Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-20-23 | Nuggets v. Lakers -5.5 | Top | 119-108 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 2 m | Show |
I had the Lakers in game two because I liked the momentum that had in the fourth quarter of game one. They made that huge comeback and gave Denver a big scare. Game two they had that same energy for the first three quarters and led by as much as 10-points. But Jamal Murray went wild in the 4th with 20 points and the Lakers lost, but did get the cover - just barely. So, how will game three play out? First, the Lakers transition game has to get better than it did in games one and two. Second, while the Lakers have a very deep team, Lebron and Anthony Davis need to step up their scoring. If Davis and James get their rear ends in gear here in game three, they will win. Plus, both teams have been much better on their home courts. Must win spot here today for the Lakers. I'm taking them minus the points. Play LA Lakers. |
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05-18-23 | Lakers +6 v. Nuggets | 103-108 | Win | 100 | 35 h 35 m | Show | |
The Lakers may have lost game one of the NBA West finals but in reality they have a moral victory. They trailed through three quarters by as much as 21 points. They gave up 74 half time points. They gave Jokic a new record, the only player to have more than 10 rebounds and 5 assists in one playoff quarter. Their transition game looked bad, they were getting killed on the offensive and defensive boards. Bad, huh. But somehow they rallied in the four quarter and trailed by three points with just over one minute to play. The final score was Denver by six, which just happened to be the line on the game. So Laker players really had found money as they got a push. The Lakers showed up in Denver 48 hours early to get acclimated to the high altitude and that may have played a part in their rally. No matter what, the Lakers have something to build on as we get ready for game two. They can use the momentum from that game one fourth quarter and the fact that they took the best Denver had to give them, but still came close at the end. The Lakers also took Anthony Davis off Jokic and that helped the Lakers and Davis. Plus, you can't overlook the pedigree the Lakers have with Lebron and having won the Championship just a few years ago in the "bubble" season. For these matters, I'm taking the points with the Lakers here in game two. Play LA Lakers. |
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05-17-23 | Heat +8.5 v. Celtics | 123-116 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
The Boston Celtics had to survive a seven game grueling series with the Philadelphia 76ers to advance to the Eastern Conference Finals. This marks the third time in the last four years that these teams will face off in the Finals of the East. The Miami Heat disposed of the NY Knicks in six games so they got a bit of extra rest. The Heat had to win that series without two key players in Victor Oladipo and Tyler Herro. Both players will be out tonight. The Celtics should be fortunate to be here after trailing Philly 2-3 in that series and getting blown out in game five. It took the heroics of Jayson Tatum in both game six and seven to pull the Celtics butts from the fire. Miami is the more rested team here tonight and the Celtics might be set for a letdown after that comeback vs the Sixers. This line is too big for me and I'll gladly take the points in game one. Play Miami. |
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05-16-23 | Lakers v. Nuggets -6 | Top | 126-132 | Push | 0 | 19 h 34 m | Show |
The Lakers and Nuggets begin their seven game Western Conference Finals here tonight from Denver. The Lakers went six games to dispose of the Golden State Warriors, winning game six in a blowout, 122-101. In fact, only two of the six games in the series were decided by five points or fewer. The Lakers also lost two of three on the road in that series, by 15, 27 and they won game one by 5-points. The Lakers are now 1-4 ATS in their last five road games. Denver also won their series with Phoenix in six games. And like the Lakers series, only two games were within seven points. The other four were blowout wins. The Nuggets are 6-1 ATS their last seven at home vs a team with a losing road record. The Nuggets are also 5-1-1 ATS their last seven vs the Lakers from Denver. I'm taking Denver in game one and if it sticks to script, likely a blowout win by the Nuggets. |
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05-14-23 | 76ers v. Celtics -6.5 | Top | 88-112 | Win | 100 | 6 h 45 m | Show |
Game seven of this NBA Eastern Conference Semifinal match between the 76ers and the Lakers. The winner goes to the conference finals. Philly could have closed this series out in game six at home but came up short to the Celtics, 86-95. The Sixers shot just 36.1% from the field (their lowest of the series). They also shot 23.5% from the 3-point arc, their second worst of the series. While Boston has regained home court, home court hasn't been all that kind to them. The Celtics have lost two of their three games at home to Philly, including game five, 103-115. The Sixers star forward, Joel Embiid, is probable today with a knee injury. I like the Celtics today, mainly because the Sixers blew their chance in game six. Boston just too good a team all season long to give up a game seven on their home court. Play Boston. |
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05-12-23 | Warriors v. Lakers UNDER 220.5 | Top | 101-122 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
It's game six of the NBA Western Semifinals as the Warriors take on the Lakers from LA. The Warriors face elimination again here today. They faced elimination in game five and beat the Lakers at home, 121-106. Now they have to win game six in LA to return home for a game seven. Problem is that they have lost both games in LA by 97-127 and 101-104 scores. Two of the last three games have also gone UNDER. These teams have also gone under in their last four meetings in LA. Lakers forward Anthony Davis has been upgraded to probable for this game with a head injury. I like this game to go under tonight. They seem to play tighter in LA and I look for that again here tonight. Play the UNDER. |
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05-10-23 | Lakers v. Warriors -7 | Top | 106-121 | Win | 100 | 20 h 56 m | Show |
Golden State and the Lakers play game five of their best of seven series with the Lakers holing a 3-1 lead and the Warriors facing elimination here tonight. The Lakers took game four at home on Monday, 104-101, and either covered or didn't depending on the number you got. For me, I had the Warriors but found a 3.5 and got the win. The Warriors are a very experience and well seasoned team and I don't expect them to go quietly. I'm taking the Warriors here tonight to get back in the fight. Play Golden State. |
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05-09-23 | Suns v. Nuggets -5.5 | 102-118 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
This series all tied up at two games each after Denver won the first two games at home and then lost the next two at Phoenix. The Suns took game three 121-114 and game four 129-124. Now the series goes back to Denver for game five here tonight. The Nuggets have only covered one of the four games in the series. So far this has been a home series, the home team winning and covering. The Nuggets won by 10 and 18 points at home in the first two games. The Suns are now 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following a straight-up win. They are also 1-4 ATS in their last five road games. The Nuggets have now covered five of the last seven in this series. And, with the series going back to Denver, I'll take the Nuggets here tonight. |
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05-08-23 | Warriors +3.5 v. Lakers | Top | 101-104 | Win | 100 | 21 h 24 m | Show |
The Lakers and Golden State Warriors play game four of their best of seven series here tonight from LA. The Lakers lead this series two games to one after winning game three, 127-97. The Lakers hit 52.5% from the field to just 39.6% for the Warriors. They also hit 48.4% from the three-point arc to just 29.5% for the Warriors. Both teams are as healthy as they have been all year so that won't be of concern tonight. The Warriors usually bounce back well, going 6-1 ATS their last seven games after a straight-up loss and 4-0 ATS after a straight-up loss of 10-points or more. We saw Golden State do this in the Kings series, losing game six by 19-points and then coming back and winning game seven by 20-points. I look for a rebound game here tonight from the Warriors as they even this series tonight. Play Golden State. |
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05-07-23 | Nuggets +2.5 v. Suns | 124-129 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
The Denver Nuggets and Phoenix Suns play game four of their best of seven series here today. The Suns finally got a win to make the series 1-2 in favor of Denver with their win at home on Friday, 114-121. They will have to continue playing with their star guard in Chris Paul who is out with a groin injury. The Suns outshot the Nuggets in game three, 50-5% to 44.3% while both teams were very close in 3-point shooting. It's going to be a tough series for the Suns without Paul. I'm still taking the points here in game four with Denver. Play the Nuggets. |
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05-06-23 | Warriors v. Lakers UNDER 228.5 | 97-127 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
Reason: The Lakers escaped from Golden State with a split in the first two games and now have home court on their side. The Lakers took game one of this best of seven series, 117-112 as a 4.5-point dog. The Warriors came roaring back in game two with a blowout win, 127-100 as a 7-point favorite. Now the venue moves back to LA for game three. So far both games have gone over, but that wasn't the case for the Lakers in their first round games. They were 2-4 O/Un in their six games with the Grizzlies. The Warriors were 3-4 O/U in their first series with the Kings. Today's total is right at 228. While this season both teams look to be over plays, they haven't looked like that so far in the playoffs. I'm taking tonight's game UNDER the total. |
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05-05-23 | Nuggets +4.5 v. Suns | 114-121 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
The Phoenix Suns find themselves in a must win spot here for game three. The Suns lost both games in Denver, 107-125 in game one and 87-97 in game two. The biggest blow came when they lost guard Chris Paul. CP3 is more than a great guard, he's their floor general and without him they are like an army without their leader. The oddsmaker has installed the Suns as a 4-point favorite here tonight. Without Paul I just don't think the Suns have anything left in the tank. I'll take the Nuggets plus the points. |
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05-05-23 | Celtics v. 76ers +2.5 | 114-102 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 15 m | Show | |
Philadelphia got out of Boston with a split and that was fine with them. They were without star J.Embiid in game one and came from behind to win that game, 119-115. Then Embiid returned for game two and they lost, 87-121. Now the venue goes back to Philly and Embiid will play today. Philly saw their numbers plummet from game one to two. They went from 50.6% from the field and 44.7% from 3-point arc to just 39.2% and 20% from 3-point arc in game two. How the Celtics lost game one I'm not sure as they shot 58.7% from the field and 38.5% from the 3-point line. They also had double digit leads in that game and the Sixers were without Embiid. That's the NBA for you. I'm taking Philly today plus the points at home. |
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05-04-23 | Lakers v. Warriors -5.5 | 100-127 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
