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Jim Feist NBA Top Picks
Date Match Up Rating Score Result Profit Lead Time Analysis
05-15-25 Thunder v. Nuggets +5 Top 107-119 Win 100 17 h 55 m Show

The Oklahoma City Thunder face the Denver Nuggets in Game 6 of the Western Conference Semifinals at Ball Arena in Denver on Thursday, May 15, 2025 at 8:30 p.m. ET (5:30 p.m. PT). With the series standing at 3-2 in their favor the Thunder will attempt to clinch victory and advance to the Western Conference finals with a win tonight.

Oklahoma City won Game 5 with a final score of 112-105 despite Nikola Jokic's impressive 44-point and 15-rebound performance. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander spearheaded the Thunder's scoring with 31 points while showing his calmness during key moments of the game. Lu Dort and Jaylin Williams provided valuable support that demonstrated both the team's depth and their ability to remain resilient.

Facing elimination the Nuggets will depend heavily on Jokic who played a central role throughout the series. The team faces challenges with limited depth and Jokic's fatigue after his high-minute performance in Game 5 . The Nuggets' success in prolonging the series hinges on their capacity to back their star player while effectively handling their player rotations.

The Thunder will once again be a road favorite here tonight. I’m sticking with the defending champs getting points at home to keep this series alive and send it back to OKC. 

Take: 508. Nuggets 

05-09-25 Thunder v. Nuggets +5.5 Top 104-113 Win 100 10 h 52 m Show

The Western Conference Semifinals between the Oklahoma City Thunder and Denver Nuggets begins tonight at 10:00 p.m. ET at Ball Arena in Denver. Following two contrasting games the series stands even at 1–1. Aaron Gordon delivered a clutch performance for the Nuggets by hitting a game-winning three-pointer and collecting 12 rebounds to win Game 1 on the road. The Thunder delivered a powerful answer in Game 2 when they defeated Denver 149–106 by combining a dominant defense with outstanding three-point shooting performance.

The Thunder ranks among the league’s top road teams with a 32–8 away-from-home record this season. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander keeps his team ahead with playoff averages of 29.7 points and 6.7 assists while Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren contribute with versatile scoring and rim protection. Alex Caruso recently described the Thunder’s defense as their “superpower” due to their success in forcing Memphis to commit more turnovers than made shots during the second half of their first-round series.

The essential challenge for Denver now lies in recovering from their demoralizing defeat in Game 2. After collecting 22 rebounds in Game 1 Nikola Jokic must find ways to make his presence felt throughout the early stages of the game. Following playoff blowouts Jokic typically recovers by taking control of the rebounding game in the next contest. Jamal Murray must step up his scoring and playmaking while the Nuggets face difficulties defending Oklahoma City’s perimeter players.

I fully expect the Nuggets and Jokic to bounce back here on Friday.  I won’t be surprised by a straight-up Denver win tonight. However, I’ll take the generous points the oddsmaker is giving me.

Jim’s Play: Denver Nuggets

05-08-25 Warriors v. Wolves -10.5 Top 93-117 Win 100 9 h 57 m Show

The Golden State Warriors and Minnesota Timberwolves are set to clash in Game 2 of their Western Conference Semifinals tonight 5:30 PM PDT at Minneapolis' Target Center. The Warriors earned the 1-0 series lead after defeating the Timberwolves 99-88 in Game 1 despite losing Stephen Curry to a Grade 1 hamstring strain early in the match. Golden State will need to depend on their other key players since Curry will miss three upcoming games.

With Curry out the Warriors plan to depend on Jimmy Butler, Buddy Hield, and Draymond Green for offense. Hield scored 24 points during Game 1 while Butler added 20 points with 11 rebounds and 8 assists and Green contributed 18 points together with 8 rebounds and 6 assists. The Warriors secured their victory by limiting the Timberwolves to a shooting percentage of 39.5% overall and 17.2% from beyond the arc.

Game 1 exposed the Timberwolves' offensive difficulties. Anthony Edwards recorded a single point during the first half before accumulating a total of 23 points through an impressive performance in the second half. Naz Reid delivered strong bench performance with 19 points which displayed his capability to stretch the floor. Minnesota requires stronger showings from their bench players and enhanced shooting accuracy to balance out the series.

The absence of Curry poses a major obstacle for the Warriors as they attempt to keep their offensive flow. The Timberwolves plan to take advantage of this chance by using their bigger roster to overpower the paint and dictate the game's pace. The second game will prove critical because both teams will refine their strategies during this closely fought series. I look for the Wolves to bounce back with a big win here on Thursday

Jim’s Play: Minnesota Timberwolves. 

05-06-25 Warriors v. Wolves -6.5 Top 99-88 Loss -110 31 h 26 m Show

The first Western Conference Semifinals matchup between the Minnesota Timberwolves and Golden State Warriors will take place at Target Center in Minneapolis on Tuesday, May 6, 2025. Following their decisive 4-1 victory against the Los Angeles Lakers the Timberwolves have enjoyed plenty of rest time since their last matchup on May 1. The Warriors begin this series off a demanding seven-game series against the Houston Rockets that ended with their Game 7 triumph on May 4.

Anthony Edwards' 26.8 points per game performance along with Julius Randle's 22.6 points and his additional 5.6 rebounds and 4.4 assists per game drove Minnesota to success in the first round. Rudy Gobert and Randle's size advantage benefits the Timberwolves against the Warriors' smaller lineup. The experienced Golden State team might face difficulties controlling Minnesota's frontcourt strength and rebounding skill.

To overcome the Timberwolves' physical game plan the Warriors must draw from Stephen Curry and Jimmy Butler's championship backgrounds and utilize perimeter shooting skills. Buddy Hield's outstanding Game 7 performance against Houston which included 33 points and nine three-pointers set an NBA record while emphasizing the importance of role players stepping up. Golden State struggles with team depth which becomes more apparent when facing Minnesota's balanced and well-rested lineup.

Game 1 is scheduled at 6:30 PM PDT. The Timberwolves are favored by 6.5 points which sets up a captivating opening for the series. Minnesota stands out to me with their combination of youth, size and rest. The Warriors have experience, but they are coming of that demanding, physical, and emotional 7-game win vs the Rockets. I don’t expect much from the Warriors here in game one and that makes this the perfect spot to strike with the Timberwolves.

Jim’s Play: Minnesota Timberwolves (Western Conference 2nd Round Game of the Year)

05-04-25 Pacers v. Cavs OVER 229 Top 121-112 Win 100 19 h 16 m Show

Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse in Cleveland will host the opening game of the Eastern Conference Semifinals series between the Cleveland Cavaliers and Indiana Pacers on Sunday, May 4, 2025. Tip-off is scheduled for 6: The game will begin at 6:00 PM ET (3:00 PM PT) and will be broadcast across the nation on TNT.

The Cavaliers head into this match with renewed confidence after achieving their largest point differential against the Miami Heat in a first-round series sweep. Donovan Mitchell distinguished himself as a key player by scoring 23.8 points per game during the first round. Mitchell will break Michael Jordan's record for consecutive 30-point playoff opening performances if he scores 30 points during Game 1.

The Cleveland Cavaliers face potential uncertainty as All-Star guard Darius Garland remains day-to-day with a toe injury. Garland did not attend practice on Saturday but took part in a full-contact session on Friday. His status will be a game-time decision .

After securing a five-game series victory against Milwaukee Bucks, the Pacers now head to their matchup in Cleveland. Tyrese Haliburton has played a critical role in Indiana Pacers' winning streak by delivering 17.6 points and leading the playoffs with an average of 11.6 assists per game. The Cavaliers' defense must focus on stopping his playmaking abilities which enable him to generate scoring chances for his teammates.

The Pacers' defensive approach concentrates on reducing three-point shot attempts while they usually refrain from switching screens and maintain less emphasis on protecting the paint. 

Cleveland ranks first in the league with 121.9 points per game while Indiana holds seventh place with 117.4 points per game in offensive scoring throughout the regular season. The series is expected to produce many points while the Cavaliers maintain their lead by controlling Haliburton's playmaking skills and using their offensive depth to their advantage.

As the series begins fans will closely monitor Darius Garland's condition and how teams adjust their strategies to neutralize each other's strengths. I do expect a lot of points in this series and tonight I'm taking game one OVER the Total. 

Jim's Play: OVER the Total 

05-02-25 Rockets v. Warriors -5 Top 115-107 Loss -112 19 h 37 m Show

The Houston Rockets will travel to Chase Center in San Francisco to face the Golden State Warriors in Game 6 of their first-round playoff series on May 2, 2025. Golden State Warriors maintained a 3-2 series advantage after Houston Rockets dominated them with strong defense and excellent shooting to win Game 5 by a substantial 131-116 margin. Stephen Curry faced a notable defensive challenge from Amen Thompson after a strong 36-point Game 3 performance .

The Warriors approach Game 6 as favorites by five points while the expected total points scored stands at 203.5. The Warriors have demonstrated impressive home performance at the Chase Center with a 17-3 record over their most recent 20 playoff games there. The Rockets have demonstrated resilience through their "double bigs" lineup with Alperen Sengun and Steven Adams disrupting the Warriors' offensive flow.

Physical confrontations and escalating tensions defined the series while Dillon Brooks revealed he specifically hit Curry's injured thumb. While Warriors faced challenges in their composure due to the physical play, their expertise from past high-pressure games may become a key advantage.

The Warriors have the home-court advantage and playoff experience needed to finish off the series. The Warriors do not want to go back to Houston for a game seven. They have depth in their bench, a great coach and lots of playoff experience. I'm taking the Warriors to close out the series and cover the spread. 

Jim's Play: 530. Warriors 

05-01-25 Nuggets v. Clippers UNDER 212.5 Top 105-111 Loss -110 11 h 18 m Show

The Intuit Dome in Inglewood, California will host the decisive Game 6 between the Denver Nuggets and Los Angeles Clippers on Thursday, May 1, 2025. Jamal Murray scored 43 points with Nikola Jokic recording a triple-double as the Denver Nuggets achieved a commanding 131-115 victory in Game 5 to take a 3-2 series lead.

While Game 5 ended with high scoring totals the next matchup is expected to result in fewer points overall. The Clippers maintain a reputation for defensive discipline which propels them to top rankings in league points allowed per game and they anticipate intensifying their defense to prevent elimination from the series. The Clippers plan to break Murray's game flow and limit Jokic's playmaking abilities which should push Denver into making difficult and less effective shot attempts.

As the Clippers fight to avoid elimination with desperation tactics and the Nuggets work to finish the series with control and poise both teams will focus more intensively on half-court execution and defensive plays. The high stakes and playoff environment of Game 6 will turn this Western Conference showdown into a battle of endurance rather than a game of speed which makes betting 'under' my choice.

TAKE: Nuggets/Clippers UNDER the Total 

04-23-25 Heat +12.5 v. Cavs Top 112-121 Win 100 20 h 47 m Show

The Cleveland Cavaliers hold a 1-0 series lead over the Miami Heat after their decisive 121-100 Game 1 victory as they prepare to face off again on Wednesday, April 23, 2025. The game will start at 7:30 p.m. ET at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse in Cleveland.

Donovan Mitchell achieved a game-high 30 points with four steals while Cleveland's backcourt trio of him, Darius Garland, and Ty Jerome exceeded 80 total points in Game 1. Garland contributed 27 points to the team's effort while Jerome produced a game-changing 28-point performance from the bench that included 16 points in the fourth quarter to help secure the victory. The Cavaliers displayed strong three-point shooting by hitting 18 out of their 43 attempts which demonstrated their depth and power on offense.

Miami entered the playoffs as the first No. 10 seed to move past the Play-In Tournament. To reach the playoffs from the Play-In Tournament as the first No. 10 seed to do so Miami depended primarily on Bam Adebayo's 24 points and Tyler Herro's 21 points. Miami could not stop Cleveland’s perimeter attack from advancing while their offense failed to maintain an equivalent pace. The absence of veteran players Kevin Love and Terry Rozier due to injuries has left Miami Heat with fewer players and reduced scoring ability.

Miami needs strategic defensive improvements primarily against three-point shooters and additional offensive support besides their two leading scorers for Game 2. Cleveland aims to maintain their scoring drive to build a 2-0 series advantage before moving to South Florida. The betting lines favor the Cavaliers with a double-digit advantage after they demonstrated their superior performance in Game 1 against Miami's significant challenges. The Heat must deliver sharp performances from all players to prevent falling into a 0-2 series deficit against the strong playoff-aspiring Cavaliers.

Big line here in game two as the Cavs around a 12-point favorite. While I don't expect a Heat win, I do look for them to slide in under that line.

Jim's Play: Miami Heat

04-20-25 Heat v. Cavs -12.5 Top 100-121 Win 100 16 h 24 m Show

The first-round playoff series between the Cleveland Cavaliers and Miami Heat starts on Sunday, April 20, 2025 at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse in Cleveland.  The Cavaliers took home the top seed in the Eastern Conference thanks to their 64–18 record while the Heat claimed the eighth seed after moving forward from the Play-In Tournament.

Cleveland boasts the highest offensive rating in the league by scoring 121.9 points for every 100 possessions. The team ranks eighth defensively because they permit opponents to score 111.8 points per 100 possessions. Donovan Mitchell has spearheaded the Cavaliers' offense by averaging 26.5 points per game while Darius Garland steers the team as an efficient floor general with 6.7 assists per game. Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen serve as the foundation for Cleveland’s inside defense and rebounding efforts.

The Heat took an alternate route to reach the playoffs. After Jimmy Butler left the team during the regular season Miami finished with a record of 37–45 and went on to win against Chicago Bulls and Atlanta Hawks in the Play-In round. Tyler Herro has assumed the lead position for Miami Heat by scoring 23.9 points per game and receives crucial support from Bam Adebayo and Andrew Wiggins during both offensive and defensive plays.

The Cavaliers secured victories in two of three regular-season games against the Heat through wins with scores of 126–106 and 112–107. Miami achieved a 122–113 victory during their latest matchup. The upcoming series will largely revolve around the battle between Cleveland's explosive offensive style and Miami's tough and structured defensive approach.

Cleveland stands to benefit from home-court advantage as they have shown dominant play at home during Game 1 projections. The combination of Mitchell’s scoring ability and Cleveland’s comprehensive offensive strategy gives the Cavaliers a strong position to start the series with an advantage. 

The Cavs offense will be too much for the Miami defense and the home crown should have the Cleveland team pumped-up for game one. 

Take: Cleveland Cavaliers.  

04-19-25 Wolves v. Lakers -4 Top 117-95 Loss -108 20 h 32 m Show

The Los Angeles Lakers launch their 2025 NBA Playoffs season against the Minnesota Timberwolves on Saturday, April 19 at Crypto.com Arena. Game 1 tips off at 8:30 p.m. ET and will be broadcast nationally.

