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Jim Feist Football Top Picks
Date Match Up Rating Score Result Profit Lead Time Analysis
01-26-25 Commanders v. Eagles OVER 47.5 Top 23-55 Win 100 113 h 43 m Show

The NFC Championship Game between the Washington Commanders and the Philadelphia Eagles is scheduled for Sunday, January 26, 2025, at 3:00 PM ET at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia. Led by rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels, the Commanders have made a remarkable playoff run, including a 45-31 victory over the top-seeded Detroit Lions in the Divisional Round. Daniels has demonstrated poise and leadership, throwing for 567 yards and four touchdowns in the playoffs, and is a strong candidate for Offensive Rookie of the Year. However, the team faces challenges due to injuries, notably the loss of key offensive lineman Sam Cosmi to a torn ACL, which could impact their offensive line's effectiveness against the Eagles' formidable defense. The Eagles secured their spot in the NFC Championship by defeating the Los Angeles Rams 28-22, with running back Saquon Barkley rushing for 205 yards and two touchdowns. Quarterback Jalen Hurts has been managing a knee injury, which may affect his mobility, but the team's dynamic run game remains a strength. The Eagles' defense, led by standout performances from players like Jalen Carter, will look to capitalize on the Commanders' weakened offensive line. The teams split their regular-season meetings. In Week 11, the Eagles won 26-18, with Barkley contributing significantly. In Week 16, the Commanders secured a 36-33 victory, overcoming five turnovers and showcasing Daniels' resilience. The Eagles' potent rushing offense, highlighted by Barkley's recent performances, will face a Commanders' run defense that has struggled in recent games, ranking among the bottom six in the league over their past six games. These two teams should be putting up plenty of points as we have already seen them do in their previous meetings this year. I'm going to be on the OVER here on Sunday.

01-18-25 Texans v. Chiefs -8 Top 14-23 Win 100 39 h 47 m Show

The Kansas City Chiefs (15-2) will host the Houston Texans (11-7) in the AFC Divisional Round on Saturday at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. The Chiefs aim for a historic third consecutive Super Bowl appearance. Despite their impressive record, they have a +59 point differential, indicating several close games throughout the season. Quarterback Patrick Mahomes leads the offense, bolstered by tight end Travis Kelce, who has been encouraged to continue playing amid retirement rumors. The offensive line has faced challenges, particularly at left tackle, which the Texans may seek to exploit. The Texans secured their spot in the Divisional Round with a 32-12 victory over the Los Angeles Chargers. Their defense, featuring lineman Denico Autry, will be crucial in applying pressure on Mahomes, especially considering the Chiefs' offensive line vulnerabilities. Offensively, quarterback C.J. Stroud has adapted to a quick-pass, power-gap scheme, aiming to neutralize dominant defenders like Chris Jones. Marquise Brown (Chiefs): After missing most of the season due to injury, Brown's return adds depth to the Chiefs' receiving corps. His performance could be pivotal. 

There is also an interesting angle that comes up in this matchup between the Chiefs and Texans. The angle reads: "Play against any NFL Divisional Round away team coming off an outright home underdog win in the Wild Card round." This angle is 15-2 ATS (88%) since 1981 and it happens again on Saturday. 

Take The Chiefs as your Divisional Game of the Year!

01-13-25 Vikings -2.5 v. Rams Top 9-27 Loss -108 10 h 55 m Show

The NFL Wild Card matchup between the Minnesota Vikings and the Los Angeles Rams is scheduled for Monday. Due to wildfires in Southern California, the game has been relocated to State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona. Minnesota Vikings finished the regular season with a 14-3 record, securing the No. 5 seed in the NFC. Despite their impressive record, they enter the playoffs as a wild card team after losing the NFC North title to the Detroit Lions in Week 18. Los Angeles Rams concluded the season with a 10-7 record, earning the No. 4 seed and the NFC West division title. They rested key starters in their Week 18 loss to the Seattle Seahawks, focusing on playoff preparedness. These teams met in Week 8 of the regular season, with the Rams securing a 30-20 victory at SoFi Stadium. In that game, quarterback Matthew Stafford threw for 279 yards and four touchdowns, effectively countering the Vikings' aggressive defense. Minnesota Vikings Sam Darnold (QB) completed the regular season with 4,319 passing yards and 35 touchdowns, ranking fifth in the NFL for both categories. His performance in the playoffs is crucial for the Vikings' success. Justin Jefferson (WR) recorded 1,533 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns, leading the league with 28 receptions of 20-plus yards. His deep-threat capability is a significant asset for Minnesota's offense. Rams' Matthew Stafford (QB) brings extensive playoff experience, having led the Rams to the postseason in three of his four seasons with the team. His ability to handle pressure situations is a key factor for Los Angeles. I have to believe the relocation of this game and fires in So. Cal will have some effect on this Rams team. Look at the LA Chargers over the weekend, they were trounced by the Texans. The Rams lose a home game here on Monday against a better team. Take the Vikings.

01-12-25 Commanders v. Bucs OVER 50 Top 23-20 Loss -108 19 h 28 m Show

The Washington Commanders (12-5) are set to face the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (10-7) in the NFC Wild Card round on Sunday at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida. Under head coach Dan Quinn, Washington has transformed into a formidable contender, finishing the regular season with a 12-5 record—their best since 1991. Rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels has been instrumental, leading an offense that ranks among the top five in total yards, rushing yards, and points per game. The defense has been equally impressive, ranking third in passing yards allowed and excelling in quarterback pressure. Tampa Bay clinched their fourth consecutive NFC South title with a 10-7 record. Quarterback Baker Mayfield has revitalized the offense, throwing for 4,500 yards and 41 touchdowns during the regular season. The Buccaneers' offense ranks third in the NFL, averaging 399.5 total yards per game, while the defense ranks 18th, allowing 341.8 yards per game. These teams met in Week 1 of the season, with the Buccaneers securing a 37-20 victory at Raymond James Stadium. In that game, Mayfield threw for four touchdowns, while Daniels, making his NFL debut, showcased his dual-threat capabilities with two rushing touchdowns. Jayden Daniels the Commanders rookie quarterback has demonstrated poise and playmaking ability, both through the air and on the ground. His performance will be crucial against Tampa Bay's defense. Terry McLaurin is Daniels primary receiving threat, McLaurin's ability to create separation and make contested catches will be vital for Washington's passing game. Baker Mayfield's leadership and playmaking have been pivotal for Tampa Bay's offense. His experience will be a key factor in the postseason. Mike Evans has been his primary deep threat, Evans has recorded over 1,000 receiving yards for the 11th consecutive season, tying an NFL record.  This game has two very good offenses and I look for both teams to be able to move the ball with ease and score at will. I'm taking the OVER here today. 

01-10-25 Ohio State -5.5 v. Texas Top 28-14 Win 100 16 h 28 m Show

The College Football Playoff semifinal between the Ohio State Buckeyes and the Texas Longhorns is set for Friday at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. This matchup features two storied programs vying for a spot in the National Championship against Notre Dame. Ohio State Buckeyes (12-2): After a 10-2 regular season, with losses to Oregon and Michigan, the Buckeyes have been dominant in the playoffs. They secured convincing victories over Tennessee (42-17) and top-seeded Oregon (41-21) to reach the semifinals. Their offense, led by quarterback Will Howard and standout freshman wide receiver Jeremiah Smith, has been explosive, averaging 36.4 points per game. Defensively, Ohio State ranks first nationally in total defense, scoring defense, and passing defense, and fifth in rush defense. Texas Longhorns (13-2): The Longhorns finished the regular season at 11-1, with their sole loss to Georgia. They fell to Georgia again in the SEC Championship but rebounded in the playoffs with wins over Clemson (38-24) and a double-overtime thriller against Arizona State (39-31), which many thought they should have lost. Texas boasts one of the nation's top defenses, ranking third in total defense, fourth in scoring defense, third in passing defense, and 14th in rush defense. Offensively, quarterback Quinn Ewers leads a unit that is eighth in SP+ and third in explosive play rate (9.6%). I really like the Ohio State defense. They shut down a powerful Oregon team and will do the same here today to Texas. Play Ohio State.

01-09-25 Notre Dame v. Penn State UNDER 45.5 Top 27-24 Loss -115 18 h 56 m Show

The College Football Playoff semifinal between the Notre Dame Fighting Irish and the Penn State Nittany Lions is set for Thursday at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida. This Orange Bowl matchup features two storied programs vying for a spot in the national championship game. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (13-1) is under head coach Marcus Freeman, Notre Dame has showcased a balanced attack, averaging 38.8 points per game while allowing just 13.8 points per game, ranking them second in scoring defense nationally. Quarterback Riley Leonard's dual-threat capability has been pivotal, complemented by a strong running game led by Jeremiyah Love, who has amassed 1,057 rushing yards this season. The defense, coordinated by Al Golden-a Penn State alumnus-has been formidable, particularly in pass defense, allowing only 167.4 passing yards per game. Penn State Nittany Lions (13-2) under head coach James Franklin has been impressive, scoring 33.7 points per game and conceding 15.8 points per game. Quarterback Drew Allar leads the offense, supported by a potent rushing duo: Kaytron Allen (1,026 rushing yards) and Nicholas Singleton. Tight end Tyler Warren has been a key receiving target, with 1,158 receiving yards. Defensively, the Nittany Lions excel in creating pressure and have been effective in limiting opponents' rushing attacks. This game marks the 20th meeting between the two programs, with the series tied at 9-9-1. Their most recent encounter was in 2007, where Penn State secured a 31-10 victory. Notably, this Orange Bowl is the first College Football Playoff semifinal to feature two Black head coaches, adding a historic dimension to the matchup. I look for a tough battle here on Thursday with the defenses being the prime units on display. I'm taking the UNDER.

01-03-25 Minnesota -8.5 v. Virginia Tech Top 24-10 Win 100 19 h 56 m Show

The Minnesota Golden Gophers (7-5) are set to face the Virginia Tech Hokies (6-6) in the Duke's Mayo Bowl on Friday at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, North Carolina. Quarterback Max Brosmer leads the Gophers with 2,617 passing yards, 17 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions this season. Running back Darius Taylor has contributed 873 rushing yards and 9 touchdowns, while wide receiver Daniel Jackson has 75 receptions for 863 yards and 4 touchdowns. Minnesota's defense ranks sixth nationally, allowing an average of 290.9 yards per game. They have been particularly effective against the pass, conceding only 178.3 passing yards per game, which ranks 15th in the FBS. Va Tech's Quarterback Kyron Drones has accumulated 1,562 passing yards, 10 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. Running back Bhayshul Tuten leads the rushing attack with 1,159 yards and 15 touchdowns, while wide receiver Stephen Gosnell has 27 receptions for 497 yards and 1 touchdown. The Hokies' defense allows an average of 359.7 yards per game, ranking 56th nationally. They have been relatively balanced, giving up 214.3 passing yards and 145.4 rushing yards per game. Minnesota enters the game with a strong defense and a balanced offensive attack, while Virginia Tech looks to leverage its rushing game led by Bhayshul Tuten. I like the defensive team in this matchup. I'll be on Minnesota.

01-02-25 Notre Dame v. Georgia UNDER 45.5 Top 23-10 Win 100 22 h 28 m Show

: The Notre Dame Fighting Irish (12-1) are set to face the Georgia Bulldogs (11-2) in the Allstate Sugar Bowl, a College Football Playoff (CFP) quarterfinal, on January 1, 2025, at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, Louisiana. Quarterback Riley Leonard leads the Irish with over 1,900 passing yards and 700 rushing yards this season, making him one of the top dual-threat quarterbacks in the nation. His 15 rushing touchdowns rank fifth among quarterbacks nationally. Notre Dame's defense has been formidable, allowing just 17.5 points per game. The unit excels in limiting opponents' passing efficiency and has been effective in generating turnovers. The Bulldogs average 33.1 points per game, accumulating over 415 total yards per contest. With starting quarterback Carson Beck sidelined due to injury, backup Gunner Stockton is expected to make his first career start in the Sugar Bowl. Georgia's defense allows 20.3 points per game, showcasing strength in both pass and rush defense. The unit has been adept at pressuring quarterbacks and disrupting offensive rhythms. With limited collegiate experience, Stockton faces a stern test against a disciplined Notre Dame defense. His performance under pressure will be pivotal for Georgia's offensive success. This Sugar Bowl matchup features two storied programs with rich histories. Notre Dame enters the game with momentum, riding an 11-game winning streak and led by Dodd Coach of the Year, Marcus Freeman. Georgia, despite the setback of losing their starting quarterback, boasts a resilient defense and a strong running game. I don't see this game scoring a lot of points with Beck out for Georgia and an unexperienced QB making his first start. I look for this game to go UNDER.

12-24-24 South Florida v. San Jose State -3 Top 41-39 Loss -109 21 h 2 m Show

The South Florida Bulls (6-6) are set to face the San Jose State Spartans (7-5) in the Hawai'i Bowl on Tuesday, December 24, 2024, at the Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex in Honolulu. South Florida finished the regular season at 6-6, securing bowl eligibility. The Bulls won four of their last six games but fell to Rice in their final regular-season matchup. San Jose State concluded the season with a 7-5 record, highlighted by a victory over Stanford. This marks their second consecutive appearance in the Hawai'i Bowl, following a loss to Coastal Carolina last year. Kelley Joiner (Running Back) led South Florida accumulating 766 yards on the ground, averaging 7 yards per carry, and scoring 11 touchdowns this season. The Spartans are led by Nick Nash (Wide Receiver): who leads the nation in receptions, receiving yards, and receiving touchdowns, making him a pivotal component of the Spartans' high-powered passing offense. The Bulls averages 31.4 points per game, ranking 35th nationally. Their rushing attack is particularly strong, averaging 191.8 yards per game, placing them 29th in the FBS. San Jose State has a prolific passing game, averaging 325.3 passing yards per game, which ranks fifth in college football. I look for both teams to be able to score a lot of points here today. But I also look for San Jose to come out on top as the better team. I'll lay the points with San Jose State on Tuesday. 

12-19-24 Broncos v. Chargers UNDER 41.5 Top 27-34 Loss -110 9 h 19 m Show

 The Denver Broncos (9-5) are set to face the Los Angeles Chargers (8-6) in a pivotal AFC West matchup on Thursday at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California. With a 9-5 record, the Broncos are riding a four-game winning streak. Their recent 31-13 victory over the Indianapolis Colts has propelled them into the AFC's No. 6 seed, enhancing their playoff prospects. The Chargers stand at 8-6, currently holding the AFC's No. 7 seed. However, they are coming off a 40-17 loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, marking their third defeat in the past four games. Bo Nix (Quarterback), the rookie QB for Denver has improved with each week. He threw three interceptions in the recent win against the Colts. Justin Herbert, QB for the Chargers, has had to play through injuries including his hand and ankle. He has been the cornerstone of the Chargers' offense, though he was limited to 195 passing yards with two touchdowns and one interception in the loss to the Buccaneers. This matchup carries significant playoff implications for both teams. The Broncos can clinch their first playoff berth since winning Super Bowl 50 with a victory, while the Chargers are looking to rebound and strengthen their postseason chances. Both teams boast excellent defenses and the Chargers looking to redeem themselves after a bad outing vs the Bucs last week. The Broncos defense is one of the best too. Add to that the issues the Chargers have at RB with JK Dobbins out and both backups not performing well, and I look for points to be at a premium here tonight. I'll take the UNDER.

