Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-01-23 | Brentford v. Brighton & Hove Albion OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 17 m | Show |
English Premier League Saturday OVER 2.5 goals -130 in Brighton & Hove vs Brentford @ 10 AM ET - Brighton & Hove have scored an average of 3 goals per match last 4 matches. Brentford is known for being a scrappy bunch and should be tough to beat here. The Bees have only one loss last nine matches and Brentford, other than that one loss, has scored an average of 2 goals last 6 matches. So two clubs rolling with confidence but Brighton at home and with an attack-minded manger. That said, this one likely to be a high-scoring battle and I like the value of this total at 2.5 goals. OVER 2.5 goals -130 in Brighton |
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03-31-23 | VfL Bochum v. Eintracht Frankfurt -1 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -114 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
German Bundesliga Friday Goal Line Frankfurt -1 -115 vs Vfl Bochum @ 2:30 ET - Frankfurt needed the international break to hit the reset button while it could have taken some of the momentum away from Vfl Bochum. A big key here is the home road dichotomy as Eintracht Frankfurt has outscored opponents 27-13 at home and has 7 victories on their home pitch this season. Vfl Bochum is off just their second road victory of the season and has been outscored 35-9 away from home. No team has more road losses than Vfl Bochum with 11 on this season. That said, the money line is too pricey for my liking but we'll grab the value on the goal line here and I fully expect a solid win for the hosts in this one. FRANKFURT -1 -115 |
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03-31-23 | Petrolul 52 v. U Craiova 1948 OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
Rotation #206801 - Romania Liga 1 Friday OVER 2 -130 in U Craiova 1948 vs Petrolul Ploiesti @ 2 ET - Good value with this total available at over 2 goals. These are the top two clubs in the play-out this season in Liga 1 action in Romania. Both won their matches last week and both delivered clean sheets. Though neither club surrendered a goal last week and their most recent meeting this season ended 1-1, I like the fact that Petrolul Ploiesti had allowed 2.4 goals per match in their last 10 matches prior to B2B wins via shutout fashion! Also, U Craiova 1948 has scored an average of 1.7 goals per match last 9 matches. They are hosting here and will be tough at home but Petrolul Ploiesti continues to fight hard in the play-out! Also, the hosts have allowed about a goal per match this season and, prior to this most recent win, were off a loss in which they allowed 4 goals! OVER 2 -130 in U Craiova 1948 |
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03-29-23 | Sheffield Wednesday v. Cheltenham Town OVER 2.25 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show |
English League One Wednesday OVER 2.5 goals +120 in Cheltenham Town vs Sheffield Wednesday @ 2:45 ET - Cheltenham Town will put up a fight at home and should score at least 1 goal on their home pitch here but Sheffield Wednesday is favored by a solid margin for good reason. The visitors enter this match angry off B2B losses and they have outscored Cheltenham Town 9-3 in the last 3 meetings and all of those matches have been in the past 18 months so it is not like it is ancient history. The visitors will score well and each of the last 3 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals and averaged 4 goals. Sheffield Wednesday is one of the highest scoring clubs in the league and currently #2 in the table. Cheltenham Town, however, is off B2B wins in which they scored 3 goals in each victory. The hosts are playing with confidence and are not safe yet from relegation so they keep pushing for points in the table. However, the visitors off B2B losses know they must win too after B2B losses and I see each team scoring and neither team settling for a 1-1 draw either. Neither team has a high draw and considering the situation here, there will also be an extra push for goals in this one. OVER 2.5 goals +120 in Cheltenham Town |
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03-28-23 | Belarus v. Romania OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 110 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
