian Lillard will miss the start of Game 1 because of a calf injury but hopes remain high for his participation in subsequent games. Milwaukee managed to secure victories in three out of four matchups with the Pacers during the regular season which demonstrated their capability to handle Indiana's rapid style of play.

Indiana and Milwaukee's upcoming series will showcase a fierce competition between Indiana's roster depth together with their home-court advantage juxtaposed with Milwaukee's playoff-hardened team and Antetokounmpo's exceptional talent. 

Typically NBA playoff games tend to lower scoring games then regular season.  That being said, this is the one game on Saturday that stands out to me for an under play. 

Play: Bucks/Pacers UNDER

After a long college basketball season that started back in November, we have finally arrived at the NCAA Championship game between Houston and Florida.  The 2025 NCAA Men's Basketball National Championship features a compelling clash between two No. 1 seeds: the Florida Gators (35-4) and the Houston Cougars (35-4). Both teams showcased resilience in the Final Four, each mounting significant comebacks to secure their spots in the title game. Florida overcame a nine-point deficit to defeat Auburn 79-73, while Houston rallied from a 14-point shortfall to edge out Duke 70-67. The Cougars were down 11 points with under two minutes to play and had that improbable comeback late. Florida boasts a potent offense, averaging 85 points per game this season. Senior guard Walter Clayton Jr. has been instrumental, delivering back-to-back 30-point performances in the Elite Eight and Final Four, a feat last achieved by Larry Bird in 1979. The Gators demonstrated grit, notably overcoming a 10-point deficit with under six minutes remaining against Texas Tech in the Elite Eight. Houston prides itself on a stifling defense, leading the nation by allowing just 58 points per game. Graduate guard L.J. Cryer has been pivotal, scoring 26 points against Duke, including crucial free throws in the final moments. The Cougars' path has been marked by resilience, highlighted by their dramatic comeback against Duke, closing the game on a 9-0 run.  Florida's Offense vs. Houston's Defense: The Gators' high-scoring offense, led by Clayton Jr., will be tested against the Cougars' top-ranked defense. Houston's ability to contain Clayton will be crucial. Both teams excel in rebounding. Florida ranks fifth nationally in offensive rebounding percentage (38.9%), while Houston's physicality under the boards has been a hallmark. This championship showdown promises an exhilarating battle between Florida's dynamic offense and Houston's formidable defense. Both teams have displayed remarkable resilience throughout the tournament, setting the stage for a memorable conclusion to the 2025 NCAA Men's Basketball season. This game looks to be a great defensive battle and as such I'm taking the UNDER tonight in this contest.

The Dallas Mavericks (38-40) are set to face the Los Angeles Clippers (45-32) on Saturday, April 5, 2025, at the Intuit Dome in Inglewood, California. This game marks the second of a back-to-back series between the two teams, with the Clippers having secured a 114-91 victory on Friday night. The Mavericks are currently 9th in the Western Conference, striving to maintain their position in the play-in tournament. They currently hold a slim half game lead over No 10 Sacamento and 2 1/2 games lover No 11 Phoenix. The team has faced significant injury challenges, notably the season-ending torn ACL suffered by Kyrie Irving in early March. Additionally, center Daniel Gafford is sidelined with a Grade 3 MCL sprain, and Dereck Lively II is out due to a foot fracture. Anthony Davis, who has been instrumental since his return, was ruled out for Friday's game due to a left adductor strain, and his status for Saturday remains uncertain. The Clippers are positioned tied for 7th with the Grizzlies in the Western Conference, aiming to secure a direct playoff spot and avoid the play-in tournament. They only trail No 6 Minnesota by one game and are within two games of No 3 LA Lakers. So every game is a big one for the Clippers. They have been in strong form, winning 12 of their last 15 games. Kawhi Leonard has been a consistent performer, contributing 20 points in Friday's win. However, the Clippers are managing injuries as well, with Amir Coffey (knee inflammation), Jordan Miller (hamstring tendinopathy), and Ben Simmons (knee injury management) all listed as out. With the Mavericks potentially missing Anthony Davis and Dereck Lively II, the Clippers' Ivica Zubac, who recorded a double-double with 14 points and 13 rebounds on Friday, could have an advantage in the paint. The Mavericks will rely on players like Naji Marshall, who led the team with 22 points in the previous game, to counter the offensive threats posed by the Clippers' wings, including Kawhi Leonard and Norman Powell. The Clippers' recent form and home-court advantage position them as favorites in this matchup. The Mavericks' performance will heavily depend on the availability of Anthony Davis. If Davis is unable to play, Dallas may struggle to contain the Clippers' frontcourt and generate sufficient offense. Conversely, if Davis is active, his presence could significantly impact the game's dynamics, providing the Mavericks with a much-needed boost on both ends of the floor. Either way, Davis or no Davis, I'm taking this game OVER tonight. I had the Clippers last night and the game got to just 205 total points. I expect a better showing tonight from Dallas as this one goes OVER the total. 

The stage is set for a thrilling Final Four clash between two of college basketball’s elite programs: the Houston Cougars and the Duke Blue Devils. It’s a showdown of contrasting styles—Duke’s offensive firepower meets Houston’s lockdown defense. Duke enters the contest boasting the most efficient offense in the nation. Leading the charge is freshman phenom Cooper Flagg, who’s been sensational throughout the season, averaging 18.9 points, 7.5 rebounds, 4.2 assists, 1.4 steals, and 1.3 blocks per game. Supporting him is fellow freshman Kon Knueppel, a reliable scorer with 14.4 points per game and a 40.1% shooting clip from three-point range. Houston counters with the nation’s top-ranked defense and an elite 3-point shooting percentage (39.7%). Senior guard L.J. Cryer leads the way offensively with 15.4 points per game, hitting nearly 42% of his shots from deep. Junior guard Emanuel Sharp adds 12.7 points per game, giving Houston multiple perimeter threats. Cooper Flagg vs. Joseph Tugler: This battle in the paint is one to watch. Flagg will be tested by Joseph Tugler, a strong, physical defender with a massive 7-foot-6 wingspan. Tugler's defensive presence could disrupt Flagg’s rhythm and alter Duke’s offensive flow. Both teams are lethal from long range. Houston features sharp-shooters like Milos Uzan (44.5%), Cryer (41.9%), and Sharp (41.5%). On the other side, Duke counters with Tyrese Proctor (41.2%) and Knueppel. Whichever team can get hot from beyond the arc may swing the momentum. Duke is averaging close to 92 points per game during the tournament, showcasing explosive scoring capabilities. Houston, however, has held opponents to just 56.5 points per game over its four tournament victories. This is a textbook matchup between offensive firepower and defensive grit. Duke’s Defense is No Slouch. While known for its explosive offense, Duke also ranks among the top defensive teams in the country, giving up only 62.6 points per game—seventh nationally. Their ability to limit second-chance opportunities and contest shots effectively adds another layer of resistance. Houston thrives on a deliberate, methodical tempo that limits the number of possessions per game. They prefer to grind games out in the half court, emphasizing defensive execution and forcing opponents into uncomfortable offensive sets. This slower pace often keeps scoring totals down, even against more potent offenses. Both teams are great defensively and I look or Houston to do it's best to slow this game down and not get into a run and gun shootout. Take the UNDER.

The stage is set for a high-octane SEC showdown as the Florida Gators and the Auburn Tigers battle for a spot in the national championship game. Both teams have had dominant seasons and bring explosive offenses and disciplined coaching into this Final Four matchup. Under head coach Todd Golden, Florida posted a 34-4 record and finished second in the SEC. The Gators are one of the nation’s most potent offensive teams, averaging 85.4 points per game, good for fourth nationally. Senior guard Walter Clayton Jr. has been the engine of their attack, averaging 18.1 points and 4.2 assists per game. Led by veteran coach Bruce Pearl, Auburn compiled a 32-5 record and won the SEC regular-season title. They average 83.2 points per game (12th nationally) and are anchored by dominant forward Johni Broome, who averages 18.7 points, 10.9 rebounds, and 2.1 blocks per contest. Florida holds a slight edge on offense, averaging 85.4 points to Auburn’s 83.2. Auburn allows 69.2 points per game, slightly better than Florida’s 69.7. 

The Tigers have shown exceptional consistency on the defensive end, allowing 70 points or fewer in all six of their SEC and NCAA Tournament games leading up to the Final Four. Their ability to control tempo and limit quality looks has been a major factor in their postseason success. Florida ranks among the nation’s best in defending both the two-point and three-point shot. Their perimeter defense makes it difficult for opponents to get hot from deep, and their length inside challenges finishes at the rim. The game will be played at the Alamodome, a large football stadium converted for basketball. These types of venues can affect shooting accuracy due to unusual sightlines and depth perception issues, especially on three-point attempts. In high-pressure games like the Final Four, teams often emphasize defensive execution and deliberate offensive sets over fast-break scoring. That leads to fewer possessions and lower-scoring outcomes, especially in the early stages of the game when nerves are high. Both teams proved they can play defense and with the stadium being a converted football stadium and the stakes at hand, I'm sticking with the UNDER here today. 