The Los Angeles Lakers secured the third seed in the Western Conference for the postseason after finishing the regular season with a 50–32 record and their first Pacific Division title since 2020. The Los Angeles Lakers acquired Luka Doncic in a major midseason trade which boosted their offensive capabilities. After Doncic joined the Lakers their record stands at 19 wins and 5 losses while he delivers 28.2 points together with 8.1 rebounds and 7.5 assists in each game. LeBron James' performance of 24.6 points, 8.4 assists, and 8.0 rebounds this season alongside Luka Doncic proved essential for the team's rise through the standings.

The Lakers have discovered their rhythm under head coach JJ Redick with a starting lineup that includes Doncic, James, Austin Reaves, Rui Hachimura and Dorian Finney-Smith. The team has reached elite standards through superior offensive and defensive play which includes effective ball movement paired with perimeter shooting and strong physical on-ball defense.

Minnesota's sixth-seeded Timberwolves present a tough matchup with Anthony Edwards as their leading guard who posted averages of 27.6 points along with 5.7 rebounds and 4.5 assists per game. The Minnesota team boasts Julius Randle and Rudy Gobert which creates a powerful frontcourt strength. The Wolves stand as one of the league's premier defensive teams by maintaining fifth place in point allowance with only 109.1 points given up per game.

Both teams achieved two victories each during their regular season matchups while defending their respective home courts. The Lakers have two of the biggest names in the NBA with James and Doncic and that experience should take them far in the playoffs this year.

Take; LA Lakers

04-13-25 Clippers +3 v. Warriors Top 124-119 Win 100 15 h 24 m Show

The Golden State Warriors (48-33) host the Los Angeles Clippers (49-32) at the Chase Center in San Francisco on Sunday, April 13, 2025, at 3:30 PM ET. This pivotal matchup carries significant playoff implications for both teams. 

The Warriors are currently sixth in the Western Conference and can secure a guaranteed playoff spot with a victory over the Clippers. A loss, however, would leave their fate dependent on other outcomes, potentially relegating them to the play-in tournament. The Clippers, holding the fifth seed, aim to solidify their position and avoid the play-in scenario. They enter the game on a seven-game winning streak, showcasing strong form as the regular season concludes. The Clippers are tied with Denver at 49-32 and trail the Lakers by 1-game. 

In their previous three meetings this season, the Clippers have emerged victorious each time, with scores of 112-104, 102-99, and 102-92. The Warriors. Stephen Curry leads the team with an average of 24.4 points per game, supported by Jimmy Butler's all-around contributions of 17.3 points, 5.5 rebounds, and 5.4 assists per game. Curry is currently questionable for this game. 

Considering the Clippers' recent dominance in head-to-head matchups and their current winning streak, it's difficult to pass on the few points they are getting. I look for the Clippers to come away with the win. 

Take the LA Clippers.

04-10-25 Cavs v. Pacers -9 Top 112-114 Loss -108 18 h 50 m Show

04/10 04:00 PM PT / 7:00 PM ET  

NBA   (503) CLEVELAND CAVALIERS VS (504) INDIANA PACERS

Take: (504) INDIANA PACERS

The Indiana Pacers (48-31) are set to host the Cleveland Cavaliers (63-16) at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis. The Cavaliers enter this matchup as the top team in the Eastern Conference with a 63-16 record. Their offense has been electric this season, leading the NBA with an average of 122.3 points per game. Defensively, they’re also strong, allowing just 112.3 points per game, ranking 11th overall. The Pacers, meanwhile, are currently fourth in the East and have been one of the league’s most exciting teams to watch. They average 117.3 points per game (7th in the NBA) but allow 115.0 points per game (17th), indicating their tendency to get into high-scoring affairs. 

Indiana comes into the game riding a five-game winning streak, including a gritty 104-98 win over the Washington Wizards. Cleveland has also been sharp lately, winning seven of their last ten games. They recently dismantled the Chicago Bulls with a dominant 135-113 performance. Cleveland likely will be without Donovan Mitchell due to his ankle issue, a significant potential absence. They will also be missing guard Darius Garland. Two big cogs in this Cleveland offense. 

The season series is tied 1-1. Indiana won the first meeting 108-93 on January 12, while Cleveland responded with a 127-117 win on January 14. This game will decide the regular-season series. This game doesn't mean anything to Cleveland as they hold the top spot and won't be giving it up. The Pacers can still move up or down so the games has more impact on their seeding. 

The Pacers are a big favorite vs the Cavs because of Mithchel and Garland being out of the lineup.  I'm taking the Pacers as this game means nothing to the Cavs. 

04-09-25 Hornets v. Raptors -8 Top 96-126 Win 100 18 h 6 m Show

The Charlotte Hornets (19-60) will face the Toronto Raptors (29-50) at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto. Both teams have been eliminated from playoff contention and are wrapping up disappointing seasons. The Hornets are on a four-game losing streak and have just one win in their last ten games. Offensively, they rank 28th in the league, averaging 105.7 points per game, and are last in field goal percentage at 43.1%. Defensively, they allow 114 points per game. Injuries have taken a toll, with LaMelo Ball, Tre Mann, Brandon Miller, and Grant Williams all out for the season. Charlotte has covered just two of its last 10 games and is 36-40-2 overall this season. 

Toronto recently snapped a three-game losing streak with a 120-109 win over the Brooklyn Nets. They rank 23rd in scoring offense (110.7 PPG) and 20th in field goal percentage (45.8%). They give up 115.2 points per game defensively. The Raptors are managing injuries too, with Ochai Agbaji and Jamal Shead being rested and Scottie Barnes, Jakob Poeltl, and Brandon Ingram listed as questionable.  The Hawks have covered six of their last 10 games and are 46-30-3 for the season. 

This is the third meeting between these two teams this season, with the series tied at 1-1. The Raptors won the most recent matchup on March 28 with a 108-97 victory. I look for Toronto to cover the spread here on Wednesday,  especially considering their edge in rebounding and points in the paint. With the Hornets short-handed and struggling offensively, the Raptors are positioned to take control of this matchup. Neither team has anything to play for, but Toronto does have some momentum and depth on their side. 

Play Toronto Raptors. 

04-08-25 Wolves -4 v. Bucks Top 103-110 Loss -110 15 h 18 m Show

The Minnesota Timberwolves (46-32) head to Milwaukee to face the Bucks (44-34) in a pivotal late-season showdown at Fiserv Forum. Both teams come into the contest riding hot streaks—Minnesota with five straight wins and Milwaukee with four—as they aim to solidify playoff seeding with only a few games remaining. Minnesota has been red-hot, winning 14 of its last 17 games. The Timberwolves are coming off a strong win over the Philadelphia 76ers, led by Anthony Edwards, who dropped 37 points. Rudy Gobert dominated inside with 23 points, 19 rebounds, and three blocks, underlining his importance on both ends. Defensively, Minnesota has been one of the best teams in the league, allowing just 109.4 points per game—sixth-best in the NBA. Their ability to control the tempo and contest shots has made them a tough out lately.

The Bucks are also surging, having notched four straight victories, most recently edging out the New Orleans Pelicans. Gary Trent Jr. led the way in that game with 29 points, supported by Brook Lopez and Kevin Porter Jr., who each added 20. Giannis Antetokounmpo remains the focal point of the team, averaging 30.5 points and 11.9 rebounds per game. However, his availability is uncertain due to a shoulder injury. Damian Lillard continues to be sidelined, putting added pressure on Milwaukee’s supporting cast.

The Bucks average 114.9 points per game; Timberwolves average 114.1. The Timberwolves allow 109.4 PPG; Bucks give up 112.9 PPG. 

Giannis’ Health: His presence—or absence—will heavily impact Milwaukee’s ability to compete inside.

This game promises to be a hard-fought battle with postseason implications. The Bucks are tied with the Clippers and Grizzlies for positions six through eight. In addition, they all three trail both Golden State and Denver by just a 1/2 game for the No 3 and No 4 spots. 

The Wolves just too hot to pass on here today. I'll lay the  points on the road with Minnesota. 

Take Minnesota

04-06-25 Spurs v. Blazers -2.5 Top 109-120 Win 100 16 h 45 m Show

The Portland Trail Blazers (34-44) are set to host the San Antonio Spurs (32-45) at the Moda Center on Sunday, April 6, 2025, with tip-off scheduled for 6:00 PM ET. Both teams are striving to keep their slim postseason hopes alive, making this Western Conference matchup crucial. Currently 12th in the Western Conference, the Trail Blazers are 3.5 games behind the 10th-seeded Sacramento Kings. In their recent outing on Friday, they fell to the Chicago Bulls 118-113, despite a standout performance from Deni Avdija, who recorded 37 points, 11 rebounds, and five assists. Sitting 13th in the Western Conference, the Spurs are 4.5 games behind the Kings. They narrowly lost to the Cleveland Cavaliers 114-113 on Friday, with Devin Vassell contributing 24 points, four rebounds, and three assists. The Spurs have dominated the season series thus far, winning all three previous encounters. November 7, 2024: Spurs 118, Trail Blazers 105, December 13, 2024: Spurs 118, Trail Blazers 116, December 21, 2024: Spurs 114, Trail Blazers 94. The Spurs will be without key players though on Sunday. Victor Wembanyama (shoulder) and De'Aaron Fox (finger) and Jeremy Sochan (back) are all out. Portland Trail Blazers: Deni Avdija is averaging 16.9 points, 7.3 rebounds, and 3.9 assists per game. Anfernee Simons is leading the team with 19.3 points per game. San Antonio Spurs are led by Devin Vassell who is averaging 16.4 points per game. Both teams are grappling with significant injuries to key players, which could impact their performance. The Trail Blazers' depth will be tested, especially if multiple players listed as questionable are unable to play. The Spurs, missing both Wembanyama and Fox, will rely heavily on Vassell and Castle to lead their offense. The Spurs have won the previous three meetings this year but that was with a healthier squad. Without their two top players and playing on the road today, I'm taking Portland to win and cover this contest. Play Portland. 

04-04-25 Mavs v. Clippers -9 Top 91-114 Win 100 21 h 52 m Show

The Dallas Mavericks (38-39) are set to face the Los Angeles Clippers (44-32) on Friday, April 4, 2025, at Intuit Dome in Inglewood, California. Tip-off is scheduled for 10:30 p.m. ET (7:30 p.m. PT). Currently holding the ninth spot in the Western Conference, the Mavericks are striving to secure a position in the play-in tournament. They recently edged out the Atlanta Hawks with a 120-118 victory on April 2, where Anthony Davis led with 34 points, including the game-winning basket. The Clippers are tied for the sixth seed in the Western Conference and have been on an impressive run, winning 10 of their last 12 games. Their latest triumph was a 114-98 win over the New Orleans Pelicans on April 2, with Kawhi Leonard contributing 28 points. The teams have split their previous two meetings this season: December 19, 2024: Clippers defeated the Mavericks 118-95. December 21, 2024: Mavericks responded with a 113-97 victory over the Clippers. Dallas Anthony Davis (PF): is questionable due to a left groin strain. Dereck Lively II (C): Out with a right ankle injury.  Anthony Davis is averaging 24.7 points, 9.2 rebounds, and 2.3 blocks per game. His availability will significantly impact the Mavericks' performance. The Clippers Kawhi Leonard is contributing 20.8 points, 5.8 rebounds, and 3.0 assists per game. Leonard's two-way play is crucial for the Clippers' success. The Mavericks are averaging 114.3 points per game with a field goal percentage of 47.9%. The Clippers are averaging 113.5 points per game with a field goal percentage of 47.8%. The Mavericks are allowing 113.7 points per game while the Clippers are allowing 112.1 points per game. The Clippers enter the game with momentum, aiming to strengthen their playoff positioning. The Mavericks face uncertainty with key injuries, particularly concerning Anthony Davis's availability. The Clippers' defensive prowess and recent form position them as favorites in this matchup. Even if Davis plays you have to believe he won't be 100%. I'm taking the Clippers here on Friday Night. 

04-02-25 Spurs v. Nuggets -15 Top 113-106 Loss -110 21 h 0 m Show

The San Antonio Spurs (31-44) are set to face the Denver Nuggets (47-28) at Ball Arena in Denver on Wednesday, April 2, 2025, at 6:00 PM PDT. The season series is currently tied 1-1, with each team securing a win on the other's home court earlier this year. The Spurs are on a five-game losing streak, including a 116-105 loss to the Orlando Magic on April 1. They not only play the second of a back-to-back spot here but had to travel for this game. Devin Vassell: Leading the team with 16.4 points per game. The Nuggets have won four of their last five games, including a dominant 129-93 victory over the Utah Jazz on March 28. Nikola Jokic: Averaging 29.3 points, 12.8 rebounds, and 10.2 assists per game. Jamal Murray adding 21.6 points and 6.0 assists per game. Jamal Murray (right hamstring tightness) and Michael Porter Jr. (undisclosed) are listed as out for the upcoming game. The Spurs are averaging 114.2 points per game, 46.5% field goal percentage. The Nuggets average 120.9 points per game, 50.7% field goal percentage. The Spurs have struggled on the second night of back-to-back games, holding a 3-11 record in such situations, while the Nuggets excel with a 12-2 record.  Denver's offense, led by Jokic, presents a significant challenge for San Antonio's defense, which has allowed at least 122 points in six of their last seven road games. The Spurs had 61 points at the half last night then laid an egg in the 2nd half, scoring just 44 points and blowing a lead. It gets worse against an much better Denver team tonight. Lots of points to lay here tonight, but the Nuggets can do it against this depleted and tire Spurs club. Play Denver. 

03-30-25 Hornets v. Pelicans -3 Top 94-98 Win 100 16 h 50 m Show

The New Orleans Pelicans (41–32) will welcome the Charlotte Hornets (19–54) in a cross-conference matchup that holds more weight for the home team. The Pelicans are in the thick of the Western Conference playoff race, looking to secure positioning in the top six and avoid the play-in. The Hornets, meanwhile, have long been eliminated from postseason contention and are shifting focus toward player development and lottery odds. New Orleans has been playing solid basketball over the past few weeks, winning six of their last eight games. Brandon Ingram and Zion Williamson have led the charge, with Ingram playing with poise on the wing and Williamson dominating inside. Their defense has improved lately, holding opponents under 110 points in four of their last six games. Charlotte comes into this game having lost four straight. Injuries have decimated the roster, and their offensive consistency has been a major issue. Despite that, young players like Brandon Miller and Nick Smith Jr. have shown promise and are getting extended minutes in March. The Hornets injuries: LaMelo Ball remains out with an ankle injury. Mark Williams and Gordon Hayward are also unavailable, leaving Charlotte thin on both ends of the floor. The Pelicans have a clear edge in talent, depth, and motivation. They're solid at home and have one of the more physical frontcourts in the NBA, which should dominate a short-handed Hornets team lacking size and experience. New Orleans' ability to push the pace and get easy buckets in transition may overwhelm Charlotte early. Take the Pelicans here today as I look for a double digit New Orleans win!

