Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-22-17 | Connecticut +7.5 v. Houston | 70-75 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Dog of the Day (Connecticut +7.5) Big time revenge spot for the Huskies, who lost at home to Houston without their best player in Jalen Adamas. On top of that, Connecticut is playing at a whole different level than when these two met up in late December. I'm not saying Houston shouldn't be favored at home, but these are two evenly matched teams. I see this one going right down to the wire and wouldn't be the least bit surprised if the Huskies won this game outright. UConn has won 7 of their last 8 and are sitting with an identical 9-5 record in the AAC as Houston. Give me the Huskies +7.5! |
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02-22-17 | Pittsburgh v. Wake Forest -7 | Top | 59-63 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 52 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Wake Forest -7) The Demon Deacons are worth a look at home against the Panthers. Wake Forest is in a prime bounce back spot playing at home after losing their last two on the road, while Pitt is in a prime letdown spot after a huge 80-66 home win over FSU. The Panthers haven't played on the road since 2/8 and are a 4-7 away from home on the season and 1-5 on the road in the ACC with the only win coming at Boston College. Wake is 9-3 at home with two of those losses at the hands of Duke and North Carolina. Last home game the Deacons crushed NC State by 30 and the time before that they won by 12 over Georgia Tech. Give me Wake Forest -7! |
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02-22-17 | Michigan -8.5 v. Rutgers | 68-64 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 33 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Blowout (Michigan -8.5) I know the Wolverines are just 3-7 in road games this season, but this is Rutgers and they don't have the same kind of homecourt edge as the other teams in the Big Ten. That's evident by the fact that they lost by 20 at home to a young an inexperienced Iowa team. Coming off a 78-83 loss at Minnesota and far from being a lock to make the NCAA Tournament, I expect a big time effort here from the Wolverines and I just don't see the Scarlet Knights being able to keep it competitive. Rutgers is a mere 2-8 ATS in their last 10 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Give me Michigan -8.5! |
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02-21-17 | Northwestern -1.5 v. Illinois | Top | 50-66 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Game of the Month (Northwestern -1.5) Northwestern is worth a look here on the road against Illinois. The Wildcats are a team that is going to make the NCAA Tournament for the first time in school history this season. They have hit a bit of a bump in the road of late, but it came with their leading scorer Scottie Lindsey sidelined with mono. He returned in their last game, where they held on for a 69-65 win at home over Rutgers. Only beating the Scarlet Knights by 4 at home doesn't look good on paper, but I believe that's the kind of win that can get this team back to playing at the level they were before Lindsay went out. They were 7-2 in Big Ten play before his injury and are now 9-5. Illinois is a decent team, but not on the same level as the Wildcats and have not played great at home of late. Note that Northwestern has already won at Penn State, Nebraska, Ohio State and Wisconsin. Give me the Wildcats -1.5! |
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02-19-17 | Connecticut +2 v. Temple | Top | 64-63 | Win | 100 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
50* Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Connecticut +2) The Huskies are worth a look here. UConn is playing their best basketball of the season right now. They have won 3 straight and 6 of 7 overall. The only loss coming against Cincinnati, who along with SMU is a class above the rest of the conference. Temple is a quality team, but are just 5-9 in AAC play and don't exactly have a huge home court edge. At least not enough to make up the difference from when these two played at Connecticut. The Huskies won that contest 73-59. They shot 53% from the field and held the Owls to just 36%. They also had a +9 edge in rebounding and +10 advantage in free throws. Last time out the Huskies beat Memphis at home 65-62 and are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 off a close home win by 3 points or less. Give me UConn +2! |
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02-18-17 | Xavier v. Marquette -3.5 | Top | 61-83 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Big East Game of the Month (Marquette -3.5) I think we are still in a position to take advantage of the books not adjusting enough to the injuries that Xavier is dealing with. Sumner is already out for the year and Bluiett is a game-time decision. I would be surprised if Bluiett's ankle is better just 3-days after it was too sore to play against Providence. While the Musketeers are limping into this one, this game means everything to Marquette. If Blueitt doesn't play this could get ugly in a hurry. Give me Marquette -3.5! |
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02-18-17 | Colorado v. Oregon -12 | 73-101 | Win | 100 | 5 h 50 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Blowout (Oregon -12) I have no problem laying this big number on the ducks at home against the Buffaloes. Oregon, UCLA and Arizona are clearly a step ahead of the rest of the conference and the Ducks might just be the best of the three. Either way Oregon has been on a mission in Pac-12 play and are 16-0 at home with an average win by 21.1 ppg. The Ducks are also outscoring conference opponents by 15+ ppg. Colorado was able to upset Oregon at home earlier this season, which makes this one mean a little more to the Ducks. I don't see the Buffaloes being able to keep pace with a motivated Oregon team. Give me the Ducks -12! |
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02-18-17 | Florida v. Mississippi State +10.5 | 57-52 | Win | 100 | 4 h 53 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Mississippi State +10.5) The Bulldogs are worth a look here as a big home dog. Florida is getting a ton of respect and are overvalued right now. The Gators have won 7 straight and just won 114-95 at Auburn as a 10-point favorite. Mississippi State on the other hand is undervalued right now. The Bulldogs have lost 3 straight, but the key is they have all been close. IN fact, all 3 losses came by 7 points or less. This is also a tough spot for Florida, who is riding high and has two huge games on deck next week at home against South Carolina and at Kentucky. An outright upset isn't out of the question. Give me Mississippi State +10.5! |
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02-17-17 | Kent State v. Akron -8.5 | 70-67 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Blowout (Akron -8.5) I like the Zips to win here by at least double-digits at home against the Golden Flashes. Kent State is outclassed here. While they are 3-3 in their last 6 games, two of those wins have come against Miami (OH), which has the worst record of any team in the MAC at 3-10. The other was against Eastern Michigan who is 5-8. Last road game for the Flashes was a 20-point loss at Toledo, which is the same team Akron just took down at home. The Zips are the class of the MAC at 12-1. The next best team is 8-5. It's also worth noting that Akron is a perfect 13-0 at home this season, with the average win coming by 15.1 ppg. Give me the Zips -8.5! |
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02-16-17 | Wisconsin +1.5 v. Michigan | Top | 58-64 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Wisconsin +1.5) The Badgers weren't sharp in a few of their wins and it finally caught up to them in their last game, as they were stunned at home by Northwestern, who was without their best player. Sometimes a loss like that is all an elite team like Wisconsin needs to get their attention and re-focus them on the task at hand. I look for one of the Badgers best efforts here against a Michigan team that is getting a little too much respect for blowing out a down Michigan State team and winning at Indiana, who has been in a serious funk. Give me Wisconsin +1.5! |
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02-15-17 | Oklahoma State +2 v. TCU | 71-68 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Oklahoma St +2) I'll gladly back the Cowboys as a dog in this one. Oklahoma State has won 6 of their last 7 with the only loss being a mere 3-point loss to Baylor. This run includes a 13-point win at home over TCU, where the Cowboys shot 54% from the field and held the Horned Frogs to just 39.3%. TCU is 6-6 in the Big 12, but have not fared well against the upper-level teams. I know Oklahoma State is just 5-7 in the Big 12, but they have been playing like an elite team for almost a month now. Cowboys are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games and TCU is a mere 1-6 ATS in their last 7 against a team with a winning record. Give me Oklahoma State +2! |
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02-15-17 | Duke v. Virginia -4.5 | 65-55 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Big Money ATS Blowout (Virginia -4.5) My money is on the Cavaliers to take care of business at home against the Blue Devils. The public is all over Duke, which has won 5 straight, but the last 3 all came at home and they were fortunate to escape with a 64-62 win at home against Clemson in their last game. Virginia is off a crushing 78-80 loss at in-state rival Virginia Tech and are primed to bounce back with a huge effort here at home, where they are 10-2 on the season. Last home game the Cavaliers cruised to a 71-55 win over a very good Louisville team. Duke is just 2-3 on the road in ACC play. Virginia is 21-7 ATS in their last 28 home games off an upset loss as a favorite. Give me the Cavaliers -4.5! |
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02-15-17 | Indiana +5 v. Minnesota | Top | 74-75 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Big Ten Game of the Month (Indiana +5) I think this is a great time to buy low on the Hoosiers, who are much better than their recent 1-5 run would lead on. At the same time, I think we are catching the Gophers overvalued off 3 straight wins against teams in the bottom half of the league. This has the feeling of a must-win game for Indiana and I expect the Hoosiers to deliver. Minnesota is just 6-6 in league play. Indiana is 13-5 ATS in their last 18 after failing to cover the spread in their last game and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 as a road dog of 6.5 or less. Give me Indiana +5! |
