05-18-23 |
Lakers v. Nuggets -5.5 |
|
103-108 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 50 m |
Show
|
Lakers/Nuggets 8:30: Lakers feel good about themselves after 4th quarter comeback. Rui Hachimura was instrumental in helping to shut down Jokic. He was the primary defender on the two time MVP while A.D. roamed the paint only to chip off late to disrupt the big man going to the basket. It isn't the first time that the Nuggets have seen that look. It happened several times during the regular season and vs Minnesota. Denver will surely adjust when they see that look as the skilled big man will find roaming Gordon or kick it out to Porter, Brown or Murray. Denver has the ability to turn it up several notches with explosive play. Lakers had trouble with the pick and roll on Murray. And the Nuggets are getting good work out of supporting cast players. Nuggets deliver.
|
05-17-23 |
Heat +8 v. Celtics |
Top |
123-116 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 58 m |
Show
|
Heat/Celtics 8:30: Celtics' Tatum was unstoppable Sunday in Game 7; however, there has been a level of inconsistency from Tatum and Boston this year. With the Celtics coming off that emotional Game 7 win, look for well rested Miami to give the Celtics trouble in Boston. Heat are 13-5 ATS in Boston. And now that post-season superstar Butler had a few days extra to rest his injured ankle, look for him to shine. Miami the call.
|
05-16-23 |
Lakers v. Nuggets -6 |
|
126-132 |
Push |
0 |
19 h 58 m |
Show
|
Lakers/Nuggets 8:30: Home team has gotten the best of this season series - splitting 4 games. I do realize that the Lakers have been entirely reconfigured since that January 9th 122-109 win in Denver. Lakers have a strong bench which proved to be a big asset thus far in the playoffs. Interesting matchup with Anthony Davis vs Jokic. Jokic has yet to be stopped in postseason and this will be perhaps his most challenging adversary. Jokic has a solid supporting cast that is on the same page. Gordon, Porter Jr. and former Laker - Caldwell- Pope have been strong, and the X Factor this season is Murray. He's the missing piece which should carry Denver in Game 1. Both teams are strong on 3 days rest - a combined 8-1 ATS, but Denver is a sweet 23-9 ATS in their last 32 home games. Edge to Denver tonight as they deliver.
|
05-14-23 |
76ers +6.5 v. Celtics |
|
88-112 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 18 m |
Show
|
76ers/Celtics 3:30: Not a Doc Rivers' fan, for he's flopped in many a Game 7 including never winning one on the road; however, 76ers have a fighter's chance here. They had time to improve their spacing and get Harden to work more efficiently with Embiid. Supporting cast is there with Maxey and Tucker, but Harris needs to step up his game. Sixers have won a few at Boston and are respectable 7-3 ATS off a loss. Celtics have been inconsistent off wins (1-4 ATS). We'll look for Sixers to hang tight.
|
05-12-23 |
Warriors +122 v. Lakers |
|
101-122 |
Loss |
-100 |
21 h 14 m |
Show
|
|
05-12-23 |
Knicks v. Heat -5.5 |
|
92-96 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 30 m |
Show
|
|
05-11-23 |
Nuggets +3.5 v. Suns |
|
125-100 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 38 m |
Show
|
|
05-11-23 |
Celtics -2.5 v. 76ers |
|
95-86 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 3 m |
Show
|
|
05-10-23 |
Lakers v. Warriors -7 |
|
106-121 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 48 m |
Show
|
|
05-10-23 |
Heat +4 v. Knicks |
|
103-112 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 15 m |
Show
|
|
05-09-23 |
Suns v. Nuggets -5 |
Top |
102-118 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 6 m |
Show
|
|
05-09-23 |
76ers v. Celtics -7.5 |
|
115-103 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 36 m |
Show
|
|
05-08-23 |
Warriors +3.5 v. Lakers |
|
101-104 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 48 m |
Show
|
|
05-08-23 |
Knicks +4.5 v. Heat |
|
101-109 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 10 m |
Show
|
|
05-07-23 |
Nuggets +2.5 v. Suns |
Top |
124-129 |
Loss |
-109 |
18 h 45 m |
Show
|
Nuggets/Suns 8:00: Suns Booker shot the lights out Friday night and Durant practically lived at the free throw line. Ayton was a dud and the other surrounding cast was mediocre. Nuggets came back strong from a double-digit halftime deficit. They're getting consistent outstanding production from Jokic and his sidekick - Murray - finds ways to pick up his game. Porter Jr. playing well. Other supporting cast members Gordon and Caldwell-Pope, who had been playing well prior to Friday, should be the difference makers tonight. HC Malone should make the right defensive adjustment on Booker. Denver the call.
