Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-17-19 | Oregon v. Arizona OVER 134 | Top | 59-54 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
Oregon @ Arizona 9:00 PM ET Game# 643-644 Play On: Over 134.0 (10*) Arizona has seen each of their previous 3 go over the total and there was a combined average of 154.0 points scored per game. Oregon has also witnessed its last 3 go over the total and there was a combined average of 153.7 points scored per game. These teams have seen each of their last 6 meetings go over and there were a combined 168.6 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-16-19 | Georgia Tech v. Clemson -8 | Top | 60-72 | Win | 100 | 3 h 59 m | Show |
Georgia Tech @ Clemson 9:00 PM ET Game# 821-822 Play On: Clemson -8.0 (10*) Granted, Clemson has gone 0-3 SU&ATS during its previous 3 games. However, those losses have come against #1 Duke, #2 Virginia, and Syracuse who just upset Duke as a 17.0-point underdog this past Monday. The Tigers average just 55 field goal attempts per game. Georgia Tech is coming off an upset win at Syracuse last Saturday which improved their season record to 10-6. The Yellowjackets have held their last 2 opponents to a mere 31% and 29% shooting for the game. Any favorite (Clemson) that averages 55 or fewer field goal attempts per game, versus an opponent (Georgia Tech) playing after game 15 of their season that averages 55 or fewer field goal attempts per game, and they held each of their last 2 opponents to 37% shooting or worse, resulted in those favorites going 23-4 ATS during the past 5 seasons. |
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01-15-19 | LSU v. Ole Miss -3.5 | Top | 83-69 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
LSU @ Mississippi 9:00 PM ET Game# 639-640 Play On: Mississippi -3.5 (10*) This will be just the 2nd true road game of the season for LSU. The Tigers lost by 6 at Houston in their only other away contest. Ole Miss is a perfect 7-0 SU&ATS at home this season and has won by a substantial average of 20.1 points per game. As a matter of fact, Ole Miss is a red-hot 10-0 SU&ATS in their last 10 games overall while winning by 15.2 points per contest. Some will have the concern that the Rebels are coming off an upset win at in state rival Mississippi State in their previous game. However, this is a team that’s proved their preseason critics to be completely wrong thus far and is playing with a massive chip on their shoulders. I’m riding the hot hand. Bet on Mississippi minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-14-19 | Florida State v. Pittsburgh +6 | Top | 62-75 | Win | 100 | 4 h 14 m | Show |
Florida State @ Pittsburgh 7:00 PM ET Game# 869-870 Play On: Pittsburgh +6.0 (10*) Florida State has struggled offensively during 1-2 start in ACC play by shooting a dismal 39.4% and making only 27.0% of its 3-point attempts. The Seminoles are coming off of Saturday’s 80-78 home loss to Duke. Florida State has gone 0-6 ATS on the road during the past 2 seasons following a home game in which both teams scored 75 points or more. Pittsburgh enters with a very respectable 11-5 record and that includes a profitable 11-4 ATS (73.3%) mark. The Panthers have been stout defensively throughout its previous 5 games by holding opponents to 40.9% shooting and allowing them to make just 27.4% of their 3-point shots. Bet on Pittsburgh plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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01-09-19 | Auburn v. Ole Miss +3.5 | Top | 67-82 | Win | 100 | 7 h 54 m | Show |
Auburn @ Mississippi 7:00 PM ET Game# 785-786 Play On: Mississippi +3.5 (10*) No analysis today. |
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01-05-19 | Colorado v. Arizona State -6.5 | Top | 61-83 | Win | 100 | 20 h 6 m | Show |
Colorado @ Arizona State 6:00 ET Game# 697-698 Play On: Arizona State -6.5 (10*) Colorado has scored 68 or less and allowed 70 points or less in each of its previous 3 games. The Buffalos are averaging 77.8 points scored per game this season. Conversely, Arizona State is allowing 73.9 points per game. This sets up a terrific college basketball ATS betting angle which is illustrated below. Any home favorite that’s allowing 67 to 74 points per game, versus an opponent 9Colorado) that allows 74 to 78 points per games and they’re come off 3 straight outing in which both teams scored 70 points or more, resulted in those home favorites going 26-2 ATS (92.9%) since 1997. The average line in those 28 contests was 6.4 and the favorite outscored those underdogs by 14.6 points per game. Bet on Arizona State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-28-18 | Montana +7 v. Creighton | Top | 72-98 | Loss | -123 | 7 h 32 m | Show |