03-28-25 Jazz v. Nuggets -17.5 Top 93-129 Win 100 19 h 11 m Show

This Northwest Division clash features two teams at opposite ends of the Western Conference standings. The playoff-bound Denver Nuggets host the struggling Utah Jazz in what projects to be a one-sided contest on paper. Denver sits third in the Western Conference and is within striking distance of the No. 2 seed. The Nuggets are coming off a strong win over the Milwaukee Bucks, powered by Nikola Jokic’s 39-point triple-double. Jokic continues to put up MVP-caliber numbers, averaging 29.3 points, 12.8 rebounds, and 10.3 assists per game. As a team, the Nuggets average 120.8 points per game (third in the NBA) and allow 117 points per game. Utah has endured a rough season and currently holds the worst record in the league. They've lost 14 of their last 15 games, including a blowout loss to Memphis in which they allowed 140 points. Rookie guard Isaiah Collier has been a bright spot, scoring 21 points in the loss. Offensively, the Jazz rank 21st in the NBA with 111.8 points per game and struggle defensively, allowing 120.1 points per game — second-worst in the league. Jokic’s return from injury has reignited Denver’s offense. Facing a porous Utah defense that has been vulnerable inside, expect Denver to feed Jokic early and often. The Jazz continue to be hampered by injuries. Jordan Clarkson is out with plantar fasciitis, John Collins is sidelined with an ankle injury, and Lauri Markkanen’s status remains uncertain due to illness. These absences severely limit Utah’s offensive firepower and depth. Denver has swept the first three meetings of the season, with convincing wins in November and December. The Nuggets have averaged 127.7 points per game across those matchups, while Utah has struggled to keep pace offensively. I don't see the Jazz being able to stay close here tonight. Yes, this is a lot of points to lay, but the Nuggets at home vs the Jazz will make it happen. Take Denver. 

03-25-25 Mavs v. Knicks -7.5 Top 113-128 Win 100 19 h 9 m Show

The New York Knicks (44-26) are set to host the Dallas Mavericks (35-37) at Madison Square Garden on Tuesday, March 25, 2025, at 7:30 PM ET. The Knicks have been in strong form, securing a decisive 122-103 victory over the Washington Wizards in their previous outing. Karl-Anthony Towns delivered an impressive performance, recording 31 points and 11 rebounds, while Mikal Bridges contributed 27 points. Despite the absence of starting point guards Jalen Brunson (ankle sprain) and Miles McBride (groin contusion), the Knicks have adapted well. Cam Payne stepped up with 13 points in his recent start, and rookie Tyler Kolek showcased his playmaking abilities, leading the team with eight assists in his first significant playing time this season. The Mavericks are navigating a challenging stretch, dealing with multiple injuries to key players. Kyrie Irving is out for the season following ACL surgery, and Anthony Davis has been sidelined since January with a groin injury, though he was recently upgraded to doubtful for the upcoming game. In their recent 123-117 win over the Detroit Pistons, Spencer Dinwiddie led with a season-high 31 points, P.J. Washington Jr. added 27 points, and Klay Thompson contributed 20 points. Despite these individual performances, the Mavericks have struggled with consistency, particularly on the road, where they are currently on a three-game losing streak. Both teams are dealing with significant absences. The Knicks' backcourt is depleted without Brunson and McBride, placing greater responsibility on Payne and Kolek. The Mavericks' offense has been impacted by the losses of Irving and Davis, relying more on role players to step up. The Knicks have been formidable at Madison Square Garden, boasting a 23-11 home record. Dallas had to play last night, winning at Brooklyn, 120-101. While the travel is long, they still need to travel to get here tonight. I'm taking the Knicks in this spot. 

03-22-25 Wizards v. Knicks -15 Top 103-122 Win 100 18 h 49 m Show

New York Knicks (43-26): The Knicks currently hold the fourth spot in the Eastern Conference. However, they've encountered recent struggles, notably back-to-back losses to the San Antonio Spurs and the Charlotte Hornets, teams with subpar records. A significant factor in their downturn is the absence of star point guard Jalen Brunson, sidelined due to an ankle injury. Without Brunson, the Knicks have faced challenges in offensive fluidity and defensive cohesion. Washington Wizards (15-54): The Wizards are enduring a challenging season, holding the league's worst record. They are currently on a three-game losing streak, including a recent 120-105 defeat to the Orlando Magic. Injuries have further hampered their performance, with key players like Marcus Smart, Corey Kispert, and Bilal Coulibaly sidelined. The Knicks have dominated recent matchups against the Wizards, winning the last eight encounters, including a 126-106 victory on December 30, 2024. However, their recent form without Brunson raises concerns. The Wizards, despite their struggles, have an opportunity to exploit the Knicks' current vulnerabilities. This is one game that the Knicks won't need Brunson. The Wizards had to play last night and lost at home to the Magic, 105-120. Now they have to travel to New York to face the Knicks. I'll lay the big points with the Knicks against a haggard Wizards squad. 

03-19-25 Mavs v. Pacers -9 Top 131-135 Loss -110 17 h 47 m Show

The Dallas Mavericks have struggled recently, losing eight of their last ten games. They average 114.7 points per game (13th in the NBA) and allow 115.1 points per game (18th in the league). Dallas has particularly struggled on the road, surrendering 126 or more points in four straight road games. The Indiana Pacers are in good shape in the standings, sitting at fifth in the Eastern Conference. They have been solid recently, amassing a 3-2 record in their past five clashes. Indiana is hard to beat at home, standing at 4-1 in their past five home games, including a win against the Bucks. Dallas Mavericks: Klay Thompson: Averaging 14.4 points per game on 42% shooting. Spencer Dinwiddie: Has been solid, amassing 18 or more points in three of his past four games.  Indiana Pacers: Pascal Siakam: Continues to shine, amassing 25 or more points in three of his past five games. Tyrese Haliburton: Has reached 20 points in two of five games on the month. The Pacers' strong home performance and the Mavericks' recent struggles suggest Have me on Indiana here on Wednesday. The should cover this line by at least 7-10 points. Play Indiana. 

03-17-25 Raptors v. Suns -8.5 Top 89-129 Win 100 19 h 26 m Show

The Toronto Raptors (24-44) will face the Phoenix Suns (31-37) on Monday, March 17, 2025, at Footprint Center in Phoenix, Arizona. The game is scheduled to tip off at 7:00 PM PDT. The Raptors are averaging 111.1 points per game while allowing 115.7 points per game, ranking 22nd in offense and 21st in defense. They secure 44.8 rebounds per game and have a 34.9% success rate from three-point range. The Suns average 114.4 points per game and concede 116.3 points per game, placing them 14th offensively and 22nd defensively. They average 42.5 rebounds per game and have a three-point shooting percentage of 38.3%. Raptors: RJ Barrett leads with 21.5 points, 6.5 rebounds, and 5.7 assists per game. Scottie Barnes contributes 19.7 points, 7.9 rebounds, and 5.9 assists per game. Suns: Kevin Durant averages 26.7 points, 6.1 rebounds, and 4.3 assists per game. Devin Booker adds 25.8 points and 6.9 assists per game. The Raptors have struggled on the road, holding an 8-24 away record. The Suns, with a 19-13 home record, have shown more consistency at Footprint Center. Both teams have key players listed as questionable, which could impact the game's dynamics. The Suns' higher offensive output and home-court advantage position them favorably for this matchup. I will be on the Suns here on Monday.

03-16-25 Jazz v. Wolves -12.5 Top 102-128 Win 100 16 h 37 m Show

The Jazz have struggled this season, holding a 15-52 record, placing them at the bottom of the Western Conference. They are currently on an eight-game losing streak, with their most recent defeat being a 126-118 loss to the Toronto Raptors. In that game, Jordan Clarkson led with 19 points, while Kyle Filipowski contributed 18 points and 11 rebounds.  The Timberwolves are in strong form, boasting a seven-game winning streak and a 39-29 record, positioning them seventh in the Western Conference. They recently secured a 118-111 victory over the Orlando Magic, overcoming an 11-point deficit entering the fourth quarter. Anthony Edwards led with 28 points, and Julius Randle added 22 points. The teams have split their season series so far. On January 30, 2025, the Timberwolves secured a decisive 138-113 victory. However, on February 28, 2025, the Jazz edged out a narrow 117-116 win. Overall, Minnesota has won seven of the last ten encounters between the two teams. My computer projections have this one as the Wolves run away with it in a 16-point route. It also looks to a 226 to 230 final total points. Wolves also at home here and that will play a big part in a Minnesota blowout win. Play Minnesota. 

03-15-25 Pacers v. Bucks -5 Top 119-126 Win 100 17 h 16 m Show

The Milwaukee Bucks (37-28) are set to host the Indiana Pacers (36-28) on Saturday, March 15, 2025, at Fiserv Forum. This matchup features two Central Division rivals vying for playoff positioning in the Eastern Conference. The Bucks recently snapped a three-game losing streak with a dominant 126-106 home victory over the Los Angeles Lakers on Thursday. They currently hold a 22-11 record at home, showcasing their strength on their home court. The Pacers are on the second night of a back-to-back, having played the Philadelphia 76ers on Friday night in a 112-100 win. Prior to that, they secured a narrow 115-114 home win against the Bucks on Tuesday, thanks to a clutch four-point play at the buzzer. The Pacers have a 16-18 road record, indicating some struggles away from home. The Bucks Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 30.5 points, 12.1 rebounds, and 5.9 assists per game. Damian Lillard: Contributing 25.2 points, 4.7 rebounds, and 7.2 assists per game.  Indiana Pacers: Pascal Siakam: Averaging 20.8 points, 7.2 rebounds, and 3.3 assists per game. Tyrese Haliburton: Providing 18.5 points and 8.9 assists per game. Bucks rank 12th in the NBA with 114.8 points per game. Pacers rank 9th, averaging 116.4 points per game. Always tough in the NBA to play the second of a back-to-back spot, but even more so when that team has to travel too like the Pacers tonight. I'll take the Bucks here on Saturday. 

03-05-25 Pistons -4.5 v. Clippers Top 115-123 Loss -108 13 h 46 m Show

The Detroit Pistons (35-27) are set to face the Los Angeles Clippers (32-28) on Wednesday, March 5, 2025, at the Intuit Dome. The Pistons, currently holding the sixth seed in the Eastern Conference, have been on a remarkable run, winning 10 of their last 11 games. Their recent 134-106 victory over the Utah Jazz showcased their offensive prowess and defensive solidity. Despite the season-ending injury to star guard Jaden Ivey, who suffered a broken left fibula on January 1, the Pistons have demonstrated resilience. Cade Cunningham has stepped up, averaging 25.3 points and 6.1 rebounds per game, while new additions Malik Beasley and Tim Hardaway Jr. have bolstered the team's performance. The Clippers, conversely, have struggled recently, losing six of their last seven games and slipping to the ninth seed in the Western Conference. Injuries have played a significant role in their downturn, with key players like Ben Simmons (knee), Derrick Jones Jr. (knee), and Norman Powell (hamstring) sidelined. Kawhi Leonard continues to lead the team, but the Clippers have found it challenging to maintain consistency. In their most recent matchup on February 24, the Pistons secured a 106-97 victory over the Clippers, holding them to 40% shooting. I like the Pistons here on Wednesday as they continue their momentum and defense to win. 

03-04-25 76ers v. Wolves -13.5 Top 112-126 Win 100 16 h 58 m Show

The Philadelphia 76ers (21-38) are set to face the Minnesota Timberwolves (33-29) on Tuesday, March 4, 2025, at the Target Center in Minneapolis. The 76ers are coming off a home loss last night to Portland, 102-119. The team has struggled overall, posting a 1-10 record over their last 11 games. Compounding their challenges, star center Joel Embiid is out for the season, and key players Kyle Lowry (hip), Paul George (groin), and Kelly Oubre Jr. (illness) are listed as questionable for the upcoming game. In contrast, the Timberwolves are coming off a dominant 116-98 win against the Phoenix Suns, highlighted by Anthony Edwards' 44 points, five rebounds, and seven assists. Despite a recent 4-6 stretch over their last ten games, they hold the 8th spot in the Western Conference. However, Minnesota will be without center Rudy Gobert (back) for this matchup. The Timberwolves' strong defense, ranked 5th in adjusted defensive rating, combined with the 76ers' offensive struggles, suggests Minnesota is well-positioned to capitalize on Philadelphia's vulnerabilities. Wolves have to lay a lot here on Tuesday, but Philly had to play last night and travel today so they likely will be tired. I'm taking Minnesota here on Tuesday.

02-27-25 Wolves v. Lakers OVER 223.5 Top 102-111 Loss -110 24 h 17 m Show

The Minnesota Timberwolves are set to face the Los Angeles Lakers on Thursday, February 27, 2025 at Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles. The Lakers currently hold a 35-21 record, placing them fourth in the Western Conference, and are on a three-game winning streak. The Timberwolves, with a 32-27 record, sit seventh in the conference. In their most recent matchup, Minnesota secured a 97-87 victory over Los Angeles on December 13, 2024, leading the season series 2-1. The Timberwolves are dealing with significant injuries: Julius Randle: Out with a right adductor strain, expected to miss at least two weeks. Donte DiVincenzo: Sidelined indefinitely due to a Grade 3 left toe sprain. Anthony Edwards: Listed as questionable with a right calf injury. The Lakers' LeBron James: Managing left ankle soreness, which is expected to persist throughout the season. LeBron James continues to be a pivotal player, recently contributing 26 points, seven rebounds, and 11 assists against the Charlotte Hornets. The Wolves with Julius Randle and Donte DiVincenzo out, and Anthony Edwards questionable, players like Naz Reid and Jaden McDaniels may need to step up. Despite their injuries, the Wolves are coming off a split with Oklahoma City in which the two teams combined for 259 and 253 points. In fact, the Wolves have scored 110 or more in 11 of their last 13 games. The Lakers have also been high scoring with 16 of their last 18 games having 110 or more points. I expect both teams to put up a lot of points here tonight. Take the OVER.

02-26-25 Raptors v. Pacers -9.5 Top 91-111 Win 100 18 h 53 m Show

The Indiana Pacers (32-24) are set to host the Toronto Raptors (18-39) at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Wednesday, February 26, 2025. The Pacers aim to rebound from a recent 125-116 loss to the Denver Nuggets, while the Raptors are coming off a loss last night at home to the Celtics, 101-111. Indian Injury report has Myles Turner (C): Out with a neck injury. Isaiah Jackson (C): Out for the season due to a calf injury. T.J. McConnell (PG): Questionable with a right ankle sprain. Tyrese Haliburton (PG): Questionable due to left groin soreness.  The Toronto Raptors injuries: Brandon Ingram (SF): Out with a left ankle sprain. P.J. Tucker (SF): Out for personal reasons. Ulrich Chomche (PF): Out for the season following a right knee injury.  Gradey Dick (SG): Probable despite a right thigh contusion. Jakob Poeltl (C): Questionable with a right hip pointer. The Pacers average 114.4 points per game and allow 117.6 points per game. The Raptors average 113.4 points per game and allow 119.5 points per game. The Pacers have to play the second of a back-to-back spot here tonight which is tough enough. In addition, they have to travel for this game. I'm taking the Pacers here tonight. 

