02-10-19 |
East Carolina +14 v. South Florida |
Top |
68-72 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 7 m |
Show
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At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the East Carolina Pirates + the points over South Florida. The Bulls are on a 4-game SU/ATS win streak. And among their wins in this stretch was a 20-point blowout of East Carolina on January 26. We'll take the double-digits in this rematch, as college basketball teams off 3 SU/ATS wins have covered just 51 of 142 if they defeated their opponent by 14+ points earlier in the season, and their opponent is off a loss by 14+ points. With East Carolina, indeed, off a 65-49 loss to Wichita in its last game, we'll grab the points with the Pirates on Sunday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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02-10-19 |
Siena v. Rider -5.5 |
Top |
59-57 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 37 m |
Show
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At 2 pm, our selection is on the Rider Broncs minus the points over Siena. Rider has dropped its last seven games to the point spread, and has lost its last three, overall. That's the bad news. The good news is that the Broncs still only have four losses in Metro Atlantic Conference play, which ties them in the loss column atop the conference with Monmouth, Quinnipiac, Canisius, and today's opponent, Siena. And they'll likely be favored in six of their final seven Conference games, so they still have a great shot to finish with the #1 seed in the MAAC Tournament. We'll lay the points with the Broncs this afternoon, as they fall into a 54-25 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back losses. Also, Siena's a horrid 10-27-1 ATS when playing an opponent off an upset loss. Lay the points with Rider.
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02-10-19 |
La Salle v. George Mason -6 |
Top |
76-84 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 36 m |
Show
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At 2 pm, our selection is on the George Mason Patriots minus the points over La Salle. The Explorers have won four straight games to move their record to 7-14 on the season. This afternoon, they'll take on a George Mason team coming off back to back losses. Unfortunately, the Explorers have covered just 2 of 15 off four straight covers since 1990, including 0-7 ATS since January 9, 2008. Meanwhile, George Mason is 51-34 ATS off back to back ATS losses. And the Patriots are also a fantastic 49-19-3 ATS off a loss when playing an opponent which is not a winning team, including 13-0 ATS their last 13 if their opponent is off a win. Take George Mason.
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02-09-19 |
Washington v. Arizona State -1 |
Top |
63-75 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 44 m |
Show
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At 10 pm, on ESPN TV, our selection is on the Arizona State Sun Devils over Washington. Arizona State had an awful game its last time on the court, as it lost by 21, at home, to Washington State. We had a big play on Washington State in that game, so we weren't wholly surprised. Here, though, we'll back the Sun Devils, as they're 19-10 ATS as a home favorite (or PK) off an upset home defeat. Moreover, ASU falls into a 195-130 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams that failed to cover the spread by more than 20 points in their previous game. Take the Sun Devils. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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02-09-19 |
Nebraska +11 v. Purdue |
Top |
62-81 |
Loss |
-105 |
13 h 30 m |
Show
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At 8:30 pm, on the Big 10 TV Network, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers + the points over Purdue. The 'Huskers have lost their last five games all as favorites -- and are 0-6 SU/ATS their last six, overall. We'll grab the points with Nebraska, as College basketball teams have covered 88.2% on the road over the past 27 years off 4 (or more) upset losses. Take the Cornhuskers.
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02-09-19 |
Old Dominion v. Middle Tennessee +6.5 |
Top |
55-50 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 45 m |
Show
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At 7 pm, our selection is on the Middle Tennessee St. Blue Raiders + the points over Old Dominion. The Blue Raiders have won and covered three straight games. And they fall into several "momentum" systems of mine, with records of 27-2, 22-2 and 46-14 ATS since 1990. Even better: the Blue Raiders are a perfect 8-0 SU/ATS vs. the Monarchs since 2014. Take Middle Tennessee + the points.
