Patriots -3

New England is the move against the Texans. Both teams looked great defensively in the Wild Card Round, but the Pats are still the better overall team. Drake Maye continues to put good drives together and he sets this offense up with a lot of red zone trips. The Patriots defense is one of the few teams that can match the firepower of the Texans defense as they love to blitz. They’re going to put Stroud under relentless pressure all night long. Combine that with Nico Collins in question and the Patriots have the edge on both sides of the ball. Back New England.

Sunday 3% NFL ATS Play

Steelers +3

Pittsburgh has value grabbing points. It took a come back win and a missed field goal from the Ravens as time expired, but Pittsburgh once again finds themselves in the playoffs. Pittsburgh will get to host this game and the cold temps are going to be a nice edge for them. They’re used to playing in these conditions, while the Texans much rather see their dome in Houston. The Steelers will get both Metcalf and have Watt for this game, which provides a huge boost. Combine that with the coaching edge they have with Tomlin and there is great value in this spot. Back Pittsburgh.

Monday 4% NFL ATS Play

Chargers +3.5

Los Angeles is the move against Pats. The public continues to pound this Patriots line, but the Chargers have the edge in a few ways. Justin Herbert is a veteran with the experience in these types of games and he can come up with some big time passes as this game goes on. The Chargers also have Harbaugh on their side, who loves big games. This Chargers defense will be able to cause a lot of issues for Drake Maye and we’ll see a lot of different blitz packages against him. This is a good spot to grab the points. Back LA.

Sunday 3% NFL ATS Play

Phili -4.5

The Eagles are the move laying the points. Philadelphia and San Francisco provide a fun matchup during this weekend slate, but the Eagles are going to have the edge on both sides of the ball. This is a case where the 49ers defense just looks too suspect to trust. They have struggled lately and they’ve had a lot of issues giving up the big play. Combine that with the way this Eagles defense plays and they’re going to have Purdy under pressure all game long. This is a good spot to lay the points. Back the Eagles.

Sunday 1% NFL ATS Play

Jags +1.5

The Jags are the move as they take on the Bills on Wild Card Weekend. The Bills just haven’t looked as dangerous as they typically do and they run into a red hot Jacksonville side. The Bills have allowed nearly 200+ rush yards 6 times this season and they have just struggled as a whole defensively. Trevor Lawrence has a thrown 15 touchdowns over his last 6 games and just 1 interception as he continues to light up opposing defenses. Jacksonville has a great rush defense themselves and they’re going to shut down this Buffalo attack with Cook. Grab the Jags.

Sunday 3% NFL ATS Play

Panthers +10.5

Carolina and Los Angeles meet and were on the Panthers. For starters, nobody is giving the Panthers a chance this weekend. This is too many points as the Panthers actually finished the season rather well. Home underdogs have also fared well in the playoffs, going 6-2 ATS in the last 8 instances. Bryce Young has looked solid and this offense can score. They’ll be able to keep this close throughout. Back the Panthers.

Saturday 2% NFL ATS Play

Ravens -3.5

Baltimore and Pittsburgh play for it all and we’re on the home side. The Ravens have Derrick Henry who rumbled for 4 touchdowns last week and they’re going to once again lean on him heavily. Pittsburgh had their chance last week to clinch and flopped in Cleveland, which now sees them in an all in spot. Baltimore will wear them out as this game goes on and we’re getting great value laying the small number. Baltimore is the better team and they have the best player on the field in Henry. Lay the points.

Sunday 2% NFL ATS Play

Bears -3.5

Chicago is the move, laying the points against the Lions. Detroit has been turning the ball over at will and last week they are in off such a disappointing season as a whole. After being one of the top teams picked to make a run at the Super Bowl, they just haven’t found any sort of consistency and they run into a Bears team with a ton of momentum. They’re still trying to claim the 2 seed and they’re going to be the team with far more motivation. Lay the points.

Sunday 3% NFL ATS Play

Saints +3.5

New Orleans looks to play spoiler and they have value. A Saints win ruins the Panthers season and puts the Bucs in as they’re going to look to finish the season on the high note. Tyler Shough has been a man on a mission and he’s solidified his spot as this team’s QB. Atlanta played their best game in the national spotlight beating the Rams on MNF and this is a spot where they will have a bit of a let down. The Saints motivation combined with Shough has good value getting points. Back New Orleans.

Sunday 4% NFL ATS Play

Houston -10.5

The Texans are the move laying the points. Indy was poised for a huge year and injuries derailed their season and now they are focused on regrouping for next year. The Texans continue to be one of the hottest teams in the league and this defense is by far the best in the NFL. Now, they get to run at Rivers, who they will blitz all night long. They caused havoc against Herbert last week and this will be another case where they force Rivers into some tough situations. Lay the points.

Sunday 1% NFL ATS Play

Cinci -7.5

Cincinnati has the value laying the points. The Bengals have just played far more consistent football lately despite their disappointing season and this is a game they’ll go out on a high note. Cleveland has struggled as a whole offensively and the Bengals are going to come out with a little more fire with this being a home game. Cleveland is 6-18 ATS in their last 24 road games and their only focus right now is Myles Garrett and the sack record. Lay the points.

Sunday 3% NFL ATS Play

Panthers +3

Carolina has value over the Bucs. Tampa Bay has just completely bottomed out and now they not only need a win, but some help to get in. Tampa Bay is just all over the place and Mayfield looks battered as they’ve dropped games to teams well under .500 as of late. Carolina beat Tampa Bay during that stretch and the Panthers will continue to blitz this Bucs backfield. Carolina has far more confidence and they want to put their own fate in their hands. Back Carolina.

Saturday 8* NFL ATS Play

Falcons +7.5

Atlanta has a chance to play spoiler and they’re worth the move at this number. The Falcons take on a Rams team that has already found themselves clinching a wild card spot and now we may see some guys get some rest. Atlanta meanwhile still has their chance to play that spoiler because if they win, the Bucs are eliminated from playoff contention. Atlanta has won back to back games and put up 29 and 26 point performances. They will keep this one close throughout. Back the Falcons.

