Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-07-19 | LSU v. Texas +7 | Top | 45-38 | Push | 0 | 1 h 18 m | Show |
04-25-19 | Nuggets v. Spurs -2.5 | Top | 103-120 | Win | 100 | 20 h 25 m | Show |
Nuggets/Spurs 8:05: Spurs with their backs against the wall should rise to the occasion. Spurs unlikely to lose three straight and should make the needed adjustments. DeRozan should stay out of foul trouble here and Derrick White should break out of his slump. And Popovich should have his guys clog lanes better to stop dribble penetration from Murray and keep big bods on Jokic. Spurs a solid 6-3 ATS in this favorite price role. |
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03-21-19 | Murray State +3.5 v. Marquette | Top | 83-64 | Win | 100 | 17 h 55 m | Show |
Murray State/Marquette 4:30: Marquette is another tournament team that started the year off strong (23-4), captured some quality non-conference wins, and then sputtered inconsistently down the stretch on a 1-5 slide. Leading scorer Markus Howard literally lived at the free throw line vs Seton Hall in the 2nd round of the conference tournament but missed lots of free throws and was a pitiful 1 of 15 from the field. Most likely, the #6 scorer in the nation will find his range today. And surely the Golden Eagles are equipped with scorers - add Hauser to that list too; however, the #11 scoring team in the nation - Murray State - is no joke. Ja Morant is as good as any scorer in the nation and he's got a solid scoring contingent supporting him. The OVC has some serious scoring teams like Belmont and Jacksonville State that can light up the net. Moreover, Murray State defends the perimeter will at 28.2%! That's #4 in the nation. Considering Marquette is not a long (height) team, without an imposing post player, the Racers can effectively trade buckets. Racers should be back to their old NCAA Tournament form of yesteryear. |
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03-10-19 | Rutgers +8 v. Indiana | Top | 73-89 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
Rutgers/Indiana Noon: Both of these teams playing well down the stretch but like the grit of Rutgers. The Scarlet Knights, which have gone 6-0-1 ATS in its last 7, have a tendency to hang around on the road covering 4 straight as a traveler. And they're 10-4 ATS on the road vs a team with a home win % above .600. Coach Pikiell has done a nice job guiding Rutgers to more Big 10 wins this year than the last 2 seasons combined! And Rutgers is in line for a first round bye if they can get by Indiana today. The Scarlet Knights crash the boards - leading the Big 10 in offensive rebounds. Of course, they leave themselves vulnerable for transition points - especially perimeter shots; however, Indiana has not measured up on the perimeter for most of the season shooting just 31.2% (320th nationally). Rutgers on a 2-0 SU run vs Indiana and should deliver again. |
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03-05-19 | Xavier +4 v. Butler | Top | 66-71 | Loss | -109 | 18 h 46 m | Show |
Xavier/Butler 6:00: Keeping this simple, Xavier is playing a good brand of basketball now while Butler is not. Xavier, which won the first meeting 70-69 at home January, 13th, has won 5 straight games SU/ATS. Butler has dropped 3 straight and 8 of its last 10 ATS. Butler has not shown the resiliency off a loss either under Coach Jordan at 1-5 ATS. Xavier's Marshall is hot and he's got a solid clutch supporting cast including Scruggs. With Xavier at 8-2 ATS at Hinkle Field House, we'll grab the points and Xavier. |
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02-23-19 | Memphis v. Wichita State -3.5 | Top | 88-85 | Loss | -109 | 19 h 7 m | Show |
Memphis/Wichita State 8:00: Memphis throttled the Shockers back on January 3rd 85-74. Wichita State will be in a revenge mode and they're gearing up for tournament play. They've allowed just 62 PPG over their 5-0 ATS run. Memphis struggles on the road at 1-6-1 ATS. And since a majority of their PPG come in transition, they're going to have difficulty with the well coached Shockers which are improving in ball control as March approaches. |
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02-02-19 | Tulsa v. Wichita State -3 | Top | 68-79 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