|
05-06-23 |
Warriors +3.5 v. Lakers |
|
97-127 |
Loss |
-115 |
19 h 14 m |
Show
|
|
05-06-23 |
Knicks v. Heat -3.5 |
|
86-105 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 39 m |
Show
|
|
05-05-23 |
Nuggets +4.5 v. Suns |
|
114-121 |
Loss |
-110 |
21 h 20 m |
Show
|
Nuggets/Suns 10:00: Chris Paul (groin) was starting to find his shot around the foul line when he pulled up with the injury; consequently, Denver took over the game. Sure, Booker and Durant can take over a game, and Payne is a viable backup point guard. But Jokic is dominating Ayton, and Murray, who was out of rhythm a bit in Game 2, should turn it up a notch here. Denver has solid contributions from Gordon and Caldwell-Pope. Porter Jr. is overdue to step up his game here too. Denver has covered 5 straight in this series and I'll take the points here.
|
05-05-23 |
Celtics v. 76ers UNDER 214.5 |
|
114-102 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 60 m |
Show
|
Celtics/76ers 7:30: These teams are a combined 7-23 O/U in Conference Semifinals games. Both are defensively stout and create turnovers and disciplined in taking away strength of opposition. The "under" is 1-4 O/U in the last 5 meetings. Still value with the "under".
|
05-04-23 |
Lakers v. Warriors -5.5 |
|
100-127 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 40 m |
Show
|
Lakers/Warriors 9:00: Scheduling advantage to the Lakers in Game 1, and as I thought, an outright win. Game 2 a different story. Only one day rest and don't expect Anthony Davis to play 44 hard minutes like he did in Game 1. Golden State will surely bounce back in this game. Green should stay out of foul trouble while Looney and Wiggins continue to hit the boards. And Curry and Thompson should go off. Warriors the call.
|
05-03-23 |
76ers v. Celtics -10 |
|
87-121 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 44 m |
Show
|
|
05-02-23 |
Lakers +4.5 v. Warriors |
|
117-112 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 43 m |
Show
|
Lakers/Warriors 10:00: Lakers have the scheduling advantage here. They've had three full days rest and that goes a long way for veterans James and Davis. As for GS, they've just come off an emotional Game 7 win over Sacramento. Quick turnaround for the Warriors as they only had a full day of rest to charge back up. Lakers covered 5 of the last 7 in this series. Edge to LA in Game 1
|
05-02-23 |
Heat v. Knicks -6.5 |
|
105-111 |
Loss |
-109 |
18 h 43 m |
Show
|
Heat/Knicks 7:30: Heat took control of Game 1 late but paid the price when Butler twisted ankle. He's a big time playoff player and tough as nails so I wouldn't be surprised if he gave it a go tonight; however, he may not have the mobility to close out late on a very good Knicks' defense. Look for the well coached Knicks to make the adjustment. And Brunson is a legitimate superstar who went 0-7 from 3 point range in Game 1. He'll make up for that tonight. Knicks the call.