Take : UNDER the Total

The Timberwolves are in the thick of the Western Conference playoff hunt, currently tied for the sixth seed. Securing a top-six finish is key to avoiding the Play-In Tournament. Minnesota enters this matchup riding a three-game winning streak, including a dramatic 140-139 double-overtime victory over the Denver Nuggets. In that game, Anthony Edwards led the way with 34 points, 10 rebounds, and eight assists, continuing his strong season. While already eliminated from playoff contention, the Nets are coming off back-to-back wins over the Washington Wizards and Dallas Mavericks. In their most recent outing, a 113-109 win over Dallas, Keon Johnson led with 24 points and D'Angelo Russell added 18 points and 11 assists. The Nets are giving increased minutes to their young core as they look toward the future. Anthony Edwards has emerged as one of the league’s premier young scorers, averaging 27.3 points per game. The Nets will need to prioritize defensive schemes to try to slow him down, though that’s easier said than done given his current form. D'Angelo Russell’s experience and court vision make him a central figure for Brooklyn. However, Minnesota’s defense ranks among the league’s best, making his job more difficult. The Timberwolves rank sixth in defensive efficiency, and they’ve been tough on opposing guards. Minnesota enters this game with momentum and something to play for, while Brooklyn is experimenting with lineups and developing young talent. With the Timberwolves’ playoff aspirations driving their intensity—and the Nets struggling defensively—Minnesota is expected to control the game and score enough points to get this game OVER the total. 

The UCF Knights and the Cincinnati Bearcats are set to clash in the quarterfinals of the College Basketball Crown tournament on Thursday, April 3, 2025, at the MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas. The UCF Knights (18-16) secured their spot in the quarterfinals with a narrow 76-75 victory over Oregon State. In that game, three players—Tyler Hendricks, Nils Machowski, and Darius Johnson—each contributed 15 points. Notably, leading scorer Keyshawn Hall, who averages 18.8 points per game, did not participate in the matchup against Oregon State. The Cincinnati Bearcats (19-15) advanced by defeating DePaul 83-61 in their opening game of the tournament. Cincinnati showcased a balanced offense with six players scoring in double figures, led by Dillon Mitchell's 15 points and seven rebounds. UCF averages 79.2 points per game, shooting 42.4% from the field and 33.8% from three-point range. Cincinnati averages 70.9 points per game with a field goal percentage of 44.8% and 32% from beyond the arc. Knights allow an average of 80 points per game, while the Bearcats have a stronger defensive record, conceding 65.6 points per game. Cincinnati has dominated recent matchups, winning the last five games against UCF. Their most recent encounter was on February 5, 2025, where the Bearcats triumphed 93-83. I expect much the same this time around as we should see plenty of points scored in this contest. Play the OVER.

The Orlando Magic (36-40) head to the Frost Bank Center to face the San Antonio Spurs (31-43) in a matchup with a projected total set at 220.5 points. Both teams bring contrasting recent form and defensive tendencies that make a compelling case for the over. The Magic have picked up wins in four of their last six games, showing improved offensive execution. In a recent high-scoring win over the Kings, they dropped 121 points, shooting nearly 50% from the field and over 46% from deep. When this team finds rhythm early, their pace and ball movement create open looks, especially from beyond the arc. The Spurs, on a four-game losing streak, have struggled to contain opponents, recently surrendering 148 points to the Warriors. Their season average in total points per game is nearly 229, signaling a high-tempo game environment and a vulnerable defense prone to breakdowns—particularly in transition and against perimeter shooting. The over has hit in the last two meetings between these teams, and both clubs have had games this season where defensive execution gave way to shootouts. The Spurs’ willingness to push pace, paired with Orlando’s ability to capitalize on a porous defense, suggests another contest leaning toward high total scoring. The way the Spurs have given up points in recent games should have the Magic coming in around 120 points. I'm taking the game OVER. 

The 2025 NCAA Tournament’s South Regional Final brings a high-stakes clash between two powerhouse programs as the No. 2 seed Michigan State Spartans face off against the No. 1 seed Auburn Tigers on Sunday in Atlanta. Tip-off is set for 5:05 PM ET at State Farm Arena, and a trip to the Final Four in San Antonio is on the line. Michigan State Spartans (30-6) under Tom Izzo has once again led his Spartans deep into March, relying on a disciplined, defense-first approach. Michigan State has allowed just over 67 points per game this season while holding opponents to 40% shooting from the field. Offensively, they average 78 points per game, with solid ball movement and efficient perimeter play. Freshman guard Jase Richardson has emerged as a clutch performer, dropping 20 points in the Sweet 16 win over Ole Miss. Tyson Walker and A.J. Hoggard provide veteran leadership in the backcourt, while Malik Hall anchors the frontcourt with grit and experience. The Auburn Tigers (31-5) led by Bruce Pearl. The Tigers have ridden a high-octane offense to the brink of the Final Four. Auburn averages nearly 84 points per game, powered by a deep and athletic rotation. In their Sweet 16 comeback win over Michigan, the Tigers showed resilience behind Johni Broome’s 22 points and 16 rebounds. Guards Denver Jones and freshman sensation Tahaad Pettiford have given Auburn perimeter scoring punch, while their defense has held opponents to under 70 points per contest. Auburn also boasts one of the nation’s top shot-blocking teams, averaging six swats per game. Both teams are battle-tested. Michigan State thrives in gritty, close games, while Auburn can explode offensively in spurts. Whichever team dictates pace will hold the upper hand. Expect a physical, tightly contested battle with shifting momentum. Michigan State’s defense will slow Auburn’s tempo early, but the Tigers’ athleticism and depth may wear down the Spartans over 40 minutes. This looks to be a grind out game with every point being important. I'm taking the UNDER. 

The Midwest Region's Elite Eight matchup features the No. 2 seed Tennessee Volunteers (30–7) against the No. 1 seed Houston Cougars (33–4). Both teams are renowned for their defensive prowess and disciplined playstyles, setting the stage for a highly competitive battle with a Final Four berth at stake. Tennessee Volunteers are 30–7 under Head Coach Rick Barnes. Tennessee secured their Elite Eight spot by defeating Kentucky 78–65, showcasing their defensive strength and balanced scoring. Houston is 33–4 under Head Coach Kelvin Sampson. Houston advanced by narrowly edging out Purdue 62–60, demonstrating resilience and clutch performance in critical moments. Houston allows 88.0 points per 100 possessions. Tennessee allows 89.3 points per 100 possessions. Houston averages 123.4 points per 100 possessions. Tennessee averages 121.1 points per 100 possessions. Pace of play: Houston 61.6 possessions per 40 minutes. Tennessee: 63.7 possessions per 40 minutes. Both teams exhibit elite defenses and methodical offensive approaches, often resulting in low-scoring, possession-controlled games. Tennessee Volunteers: Zakai Zeigler (Guard): Instrumental in the Sweet 16 victory over Kentucky with 18 points and 10 assists, Zeigler's playmaking and defensive tenacity are vital for Tennessee's success. Chaz Lanier (Guard): Contributed 17 points against Kentucky, providing a reliable scoring option from the perimeter. Felix Okpara (Center): Anchors the defense with shot-blocking ability and added 11 rebounds in the previous game, effectively controlling the paint. Houston Cougars: L.J. Cryer (Guard): Averaging 15.3 points per game, Cryer's scoring prowess and experience are crucial for Houston's offensive rhythm. Milos Uzan (Guard): Delivered a game-high 22 points, including the game-winning layup against Purdue, showcasing his clutch performance under pressure. Jamal Shead (Guard): Provides leadership and stability in the backcourt, facilitating the offense and contributing defensively. This Elite Eight clash is anticipated to be a defensive battle, with both teams excelling in limiting opponents' scoring opportunities. Houston's slight edge in offensive efficiency and superior three-point shooting (39.8%) could be pivotal. This looks to be a close game and slow pace. I'm taking UNDER as my Elite 8 Total of the Year. 