12-15-24 Bills v. Lions -140 Top 48-42 Loss -140 39 h 12 m Show

The Buffalo Bills (10-3) are set to face the Detroit Lions (12-1) on Sunday at Ford Field in Detroit, Michigan. This matchup features two of the NFL's top teams, both leading their respective divisions and riding significant winning streaks. Led by quarterback Josh Allen, the Bills have showcased a potent offense, averaging 30.5 points per game. Their defense has been formidable, allowing 20.6 points per game. The Bills had their seven game win streak snapped in their last game at the LA Rams, 42-44. QB Josh Allen became the first player in NFL History to pass for three TD's and rush for three TD's in a single game. Under head coach Dan Campbell, the Lions lead the NFL in scoring, averaging 32.1 points per game, while their defense allows 18 points per game. They are on an 11-game winning streak, with their latest win being a 34-31 triumph over the Green Bay Packers last Thursday. Allen an MVP candidate, Allen has thrown 23 touchdown passes and rushed for nine touchdowns this season. James Cook (RB) is averaging 60.3 rushing yards per game. Lions QB Goff has been efficient, leading an offense that ranks second in total yards per game. What stands out for me in this game is the rushing of the Lions. They have two of the best backs in the NFL in J.Gibbs and D.Montgomery. Both players will tear through this Bills defense on Sunday. And for me, that's the difference in this contest. Take the Lions on the Money line as it could be very close. Take Detroit moneyline.

12-02-24 Browns v. Broncos -6 Top 32-41 Win 100 22 h 40 m Show

 The Cleveland Browns (3-8) will face the Denver Broncos (7-5) on Monday at Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, Colorado. This Week 13 matchup features two teams on divergent paths, with the Broncos aiming to solidify their playoff position and the Browns seeking to rejuvenate a challenging season. Under head coach Sean Payton, the Broncos have achieved a 7-5 record, placing them third in the AFC West. Their defense has been formidable, allowing only 16.8 points per game, ranking third in the league. Offensively, rookie quarterback Bo Nix has shown significant improvement, throwing 15 touchdowns and only two interceptions in his last eight games. The Browns are enduring a difficult season with a 3-8 record, positioning them fourth in the AFC North. Their offense has struggled, averaging 16.9 points per game, ranking 30th in the league. Defensively, they allow 24.3 points per game, placing them 22nd. Denver rookie QB Bo Nix has been instrumental in the Broncos' recent success, demonstrating poise and efficiency in the passing game and much improvement as the season has progressed. Browns RB Nick Chubb remains a focal point of the Browns' offense, known for his powerful running and ability to control the game's tempo. The Broncos' defense will look to capitalize on the Browns' offensive struggles, applying pressure on quarterback Jameis Winston and containing Nick Chubb's ground attack. The way Nix has looked as the season has progressed I'm very impressed with his play. Denver has an excellent defense and should be able to shut down this struggling Browns offense. Take Denver here on Monday in their unique uniforms.

11-24-24 Lions v. Colts +7.5 Top 24-6 Loss -116 16 h 11 m Show

The Detroit Lions (9-1) are set to face the Indianapolis Colts (5-6) on Sunday at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis. The Lions have been dominant this season, boasting a 9-1 record and currently leading the NFC. They are on an eight-game winning streak, with their most recent victory being a commanding 52-6 win over the Jacksonville Jaguars, marking the largest winning margin in franchise history. Quarterback Jared Goff has been instrumental in their success, throwing four touchdown passes in the last game. The Colts hold a 5-6 record and are coming off an impressive road victory against the New York Jets. Quarterback Anthony Richardson showcased his dual-threat capabilities, completing 20 of 30 passes for 272 yards and a touchdown, while also rushing for 32 yards and two touchdowns. Jared Goff's efficient passing and Anthony Richardson's versatility will be central to their teams' offensive strategies. A win for the Lions would further cement their status atop the NFC, while a victory for the Colts is crucial to keep their playoff hopes alive in a competitive AFC landscape. Getting a TD or more with the home Colts here on Sunday. The way Richardson played last week Im taking the Colts to stay with the Lions here on Sunday.

11-22-24 Temple v. UTSA -16.5 Top 27-51 Win 100 20 h 12 m Show

The Temple Owls are set to face the UTSA Roadrunners on Friday at the Alamodome in San Antonio, Texas in a American Athletic Conference (AAC) matchup. The Owls hold a 3-7 overall record and are 2-4 in AAC play. They recently secured an 18-15 overtime victory against Florida Atlantic, snapping a two-game losing streak. This win came shortly after the dismissal of head coach Stan Drayton, with defensive coordinator Everett Withers stepping in as interim head coach. The Roadrunners stand at 5-5 overall and 3-3 in AAC play. They are on a two-game winning streak, including a 48-27 victory over North Texas. UTSA's offense has been prolific, scoring over 40 points in three consecutive games. UTSA's recent offensive surge, averaging over 40 points per game in the last three outings, will challenge Temple's defense. Temple's recent coaching change introduces variables in team dynamics and strategy. The impact of interim head coach Everett Withers on the team's performance remains to be fully seen. I don't see Temple being able to stop this UTSA offense which has been on a roll of late. Add to that the change in head coach at Temple and the Owls are a team in transition. Play UTSA.

11-16-24 Utah v. Colorado -10.5 Top 24-49 Win 100 93 h 48 m Show

The upcoming college football game between the Colorado Buffaloes and the Utah Utes is scheduled for Saturday at Folsom Field in Boulder, Colorado. Colorado is already bowl eligible but have aspirations of a conference championship game and possibly getting to the College football playoffs. The Colorado Buffaloes are under the leadership of head coach Deion Sanders. The Buffaloes have achieved a 7-2 overall record, including a 5-1 mark in Big 12 Conference play. They are currently ranked 21st in the AP poll. Their offense has been prolific, averaging 32.4 points per game, while their defense allows 22.6 points per game. Quarterback Shedeur Sanders has been instrumental, consistently delivering strong performances. The Utah Utes have faced challenges this season, holding a 4-5 overall record and a 1-5 record in Big 12 play. They have lost their last five games, including a narrow 22-21 defeat to BYU in which they lead all the way until the end when the Cougars kicked a game winning field goal with seconds left in the game. Have to think that was the season for Utah against their rivals from Provo. Losing that game in the last seconds could have taken all the air out of Utah's balloon for final games. Colorado enters the game with momentum and home-field advantage, making them tough to beat. Their high-powered offense, led by Shedeur Sanders, is expected to challenge Utah's defense. Colorado won't be taking their foot off the accelerator as they want that Big 12 Championship and their sights set on that Playoff Championship. Look for a Colorado blowout here on Saturday. 

11-09-24 BYU v. Utah +3.5 Top 22-21 Win 100 20 h 10 m Show

A pair of Bee Hive State rivals meet once again here on Saturday night, this time as Big 12 conference foes. The BYU Cougars and the Utah Utes mark a renewal of the storied "Holy War" rivalry, now as a Big 12 Conference game. The game is scheduled to kick off at 8:15 p.m. MT at Rice-Eccles Stadium in Salt Lake City. The BYU Cougars (8-0, 5-0 Big 12) have had an impressive season, remaining undefeated and currently ranked No. 9 in the College Football Playoff rankings-the highest in program history. Their recent victories include a 37-24 win over UCF and a 38-35 triumph against Oklahoma State. The Utah Utes (4-4, 2-3 Big 12) have faced challenges this season, holding a .500 record. They are coming off a four-game losing streak, including a recent loss to Arizona. BYU's offense, led by quarterback Jake Retzlaff, has been effective, with Retzlaff having a breakout year. Running back LJ Martin has also been a critical contributor, significantly enhancing the team's offensive capabilities. This game marks the first meeting between BYU and Utah as Big 12 Conference opponents, adding a new dimension to their historic rivalry. While BYU looks to be the much better team on paper, rivalry games often defy expectations, and Utah, playing at home, will be motivated to disrupt BYU's perfect season. This game could be Utah's season for them and they want nothing more than to put a loss on BYU's perfect record. Play Utah.

11-03-24 Lions v. Packers +3 Top 24-14 Loss -105 19 h 10 m Show

Huge NFC clash here on Sunday Week 9 as the Detroit Lions (6-1) will face the Green Bay Packers (6-2) at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wisconsin. This division clash will showcase two of the best in the conference. The Lions have been impressive this season, leading the NFC North. Quarterback Jared Goff has been a standout, leading the league in passing yards and touchdowns, and recently being voted as the mid-season MVP by NFL fans. The offense averages 33.4 points per game, ranking first in the NFL, while the defense allows 19.1 points per game, ranking eighth. However, the team has faced challenges with injuries, notably losing star pass-rusher Aidan Hutchinson for the season. The Packers have also performed well, with quarterback Jordan Love leading the offense. The team averages 27.1 points per game and allows 22.5 points per game. Injuries have been a concern, particularly with Love dealing with a groin injury, though current reports have Love ready to play here on Sunday. The Lions' defense has been solid, but the loss of Hutchinson may affect their pass rush and was apparent last week in how many points they allowed to the Carolina Panthers. A few other things to consider here on Sunday. The weather won't be ideal with rain and wind in the forcast. Did you know this will be the Lions first game outdoors this season? It is and that could be a deciding factor for this club. They won't have the perfect indoor climate they are used to. I like the Packers a lot here on Sunday and will be my biggest bet. The Packers have Love and the Lions will face the elements for the first time this year. Play Green Bay.

11-02-24 Pittsburgh +7.5 v. SMU Top 25-48 Loss -120 19 h 1 m Show

We get a top 20 matchup here in the ACC today as the No. 18 Pittsburgh Panthers and the No. 20 SMU Mustangs face off at Gerald J. Ford Stadium in Dallas. Pittsburgh is undefeated at 7-0 overall and 4-0 in ACC play, the Panthers are ranked 18th nationally. Their most recent victory was a decisive 41-13 win over Syracuse on October 24. SMU is 7-1 overall and 3-1 in the ACC, with the Mustangs ranked 20th nationally. They are coming off a narrow 28-27 victory over Duke on October 26. The Panthers have averaged 40.3 points per game, ranking 11th nationally. Quarterback Eli Holstein has been instrumental, though the offensive line has faced challenges, particularly with injuries affecting key positions. Pitt allows just 11.9 points per game, with their defense ranked 4th nationally, demonstrating a robust ability to limit opponents' scoring opportunities. The Mustangs have averaged 36.5 points per game, with quarterback Kevin Jennings leading the charge. Jennings has thrown for 2,145 yards and 18 touchdowns this season. SMU's defense has been solid, allowing 20.5 points per game. They have been effective in containing the run but have shown vulnerabilities against the pass. This matchup features Pittsburgh's potent offense against SMU's disciplined defense. SMU is a 7.5 point favorite and I actually look for the Panthers to have a shot at winning this game outright. But I'll take the points. Play Pittsburgh.

10-27-24 Bears v. Commanders +3 Top 15-18 Win 100 16 h 20 m Show

: As the Chicago Bears prepare to face the Washington Commanders on Sunday, both teams bring compelling storylines and strong seasons to this NFC matchup. The Commanders, sitting at 4-2, have showcased a solid defense and a balanced offense, supported by quarterback Jayden Daniels. Daniels, a rookie, has impressed with over 1,400 passing yards and 11 touchdowns, while their ground game, led by Brian Robinson, has contributed significantly to maintaining clock control and field position. Their defensive front has also been effective, ranking well in sacks and pressures this season, a potential challenge for the Bears' offensive line. On the other hand, the Bears (also 4-2) are driven by rookie QB Caleb Williams, who has logged over 1,300 passing yards and nine touchdowns so far. Williams' dynamic playmaking ability could be an advantage against the Commanders' secondary, which has shown occasional lapses against high-paced offenses. Chicago's run game, led by D'Andre Swift, adds depth, creating a multi-dimensional threat Washington will need to prepare for. The Bears' defensive line has been inconsistent but has managed to pressure opponents effectively in recent games. If the Commanders can slow Williams' offense and capitalize on possession time, they will win on Sunday. I also do not believe Chicago should be favored on the road at Washington here on Sunday. Daniels left last week with a rib injury, but is expected to play on Sunday. I believe they have the wrong favorite in this matchup. Play Washington.

10-21-24 Ravens v. Bucs OVER 50 Top 41-31 Win 100 18 h 59 m Show

It's Monday Night Football and we get TWO games on the schedule for tonight. We will look at the game between the Baltimore Ravens and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Both teams come into this inter-conference matchup with 4-2 records. The Ravens, led by quarterback Lamar Jackson, boast the NFL's top rushing attack, averaging over 205 rushing yards per game, with Derrick Henry contributing a league-leading 704 rushing yards and 8 touchdowns. Jackson has also been efficient through the air, completing 67% of his passes for 1,529 yards and 10 touchdowns. Baltimore's offense is complemented by a solid defense, led by Roquan Smith and Kyle Van Noy, that allows 24.8 points per game. On the other side, the Buccaneers, helmed by Baker Mayfield, have been impressive as well, with Mayfield completing nearly 71% of his passes and throwing for 15 touchdowns. The offense, powered by stars like Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, is one of the top-scoring units in the league, averaging 29.7 points per game. Tampa Bay's defense has been solid but vulnerable, allowing 23.5 points per game. Tampa Bay has a history of performing well as home underdogs, particularly early in games. The Bucs have covered the spread in six consecutive games following a division matchup, and their defense is getting healthier. The Ravens' rushing attack and Tampa's opportunistic offense will likely dictate the flow of the game. This one could be a back and forth contest with the last team holding the ball having a shot to win. Or we could even see OT in this game. Either way, I expect to see the offenses dictate the pace in this game. I'll take the OVER. 