Had to expect the Warriors to come out in game one of their Semifinals match with the Lakers a bit flat. They had just come off an emotional seven game series with the Sacramento Kings and had to win game seven on the road. Their loss to the Lakers, 112-117, has them in a must-win spot here in game two. Lose and go back to LA down 0-2. I don't see that happening. If you look at if from the Lakers point of view, they stole game one and if you asked them, they would be more than happy to go back to LA with home court advantage and the series tied 1-1. That could lead to some complacency here tonight on their part. Too much experience and history winning big games and championships for this Warriors team and Stephen Curry to go down 0-2. I'll take the Warriors in a rebound effort here on Thursday. |
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05-03-23 | 76ers +8 v. Celtics | Top | 87-121 | Loss | -114 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
The Boston Celtics blew a big lead in game one of this best of seven series with the Sixers. Now they are in the hole down 0-1 in the series and almost in a must win situation. What's more impressive is that Sixers won this game without their star forward Joel Embiid, who missed the game with a knee injury. Today, Embiid has been upgraded to probable. We are looking at an inflated line here tonight. I can see the Celtics winning this game, but not by the seven or eight points the line is now and was once at 10 points. With Embiid back, I look for the Sixers to once again be in this game. Embiid is rested, is the MVP and will be ready for a big game tonight. I'm taking the points in this one. |
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05-02-23 | Lakers +4.5 v. Warriors | 117-112 | Win | 100 | 20 h 11 m | Show | |
The Golden State Warriors survived their best of seven series with the Kings by taking game seven in Sacramento. They used their experience and Stephen Curry to get them to this round. The Lakers might be as healthy as they have been all season and that showed in their series with the Grizzlies as they won four games to two, including a blowout win to get here, 125-85. Both teams look healthy heading into game one. The Lakers two big stars, Lebron James and Anthony Davis, both show up on the injury report, but both are probable tonight. The Lakers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games vs a team with a winning straight up record. They have also covered their last four conference semifinal games. Conversely, the Warriors are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 conference semi's. The Lakers have also covered five of their last seven vs the Warriors. With the Warriors coming off that emotional game seven, I expect them to be in for a bit of a letdown here in game one. I'll take the Lakers plus the points. |
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05-02-23 | Heat v. Knicks -6.5 | 105-111 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
The Miami Heat and NY Knicks play game two of their seven game conference semifinals game here tonight. The Knicks lost at home in game one, 101-108 as a 4-point favorite. While the Knicks had a better overall field goal percentage (47.7 to 42.4), they failed from the 3-point arc, with just a 20.6% to the Heat 33.3%. That was the lowest percentage the Knicks have hit from three in the playoffs. Could be some players missing tonight too. The Heat list their start guard Jimmy Butler as questionable with an ankle injury. The Knicks list Jalen Brunson (ankle) and Julius Randle (ankle) both as questionable. I will take the Knicks here tonight as they can ill afford to lose both games at home as they head to Miami. Play New York. |
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05-01-23 | Suns +4.5 v. Nuggets | 87-97 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
The Phoenix Suns never really were in game one of this series with the Nuggets. The lost game one at Denver, 107-125 as a 4.5-point dog. The Suns actually hit well from the field with 51.2%. They actually outshot the Nuggets who hit 47.5%. Where they got killed was Denver hitting three-points at a clip of 43.2%. That was the difference in this game one. Will Denver keep up that clip here in game two? The Suns have covered five of their last seven meetings with the Nuggets in Denver. I don't think Denver can hit that percentage again here in game two from the 3-point arc. I'll take the Suns in game two as they look to even the series. |
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04-30-23 | Warriors +1.5 v. Kings | Top | 120-100 | Win | 100 | 4 h 58 m | Show |
Game seven here tonight. The Warriors blew a big chance to advance with their game six at home, but lost 99-118 as a 6.5-point favorite. So now we have game seven back in Sacramento. The Kings lost game five at home, 116-123. So really each team has lost their last game on their home court. Game seven for me comes down to this. The Warriors have been here before, they are extremely experienced in the playoffs and have the veteran players to take over this kind of game. The Kings have not been in this spot, in fact just being in the playoffs. In fact you have to go back to 2005-06 when they lost 2-4 to the Spurs for their last playoff series. So for me, it comes down to experience and the Warriors hold all the cards in this one. I'll take Golden State. |
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04-28-23 | Grizzlies v. Lakers -4.5 | 85-125 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
The LA Lakers can close out this series tonight with the Memphis Grizzlies. The Lakers have a 3-2 lead and definitely don't want to go back to Memphis for game seven. They are coming off a loss at Memphis in game five, 99-116. The Lakers Lebron James and Anthony Davis continue to show up on the injury report, but both will play tonight. The Lakers are a 4 to 5 point favorite tonight. They need to close this series out tonight and I look for a supreme effort to do just that. Play the Lakers. |
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04-27-23 | Celtics v. Hawks OVER 230.5 | 128-120 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
Game six of this best of seven series sees the Boston Celtics looking to close out and move on to the Conference Semi-finals. The Celtics lost their last game, that being played at Boston, 117-119, as a 13-point favorite. Now they return to Atlanta where they split the prior two games. The last three games of the series have gone OVER with 236, 250 and 252 being scored respectfully. That's what I'm looking at again here tonight, the over. Atlanta games at home this season have averaged 237.7 ppg. Meanwhile, the Celtics road games have averaged 233.8 per game. The Celtics have also gone over in seven of their last eight road games. Atlanta is 7-2-1 O/U in their last 10 games and 5-0 O/U in their last five home games. Both teams look like they want to take this one over tonight and that's what I will go with. Play the OVER. |
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04-26-23 | Warriors v. Kings +2 | 123-116 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 54 m | Show | |
The Sacramento Kings and Golden State Warriors best of seven matchup is all tied at 2-2. The Kings took games one and two on their home court before going to Golden State and dropping games three and four. They have covered three of the four games in this set. The venue switches back to Sacramento here on Wednesday. Despite losing games one and two at the Kings, the Warriors still are installed as a 1.5-point favorite tonight. Good news for the Kings, De'Aaron Fox has been upgraded to probable with a finger injury tonight. The Warriors have not been good away from home, not only losing the two games in this series, but going 15-36-1 ATS their last 52 away games. They have also covered just one of their last six Conference quarterfinal matchups. The Kings are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games after a straight-up loss. The Kings have covered seven of the last 10 meetings with the Warriors in Sacramento. I'll take the Kings here on their home court tonight. |
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04-25-23 | Wolves v. Nuggets OVER 220.5 | 109-112 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Hawks face elimination tonight as the face the Celtics in game five. The Hawks trail one game to three after losing on Sunday at home, 121-129. The last two games in Boston have gone over with 240 and 255 respectively scored. The Hawks have a 6-2-1 Ov/Un record in their last nine games. They are also 41-18-1 Ov/Un in their last 60 conference quarterfinal games. The Celtics are playing on one day rest and when they have done that recently, they have gone over five straight times. They are also 15-7 Ov/Un in their last 22 home games vs a team with a road winning % of 40% or less. The Hawks games have averaged 234.9 ppg on the road this year. Meanwhile, the Celtics average 120.3 ppg at home this year. With tonight's game being at home for Boston, I like this game to go over. |
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04-25-23 | Hawks v. Celtics OVER 230.5 | 119-117 | Win | 100 | 6 h 6 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Hawks face elimination tonight as the face the Celtics in game five. The Hawks trail one game to three after losing on Sunday at home, 121-129. The last two games in Boston have gone over with 240 and 255 respectively scored. The Hawks have a 6-2-1 Ov/Un record in their last nine games. They are also 41-18-1 Ov/Un in their last 60 conference quarterfinal games. The Celtics are playing on one day rest and when they have done that recently, they have gone over five straight times. They are also 15-7 Ov/Un in their last 22 home games vs a team with a road winning % of 40% or less. The Hawks games have averaged 234.9 ppg on the road this year. Meanwhile, the Celtics average 120.3 ppg at home this year. With tonight's game being at home for Boston, I like this game to go over. |
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04-24-23 | Grizzlies v. Lakers -4.5 | 111-117 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
The LA Lakers look to take a commanding 3-1 lead in this best of seven series here tonight. The Lakers won game one in Memphis, 128-112, lost game two, 93-103 then came back to LA and easily won game three, 111-101. The final score might have been the closest the score was since LA jumped out to a 35-9 lead in the 1st quarter. Memphis shot just 37.6% from the field in game three. The Lakers hit a series low 25% from the 3-point arc despite the blow out win. The Grizzlies are now 4-9 ATS in their last 13 quarterfinal games and 2-6 ATS overall their last eight games. They have also covered just one of their last five road games. The Lakers are now 6-2 ATS the last eight times these teams have met. Grizzlie Ja Morant is back from his hand injury. The Lakers Lebron James and Anthony Davis both remain on the injury report, but probable for tonight's game four. I'm sticking with LA at home against a poor road Memphis club. Play Lakers. |
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04-23-23 | Cavs +2.5 v. Knicks | Top | 93-102 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 32 m | Show |
The Cleveland Cavaliers look to even their best of seven series with the Knicks here today. The Knicks lead the series 2 games to 1 after winning on Friday, 99-79. All three games have gone under the total and the Cavs have gone under in five straight games. The Cavs where held to just 38.8% from the field in their 79 points in game three. They also hit just 21.2% from the 3-point arc. The Cavs usually bounce back well after an ATS loss, evidenced by their 13-6-1 ATS record the last 20 times. Cavs have been the better team all season and I don't see them going down 1-3 in this series today. I'll take the few points but look for an outright Cavaliers win here on Sunday. Play Cleveland. |
