Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-13-20 | Colts v. Raiders +3 | 44-27 | Loss | -108 | 17 h 38 m | Show | |
Indianapolis at Las Vegas 4:05 ET Raiders (+) over Colts- In the scheme of things this is a playoff game for Las Vegas. A loss here would make it virtually impossible for them to qualify for the postseason. As it is the Raiders are fortunate to still be alive as their 'hail-Mary' win over the Jets last week may have saved their season if the win here. Vegas has had the issues with injuries and the virus but this week it have five Colts that have missed practice including Philip Rivers. Jon Gruden has brought the Raiders along and will create win havoc on defense to take advantage of 'Philips Floaters' and get at least a pair of picks. Take LAS VEGAS! |
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12-13-20 | Cardinals -2.5 v. Giants | 26-7 | Win | 100 | 14 h 37 m | Show | |
Arizona at New York Giants 1:00 ET Cardinals over Giants- This is one of those 'Go figure' games. Here we have the New York Football Giants winners of four straight games and probably the hottest team in the NFL (oops Saints have won 9) up against a fading team's who's only win in their last five games came a 'Hail-Mary pass' on the final play against Buffalo when they didn't even attempt the extra-point they have failed to 'cover' the spread. And Arizona is favored at New York! Daniel Jones' Locker returns Sunday and he should give the Giants' 32nd rated offense some sort of lift. He will help, but the Cardinals average 390 ppg and are 9-4-2 ATS on the road scoring 28 ppg while 'Little Blue' is 30th with 19 ppg and are 3-12 ATS as home underdogs. Take ARIZONA! |
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12-13-20 | Vikings +7.5 v. Bucs | 14-26 | Loss | -123 | 13 h 28 m | Show | |
Minnesota at Tampa Bay 1:00 ET Vikings (+) over Buccaneers- These two qualify for the final NFL playoff spots with Tampa Bay (7-5) holding on to the sixth spot and Minnesota (6-6) a game behind. The Bucs expected a big boost on offense with the addition of Brady and other weapons but they are still just middle of the pack at 18th with 363 ypg. It has been the Tampa defense that has held them together ranking No.1 against the run and No. 7 overall. The Vikings shine on offense with 390 ypg and just under 150 rushing yards and will match the Bucs rushing defense with Delvin Cook who has 1135 yards at 5.0 an attempt. These two match-up right and it should come down to a one possession game. Take MINNESOTA! |
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12-13-20 | Texans v. Bears +2 | 7-36 | Win | 100 | 13 h 24 m | Show | |
Houston at Chicago 1:00 ET Bears (+) over Texans- The Houston is an embarrassment and own the entire state of Texas an apology! So, here are the 4-8 Texans -2.5 at Chicago favored against the 5-7 Bears who have dropped six straight. These teams are so bad and so evenly matched with Houston having the No. 30 defense allowing 406 ypg while the Bears offense is also ranked 30th with just 312 ypg. The Texans offense averages 364 ypg while Chicago allows 354 ypg. So, why even take a side when they both suck. Well, a wise man once said to me there's got to be a winner and I know it is NOT Houston! Take CHICAGO! |
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12-08-20 | Cowboys +9.5 v. Ravens | 17-34 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
Dallas at Baltimore 8:00 ET Cowboys (+) over Ravens- The Ravens who have had to deal with the virus have dropped three straight and 4-of-5 while Dallas has lost 5-of-6 and 7-of-9. This game on paper does not set up well for the Cowboys who are dead last in NFL rushing defense while the Ravens are No. 2 in rushing averaging 158 YPG as well as last in points allowed with 32.6. Part of Big 'D's problem is that are also last in take-aways in the season with a league low of just nine also allowing 24 TD passes with just 4 Int's. Having played last on Thanksgiving (if you can call that 'playing') and have had 12-days to prepare and they need it. Take DALLAS! |
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12-07-20 | Bills v. 49ers +1 | Top | 34-24 | Loss | -118 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