10-20-24 Lions +1.5 v. Vikings Top 31-29 Win 100 15 h 22 m Show

The Week 7 NFL matchup between the Detroit Lions and Minnesota Vikings on Sunday, October 20, 2024, is shaping up to be a crucial NFC North contest. The Minnesota Vikings (5-0) come into the game unbeaten, boasting one of the league's stingiest defenses, allowing just 15.2 points per game, which ranks 4th in the NFL. Their rushing defense is particularly strong, ranked 2nd overall. Quarterback Sam Darnold has been solid, with 11 touchdowns and just 4 interceptions, while Justin Jefferson continues to shine as a key target, amassing 450 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns. The Detroit Lions (4-1), on a three-game winning streak, are also having a strong season. Jared Goff has been efficient, completing over 71% of his passes for 1,330 yards and 8 touchdowns. Detroit's offense ranks 4th in both passing and rushing yards per game, with David Montgomery and rookie Jahmyr Gibbs leading a balanced attack. Defensively, the Lions have been tough against the run, ranking 3rd in rushing defense. This might be the best game of the week between two potential playoff clubs. I look for a close game with this one coming down to the wire. I'll take Detroit here on Sunday.

10-17-24 Broncos -2.5 v. Saints Top 33-10 Win 100 10 h 52 m Show

The upcoming Thursday Night Football matchup on October 17, 2024, between the Denver Broncos and the New Orleans Saints looks to be a contest of contrasting fortunes this season. The Broncos (3-3) come into this game with a solid defense, allowing only 16 points per game, which is 4th in the league. They've been particularly effective against the pass, ranking 6th in the league, allowing just 170 passing yards per game. Their offense has shown improvement over recent weeks, driven by rookie quarterback Bo Nix, who has been inconsistent but more effective recently with 5 touchdowns to 1 interception over the last three games. Denver's rushing attack, led by Javonte Williams, will also play a key role against a vulnerable Saints defense. The Saints (2-4) are reeling from a four-game losing streak and a slew of injuries. Starting quarterback Derek Carr is unlikely to play, meaning rookie Spencer Rattler will get his second start after a rough debut against Tampa Bay. The Saints will also be without key receivers Rashid Shaheed and Chris Olave, forcing inexperienced players into critical roles. Defensively, the Saints have struggled, ranking near the bottom of the league in yards allowed and points per game. Given these issues, the Saints are expected to face difficulties against Denver's improving offense. Another factor to consider is that Broncos Head Coach Sean Payton returns to New Orleans where he spent so many seasons as their head coach. This could give Payton some extra incentive to beat his old team. With Denver's superior defense and New Orleans' injury-riddled roster, I'll take the Broncos here on Thursday night.

10-12-24 Boise State -20.5 v. Hawaii Top 28-7 Win 100 35 h 49 m Show

Late action on the College football slate has Boise State and Hawaii kicking off at 11 pm ET on Saturday. This matchup showcases a contest between two teams with contrasting trajectories this season. Boise State, ranked #17, comes into the game with a strong 4-1 record, having averaged an impressive 50.6 points per game, leading the nation in scoring. A key factor for Boise State has been running back Ashton Jeanty, who has already amassed 1,031 rushing yards and 16 touchdowns, dominating defenses all year. The Broncos have consistently scored over 45 points in four of their five games this season, showcasing their offensive firepower. Hawaii, on the other hand, has struggled with a 2-3 record, largely relying on their passing game. Quarterback Brayden Schager leads the team with 1,328 passing yards and 11 touchdowns, but their offense has been one-dimensional, averaging just 93.6 rushing yards per game. Despite a valiant effort in their last game, a 27-24 loss to San Diego State, Hawaii has yet to face a team as strong as Boise State this season. Boise State's powerful offense, led by Jeanty, and Hawaii's struggles in defending against elite teams make the Broncos clear favorites. Expect a blowout win by Boise State here on Saturday.

10-10-24 49ers v. Seahawks +3.5 Top 36-24 Loss -108 27 h 4 m Show

Week 6 Action kicks off on Thursday Night as the San Francisco 49ers (2-3) ttake on the Seattle Seahawks (3-2) in a NFC West clash. The Seahawks lead the division by one game over Arizona and San Francisco. The Hawks started the season 3-0 but have dropped their last two games after a upset loss at home last week to the New York Giants. The 49ers did something they haven't done in a long time, lose a game after leading by 10-points or more starting the 4th quarter. They led the Arizona Cardinals by 10 points but couldn't hold on and lost to the Cardinals, 23-24. One reason they lost was that placekicker Jake Moody left the game in the 1st half with a injury and didn't return. That impacted their decision to go for a 1st down in the 4th quarter when a field goal was the right option. They have since had to sing Matthew Wright to replace Moody. Tonight's contest holds a lot of weight in the division for the Niners as they are 0-2 in the NFC West and 0-3 in the NFC, which means they realize this NFC West game has huge impacts on tiebreakers and such if they want to make the postseason. The 49ers hold a strong recent record against Seattle, winning their last five matchups and outscoring them by 76 points in those games. San Francisco's offense, led by quarterback Brock Purdy (1,374 passing yards), has been effective, especially with Jordan Mason averaging 107 rushing yards per game. On the other side, Geno Smith's Seahawks have shown offensive firepower, ranking third in the NFL with 270.8 passing yards per game, but their run defense has been shaky, allowing 128 yards per game. Both teams will look to capitalize on their strengths, with the 49ers favored in this contest. Seattle has one of the best home field advantages in the NFL and they look to take advantage of that along with a potent offense tonight. I'll take the home dog in this one. Play Seattle.

10-06-24 Bills +1 v. Texans Top 20-23 Loss -108 16 h 16 m Show

The Buffalo Bills are positioned as slight favorites in their Week 5 matchup against the Houston Texans on October 6, 2024. Both teams come into this contest with a 3-1 record, but their performances this season show distinct trends. The Bills are looking for a bounce-back win after a tough loss to the Baltimore Ravens in Week 4, where they were dominated on both sides of the ball. Before that, Buffalo had been strong offensively, averaging 30.5 points per game, which ranks them third in the NFL. Their ability to score will be key in this game, especially against a Texans defense that allows 23.5 points per game. Josh Allen has been effective, with 814 passing yards, seven touchdowns, and no interceptions so far this season, and he'll be pivotal against Houston's secondary, which has been solid but vulnerable under pressure. Houston, led by quarterback C.J. Stroud, has relied on its passing game, with Stroud throwing for over 1,000 yards already this season. However, their offensive line has struggled to protect him, allowing 14 sacks, which could play into Buffalo's hands as the Bills will likely pressure him heavily. Houston's rushing attack has been lackluster, and their injury issues at running back further complicate their ability to exploit Buffalo's weaknesses in run defense. Buffalo's defense has shown strength against the pass but struggles against the run, ranking 30th in rushing yards allowed. If Houston cannot capitalize on that, it will put more pressure on Stroud, and the Bills could take control. Offensively, Buffalo is expected to rely on James Cook and Josh Allen's rushing abilities, as Houston's defense ranks poorly against the run, allowing 4.7 yards per carry. Overall, Buffalo seems well-positioned to cover the spread and bounce back from their Week 4 loss, especially with their offensive firepower and Houston's vulnerabilities in protection and on the ground.

10-05-24 Indiana -12.5 v. Northwestern Top 41-24 Win 100 16 h 47 m Show

The college football contest between Indiana and Northwestern on Saturday, October 5, 2024, appears to be heavily in favor of the undefeated Indiana Hoosiers (5-0). Indiana is ranked No. 23 and comes into the game as a 13.5-point favorite. The Hoosiers have been dominant offensively, averaging 48.8 points per game, and have scored over 40 points in each of their last four games, including a 42-28 win over Maryland. Northwestern (2-2), on the other hand, has struggled to find consistency, particularly on offense, where they average just 17.3 points per game. Their most recent performance, a 24-5 loss to Washington, highlighted their offensive issues, as they managed only 112 total yards. Defensively, Northwestern has been solid, allowing just 15.8 points per game, but their inability to score puts them at a significant disadvantage against Indiana's high-powered offense. Indiana's quarterback, Kurtis Rourke, has been efficient, throwing for over 1,300 yards and 11 touchdowns this season, and their running game, led by Justice Ellison, has been productive. Meanwhile, Northwestern's offense has yet to show signs of life, and unless they can significantly improve, this game could be one-sided blowout by Indiana. Indiana just has way too much offense for this Northwestern team to keep pace with here on Saturday. I look for an easy win, likely double what the Hoosiers are laying with the line.

10-04-24 Houston v. TCU -16.5 Top 30-19 Loss -109 20 h 24 m Show

The college football game between the Houston Cougars and TCU Horned Frogs on Friday, October 4, 2024, is set to be a challenging matchup, especially for Houston. TCU, with a 3-2 record, comes into the game as a strong favorite, featuring a dynamic offense that averages 38.6 points per game, ranking 13th nationally. Quarterback Josh Hoover has been particularly effective, throwing for 1,774 yards and 14 touchdowns this season. His top target, Jack Bech, has accumulated 647 yards and six touchdowns, making TCU a potent offensive force. In contrast, Houston has struggled this season with a 1-4 record. Their offense ranks near the bottom of the FBS, averaging only 10.4 points per game. Quarterback Donovan Smith has had difficulty with turnovers, throwing five interceptions alongside just two touchdowns. Although Houston's defense has been relatively solid, allowing 20.8 points per game, their inconsistent offense will likely make it hard to keep pace with TCU's high-powered attack. TCU's offensive efficiency gives them a strong edge heading into this Big 12 matchup. I'll take the Horned Frogs here on Friday.

09-29-24 Steelers -1 v. Colts Top 24-27 Loss -125 19 h 37 m Show

The Week 4 contest between the Pittsburgh Steelers and Indianapolis Colts on Sunday, has a matchup between the Steelers elite defense and the Colts somewhat improving offense. The Steelers come into the game with a perfect 3-0 record, largely due to their defense, which has allowed only 8.7 points per game and leads the league in total yards allowed (229 yards per game). Pittsburgh's offense, led by quarterback Justin Fields, has been efficient but unspectacular, averaging 17 points per game. The Steelers rely heavily on their running game, with Najee Harris contributing 130.7 rushing yards per game. Key to their success will be maintaining pressure on Colts' quarterback Anthony Richardson and limiting Jonathan Taylor's rushing production. The Colts, at 1-2, are still finding their rhythm under Richardson, who has shown flashes of talent but has struggled with accuracy, completing just 49.3% of his passes and throwing six interceptions through three games. However, Jonathan Taylor has been a bright spot, rushing for 261 yards and two touchdowns so far. Indianapolis' defense, though, has been a major weakness, allowing 398.3 total yards per game and ranking near the bottom of the league in rushing defense. The Steelers are and they are expected to control the game by shutting down the Colts' running attack and forcing Richardson into difficult passing situations. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh's methodical, run-heavy offense should wear down Indianapolis' struggling defense. Take the Steelers here on Sunday.

09-28-24 Colorado v. Central Florida -14 Top 48-21 Loss -109 54 h 6 m Show

 Saturday Big 12 college football clash has Colorado and Prime Time heading to Central Florida. UCF is a good sized favorite, currently around 14 points. UCF comes into the game with a perfect 3-0 record, averaging an impressive 45.7 points per game, which ranks 14th nationally. Their offense, generating over 570 yards per game, is led by a dominant rushing attack, accumulating 289 yards in their previous game against TCU. Defensively, UCF has been solid, allowing only 17 points per game and ranking among the top teams in limiting rushing yards. Colorado, on the other hand, holds a 3-1 record, fresh off a thrilling 38-31 overtime victory against Baylor. Despite their success, the Buffaloes' rushing game has been lackluster, averaging just 68.8 yards per game, one of the lowest in the nation. Their defense has been vulnerable, especially against the run, allowing 150.8 rushing yards per game, which could be a critical weakness against UCF's powerful ground attack. With UCF playing at home and Colorado struggling on both sides of the ball, especially in the trenches, I expect UCF to dominate this matchup in a blowout win. Play Central Florida.

09-22-24 Eagles v. Saints -2.5 Top 15-12 Loss -118 16 h 17 m Show

The Philadelphia Eagles (1-1) head to New Orleans to face the unbeaten Saints (2-0) in Week 3 of the 2024 NFL season. Both teams come into this matchup with different trajectories, as the Saints have been dominant early in the season, while the Eagles are still finding their footing. The Saints' offense has been explosive through the first two games, leading the league in scoring with an impressive 45.5 points per game. Quarterback Derek Carr has been efficient, completing 30 of 39 passes for 441 yards, five touchdowns, and only one interception. The Saints have also leaned on their dynamic rushing attack, with Alvin Kamara already tallying 198 rushing yards and four touchdowns. The Eagles have had a shaky start offensively, particularly struggling to score early in games—they are yet to record any first-quarter points this season. Jalen Hurts will need to ignite the offense early to keep pace with the high-scoring Saints. The Eagles' ground game, led by Hurts and Saquon Barkley, could be key to slowing down the game and keeping the Saints' offense off the field. The Eagles' defense has struggled significantly, ranking 30th in defensive EPA in close-game situations since last season. They've been particularly vulnerable against the run, giving up over 300 rushing yards across the first two games of the season. This bodes poorly against a Saints team that thrives on the ground. I'm taking the Saints here on Sunday with their balanced offense against a shaky Eagles defense. Play New Orleans. 

09-21-24 East Carolina +7.5 v. Liberty Top 24-35 Loss -105 15 h 13 m Show

The matchup between East Carolina (ECU) and Liberty on Saturday, September 21, 2024, offers an intriguing contrast of playing styles that could make for a competitive game. Both teams have strengths and weaknesses that will factor into the outcome. Liberty's up-tempo, spread offense is designed to score quickly and create mismatches, and quarterback Kaidon Salter is critical to this approach. His ability to extend plays, execute RPOs, and make deep throws will challenge ECU's defense, which has struggled in past seasons against dynamic, fast-paced offenses. ECU will counter with a physical run game, led by Rahjai Harris, aiming to control the clock and limit Liberty's possessions. This strategy has been effective in past games for ECU. The Pirates are 2-1 on the season after a tough loss last week at home by just two-points to App State. ECU led 16-0 after the first quarter only to allow the next 21 points. The Pirates are 31st in the FBS in passing offense this season. If Salter can break through like he was doing last season, then ECU should be in this game until the end. I'll take the points with the ECU Pirates.

09-15-24 Bears v. Texans -6.5 Top 13-19 Loss -108 23 h 25 m Show

The Chicago Bears and Houston Texans face off in Week 2 of the 2024 NFL season in a Sunday Night Football showdown at NRG Stadium. Both teams come into the game with 1-0 records, but they are on different trajectories heading into this matchup. The Bears' rookie quarterback Caleb Williams had a rocky NFL debut in Week 1, throwing for just 93 yards without an offensive touchdown in their 24-17 win over the Tennessee Titans. Chicago's defense carried the team, scoring two touchdowns—a blocked punt return and a pick-six. However, the offense will need to improve significantly, especially with potential key injuries to wide receivers Keenan Allen and Rome Odunze. Allen is expected to play despite a heel injury, while Odunze is likely out. Williams will face a tougher challenge in the Texans' defense and will need better protection and execution to avoid falling behind. Led by second-year quarterback C.J. Stroud, Houston had an impressive offensive outing in their 29-27 road win over the Colts. Stroud threw for 234 yards and two touchdowns, while new additions Joe Mixon and Stefon Diggs made an immediate impact. Mixon totaled 178 yards from scrimmage and a touchdown, and Diggs added two receiving scores. With the Bears' offense struggling in Week 1, the Texans look primed to capitalize on home-field advantage. If Mixon continues his strong performance and Stroud remains efficient. The Texans looks excellent with their new players while the Bears underwhelmed last week. I'm taking the Texans here in Week 2.

