08-25-24 |
Patriots -6.5 v. Commanders |
|
10-20 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 4 m |
Show
|
Patriots/Commanders 8:00: Commanders had a tough time moving the football last week even against the second tier Jets' defenders. Don't have a lot of confidence in QBs' McSorely or Driskel. And the run game is limited behind a thin offensive line. On the flip side. Patriots' offense showing some promise under longtime OC Van Pelt. Maye, Brissett, Milton and Zappe still competing for tier status. And the Patriots seem to have some young skill weapons in Polk and Baker. We'll lay the points.
|
08-25-24 |
Patriots v. Commanders OVER 36 |
|
10-20 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 32 m |
Show
|
Patriots/Commanders 8:00: Both defenses will most likely be respectable under defensive minded coaches Mayo and Quinn. However, as the game progresses, young defensive players filter the field. Secondary issues always play a part in breakdowns in the final week. We'll look for that to materialize on both teams. "Over" the call.
|
08-23-24 |
49ers v. Raiders UNDER 33 |
|
24-24 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 49 m |
Show
|
SF/LV 10:00: SF switched game plans late by electing to play starters; consequently, the line flipped substantially from Raiders at -2' to +9. How long Shanahan plays his starters is not known; however, with this being final game of the pre-season and the season starting in less than two weeks, good chance, we'll see them for only an extended quarter at best; some skill personnel less than that. And SF skill personnel not that deep to begin with as the Aiyuk deal is still in negotiation. Raiders' defense is the strength of the team and depth is decent. Their offense is the problem. Points have been limited in pre-season with Minshew (starter) and O'Connell battling it out at the helm. Bradley and interception king Peterman should struggle mightily against a well-structured defense of SF. We'll stay "under".
|
08-22-24 |
Bears v. Chiefs OVER 32 |
|
34-21 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 58 m |
Show
|
Bears/Chiefs 8:20: Overreaction by sportsbooks dropping this total down to 32. Remember, KC backups Oladokun and Book are well schooled and completed roughly 76% of their passes, albeit Book checked down quite a bit for just 5 YPC. Chiefs' HC Reid always a stickler for developing second and third tier players. They should be able to get in the end zone late vs a Bears' defense that is top heavy with starters but light on the back end. On the other hand, Bears' Eberflus continues to be impressive in pre-season at 7-2 SU. Bears have now outscored teams 71-26 this pre-season. Realize that Caleb Williams won't play but Baget and Rypien connecting on healthy 73.7% and 71.4% completions, respectively. We're going "over".
|
08-18-24 |
Saints +1 v. 49ers |
|
10-16 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 54 m |
Show
|
Saints/49ers 8:00: 49ers still have a great starting unit across the board but depth is questionable. With Aiyuk deal still looming and injuries popping up in practice, Shanahan will most likely look at the young guys here. And journeyman QB Dobbs and Allen don't exactly instill confidence. Saints have good defensive depth. And offensively, QB Jake Haener is a baller. Ratler has talent and a big arm but in developmental stage. Nevertheless, Saints' superior depth should pay off down the stretch. Saints are an impressive 9-1 ATS as a pre-season road dog off a SU win. Saints the call.
|
08-17-24 |
Rams v. Chargers -2 |
|
13-9 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 56 m |
Show
|
Rams/Chargers 7:05: Rams' Bennett threw a TD pass with 4 seconds left last week vs Dallas for the win and cover. Tonight, I look for the Chargers to turn it up a notch. Veteran backup Easton Stick very capable of leading the Chargers on a few scoring drives. And Max Duggan has that mobility and playmaking ability to make some noise in mop up duty. We'll lay a bit with the Chargers.
|
08-17-24 |
Bengals +6.5 v. Bears |
|
3-27 |
Loss |
-105 |
12 h 25 m |
Show
|
Bengals/Bears 1:00: Bears are rolling in the pre-season and I was all over them in both the HOF game and in last week's blowout. Tonight, I'm fading them. Bears know that Caleb Williams is the "guy" after last week's strong outing. I doubt they'll throw him in the fire tonight. Instead, Bagent is a quality QB and the Bears' offensive depth is improving. They're solid defensively too; however, Bengals have a backup QB contest going on with Woodside and Lombardi to determine their fate with the team. Browning (ribs) may sit but wouldn't doubt if one of the mop up guys flourish. Bengals need to work on a few things defensively under DC Anarumo. They have some quality depth defensively. Bengals 12-6 ATS as a pre-season road dog. Bears struggle as a pre-season home favorite at 4-9 ATS; moreover, just 1-7 ATS at home off back-to-back SU wins. Bengals the call.
|
08-17-24 |
Falcons v. Ravens |
|
12-13 |
Win
|
100 |
35 h 6 m |
Show
|
Falcons/Ravens Noon: Since John Harbaugh has taken over the head coaching job in Baltimore, the Ravens have won 75% of their pre-season games - best in the NFL. They've lost three straight so they're overdue to get back on track and it should come here. Falcons feeling their way around on both sides of the ball with the new coaching staff. Penix Jr. looked impressive and could follow up here; however, Ravens' new DC Orr was an understudy of McDonald (Seahawks new HC) and the system is clearly intact. Ravens lost lots of starters from last year's team, but the nucleus is still there, and they had another good draft. Offensively, veteran journeyman Josh Johnson, who knows the Ravens' offense, leads a good batch of skill personnel, including rookies: RB Ali and WR Walker. And rookie QB Leary no slouch. We'll take the Ravens.
|
08-15-24 |
Eagles +2.5 v. Patriots |
|
14-13 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 1 m |
Show
|
Eagles/Patriots 7:00: In the grand scheme of things, Eagles' overall talent superior to Patriots. And addition of DC Vic Fangio, who is given a great deal of talent including two high draft corners, should make noise against a Patriots' offense that's going to take time to find its footing. On the other hand, Eagles still have that deep and talented offensive line and can pencil in the skill pieces, including some talented rookies - RB Shipley, WR Ainias Smith and 6'7" WR Johnny Wilson. We'll grab the road team and the points.
|
08-11-24 |
Cowboys v. Rams +4 |
|
12-13 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 53 m |
Show
|
Cowboys/Rams 4:30: Rams are thin at QB with Bennett and Winn behind Stafford. Receivers are banged up, and defensively, although there is young talent (Verse), another Shula (grandson of Don) leads the defense this season. Should take time to adjust. On the other hand, Cowboys in no position to lay points on the road. Cooper Rush has proven to be a strong backup and could very well lead a few successful drives. Trey Lance, yes, the #1 pick SF let go, will get a crack at resurrecting his career with lots of mop up duty. And the Cowboys aren't exactly deep at RB or receivers. Dallas has failed in their last three attempts to cover as a pre-season road favorite. Rams have covered 6 of their last 9 as a pre-season home dog. Rams the call.