Buffalo vs San Francisco (at Glendale, AZ) 49ers over Bills- As most are aware this game has been shifted to Arizona as COVID has forced the move from California. Buffalo has won four of five with the lone loss coming on this field against the Cardinals when a 'Hail-Mary' pass handed them their only defeat. The Bills who were the same 8-3 a year ago went 2-3 their final five games while many have to be reminded that the 49ers were in the Super Bowl last season. SF is getting healthy as players return and the Bills face the undefeated (as of now) Steelers next week. That SAN FRANCISCO! |
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12-06-20 | Patriots v. Chargers -118 | 45-0 | Loss | -118 | 15 h 10 m | Show | |
New England at San Diego 4:25 ET Chargers (+) over Patriots- Cam is right! No need to apologize for winning even with 69 yards passing. Patriots won over Arizona last week and we are still trying to figure out how...make be a Belichick thing. It's certainly not an Anthony Lynn 'thing' who has still needs to apologize for his trouble understanding clock management, time-outs and getting plays off on time after time-outs. Hugh coaching the difference for New England here but the Chargers have more firepower! Takt the LA CHARGERS! |
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12-06-20 | Saints v. Falcons +3 | 21-16 | Loss | -117 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
New Orleans at Atlanta 1:00 ETÂ Falcons (+) over Saints- The way I see it Saints 'backers' are loving it when Brees sits! Last year it was Bridgewater going 6-0 ATS and even when Hill gets the start they seem to dominate, especially of late on defense. N.O. has surrendered just 3, 13, 9, and 3 points in their last four games and have the No. 1 defense at 285 ypg and No. 2 Rush 'D' at 76.6 ypg. Atlanta rises as home dogs going 11-4 ATS L-15 and with Raheem Morris at the helm they have won 3 of 4 and 4 of 6 overall. Take ATLANTA! |
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12-06-20 | Colts v. Texans +3.5 | 26-20 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
Indianapolis at Houston 1:00 ET Texans (+) over Colts- How 'bout them inconsistent Colts...they just can seem to string together wins before they throw in an uninspired performance like refusing to step in front of Derek Henry last week as the Titans ran over Indianapolis for 229 yards. Indy is 7-0-1 ATS in the last eight meetings in Houston and 4-0 ATS L-4. While Philip Rivers' TD/Int ratio always an issue it's 16/9 and he still is venerable to the pick-6. Houston defense (if you can call it that) is Ranked No. 30 allowing 410 yards a game and No. 31 in rushing 'D' (154 ypg) and their rushing 'O' (84 ypg) is No.31. Still, the Texans since O'Brien was jettisoned have a winning attitude and record 4-3. The road team is 9-2-2 L-13 dog is 7-3-2 ATS in series. Take the TEXANS! |
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12-06-20 | Raiders v. Jets +7.5 | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
Las Vegas at New York Jets 1:00 ET Jets (+) over Raiders- Sure, I have become a Raiders fan but that doesn't mean I will play against my pocketbook. Coach Gruden has this team believing that they can win and they can (they beat KC) but they are not ready yet. Injuries and the virus have hurt chemistry and they might be the only team the Jets can beat...nah! Can't see Vegas not showing up after last weeks performance (43-6) at Atlanta but being they best beware as the Jets become desperate to land a win. Take NY JETS! |
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12-06-20 | Browns +5 v. Titans | Top | 41-35 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
Cleveland at Tennessee 1:00 ET Browns (+) over Titans- Very sneaky...watch out for this one. I imagine most will see the Titans as very inviting side with their version of Jim Brown, Derek Henry running with authority over and through defensive backs. Both clubs are 8-3 but appear different in the public eye. This pair are 1 and 2 running the ball with the Browns at 161 rypg and the Titans 158 rypg with Cleveland's passing game lame at No.30 while Tannehill throws for just 227. Titans have turned the ball over just five times a league low but.. It's CLEVELAND! |
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11-30-20 | Seahawks v. Eagles +6.5 | Top | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 24 h 53 m | Show |