09-12-24 Bills +2.5 v. Dolphins Top 31-10 Win 100 22 h 39 m Show

The Thursday Night Football matchup between the Buffalo Bills and Miami Dolphins is shaping up to be a pivotal AFC East battle. Both teams come into this Week 2 game with 1-0 records, making it an early yet important contest in the divisional race. Josh Allen has been a consistent force against the Dolphins, boasting a 10-2 record in his career against Miami. In these games, Buffalo has averaged an impressive 32.9 points per game. Allen's performance will be key, especially after his two-touchdown game in Week 1?. The Dolphins have one of the fastest offenses in the league, led by Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle. Hill, in particular, had a huge game in Week 1, taking an 80-yard pass for a touchdown and racking up over 130 yards. Expect Miami to lean on their passing attack against a Bills defense that is now healthier compared to their matchups last year?. The Bills are entering this game healthier than they’ve been in a long time. Key defenders like Tre'Davious White and Jordan Poyer are back, and Buffalo will look to contain Miami's high-flying offense. The Bills' defense will also be looking to exploit some possible running back absences for Miami, as injuries have hit the Dolphins' backfield. The Bills' experience and past success against Miami, combined with a healthier defensive unit, have me on the Bills in this game on Thursday night. Play Buffalo.

Bonus Prop Play: Josh Allen to Score anytime TD : YES

09-09-24 Jets +4.5 v. 49ers Top 19-32 Loss -110 6 h 45 m Show

The first Monday Night football game of the season is here and the San Francisco 49ers have to have a bitter taste in their mouths after coming so close to the Super Bowl win.  The Jets finally get back QB Aaron Rodgers after last year's devastating Achilles injury, and he'll be looking to lead a talented Jets team to a strong start. The Jets' offense will be tested against one of the best defenses in the NFL, but they bring strong playmakers like Breece Hall and Garrett Wilson. While the Jets' defense is also highly rated, particularly their pass rush and secondary, the key will be how well they can contain Christian McCaffrey and the versatile 49ers offense?. The 49ers are coming off a Super Bowl run and are expected to be one of the top teams again. Led by quarterback Brock Purdy, who has impressed since taking over last season, the 49ers' offense is powered by McCaffrey, Deebo Samuel, and Brandon Aiyuk. McCaffrey is questionable as of Sunday for this game with both a Calf and Achilles issues. However, McCaffrey says he will definitely be available for this game.  The 49ers are favored by about 4 points and I expect a very close game with two elite defenses and both teams having plenty of offensive weapons. I'll take the points in this one with the Jets.

09-07-24 Oregon State -5 v. San Diego State Top 21-0 Win 100 29 h 7 m Show

 Oregon State travels South to face the San Diego State Aztecs in this last Saturday night contest. Oregon State has emerged as a solid offensive unit under head coach Trent Bray. The Beavers are known for their physical rushing attack, featuring a talented stable of running backs behind a seasoned offensive line. On the defensive side, Oregon State has a strong front seven that focuses on stopping the run and creating pressure. Their ability to neutralize San Diego State's ground game will be pivotal. Their secondary, while solid, could be tested if the Aztecs take to the air more than usual. San Diego State has long been a program defined by a tough, run-heavy offense. With a physical offensive line and talented backs, their goal will be to control the clock, limit turnovers, and wear down the Beavers' defense. If they can establish their ground game early, they have a chance to dictate the pace of the game. The Aztecs boast a stout defense, especially in their front seven. They will need to focus on stopping Oregon State's run game, which is the heart of their offense. The battle in the trenches will likely determine the outcome. Oregon State's offense thrives on establishing the run, and San Diego State's defense is built to stop it. If the Aztecs can force the Beavers into long third-down situations, they’ll have a better chance to slow them down. If the Beavers can get their ground game going, their play-action passing attack could open up big plays downfield, putting the Aztecs' secondary in tough situations. Oregon has the more balanced offensive attack and a strong defense. However, San Diego State's disciplined defense and ability to grind down the clock with their running game could keep the game close. Expect Oregon State to take control late in the game and cover the spread. Take Oregon State.

09-05-24 Ravens v. Chiefs OVER 46.5 Top 20-27 Win 100 14 h 31 m Show

The Baltimore Ravens and Kansas City Chiefs are set to kick off the 2024 NFL season with a huge matchup between defending Super Bowl Champion KC and powerhouse Baltimore. Both teams enter the game with high expectations this season as the Chiefs try for an unprecedented third straight Super Bowl Title. The Ravens, led by quarterback Lamar Jackson, will look to capitalize on a retooled offense under new offensive coordinator Todd Monken. Jackson, a dual-threat QB, will showcase his improved passing game, supported by a strong running attack featuring J.K. Dobbins and Derick Henry. He has great targets too in including Odell Beckham Jr. and rookie Zay Flowers. Baltimore's defense, anchored by veteran linebacker Roquan Smith and cornerback Marlon Humphrey, will be tasked with containing one of the league's most explosive offenses. On the other side, the Kansas City Chiefs, reigning Super Bowl champions, are spearheaded by superstar quarterback Patrick Mahomes. Coming off another MVP season, Mahomes will be looking to continue his dominance, with Travis Kelce as his top target. Despite losing some key pieces in the offseason, the Chiefs' offense remains potent, with emerging wide receivers Skyy Moore and Kadarius Toney expected to step up. Defensively, Chris Jones and the Kansas City front will aim to disrupt Baltimore's offensive rhythm, while their secondary focuses on limiting Jackson's ability to exploit deep plays. This primetime showdown between two elite AFC squads promises to deliver excitement as both teams seek an early statement win. The matchup of Mahomes vs. Jackson will be a major storyline, and fans can expect a high-energy, fast-paced game at Arrowhead Stadium. For me, I'm taking the over as I expect both these QB's to lead their teams to points and a lot of them. Take OVER.

08-31-24 Penn State v. West Virginia +8.5 Top 34-12 Loss -110 122 h 5 m Show

The First full Saturday of College football is here as Penn State takes on West Virginia. Penn State comes into this contest around a 8 1/2 point favorite. So how can West Virginia get the cover here on Saturday. First, they need to control the clock with the Running Game. West Virginia's best chance to keep the game close lies in their ability to control the tempo and dominate time of possession. If they can establish a consistent running game, led by their top backs, they can keep Penn State's explosive offense off the field. This not only limits the opportunities for Penn State to score but also keeps the Mountaineers' defense fresh. Next, the Mountaineers have to limit turnovers and capitalize on opportunities. West Virginia must play a clean game with minimal mistakes. Turnovers can quickly shift momentum in Penn State's favor, leading to a deficit that might be difficult to overcome. They will also have to exploit Penn State's Defensive Weaknesses. While Penn State has a strong defense, no unit is without its vulnerabilities. If West Virginia's coaching staff can identify and exploit any weaknesses in Penn State's secondary or front seven, they can find success in moving the ball. And finally, it will take Special Teams. Field position will be crucial in this game. West Virginia can use special teams to their advantage by pinning Penn State deep in their own territory and forcing them to drive the length of the field. Additionally, a big play on special teams—such as a punt or kickoff return—could provide the spark needed to swing momentum and keep the game within reach. While Penn State is the clear favorite, West Virginia can cover the spread by controlling the tempo, avoiding costly mistakes, capitalizing on opportunities, and exploiting any defensive weaknesses. If the Mountaineers execute these strategies effectively, they can keep the game competitive and cover the spread as a nice home dog with the home crown behind them. Take West Virginia.

01-28-24 Chiefs +3.5 v. Ravens Top 17-10 Win 100 149 h 41 m Show

There must be some kind of curse on Buffalo Bills kickers in the postseason. Those misses back in the Super Bowl days on Sunday Buffalo's Tyler Bass missed the game tying 44-yard field goal with 1:47 left in the 4th quarter.  Once again we get the Kansas City Chiefs surviving and heading the the AFC Championship. Patrick Mahomes was 17 of 23 for 215 yards and two TD's for the Chiefs connecting on both TD's to his favorite target, Kelce. Kelce had five receptions for 75 yards and those two TD's.  Josh Allen was 26 of 39 for just 186 yards and one TD. He also led the team in rushing with 12 rushes for 76 yards and two TD's. The Ravens had little trouble with the Houston Texans on Saturday, winning 34-10. The game was tied at half, 10-10, but the Ravens pulled way in the second half for a 24-0 run. QB Larmar Jackson had two passing and two rushing TD's in the win. He also led the team in rushing with 100 yards. Now we get two see two of the most dynamic QB's in the game matchup here on Sunday. KC proved that they can win a playoff game on the road with Mahomes, their first on the road with him. Now he has to do it again for the Chiefs to return to the Super Bowl. For me, this one is a no-brainer, I'm taking these points with the Chiefs as my NFL Game of the Year and expect a straight-up win. 

01-15-24 Eagles v. Bucs UNDER 43 Top 9-32 Win 100 21 h 55 m Show

The Philadelphia Eagles limp into the playoffs. After what looked like a sure thing for them to win the NFC East, they lost it to the Dallas Cowboys because of a 1-5 s/u stretch to finish the season. That culminating in a loss at the NY Giants, 10-27, as a 5-point favorite in the final game. They are also 0-6 ATS to finish the season. The once very good defense allowed at least 20 points in each of those last six games and over 30 in three of those games. QB Jalen Hurts comes into this game banged up with a injured finger on his throwing hand and his top target, AJ Brown is questionable with a knee injury. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay comes into this Wildcard game with momentum. They Bucs have won five of their last six and covered four of the last five. The defense has been very good, allowing just 19.1 ppg on the season. QB Baker Mayfield is also banged-up as he has a bad ankle. That's not good for an offense that ranked just 20th in scoring. They also finished last in rushing so Mayfield needs to be on his game today if they hope to win. Too many question marks on both these offenses today. I'm taking the under in this one.

01-14-24 Packers v. Cowboys OVER 50.5 Top 48-32 Win 100 17 h 10 m Show

The NFL Super Wildcard playoffs continue here on Sunday as the Dallas Cowboys welcome the Green Bay Packers to town. The Packers are the 7th seed in the NFC with a 9-8 record. The Cowboys finished with the #2 Seed in the NFC and won the NFC East. Jordan Love led the Packers with over 4,000 yards passing and 32 TD's. Love has lots of targets on the offense including a pair of tight ends. The Packers are young and inexperienced though with the youngest roster in the NFL. They are 12th ranked in the NFL in points scored and 9th in rushing offense. Aaron Jones return to the lineup has greatly improved the rushing attack. The Packers also have the top scoring offense in the third quarter of games this year. The defense will have its hands full on Sunday with the high flying Dallas offense. Dallas is 8-0 at home this year with a 21.5 point scoring differential. Dak Prescot leads the offense with over 4,500 passing yards and a league best 36 touchdowns. Ceedee Lamb set a Cowboys team record in receptions and yards. The Cowboys have the top ranked scoring offense in the NFL and at home average 37 points per game. Love should get his shots too and I expect this game to go OVER the total on Sunday.

01-13-24 Browns -2 v. Texans Top 14-45 Loss -110 16 h 14 m Show

These teams met back on Christmas eve as the Browns defeated the Texans, 36-22 in Houston. WR Amari Cooper set a Browns record with 265 yards receiving. Cleveland comes in winners in four of the last five games. They lost in the last week of the regular season as they rested most of their starters. The Browns have QB Joe Flacco at QB who has Super Bowl experience with Baltimore. The Texans got to the playoffs behind exciting Rookie QB CJ Stroud. They had to beat the Colts in the final week of the season to get here and they did, 23-19. Though they had to hold the Colts on 4th down inside the redzone that could have been the difference in that game. Stroud plays in his first NFL playoff game. How will he do against veteran Flacco? He will face a very good Browns defense and will face a lot of pressure in this game. The Browns have done well as the favorite, going 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS on the season. I like the experience and defense of the Browns in this game. Play Cleveland.

12-27-23 North Carolina v. West Virginia -6.5 Top 10-30 Win 100 17 h 50 m Show

We have to look at the players that are in the portal or opting out for the NFL draft. These players change the way the team looks from how they did before they got here. That's really important in this game today between North Carolina and West Virginia in the Mayo Bowl from Charlotte, NC. I'm not even going to look at the stats these teams put up during the regular season. Instead lets see who's sitting out. Tar Heals hit hard in this area. TE Kamari Morales, WR Tychaun Chapman, WR Andre Greene, CB Tayon Holloway, DT Kedrick Bingley-Jones, and LB Sebastian Cheeks transferred. QB Drake Maye, LB Cedric Gray, C Corey Gaynor, and WR Tez Walker will sit out the bowl game to prepare for the draft. The big one is QB Maye and Walker. That completely shifts the dynamics of this game. The Mountaineers should run crazy over the this 89th ranked Tar Heel run defense. Plus they will miss all those players, especially Maye. I'm taking West Virginia here on Wednesday.

12-17-23 Bears v. Browns -2.5 Top 17-20 Win 100 15 h 47 m Show

The Chicago Bears won their second straight game last week with a big home win over the Detroit Lions, 28-13, as a 3-point dog. The Bears were my NFC North Game of the Year Winner. The Bears are also 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games. The Bears average 20.8 ppg while allowing 23.8 ppg. They also average 324.2 ypg and allow 314.5 ypg. The Bears are 5-8 overall and in last in the NFC North. They will hit the road here today to face the Browns in Cleveland. Always have to look at the weather in Cleveland. It's going to be in the 40's with rain showers and winds from 15 Mph. The Cleveland Browns snapped their 2-game losing streak with a win over Jacksonville last week, 31-27, as a 2.5-point favorite. That improved them to 8-5 both S/U and ATS. The Browns have been very good at home, 6-1 S/U and ATS and out score their visitors by a 20.6 to 12.6 margin. The Browns have the best defense in the NFL, allowing 263 yards per game. That combined with the weather will be all the Browns need in this game. Play Cleveland.

12-11-23 Titans v. Dolphins -13.5 Top 28-27 Loss -115 10 h 31 m Show

It's been one of those years for the Tennessee Titans. They are in last place in the NFC South with a 4-8 record and won't be going to the postseason this year. They average just 17.7 ppg and allow 21.2 ppg. They also average just 292.1 ypg while giving up 337.0 ypg. They have lost three of their last four games both S/U and ATS. That includes last week at home to Indianapolis, 28-31, as a 1-point dog. That was a high in points, in fact the 28 points last week was a season high for the team. Miami is 9-3 on the season and 8-4 vs the spread. The Dolphins are in first place in the AFC East with the Bills on their heels. This team can score, with an average of 32 ppg on the season while they allow 22.2 ppg. They also average 428.4 ypg while allowing just 300.2 ypg. With the Jets next week the Dolphins have nothing to take their attention away from tonight's contest. I'm taking the Dolphins in a Monday night blowout. Play Miami.