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02-15-17 | Pacers +6 v. Cavs | 104-113 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
40* NBA Vegas Line Mistake (Pacers +6) Cleveland is playing on no rest and are short-handed right now with the Love injury. Indiana should be able to dictate the tempo here and the Pacers are out for revenge here from a recent loss to the Cavs. I just don't see Cleveland being all that interested in this one with this being their final game before the All-Star break. This game means more to the Pacers and they are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 against the east and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 on the road. Cavs are just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 when their starters combine for 160 or more minutes in their last game and playing on no rest. Give me Indiana +6! |
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02-14-17 | Tennessee v. Kentucky -14 | 58-83 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Kentucky -14) I'm not buying Kentucky's loss at Tennessee a few weeks back being a sign of things to come in the Vols keeping it close on the road against the Wildcats. I don't think Kentucky took that first meeting seriously, as they just played a big home game against South Carolina and had an even bigger game on deck at Kansas. It was the definition of a sandwich/trap game. This time around I think the Wildcats are going to be 100% locked in and out to make a statement against the Vols. I see this getting ugly in a hurry and Kentucky taking this one by 20+ points. Give me the Wildcats -14! |
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02-13-17 | 76ers v. Hornets -7.5 | 105-99 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Hornets -7.5) This is do or die time for the Hornets, who are 1-9 in their last 10 and now 6-games under .500. It's hard to believe that the 76ers are the public side here, but that's the case, as Philadelphia has been a covering machine in 2017. Still, I think this is a tough spot for the 76ers, who won't have Emiid until after the All-Star break and aren't expected to have Okafor available. This is also a bit of a letdown spot for the 76ers, who just snapped the Heat's 13-game wining streak at home last time out. Philadelphia is also still just 7-18 on the road this season. Charlotte will be desperate for a win and I expect them to win here by double-digits rather easily. Give me the Hornets -7.5! |
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02-12-17 | Northwestern v. Wisconsin -11 | 66-59 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Wisconsin -11) This is as talented a team as Northwestern has arguably ever had, as it figures to be the first team in program history to make the NCAA Tournament. I think that has a lot of people drawn to the Wildcats as a double-digit dog here, but my money is on Wisconsin. The big key here is that Northwestern is still without their best player in Scottie Lindsey. Not only does he lead them in scoring (15.4), but he does a little bit of everything (4.3 rpg, 2.5 apg, 1.1 spg). Not to mention he's one of their most efficient shooters and leads the team in made 3-pointers. In the two games he's missed, they have lost by 21 at Purdue and fell at home to a pretty bad Illinois team by 7. Wisconsin hasn't looked great of late, but have also played 4 of their last 6 on the road. I expect a big time effort here from the Badgers and expect this one to get ugly in a hurry. Give me Wisconsin -11! |
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02-12-17 | Cincinnati v. SMU -3.5 | Top | 51-60 | Win | 100 | 5 h 21 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (SMU -3.5) I like the Mustangs to put an end to Cincinnati's perfect run in the AAC and cover this small number at home. When you look at the standings and the numbers, it's pretty clear that these two are head and shoulders above the rest of the conference. SMU's only loss in the AAC is at Cincinnati by a final of just 64-66. Note that the Bearcats jumped to an early lead and led by as many as 15 before SMU figured things out and closed the game strong. Cincinnati is not near the offensive team on the road as they are at home. The Bearcats average 77.0 ppg on the season, yet only average 63.9 ppg on the road. SMU is 14-0 at home and are scoring more and allowing less on their home floor. Give me the Mustangs -3.5! |
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02-11-17 | Arkansas -4.5 v. LSU | 78-70 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Vegas Line Mistake (Arkansas -4.5) The Razorbacks aren't normally a team that I would back as a road favorite, but I like them in this spot. LSU is awful and are just 1-10 in SEC play with their only win coming against Missouri way back on Jan. 4. Arkansas comes into this game off back-to-back losses, which I think is critical. It's going to have he Razorbacks 100% locked in on this game and that should be all it takes to beat the Tigers by 5 or more points. Note that LSU has lost 9 of their last 10 by at least 7 points. This is also a major letdown spot for the Tigers off a shocking close loss at Kentucky. Give me Arkansas -4.5! |
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02-11-17 | Houston v. Tulsa +3 | Top | 73-64 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
50* NCAAB AAC Game of the Month (Tulsa +3) I believe the Golden Hurricane should be the ones favored in this contest. Tulsa is simply way undervalued after losing their last 3, but two of those were at home against the two best teams in the league in Cincinnati and SMU and the other was a road game against Memphis. On the other side, Houston is overvalued here after winning 4 straight, though 3 of those were at home and the only one away from home was at Tulane, who is 1-11 in AAC play. Prior to the 3-game losing streak, Tulsa had won 4 of 5 and note they only lost at Houston by 3-points earlier this season. Golden Hurricane are 17-7 ATS last 2 seasons at home and 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games after failing to cover the spread in their previous contest. Give me Tulsa +3! |
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02-11-17 | Ohio State v. Maryland -7 | 77-86 | Win | 100 | 7 h 37 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Blowout (Maryland -7) A lot of things are pointing in the right direction for the Terrapins on Saturday against the Buckeyes. Maryland is playing at home where they are 11-3 on the season and facing an Ohio State team that is a mere 3-6 away from home. They also catch the Buckeyes short-handed, as starting point guard JaQuan Lyle is sitting this one out for personal reasons. That's a huge loss for Ohio State and one I don't think they can overcome on the road. Keep in mind the Terrapins already beat the Buckeyes by 6 on the road. Give me Maryland -7! |
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02-11-17 | Miami (Fla) +10.5 v. Louisville | Top | 66-71 | Win | 100 | 4 h 30 m | Show |
50* NCAAB ACC Game of the Month (Miami +10.5) I think the books have made a big mistake here making the Hurricanes a double-digit dog against the Cardinals. Miami has had their ups and downs in the ACC, but in good form right now off back-to-back wins. Louisville comes in off a ugly loss at Virginia and the perception here is they are going to bounce back big at home, which I believe has created this inflated line on the Cardinals. Miami's the kind of team that can give Louisville problems. The Hurricanes are hitting 37% from behind the 3-point line and the Cardinals are a mere 2-10 ATS in their last 12 home games against teams who make 37% or more of their 3-point shots. Miami is also 30-13 ATS in their last 43 as a dog of 10 or more points. Give me the Hurricanes +10.5! |
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02-10-17 | Warriors -7.5 v. Grizzlies | 122-107 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Warriors -7.5) The perception here is the Warriors aren't going to be 100% locked in on this game because of the big showdown tomorrow in OKC, where Durant plays for the first time on the road against his old team. Sure that game is big, but I'm not buying Golden State looking past the Grizzlies. The Warriors are 44-8 on the season and yet are 0-2 against Memphis. The last lost certainly can't sit well with Golden State, who blew a 24-point lead at home in a 119-128 overtime loss. I don't see the Warriors messing around with the Grizzlies this time around and winning here by double-digits. Give me Golden State -7.5! |
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02-10-17 | Nuggets v. Knicks -1.5 | Top | 131-123 | Loss | -112 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Knicks -1.5) Things aren't going well in the eyes of the media in New York and I think it's got the Knicks way undervalued here at home against a injury depleted Nuggets team. Denver won't have Faried, Mudiay or Gallinari, which are 3 big pieces. On top of that they are playing on the road, where they are just 10-17 in their last 27. New York desperately needs a win and I look for a big time effort here behind what I think will be a rowdy home crowd. Knicks are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 against the west and 10-2 TS in their last 12 after playing their previous game as a home dog. Give me New York! |
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02-09-17 | Jazz v. Mavs +4 | 105-112 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Mavericks +4) I'm taking Dallas as a home dog against the Jazz tonight. Utah is coming off a 127-94 blowout win on the road at New Orleans last night, but are a mere 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 when playing on 0 days rest. They are also just 3-13 ATS in their last 16 against the Western Conference and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 on the road. The Mavericks come in off back-to-back losses, but have been playing much better of late, as they are 9-5 in their last 14. This one has a little extra meaning for Dallas, who recently lost at home to the Jazz 107-112 back on 1/20. Mavs are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 when revenging a same season loss, while Utah is 5-14 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 nights. Give me the Mavericks +4! |