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04-22-23 | Grizzlies v. Lakers -4 | Top | 101-111 | Win | 100 | 20 h 5 m | Show |
It's been an injury plagued NBA postseason thus far and none bigger than the Timberwolves guard Ja Morant who has been battling a hand injury. Morant missed game two but has returned to full practice, though he's considered questionable for game three here on Saturday. The Lakers didn't take advantage of his abscense in game two, never being in the game from the start to the 10-point loss, 93-103. The Lakers had been hot too, taking game one vs Memphis 128-112 and winning eight of their previous nine games before that loss in game two. Their two stars, Lebron James and Anthony Davis both still show up on the injury report but both remain probable here tonight. The Grizzlies are just 7-20 ATS in their last 27 road games vs a team with a winning home record. They are also 2-5 ATS in their last seven overall road games. The Lakers have been rebounding nicely of late, evidenced by thei 7-2 ATS record their last nine following a straight-up loss. The Lakers have covered five of the last seven meetings in LA and that's what I'm looking for again here today. Play the Lakers. |
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04-21-23 | Nuggets v. Wolves +2.5 | 120-111 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
The Denver Nuggets have taken a 2-0 lead in their series with the Minnesota Timberwolves. Denver held home court by taking game one at home, 109-80 and then game two, 122-113, covering both games. Now the venue switches back to Minnesota. The T'Wolves have had a very good home season, going 36-7 S/U and 26-16-1 ATS on the season. They have also outscored opponents by a 119.2 to 109 margin. This is basically a must-win game for the Wolves. They can't go down 0-3 and look for a series win. However, a win here today and they are right back into the mix. Take Minnesota. |
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04-21-23 | Cavs v. Knicks -120 | 79-99 | Win | 100 | 6 h 3 m | Show | |
Cavaliers and Knicks switch sites here for game three of their quarterfinals matchup. The Knicks took game one in Cleveland, 101-97 and the Cavs came roaring back in to take game two, 107-90. Both offensives have been a bit slower paced than in the regular season as both games have gone under. The Knicks wee 23-18 S/U and 19-20-2 ATS at home this year and outscored visitors by a 117-113. The Cavs were a excellent home team, but had a losing road record. They were 20-21 S/U and 17-21-3 on the road this year. The Knicks have covered in four of the last five meetings. With the small line on the Knicks here today, I'll take the Money line in this game with New York. |
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04-20-23 | Suns v. Clippers +2.5 | Top | 129-124 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 57 m | Show |
The Clippers return home after splitting the first two games at Phoenix. They took game one, 115-110, but lost game two, 109-123. Now they hold home court advantage as they return to LA. This will actually be the third game in a row between these teams as they met on the final day of the regular season and won at Phoenix, 119-114. LA has been out-shot in both playoff games, 47.6% to 44.1% in their win and 58.8% to 43.8% in their loss. The Clippers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine times following a ATS loss. They are also 5-2 ATS in their last seven Conference Quarterfinals games. The Suns have been just average on the road this year, going 22-21 S/U and ATS and scoring 114.3 ppg while allowing 115.6 ppg. They are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games. Yet, here the Suns are a 2 to 2 1/5 point favorite at LA tonight. I'll take the points since I look for the Clippers to win game three. Play LA. |
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04-19-23 | Lakers v. Grizzlies | Top | 93-103 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 8 m | Show |
The LA Lakers look to be peaking at just the right time of the season. They took game one of this seven game series at Memphis on Sunday, 128-112 and now look to take a commanding 2-0 lead as they head back to LA. The Lakers have won four straight games and 11 of their last 13 games. Most of this due to the fact that for really the first time all season their stars, Lebron James and Anthony Davis, are both healthy. But they also got their best game out of a player they got mid season from the Wizards, Rui Hachimura, who had 29 points. Austin Reaves was also a standout for LA with 23 points. While both popped up on the injury report with foot issues, they are both probable for tonight. Can't say the same for the struggling Grizzlies. Their star guar Ja Morant, is questionable tonight with a hand injury. Morant missed the final six minutes of game one after the injury occurred. The Grizzlies have lost two in a row and four of their last six games. Also remember that their two best big players, Steven Adams and Brendan Clarke are out for the playoffs. Must win spot for the Grizzlies and with injury concerns. Plus they are facing a resurgent Lakers team! I'll take the Lakers here in game two. |
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04-18-23 | Knicks v. Cavs UNDER 215 | 90-107 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
The NY Knicks look to take a commanding lead in this best of seven series after taking game one at Cleveland, 101-97. The Knicks were a 5-point dog and won straight-up. The difference was on the boards where the Knicks grabbed 51 rebounds to the Cavs 38. The game easily went under the 216 total. The Knicks have now gone under 16 of 21 times in the conference quarterfinals. This really a must win game for the Cavs who have already lost home court and can ill afford to go back to NY down 0-2. The Cavs have gone under in three straight and six of their last eight games. I look for this pace to be slow like the last game. I'm on the UNDER. |
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04-17-23 | Warriors v. Kings UNDER 240 | 106-114 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
Great game one between these teams with the Sacramento Kings coming out on top, 126-123. as a 1-point dog. That win snapped a Kings three game losing streak. The Kings are also 1-3-1 O/U in their last five games. They are also 2-5 O/U in their last seven games playing on one day rest. The loss for the Warriors snapped a three game winning streak. Golden State is now 4-5 O/U in their last nine games. They are also 5-15-1 O/U in their last 21 games vs a team with a winning record. These teams are 1-3-1 O/U in their last five meetings in Sacramento. Very high total here tonight, and with the teams going over in game one I'll take UNDER here tonight. |
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04-16-23 | Lakers +4 v. Grizzlies | 128-112 | Win | 100 | 15 h 58 m | Show | |
Reason: The Lakers got here by virtue of winning their Play-In game against the Timberwolves, 108-102. Despite trailing in each of the first three quarters, the Lakers rallied in the 4th to tie it up and send the game to OT where they came out ahead. The Lakers have really picked it up to end the season too, winning three straight and 10 of their last 12 games. They are 5-5-2 ATS during that span. The Grizzlies finished the season with a 51-31 record. They were 2-3 S/U and 1-4 down the final five games. They are just 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games with 3 or more days of rest. They are also 3-7 ATS in their last 10 conference quarterfinals games. The Lakers are about the healthiest they have been all season. With Lebron James and Anthony Davis both not having any issues the Lakers will be at full force. I'll take the Lakers plus the points here in game one. Play LA Lakers. |
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04-15-23 | Knicks +5.5 v. Cavs | 101-97 | Win | 100 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
Both these teams haven't played since last Sunday on the final day of the season. The Knicks finished with a pair of losses to Indiana and New Orleans. That snapped a 5-game win streak for the Knicks. One of those wins was on March 31 at Cleveland where the Knicks won 130-116. The Knicks have been very good on the road, going 36-15-1 ATS their last 52 away games. They are also 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games vs a team with a winning record. The Cavs dropped their season final to Charlotte, 95-106. That snapped a 3-game Cavs winning streak. The Cavs are just 1-4 ATS in their last five games with more than 3 days rest. They are also 1-6 ATS in their last seven quarterfinals games. The Knicks have done well vs the Cavs, going 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings and 5-2 ATS in the last seven at Cleveland. I like the points here on Saturday. Take the Knicks. |
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04-15-23 | Hawks v. Celtics OVER 231 | 99-112 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 6 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Hawks had to win their play-In game on Tuesday vs the Heat to advance here today. They won 116-105 as a 5.5-point dog. That broke a two-game losing streak, including a loss at Boston last Sunday on closing day, 114-120 with the game going over. They are 4-0-1 O/U their last five games. They are also 20-6 O/U in their last 26 games following a ATS win. The Celtics haven't played since last Sunday when they beat the Hawks. They finished the season winning three straight and eight of their last 10. The Celtics have also gone over in five of their last seven games. With all the rest these teams have had recently they should be ready to push the pace here today. I'll take the OVER. |
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04-14-23 | Thunder v. Wolves -5.5 | 95-120 | Win | 100 | 20 h 44 m | Show | |
IT's win or go home for these teams tonight as the Timberwolves host the Thunder here tonight. The Thunder The Thunder pulled the road upset in the first play-in game at New Orleans, 123-118 as a 5.5-point dog. Minnesota lost at the Lakers in OT, 102-108 as a 7.5-point dog. It was a tough loss for the Wolves who led a lot of that game at the Lakers. The Wolves should like this matchup tonight though as they have won seven of the last eight meetings and three of four this season. The Thunder and Pelicans traded leads back and fourth in their game with the Thunder taking a 115-114 lead with 28.1 seconds left that they didn't give up. Minnesota led the Lakers at the end of each quarter, except the one that counted most, the 4th. They were up seven after three quarters. The Thunder are just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games and 1-5 ATS in their last six road games. I'll take the host here tonight as they outplayed the Lakers for most of that game. Take Minnesota. |
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04-14-23 | Bulls +5.5 v. Heat | 91-102 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
Winner of this game advances to the NBA Playoffs to face the Milwaukee Bucks. Chicago overcame a 19-point deficit against the Raptors on Wednesday night. The Bulls are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine road games. The Bulls have done great against the Heat this year, averaging 114 points and shooting 51.2% from the field. In addition the Bulls are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings at Miami. The Heat are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games playing on 2 days rest. They are also 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games vs a team with a losing record. The Bulls have had the Heat number this season, being outscored by an average of 11 points in their losses. I don't believe they will solve anything here tonight. Take Chicago. |
