Bryan Leonard Basketball Picks
Date |
Match Up |
Rating |
Score |
Result |
Profit |
Lead Time |
Analysis |
02-11-21 |
Purdue v. Minnesota -2 |
|
68-71 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 9 m |
Show
|
738 Purdue at Minnesota The Boilermakers are 3-5 SU on the road, but only one victory came by more than two points. Purdue crushed the Golden Gophers 81-62 just 12 days ago at home. In that game Purdue made 8 of 15 from distance. But this team hasn’t had the same success shooting from three on the road. Just 49 of 170 away from Mackey Arena. Minnesota is 12-1 straight up at home this year. All victories by 5 or more points. After snapping a three game losing streak last time out against Nebraska, we feel the Golden Gophers come to play here. They avenged a loss earlier when pounding Michigan by 18. Minnesota brings that revenge mark to 2-0 here. PLAY MINNESOTA
|
02-10-21 |
Wichita State v. UCF +2 |
|
61-60 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 52 m |
Show
|
654 Wichita State at Central Florida The Shockers recently knocked off the Golden Knights 93-88 in overtime. In that contest they really struggled to control UCF in the paint, as the Golden Knights shot 29 of 43 from two point range. In fact, the 62.3 effective field goal percentage was the worst defensive outing of the season for Wichita State. Central Florida has lost 8 of 10 as of late, but are coming off a confidence building win at Tulsa. The only home losses for the host came against Houston and SMU. We like the Golden Knights to shock Wichita State. PLAY CENTRAL FLORIDA
|
02-10-21 |
Chattanooga +4.5 v. Wofford |
|
78-66 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 43 m |
Show
|
667 Chattanooga at Wofford I’m sure the Mocs have had this game circled after being beaten at home by Wofford in the earlier meeting. In that game they shot just 4 of 21 from distance, and allowed a 40.5 offensive rebounding percentage to the Terriers. Keep in mind Chattanooga rank 78th in the country in three point percentage, and 77th keeping the opposition off the glass. Wofford is struggling a bit as of late. Losing to VMI in overtime on this court, and squeaking out a 75-67 win at Furman. While the final margin was seven points, the Terriers were lucky to come away with a win. They held the Paladins to a season second best 9.4 free throw rate. PLAY CHATTANOOGA
|
02-10-21 |
Bradley -1.5 v. Valparaiso |
Top |
76-52 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 26 m |
Show
|
671 Bradley at Valparaiso We backed Valpo on Sunday as a sizable underdog against Drake. Not only did they cover wire to wire they actually ended the undefeated season for the Bulldogs. But this is another day, as we look to fade the fat and happy club off a nationally recognized upset win. While the Braves are 1-7 SU on the road this year, they have played much better than their record. A one point loss at Xavier, a one point loss at Missouri and a double overtime loss to these Crusaders. In that earlier meeting Valparaiso had a 53.5 free throw rate, which is the worst defensive FTR of the season for Bradley. The Braves on the other hand had a 21.8 FTR in that meeting. Bradley has lost 7 of 8 games recently, but our advanced stats show they should have split those eight games. We are catching an underrated team, with revenge, against a Valpo squad off its biggest win in recent memory. PLAY BRADLEY
|