The Elite Eight clash between the No. 1 seed Duke Blue Devils and No. 2 seed Alabama Crimson Tide is set for Saturday night at the Prudential Center in Newark, New Jersey, with tipoff at 8:49 p.m. ET. Duke comes in with a 34-3 record, driven by an efficient and balanced roster. Freshman sensation Cooper Flagg has led the way, averaging 19 points, 7.5 rebounds, and 4.2 assists per game. His performance in the Sweet 16 — 30 points, six rebounds, seven assists, and three blocks — was nothing short of elite, proving he’s built for March. Alabama (28-8) brings one of the most potent offenses in the country, fresh off a 113-88 win over BYU where they set an NCAA Tournament record with 25 made three-pointers. Senior guard Mark Sears exploded for 34 points, hitting 10 from beyond the arc. Alabama’s experience and tempo-heavy attack make them a unique threat. The defining battle could be between Duke’s top-ranked two-point defense (holding opponents to 43.2%) and Alabama’s explosive two-point offense (converting 60.1%). Another critical factor will be Alabama’s outside shooting against Duke’s strong perimeter defense, which has limited opponents to around 30% from deep. Duke leads the all-time series 8-3 and has won seven straight matchups against Alabama. However, these teams haven’t met since 2013, and both programs have evolved significantly since then. This game pits Duke’s polished, defensive-minded approach against Alabama’s free-flowing, high-octane offense. The outcome may depend on whether Duke can limit Alabama’s three-point barrage and slow down their pace. Either way, this one has all the makings of a classic.  I look for both teams to dictate the pace at times. And as such, I'm expecting this game to get enough points to go over the total. 

The No. 1 seed Florida Gators face off against the No. 3 seed Texas Tech Red Raiders in a high-stakes Elite Eight showdown at the Chase Center in San Francisco. Tipoff is scheduled for 6:09 p.m. ET. Florida rides into this game on a nine-game win streak, including a dominant 87-71 Sweet 16 victory over Maryland. The Gators showed off their depth with six players scoring in double figures and a +18 margin on the glass. They’ve been one of the tournament’s most efficient offensive teams, averaging 85.4 points per game heading into the round. Florida’s success comes from balance — several players are shooting 35.7% or better from beyond the arc — and a stingy defense that has held opponents to just 25.8% shooting from deep during the tournament. Texas Tech punched their ticket to the Elite Eight with an 85-83 overtime comeback win over Arkansas, erasing a 16-point deficit. JT Toppin, Darrion Williams, and Christian Anderson combined for 62 points, carrying the Red Raiders through a nail-biting finish. However, Texas Tech’s outside shooting has dipped in the tournament. They’ve connected on just 25.0% of their three-point attempts, down from a season average of 36.7%. The possible absence of guard Chance McMillian due to an oblique injury could also impact their rotation. The spotlight will be on how Texas Tech’s offense handles Florida’s elite defense. Florida ranks second in adjusted offensive efficiency (129.2 points per 100 possessions) and ninth in adjusted defensive efficiency (92.9 points allowed per 100 possessions). One key battle will be at point guard: Elijah Hawkins for Texas Tech vs. Walter Clayton Jr. for Florida. Whoever controls the pace and tempo could shift the game’s direction dramatically.  Florida is an offensive machine and I don't see anyone keeping them down. Tech will have to keep pace or get blowout on Saturday. I'm taking OVER.

The NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament's Sweet 16 features the No. 3 seed Texas Tech Red Raiders and the No. 10 seed Arkansas Razorbacks on Thursday, March 27, 2025, at the Chase Center in San Francisco. Tip-off is scheduled for 10:09 PM ET, with television coverage on TBS and truTV. Texas Tech Red Raiders (27-8) have showcased a strong offense throughout the season, ranking fifth nationally in offensive efficiency. They possess a balanced attack, capable of scoring both inside and from the perimeter. Notably, forward J.T. Toppin has been a dominant presence in the paint, averaging 18.1 points and 9.3 rebounds per game. In their recent victory over Drake, Toppin recorded a double-double with 25 points and 12 rebounds. Arkansas Razorbacks (22-13) have embraced the underdog role, advancing to the Sweet 16 with impressive victories over higher-seeded teams. Their defense has been particularly effective, limiting opponents' shooting percentages and disrupting offensive rhythms. Offensively, Arkansas has been solid but will need to improve their three-point shooting and rebounding to compete effectively against Texas Tech. The Razorbacks' defense will be tested by the Red Raiders' versatile offensive strategies, which can adapt to both interior and perimeter scoring. Containing Toppin in the paint while defending against Texas Tech's three-point shooters will be crucial for Arkansas. Arkansas prefers an up-tempo game, capitalizing on fast breaks and transition opportunities. Conversely, Texas Tech is adept at controlling the tempo, often slowing down the game to execute their half-court offense efficiently. The team that dictates the pace is likely to gain a significant advantage. Red Raiders offense has been formidable and I expect them to control this game today. That will force Arkansas to match them with their up-tempo offense. I'll be on the over in this game today. 

The NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament's Sweet 16 features the No. 1 seed Duke Blue Devils and the No. 4 seed Arizona Wildcats on Thursday, March 27, 2025, at the Prudential Center in Newark, New Jersey. Tip-off is scheduled for 9:39 p.m. ET, with television coverage on CBS. This is a rematch from earlier in the season where Duke prevailed, 69-55. Duke Blue Devils (33-3) have  demonstrated dominance throughout the season, currently on a 13-game winning streak. Their offense is led by standout freshman Cooper Flagg, who has fully recovered from an earlier ankle injury and is expected to play without limitations. They average 83.2 ppg while allowing just 61.7 ppg. The Blue Devils have also benefited from a strategic lineup change, with Sion James replacing Caleb Foster, enhancing their performance significantly. Arizona Wildcats (24-12) have shown resilience, overcoming a 15-point deficit to defeat Oregon 87-83 in the Round of 32. Caleb Love has been a pivotal player, delivering consistent performances and leading the team's offense. Arizona's defense has improved notably, preparing them for the physicality of the NCAA Tournament. Arizona averages 82.2 ppg. These are two of the highest scoring teams in the tournament and as such I'm looking for a pretty good shootout today. I'm taking the OVER. 

The NCAA Tournament continues Thursday with a the high-octane Alabama Crimson Tide and the disciplined BYU Cougars. Both teams have looked sharp in the opening rounds and bring very different styles to the court, setting the stage for a classic clash of pace and precision. BYU Cougars — No. 5 Seed (Big 12) are 25-10 and coming off a win over No. 4 seed Kansas State. The Cougars have ridden their perimeter shooting and disciplined ball movement to reach the Sweet 16 for the first time since 2011. Head coach Mark Pope has this team playing smart, unselfish basketball. BYU ranks among the top teams in the nation in assists and three-point attempts, often stretching defenses thin with five-out lineups. Jaxson Robinson — The senior wing has been electric from deep, averaging over 17 points per game in the tournament and shooting above 40% from three. His ability to hit contested shots and create space will be vital. Alabama Crimson Tide — No. 1 Seed (SEC) are 29-6 and coming off a win over No. 8 seed Texas A&M. The Tide enter the Sweet 16 after rolling through their first two opponents with their signature blend of pace, spacing, and athleticism. Nate Oats’ squad continues to be one of the fastest-paced teams in the country, looking to score early and often with a deep arsenal of shooters and slashers.  Mark Sears — The veteran guard has been the engine of Alabama's offense, combining elite shot-making with excellent vision. His ability to break down BYU’s defense and control tempo will be crucial. Alabama wants to run; BYU wants to control tempo. Alabama has been scoring big in this tournament and BYU might have to open it up a bit here to stay close. I'm taking the OVER here in this Sweet 16 matchup. 

The Los Angeles Lakers (43-28) are set to face the Indiana Pacers (42-29) on Wednesday, March 26, 2025, at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET, and the game will be broadcast nationally on ESPN. The Lakers are currently on a three-game losing streak, including a recent 118-106 loss to the Orlando Magic. They are aiming to snap this skid and improve their road performance. LeBron James, despite dealing with a left groin strain, is listed as probable and is expected to play. His leadership, alongside Luka Doncic, will be crucial in this matchup. The Pacers are riding a five-game winning streak and have been formidable at home, boasting a 24-10 record at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Tyrese Haliburton has been instrumental in their recent success, providing significant contributions on both ends of the floor.  The Lakers will rely heavily on the performances of LeBron James and Luka Doncic to penetrate the Pacers' defense. The effectiveness of this duo could determine the Lakers' ability to score efficiently. Indiana prefers an up-tempo style of play, which has been effective during their winning streak. The Lakers will need to control the pace to avoid being overwhelmed by the Pacers' fast breaks and quick transitions. This matchup presents contrasting team dynamics, with the Lakers seeking to end their losing streak and the Pacers aiming to extend their winning momentum. I expect the Pacers to dictate the pace of this one and that means a high scoring game. I'm taking the OVER. 