|
08-10-24 |
Seahawks v. Chargers UNDER 34.5 |
|
16-3 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 1 m |
Show
|
Chargers/Seahawks 7:05: Again, we're playing the percentages on the "under" here. In Week 1, offenses are struggling and that's holding true this week. And both head coaches are sticklers for strong defensive play. Total adjusted down but we're not flinching. "Under' the call.
|
08-10-24 |
49ers +5.5 v. Titans |
|
13-17 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 22 m |
Show
|
49ers/Titans 7:00: 49ers most likely will rest lots of starters. They're banged up on the offensive end but still quite healthy across the board defensively. Titans adjusting to complete overhaul in coaching staff. 49ers have thrived as a pre-season road dog at 8-3 ATS and we'll take the points.
|
08-10-24 |
Bears +2.5 v. Bills |
|
33-6 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 13 m |
Show
|
Bears/Bills 1:00: Bears had the luxury of playing in the Hall of Fame game. Historically, teams coming off that game have delivered (11-5 ATS). Bears are a dangerous pre-season road dog at 11-4 ATS. Bills' offense will look to establish rhythm after losing a few key components over the break, including Diggs, Morse and Gabe Davis. Defensively, Hyde, Poyer and Tre-Davious White departed. And McDermott, after calling defensive signals last season, hands it over to promoted LB coach Babich. It may take time to gel. We'll grab the points with the Bears.
|
08-10-24 |
Bears v. Bills UNDER 39 |
|
33-6 |
Push |
0 |
11 h 4 m |
Show
|
|
08-10-24 |
Commanders v. Jets UNDER 34.5 |
|
17-20 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 46 m |
Show
|
Commanders/Jets Noon: Two teams set defensively. Commanders should be much improved on that side of the ball under the new regime. Meanwhile, Jets still need to develop a rhythmic offense. And one or two drives with Rodgers won't be enough to send this one over the low set 'total'. "Under" the call.
|
08-09-24 |
Eagles v. Ravens +2 |
|
16-13 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 43 m |
Show
|
|
08-09-24 |
Texans v. Steelers +3 |
|
20-12 |
Loss |
-105 |
2 h 56 m |
Show
|
Texans/Steelers 7:00: Last time the Steelers saw the Texans was last season in Week #4 in Texas. The Texans put a serious beatdown on them to the tune of 30-6. Pre-Season not your usual revenge situation but Pittsburgh is not your usual NFL franchise. They have a long rich tradition of winning and Super Bowl victories. That struck a nerve in Tomblin and should arrange extra motivation, extra effort and prolonged use of #1 personnel. And the Steelers' offensive line has been bolstered through the draft and free agency over the last few years. It's should continue to improve this year. QB depth is at its best with Wilson and Fields in a competitive fight for #1. Steelers have much to prove while the Texans have arrived and looking to build on their strong 2023 season. Pittsburgh 3-1 ATS as a pre-season dog. We'll take the points.
|
08-09-24 |
Texans v. Steelers UNDER 38.5 |
|
20-12 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 18 m |
Show
|
|
08-27-23 |
Texans +2.5 v. Saints |
|
17-13 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 55 m |
Show
|
Texans/Saints 8:00: So far, Saints look respectable going into the season; after all, they're 2-0 SU and have shown some good work on both sides of the ball. Tonight, we'll fade them though. Carr will likely sit leaving Winston as the starter. Problem with the Saints is their run game (2.7 YPC in pre-season). Texans have very good young talent across the board defensively and should disrupt the Saints' offense at some point in this game. Saints will close with Jake Haener who at some time in the future will be a starter in the NFL. But tonight, limited weaponry late in the game to work with gives edge to Houston. Texans will likely start Stroud again for Houston is the only NFL team not to name starting QB. He should be at his best early with good talent to work with. Mills, who started last year, will surely be competitive in his time in the game. And we could even see veteran journeyman Case Keenum - who has been in some big games in his tenure. Texans are 8-3 ATS as a pre-season road dog and we'll jump on them here.
|
08-26-23 |
Ravens +2 v. Bucs |
|
20-26 |
Loss |
-110 |
16 h 19 m |
Show
|
Ravens/Buccaneers 7:00: TB has been a miserable pre-season home favorite at 2-12 ATS. They're coming off a satisfying win over the Jets last week. Baker Mayfield will get the starting nod at QB this season and for this game. That doesn't bode well for the Bucs. Mayfield is a money burning 9-21-2 ATS as a favorite in the NFL, including 0-8 ATS in the last 8. Trask, his backup, surely doesn't install fear in opposing defenses. Look for the Ravens' aggressive defense to improve this week after a poor outing last week. Offensively, Ravens looked good last week with Josh Johnson and Anthony Brown as they got more comfortable running the offense. Look for Baltimore to regain their leverage as a top pre-season team tonight.
|
08-25-23 |
Chargers +7.5 v. 49ers |
|
23-12 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 46 m |
Show
|
Chargers/49ers 10:00: In final tune up before regular season, 49ers' HC Shanahan adamant that he'll play his starters. But I don't think for too long. He surely has the depth at QB with Purdy, Darnold and Lance - mop up duty. Offensive line though, questionable at this stage of the game for they've unleashed RBs Mason, Davis-Price and McNichols for just 3.5 YPC. Surely, McCaffery or Deebo Samuel won't see action. Chargers' young defensive rookies Henley and Tuipulotu leading the charge in players striving for a spot on the 53 man roster. Offensively, Herbert could see little or no action. I like Easton Stick, who went the distance last week. He was shaky but should bounce back strong here. He surely won't have Nick Bosa (contract holdout) chasing him down. And depth of SF defensive front drops precipitously outside of their top 4. Chargers have an immensely talented receiving corps, including TCU rookies Quentin Johnston (#!) and Derius Davis (#4). Chargers always play better on the road (pre-season and regular season) while SF struggles as home chalk. We'll look for the Chargers to hang around.
