07-28-19 |
Yankees v. Red Sox OVER 10 |
|
9-6 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 40 m |
Show
|
|
07-28-19 |
Cubs v. Brewers UNDER 10 |
|
11-4 |
Loss |
-108 |
10 h 14 m |
Show
|
Cubs/Brewers 2:10: Heavy "under" trends for the road sluggish Cubs. And they'll have more trouble manufacturing runs today against Zach Davies who's only given up 1 ER against them in 2 games covering 12 innings. Davies is 0-8-1 O/U at home vs a team with a winning record. He's also 3-12-1 O/U on Sundays. The Brewers are 7-19-2 O/U vs lefty starters including 1-9-1 O/U run in that role. And home plate umpire Cederstrom has a pitcher friendly strike zone for these two teams which are collectively 12-34-2 O/U when he's the home plate umpire. "Under" the call.
|
07-27-19 |
Braves v. Phillies OVER 9.5 |
|
15-7 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 28 m |
Show
|
Braves/Phillies 7:05: Both of tonight's starters are having their share of problems lately: Max Fried came off one of his better performances against Milwaukee July 15th but a finger blister landed him immediately on the DL. Philly hit him pretty hard June 14th to the tune of 5 runs in less than 5 innings. Philadelphia is 17-7 O/U vs lefty starters and 4-1 O/U in their last 5 home games. Fried is 10-4 O/U on the road. On the other hand, Zach Eflin has given up 25 runs over his last 24 innings of work including 6 ER in 3 innings vs the Braves July 4th. Eflin is 4-1 O/U in his last 5 starts. This series is 5-2 O/U. And Homeplate umpire Gibson has a pretty small strike zone. He's 4-1 O/U on Saturdays. Over it is.
|
07-26-19 |
Yankees v. Red Sox OVER 11 |
|
5-10 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 52 m |
Show
|
Yankees/Red Sox 7:10: Runs a plenty in this series. Both teams sport heavy "over" trends. And with tonight's starters posting WHIPS above 1.30, the over trends go even higher. Boston is 13-6-1 O/U at home vs lefty starters and on a 7-3 O/U home run. NYY 39-13-2 O/U on road. This series is 7-1 O/U in Boston. Over it is.
|
07-25-19 |
Cardinals v. Pirates OVER 9 |
|
6-3 |
Push |
0 |
9 h 22 m |
Show
|
Cardinals/Pirates 12:35: This series is now 6-2 O/U in Pittsburgh. Pirates are 24-9-2 O/U at home. They will now see Mikolas for the 4th time this season. They couldn't hit him the last two times but both were at St. Louis where he does his best work; today, Mikolas meets his kryptonite - road (7.63 ERA) and daytime action (4.74 ERA). Pirates should finally hit him. On the other hand, Musgrove not exactly money at home or during day either. Musgrove sports a 4.15 ERA at home and 4.44 ERA during the day. He's facing some hot Cardinals' bats that drove in a ton of runs last night and on a nice run since the All-Star break. And the Pittsburgh bullpen (4.92 ERA) is not helping matters. Over the call.
|
07-24-19 |
Angels v. Dodgers OVER 9.5 |
|
3-2 |
Loss |
-125 |
6 h 9 m |
Show
|
Angels/Stripling 10:10: Angels' Trout heated up and should continue driving in runs on this hot night in Los Angeles. Stripling not at his best at night (4.40 ERA) and sluggish over last 3 starts (4.40). The Angels counter with converted reliever Jaime Barria who has been tattered on the road to the tune of 23 ER in 15 1/3 IP. He is also poor at night with an 8.36 ERA. Dodgers overdue to tee off on him and the overused bullpen. Over the call.
|
07-22-19 |
Rangers v. Mariners OVER 9.5 |
|
3-7 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 9 m |
Show
|
Texas/Seattle 10:10: Heavy over trends fill the stat sheet for this matchup. Two starters with lofty ERAs and their respective bullpens with ERAs around 5. Texas' Sampson is 5-1 O/U in his last 6 on the road. Seattle is 25-11-3 O/U at home. Mariners looking forward to tee off on old mate. Meanwhile, Adrian Gonzales has yet to find a groove this season but he should have the run support to deliver the win. "Over" the call.
|
07-16-19 |
Padres v. Marlins UNDER 8 |
|
7-12 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 57 m |
Show
|
Padres/Marlins 7:10: This series has gone 1-4 O/U at Miami. Most of the Padres' lineup is in a funk at the plate and should stay there with Yamamoto on the hill. Padres are 7-17-5 O/U after scoring 2 runs or less previously. On the other hand, Marlins struggle driving in runs vs lefties. Logan Allen is not a well seasoned southpaw but has his moments. Marlins are just 2-6-1 O/U in their last 9 games while the Padres are 1-6 O/U in their last 7. We'll go "under" here.
|
07-15-19 |
White Sox v. Royals UNDER 9 |
|
2-5 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 0 m |
Show
|
|
07-14-19 |
Dodgers v. Red Sox OVER 9 |
|
7-4 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 43 m |
Show
|
Dodgers/Red Sox 7:05: Both of tonight's starters are having and outstanding year. Ryu is MLB's ERA leader while Price took over from last October's heroics to sport a solid year; however, Ryu did not do well here in October and that could resurface again. BoSox feast on lefties here and Ryu is overdue to get lit up. As for Price, he was sharp for most of June - allowing just 4 walks over 24 2/3 IP; however, in July, he's already issued 6 walks. Perhaps a harbinger for a shelling here. Dodgers 11-2 O/U on road vs team over .500. Over the call.
|
07-14-19 |
Diamondbacks v. Cardinals UNDER 8.5 |
|
2-5 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 41 m |
Show
|
|
07-13-19 |
Braves v. Padres UNDER 8.5 |
|
7-5 |
Loss |
-101 |
6 h 36 m |
Show
|
|
07-13-19 |
Nationals v. Phillies UNDER 8.5 |
|
4-3 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 43 m |
Show
|
Washington/Philadelphia 7:15: Both of tonight's starters coming in red hot. Corbin sported a 2-0 mark with a 0.96 ERA going into the break while allowing just 3 runs over his last 28 innings. Nola was quite impressive himself with a 0.42 ERA and 0.69 WHIP over his last 3 outings. Nola is 3-7 O/U vs Washington . Nationals on a 3-7 O/U run while improving on their bullpen during their 16-4 run. This series is 1-4 O/U and we'll look for another "under" here.