Monday 7* NFL ATS Play

Bills -1

Buffalo has value against the Eagles. A crucial game both ways and the Bills received great news with Josh Allen being cleared and at 100% for this game. Buffalo’s offense has rolled at home this season, averaging over 33 ppg and this is a defense that has struggled at times in Phili. Expect Buffalo to try and open this game up early with some deep chances, as they’re at their best when they can find over the top passes. Bills 16-1 L17 at home, and 8-4 ATS L12 at home. Back Buffalo.

Sunday 10* NFL *RARE* ATS Top Play

Giants -2

The Giants have value on Sunday. New York and Las Vegas are playing for a top draft spot, but the Raiders have shown they really want to tank. The team asked Crosby to sit out the final two games, which caused a lot of drama within the team. The Giants will take advantage of the locker room drama and this is a game where they’ll look for some young guys to step up.  Jaxson Dart is looking to build confidence heading into next year and this is a perfect opportunity for him. Back the Giants. 

Sunday 6* NFL ATS Play

Jags -5.5

The Jags continue to be one of the biggest surprises this season and they have value laying points. Jacksonville catches an Indy team that is a mess right now. They’re getting torched defensively and say the 49ers move at will on them last week. Rivers has played okay, but this Jags defense only gives up 20.8 ppg. They’re going to rush him all day long and force him into many tough passing windows. Jacksonville has a lot of confidence and they’re the move in this spot. Lay the points.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

Tennessee +1.5

Tennessee is the move against the Saints. The Titans are finishing this season off well and they have won 2 of their last 3. The offense has found its footing scoring 24 or more points in each of the last 3 games. The Saints have had a lot of issues defensively and give up a lot of big plays. This Titans offense is going to wear them down as this game goes on and it’ll open up a lot of passing lanes for this offense. Grab the points.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Bengals -7

Cinci is the move over Arizona. The Cardinals are in a free fall as they’ve dropped 7 straight and continue to lose key pieces on both sides of the ball. They’ll be without Nolan and Williams on the defensive side as this team has just been a mess defensively. They rank 25th in pass defense efficiency and the Bengal offense just has far too many weapons for this matchup. Lay the points with the Bengals.

Sunday 7* NFL ATS Play

Houston +2

The Texans are the move against LA. Houston’s defense is the best in the league and they continue to find ways to win. They’re red hot as they’ve won 7 in a row and as a team, they’re giving up only 16.6 ppg. With how banged up this Chargers offensive line is, this is a bad matchup for LA. Houston will blitz all game force Herbert into some very tough spots. Houston’s offense is healthy and rolling and they’re the move here. Back the Texans.

Saturday 8* NFL ATS Play

Dallas -7

Dallas is the move laying points. The Commanders will turn to Josh Johnson on Christmas Day as Marcus Mariota is unlikely to play. The QB issues have continued to pile up for the Commanders and this is a spot for the Cowboys to really put a lot of pressure on him early. Offensively, Prescott and company haven’t had many issues scoring. Washington ranks 32nd in the NFL in pass defense efficiency and the Cowboys will pick that apart on Thursday. Back Dallas.

XMAS Day 7* NFL ATS Play

49ers -5

We’re on the 49ers on MNF as they take on the Colts. Indy put up a fight last week as they called in 72 yr old Philip Rivers to man the QB position. The game really shouldn’t have been close as they gave up 6 scoring drives to the Seahawks where all of them just turned into field goals. This 49ers side is playing with a lot of confidence and they’re going to blitz Rivers all night long. Combine that with this 49ers offense putting up some big numbers during this 4 game winning streak and they just have the edge on both sides of the ball. Indy 2-4 L6 ATS, 49ers are 5-1 L6, and 6-2 L8 ATS on the road. Back San Fran.

Monday 8* NFL ATS Play

Titans +3.5

Tennessee is the move at this number. Not only are the Chiefs eliminated, but Mahomes is out and they just want to see the finish line this season. Meanwhile, Tennessee is in the mode to continue to develop and they’ll come out far more motivated. The Titans have scored 55 points combined the last two weeks and this is a case of one team trending up, while another has trended significantly down. The Chiefs won’t have much motivation and this is a great spot for the Titans to steal one. Back Tennessee.

Sunday 6* NFL ATS Play

Panthers +3.5

Carolina is the move grabbing points. It’s the biggest game for both teams tied atop the division and right now the Bucs are leaking oil. Defensively they’re a mess and Baker Mayfield is playing through a shoulder injury offensively. Carolina has been more consistent as of late and this offense is going to pick apart a Bucs defense that has given up 53 points combined over their last 2 games. Grab the Panthers as they are just more consistent at this point.

Sunday 7* NFL ATS Play

Chargers +1.5

We’re on the Chargers catching points. Los Angeles keeps getting pinned as underdogs and they keep finding ways to win. The Chargers have won 3 straight and they’re off an impressive win over the Chiefs. Dallas has one of the worst defenses in the NFL and this Chargers offense hasn’t broke stride despite injuries. Herbert is doing enough to sustain drives and he’ll have a field day against this Cowboys secondary. Back the Chargers.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Cleveland +11

The Browns are the move here catching points. This is too many points as this is a let down spot for the Bills. After a comeback win over rival New England, having to go play Cleveland in cold temps isn’t ideal. The Browns have shown some signs under Sanders that they can move the ball and you combined that with this defense that is led by Myles Garrett and they can stay in this game. Look for Cleveland to make this low scoring and we’ll get a game that turns into a grind throughout. Back the Browns.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

Eagles -6.5

The Eagles are the move laying the points. Phili can clinch the division with a win and they take on one of the worst defenses in the NFL. Washington gives up 26.8 ppg and they have struggled mightily all year when it comes to giving up big yardage plays. Phili shut out the Raiders 31-0 last week and this game has a very similar feel to it. Look for the Eagles to dictate the pace and time of possession as they have the edge. Back Phili.

Saturday 9* NFL ATS Play

Dolphins +3.5

Miami is the move against Pittsburgh. The Dolphins have figured things out, albeit too late, but they’ve won 5 of 6 overall. Miami dropped 34 points last time out and they’re going up a Steelers defense that is just gassed. They’ve struggled the last few weeks slowing teams down and now they’ll be without TJ Watt. This is going to be a matchup where Miami can find their rhythm early on and have Pittsburgh playing from behind throughout. Back the Dolphins.