|
08-25-23 |
Patriots v. Titans +2.5 |
|
7-23 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 52 m |
Show
|
Patriots/Titans 8:15: Patriots 0-6 ATS as pre-season road chalk. I'll stay off NE here on account of their offensive line struggles. Starting guards Strange and Onwenu have missed a majority of camp, and Patriots still uncertain on RT. With the shuffling of the line and defensive secondary issues, I'll take the home dog here. Titans' QB Willis may get a majority of the snaps again for Levis (leg) still not at full strength. Willis did a solid job in Week 2 and he's got a good supporting cast with a deep backfield. Rookie Spears (57 yards on 7 carries) and Chestnut (98 on 13 carries) are surely helping Willis acclimate to the NFL. And hats off to the Titans' offensive line, which is much healthier this year. Patriots' run-stop-unit allowed the Packers to rush for 119 yards on 29 carries and a TD last week. Belichick will go deep into his bench to find potential dudes who can play. Tennessee's defense much healthier this year and seems to have depth on the defensive front this year. Not a fan of Patriots' McSorley - probably cut after today. Cunningham, however, more dangerous with legs than with arm. We'll give edge to Tennessee, which is 9-2 ATS as a pre-season dog vs an opponent off a SU/ATS win.
|
08-24-23 |
Steelers v. Falcons +5 |
|
24-0 |
Loss |
-112 |
8 h 3 m |
Show
|
|
08-21-23 |
Ravens v. Commanders UNDER 38 |
|
28-29 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 54 m |
Show
|
Baltimore/Washington 8:00: Defenses a bit ahead of the offenses for these teams. Washington is coming off a 17-15 win over Cleveland. Jack Del Rio, in his 4th season as Washington's DC, has some quality young talent to work with late. On the offensive side, Commanders have established Sam Howell as their starter and he most likely will sit. Jacoby Brissett is a solid veteran backup that can set up scoring drives but it will be difficult to deliver explosive plays on the Ravens' defense under Mike MacDonald. And why QB Jake Fromm is still in the league is one of life's mysteries. On the other hand, Ravens' OC Monken, in his first year engineering the offense, will go with veteran journeyman Josh Johnson and second-year man - Anthony Brown. Johnson nor versatile Brown will have the explosive unit of receivers/back: Flowers, Beckam, Andrews, Dobbins - at their disposal. Don't see a lot of scoring here. "Under" the call.
|
08-20-23 |
Saints -3.5 v. Chargers |
|
22-17 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 30 m |
Show
|
Saints/Chargers 7:05: I was all over the Chargers last week as a dog vs the Rams. Chargers delivered big - 34-17. Tonight, I'm fading them. Chargers 0-5 ATS as a preseason home team after a double-digit SU win. We certainly won't see Herbert for any extended period. I do like Easton Stick, who should solidify the backup spot this year; however, Max Duggan (#7 draft pick) needs work and he's not to be trusted even late in the game vs a deep Saints' secondary. On the other hand, Carr, who's having a great pre-season, should see a series or two. He is surely surrounded by skill talent (Olave, Michael Thomas) this year; moreover, guys like rookie A.T. Perry (#6) and Bryan Edwards could make some noise late. QB rotation will run to veteran Jameis Winston and I'm comfortable with #4 draft pick Jake Haener who has Drew Brees-like skill. Saints the call... There's a chance this game may be suspended (Hurricane Hilary).
|
08-19-23 |
Broncos v. 49ers +4.5 |
|
20-21 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 58 m |
Show
|
Broncos/49ers 8:30: Broncos have high expectations going into this year with Sean Payton running the show; however, a bit overrated at this point. They were limited in the draft because of the large extent of what they had given up in acquiring Russell Wilson. And we know how that turned out. A complete turnaround from a disastrous 5-12 season with limited talent is a stretch. And the Broncos have been hit with injuries across the board in training camp. 49ers feeling the effects of injuries too, and not having Nick Bosa signed yet is a concern; however, 49ers infrastructure in place unlike Denver. And I feel comfortable with veteran signal caller Sam Darnold seeing a lot of action here. 49ers are 5-1 ATS as pre-season dogs off SU favorite loss. Take the points.
|
08-19-23 |
Patriots +3 v. Packers |
|
21-17 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 59 m |
Show
|
Patriots/Packers 8:00: Patriots have a history of being dangerous as a pre-season road dog at 8-2 ATS. Belichick should have his defense prepped to handle a Packers' team that hung 36 on Cincinnati last week. It should be noted that the Packers are a money burning 1-6 ATS at home after scoring more than 35 points in a pre-season game. Patriots' offense starting to gel under O'Brien as exhibited in joint practice sessions this week. The practice sessions were chippy (7 fights) as Green Bay looked good Wednesday, but New England came on strong Thursday with a strong performance on both sides of the ball. I like the late editions of Patriots QB rotation with Zappe and versatile rookie Malik Cunningham. Not as keen on Packers' Clifford and McGough. We'll look for the Patriots to get it done here.
|
08-19-23 |
Bills v. Steelers +1 |
|
15-27 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 29 m |
Show
|
Bills/Steelers 6:30: Steelers still have a bad taste in their mouth from the 38-3 onslaught last October. Since then, Steelers have refined in a number of areas, including their offensive line and defensive secondary. Experience and through the draft have bolstered the Steelers back into contention this season. Starters on both sides should see time. Like the Steelers' depth which should factor in late in the game.
|
08-18-23 |
Panthers v. Giants -3 |
|
19-21 |
Loss |
-105 |
18 h 19 m |
Show
|
Panthers/Giants 7:00: Panthers' offense lethargic last week as the offensive line nearly got their future franchise QB Bryce Young killed. And Andy Dalton (back) likely won't play again today. That leaves mediocre Corral and Luton as the options for the rest of game. Giants' defense not as well rounded as the Jets' defense but they have guys who can get the QB. Thibodeaux, Ojulari could see some field time early to wreak more havoc on Young. Panthers need to fill that right guard spot -vacated by injury to Corbett (Week 4 target date). Giants not great in the linebacking corps but surely Okereke who came over from Indy will help tremendously. Giants' secondary has some young talent (S Pinnock) that looks to gel early. On the other hand, QB Daniel Jones will see a few series and he has some young receivers making noise. Speedy #3 draft pick - Jalin Hyatt looks impressive and TE Waller (from Las Vegas) finally healthy! Look for Giants' offense to start getting it rolling in the 2nd season in the Daboll/Kafka system. And backup Tyrod Taylor - capable former starter in league, should guide some late drives. Too many injuries across the board early for Carolina to overcome. Giants the call.
|
08-17-23 |
Browns +3.5 v. Eagles |
|
18-18 |
Win
|
100 |
41 h 33 m |
Show
|
Browns/Eagles 7:30: Eagles are unquestionably one of the, if not the, most talented teams in the league. The problem is new DC Sean Desai preparing his men, after 13 practices, to play as a synchronized unit - like they did under Gannon (Falcons) last season. Eagles also had arguably the best defensive mind in modern day football -Vic Fangio (Dolphins) in the booth as a consultant. Browns' offense will start dynamic rookie Thompson-Robinson who tore it up in the Hall of Fame game for us. He's versatile and has a good supporting cast, including #3 pick Cedric Tillman who will be a solid fit in the receiving rotation for Cleveland immediately. On the other hand, Browns' DC Schwartz has already gotten the defense to tighten vs the run - a weakness last year under Woods (Saints); however, secondary issues remain. Nevertheless, not confident in Mariota, Book or Mckee putting together sustained drives vs the hustling and aggressive Browns' defense. We'll take the points here.