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02-09-17 | Purdue v. Indiana +1.5 | Top | 69-64 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Indiana +1.5) My money is on the Hoosiers at home against in-state rival Purdue on Thursday. Indiana is 13-2 at home this season and are desperate for a win here after losing 3 of their last 4. The Boilermakers are well respected and have won 5 of 6, but have had their struggles on the road, losing to the likes of Iowa and Nebraska away from home. They also have mere 1-point wins at Maryland and Ohio State. Part of the Hoosiers problems of late has been injuries, but they are likely to get a key piece back in James Blackmon Jr. Either way I like Indiana in this spot, as they are 21-9 ATS in their last 30 home games and 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games after playing their previous game on the road. Give me the Hoosiers +1.5! |
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02-08-17 | DePaul +15 v. Xavier | Top | 61-72 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (DePaul +15) I'm going to take the points here with the Blue Demons against the Musketeers. This is a great spot to go against Xavier as a big favorite. The Musketeers have won 3 straight with the most recent being a win on the road against a ranked Creighton team. Will be hard for them to give DePaul their full attention with a massive home game looming on deck against Villanova, which they essentially have to win if they want a realistic shot at winning the Big East regular season title. I don't think the Blue Demons can pull off the upset, but I think they can keep it close enough to cash. Give me DePaul +15! |
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02-07-17 | Butler +1.5 v. Marquette | 68-65 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Butler +1.5) Butler is worth a look here as an underdog at Marquette. The Bulldogs beat the Golden Flashes at home earlier this season, turning an 18-point deficit at the half into a 8-point win. That slow start in the first meeting will keep Butler from looking past Marquette in the rematch. I also like that the Bulldogs are coming into this game highly motivated off 2 straight losses and haven't played in a week. Butler is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 with a line of +3 to -3 and 27-12 ATS in their last 39 road games when playing with 5 or 6 days of rest. Give me the Bulldogs +1.5! |
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02-07-17 | Blazers -1.5 v. Mavs | 114-113 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
40* NBA Situational ATS Blowout (Blazers -1.5) I think the situation here heavily favors the Blazers to pick up a road win over the Mavericks. Dallas has been playing better of late and just won at Portland 108-104 last Friday. It's covering up the fact that this is not a good spot for the Mavs, who just played in the thin air of Denver last night. Dallas isn't a deep team and are a mere 2-5 ATS in their last 7 when their starters combine for 160 or more minutes in their previous game. I'll take my chances on the Blazers getting their revenge on Dallas tonight. Give me the Blazers -1.5! |
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02-07-17 | Syracuse v. Clemson -4 | Top | 82-81 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Clemson -4) The Tigers are worth a look here at home against Syracuse. It's been a disappointing run for Clemson in ACC play. Just after they win two straight, they go on the road and get embarrassed in a 61-109 loss at Florida State. when ever a team loses like that, I look for them to bounce back in their next game, especially if it's at home. NC State has played much better at home in the ACC and I think they are in a prime spot to knock off an over-confident Orange team that has won 4 straight and fresh off a thrilling 66-62 come from behind win over Virginia at home. Syracuse is a mere 1-7 on the road this season and the lone win came in overtime. Orange are only 2-9 ATS in their last 11 road games when they have won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games. Clemson is 12-2 ATS in their last 14 home games after trailing by 15 or more at the half in their last game. Give me the Tigers -4! |
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02-06-17 | Jazz -1 v. Hawks | 120-95 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Jazz -1) Almost all the action is coming in on the Hawks as a short home dog, but my money is on Utah to come into Atlanta and leave with a win. The Jazz absolutely owned the Hawks in Utah earlier this season, beating them 95-68. Clearly they matchup well with Atlanta and I think those edges on the floor will be too much for the Hawks to overcome. Utah is 44-16 ATS in their last 70 road games in the 2nd half the season against teams who allow 103+ ppg and we also find a great system in play going against Atlanta. Home dogs who had a 20+ point lead at the half in their last game are 35-73 (32%) ATS since 1996. Give me the Jazz -1! |
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02-05-17 | Colorado v. California -6.5 | 66-77 | Win | 100 | 6 h 57 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Blowout (California -6.5) I'll take the Golden Bears to not only win but win big at home against the Buffaloes. Cal comes in having won 3 straight and 6 of 7 overall, but just don't get a ton of love playing in the same conference as Oregon, Arizona and UCLA. Colorado has won 3 straight, but only one of those was on the road and that was at Stanford, which isn't anything to get excited about. It's the Buffaloes' only win away from home in conference play. Cal is 13-2 at home and last year rolled Colorado by 14 at home as a 7.5-point favorite. Buffaloes are 6-16 ATS in their last 22 after winning 3 of their last 4, while Cal is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 after 3 straight conference wins. Give me the Golden Bears -6.5! |
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02-04-17 | Illinois State +11.5 v. Wichita State | 45-86 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Situational Oddsmakers Error (Illinois St +11.5) You wouldn't think by this line that Illinois State is sitting on top the MVC with a perfect 11-0 record and have already beat the Shockers 76-62 at home this season. The big spread here is a result of the Redbirds losing a key contributor in MiKyle McIntosh. While Illinois State isn't as good without him, there's still a lot of talent on this roster. I don't think it's out of the question that they can win this game outright. I just don't think this line would be this high if it wasn't for the name recognition of Wichita State. Give me the Redbirds +11.5! |
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02-04-17 | Pelicans +8 v. Wizards | 91-105 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
40* NBA Vegas ATS Annihilator (Pelicans +8) Washington has really turned their season around and were an excellent team to back for the last two months, but I think the books have made their adjustments and it's time to start fading the Wizards. We saw Washington fail to cover an inflated line last time out at home against the Lakers and I see a similar type of outcome against the Pelicans. Adding value here is that New Orleans will be locked in with revenge from a recent home loss to the Wizards on 1/29. Give me the Pelicans +8! |
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02-04-17 | Utah -2.5 v. Stanford | Top | 75-81 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 2 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Pac-12 Game of the Year (Utah -2.5) Looking at these two teams, there's no doubt which one is the more talented team. It's not even close. Utah is a legit NCAA Tournament team and one of the better teams in the country. The only reason this line isn't more, is because the Utes have a horrible history playing at Stanford. All streaks aren't bound to come to an end at some points and this is the perfect storm for Utah to get that elusive win at Stanford. The Cardinal are a mere 3-7 in the Pac-12 and the 3 wins have all come against the bottom feeders in Washington St, Washington and Oregon State. Not only do I think the Utes win here and cover, but I'm expecting a blowout. Give me Utah -2.5! |
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02-04-17 | Arizona v. Oregon -3 | 58-85 | Win | 100 | 5 h 24 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Knockout (Oregon -3) Arizona is sitting at #5 and Oregon is back at #13, which I believe is creating the value here with the Ducks a short home favorite. Oregon is every bit as good as the Wildcats and are simply not getting the respect the deserve at home, where they are a perfect 14-0 this season. I also really like how the Ducks matchup here. Note that Arizona is 3-11 ATS in their last 14 after 15+ games against teams that shoot 45% or better from the field and 0-9 ATS in their last 9 after 15+ games against teams who are outrebounding opponents by 4+ rebounds/game. Oregon is 12-2 ATS in their last 14 off a home win conference win and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games off a close home win by 3-points or less. Give me the Ducks -3! |
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02-04-17 | Kansas State +8 v. Baylor | 56-54 | Win | 100 | 5 h 52 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster ATS Blowout (K-State +8) The Wildcats are worth a look here as a decently priced road dog against the Bears. I look for Baylor to come out a bit flat here after that crushing loss at Kansas on Wednesday. Kansas State on the other hand is going to be all business. The Wildcats are desperate for a win here after losing their last 3 and will also be out for revenge from a home loss to the Bears. Keep in mind K-State was favored at home and are now a 8-point dog. That's a huge swing and I don't think it's warranted. Baylor is just 4-13 ATS at home in their last 17 when playing only their 2nd game in a week and K-State is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 road games with a total of 130 to 139.5 and 12-3 ATS in their last 15 after playing their previous two games as a favorite. Give me the Wildcats +8! |
