04-13-21 |
Celtics +1.5 v. Blazers |
|
116-115 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 3 m |
Show
|
Celtics/Portland 10:10: Celtics picking up their game at the right time. They're on a 5-1 SU run capped by a strong comeback Sunday in Denver. Boston pulled another late comeback win battling back from 14 down to finish on a 40-8 run in a 105-87 whitewash. Tatum has been on fire and he's getting good support from a healthy and confident supporting cast. Portland, on the other hand, on a 2-4 SU slide. Lillard is struggling and they're not playing well against winning opponents as they're 0-6 ATS mark vs teams above .500 attests to that. Boston has had success in Portland winning 3 of the last 4 there. Boston the call.
|
04-12-21 |
Lakers v. Knicks -3 |
|
96-111 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 24 m |
Show
|
Lakers/Knicks 7:40: Give credit to the Lakers, which ambushed the Nets Saturday. Drummond is turning out to be a huge pickup for them. However, Nets were not at full capacity with both Durant and Irving on limited minutes. And Lakers have not won back to back games SU since the 26th and 28th of March. Knicks playing a good stretch of hoops now - 5-0 ATS run as Randle and Barrett are working it. Knicks are MONEY as a favorite at 20-8 ATS. They're also 4-0 ATS unrested and covered 8 of last 8 as home chalk. Lakers have had trouble in NY 2-7 ATS and not good on Mondays (2-5 ATS). I don't believe the Lakers will sneak up on the Knicks tonight.
|
04-11-21 |
Spurs +6 v. Mavs |
|
119-117 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 27 m |
Show
|
|
04-10-21 |
Rockets v. Warriors -9 |
|
109-125 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 7 m |
Show
|
Rockets/Warriors 10:10: Both teams coming off losing efforts yesterday. Warriors at some point are going to have to step up their level of play - particularly on the defensive end - if they want to make the post-season. They currently sit outside on the fringe in qualifying for a playoff spot and need to blow out makeshift, limited talent teams like Houston. Warriors are relatively healthy with Curry, Green, Wiggins - are you kidding me? - underachieving. Warriors do deliver vs teams under .400 on the road playing at Golden State at 8-2 ATS. With a major talent and coaching disparity, look for Golden State to blow this one open.
|
04-08-21 |
Suns v. Clippers -6 |
|
103-113 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 14 m |
Show
|
Suns/Clippers 10:10: I was on the Suns (+2) last night and they delivered in OT. Tonight, I'm fading them off that emotional win. Clippers are coming on strong (2-0 SU/ATS) after an expected slip up vs Denver. Leonard and George establishing a nice rhythm while Beverly is back in the fray to solidify a solid lineup. Suns just 1-8 ATS in Los Angeles while the Clippers have covered 8 of their last 10 at home. Suns just don't have the recovery time (mentally and physically) to recharge for tonight. Clippers nipping at the heels of the Suns in the Pacific and need to secure a win here to move up a game in the division. Lay the points.
|
04-07-21 |
Jazz v. Suns +2 |
|
113-117 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 56 m |
Show
|
Jazz/Suns 10:10: Both of these teams at the top of the tier in standings and ATS. However, Jazz slipping into a 1-3 ATS funk. Coming off a poor shooting perimeter game in Dallas on Monday where Jazz went 12 of 44. Jazz just 8-18-2 ATS following a SU loss. Phoenix Big 3 - Booker, Paul and Ayton in great rhythm now. The Suns sport a 5-2 ATS mark as a home dog and covered the last 3 in this series. We'll roll with Phoenix.
|
04-06-21 |
76ers v. Celtics +1 |
|
106-96 |
Loss |
-105 |
18 h 51 m |
Show
|
76ers/Celtics 7:40: Celtics starting to play better, coming off two solid outings as Tatum, Smart, Walker, Brown and even center Williams stepping up his play; moreover, newly acquired Fournier, after a rough start, came on strong last two games off the bench as a big contributor. Celtics eager to avenge a pair of mid January defeats at Philadelphia. Boston, 19-7 ATS as a home dog, catching the Sixers' Embiid in not his greatest form. Embiid dominated in those January games; however, he's working his way back after an extended injury and limited in floor time. Celtics the call.