|
07-07-19 |
Cardinals v. Giants OVER 8 |
|
0-1 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 1 m |
Show
|
Cardinals/Giants 4:05: Giants have finally found their bats (52 runs over last 6 games) and should light up struggling Flaherty who hasn't made it to the 5th inning in 3 of his last 5 starts. On the other hand, the Cardinals' Goldschmidt loves playing at Oracle Park where he bats .328 with 13 HRs and 54 RBI. Samardzija doesn't do his best work in daytime action (5.00 ERA) and that is concerning. Over trends starting to heat up for SF and we'll stay on the "over".
|
07-04-19 |
Angels v. Rangers UNDER 10.5 |
Top |
3-9 |
Loss |
-101 |
5 h 7 m |
Show
|
Angels/Rangers 8:05: Angels' bats came alive the last few games after the death of their teammate Skaggs; however, Lance Lynn may be a bit more difficult to hit on. Lynn sports a commanding 2/25 walk/strikeout ratio over his last few starts and controls a respectable 2.84 ERA in two starts vs the Angels this season. Lynn has a history of strength at home in July (12-2 record). On the other hand, the Angels counter with underrated Griffin Canning who's been a steady addition in the rotation. He gives them 6 decent innings with a good WHIP (.99 on season)! Rangers are struggling to drive in runs now; as a matter of fact, just 3.1 RPG over their last 7. Rangers are 1-7-1 O/U last nine games. This series tilts towards the "under" at 8-21 O/U in the last 29 meetings. Value with "under".
|
07-02-19 |
Yankees v. Mets OVER 9 |
|
2-4 |
Loss |
-105 |
5 h 31 m |
Show
|
|
06-30-19 |
Diamondbacks v. Giants UNDER 7.5 |
|
4-10 |
Loss |
-120 |
2 h 41 m |
Show
|
|
06-27-19 |
Diamondbacks v. Giants OVER 8.5 |
|
5-1 |
Loss |
-100 |
19 h 41 m |
Show
|
|
06-26-19 |
Rays v. Twins UNDER 9 |
|
4-6 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 3 m |
Show
|
|
06-25-19 |
Rays v. Twins OVER 9 |
|
4-9 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 49 m |
Show
|
|
06-13-19 |
Raptors v. Warriors OVER 210.5 |
|
114-110 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 27 m |
Show
|
|
06-10-19 |
Warriors v. Raptors OVER 213.5 |
|
106-105 |
Loss |
-110 |
20 h 45 m |
Show
|
Warriors/Raptors 9:07: These teams should be loose and come out firing. Warriors have experienced virtually every kind of post-season situation and their veteran presence will surely keep them from being shaken and stiff. And if KD (calf) plays, all the better for adding a bit more offense. As for Toronto, they'll surely feel comfortable in their confines and play relaxed but with urgency. Toronto has surely found a winning formula on both sides of the ball; however, Warriors have too many weapons along with smart coachable good shooters. Remember, this is the #1 offense in the NBA and holding them under 100 rarely happens let alone twice! Warriors are 6-1-1 O/U on the road vs teams with winning home records. And this series sports a 9-3 O/U run; moreover, 6-0 O/U in Toronto. I projected this total to be set around 215 so getting anything under that is a gift. Over the call.
|
06-10-19 |
Rangers v. Red Sox UNDER 8 |
|
4-3 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 10 m |
Show
|
Texas/Boston 7:10: Both Minor and Sale are on their game and in mid-season form. Heavy Under trends support this. Moreover, Minor does his best work at night and kept foes at 3 runs or less over his last 8 starts. Sale, on the other hand, is coming off a dominating complete game effort vs KC. He's been very strong vs Texas. Last season won both starts with 24 strikeouts covering 14 innings. "Under" it is.
|
06-02-19 |
Warriors v. Raptors OVER 213 |
|
109-104 |
Push |
0 |
7 h 47 m |
Show
|
Warriors/Raptors 8:07: These teams like to push the tempo and when the shots are falling and fouls are called, "over" is the outcome. This series has now gone "over" in 5 straight at Toronto. Expect another high scoring game. Post season success story Siakam continues to torch the net while Gasol is getting back his confidence and VanVleet remains the best bench scoring player. Golden State's depth is thin; consequently, they likely won't be able to sustain defensive dominance to stop some Toronto transition and avoid fouls. And by Leonard standards, he did not have a good game as he was hounded by virtually every Warrior body throughout the game. On the other hand, Warriors' Curry was the only major scoring threat. That is not the Warriors way of doing things. We'll look for more scoring contributions from the bench and starters - Thompson and Green. 7 of the last 9 in this series have gone "over" and I see another high scoring affair.
|
05-24-19 |
Rays v. Indians UNDER 7.5 |
|
1-3 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 12 m |
Show
|
|
05-18-19 |
Giants v. Diamondbacks UNDER 9 |
|
8-5 |
Loss |
-120 |
7 h 53 m |
Show
|
|
05-12-19 |
Blazers v. Nuggets OVER 212.5 |
Top |
100-96 |
Loss |
-109 |
12 h 3 m |
Show
|
|
05-10-19 |
Warriors v. Rockets UNDER 215 |
|
118-113 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 21 m |
Show
|
Warriors/Rockets 9:00: This series has gone 8-20 O/U in Houston. Warriors will be without leading playoff scorer -Durant - who is producing 29% of the Warriors' post-season points. Not only that, he's their best defender on Harden. Most likely Iguodala (2nd best on Harden) gets the job. A comfortable Rockets win should limit late game fouls that result in free throws. Even with the 6 point "total" adjustment, still fair value with the "under".
|
05-08-19 |
Angels v. Tigers UNDER 8 |
|
3-10 |
Loss |
-101 |
2 h 23 m |
Show
|
|
05-06-19 |
Warriors v. Rockets UNDER 221.5 |
Top |
108-112 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 25 m |
Show
|
Warriors/Rockets 9:35: Up until Saturday, this series in its last four at Houston averaged roughly 197 combined points. Saturday, buckets were landing with both teams shooting over 40% from the floor and 3 point range. Not only that, these teams stepped up to the charity stripe a combined 55 times. Had it not gone into OT, it would have been a sweat but "over" was the definitive call of the night. Tonight, look for more of what the history of these teams at this location has materialized: lower scoring. 8-20 O/U in Houston!
|
05-04-19 |
Warriors v. Rockets UNDER 221 |
Top |
121-126 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 10 m |
Show
|
Warriors/Rockets 8:35: Surprised this total is set this high at this venue. Over the last 4 games in this series at Houston, the combined point output average is 197 with the high end of the range at 210. This series has gone 2-9 O/U in its last 11 and 7-20 O/U in its last 27 played in Houston. Game 2 should have gone "under" 221 with strange sequences developing in final seconds. We'll press the "under" hard here.