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02-03-17 | Mavs +5.5 v. Blazers | 108-104 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Mavericks +5.5) I like the points with Dallas in this one. The Mavericks have really been playing well of late. They come in having on 3 straight and 8 of their last 11 overall, which includes wins over the liks of the Spurs and Cavaliers. As good as they are playing, no one believes in this team because of how bad they were expected to be and how bad they were to start the year. Portland only has 3 more wins and I feel are getting a little too much respect here at home in a prime time game. Keep in mind Dallas has already beat the Blazers on their home court this season. Give me the Mavericks +5.5! |
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02-03-17 | Bulls +6.5 v. Rockets | Top | 117-121 | Win | 100 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Bulls +6.5) Chicago has won back-to-back games since basically hitting rock bottom when Wade and Butler were calling out their teammates for a lack of effort. A team meeting followed and the Bulls have looked like a different team. After putting up 121 in a 13-point win over the 76ers, they went into Oklahoma City and crushed the Thunder 128-100. Now they catch Houston playing on no rest and fresh off a shocking 108-113 loss to the Hawks after leading by 20+. I'll gladly take the points, but I think Chicago could easily win this game outright. Give me the Bulls +6.5! |
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02-02-17 | Memphis University -14.5 v. South Florida | 85-75 | Loss | -101 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Knockout (Memphis -14.5) Most will have trouble laying this big number on Memphis, as these two teams recently played in Memphis and the Tigers only won by a final of 62-56. That wasn't a great spot for the Tigers, coming off an ugly loss at Tulsa and USF being a team that really doesn't get you excited to play. I think Memphis will take this meeting a little more seriously and win here by 20+ points. USF is awful and just lost at Cincinnati by 41 and there's really nothing to get excited about with this team. Memphis was a double-digit favorite at Tulane (-11) and delivered in a 80-59 win. I expect a similar outcome here. Give me the Tigers -14.5! |
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02-01-17 | Bulls +3.5 v. Thunder | 128-100 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
40* NBA Vegas ATS Shocker (Bulls +3.5) The Bulls responded from their player meeting with a 121-108 win and cover at home against the red-hot 76ers and I look for them to carry over some of that momentum here against the Thunder. I just don't see OKC have a whole lot in the tank for this one. The Thunder just laid everything they had on the line in their last two at Cleveland and San Antonio. That game against the Spurs was their 8th road game over their last 9 overall and it came last night. Playing on no rest against a Bulls team that will be playing on 2-days of rest, gives the edge here to Chicago. The Bulls are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 when playing on a full 2-days of rest. Give me Chicago +3.5! |
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02-01-17 | Cincinnati v. Tulsa +10 | 57-55 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Situational Dog of the Day (Tulsa +10) I don't think the Golden Hurricane are getting near the respect they deserve here against the Bearcats. A big reason for that is the fact that Cincinnati comes in off 12 straight wins and are a perfect 8-0 in the AAC. Not to mention they are getting all kinds of love from their last two games, which saw them rally to beat Xavier at home 86-78 and follow it up with a 41 point win at home over USF. I think it has the Bearcats very vulnerable here on the road against a talented Tulsa team that is 8-2 at home and 6-2 in the AAC. Give me the Golden Hurricane +10! |
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02-01-17 | Texas Tech v. Texas -1 | 58-62 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Texas -1) The Longhorns are worth a look here at home against in-state rival Texas Tech. The Longhorns are 8-13 overall, but if you have watched this team play, you know they are much better than their record would indicate. The biggest problem for Texas has been closing out games, but I have seen some improvement in that area of late. The Red Raiders are just 2-5 on the road and have not won a road game in Big 12 play. All 8 of the Longhorn's wins have come at home and I think they add to that total with a convincing win here. Give me Texas -1! |
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02-01-17 | Villanova v. Providence +10 | Top | 66-57 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Providence +10) The Friars are worth a look here as a double-digit home dog against No. 4 Villanova. There's no question this line is inflated because of Villanova. I'll gladly take my chances here with Providence at home off an impressive 79-78 win at Marquette. The Friars believe they can win this game and they hung with the Wildcats on the road, losing 68-78 at Villanova back on 1/21. I also think this is a tough spot for the Wildcats off that crazy win at home over Virginia on Sunday. An outright win isn't out of the question, but I really like Providence to keep this within single-digits, as they are 12-2 ATS when revenging a road loss. Give me the Friars +10! |
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01-31-17 | Hornets v. Blazers -3 | 98-115 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Blazers -3) The Blazers are worth a look here as a short home favorite against the Hornets. I see these two teams headed in different directions. While Portland comes in off a loss, it was by a mere 2-points against the Warriors. Prior to that they had won 3 straight, with one of those on the road against the Celtics and the other at home against the Grizzlies. This will also be the Blazers 4th straight game at home and with 2 days off after this one, there's no reason for them to not lay it all on the line here. Charlotte on the other hand has lost 4 straight and are a mere 8-15 on the road this season. Give me the Blazers -3! |
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01-31-17 | West Virginia v. Iowa State +3 | Top | 85-72 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Big 12 Game of the Month (Iowa State +3) The Cyclones are 8-2 at home this season and I believe they have the perfect answer to West Virginia full court pressure. That's talented point guard Monte Morris, who rarely gives the ball away. In fact, Morris has committed only 23 turnovers on the season. The other big key here is the Mountaineers pressure isn't the same on the road as it is at home. I look for Iowa State to feed off what is going to be electric crowd that loves nothing more than having a Top 10 team come to Hilton. Cyclones come to play against top teams and are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 against a team with a winning record. Give me Iowa State +3! |
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01-31-17 | Creighton v. Butler -6 | 76-67 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Blowout (Butler -6) It's been a rough go of things for Creighton since they loss Mo Watson Jr. They lost 94-102 at home to Marquette and the 51-71 at Georgetown. They were able to bounce back with a 83-66 blowout win over DePaul, but that's a team that is 1-7 in Big East play. What it did was keep this line from being to high and created some value with Butler, who is the far superior team with Watson sidelined. The Bulldogs are also going to be a hungry group, as they just lost 81-85 at home as a 8.5-point favorite against Georgetown. Give me Butler -6! |
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01-29-17 | Rockets v. Pacers +4 | 101-120 | Win | 100 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Pacers +4) There's no arguing that the Rockets are the better team here, but I think Houston has a tough time matching the intensity of the Pacers in this one and the books appear to agree with low line begging for public money on the Rockets. Indiana has won two straight and are 9-3 over their last 12 and I don't think they are going anywhere anytime soon. The Pacers are finally playing up to their potential and this is big test for them to see where they are. Houston will be playing the 5th and final game of a road trip and their 10th road game in their last 14 overall. After this game the Rockets go home for 4 games that stretches over a week. I think their focus here is more on getting on the plane back home than laying it all on the line to win this game. Give me the Pacers +4! |
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01-29-17 | Wizards v. Pelicans +1.5 | 107-94 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
40* NBA Situational Dog of the Day (Pelicans +1.5) As well as the Wizards have been playing, I think the value here is with New Orleans as a home dog. The Pelicans come in off a 119-103 home win over the Spurs and also have a 124-122 win over the Cavs during their 6-game homestand, which concludes today. While New Orleans gets to benefit from no travel here of late, Washington will be playing their 5th road game out of their last 6 overall and while they have won a few here of late, the Wizards are just 7-14 on the road this season. With a much-needed 4-game homstand on deck, I think Washington has a tough time matching the intensity of the Pelicans in this one. Give me New Orleans +1.5! |
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01-29-17 | Purdue v. Nebraska +9 | Top | 80-83 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Nebraska +9) The Cornhuskers are worth a look here as a near double-digit home dog. Nebraska is way undervalued right now, as they come in having lost 5 straight. This is still a team that won at both Maryland and Indiana and could easily have a couple more wins. Purdue has won 3 straight and are off a huge win on the road at Michigan State, which I believe has them ripe for the picking here. Best part is we don't nee the Cornhuskers to win outright, just keep it respectable. I believe they can do just that and wouldn't be shocked at all if they won. Give me the Cornhuskers +9! |
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01-28-17 | Nuggets v. Suns -3.5 | 123-112 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