|
08-13-23 |
49ers v. Raiders +4 |
|
7-34 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 4 m |
Show
|
49ers/Raiders 4:00 pm: These teams met in the regular season last year in Las Vegas on New Year's Day. 49ers were 10-point favorites but the Raiders put up a great fight before falling in OT. Raiders new QB Garoppolo is a savvy veteran who finally is getting traction in practice. He looked good in the final practice before today's game. He won't have Adams (minor leg injury), but new acquisition Meyers looking good. And Raiders have a pair of big target TE's with newly acquired Austin Hooper and #2 draft pick Michael Mayer from ND. Again, value added to Raiders without Josh Jacobs (holdout), but Zamir White is not a huge drop off in production behind an improving Raiders' offensive line. SF won't have Bosa (hold out) disrupting the QB either. On the defensive side of the ball, Raiders' defense showing good intensity and hustle in practice. Spillane (from Steelers) is a great addition at Mike. And the secondary is starting to gel. Raiders can hang here.
|
08-12-23 |
Chargers +3 v. Rams |
|
34-17 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 18 m |
Show
|
Chargers/Rams 9:00: Chargers a bit further along in their progression on both sides of the ball. Rams still reshuffling offensive line; moreover, QB Bennett will have to prove he can throw from the pocket successfully in the NFL. He'll have his work cut out for him against some pretty good defensive line rushers, including #2 draft choice - DE Tuli Tuipulotu from USC. On the other hand, like the receiving weapons added to the Chargers this season for Herbert. #1 Quentin Johnston and #4 Derius Davis - both from TCU - should translate to the big league well. Of course, Herbert won't play but I like #2 Easton Stick - who played well last year in pre-season. And mop up duty goes to TCU's #7 Max Duggan who is versatile and surely comfortable throwing to his alum mates. Chargers the call.
|
08-12-23 |
Jets +3.5 v. Panthers |
|
27-0 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 54 m |
Show
|
Jets/Panthers 4:00: Jets have a game under their belt. They got off to a good start in the Hall of Fame game but failed down the stretch. I can assure you the message from Saleh to his team will be to "finish." Defensive breakdowns were uncharacteristic of the Jets last week. Look for them to have more discipline in secondary this time around. Carolina's Bryce Young is the focal point of this week. He looked sharp vs the Jets in Wednesday's scrimmage. Jets have enough defensive talent to stall him out early. Andy Dalton is solidified as the backup to Young. Matt Corral is the guy who should see most of the snaps and the jury is still out on him. At the same time, Zach Wilson will need to step up to give reason for the Jets to invest in the future with him. He made some good throws last week vs Cleveland. Look for him to build on that with the plethora of offensive weapons he's surrounded by. Carolina is breaking in a new DC Ejiro Ever. He's changing the base from a 4-3 to 3-4 which takes time to do. There should be enough breakdowns for the Jets' Wilson and mop up man - Boyle to take advantage of. Jets 8-2 ATS as a less than .500 pre-season dog. Take the points.
|
08-11-23 |
Steelers -3 v. Bucs |
|
27-17 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 42 m |
Show
|
Steelers/Bucs 7:00: Steelers have historically played well in Tampa Bay at 5-2 ATS. It will be a sizzling 90 degrees with humidity. Tomlin usually has his men well-conditioned for these games; moreover, he'll most likely rotate in lots of bodies, including starters. QBs Pickett, Trubisky, Rudolph and even Tanner Morgan should see action. Some Steelers' youth is showing promise in scrimmages, including the likes of DB Kenny Robinson - defensively and T Broderick Jones - offensively. TB didn't have a running game last year (76.9 YPG) and did little to change that in the off-season. That will put pressure on Mayfield and Trask through the air. Mike Evans is great but the load is too heavy to carry the team here. I don't see it starting well for TB here. Steelers the call.
|
08-10-23 |
Texans v. Patriots UNDER 37 |
|
20-9 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 35 m |
Show
|
Texans/Patriots 7:00: Two teams with great defensive minds leading the charge on the sidelines. Belichick is equipped with some solid young talent through the draft while Houston's Demarco Ryans is set with an already great secondary and some extraordinary edge rushers in #1 draft choice Will Anderson Jr. and a steal at #4 in Dylan Horton from TCU add to a respectable line. Can't see a lot of points here as both teams break in new offensive systems with new OCs. We'll stay "under".
|
08-10-23 |
Texans v. Patriots +3.5 |
|
20-9 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 34 m |
Show
|
Texans/Patriots 7:00: Value with Patriots tonight. Pre-season hype on Houston with a loaded draft (Stroud, Anderson Jr.) and new HC Demeco Ryans coming off a sensational stint as the DC of SF. Not buying into it as OC Slowik (ex-49er) has to rebuild a poorly designed offense. He eventually will but with limited practices under his belt, he won't work miracles here, especially after already losing a few linemen (C Quessenberry (ACL), RT Howard - hand). Belichick still has a grasp on defense that no other coach can emulate. Him and Kraft stocked up on defensive backs through the draft and grabbed a pretty good edge rusher at #2 in Keion White from Georgia Tech. Offensively, Patriots got an upgrade on OC bringing back O'Brien. He has a great relationship with Mac Jones during their Alabama stint. But the stars today could be Zappe, who showed promise last year as a starter, and undrafted free agent - Malik Cunningham - dual threat out of Louisville. They've upgraded their receiving corps - deepest it's been in years. Patriots have never lost to the Texans at Gillette Stadium and I'm taking the points here.
|
08-03-23 |
Jets v. Browns +115 |
|
16-21 |
Win
|
115 |
5 h 44 m |
Show
|
Jets/Browns 8:00: Jets preseason hype give us value with the Browns. Aaron Rodgers will not see the field tonight; instead, draft bust Zach Wilson should see most of the action. Jets' offensive line not the deepest and pass protection was surely a problem for them last season. With limited time together, I don't expect the line to gel just yet and the run game is limited with Breece Hall still on the mend and no notable backs in uniform. Cleveland defense only had nine days of practice with new DC Schwartz. They're clearly not ready to work off each other as Schwartz coaches them to; however, they're athletic, aggressive and hustle. On the other side of the ball, no Watson, of course; however, Stefanski likes 3rd team QB Mond, who desperately is looking to make team after getting released by Minnesota. He'll see action along with versatile rookie #5 draft choice Thompson-Robinson out of UCLA. Browns have depth on offensive line and a deep backfield to help out the young QBs. With an already rooted culture under Stefanski, we'll look for the Browns to come out on top tonight. Take them on the money line.