|
05-01-23 |
Suns v. Nuggets -4.5 |
|
87-97 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 56 m |
Show
|
|
05-01-23 |
76ers +10.5 v. Celtics |
|
119-115 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 23 m |
Show
|
|
04-30-23 |
Heat v. Knicks UNDER 208 |
|
108-101 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 14 m |
Show
|
|
04-29-23 |
Suns +3.5 v. Nuggets |
|
107-125 |
Loss |
-109 |
2 h 4 m |
Show
|
Suns/Nuggets 8:30: As much as I like the Nuggets, value with Suns in Game 1. Phoenix did not look sharp vs undermanned Clippers but found ways of executing down the stretch. Suns are 6-1 ATS on Saturdays and 10-4-1 ATS on 3+ days rest. Suns have practiced up in in high altitude area of Colorado for this one so should have their wind and legs. Nuggets do have a history of getting out of the gate strong in playoffs and 0-4 ATS in Conference Semfinals and just 4-10 ATS on Saturdays. We'll grab the points tonight
|
04-28-23 |
Grizzlies +5 v. Lakers |
|
85-125 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 60 m |
Show
|
|
04-28-23 |
Kings +7.5 v. Warriors |
|
118-99 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 29 m |
Show
|
|
04-27-23 |
Celtics v. Hawks +7 |
|
128-120 |
Loss |
-108 |
4 h 17 m |
Show
|
Celtics/Hawks 8:30: Celtics find themselves pressured here to prevent a Game 7 back in Boston, where they just lost. And the Hawks won without suspended key cog - Murray, who is back in action today. Coach Snyder was forced to use Trae Young for 44 minutes in Game 5 to keep the Hawks in it. And fortunately for Atlanta, they got good work out of Bogdanovic, Collins and Hunter. With Murray, Hawks should be able to stay in it tonight.
|
04-26-23 |
Lakers v. Grizzlies -4 |
|
99-116 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 21 m |
Show
|
|
04-26-23 |
Knicks v. Cavs -5.5 |
|
106-95 |
Loss |
-109 |
18 h 52 m |
Show
|
|
04-25-23 |
Wolves v. Nuggets -9.5 |
|
109-112 |
Loss |
-110 |
20 h 45 m |
Show
|
Wolves/Nuggets 9:00: Nuggets played uninspired basketball Sunday yet still took the Wolves to OT. Now that Denver is back home, lights out for Minnesota. Key Denver cog - Murray has proven he is fully recovered from his ACL injury to give Jokic a legitimate one-two punch that every great team has. And Porter Jr. is also playing a great stretch of basketball. Just too much firepower for inconsistent Wolves.
|
04-24-23 |
Grizzlies +4.5 v. Lakers |
|
111-117 |
Loss |
-110 |
20 h 55 m |
Show
|
|
04-23-23 |
Celtics -5.5 v. Hawks |
|
129-121 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 6 m |
Show
|
|
04-23-23 |
Kings +7.5 v. Warriors |
|
125-126 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 42 m |
Show
|
|
04-23-23 |
Cavs v. Knicks UNDER 206.5 |
|
93-102 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 15 m |
Show
|
|
04-22-23 |
Grizzlies v. Lakers -4 |
|
101-111 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 44 m |
Show
|
|
04-22-23 |
Bucks v. Heat +5 |
Top |
99-121 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 59 m |
Show
|
Bucks/Heat 7:30: Bucks were unstoppable from the perimeter on Wednesday with 25 three pointers. And Lopez had a monster game. I've seen this old dance before in the playoffs and Milwaukee came out flat as a follow up. I anticipate Giannis playing as the line dictates. Heat won't back down on this floor. They're a proud defensive team (#2 in allowing points) and will be prepared protecting their home floor. Losing Herro is a tough loss but Spoelstra has the "next man up" mentality and Robinson, Strus and Oladipo or Vincent going to have to step up their game when called upon. Need Jimmy Butler to turn it up a notch down the stretch while veteran Kevin Love needs to contribute. Sure, Lopez was unstoppable Wednesday but he's been inconsistent off monster games his entire career. Adebayo has pride and should show up big today. Take the points.