40* NBA No Doubt Bookie Blowout (Suns -3.5) Revenge is a sweet thing and I expect Phoenix to get just that when they take on the Nuggets tonight. The Suns just lost 120-127 at Denver on Thursday and that was a tough one to swallow as they had a 4-point lead going into the half. Jokic of the Nuggets owned the Suns, scoring 29 points with 14 rebounds and 8 assists. Big key here is Jokic got injured late in that game and didn't even make the trip to Phoenix. Give me the Suns -3.5! |
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01-28-17 | Texas +5.5 v. Georgia | 57-59 | Win | 100 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Oddsmakers Error (Texas +5.5) The Longhorns are fighting there way through a difficult season, but they are no where near as bad as their 8-12 record would lead on. The problem for Texas has been their inability to close out games. However, they did just that in their last game, taking down Oklahoma 84-83 at home. I don't know that they will need to close out this one, as they could have a big lead against a Georgia team that I don't think is all that great. The Bulldogs just lost by 20 at home to Alabama. Same team Texas beat by 7 in non-conference play. I think the Longhorns win this game outright, but I'll gladly take the points as insurance. Give me Texas +5.5! |
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01-28-17 | Maryland v. Minnesota -4.5 | Top | 85-78 | Loss | -103 | 5 h 56 m | Show |
50* Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Minnesota -4.5) The Terrapins come in having won 5 straight and are ranked No. 22 in the country, while Minnesota is unranked and comes in having lost 4 straight, yet the Gophers are a decent 4.5-point favorite here. The books are begging for action on Maryland and the public is following suit. I think the value here is with Minnesota, who is a lot better than their record of late would lead on and I'm not sold on the Terrapins being as good as people think. Give me the Gophers -4.5! |
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01-28-17 | Florida -2.5 v. Oklahoma | 84-52 | Win | 100 | 5 h 40 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Florida -2.5) I'll take my chances with the Gators as a short road favorite against the Sooners. Florida is one of the few elite teams in the SEC and Oklahoma is just middle of the pack in the Big 12. The Gators have proven themselves against some good teams outside the conference, playing Gonzaga, Duke and Florida State all tough. The Sooners on the other hand lost to Auburn on a neutral court and the Tigers are middle of the back at best in the SEC. They also got destroyed by 20 at Wisconsin and lost to a Clemson team that's got one win in ACC play. Give me the Gators -2.5! |
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01-28-17 | Clemson -2 v. Pittsburgh | 67-60 | Win | 100 | 3 h 31 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Early Bird ATS Shocker (Clemson -2) I'm strictly playing the odds here. Clemson comes into this game having lost 6 straight both straight up and against the spread, yet are a road favorite against a Pittsburgh team that despite their recent struggles has some decent wins on their resume. Both teams are better than what they have shown of late, but my more here is on the Tigers, who I feel has played the tougher schedule in the ACC to this point. Give me Clemson -2! |
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01-27-17 | Grizzlies -1 v. Blazers | Top | 109-112 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
50* NBA Western Conference Game of the Month (Grizzlies -1) Grizzlies comes into this one off a 101-99 win at home over the Raptors, where they failed to cover as a 5.5-point favorite. That was a tough loss for Memphis backers, as they really had control of that game. I believe it has the Grizzlies undervalued here on the road against the Blazers. This is the first of a 6-game road trip and I look for Memphis to do whatever they can to make sure they start the trip off on the right foot. I also love how the Grizzlies matchup with Portland. So much of what the Blazers do is about Lillard and McCollum. Memphis can counter those two with Conley and Allen. On the flip side, Portland really has no answer for Grizzlies big man Marc Gasol. Memphis is 7-3 ATS in last 10 games at Portland and 15-6 ATS in their last 21 against the west. Give me the Grizzlies -1! |
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01-26-17 | Indiana v. Michigan -3.5 | Top | 60-90 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Michigan -3.5) The Wolverines are showing some great value here as a short home favorite against Indiana. Michigan is 11-2 at home this season and have really started to come on strong of late. Sandwiched between two comfortable wins at hime over Nebraska and Illinois, was a mere 4-point loss at Wisconsin as a 10.5-point dog. Indiana has won 3 straight, but only one of them came on the road and that was by just 3-points against the likes of Penn State. The Hoosiers simply aren't as good as what they were made out to be and are dealing with some big injuries right now. OG Anunoby was lost for the season on 1/20 and Juwan Morgan is questionable with a foot injury. Give me Michigan -3.5! |
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01-26-17 | Pacers +3.5 v. Wolves | 109-103 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
40* NBA Situational ATS Shocker (Pacers +3.5) I'm backing the Pacers as a short road dog against the Timberwolves tonight. Indiana comes in having lost 3 straight, but I still like what I see from this team, as they are 7-4 in their last 11. Minnesota has been playing much better of late as well, but this is a young team that can't be trusted. The Timberwolves have won 3 straight, but could have easily lost all 3. Each of those wins came by 3-points or less. I believe Indiana is the better team and I also believe this is a top spot for Minnesota. They finished up a 3-game road trip in LA on 1/19, returned home for one game against the Nuggets, flew back out west for one game against the Suns and now are back home against the Pacers. Give me the Pacers +3.5! |
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01-26-17 | Nebraska +8.5 v. Northwestern | 61-73 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Nebraska +8.5) The Cornhuskers are worth a look here as a decently priced dog against Northwestern. Nebraska will be out for revenge from a 8-point loss at home to the Wildcats earlier this month, plus they want to snap a 4-game losing streak. Something they have been close to doing in each of their last two games, falling 66-67 to Ohio State and 64-65 at Rutgers. While Nebraska is undervalued after a 4-game slide, Northwestern is overvalued after 4 straight wins. I just think these are two more evenly matched teams than this spread would suggest. Give me the Cornhuskers +8.5! |
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01-25-17 | Raptors v. Grizzlies -5.5 | Top | 99-101 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
50* NBA Non-Conference Game of the Month (Grizzlies -5.5) I'll gladly back Memphis at this price at home against a Raptors team that is not only running on fumes, but without their best player in DeMar Derozan, who is averaging 27.9 ppg on roughly 10 made field goals a game. That's a lot of offense for Toronto to replace and to make matters worse they are playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set and 3rd in the last 4 days overall. Not to mention they are catching the Grizzlies in a foul mood, as Memphis was just embarrassed on their home floor 95-119 by the Rockets. Give me the Grizzlies -5.5! |
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01-25-17 | Connecticut -7 v. South Florida | 81-60 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Situational ATS Knockout (Connecticut -7) This might seem like a big number for UConn to be laying on the road, but I think they have no problem covering this number. The Huskies have been playing much better of late, but are just 3-6 in their last 9. Each of their last 4 losses came on the road against quality teams in SMU, Georgetown, Memphis and Tulsa. In between those were impressive home wins over UCF (64-49) and Temple (73-59). Now I know this one is away from home, but South Florida doesn't have much of a home court edge and we have already seen the Bulls lose by 15 at home to Tulane. They also just lost by 12 at home to Tulsa. USF is just 8-19 ATS in their last 27 as a home underdog and just 4-14 ATS in their last 18 home games when playing only the 2nd game in a week span. Give m the Huskies -7! |
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01-25-17 | Florida State v. Georgia Tech +10.5 | 56-78 | Win | 100 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Vegas Dog of the Day (Georgia Tech +10.5) The Yellow Jackets have been up and down this season. The best of example of that, is they knock off North Carolina at home 75-63 as a 17-point dog and then go on the road and lose 67-110 at Duke. They lose by 15 at home to Louisville, rebound with wins at home over Clemson and at NC State. Last time out they got beat pretty bad in a 49-62 loss at Virginia and most are going to just assume FSU rolls them here, but I think this is a prime spot for the Yellow Jackets to poentially pull off an upset. The Seminoles just got done playing a brutal 4-game stretch, where they hosted Duke, were at UNC and then returned home for games against Notre Dame and Louisville. I just don't see a max effort here from FSU. Give me the Yellow Jackets +10.5! |
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01-25-17 | St. John's v. Providence -7 | 91-86 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster ATS Blowout (Providence -7) The Friars are worth a look here in a big bounce back spot at home. Providence went on the road and gave Villanova all they could handle in a 10-point loss. Now they are back on their home floor, where they have gone 11-1 this season and will face a St. John's team that hasn't been competitive of late. The Red Storm come in off a 13-point loss at Seton Hall, which is the 5th time in their last 6 games they have lost by 10 or more. The only exception coming at home against a bad DePaul team. I look for the Friars to jump out to a big lead early and cruise to a comfortable win and cover int his one. Give me Providence -7! |