Montana @ Creighton 8:30 PM ET Game# 799-780 Play On: Montana +7.0 (10*) Creighton is coming off an upset win over nationally ranked Clemson in their previous game and they did so as a 5.0-point underdog. After facing Montana tonight, Creighton will host #1 Gonzaga on Saturday. This is a text book sandwich game in which the home favorite will be potentially flat. Especially considering they shot 54.5% or better during each of their last 3 games, and that type of shooting success is extremely difficult to maintain. Montana is an experienced team that returned 4 starters from a season ago. The Grizzlies enter tonight with a 4-1 record and have shot 50% or better from the field in each of their previous 4 games. Any college basketball underdog which has shot 47% or better in each of their previous 4 games, and they’re facing an opponent that’s shot 50% or better in each of their previous 3 games, resulted in those underdogs going 32-9 ATS (78%) since 1997. Bet on Montana plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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11-12-18 | Illinois-Chicago v. Duquesne OVER 153 | Top | 88-89 | Win | 100 | 6 h 6 m | Show |
Illinois-Chicago @ Duquense 8:00 PM ET Game# 735-736 Play On: Over 153.0 (10*) During the past 3 seasons, Illinois-Chicago is 7-0 over the total during away games when the total is 150.0 to 154.5. Those 7 contests have averaged a combined 167.7 points scored per game. Through their first 2 games of the season, Illinois-Chicago has allowed 86.0 points per contest and their opponents has 31 free throw attempts par outing. Those 2 contests were played at a very fast pace as indicated a combined 121 field goal attempts per game. Duquense is coming off a season opening 84-70 win over William & Mary. They attempted a lofty 61 field goal attempts in that win and made an impressive 52.5% of those attempts while converting on a superb 46.2% of its 3-point shots. According to the current college basketball odds at Bookmaker, Duquense is listed as a 6.0-point home favorite. Since the start of last season, the Dukes have gone over the total in all 6 of their games as a home favorite of 6.0-points or less. Those 6 contests averaged a combined 162.8 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total as a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-31-18 | Loyola-Chicago +5.5 v. Michigan | Top | 57-69 | Loss | -109 | 23 h 9 m | Show |
Loyola-Chicago vs. Michigan 6:09 PM ET Game# 811-812 Play On: Loyola-Chicago +5.5 (10*) The Loyola-Chicago Ramblers are the true definition of a Cinderella darling. However, when looking inside the numbers, there’s nothing fluky about how they arrived at the Final Four. The Ramblers are 32-5 and that includes 21-1 in their last 22 in addition to a current 14-game win streak. Even more impressive is their 4-0 SU&ATS record this season against power conference teams (Florida, Miami, Tennessee, Kansas State) with all those victories coming as an underdog. Furthermore, they’ve gone 24-9 ATS (72.7%) in lined games this season. Loyola has shot a red-hot 52.5% in their 4 NCAA Tournament games. During those 4 NCAA Tournament wins, Loyola has allowed 28 points or less in the first half in each of those contests. The Ramblers are 11-0 ATS (+12.1 PPG) following 2 straight games in which they allowed 30 points or less in the first half. Bet on Loyola plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-25-18 | Texas Tech v. Villanova -6.5 | Top | 59-71 | Win | 100 | 25 h 19 m | Show |
Texas Tech vs. Villanova 2:20 PM ET Game# 719-720 Play On: Villanova -6.5 (10*) Texas Tech has vastly overachieved this season and they should be commended for it. Even the most ardent of Red Raiders fans certainly couldn’t have envisioned Elite 8 appearance before the season began. Nevertheless, their magic carpet ride ends on Sunday against #1 seed Villanova and it will be by a decisive margin. Villanova has been one of the best 3-point shooting teams in the nation this season. Nonetheless, they’ve been incredible during this NCAA Tournament in going 44-92 (47.8%) from 3-point territory. Couple that fact with Texas Tech allowing their last 5 opponents to make a combined 38.0% of their 3-point shots, and you have a recipe for a blowout. Bet on Villanova minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-24-18 | Florida State v. Michigan -4 | Top | 54-58 | Push | 0 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
Florida State vs. Michigan 8:49 PM ET Game# 515-516 Play On: Michigan -4.0 (10*) Florida State has been impressive in their 3 NCAA Tournament games and they’ve gone 3-0 ATS in those contests. However, the Seminoles entered the Big Dance by going 3-5 straight up and 0-8 ATS during its previous 8 games. After a fast 9-0 start to the season, Florida State is an uninspiring 14-11 since. Florida State has also allowed their 3 NCAA Tourney opponents to average 25 free throw attempts per game. That’s an extremely high number considering they weren’t trying to extend any of those game by fouling. Sooner or later, sending their opponents to the free throw line with that type of frequency will catch up with them Michigan is absolutely rolling right now. The Wolverines have won 12 straight games and covered on 10 of those occasions. They’re coming off a 99-72 dismantling of Texas A&M in the Regional Semifinal, and they shot a sizzling hot 61.9% in that win, including going 14-24 (58%) from 3-point territory. Considering Florida State has allowed its last 5 opponents to convert on an alarmingly high 39.6% of their 3-point shots. Bet on Michigan minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-23-18 | West Virginia v. Villanova OVER 152.5 | Top | 78-90 | Win | 100 | 8 h 0 m | Show |