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04-12-23 | Thunder +5.5 v. Pelicans | 123-118 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Pelicans and Oklahoma City Thunder finished 9th and 10th respectively. The Thunder finished 40-42 overall and won and covered their last two games. The Thunder were a decent covering team on the road, going 22-17-2 ATS on the season and averaging 114.1 ppg while allowing 117.1 ppg. The Thunder were 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games with two or more days rest. The Pelicans finished 42-40 on the season. They lost their last game at the T'Wolves, 108-113. They are also 1-3 ATS in their last four games. The Thunder have had the upper hand in this series, going 10-4 ATS the last 14 matchups and 6-0 ATS in their last six meetings in New Orleans. I'll take the points here tonight with the Thunder. |
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04-11-23 | Wolves v. Lakers -7.5 | Top | 102-108 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 58 m | Show |
The LA Lakers made a late season rush to improve and climb into the play-in picture here tonight. The Lakers finished at 43-39 on the season and won eight of their last 10 games. The Lakers are also 4-1 ATS in their last five games vs a team with a winning record. The Minnesota Timberwolves finished right behind the Lakers at 42-40. They won their last three games and seven of the last 10 games. The bigger question is what is the status of the Lakers big stars. Lebron James (foot) and Anthony Davis (foot) both are expected to play here tonight. T'Wolves Karl Anthony Towns (calf) is questionable. I like the Lakers when they have their stars both in the lineup as they will tonight. I'll lay the points with the Lakers. |
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04-11-23 | Hawks +5 v. Heat | 116-105 | Win | 100 | 18 h 18 m | Show | |
The Atlanta Hawks and Miami Heat will face off in one of the two play-in games here on Tuesday. The Hawks finished 8th in the East with a 41-41 record while the Heat finished 7th with a 44-38 mark. The Hawks lost their last two games of the season, snapping a 3-game win streak. Despite having a losing road record of 17-24, the Hawks were only outscored by 1.7 points per game this season. The Heat finished the season with a win over Orlando, 123-110. However, they were just 3-5 ATS down the stretch. The Heat also had a very poor home spread record of just 14-25-2 on the season. The Heat are just 6-27-1 ATS in their last 34 games following a ATS WIN as they had vs the Magic. Both these teams are pretty evenly matched and with that I'll be taking the points in this game. Play Atlanta. The Heat could be without guard Kyle Lowry here tonight who is questionable with a knee injury. |
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04-03-23 | San Diego State v. Connecticut -7 | Top | 59-76 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
San Diego State was fortunate to get away with a win vs Florida Atlantic on Saturday, as they trailed by double digits for most of the 2nd half. It took a shot with no time left on the clock for the Aztecs to pull out the win and advance. Now they run into the hottest team in the tournament, Connecticut. U Conn has had no trouble in any of it's games thus far. They have won by 24 over Iona, 15 over St Mary's, 23 over Arkansas, 28 over Gonzaga and then yesterday went wire to wire over Miami, 72-59. This is the team in form to win it all. San Diego State has had some luck while U Conn has just been very good and dominating. I'm going to stick with the hot team here tonight. Play Connecticut. |
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04-01-23 | Florida Atlantic v. San Diego State UNDER 132 | 71-72 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 9 m | Show | |
IT's been quite the run for Conference USA this postseason. First Charlotte wins the CBI tournament and then UAB and North Texas played for the NIT FInals, both from Conference USA. Now, Florida Atlantic looks to keep their Cinderella run going here on Saturday vs San Diego State. Really both these teams not expected to be in the Final Four. Florida Atlantic was great all year while San Diego State is a big, strong and experienced team. FAU Owls are 35-3 overall and you have to go back to Feb 16 for their last loss. They have also gone 8-3 ATS their last 11 games. SDG State Aztecs are 31-6 and have covered six straight games. The Aztecs have gone under in 12 straight games and 14 of the last 15 games. That's because of this defense and slower game they play. FAU has gone under in five of their last seven games and six of their last eight on a neutral court. I love this game to go UNDER here on Saturday. |
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04-01-23 | Florida Atlantic +2 v. San Diego State | 71-72 | Win | 100 | 54 h 9 m | Show | |
IT's been quite the run for Conference USA this postseason. First Charlotte wins the CBI tournament and then UAB and North Texas played for the NIT FInals, both from Conference USA. Now, Florida Atlantic looks to keep their Cinderella run going here on Saturday vs San Diego State. Really both these teams not expected to be in the Final Four. Florida Atlantic was great all year while San Diego State is a big, strong and experienced team. FAU Owls are 35-3 overall and you have to go back to Feb 16 for their last loss. They have also gone 8-3 ATS their last 11 games. SDG State Aztecs are 31-6 and have covered six straight games. Really you can make a case for either side here today. I'm taking FAU just because I like how scrappy this team has played all season long. Take Florida Atlantic. |
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03-31-23 | Knicks v. Cavs -3.5 | 130-116 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
The Cleveland Cavaliers clinched a playoff spot as they sit 4th in the East with a 48-29 record. The Knicks are right behind them with a 44-33 record, four games back in 5th place. The Knicks have won two straight games after dropping three games. They are now 5-6 S/U and ATS their last 11 games overall. Despite their recent rough patch, the Knicks are still a decent covering team with a 35-17 ATS mark in their last 52 road games. The Cavs have been one of the surprise teams this year in the East. They are coming off a close loss at Atlanta, 118-120, pushing the +2-line. However, they are 6-2 S/U and 4-3-1 ATS their last eight games. They are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight-up loss. They are also 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 home games vs a team with a winning road record. I like the Cavs here tonight. Play Cleveland. |
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03-30-23 | UAB v. North Texas +2.5 | 61-68 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
The Conference USA has sure made it's mark this college postseason. First winning the CBI tournament with NC Charlotte. Now, both finalists in the NIT are from the Conference USA and even Florida Atlantic in the NCAA Final Four. The teams know each other well with North Texas taking two of the previous three meetings this year. UAB winning in the conference tournament, 76-69, as a 1-point favorite. That makes UAB 15-2 S/U their last 17 games and 9-4 ATS their last 13 games. North Texas is 12-2 S/U and 11-3 ATS their last 14 games. Both teams have a good shot of winning this game, but North Texas has had the better of it this year so I'll stick with them. Play North Texas. |
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03-29-23 | Kings v. Blazers OVER 235 | 120-80 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
The Sacramento Kings have a solid hold on the third spot in the West with their 45-30 record. They are three games back of 2nd place Memphis and three games ahead of fourth place Phoenix. The Kings are the highest scoring team in the NBA with a 121.0 ppg average. In fact, no other team in the NBA averages over the 120 mark. The Kings are coming off a loss at home to Minnesota, 115-119, as a 6.5-point favorite. They have gone under two straight games after a four game OVER run. The Kings are 8-3-1 Ov/Un in their last 12 with one day rest. They are also 16-7 Ov/Un in their last 24 overall. The Portland Trailblazers are on the verge of elimination from the playoffs as they sit in 13th place in the West and 4.5 games back of the Thunder. They have lost three straight and nine of their last 10 games. They are also 5-5 O/U during that span. They are 12-5 O/U their last 17 vs a team with a winning road record. These teams have gone over in five of their last seven meetings and six of the last seven in Portland. I'll be on the OVER here tonight. |
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03-29-23 | Clippers v. Grizzlies -4 | Top | 141-132 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
Western Conference clash has two playoff teams looking to keep or improve their standings in the playoff hierarchy. The LA Clippers are 5th with a 40-36 record, but just 3.5 games separate 4th place from 11th place so anything can happen. The Grizzlies have locked up a playoff spot with their 48-27 record as they sit second in the West, 3-games back of top dog Denver. The Clips have split their last six games, going 3-3 S/U and ATS. They are coming off a win over Chicago, 124-112, as a 4.5-point favorite. LA is jus 3-9 ATS their last 12 playing on one day of rest. They are also 3-7 ATS their last 10 road games playing a home team with a 60% or better win percentage. Meanwhile, Memphis has won seven straight games and 11 of their last 12. They are 5-5-1 ATS during that span. They are coming off a win over Orlando, 113-108, as a 7-point favorite. The Grizzlies are 35-16 ATS in their last 51 home games. They are also 5-0 ATS in their last five meetings with the Clippers and 4-1 ATS in their last five at Memphis. I'll take the Grizzlies here tonight. |
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03-28-23 | Heat v. Raptors -3 | 92-106 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference clash here on Tuesday has Miami taking on Toronto North of the border. Miami is 40-35 and in 7th in the East tied with 6th place Brooklyn. The Raptors come in at 9th just one game ahead of 10th place Chicago. Miami had its two game win streak snapped last game by Brooklyn, 100-129 as a 5.5-point favorite. The Heat are now 7-6 S/U and 5-8 ATS their last 13 games. The Heat are just 14-21 ATS and S/U on the road this season. The Heat are also 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games and 8-22-1 ATS their last 31 games vs a team with a losing straight up record. The Raptors are 37-38 on the season and need to win to hold onto a playoff spot. Toronto has won two straight games and five of their last seven. They are also 5-2 ATS in their last seven games .Toronto has also gone 7-1-1 ATS in its last nine home games. Toronto is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings with the Heat. I'll take the Raptors here at home on Tuesday. |
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03-28-23 | Wisconsin v. North Texas -1.5 | Top | 54-56 | Win | 100 | 17 h 59 m | Show |
NIT Semifinal action here on Tuesday has Wisconsin taking on North Texas from Las Vegas, NV. Wisconsin was an early exit from the Big 10 tourney when they lost to Ohio State, 57-65 as a 2.5-point dog. They have three straight in the NIT though, at home over Bradley, 81-62, then at home over Liberty, 75-71, and last game over Oregon, 61-58, as a 1.5-point dog. The Badgers are 3-3-1 ATS in their last seven games. In addition, they are 7-15-2 ATS their last 24 overall games. North Texas lost in the Conference USA tourney to UAB, 69-76. They have gone on in the NIT to beat Alcorn State, 69-53, Sam Houston, 75-55 and then in OT last game they beat Oklahoma State, 65-59, as a 4-point dog. That makes them 11-3 ATS their last 14 games. They are also 14-6 ATS in their last 20 on a neutral site. Really just need to pick the winner here tonight and for me, that's North Texas. |