Tulsa/Wichita State 2:00: Shockers caught in a transition year but don't count HC Marshall out. He can coach with the best of them. Tulsa coming off a comfortable win as I predicted on the 30th; today, however, have to hit the road at a location they've failed (0-4 ATS). Wichita State has fair value on a pretty good floor. |
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01-07-19 | Alabama v. Clemson +6 | Top | 16-44 | Win | 100 | 188 h 50 m | Show |
Clemson/Alabama 8:00: Closely matched teams with NFL caliber talent across the board. I will go with the stability of the Clemson coaching staff and hungry, revenge seeking (last year's 24-6 semi-finals loss) Tigers. Dabo Swinney is a dangerous bowl dog at 7-1 ATS and he's fielding a better team this year. Sure, Bama is loaded with talent but coaching decisions loom large at times. They let Oklahoma hang around and it almost cost them. Oklahoma and QB Murray simply ran out of time. Clemson presents a much tougher challenge defensively despite the absence of Lawrence. Clemson run stop unit allows a meager 2.6 Y.P.C. and presents an unappreciated secondary not getting respect. Clemson's defensive front can bring heat on Tua (ankle still hurting) to force errant throws in the ball hawking Clemson secondary. We'll look for Clemson's veteran DC Venables to dial up the right schemes taking away top Alabama target Jeudy. On the other hand, Alabama has shown breakdowns in their secondary - Oklahoma - that QB Trevor Lawrence can exploit. And keep in mind that Clemson can run the rock. Clemson led the nation in rushing at 7.4 Y.P.C. RB Etienne is a big time playmaker. Moreover, Alabama will not have an answer for WR Hunter Renfrow and rising star Ross. Clemson the call. |
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01-06-19 | Chargers +3 v. Ravens | Top | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show |
Chargers/Ravens 1:05: Chargers have been a nasty road team at 7-1 SU/ATS and I'm staying on them today. Ravens' electric QB Jackson snuck up on them in the first encounter but the Chargers had time to scheme and prepare for his mobility today. Chargers will continue to choose speed over size in their defensive personnel with six defensive backs to combat the elusiveness of Lamar Jackson. Chargers' defensive backs match well with Baltimore receivers and I like the defensive line presence of Ingram and Bosa to disrupt Jackson in the pocket. On the other side of the ball, Phillip Rivers finally has the supporting cast he needs to make a run in the playoffs. He has the resiliency to overcome early breakdowns, interceptions and sacks to scorch a team late. Sure, the Ravens' defense is awesome but Chargers will clean up their game this time around and deliver. |
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01-05-19 | Seahawks +2 v. Cowboys | Top | 22-24 | Push | 0 | 69 h 9 m | Show |
Seahawks/Cowboys 8:15: Seahawks have been my big ticket winner for the year; after all, I've ridden them for most of the season and I'm not jumping off now. Seattle is an incredible 25-5-1 ATS in NFL Prime Time games under Pete Carroll. Sure, the defense is spotty against the run and Elliot and company are licking their chops to avenge the earlier season loss. Since then the offensive line has been overhauled and WR Cooper has been added while the defense has stepped up its game; however, Seattle has gotten better as well. Like the Seahawks' run game with Carson as the Seahawks found their identity after the third game of the year and they've been solid since. QB Wilson is a big time QB and he's in good rhythm with Lockett and Baldwin. And with TE Dissley out, we'll look for Vannett to step up his game. Seattle will find a way. |
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01-01-19 | Kentucky v. Penn State -5.5 | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
Kentucky/Penn State 1:00: Kentucky sneaked up on teams early with the power run game but defenses adjusted later in the season forcing QB Wilson to throw more; unfortunately, Wilson didn't scare any secondaries. Penn State's defense well schooled and should limit Snell and company. On the other hand, Penn State's all time leading passer McSorely should continue his big play resume and go out a winner. He's got another great complimentary running back Miles Sanders. Penn State the call. |