|
04-22-23 |
Suns v. Clippers +7.5 |
|
112-100 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 2 m |
Show
|
|
04-21-23 |
Nuggets -2 v. Wolves |
|
120-111 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 45 m |
Show
|
|
04-21-23 |
Cavs v. Knicks UNDER 211.5 |
|
79-99 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 37 m |
Show
|
|
04-21-23 |
Celtics v. Hawks +5.5 |
|
122-130 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 12 m |
Show
|
|
04-20-23 |
Suns v. Clippers +4 |
|
129-124 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 22 m |
Show
|
|
04-20-23 |
Kings +6 v. Warriors |
|
97-114 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 48 m |
Show
|
|
04-20-23 |
76ers -4.5 v. Nets |
|
102-97 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 17 m |
Show
|
|
04-19-23 |
Wolves v. Nuggets OVER 222 |
|
113-122 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 60 m |
Show
|
|
04-19-23 |
Heat v. Bucks -6 |
|
122-138 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 49 m |
Show
|
|
04-19-23 |
Lakers v. Grizzlies +1 |
|
93-103 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 40 m |
Show
|
|
04-18-23 |
Clippers +8.5 v. Suns |
|
109-123 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 22 m |
Show
|
Clippers/Suns 10:00: Suns not in a panic mode yet, but not comfortable on the floor. The few games of rest at the end of the season for the Suns' key cogs reared their heads Sunday. Suns were out of position defensively too often and a step slow; moreover, Paul, who makes the clutch-controlled dribble penetration shots inside the foul line, couldn't late in the 4th quarter. On the other hand, Clippers' coach Lue, once again did a masterful job outcoaching his playoff adversary. And he worked his bench well as Plumlee, and Mann gave good work down the stretch. Westbrook was ridiculously bad putting the ball in the hoop but made up for it in hustle. Clippers have fine tuning on offense to do and once again should cover. They're not intimidated by Phoenix and control a 5-2 ATS mark in Los Angeles.
|
04-18-23 |
Knicks +6 v. Cavs |
|
90-107 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 58 m |
Show
|
Knicks/Cavaliers 7:30: Brunson is definitely the missing piece the Knicks so desperately needed to get them to the next level. His chemistry with college teammate Josh Hart, which helped win two National Championships at Villanova, was apparent when the lights shined bright on Saturday. Just need Randle (ankle) to shake off his playoff history rust and Barrett to step up. Knicks 6-2 ATS at Cleveland. Take points.
|
04-17-23 |
Warriors +1 v. Kings |
|
106-114 |
Loss |
-110 |
20 h 15 m |
Show
|
|
04-17-23 |
Nets +10.5 v. 76ers |
|
84-96 |
Loss |
-115 |
17 h 23 m |
Show
|
|
04-16-23 |
Clippers v. Suns -7 |
|
115-110 |
Loss |
-110 |
20 h 48 m |
Show
|
|
04-16-23 |
Lakers v. Grizzlies -3.5 |
|
128-112 |
Loss |
-110 |
15 h 37 m |
Show
|
|
04-15-23 |
Warriors v. Kings |
|
123-126 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 12 m |
Show
|
|
04-15-23 |
Hawks v. Celtics -9 |
|
99-112 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 58 m |
Show
|
|
04-14-23 |
Bulls +5.5 v. Heat |
|
91-102 |
Loss |
-108 |
18 h 16 m |
Show
|
|
04-12-23 |
Thunder +6 v. Pelicans |
|
123-118 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 23 m |
Show
|
OKC/New Orleans 9:30: OKC 10-4 ATS last 14 in series and 6-0 in last 6 trips to New Orleans. Sure, Pelicans made a run last season without the services of oft injured Zion Williamson (hamstring) but look for young OKC to keep it competitive.
|
04-11-23 |
Wolves v. Lakers -7.5 |
|
102-108 |
Loss |
-110 |
21 h 48 m |
Show
|
T-Wolves/Lakers 10:00: T-Wolves have covered this series 6-1 ATS; however, the new Lakers, which were transformed last month, have shown great promise, including an easy win over the 'Wolves March 31st. With Gobert (suspended) and McDaniels (hand) out, too much stress put on Edwards, Conley and Towns to log heavy minutes. Not a fan of how Lakers' coach Ham uses his bench, but Los Angeles has too much talent to shuttle in to fail here. Anthony Davis should have a huge game considering Gobert's backup (Naz Reid) is also out. Lakers the call.