Seattle at Philadelphia 8:15 ET Eagles (+) over Seahawks- These two met at Philadelphia in the playoffs and Seattle posted a 17-9 victory their second of the season over Philly and by the same score 17-9. The Eagles had struggled most of the year and then closed with a flurry before the loss to end their season. In 2020 it has been even worse for them as Carson Wentz has been under duress the entire season having been sacked 40 times with 18 turnovers and a 73.3 passer rating. It's the same old story for the Seahawks plenty of offense with 400 yards per game, but their defense hasn't improved and is dead last allowing 435 yard per game. The head-to-head games are all Seattle as they are 6-0 ATS in the past six meetings including 5-0 ATS in Philadelphia. Both clubs are in second place with only the Eagles assured to move into first with a victory. Take the EAGLES! |
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11-29-20 | Chiefs v. Bucs +3.5 | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 20 h 49 m | Show |
Kansas City at Tampa Bay 4:25 ET Buccaneers (+) over Chiefs- Oh man is this it? Is this where we actually see the 'changing of the guard' as Patrick Mahomes brings his 9-1 Chiefs into Tampa Bay where quarterback Tom Brady is starting to show some wear and tear and Kansas City has the NFL's No. 2 offense averaging 414 yards per game while the Buc's defense has been consistent the past few seasons and is No. 6 over and No. 1 against the run for the second straight season. The Chiefs may not even be concerned withy that as they are the leagues No. 1 passing teams at 300 yards per games and Mahomes has 27 TD passes with just a pair of interceptions. Tampa Bay meanwhile has had two clunkers in their last three games as Brady's efficiency has dropped Matt Patricia sleepless. Kansas City garnered a bit revenge last week at las Vegas against the Raiders who had inflicted the their only loss in early October and they have won their last five since. There are a few things that have me backing Tampa here. To start with Tom Brady is a prideful man and I have to believe he will atone for his indiscretions in recent losses and the Buccaneers need to make a statement here otherwise they fall to 7-5 and into also-ran territory. Take TAMPA BAY! |
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11-29-20 | Raiders v. Falcons +3 | 6-43 | Win | 103 | 16 h 20 m | Show | |
Las Vegas at Atlanta 1:00 ET Falcons (+) over Raiders- Although the Raiders lost to Kansas City Sunday they gained a number of admirers because let's face it John Gruden has them playing good football. Gone (for the most part) are the silly penalties and they are protecting the ball better now than anytime since his 10-year tenure started. What's to say about Atlanta...they are 3-7 and coming off a beatdown by New Orleans where they failed to score a touchdown and were dominated after taking a 9-3 lead late in the second period. QB Matt Ryan who has thrown for 2,978 yards this season but was sacked eight times and took 11 hits against the Saints. The issue here is if Gruden can get his guys 'up' on the road after an emotional last minute loss to the Chiefs I can see the Raiders being flat but they do have the better coaching. I was looking for a trend to throw at you and there's ones on Vegas were really good, but I found this about the Falcons, they are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 as an underdog. That's it! Take ATLANTA! |
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11-29-20 | Cardinals v. Patriots +2 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 16 h 13 m | Show | |
Arizona at New England 1:00 ET Patriots (+) over Cardinals- Oh boy, do I believe we have a winner here...it just figures. New England goes to Houston as a small favorite and lose outright (they never should have been favored anyway) and now they return home and are made the same size underdog to Arizona. Oh yeah big and bad Arizona that is the 'public's darlings' and with good cause because Kyler Murray my end being the best of his kind ) a run first QB, ala Cam Newton, Jackson, Watson none of whom throw the ball as well as Murray. But, this is his first trip to Boston and first time up against Bill Belichick and they both mean something. What I can't be sure. I LOVE the home team here. Take NEW ENGLAND! |
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11-29-20 | Giants v. Bengals +6.5 | 19-17 | Win | 100 | 16 h 8 m | Show | |