12-10-23 Lions v. Bears +3.5 Top 13-28 Win 100 16 h 53 m Show

The Detroit Lions jumped out to a huge lead last week at New Orleans, but had to hold on late to get the win, 33-28 as a 4-point favorite. The Lions rushing game continues to shine with 142 last week and at least 140 in four of their last five games. The Lions have now won four of their last five games and eight of the last 10 for their 9-3 record to go along with their 8-4 ats mark. Unless the Lions completely collapse in their last five games, they should cruise to the NFC North crown. They lead 2nd place Green Bay and Minnesota by 3-games with five to play. They do face Minnesota twice yet along with Denver and Dallas. The Bears won't be going to the postseason with their 4-8 record. They are coming off a big win at Minnesota last week, 12-10 as a 3-point dog. It was just on Nov 19th that they faced the Lions in Detroit and gave them all they could handle in their loss, 26-31, covering the 8-point line. In that game they rushed for 183 yards on the Lions defense while holding the Lions to just 115 yards rushing. It will be cool in Chicago with the temps in the 30's and winds around 12 mph. That might not seem like a lot but it can hinder passing. This game looks to be controlled more on the ground and with that I'm going to take the Bears who had run all over the Lions just a few games ago. Take Chicago.

12-03-23 49ers -160 v. Eagles Top 42-19 Win 100 20 h 58 m Show

Rematch of the NFC Championship game from last year has San Francisco 49ers making the trek East to play the Philadelphia Eagles. The 49ers are 8-3 S/U and 6-4-1 ATS on the season. they average 28.2 ppg and give up just 15.5 ppg. They also average 386.1 ypg while allowing 295.3 ypg. The 49ers have a 2.5 game lead in the NFC West over Seattle who lost at Dallas on Thursday. The 49ers have won three straight games, covering two of those. They have scored at least 27 points in those game while allowing no more than 14 points. The Eagles are 10-1 S/U and 7-2-2 ATS on the season. They are 1.5-games ahead of Dallas which won on Thursday. A loss today would setup a showdown with the Cowboys next week for the division lead. Don't think Philly will be looking much past this game since this is the Niners. The Eagles average 28.2 ppg and 364.3 ypg. They allow 22.4 ppg and 341 ypg on the season. The defense is not as dominant as it was last year, but still good. Their only loss coming back on Oct 15 at the NY Jets, 14-20. Since that loss they have won five straight games and gone 4-0-1 ATS. This is the marquee game on Sunday. I'm going to take the 49ers but lay just the money line as I look for a win out of San Francisco.

12-02-23 Louisville +1.5 v. Florida State Top 6-16 Loss -105 20 h 23 m Show

ACC Championship game from Charlotte, NC has Louisville taking on Florida State. Florida State will be without it's leader in this one as QB Jordan Travis will be out for the rest of the season with a leg injury. He missed last week's rivalry game with Florida, but that didn't really come into playa as the Seminoles beat their rivals, 24-15, covering the 6-point favorite line. Still, they had just 90 yards rushing and 134 yards passing in the win. This was a team averaging 38.7 ppg on the season and 432 yards. Florida State will have its perfect 12-0 record on the line here today. Louisville finished 2nd in the ACC with a 10-2 record. This team average 33 ppg while allowing just 20 ppg. They also averaged 440.1 ypg while allowing just 317.2 ypg. Louisville is coming off a loss to their rivals, Kentucky, last week, 31-38, as a 7.5-point favorite. Louisville's defense much better than Florida's and this Seminole team had issues moving the ball last week. I'm taking Louisville to win this game without the QB for Florida State in the lineup.

12-01-23 New Mexico State +11.5 v. Liberty Top 35-49 Loss -110 18 h 9 m Show

 New Mexico State and Liberty face off here on Friday for the Conference USA Championship. The New Mexico State Aggies were 10-3 S/U and 7-1 in conference this season. Liberty Flames were perfect with a 12-0 overall and 8-0 conference records. New Mexico State is coming off a 20-17 win over Jacksonville state as a 2.5-point dog. Liberty is coming off a 42-28 win over UTEP as a 18-point favorite. The one time these teams met was back on Sept 9 with Liberty winning, 33-17, as a 9.5-point favorite. New Mexico State brings a 8-game win streak into today's contest. They will try and hand Liberty it's only defeat to date. The Aggies average 28.2 ppg and have a very well balanced offense that averages 217 rushing yards and 205 passing yards per game. They also play well defensively, allowing 19.7 ppg on the season. Liberty averages 40.1 ppg and they also have a well balanced offense that averages 203 rushing and 295 passing yards per game. They allow 21.7 ppg. Liberty has a slight edge on offense but New Mexico State gives up a bit less on defense. Getting all these points today is difficult to pass on. I'll take New Mexico State.

11-30-23 Seahawks +9.5 v. Cowboys Top 35-41 Win 100 24 h 48 m Show

 Week 13 of the NFL kicks off here on Thursday Night with a NFC battle between the Seattle Seahawks and the Dallas Cowboys. The Seahawks have lost two straight games after their loss last week at home to the 49ers, 13-31, as a 7-point dog. The Hawks had just 220 total yards in the game. Seattle is 2nd in the NFC West with a 6-5 record, though two-games back now of the 8-3 49ers. A few weeks ago Seattle look like they would make the playoffs, now they are a underdog to get there. And, the teams they are battling for a Wildcard have some of the easiest schedules remaining. Seattle still can make the playoffs but they have a tough game tonight at Dallas. The Cowboys are 8-3 S/U and ATS on the season. They are in second place in the NFC East, two games back of the 10-1 Eagles. Philly plays the 49ers this week and that is going to be a touch game for the Eagles. Dallas could close to one game back after week 13. Then, next week it's one of the biggest impact games with Dallas hosting the Eagles. It could be these teams will be tied after that game. This is the biggest reason I'm taking Seattle tonight. I expect Dallas to have their eyes looking ahead to next week's Eagles game. And with this big spread and the Hawks needing to win, we could see Seattle stay very close in this game or even have a shot to win. I'm taking the Seahawks here on Thursday.

11-26-23 Ravens -2.5 v. Chargers Top 20-10 Win 100 22 h 34 m Show

Sunday Night action here has the Baltimore Ravens traveling to LA to play the Chargers. The Ravens will be without a key offensive player in TE Mark Andrews, who is out with a leg injury. The Ravens are in first place in the AFC North with a 8-3 record. They also have a great point differential of +127. The Ravens average 27.6 ppg while allowing 16.1 ppg. Baltimore bounced back from their loss to Cleveland two weeks ago with a win last week over Cincinnati, 34-20, as a 4-point favorite. The Chargers are 4-6 S/U and 3-6 ATS on the season. If they hope to grab a wild card the Chargers will have to almost win out. They are in last in the AFC West, three games back of the Chiefs. The Chargers average 25.9 ppg and allow 23.8 ppg. They also average 354.3 ypg and allow 393.6 ypg. Even without Andrews the Ravens have enough offense to go with their excellent defense to get the cover today. Play Baltimore.

11-25-23 Alabama -12.5 v. Auburn Top 27-24 Loss -111 16 h 35 m Show

 One of the best rivalries here on Rivalry Saturday has No 8 Alabama taking on Auburn in the Iron Bowl. Alabama has won nine straight games and is 10-1 overall and 7-0 in the SEC with playoff aspirations. Auburn is 6-5 overall and 3-4 in the SEC and looks to spoil Alabama's playoff run. Alabama's only loss of the season came way back on Sept 9th to Texas,24-34. Alabama will win the SEC West, but really needs an impressive win here today and some losses by PAC-12 teams to sneak into the playoff picture. Alabama's defense is once again very good, 17th in yards and 29th in points allowed. Auburn still trying to overcome that embarrassing home loss to New Mexico State, 10-31. It was the Aggies first ever SEC win and what hurts even more is that Auburn paid almost $2 million dollars for N.Mex State to come out and play the game. Auburn had just 213 total yards and 11 first downs vs the Aggies. Auburn is a strange team and they have the ability to stay in this game, but not if they are the team that lost last week to New Mexico State. I'm taking Alabama here to win and make a bid for one of the playoff spots.

11-24-23 Dolphins v. Jets UNDER 40.5 Top 34-13 Loss -110 15 h 34 m Show

The Miami Dolphins are 7-3 S/U and 6-4 ATS as they head to the Meadowlands to play the Jets here on Friday. The Dolphins are in 1st place in the AFC East, 1.5-games ahead of the Bills. They also have a +67 point differential and average 30.5 ppg while allowing 23.8 ppg. The offense averages 38.8 ppg at home but considerably less on the road with a 24.3 ppg average. They are coming off a home win over the Raiders, 20-13, failing to cover the 14-point line. They Dolphins have scored just 20 last game and 14 the week before. They have also gone under in three of their last four games. The Jets are 4-6 and 3-games back of the Dolphins in the division. The Jets average just 15 ppg on the season while allowing 20.4 ppg. The Jets have been a great under play, with their last five going under. They have also lost and failed to cover in each of their last three games. The Jets defense is good enough to keep them in this game, especially the way the Dolphins offense has played the last few weeks. For me, I'm taking the UNDER in this one.

11-18-23 UNLV +3 v. Air Force Top 31-27 Win 100 15 h 10 m Show

It's not very often this can be said, but UNLV controls its own destiny. It can win the Mountain West on its own without any other help. But standing in the Rebels way is Air Force. Air Force is tie with UNLV and Fresno State in the conference at 8-2. However, the Falcons have lost two games in a row to a pair of teams they were 18 and 20 point favorites to. They lost at home to Army, 3-23, as a 18-point favorite then lost at Hawaii, 13-27, as a 20-point favorite. The Falcons score nearly 29 ppg and totaled just 16 points in the two losses. UNLV having its best season in recent memory. The Rebels will go to a bowl game but they want to win the conference. They have won two straight games since their loss to Fresno State. They beat New Mexico 56-14 and then last week beat Wyoming, 34-14. The Rebels offense has been great with 36.4 ppg and 423 ypg this season. This will be a great game, but I will take the points with the Rebels. Play UNLV.

11-13-23 Broncos v. Bills UNDER 47.5 Top 24-22 Win 100 8 h 15 m Show

The Denver Broncos and Buffalo Bills conclude week 10 of the NFL tonight here on Monday Night Football. The Broncos horrible start to the season has seen a turnaround the last two weeks with a pair of wins and covers in a row. Denver beat Green Bay three weeks ago, 19-17, then two weeks ago beat Kansas City, 24-9 as a 7-point dog. Holding the KC Chiefs offense to 275 totals yards. Denver had last week off to prepare for tonight's contest. Denver scores 21.5 ppg while allowing 28.2 ppg. The latter coming way down the last few weeks. Meanwhile, the Buffalo Bills have struggled, going 2-3 S/U and 0-5 ATS over the last five games. They are coming off a loss at Cincinnati last week, 18-24. The Bills average 26.7 ppg and allow 17.8 ppg. The Bills have gone under in six of their nine games this year, including four of their last five games. The Broncos have gone under in three straight games. I'm taking the UNDER here tonight.

11-12-23 Giants v. Cowboys -16.5 Top 17-49 Win 100 23 h 5 m Show

NFC East matchup here on Sunday has the last place 2-7 NY Giants traveling to Texas to take on the 2nd place 5-3 Dallas Cowboys. The Giants have lost two straight games after losing last week in Las Vegas, 6-30, as a 1.5-point dog. The Giants offense has been horrible, scoring 14 points or fewer in each of their last four games. They had just 277 total yards last week. The Giants average 11.2 ppg and 268.9 ypg on the season. They allow 24.1 ppg and 338.3 ypg. Now they face a Dallas team that has averaged 27.5 ppg on the season and 346.5 yards. They are coming off a loss at Philadelphia last week, 23-28, as a 3-point dog. They will return home where they are 3-0 both S/U and ATS this season and average 37 ppg while allowing just 11 ppg. Bad spot for the Giants today. Not only do they not score but they face a Dallas team that will be looking to rebound from that loss last week. I'll lay the big points here today with Dallas as I believe the line should be at least a touchdown more than it is now. Play Dallas.

11-11-23 USC v. Oregon -15.5 Top 27-36 Loss -110 24 h 34 m Show

USC having a fine season, but they have struggled against the best teams. The Trojans are 7-3 S/U and 2-8 ATS and score 45.5 ppg with 485.5 yards per game. The problem is the defense, which allows 34.5 ppg and 436.5 yards. That was apparent again last week as their offense tried to stay with Washington, but couldn't keep them from scoring in a Huskies 52-42 win. The Trojans have now allowed a whopping 101 points in their last two games. It won't get any easier this week at they travel to Eugene to face the high scoring Oregon Ducks. The Ducks are 8-1 in and in 2nd place in the PAC 12 behind 9-0 Washington. Oregon averages 47.4 ppg and 540.1 yards. They are coming off a blowout win over Cal last week, 63-19, as a 27-point favorite. The Ducks should have little trouble scoring on this USC defense today. The Oregon defense is much better than USC, as they allow just 16 ppg and 301 yards. USC likely will get their points in this one, but they won't be able to match this Oregon offense. Play Oregon.

11-09-23 Panthers v. Bears UNDER 38.5 Top 13-16 Win 100 19 h 18 m Show

The Bears look to be without their starting QB in Justin Fields who is expected to miss another game with a thumb injury. That means Tyson Bagent is likely to start for the Bears. This contest starts week 10 as the 1-7 Panthers take on the 2-7 Bears. Not exactly a game likely to garner a lot of attention. Expect for us betting enthusiasts. This game holds some cash for us here tonight. I'm going to be on the UNDER. Tha Panthers offense has been anemic, averaging just 17.5 ppg and 283.4 yards. They are coming off a loss to the Colts, 13-27, going under the 45 point total. The Bears have been without Fields the last two weeks and the offense has just 13 points vs the Chargers and last week lost at New Orleans, 17-24, but did cover the 9-point dog line. This team will continue to rely on the ground game, as they average 135.3 yards per game and had 156 last week at the Saints. The defense has been better then expected, holding the last six teams to under 100 yards rushing. While this won't be the most exciting game, I'll be on the under as I don't expect to see a lot of scoring. Play UNDER.