2024 European Championship Qualifying, Group Stage Tuesday OVER 2.5 +110 in Romania vs Belarus @ 2:45 ET - Of course Romania is favored by 1.5 goals on the goal line here for a reason. I expect them to get a multi-goal win here but am most comfortable with the over. I expect Belarus to score a goal here and a likely 2-1 or 3-1 final. Belarus is off B2B shutout losses but this was preceded by them scoring at least 1 goal in 3 straight matches and 8 of last 11 matches. The last 5 meetings between Romania and Belarus have seen 4 of them total at least 4 goals and those 4 averaged 5 goals! Romania is still angry from missing out on the 2020 European Championship and wants to make sure they participate this time around. That means they keep the hammer down here. Their first match ended 2-0 but their opponent had a red card at about the 60' mark and that is what likely prevented the match from seeing a 3rd goal. This one should get there as Romania is at home plus enters this one having averaged 3 goals per game last 4 games. OVER 2.5 +110 in Romania |
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03-28-23 | Latvia v. Wales OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -130 | 8 h 38 m | Show |
2024 European Championship Qualifying, Group Stage Tuesday OVER 2.5 -125 in Wales vs Latvia @ 2:45 ET - Of course Wales is favored by 1.5 goals on the goal line here for a reason. I expect them to get a multi-goal win here but am most comfortable with the over. I expect Latvia to score a goal here and a likely 2-1 or 3-1 final. Latvia is off a 3-2 loss to Ireland and actually has scored at least 1 goal (and averaged 1.8 goals scored!) in last 12 matches! Granted that included some weaker competition too of course but, still, 12 straight matches with at least 1 goal is impressive. Wales has conceded at least 1 goal in 9 straight matches and has allowed an average of 1.8 goals per match during this 9-match stretch. Wales has not scored that well of late but, again, they are a huge favorite here for a reason and they are off a 1-1 draw with Croatia. That was quite impressive as Croatia has been so tough including that huge World Cup run. This one is in Cardiff and the hosts should do some damage against on out-classed foe. That helps insure we see at least 3 goals here. OVER 2.5 -125 in Wales |
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03-27-23 | Czech Republic v. Moldova OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -145 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
2024 European Championship Qualifying, Group Stage Monday OVER 2.5 -145 in Moldova vs Czech Republic @ 2:45 ET - Czech Republic just has too much for an out-classed Moldova squad here but rather than laying a heavy goal-line on the road, I feel the best way to play this one is the total. Moldova has scored 10 goals in last 7 matches and failed to score only once in those 7 and I expect Czech Republic to be very aggressive on the attack here like they were in their 3-1 win over Poland last time out. That said, do not be surprised if Moldova breaks through for a goal. However, the big key to the over is the fact that Moldova has allowed an average of 2 goals per match last 7 matches and is likely to struggle to slow down their opponents in this one. Moldova is off a 1-1 draw with Faroe Islands and that is essentially the same group of players that Czech Republic just defeated in November by a 5-0 count. It has been two decades since these clubs met but coincidentally, that one was also a 5-0 win for Czech over Moldova. There is just a big disparity between the level of talent of the hosts here and Czech Republic and I expect that to lead to a rather wide open match that easily gets to at least the 3-goal mark. OVER 2.5 -145 in Moldova |
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03-26-23 | Ukraine v. England OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -142 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
2024 European Championship Qualifying, Group Stage Sunday OVER 2.5 -145 in England vs Ukraine @ Noon ET - We have to lay some juice to have the over 2.5 here but it should prove well worth it as England could get this total by themselves and it certainly would not be a shock. However, I do expect a revitalized (new manager and fresh legs) to find the back of the net in this match too. That means a 3-1 final would be likely based on the big 1.5 number on the goal line in favor of England. So whether it ends 3-0 or 2-1 or 3-1 we would be fine here with this play and I like our chances. England, in the only meeting with Ukraine in past 9 years, won the match 4-0 in July 2021 in UEFA European Championship action. Look for another one to total 4 goals here as well although 3 goals also serves our purposes just fine. England won 2-1 at Italy Thursday and that was their 4th straight match to total at least 3 goals and there should have been even more scoring there. Ukraine off a scoreless draw in UEFA Nations League action in September but this was preceded by 3 of 4 matches totaling at least 3 goals. Ukraine had scored 23 goals in 14 matches prior to the scoreless draw with Scotland. The high-scoring ways resume here! OVER 2.5 -145 in England |