West Virginia vs. Villanova 7:27 PM ET Game# 871-872 Play On: Over 152.5 (10*) West Virginia has seen 7 of their previous 8 games go over the total. During their last 5 games the Mountaineers have converted on a stellar 41.6% of its 3-point attempt and 77% of their free throws. West Virginia’s full court pressure has been very successful in get unwilling opponents to play faster than they had planned. They’ll have a willing dance partner in Villanova who’s averaging 85.0 points scored per game over their past 5 contests. Villanova went under the total in their 2nd round 25-point blowout of Alabama. Despite that result, the Wildcats are 13-4 over the total in their previous 17 games. Furthermore, Villanova has gone over the total in 4 straight games following an under in their previous contest. Those 4 games averaged a combined 162.5 points scored per contest. Villanova has compiled extremely impressive shooting number over their last 5 games. During that time span, the Wildcats shot 49.0% from the field, made 44.2% of its 3-point attempts, and went an outstanding 82.1% from the free throw line. I’m looking at this game being a wildly entertaining and high scoring affair. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-21-18 | Illinois-Chicago +4.5 v. Austin Peay | Top | 83-81 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
Illinois-Chicago @ Austin Peay 8:00 Game# 769-70 Play On: Illinois-Chicago +4.5 (10*) You may be surprised to know that Illinois-Chicago has gone 7-0 SU&ATS during their last 7 true road game, and they won by an average of 9.4 points per contest. Austin Peay is an uninspiring 2-2 SU&ATS during its last 4 home games. Austin Peay’s defensive play has been shoddy over their previous 5 contests. During that precise time frame, APU allowed opponents to shoot 50% from the field. Conversely, Illinois-Chicago has averaged 81.2 points scored per game, shot 47.0% from the field, and converted on an excellent 42.1% of their 3-points attempts throughout its last 5 games. Bet on Illinois-Chicago plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-20-18 | Penn State v. Marquette UNDER 150.5 | Top | 85-80 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
Penn State @ Marquette 7:00 PM ET Game# 665-666 Play On: Under 150.5 (10*) Penn State has shot the ball horribly over its last 5 games. Despite shooting a stellar 39.1% from beyond 3-point range during that stretch, the Nittany Lions converted on anemic 35.3% of its 2-point field goal attempts. They went under the total in 4 of those 5 games. Marquette isn’t exactly a good defensive team. As a matter of fact, their opponents have shot an alarmingly high 47.6% against them this season. However, Penn State has gone under the total in all 6 of their games this season when facing opponents with a defensive field goal percentage of 45% or greater. Those 6 contests average a combined 132.6 points scored per game. Penn State is also 9-2 under (141.2 PPG) the total this season in non-conference games. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-18-18 | Marshall v. West Virginia OVER 159.5 | Top | 71-94 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
Marshall vs. West Virginia 9:40 PM ET Game# 721-722 Play On: Over 159.5 (10*) There’s good reason why this total is so high. Using an old boxing adage is appropriate in describing this matchup, “styles make fights”. Both team’s play up-tempo style of basketball. Marshall has averaged 62 field goal attempts and 84.2 points scored per game this season. The Thundering Herd are also one of the worst teams in Division 1 regarding scoring defense. They’re allowing a lofty 78.7 points per game while speeding its opponents up to the tune of 67 field goal attempts per game. West Virginia has seen 6 of its 7 previous games go over the total. The Mountaineers are averaging 79.8 points scored and 64 field goal attempts per game this season. West Virginia hasn’t been very good on the defensive end late. Over their last 5 games, West Virginia opponents combined to shoot 48.4% from the field and they’ve converted on an alarmingly high 43.3% of their 3-point shots. As Ralph Kramden would say to Alice on the old Honeymooners sitcom, “to the moon!” Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-17-18 | Alabama v. Villanova -11 | Top | 58-81 | Win | 100 | 18 h 10 m | Show |