11-05-23 Bills v. Bengals -1 Top 18-24 Win 100 22 h 31 m Show

The Buffalo Bills hit the road on Sunday for their game at Cincinnati. The Bills are 5-3 on the season and in 2nd place in the AFC East, one game back of Miami. They have a +86 point differential. The Bills also average 27.7 ppg while allowing 17 ppg. They average 376.9 ypg while allowing 326.1 ppg. The Bills are coming off a win over Tampa Bay last week, 24-18, but failed to cover the 10-points spread. In fact, they are 0-4 against the number the last four games. The Cincinnati Bengals are in 3rd place in the AFC North, behind 5-3 Pittsburgh and 6-2 Baltimore. They average 18.7 ppg while allowing 20.6 ppg on the season. The Bengals finally put together a complete game last week, beating San Francisco on the road, 31-17, as a 4.5-point dog. That makes three straight wins both S/U and ATS. They have also gone over in two of their last three games. The Bengals have also scored 31 points or more in two of the last three. I like the Bengals at home here on Sunday night. Play Cincinnati.

11-03-23 Boston College +3 v. Syracuse Top 17-10 Win 100 7 h 55 m Show

A couple of former Big East schools meet here today as Syracuse hosts Boston College. BC coming off a win over U Conn last week, 21-14, but failing to cover the 14.5-point spread. Syracuse coming off a loss at Virginia Tech, 10-38. The BC Eagles started the season at 1-3 but have since won four straight. Syracuse started the season 4-0 and have since dropped four straight games to even their record at 4-4. The have been outscored in those four games 34-150. They have also dropped all four vs the spread. Momentum seems to be all on the side of Boston College as we come into this contest. I'll take BC here plus the points.

10-29-23 Jaguars v. Steelers +2.5 Top 20-10 Loss -115 14 h 36 m Show

The Jacksonville Jaguars won their fourth straight game after last week's win at New Orleans, 31-24, as a 2.5-point dog. The Jags haven't been dominating, but good enough. They average 24.7 ppg while allowing 20.9 ppg. They also average 336.3 ypg while giving up 354.4 ppg. The rushing defense has been very good, allowing just 80.6 ypg on the season. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh is 4-2 S/U and ATS despite averaging just 17.2 ppg while giving up 21.2 ppg. The Jags 5-2 record has them in first place in the AFC South, with Houston and Indy the next closest teams at 3-3 and 3-4. Pittsburgh is in a crowded AFC North where the Ravens lead with a 5-2 record. Pittsburgh and Cleveland are at 4-2 and Cincinnati at 3-3. The Steelers have a -24 point differential, but somehow keep winning. This is a strange one for me. Not sure why the Jags are favored. But, that's ok, I'll take it. Play Pittsburgh!

10-23-23 49ers v. Vikings UNDER 43 Top 17-22 Win 100 8 h 27 m Show

 The 49ers look to rebound from that loss last week to the Cleveland Browns. The Niners led most of the way and then missed the game winning field goal late in the loss 17-19 as a 9.5-point favorite. For me I believe the Niners will rebound tonight. However, I have to side with the UNDER in this one as SF will be missing key offensive players. Their star running back Christian McCaffrey is questionable with a oblique injury. They could also miss some key offensive linemen. As for the Vikings, they will be without star WR Justin Jefferson who has a hamstring injury. And when we add that SF has one of the best defenses in the league. They allow just 14.5 ppg and 278 yards per game. For me, I'm just taking the UNDER in this one.

10-22-23 Dolphins v. Eagles -2.5 Top 17-31 Win 100 21 h 7 m Show

Sunday night football has the AFC vs the NFC as the Dolphins take on the Eagles. The Miami Dolphins are in first place in the AFC East with a 5-1 record. They have a point differential of +67 and have won two straight after last week's win over Carolina, 42-21, as a 14-point favorite. Their lone loss coming in that AFC East showdown with the Bills a few weeks ago, 20-48. The Eagles are in first place in the NFC East with a 5-1 record. They lead the Dallas Cowboys by one game. They have a +31 run differential and are a perfect 2-0 at home. The Eagles lost their first game of the season last week at the NY Jets, 14-20, as a 6.5-point favorite. They held the Jets to just 89 yards rushing and 155 yards passing. Should be an excellent game here on Sunday night. I'll take the Eagles at home.

10-21-23 Minnesota +3.5 v. Iowa Top 12-10 Win 100 15 h 9 m Show

Big 10 West clash as Minnesota take on 24th ranked Iowa from Ames. Iowa is 6-1 S/U and 4-2-1 ATS on the season. Minnesota coming off a bye week after losing to Michigan, 10-52 as a 18.5-point dog. Iowa is coming off a win over Wisconsin, 15-6. Minnesota will rely on the ground game, ranking 5th in the Big 10 in rushing with 180.5 yards per game. The defense ranks 10th in the Big 10 allowing 21.7 ppg. Iowa lost it's high profile transfer QB, Cade McNamara to a torn ACL. Deacon Hill has had to step into the starting position. Hill has averaged just 87.3 ypg passing thus far. The Hawkeyes rank 11th in the Big 10 in scoring with 20.9 ppg. They are last in passing with 116.6 ypg through the air. Hard to lay points with a Iowa team that will struggle to put TD's on the scoreboard. I'll take the points here with Minnesota.

10-19-23 Jaguars v. Saints -2 Top 31-24 Loss -115 8 h 56 m Show

Week 7 of the NFL begins tonight with the Jacksonville Jaguars traveling to New Orleans to take on the Saints. The Saints are 3-3 S/U and 1-4-1 ATS on the season while the Jags are 4-2 S/U and ATS. The Jags are coming off a easy win over the Colts last week, 37-20. QB Trevor Lawrence was injured late in the game, but came back to finish up. There was some doubt on his status tonight, but he looks to play. The Jags defense has been very good vs the run (3rd in NFL) but bad vs the pass (31st). Meanwhile the Saints look to get some consistency after losing last week at Houston, 13-20. They were without star RB Alvin Kamara for the first suspended early on and then QB Derek Carr dealing with a shoulder injury. Despite just 13 points last week the team had 24 first downs and 430 total yards. How healthy will Lawrence be tonight could be the big question. The team has logged a bunch of miles traveling this year. With a poor rushing game a lot might be on a hobbling Lawrence. I'll take the Saints tonight in this one.

10-17-23 Middle Tennessee State v. Liberty -14 Top 35-42 Loss -115 9 h 41 m Show

Conference USA clash this week between Middle Tennessee State and Liberty. Mid Tenn State Blue Raiders are just 2-5 S/U and 1-4 ATS. They are coming off their first cover of the season vs Louisiana Tech, 31-23, as a 3-point favorite. Now they face their biggest challenge of the season in undefeated Liberty Flames. The Flames are also 5-1 ATS. They are coming off a win over Jacksonville State, 31-13, as a 7-point favorite. The Flames average 35.3 ppg while allowing 17.2 ppg. They average 479.3 yards while allowing 315.3 yards per game. Mid Tenn gets outscored 31.9 to 22.1 on the season. The Blue Raiders offense is not that good, ranking 75th in total offense and 112th in rushing. The defense ranks 95th in the country and they give up the yards through the air as they rank 112th. They have to face Liberty's 12th ranked offense and a viscous ground game that is 3rd in the country. Also don't expect many turnover from this Liberty team as they protect the ball well, ranking 5th in the country in turnover differential. I fully expect Liberty to extend to 7-0 tonight and to easily cover this spread. Take Liberty as your Conference USA Game of the Year!

10-15-23 Colts +4 v. Jaguars Top 20-37 Loss -110 15 h 35 m Show

Jacksonville back on US soil after two straight weeks playing in London. The Jags might want to go there for a new home as they won both games in London. The Jags beat the Bills there last week, 25-20, and the Falcons the previous week, 23-7. That improved the team to 3-2 S/U and ATS on the season. The Jags offense has averaged 21 ppg this season while allowing 20.4 ppg. They have also averaged 358.2 ypg and allowed 344 ypg. The Indianapolis Colts got good news last week with the return of Jonathon Taylor after missing the first four games with a contract dispute. The Colts went right out last week and beat the Titans, 23-16. That makes them 3-2 S/U and ATS on the season. They have scored 24 ppg while allowing 23 ppg. These teams are pretty evenly matched. However, have to think the Jags might be a bit Jet lagged from their trips to London. I'm going to take the points here with the Colts.

10-14-23 Louisville v. Pittsburgh +7.5 Top 21-38 Win 100 18 h 49 m Show

The Louisville Cardinals improved to 6-0 S/U and 3-3 ATS with a big win and statement last week at home over Notre Dame, 33-20, as a 6-5-point dog. The Cardinals rushed for 185 yards and passed for another 145 yards in the win. They held the Irish to just 44 rushing yards. Louisville now averages 193 yards on the ground this year and 36.3 ppg. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh has bad a rough go thus far at 1-4 both S/U and ATS. The Panthers coming off a loss two weeks ago at Virginia Tech, 21-38, as a 2.5-point favorite. They got the week off to rest and prepare for this week's game. Pitt averages 23.4 ppg while allowing 26 ppg. They have also averaged 308.8 ypg and allowed 303.8 ypg. Pitt has played better then its record shows. Pitt getting around or just over a TD at home. With the week off and getting the points, I'll take a shot with the Panthers here on Saturday and look for Louisville to have a letdown after that big win last week. Play Pittsburgh.

10-12-23 Broncos v. Chiefs UNDER 47 Top 8-19 Win 100 20 h 2 m Show

AFC West clash here on Thursday night football has the Kansas City Chiefs hosting the Denver Broncos. The Chiefs are 4-1 and comfortably in 1st place in the division while Denver is in last place at 1-4. The Chiefs have a +48 point differential while Denver is at -60 points. The Chiefs could be without one of their stars on Thursday, as TE Travis Kelce is questionable with an ankle injury. I'm going to be on the under in this game and mainly because the weather looks to be bad. There's chance of showers, but more important are the 21 mph winds. Winds, in my opinion, influence totals more than anything. And if Kelce doesn't play, then that will even make this a stronger play. Either way, I'll be on the UNDER on Thursday night.

10-08-23 Eagles v. Rams +4 Top 23-14 Loss -110 18 h 29 m Show

The Philadelphia Eagles look to keep their perfect record in tact as they visit the LA Rams here on Sunday. The 4-0 Eagles just did get by the Washington Commanders last week in OT, 34-31, failing to cover the 9-point favorite line. The Eagles have a +28 point differential as they have scored 118 points and allowed 90. They will face a 2-2 Rams team that has a +13 point differential, scoring 98 points and allowing 85. Some good news for the Rams as they return their best WR in Cooper Kupp who has missed the season with a hamstring injury. Kupp was upgraded to probable for today's contest. The Eagles have averaged 392 yards this year while allowing 323 yards. They have relied more on their rushing game this year led by Kenneth Gainwell who has averaged more than 100 yards per game. The Rams are coming off a win at the Colts last week, 29-23 as they rsuhed for 164 yards and passed for another 303 yards. WR Puka Nacau has been a leader in the NFL this year with over 119 yards in three of his four starts. Now he gets Kupp back and that should only help both receivers. I'm taking the points here today at home with the Rams.

10-07-23 Fresno State -5.5 v. Wyoming Top 19-24 Loss -110 22 h 17 m Show

Mountain West clash here today has Wyoming hosting Fresno State from Laramie, WY. The Fresno State Bulldogs come into this game 24th in the nation at 5-0 and will face a 4-1 Cowboys squad. Fresno has beaten Wyoming in four straight games, including last year in a 30-0 shutout. Fresno coming off a tough outing last week vs Nevada, failing to cover the 25.5-point favorite spread in a 27-9 win. Still, the Dogs average 36.4 ppgs this season, ranking them 26th in the nation. They average 304.8 ypg passing (14th in nation) and 120.2 yards rushing (108th). Their defense is very good, allowing just 17 ppg (23rd in country) and allowing just 282 yards per game (14th). Wyoming coming off a fine start to the season at 4-1, with their only loss coming against Texas, 10-31. They won their first conference game last week against New Mexico, 35-26, failing to cover the 14.5-point line. Wyoming averages 26.6 ppg (84th) and 324.6 ypg (115th). The Wyoming offense will have troubles against this very good Fresno defense. I'll take Fresno and lay the points in this one.

10-05-23 Western Kentucky v. Louisiana Tech +6 Top 35-28 Loss -110 9 h 39 m Show

Conference USA matchup here on Thursday night has Louisiana Tech hosting Western Kentucky from Joe Aillet Stadium. The La Tech Bulldogs are 3-3 S/U and 2-0 in conference play. The W.Ky Hilltoppers are 3-2 and 1-0 in conference play. W.Ky rebounded from a loss the week before with a win over Middle Tennessee State, 31-10 last week. They average 31.6 ppg this year, ranking 55th in the nation. They do allow 29.2 ppg, which is 98th in the nation. La Tech also won last week, snapping a 2-game losing skid by beating conference opponent UTEP, 24-10. The Dogs average 27 ppgs, good for 81st in the country. They allow 25.7 ppg, 76th in the country. QB Hank Bachmeier (shoulder) is listed as questionable here tonight. Western Ky is a 6-point road favorite. I'll take the points in this one. Play La Tech.

10-01-23 Chiefs -8 v. Jets Top 23-20 Loss -120 22 h 33 m Show

Sunday Night football has this AFC battle between the Kansas City Chiefs and the NY Jets. The Chiefs were shocked at home in their opener by the Lions, but since that loss have rebounded with wins over Jacksonville, 17-9, and then last week over Chicago, 41-10. The offense finally clicked last week with 303 yards passing and 153 yards rushing. They held the Bears to just 203 total yards. QB Patrick Mahomes looked very sharp last week with 272 yards passing, three TD's and no INT's. Since his favorite targer Travis Kelce returned in game two, the offense has been much more sharp. The Jets had high hopes to start the season with QB Aaron Rodgers coming over from the Packers RB Dalvin Cook coming over from the Vikings. However, the Jets lost Rodgers 75 seconds into the season with a season ending injury and Cook has been less then effective in three starts with a high of 33 yards rushing in game one. Zach Wilson resumed at QB and has been poor at best with three INT's and Two TD's in his three games. Not sure how the Jets offense will keep up with Mahomes and company in this one. Might take a miracle. take Kansas City.

09-30-23 Notre Dame v. Duke +6 Top 21-14 Loss -112 23 h 4 m Show

 One of the marque games on the schedule for Saturday has Notre Dame taking on Duke. The Notre Dame Irish are 4-1 on the season after a tough game at home last week vs Ohio State, 14-17, pushing the 3-point dog line. The Irish are now 3-1-1 vs the number. Notre Dame had 176 yards rushing and 175 yards passing vs Ohio State for 351 yards. They held the Buckeyes to 366 yards. Their rushing attack ranks 30th in the nation this year. Duke was 9-4 last year and returned 18 starters this year. It's no wonder they have looked very good as they start 4-0. They are also 3-1 vs the spread with their only loss coming against Lafayette as they failed to cover a 43-point line. They have held three of their first four opponents to just seven points each and 14 to Northwestern. The defense allows just 276 total yards per game while the offense is averaging 424 yards. The offense ranks 49th in the nation and 26th in rushing. QB Riley Leonard has 778 yards with Two TD's and no INT's. He can also run the ball as he has 238 yards and four TD's on the ground. Duke a nice home dog here on Saturday. I have to wonder if that late loss to Oklahoma last week by the Irish will have any carry over effects this week. I'll take the points with Duke in this one.