|
05-01-19 |
Blazers v. Nuggets UNDER 219.5 |
|
97-90 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 27 m |
Show
|
Blazers/Nuggets 9:05: Field goals were dropping relatively easy in Game 1 with Blazers shooting 52% from the floor and 38% from beyond the arc. Nuggets shot a solid 51% from floor and 41% from 3 point range. Collectively, 58 free throw attempts with Portland converting at 71% and Denver at 84%. Malone was not happy with the defensive effort and Denver should tighten up, especially on Kanter - who went off despite a bad shoulder. And Portland had no answer for Jokic. Nuggets are 4-13 O/U at home and 7-20 O/U after opponent allows 100+; moreover, they're 7-18 O/U after allowing 100+. With this series going "over" for 5 straight, percentages should swing to the "under" here.
|
04-30-19 |
Rockets v. Warriors UNDER 221 |
|
109-115 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 8 m |
Show
|
|
04-28-19 |
Rays v. Red Sox UNDER 8 |
|
5-2 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 54 m |
Show
|
Rays/Red Sox 1:05: Both of these starters should throw lots of strikes and eat innings. Glasnow has been one of the big surprises in MLB this year. He's leading the league in ERA and hitting his mark. On the other hand, Chris Sale has been one step higher than horrible this year; however, he showed signs of his old self in his last start and should punch out TB. Sale sports a miniscule 0.66 ERA in 2 starts vs TB last year. TB 5-15-1 O/U on the road vs lefties. Boston 1-5 O/U in last 6 Sunday outings. "Under" it is.
|
04-27-19 |
Spurs v. Nuggets UNDER 209 |
|
86-90 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 27 m |
Show
|
Spurs/Nuggets 10:05: This series has gone 1-4 O/U in Denver and believe it will stay Under tonight. Popovich knows Jokic is biggest trouble to team and will have to make adjustments to him first and PG Murray second. And Popovich disciple Malone should clean up defensive mistakes made in Game 6; after all, Spurs are not that dangerous of scoring team on the road. Spurs are also 3-9 O/U in their last 11 road tilts. They're also 7-17 O/U after scoring 100+ points. Nuggets are 3-12 O/U in their last 15 at home and 7-21 O/U after allowing 100+. We'll look for more of a defensive game tonight.
|
04-19-19 |
Giants v. Pirates UNDER 7.5 |
|
1-4 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 29 m |
Show
|
Giants/Pirates 7:05: Both pitchers should bring their stuff tonight. Bumgarner coming off a strong outing at home vs Colorado and historically has done well vs Pittsburgh. Pitt is currently driving in a measly 2.19 RPG vs lefties. Bumgarner 10-21-4 O/U in his last 35 outings. On the other hand, Lyles has burst on the scene with good stuff: 1 ER over 11 innings of work off 10 strike out performance at Chicago. Giants batting a poor .187 vs righties. With both bullpens respectable, this one should stay "under".
|
04-12-19 |
Rockies v. Giants UNDER 8 |
|
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 52 m |
Show
|
Rockies/Giants 10:15: Colorado struggling to manufacture runs (5 runs over last 5 road games) and shouldn't drive in many off Drew Pomeranz. Pomeranz likely won't go more than 6 innings but he's got a solid SF bullpen (2.63 ERA) to fall back on. On the other hand, SF, 6-18-2 O/U in their last 26 home games, remain light hitting this year (2.81 RPG). Colorado's Bettis is struggling but SF's offense has a tendency to bring back juice in pitchers. Colorado 6-20-2 in their last 28 road games. Under the call.
|
03-24-19 |
Liberty v. Virginia Tech OVER 124.5 |
|
58-67 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 25 m |
Show
|
Liberty/Virginia Tech 7:10: Both teams sporting top 10 defenses in the nation; however, "total" posted a bit low for this one. Keep in mind, Tech has Justin Robinson back - who before foot injury was leading scorer and offensive facilitator for the Hokies. He contributed 9 points in limited time on Friday as the offensive go-to-key handed to Alexander-Walker; nevertheless, Robinson adds quality offensive minutes in contributing to a team that shoots the 3 ball well. And Liberty's Homesley went off on a pretty good defensive team in Mississippi State. We'll look for Buzz Williams to push the tempo a bit against Liberty and put this one "over".
|
03-22-19 |
Oklahoma v. Ole Miss UNDER 142.5 |
|
95-72 |
Loss |
-109 |
11 h 3 m |
Show
|
|
03-04-19 |
Kansas State v. TCU UNDER 133.5 |
|
64-52 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 38 m |
Show
|
Kansas State/TCU 9:00: This series has gone 0-4 O/U in its last 4 matchups. Both of these teams badly need a win but in different ways. K State, most assuredly in NCAA tourney, is looking to win final two conference games to finally win, or have a share of, Big 12 Conference Title. The Wildcats have been winning all season on defensive play - as evidenced by their #4 ranking in the nation in scoring defense at 59.5 PPG. Coach Weber will look to clamp down on the slumping Horned Frogs which over their last 5 games have fallen off about 3.5 PPG in scoring production from their regular season average. Dixon has always preached defensive intensity and currently disgusted by recent defensive play. TCU is clearly on the bubble and desperately needs a win here. Defensive intensity should be ratcheted up against the 321st scoring offense in the nation at 65.9 PPG. TCU is 1-4 O/U following a double-digit loss at home and 3-7 O/U at home vs a team with a winning road record. "Under" the call.
|
02-26-19 |
Duke v. Virginia Tech UNDER 146.5 |
|
72-77 |
Loss |
-109 |
19 h 45 m |
Show
|
Duke/Virginia Tech 7:00: This series has gone "under" in 13 of the last 16 meetings. Both of these coaches instruct defensive discipline well in terms of not giving up easy buckets or transition points. VTech has not been the same in offensive production since Justin Robinson went down. Although Alexander-Walker and Blackshear try to pick up the scoring slack, they lack that ability to manufacturer instant offense when needed. Duke, 6-18-2 O/U in their last 26 games and 1-5-1 O/U in their last 7 road tilts, miss Zion Williamson's 22 PPG. His athleticism made it almost a sure thing in scoring near the basket, out in transition and from the perimeter. Tonight, less transition basketball and limited perimeter production.
|
02-17-19 |
Seton Hall v. Creighton UNDER 147 |
|
81-75 |
Loss |
-115 |
2 h 43 m |
Show
|
|
02-14-19 |
Houston v. Connecticut UNDER 140 |
|
71-63 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 45 m |
Show
|
Houston/U Conn 7:00: Looking for a lower scoring game as the Cougars just smothering opponents with one of the top defenses in the country. Huskies 1-7 O/U at home vs a road team with a winning % above. .600. Huskies do play pretty good defense at home allowing just 65 PPG and limit 3 point shooting to 31%. Cougars allow an even stingier 62 PPG on the road and boast one of the best FG% defenses in the country. They're also #3 in perimeter defense. "Under" the call.