02-25-25 Hornets v. Warriors -16.5 Top 92-128 Win 100 20 h 15 m Show

The Golden State Warriors are set to host the Charlotte Hornets on Tuesday, February 25, 2025 at the Chase Center in San Francisco. Since acquiring Jimmy Butler on February 8, the Warriors have significantly bolstered their defense, leading to victories in five of their last six games. With Butler's addition, the team now ranks first in steals (11.5 per game) and allows the second-fewest points in the paint (42.3 per game). Stephen Curry continues to lead the offense, recently scoring 30 points in a decisive 126-102 win over the Dallas Mavericks. However, forward Jonathan Kuminga remains sidelined due to a right ankle sprain sustained on January 4.  The Hornets have faced challenges this season, exacerbated by significant injuries. Forward Grant Williams is out for the season with a torn ACL, and guard Brandon Miller recently underwent season-ending wrist surgery. Despite these setbacks, the team looks to LaMelo Ball to spearhead the offense. Ball is expected to play against the Warriors, possibly with a minor minutes restriction. The Warriors' recent defensive improvements and home-court advantage position them favorably against the injury-plagued Hornets. This is a lot of points to lay but I expect the Warriors to have little issue covering it. Play Golden State. 

02-24-25 Clippers v. Pistons -1.5 Top 97-106 Win 100 21 h 12 m Show

The Los Angeles Clippers are set to face the Detroit Pistons on Monday, February 24, 2025, at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit. The Clippers enter this matchup with a 31-25 record after their loss on Sunday at Indiana 111-129. They are currently sixth in the Western Conference. They are concluding a four-game road trip and will be playing on the second night of a back-to-back spot along with that spot being a travel game. The Pistons boast a 31-26 record after winning on Sunday at Atlanta, 148-143. They are sixth in the Eastern Conference. They are riding a six-game winning streak, demonstrating improved performance compared to their previous season. The Pistons' Jalen Duren, coming off a 21-point, 15-rebound performance, will face the Clippers' interior defense. The battle in the paint will be crucial, especially with both teams potentially managing player fatigue due to consecutive games. Clippers: Kawhi Leonard (left foot soreness) and Norman Powell (left knee soreness) are listed as questionable. Their availability will significantly impact the Clippers' offensive and defensive strategies. The Clippers rank 21st in the NBA in scoring, averaging 110.9 points per game, while the Pistons are 13th, averaging 113.6 points. Defensively, the Clippers are fifth, allowing 108.2 points per game, whereas the Pistons rank 15th, conceding 113.1 points. The Pistons have surpassed 125 points in their last four games, indicating a potent offense. Conversely, the Clippers have struggled on the road, with a 12-14 away record. While both teams play back-to-back here tonight the Clippers have some injury concerns and the Pistons are riding momentum. I'll take the Pistons at home against a struggling Clippers team. 

02-23-25 Suns v. Raptors -1 Top 109-127 Win 100 18 h 43 m Show

The Toronto Raptors are set to host the Phoenix Suns on Sunday, February 23, 2025, at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto. The Phoenix Suns hold a record of 27-29, including an 11-18 mark on the road. They are currently positioned fifth in the NBA's Pacific Division. The Toronto Raptors, meanwhile, have a 17-39 record, with a 12-18 performance at home, placing them fifth in the Atlantic Division. The Suns are coming off a victory last night in Chicago against the Bulls 121-117, where Devin Booker led the team with 29 points and eight assists. Kevin Durant contributed 27 points, and Bradley Beal added 25 points in his return to the starting lineup, helping the team snap a two-game losing streak.  This game marks the first meeting of the regular season between the Suns and the Raptors. Phoenix Suns: Devin Booker continues to be a pivotal player for the Suns, consistently leading the team in scoring and playmaking. Kevin Durant's scoring prowess and Bradley Beal's recent return bolster the Suns' offensive lineup. The Suns have to play the second of a back-to-back spot here on Sunday. Worse, they had to travel after last night's game in Chicago. That makes this doubly tough for any team, let alone a team with a 11-18 road mark. I'm taking the Raptors here on Sunday.

02-21-25 Knicks v. Cavs -8.5 Top 105-142 Win 100 17 h 1 m Show

The New York Knicks (37-18) are set to face the Cleveland Cavaliers (45-10) on Friday, February 21, 2025, at 7:00 PM EST at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse in Cleveland. The Cavaliers currently lead the Eastern Conference with a 44-11 record, riding a five-game winning streak. They are coming off a win over the Brooklyn Nets on Thursday, 110-97, as a 12 point favorite. The Knicks, holding the third spot in the conference at 37-18, have also been in strong form, winning five of their last six games, including a win on Thursday at home over the Bulls in OT, 113-111. New York Knicks: Jalen Brunson leads the team with 26.1 points per game, ranking 9th in the NBA, and contributes 7.5 assists per game. Karl-Anthony Towns adds 24.7 points and 13.4 rebounds per game, providing a strong inside presence. Cleveland Cavaliers: Donovan Mitchell averages 23.9 points and 4.8 assists per game, while Darius Garland adds 21.6 points and 6.7 assists per game, forming a dynamic backcourt duo. Both teams are on the second night of back-to-back games, which may test their depth and endurance. The Knicks though had to go the extra five minutes of OT to beat the Bulls and they play on road here tonight.  The Cavaliers' home-court advantage and recent momentum position them as favorites. I'll take the Cavs minus the points on Friday. 

02-13-25 Thunder -7 v. Wolves Top 101-116 Loss -115 9 h 44 m Show

The Oklahoma City Thunder (44-9) take on the Minnesota Timberwolves (30-25) tonight at the Target Center in Minneapolis. The red-hot Thunder are riding a seven-game winning streak, while the Timberwolves look to bounce back from a tough 103-101 loss to Milwaukee.

OKC boasts the league’s top defense, allowing just 104.7 points per game, while also ranking fifth in scoring (118.2 PPG). Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, the NBA’s leading scorer at 32.6 PPG, is supported by Jalen Williams (21.1 PPG) and Chet Holmgren (15.0 PPG, 8.2 RPG), who is expected to return after resting last game.

Minnesota struggles offensively, ranking 20th in scoring (111.6 PPG) but remains strong on defense, allowing 108.3 PPG (5th best). Anthony Edwards (27.5 PPG) leads the way but is questionable with a hip injury, while Julius Randle (18.9 PPG, groin) and Donte DiVincenzo (11.0 PPG, toe) remain out.

In their last meeting on December 31, 2024, OKC defeated Minnesota 113-105, fueled by Shai’s 40-point explosion and the Wolves’ 24 turnovers. Given Minnesota’s injury concerns and both teams playing last night, fatigue will impact the short-handed Timberwolves more.

Play the Thunder on Thursday.

02-12-25 Suns v. Rockets -6 Top 111-119 Win 100 20 h 46 m Show

The Phoenix Suns (26-27) are set to face the Houston Rockets (33-20) on Wednesday, February 12, 2025, at the Toyota Center in Houston. The Suns are currently 11th in the Western Conference, striving to break into the playoff picture. They have faced challenges recently, losing four of their last five games, including a 122-105 defeat to the Denver Nuggets on February 8. Their sole win in this stretch was against the Utah Jazz. The Rockets, positioned 5th in the Western Conference, have also encountered difficulties, dropping six of their last seven games. However, they secured a 94-87 victory over the Toronto Raptors on February 9, aiming to build momentum from this win. 

The Suns will be without guard Bradley Beal due to a left great toe sprain. Grayson Allen is listed as probable with left knee soreness, and Vasilije Micic is questionable due to a left ankle sprain. The Rockets have several key players on the injury list. Fred VanVleet is out with an ankle injury, and Jabari Smith Jr. remains sidelined due to a hand fracture sustained in early January. Alperen Sengun is day-to-day with lumbar soreness, and Tari Eason is also day-to-day, resting. 

For the Suns, Devin Booker leads with an average of 26.4 points and 6.6 assists per game. Kevin Durant contributes significantly, averaging 26.9 points per game. The Rockets' offense is spearheaded by Jalen Green, averaging 21.4 points per game. The potential absence of Alperen Sengun, who averages 19.0 points and 10.4 rebounds, could impact their performance. 

Betting Trend: The Suns had to play last night at home against the Memphis Grizzlies in a 112-119 loss. They turn around and hit the road for tonight's contest at Houston. Always tough to play the 2nd of a back-to-back spot, but more so when the second game requires travel. I'll take Houston tonight.

02-11-25 Pistons -4.5 v. Bulls Top 132-92 Win 100 17 h 34 m Show

The Detroit Pistons (27-26) take on the Chicago Bulls (22-31) on Tuesday, February 11, 2025, at the United Center in Chicago in a Central Division showdown. This marks their third meeting of the season, with each team having secured a win in their previous matchups.

The Pistons have been gaining momentum, winning four of their last six games. Their most recent victory, a 112-102 win over Charlotte, was fueled by Tobias Harris's 20 points and a triple-double performance from Cade Cunningham (19 points, 10 rebounds, 12 assists). Cunningham continues to lead the team, averaging 25.5 points, 6.4 rebounds, and 9.5 assists per game. However, Detroit faces a setback with Jaden Ivey out for the season due to a leg injury.

The Bulls have been struggling, dropping 11 of their last 15 games. In their 132-111 loss to Golden State, Coby White was a bright spot, leading the team with 27 points. White has been one of the Bulls' most consistent performers, averaging 18.7 points and 4.6 assists per game. However, Chicago’s defense remains a major concern, allowing 120.4 points per game, ranking among the league's worst. On the positive side, the Bulls recently extended Lonzo Ball’s contract for two years, signaling their commitment to his role moving forward.

This game will come down to Detroit’s offensive balance vs. Chicago’s struggling defense. The Pistons, led by Cunningham, have the weapons to exploit Chicago’s defensive weaknesses, while the Bulls will need a strong home-court effort to counter Detroit’s recent momentum.

With Detroit playing strong basketball and Chicago struggling defensively, I like the Pistons in this spot. Take Detroit.

02-10-25 Hornets v. Nets -3.5 Top 89-97 Win 100 18 h 25 m Show

The Brooklyn Nets (18-34) will host the Charlotte Hornets (13-37) on Monday, February 10, 2025, at Barclays Center in a battle between two struggling Eastern Conference teams. The Nets sit 12th in the East, while the Hornets rank 14th, both looking for any momentum in what has been a challenging season.

Brooklyn has shown signs of life recently, winning four of their last five games. Their latest victory, a dominant 102-86 win over Miami, showcased their defensive strength, holding the Heat to just nine fourth-quarter points. Cameron Johnson led the team with 18 points, while the Nets' defense has been outstanding, allowing just 103.3 points per game over their last 10 outings—ranking second in the league during that span. However, their offense continues to struggle, sitting 29th in the NBA at 105.3 points per game. Key contributors include Cam Thomas (24.7 PPG) and D’Angelo Russell (12.4 PPG, 5.0 APG).

The Hornets, on the other hand, have dropped seven of their last eight games and continue to face issues on both ends of the floor. Their offense ranks 28th, averaging 107.1 PPG, while their league-worst 43.1% field goal percentage further highlights their inefficiencies. Defensively, they allow 112.3 PPG, ranking 13th in the NBA. LaMelo Ball has been a bright spot, leading Charlotte with 28.0 PPG and 7.4 APG, while Miles Bridges adds 21.6 PPG and 3.7 APG. However, injuries have taken a toll, with key players like Brandon Miller sidelined.

Charlotte also playing the 2nd of a back-to-back spot here on Monday. They played at Detroit on Sunday, losing 102-112. 

With Brooklyn’s elite recent defensive performances and Charlotte’s continued struggles, particularly on the road, the Nets are the clear play tonight especially with Charlotte having played yesterday. Backing Brooklyn at home is the smart move in this matchup

02-04-25 Knicks v. Raptors +5.5 Top 121-115 Loss -108 16 h 7 m Show

The New York Knicks (33-17) head to Scotiabank Arena on Tuesday, February 4, 2025, to face the Toronto Raptors (16-33) in their final matchup of the season. The Knicks have dominated the series, winning all three previous meetings, but this game comes with added challenges.

New York, currently third in the Eastern Conference, is coming off a 124-118 home win over Houston on Monday night. Offensively, the Knicks are one of the league’s best, ranking fourth in scoring (117.7 PPG), third in field goal percentage (49.4%), and fourth in three-point shooting (37.8%). Their defense is solid, allowing just 110.6 PPG (8th in the NBA).

Meanwhile, the Raptors have found their groove, winning eight of their last ten—including an impressive 115-108 victory over the Clippers. RJ Barrett led the way with 20 points, while Jakob Poeltl contributed a double-double (10 points, 10 rebounds). Toronto averages 111.2 PPG (20th), shoots 47% from the field (13th), and hits 35.1% from deep (21st). Defensively, they allow 116.3 PPG (24th in the NBA).

Key Betting Edge: Scheduling & Fatigue 

The Knicks are on the second night of a back-to-back and had to travel for this matchup—a tough spot against a red-hot Raptors team playing their best basketball of the season.

The Play: Take Toronto to keep the momentum rolling! 

02-03-25 Bucks v. Thunder -9 Top 96-125 Win 100 20 h 20 m Show

The Oklahoma City Thunder (38-9) are set to defend their home court against the Milwaukee Bucks (26-21) on Monday, February 3, 2025, at the Paycom Center. This non-conference battle features the West’s top team taking on the East’s struggling fifth seed—and all signs point to a one-sided affair.

Oklahoma City is on fire, leading the Western Conference and coming off a dominant 144-110 victory over the Kings. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander continues his MVP-caliber season, averaging 32.4 PPG, 6.0 APG, and 5.3 RPG. The Thunder boast the NBA’s best defense, allowing just 104.7 PPG, while their offense ranks sixth overall at 117.0 PPG.

Meanwhile, the Bucks are reeling, dropping four of their last five, including a 119-132 home loss to Memphis on Sunday night. Giannis Antetokounmpo (31.8 PPG, 12.2 RPG) is dealing with a knee injury, while Damian Lillard (25.3 PPG, 7.3 APG) is battling a lingering groin issue. Khris Middleton (ankle), Brook Lopez (back), and Bobby Portis (personal reasons) are all listed as questionable, making Milwaukee’s already tough road game even more daunting.

One major red flag—the Bucks are playing back-to-back nights and had to travel to Oklahoma City, a brutal scheduling spot against a red-hot Thunder squad. With injuries piling up and fatigue setting in, this has all the makings of an Oklahoma City blowout.