The No. 8 seed Connecticut Huskies (24-10) are set to face the No. 1 seed Florida Gators (31-4) in the second round of the NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament on Sunday, March 23, 2025. The game will tip off at 12:10 PM Eastern Time at the Lenovo Center in Raleigh, North Carolina, and will be broadcast on CBS. The Huskies advanced to the second round after a hard-fought 67-59 victory over Oklahoma. Sophomore guard Solo Ball played a pivotal role, contributing 14 points and five rebounds. Ball's development has been instrumental for UConn, especially after limited play as a freshman. Junior forward Alex Karaban, the only remaining starter from UConn's previous two national championship teams, added 13 points and seven rebounds in the win. The Gators showcased their offensive prowess with a dominant 95-69 win over Norfolk State in the first round. Senior guard Walter Clayton Jr., a first-team All-American, led the charge with 23 points, five rebounds, and two steals. Clayton's decision to transfer to Florida has paid dividends, solidifying his status as one of the nation's premier guards and an NBA draft prospect. Fifth-year senior guard Alijah Martin also made significant contributions, scoring 17 points and adding two assists. Historically, UConn leads the series 5-1, including a 75-54 victory in their last meeting on December 7, 2022. Notably, UConn defeated Florida during the 2013-14 season, both in the regular season and in the Final Four. Florida boasts the nation's top-rated offense, averaging nearly 86 points per game. UConn's defense will need to be at its best to contain the Gators' high-scoring attack. U Conn knows they can't get into a scoring match here on Sunday. As such look for the Huskies to slow the pace down. I'm going to take UNDER with U Conn taking the tempo.

The NCAA Tournament's East Region features an intriguing first-round matchup between the No. 4 seed Arizona Wildcats and the No. 13 seed Akron Zips on Friday, March 21, 2025, at Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle.  Arizona Wildcats (22-12, 14-6 Big 12) under head coach Tommy Lloyd, Arizona boasts a high-octane offense, averaging 81.7 points per game. The Wildcats are led by guard Caleb Love, who contributes 16.6 points per game, and forward Henri Veesaar, a 7-foot sophomore known for his efficiency around the rim. Arizona's size advantage is notable, with a roster featuring multiple players over 6-foot-3. Akron Zips (28-6, 17-1 MAC): enter the tournament on a hot streak, having won 21 of their last 22 games. The Zips are known for their fast-paced play, ranking 16th nationally in adjusted tempo, and average 84.6 points per game. Guard Nate Johnson leads the team with 14.0 points per game, while Tavari Johnson adds 13.0 points and 3.9 assists per game. Despite their offensive prowess, Akron's roster is relatively undersized, with most contributors standing 6-foot-3 or shorter. Pace of Play: Both teams favor an up-tempo style, which could lead to a high-scoring affair. Arizona ranks 55th in adjusted tempo, while Akron sits at 16th. This alignment suggests both teams will be comfortable pushing the pace. Both teams should be running and gunning in this game. Play the OVER. 

The NCAA Tournament's first-round matchup between the No. 6 seed BYU Cougars and the No. 11 seed VCU Rams is scheduled for Thursday, March 20, 2025, at 4:05 PM ET at Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado. BYU Cougars (24-9) boast a high-octane offense, averaging 81 points per game. They are particularly effective from beyond the arc, ranking 15th nationally in three-point shooting percentage. Richie Saunders leads the team with 16 points per game, while Dallin Hall contributes 9.3 points per game. The VCU Rams (28-6) are renowned for its defensive prowess, allowing just 62.4 points per game, which ranks eighth nationally. Offensively, they average 77 points per game. Max Shulga is the team's leading scorer, averaging 15.1 points per game, and Jack Clark adds 13.7 points and 7.5 rebounds per game. Both teams rely heavily on three-point shooting. BYU ranks 15th nationally in three-point shooting percentage, while VCU ranks 27th. Defensively, VCU excels at guarding the perimeter, holding opponents to 30.6% shooting from beyond the arc, whereas BYU allows opponents to shoot 34.8%. VCU's defense is adept at creating turnovers, ranking 32nd nationally in opponent turnovers per possession. BYU, however, has struggled with ball security, ranking 205th in turnovers per possession. Here is an interesting fact, No 11 seeds have been very good since 2011, going 29-27. Can they do it again here. I'll take VCU and we'll see. 

The Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers (22-12) are set to face the American University Eagles (22-12) in the NCAA Tournament's First Four on Wednesday, March 19, 2025, at UD Arena in Dayton, Ohio. Under the leadership of first-year head coach Donny Lind, the Mountaineers clinched the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference (MAAC) title by defeating Iona 63-49. They have won nine of their last 11 games, including four straight, showcasing a strong finish to their season. The Eagles, guided by second-year head coach Duane Simpkins, secured the Patriot League championship with a decisive 74-52 victory over Navy. They have won eight of their last 10 games, including four consecutive wins, demonstrating strong form entering the tournament. Mount St. Mary's is led by Dola Adebayo who leads the team with 13.2 points and 6.9 rebounds per game, shooting 51.9% from the field. American University's top scorer is Matt Rogers with 17.0 points per game, along with 5.6 rebounds, shooting an impressive 55.6% from the field.  This First Four matchup features two teams with identical records and recent championship victories. American's experience and continuity, coupled with their defensive strengths, position them favorably. However, Mount St. Mary's momentum and balanced scoring could challenge the Eagles, suggesting a closely contested game. For me, I'm sticking with the UNDER here on Wednesday. 

The Pistons hold a 37-31 record, placing them sixth in the Eastern Conference. They average 114.8 points per game (12th in the league) and allow 113.2 points per game (14th). Their rebounding average stands at 45.3 per game (9th). The Pelicans have struggled this season with an 18-50 record, ranking 14th in the Western Conference. They average 110.8 points per game (23rd) and concede 119.0 points per game (26th). Their rebounding average is 43.5 per game (21st). Pistons: Cade Cunningham: 25.6 PPG, 6.1 RPG, 9.3 APG and Malik Beasley: 16.3 PPG, 2.7 RPG lead the team. Pelicans are led by Zion Williamson: 24.2 PPG, 7.3 RPG, 5.3 APG and Trey Murphy III: 21.6 PPG, 5.2 RPG. Pelicans: Zion Williamson (personal reasons), Kelly Olynyk (finger), and Yves Missi (ankle) are questionable. Brandon Boston Jr. (ankle) is out. Herbert Jones (shoulder) and Dejounte Murray (Achilles) are out for the season. I look for the Pistons to score a lot here on Monday and push this game over the total. 

The Alabama Crimson Tide and the Florida Gators are set to clash in the Southeastern Conference (SEC) Tournament semifinals on Saturday, March 15, 2025, at Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, Tennessee. Tip-off is scheduled for 2:30 p.m. CT (3:30 p.m. ET), with the game broadcast on ESPN. Alabama Crimson Tide are 25-7 overall, 13-5 in SEC play, averaging 91.4 points per game while allowing 80.7 points per game. The Crimson Tide are renowned for their high-octane offense, leading the nation in scoring with an average of 91.4 points per game. Their up-tempo style is complemented by a deep roster, allowing them to maintain intensity throughout games. In their recent quarterfinal matchup, Alabama dominated Kentucky with a 99-70 victory, showcasing their offensive prowess. Florida Gators are 28-4 overall, 14-4 in SEC play, averaging 84.8 points per game and allowing 68.6 points per game. The Gators have been impressive on both ends of the floor, combining a potent offense with a stifling defense. Their balanced approach has led them to a strong season, including a recent 95-81 victory over Missouri in the quarterfinals, where Clayton Jr. led with 18 points and six assists. Even though this is one of the highest totals we'll see in college hoops, these two teams are built to score a lot and go over this number. Play OVER. 

The Western Michigan Broncos (12-19, 9-9 MAC) are set to face the Kent State Golden Flashes (21-10, 11-7 MAC) in the quarterfinals of the Mid-American Conference (MAC) Tournament on Thursday, March 13, 2025, at Rocket Arena in Cleveland, Ohio, with tip-off scheduled for 6:30 p.m. ET. This season, the Broncos and Golden Flashes split their two regular-season meetings, each securing a victory on the road. On January 14, Western Michigan triumphed 94-83 at Kent State, while the Golden Flashes edged out a 77-76 win in Kalamazoo on March 4. The Broncos secured their tournament berth with a narrow 64-63 victory over Bowling Green in their regular-season finale. Junior guard Chansey Willis Jr., recently named to the All-MAC Second Team, has been instrumental for Western Michigan, averaging 17.0 points and 5.8 assists per game. He has scored in double figures in 21 of his 23 games this season. The Broncos have also been strong on the boards, leading the MAC in offensive rebounds with 13.3 per game. The Golden Flashes enter the tournament on a positive note, having won two consecutive games, including a 76-70 victory over Eastern Michigan. Kent State boasts a balanced offensive attack, averaging 74.1 points per game, with key contributions from VonCameron Davis (15.2 points per game) and Jalen Sullinger (15.1 points per game). Defensively, they have been solid, allowing 68.3 points per game, and they excel in rebounding, outrebounding opponents by an average of 5.0 boards per game. This game looks to be a tight contest and lower scoring. I'm on the UNDER here tonight. 