Monday 8* NFL ATS Play

Dallas -5

The Cowboys are the play against the Vikings. The Cowboys are in desperate need of a win to keep pace in the playoff race and despite losing last week, this offense still is rolling. They put up 30 points for the 2nd straight week and the Vikings just have so many issues on both sides of the ball. Minnesota has been a debacle losing 4 of 5 and this is just not a good matchup for them. Expect Dallas to dictate a lot of from the start. Back the Cowboys.

Sunday Night 9* NFL ATS Play

Detroit +6

The Lions are the move as they take on the Rams. These are two NFC powerhouses who matchup well. Detroit laid 44 on the Cowboys last time out and this offense has the capabilities of putting up big numbers. They average 30.3 ppg and they aren’t shy about taking chances deep with this Dan Campbell offense. Expect this game to be back and forth, where the Lions can match the firepower and come up with a lot of red zone trips. Back Detroit.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Arizona +10.5

We’re on Arizona with the points in this one. This is too many points and a let down spot for a Houston team off a huge win against the Chiefs. Their offense still has some issues and the Cardinals have been able to put up points themselves. Arizona is going to slow this tempo down and they will look to keep the ball out of CJ Stroud’s hands. This has the makings of a close game throughout, where Arizona causes some issues for the Texans, who may overlook this game. Back Arizona.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

Cinci +3

We’re on the Bengals with the points at home. It’s been a disappointing year for the Bengals, but Joe Burrow is healthy and he makes a huge difference. He put up 34 in the loss to Buffalo last week and this is a game where he can play spoiler to the Ravens. Baltimore lost to Cinci two weeks ago and then fell to Pittsburgh, as they continue to struggle defensively. They’ve given up 32 and 27 points in the last two games and Burrow will have plenty of success against this secondary. Back Cinci.

Sunday 6* NFL ATS Play

Bucs -4.5

Tampa Bay is the move as they take on the Falcons. This is a huge bounce back spot for the Bucs as they need a win to keep pace in the division. They fell to the Saints last week and we’ve seen Baker Mayfield bounce back in some big ways. Tampa Bay will get some weapons back, including Mike Evans. The Bucs rolled in the beginning of the season with their full compliment of receivers healthy and this is a great spot for them to come out firing. Lay the points as this offense rolls from the start. Back Tampa Bay.

Thursday 8* NFL ATS Play

Eagles -2.5

The Eagles have value here laying the small number. Philadelphia catches the Chargers at the right time as QB Justin Herbert is dealing with a non throwing broken hand. It’ll still have a huge effect on his throws and this is not a defense you want to deal with when you’re battling injuries. Look for the Eagles to really put pressure on Herbert and we won’t see him hold onto the ball very long as he can’t take many hits. Phili only gives up 20 ppg and this is a good spot for them. Back the Eagles.

Monday 8* NFL ATS Play

Cleveland -4

Cleveland and Tennessee battle it out and we’re on the Browns laying the points. Cleveland beat up a weak Miami team a few weeks back here and this game has a similar feel. Cold temps and wind will be the weather and Cam Ward has just struggled as a whole all year. The Browns can lean on Judkins with the run game and it should open things up against this Titans defense that gives up nearly 28 ppg. Grab Cleveland as we see Sehedeur Sanders get his 2nd win as the Browns QB.

Sunday 6* NFL ATS Play

Dolphins -2.5

Miami is the move against the Jets. This is a great spot to fade the Jets, as they’re in a let down spot after beating the Falcons last week. Miami has won 3 in a row and 4 of their last 5 as they continue to play much better ball. It starts with Achane in the backfield, who continues to rush for big numbers and he’s taking a lot of pressure off this pass game. Miami is the better team on both sides of the ball and the Jets will have their hands full with this run game. Back Miami.

Sunday 7* NFL ATS Play

Commanders -1

Washington is the move against the Vikings. It’s a free fall in Minnesota as they’ve dropped 4 in a row and 6 of their last 7 games. Offensively, they’ve put up 6 points combined the last two weeks and JJ McCarthy just looks lost. Washington put up a great fight against the Broncos and despite falling short, they can carry some of that into play here. Their offense is in more rhythm and they’ll pick apart this Vikings secondary. Back Washington.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

Jacksonville +2

Jacksonville continues to surprise teams and they have value here. The Colts are leaking oil to say the least. They’ve dropped 3 of 4 and now have many injuries to sort out on both sides of the ball. They haven’t gained over 300 yards in back to back games and now they go up against the Jags that have won 3 in a row and 4 of their last 5. They’ve scored 25 points or more in all 5 of those games and they have much more confidence right now. Back Jacksonville.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Cowboys +3

Dallas is the move as they take on the Lions. Dallas has been playing exceptionally well and they’ve got themselves right back in the playoff talk. They’re off a huge win against the Chiefs last week and that marked their third in a row since the bye week. Detroit now finds themselves in trouble as they just can’t find any consistency. They continue to alternate wins and losses and now they run into the Dallas offense that is firing on all cylinders. Dallas averages nearly 30 ppg and have eclipsed that mark in 2 of the last 3. Back Dallas.

Thursday 9* NFL ATS Play

Giants +7.5

The Giants are the move as they take on the Pats. This is too many points as the Giants are going to able to keep this game close. The Patriots have won 9 in a row, but the last few have shown some issues on both sides of the ball. New York has played hard since the coaching change and they are going to be able to get to Maye. The Pats offensive line is depleted and New York tends to blitz a lot. New York gave the Lions all they could handle and this game should be close throughout. Grab the points.

Monday Night Football 8* NFL ATS Play

Pitt +3

Pittsburgh have value as they take on the Bills. Rodgers returns and this is the perfect spot for him as a veteran against a defense that has had a ton of issues. Buffalo has had its share of issues on the road and they’re going to struggle in this environment. Pittsburgh should be able to open up a lot of gaps with the run game and Rodgers loves to work the short pass game. They can keep up with this Buffalo attack and they’re going to be in the throughout. Back Pittsburgh.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

Rams -10

The Rams are worth a move as they take on Carolina. Los Angeles is looking to make a statement as they’re the team to beat and they’re playing extremely well on both sides of the ball. We saw Carolina struggle mightily on Monday night and this is going to be a tough task for them. Carolina is down two huge pieces in their secondary and this Rams offense just wears opposing teams down. This is going to be a game where the Rams get out early and keep their foot on the gas. Back Los Angeles.