|
02-11-19 |
Virginia v. North Carolina UNDER 143.5 |
|
69-61 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 50 m |
Show
|
Virginia/North Carolina 7:00: I'm going to look for the #1 defense in the nation to dictate this game and keep the scoring down. 16-38-1 O/U on the road for Virginia and this series is 2-6 O/U in North Carolina.
|
02-10-19 |
Cincinnati v. Houston UNDER 132 |
|
58-65 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 13 m |
Show
|
Cincinnati/Houston 4:00: I've had success betting on both of these teams this season and would lean on the Bearcats getting points in a projected defensive battle. Cincinnati highly dependent on big time guard Jarron Cumberland (23 ppg last 7). Other than him, Bearcats struggle to manufacturer points, especially from the perimeter. And Houston's defense (ranked 7th in the nation) is 3rd in the nation defending the perimeter. I do like the fact that Cincinnati is in good hands when Justin Jenifer controls the ball. He sports a 73/15 assist/turnover ratio. Bearcats control the 11th ranked defense in the nation and do not give up easy buckets. This series is 1-8 O/U in its last 9 meetings and has yet to break 132 combined points in recent times at Houston. Bearcats 11-40-1 O/U on the road. Under the call.
|
01-13-19 |
Eagles v. Saints OVER 51 |
Top |
14-20 |
Loss |
-122 |
13 h 19 m |
Show
|
Eagles/Saints 4:40: On November 18th, the Eagles had no answer for stopping Brees and company. The Eagles pass rush was non-existent as Brees set quickly and fired missiles compiling 363 yards and 4 TD passes to four different receivers (Kamara, Carr, Williams, Smith). Today, Brees has an additional vertical threat who's back in the fray over the last few games - Ted Ginn Jr. Eagles' secondary playing better but still no match at this location. Eagles' offense is gelling behind Nick Foles. Foles should be able to help manufacture points against a sliding Saints' defense that's allowed 28 and 33 points over their last two games, respectively. Eagles are 22-8 O/U as a traveler. Saints are 21-9-1 O/U in their last 31 home tilts and 6-0 O/U at home in the playoffs. This series had recent high numbers and I expected the number to be set around 53 or 54. I'll take the value here and make this a Top Play with Over 51.
|
12-26-18 |
TCU v. California UNDER 38.5 |
|
10-7 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 31 m |
Show
|
California/TCU 9:00: Nowadays, it is risky playing the "over" in college football. Spread offenses with tall, speedy guys on top of the numbers isolating short corners; rangy tight ends, super fast slot receivers or h-backs coming out of backfield matched up on linebackers. And duel threat QBs who can scorch you in the air or on foot. Well, today, we have that to a lot lesser degree. Yes, the line dictates that but still, "under" value exists. Both of these defenses have been tremendous considering the explosive offenses they play in their respective conferences. In the pass happy Big 12, TCU's defense has been sensational - allowing just 24.4 PPG. And considering the sluggishness of their offense, it's even more impressive. On the other hand, Cal's defense has been equally impressive in the wide open offensive attack PAC 12. Their linebacker corps is fabulous with an opportunistic secondary. And Cal's offense is every bit as sluggish as TCU's. And both defenses get after the QB while both offensive lines have trouble protecting their respective QBs. It amounts to a low scoring contest here. "Under" the way to go.
|
12-24-18 |
Broncos v. Raiders UNDER 43.5 |
|
14-27 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 54 m |
Show
|
Broncos/Raiders 8:15: Heavy "under" trends for both teams in a series that is 0-4 O/U in its last 4 meetings and 1-6 in its last 7. Both offenses rank in the bottom tier of the NFL in production. Denver is ravaged with injuries to their receiving corps and Oakland no longer has that vertical threat (Cooper gone to Dallas) and relies mostly on TE Cook. We'll look for another low scoring game here.
|
12-20-18 |
Marshall v. South Florida UNDER 51.5 |
|
38-20 |
Loss |
-109 |
19 h 2 m |
Show
|
Marshall/USF 8:00: Both of these teams have plenty of weaknesses that can be exploited - mostly at a defensive standpoint. Marshall has a pedestrian offensive attack ranked in the bottom tier of their conference and have trouble finishing drives - ranking 115th in the nation in red zone scoring. Their leading rusher - Tyler King - who missed the final game of the season with an undisclosed injury, is questionable. As for the sliding USF Bulls, who lost their last 5 games of the season, their offense is respectable but inconsistency at QB and offensive line woes should lead to limited production. QB Barnett (ankle) who has as many TDs and INTs (11), should be good to go. But he'll face a quality defense that has one of the leading run-stop-units in the nation and can get after QBs. Marshall ranks 13th in the nation against explosive plays. And USF won't have their OC - Gilbert on the sidelines; he bolted to McNeese State; instead, USF will use their TE/Special Teams coach - Burke to call the plays...With the weather rainy and windy (15 MPH), the grass surface should be slow as well. Marshall 2-5 O/U in bowls. USF is 3-8 O/U at home and 9-21-1 O/U off a SU loss. Decent value with the "under" here.
|
12-18-18 |
Northern Illinois v. UAB UNDER 43 |
|
13-37 |
Loss |
-115 |
19 h 53 m |
Show
|
UAB/N. Illinois 7:00: Both of these teams can hang their hats on defense. UAB can get after the QB with 43 sacks (4th nationally) and sport 3 shutouts. They allow just 4.6 yards per play. Sure, NIU QB Childers was money in the MAC Championship vs Buffalo, but UAB has a ball hawking secondary too. Childers has been vulnerable under duress with 10 INTs on the year. On the other hand, NIU is even more productive sacking the QB with 50 on the year - leads the nation. UAB's offense revolves around RB Spencer Brown (1,149 yards rush/ 16 TDs). When he's running the rock well, UAB is in the driver seat; however, NIU defense plays the run well allowing just 2.7 YPC. And both of UAB's QBs Erderly - who is the starter coming off the injured list, has thrown 7 INTs on the year while his backup - Johnson III has 8 INTs on the year to just 7 TDs. I don't see many explosive plays here with each team relying on their run games. Huskies are 3-7 O/U in non conference games. UAB sports a 2-7 O/U mark vs teams with winning records. This game is at FAU Stadium which has a grass surface and both teams have had trouble on grass. "Under" the call.
|
11-25-18 |
49ers v. Bucs OVER 54.5 |
|
9-27 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 0 m |
Show
|
49ers/Buccaneers 1:00: 49ers have been able to put some points on the board as a traveler. And most likely, SF will visit the end zone frequently against the worst defense in the NFL. TB's DC Duffner has as much a clue on how to stop an offense as fired DC Mike Smith. TB's offense is always playing catch up with either Fitzpatrick or Winston. Both QBs collectively have 23 INTs. We'll look for more of an air raid from TB. TB can score and sport a 9-2 O/U run in their heavy "over" ledger this season. SF should have a good offensive game plan under offensive savvy Shanahan. SF is 15-4 O/U following a bye. This series is 4-1 O/U and we aren't scared of the posted number.