|
08-26-22 |
Patriots +1 v. Raiders |
|
6-23 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 23 m |
Show
|
Patriots/Raiders 8:15: Patriots' offense was pathetic on Tuesday in the scrimmage vs Las Vegas, but Wednesday got better. Run game starting to click a bit and Las Vegas still adjusting to their new DC's schemes. Raiders' offense was stymied for the most part in the scrimmages; after all, Josh McDaniels spent 18 years as the OC of New England under Belichick. And former Patriot - QB Stidham - who should get a majority of the reps, won't have dominant WR Davante Adams (resting) at his disposal. Adams abused New England's corners in practice but won't play tonight. I like Zappe in the mop up duty for New England. He has a decent command of the offense. Patriots, always dangerous as a preseason underdog (21-9 ATS), the call.
|
08-26-22 |
Patriots v. Raiders UNDER 37.5 |
|
6-23 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 5 m |
Show
|
Patriots/Raiders 8:15: Patriots' offense stuck in neutral without McDaniels on their sideline calling the shots. On the other hand, Belichick knows his former OC and what he runs like the back of his hand, And the Patriots' defensive front getting it done - winning battles on the line-of-scrimmage. We'll look for a slugfest here in a low scoring game with limited, if any, explosive plays.
|
08-25-22 |
49ers v. Texans +2.5 |
|
0-17 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 6 m |
Show
|
49ers/Texans 8:15: 49ers have been impressive early and then hang on late. They're 2-0 including a 17-7-win last week over Minnesota. And Shanahan pointed out that his starters will see more action tonight. As for Houston, can't discount their 2-0 pre-season ledger; however, defense has been the catalyst for the Texans; as a matter of fact, the Texans' defensive line has overachieved accounting for 11 sacks and 16 pressures while the Texans' young secondary is holding up well. Offensively, QB Davis Mills hasn't been flashy but productive enough to give the Houston defense time to recover between drives. And 3rd string QB Driskel is doing well with the mop up duty. SF is 0-4 ATS off a double digit ATS win vs an opponent off back-to-back wins. Take the home dog here.
|
08-25-22 |
Packers v. Chiefs +1.5 |
|
10-17 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 9 m |
Show
|
Packers/Chiefs 8:00: Oddsmakers had Chiefs at -4' early, but Andy Reid's statement to the press that he's undecided on playing starters this week shifted the line to GB as a slight favorite. That's fine. Chad Henne has proven he can guide the KC offense down the field and the KC offensive line is holding up well. Defensively, the young guys are producing: Rookie corners: Joshua Williams and Jaylen Watson have shined in practices. GB, on the other hand, still haven't harmonized with Aaron Rodgers let alone Jordan Love - who will receive the lion's share of the action tonight. KC is 4-1 ATS off back-to-back SU pre-season wins and we'll grab them here.
|
08-22-22 |
Falcons v. Jets +2.5 |
|
16-24 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 10 m |
Show
|
Falcons/Jets 8:00: Jets got the best of Atlanta in the scrimmages leading up to this game. We'll look for NY to deliver the goods. Flacco could see a bit of the action with a respectable Mike White playing most of the way, and Streveler mopping up. Jets a decent 8-4 ATS as a pre-season home dog. Sure, Desmond Ridder had a decent performance last week and should see limited action. Not confident with Franks in the mop up role. Jets a bit deeper defensively and we'll take the points.
|
08-21-22 |
Eagles -1.5 v. Browns |
|
21-20 |
Loss |
-105 |
11 h 3 m |
Show
|
Eagles/Browns 1:00: Eagles got the best of the Browns in their scrimmages this week. Eagles loaded with skill personnel and a bolstered offensive line. And QB Minshew is a capable starter for a few teams in this league. Him and Carson Strong are simply better than the Browns' mop up QBs: Dobbs and draft bust Josh Rosen. Eagles' draft was strong with Georgia DT Jordan Davis and LB Nakobe Dean. Browns' defense staunch but drops drastically after first team exits. Stefanski doesn't plan on playing starters much at all. We'll look for Philadelphia to deliver.
|
08-20-22 |
Cowboys v. Chargers -3 |
|
32-18 |
Loss |
-125 |
20 h 43 m |
Show
|
Cowboys/Chargers 10:00: Both teams coming off a loss, but Chargers should respond favorably. Cowboys a dismal 16-27 ATS as a pre-season road dog. Dallas should sit most of their starters and the receiving depth is thin. QB Will Grier will finally get an attempt to make the roster but Chargers have enough defensive depth to neutralize the Dallas offense, which drops off considerably when the starters sit. And Chargers' DE Rumph looks to capture that swingman spot to spell relief for Bosa and Mack. He's been impressive in camp thus far. Offensively, Chargers QB Easton Stick I like. He was solid driving the team down the field last week; hopefully, he gets a majority of the snaps over perennial backup Chase Daniel who can't get the ball downfield. And the Chargers' deep backfield of Spiller, Kelley and Rountree looking for that backup spot behind Ekeler. Chargers, a decent home favorite at 23-16 ATS, should get er done.
|
08-20-22 |
Washington Commanders +5 v. Chiefs |
|
14-24 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 43 m |
Show
|
Commanders/Chiefs 4:00: Chiefs don't put much stock into pre-season, as their 19-32 ATS mark as a home favorite suggests. Washington not a big pre-season winner either, but like their late game depth that should come into play in the 4th quarter. KC and Washington will most likely use their starters early; however, KC thin at the receiving corps for Mahohmes with Hardman and Smith-Schuster laboring with injuries. Washington has ridiculous depth along their defensive front and add #2 draft choice Mathis to the mix; consequently, Commanders are in good shape to stop the heavy packages (12, 21, 13 personnel) KC throws at them. And offensively, Commanders have a solid QB rotation of Wentz, Heinicke and Sam Howell throwing to some talented receivers, including #1 draft choice Dotson. We'll grab the points.