|
04-02-21 |
Thunder v. Suns -12.5 |
|
103-140 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 25 m |
Show
|
OKC/Phoenix 10:10: OKC coming off a big win over struggling Toronto on Wednesday. Thunder 4-10 ATS after scoring 100+ and 1-5 ATS on 1 day rest. The Thunder are able to beat lightweights or a depleted heavyweight occasionally; as a matter of fact, they dispatched the Suns in Phoenix back on January 27th. It should be duly noted though that the Suns were without their top gun Devin Booker that night. When Chris Paul is forced to be the go-to-scorer, the Suns struggle. Paul is a facilitator and Booker is the natural scorer. Throw in Ayton down low and energy driven wily veteran Crowder and the Suns are a legitimate contender. Suns 13-5 ATS at home, 5-0 ATS on Friday and can close as a favorite (19-7 ATS). Suns the call.
|
04-01-21 |
Nuggets -1.5 v. Clippers |
|
101-94 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 39 m |
Show
|
Nuggets/Clippers 10:10: Both teams rolling but Clippers dealing with injuries. George, Beverly, Ibaka, Morris (calf), and the inability to get Rondo (thigh) on floor will make it difficult to compete four quarters with a determined Nuggets team that's eager to avenge its Christmas day -121-108 loss. Lue's depleted bench showed Tuesday vs lightweight Orlando - allowing them to roll in the second half. Nuggets are healthy, Jokic playing at an MVP level, Murray - hitting stride, and when Porter is on his game - currently is- Nuggets hard to stop. In addition, Nuggets feeling good going forward with addition of Gordon and McGee which will add versatility to their defense. Nuggets nipping at the heels of the Clippers in the standings and need this one. Nuggets covered 5 of the last 7 in this series and I'm riding them here. Nuggets the call.
|
03-31-21 |
Knicks -3.5 v. Wolves |
|
101-102 |
Loss |
-109 |
18 h 14 m |
Show
|
|
03-24-21 |
Cavs v. Bulls -5.5 |
|
103-94 |
Loss |
-105 |
18 h 6 m |
Show
|
Cavaliers/Bulls 8:10: Bulls bounce off losses well under Donovan at 8-2 ATS. And they play the favorite role well at 6-2 ATS. Bulls were blown out at home vs Utah on Monday - the second of back-to-back games. However, Cavaliers pale in comparison with the Jazz. Cavaliers sport the 30th ranked offense, poor on the road - 5-16 ATS, and lost 5 of their last 7 dog roles. Bulls 11-4 ATS at home vs a team under .500. Donovan doing a solid job bringing Bulls back to respectability and we'll roll with them here.
|
03-17-21 |
Heat -2 v. Grizzlies |
|
85-89 |
Loss |
-100 |
20 h 43 m |
Show
|
Heat/Grizzlies 9:05: Heat playing well (11-1 SU/9-3 ATS) and healthy; consequently, they're gelling on both ends of the floor. Adebayo (knee) looked solid last night vs Cleveland after his long layoff. And defensively, they're locking down - allowing a league low 44.3% from the floor. Heat play well unrested at 5-1 ATS and covered 5 of last 6 in series. Grizzlies off two straight losses will have a rough night.
|
03-15-21 |
Lakers v. Warriors +3 |
|
128-97 |
Loss |
-110 |
21 h 45 m |
Show
|
Lakers/Warriors 10:35: This series has alternated spread wins and losses over the last 10 games. Most recent, Lakers avenged their 115-113 January 18th loss with a convincing 117-91 route at Los Angeles on February 28th. Tonight, the Lakers, short handed without Gasol, A.D. and Caruso, head back to Golden State where the Warriors polished off the Jazz on Sunday. Lakers 0-4 ATS in their last 4 on the road vs a team with home winning % above .600. Warriors covered the last 4 at home and should deliver here.
|
03-01-21 |
Jazz -6.5 v. Pelicans |
|
124-129 |
Loss |
-107 |
19 h 30 m |
Show
|
Jazz/Pelicans 8:05: Jazz bringing it every night while Van Gundy's boys bring it now and then. Van Gundy preaches defense then complains about it; as a result, Pelicans allow 115.7 PPG - bottom tier in the NBA. Snyder teaches defense and reinforces; as a result, Utah one of the top defensive teams in the NBA. Offensively, Pelicans try to outscore opponents but usually run out of gas while Snyder's bunch is ramped up to 116.2 PPG (#3 in NBA). Chemistry great on both sides of the court as Mitchell, Gobert are a tough combo to stop. And even if Mike Conley can't go, Jazz confident in Ingles to deliver. Jazz well organized and all on same page. That's why the Jazz are on a 22-4 ATS run and 2-0 SU/ATS in this series this season. Make that 3-0 SU/ATS.