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12-30-18 | Eagles -6.5 v. Redskins | Top | 24-0 | Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
12-23-18 | Chiefs v. Seahawks +3 | Top | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 49 h 38 m | Show |
Chiefs/Seahawks 8:20: Both teams coming off division losses but I like Seattle at home in this one. The Seahawks, 23-10-1 ATS in December, are prime timers under Pete Carroll at 25-5-1 ATS. Seattle surely has a prime time QB who is at his best when the lights shine brightest. Russell Wilson is having another strong year (3,025 passing yards, 31 TD / 6 INT and, as always, dangerous with his feet). Wilson has WR Baldwin healthy for the first time this season. Him and Lockett should continue to impress. But it's the bruising Seattle run game that should put a major dent in the KC defense to allow Wilson to do his thing. Chris Carson should eclipse 1000 yards for the season tonight vs a KC run stop unit that allows 5 YPC. We'll look for Seattle to run the rock successfully, eat clock and keep the explosive KC offense off the field. Seattle's defense has shown improvement as the season progressed. LB K.J. Wright is back tonight. He'll be limited but surely give his teammates an emotional lift. Chiefs falling off in production at 0-4-1 ATS and vulnerable here. |
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12-16-18 | Cowboys +3.5 v. Colts | Top | 0-23 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
Cowboys/Colts 1:00: Big reason for the Cowboys turnaround that hasn't been discussed. Sure, the obvious is their acquisition of WR Cooper and the retooling of their offensive line. And much of their defensive turnaround should be attributed to Coach Kris Richard who's taken a bigger role in the defensive design, coordination and calling. Last time Colts' QB Luck faced Dallas, he had a miserable game. This Cowboys' defense won't make it easy on him again. Offensively, like the Cowboys quality mix of RB Elliot and now vertical threat Cooper. Colts off huge win over Houston last week could lead to mild letdown here. Colts 5-12-2 ATS off SU win. Cowboys the call. |
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12-16-18 | Cardinals +10.5 v. Falcons | Top | 14-40 | Loss | -130 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
Cardinals/Falcons 1:00: Falcons have no business laying double digits to anybody. Their defense has lots of holes and offensively can't find a run game to fill injured Freeman's shoes. Cardinals still competitive and do have a decent secondary and a DE in Chandler Jones who can get after the QB. Sure, Arizona's offense is pathetic but still has weaponry in Fitzgerald, and RB David Johnson and respectable rookie QB Rosen. Cardinals should get the run game going against an injury ravaged Falcons' defense that allows 5 YPC. Cardinals are a respectable 3-1-1 ATS on the road and sport a 17-8 December ledger. Arizona the call. |
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12-09-18 | Rams -2.5 v. Bears | Top | 6-15 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 39 m | Show |
Rams/Bears 8:20: Rams have demonstrated road toughness and should measure up to the task here. Sure, it's freezing cold in Chicago now but plenty of the Rams' roster has experienced cold temperatures including WR Cooks, QB Goff, DT Donald, CBs Talib and Peters, and more. Bears' defense is outstanding and leads the league in forcing turnovers; however, it was exposed last week at NY. And remember, Rams' defense is right behind tied with Seattle in forcing turnovers and can surely sack the QB. Trubisky (shoulder) is back in the fray and he'll try to avoid drop back vertical routes with the flush pocket extraordinaire - Aaron Donald leading the charge. But DE Fowler can handle Trubisky spilling to him. Trubisky is not yet a prime time QB as demonstrated last season vs Green Bay, this season at GB, and this season against Seattle (2 INTs). Edge to the Rams who are at the elite level with Chicago still nipping at their heels. |
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12-02-18 | Vikings v. Patriots -4.5 | Top | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