|
08-19-22 |
Saints +3 v. Packers |
|
10-20 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 60 m |
Show
|
Saints/Packers 8:00: Saints a dangerous pre-season dog at 20-9 ATS. They looked very mediocre vs the Texans last week but should step it up a notch vs Packers. They've given Green Bay fits over the years (4-1 ATS) including that blowout win in Week 1 last regular season. Backup QB Andy Dalton, who directed a nice scoring drive vs the Texans last week, should see more playing time here. Ian Book and Costello are fighting for a roster spot and will see mop up duty. Saints do have some weapons. #1 draft pick from Ohio State - Olave looks great in practices vs GB, but he'll probably see limited if any action here. Nevertheless, Saints have a bit of receiving depth this year with a finally healthy Michael Thomas, Jarvis Landry. And #1 pick OT Trevor Penning who brings a bad attitude, should help protect the QB and solidify the run in a revamped offensive line. Packers' backup Jordan Love has yet to impress in prime time. Saints' defense well-orchestrated under Allen vs the Packers. Take New Orleans.
|
08-18-22 |
Bears v. Seahawks -3.5 |
|
27-11 |
Loss |
-108 |
7 h 10 m |
Show
|
Bears/Seahawks 8:00: Seahawks were a half a minute away from covering last week's game at Pittsburgh. Secondary issues cost them early and late. Look for Pete Carroll to play a big hand in helping talented young corners Bryant and Woolen to tighten things up tonight. Bears' offense still trying to rev up and QB Fields will see limited action. Backups Siemian and Peterman do not instill fear in secondaries. Seahawks' pass rush looked decent last week and should be better tonight with the Bears shuffling of their offensive line. Defensively, Bears top defensive player - Roquan Smith is out (holdout) and that should allow the Seahawks to ignite their running game despite the absence of Walker III (out). Sure, Drew Lock (Covid) won't play but Geno Smith and Eason have big opportunities to bolster their status on the depth chart tonight. They'll do it in front of an improved offensive line. Seattle the call.
|
08-14-22 |
Vikings v. Raiders OVER 36.5 |
|
20-26 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 45 m |
Show
|
Vikings/Raiders 4:25: Two offensive minded head coaches in O'Connell and McDaniels seem to have their offenses a bit further along than their defenses. Minnesota will use more 11 personnel (one RB, one TE, 4 receivers) under O'Connell. Raiders' defense under new DC Graham is more complex than it was under Gus Bradley. There are multiple different packages to install and the Raiders currently are a bit banged up on that side of the ball early. Sure, Cousins (Covid 19) won't play, but Kellen Mond and veteran Sean Mannion have multiple skill weapons at their disposal. As for the Vikings, they too have a new defensive philosophy with a bunch of talented but young secondary personnel. These guys only been together for 3 weeks and there could easily be confusion. This series is 3-0-2 O/U. We'll give the offenses the green light here and see this one go "over".
|
08-14-22 |
Vikings +5 v. Raiders |
|
20-26 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 13 m |
Show
|
Vikings/Raiders 4:25: This line tilted towards Las Vegas when Cousins (Covid 19) was ruled out. But don't sweat it. Mond and Mannion have a solid surrounding cast and the Raiders' defense is in the early stages of adapting to new DC Graham. His scheme is complex and look for more confusion in the secondary. And sure, the Vikings' defense is in the same boat under a new DC. However, equipped with better personnel this season, especially in the secondary, to make plays. Remember, these Vikings were involved in six contests last season that were decided on the final play of the game. Vikings stay in games and that should carry over to the O'Connell regime. Vikings a decent pre-season road dog at 29-20 ATS and we'll grab the points.
|
08-13-22 |
Rams v. Chargers -3 |
|
29-22 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 58 m |
Show
|
Rams/Chargers 10:00: Possible early struggles for the Rams who most likely won't have QB Stafford (arm). Chargers' defense should be much improved this year with off-season additions (Mack) and a healthy secondary. And not that confident in Rams' QBs Perkins and Perez down the stretch. Chargers are loaded offensively. They even bolstered their offensive line through the draft for QB Herbert. Chargers #1 pick G Zion Johnson should help significantly in protecting Herbert and opening up holes for RB Ekeler and #4 pick Spiller. What could be problematic late for the Rams in this game is the secondary depth. McVay has 6 defensive backs sitting in this game, including Ramsey, Hill, Rapp, Fuller, Scott and Long Jr. Not a fan of career backup QB Daniel who struggles to get the ball down the field, but Stick and Peters could play in to working the Rams' thin secondary late. Fair value with the Chargers here.
|
08-13-22 |
Seahawks +3.5 v. Steelers |
|
25-32 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 30 m |
Show
|
Seahawks/Steelers 7:00: Seahawks went into rebuild mode and I like it. They bolstered their offensive line through the draft with two fine OTs and #2 pick RB Kenneth Walker III should flourish with Penny in Carroll's system. Sure, QB Wilson is a huge loss but Geno Smith and Drew Lock should hold the fort down until a big signing. And remember, 3rd team QB Eason threw 41 completions last preseason (5th in NFL) and decent in mop up duty. On the other hand, I like what Carroll is doing with the defense. He's gotten some great additions in the draft - #2 CB Bryant and #5 pick 6'4" Tariq Woolen. And a new DC Hurtt was long overdue. Steelers expended their #1 on QB Pickett. I don't believe he's the long term answer for Big Ben. Steelers have a few receivers banged up today. Seattle always dangerous as a pre-season road dog at 32-18 ATS. Seattle the call.
|
08-12-22 |
Browns +2.5 v. Jaguars |
|
24-13 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 54 m |
Show
|
Browns/Jaguars 7:00: New Jaguars' HC Pederson should have his men playing better this year. Tonight, though, edge to the Browns. Browns' Watson has been working hard with the first team and he has a good surrounding cast with plenty of skill talent, including a deep backfield. And veteran QB Brissett is a quality starter in this league and should be ready for Week 1 when Watson most likely will serve the start of his suspension. And the Browns' defense should improve this year. Jaguars got a game under their belt last week and that usually serves as an advantage. They're given fair value as a favorite but like the Brownies as a hungry dog; after all, they're 10-2 ATS vs less than .500 opponents in preseason. Jax doesn't play the favorite role well off a SU loss at 4-10 ATS. Browns the call.
|
08-12-22 |
Falcons v. Lions |
|
27-23 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 17 m |
Show
|
Falcons/Lions 6:00: Falcons a bit more ahead in progression on both sides of the ball than Detroit. Last season, Falcons improved defensively under veteran DC Dean Pees; however, pass rush was bad. Falcons healthier on that side of the ball and 2nd round draft pick Ebiketie should help aid in sacks. On the other side of the ball, Mariota and Ridder rotation much further along than the Goff, Boyle Blough rotation under new OC Ben Johnson. Falcons covered well on road last year and control a 5-1 ATS mark at Detroit. Falcons the call.