Expect the Thunder to dominate and make a statement on Monday night!

02-02-25 Bulls v. Pistons -5 Top 119-127 Win 100 6 h 15 m Show

The Chicago Bulls (21-28) travel to Little Caesars Arena to take on the Detroit Pistons (24-24) on February 2, 2025. Chicago currently holds the 10th seed in the Eastern Conference, clinging to the final playoff spot, while Detroit sits at 7th as they look to solidify their postseason positioning.

The Bulls have hit a rough patch, losing eight of their last eleven games. Despite their struggles, their offense remains potent, ranking 7th in the league with 116.5 points per game, shooting 46.6% from the field and 37.2% from three. However, their defense has been a liability, allowing 119.8 points per game, putting them near the bottom of the NBA. In their latest victory over Toronto (Jan. 31), Coby White led the charge with 25 points. However, the team faces injury concerns, as Zach LaVine is doubtful (personal reasons) and Torrey Craig is out with a leg injury.

The Pistons have been inconsistent, dropping five of their last eight games, but they have been more solid at home. Offensively, they average 112 points per game, shooting 46.6% from the field and 36% from beyond the arc. Defensively, they allow 113.3 points per contest, giving them an edge over Chicago's struggling defense. Cade Cunningham has been red-hot, averaging 25.3 points and 9.2 assists per game. He dominated in Detroit’s recent win over Dallas (Jan. 31), putting up 40 points in a standout performance. However, the Pistons will be without Jaden Ivey, who is out for the season due to a leg injury.

The Bulls’ defensive struggles and injuries make this a tough matchup for them, especially against a Detroit team that has been stronger at home. With Cunningham playing at an elite level, expect the Pistons to capitalize on Chicago’s weaknesses. Play Detroit to take this one at home! 

01-16-25 Pacers v. Pistons -3 Top 111-100 Loss -108 9 h 33 m Show

The Indiana Pacers (22-19) are set to face the Detroit Pistons (21-19) at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit. Both teams sit right in the middle of the Eastern Conference with Indiana 6th and Detroit 7th, the Pistons a half game back of the Pacers. The Pacers are coming off a 127-117 home loss to the Cleveland Cavaliers but have been strong on the road, winning their last four away games. The Pistons have been impressive in 2025, winning seven of their last eight games, including a 124-119 victory against the New York Knicks. Cade Cunningham is pivotal for Detroit, averaging 24.5 points and 9.4 assists per game. The Pacers average 115.3 points per game (11th in the NBA) and allow 115.2 points per game (21st in the NBA). The Pacers do struggle on the boards where they are ranking 26th with 41.8 rebounds per game. The Pistons average 112.4 points per game (15th in the NBA) and allow 112.4 points per game (16th in the NBA). The Pistons excel in limiting opponents' rebounds, allowing only 42.1 per game (3rd best). Two evenly matched Eastern teams here tonight but Detroit is at home and I have them covering this game. Play Detroit.

12-26-24 Raptors v. Grizzlies -12.5 Top 126-155 Win 100 20 h 44 m Show

The Toronto Raptors (7-23) are set to face the Memphis Grizzlies (20-10) on Thursday at FedExForum in Memphis. The Raptors are currently on an eight-game losing streak, struggling to find their rhythm both offensively and defensively. They are next to last in the Eastern Conference with only Washington having a worse record. They average 112.1 ppg while allowing 117. 3 ppg. RJ Barrett (SG) leads the team with an average of 23.2 points per game, along with 6.8 rebounds and 6.0 assists. Memphis is 20-10 and in 3rd place in the West and coming off a loss. Jaren Jackson Jr. (C) is averaging 21.9 points, 5.8 rebounds, and 1.3 assists per game for the Grizzlies. The Grizzlies boast a potent offense, averaging 122.7 points per game, significantly higher than the Raptors' 112.1 points per game. Defensively, the Raptors have been allowing 117.3 points per game, which could be a concern against Memphis's high-scoring lineup. Memphis has the most home wins in the West (13). They should have little issues here tonight against this Pacers team from the East.

12-13-24 Suns -8 v. Jazz Top 134-126 Push 0 10 h 8 m Show

The Phoenix Suns will face the Utah Jazz tonight in Salt Lake City. The Suns, currently 12-11 and 10th in the Western Conference, are looking to improve their standing against the Jazz, who hold a 5-18 record and are 14th in the conference. Phoenix is set to welcome back key players from injury. Star forward Kevin Durant is expected to return after missing three games due to a left ankle sprain sustained on December 3 against the San Antonio Spurs. Durant has been a pivotal player for the Suns, averaging 25.8 points and 6.7 rebounds over 13 games this season. Additionally, center Jusuf Nurkic is slated to return after a five-game absence caused by a right thigh contusion. The Jazz have faced challenges recently, including a significant 141-97 loss to the Sacramento Kings on December 8. This matchup marks the second meeting between the two teams this season. In their previous encounter on November 12, the Suns emerged victorious with a 120-112 score, despite missing Kevin Durant. Devin Booker and Bradley Beal led Phoenix in that game, highlighting the team's depth. With the return of key players, the Suns are in a strong position here tonight against a weak opponent. I'll take the Suns and lay the price.

12-11-24 Hawks v. Knicks OVER 237 Top 108-100 Loss -110 9 h 0 m Show

The New York Knicks (15-9) are set to host the Atlanta Hawks (13-12) in the NBA Cup quarterfinals on Wednesday at Madison Square Garden. Currently fourth in the Eastern Conference, the Knicks have won 12 of their last 17 games. They average 117.8 points per game, ranking seventh in the league, and allow 111.0 points per game defensively. Seventh in the Eastern Conference, the Hawks have shown resilience, including a recent six-game winning streak. They average 117.1 points per game (eighth in the NBA) but have defensive challenges, allowing 119.8 points per game. Jalen Brunson (PG) leads the Knicks with a average of 25.4 points and 7.7 assists per game, Brunson is pivotal in orchestrating the Knicks' offense. Karl-Anthony Towns (C) is contributing 25.1 points and 13.2 rebounds per game, Towns is a dominant force in the paint. Atlanta Hawks guard Trae Young leading the league with 12.2 assists per game and averaging 20.9 points, Young is the engine of the Hawks' offense. This quarterfinal matchup is expected to be a high-scoring affair, featuring a compelling point guard duel between Jalen Brunson and Trae Young. Both teams should rack-up the points here on Wednesday. Take the OVER.

11-26-24 Bulls v. Wizards OVER 244.5 Top 127-108 Loss -110 15 h 28 m Show

Reason: The Chicago Bulls (7-11) are set to face the Washington Wizards (2-13) on Tuesday at Capital One Arena in Washington, D.C. Both teams have encountered challenges this season, with the Bulls losing four of their last six games and the Wizards enduring an 11-game losing streak. The Bulls have struggled defensively, allowing an NBA-worst 123.9 points per game. Offensively, they rank second in the Eastern Conference with 28.7 assists per game, led by Josh Giddey averaging 6.6 assists. The Wizards are allowing 122.9 points per game, ranking 29th in team defense. They average 12.0 made three-pointers per game, slightly below the 13.4 that the Bulls allow. Historically, the Bulls have a favorable record against the Wizards, leading the all-time series 133-110. In their most recent encounter on April 12, 2024, the Bulls edged out the Wizards 129-127. The Bulls are led Coby White who is averaging 19.1 points and 4.8 assists per game, playing a pivotal role in the Bulls' offense. Washington is led Jordan Poole who leads the Wizards with averages of 21.2 points, 4.9 assists, and 1.9 steals per game. Both of these teams have horrible defenses and we should see a lot of points here on Tuesday. The total is one of the highest we'll see this year at 244. I might be crazy, but I'm going to take this game OVER the total as both teams get into the 120's in this one. Play over.

11-18-24 Warriors -4 v. Clippers Top 99-102 Loss -109 11 h 14 m Show

The Golden State Warriors have the best winning percentage in the West with a 10-2 record and .833 win percentage. They are travelling down South tonight to the Intuit Dome in Inglewood to face the LA Clippers in a Pacific Division matchup. The Warriors are averaging 121.3 points per game, ranking third in the league, and allowing 110.8 points per game, placing them eighth defensively. Stephen Curry leads the team with 22.7 points, 5.1 rebounds, and 6.4 assists per game. Buddy Hield contributes 17.7 points per game, while Draymond Green adds 9.1 points, 5.5 rebounds, and 5.3 assists per game. The Clippers have faced challenges, currently at 6-7 and 11th in the West and on a three-game losing streak. They are averaging 109.7 points per game, ranking 22nd in the league, and allowing 109.9 points per game, placing them fourth defensively. James Harden leads the team with 21.1 points, 8.7 rebounds, and 9.9 assists per game. Ivica Zubac adds 17.4 points and 13.0 rebounds per game, while Norman Powell contributes 24.9 points per game. One thing that will help this Warriors team all season is their depth. They can go 12 deep in any game, something new HC Kerr has been able to exploit. That lets starters rest more and it's propelled them to 1st in the West right now. The Warriors laying just a few points here tonight so I'll take Golden State in this spot.

11-08-24 Wizards v. Grizzlies -7 Top 104-128 Win 100 8 h 21 m Show

 The Washington Wizards hold a 2-4 record, placing them second in the Southeast Division, while the Memphis Grizzlies are 4-4, standing third in the Southwest Division. The Wizards have faced challenges early in the season. Jordan Poole leads the team in scoring, averaging 11.6 points per game during the preseason. Corey Kispert has also contributed significantly, averaging 12.0 points per game. The Grizzlies are aiming for a bounce-back season after a disappointing 2023-24 campaign. Ja Morant's return is pivotal, and the team has bolstered its roster with additions like rookie center Zach Edey. In their last meeting on March 12, 2024, the Grizzlies defeated the Wizards 109-97. Trey Jemison led Memphis with 24 points, while Kyle Kuzma scored 24 points for Washington. Considering the Grizzlies' home-court advantage and their efforts to improve this season, the Grizzlies with a healthy Morant are the team to back here on Friday.

06-12-24 Celtics v. Mavs -1.5 Top 106-99 Loss -110 45 h 17 m Show

Game three of the NBA Finals as the venue moves from Boston to Dallas. The Celtics easily took game one, 107-89 and then too a much tougher game two, 105-98. The Celtics Jrue Holiday had 26 points to lead to Boston to a 2-0 series lead. The Mavs Luka Doncic was listed as injured but played and still scored 32 points with 11 rebounds and 11 assists. However, Doncic missed a 3-pointer with 28 seconds left that ended the Mavs comeback hopes in game two. The Mavs led after one quarter, 28-25 and trailed at the half 51-54. A much more competitive game for the Mavs. And, with the extra time off between games, game three not playing until Wednesday, this gives the Mavs and Doncic time to heal up any injuries. The Mavs in a must win spot here in game three as they can ill afford to go down 0-3 in the series. I'll take another shot with them here on Wednesday. Take the Dallas Mavericks.

05-23-24 Pacers +9 v. Celtics Top 110-126 Loss -110 9 h 13 m Show

 Game two of the NBA Eastern Conference Championship has the Indiana Pacers looking to regroup after giving away game one of this series in OT to the Celtics, 128-133. The Pacers gave the ball away late leading 117-114 and Jayson Tatum hit the game tying three-point shot with 6.1 seconds to play in regulation. Then Tatum scored 10 points in OT, part of his 36 for the game to give the Celtics the win. The Pacers have to be smarting knowing they were just one turnover away from leading this series 1-0. The Pacers used their high paced offense to scored 117 in regulation against the stingy Boston defense. The Pacers will need to clean up those 21 turnovers they have in game one if they hope to win here tonight. They shot almost 54% from the field in game one and 37% from the 3-point arc. The Pacers were red hot from the field and won the rebounding in game one. They did turn the ball over seven more times and only had 10 free throws. Still, they should be up 1-0 here in this series. I will take the points here in game two as the Pacers have proved they can play with the Celtics. Play Indiana.

05-19-24 Pacers v. Knicks -3.5 Top 130-109 Loss -110 14 h 12 m Show

There has been a common theme in the NBA this postseason, and it's called "punting." That's when a team gets down big in a non-elimination game and they pretty much give up. They pull their starters and let them rest even if they lose huge. We've seen that a lot in this Pacers vs Knicks series. The Knicks winning game six by 13 while the Pacers won game five by 31-points and then the Knicks winning game four by 32-points. Now today, this is an elimination game, it's game 7 and the loser is done. The Knicks got blown out in game six knowing they return home. They have bad a lot of injuries this postseason so for them, resting players has been a priority. The Knicks are about a 3 1/2 point favorite here on Sunday. The Knicks have beaten the Pacers in all three games at Madison Sq Garden. They won by 4-points, 9-points and 31-points. With rested stars here today and home court, I'll be on the Knicks in this game seven. Play New York.

05-18-24 Thunder v. Mavs UNDER 209.5 Top 116-117 Loss -109 10 h 42 m Show

Game six of this NBA Western Conference 2nd Round series between the Oklahoma City Thunder and Dallas Mavericks. The Thunder are down 2-3 and in a must win spot here on Saturday. They are coming off a loss at Oklahoma City in game five, 92-104, as a 4.5 point favorite. Four of the five games in this series have gone UNDER as we've seen the total start at 218.5 and slowly drop to today's lowest total of 209.5. The Thunder averaged 118.5 ppg during the regular season and have dropped to 104.6 ppg in the playoffs. They have also seen their defense go from allowing 111.2 ppg to just 97.4 ppg. Dallas averaged 116.4 ppg during the regular season and 105.5 ppg in the playoffs. They have allowed 114 ppg in the regular season to 102 ppg in the playoffs. This has been a low scoring series and I don't see much to change that outcome here on Saturday. Expect to see defense continue to shine here in game six on Saturday. Play the UNDER.

05-14-24 Pacers v. Knicks -2 Top 91-121 Win 100 19 h 32 m Show

Game five of this NBA Eastern Conference matchup between the Indiana Pacers and NY Knicks returns to New York on Tuesday. The Knicks led 2-0 as they headed to Indiana, but the Pacers took games three and four to even the series at 2-2. The Pacers blew out the Knicks in game four, cruising to a 121-89 win. The Knicks have been shorthanded due to injuries and it showed in the loss. The Pacers were to top scoring team in the regular season and now also in the postseason. They shot a blistering 56.8% from the field in game four and also hit 45.2% from the 3-point arc. The Knicks were shorthanded in game four, still they shot a dismal 33.7% from the field and 18.9% from the 3-point arc. Their stars, Jalen Brunson and Donte DiVincenzo had horrible games. They need them to play well if they hope for rebound win in game five. You have to throw out game four. Everything went right for the Pacers and everything went wrong for the Knicks. Don't expect that again here before the home crowd at Madison Square Garden. I look for the Knicks to rebound here in game five and take a 3-2 series lead. Play New York.

