Bryan Leonard Football Totals Picks
Date |
Match Up |
Rating |
Score |
Result |
Profit |
Lead Time |
Analysis |
01-01-13 |
Wisconsin v. Stanford UNDER 47 |
|
14-20 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 8 m |
Show
|
256 Wisconsin vs Stanford at Pasadena The Badgers really struggled offensively when stepping up in class. Scoring just 7 vs Oregon State, 16 vs Utah State, 10 in regulation against Michigan State, 14 in regulation against Ohio State and 21 in regulation vs Penn State. This Stanford defense is as good or superior to any of those stop units. Defensively the Badgers are extremely sound holding the likes of Oregon State to 10, Utah State to 14 and Ohio State to 14 in regulation. Stanford has held all but one opponent to 23 points or less this season. They won't be outmatched against this Wisconsin offense. The problem for the Cardinal has been an inconsistent scoring unit that feasted on weak opposition. The PAC 12 isn't known for quality stop units and yet Stanford struggled many times to move the football this season. We expect this to be a field position game with points being very hard to come by. PLAY UNDER
|
01-01-13 |
Northwestern v. Mississippi State OVER 53 |
Top |
34-20 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 32 m |
Show
|
249 Northwestern vs Mississippi State in Jacksonville Both teams played in defensive first conferences yet the offenses for each of these squads is talented. Northwestern put up 21 points or better against every opponent they faced including quality defenses like Vanderbilt, Penn State and Michigan State. Mississippi State allowed 24 points to Troy, 31 to Tennessee and 37 or better to the three best teams they faced in Alabama, Texas A&M and LSU. The Bulldogs were stymied offensively against those three elite teams but when stepping down in class they excelled, putting up 27 or more on every other opponent. The last four times out when not facing the Big Three they managed 24 against Mississippi, 45 against Arkansas, 45 vs Middle Tennessee State and 41 against Tennessee. The weather won't be a factor and since both teams went bowling the past two years the players shouldn't come out sluggish. This total is based on games against elite defenses and these two squads don't possess that type of defensive talent. PLAY OVER
|
12-23-12 |
Buffalo Bills v. Miami Dolphins UNDER 41.5 |
|
10-24 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 28 m |
Show
|
108 Buffalo at Miami Buffalo should be fired up defensively after allowing a whopping 50 points last week in Toronto. The defense had permitted just 15, 18, 20 and 14 points the previous four games. During that time they also allowed just 285, 236, 312 and 184 total yards. Buffalo offensively has been held to 19 points or less in 5 of 7 games and the last time these two met just 33 points were scored. In fact, 4 of the last 5 games in this series have stayed under the posted total. Miami has now gone seven straight games of scoring 24 points or less, four times being held to 16 or fewer. Defensively Miami has held six straight opponents to 321 total yards or less. Overall 6 of the last 7 home games for Miami have seen total points scored of 40 or less. PLAY UNDER
|
12-20-12 |
BYU v. San Diego State UNDER 48 |
|
23-6 |
Win
|
100 |
28 h 56 m |
Show
|
206 BYU & San Diego State Cougar games have been easy to handicap by looking at the quality of opposition faced. When playing teams with formidable defenses this BYU offense struggles. But in turn the Cougar defense steps up. Case in point are the contests against Boise State a 7-6 loss, Utah State a 6-3 win, Notre Dame a 17-14 loss and San Jose State a 20-14 defeat. We feel this contest against San Diego State will be much the same. A major defensive struggle for both teams. San Diego State didn't face many quality stop units in the Mountain West Conference, with only Boise State being considered stout defensively. That contest ended with a 21-19 Aztecs victory. In the opener against Washington only 33 points were scored. The one outlier in the group was a 38-34 home loss to San Jose State in a contest where neither team was able to slow down the passing attacks. The Aztecs held 5 of 7 teams to under 20 points down the stretch and they have enough to make the Cougars really work for points here. Rocky Long and Bronco Mendenhall are both defensive minded coaches who faced off against each other many times over the years. PLAY UNDER
|