|
04-05-23 |
Lakers v. Clippers -3 |
|
118-125 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 2 m |
Show
|
|
04-05-23 |
Wizards +11 v. Hawks |
|
116-134 |
Loss |
-105 |
6 h 30 m |
Show
|
|
04-04-23 |
Blazers +18 v. Grizzlies |
|
109-119 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 45 m |
Show
|
|
04-04-23 |
Bucks v. Wizards +13.5 |
|
140-128 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 37 m |
Show
|
|
03-30-23 |
Celtics +2.5 v. Bucks |
|
140-99 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 14 m |
Show
|
Celtics/Bucks 7:30: Much of the drama taken out of this game on account of Celtics losing to the Wizards Tuesday. Bucks have control of the #1 seeding over the Celtics by three games with six remaining. Celtics played like they were on automatic pilot Tuesday night vs the shorthanded Wizards. Look for them to turn it up several notches here. They've responded well to losses most of the year, sport a 5-2 ATS mark in last 7 road tilts, and play well in Milwaukee (18-7-1 ATS). Bucks are just 6-19-1 ATS at home vs teams with winning road record. Celtics the call.
|
03-21-23 |
Celtics v. Kings +5 |
|
132-109 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 20 m |
Show
|
|
03-03-23 |
Wolves -1 v. Lakers |
|
110-102 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 44 m |
Show
|
|
02-16-23 |
Wizards v. Wolves OVER 235 |
|
114-106 |
Loss |
-110 |
20 h 14 m |
Show
|
Wizards/Wolves 8:10: Heavy "over" trends on this one and it being the last game before the All-Star break gives us extra value. These teams are checking out defensively and we'll look for the "over" to hit.
|
02-15-23 |
Jazz v. Grizzlies OVER 238.5 |
|
111-117 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 5 m |
Show
|
|
02-15-23 |
Pistons v. Celtics OVER 223.5 |
|
109-127 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 45 m |
Show
|
|
01-24-23 |
Celtics +1.5 v. Heat |
|
95-98 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 24 m |
Show
|
|
12-09-22 |
Kings v. Cavs UNDER 222.5 |
|
106-95 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 39 m |
Show
|
Sacramento/Cleveland 7:40: This series is 1-5 O/U in its last 5, including 0-2 O/U at Cleveland. Surely, Donovan Mitchell adds a new offensive dimension to the Cavaliers this season, but he fits in schematically defensively. Cavaliers the #1 defensive team in the NBA allowing 104.9 PPG. Sacramento, on the other hand, is the #2 offensive team in the NBA led by De'aaron Fox. Kings lose ground defensively (allow 116 PPG), however, but defensive minded Brown constantly reinforces defensive technique. Kings are 1-5 O/U on the road vs teams with winning records. Cavs on an 0-6 O/U run and 0-6 O/U after opponent scores 100+. We'll stay under here.
|
11-23-22 |
Pistons v. Jazz -11 |
|
125-116 |
Loss |
-110 |
20 h 22 m |
Show
|
Pistons/Jazz 9:10: Detroit has covered 4 of the last 5 in this series and coming off a big upset at Denver Tuesday night but should find trouble here. Jazz are coming off a loss on Monday and catch the Pistons unrested. Detroit is not that deep of a team, especially with Cunningham (shin) out. Now they have to travel to another high-altitude venue in Utah. Utah is 5-2 ATS on 1 day rest, covered 4 straight vs team below .400, and covered 4 of their last 5 at home. Lay the wood.