05-11-24 Thunder +3 v. Mavs Top 101-105 Loss -115 3 h 22 m Show

NBA Western Conference Game three here today as the venue shifts to Dallas for the Mavericks hosting the Thunder. The teams split the first two games at Okc with the Thunder winning the opener, 117-95 and the Mavs coming back in game two, 119-110. The Mavs hit a blistering 48.6% from the 3-point arc, their best since March 31. This number sitting as high as OKC +3.0 but seems to have settled at +2.5. Dallas was a 5.5-point dog in game two, so the line has shifting by 8 points. Oklahoma City was the top-ranked team in the Western Conference, so they know how to win and come back off a loss. You may lack experience, but Coach Mark Daigneault has this young team playing great defense. In the regular season, the Thunder were ranked fourth in defensive efficiency. The Mavericks were 16th in defense, sitting at 112.4 points per 100 possessions. As we have seen all postseason, defense has been ramped-up and the Thunder are the much better defensive team. P.J. Washington scored 29 points in game two, and he definitely won't be doing that again when he averaged just 12.9 points per game this season. I'm taking the Thunder here in game two today.

05-10-24 Nuggets +4.5 v. Wolves Top 117-90 Win 100 11 h 53 m Show

The defending NBA Champion Denver Nuggets have their collective backs up against the wall here today in game three of their NBA West 2nd Round matchup with Minnesota. The Nuggets lost both home games and are down 0-2 as they return to Minnesota today for game three. The Nuggets can ill afford to go down 0-3 in this series so they better bring their A game today. What they have in their corner is experience against this young Wolves club. Denver lost game one, 99-106 and then were neve in game two as they dropped that one, 80-106. They looks tired in that game two loss as they shot just 34.9% from the field and allowed 50% shooting. No NBA team has come back from a 0-3 deficit so the Nuggets know they are in a must win situation. Nikola Jokic was named MVP and will have to play like it today. Anthony Edwards has become a star in the NBA as he's averaging 32.3 ppg in the playoffs. I believe Denver still has a spark in them. They need Jokic and Murray to step up and lead this team. Denver is the correct play here today plus the points. Play Denver.

05-07-24 Cavs v. Celtics -11.5 Top 95-120 Win 100 12 h 35 m Show

The Cleveland Cavaliers and Boston Celtics begin their 2nd round Eastern Conference match here today. The Cavaliers needed seven games to dispose of Orlando. In fact, it didn't look too good in game seven on Sunday as they trailed 43-53 at the half. However, a 33-15 third quarter propelled them to the lead and they never looked back. Donovan Mitched scored 39 points for the Cavs. They covered three of the seven games. The Boston Celtics took five games to beat the Miami Heat. They lost game two, 94-111 and then beat the Heat by 20, 14 and 34 in the final three games as they covered four of the five games. The Celtics held the Heat to just 92.2 ppg in the playoff fist round. While Cleveland had to play Sunday, the Celtics have been off since their win to clinch the series on May 1st. The Celtics are rested and ready for this game one. They will dominate at the forward positions while the Cavs will not matchup well at all in this series. While the Celtics should have little trouble in the series, I expect a blowout here in game one. Take the Celtics.

04-25-24 Cavs v. Magic -1.5 Top 83-121 Win 100 9 h 34 m Show

 The Orlando Magic pretty much in a must win spot if they hope to stay alive in this best of seven series with the Cleveland Cavaliers. The Cavs have taken the first two games, including game two 96-86 on Monday. Donovan Mitchell led the Cavs with 23 points and Jarrett Allen added another 20. Paolo Banchero led the Magic with 21 points. The Magic hope home court cooking will improve on their dismal 36% from the field and 9-of-35 from the 3-point arc. These teams split the the four regular season games so Orlando does know they can beat the Cavs, they just need to make more shots. If Suggs is healthy enough then he can control Mitchell and the home court should be buzzing tonight. The Cavs have not shot well from 3-point land in either game so that's also a positive for the Magic. Orlando is in a must win spot here today and I expect their best performance. Take Orlando.

04-24-24 Pelicans +7.5 v. Thunder Top 92-124 Loss -108 11 h 46 m Show

NBA Western Conference action here tonight has the New Orleans Pelicans taking on the Thunder from Oklahoma City. This is game two of the series as the Thunder look to hold home court advantage and go back to New Orleans up 2-0. The Thunder took game one in a very close matchup, 94-92 on Sunday. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the Thunder with 28 points in the win. Thunder CJ McCollum missed a 3-pointer as time ran out for the possible win. New Orleans led at half and had chances to take game one despite a raucous crowd all wearing white. The Pelicans will have to shoot better than their 38.5% in game one if they hope to steal a game in OKC. Game one left a lot to be desired for offense on both sides. Both teams shot poor from the field and the 3-point arc. The Pelicans did control the glass in game one and will have to do so again here tonight. The youth of the Thunder showed in game one with a sub-par performance. Still a lot of points tonight as I expect another close game down to the wire. Take New Orleans.

04-19-24 Kings -1.5 v. Pelicans Top 98-105 Loss -110 43 h 53 m Show

The Pelicans will host the Kings in another Play-In game here on Thursday. This will be an elimination round game so the loser will go home. The winner will take the No 8 seed in the Playoffs and face No 1 Oklahoma City Thunder on Sunday. The Pelicans won all five of their regular season games vs the Kings. The Pelicans coming off a loss in their first Play-In game vs the Lakers, 106-110, as a 1-point favorite. The big news was the exit of Pelicans star Zion Williamson in the fourth quarter with a hamstring injury and he didn't return. Sacramento cruised to a blowout win over the Golden State Warriors in their elimination round game on Tuesday. While the Pelicans did sweep the season series, if they are without Williamson here on Thursday that will be of utmost concern. The Pelicans have the second fewest home wins of the remaining teams and even if Williamson does go, which doesn't look good right now, how effective will that hamstring let him play. Take Sacramento.

04-02-24 Knicks v. Heat -2.5 Top 99-109 Win 100 9 h 51 m Show

Two Eastern Conference teams battling for Playoff positioning here tonight as the Miami Heat host the NY Knicks. The Heat are 7th right now, just one game back of 6th place Indianapolis and 2.5 back of Orlando. That 6th place or better is important since it's an automatic bid to the playoffs and not a Play-In spot as 7 through 10 will be. The NY Knicks are 44-30 and in 4th place. However, they are just a half game ahead of 5th place Orlando and 3-games ahead of these Miami Heat. The Knicks look to snap a 2-game losing streak here tonight. They are coming off a loss at home to Oklahoma City, 112-113 as a 2-point dog. While the Knicks got the cover vs the late number, they actually opened a 3-point favorite in this game. The Knicks are now 20-16 S/U and 20-15-1 ATS on the road. The main issue is that the Knicks continue to battle injuries with players in and out of the lineup. The Miami Heat have won two straight, including their last game over Washington, 119-107 as a 12-point favorite. They are 19-17 at home S/U and 14-22 ATS on the season. They play better at home when the favorite, evidenced by their 0-9 home record when the dog. Tonight they are a small favorite and in that role they are 19-8 S/U and 13-14 ATS. This game bigger for the Heat as they look to climb out of that 7th spot and into a guaranteed playoff position. Play Miami.

03-25-24 Celtics -10 v. Hawks Top 118-120 Loss -110 9 h 59 m Show

The Boston Celtics have the best record in the NBA with a 57-14 overall mark. They have already clinched their division and lead the East by a whopping 11-games over Milwaukee. The Atlanta Hawks are holding onto that 10th and final postseason spot. They are 5.5-games ahead of 11th place Brooklyn and 2.5-games behind 10th place Chicago. The Celtics bring a nine-game win streak into today's contest. They are also 8-1 ATS during that span. The Celtics are 25-11 S/U and 18-16-2 ATS on the road with a +8.2 point differential. The Hawks are coming off a win at home over Charlotte, 132-91, as a 8-point favorite. The Hawks are just 2-5 S/U and ATS their last seven games. They are also just 24-46 ATS on the season and 12-22 ATS at home this year. This game comes down to how much the Celtics want to play here tonight. With huge leads in most categories they can blow out the Hawks if they want. I expect them to continue their recent run of wins and covers. Play Boston.

02-07-24 Pelicans v. Clippers -6.5 Top 117-106 Loss -110 20 h 39 m Show

The New Orleans Pelicans and the Los Angeles Clippers will face off in a Western Conference showdown on Wednesday, February 7, 2024 at the Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles. Both teams are riding on winning streaks, with the Clippers winning four straight games and the Pelicans winning three. The Clippers are one of the hottest teams in the NBA and have been dominant at home, posting a 19-4 record S/U and 14-9 ATS mark at the Crypto.com Arena. They are coming off a road win at Atlanta, 149-144, as 4-point favorites. The win was their fourth in a row and ninth in their last 10 games. They have also gone 8-2 ATS their last 10 games. They are top team in the Western Conference a few percentage points ahead of Oklahoma City, Minnesota and Denver. The Pelicans (29-21), winners of three straight and seventh in the West, are powered by a top-ten offense averaging 116.4 points per game. Led by Zion Williamson's 22.3 points, New Orleans is shooting 48.7% from the field and 37.7% from three. However, they have been inconsistent lately at 3-3 over their previous six games. This showdown features two of the NBA's top talents in Williamson and Leonard battling for playoff position for their respective teams. While both thrive as isolation scorers and shoot a high percentage inside, Zion has displayed better playmaking skills this season by creating shots for teammates. On the flip side, Leonard remains deadly from the perimeter at 37% from three while providing more value defensively. For me, I'm sticking with the Clippers as they have been so dominant at home and have the longer win streak. Play LA Clippers.

02-05-24 Kings v. Cavs -5 Top 110-136 Win 100 18 h 25 m Show

The Sacramento Kings are 29-19 as they head to Cleveland to face the Cavaliers on Monday. The Kings are 5th in the West, 4.5 games back of the Thunder and T'wolves for first place. The top five teams get automatic playoff bids while the next spots have to go to the Play-in round. Right now the Kings hold a 1.5 game advantage over New Orleans to stay out of the Play-In. The Kings are also 27-21 ATS and average 118.5 (8th in the NBA) ppg on the season while allowing 117.5 (20th in the NBA). The Kings finish their long seven game road trip here tonight. They have won two straight and six of their last seven games. The only loss on this trip coming on the 31st of Jan at Mimai, 106-115. They are coming off a win at Chicago last game, 123-115, as a +1-point dog. They also went over the 229 point total. The Kings are 15-11 S/U and 17-9 ATS on the road with their games averaging 230.7 ppg. The Cavaliers have won five straight games and sit at 31-16 S/U and 26-19-2 ATS. They average 114.3 ppg while allowing 109.7 ppg. They are 16-8 S/U and 13-11 ATS at home with their games averaging 226.2 ppg. They are 3rd in the Eastern Conference, five back of Boston for the top spot. They are coming off a win at San Antonio, 117-101, as 9-point favorites. They are 19th in scoring (114.3 ppg) and 3rd in defense (109.7 ppg). Both teams are hot, but this long road trip has to be taking a toll on the Kings and I see their win streak coming to an end tonight. Cleveland has lost only twice since Jan 1. I'll take the Cavs here at home tonight laying a decent number. Play Cleveland.

01-30-24 Jazz v. Knicks -3.5 Top 103-118 Win 100 9 h 28 m Show

The Utah Jazz conclude a long 6-game road trip here tonight when they visit the New York Knicks. They are coming off a loss at Brooklyn, 114-147, as a pick-em. They will also be playing their third game in the last four nights. The Jazz defense has been terrible as they have allowed an average of 130 points their last five games including that 147 to the Nets and 153 points to the Pelicans. They rank 23rd in the NBA with an average of 119.3 ppg allowed. The New York Knicks are one of the hottest teams in the NBA, having lost only twice in the month of January. They have won seven straight games including a blowout win at Charlotte last night, 113-92, as a 8-point favorite. They have also covered five straight and 12 of their last 15 games. The Knicks are 16-5 S/U and 13-7-1 ATS with a +10.2 point differential on their home court including a 5 game win streak at home both S/U and ATS. The Knicks play excellent defense, ranked 2nd in the NBA with a 109.8 ppg average. I had the Knicks last night vs Charlotte as my NBA Game of the Month and they didn't disappoint in a big win. I'm sticking with them here tonight as they have been dominant on their home court and the Jazz have to be very tired of this road swing. Play New York.

01-29-24 Knicks -8 v. Hornets Top 113-92 Win 100 9 h 0 m Show

Have the Charlotte Hornets bailed on the rest of the season? Sure looks that way. The Hornets are 10-34 S/U and 16-27-1 ATS on the season. They have lost three straight and 10 of their last 12 games. They are also 2-9-1 ATS during that span. The Hornets ae 5-16 S/U and 8-12-1 ATS at home with a -11 point differential. So why have they tossed in the towel on this season? Take Terry Rozier, their leading scorer, they traded him away last week. Apparently the team is moving toward a rebuild from the draft. Now, All-Star guard LaMelo Ball might also be out with an ankle injury. The Hornets have pretty much said everyone is available to trade right now. They are 28th in scoring defense and 27th in field goal percentage. As for the Knicks, they are red-hot. They are 29-17 S/U and 27-18-1 ATS. They have won six straight and 12 of their last 14 games. That includes a 38-point thrashing of Denver just a few night's ago. The Knicks are also 11-3 ATS their last 14 games. The Knicks could be without their second leading scorer in Randle, who was injured last game with a shoulder issue. However, they really won't need here tonight against an undermanned and unmotivated Charlotte club. Take the Knicks.

01-24-24 Cavs v. Bucks -6.5 Top 116-126 Win 100 19 h 4 m Show

A Eastern Conference Central Division clash here on Wednesday has the Cleveland Cavaliers heading to Milwaukee to play the Bucks. Some very interesting events happen in this game tonight which is why I'm playing this game as my Central Division Game of the Year. The Cavs are one of the hottest teams in the NBA, having won eight straight games and covering seven of those. One of those games was a 40-point blowout win over the Bucks last Wednesday. Keep this in mind. The Cavs are 4th in the Eastern Conference with a 26-15 record and 23-16-2 spread mark. They are also decent on the road with a 11-7 S/U and 10-6-2 ATS record. The Milwaukee Bucks are 2nd in the Eastern Conference and you might think that is very good. But the Bucks just fired head coach Adrian Griffin after 43 games. The Bucks 30-13 record you would think was good enough for job security. However, it's been rumored that he lost support in the locker room of the star players and that would be Giannis Antetokounmpo and Damian Lillard. More rumors may have Doc Rivers coming into coach the team. Milwaukee has won two straight, but both of those came against Detroit. They are also 5-1 in their last six which did include a 33-point home win over Boston. The Bucks are 19-3 S/U and 8-14 ATS at home, outscoring opponents by a +7 point differential. The two factors that have me on the Bucks tonight are the firing of their head coach. If the stars are the reason, then they will come out tonight and unite this team. Plus they have motivation after that humiliating 40-point loss to the Cavs just a week ago. I usually like a team in their next game after firing a coach. Seems to unite the players and motivate them. I see that here tonight as the coach wasn't liked by the players and that burden now gone they can let loose. Take the Bucks in a revenge win over the Cavs tonight.