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03-25-23 | Romania -1.5 v. Andorra | Top | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
2024 European Championship Qualifying, Group Stage Saturday Romania Goal Line -1.5 -150 @ Andorra @ 3:45 ET - Romania has qualified in 2000 and 2008 and 2016 and keeps alternating with years like 2004 and 2012 and 2020 in which they did not qualify. That said, they will bring a little extra edginess here as a result and I expect a blowout victory over an outclassed foe. Andorra is at home which is keeping this line more manageable but Romania still should dominate and win this by 2 or more goals. If you saw Moldova barely tie Faroe Islands yesterday (penalty kick at 87' mark) note that essentially that is the same level of Moldova club that beat Andorra last June while Romania hammered neighboring Moldova last November by a 5-0 count. That is just one example of the disparity between these clubs. Another is that Romania has beaten Andorra 4 straight times by a combined score of 14 to 1. This one also has blowout written all over it and so I am willing to lay the price here to have the goal line at less than 2 in this one. ROMANIA -1.5 -150 |
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03-23-23 | Estonia v. Hungary OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
International Friendly Thursday OVER 2.5 in Hungary vs Estonia @ 2:30 ET - This is very similar to yesterday's play on the over 2.5 in Ireland and that one had 4 goals by half-time and finished with a total of 5 goals scored. Hungary is favored to win this match by 1.5 goals on the goal line. That means decent odds they could even win this match by a multi-goal margin but I really like the fact they are about a -300 favorite on the money line and yet decent odds on Estonia scoring at least 1 goal in this one. Yes it sets up to be a bit of a mismatch but if that is the case also don't be surprised if Hungary wins 3-0 as they have averaged scoring 3.3 goals in last 3 meetings with Estonia. However, I really do not expect a clean sheet here. Don't be surprised if this match instead finishes 2-1 or 3-1 as I do expect Estonia to make the net ripple at least once. Across all competitions, Estonia has scored at least 1 goal in 6 straight matches and averaged 1.8 goals scored in those half-dozen matches. As for Hungary, they have scored at least 1 goal in 11 of last 13 matches and have averaged 1.6 goals scored in last 12 matches. Considering they will be without their top goalie choice here, there are even higher odds that Estonia scores at least once in this one and that puts a little more pressure on Hungary to score so I am expecting a 2-1 final at a minimum but more likely 3-1. Either way, I am looking for 3 here at least! OVER 2.5 in Hungary |
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03-21-23 | Plymouth Argyle v. Accrington OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 40 m | Show |
English League One Tuesday OVER 2.5 in Accrington Stanley vs Plymouth Argyle @ 3:45 ET - Accrington having a rough season but they are on their home pitch here and should do some damage against a Plymouth side that has allowed 1.5 goals per match as travelers this season. However, the key to the over is Accrington has allowed 3 or more goals in each of last 3 meetings with Plymouth! I just can not see that coming to an end here as Accrington is on a 4-match winless run and has allowed an average of 2 goals per match during this stretch. Plymouth has scored at least 2 goals in 4 of last 5 matches but also has allowed an average of 4 goals in last two road matches. This one should be very entertaining if you like goals! OVER 2.5 in Accrington Stanley |
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03-19-23 | Rapid Bucuresti v. CFR Cluj OVER 2 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday OVER 2 in CFR Cluj vs Rapid @ 1 ET - Not only have 5 straight CFR Cluj matches in league action totaled at least 3 goals these matches have averaged 4.4 goals apiece. Getting a total of 2 goals here is a great value! CFR Cluj has scored an average of 2 goals in last 14 matches as a host in league action. As for Rapid, 17 of last 20 matches have totaled at least 2 goals. Those 17 matches averaged 3 goals per match and this one should get to that number too! OVER 2 in CFR Cluj |