Alabama vs Villanova 12:10 PM ET Game# 525-526 Play On: Villanova -11.0 (10*) Alabama has won 3 of their last 4 games, but that was preceded by a 5-game losing streak. The Crimson Tide have been awful defensively in their previous 2 outings, allowing 84.5 points per game and permitted its 2 opponents to shoot a blistering hot 60% from the floor. That’s troublesome when considering Villanova has shot a combined 52.7 % from the field and made an outstanding 45.7% of their 3-points attempts over their previous 5 games. Villanova is currently averaging 87.1 points per game. The Wildcats are coming off an 87-61 win over Radford in a game they led 44-23 at halftime. Alabama is an uninspiring 20-15, and especially considering they received an at-large invite and didn’t get an automatic bid as a conference tournament champion. The Crimson Tide is averaging 72.7 points scored per game this season. The combination of this data sets up a very profitable betting angle which is illustrated below. Any neutral court favorite that averages 76 or more points scored per game, and they led at the half by 20 points or more in their previous outing, versus an opponent (Alabama) that averages 67 to 74 points scored per contest and is playing after game 14 of the season, resulted in those favorites going 35-12 ATS (74.5%) since 1997. The average line in those 47 games was 11.1, and the favorites outscored their opponents by an average of 15.9 points per contest. Bet on Villanova minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-16-18 | Texas v. Nevada | Top | 83-87 | Win | 100 | 25 h 6 m | Show |
Texas vs. Nevada 4:30 PM ET Game# 879-880 Play On: Nevada (10*) I haven’t been impressed by Texas at all this season. I thought at the very best they should’ve been playing on of the “First Four” games. Nevada has been a Top 25 team for a majority of this season. They were upset in the semifinals of their conference tournament by a red-hot San Diego State team. Nevada is the better team in this matchup and they will prevail. Bet on Nevada for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-15-18 | Buffalo +8.5 v. Arizona | Top | 89-68 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
Buffalo vs. Arizona 9:40 PM ET Game# 739-740 Play On: Buffalo +8.5 (10*) Arizona spent the majority of the first half of this season underachieving. However, they rebounded in the second half of the campaign and it culminate by winning the PAC-12 Tournament championship. Nevertheless, it wasn’t a banner year for the PAC-12 with only 3 of their teams receiving a NCAA Tournament invite, and Arizona State was already eliminated in last night’s loss to Syracuse. Buffalo is fully capable of giving Arizona all they can handle and then some. The Bulls went 18-3 this season in MAC play, and all 3 of their defeats came by 3 points or less. They also lost to Cincinnati by just 6 and led Syracuse with less than 5 minutes to play at the Carrier Dome before falling short. The Bulls are an explosive offensive team and they possess quality depth. Unlike other mid-majors this Buffalo team will be difficult to wear down, and their ability to knock down 3-point shots will keep them in the game throughout. This will also be Buffalo’s 3rd trip to the NCAA Tournament in 4 years, so they won’t be in awe of the situation. They lost by 6 to West Virginia in 2015 and by 7 to Miami in 2016. I wouldn’t be shocked at all to see a huge upset in this contest. Nonetheless, I’ll take the points as an additional bonus. Bet on Buffalo plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-10-18 | Stephen F Austin v. Southeastern Louisiana +6.5 | Top | 59-55 | Win | 100 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
SE Louisiana vs. SF Austin 9:00 PM ET Game# 555-556 Play On: SE Louisiana +6.5 (10*) The underdog SE Louisiana enters today riding a sizzling hot 9-game winning streak. During its past 5 games, SE Louisiana has made 52.9% of its field goal attempts and shot an impressive 41.0% from 3-point territory. During that stretch, they held their opponents to just 39.6% shooting. There’s a wealth of value on the underdog in this contest. Bet on SE Louisiana plus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-09-18 | Eastern Michigan +2 v. Toledo | Top | 63-64 | Win | 100 | 5 h 19 m | Show |
Eastern Michigan vs. Toledo 9:00 PM ET Game# 863-864 Play On: Eastern Michigan +2.0 (10*) Eastern Michigan enters this MAC Tourney Semifinal on a 7-game win streak, and they’ve covered 6 straight times. They won both of their regular season meetings against Toledo and shot a red-hot 53.9% in those contests. Eastern Michigan has shot 51.9% over their previous 5 games. They will be facing a Toledo team who’s calling card isn’t on the defensive side of the floor. Bet on Eastern Michigan plus the small number for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-08-18 | Oregon v. Utah +2.5 | Top | 68-66 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
Utah vs. Oregon 11:30 PM ET Game# 731-732 Play On: Utah +2.5 (10*) Oregon enters the PAC-12 Tournament on a modest 2-game win streak. However, the Ducks are 0-3 straight up in their last 3 games following 2 wins in a row. Utah has plenty of momentum going into postseason action after winning 6 of its last 7 regular season games. Bet on Utah plus the small number for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-06-18 | South Dakota v. South Dakota State OVER 145.5 | Top | 87-97 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