|
11-17-22 |
Nets v. Blazers -2 |
|
109-107 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 50 m |
Show
|
Nets/Blazers 10:10: Tale of two performers in opposite directions. Blazers an overachieving 10-4 SU/11-3 ATS while the underachieving Nets sinking 6-9 SU/5-9-1 ATS slide. Lillard remains a dominant shooting threat and has reliable scoring options. Durant, on the other hand, is surrounded by a mediocre lineup with limited scorers. And the Nets apparently forgot how to defend: Lakers torched them at 48.4% before the Kings lit them up like a torch on Tuesday to the tune of 60.2%. In that game, they were outscored in the paint 66-44. Blazers are 5-0 ATS on 1 day rest, and they're 10-2 ATS after opponent allows 100+ previously. Blazers the call.
|
06-16-22 |
Warriors v. Celtics -3.5 |
|
103-90 |
Loss |
-110 |
20 h 46 m |
Show
|
Warriors/Celtics 9:00: Celtics lost composure in Game 5 with turnovers and meltdowns (Smart) and the Warriors capitalized on it late to secure the win. Look for Boston to bounce back here; after all, they're 13-3 ATS off a SU loss, 8-2 ATS on 2 days rest. And they've been money on Thursdays at 5-0 ATS. Golden State just 6-13-2 ATS in the last 21 in this series and 1-3-1 ATS in Boston. Warriors won their playoff road game already but tough to follow up at this tough venue. We'll look for Boston to stay alive tonight.
|
06-16-22 |
Warriors v. Celtics OVER 210 |
|
103-90 |
Loss |
-110 |
20 h 46 m |
Show
|
Warriors/Celtics 9:00: Two well-disciplined top 3 defenses been clamping down and the refs have been letting them play; as a result, the 'under' is popping. Tonight, got a line (210) that's dropped in our range and we're going "over". This is the lowest total in this series over the past decade! We'll look for better shooting by Boston and Curry, who rarely has back-to-back bad games, should significantly add to the total. Interesting side bit: Warriors and the Celtics on Thursday are a combined 15-1-1 O/U. "Over" it is.
|
06-13-22 |
Celtics +4 v. Warriors |
|
94-104 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 6 m |
Show
|
Boston/Golden State 9:00: Successfully had Golden State (+4) and the Under (213') on Friday to go 5-1 overall in sides and totals in this NBA Championship. Go back on Boston here. Celtics play well on the road as a dog (9-2-1 ATS) and covered 9 of the last 11 at Golden State. Boston is emphasizing rebounding for tonight; after all, when they win the boards, they're 2-0 vs the Warriors. When they lose the rebounding battle, they're 0-2 vs them. They've had a few days rest and that's important for veterans like Horford. Boston 8-1-2 ATS on 2 days rest. Moreover, they play well on Mondays (4-0 ATS) and they're strong off losses at 13-6 ATS. Golden State, however, just 3-8 ATS off a SU win. Boston not intimidated at this venue and we're taking the points.
|
06-10-22 |
Warriors +4 v. Celtics |
|
107-97 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 45 m |
Show
|
Warriors/Celtics 9:00: Warriors have won at least one road playoff game in 26 consecutive series, the longest streak in the NBA. Tonight, GS should steal one here; after all, they're 4-0 ATS off a SU loss, 4-1 ATS on 1 day rest and 10-2 ATS on Fridays. On the other hand, Boston a mere 1-4 ATS off 10+ point win and just 2-8 ATS on Fridays. Curry (foot) should be good to go. Warriors the call.
|
06-10-22 |
Warriors v. Celtics UNDER 214.5 |
|
107-97 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 41 m |
Show
|
Warriors/Celtics 9:00: This series has been softly called by the referees relative to other playoff series. The refs are letting them play. Both teams are defensively stout and make good adjustments. Warriors are 2-6 O/U off a SU loss, 1-4 O/U in their last 5 dog roles, and 1-4 O/U off a SU loss of 10+. This series is 4-12 O/U and 3-7 O/U in Boston. "Under" the call.