Sunday 6* NFL ATS Play

Cleveland +5.5

We’re on the Browns with the points on Sunday. Sanders played well in Las Vegas and he’s only going to get better as Cleveland has energy finally with him taking over. The 49ers are going to be playing at 10:00am local time and that will cause a slow start from them. Combine that with Cleveland’s defense being one of the tops in the league and they’re going to cause havoc in the backfield. Myles Garrett continues to pile up sacks and he’ll be a difference maker here. Back Cleveland.

Sunday 7* NFL ATS Play

Arizona +3.5

Arizona has value against the Bucs on Sunday. A lot of question marks surround the Bucs heading into play and it starts with Baker Mayfield. He’s listed as questionable and even if he goes, he’s dealing with lingering shoulder issues. Regardless, the Bucs are leaking oil and their defense has been struggling. Brissett has been throwing the ball extremely well and he’ll pick apart this secondary that has allowed 28 points or more in three straight games. Back Arizona.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Bears +7

Chicago and Philadelphia meet and we’re on the Bears. Chicago has been the most surprising team in the NFL this season and they have a chance to really send a message on Friday. This is too many points for the AFC North leaders, who have won 4 straight and scored 24 points or more in 3 of those 4 wins. Overall this season they’re averaging 26.3 ppg and they’re getting production both on the ground and through the air. Philadelphia doesn’t look nearly as dangerous as they have in the past and they’re off a loss that saw them blow a 21 point lead against Dallas. Back Chicago with the points.

BLACK FRIDAY 7* NFL ATS Play

Chiefs -3

We’re on the Chiefs here as they take on the Cowboys on Thanksgiving Day. Kansas City continues to show they haven’t gone anywhere and they are off a momentum building win over the Colts last week. They shut down Taylor and the rushing attack, while Mahomes and company did just enough offensively to win. This is a great matchup for the Chiefs, who go up against a defense that has struggled mightily all year. Mahomes also is in a good situational spot as he is 14-2 when playing indoors. Kansas City is the better team on both sides of the ball. Back Kansas City.

Happy Thanksgiving!

Thursday 8* NFL ATS Play

Tampa Bay +7

The Bucs have value grabbing points against the Rams on SNF. Tampa Bay is leaking oil a little bit with the tough part of their schedule and this is a good spot for them to get back on track. Baker Mayfield still has been able to work this pass game well through a lot of injuries and the offense is putting up 25.2 ppg so far. Mayfield has been able to put points up and the Rams have struggled against teams that play similar to the Bucs. Expect this game to be close throughout and for this Bucs offense to find a lot of success down field. Back Tampa Bay.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

Saints -1.5

New Orleans and Atlanta battle and we’re on the Saints here. Atlanta took a huge hit with Michael Penix Jr. injuring himself and being out for the season. They also have lost WR Drake London as they’re now down two explosive playmakers that have made a huge difference this season. Atlanta’s defense is completely gassed after playing back to back OT games and this is their third consecutive road game with a lot of travel. The Saints will come out completely motivated and this place will be rocking against their hated rival. Back New Orleans.

Sunday 7* NFL ATS Play

Cleveland +4

The Browns head into Vegas and this is a great spot on the Browns. It’s time for Shedeur Sanders as he makes his first start after coming in relief last week against Baltimore. All eyes will be on this game and this is the perfect matchup for Sanders against a Raiders team that ranks near the bottom in many different defensive categories. Las Vegas will also deal with one of the best defenses in the league led by Myles Garrett. Cleveland will rush all night long and cause havoc in the Raiders backfield. Back the Browns.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

Indy +3.5

Indianapolis and Kansas City meet on Sunday and this is a great spot on Indy. The Chiefs just aren’t what they’ve been in the past and now they’re losing close games. They’re in serious trouble and this is such a tough spot against a Colts team that has one of the best offenses in the NFL. The Colts boast the number one offense in the NFL yards per play and they will move the ball with Taylor leading the way on the ground. He’s putting together an MVP season and he’ll wear down this Chiefs defense as the game goes on. Back the Colts with the points as it’s tough to trust the Chiefs right now.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Green Bay -6

The Packers and Vikings renew their rivalry and we’re laying the points with Green Bay. This is a great spot to fade JJ McCarthy, who has struggled overall and especially on the road. Now, he gets to deal with a defense that is top 5 in yards against per play and they just swarm to the ball. Expect Green Bay to put relentless pressure on McCarthy and wear down this already weak Vikings offensive line. Combine that with the Packers playing well at home typically and we’re getting good value at this number. Back Green Bay and lay the points as this defense has a day.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Houston +6

Houston is the move as they catch points against Buffalo. The Bills just don’t look as dominant as they have in the past and this season they’ve shown they’re very vulnerable. They’re off a big win, but we haven’t seen them be able to string together a lot of consistency. The Texans will make things very uncomfortable pace wise as they love to play extremely slow. They’re giving up just 16.3 ppg so far this season and they’ve been able to knock a lot of teams out of rhythm. Grab the Texans as this is too many points.

Thursday 9* NFL ATS Play

Vegas +3.5

Vegas and Dallas meet and we’re in Vegas with the points. This is a tough spot for Dallas. They’re off a bye week, but Vegas has shown some good signs as of late. Aside from getting rocked by the Chiefs, the Raiders defense has found ways to step up lately. Geno Smith has been able to lean on Jeanty a lot to help open up passing lanes as well. Dallas gives up 30.8 ppg and Vegas should be able to move the ball against them both on the ground and through the air. Back Vegas.