Vikings/Patriots 4:25: The bye week did New England justice as they got healthier and reloaded for a strong December run. NE is one of the great late season teams with a December ledger of 66-48 ATS including 34-20 ATS at home. Gronk is getting healthier , RB Michel is back in the fray, and QB Brady is in rhythm with his receiving corps. Vikings have not had success vs the Patriots (0-3 ATS) or the AFC East in which they've gone a poor 4-15 SU including laying an egg against Buffalo in Week 3. Patriots usually thrive at home in this price range at this time of year and we'll jump on them here. |
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11-25-18 | Seahawks +3.5 v. Panthers | Top | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show |
Seahawks/Panthers 1:00: Seahawks have been competitive in every road game this season and sport a 17-8-2 ATS mark in their last 27 road games vs teams with winning home records. Seattle is right there in the fight for the NFC Wild Card and Carolina is showing signs of fading despite their perfect home record and overall winning record at 6-4. The Panthers got blown out by Pitt two weeks ago on MNF and then coughed up a late lead against the mediocre Lions. Panthers were outgained in rushing yards in both those games and now face the leading rushing team in the NFL. RBs Carson, Davis and Penny are carrying the load well; moreover, QB Russell Wilson is having another superb season (23 TD/5 INT). I'm concerned with WR Baldwin (groin) who is questionable at this time, but Lockett and Moore are doing a fine job getting open. On the other hand, Seattle's defense needs to force more turnovers and address McCaffrey today. Leading WR Funchess will be out but there are plenty of weapons at the disposal of QB Newton. We'll look for Carroll to have his men well prepared and deliver. Seattle a perfect 11-0 ATS as a conference dog off a SU/ATS win. |
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11-24-18 | Michigan -3.5 v. Ohio State | Top | 39-62 | Loss | -110 | 110 h 54 m | Show |
Michigan/OSU Noon: I mentioned before the season started that Michigan had what it took to be a Final Four team; at this time, I still believe that. The Wolves have the #1 defense in the nation vs the pass and in total yards. Sure OSU QB Haskins is putting up big numbers but I'm not sold on him being a big game QB, especially in crunch time. He did help deliver a dramatic come from behind win at Penn State but got an amazing catch and run help from WR Ben Victor. And sure, OSU will see the end zone, their offense (#2 in the nation) is too prolific to stop. But defensively, OSU allows way too many yards; as a matter of fact, the Buckeyes allow nearly 180 more yards per game than Michigan's defense. That will not cut it against the offense Harbaugh has finally spent years building. And he finally landed the QB he wanted in Shea Patterson. Patterson should have a big game against an OSU defense that has sacked the QB only 19 times this season. That's twelve fewer than last year; of course, Nick Bosa's absence hurt them. But bottom line, OSU's defensive problems have resulted in a 1-6 ATS slide for them. I jumped on Michigan early in the week when this line opened; of course it has been bid up to -4' but still worth jumping on. I do realize that OSU is a dog for the first time in 51 games; however, it's well justified here as Harbaugh gets his first victory over OSU with authority! |
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11-23-18 | Buffalo -14.5 v. Bowling Green | Top | 44-14 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
Buffalo/Bowling Green Noon: Bowling Green feeling pretty good about themselves after back-to-back wins against conference lightweight - Central Michigan and offensive inept Akron. Today, back to reality for them as Leipold's boys run them ragged. The Bulls, coming off an embarrassing defeat to a very good Ohio U team, should have it together today. Buffalo is 5-0 ATS off a double-digit ATS loss vs an opponent off a double-digit SU win. Buffalo has serious offensive weaponry with tall/versatile QB Jackson, vertical threat Anthony Johnson, possession receiver Osborn, and hard running RB Patterson. Sure, statistically, BG has a good pass defense; however, that is because teams can easily run on them. BG's run-stop-unit is allowing 6 YPC! We'll look for a heavy dose of RB Patterson to set up a big scoring fest. We'll look for a usually solid Bulls' defense to tighten up and unleash on BG QB Doege. He's pretty good but his offensive line has issues protecting him and Buffalo should get back their defensive mojo here. BG HC Jinks just 2-7 ATS as a conference home dog. Buffalo the call. |