09-24-23 Panthers v. Seahawks -4.5 Top 27-37 Win 100 17 h 24 m Show

 The Seattle Seahawks host the Carolina Panthers here on Sunday. The Panthers making the long trip from the East coast to the Pacific Northwest. Seattle is 1-1, scored 50 total points and allowed 61 points for a -11 point differential. They return home after their upset win at Detroit last week as a 4.5-point dog, 37-31. This coming after blowing a first half lead in week 1 at home to the Rams and losing 13-30. QB Geno Smith has played well, with three TD's and no INT's. He threw for 328 yards on the road last week. Carolina is 0-2 S/U and 0-1-1 ATS after a pair of games. They opened with a loss at Atlanta, 10-24 and then lost last week to New Orleans, 17-20. They failed to cover week one and pushed week two. The Panthers offense has just 281 yards in game one and 239 last week at home. Don't see the Panthers offense being able to stay with this Seahawks team that has lots of weapons on offense. I'll lay the points with Seattle.

09-23-23 Texas -16.5 v. Baylor Top 38-6 Win 100 21 h 47 m Show

Big 12 action here today has Baylor hosting Texas. Texas comes into this game 3-0 S/U and 1-2 ATS. Baylor looking for its first win at 0-2 S/U and 0-1-1 ATS. Texas opened the season with a win over Rice, 37-10 as a 35.5-point favorite, then pulled the big shocker win with a 34-23 win at Alabama as a 7-point dog. They had a bit of a letdown last week in a much closer game then it should have been, win over Wyoming, 31-10. They failed to cover the 30.5-point spread vs the Cowboys. Texas is outscoring their opponents 34-14.7 this season. They are out gaining their opponents 409.3 to 276.3 ypg. The Longhorns defense is holding opponent rushing to just 2.9 ypa. Baylor opened the season with a loss to Texas State, 31-42 as a 26.5-point favorite. Then two weeks ago they lost to Utah, 13-20, as a 7-point dog, pushing the line. The Bears had last week off to prepare for today. The Bears are outgaining opponents 431.5 to 409 ypg but getting outscored 22 to 31 ppg. The Bears better hope they found a better offense and defense after with their week off. I really don't expect that but do expect the Longhorns to roll here on Saturday. Play Texas.

09-18-23 Browns v. Steelers +2 Top 22-26 Win 100 23 h 2 m Show

 Cleveland opened last week with a big AFC win over in-state rivals Cincinnati, 24-3. The Browns covered the pick'em line and went under the 46.5 point total. Cleveland had 206 yards on the ground and 144 passing yards for 350 total yards. Best news was they held the Bengals to just 142 total yards. Deshaun Watson was 16-of29 for 154 yards with one TD and one INT. Nick Chubb rushed for 106 yards and a 5.9 rypa average. Pittsburgh was manhandled last week at home by San Francisco, 7-30. They failed to cover the 1-point dog line and went under the 41.5-point total. They had just 239 total yards with 41 rushing yards. They allowed 391 yards to the 49ers. Kenny Pickett was 31-of46 for 232 yards with one TD and NO INT's. Since the Steelers played from behind they didn't get to establish much on the ground with Najee Harris having just 31 yards. The Steelers defense looked horrible last week and they are much better then showed. The Browns will be a daunting task on the ground, but I look for the Steelers to rebound here and win this second straight home game. Play Steelers.

09-16-23 LSU -9 v. Mississippi State Top 41-14 Win 100 36 h 9 m Show

SEC matchup here on Saturday has Mississippi State hosting LSU. Miss State Bulldogs are off to a 2-0 start under new HC Zach Arnett. They have wins over Southeastern Louisiana and Arizona thus far. This will be their biggest test of the young season. LSU comes in here winning four of the last five in this series. LSU lost its opener this season to Florida State, which makes this SEC contest even bigger for the Tigers. They are led by Jayden Daniels who has 708 of LSU's 1081 total yards this season. This is almost a must win spot for LSU and against 1st year coach Arnett I give a big edge to the Tigers here today. I look for LSU to win and cover this game against a Mississippi State still learning the ropes under a new head coach. Take LSU

09-10-23 Cardinals v. Commanders -7 Top 16-20 Loss -110 91 h 21 m Show

Arizona had a good preseason, going 2-1. However, they were outscored 46-72. Washington was a perfect 3-0 and scored 67 points while allowing 62. The Commanders came off a decent season last year. HC Ron Rivera had to shuffle some QB's, but the team performed well and finished 8-8-1, narrowly missing the playoffs. They start this season with a new offensive coordinator in Eric Bieniemy. The team was also sold as Daniel Snyder gave up ownership to Josh Harris. All these changes could be a new start for the Commanders. The defense has a lot of talent and stacked with draft picks. The D-Line is made up of all 1st round picks. The Defense finished 7th last year in scoring and should be even better this year. The Cardinals could and likely will be the worst team in the division this year. QB Kyler Murray will be out with an ACL tear and that leave David Blough and Jeff Driskell as the candidates. I see a huge difference in talent between these teams. I especially like the Commanders defense and they should shut down this anemic Cardinals attack. Take Washington here in week one.

09-09-23 Ole Miss -7 v. Tulane Top 37-20 Win 100 16 h 25 m Show

Ole Miss travels to Tulane here on Saturday to face the Green Wave from Yulman Stadium. These teams last met two years ago with Ole Miss taking that one, 61-21. The Rebels closed out last season by losing their last four games of the year and five of the last six. The Rebs did open with a win in their opener, scoring 70 points in the process, but that was against Mercer. Today will be a much tougher test for this team. They do have an explosive offense though with one of the best QB's in Jaxson Dart. Quinshon Judkins looks to carry the load running the ball. Tulane is coming off that bowl win vs USC last season. They dominated South Alabama at home last week with a 20-point win. Now comes an SEC team to town, which is going to be a early test for this Tulane squad. Michael Pratt will be at QB after a 14-of-15 performance last week for four TD's. The Rebels will be out to get that bad taste from the end of last year from their mouths. I don't see them overlooking this Tulane team. I'll lay the points with Ole Miss.

09-03-23 Northwestern v. Rutgers -6.5 Top 7-24 Win 100 71 h 29 m Show

Big 10 action already on tap here on Sunday as Rutgers hosts Northwestern. The Northwestern Wildcats had one of their worst years in history, finishing 1-11 on the season. They return a couple of QB's who will battle for the starting job. Rutgers looks for a winning season after losing since 2014. They had a 4-8 campaign last season. The QB job is wide open this season with a trio of players competing for the job. The defense should be solid this year, led by the pass rush and a good secondary. Both teams looking to get off to that winning start. For me I'll take Rutgers here at home.

02-12-23 Chiefs v. Eagles UNDER 51 Top 38-35 Loss -110 100 h 26 m Show

I look at the defenses to be the superior units in this game, especially the Philly defense which has been great. However, it's offenses which win Super Bowls. I also like Andy Reid who has been here many times and knows how to coach in the Super Bowl. Philly has a young coach and young team making their first appearance in some time. You can make a argument for just about any side or total in this contest. For me, I'm looking at a very good Philly defense to keep the score low. Plus, You have Jalen Hurts with that aching throwing shoulder. He hasn't been called on to make many throws the last two games, both of which dominated by the Philly defense. So we'll have to see if that changes much here on Sunday. I'm taking the UNDER in the Super Bowl and going against the historic trends of overs. I look for defense to be the units that take more over in this contest. So lets take the UNDER in the Super Bowl.

01-29-23 Bengals +1.5 v. Chiefs Top 20-23 Loss -125 149 h 31 m Show

AT this point of the season you can pretty much make a case for either side in a matchup. The Bengals jumped out to a 14-0 lead last week at Buffalo and really shut down one of the best offenses in the NFL and QB's in Josh Allen. It was a complete game for the Bengals who controlled the game from the opening kickoff to the final whistle. If QB Jeff Burrow were to retire today, he would have the highest completion rate EVER in the NFL among QB's. Pretty impressive. The Chiefs hosted the Jaguars last week and while I had KC, the Jags got the back door cover on the last drive. Happens, they could allow a field goals so the Chiefs played a prevent defense and allowed the Jags to march down the field in last minute to get a field goal to cover the spread. But the biggest news was the high ankle sprain to QB Patrick Mahomes. He came out a a brief time, but came back in and finished with 195 yards and two passing td's. QB Chad Henne came into the game and led the Chiefs on a 98-yard touchdown drive while Mahomes was being tended to. Mahomes vows to play this week and I believe he will play. However, we will see a different Mahomes here in this game. One that can't scramble as well and definitely won't be doing a lot of running. He will be more of a drop back passer and will likely have more "dump off" options. This game comes down to QB's. I feel Burrows is arguably the best QB in the NFL and he proved it last week. Yes, Mahomes is great, but how limited will his game be with an injury that some players take weeks off to heal from? I'll take the Bengals and Burrow in this game. Play Cincinnati.

01-22-23 Cowboys v. 49ers -3.5 Top 12-19 Win 100 104 h 50 m Show

The Dallas Cowboys sent Tom Brady and the Bucs home with their dominating performance in the Wild Card game last week, 31-14. Dak Prescot was red-hot, throwing four TD's and running in another. Now the Cowboys will hit the road for this Divisional game at San Francisco. The 49ers are the hottest team with 11 straight wins and QB Brock Purdy, last man in the draft taken last year, now proving his worth. The 49ers are the best defense in the league and lead in point differential with a +10.6 mark. Don't put a lot of stock into that Cowboys win last week, the Bucs have looked bad all season as they limped into the playoff spot with a losing record. Dallas actually has the short week to prepare having played on Monday night. I expect the 49ers to be run heavy in this game with Chrisitan McCaffrey carrying the load. This team is filled with weapons on offense and the Cowboys won't have the cake walk they had last week. Also, the 49ers defense will give Dak plenty of problems here this week. I look for a higher scoring game here if the weather permits and the 49ers in a blowout win. My Playoff Game of the Year is on the San Francisco 49ers.

01-15-23 Dolphins v. Bills -13.5 Top 31-34 Loss -110 16 h 8 m Show

 The Miami Dolphins make the trip North to take on the Buffalo Bills. The Dolphins just did get into the postseason with their close win over the Jets in the final week. These teams split the two regular season games. The Dolphins beat the Bills back in Week 3 in Miami, 21-19. covering the four-point dog line. They lost on Dec 17 at Buffalo, 29-32, as a 7-point dog. There is a possibility that they could get Tua Tagovailoa back this week after he's missed time with a concussion. The Dolphins look for the huge upset against a Bills team that has won seven straight games. Buffalo has the 2nd ranked offense and the fourth ranked defense in the NFL. They also have the best point differential in the league at +10.6. Meanwhile, the Dolphins defense didn't do well down the stretch, allowing five of the final six opponents to score at least 23 points. Their defense has dropped to 18th in the NFL. The Dolphins are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games on turf and 0-4 ATS in their last four playoff games. Buffalo is 7-3-1 ATS their last 11 at home vs the Dolphins and have won the last six straight up. The Dolphins have not found an answer for Bills QB Josh Allen who has torched them. In his 10 games vs the Dolphins he as 27 TD's and 5 INT's. At home, Allen has a +16.6 average margin of victory over the Dolphins. I'm taking the Bills here on Sunday as my Wild Card Game of the Year. 

01-07-23 Chiefs v. Raiders +9.5 Top 31-13 Loss -114 31 h 36 m Show

The Kansas City Chiefs will have all hands on deck here on Sunday as a win will give them the AFC best record and home field throughout the playoffs. The Raiders season is done, QB Derek Carr likely done with the Raiders as Jarrett Stidham makes his second straight start here today. Stidham did well vs the NFL's top defense last week with both his arm and legs, but the Raiders came up just short at home. Stidham passed for 365 yards in that loss. Another potential big loss is that of AFC leading rusher Josh Jacobs. While Jacobs has some nagging injuries, it's a personal issue that may keep him out today. These teams last met back in week 5 and the Raiders comeback fell just short in the loss at KC, 29-30. Jacobs rushed for 154 yards in that contest. KC qb Patrick Mahomes has dominated the Raiders, going 8-1 in career with 26 TD's and just three INT's. The Vegas defense is 29th in the league so look for Mahomes to torch them again here on Saturday. Chiefs should win here today, but can they cover the big spread? I look for the Raiders with Stidham to at least stay inside the number as the KC starters might be pulled if they get up by double digits in this game. No pressure on the Raiders also, and that also helps. I'll take Vegas here on Saturday.

01-02-23 Utah v. Penn State +1.5 Top 21-35 Win 100 17 h 28 m Show

 The Rose Bowl has the PAC-12 Champion Utah taking on Penn State from the Big 10. The Utah Utes are 10-3 on the season and look to win their first ever Rose Bowl here on Monday. They won the PAC-12 in back-to-back seasons. They rank in the top 20 in both the offense and defense. Penn State will be making its fifth trip to the Rose Bowl and its first win since 1995. Penn State was third in a very good Big 10 in both scoring 35.8 ppg and total offense. Utah though will be hampered a bit here on Monday as both their top rusher and receiver from the regular season will not play here today. Will we see the same Utah team that took down USC in the PAC-12 Championship? I see this Penn State team as being very well balanced and with those two key players missing on Utah, I'll take the Nittany Lions here today. Play Penn State.

01-01-23 Vikings v. Packers -3 Top 17-41 Win 100 16 h 36 m Show

Just two weeks left in the regular season and the Minnesota Vikings have wrapped-up the NFC North Division with a 12-3 record. They are 5-games ahead of both Detroit and the Packers. Packers need a win here today to keep their postseason hopes alive. The Vikings beat the Giants last week, 27-24, as a 4.5-point favorite. The Packers went to Miami and beat the Dolphins, 26-20, as a 3.5- point favorite. The Packers were +3 in turnover ratio in that game. The Vikings are just 3-10 ATS their last 13 vs a team with a losing record. The Packers do well on the grass, going 17-7 ATS their last 24. The Vikings are 5-1 Ov/Un in their last six vs the NFC North and 8-1 Ov/Un in their last nine on hte road vs a team with a losing home record. They have also gone over in five straight games. The Packers are 11-5 Ov/Un in their last 16 vs the NFC North and 8-3 Ov/Un in their last 11 games in week 17 of the season. The Packers have covered nine of the last 13 vs the Vikings in Green Bay and the home team is 9-4 ATS the last 13. In addition, these games have gone over in four of their last five Meetings. Take the Packers today.