Monday 9* NFL ATS Play

Detroit +3

Detroit is a good value play as they catch points in this spot against the Eagles. Philadelphia has been a hard team to figure out this season. They edged the Packers last week in one of the more uninspiring games offensively as they just couldn’t get anything going. Now, they have to deal with the highflying attack of the Lions, that is putting up 31.4 ppg so far. Defensively, Detroit’s defensive line is stellar and they can really get a push up front against this Eagles offensive line. Detroit is an all around compete team and they’re going to cause a lot of issues on both sides of the ball for Phili. Back the Lions.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

Browns +9

Cleveland is the move here as they catch a lot of points against Baltimore. This is one of those interesting spots where Baltimore can get trapped. They have a quick turnaround as they’ll play Thursday night and they make overlook Cleveland some. This game will be mostly under the lights in Cleveland with the 4:25 start time locally and Cleveland’s crowd can become a factor. On top of that, this defense is still one of the best in the NFL and they’re going to blitz all night long on Lamar Jackson. Cleveland has played 3 games at home and averaged just 11 ppg against. Back the Browns.

Sunday 6* NFL ATS Play

Kansas City -3.5

This is a huge game for both teams when the Chiefs and Broncos meet on Sunday. Despite losing a tough one before the bye week, Kansas City has still look like themselves again. They’ve won 3 of 4 and the loss was a tough one on the road in Buffalo. Andy Reid is an absolute winner after a bye week as well, going 22-4 in those cases. The Broncos have continued to squeak out wins, but this is a case where the Chiefs are just too good. Kansas City’s offense will get the ball rolling early and they’ll keep their foot on the gas. Back the Chiefs.

Sunday 7* NFL ATS Play

Seahawks +3.5

Seattle is the move as they take on the Rams. The Seahawks are being undervalued a bit as this team has looked great through the first half of the season. They’re running the ball well and it’s opening up a lot of QB Sam Darnold, who is making a lot of good throws. The Seahawks are averaging over 30 ppg and only conceding 19 as they continue to be good on both sides of the ball. They matchup well with this Rams side, as this game should be close throughout. Back Seattle with the points.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Minnesota -2.5

Minnesota is the move against the Bears on Sunday. Chicago’s record is misleading for sure as they have played one of the softest schedules in the league. JJ McCarthy is finally healthy and can get himself into rhythm as he goes up against a Bears defense that has had its issues. This will be a game he gets Justin Jefferson in the mix early an they should open up a lot of passing lanes down field as this game goes on. Defensively, Minnesota will put a good pass rush on Williams and cause some havoc in the backfield. Back the Vikings.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Pats -12.5

New England is the move against the Jets on Thursday. The Jets are in off a rare win, but take it for what it’s worth as they defeated the Browns last week. New England looks like the Pats of old as they are running through opponents right now. QB Drake Maye continues to be one of the best in the league and he’s of as performance that saw him throw for a pair of touchdowns last week. New England is just the better team on both sides of the ball and this is a great spot for them against a lowly Jets team this just traded away all their top players defensively.

Thursday 8* NFL ATS Play

Eagles +1.5

Philadelphia is the move on MNF against the Packers. Green Bay has been inconsistent lately and they’re in off a loss to the Panthers here at home last time out. The Eagles have won back to back games and they’ve put up 66 points combined over the last two games. They’re getting a lot of consistency from the run game, which has opened up the passing game for Hurts and company as the game goes on. The Eagles are the better team and they’re giving up just 23 ppg so far. Back Phili.

Monday 8* NFL ATS Play

49ers +4.5

San Francisco is the move here as they catch points against the Rams. San Francisco continues to get healthier and now with Kittle and Jennings back, this offense becomes incredibly dangerous. We saw that last week when they put up 34 points on the Giants as this is one of the more dangerous offensives when healthy. The Rams lost to the 49ers in OT earlier this year when San Francisco was beaten up with injuries, making this line even more lucrative. Grab the points in this spot.

Sunday *RARE* 10* NFL ATS Play

Ravens -3.5

This is a great spot to fade all the hype from last week with JJ McCarthy. The Vikings had an impressive win in Detroit and they're being overvalued in this spot. Baltimore got Lamar Jackson back last week and he showed up in a big way accounting for 4 touchdown passes. The Ravens weathered the storm while he was out with an injury and they are going to put their foot on the gas now as they look to make a push at the top of the AFC North. Look for Henry to get back into the groove with Jackson back as well. Grab the Ravens.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

Browns -2

Cleveland and New York meet and this is a great spot for an free parlay on the Browns -2, and a small play on the under. Neither of these teams are good for starters and they have struggled offensively all year long. Cleveland's offense is very stale and they are going to give Judkins a lot of carries against this Jets defense. Look for them to chew up a lot of clock with that, while the Jets will do the same with Breece Hall. Neither team is explosive and they struggle at scoring just in general. Grab the under in this spot as this will be a tough game to watch all around. With my system crunching numbers, I do have the Browns coming out on top by at least a FG. (Parlay with the UNDER)

Sunday 6* NFL ATS Play

Broncos -8.5

Denver and Las Vegas meet on TNF and this is a great value spot on Denver. The Broncos continue to put up wins while the Raiders struggles continue. Vegas has dropped 2 in a row and 6 of their last 7 as they continue to be one of the worst teams offensively. They're only averaging 16.5 ppg and that is a recipe for disaster when you're allowing nearly 27 points against. Denver's offense is rolling right now and they've found the magic, as they should torch this Vegas secondary. This is a complete mismatch and the value sits with the Broncos. Back Denver.

Thursday 9* NFL ATS Play

Cardinals +3.5

Arizona is the move with the points on Monday. The Cardinals have seen a lot more success offensively with Jacoby Brissett under center and this is a great matchup for them. Dallas boasts one of the worst defenses in the NFL, allowing 31.3 ppg so far. Dallas was torched for 44 points last week against Denver and the Cardinals offense is going to have plenty of chances to pick up big yardage. Arizona is the move with the points as this game will be close throughout.

Monday 7* NFL ATS Play

Seahawks -3

Seattle is worth a move as they take on the Commanders on Sunday Night Football. The Commanders simply had nothing going offensively against the Chiefs last week and Marcus Mariota just couldn't move the ball at all. This Seahawks defense is just as tough and they love to pin their ears back and bring pressure. Seattle has a top defense in the NFL and they have allowed more than 20 points just one time so far. This is a good matchup and spot for the Seahawks to control the game on both sides of the ball. Back Seattle.