The Kennesaw State Owls (18-13, 10-8 CUSA) are set to face the New Mexico State Aggies (17-14, 10-8 CUSA) in the Conference USA (CUSA) Tournament quarterfinals on Thursday, March 13, 2025, at the Von Braun Center in Huntsville, Alabama, with tip-off scheduled for 6:30 p.m. ET. The Owls have shown resilience this season, highlighted by recent back-to-back road victories against Liberty and Jacksonville State. Their defense has been notably effective, ranking 44th nationally in field goal percentage defense at 41.1%. Offensively, they average 76.4 points per game, with freshman guard Adrian Wooley leading the charge at 18.5 points per game. The Aggies concluded their regular season with a 76-69 loss to Sam Houston. They possess a strong defense, allowing just 65.5 points per game, ranking 27th nationally. Offensively, they average 69.4 points per game, with guard Christian Cook contributing 13.0 points per game.  This season, the teams split their regular-season encounters, each winning on the road. Kennesaw State secured a 69-56 victory on January 24, while New Mexico State responded with a 60-49 win on February 22.  Defense: Both teams excel defensively. Kennesaw State's field goal percentage defense ranks 44th nationally, while New Mexico State allows just 65.5 points per game, ranking 27th. Two defensive teams meet here today. Both previous games have been low scoring and I don't see that changing here today. Take the UNDER. 

The Indiana Pacers (33-24) are set to face the Atlanta Hawks (27-32) on March 6, 2025, at State Farm Arena in Atlanta. This matchup marks their second meeting this season, with the Pacers securing a narrow 132-127 victory over the Hawks on February 1, 2025. The Pacers have been in strong form recently, winning 10 of their last 12 games. They currently hold a .579 win percentage, placing them third in the Central Division. Their offense averages 116.6 points per game (PPG) on 49.1% shooting, while allowing 115.3 PPG defensively. Conversely, the Hawks have struggled, losing seven consecutive games prior to their recent matchups. They stand at a .458 win percentage, ranking third in the Southeast Division. Offensively, Atlanta matches Indiana with an average of 116.6 PPG but has a less efficient shooting percentage of 46.3%. Defensively, they concede 119.5 PPG, indicating challenges in their defensive setups. The Pacers are led by Pascal Siakam with 20.3 PPG and 7.3 rebounds per game (RPG). Trae Young leads the Hawks, contributing 23.9 PPG and leading the league with 11.4 APG, though his shooting efficiency has been a concern at 40.6%. Both these teams can score and their first game flew over the total. No reason this one shouldn't do the same. Play the OVER.

The West Virginia Mountaineers (17-12, 8-10 Big 12) are set to face the Utah Utes (16-13, 8-10 Big 12) on Tuesday, March 4, 2025, at the Jon M. Huntsman Center in Salt Lake City. The Utes are averaging 75.7 points per game while allowing 71.3 points to opponents. They excel in rebounding, securing 35.4 boards per game, which ranks 31st nationally. Offensively, Utah shoots 45.4% from the field and 33.2% from beyond the arc. However, free throw shooting has been a weakness, with the team converting only 63.8% of their attempts, placing them last in the Big 12. The Mountaineers average 68.2 points per game and are known for their strong defense, limiting opponents to 64.6 points per contest, ranking 19th nationally. They shoot 42.4% from the field and 32.6% from three-point range. Rebounding has been a challenge, as they have a negative rebounding margin and rank 300th in total rebounding percentage. Utah guard Gabe Madsen leads the team with 15.2 points per game, while forward Ezra Ausar contributes 12.4 points and 4.8 rebounds per game. West Virginia guard Javon Small is the team's leading scorer, averaging 18.2 points along with 5.5 assists and 4.1 rebounds per game. Forward Amani Hansberry adds 9.8 points and 6.4 rebounds per contest. Both teams are tied for 9th in the Big 12 with 8-10 records. The top eight seeds receive a bye in the conference tournament, making this game crucial for positioning. This contest looks to be a tough, highly contested game with the strong West Virginia defense and Utah limiting second chances with their rebounding skills. I'm taking the UNDER here today. 

The Minnesota Timberwolves are set to face the Los Angeles Lakers on Thursday, February 27, 2025 at Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles. The Lakers currently hold a 35-21 record, placing them fourth in the Western Conference, and are on a three-game winning streak. The Timberwolves, with a 32-27 record, sit seventh in the conference. In their most recent matchup, Minnesota secured a 97-87 victory over Los Angeles on December 13, 2024, leading the season series 2-1. The Timberwolves are dealing with significant injuries: Julius Randle: Out with a right adductor strain, expected to miss at least two weeks. Donte DiVincenzo: Sidelined indefinitely due to a Grade 3 left toe sprain. Anthony Edwards: Listed as questionable with a right calf injury. The Lakers' LeBron James: Managing left ankle soreness, which is expected to persist throughout the season. LeBron James continues to be a pivotal player, recently contributing 26 points, seven rebounds, and 11 assists against the Charlotte Hornets. The Wolves with Julius Randle and Donte DiVincenzo out, and Anthony Edwards questionable, players like Naz Reid and Jaden McDaniels may need to step up. Despite their injuries, the Wolves are coming off a split with Oklahoma City in which the two teams combined for 259 and 253 points. In fact, the Wolves have scored 110 or more in 11 of their last 13 games. The Lakers have also been high scoring with 16 of their last 18 games having 110 or more points. I expect both teams to put up a lot of points here tonight. Take the OVER.

The USC Trojans (14-13, 6-10 Big Ten) are set to host the Ohio State Buckeyes (15-13, 7-10 Big Ten) on Wednesday, February 26, 2025, at the Galen Center in Los Angeles. Both teams are aiming to halt three-game losing streaks and bolster their positions as the regular season nears its conclusion. The Trojans are on a three-game skid, with their latest defeat being a 95-85 loss to Rutgers. In that game, junior guard Desmond Claude delivered an impressive 30-point performance, while redshirt freshman Wesley Yates III added 23 points. Despite these individual efforts, USC has struggled defensively, allowing an average of 74.3 points per game this season. The Buckeyes have also faced challenges, recently falling 69-61 to UCLA. Junior guard Bruce Thornton leads the team with 17.3 points and 4.3 assists per game, showcasing his pivotal role in the Buckeyes' offense. Redshirt junior forward Devin Royal contributes significantly with 13.3 points and a team-high 7.0 rebounds per game. Ohio State's defense has been commendable, limiting opponents to a 29.4% three-point shooting percentage, ranking second-best in the Big Ten. The duel between USC's Desmond Claude and Ohio State's Bruce Thornton is poised to be a highlight. Both guards are prolific scorers and primary playmakers for their respective teams. Both teams are eager to reverse their recent fortunes, making this a crucial matchup. USC's home-court advantage and offensive firepower, led by Claude and Yates III, should make for an exciting and high scoring game. I'm taking the OVER here tonight. 

The Boston Celtics (38-16) are set to host the San Antonio Spurs (23-28) on Wednesday, February 12, 2025, at TD Garden in Boston. The Celtics have been in strong form, winning six of their last seven games. They are currently second in the Eastern Conference, trailing the Cleveland Cavaliers by 5.5 games. In their recent victory over the Miami Heat, Jayson Tatum led the team with 33 points. The Spurs, on the other hand, have faced challenges, losing nine of their last 13 games. They are 12th in the Western Conference, three games behind the Golden State Warriors for the final play-in spot. In their recent win against the Washington Wizards, Victor Wembanyama scored a game-high 31 points. Boston Celtics: Jayson Tatum leads with 26.9 points and 8.6 rebounds per game. He also averages 5.5 assists per game. San Antonio Spurs: Victor Wembanyama averages 24.3 points and 10.9 rebounds per game. Chris Paul contributes 8.1 assists per game, while De’Aaron Fox, acquired from Sacramento, adds 18.3 points per game. Offense: The Celtics rank sixth in scoring, averaging 117.2 points per game, and are 10th in three-point shooting at 36.8%. The Spurs average 112.8 points per game, ranking 16th, and are 22nd in three-point shooting at 35%. Defense: Boston allows 108.2 points per game, ranking fourth in defense, and holds opponents to 45% shooting. San Antonio concedes 114.3 points per game, ranking 19th, with opponents shooting 46.4%. I expect the Celtics to get plenty of points tonight. The Spurs will have to play keep-up in this one. I'll take the OVER. 

The Minnesota Timberwolves take on the Cleveland Cavaliers on Monday, February 10, 2025, at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse in Cleveland. The Cavaliers have been dominant this season, holding a 42-10 record, including an impressive 24-4 mark at home. The Timberwolves stand at 30-23, with a solid 15-11 road record. These teams last met on January 18, when Cleveland secured a 124-117 victory in Minnesota.

Injury Report: Timberwolves: Anthony Edwards (hip) and Mike Conley (finger) questionable. Julius Randle (groin) and Donte DiVincenzo (toe) out. Cavaliers: Isaac Okoro (shoulder) and Dean Wade (knee) out. De'Andre Hunter is expected to debut after a recent trade. 