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03-27-23 | Bulls +4.5 v. Clippers | 112-124 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bulls playing their 2nd of a back-to-back spot here tonight. They played the Lakers last night and won, 118-108, as a 5-point dog. No traveling here today as they stay in LA to face the Clippers. The Bulls have won five of their last six and seven of their last nine games. They are also 7-2 ATS in their last nine games. They Bulls need to keep winning as they hold onto the 10th and last playoff spot, but now lead the Pacers by 3.5-games. The Clippers are 39-26 and in 5th place in the Western Conference. However, only 3.5-games separate 4th place from 11th place in the conference. The Clippers will also play without Paul George again tonight. George got injured two games ago with knee injury. The injury showed in their last game vs the Pelicans where they were blown out, 110-131. The Clippers had a day off but they are only 1-6 ATS in their last seven in that spot. The Bulls have covered five of the last seven vs the Clippers and four of the last five in LA. I'll take the points with a hot Bulls team here tonight. |
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03-27-23 | Rockets v. Knicks -13.5 | Top | 115-137 | Win | 100 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
The Houston Rockets have the 2nd worst record in the NBA at 18-57, only Detroit has fewer wins. The Rockets have also lost five straight and seven of their last 10 games. Houston has also been bad on the road, going 11-23-3 ATS and allowing a whopping 122.3 ppg. The Rockets playing the 2nd of a back-to-back spot here tonight. They played at Cleveland last night and lost 91-108, failing to cover the 14-point dog line. The Rockets are just 1-8 ATS in their last nine with no rest. The Knicks are 5th in the East with a 42-33 and have lost three straight games. They are still 12-6 ATS in their last 18 games and 6-2-1 ATS their last nine home games. The Knicks have covered the last six of seven in this series. I'll lay the big points tonight with New York. |
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03-26-23 | Rockets v. Cavs -14 | 91-108 | Win | 100 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
The Cleveland Cavaliers are in 4th in the Eastern Conference with a 47-28 record. They are 8-2 their last 10 games and have won three straight. The Houston Rockets are eliminated from the playoffs with a 18-56 record and in last place in the West. Only Detroit in the East has a worst record. The Rockets have lost four straight and seven of their last 10 games. They are just 11-22-3 ATS on the road this season. That includes a 5-14 ATS mark their last 19 on the road. The Cavs have been excellent at home, going 24-13 ATS this season. The Cavs are also 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games vs a team with a losing record. The Cavaliers are 5-1 ATS their last six vs the Rockets and 4-0 ATS in the last four at Cleveland. I'll lay the big number with the Cavs here on Sunday. |
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03-26-23 | Miami-FL +4 v. Texas | Top | 88-81 | Win | 100 | 16 h 45 m | Show |
Elite 8 action continues here on Sunday as Miami and Texas face off in the Midwest Regional Final from Kansas City, MO. After losing to Duke in the ACC tourney, Miami has won three straight NCAA games over Drake, Indiana and last game upending the top seed Houston, 89-75. None of their games have been close, as they have won by 7, 16 and 14 points. The Hurricanes are now 6-1 ATS in their last seven NCAA tournament games. They are also 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games vs a team with a winning record. Texas won the Big 12 tournament and now has three wins in the NCAA, making their win streak at seven games. They have also covered six of their last seven games. They are coming off a win over Xavier, 83-71, as a 4.5-point favorite. The one knock against this Texas team is that they are just 3-11-1 ATS in their last 15 NCAA tourney games. I'm sticking with the dog here on Sunday. Play Miami Florida. |
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03-25-23 | Pelicans v. Clippers -5 | 131-110 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Pelicans holding onto the 9th playoff spot, but a bunch of teams surround them. In fact, the games separating 4th place LA Clippers and 11th place Utah are just 3.5-games. The Pelicans can get back to the .500 mark with a win here tonight. They have won three straight games including last time out vs Charlotte, 115-96, as a 9-point favorite. However, the Pelicans are just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games and 7-22 ATS their last 29 road games vs a team with a winning home record. The Clippers will be without Paul George, who is out indefinitely with a knee injury. They were without him last game in their win over the Thunder, 127-105, as a 4-point favorite. That made them 5-2 S/U and ATS in their last seven games. Time will tell the long term effects of the loss of George. For tonight though, I'll be on the Clippers. |
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03-25-23 | Connecticut -2.5 v. Gonzaga | 82-54 | Win | 100 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
Gonzaga coming off that emotional last second win over UCLA to propel them into the Elite 8. The Zags beat UCLA, 79-76, as a 1-point favorite. That makes 12 straight wins for Gonzaga but only two covers in their last five games. In fact, the Zags are just 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 neutral site games and 1-7 ATS in their last eight NCAA games. Moreover, they are 3-11-1 ATS in their last 15 games following a ATS win. Connecticut has had little trouble in the NCAA tourney, beating Iona by 24, then St Mary's by 15 and last game over Arkansas by 23, 88-65. Now they look to take care of their second West Coast team in this tournament. The Huskies are 7-1-1 ATS their last nine games. They are also 19-7 ATS their last 26 NCAA tournament games. Connecticut might be the favorite now to win it all with all the No 1 seeds gone. I'll take U Conn here today to down another West Coast Conference team. Play Connecticut on the Money Line here today. |
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03-25-23 | Florida Atlantic +2.5 v. Kansas State | Top | 79-76 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
Florida Atlantic's fairy tale story continues as they enter the Elite 8 of the NCAA tourney. The Owls beat Tennessee in the Sweet 16, 62-55, as a 4.5-point dog. That makes the Owls 10-0 in their last 10 games and 7-3 ATS. They are also 18-7-2 ATS in their last 27 games vs a team with a win percentage of 60% or better. Kansas State making up for their early exit in the Big 12 tourney when they lost to TCU, 67-80. Now they have won three straight including their OT win over Michigan State in the Sweet 16, 98-93, as a 1-point favorite. Kansas State is 7-2 ATS in their last nine games. With all the players that transfer each year, we are seeing more parity in the big schools and smaller ones. Thus, Florida Atlantic making such a big splash this year. I'm taking the points with the Owls here on Saturday. |
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03-24-23 | Thunder v. Lakers OVER 232.5 | 111-116 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
The Thunder play the second of a back-to-back set here tonight and will remain at the Staple's Center as they faced the Clippers last night and the Lakers tonight. The Thunder are tied with the Mavericks, Lakers and Pelicans all holding onto three of the final playoff spots. The Jazz are just a half game back. The West is all bunched at for those final spots with just two-games separating seven teams. The Thunder lost last night to the Clippers, 105-127, as a 4-point dog. They allowed 56% from the field and 48.6% from 3-point arc to the Clippers. That makes them 5-2 S/U and ATS their last seven games. They have also gone over in three of their last four games. The Thunder have now gone 10-4-1 Ov/Un in their last 15 games. The Lakers have won two straight games and Six of their last nine. They are coming off a Wednesday win over the Suns, 122-111, as a 1-point favorite. The teams have gone over in nine of their last 13 meetings. I look for another over here tonight. |
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03-24-23 | Xavier +4.5 v. Texas | 71-83 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 10 m | Show | |
NCAA Tourney Midwest Regional Semifinals has Xavier taking on Texas from Kansas City, Mo. Xavier lost in their own tourney finals to Marquette, 51-65. However, they have won their first two NCAA tourney games with wins over Kennesaw State, 72-67, as a 12-point favorite and over Pittsburgh, 84-73, as a 5-point favorite. The Musketeers have won seven of their last eight games and gone 6-5 ATS their last 11 games. They are now 25-8-2 ATS in their last 35 NCAA Tournament games and 15-5-1 ATS their last 21 games vs a team with a win percentage over 60%. Texas won the Big 12 Tournament finishing with a win over Kansas, 75-56, as a 2-point dog. They have won their two NCAA tourney games over Colgate, 81-61 and last game over Penn State, 71-66, as a 5-point favorite. That is six straight wins and a 6-0-1 ATS mark their last seven. One knock against Texas is that they are just 2-11-1 ATS in their last 14 NCAA tournament games. This looks to be a close game here on Saturday and I'll take the points with the dog. Take Xavier. |
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03-24-23 | Princeton +10 v. Creighton | 75-86 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
Very rare to see an Ivy league team make the sweet 16, but here is Princeton. They won the Ivy league tournament and now have beaten Arizona, 59-55 and Missouri, 78-63 to advance here tonight. They have also covered six straight games and nine of their last 11 games. The Tigers have also covered their last four NCAA tournament games. Creighton lost in their tournament to Xavier, 60-82, but have rebounded in the NCAA with wins over North Carolina State, 72-63 and then last game over Baylor, 85-76. The BlueJays have covered five of their last six games. Issue here is the points. Creighton laying 10-points to anyone in the Sweet 16 has to be a tall order. I'm not so sure Princeton can't win this game. Therefore, I'll take the points with Tigers. |
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03-24-23 | Rockets v. Grizzlies -13 | Top | 114-151 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
The Houston Rockets are the worst team in the West at 18-55 and have been eliminated from the Playoffs. They have lost three straight and six of their last 10. They are coming off a loss at Memphis, 125-130, but covered the 12.5-point line. They do a bit better vs the spread, going 7-10 ATS their last 17 games. The Rockets are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 road games and 8-21 ATS in their last 29 road games vs a team with a winning record. The Grizzlies are 2nd in the West and have already secured a playoff spot. They are 45-27 and have won four straight and seven of their last 10 games. The Grizzlies are 42-19-2 ATS in their last 63 home games. Should be an easy win tonight for the Grizzlies. They didn't cover on Wednesday vs this same team, however I don't see Houston putting up the same effort tonight. Play Memphis. |
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03-23-23 | Florida Atlantic +5.5 v. Tennessee | 62-55 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
Florida Atlantic has had a great season with a 33-3 record. The Owls won their conference tournament with a win over UAB, 78-56 and have won two straight in the NCAA over Memphis, 66-65 and last game over Fairleigh Dickinson, 78-70. That makes nine straight wins for the Owls and they are 6-3 ATS their last nine games. The Owls are 10-3-1 ATS their last 14 games vs a team with a win percentage above 60%. Tennessee is 25-10 overall on the season and has beat Lafayette, 58-55 and Duke, 65-52 in the NCAA tourney. The Volunteers are 5-4 S/U and 4-5 ATS their last nine games. Tennessee is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine NCAA games and 3-8 ATS in the last 11 games vs a team with a winning record. I like the dog here today plus the points. Take Florida Atlantic. |