N.Y. Giants at Cincinnati 1:00 ET Bengals (+) over Giants- Of course the storyline here first is the injury to Joe Burrow and the rookie sensation is done for 9-12 months. Okay, that's fine but the Bengals still are just 2-7-1 under his leadership, so here steps Brandon Allen to run the show and although he's now an accomplished starter he has had some experience and played for Bengals coach Zac Taylor with the Rams in 2017 and 2018. New York believe it or now can move into first place with a win here and the are are perfect 5-0 ATS on the road this season. But, now they are the favorites and although they probably have played the best football in their division they have not been favorites on the road. Cats have dropped last two and should rally the troops for this one. Take CINCINNATI! |
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11-29-20 | Titans v. Colts -3 | 45-26 | Loss | -109 | 16 h 58 m | Show | |
Tennessee at Indianapolis 1:00 ET Colts (+) over Titans- When you look at these two teams they compare like a mirror on offense but when it comes to the other side of the ball the Titans are lacking, Indianapolis who pounded Tennessee on a Thursday night three weeks ago in their own backyard will now the Colts will have all those cardboard cutouts giving them the silent treatment. Indy has the No. 2 rated defense allowing 298 yards per game while the Titans defense surrenders 389 yards per. Colts are 6-2 ATS as home favorites and even better they are 14-5 ATS against teams with winning records meaning they come to play against the better competition. Take INDIANAPOLIS! |
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11-26-20 | Washington Football Team +3 v. Cowboys | 41-16 | Win | 100 | 26 h 2 m | Show | |
Washington at Dallas 4:30 ET DC Swampers (+) over Cowboys- There have been so many low points for the Cowboys this season and one of them was the first meeting in Washington when the DC Swampers dominated Dallas winning 25-3 while allowing the Pokes just 142 yards total offense. Despite their poor play, both these 3-7 clubs trail the Eagles by just a half-game for the NFC East division lead. Dallas has been able to move the ball for the most part but they haven't got it done on defense and have created just eight turnovers on the season. These two have an intense rivalry that has seen the underdogs win (ATS) 28 of the last 41 meetings and Washington is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 trips to Dallas where the 'Boys are just 22-46 ATS as favorites including last five 0-5 ATS. Take Washington! |
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11-26-20 | Texans v. Lions +3 | Top | 41-25 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 60 m | Show |
Houston at Detroit 9:30 ET Lions (+) over Texans- Houston who until Sunday's victory of New England had two wins entering that contest but had only defeated Jacksonville (twice). The Texans have now won 2-of-3 after a 1-6 start but a defense built by Romeo Crennel is ranked 31 of 32 NFL teams allowing 412 yards a game. Detroit under Matt Patricia is heading south fast and I still have difficulty figuring out out they actually won four games this season. The Lions over-rated offense is ranked No. 27 and their defense is No. 25, numbers that are not very impressive. After getting shut out at Carolina last week where the Lions looked like they just stopped playing and gathered only 185 yards total offense while rushing for just 40 and allowing five sacks and making only 10 first downs. As bad as Detroit is, if they have any kind of professional pride they will come out smokin' on Thursday. Houston is just 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven road games and 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 as favorites while the Lions are even worse going 3-7 ATS Last-10 at home going 4-11 ATS in last 15 as underdogs and 6-15 ATS in their last 21 overall. All because they are poorly coached and they stink...but Texans have no character and the Lions eat well on Thanksgiving. Take DETROIT! |
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11-23-20 | Rams v. Bucs UNDER 48.5 | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
L.A. Rams at Tampa Bay 8:15 ET Rams/Buccaneers UNDER- Both of these clubs are off impressive wins with the Rams defeating Seattle 23-16 and the Bucc's pounded Carolina 46-23 gaining 544 yards on offense. But, understand this, it will be the defense's that will make the difference in today's matchup. Tampa Bay has had the top rushing stop for the past two seasons and this season ranked No. 2 right now allowing just 76.6 yards rushing per game while Los Angeles in ranked No. 1 defensively overall allowing just 296 yards per game and No. 2 in totals points surrendered with 18.7. Rams are Under is their last six and 5-1 to the under at Tampa Bay. The Buccaneers are 9-4 Under in their last 13 at home against teams with winning records. Play the UNDER! |