Team Breakdown:

Cavaliers Offense: Leads the NBA in offensive efficiency, averaging 122.4 PPG on 49.8% FG and 39.5% from three.

Cavaliers Defense: Allows 112.1 PPG.

Timberwolves Offense: Averages 111.7 PPG, shooting 46.4% FG and 38.4% from deep.

Timberwolves Defense: Gives up 108.0 PPG.

The over/under is set at 228.5 points, and with Cleveland’s elite scoring ability and Minnesota’s respectable offensive efficiency, this game has strong potential to go OVER.

I’ll take the OVER in this matchup.

The Utah State Aggies (20-3, 10-2 MWC) travel to Fresno, California, to take on the Fresno State Bulldogs (5-18, 1-11 MWC) on Friday, February 7, 2025, at the Save Mart Center.

Utah State has been one of the most dominant teams in the Mountain West, averaging 81.0 points per game while allowing just 68.3. The Aggies are led by Ian Martinez (16.5 PPG, 3.2 RPG, 3.0 APG) and Mason Falslev (14.5 PPG, 6.3 RPG, 3.7 APG). They have also been solid on the road, boasting a 6-1 record away from home.

Fresno State has endured a tough season, averaging 72.6 points per game while allowing 82.2—a defensive weakness that has contributed to their five-game losing streak. Guard Zaon Collins leads the team with 13.0 points, 3.9 rebounds, and 4.4 assists per game, while Jalen Weaver adds 12.2 points and 4.0 rebounds per contest.

These teams met earlier this season on January 4, with Utah State securing an 89-83 victory. Both teams shot well from the field—Utah State at 48.4% and Fresno State at 48.3%—with the Bulldogs holding a 40-35 rebounding advantage. Despite their struggles, Fresno State has a history of bouncing back at home, winning five of their last six games at the Save Mart Center following an overtime loss.

This game features one of the highest totals of the night, set well over 150 points. While Utah State can light up the scoreboard, Fresno State knows they can’t afford to get into a fast-paced shootout. Expect the Bulldogs to slow the tempo and control possessions, keeping the game more competitive on their home court. The best play here is the UNDER.

The San Antonio Spurs (22-26) take on the Charlotte Hornets (12-36) on Friday, February 7, 2025, at the Spectrum Center in Charlotte. Both teams are looking to turn things around after recent struggles.

San Antonio has won just three of its last ten games, slipping to 12th place in the Western Conference. However, they are coming off a narrow 126-125 victory over the Atlanta Hawks, with Victor Wembanyama and De’Aaron Fox each scoring 24 points. Despite the win, the Spurs have struggled offensively, ranking 24th in paint scoring and 25th in the league with an average of 109.3 points per game.

Charlotte is on a six-game losing streak, most recently falling 112-102 to the Milwaukee Bucks. Nick Smith Jr. led the Hornets with 23 points, while Miles Bridges and KJ Simpson each added 15 points. Defensively, Charlotte has had trouble containing opponents, allowing teams to shoot over 50% from the field in recent matchups.

San Antonio Spurs: Victor Wembanyama: 20.7 PPG, 10.5 RPG. De’Aaron Fox: 24.0 PPG, 13.0 APG

Charlotte Hornets: Nick Smith Jr.: Led the team with 23 points vs. Milwaukee. Miles Bridges & KJ Simpson: 

With both teams struggling defensively, this game sets up well for a high-scoring contest. While the Spurs may have the edge, the best play is on the OVER, as both teams should be able to put up points throughout the game. Take the OVER in this matchup.

The Virginia Cavaliers take on the Pittsburgh Panthers this Monday at the Petersen Events Center, with Pitt favored by 12 points and the over/under set at 133.5.

Virginia (10-12, 3-8 ACC) has struggled offensively, putting up just 63.3 PPG, ranking near the bottom nationally. They shoot 44% from the field and 37.3% from deep, but their defense keeps them competitive, allowing 65.2 PPG on 42.6% opponent shooting.

Pittsburgh (14-7, 5-5 ACC) counters with a high-powered offense, averaging 79.6 PPG on 46.8% shooting, including 35.7% from three. Defensively, the Panthers allow 70.9 PPG, with opponents shooting 42.9% from the field and 33.5% from beyond the arc.

While Pitt’s offensive firepower is undeniable, Virginia’s slow, methodical pace and defensive mindset could dictate the tempo, keeping the total score lower than expected. The Cavaliers struggle to generate points, which could make hitting the over 133.5 a tough task.

I’m taking the UNDER 133.5 in this matchup! Good luck!

The Milwaukee Bucks (26-19) are set to face the San Antonio Spurs (20-24) on Friday at Frost Bank Center in San Antonio, Texas. The Bucks have a 22-23-1 record against the spread (ATS) this season, going 6-2 ATS in their last eight games. They have hit the over in 24 of their 44 games. The Spurs are 21-23 ATS this season. Their games have gone over the total in 24 of 44 matchups. Milwaukee has been potent offensively, averaging 118.6 points per game in January, with a field goal percentage of 50.3%. Giannis Antetokounmpo and Damian Lillard are combining for 57 points per game. San Antonio's defense has struggled, allowing 121.8 points per game in January. Opponents have been shooting 48.3% from the field and 39.7% from three-point range against them. Given the Bucks' offensive efficiency and the Spurs' defensive struggles, the over/under line of 233.5 points is noteworthy. I look for these two teams to get this total over the number. The posted total is high, but the way these teams have played of late should get us there. Play the OVER.

The #16 Oregon Ducks (16-4, 5-4 Big Ten) are set to face the UCLA Bruins (15-6, 6-4 Big Ten) on Thursday at Pauley Pavilion in Los Angeles. Oregon is coming off a 77-69 loss to Minnesota, where Brandon Angel led the team with 18 points. Despite this setback, the Ducks have been strong on the road, holding a 4-1 record away from Eugene this season. UCLA recently secured an 82-76 victory over USC, with Eric Dailey Jr. contributing 16 points. The Bruins have been formidable at home, boasting a 10-1 record at Pauley Pavilion. Oregon: Brandon Angel has been a significant contributor, leading the team in scoring during their recent game against Minnesota. UCLA: Eric Dailey Jr. has been instrumental in the Bruins' offense, leading the team in their recent win over USC. Both teams should be able to get decent points here tonight. My own number has this game about five points higher. I'll be on the OVER tonight.

The UCLA Bruins and USC Trojans are set to face off in a Big Ten matchup on Monday at the Galen Center in Los Angeles. The game is scheduled to tip off at 10:00 PM ET (7:00 PM PT) and will be broadcast on FS1. UCLA enters the game with a 14-6 overall record and a 5-4 mark in Big Ten play, riding a three-game winning streak. The Bruins have been strong defensively, ranking 16th in adjusted defensive efficiency and allowing an average of 64.5 points per game. Notably, they limit opponents to 28.2 two-point attempts per game, the fifth-lowest in the nation. USC stands at 12-7 overall and 4-4 in the conference, having won three of their last four games, including a notable victory over Illinois. UCLA's strong defense is a significant factor. Their ability to limit high-percentage shots and control the pace of the game often results in lower-scoring contests. UCLA also has injury concerns with forward Tyler Bilodeau, averaging 13.9 points and 4.6 rebounds per game, questionable due to an ankle injury sustained in the previous game against Washington. His potential absence could impact the Bruins' offensive output. Eight of the last ten meetings between these teams have stayed under the total, including both matchups last season. Additionally, only one of their last five games had a closing total above 135 points, making the current over/under of 139.5 appear relatively high. Considering their history, I'm sticking with the UNDER here on Monday.

The Phoenix Suns take on the Brooklyn Nets tonight. The Suns (21-21) are aiming to conclude their five-game road trip on a positive note. Despite a recent 118-92 loss to the Cleveland Cavaliers, Kevin Durant has been a consistent scorer, recently posting 23 points. Devin Booker, averaging 25.5 points per game, had a streak of five consecutive 30-point games before being limited to 15 points against the Cavaliers. Bradley Beal, contributing 14.7 points per game off the bench, is questionable for this matchup due to a sprained left ankle. The Nets (14-30) are struggling, currently on an eight-game home losing streak and holding a 5-20 record since their last meeting with the Suns. In their recent 99-95 loss to the New York Knicks, the team shot 37.2%, their second-lowest percentage this season. D'Angelo Russell and Cameron Johnson combined for 39 points but were inefficient, shooting 12-of-37 from the field. With offensive talents like Durant and Booker, the Suns have the potential for high-scoring games. However, their recent performance against the Cavaliers indicates possible inconsistencies. The Nets have struggled offensively, being held under 100 points for the 12th time this season in their last game. The Nets are 29th in the NBA in scoring with a 106.4 ppg average while the Suns come in at 14th in scoring with a 112.7 ppg average. The Nets will continue to struggle offensively and with that I'm looking at another low scoring game here on Wednesday. Take the UNDER.