|
11-15-18 |
Packers v. Seahawks OVER 48.5 |
|
24-27 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 31 m |
Show
|
GB/Seattle 8:20: This series has gone 3-1-1 O/U in Seattle and due for another high scoring affair. Not fond of Norton Jr. as Seattle's DC; after all, the Seahawks are no longer striking fear in opposing teams and scored upon too easily. Only a matter of time that Carroll takes over defensive duties. Rodgers is heating up and will surely do the damage. On the other hand, GB is hurting with injuries to LB corps and the secondary. Seattle's QB Wilson and the now established run game of Seattle should put a dent in the Packers' defense. Heavy "over" signals for GB and Seattle is 9-3 "Over" as non-division favorite of 7 or less. "Over" the call.
|
11-13-18 |
Western Michigan v. Ball State UNDER 55 |
|
41-42 |
Loss |
-109 |
17 h 50 m |
Show
|
Western Michigan/Ball State 6:00: With both teams sporting backup QBs with mediocre results, value with the Under. Ball State's Riley Neal (knee) most likely will sit out and Drew Plitt should continue to run the offense. Plitt has been less than impressive and won't have leading rusher Gilbert (out) to help alleviate the pressure either. Ball State's offense has scored 20 or less in three straight games and should continue to struggle against a respectable WM defense. On the other hand, WM's offense is no juggernaut itself. Without starting QB Wassink, the Broncos have been turnover laden led by freshman Eleby. Cardinals sport heavy "under" production this season after scoring less than 20 (0-5 O/U) and WM is 1-5-1 O/U after allowing 40+. We'll stay "under".
|
11-10-18 |
Southern Miss v. UAB UNDER 47.5 |
|
23-26 |
Loss |
-110 |
16 h 55 m |
Show
|
|
10-29-18 |
Patriots v. Bills UNDER 45 |
|
25-6 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 45 m |
Show
|
Patriots/Bills 8:15: The Patriots have dominated this series with QB Brady and, barring a sleepwalk performance, should deliver the win. But keep in mind that this Buffalo defense is one of the better ones Brady has faced this year. Buffalo ranks 4th against the pass and have sacked opposing QBs 19 times. Buffalo's defense has kept them in games. On the other hand, Buffalo's offensive weaponry is limited. McCoy remains in concussion protocol, and receivers Benjamin and Jones do not strike fear in secondaries. And veteran QB journeyman Derek Anderson is coming off a miserable three interception game last week as the starter by default; consequently, Buffaloes points will come at a premium despite NE's yielding on the defensive side. NE as a road favorite of more than 8 points sports a 1-10 O/U mark. NE is 0-6 O/U on the road against teams with losing home records. Buffalo is on an 0-5 O/U run. Tread lightly on the "under" for this series is 5-2 O/U in Buffalo.
|
10-24-18 |
Nets v. Cavs OVER 229 |
|
102-86 |
Loss |
-109 |
18 h 44 m |
Show
|
|
10-22-18 |
Giants v. Falcons OVER 52.5 |
|
20-23 |
Loss |
-104 |
18 h 8 m |
Show
|
Giants/Falcons 8:15: Falcons are 24th in stopping the run and their injury ravaged defense is putting immense pressure on QB Ryan to outscore opponents. Tonight, we'll look for the well rested Giants to establish some offense. Sure, heavy "under" trends in this series, but these defenses have been shaky in allowing explosive plays. Giants have some big play talent (Beckham Jr. & Barkley) who can exploit the weak Atlanta secondary. Falcons are on a 5-0 O/U run and 16-5-1 O/U after scoring 30+. Value with the "over".
|
10-21-18 |
Vikings v. Jets OVER 45.5 |
|
37-17 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 25 m |
Show
|
|
10-07-18 |
Falcons v. Steelers OVER 57 |
|
17-41 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 45 m |
Show
|
Falcons/Steelers 1:00: This has the making of another shootout. Both defenses hit with injuries and really struggling. Atlanta sorely misses one of the best cover linebackers in the NFL Deion Jones (out) and Roethlisberger won't show mercy with his plethora of weapons at his disposal. On the other hand, Matt Ryan should light it up against a depleted Steelers' secondary. Steelers on a 5-1 O/U run. Falcons 5-1 O/U after allowing more than 30 points. With both defenses ranked in the lower echelon of the NFL, while the offenses can still produce, value with the "over".
|
10-02-18 |
Rockies v. Cubs UNDER 7.5 |
|
2-1 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 23 m |
Show
|
Rockies/Cubs 8:05: Both of these southpaws have been sizzling. Freeland had a breakout year and has the mark of a big game pitcher. He's 9-24 O/U in his starts this year. Lester is a master post season pitcher wherever he's at. Cubs have gone "under" in 11 of their last 14 Wrigley Field tilts. Lester sports an 0-4 O/U mark at home vs the Rockies. This series has gone 2-6 O/U in Chicago. Pitchers duel tonight as both go deep in the game and managers expend the best of best in rotation. Value with "Under".
|
09-30-18 |
Saints v. Giants OVER 52 |
|
33-18 |
Loss |
-113 |
14 h 9 m |
Show
|
Saints/Giants 4:25: This one has the making of a shootout and we'll roll with it. Saints' defense giving up 34.3 PPG and should allow an accurate Eli Manning (72% completions) to torch the blitz happy but porous secondary of the Saints' defense. On the other hand, hard to stop Brees and company from doing their damage. Saints' offense putting up 34.7 PPG and that doesn't bode well for the Giants in that they're having trouble sacking opposing QBs. They have just four on the year. This series has resulted in shootouts in 4 of the last 5 played. "Over" easy.
|
09-26-18 |
Brewers v. Cardinals OVER 8 |
|
2-1 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 43 m |
Show
|
Brewers/Cardinals 7:10: Brewers' bats remain hot and the Cardinals' John Gant is vulnerable to getting lit up. He has 21 walks over his last 30 2/3 IP; consequently, we'll look for the patient Brewers' bats to continue to swat in the runs. On the other hand, not comfortable with Chacin on the hill. In his last four starts, he hasn't made it beyond the 5th inning. And he's been lit up like a Christmas tree in nine starts vs the Cardinals with a lofty 6.10 ERA. Cardinals are 9-1 O/U in their last 10 games and Wednesday is "over" friendly for Milwaukee at 7-3 O/U. "Over" the call.