|
02-26-21 |
Pacers v. Celtics -2.5 |
|
112-118 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 4 m |
Show
|
Indiana/Boston 7:35: Celtics in a funk yet should bounce back nice here; after all, they're 8-3 ATS off a loss of 10+ points. Boston has their pride and in a good spot to pick up a convincing win. Boston does miss hustle guy - Marcus Smart (injured) but Walker, Brown and Tatum, sluggish as of late but should turn it up a notch here. They are elite players and no excuse for sluggishness. Indiana not playing their best basketball (3-6 ATS slide) and haven't had a whole lot of success in this series (2-5-2 ATS) including 0-2 SU/ATS in Boston. Pacers 3-8 ATS on the road vs teams with a home winning % above .600. Celtics the call.
|
02-24-21 |
Wolves v. Bulls -4 |
|
126-133 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 34 m |
Show
|
|
02-24-21 |
Celtics -1.5 v. Hawks |
|
112-127 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 40 m |
Show
|
|
02-22-21 |
Bulls +1 v. Rockets |
|
120-100 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 47 m |
Show
|
Bulls/Rockets 8:05: Bulls' HC Donovan getting the best out of limited talent. Lavine has elevated his game while making supporting players better. Chicago a solid 7-1 ATS as a road dog and should be able to deliver an outright over a collapsing Houston team. HC Silas losing the locker room and he's not equipped with the best mix of locker room guys. Rockets' offensive identity out the window when D'Antoni left. Rockets now 23rd in the NBA offensively. Houston 1-9 ATS on Mondays and failed to cover in 6 of last 7 home games. Chicago has not had success in Houston but that should change.
|
02-04-21 |
Nuggets +5 v. Lakers |
|
93-114 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 46 m |
Show
|
Nuggets/Lakers 10:05: Nuggets playing at a high level and HC Malone using talented bench well. Jokic playing at an MVP level leading the Nuggets on a 6-1 ATS run. Denver competitive in this series and have played well in Los Angeles. They've had a few extra days off with the postponement of the Pistons' game. Well rested Nuggets should be ready. Lakers coming off an extended road trip and haven't done well in this role; as a matter of fact, Lakers 0-4 ATS at home following a road trip of 7 or more days. Lakers AD and LeBron dealing with minor injuries, good opportunity for Denver to sneak in a cover.
|
01-27-21 |
Thunder +7.5 v. Suns |
|
102-97 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 4 m |
Show
|
|
01-20-21 |
Spurs +1.5 v. Warriors |
|
99-121 |
Loss |
-105 |
2 h 7 m |
Show
|
|
01-14-21 |
Warriors +5 v. Nuggets |
|
104-114 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 33 m |
Show
|
|
01-13-21 |
Lakers v. Thunder +8 |
|
128-99 |
Loss |
-100 |
3 h 13 m |
Show
|
Lakers/Thunder 8:05: Thunder overdue to break their 0-4 mark on 0 rest. They're coming off a loss at home last night to San Antonio but sit at 5-2 ATS as a home dog. They'll be without Horford tonight but have some quality depth (Roby) to make up the difference and be competitive. Gilgeous-Alexander and George Hill give them a shooters chance to stay in this one. As of now AD is questionable with a toe injury and LeBron may opt to sit or limit minutes. We'll look for the Thunder to steal one here. OKC 4-1 ATS the last 5 in this series.
|
12-31-20 |
Suns +4 v. Jazz |
|
106-95 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 35 m |
Show
|
|
10-09-20 |
Heat +7.5 v. Lakers |
|
111-108 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 23 m |
Show
|
Heat/Lakers 9:00: Heat has played the dog role well throughout the playoffs (9-4 ATS) and I'm staying on them here. Butler, Herro, Adebayo, Crowder, Robinson have a burning desire to compete and have proven to play with the best of them. Just need Nunn to step up his game a bit more for the shoes of Dragic are big to fill. Heat operate on 2 days rest well at 7-3 ATS. We're going to look for Miami to take this to the wire.
|