Sunday Night Football 8* NFL O/U Play

Raiders +3

Vegas is the move as they catch points against the Jags. The public has pounded the Jags on this opening line, but they still have a lot of issues to work out. Vegas gets a huge boost with Brock Bowers and Jakobi Meyers both returning to action and this offense should run much more smoothly. Jacksonville has had issues with their offensive line as well as they rank near the bottom in sack differential. Vegas will blitz all night long and cause a lot of issues in the backfield. Grab the points here as this game should be a coin flip.

Sunday 7* NFL ATS Play

Colts -3

Indianapolis has been the team that has taken the NFL by storm so far. The Colts have value here as they take on Pittsburgh Sunday. Pittsburgh fell to the Packers last Sunday night and this game has a similar feel. The Packers just wore out the Steelers and that is what should happen here with Taylor and this Colts offense that is rolling right now. Indianapolis is 6-2 ATS so far and they have beat the spread by an average of over 10 points so far this season. The Colts have the value in this spot. Back Indy.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

Lions -8.5

Detroit has value here as they take on the Vikings on Sunday. Minnesota is just a mess on both sides of the ball and they'll go with JJ McCarthy on Sunday. This overall just has not been a good matchup for the Vikings, who have failed to cover in the last 5 head to head meetings with the Lions. Detroit boasts the 6th ranked defense in the NFL and they have been able to really set the offense up well with good field position. Detroit has averaged 30.7 ppg and they are 10th overall in the NFL in offense. This is just a complete mismatch. Back the Lions.

Sunday 6* NFL ATS Play

Washington +10.5

Washington is worth a move as this is too many points. The pubic is pounding the Chiefs as it’s seemed that they’ve figured it out. This line sits extremely high because Marcus Mariota is going for the Commanders. He’s still a veteran and he’s going to be able to have this offense moving. He can beat teams with both his legs through the air, which he’ll have to pull out all the stops on Monday night. Look for Washington’s defense to help keep this game close throughout. Back Washington. 

 Monday 8* NFL ATS Play

Pittsburgh +3

This is a great spot on Pittsburgh, as they take on Green Bay on SNF. It’s revenge time for Aaron Rodgers, who is playing well and fitting in nicely to this Pittsburgh offense. The Steelers are averaging 25.0 ppg and they’re getting a ton of production from their ability to sustain drives. Rodgers has been able to work all his receivers and tight ends, resulting in many short yardage 3rd down situations. The Packers have been up and down all year and they’re going to struggle with this Steelers defense that is giving up 23.3 ppg. Grab the points as Mike Tomlin is always going to be a valuable play as a home underdog on National TV. 

Sunday Night 8* NFL ATS Play

Browns +7.5

Cleveland and New England meet on Sunday and we’re on the Browns with the points. Cleveland has momentum after blowing out the Dolphins last week and this defense is easily one of the tops in the league. They come in allowing 21.7 ppg and that number is even inflated a bit. They swarm to the ball and have Myles Garrett, who has been playing incredibly angry as of late. New England is being overvalued and this Browns defense is going to cause so many issues for Drake Maye. Look for Cleveland to keep this close as their offense now has Judkins to lean on. Back Cleveland.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

San Fran +2

The 49ers are the move here against the Texans on Sunday. San Francisco had an impressive win as an underdog last week as they completely controlled the game against the Falcons. They’re getting people to step up more and more after these injuries and the match up well with Houston. This 49ers defense has rose to the occasion and they’ll go up against a Houston offense that has struggled against good teams. Look for them to have an edge and they’ll catch the Texans at a good time with Nico Collins likely out. Back San Francisco.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

Jets +6.5

The Jets are the move here as they catch points against the Bengals. While the Jets have struggled at times, this is still a bit of an overreaction line to how Joe Flacco played last week against Pittsburgh. Defensively, the Bengals still rank 31st overall and they will have issues with the Jets rushing attack. New York has held the opposition to 13 points in two straight and they can grind this game out. They match up well and this is just too many points in this spot. Back New York.

Sunday 6* NFL ATS Play

Vikings +3.5

Minnesota and Los Angeles meet and this is a good spot on Minnesota. Los Angeles is struggling injury wise and that’s going to be an issue here for them offensively. They are down to 3rd and 4th string offensive lineman and this Minnesota defense will pin their ears back and blitz all night long. The run game for the Chargers will have a ton of issues and it’ll allow Minnesota to force them into some tough long yardage situations. Minnesota is in a too bound back spot and this is a great number on them. Back the Vikings.

Thursday 8* NFL ATS Play

Bucs +6

Tampa Bay and Detroit meet as the Bucs continue to have value. They come in as underdogs and Baker Mayfield just continues to put up big numbers. This offense is rolling right now and they can catch the Lions on a down. Detroit was torched by the Chiefs last week and this secondary has had issues all season long really. Tampa Bay boasts one of the better rush defenses in the league as well, which will cause some issues up front for this Lions offensive line. Tampa Bay has all the capabilities of stealing this game and they will be able to match the Lions attack. Back Tampa Bay.

Monday 10* NFL ATS Play

Falcons +2

Atlanta has the value here as they take on San Francisco Sunday. The 49ers are so beat up and injuries have really derailed them as of late. They continue to miss key pieces on both sides of the ball and now will have a depleted defense against Bijan Robinson. San Francisco’s rush defense ranks 32nd in the league, which doesn’t bode well when Robinson is running wild right now. Both Bosa and Warner are out and the Falcons should be able to control this game with their rushing attack. Grab the Falcons as they’re in a nice spot on Sunday.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Chiefs -11.5

Kansas City meets with Las Vegas and the Chiefs have the value. A huge offensive piece returns as Rashee Rice is back for Kansas City. He provides such a spark, both on the ground and through the air, which adds another huge element to this offense. The Raiders have been a mess defensively and the Chiefs are finally hitting their stride. Kansas City has the edge on both sides of the ball and the Raiders just don’t have the firepower to keep up in this matchup. Kansas City will get out early and never look back. Back the Chiefs.