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11-18-18 | Eagles +8 v. Saints | Top | 7-48 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 37 m | Show |
Eagles/Saints 4:25: Everybody and their brother on the Saints after 7 straight covers and blowout win over Cincinnati. And yes, Brees is on fire, RB Kamara is a matchup nightmare, and the Saints' run stop unit is menacing. Nevertheless, too many points to an Eagles team coming off a loss. Eagles, 7-3 ATS off a SU loss, beaten by an average of 4.4 PPG in their 5 defeats with none greater than a TD. Pederson 5-0 ATS off a SU loss vs an opponent off a double-digit SU win. Yes, Eagles' secondary is thin with CB Darby (ACL) out; however, CB Douglas is capable of rising to the occasion and CB Sidney Jones is back in action. Also keep in mind the strength of the Eagles defensive line which can add Bennett and rookie Sweat to the mix. Saints without OT Armstead, could be an attacking point for Philadelphia. And remember, QB Wentz got in a groove last week and should torch a Saints' pass defense that has given up nearly 300 YPG - worse than the Eagles. And with Saints' killer - Golden Tate now in the mix, Eagles should be in this one. Tate, while with Detroit, caught 35 passes for 485 yards against the Saints. Finally, with New Orleans at 0-7 ATS off a double-digit SU win vs a less than .500 non-division opponent, Eagles the way to go here. |
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11-17-18 | Northwestern +3 v. Minnesota | Top | 24-14 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show |
11-11-18 | Patriots -6 v. Titans | Top | 10-34 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 46 m | Show |
11-10-18 | California +4 v. USC | Top | 15-14 | Win | 100 | 19 h 32 m | Show |
11-04-18 | Chargers v. Seahawks +1 | Top | 25-17 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 51 m | Show |
Chargers/Seahawks 4:05: Seahawks on a nice roll as HC Carroll once again steers his team on a run for a playoff birth. Chargers are also doing well but the benefactor of a soft schedule enabling them to beat the sub-par teams. Anthony Lynn now just 3-8 ATS vs winning teams and 1-6 ATS vs opponents off a SU win. Sure, they're coming off a bye but just 3-8 ATS with rest. Without Bosa (foot) wreaking havoc on QBs, we'll look for elusive QB Wilson to keep getting it done, especially now that the run game (3rd in NFL) is cooking. Seattle the call. |
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11-03-18 | Georgia -7.5 v. Kentucky | Top | 34-17 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
Georgia/Kentucky Noon: Good value with the Bulldogs equipped to deliver another knockout here. Last year, a 41-13 thrashing. Sure, Georgia graduated many of those players but reloaded with another top 3 FBS class. Kentucky does possess the top scoring defense in the nation but this will be their biggest test with a well balanced run game, a veteran QB Fromm and some top flight receivers. On the other hand, Kentucky relies on jump starting their offense with the power ground game led by Snell. Georgia's rock solid defense is wired to stop this team and surely QB Terry Wilson won't pick the ball hawking Bulldogs' secondary apart. Georgia is a sweet 15-0 ATS off a double-digit SU win vs a conference opponent off a SU dog win. Georgia cruises. |
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10-28-18 | Seahawks +3 v. Lions | Top | 28-14 | Win | 100 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
Seahawks/Lions 1:00: Matt Patricia not ready for prime time against Super Bowl winning coach Pete Carroll. Carroll's boys coming off a successful trip to London and well rested. Teams coming off that week of rest after the London gig have a high percentage win rate and we'll gladly take the points here. Defensively, the Seahawks were supposed to be in a major overhaul but are getting healthier (K.J. Wright back) and Bobby Wagner is the highest rated LB in production in the NFL after seven weeks. Moreover, Seattle might not generate lots of sacks but are in the top 7 generating pressure on QBs at 31.7% of the time. Offensively, Seattle's RB Chris Carson has 352 rushing yards and should put a dent in the 30th ranked run-stop-unit of Detroit; consequently, QB Wilson, who's having another fine year, should find Lockett and Baldwin for significant gains. Seattle sports a 10-0 ATS mark as a conference dog off SU/ATS win. Seattle the call. |