The Los Angeles Clippers (20-17) are set to host the Miami Heat (20-17) on Monday at Intuit Dome in Inglewood, California. The Clippers are coming off a 126-103 loss to the Denver Nuggets on Wednesday. Prior to that, they had won three consecutive home games, showcasing strong performances at Intuit Dome. The Heat secured a 119-98 victory over the Portland Trail Blazers on Saturday, indicating positive momentum as they continue their road trip. Norman Powell leads the Clippers with an average of 23.5 points per game (PPG). The Heat are led by Tyler Herro with 23.6 PPG, shooting 46.9% from the field and 86.2% from the free-throw line. The Heat are 20-17 O/U this season while the Clippers are 13-24. The Clippers have the worst over record in the NBA while the Heat are a top 8 over team. A bit of a contrast in styles here tonight but I look for the Heat to control the tempo. Today's total is right at 215 and the Clippers have at least 214 total points in their last four games with 229 or more in two of the last three games. I'm going to take the OVER here tonight.

The Oklahoma City Thunder (31-6) are set to face the Washington Wizards (6-30) on Sunday, January 12, 2025, at Capital One Arena in Washington, D.C. The Thunder are leading the Western Conference with a 31-6 record, showcasing a strong season performance. They secured a 126-101 victory against the New York Knicks in their most recent game on Friday. In contrast, the Wizards are at the bottom of the Eastern Conference standings with a 6-30 record. They are currently on a five-game losing streak, including a 138-105 loss to the Chicago Bulls on Friday. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander leads Oklahoma City with impressive averages of 31.3 points, 5.6 rebounds, and 6.1 assists per game. Jordan Poole is Washington's top scorer, averaging 21.8 points, 2.7 rebounds, and 5.0 assists per game. Given the Thunder's dominant form and the Wizards' ongoing struggles, Oklahoma City enters this matchup as the clear favorite. The Wizards will need a significant turnaround to challenge the high-flying Thunder and snap their current losing streak. I'll be looking at the total here today. The Thunder can score a lot of points but you have to believe starters will get a lot of rest in this matchup. Plus the Wizards will have issues against a very good Thunder defense. I'll take the UNDER here on Sunday.

The New York Knicks are set to host the Oklahoma City Thunder on Friday at Madison Square Garden. This matchup features two of the NBA's top teams, each aiming to assert dominance in their respective conferences. New York Knicks (25-13): The Knicks recently snapped a three-game losing streak with a 112-98 victory over the Toronto Raptors. Prior to this skid, they had been on a nine-game winning streak, showcasing their potential as a formidable force in the Eastern Conference. Oklahoma City Thunder (30-6): The Thunder are leading the Western Conference standings. Their recent ten-game winning streak was halted by a 129-122 loss to the Cleveland Cavaliers, the top-ranked team in the East. The two teams last met on January 3, 2025, where the Thunder secured a 117-107 victory over the Knicks, marking their third consecutive win against New York. Both teams boast excellent defensive units and that's what I expect here today, a lower scoring contest. Play the UNDER.

The Atlanta Hawks (19-18) are set to face the Phoenix Suns (16-19) on Thursday at Footprint Center in Phoenix, Arizona. The Atlanta Hawks (19-18), are 7th in the Eastern Conference. Recent Performance: The Hawks ended a three-game losing streak with a 124-121 victory over the Utah Jazz in their last outing. Trae Young (PG) averages 20.7 points and 12.0 assists per game, Young is the engine of Atlanta's offense. De'Andre Hunter (SF): Contributes significantly on both ends of the floor. The Suns (16-19) are 12th in the Western Conference. The Suns have struggled recently, losing seven of their past eight games. Kevin Durant (PF) leads the team with 25.8 points per game, Durant remains a dominant scoring threat. Devin Booker (SG) averages 25.1 points, 3.7 rebounds, and 6.4 assists per game, Booker is crucial to the Suns' offensive output. The Suns have made strategic adjustments to their lineup in an effort to reverse their recent slump. Reports indicate that Bradley Beal and Jusuf Nurkic will move to the bench, with rookie Ryan Dunn and veteran Mason Plumlee expected to start. The Hawks average 117.3 points per game, ranking 6th in the NBA. The Suns average 111.8 points per game, placing them 15th in the league. The Hawks usually have high scoring games, but tonight's total is around 238 and with a struggling Phoenix team my numbers bring this game in around 227. I'm taking the UNDER here tonight.

The East's 2nd place Boston Celtics take on the West's No 4 Team in the Denver Nuggets. The Celtics have been one of the most dominant teams this season, driven by their potent offense and strong defense. They are averaging 119.3 points per game, ranked 4th in the league, and are allowing only 108.4 points per game (6th in the league). Boston's balanced play makes them a threat on both ends of the floor, especially with Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown leading the charge. The Nuggets, led by reigning MVP Nikola Jokic, are a team that relies heavily on their star center. Jokic is averaging 31.5 points per game and orchestrating the offense, making him a constant threat. The Nuggets are more inconsistent than the Celtics but still boast a solid team with players like Jamal Murray and Michael Porter Jr. Denver's offense ranks higher than their defense. The Celtics are among the best defensive teams in the league, holding opponents to just 108.4 points per game. Their defense will be put to the test against Jokic. Both teams are capable of playing fast, but the Celtics might prefer a more controlled pace. Given their defensive prowess and depth, they will want to slow the game down and take advantage of Denver's defensive vulnerabilities. With both teams possessing strong defenses and tendencies to slow down the tempo when necessary, I'm looking at this game to go under the total of 235.5 points. Boston has shown they can control the pace and limit high-scoring affairs, so expect a relatively lower-scoring contest than the over/under suggests.

The Dallas Mavericks (19-10) are set to face the Phoenix Suns (14-14) on Friday at the Footprint Center in Phoenix, Arizona. Dallas is 19-11 and has seven of its last 10 games. The Mavs average 118.2 ppg while allowing 111.8 ppg. Luka Doncic (Guard) is leading the team with an average of 28.6 points, 7.9 assists, and 1.8 steals per game. The Phoenix Suns are 15-14 and in 8th in the Western Conference. The Sun are coming off a win and have won four of their last 10 games. Kevin Durant (Forward) is averaging 25.8 points and 1.5 blocks per game, Durant remains a pivotal figure in the Suns' lineup. The Mavericks have demonstrated a potent offense, scoring 113 points or more in nine of their last 10 games, The Suns rebounded from their 90 points scored in their loss at Denver with 110 points in the rebound game at home against Denver. This team can score lots of points with with four times in the last eight games that they have eclipsed 120 points. I like the offenses of both teams and this game looks to have lots of end to end action. I'll take the OVER.

It's the Penthouse vs the Outhouse here on Monday in the NBA as the high-flying Cleveland Cavaliers take on the cellar dwelling Utah Jazz. The Cleveland Cavaliers (25-4) host the Utah Jazz (7-20) on Monday at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse. The Cavaliers are currently on a four-game winning streak, while the Jazz are looking to build momentum following a rare recent victory. Cleveland 25-4, leads the Eastern Conference. Utah Jazz (7-20) are positioned near the bottom of the Western Conference standings. Cleveland is led by Donovan Mitchell (SG) who is averaging 23.3 points, 4.7 rebounds, and 4.5 assists per game. Utah Jazz are led Lauri Markkanen (PF) who leads the team with 18.6 points and 6.3 rebounds per game. The Cavaliers are the second-highest scoring team in the NBA, while the Jazz rank 26th in points scored. Defensively, the Cavaliers are 19th, and the Jazz are 21st in points allowed. Considering the Cavaliers' potent offense and the Jazz's defensive struggles, it's plausible that Cleveland could contribute significantly to the total score. However, the Jazz's lower offensive output may impact the overall scoring. I still like the OVER here tonight, even if the Cavs are the one that need to push it over the posted line. Play the OVER.

The No. 9 Marquette Golden Eagles (10-2, 1-0 Big East) are set to face the Xavier Musketeers (8-4, 0-1 Big East) on Saturday at the Cintas Center in Cincinnati, Ohio. Marquette holds a 10-2 overall record, including a 1-0 mark in Big East play. They have alternated wins and losses in their recent games, indicating some inconsistency. Xavier stands at 8-4 overall and 0-1 in conference play. The Musketeers have faced challenges recently, losing four of their last six games, and are dealing with the significant absence of their leading scorer, Zach Freemantle, due to injury. Marquette guard Kam Jones leads the team with averages of 20.3 points and 6.3 assists per game, playing a pivotal role in Marquette's offensive schemes. Ryan Conwell (Guard) has had to step in and lead Xavier with the loss of Freemantle. Conwell average 23 points in their recent overtime loss to UConn. Losing your leader can definitely throw a wrench in the offense. We have a high total here today in the 150's and I'm taking this game UNDER.