Sunday 6* NFL ATS Play

Browns -2.5

Two teams that are in the cellar meet as the Browns and Dolphins battle in Cleveland on Sunday. Rain and wind are expected and Cleveland is going to pull out all the stops on the ground in this one. Judkins has proven he’s a power back that will wear down this Miami front as the game goes on. The Dolphins have one of the worst defenses when it comes to stopping the run and they’ll struggle with the Cleveland rushing attack. Kevin Stefanksi is desperate for a win and they’ll have the edge on Miami given the conditions. Back Cleveland.

Sunday 7* NFL ATS Play

Vikings +2

Minnesota and Philadelphia meet Sunday and we’re on the home dog in this one. Philadelphia has been out gained yardage wise in all 6 of their games and this Minnesota team is tricky to deal with. They come off a bye and they used the extra week to get themselves healthy. This is a tough spot situationally for the Eagles who were trounced by the Giants and also have them looming again next week. Minnesota has also made things so difficult for teams when playing at home, as they rank top 5 when it comes to home field advantage. Look for them to lean on their defense and set up McCarthy and this offense well on drives. Back Minnesota.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Chicago -4.5

Chicago welcomes in New Orleans and this is a great spot on the Bears. Chicago is riding high after their upset road win on MNF against the Commanders. Chicago has got better with each week and they have all the momentum with a 3 game winning streak. Saints QB Spencer Rattler has had a nightmare of a time on the road, losing all five of those starts by 8+ points. Chicago is the better team on both sides of the ball and they’ll have a ton of success getting the momentum early. Back Chicago.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

Bengals +5.5

Cincinnati is the move here as they welcome in Pittsburgh on Thursday Night Football. Cincinnati saw their offense come alive after trading for Joe Flacco and they gave the Packers everything they could handle last week. This offense looks completely revived and that bodes well here. Pittsburgh defeated Cleveland pretty easily last week, but they didn’t look sharp in the win. With this being a rivalry game, look for the defenses to dominate and for the Bengals to have the edge as they always play the Steelers tough. This will be a close game throughout. Grab the points.

Thursday 9* NFL ATS Play

Washington -4.5

The Commanders have value on MNF as they welcome in the Bears. Washington has momentum after going across the country and knocking off the Chargers as their offense was rolling. The Bears rush defense is going to have so many problems with this Commanders attack, as they sit last in the NFL allowing 6.1 yards per carry. The Commanders will wear down this defense as the game goes on, opening up more and more holes. Chicago’s offense has sputtered at times and they simply don’t have the weapons to keep up here. Grab Washington.

Monday 8* NFL ATS Play

Lions +2.5

The Lions have value as they take on the Chiefs. Detroit is trending upward while the Chiefs continue to fall and this is a spot where Detroit can really take advantage. The Lions have won 4 straight and they’ve scored 34 points or more in all 4 wins. The offense is rolling and they will have a huge edge against this Chiefs defense that is struggling right now. Kansas City just doesn’t look the same and they’re off a heart breaking loss to the Jags. They’re struggling to get stops and Mahomes will have an issue with this Lions defense that continues to be extremely aggressive and blitz constantly. Detroit is the better team and right now they have all the momentum on their side. Back Detroit with the points.

Sunday Night 9* NFL ATS Play

Titans +5

Tennessee has value as they take on the Raiders Sunday. The Titans had a frantic comeback against the Cardinals last week and they’re going to carry that momentum into play here. Meanwhile, the opposite can be said for a Raiders team that lost 40-6 to the Colts. Las Vegas has one of the worst defenses in the league, allowing nearly 28 ppg. The Titans found something last week with Ward and they will move the ball consistently on this defense. Laying points with the Raiders and the current state they’re in right now is not a smart move. Grab the Titans as they will have an edge against Vegas.

Sunday 7* NFL ATS Play

Steelers -4.5

Pittsburgh has value laying the number against the Browns. Cleveland just continues to find ways to lose and they did just that in London on Sunday. Now with the travel back and a quick turnaround against a physical Steelers team on the road, things are going to be so difficult for them. Gabriel looked okay in his first game, but this offense just doesn’t have much of a punch. Pittsburgh has been solid at shutting down the run game and they’re going to cause all sorts of issues for the Browns offense. Aaron Rodgers is rolling right now and Pittsburgh’s offense will pick on this Browns secondary. Back Pittsburgh.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Eagles -7

The Eagles and Giants meet on TNF and we’re backing the Eagles here. Philadelphia is in a prime bounce back spot after falling to the Broncos and they matchup extremely well here. Philadelphia’s offense will pick apart this Giants defense, that struggled with the Saints last week. New York is just too inconsistent to trust and they’re only scoring 17.4 ppg. Dart hasn’t looked good and this Phili defense will cause a lot of issues in the backfield. This is a complete mismatch on both sides of the ball and Jalen Hurts will bounce back in a big way. Back the Eagles and lay the points.

Thursday 9* NFL ATS Play

Jags +3.5

We’re on the Jags here as they host the Chiefs on MNF. Jacksonville is 3-1 and flying under the radar a bit as they’ve been able to come up with key plays on both sides of the ball. Jacksonville is giving up 18.0 ppg and they are going to put relentless pressure on Mahomes and company. The Chiefs are off a nice win over Baltimore, but they still have plenty of gaps in this team. They will struggle with the speed of this defense and the Jags are going to be able to move the ball offensively. This is a good spot with the points as Jacksonville is just being undervalued after what has been a very good start to the season. Grab the points.

Monday 8* NFL ATS Play

Patriots +7.5

Drake Maye looks like the real deal. The rookie has quickly found his footing, guiding a New England offense averaging 25.5PPG while keeping them competitive every week. The Patriots have two solid wins and two narrow losses, showing this group fights wire-to-wire under Vrabel's watchful eye. Historically, New England has fared well in this matchup — they’re 4-1 ATS in their last five with Buffalo. That reflects how the Pats have often found ways to frustrate Josh Allen and the Bills’ offense. Meanwhile, Buffalo hasn’t been reliable against the spread, going 2-2 in their last four while struggling for consistency on defense. This feels like too many points to give a Patriots team playing confident, efficient football behind its young quarterback. If Maye stays composed and the offense finds rhythm early, expect another down-to-the-wire AFC East battle. Take the points and back New England to cover. 