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01-24-17 | Kansas State v. Iowa State -3.5 | 65-70 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB No Doubt Bookie Blowout (Iowa State -3.5) Hilton Coliseum is no easy place for opposing teams to play and this Cyclones team is desperate for wins right now, as they still need to beef up that resume to make the NCAA Tournament. Kansas State is getting way too much respect here against a hungry and motivated ISU team and I think the Cyclones could turn this into a blowout. Give me Iowa State -3.5! |
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01-24-17 | Wake Forest v. Syracuse -3 | 76-81 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Syracuse -3) The Orange are with a look here as a short home favorite against the Demon Deacons. Syracuse comes into this one off back to back losses at North Carolina and Notre Dame. Those are two elite teams that rarely lose at home. Wake on the other hand comes in off a 93-88 win at home over NC State, but they caught the Wolfpack looking ahead to Duke. Prior to the losses, Syracuse had really been playing a lot better basketball. They had won by 15 at home over Miami and 11 over Pittsburgh. Now it's Wake that has Duke looming next on their schedule. Give me the Orange -3! |
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01-24-17 | Clippers v. 76ers +5 | 110-121 | Win | 100 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
40* NBA Dog of the Day (76ers +5) No Embiid for the 76ers and Blake Griffin is making his return for the Clippers, the books are begging for you to take Los Angeles as a short road favorite. The thing is, when a star player like Griffin comes back to the lineup after a long time being out, there's some rust and it messes up the chemistry. Not to mention the Clippers aren't exactly going to be locked into this game with a showdown against the Warriors in Golden State on deck. Emiid might not be in the lineup tonight, but he's got this Philadelphia team and fan base believing they are a legit team. I think they keep playing with that same fire and wouldn't be shocked if they won here outright. Give me the 76ers +5! |
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01-24-17 | Purdue v. Michigan State +2.5 | Top | 84-73 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Michigan State +2.5) I believe the books have the wrong team favored in this one. Michigan State comes in having lost 2 straight and 3 of their last 4, but all 3 of those losses came with the Spartans playing away from their home court. Michigan State is 9-1 at home and I expect them to take down the Boilermakers here. Purdue comes in off back-to-back blowout wins at home over Illinois and Penn State, which has them way overvalued here. Keep in mind this is a team that just recently lost at Iowa and that was a team they had beat at home by 20+. Give me the Spartans +2.5! |
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01-23-17 | Oklahoma v. Texas -2 | 83-84 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Blowout (Texas -2) I'm willing to lay this short number on the Longhorns at home against the Sooners. It's no secret that these two programs don't like each other and I look for Texas to lay it all on the line here, as they try and snap a 5-game losing streak. The thing with the Longhorns is they aren't playing nearly as bad as their record would indicate. They simply have struggled to close out games against the top level teams. Oklahoma had a huge upset win at West Virginia, but then turned around and lost at home to Iowa State and are just 2-8 in their last 10. This is a great spot for Texas to get back in the win column and wouldn't be shocked if they did so in blowout fashion. Give me the Longhorns -2! |
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01-23-17 | Wizards v. Hornets -4.5 | Top | 109-99 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 46 m | Show |
50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Hornets -4.5) After a miserable stretch, where the Hornets went just 1-7, they have since bounced back with 3 straight wins. All at home and I look for the streak to continue here against the Wizards. Washington has been a different team since December, but are still not a great road team. The Wizards are just 5-14 on the road this season and are facing a Charlotte team that owns a 15-7 record at home. Hornets have really turned up the intensity on the defensive side of the ball, as they are allowing just 95.6 ppg over their last 5. Wizards are giving up 108.4 ppg on the road and 105.1 ppg against division opponents. Give me the Hornets -4.5! |
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01-22-17 | Virginia Tech v. Clemson -5.5 | 82-81 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Clemson -5.5) This Clemson team is too talented to be riding a 5-game conference losing streak. The Tigers hit rock bottom lat time out, getting crushed by 32-points at Louisville. This is do or die situation for Clemson and I expect them to answer at home. The Tigers are 0-2 at home in ACC play, but have also had to host both UNC and Virginia. They were competitive in both, losing by 3-points to UNC and just 4-points to Virginia. Virginia Tech is a decent team, but not on the same level as those two and we have already seen the Hokies lose by 15 at FSU and 26 at NC State. This game means too much to Clemson and I just don't see the Hokies being able to match that intensity. Give me the Tigers -5.5! |
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01-22-17 | Lakers v. Mavs -5.5 | 73-122 | Win | 100 | 5 h 20 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Blowout (Mavs -5.5) Dallas has been playing much better here of late and while they have lost their last 2 following a 3-game winning streak, but defeats have been by 5-points or less. Lakers come in off a 108-96 win at home over the Pacers, but it came at a cost, as D'Angelo Russell suffered an MCL injury and is out indefinitely. LA just can't seem to get back to full strength and that injury has to hurt the psyche of this team. Not to mention the Lakers are just 5-18 on the road this season and already lost by 12-points at home to the Mavericks earlier this season. Give me Dallas -5.5! |
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01-21-17 | Suns v. Knicks -5.5 | 107-105 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
40* NBA No Doubt Bookie Blowout (Knicks -5.5) I think this is a great spot to back the Knicks at home. I know New York hasn't played great of late, but I'm seeing some positive signs that they are getting back to playing at the level we saw earlier this season. The Suns are also a great opponent to get back on track against. Phoenix is just 5-12 in their last 17 and 1-4 over their last 5. Not to mention the Suns are a miserable 6-18 on the road, while New York has a winning record at home at 12-10. Knicks are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 off a home loss and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 off a loss by 3 points or less. Give me New York -5.5! |
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01-21-17 | Wisconsin v. Minnesota +4 | 78-76 | Win | 100 | 6 h 23 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Vegas Dog of the Day (Minnesota +4) The Gophers aren't getting near enough respect here at home against the Badgers. Minnesota is just 3-3 in Big Ten Play, but they have a 1-point loss at home to Michigan State and 2-point defeat at Penn State. This is a team that has already won on the road at Purdue and Northwestern, while also beating Ohio State at home by 10. Wisconsin is a great team, but we have seen them lose on the road. In fact, last time they played a true road game, they fell 55-66 at Purdue. I just think this game means a lot more to Minnesota and they are certainly talented enough to win this game outright on their home floor. Give me the Gophers +4! |
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01-21-17 | Arizona v. UCLA -5.5 | Top | 96-85 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 58 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Pac-12 Game of the Month (UCLA -5.5) I believe the Bruins are the best team in the country and I got no problem laying this number with them on their home floor against a team like Arizona. While the Wildcats are a top level team, they are not on the same level as UCLA. This is a statement game for the Bruins and while Arizona has won all 3 road games in Pac-12 play, I believe that's helping us keep this number from being closer to 7-8 points. Give me UCLA -5.5! |
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01-20-17 | Jazz -6 v. Mavs | 112-107 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Jazz -6) I'm backing the Jazz as a decently priced road favorite at Dallas. It's no secret that Utah is the much better team. The Jazz are 27-16, while the Mavericks are 14-28. The big key here is the schedule and it should allow Utah to win here by double-digits. Utah will be playing on a full 3-days of rest, while Dallas will be playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set and 3rd in the last 4 days overall. Utah's going to be able to push the pace offensively and Dallas isn't going to have the energy defensively. On top of that, this Jazz defense is the real deal and should have no problem shutting down this limited Dallas offense. Give me Utah -6! |
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01-19-17 | Stanford v. Oregon State +5 | 62-46 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Late Night ATS Bailout (Oregon State +5) I'm backing the Beavers as a home dog against the Cardinal. Oregon State comes in having lost 5 straight, all of which have come in Pac-12 play. I look for the Beavers to come out highly motivated to get their first conference win of the season and I believe Stanford is a great opponent for them to just that. There's a good chance the Cardinal will be without their top scorer and best player in Reid Travis, plus they aren't nearly as good on the road as they are at home (not a very good team in general). This is also a tough spot for Stanford, as they have a much bigger game on deck at Oregon on Saturday. I'll take the points, but I think Oregon State wins here outright. Give me the Beavers +5! |