South Dakota vs. South Dakota State 9:00 PM ET Game# 537-538 Play On: Over 145.5 (10*) Both these teams love to play at a fast tempt. South Dakota is averaging a lofty 60 field goal attempts per game while South Dakota State hoists up 61 per contest. These teams saw both their regular season matchups stay under the total. However, the totals in those games were 156.5 and 161.0 which is substantially higher than tonight’s number. Furthermore, there was a combined 148 and 145 points scored in those contests which is right in line with tonight’s total. South Dakota is coming off yesterday’s 76-58 win over Denver. South Dakota has gone over the total in all 7 games this season following a contest in which they allowed 60 points or less. There was a combined average of 153.5 points scored in those contests. South Dakota State is 9-2 over the total this season in games played on a neutral floor or on the road when facing teams with a winning record. Those 11 contests averaged an enormous 172.6 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-04-18 | NC-Wilmington v. Hofstra -5.5 | Top | 93-88 | Loss | -114 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
NC-Wilmington vs. Hofstra 8:30 PM ET Game# 833-834 Play On: Hofstra -5.0 (10*) This Colonial Conference Tournament game will be played at a neutral site in Charleston, South Carolina. The last time these teams met was on 2/10 when Wilmington walked away with a 90-70 win. Hofstra has gone 4-0 SU&ATS and that’s improved their season record to 19-11 (.633). Despite a win in their previous game, Wilmington enters today with a poor 10-20 record this season. Any neutral court team that’s playing with same season revenge stemming from a road loss, possessing a win percentage of .600 to .800, versus an opponent with a losing record, resulting in those teams going 25-3 ATS (89.3%) during the past 5 seasons. The average line for those teams in those 28 games was -6.4 and they won by 12.2 points per contest. Bet on Hofstra minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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03-02-18 | Ohio v. Miami-OH OVER 141 | Top | 75-66 | Push | 0 | 4 h 3 m | Show |
Ohio @ Miami-Ohio 7:00 PM ET Game# 837-838 Play On: Over 141.0 (5*) Ohio enters today averaging 76.0 point scored per game. The Bobcats have scored 75 points or more in each of their previous 4 games. They’ll be facing a Miami-Ohio team that allows 70.2 points per game this season. Any road team (Ohio) with a total of 140.0 to 149.5 that averages 74 to 78 points scored per game, and they scored 75 points or more in each of their previous 4 games, versus an opponent that allows 67 to 74 points per game, resulted in those contests going 29-8 (78.4%) over the total during the past 5 seasons. The average total in those 37 contests was 145.0, and there was 153.9 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go over the total for a 5* wager. |
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02-28-18 | SIU-Edwardsville v. Tennessee Tech UNDER 149.5 | Top | 51-60 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
SIU-Edwardsville vs. Tennessee Tech 7:30 PM ET Game# 765-766 Play On: Under 149.5 (10*) These teams have met twice this season, and both easily went under the total. Those contests produced just a combined 135 and 138 points scored. Tennessee Tech has seen 4 of its last 5 contests go under the total, and there was a combined 141.4 points scored per game. Edwardsville has also gone 4-1 under the total in its previous 5 and there was a combined 145.0 points scored per game. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 10* Top Play wager. |
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02-27-18 | Boise State v. San Diego State UNDER 143.5 | Top | 64-72 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
Boise State @ San Diego State 11:00 PM ET Game# 547-548 Play On: Under 143.5 (10*) San Diego State will be playing with revenge stemming from that 3-point loss at Boise State earlier this season. The Aztecs will enter tonight riding a modest 4-game winning streak. They won each of those contests over conference opponents and all were by double-digit margins. Those results coupled with the present total on this contest sets up a very profitable betting angle. Any home team (San Diego State) with a total of 140.0 to 149.5, playing with same season revenge stemming from a loss by 3 points or less, and they’re coming off conference wins by 10 points or more in each of its previous 2 games, resulted in those contests going 26-8 (76.5%) under the total since 1997. The average total in those 34 contests was 144.0, and there was a combined 137.5 points scored per game. The previously mentioned betting angle is difficult to ignore when making my college basketball pick on Tuesday. Furthermore, San Diego State has gone under the total in 3 straight contests, and there was a combined average of just 134.3 points scored per game. Meanwhile, Boise State has seen each of their previous 6 conference road games go under the total, and there was a combined 138.5 points scored per contest. Bet on this game to go under the total since 1997. |