Sunday Night Football 9* NFL ATS Play

Tampa Bay +3.5

The Bucs and Seahawks meet and we’re grabbing the points with the Bucs. Tampa Bay fell to Phili last week, but they nearly had a nice comeback and this team is going to be a force as the year goes on. Baker Mayfield and company have this offense rolling and they’re putting up 24.3 ppg. Mayfield is a solid underdog backing typically, as he has gone 15-6 ATS in the last 21 spots as a dog. Tampa Bay has the edge on both sides of the ball and they can find a lot of success down field with the pass game. Grab the points.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

Jets +2

The Jets and Cowboys meet and this is a good situational spot on the Jets. The Cowboys are off an emotional game that saw them tie the Packers and now this is a game where they might overlook a few things. They’re also a mess defensively as they’re conceding 33 ppg and they haw one of the worst third down defenses in the league. New York has a solid rushing attack with Hall and Justin Fields has looked comfortable for the most part in this offense. The Jets matchup well in almost every facet with the Cowboys and they’ll have their chances to even steal this one outright. Grab the points here as New York is the better side.

Sunday 7* NFL ATS Play

Panthers +1.5

The Panthers have value as they take on the depleted Dolphins on Sunday. Miami being a favorite, on the road, against any team in the NFL is just wrong. Miami lost star WR Tyreek Hill last week for the season and they just lack any sort of weapons. Tua has been a struggle and defensively Miami is a mess. They are the third worst defense when it comes to yards given up per play and they just haven’t had much to build off of as a whole. Carolina’s lone win came at home against the Falcons in dominant fashion and they will do enough defensively here. Grab the home side.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

Minnesota -3.5

The Vikings have value laying the points against Cleveland. The London game pins two teams just trying to find any sort of identity. Minnesota has been in Europe for 2 weeks now, while Cleveland just traveled over there on Wednesday. If things weren’t hard enough, the Browns made the move to go with Dillion Gabriel on Sunday, causing a lot of drama and stir in the locker room. Minnesota’s defense will be the difference here as they will cause havoc in the Browns backfield. Look for Gabriel to be uncomfortable all game long and for Cleveland to struggle to move the ball. Minnesota is the move here. Lay the points.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Denver -7.5

Denver is the move against the Bengals. The Bengals have a lot of issues on their hands now as they move forward without Joe Burrow. Jake Browning struggled all game last week in what was eventually a 48-10 loss to the Vikings. Cincinnati’s offense just doesn’t look like they have any sort of rhythm and they’ll have their hands full with Denver’s defense. The Broncos are giving up just 21 ppg and they could just as easily be 3-0 right now. They have the edge on both sides of the ball as this will be a lopsided game. Back Denver.

Monday Night 7* NFL ATS Play

Miami -2.5

The Dolphins are the move here as they take on the Jets. We got a glimpse of what this Miami team can do last week when they gave Buffalo everything they can handle and then some. They will be on extra rest and go into this game with some confidence. The Jets get Fields back, but are still missing some very key pieces on the defensive side of the ball. Miami will have a lot of success moving the ball against a Jets defense that has been atrocious to start the season, giving up 31.0 ppg. Back Miami.

Monday Night 9* NFL ATS Play

Green Bay -6.5

Green Bay and Dallas meet on SNF and this is a good value spot on the Packers. This is a prime bounce back spot after they were shocked in Cleveland last week in a 13-10 loss. Green Bay’s defense is giving up just 14.7 ppg so far and this defense is going to cause havoc for the Cowboys. Look for them to blitz and really put relentless pressure on all game long. Dallas has been far too inconsistent to trust on both sides of the ball so far. The situational edge sits with the Packers.

Sunday 7* NFL ATS Play

San Fran -3

The 49ers and Jags meet and this is a nice spot on the 49ers. Sitting at 3-0, the 49ers are dominating defensively. They’re giving up just 16.3 ppg and they’re causing a ton of issues for opposing offenses. They’re blitzing and suffocating receivers, forcing teams into some long third down situations. The Jags offensively aren’t going to overwhelm anyone and they’re going to struggle to move the ball on this defense. They’re going to wear the Jags down as this game goes on. The value is with the 49ers.

Sunday 9* NFL ATS Play

Rams -3.5

The Rams are the move as they take on the Colts. The Colts have caught the NFL by storm with their start, but this is by far the hardest defense they’ll have to go up against. Los Angeles blew a giant lead against the Eagles in a game where they held them to just 7 points through the first 3 quarters. Los Angeles is going to put an emphasis on getting the Colts into some long third down situations and put relentless pressure on. The Rams are also finding success offensively with their pass game and they will pick apart the Colts secondary. Back Los Angeles.

Sunday 8* NFL ATS Play

Detroit -10

The Lions have value laying the points against Cleveland. This is a let down spot for the Browns, as they are off an upset win over the Packers and now have to go into Detroit to play such a tough Lions side. Detroit’s offense is rolling and they are beating teams both on the ground and through the air. Detroit is averaging 34.6 ppg and their offense is one of the best in the NFL. They will overwhelm the Browns on both sides of the ball as this is a complete mismatch. Back Detroit.

Sunday 6* NFL ATS Play

Saints +7.5

New Orleans has value catching a good number on Sunday. This is a let down spot for the Seahawks. They come in off a huge win in Pittsburgh, but this team still has a lot of gaps offensively. Sam Darnold still threw 2 interceptions on Sunday and his turnovers are going to become more and more costly as this season goes. Spencer Rattler has moved the ball with this Saints offense and they could have easily taken one or both of their first two games. They can keep this close with the playmakers they have out wide and they’ll have their chances to even steal this. Grab the points.

Sunday 7* NFL ATS Play

Chargers -2.5

Los Angeles has started the season off with a bang and now they’ll look to go 3-0 as they take on Denver. The Chargers have done just about everything right through the first two games of their 2025 campaign. They had Mahomes flustered in Week 1 and then held the Raiders to just 9 points last week. They’re doing it with various blitz packages and they’re not allowing any sort of big plays for the opposition. Denver choked away a game multiple times to Indy last week and they have a lot of question marks defensively. This is a great spot for the Chargers to expose those. Back LA.

Sunday 6* NFL ATS Play