|
08-11-22 |
Giants v. Patriots +3 |
|
23-21 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 38 m |
Show
|
Giants/Patriots 7:00: Lots of hype on the Giants. The success of their draft, offensive guru and new HC Daboll, and a healthy RB Barkely turning heads in pre-season camp. On the other hand, Patriots' offense seemingly struggling with new OC Patricia. And that disparity is reflected in the line. Don't rule out the Patriots. They're deeply rooted in discipline while Giants are in the early stages of adapting to a new system across the board. Patriots 20-9 ATS as pre-season dogs always a concern for faders. And the 3-9 ATS mark for NYG as road favorites equally a concern for Giants' backers. And it should be. Patriots will mop up late with slinging QB Zappe and we'll grab the points.
|
08-29-21 |
Dolphins v. Bengals -1.5 |
|
29-26 |
Loss |
-110 |
28 h 43 m |
Show
|
Dolphins/Bengals 4:00: Dolphins have a poor history of Week 3 pre-season at 1-7 ATS and we'll fade them again here. Bengals, 2-0 ATS this pre-season, deep at running back with a revamped offensive line for Joe Burrow. Offensive upgrade attributed to bringing back former offensive line coach - Pollack who replaced Jim Turner. Bengals offensive line showed grit in both pre-season games and reserve QB Branden Allen very capable of guiding the offense as demonstrated last year after Burrow went down. Home team 5-0 ATS in this series and we won't fight that trend.
|
08-27-21 |
Eagles +5.5 v. Jets |
|
31-31 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 40 m |
Show
|
Eagles/Jets 7:30: Value added to the Eagles now that Hurts, who was a last minute scratch due to a stomach virus last week, should see some significant time. Eagles need to get the offense generated and it should come against a Jets team ravaged by injuries; as a result, Saleh will limit time for his significant playmakers. Jets, 2-0 in pre-season, doing nice work in August but not ready to lay more than a field goal against a reorganized team desperate to get a win on the board. Eagles are 6-1 ATS in Week 3 of pre-season and we'll look for Sirianni to uphold that trend tonight.
|
08-27-21 |
Vikings +4.5 v. Chiefs |
|
25-28 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 30 m |
Show
|
Vikings/Chiefs 8:00: Minnesota dangerous at any time of year off a loss under Mike Zimmer. They're also 4-0 ATS as a dog vs an opponent off back to back SU wins. KC a money burning 16-26 ATS as a pre-season favorite. This late in the pre-season, Reid most likely to hold back his key players and evaluate the fence sitters with the mandatory roster slicing deadline near. Zimmer, on the other hand, not happy with his team's performances thus far and desperate to establish a rhythm on both sides of the ball. Take the points with the more desperate team.
|
08-23-21 |
Jaguars +4 v. Saints |
|
21-23 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 14 m |
Show
|
Jaguars/Saints 8:00: Jaguars looking for winning momentum more than New Orleans. Payton never a pre-season advocate of winning, especially as a favorite (17-26 ATS). Urban Meyer eager to get winning momentum going for his overhauled bunch. Minshew and Lawrence will battle it out for the starting spot here vs a solid New Orleans' defense. And fortunately for them, CB Lattimore is out. Jag's do have a bit more receiving depth late with Marvin Jones, Austin and Treadwell battling for spots. And rookie Etienne should get some quality reps early. New Orleans Winston and Hill - both battling for starting job, has a thin receiving corps without Michael Thomas (ankle) and Tre-Quan Smith. Jaguars' #3 QB Beathard capable in the mop up role. We'll take the points.
|
08-22-21 |
49ers v. Chargers +6 |
|
15-10 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 4 m |
Show
|
49ers/Chargers 7:30: 49ers' offensive line did not perform well in practice vs the Chargers' front line. Sure, Lance and Garoppolo will most likely take field but not sure offensive line can have it together by tonight. In addition, Deebo Samuel may sit this one out. On the other hand, like the defense the Chargers put on the field. And Daniel and Stick are quality back ups to keep the football moving vs a 49ers' defense fighting a plethora of injuries. Chargers 4-1 ATS in Week 2 of Pre-Season. Take the points.
|
08-22-21 |
Giants v. Browns UNDER 35.5 |
|
13-17 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 22 m |
Show
|
Giants/Browns 1:00: Browns looked good in Week 1 with a solid win over Jacksonville. Case Keenum did a solid job in directing the offense for most of the game. Mayfield should get some reps. But Giants' defense appears to be upgraded from last season. A week ago, they were solid vs the Jets. Draft choice Ojulari definitely making life easier on DC Graham. And the Giants secondary working well. On the other hand, Browns' defense solid. Looked good last week and should follow up strong vs a Giants' offense that is struggling to evolve. QB Jones should get some reps and will most likely have Slayton, Shepard and TE Engram at his disposal. But vertical threat and one of the most underrated receivers in the NFL -Golladay will not play. NYG 0-7 O/U their last 7 as a dog. Browns 0-5 O/U in Week 2 of Pre-Season. "Under" the call.
|
08-21-21 |
Ravens v. Panthers +4 |
|
20-3 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 41 m |
Show
|
Ravens/Panthers 7:00: Sure, Baltimore is the king of preseason with an amazing 18-0 SU winning streak; moreover, 4-0 ATS in Week 2; however, that overhype has shifted value to Carolina. Carolina plays the pre-season dog role well at 8-2 ATS and Matt Rhule (head coach) always dangerous as a dog at every level. Baltimore's receiving corps devastated with nagging injuries and down to virtual scout performers. And without backup McSorley (out), who is struggling to make the roster, the mop up duty QBs Huntley and Bahar will not strike fear in Carolina's defense. On the other hand, QB Darnold should see some action while P.J. Walker has been pretty solid in his backup duty. Grier is capable in mop up duty. Panthers have some quality targets to go to even without Moore and Robbie Anderson - (both out). Rookies Terrace Marshall and Shi Smith impressing in practice. Panthers can hold their own here.
|
08-21-21 |
Bills +4.5 v. Bears |
|
41-15 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 16 m |
Show
|
|
08-20-21 |
Chiefs v. Cardinals +3 |
|
17-10 |
Loss |
-108 |
19 h 34 m |
Show
|
|
08-19-21 |
Patriots v. Eagles +1.5 |
|
35-0 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 38 m |
Show
|
Patriots/Eagles 7:30: Eagles are 4-1 ATS in Week 2 Pre-Season and that trend should carry over in the Sirianni era. Eagles' ones and twos looked good vs Pittsburgh last week before falling late. Hurts and Flacco did a solid job guiding the offense. I'll expect more from Philadelphia tonight with a much improved offensive line and with upgrades across the board defensively. Belichick doesn't play the favorite role well in pre-season at 20-26 ATS. Grab the Eagles here.