|
09-20-18 |
Jets v. Browns UNDER 40.5 |
|
17-21 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 21 m |
Show
|
Jets/Browns 8:20: Both defenses pretty solid. Jets have an underrated defense that's allowing just 4.9 yards per play and under 300 yards per game. Browns' QB Taylor takes good care of the ball but quite conservative at times and that should carry over in limiting points here. As for the Browns' defense, it's rock solid. DC Greg Williams runs the exotic fire zone/zone blitz schemes that drive QBs bananas. Veteran QB Brees was disrupted by the Browns blitz schemes last week and Darnold may be in for the same treatment. Bro1wns have gone "under" in 11 of their last 14 home games. They're also 1-8 O/U as a favorite of 3 or less. "Under" the call.
|
09-13-18 |
Ravens v. Bengals UNDER 45 |
|
23-34 |
Loss |
-105 |
19 h 16 m |
Show
|
Ravens/Bengals 8:20: This series has gone "under" in 4 of the last 5 matchups including last September in Cincinnati. Bengals are 0-4 O/U on Thursday, 0-5 O/U on Week 2 and 3-7 O/U in their last 10 home games. Ravens' defense coming off a complete knockout of Buffalo - allowing just 153 total yards. Sure, Bengals' offensive skill players are some of the best in the league but question marks arise along the offensive line. As for Baltimore, Flacco has had some horrible games at Paul Brown Stadium (3-6 SU / 58% completions, 6:13 TD:INT ratio). A healthy Dunlap and Atkins tend to create problems for QBs. "Under" the call.
|
09-06-18 |
Falcons v. Eagles UNDER 45 |
|
12-18 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 11 m |
Show
|
Falcons/Eagles 8:20: Heavy under trends in this one with two very good defenses. And Atlanta OC Sarkisian is now 7-19 O/U including in the pre-season with Atlanta. Injuries for the Eagles' receiving corps along with QB Foles unable to establish a rhythm in pre-season should lead to sluggish offensive start. We'll stay "under".
|
08-30-18 |
Northwestern v. Purdue UNDER 53 |
|
31-27 |
Loss |
-105 |
3 h 21 m |
Show
|
|
08-26-18 |
Cardinals v. Cowboys UNDER 39.5 |
|
27-3 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 2 m |
Show
|
Cardinals/Cowboys 8:00: A game devoid of offensive star power with top playmakers on both teams sitting. Under the call.
|
08-26-18 |
Bengals v. Bills UNDER 41.5 |
|
26-13 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 58 m |
Show
|
Bengals/Bills 4:00: Bengals' still trying to rev up their new offense; however, Dalton and company are having trouble grasping it. Bills defense pretty solid and should continue to stall out Cincinnati. On the other hand, we'll look for the Bengals' defense of Week 1 to show up instead of the poor tackling bunch of last week. Bengals are 6-13 O/U as a traveler and we'll stay "under" here.
|
08-24-18 |
Seahawks v. Vikings UNDER 40 |
|
20-21 |
Loss |
-120 |
18 h 43 m |
Show
|
Seahawks/Vikings 8:00: Two defensive minded head coaches and should translate in to a lower scoring game. Seahawks gradually rebuilding Legion of Boom and have work cut out for them. But Carroll has a knack at finding value through the draft in stout defensive players. Shaquem Griffin, DE Green and Martin, and SS Tre Flowers developing well. And Vikings' HC Zimmer should have his troops clamping down in dress rehearsal week 3 against a Seattle offense short on healthy playmakers for QB Wilson. Penny, Baldwin and Lockett out until week 1. Seattle 1-4 O/U pre-season week 3. And the Seahawks are 1-5 O/U in their last 6 road tilts. Vikings have gone 2-5 O/U in their last 7 home games. This series is 1-4 O/U in Minnesota. Under the call.
|
08-22-18 |
Braves v. Pirates UNDER 8.5 |
|
2-1 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 26 m |
Show
|
|
08-08-18 |
Cardinals v. Marlins UNDER 8.5 |
|
7-1 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 59 m |
Show
|
|
07-30-18 |
Brewers v. Dodgers UNDER 7.5 |
|
5-2 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 45 m |
Show
|
Brewers/Dodgers 10:10: Dodgers have been away from home for a while and they've come up "under" in 6 of the last 8 back home off an extended road trip. Brewers are 9-26 O/U on the road vs a team above .500. This series has gone "under" 4 straight in Los Angeles. Tonight, we'll look for Kent Maeda (4-12 O/U) to be on his usual strong game at home where he sports a 2.74 ERA. On the other hand, Milwaukee's starter - Freddy Peralta is coming off his worst outing of the season - getting swatted around by Washington. However, Peralta sports a strong 2.70 ERA at night and respectable 3.70 ERA on the road. He has also held righties to a 0.70 BA in 70 at bats. We'll look for the 22 year old to shape up in this pitchers' park. Both respectable bullpens should be able to close it out with runs at a premium here.
|
07-22-18 |
Dodgers v. Brewers UNDER 8.5 |
|
11-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
1 h 58 m |
Show
|
|
07-20-18 |
Astros v. Angels UNDER 8 |
|
3-1 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 44 m |
Show
|
Astros/Angels 10:05: Both lineups not knocking the cover off the ball now and face pitchers who are in good form. Houston has manufactured just 4 or more runs in 3 of their last 8 games. Angels have been sluggish against lefties virtually all season and 2-6-1 O/U vs them. Keuchel has been sharp over his last 3 starts with a 1.35 ERA. Skaggs sports a 1.50 ERA over his last 3. And both bullpens are solid and well rested after break. Angels on a 4-11-1 O/U run and Astros 0-5 O/U in last 5 road games. This series is 0-3-1 O/U in Anaheim and we'll once again side with the "under".
|
07-13-18 |
Yankees v. Indians OVER 9 |
Top |
5-6 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 32 m |
Show
|
|
07-08-18 |
Braves v. Brewers UNDER 9 |
|
3-10 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 36 m |
Show
|
|
07-01-18 |
Rockies v. Dodgers UNDER 8 |
|
4-6 |
Loss |
-100 |
3 h 19 m |
Show
|
Rockies/Dodgers 4:10: Dodgers' bats suddenly went cold in this Colorado series. They scored a total of 2 runs in the two game set thus far. In the rubber match tonight, I'll look for limited runs from them again. Sure, on the surface Dodgers should launch batting practice numbers on Chad Bettis who sports a bloated 5.07 ERA and ballooned to 8.10 over last 3 starts; however, with a closer look, Bettis actually is at his best on the road where he sports a 2.72 ERA over 56 innings of work. Tonight, he's in a pitchers' park and away from that thin air of Colorado where the Dodgers and everyone else ripped him. On the other hand, Ross Stripling is at his best wherever he pitches sporting a 1.72 ERA over 77 innings. This series is 0-4 O/U in Los Angeles and we'll stay "under".