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03-23-23 | Hornets v. Pelicans -8 | 96-115 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
The Charlotte Hornets are only one of two teams, Detroit the other, that have been eliminated from the Eastern conference playoffs. The Magic are 23-50 on the season and coming off a win over Indiana, 115-109, as a 2-point dog. The Hornets are 3-7 S/U and 4-6 ATS in their last 10 games. They are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven games after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. New Orleans is in 12th place in the West, but still battling for a playoff spot. They trail 10th place Lakers by just a half game. In fact, just 2.5 games separate eight teams in the West. The Pelicans have won and covered their last two games, including beating San Antonio last time out, 119-84. They are not 20-7-1 ATS their last 28 games vs a team with a win percentage below 40%. The Pelicans are 24-11-1 ATS their last 36 meetings with the Hornets. Pelicans need to beat teams like Charlotte if they hope to make the playoffs. Take New Orleans. |
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03-23-23 | Michigan State v. Kansas State +1.5 | 93-98 | Win | 100 | 6 h 22 m | Show | |
Michigan State has won two NCAA games, beating USC 72-63 and then last game over Marquette, 69-60. They are 5-3 S/U their last eight and 6-8 ATS their last 14 games. Michigan State is 4-6 both S/U and ATS on the road this year. They are also 5-4 S/U and ATS on neutral sites. Kansas State has wins in the NCAA over Montana State, 77-65 and then last game over Kentucky, 75-69. They are 6-2 S/U and ATS their last eight games. The Wildcats are 4-7 S/U and 5-6 ATS on the road and 6-1 S/U and 5-1-1 ATS on a neutral court this season. They are also 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games vs a team with a winning record. I like K State here tonight plus the small points. Take Kansas State. |
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03-22-23 | Blazers v. Jazz -4.5 | 127-115 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
Western Conference action here tonight has Portland playing at Utah. The Trailblazers are 13th place and four-games back of that final playoff spot. The Blazers have lost six straight games and eight of their last 10 games. In addition, they are 0-4 ATS their last four games and 4-10 ATS their last 14 games. The Blazers are also 5-14 ATS in their last 19 road games. The Utah Jazz are holding onto that 10th and final playoff spot, just a half game ahead of both the Lakers and Pelicans. The Jazz are 4-1 S/U their last five games and 6-0 ATS their last six. They are also 3-1-1 ATS in their last five home games. I like the Jazz here tonight as they fight for that last playoff spot. Play Utah. |
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03-22-23 | Utah Valley v. Cincinnati | 74-68 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
NIT Tourney quarterfinals has Utah Valley taking on Cincinnati. Originally scheduled for a Cincy home game, the venue has moved to Utah Valley after scheduling conflicts for Cincinnati. Cincinnati has won two games in the NIT with wins over Virginia Tech, 81-72, and last game over Hofstra, 79-65. They have also covered both games. The Bearcats haven't been all that great on the road, evidenced by their 12-27-1 ATS mark their last 40 games vs a team with a winning home record. They are also 5-6 on the road and 2-3 in neutral site games this year. Utah Valley has also won two straight games in the NIT with a road win at New Mexico, 83-69, and then last game over Colorado, 81-69. The Wolverines are also 5-1 ATS in their last six home games. They have also covered 21 of their last 26 overall games. I'll take Utah Valley here on their home court tonight. |
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03-22-23 | Eastern Kentucky v. Charlotte -5.5 | Top | 68-71 | Loss | -106 | 3 h 24 m | Show |
CBI Championship Game here early on Wednesday has Eastern Kentucky taking on NC Charlotte. Strange even for Eastern KY is that they are playing their 4th game in four nights. But that's not enough, they have played overtime in all three of their CBI games and double OT in last night's win over Southern Utah, 108-106. Wow, that's crazy. And then here they don't even play later in the evening, they play at 2pm PT, 5 pm ET. Charlotte has cruised through their CBI games, beating Western Carolina by nine points, Wisconsin Milwaukee by 11-points and then last night over Radford, 63-56, covering all three. In fact, Charlotte is 8-1-1 ATS over their last 10 games. I have to take Charlotte here tonight as I can't see Eastern having much left in the tank. Play Charlotte. |
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03-21-23 | Cavs -2.5 v. Nets | 115-109 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
NBA Eastern Conference clash here tonight has the Cleveland Cavaliers taking on the Brooklyn Nets. The Cavaliers are 4th in the East with a 45-28 record. The Cavs are four games back of 3rd place Philly and seven back of first place Milwaukee. Cleveland has won seven of its last 10 overall games. They are also 6-4 ATS their last 10 games. They are also 5-2 ATS their last seven road games vs a team with a winning home record. Brooklyn is in 6th place in the East with a 39-32 record. The Nets look to snap a 3-game losing streak here tonight both S/U and ATS. The Nets are not a great home team, in fact they are just 19-14 S/U and 16-16-1 ATS on their home court. They have been a home dog nine times this year and are 2-7 S/U and 4-5 ATS. Tonight they are a home dog, but I'll be laying the small number with Cleveland. |
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03-21-23 | North Texas +4 v. Oklahoma State | 65-59 | Win | 100 | 6 h 41 m | Show | |
NIT Quarterfinals here on Tuesday has North Texas visiting Oklahoma State. North Texas lost in the Conference USA tournament to UAB, 69-76, as a 1-point favorite. Then they opened NIT action with a home win over Alcorn State, 69-53 and then another win over Sam Houston, 75-55. They are 5-1 their last six games and 13-2 over their last 15 games. They are also 10-3 ATS their last 13 games. The Mean Green are also 21-6-3 ATS their last 30 away games vs a team with a home win percentage of 60% or better. Oklahoma State lost in the Big 12 tourney to Texas, 47-60, as a 6-point dog. Then they opened with wins in the NIT over Youngstown State, 69-54 and Eastern Washington, 71-60. They have not done well vs the spread though, evidenced by their 2-7-1 ATS mark their last 10 games. In addition, the Cowboys are only 1-5 ATS in their last six home games. These teams have met five times in recent years with the underdog holding a 3-1-1 ATS mark. I'll take the points with the road team here tonight. Play North Texas. |
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03-20-23 | Wolves v. Knicks -8 | 140-134 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
It's East vs West here tonight as the Eastern conference Ny Knicks host the West's Minnesota Timberwolves. Minnesota is in 9th place in the West, tied with 10th place Lakers and 11th place Utah. It is a traffic jam at the bottom of the NBA West with 3.5 game separating 5th place LA Clippers and 12th place NO Pelicans. The Timberwolves hope to snap a three-game losing streak here tonight. They are also 1-5 S/U their last six games and 2-4 ATS. The Wolves will be without center Karl-Anthony Towns who has a calf injury. Towns averages 20.8 ppg and 8.2 rebounds per game. The could also be without Anthony Edwards, who is questionable with an ankle injury. Edwards averages 24.7 ppg. That's a lot of firepower to replace if Edwards doesn't play. The Knicks are 5th in the East with a 39-32 record, 2.5-games back of fourth place Cleveland. The Knicks have won and covered their last three games after a 3-game losing skid. They are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight games and 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 overall games. The Knicks have covered five of the last six meetings with the Wolves in New York and four of the last five overall. I'll be on the Knicks tonight. |
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03-20-23 | Bulls v. 76ers -7.5 | 109-105 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference action here today has 2nd place Philadelphia taking on 10th place Chicago. The Bulls are 1.5-games ahead of 11th place Indiana for that last place in the NBA East playoff picture. They are 1-game back of 9th place Toronto. The Bulls have won two straight and four of their last five games, covering four of those also. However, they are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight road games and 2-7 ATS in their last nine games on 1 day of rest. Philly looks to extend its winning streak to nine games here tonight. They have also covered four in a row. The Sixers are 22-9 ATS their last 31 home games. They are also 8-1 their last nine meetings with the Bulls and 7-2 ATS their last nine in Philly. I'll lay the points here at home with Philadelphia. |
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03-19-23 | Utah Valley +4.5 v. Colorado | 81-69 | Win | 100 | 20 h 34 m | Show | |
NIT 2nd Round action late on Sunday has Utah Valley State taking on Colorado from Boulder. Utah Valley lost in the WAC tournament to Southern Utah, 88-89, as a 2.5-point favorite. They opened NIT 1st round action with a win over New Mexico, 83-69, as a 5.5-point dog. Utah Valley was 5-1 S/U to close out the season and 10-2. They wee also 9-2 ATS their last 11 games. The Wolverines were also 10-2 ATS their last 12 road games vs a team with a winning home record and 11-2 ATS overall their last 13 road games. Colorado lost in the 2nd round of the PAC-12 tourney to UCLA 69-80, as a 9-point dog. The Buffs had a bad run at the end of the season, going 3-4 S/U their last seven games. They were also 4-9 ATS their last 13 games vs a team with a win percentage of 60% or better. I'm taking the points with a very good covering Utah Valley team here today. |
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03-19-23 | Clippers -3.5 v. Blazers | Top | 117-102 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
Western Conference clash here on Sunday has the LA Clippers taking on the Trailblazers from Portland. The Clippers are in 5th in the West with a 37-34 record. The Clippers are 10-games back of the Nuggets for 1st in the West. Looks more like they will need to fend off those behind them as seven teams are within 3.5 games of the Clippers. The Clippers had their four game win streak snapped last game vs Orlando, 108-113, as a 6.5-point favorite. That also made them 4-2 ATS their las six games. Portland is in 13th place in the West, 3-games back of 10th place Utah and 5.5 games back of the Clippers. The Blazers look to snap a five game losing streak here today. They are also 2-8 S/U their last 10 games. Portland is also 3-7 ATS their last 10 games. When playing on 1 day rest they are 6-19-1 ATS their last 26 times. They also haven't done well at home recently, going 2-8-1 ATS their last 11. The Clippers have covered nine of the last 11 in this series and I look for that again here on Sunday. Play the Clippers. |
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03-19-23 | UCF +4 v. Oregon | 54-68 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
NIT 2nd Round action this evening has Central Florida playing at Oregon. Central Florida opened NIT action with a road win at Florida, 67-49, as a 2.5-point dog. That makes the Golden Knights 3-1 ATS their last four games. The Knights are 5-1 ATS in their last six games away from home. They are also 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 games following a straight-up win. Oregon lost in the PAC-12 Conference tourney 2nd round to UCLA, 56-75, as a 6.5-point dog. The Ducks opened NIT action with a home win over UC Irvine, 84-58, as a 5.5-point favorite. The Ducks are just 3-6 ATS their last nine games. They are also 2-15 ATS their last 17 games following a straight-up win of more than 20 points. I like Central Florida plus the points here this evening. |