|
06-08-22 |
Warriors +3.5 v. Celtics |
|
100-116 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 58 m |
Show
|
Warriors/Celtics 9:00: Realize Celtics are hot off SU losses and have gotten the best of Golden State (5-1-1 ATS) in recent times; however, Boston has been mediocre ATS at home in the playoffs as their 4-5 ATS mark indicates. If Golden State is going to take one in Boston, it should come here; after all, they sport a strong 5-1 ATS mark off a SU win of 10+ and have won at least one road game in each of their last 26 playoff series since 2013! Look for the Warriors to steal one here.
|
06-05-22 |
Celtics v. Warriors UNDER 215.5 |
|
88-107 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 38 m |
Show
|
|
06-05-22 |
Celtics v. Warriors -4 |
|
88-107 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 38 m |
Show
|
|
06-02-22 |
Celtics +3.5 v. Warriors |
|
120-108 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 48 m |
Show
|
Celtics/Warriors 9:00: At first glance, seems Warriors should be 5-point favorites tonight; after all, the well-stocked explosive weaponry is capable of lighting it up on any team at any time on this floor; however, Boston has given Golden State some trouble recently, including the 110-88 beating at the Chase Center on March 16th. Curry struggled in that game vs Smart before leaving with an injury. Boston was also stronger in the paint. Tatum, Brown and Smart are currently at their best and a healthy Williams III is giving Boston that added force in the paint to help out Horford. Golden State has inexplicably been sluggish on Thursdays at 18-39 ATS while Boston sports a 4-0 ATS mark on this day. Boston is a dangerous road team at 20-5-1 ATS including 8-1 ATS as a road dog. They're physical, well-disciplined defensively, and sport an 8-1 ATS mark at Golden State. With that said, value with the Celtics tonight.
|
05-29-22 |
Celtics v. Heat +2.5 |
|
100-96 |
Loss |
-105 |
20 h 36 m |
Show
|
Celtics/Heat 8:30: Heat have recaptured the momentum in this series. And should have Herro (groin) put some minutes in. As I mentioned in Game 6 analysis, Butler would come back strong, and he did. Tonight, like Miami to stay competitive on their home floor. Miami's covered 9 of their last 12 on this floor. Heat the call.
|
05-29-22 |
Celtics v. Heat OVER 195.5 |
|
100-96 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 20 m |
Show
|
Celtics/Heat 8:30: These teams are very good defensively, but series sports an 11-5 O/U ledger. This total has been dropped down sharply and we're going "over". Celtics 8-3-1 O/U as road chalk. And Heat 8-2 O/U in Conference Finals. "Over" the call.
|
05-27-22 |
Heat +9 v. Celtics |
|
111-103 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 47 m |
Show
|
Heat/Celtics 8:30: Usually big-time players step up their game off sub-par games. Jimmy Butler didn't play well in Game 5 so we'll look for him to have a good game in Boston, where he's played well; as a matter of fact, Miami sports an 11-4 ATS mark at Boston. The Heat sport an impressive 5-2 ATS mark off a SU loss and 19-9 ATS as a dog. Herro (groin), after missing last 2 games, should add the extra needed depth for the Heat to stay competitive this time down the stretch. Miami the call.
|
05-26-22 |
Mavs v. Warriors -6.5 |
|
110-120 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 56 m |
Show
|
|
05-25-22 |
Celtics v. Heat +1.5 |
|
93-80 |
Loss |
-110 |
20 h 54 m |
Show
|
|
05-24-22 |
Warriors v. Mavs |
|
109-119 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 43 m |
Show
|
|
05-23-22 |
Heat v. Celtics -6.5 |
|
82-102 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 8 m |
Show
|
|
05-22-22 |
Warriors v. Mavs -2.5 |
|
109-100 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 45 m |
Show
|
|
05-21-22 |
Heat +6.5 v. Celtics |
|
109-103 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 34 m |
Show
|
Heat/Celtics 8:30: Back on Miami here. As anticipated in Game 2, Boston came out firing with Smart back in the lineup while Tatum was expected to go off after that disastrous 3rd quarter, he experienced in Game 1. Tonight, however, look for Spoelstra to make the right adjustments. Butler did a bit too much in Game 2. Need Herro to step up his game and now that Tucker (questionable) is out, someone else will have to turn it up a notch on Miami. They have the depth to do it. Heat a strong 6-1 ATS off a double-digit loss at home and a sweet 10-3 ATS at Boston. Miami the call.