|
06-27-18 |
Royals v. Brewers UNDER 8.5 |
|
5-4 |
Loss |
-121 |
13 h 1 m |
Show
|
Royals/Brewers 2:10: Both pitchers have gotten in good form. Duffy is a smart pitcher and coming off a strong revenge win against Houston. He should dazzle the Brew Crew which struggles against lefties. On the other hand, KC's lineup struggles against everybody nowadays as the light hitting Royals are really having difficulty driving in runs; as a matter of fact, the Royals have averaged a meager 2.4 RPG over their last 10 games - highest output 4 over that span. We'll look for Brent Suter to go deep into the game. KC is 1-10 O/U last 11 and 1-8 O/U on Wednesdays. Milwaukee is 6-20-2 O/U in IL action. With this series at 3-8 O/U in its last 11 games, we'll go "under"!
|
06-21-18 |
Cardinals v. Brewers UNDER 8.5 |
|
3-11 |
Loss |
-100 |
3 h 45 m |
Show
|
Cardinals/Brewers 8:10: Heavy "under" trends on Milwaukee. Brewers 34-80-4 O/U vs righty starters and face a righty who has tamed them. Carlos Martinez sports a 1.65 ERA over 25 appearances (14 starts) vs Milwaukee. On the other hand, Brent Suter is in pretty good form and the Cardinals' lineup is struggling vs lefties (.241 BA). This series has gone 1-4 O/U in its last 5 at Miller Park and I find value with the "under". 3-1 MLB tear and I've found the ultimate mismatch on tonight's card! It's my featured Premium Play~
|
06-15-18 |
Cubs v. Cardinals UNDER 8.5 |
|
13-5 |
Loss |
-112 |
3 h 54 m |
Show
|
|
06-05-18 |
Rays v. Nationals UNDER 7 |
Top |
2-4 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 45 m |
Show
|
Rays/Nationals 7:05: "Under" trends heavy here. These teams are collectively 3-17 O/U in each of their last 10 games. TB is 1-7-1 O/U in its last 9 on the road; meanwhile, Washington is coming off an extended road trip and back at home with one of their most dominant starters in Max Scherzer who is in great form. Washington is 3-13 O/U in its last 16 interleague games including 0-8 O/U at home. TB is struggling to hit the ball now and that struggle should continue tonight. The Rays counter with Nathan Eovaldi who has successfully rehabbed for yet another elbow surgery. He did a nice job at Oakland last Wednesday and capable of throwing six strong innings here before the respectable Rays' bullpen steps in. "Under" the call.
|
05-28-18 |
Warriors v. Rockets OVER 207 |
|
101-92 |
Loss |
-103 |
8 h 7 m |
Show
|
Golden State/Houston 9:05: This series' total has dropped sharply from its peak at 237.5 during the regular season and 226.6 in Game 3 of this playoff series. I feel the drastic drop gives us value with the "under". Sure, turnovers in Game 6, and there were plenty (33) played a part in a running clock without points. I'm going to look for Houston to clean up its game; at the same time, I believe more fouls will occur as the intensity shifts to a playoff high. Rockets 7-3 O/U off a loss of 10+. Over it is.
|
05-22-18 |
Rockets v. Warriors OVER 224 |
|
95-92 |
Loss |
-115 |
20 h 47 m |
Show
|
|
05-10-18 |
Braves v. Marlins UNDER 8 |
|
9-2 |
Loss |
-120 |
17 h 10 m |
Show
|
Atlanta/Miami 7:10: Good pitching and poor hitting should fuel the "under" here. Miami's lefty - Caleb Smith has found his rhythm over his last three starts - allowing just 2 ERs with 26 strike outs and just 2 walks in 18 2/3 IP. Sure, Atlanta's driving in runs on lefties but they've gone 2-6 O/U vs lefty starters this season. Smith will surely pose a challenge. On the other hand, Atlanta's Foltnewicz, 2-7-2 O/U, should finally find some rhythm on the road vs the light hitting Marlins. Miami is driving in a meager 2.95 RPG on a .214 BA vs righties. And if Foltnewicz struggles, the Braves super charged bullpen, that just came off an amazing 34 2/3 scoreless innings performance before being hit a bit last night, should close the door on Miami's lineup. Braves 1-4 O/U in last 5 road tilts while Miami 5-11 O/U last 16 games. "Under" the call.
|
05-06-18 |
Warriors v. Pelicans OVER 230.5 |
|
118-92 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 47 m |
Show
|
Warriors/Pelicans 6:35: New Orleans is ranked in the bottom tier of the NBA defensively yet held Golden State in Game 3 to 38% from the floor and 28% from 3 point range; however, GS still managed to hit the century mark. These teams get many shot opportunities off because of their frenetic pace. Tonight, we'll look for the Warriors' offensive numbers to improve dramatically. Durant, Curry and Green should pick up their game. New Orleans has nice rhythm to their offense - that's been going on since mid April. GS, the #1 offense in the NBA, will be on track yet will surely give up their share of points. This series is 4-1 O/U its last 5 matchups. With the 'total' tightening a bit off a rare "under", we'll go back on the "over" here.
|
05-03-18 |
Cavs v. Raptors OVER 213 |
|
128-110 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 12 m |
Show
|
Cleveland/Toronto 6:05: Four of the last five in this series has gone "over", and four of the last five in this series played at Toronto have gone "over". Tonight, I still see value with the "over". LeBron, by his own high playoff standard, did not have a good shooting day (12 of 30 and 1 of 8 from 3 pt. range); fortunately, Korver, Thompson and JR Smith stepped up their game to provide the needed points to carry the Cavaliers forward. Tonight, James, who rarely has bad back to back games, should be back on the mark while the streaky Korver and Smith should continue their shooting success. And if Kevin Love, who got moved to the 5 spot from the 4, gets out of his slump, surely more added gravy. He has trouble handling Jonas V. in the low post but creates a mismatch on the offensive end with his shooting range. As for Toronto, they got in to a panic mode late and their offense suffered down the stretch. Toronto has fed off the home crowd virtually all season and should keep their foot on the gas peddle tonight. Raptors 7-1 O/U in last 8 semi-final games.
|
04-28-18 |
Pelicans v. Warriors OVER 204.5 |
|
101-123 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 9 m |
Show
|
|
04-26-18 |
Celtics v. Bucks OVER 199.5 |
|
86-97 |
Loss |
-107 |
18 h 13 m |
Show
|
|
04-24-18 |
Bucks v. Celtics OVER 202.5 |
|
87-92 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 49 m |
Show
|
Bucks/Celtics 7:05: This total is set down a few points further than expected considering this series has gone "over" in six straight games; moreover, in those games, each team reached the century mark in points except one time - Boston (92) at Milwaukee on 4/20. I like the odds of this game going "over" today, for Celtics have moved on from Kyrie Irving's loss with good backcourt play from Rozier and Brown. Heavy "over" trends are popping up in this series, including 12-1 O/U in this series at Boston. "Over" it is!