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03-19-23 | St. Mary's v. Connecticut UNDER 126.5 | 55-70 | Win | 100 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
2nd Round NCAA Tournament action has Saint Mary's taking on U Conn. St Mary's lost in their West Coast tournament to rivals Gonzaga, 51-77, as a 2-point dog. They opened NCAA play with a 1st round win over VCU, 63-51, as a 4.5-point favorite. The Gaels are usually known for their defense. They have allowed just 59.7 ppg on the season and 62.3 on neutral sites. After losing their conference tourney matchup to Marquette, Cincinnati opened NCAA play with a win over Iona, 87-63, as a 9-point favorite. They have gone under in three of their last four games. With St Mary's going under in eight of their last 11 NCAA games and the Huskies playing mostly unders in the postseason, I'll take under here on Sunday. |
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03-19-23 | Suns v. Thunder | 120-124 | Win | 100 | 5 h 16 m | Show | |
The Phoenix Suns were one of the favorites this year in the Western Conference. However, they have underperformed at just 38-32 overall and 15-20 on the road. The Suns are in 4th in the West, 8.5-games back of the Nuggets. The Suns snapped a 3-game losing streak last time out with a win over Orlando, 116-113, but failed to cover the 8-point line. That makes four straight losses vs the number. The Thunder are 9th in the West at 34-36 and hold a slim edge over 11th place Lakers who are just a half game back. In fact, it's very tight for those final playoff spots with just 2.5 games separating 6th place Dallas from 11th place New Orleans. The Thunder had their three-game win streak snapped last game at Toronto, 111-128, as a 6.5-point dog. Still, the Thunder are 6-2 S/U and ATS their last eight games. They are also 17-7 ATS their last 24 games when having 2-days rest. The Suns are just 1-4 ATS in their last five trips to Oklahoma City. I'm taking the Thunder in today's game. Play Oklahoma City. |
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03-19-23 | Kentucky v. Kansas State +3 | 69-75 | Win | 100 | 3 h 44 m | Show | |
NCAA 2nd Round action has Kentucky taking on Kansas State. Kentucky lost in the opening round of the SEC tournament to Vanderbilt, 73-80, as a 7-point favorite. The Wildcats did get an at large bid to the NCAA and won their first round game over Providence, 61-53 as a 4-point favorite. Kentucky has not done well of late on neutral courts, evidenced by their 3-13 ATS mark the last 16 times. Kansas State lost its opening round Big 12 game vs TCU, 67-80, as a 2-point dog. They are also at at large bid here in the NCAA. They won their round one game over Montana State, 77-65, as a 7.5-point favorite. K State is 15-5 S/U in their last 20 games vs a team with a winning record. They have also covered five of their last seven games. Should be a good matchup here today, but I'll be on Kansas State in this one. |
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03-19-23 | Pittsburgh +5.5 v. Xavier | 73-84 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
NCAA 2nd Round action here today from Greensboro, NC as Pittsburgh takes on Xavier. Pitt lost in the ACC 2nd round tournament to Duke, 69-96 and got the play-in game for the NCAA tournament. They beat Mississippi State on Tuesday 60-59, as a 2.5-point dog and then beat Iowa State in the first round, 59-41, as a 4-point dog. That make Pitt 3-1 S/U and ATs their last four games. The Panthers are now 23-7 ATS their last 30 games overall. They are also 3-1-1 ATS in their last five neutral site games. Xavier lost in the Big East tournament to Marquette, 51-65, as a 2-point dog. They opened NCAA tourney play with a first round win over Kennesaw State, 72-67, as a 12-point favorite. Xavier is 6-1 S/U the last seven games but only 1-4 ATS their last five. I like the points here today. Take Pittsburgh. |
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03-18-23 | Celtics v. Jazz OVER 231.5 | 117-118 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
Boston is in 2nd place in the Eastern Conference, 1.5-games back of first place Milwaukee. The Celtics are the highest scoring team in the East with a 117.6 ppg average. The Celtics have won two straight games and three of four on this four game road stint. They have also gone over in four of their last seven games. The Celtics had to play last night at Portland and won that game 126-112, covering and going over. Now they play back-to-back in which they are 18-7-1 O/U their last 26 games with no rest. The Celtics are also 20-9-1 O/U their last 30 road games. Utah is tied for the last playoff spot in the West with the LA Lakers at 33-36. The Jazz have lost four of their last 10 games. They also allow 117.2 ppg this season (Only two teams allow more). The Jazz have ton over in three straight games and five of their last six. They are also 8-3 O/U in their last 11 home games. These teams have also gone over in nine of the last 12 meetings. I'll be on the OVER here tonight. |
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03-18-23 | Kings -2.5 v. Wizards | 132-118 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
The Washington Wizards can ill afford to keep losing if they hope to make the Eastern Conference Playoffs. The Wizards are 32-38 and 1.5-games back of 10th place Chicago. The Wizards have been slumping too. They are coming off a loss to the Cavaliers, 94-117, as a 4.5-point dog. That makes them 2-6 S/U and ATS in their last eight games. The Sacramento Kings are in 2nd place in the West with a 42-27 record. They have won two straight and eight of their last 10 games. They are also the only Western Conference team that has a better than .500 mark on the road as they sit 21-13 on the season. They play their third game on this Eastern road swing today. They have already won at Chicago (117-114) and at Brooklyn (101-96). The Kings have covered five of the last seven in this series. I look for that trend to continue here today. Play Sacramento. |
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03-18-23 | Penn State +5.5 v. Texas | 66-71 | Win | 100 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
Penn State lost in the Big 10 Tourney final to Purdue, 65-67, but still covered the 7.5-point dog line. In fact, the Nittany Lions have covered five straight tournament games and have won six of their last seven straight up. They take on a Texas team that won the Big 12 tournament with a win over Kansas, 76-56, as a 2-point dog. Then they opened NCAA play with a win over Colgate, 81-61, as a 12.5-point favorite. That makes Texas 5-0 S/U and ATS their last five games. The Lions are 21-8-1 ATS their last 30 games vs a team with a winning % above 60%. They are also 33-14-4 ATS their last 51 games on a neutral site. Texas has not done well in the NCAA's, going 2-11 ATS their last 13 NCAA tournament games. I'll take the points here today with Penn State. |
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03-18-23 | Auburn +5.5 v. Houston | 64-81 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
2nd Round NCAA clash here on Saturday has 9th seeded Auburn taking on top seed Houston. The Sweet 16 berth goes to the victory here today. Auburn got here by beating Iowa in round one, 83-75. Houston struggled to their win over 16th seeded Northern Kentucky, 63-52, as a 19.5-point favorite. Marcus Sasser, the team's leading scorer, was re-injured in their win over Northern Kentucky. Sasser was injured against Cincinnati and missed the AAC title game before returning in the first round of the NCAA. His status was updated to probable today, but have wonder how effective he will be after re-injuring himself in the last game and possibly doing more damage. A lot depends on the injured Cougars Sasser and even Shead, though both are listed as probable. This Auburn team is a much better offensive club than N.Kentucky. I'll take the points here with Auburn. |
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03-18-23 | Princeton +6.5 v. Missouri | 78-63 | Win | 100 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
Ivy League Champion Princeton shocked Arizona in the NCAA 1st Round with a 59-55 win as a 15-point dog. That was the team's 5th straight win and cover. Princeton is now 4-1 S/U and 3-2 ATS on neutral site courts. They do well vs good teams, covering the last five vs a team with a winning record. Missouri lost to Alabama in the SEC 2nd round, 61-72, as a 9.5-point dog. They got an at large bid to the NCAA and opened with a win over Utah State, 76-65, as a 1.5-point dog. They are just 4-5 ATS their last nine games. They are also 1-6 ATS in their last seven NCAA tournament games. I'll take the points here with Princeton. |
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03-18-23 | Hofstra +1.5 v. Cincinnati | 65-79 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 44 m | Show | |
NIT action here today moves the venue from Cincinnati to Hofstra. Cincinnati is having their home floor torn up so the site had to be moved. That's important in these close NIT matchups as now Hofstra get the home advantage. Cincinnati won it's initial game at home over Virginia Tech, 81-72, as a 5-point favorite. That makes the Bearcats 3-2 S/U and 4-1 ATS their last five games. Cincinnati is just 15-31-1 ATS their last 47 games vs a team with a winning percentage above 60%. Hofstra won it's opening NIT game at home over Rutgers in OT, 88-86, as a 5-point dog. That makes the Pride 13-1 S/U their last 14 games. Today, they get a point or there about. But with the venue change I'll take the Price here at home. Play Hofstra. |
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03-17-23 | Kent State +4.5 v. Indiana | 60-71 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
Kent State won the MAC Tournament Championship with a win over Toledo, 93-78, as a 1-point dog. That made three wins and covers in their tournament. They have also won 10 of their last 11 games. In addition, they are 4-0 ATS their last four and 8-3 ATS their last 11 games. The Golden Flashes are 35-15-2 ATS their last 51 overall games and 4-0 ATS in their last four neutral site games. Indiana lost in the second round of the Big 10 conference tournament to Penn State, 73-77, as a 3.5-point favorite. The Hoosiers were 4-4 S/U and 2-6 ATS their last eight games. Kent State looks very good to bettors while Indiana has struggled. Yet we get around 4.5-points here today with Kent State. I look for a straight-up Kent State win. |
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03-17-23 | Drake +3 v. Miami-FL | 56-63 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
Drake Bulldogs won the Missouri Valley Conference tournament with a resounding win over Bradley, 77-51, as a 1.5-point favorite. They won all three of their tourney games both S/U and ATS. That made the Bulldogs 13-1 S/U their last 14 games and 8-1 ATS their last nine games. The Bulldogs are also 5-0-1 ATS in their last six on a neutral court. Miami Florida lost in the second round of the ACC tournament to Duke, 78-85, as a 3-point dog. That made Miami 2-2 their last four games and 0-4 ATS. Both these teams were very good during the season. However, Drake getting a few points is what I like here today since I expect them to win this game outright. Play Drake. |
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03-17-23 | Wizards v. Cavs -5 | 94-117 | Win | 100 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