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11-22-20 | Chiefs v. Raiders +7.5 | Top | 35-31 | Win | 100 | 3 h 31 m | Show |
Kansas City at L.V. Raiders 8:20 ET Raiders (+) over Chiefs- The NFL has called put nine Las Vegas players on the reserve/COVID list and they were not able meet or practice until Friday. Coach John Gruden says that they will 'be ready for the game on Sunday. Kansas City may have revenge on their minds as it was the Raiders that scarred their undefeated season a game where LV's defense played a strong second half. The storyline behind the Chiefs is Andy Reid's record after a bye week, he is 18-3 SU and KC is 12-5 ATS at Raiders last 17 meetings. But, Vegas well coached and 5-0 ATS vs the AFC West L-5. Take LAS VEGAS! |
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11-22-20 | Packers v. Colts -115 | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 17 h 7 m | Show | |
Green Bay at Indianapolis 4:25 ET Colts (-) over Packers- Great ,match-up between veteran and future Hall of Fame quarterbacks as Aaron Rodgers brings his first place Packers into Indianapolis to face of with Phillip Rivers. Rivers just moved past Dan Marino for total passing yards and although he has never won a championship always falling to Manning or Brady he will be honored upon retirement. He may not be as strong as Rodgers but the Colts No. 1 total defense will be the difference. All quarterbacks as different under pressure and we saw Tampa Bay harass and shut down Aaron earlier this season. Colts are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games against teams with winning records. Take INDIANAPOLIS! |
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11-22-20 | Dolphins v. Broncos +3.5 | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 17 h 46 m | Show | |
Miami at Denver 4:05 ET Broncos (+) over Dolphins- Miami certainly has their 'mojo' working double time as they just impose their defensive will on any and all opponents, just ask the Niners, Rams, Cardinals and Chargers all who out gained the Dolphins only to lose on the scoreboard. The Dolphins have turned to Tua Tagovailoa and they are 3-0 under his leadership as he maintains a controlled offense. Denver has turned to a young QB as well with Drew Lock who threw four Int's against the Raiders last week is nursing sore ribs and may be replaced by Brett Rypien has one win under his belt this season in a pair of start's. Regardless of who is under center for the Broncos they are a winner here today. Miami is 29thy in total offense with 319 yrg and the Mile High guys are 6-1 ATS after an ATS loss. Take DENVER! |
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11-22-20 | Patriots v. Texans +2.5 | Top | 20-27 | Win | 100 | 14 h 44 m | Show |
New England at Houston 1:00 ET Texans (+) over Patriots- This is it, this is the one...if it is to win, I believe that business must done! New England despite all their problems still conduct themselves and play like professionals while the 'troubles' surrounding this Houston team goes deeper than we will ever realize. The Patriots rose up for us last Sunday taking down the Ravens outright and now take to the road facing a team in total turmoil that is 2-7 with a pair of wins over Jacksonville who has just one victory themselves. In days gone by I would have no difficulty using the Texans as a best bet...but not on top today. Pats should stumble and the Texans should take advantage...'And thine shall be done.' Take HOUSTON! |
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11-19-20 | Cardinals v. Seahawks -3 | Top | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 26 h 34 m | Show |
Arizona at Seattle 8:20 ET Seahawks (-) over Cardinals- These two are in the middle of the 3-way log jam at the top of the NFC West with the Rams among the leaders. Four weeks ago the Cardinals came from 10 down with 6:44 left in the 4th quarter and scored three times to win in OT 37-34 and handed Seattle their first loss. They were 5-0 and Russell Wilson had been faultless but in the past four games he has committed 10 turnovers as the Seahawks have dropped 3-of-4. Arizona is coming off a miracle win over Buffalo and have impressive numbers as road underdogs going 8-1-2 ATS in their last 11 whereas the Hawks are 5-2 ATS as home favorites and 32-15-4 ATS after a straight up loss. The Cardinals have played well on the road so don't be surprised if they get the 'action.' Take SEATTLE! |