 The Colorado Buffaloes (7-2) are set to host the South Dakota State Jackrabbits (8-4) on Friday at the CU Events Center in Boulder, Colorado. Undefeated at home with a 6-0 record, the Buffaloes are on a seven-game home winning streak. They average 35.3 rebounds per game, ranking fifth in the Big 12 Conference. Forward Trevor Baskin leads the team with 7.0 rebounds per game. The Jackrabbits average 77.4 points per game, outscoring opponents by an average of 10.1 points. They are coming off a 77-63 loss to Nevada on December 11, where senior center Oscar Cluff, who averages 17.3 points and 11.0 rebounds per game, was limited to six points due to an ankle injury. Colorado forward Andrej Jakimovski is averaging 13.0 points per game, Jakimovski is a significant offensive contributor. SD State's Oscar Cluff (Center) leads the team with 17.3 points and 11.0 rebounds per game but is nursing an ankle injury. Colorado aims to extend its home winning streak to eight games, leveraging its strong rebounding and home-court advantage. South Dakota State will look to rebound from their recent loss, depending on the health and performance of key players like Oscar Cluff. SD State has seen recent games trend under as they score much less on the road. Colorado's defense has been good at home and with Cluff nursing a injury I expect the rabbits to get under their scoring average tonight. Take the UNDER.

The New York Knicks (15-9) are set to host the Atlanta Hawks (13-12) in the NBA Cup quarterfinals on Wednesday at Madison Square Garden. Currently fourth in the Eastern Conference, the Knicks have won 12 of their last 17 games. They average 117.8 points per game, ranking seventh in the league, and allow 111.0 points per game defensively. Seventh in the Eastern Conference, the Hawks have shown resilience, including a recent six-game winning streak. They average 117.1 points per game (eighth in the NBA) but have defensive challenges, allowing 119.8 points per game. Jalen Brunson (PG) leads the Knicks with a average of 25.4 points and 7.7 assists per game, Brunson is pivotal in orchestrating the Knicks' offense. Karl-Anthony Towns (C) is contributing 25.1 points and 13.2 rebounds per game, Towns is a dominant force in the paint. Atlanta Hawks guard Trae Young leading the league with 12.2 assists per game and averaging 20.9 points, Young is the engine of the Hawks' offense. This quarterfinal matchup is expected to be a high-scoring affair, featuring a compelling point guard duel between Jalen Brunson and Trae Young. Both teams should rack-up the points here on Wednesday. Take the OVER.

The Dallas Mavericks (13-8) will host the Memphis Grizzlies (14-7) on Tuesday, at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas. This Western Conference matchup features two teams in strong form, each aiming to improve their standings. The Mavericks have won three consecutive home games, bolstering their confidence. Their offense is spearheaded by Luka Doncic, who recently returned from a wrist injury to deliver a stellar performance with 36 points, 7 rebounds, and 13 assists in a 137-131 victory over the Portland Trail Blazers. The Grizzlies are on a six-game winning streak, elevating them to the No. 3 seed in the Western Conference. Ja Morant's return from an eight-game absence due to a hip injury has been pivotal; he contributed 22 points and 11 assists in a recent 123-98 win over the Portland Trail Blazers. Dallas Luka Doncic is veraging 28.5 points, 8.0 rebounds, and 7.5 assists per game, The Grizzlies go when Morant is in the lineup, evidenced by his 20.6 points, 5.0 rebounds, and 9.1 assists per game, Morant's dynamic play energizes the Grizzlies. With Morant back in the lineup I look to OVER in this game. Both teams should be running up and down the court. Play the OVER.

The Northwestern Wildcats (6-2) will face the Iowa Hawkeyes (6-1) on Tuesday at Carver-Hawkeye Arena in Iowa City, Iowa. This game marks the Big Ten opener for both teams, each aiming to establish early conference momentum. Both clubs coming off excellent non-conference schedules. The Wildcats have demonstrated a strong defensive identity this season, allowing an average of 60.5 points per game. Offensively, they have been effective, with notable contributions from guard Jalen Leach, who scored 21 points in a recent 68-50 victory over Pepperdine. The Hawkeyes boast a high-powered offense, averaging 110 points in their latest game against USC Upstate. They have a history of success against Northwestern, winning the last three meetings in Iowa City by an average of 17.3 points. Northwestern guard Jalen Leach is averaging significant points per game, Leach is a pivotal figure in Northwestern's offense. I have to take the Iowa offense with a grain of salt since those big scores came against lower level teams. However, Northwester is a excellent defensive team and that should keep this game under check. Take the UNDER.

Reason: The Chicago Bulls (7-11) are set to face the Washington Wizards (2-13) on Tuesday at Capital One Arena in Washington, D.C. Both teams have encountered challenges this season, with the Bulls losing four of their last six games and the Wizards enduring an 11-game losing streak. The Bulls have struggled defensively, allowing an NBA-worst 123.9 points per game. Offensively, they rank second in the Eastern Conference with 28.7 assists per game, led by Josh Giddey averaging 6.6 assists. The Wizards are allowing 122.9 points per game, ranking 29th in team defense. They average 12.0 made three-pointers per game, slightly below the 13.4 that the Bulls allow. Historically, the Bulls have a favorable record against the Wizards, leading the all-time series 133-110. In their most recent encounter on April 12, 2024, the Bulls edged out the Wizards 129-127. The Bulls are led Coby White who is averaging 19.1 points and 4.8 assists per game, playing a pivotal role in the Bulls' offense. Washington is led Jordan Poole who leads the Wizards with averages of 21.2 points, 4.9 assists, and 1.9 steals per game. Both of these teams have horrible defenses and we should see a lot of points here on Tuesday. The total is one of the highest we'll see this year at 244. I might be crazy, but I'm going to take this game OVER the total as both teams get into the 120's in this one. Play over.

The Indiana Pacers are set to face the Milwaukee Bucks on Friday at Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, Wisconsin as part of the NBA's In-Season Tournament, with both teams aiming to improve their standings in Group B. The Pacers hold a 6-8 overall record and are 2-6 in away games. They are currently on a one-game losing streak, having been defeated by the Miami Heat 124-111 in their first In-Season Tournament game. In that game, Obi Toppin led the team with 21 points, while Tyrese Haliburton contributed 18 points and eight assists. The Bucks have a 5-9 overall record and are 4-3 at home. They secured a 99-85 victory over the Toronto Raptors in their first In-Season Tournament game, with Giannis Antetokounmpo leading the team with 23 points and seven assists. The Pacers have been efficient in field goal shooting, ranking fourth in the league at 48.9%. However, they attempt fewer three-pointers than the league average. The Bucks allow the fifth-most three-point attempts per game, presenting an opportunity for the Pacers to increase their perimeter shooting. The Pacers' defense has struggled, allowing 118.4 points per game, ranking them sixth-last in the league. Giannis Antetokounmpo continues to be a dominant force for the Bucks, averaging 31.4 points, 12.4 rebounds, and 5.9 assists per game. For the Pacers, Tyrese Haliburton leads with 16.1 points and 8.5 assists per game. This is a perfect matchup to see a lot of points scored. The Pacers were the highest scoring team in the NBA last year and now how one of the best shooting percentages. The Bucks and Pacers should play a fast paced contest here on Friday. Play the OVER.

 Good ole Michigan basketball here on Thursday between two non-conference opponents has the Eastern Michigan Eagles set to face the Oakland Golden Grizzlies at the Athletics Center O'rena in Rochester, Michigan. The Eagles enter the game with a 1-1 record. They began the season with a 64-44 loss to Texas State but rebounded with an 83-58 victory over Siena Heights. In their win against Siena Heights, the Eagles showcased a balanced offensive attack, with multiple players contributing significantly. The Golden Grizzlies hold a 1-1 record. They secured a 75-52 victory over Defiance College but suffered a 75-52 loss to Defiance College. In their win against Defiance, Oakland demonstrated strong defensive capabilities, limiting their opponent's scoring opportunities. Eastern Michigan's ability to distribute scoring among players will be crucial against Oakland's defense. Eastern Michigan has a balanced offensive approach and should be an issue for this Oakland team. Both team should score plenty here on Thursday to push this game OVER the total.

Myrtle Beach Invitational here on Thursday has the South Florida Bulls set to face the Portland Pilots at the HTC Center in Conway, South Carolina. The Bulls enter the game with a 2-2 record. They began the season with losses to Florida and Charleston but have since secured victories against Arkansas-Pine Bluff and West Georgia. In their recent 74-55 win over West Georgia, the Bulls showcased a balanced offensive attack, with multiple players contributing significantly. The Pilots hold a 1-2 record. They secured a 75-52 victory over Defiance College but suffered losses to Oregon and Long Beach State. In their recent 75-52 loss to Long Beach State, the Pilots struggled offensively, highlighting areas needing improvement. The neutral site will add some intrigue to this matchup and I expect to see a high scoring contest. I'm taking the OVER.