|
05-21-22 |
Heat v. Celtics OVER 207.5 |
|
109-103 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 33 m |
Show
|
|
05-20-22 |
Mavs +6.5 v. Warriors |
|
117-126 |
Loss |
-110 |
20 h 13 m |
Show
|
Mavericks/Warriors 9:00: Mavericks had some good looks at the basket in Game 1, but the ball wasn't going down; tonight, we'll look for the Mavericks to ring them up. Mavericks 38-16 ATS off a SU loss, and 13-4 ATS after allowing 100 points previously. We'll look for Kidd to make the needed adjustments. Brunson and Bullock should be able to play better, and pretty confident Doncic's game will improve dramatically from Game 1. Mavericks are 6-2 ATS on 1 day rest and covered 11 of last 15 vs Golden State. Dallas is 6-2 ATS at Golden State. Warriors just 3-8 ATS on 1 day rest and 2-6 ATS as chalk. Also, they're 1-5 ATS off SU win. Dallas the call.
|
05-19-22 |
Celtics +3.5 v. Heat |
|
127-102 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 35 m |
Show
|
Celtics/Heat 8:30: Celtics played a great 1st half in Game 1. Williams III was big trouble for Miami early as he worked his way back from injury. But the third quarter malaise culminating in a 20-5 Miami 3rd quarter run put the Celtics away. Jason Tatum, who had a strong first half, got lazy in the 3rd quarter and shoulders the blame. He's a big-time player and should show up tonight. He'll have Smart (knee) back in the lineup to supply the needed sustainable energy. Look for the Celtics to make the needed adjustments on Butler. Celtics have responded well off losses and on the road throughout the season/playoffs. Grab the points.
|
05-18-22 |
Mavs +5 v. Warriors |
|
87-112 |
Loss |
-110 |
20 h 60 m |
Show
|
Mavericks/Warriors 9:00: Mavericks had the luxury, unlike Boston, of having an extra rest day off their Game 7. Kidd had a chance to diagnose the Warriors' offense and institute a defensive plan. Mavericks' defense was stupendous in Game 7 vs Phoenix and will surely be up for the challenge with all the explosive weapons Golden State possesses. On the other end of the floor, Doncic got help at the right time as Dinwiddie came alive in the last two games contributing 15 and 30, respectively. When he's on, Dallas offense runs smooth to help out Doncic and Brunson. We'll grab the points.
|
05-17-22 |
Celtics v. Heat -1.5 |
|
107-118 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 23 m |
Show
|
Celtics/Heat 8:45: Celtics have a quick turnover time. They're coming off emotional Game 7 win Sunday. Marcus Smart, their energy force on both sides of the floor, has a sprained foot. They do get back Williams III (left knee) but limited minutes. Meanwhile, Heat hasn't been on the floor since last Thursday and well rested. They're deep and dangerous despite Lowry (hamstring) laboring. Edge to Miami which is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 home favorite roles.
|
05-17-22 |
Celtics v. Heat OVER 203.5 |
|
107-118 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 22 m |
Show
|
Celtics/Heat 8:45: The total for this series is set at its lowest in years. This series has gone 7-3 O/U in its last 10 meetings. Miami had just two poor playoff shooting performances in its last 10 post-season games. They've eclipsed 100 in 8 of last 10. As for Boston, they just had 1 poor playoff scoring performance - May 1st at home vs Milwaukee - in their last 10 playoff outings. Both teams are shooting well and have electric big game players - Tatum for Boston and Butler for Miami - who are stepping up their game and getting the needed bench help. Their defenses are solid but their offensive execution a bit better. These teams are a combined 8-0 O/U in Conference Final games and we're staying "over".
|