01-19-24 Hawks v. Heat -6.5 Top 109-108 Loss -109 9 h 15 m Show

The Atlanta Hawks are 17-23 S/U and 10-30 ATS on the season. They are the worst covering team in the NBA. They average 121 ppg which is near the top of the NBA in scoring, however they also allow 123 ppg. They are coming off a win over Orlando, 106-104, but failed to cover the 4.5-point favorite line. That makes them 1-3 ATS over their last four and 2-5 ATS over their last seven. They are now 8-12 S/U and 6-14 ATS on their road. Miami Heat leads the Southeast division with a 24-17 S/U and 18-21-2 ATS record. They have the best scoring defense in the division, allowing 110.9 ppg. They are also 12-7 S/U and 8-11 ATS at home this season. They are coming off a blowout loss at Toronto on Wednesday, 97-121, as a 3-point favorite. That snapped a three game win streak for the Heat. It's been good for bettors to go against the Hawks this year. Moreover, Last time these teams met was back on Dec 22 in Miami where the Heat took that game, 122-113, as a 1-point favorite. I'll lay the points at home with Miami here tonight.

01-17-24 Magic +3.5 v. Hawks Top 104-106 Win 100 19 h 30 m Show

The Orlando Magic are 22-18 S/U and 24-14-2 ATS on the season. They are coming off a win at the Knicks, 98-94, as a 6-point dog. The Magic are one of the best teams in the NBA against the spread with a 63.2% winning mark. Meanwhile the Hawks are the worst covering team in the NBA, going 10-29 ATS (25.6%), way below the next worst team in the Phoenix Suns. The Hawks roster is also in disarray, DeAndre Hunter is a top defender and outside shooter, but he is out. There are also trade rumors swirling around Dejounte Murray. Murray has only scored 13 points in each of his last two games as trade rumors repeatedly can might be effecting his current play. The Magic beat the Hawks by seven just ten days ago, 117-110, as a 2.5-point favorite. The Magic are also deep at all positions and they have two players coming off the bench scoring double figures with Cole Anthony and Moritz Wagner coming off the bench. I like the Magic here to win this game as Atlanta continue to have issues. Play Orlando.

01-16-24 Nuggets v. 76ers -2.5 Top 121-126 Win 100 10 h 53 m Show

It's an East vs West clash here on Tuesday in the NBA as the Denver Nuggets make the trip to Philly to take on the 76ers. Denver has won two straight games, both at home, after their win over Indiana 117-109 as a 10.5 -point favorite. The Nuggets have to make the long trip East to start this Eastern swing five game road trip. The Nuggets are 28-13 S/U and 19-22 ATS on the season. However, the are just 11-9 S/U and 7-13 vs the spread on the road. Denver averages 116.2 ppg (13th) and hits 37.8% from the 3-point arc (9th). They allow 111 ppg (3rd). The Philadelphia 76ers are 25-13 S/U and ATS this season. They average 119.8 ppg while allowing 111.6 ppg. Philly is 15-6 ATS at home and has a +10.2 point differential. The have won and covered their last two games, both at home. That includes the last game vs Houston, 124-115, as a 8.5-point favorite. Philly ranks 1st in 3-point defense and 1st in steals this year. Denver hasn't been covering spreads on the road while Philly has been very good at home. I'll lay the points here with the Sixers.

01-10-24 Wizards v. Pacers -7.5 Top 104-112 Win 100 8 h 55 m Show

The Indiana Pacers are the highest scoring team in the NBA and today they look to win their second in a row as they host the Washington Wizards. The Pacers are 21-16 S/U and ATS on the season. They average 126.5 ppg while allowing 124.3 ppg. They get a bit better at home with a 12-8 S/U and ATS record. They also average 128.4 ppg and allow 121.4 ppg on their home floor. The Pacers are coming off a split with back-to-back games vs the Celtics. They lost the first game, 101-118, then rebounded with a win in the second game, 133-131, as a 3.5-point dog. The Washington Wizards are having a horrible season at 6-30 S/U and 18-18 ATS. They average 115.5 ppg while allowing 126.3 ppg. Away from home they are 3-17 S/U and 12-8 ATS, scoring 114.7 ppg and allowing 125.9 ppg. They have lost five games in a row and are 1-3 ATS their last four games. These teams met back in Washington on Dec 15 with the Pacers taking that one, 137-123 as a 8.5 point dog. I expect the Pacers to get over their season average here tonight in points. Take Indiana.

12-15-23 Pacers -8.5 v. Wizards Top 123-137 Loss -110 7 h 44 m Show

The Indiana Pacers come into tonight's contest with a 13-10 S/U and ATS record. The Pacers lead the NBA in scoring with a 128.4 ppg average. They are coming off a loss at Milwaukee, 126-140, as a 6.5-point dog. The club is 1-2 in their last three games both S/U and ATS. However, they are 4-2 ATS their last six games. They are also 5-4 S/U and ATS on the road and average 130.8 ppg away from home. The Washington Wizards having a terrible season at 3-20 S/U and 10-13 ATS. The Wizards only win since Nov 10 came on Nov 27 against an equally inept team, Detroit, 126-107. Washington has lost three straight games both S/U and ATS including last game vs the Pelicans, 122-142, as a 6.5-point dog. It doesn't get much better at home where they are 1-8 S/U and 2-7 ATS and are being outscore by a 13.2 margin. Going to be hard for the Wizards to keep up with the NBA's highest scoring team tonight. Play Indiana.

12-14-23 Thunder v. Kings OVER 244.5 Top 123-128 Win 100 12 h 41 m Show

Oklahoma City Thunder having a good season thus far at 15-7 S/U and 15-6-1 ATS on the season. They are also 12-9-1 Over/Under. The Thunder have won two straight games, scoring 138 and 134 points in those games. They have gone over in four of their last five games. The Thunder average 120.4 ppg and allow 112.8 ppg on the season. Sacramento is 13-9 S/U and 12-10 ATS on the season. The Kings are coming off a loss at the Clippers, 99-119, as 3.5-point dogs. They have gone over in six of their last eight games. The Kings average 116.3 ppg and allow 116.9 ppg. That goes up at home to 121.6 ppg and allow 120.1 ppg. I like the over here tonight.

12-13-23 Grizzlies v. Rockets -7 Top 104-117 Win 100 7 h 15 m Show

The Memphis Grizzlies are just 6-16 S/U and 9-13 ATS on the season. They are playing Rockets, back-to-back and tonight is the first of the two games in Houston. The Grizzlies are coming off a loss to Dallas, 113-120, as a 1.5-point home dog. That makes two losses in a row both S/U and ATS. The Grizzlies are 5-6 S/U on the road and 6-5 ATS. They have not performed well overall as a dog, going 2-13 S/U and 5-10 ATS and being outscored by 11.2 ppg. The Houston Rockets improved to 11-9 S/U with a win in their last game over the Spurs, 93-82, covering the 9.5-point spread. That was their third win in a row both S/U and ATS. In fact this Rockets team has now covered 14 of their last 17 games. They have been great at home, going 10-1 S/U and ATS and outscoring their visitors by a 12.7 point margin. I like the Rockets tonight at home. Play Houston.

11-08-23 Raptors v. Mavs -4.5 Top 127-116 Loss -110 8 h 4 m Show

The Toronto Raptors visit Dallas tonight to take on the Mavericks. Toronto looks to get back to the .500 mark with a win tonight as they sit 3-4 overall on the season. They are also 4-3 vs the spread. The Raptors are averaging 107.1 ppg while allowing 107.4 ppg. This will be their third straight game on the road as they are coming off a win at San Antonio, 123-116, as a 3.5-point favorite. Dallas is off to a nice start at 6-1 on the season. They are coming off a blowout win on the road at Orlando, 117-102, as a 1-point favorite. Their lone loss of the season thus far is to defending champ Denver, 114-125. The Mavs are also 4-3 vs the spread and are outscoring opponents at home by 6.7 ppg. I like the Mavs tonight. Play Dallas.

06-12-23 Heat v. Nuggets OVER 209.5 Top 89-94 Loss -110 6 h 14 m Show

The Denver Nuggets on the verge of winning their first ever NBA Championship here tonight on their home court. After the teams split the first two games in Denver, the Nuggets took the next two in Miami, 109-94 and 108-95. Some good news for the Heat is that guard Tyler Herro will play tonight as he's nursing a hand injury. Denver is the best team offensively in the playoffs and that has showed. But I do believe the coach and management of the Heat are too good to let this team just give up. That's why I'm looking at the over here tonight. Only one game of the four has gone over and that was the Heat win in game two in Denver, 111-108. The Heat shot great from the 3-point line, 48.6% and that's what I believe they have to do again here tonight. They can't go toe-to-toe with this Denver team. They have to outscore them as they did in game two hitting nearly 50% from the 3-point line. They need to do that here again. If they can get near that 50% from 3-point, this game goes over. It's all up to the Heat in this one since I believe Denver will get their points as they have done all series long. Take the OVER tonight in game 5.

06-09-23 Nuggets v. Heat +3.5 Top 108-95 Loss -109 18 h 1 m Show

Game four of the NBA Finals has the Denver Nuggets with a two games to one lead. The teams split the first two games in Denver and in their first game in Miami, the Nuggets dominated from start to finish winning, 109-94, covering the spread and the game going under. The Nuggets have now shot above 50% from the field in all three games while game three was their worst 3-point shooting at just 27.8%. Miami had their worst shooting performance in game three, hitting just 37% overall and 31.4% from the 3-point arc. This series has thus far been a classic rebound type series. The Nuggets take game one, Miami game two and then Denver game three. I look for the Heat to rebound again here in game four. They had a pretty dismal performance in game three and will look to make amends for that showing. Take the points here in game four with the Miami Heat.

06-07-23 Nuggets v. Heat UNDER 214.5 Top 109-94 Win 100 33 h 52 m Show

I had the over in game 2, but today I'm taking a look at the UNDER. I fully expected the Heat to come out big in game 2 after that lackluster performance in game 1. They did just that, using a huge fourth quarter to not only cover the 8.5-point dog line, but win straight up. They also just made it over the total. Both teams shot very well in game 2, Miami hitting 48.7% from the field and a blistering 48.6% from 3-point. The Nuggets were 52% from the field and 39.3% from 3-points. Despite all that great shooting, they just got the over. Game one went under, not even getting close to the 219 total. Game 2 going over by just three points. Tonight, I expect these teams to slow back down and even if they don't I don't believe they can make the over. Miami has gone under in five of their last six playoff games. Denver is 3-5 O/U in their last eight playoff games. Take the UNDER in game three tonight.

05-29-23 Heat +7.5 v. Celtics Top 103-84 Win 100 21 h 54 m Show

The Boston Celtics look to make history here today as the only team ever to come back from an 0-3 deficit to win a series. Game 6 was a great game and we can only hope game 7 here on Monday is as good. For me, I'm taking the points here today. I don't feel Miami will just roll over and give in. This is still a lot of points to lay in a NBA conference finals. Take Miami plus the points.

05-25-23 Heat +8 v. Celtics Top 97-110 Loss -107 10 h 19 m Show

 The Celtics could have easily rolled over and went quietly after being down 0-3 in this series with the Heat. But, they didn't and won easily on game four, 116-99. The Celtics shot 51.2% from the field and a series best 40% from the 3-point arc. The only negative is that they were out-rebounded for the third time in the series. So here we are in game five and the Celtics face the arduous task of trying to become the ONLY team in NBA history to come from a 0-3 deficit to win a series. The oddsmaker thinks they have a good shot tonight, making them an eight-point favorite. For me, that's too many points to give this Heat team that has already beaten the Celtics at Boston twice in this series. I'll take the points here tonight with Miami.

05-20-23 Nuggets v. Lakers -5.5 Top 119-108 Loss -110 15 h 2 m Show

I had the Lakers in game two because I liked the momentum that had in the fourth quarter of game one. They made that huge comeback and gave Denver a big scare. Game two they had that same energy for the first three quarters and led by as much as 10-points. But Jamal Murray went wild in the 4th with 20 points and the Lakers lost, but did get the cover - just barely. So, how will game three play out? First, the Lakers transition game has to get better than it did in games one and two. Second, while the Lakers have a very deep team, Lebron and Anthony Davis need to step up their scoring. If Davis and James get their rear ends in gear here in game three, they will win. Plus, both teams have been much better on their home courts. Must win spot here today for the Lakers. I'm taking them minus the points. Play LA Lakers.

05-16-23 Lakers v. Nuggets -6 Top 126-132 Push 0 19 h 34 m Show

The Lakers and Nuggets begin their seven game Western Conference Finals here tonight from Denver. The Lakers went six games to dispose of the Golden State Warriors, winning game six in a blowout, 122-101. In fact, only two of the six games in the series were decided by five points or fewer. The Lakers also lost two of three on the road in that series, by 15, 27 and they won game one by 5-points. The Lakers are now 1-4 ATS in their last five road games. Denver also won their series with Phoenix in six games. And like the Lakers series, only two games were within seven points. The other four were blowout wins. The Nuggets are 6-1 ATS their last seven at home vs a team with a losing road record. The Nuggets are also 5-1-1 ATS their last seven vs the Lakers from Denver. I'm taking Denver in game one and if it sticks to script, likely a blowout win by the Nuggets.

05-14-23 76ers v. Celtics -6.5 Top 88-112 Win 100 6 h 45 m Show

Game seven of this NBA Eastern Conference Semifinal match between the 76ers and the Lakers. The winner goes to the conference finals. Philly could have closed this series out in game six at home but came up short to the Celtics, 86-95. The Sixers shot just 36.1% from the field (their lowest of the series). They also shot 23.5% from the 3-point arc, their second worst of the series. While Boston has regained home court, home court hasn't been all that kind to them. The Celtics have lost two of their three games at home to Philly, including game five, 103-115. The Sixers star forward, Joel Embiid, is probable today with a knee injury. I like the Celtics today, mainly because the Sixers blew their chance in game six. Boston just too good a team all season long to give up a game seven on their home court. Play Boston.

05-12-23 Warriors v. Lakers UNDER 220.5 Top 101-122 Loss -110 9 h 38 m Show

It's game six of the NBA Western Semifinals as the Warriors take on the Lakers from LA. The Warriors face elimination again here today. They faced elimination in game five and beat the Lakers at home, 121-106. Now they have to win game six in LA to return home for a game seven. Problem is that they have lost both games in LA by 97-127 and 101-104 scores. Two of the last three games have also gone UNDER. These teams have also gone under in their last four meetings in LA. Lakers forward Anthony Davis has been upgraded to probable for this game with a head injury. I like this game to go under tonight. They seem to play tighter in LA and I look for that again here tonight. Play the UNDER.