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02-09-19 |
California +15 v. Oregon State |
Top |
71-79 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 16 m |
Show
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At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the California Golden Bears + the points over Oregon State. We played on California on Wednesday, and got the $$$ when they covered the 16-point spread at Oregon. That was the 2nd straight cover for the Bears, and I look for them to win their 3rd straight "in Vegas" today, as they're once again a double-digit dog. The Beavers, meanwhile, were upset, 83-60, by Stanford, on Thursday. And they have covered just 3 of 12 at home when favored by 13+ points off a loss. Even worse: NCAA favorites of more than 6 points have cashed just 28 of 80 conference games off a 21-point (or worse) upset conference defeat. Take California. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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02-09-19 |
Idaho +14 v. Montana State |
Top |
72-86 |
Push |
0 |
9 h 48 m |
Show
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At 4 pm, our selection is on the Idaho Vandals + the points over Montana St. The Vandals come into this game off a 100-59 blowout loss, at Montana. And that was their eighth straight defeat (and seventh straight point spread loss). Meanwhile, the Bobcats have won their last two, and covered their last four The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the "hot" Bobcats and against the "cold" Vandals. But underdogs (or PK'em teams) off 3 SU/ATS losses, that gave up 99+ points in their previous game, have cashed 88% over the last 29 years vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins. Additionally, the Vandals fall into 135-88 and 403-217 ATS systems of mine that play on certain underdogs off blowout losses. Grab the points with the Vandals. BIG SKY GAME OF THE YEAR!
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02-09-19 |
William & Mary +11.5 v. Hofstra |
Top |
87-93 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 47 m |
Show
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At 4 pm, our selection is on the William & Mary Tribe + the points over Hofstra. The Tribe lost by 12 points, 72-60, at Northeastern, on Thursday. But they played a much better game earlier this season against this afternoon's opponent, when they lost by just 3 to Hofstra. 93-90. Generally speaking, road teams off double-digit conference losses have done very well over the past 29 years in a regular season's second meeting, if they narrowly lost the first meeting by 3 points or less. And William & Mary is also a strong 33-13-1 ATS when playing with revenge, including 7-0-1 ATS off a loss by 7+ points. Take William & Mary.
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02-09-19 |
Elon +17.5 v. Northeastern |
Top |
60-72 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 47 m |
Show
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At 4 pm, our selection is on the Elon Phoenix + the points over Northeastern. Elon was drilled, 102-61, by Hofstra, on Thursday. However, Colonial Athletic Association teams, off a 40-point (or worse) conference defeat, have cashed 80% of conference games since 1990. Likewise, Colonial teams off a conference defeat in which they gave up 90+ points, and failed to cover by 10+ points, have rebounded to go 64-34 ATS in Colonial Athletic Ass'n games. Take Elon.
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02-09-19 |
Minnesota v. Michigan State -13 |
Top |
55-79 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 50 m |
Show
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At 2 pm, our selection is on the Michigan State Spartans minus the points over Minnesota, as Michigan State falls into several of my favorite NCAA systems, including a 71-29 ATS angle, and a 58-18 ATS system. The Spartans had won 13 straight games (and covered nine straight) prior to their game at Purdue, on January 27. We played against Michigan State that afternoon, and easily got the $$$ when Purdue blew out MSU. The Spartans, however, didn't bounce back off that loss, and instead also lost their next two games -- both as double-digit favorites -- vs. Indiana and Illinois. I love the Spartans to bounce back today, as home teams have cashed 67% over the past 29 years off back-to-back losses as double-digit favorites, if they were matched up against an opponent off a SU/ATS loss. Take the Spartans. BIG 10 FAVE OF THE MONTH. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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02-09-19 |
Kentucky v. Mississippi State +5.5 |
Top |
71-67 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 49 m |
Show
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At 1 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi State Bulldogs + the points over Kentucky. The Bulldogs were upset by LSU, 92-88, here in Starkville, on Wednesday. We'll grab the points with Miss State, as it's 19-3-1 ATS as a home underdog (or PK) off a straight-up loss, including 10-0 ATS when getting 4 or more points. Take Mississippi State + the points. PERFECT 10 CLUB PLAY. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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