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01-19-17 | Arizona v. USC +3 | Top | 73-66 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 17 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (USC +3) I'm backing the Trojans as a home dog against the Wildcats. These two teams come in with near identical records, as Arizona is 16-2 and USC is 16-3. I believe the value is clearly with the home team catching points in this one, as the Trojans are simply undervalued right now due to having gone just 2-8 ATS in their last 10. Wildcats are just 2-11 ATS in their last 13 after 15 or more games when facing a team that is holding opponents to a 42% or worse shooting percentage and 3-11 ATS in their last 14 after 15+ games against teams who are outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game. Give me the Trojans +3! |
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01-19-17 | Mavs v. Heat -2.5 | 95-99 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Heat -2.5) I'm backing the Heat as a small home favorite against the Mavericks tonight. Miami comes in off a big 109-103 win at home over the Rockets as a 7-point dog, but are still being undervalued here due the fact that they were just 1-10 in their previous 11. Dallas on the other hand is getting some love after going 3-0 both SU and ATS in their last 3 games. The key here is the Mavs aren't a great road team (6-16) and I just don't see them winning back-to-back games on the road after stealing one in Chicago last time out. Give me the Heat -2.5! |
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01-18-17 | Ohio State v. Nebraska -1 | 67-66 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Nebraska -1) I'm backing the Cornhuskers here at home against the Buckeyes. Nebraska is in a prime bounce back spot after 2 straight losses and I like what I have seen from this team. Ohio State comes in off a big win over the Spartans, but are a mere 1-4 in Big Ten play and 1-5 on the road this season. I look for Nebraska to not only win here, but to do so comfortable. Cornhuskers are 25-11 ATS in their last 36 home games off a loss by 6 or less and 32-16 ATS in their last 48 off a cover where they lost straight up. Give me the Cornhuskers -1! |
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01-18-17 | Notre Dame v. Florida State -5.5 | Top | 80-83 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
50* NCAAB ACC Game of the Month (Florida State -5.5) I'm taking the Seminoles at home against the Fighting Irish at what I feel is a great price. Notre Dame is a good team and have started out 5-0 in ACC play, but have been very fortunate to come away with wins in their 3 road games, beating Pitt 78-77, Miami 67-62 and Virginia Tech 76-71. This will be by far the most challenging road game to date and it certainly doesn't help matters that the Irish are playing their 3rd straight on the road in a span of just 7 days. Florida State is going to come out with a chip on their shoulder after a loss at North Carolina and I look for them to dominate in this one. Give me the Seminoles -5.5! |
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01-17-17 | Nuggets v. Lakers +1 | 127-121 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
40* NBA Late Night ATS Knockout (Lakers +1) I think this is a great spot to jump on the Lakers at home at basically a pick'em against the Nuggets. Denver is getting some love here off a couple of blowout wins over the Pacers (in London) and at home against the Magic. LA on the other hand is getting no love at this time, as they have lost 4 straight, failing to score 100 points in all 4 losses. Getting the offense going against the Nuggets won't be a problem. Denver is giving up 111.2 ppg and don't figure to play with a ton of energy on the defensive side of the ball playing on no rest. Los Angeles is 21-8 ATS in their last 29 home games after 4 or more losses, while the Nuggets are 1-4 ATS in last 5 road games and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 when playing on 0 days of rest. Give me the Lakers +1! |
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01-17-17 | Michigan +10.5 v. Wisconsin | Top | 64-68 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Michigan +10.5) I like this spot for the Wolverines as a double-digit dog against the Badgers. It's no secret that Wisconsin is one of the top team in the Big Ten and that Michigan has struggled early on in conference play. The Wolverines are coming off a much-needed 91-85 win at home against Nebraska and I expect a huge effort here on the road against the Badgers. Wisconsin on the other hand could struggle here, as they have to be feeling pretty good about themselves off a 23-point win over Ohio State and given Michigan's recent struggles they don't exactly look like a dangerous opponent. An outright win isn't likely, but it's not out of the question. I see this one coming right down to the wire. Give me the Wolverines +10.5! |
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01-17-17 | Texas v. Baylor -13.5 | 64-74 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Blowout (Baylor -13.5) I expect Baylor to win big at home here against the Longhorns. The Bears weren't deserving of being ranked No. 1 in the country, but they are an elite team that is extremely difficult to beat at home. Baylor is a perfect 10-0 at home and will be taking on a Texas team that has yet to win on the road (0-6). Making matters even worse for the Longhorns, is the suspension of leading scorer Tevin Mack (14.8 ppg). No one else averages more than 11.6 ppg. Mack is also by far their best 3-point shooter. He was hitting 39% with 34 made 3-pointers. No else on the team has more than 20 made 3-pointers. This is also a tough spot for Texas off a crushing 72-74 home loss to West Virginia last time out. I think this could get ugly in a hurry. Give me Baylor -13.5! |
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01-16-17 | Cavs v. Warriors -7.5 | Top | 91-126 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Warriors -7.5) Golden State has lost 4 straight to the Cavs, the final 3 of the Finals last year and that crushing 1-point loss at Cleveland on Christmas Day, where they blew a 14-point 4th quarter lead. Needless to say this is a statement game for the Warriors at home. I expect them to play with as much intensity as you will see for a regular season game. Cleveland isn't just going to lay down, but this is not an ideal spot for the Cavs, who are still getting use to playing with their new addition of Korver and this is their 6th and final game of a long road trip that started with a game in Brooklyn before playing 5 straight out west. I just don't see Cleveland being able to match the intensity of the Warriors in this one. Give me Golden State -7.5! |
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01-16-17 | Syracuse +14.5 v. North Carolina | 68-85 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Syracuse +14.5) I like the value here with the Orange as a big dog against the Tar Heels on Monday. Syracuse has been playing much better of late and are certainly going to be up for this one. UNC on the other hand could find this one a bit hard to get up for, as they just played a huge game at home against a very good Florida State team and escaped with a 76-53 win. The Tar Heels are just 5-13 ATS in their last 18 off a home win by 10 or more and 0-8 ATS in this spot when that win was against a conference rival. Syracuse on the other hand is 13-4 ATS in their last 17 road games off a blowout win by 20 or more over a conference opponent. Give me the Orange +14.5! |
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01-14-17 | Iowa State v. TCU -1 | 77-84 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Vegas Line Mistake (TCU -1) I've been impressed with what I have seen from this Horned Frogs team and they simply aren't getting the respect they deserve with a 13-3 record. They are 2-2 in Big 12 play with their 2 losses coming in a close game at home vs Kansas and the other on the road at WV, where they lost by just 12 as a 13.5-point dog. Iowa State has won 2 straight and 5 of 6, plus are off a big 10-point win at Oklahoma State. It has the Cyclones way overvalued in this spot. ISU not only has the difficult task of playing their 2nd road game in 4 days, but they have a massive lookahead game on deck, as they are set to host Kansas on Monday. Give me TCU -1! |
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01-14-17 | West Virginia v. Texas +10.5 | 74-72 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Situational Dog of the Day (Texas +10.5) I think the books have set this line way too high. This is not an easy spot for the Mountaineers, who are coming off that huge win at home over then No. 1 Baylor. This Longhorns team isn't as talented as West Virginia, but homecourt is huge in conference play, especially in the Power 5 conferences. While Texas is just 1-3 in Big 12 play, they have been competitive, losing by just 3 at Kansas State, 9 at Iowa State and 3 at home to TCU. A big key here is the Mountaineers pressure style isn't as good on the road as it is at home. I expect a close game throughout and wouldn't be the least bit surprised if Texas pulled off the upset. Give me the Longhorns +10.5! |
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01-14-17 | Miami (Fla) v. Pittsburgh -2.5 | 72-46 | Loss | -115 | 2 h 59 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Early Bird Blockbuster ATS Blowout (Pittsburgh -2.5) I'll gladly take the Panthers as a short home favorite against the Hurricanes. Miami is a young team that doesn't play well on the road. Their only Power 5 win in a true road game or on a neutral site was against a bad Stanford team. They lost by 17 to ISU and 9 to Florida on neutral sites and just recently were annihilated in a 15-points loss at Syracuse. They also just lost a heartbreaker at home to Notre Dame. Pitt also comes in off back-to-back loss, but both of those came on the road. The Panthers are going to be desperate for a win here after a 1-3 start to ACC play and are 9-1 at home, which includes an impressive 12-point win over an elite Virginia team. Give me Pittsburgh -2.5! |
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01-14-17 | Seton Hall v. Providence +2 | Top | 61-65 | Win | 100 | 2 h 56 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Big East Game of the Month (Providence +2) I think the books have made a big mistake here with this line. The Friars are 10-1 at home with their only loss coming to one of the best teams in the country in Creighton. They were just a 5.5-point dog to the Bluejays at home and now are only 3.5-points less against Seton Hall. No way are the Pirates just 3.5-points worse than Creighton. In fact, this is a horrible spot for Seton Hall, playing their 2nd road game in just 4 days and off a heartbreaking overtime loss at Marquette. I just don't think the Pirates are nearly as good as this line would suggest and wouldn't be surprised if Providence won this one going away. Give me the Friars +2! |