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10-27-18 | Arizona State v. USC -3 | Top | 38-35 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
10-21-18 | Texans +4.5 v. Jaguars | Top | 20-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
10-20-18 | NC State +17.5 v. Clemson | Top | 7-41 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
NC State/Clemson 3:30: NC State has played a light schedule but odds makers over adjusted with the generous amount of points. Clemson has been over valued much of the year as their 2-4 ATS mark illustrates. And the Tigers haven't exactly faced a murderer's row of opponents either - Furman, GA Southern, as well as struggling conference foes G Tech and Wake Forest. And the blowout of WF surely lends value. NC State has covered 6 of the last 8 in this series and won't go into Death Valley intimidated. NC State has an efficient offense run by ACC's top passer Finley (335 YPG). And he's only been sacked twice this year. He's got a good arsenal of weaponry including WR Harmon. Moreover, like the NC State defense which allows just 16.8 PPG. Wolfpack HC Doeren an outstanding 36-6 SU when his team outgains opponent. And throw in that the Wolfpack is 12-0 ATS as a conference dog with rest and we have ourselves a Top Play. |
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10-14-18 | Rams -6.5 v. Broncos | Top | 23-20 | Loss | -113 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
Rams/Broncos 4:05: Broncos' defense got gashed to the tune of 512 yards last week vs New York. Denver is 30th in league against the run and that doesn't bode well against the league's #1 offense. Rams are in a nice rhythm offensively and can't see the Broncos stopping them here; especially, with Cooks and Kupp now ready for action after being in concussion protocol last week. And defensively, Rams should shape up after a disappointing outing at Seattle last week. Suh and Donald licking their chops against turnover prone Keenum (7 INT). And in October, Rams a sweet 12-1 ATS off a SU win vs an opponent off a double-digit SU loss. Vance Joseph a money burning 1-6 ATS as a dog of 3 or more. Rams the call. |
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10-13-18 | Colorado +7 v. USC | Top | 20-31 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 21 m | Show |
Colorado/USC 10:30: Like the chances of the vengeful Buffaloes. Colorado has been competitive in this series at 3-1-1 ATS yet hasn't beaten them in over a decade. Colorado is a sweet 7-0 ATS on the road with revenge. USC, however, is a poor 2-12 ATS vs conference opponents with revenge off back-to-back SU/ATS wins. USC defense a shell of what it used to be and accurate QB Montez (75% completions with 14 TD/2 INT) can keep the Buffaloes in this one. Colorado sports a solid veteran defense that allows just 18.4 PPG. Not a fan of the inconsistent USC offensive line. We'll look for them to keep QB J.T. Daniels and company at bay. |
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10-07-18 | Broncos v. Jets +1.5 | Top | 16-34 | Win | 100 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
Denver/NY 1:00: Tough spot for Denver - coming off heartbreaking MNF loss and having to travel cross country to play a fired up Jets team with heavy hearts and desperate for a win. Jets found out mid week that their DC Kacy Rodgers has serious health issues and that should inspire the Jets' players. Todd Bowles will assume the DC duties and his unit should continue to be disruptive and add to their 10 forced fumbles. Bowles was not happy with his defense after they gave up 503 yards last week to Jacksonville. Denver does have a bruising run game but lack firepower through the air as QB Keenum with only 3 TD passes while throwing 6 INTs. We'll look for his counterpart Darnold to outplay him as he is overdue for a big game since that Week 1 magical day in Detroit. Denver defense not what it used to be in terms of forcing turnovers and getting critical key stops. And Denver sports a very poor 1-8 ATS road mark under HC Joseph. Jets a good October team at 6-0-1 ATS and we'll roll with them here. |