|
08-14-21 |
Jets v. Giants +2.5 |
|
12-7 |
Loss |
-100 |
18 h 32 m |
Show
|
|
08-14-21 |
Jets v. Giants UNDER 35 |
|
12-7 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 32 m |
Show
|
|
08-13-21 |
Bills +1.5 v. Lions |
|
16-15 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 30 m |
Show
|
Bills/Lions 7:00: Lions just lost CB Dunbar (cut) and have lots of injuries across the board on both sides of the ball. Goff should see very little if any action. And QBs Tim Boyle and David Blough are not going to instill fear in any NFL defense. Bills do have Mitch Trubisky as the backup who should make plays vs a Lions' defense in transition. With a new Detroit coaching staff and the injuries, hard to see them delivering here. Bills the call.
|
08-13-21 |
Bills v. Lions UNDER 37 |
|
16-15 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 24 m |
Show
|
Bills/Lions 7:00: Bills 1-5 O/U in Week 1 of Pre-Season. And with a new coaching staff, limited skill talent and lots of injuries, I don't see them putting up points on a determined Bills' defense which is well aware that they took a step backwards last year. Fortunately, Detroit won't see much of the explosive Bills' starting offensive personnel. "Under" the call.
|
08-12-21 |
Steelers +1 v. Eagles |
|
24-16 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 23 m |
Show
|
Steelers/Eagles 7:30: Steelers already have a pre-season game under their belt and that's a good thing. Pittsburgh is deep in QBs and offensive weaponry with Rudolph, Haskins and Dobbs all competing for the #2 spot behind Roethlisberger. And despite an offensive line that struggled opening holes last year, it did allow the fewest QB sacks of all NFL teams. Sure, holes to fill but like the young draft talent of C Green and T Dan Moore. Defensively have a few holdouts but solid depth exists for one of the top defenses of last year. On the other hand, Eagles with new head coach, new system on both sides of the ball and should struggle early in adapting. Steelers the call.
|
08-29-19 |
Ravens -5.5 v. Redskins |
|
20-7 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 7 m |
Show
|
Ravens/Redskins 7:30: Hard to dismiss the fact Baltimore has won 16 straight pre-season games. They are 6-0 ATS in Week 4 and should deliver here. Baltimore's defense is well coached and even the defensive personnel clinging to make the final cuts is well informed on assignments. We'll look for them to give Washington's #1 pick Haskins trouble. Haskins has been erratic in pre-season and he won't have an easy time tonight. On the other hand, Baltimore starts 6th round pick McSorley who fits into the Ravens' system with RG III and Lamar Jackson. Ravens the call.
|
08-25-19 |
Steelers v. Titans -1 |
|
18-6 |
Loss |
-108 |
5 h 26 m |
Show
|
Steelers/Titans 8:00: The proverbial dress rehearsal Week 3 and both teams will compete hard. We'll give the edge to the Titans who have somewhat of a revenge motive from their 40-17 demolition in 2017 regular season and last year's 16-6 Pre-Season Week 3 loss. Home team has the edge in this series (4-1 ATS) and the Titans have the luxury of an experienced regular season backup QB in new acquisition Tannehill. RB workhorse Derrick Henry (calf) won't play but pretty good depth at that position including Dion Lewis. Titans coming off a loss should deliver goods here.
|
08-24-19 |
Seahawks -2.5 v. Chargers |
|
23-15 |
Win
|
100 |
69 h 12 m |
Show
|
|
08-23-19 |
Browns -2.5 v. Bucs |
|
12-13 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 14 m |
Show
|
Browns/Bucs 7:30: Will lay a bit with the Browns who are off to a strong pre-season start. Mayfield, Gilbert and Blough all doing well at the helm moving the ball offensively. During dress rehearsal week, we'll look for starters to get the most action of the pre-season and TB still has to address their defense which was 31st in points allowed last year; therefore, new DC Bowles has his work still cut out for him. Browns now 5-1 ATS in pre-season while Bucs 1-5 SU. Browns the call.
|
08-22-19 |
Giants +3 v. Bengals |
|
25-23 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 16 m |
Show
|
Giants/Bengals 7:00: Shurmur has the NYG's offense cooking with Jones and Manning sharing time. Tate should be out but still enough weaponry to put a dent in the Bengals' revamped defense. On the Bengals' side of the ball, Dalton won't have A.J. Green (out) while starters Boyd and Malone have just 7 catches between them. And Bengals' offensive line had 6 penalties in the first quarter last week. Still need to clean up stuff. Giants the call.
|
08-17-19 |
Chiefs v. Steelers +2.5 |
|
7-17 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 44 m |
Show
|
|
08-15-19 |
Raiders v. Cardinals -1 |
|
33-26 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 12 m |
Show
|
Raiders/Cardinals 8:00: Cardinals' QB Murray sharp in execution last week. He should follow up well here testing a Raiders' secondary that is very talented but young and not yet in rhythm schematically. Cardinals' HC Kingsbury brings a college style offense that also suits backup QB Hundley well. Hundley flourished at UCLA but has struggled in his NFL career. Raiders' offense should be better this week but Arizona defense should be fine behind DC Vance Joseph. Small play on Cardinals.
|
08-08-19 |
Jaguars v. Ravens -4 |
|
0-29 |
Win
|
104 |
18 h 37 m |
Show
|
Jaguars/Ravens 7:30: Ravens do well in pre-season week 1 with a 6-1 ATS mark whereas Jaguars do not play the pre-season dog role well at 1-5 ATS. Ravens a bit ahead of schedule in terms of progression and should deliver at home.
|
08-26-18 |
Cardinals v. Cowboys UNDER 39.5 |
|
27-3 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 2 m |
Show
|
Cardinals/Cowboys 8:00: A game devoid of offensive star power with top playmakers on both teams sitting. Under the call.
|
08-26-18 |
Bengals v. Bills UNDER 41.5 |
|
26-13 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 58 m |
Show
|
Bengals/Bills 4:00: Bengals' still trying to rev up their new offense; however, Dalton and company are having trouble grasping it. Bills defense pretty solid and should continue to stall out Cincinnati. On the other hand, we'll look for the Bengals' defense of Week 1 to show up instead of the poor tackling bunch of last week. Bengals are 6-13 O/U as a traveler and we'll stay "under" here.
|
08-26-18 |
Bengals +2 v. Bills |
|
26-13 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 57 m |
Show
|
Bengals/Bills 4:00: Buffalo's QB Josh Allen, who has done well in pre-season, makes his first start. I don't anticipate a great deal of success for Cincinnati should resemble the defense of two weeks ago instead of the many missed tackle defense of last week. On the other hand, it's time for the Bengals new offense to start producing. Bills are 1-5 ATS in Pre-Season Week 3 and we'll look for the Bengals to keep it rolling.
|