05-10-23 Lakers v. Warriors -7 Top 106-121 Win 100 20 h 56 m Show

Golden State and the Lakers play game five of their best of seven series with the Lakers holing a 3-1 lead and the Warriors facing elimination here tonight. The Lakers took game four at home on Monday, 104-101, and either covered or didn't depending on the number you got. For me, I had the Warriors but found a 3.5 and got the win. The Warriors are a very experience and well seasoned team and I don't expect them to go quietly. I'm taking the Warriors here tonight to get back in the fight. Play Golden State.

05-08-23 Warriors +3.5 v. Lakers Top 101-104 Win 100 21 h 24 m Show

The Lakers and Golden State Warriors play game four of their best of seven series here tonight from LA. The Lakers lead this series two games to one after winning game three, 127-97. The Lakers hit 52.5% from the field to just 39.6% for the Warriors. They also hit 48.4% from the three-point arc to just 29.5% for the Warriors. Both teams are as healthy as they have been all year so that won't be of concern tonight. The Warriors usually bounce back well, going 6-1 ATS their last seven games after a straight-up loss and 4-0 ATS after a straight-up loss of 10-points or more. We saw Golden State do this in the Kings series, losing game six by 19-points and then coming back and winning game seven by 20-points. I look for a rebound game here tonight from the Warriors as they even this series tonight. Play Golden State.

05-03-23 76ers +8 v. Celtics Top 87-121 Loss -114 7 h 31 m Show

The Boston Celtics blew a big lead in game one of this best of seven series with the Sixers. Now they are in the hole down 0-1 in the series and almost in a must win situation. What's more impressive is that Sixers won this game without their star forward Joel Embiid, who missed the game with a knee injury. Today, Embiid has been upgraded to probable. We are looking at an inflated line here tonight. I can see the Celtics winning this game, but not by the seven or eight points the line is now and was once at 10 points. With Embiid back, I look for the Sixers to once again be in this game. Embiid is rested, is the MVP and will be ready for a big game tonight. I'm taking the points in this one.

04-30-23 Warriors +1.5 v. Kings Top 120-100 Win 100 4 h 58 m Show

 Game seven here tonight. The Warriors blew a big chance to advance with their game six at home, but lost 99-118 as a 6.5-point favorite. So now we have game seven back in Sacramento. The Kings lost game five at home, 116-123. So really each team has lost their last game on their home court. Game seven for me comes down to this. The Warriors have been here before, they are extremely experienced in the playoffs and have the veteran players to take over this kind of game. The Kings have not been in this spot, in fact just being in the playoffs. In fact you have to go back to 2005-06 when they lost 2-4 to the Spurs for their last playoff series. So for me, it comes down to experience and the Warriors hold all the cards in this one. I'll take Golden State.

04-23-23 Cavs +2.5 v. Knicks Top 93-102 Loss -110 2 h 32 m Show

The Cleveland Cavaliers look to even their best of seven series with the Knicks here today. The Knicks lead the series 2 games to 1 after winning on Friday, 99-79. All three games have gone under the total and the Cavs have gone under in five straight games. The Cavs where held to just 38.8% from the field in their 79 points in game three. They also hit just 21.2% from the 3-point arc. The Cavs usually bounce back well after an ATS loss, evidenced by their 13-6-1 ATS record the last 20 times. Cavs have been the better team all season and I don't see them going down 1-3 in this series today. I'll take the few points but look for an outright Cavaliers win here on Sunday. Play Cleveland.

04-22-23 Grizzlies v. Lakers -4 Top 101-111 Win 100 20 h 5 m Show

It's been an injury plagued NBA postseason thus far and none bigger than the Timberwolves guard Ja Morant who has been battling a hand injury. Morant missed game two but has returned to full practice, though he's considered questionable for game three here on Saturday. The Lakers didn't take advantage of his abscense in game two, never being in the game from the start to the 10-point loss, 93-103. The Lakers had been hot too, taking game one vs Memphis 128-112 and winning eight of their previous nine games before that loss in game two. Their two stars, Lebron James and Anthony Davis both still show up on the injury report but both remain probable here tonight. The Grizzlies are just 7-20 ATS in their last 27 road games vs a team with a winning home record. They are also 2-5 ATS in their last seven overall road games. The Lakers have been rebounding nicely of late, evidenced by thei 7-2 ATS record their last nine following a straight-up loss. The Lakers have covered five of the last seven meetings in LA and that's what I'm looking for again here today. Play the Lakers.

04-20-23 Suns v. Clippers +2.5 Top 129-124 Loss -110 21 h 57 m Show

The Clippers return home after splitting the first two games at Phoenix. They took game one, 115-110, but lost game two, 109-123. Now they hold home court advantage as they return to LA. This will actually be the third game in a row between these teams as they met on the final day of the regular season and won at Phoenix, 119-114. LA has been out-shot in both playoff games, 47.6% to 44.1% in their win and 58.8% to 43.8% in their loss. The Clippers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine times following a ATS loss. They are also 5-2 ATS in their last seven Conference Quarterfinals games. The Suns have been just average on the road this year, going 22-21 S/U and ATS and scoring 114.3 ppg while allowing 115.6 ppg. They are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games. Yet, here the Suns are a 2 to 2 1/5 point favorite at LA tonight. I'll take the points since I look for the Clippers to win game three. Play LA.

04-19-23 Lakers v. Grizzlies Top 93-103 Loss -110 18 h 8 m Show

The LA Lakers look to be peaking at just the right time of the season. They took game one of this seven game series at Memphis on Sunday, 128-112 and now look to take a commanding 2-0 lead as they head back to LA. The Lakers have won four straight games and 11 of their last 13 games. Most of this due to the fact that for really the first time all season their stars, Lebron James and Anthony Davis, are both healthy. But they also got their best game out of a player they got mid season from the Wizards, Rui Hachimura, who had 29 points. Austin Reaves was also a standout for LA with 23 points. While both popped up on the injury report with foot issues, they are both probable for tonight. Can't say the same for the struggling Grizzlies. Their star guar Ja Morant, is questionable tonight with a hand injury. Morant missed the final six minutes of game one after the injury occurred. The Grizzlies have lost two in a row and four of their last six games. Also remember that their two best big players, Steven Adams and Brendan Clarke are out for the playoffs. Must win spot for the Grizzlies and with injury concerns. Plus they are facing a resurgent Lakers team! I'll take the Lakers here in game two.

04-11-23 Wolves v. Lakers -7.5 Top 102-108 Loss -110 21 h 58 m Show

 The LA Lakers made a late season rush to improve and climb into the play-in picture here tonight. The Lakers finished at 43-39 on the season and won eight of their last 10 games. The Lakers are also 4-1 ATS in their last five games vs a team with a winning record. The Minnesota Timberwolves finished right behind the Lakers at 42-40. They won their last three games and seven of the last 10 games. The bigger question is what is the status of the Lakers big stars. Lebron James (foot) and Anthony Davis (foot) both are expected to play here tonight. T'Wolves Karl Anthony Towns (calf) is questionable. I like the Lakers when they have their stars both in the lineup as they will tonight. I'll lay the points with the Lakers.

03-29-23 Clippers v. Grizzlies -4 Top 141-132 Loss -105 9 h 26 m Show

Western Conference clash has two playoff teams looking to keep or improve their standings in the playoff hierarchy. The LA Clippers are 5th with a 40-36 record, but just 3.5 games separate 4th place from 11th place so anything can happen. The Grizzlies have locked up a playoff spot with their 48-27 record as they sit second in the West, 3-games back of top dog Denver. The Clips have split their last six games, going 3-3 S/U and ATS. They are coming off a win over Chicago, 124-112, as a 4.5-point favorite. LA is jus 3-9 ATS their last 12 playing on one day of rest. They are also 3-7 ATS their last 10 road games playing a home team with a 60% or better win percentage. Meanwhile, Memphis has won seven straight games and 11 of their last 12. They are 5-5-1 ATS during that span. They are coming off a win over Orlando, 113-108, as a 7-point favorite. The Grizzlies are 35-16 ATS in their last 51 home games. They are also 5-0 ATS in their last five meetings with the Clippers and 4-1 ATS in their last five at Memphis. I'll take the Grizzlies here tonight.

03-27-23 Rockets v. Knicks -13.5 Top 115-137 Win 100 8 h 29 m Show

The Houston Rockets have the 2nd worst record in the NBA at 18-57, only Detroit has fewer wins. The Rockets have also lost five straight and seven of their last 10 games. Houston has also been bad on the road, going 11-23-3 ATS and allowing a whopping 122.3 ppg. The Rockets playing the 2nd of a back-to-back spot here tonight. They played at Cleveland last night and lost 91-108, failing to cover the 14-point dog line. The Rockets are just 1-8 ATS in their last nine with no rest. The Knicks are 5th in the East with a 42-33 and have lost three straight games. They are still 12-6 ATS in their last 18 games and 6-2-1 ATS their last nine home games. The Knicks have covered the last six of seven in this series. I'll lay the big points tonight with New York.

03-24-23 Rockets v. Grizzlies -13 Top 114-151 Win 100 10 h 2 m Show

The Houston Rockets are the worst team in the West at 18-55 and have been eliminated from the Playoffs. They have lost three straight and six of their last 10. They are coming off a loss at Memphis, 125-130, but covered the 12.5-point line. They do a bit better vs the spread, going 7-10 ATS their last 17 games. The Rockets are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 road games and 8-21 ATS in their last 29 road games vs a team with a winning record. The Grizzlies are 2nd in the West and have already secured a playoff spot. They are 45-27 and have won four straight and seven of their last 10 games. The Grizzlies are 42-19-2 ATS in their last 63 home games. Should be an easy win tonight for the Grizzlies. They didn't cover on Wednesday vs this same team, however I don't see Houston putting up the same effort tonight. Play Memphis.

03-19-23 Clippers -3.5 v. Blazers Top 117-102 Win 100 11 h 45 m Show

Western Conference clash here on Sunday has the LA Clippers taking on the Trailblazers from Portland. The Clippers are in 5th in the West with a 37-34 record. The Clippers are 10-games back of the Nuggets for 1st in the West. Looks more like they will need to fend off those behind them as seven teams are within 3.5 games of the Clippers. The Clippers had their four game win streak snapped last game vs Orlando, 108-113, as a 6.5-point favorite. That also made them 4-2 ATS their las six games. Portland is in 13th place in the West, 3-games back of 10th place Utah and 5.5 games back of the Clippers. The Blazers look to snap a five game losing streak here today. They are also 2-8 S/U their last 10 games. Portland is also 3-7 ATS their last 10 games. When playing on 1 day rest they are 6-19-1 ATS their last 26 times. They also haven't done well at home recently, going 2-8-1 ATS their last 11. The Clippers have covered nine of the last 11 in this series and I look for that again here on Sunday. Play the Clippers.

03-14-23 Nets v. Thunder -1.5 Top 107-121 Win 100 11 h 33 m Show

The Brooklyn Nets sit 6th in the Eastern Conference as they bring a 2-game win streak into today's contest. They have also won five of their last six and covered six straight but are just 5-5 their last 10 games. The OKC Thunder are 5-5 also their last 10 games and are in 10th place in the West. They score the fourth most points per game at 117.8 ppg. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been great for the Thunder, averaging 31.2 ppg on the season. Though he has an abdominal injury, he is listed as probable for today's contest. The Nets traded away Durant and Irving before the All-Star game and while they have been winning, I don't think this team is nearly as good without those star players. I'll take Oklahoma City here tonight.

02-11-23 Bulls v. Cavs -4.5 Top 89-97 Win 100 9 h 49 m Show

 Eastern Conference clash here today has 4th place Cleveland taking on 9th place Chicago. Chicago is 26-29 overall on the season. They have lost two straight games including last game vs the Nets, 105-116, as a pick'em. The Bulls are 9-18 S/U and 13-14 ATS on the road. The Bulls are also 1-4 ATS in their last four road games. The Cavs are 36-22 overall this season and have won five straight games both S/U and ATS. They are coming off a win over the Pelicans, 118-107, as a 3-point road favorite. The Cavs have been a great home team, going 23-6 S/U and 20-9 ATS. The Cavs are also 4-1 ATS in their last five home games. Take Cleveland

02-01-23 Blazers v. Grizzlies -5.5 Top 122-112 Loss -110 6 h 23 m Show

The Portland Trailblazers are just under the playoff line right now as we get closer to the half way point of the season. The Blazers are 24-26 in the tough Western Conference, but are a couple games back of New Orleans right now for that last playoff spot. Portland is coming off a home win over Atlanta, 129-125, as a 2.5-point favorite. Despite the win, they are just 3-4 S/U and ATS their last seven games. They are also 4-10 ATS their last 14 overall games and 0-8 ATS their last eight road games. Meanwhile, Memphis sitting 2nd in the Western Conference with a 32-18 record, 2.5-games back of Denver. The Grizzlies have been great at home, going 21-3 S/U and 16-8 ATS. They also outscore their visitors by a 119.7 to 108.5 ppg average. Moreover, they are 36-14-1 ATS in their last 51 home games. I'll take the Grizzlies here tonight and lay the points.

01-30-23 Hawks v. Blazers OVER 236.5 Top 125-129 Win 100 9 h 7 m Show

The Atlanta Hawks look to get above the .500 mark as they continue their Western road trip at Portland tonight. The Hawks have dropped to 25-25 with their recent 1-3 slide. They are coming off a loss at home to the Clippers, 113-120, as a 1-point favorite. The Hawks are just 10-24 ATS their last 34 road games vs a team with a winning home record. Portland is 23-26 on the season and is coming off a loss at home to Toronto, 105-123, after wins over Utah and San Antonio. This team can score too, getting 134 vs the Jazz and 147 vs the Spurs. They eclipse 130 quite frequently. The Blazers are 14-9-1 ATS at home and average 119.4 ppg. Five of the last six meetings in this series have gone OVER. The Hawks have also gone over in six of their last seven games. With the points the Blazers can score, this one could be a high scoring affair. Take the OVER.

12-23-22 Wizards v. Kings -8.5 Top 125-111 Loss -110 8 h 56 m Show

It's been a rough stretch for the Washington Wizards as they are just 1-11 S/U and 3-8-1 ATS their last 12 games. They are coming off a loss at Utah last game, 112-120, as a 6-point dog. More bad news, the Wizards could be without one of their best players here tonight in Forward Kristaps Purzingis who is battling an illness. Purzingis is averaging 22 points a game this season. Meanwhile, Sacramento is having a decent season with a 17-13 S/U and 19-11 ATS record. The Kings are coming off a win over the Lakers, 134-120, as a 7.5-point favorite. That makes three wins in the last four games both S/U and ATS. The Kings have averaged 123.7 ppg at home this season and if they come close to that tonight I can't see the Wizards keeping pace, especially if they are missing that key cog. Take the Kings.

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