12-31-22 Iowa v. Kentucky UNDER 31 Top 21-0 Win 100 11 h 40 m Show

The Iowa Hawkeyes and Kentucky WildCats will meet here in the Music City Bow, their second straight postseason meeting. The same teams met last year in the Citrus Bowl with Kentucky coming out on top 20-17. Iowa started the season slow, going 3-4 after being pummeled by Ohio State, 54-10. However, after Mark Stoops turned down the Iowa job that seemed to revitalize the team as they went 4-1 the rest of the way with big wins over Purdue, Minnesota and Wisconsin. Kentucky started the season 4-0 and then went 3-5 the rest of the to finish 7-5. Look for a low scoring bowl game here with the impressive Iowa defense on the field. The Iowa offense ranks near the bottom of the nation, scoring just 17.9 points per game. Now add to that the loss of QB Spencer Petras and those numbers likely will be even less here today. QB Alex Padilla would have started, but he entered the transfer portal so the duties fall to third stringer, Joe Labas. No one knows much about Labas so the WildCats can't really prepare for him. Kentucky will also be without their top QB, as Will Levis has opted out of today's game. So has RB Christopher Rodriquez Jr, who led the team in rushing. The Cats also fired OC Rich Scangarello. Hard to play any game under this posted total, but will either team score here today? This will be very low scoring and I'll take a shot under this low posted total. Play UNDER.

12-30-22 Pittsburgh v. UCLA -7.5 Top 37-35 Loss -110 12 h 34 m Show

The Pittsburgh Panthers and UCLA Bruins meet for the first time in football in 50 years as they play in the Sun Bowl from El Paso Texas. The No 18 Bruins had a fine season under Chip Kelly, finishing the regular season at 9-3. If not for a pair of late season losses, the Bruins might have made the NCAA playoff picture. The Bruins should be at full strength despite many players declaring for the NFL Draft or entering the transfer portal. THe Panther on the other hand will be missing seven key players due to the draft and transfers. Pitt finished 8-4 on the season. The big player here today will be UCLA QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson and RB Zach Charbonnet - both of which will play in this Bowl. This UCLA offense is as good as any in the country, especially with DTR and Charbonnet leading the way. Pitt will have trouble staying with this UCLA team with so many good players missing today. I'm taking UCLA.

12-29-22 Washington +3.5 v. Texas Top 27-20 Win 100 44 h 5 m Show

Alamo Bowl here on Thursday has Washington taking on Texas. Texas finished the regular season at 8-4 after back-to-back wins in the final two games. The Huskies finished with six straight wins. The Longhorns will miss one of their best running backs in Bijan Robinson (6.1 ypc and 18 TD's). Robinson decided to sit out the bowl game as he prepares for the NFL draft. This will put more pressure on QB Quinn Ewers. Washington had 10 wins under one-year coach Kalen DeBoer. And Washington has been playing as good as any team in the country. They have one of the best offenses in the country and an improving defense. The offense is 2nd in the nation in total offense and first in passing offense. Neither team will have much rushing, so the passing edges goes to Washington here today. I think it's a gift getting points with the Huskies today. Take Washington.

12-26-22 Chargers v. Colts UNDER 44.5 Top 20-3 Win 100 7 h 30 m Show

The Indianapolis Colts are officially eliminated with their 4-9-1 overall record. They will host the 8-6 Chargers tonight. Chargers trying for one of those Wild Card games and right now it's theirs to lose. The Chargers are coming off a win last week over the Tennessee Titans, 17-14 as a 3-point favorite. That is two wins in a row and three of their last four games. The Chargers offense is 12th overall, but just 31st rushing and 3rd passing. The defense is 21st, 11th vs pass and 28th vs the rush. The Colts are coming off that devastating loss to the Vikings where they blew the biggest lead in NFL History, 33-0, before losing 36-39 in OT. Have to wonder if they have anything left in the tank here tonight. The Colts will start their third different QB here tonight as Matt Ryan takes a seat. In comes Nick Foles, who has started just once in the last two seasons. Foles will lineup behind the worst pass protection line in the NFL. Foles will also be without Jonathon Taylor who is back on the IR. The Colts offense, despite the 36 points last week, has not eclipsed 20 points in nine of their first 13 games. Tonight a new QB and no Taylor? I think I'll stick with the UNDER here tonight as the Colts have problems putting points on the board. Play UNDER.

12-22-22 Air Force +3.5 v. Baylor Top 30-15 Win 100 17 h 19 m Show

Armed Forces Bowl here today is the lone college game on the slate. Air Force takes on Baylor. The AF Falcons bring a four-game win streak into this game and are 9-3 S/U and 6-6 ATS on the season. The Falcons averaged 27.7 ppg while holding opponents to just 13.2 ppg. Air Force coming off that fine defensive effort in their win over Navy, 13-3, as a 2.50 point favorite. They held Navy to -1 yard rushing and just 188 yards passing. They will face a Baylor Bear team that had a down season at just 6-6 S/U and 7-5 ATS. The Bears averaged 33.6 ppg while allowing 26.6 ppg. The Bears tied for 6th in the Big 12 standings with just two teams having a worse record. The Bears bring a 3-game losing streak into today's contest, coming off a loss at Texas, 27-38, as a 10-point dog. These teams haven't met since 1977. Air Force is led by RB Brad Roberts, who had 1612 rushing yards and 15TD's this season. Motivation is a key in these bowl games and Acacdemy's usually have plenty of that because their seniors will likely be the last time they wear the football uniform. Plus getting points with a team that can win 10 games is more than enough for me. I'll take Air Force here today.

12-19-22 Rams +7 v. Packers Top 12-24 Loss -100 19 h 48 m Show

The LA Rams might not be mathematically eliminated from the playoffs, but realistically their 4-9 record is not going to be good enough at this point. They did put some excitement into the game last week with the dramatic come-from-behind win over the Raiders with newly acquired QB Baker Mayfield. Mayfield led them to a pair of late fourth Quarter TD's, the last with just seconds to go to get the win. The Packers also having a bad season at just 5-8 overall. The Packers had last week off after beating the Bears the week before, 28-19, as a 3.5-point favorite. The Packers are just 3-7 ATS their last 10 games and 1-4 ATS in their last five at home. It looks to be a cold and possibly snowy night in Green Bay around 20 degrees with some snow likely. Mayfield should be used to it from his days in Cleveland. Lets see if the magic is there again for Mayfield and the Rams. I'll play the Rams.

12-17-22 Ravens v. Browns UNDER 38 Top 3-13 Win 100 27 h 2 m Show

A key AFC North clash on Saturday as the 9-4 Baltimore Ravens take on the 5-8 Cleveland Browns. The Ravens are tied for first place in the division and need a win here on Saturday to assure they stay at least tied for the division lead. The Ravens will once again be without QB Lamar Jackson, who missed last week's game also with a knee injury. QB Tyler Huntley is out of concussion protocol and likely will start here today. Baltimore just got by the Steelers last week, 16-14, passing for just 59 totals yards. They did get 215 rushing yards last week. The Cleveland Browns lost at Cincinnati last week, 10-23, as a 4.5-point dog. They had 71 rushing yards, well below their season average and 273 yards passing. QB Deshaun Watson looking much more comfortable with some time under his belt. Baltimore is just 14th overall on offense and Cleveland is 6th, though 5th rushing. The Ravens defense is 12th while the Browns are 17th. The Ravens are 2-8 Ov/Un their last 10 games and 7-15 Ov/Un their last 22 road games. Weather could be a factor here today with a 30% chance of snow. The winds could be steady 10 to 14 MPHP with gusts to 26. For me, it's that 15 MPH level where I start to see the winds effecting a game. With temperatures around freezing and winds that could be a factor, I look for this game to go UNDER today.

12-15-22 49ers v. Seahawks UNDER 43.5 Top 21-13 Win 100 21 h 40 m Show

Every game important at this juncture of the season. Teams also have to deal with lots of injuries. That's the case in the NFC West clash between the 49ers and Seahawks on Thursday. The 49ers lead the NFC West with a 9-4 record, two games ahead of 2nd place Seattle (7-6). These teams met back in week 2 in San Francisco where the 49ers walked away with that game, 27-7, as a 8-point favorite. they held the Seahawks to 30 yards rushing and 216 total yards. Not surprising that all these weeks later the Niners would have the league's top ranked defense and top ranked rushing defense. The Niners will be without QB JImmy Garappolo whi is out with a foot injury. That means Brock Purdy will get the start, though he has been hurting with a oblique and is officially listed as questionable. RB Christian McCaffrey is probable with a knee injury. Seattle has its share of injuries, especially at RB where Rashaad Penni is out with a fibula injury, RB Kenneth Walker III is probably with an ankle injury and RB DeeJay Dallas is questionable with a ankle injury. That doesn't bode well against this top ranked rush defense of the 49ers. This looks to be a very "vanilla" game tonight. The 49ers won't expose Purdy to much pressure and the Seahawks won't get much on the ground. I'm taking this game UNDER.

12-08-22 Raiders v. Rams UNDER 42.5 Top 16-17 Win 100 8 h 4 m Show

 The Las Vegas Raiders have won three straight games to improve to 5-7 and third place in the AFC West. The LA Rams are in last in the NFC West at 3-9 and have lost six straight games. The Raiders are coming off a win over the Chargers last week at home, 27-20. That marks three straight games they have held their opponent to under 100 yards rushing. The Rams have been decimated by injuries this year and are without QB Matthew Stafford (neck) and WR Cooper Kupp (Ankle), their two best offensive players. The Rams did acquire QB Baker Mayfield who they picked up when the Panther released him earlier in the Week. His status is available for tonight's contest. The Rams are 4-9-1 ATS their last 14 overall games and 2-6 ATS their last eight game at home. The Rams have gone under in seven of their last eight home games against a team with a losing road record. They are also 8-17 O/U in their last 25 home games. Vegas has gone under in seven of their last 10 road games. These teams have gone under in four of their last five meetings. I'll take the UNDER here tonight as the Rams should have issues moving the ball even if Mayfield plays. Take the UNDER.

12-05-22 Saints +3.5 v. Bucs Top 16-17 Win 100 20 h 31 m Show

 NFC South clash here can put the whole division into turmoil with a Saints win. Right now the Bucs lead the South with a 5-6 record, the Falcons lost on Sunday dropped them to 5-8 and the Panthers and Saints pull up the rear at 4-8. A Saints win and three teams would have five wins. However, a Bucs win and they can pull into solo position in the South lead. The way the NFC is panning out, all four teams in the East could make the playoffs, the Vikings in the North with the Lions and Packers still in it and the 49ers and Seahawks in the West. It's likely that only the winner of the South will make the playoffs. The Saints were shutout last week at San Francisco, 0-13. They had just 260 total yards. The Saints offense ranks 15th in the NFL, 11th in passing. Tampa Bay's offense is just 18th overall, 5th in passing and last in rushing. Tampa Bay lost at Cleveland last week, 17-23, as a 3-point favorite. Despite Tom Brady at QB, the Bucs offense has scored more than 22 points just one time all season. The Bucs defense has dropped to 9th while the Saints are 11th. Tampa Bay is just 1-7-1 ATS their last nine games and 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games at home. The Saints have covered the last four in this series at Tampa Bay and seven of the last nine overall. The dog is also 4-1 ATS the last five. I'll take the points here tonight with the Saints.

12-04-22 Chargers v. Raiders -2 Top 20-27 Win 100 23 h 7 m Show

AFC West clash here as the Raiders host the Chargers. The KC Chiefs look to be cruising in the West with a 9-2 record and 3-game lead over the Chargers. The Chargers looking at a Wild Card at this point at 6-5. Vegas has won two straight and has improved to 4-7 and still in the hunt for a Wild Card if they can run the table. The Chargers are coming off a late 2-point conversion to beat Arizona last week, 25-24. The Chargers have the league's 14th ranked offense while Vegas comes in 7th. The Chargers have been a good over team, going over in 12 of their last 17 games. The Raiders won at Seattle last week, 40-34, behind over 200 yards rushing from RB Jacobs. The Raiders ended up with 576 total yards in that win last week. That makes two wins in a row after beating Denver in OT the week before, 22-16. The Raiders have now covered five of their last six vs the AFC and 5 of the last six against a winning team. The are also 9-4 ov/un in their last 13 vs the AFC West. These teams met back in week 1 of the season at LA and the Chargers walked away with the win, 24-19, just covering the 3.5-point line. I like the Raiders here today as they have confidence and momentum. Play Las Vegas.

12-02-22 Utah v. USC -2.5 Top 47-24 Loss -110 23 h 4 m Show

Lots on the line for this PAC-12 Championship game from Allegiant field in Las Vegas. The USC Trojans have their eye set on a playoff bid and they need to get by last year's PAC-12 Champion Utah Utes here tonight. Also, USC QB Caleb Williams has a great shot at the Heisman Trophy award and another great performance here tonight could really help that cause too. This is a rematch of the game from October 15th when the Utes came from behind at home to beat USC, 42-43 as a 3-point dog. The USC offense is ranked 5th overall in the country and they have a 80% red zone efficiency mark with 51 Touchdowns in 67 redzone trips, tops in the nation. Utah isn't too far back, ranked 20th in offense and a rezone efficiency of 76.6%. On the defensive side of the ball Utah much better with the 17th ranked unit compared to the Trojans' 90th ranked defense. USC hasn't won a PAC-12 Championship since 2017, but I think this is the year. The price is right on this game as USC lays 2 1/2 points. Take the Trojans here today.

12-01-22 Bills v. Patriots +5 Top 24-10 Loss -110 32 h 8 m Show

Week 13 of the NFL gets underway here on Thursday with a key AFC contest as the Patriots host the Bills. The AFC East one of the best conferences in football as all four teams are above .500 on the year. The Bills are tied for first place at 8-3 with the Miami Dolphins while the Patriots are in last place with a 6-5 record. Buffalo just did get by the Detroit Lions on Thanksgiving Day, 28-25, winning on a late field goal but failing to cover the 9.5-point line. Meanwhile, the Patriots also lost last week at Minnesota, 26-33, as a 2.5-point dog. The Bills have the NFL's third best passing offense, 8th best rushing offense and 2nd best scoring offense. The Bills will be without a key defensive player though as Von Miller (knee) has been ruled out for this game. The Pats had won three straight games and five of their last six before their loss at Minnesota. The Patriots are ranked 6th in scoring defense (21.7 ppg allowed). Both teams battling for the AFC East and AFC playoff picture here tonight. The Bills are only 1-3-1 ATS in their last five road games and 1-4 ATS in their last five overall. The Pats are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games. The dog is 5-2-1 ATS their last eight in this series. I like the Patriots here today. In fact, I won't be surprised with a straight up win. Take New England.

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