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01-12-17 | Northwestern -6 v. Rutgers | 69-60 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Northwestern -6) While Rutgers has started out 0-4 in Big Ten play, I still think we are seeing this team get some love from the books because of their 11-6 record. On the flip side of this Northwestern is a team that just doesn't get a lot of love, but this is arguably the best team in school history, as I see this squad going to the NCAA Tournament. The Wildcats have already won twice on the road by more than this number, taking down Penn State on the road 87-77 and Nebraska 74-66. I'm just not buying this Rutgers team and even if it's close, the Wildcats should pull away. Northwestern is hitting 76.3% from the free throw line, while Rutgers shoots just 64.7% from the charity line. Rutgers also averages 5 made 3-pointers (shooting 29.5%), while Northwestern is 37.1% and averaging 9 made 3-pointers a game. Rutgers is 0-7 ATS in their last 7 home games with a total of 130 to 139.5 and Northwestern is 6-0 ATS in last 6 as a road favorite of 6 points or less. Give me the Wildcats -6! |
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01-12-17 | Bulls v. Knicks -3 | 89-104 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
40* NBA No Doubt ATS Blowout (Knicks -3) It's been a dreadful stretch here for the Knicks, but I like the value we are getting with New York at home in this one. We know the Knicks are going to show up, as Noah and Rose get another crack at their former team. More than anything, the Bulls are going to be without their best player and MVP-candidate Jimmy Butler, as well as one of their top reserves in Nikola Mirotic. I just don't think the line has been adjusted enough for what the Bulls are playing with. New York is 9-0 ATS in their last 9 home games after a division game and 12-4 ATS in their last 16 after a game where they failed to cover the spread. Give me the Knicks -3! |
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01-12-17 | Notre Dame v. Miami (Fla) -3.5 | Top | 67-62 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 32 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Miami -3.5) I'll gladly lay this short number on the Hurricanes at home. Miami has yet to lose at home this season (8-0) and have covered each of their last 7 home games as a favorite of 6 points or less. Sitting at 1-1 in ACC play and a tough 3-game road trip on deck, I expect to see a max effort here from the Hurricanes against a ranked opponent. Notre Dame has won 5 straight, but two of those came at home by 7 or less and the lone road game in the ACC was a mere 1-point win at Pitt. Irish are just 2-9 ATS in their last 11 road games after winning 5 or 6 of their last 7 games and 2-10 ATS in their last 12 when riding a 2+ game winning streak. Give me the Hurricanes -3.5! |
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01-11-17 | Magic +11 v. Clippers | 96-105 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster ATS No Brainer (Magic +11) I'll take the double-digits here with Orlando as I see them giving the Clippers some problems here. LA is still without the services of Blake Griffin and Chris Paul is on minutes restriction as he just recently returned from a hamstring injury. Typically bad teams like the Magic don't perform well on the road, but Orlando is actually playing better on the road than they are at home. They are 9-10 on the road, compared to 7-13 at home. Clippers have won and covered 4 straight and the books haven't hesitated to inflate this number, knowing all the public money will be coming in on LA. Clippers are just 6-18 ATS in their last 24 home games as a favorite of 9.5 to 12 points, while Orlando is 23-10 ATS in their last 33 road games against the Western Conference. Give me the Magic +11! |
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01-11-17 | Seton Hall +5.5 v. Marquette | 86-89 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Dog of the Day (Seton Hall +5.5) I'm backing the Pirates as a decent priced road dog here against what I think is a pretty average Marquette team. Seton Hall recently won at home over Marquette 69-66 and while it was close, it should have been a more lopsided score. I look for them to not only keep this within the number, but win the game outright. Marquette is just 2-12 ATS in their last 14 home games after playing their previous game on the road and just 5-14 ATS in their last 19 home games overall. Seton Hall won 87-56 at DePaul last time out and are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 off a home win by 10 or more points. Take Seton Hall! |
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01-11-17 | Minnesota v. Michigan State -3.5 | Top | 47-65 | Win | 100 | 7 h 5 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Big Ten Game of the Month (Michigan State -3.5) I'll gladly take my chances with the Spartans laying a short number at home against the Golden Gophers. I'm well aware of how good this Minnesota team is, but the Brestlin Center is one of the toughest places for opposing teams to win at, especially when you have a motivated Spartans team coming off an ugly loss. Let's also not forget that Michigan State won at Minnesota to open up Big Ten play and did that without stud freshman Miles Bridges, who has recently returned to the lineup. Bridges hasn't been a big factor in his first two games back, but I think this is where he starts to return to that elite level we saw from him early in non-conference play. Give me Michigan State -3.5! |
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01-11-17 | South Carolina -2.5 v. Tennessee | 70-60 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (South Carolina -2.5) I'll gladly back the Gamecocks as a short road favorite against the Volunteers. This South Carolina team is better than people think and let's not forget all 3 losses this season have come with their best player in Sindarius Thornwell, who averages 18.4 ppg, 7.2 rpg and 3.6 apg. This Tennessee team played well in non-conference, but struggled against the top tier teams and have started out just 1-2 in SEC play. They also just lost a big piece to their team in junior guard Detrick Mostella, who was dismissed from the team. Mostella was second on the team at 10.5 ppg and led the Vols in 3-pointers made with 26. Give me the Gamecocks -2.5! |
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01-10-17 | Florida -5.5 v. Alabama | 80-67 | Win | 100 | 9 h 60 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Florida -5.5) I'll gladly back the Gators here on the road against the Crimson Tide. The Alabama faithful aren't going to be in a good mood after last night's loss to Clemson in the title game and I think we see some of that carry over to the basketball team for this one. At the same time, the Tide are coming in overvalued here after winning 4 straight and starting out 2-0 in SEC play against a couple of mediocre teams. Florida is far from mediocre and I think they are flying way under the radar right now. The Gators only 3 losses on the season are neutral site games against Gonzaga and Duke and a true road game at FSU. They were competitive in all 3, losing by just 5 to both Gonzaga and Florida State. Florida is 3-0 in SEC play with an impressive 9-point win at Arkansas included in the mix. I think this one gets ugly. Give me the Gators -5.5! |
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01-10-17 | Mississippi State v. Arkansas -10 | Top | 84-78 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Arkansas -10) I see the Razorbacks have no problem covering this double-digit spread at home against the Bulldogs. This Mississippi State team comes in at 10-4, but have played a soft schedule and will be getting their biggest test of the season tonight when the face Arkansas. They come in off a 95-78 win at LSU as a 2-point dog, which I think is keeping this line from being inflated. Prior to that they lost by 10 at home to Alabama, so it's key to not read into the win over LSU. As for the Razorbacks, I'm confident we get a big time effort here off an ugly 26-point loss at Kentucky and Arkansas being just 1-2 in SEC play (lost to two best teams). Give me the Razorbacks -10! |
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01-10-17 | Hawks v. Nets +8 | 117-97 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Crusher (Nets +8) I know the Nets haven't been great of late and the Hawks are playing well at the moment, but I believe it's resulted in a ton of value here with the Nets. Brooklyn has shown they aren't a team that's just going to lay down and they have some hidden motivation here. Nets head coach Kenny Atkinson was previously an assistant in Atlanta and will be playing the Hawks for the first time. This game means a little more to him than others and more times than not the players respond in this spot. I don't see the same emotional edge for the Hawks, who could easily take this game lightly after winning 6 straight and a much bigger game on deck Friday night at home against the Celtics. This is also the last game of a 4-game road trip, which they have already secured a winning record on at 3-0. Give me the Nets +8! |
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01-09-17 | Thunder v. Bulls -1 | 109-94 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
40* NBA No Doubt ATS Blowout (Bulls -1) I'll gladly back the Bulls at home at basically a pick'em against the Thunder. Chicago has got things turned around since the benching of Rondo and come in having won 3 straight. None more impressive their their 123-118 overtime win over the Raptors, where they overcame a 12-point deficit to start the 4th quarter. OKC gets a lot of love from the books because of all the attention Westbrook is getting and are typically overvalued on the road, where they are just 8-10 SU and 8-10 ATS. This is also not an easy spot for the Thunder, who after playing 3 straight on the road, played one game against the Nuggets before having to return right back to the road to face Chicago. Give me the Bulls -1! |