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10-06-18 | Northwestern +10 v. Michigan State | Top | 29-19 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
Northwestern/Michigan State Noon: Rough three game skid for Northwestern; however, competitive all season including last week vs Michigan when their offense shut down in the second half. Look for Fitzgerald's boys to step up their game here. NW is 12-5 ATS after accumulating less than 275 years the previous week. And NW has covered 4 straight on the Big Ten road and an amazing 7 straight at East Lansing. I like NW's LBs Fisher and Gallagher. And their defensive line led by Joe Gaziano and Jordan Thompson should be disruptive to the Spartan's offensive line which has struggled all season. Northwestern the call. |
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09-30-18 | Ravens +3 v. Steelers | Top | 26-14 | Win | 100 | 17 h 49 m | Show |
Ravens/Steelers 8:20: This series has been extremely competitive where the dog has taken the money in 5 of the last 6. Tonight, Ravens should deliver again. They've covered 5 of the last 6 against the Steelers and are in a triple revenge mode. I do realize top corner Jimmy Smith (suspended) will be missed; however, Ravens, which sport the #1 defense in terms of total yards allowed, will do some sort of bracketing on Antonio Brown. Baltimore had an extra prep day and catching Pitt (off MNF win) on a short prep week. And I don't like Tomlin's 0-7 ATS mark off a SU win. I do like Joe Flacco's reemergence as a standout NFL QB. He finally has a skill supporting cast he's comfortable with in Crabtree, Brown and Snead. And RB Alex Collins is a horse near the goal line. The Ravens are capitalizing on Red Zone opportunities this year (100%) and that doesn't bode well against a Steelers' defense in the bottom tier in total defense and 31st in Red Zone defense since the beginning of 2017. Ravens the call. |
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09-29-18 | Utah v. Washington State +1.5 | Top | 24-28 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
Utah/Washington State 6:00: Like getting points with a Washington State team that's been hot at home (7-0 ATS) and in September (7-0 ATS). Cougars have an outstanding QB in Minshew II (71% completions / 11 TD/ 3 INT). He torched the USC defense last week and should find ways in moving the football against Utah's defense. Sure, Utah has the nation's #1 ranked defense; however, that rank is somewhat misleading with N. Illinois and Weber State on schedule in two of three of their games. The problem with Utah is their offense in which fumbled seven times and two interceptions. Washington State's defense is ball hawking and should be on their game at home. Furthermore, Leach has had Whittingham's number as Washington State sports a 3-0 ATS mark in this series. Cougars deliver. |
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09-09-18 | Seahawks +3 v. Broncos | Top | 24-27 | Push | 0 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
Seahawks/Broncos 4:25: Look for the Seahawks to get out of the gate strong this year after a disappointing 2017 season. Seahawks addressed a few key issues over the summer including rebuilding the departed Legion of Boom. Shaq Griffin was a great draft choice as he will start at outside backer. He should do well with underrated man in the middle Bobby Wagner as a mentor. And with six time pro bowl safety Earl Thomas starting today, I feel good about the Seahawks' defense again. And yes, Carroll has some studs on the first line of defense with Clark, Reed, Stephens, Jordan healthy with quality depth brought in from the off-season and through the draft. Someone will emerge! Offensively, the offensive line has had consistency for a change under new Offensive Line Coach - Mike Solari; consequently, one of the best QB's in the NFL Russell Wilson should be firing away. And the exciting RB Chris Carson is back healthy after breaking leg early last season. And let's not forget about the Seahawks' receiving targets led by Doug Baldwin. Seahawks under the radar and I'm looking for them to deliver against Case Keenum and company. Seattle is 5-2 ATS in Denver and I'm taking the points. |