|
04-23-18 |
Nationals v. Giants UNDER 7.5 |
Top |
2-4 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 30 m |
Show
|
|
04-21-18 |
Mariners v. Rangers UNDER 9 |
|
9-7 |
Loss |
-115 |
6 h 12 m |
Show
|
Mariners/Rangers 8:05: "Under" value with two starters who have done well in their respective roles. Seattle's Paxton has been strong in his last three outings (2.65 ERA/1.06 WHIP) and faces a Texas lineup that's having difficulty hitting lefties. Rangers driving in just 2.83 RPG on a .226 BA against southpaws. On the other hand, Roberto Colon, who turns 45 in May, has some juice left in him. In 18 2/3 IP, he sports a 1.45 ERA with a stellar .70 WHIP. Colon, who gets his first home start at Globe Life Park, has done well in his career there (9-3 with a 2.65 ERA). Colon has won his last 6 starts vs Seattle and has a decent bullpen backing him. Unfortunately, the Rangers aren't hitting the ball now. Paxton is "under" heavy in his recent outings and has a decent bullpen backing him too. "Under" the call.
|
04-12-18 |
Angels v. Royals UNDER 9.5 |
|
7-1 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 33 m |
Show
|
Angels/Royals 8:15: Total a bit higher than projected and see value with the "under" here. Royals' starters doing a decent job (3.18 ERA) and tonight's - Ian Kennedy - has been rock solid in his first two for the season. Kennedy allowed just 1 ER with 13 strike outs with just 2 walks over 12 innings. The KC bullpen a bit shaky but the real KC problem is with their run production. Royals batting a meager .208 vs righties with just 3.19 RPG. The Royals have held their opponents to 4 runs or less in 7 of 10 games. They are facing some hot bats of Los Angeles but Kennedy (1-4 4.25 ERA vs Angels) should be able to limit runs. Kennedy is 0-3-1 O/U vs Angels. LA is 0-4 O/U on Thursdays. Angels put on the hill Nick Tropeano who makes his season debut after doing well in the Triple A affiliate. He should do well against the light bats of KC and then let the strong Angels' bullpen (2.43 ERA) take over.
|
04-11-18 |
Nets v. Celtics OVER 206 |
|
97-110 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 14 m |
Show
|
|
04-08-18 |
Jazz v. Lakers UNDER 209 |
|
112-97 |
Push |
0 |
3 h 30 m |
Show
|
Jazz/Lakers 6:05: Was at the Lakers game on Friday and watched LA artificially move out to an eight point lead against a sleep walking Minnesota team that didn't take advantage of matchup advantages and open looks around the basket; however, in the second half the T-Wolves did and ran away with it. Offensively, the Lakers were turnover prone and very inconsistent in shooting. And with Kuzma (ankle) most likely to be out, no real scoring threat on this Lakers team against one of NBA's better defensive teams. Moreover, without a true point guard (Ball out) running the show, the Lakers will be in deep trouble running their offense behind Caruso, Ennis or Payton II. On the other hand, the Jazz most likely won't have Rubio (hamstring) running the offense and he's established a nice ebb and flow to the offense this season. It could be a bit out of rhythm without him. Lakers are 1-4 O/U after allowing 100+, 2-5 O/U at home. Jazz are 3-11 O/U on 2 days rest. This series at LA has been lower scoring (hasn't exceeded 208 points) since 2015. Under the call.
|
04-07-18 |
Diamondbacks v. Cardinals UNDER 7.5 |
|
3-5 |
Loss |
-120 |
1 h 10 m |
Show
|
|
04-06-18 |
Cavs v. 76ers UNDER 224 |
Top |
130-132 |
Loss |
-105 |
3 h 53 m |
Show
|
Cavaliers/76ers 7:05: Both teams playing well down the stretch but should run out of gas on the scoring end tonight; after all, Cleveland, which made a dramatic double-digit deficit comeback late last night, is 1-11 O/U in the second of back to back games. Philadelphia, which has won 12 straight, is 2-10 O/U against teams above .500 and 1-5 O/U on Fridays. Despite the loss of Embiid, Philadelphia bench producing on both ends of the floor. This series is 5-16 O/U and 2-8 O/U in Philadelphia. These teams are jockeying for that #3 playoff seeding in the East and should put force a solid defensive effort. Lots of value on "under".
|
04-04-18 |
Mariners v. Giants UNDER 8 |
Top |
1-10 |
Loss |
-120 |
2 h 59 m |
Show
|
Mariners/Giants 7:15: Pitchers' park and two opposing pitchers strong in the roles they're given tonight. Felix Hernandez, still one of MLB's best, is coming off a strong season debut and when he's on, quite simply hard to hit. Such be the case tonight against the light hitting Giants who have driven in a measly 1.15 RPG vs righties thus far. Hernandez sports a 1.86 ERA in 4 outings vs SF and he should go deep into the innings tonight before a solid Mariners bullpen (2.84 ERA) takes over. On the other hand, Johnny Cueto showed good stuff in his season debut and when he's on, he's electric. Cueto sports a 2.89 ERA vs the Mariners and he's shown good stuff in interleague play (2.50 ERA over 21 starts). SF bullpen pretty solid as well with a 3.31 ERA. SF is collectively 6-14 O/U in their last 20 games and 3-7 O/U in their last 10 at AT&T Park. Under the call.
|
03-08-18 |
Baylor v. West Virginia UNDER 140 |
|
65-78 |
Loss |
-104 |
4 h 42 m |
Show
|
|
02-05-18 |
Syracuse v. Louisville OVER 131.5 |
Top |
78-73 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 12 m |
Show
|
|
01-18-18 |
Wake Forest v. NC State OVER 157 |
|
63-72 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 7 m |
Show
|
WF/NC State 8:00: Both of these teams can light it up when they're on and I'm looking for a hot shooting night. NC State got smothered Sunday against THE best defense in the NCAA - Virginia. Tonight, shooting against WF, should seem like a major breath of fresh air; after all, the Demon Deacons allow a generous 74 PPG and 40% from 3 point range. NC State can shoot well on its home floor; at the same time, the Wolfpack is no defensive juggernaut. NC State allows nearly as many points as they make. WF has a number of 3 point marksmen and should find easy looks. WF is 17-5 O/U vs ACC foes and this series has gone "over" in 4 of the last 5 at NC State. Over it is.
|