Eastern Conference matchup here on Friday has Washington taking on Cleveland. The Wizards are holding onto that last spot in the playoffs, with two other teams just a half game behind them. Meanwhile, Cleveland is in 4th in the East, four games back of third place Philly. The Wizards snapped a three game losing streak last game with a win over Detroit, 117-97, as a 13.5-point favorite. Still, the club is 2-5 S/U and ATS their last seven games. Cleveland looks to rebound from their loss to Philly last time out, 109-118, as a 2.5-point dog. The Cavs led many times during that game but couldn't stick with them in the 4th quarter. Still, Cleveland is 5-2 S/U and 3-4 ATS their last seven games. The Cavs have been very good at home, going 28-8 S/U and 23-13 ATS and outscoring their visitors by 8.7 ppg. I like Cleveland to rebound here at home tonight. They could have won that game vs Philly and are too good a home team to drop another here tonight. Play Cleveland. |
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03-17-23 | VCU +4.5 v. St. Mary's | 51-63 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 4 m | Show | |
NCAA first round action continues here on Friday as VCU takes on St Mary's. VCU won their conference tournament with a win over Dayton in the Championship game, 68-56, as a 2-point favorite. That made nine straight wins and 17 of the last 19. They also covered all three conference tourney games and are 7-1 ATS their last eight games. The Rams are also 16-5 ATS their last 21 NCAA Tournament games. St Mary's lost to Gonzaga in the quarterfinals of their conference tournament, 51-77, as a 2-point dog. That made the Gael's 1-2 their final three games and 3-7-1 ATS their last 11 games. VCU is a very hot team and coming off a conference tournament championship while St Mary's coming off a blowout loss. I'll take VCU here on Friday. |
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03-16-23 | Magic v. Suns -7 | 113-116 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 34 m | Show | |
The Orlando Magic are 4-games back of the last playoff spot in the NBA Eastern Conference. They have lost six of their last 10 games. The Magic are coming off a loss at San Antonio, 114-132, as a 5-point favorite. They are 2-5 S/U and ATS their last seven games. Phoenix is 4th in the Western Conference with a 37-32 record. The Suns look to snap a three-game s/u and spread losing streak here tonight. They are coming off a loss to Milwaukee, 104-116, as a 1.5-point dog. The Suns are 22-12 S/U and 19-15 ATS at home this season. While the Suns have underperformed at times this year, I look for them to have little trouble tonight against this Orlando squad. Play Phoenix. |
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03-16-23 | Oral Roberts +6.5 v. Duke | Top | 51-74 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 55 m | Show |
Oral Roberts won the Summit League Tournament with a resounding win over North Dakota State, 92-58, as a 10.5-point favorite. ORU finished the season on a great run, winning 17 straight games. They were 7-9-1 ATS the last 17. Tonight, they are a dog to Duke, so don't need to worry about covering any favorite line. Duke won the ACC tournament with a win over Virginia, 59-49. The Blue Devils finished on a 9 game winning streak and covered five of their last six games. Duke laying about six-points tonight. Both my numbers have this game much less, one number closer to Duke -2 points. Oral Roberts is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games. Duke is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 NCAA Tournament games. I'll take the points here tonight with Oral Roberts. |
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03-16-23 | College of Charleston +5.5 v. San Diego State | 57-63 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 6 m | Show | |
NCAA Tourney action here on Thursday has College of Charleston taking on the Mountain West Champion, San Diego State. Charleston won it's conference tourney championship with a win over UNC Wilmington, 63-58, as a 9.5-point favorite. That was the team's 10th win in a row and they were also 6-4 ATS their last 10. San Diego State won the Mountain West Conference Tournament with three straight wins including the final over Utah State, 62-57, as a 1.5-point favorite. That was the Aztecs 10th win in their last 11 games. They are also 4-4 ATS their last eight games. The one issue with SDG State is that they don't score a lot of points. They have not broken past 67 points in their last five games. Moreover, they have to lay around 5-points here today. They do play excellent defense, but I don't see them covering this spread here today. Play Charleston. |
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03-16-23 | Furman +6 v. Virginia | 68-67 | Win | 100 | 13 h 50 m | Show | |
Early NCAA Tourney action here on Thursday has Furman taking on Virginia. Furman got ousted in their Southern Conference tournament by Chattanooga, 63-75, as a 3-point favorite. That made them 5-1 S/U the last six games and 13-2 S/U their last 15 games. In addition, they were 10-5 ATS their last 15 games. Virginia lost in the ACC tourney to Duke, 59-59, as a 3-point dog. They were 4-3 S/U the last seven games and 3-6 ATS their last nine games. The Cavaliers are also 3-8 ATS in their last 11 NCAA tournament games. I like the dog here in this one. Take Furman. |
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03-16-23 | West Virginia -2.5 v. Maryland | 65-67 | Loss | -114 | 2 h 57 m | Show | |
West Virginia bowed out of it's Conference Tourney with a second round loss to Kansas, 61-78, as a 3.5-point dog. The Mountaineers were 3-1 S/U and 5-1 ATS down the stretch. They are also 6-2 ATS their last eight games following a straight-up loss. The Mountaineers are also 5-1 ATS their last six games vs a team with a winning record. Maryland also lasted only two rounds of their conference tournament, losing to Indiana, 60-70 as a 1-point dog. The Terapins were 1-3 S/U and 2-2 ATS down the stretch. The Terps are only 3-8 ATS in their last 11 NCAA Tournament games. I'll take West Virginia here early on Thursday. |
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03-15-23 | Utah Valley +5.5 v. New Mexico | 83-69 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
Late NIT action here on Wednesday has Utah Valley taking on New Mexico from The Pit. Utah Valley lost in the WAC tournament to Southern Utah, 88-89, as a 2.5-point favorite. They finished the season on a 4-1 and 9-2 S/U runs. They also did well vs the number, going 8-2 ATS their last 10 games. The Wolverines are also 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games away from home and 13-3 ATS their last 16 games vs a team with a winning record. The Wolverines have just been very good to bettors, going 20-6 ATS over their last 26 games. New Mexico looked like a shoe-in for a NCAA berth about half way through the season. Then, starting on Feb 1 they went on a 3-8 S/U run and also were 4-7-1 ATS their last 12 games. Losing to Utah State in the Mountain West tournament, 76-91, sealed their fate to the NIT. I'm taking the points with a very good covering Utah Valley team here tonight. Play Utah Valley. |
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03-15-23 | Virginia Tech v. Cincinnati -5 | Top | 72-81 | Win | 100 | 20 h 55 m | Show |
NIT first round action here on Wednesday has Virginia Tech playing at Cincinnati. Virginia Tech made an early exit in their ACC conference tournament, losing to North Carolina State 77-97 as a 3- point dog. That made the Hokies 3-3 over their last six games and 2-4 ATS. They are just 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 road games. Cincinnati lost it's 2nd round conference tourney game to Houston, 48-69, as a 10-point dog. That made them 4-2 S/U and ATS their final six games. The Bearcats are 11-0 ATS their last 11 games following a spread loss. They are also 19-8 ATS their last 27 games overall and 16-5 ATS their last 21 home games. This is a home game for Cincinnati and look for them to win this one going away. Play Cincinnati. |
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03-15-23 | 76ers v. Cavs +2.5 | 118-109 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
Two of the best of the East meet here today as 3rd place Philadelphia (45-22) takes on 4th place Cleveland (44-27). The Sixers hold a 3-game lead on the Cavs. The Sixers have a five game winning streak going and are 4-3 ATS their last seven games. The Cavs have won two straight and five of their last six games. They have been very good at home, going 28-7 S/U and 23-12 ATS. They have also outscored their visitors by a 113.7 to 104.6 ppg average. They are also 19-6-1 ATS their last 26 home games vs a team with a winning road record. The Cavs are 4-1-1 ATS the last six meetings in Cleveland and 3-1-1 the last five overall vs Philly. I'll take the small home dog here today. Play Cleveland. |
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03-14-23 | Mississippi State v. Pittsburgh +2.5 | 59-60 | Win | 100 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
NCAA Play-In game here tonight has Mississippi State taking on Pitt. Mississippi State got knocked out of the SEC tournament by Alabama in a lopsided loss, 49-72. The Bulldogs were 4-4 S/U in their last eight games and 0-4 ATS in their last four. The dogs are also 0-4-1 ATS in their last five neutral site games. Pitt lost to Duke in the ACC tournament, 69-96. The Panthers were 1-3 S/U down the stretch but 3-2 vs the number. The Panthers are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 overall games. They are also 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games vs a team with a winning record. Pitt getting points here tonight and I like that. I'll take the points with the Panthers. |
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03-14-23 | Villanova v. Liberty -175 | 57-62 | Win | 100 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
NIT action here tonight has Villanova taking on Liberty. Villanova struggled to a 17-16 record and lost two of their last three games. But the issue here today is the loss of players. They will be without four starters for today's game. Looks like they be without Cam Whitemore, Justin Moore and two more key players. The shorthanded Wildcats will have to face a Liberty team that went 26-8 on the season and won five of its last six games. This Liberty team is 14-2 ATS in the last 16 home games and 13-3 ATS their last 13 vs a team with a losing road record. But for me, the loss of these key starters will be too much for Villanova to overcome here today. I'll take Villanova on the Money Line and leave the line out of this one. |
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03-14-23 | Nets v. Thunder -1.5 | Top | 107-121 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
The Brooklyn Nets sit 6th in the Eastern Conference as they bring a 2-game win streak into today's contest. They have also won five of their last six and covered six straight but are just 5-5 their last 10 games. The OKC Thunder are 5-5 also their last 10 games and are in 10th place in the West. They score the fourth most points per game at 117.8 ppg. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been great for the Thunder, averaging 31.2 ppg on the season. Though he has an abdominal injury, he is listed as probable for today's contest. The Nets traded away Durant and Irving before the All-Star game and while they have been winning, I don't think this team is nearly as good without those star players. I'll take Oklahoma City here tonight. |
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03-14-23 | Toledo +6.5 v. Michigan | 80-90 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
It's the MAC against the Big 10 here in NIT opening round action on Tuesday. Toledo lost their championship game in the MAC to Kent State, 78-93, as a 1-point favorite. That cost the Rockets a trip to the NCAA as they settle for the NIT. Still, the Rockets were hot to finish the season with a 17-1 S/U run and 9-3 ATS run. Michigan was 17-15 on the season and finished with a three-game losing streak. That made them 3-5 S/U and 5-3 ATS their last eight games. Michigan was just 3-7 S/U and 5-5 ATS away from home this season. They were 2-4 on a neutral court. Unless Toledo has a letdown not going to the NCAA tournament, I look for them to win and cover this game. Play Toledo. |