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03-19-23 | Fulham v. Manchester United -1 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
English FA Cup Sunday Manchester United -1 -145 vs Fulham @ 12:30 ET - I like the ability to get Manchester United at -1 goal here. They should dominate this one in the quarterfinals. They have gone 4-0 with one draw in their last 5 meetings with Fulham and they won those 4 matches by a an average score of 3-1 which is the type of match I am expecting here. Looking at EPL results for guidance here, note that Manchester United has lost just once in 13 home matches this season and has outscored the opposition 24 to 8. As for Fulham, they have 6 road losses in their 13 EPL matches away from home and this is, of course, a tough match-up. Overall, in all competitions, Man U has allowed a TOTAL of only ONE goal in last THREE matches while Fulham has allowed THREE goals in EACH of last TWO matches! Look for a home blowout here. MANCHESTER UNITED -1 -145 |
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03-19-23 | Crystal Palace v. Arsenal OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 37 m | Show |
EPL Sunday OVER 2.5 in Arsenal vs Crystal Palace @ 10 AM ET - Look for Crystal Palace to get a jolt with the firing of their manager Friday. However, Arsenal will still prove to be too much. The point is though that I do expect Palace to finally get something going offensively after their manager and 3 other coaches had their duties with the club terminated on Friday. Crystal Palace will give a better effort here and Arsenal does have some defensive injuries so don't be surprised if Palace gets a goals here. However, Arsenal is a huge favorite here for a reason and I am expecting at least a 2-1 final if not 3-1 or even 3-0 or 4-1 works fine for our purposes here as we just need 3 goals to be a winner! Arsenal off a frustrating 1-1 result against Sporting Lisbon in Europe League action in which they lost on penalty kicks. Arsenal entered that match having averaged 3 goals scored per match in their 6 matches across all competitions preceding that one. With that said, look for a huge response from the hosts here and they should be relentless on the attack throughout as they make up for that disappointment in the Europa League. OVER 2.5 in Arsenal |
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03-18-23 | Burnley v. Manchester City OVER 3 | Top | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
English FA Cup, Quarterfinals Saturday OVER 3 in Manchester City vs Burnley @ 1:45 ET - Burnley plays much more of a free-flowing attacking style under Vincent Kompany compared to they defensive style they had under Sean Dyche. This should lead to plenty of goals here no matter who sits and who plays for Manchester City here. Note that City has scored 2.8 goals per match in winning each of last 5 meetings with Burnley. Also, Manchester City enters this match off a huge 7-0 win versus RB Leipzig and they continue piling up goals at home. Burnley is having a huge season and scoring an average of 2 goals per match in their English League Championship campaign. City is scoring an average of 3.3 goals in English Premier League matches when they are at home. OVER 3 in Manchester City |
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03-18-23 | Leicester v. Brentford OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 45 m | Show |
EPL Saturday OVER 2.5 in Brentford vs Leicester @ 11 AM ET - We should see plenty of scoring here as the last 4 meetings between these clubs have all totaled at least 3 goals and have averaged 3.5 goals apiece. Also, on the season in EPL action, Leicester's average score in road matches is averaging 4 goals! Brentford's average score in home matches is a 2-1 aggregate score totaling 3 goals! That said, looking for at least 3, if not 4, goals in this one! Take advantage of the rather low total here as we got solid line value here. OVER 2.5 in Brentford |
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03-18-23 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Southampton OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-3 | Win | 105 | 4 h 40 m | Show |
EPL Saturday OVER 2.5 in Southampton vs Tottenham @ 11 AM ET - I know recent trending from these clubs might scare you with this over but note that Southampton has been aggressive on the attack but just has not been getting the results. On their home pitch, they could surprise here. I also like the fact that Tottenham finally got going on the attack in a 3-1 victory in most recent EPL match. It had been a long-time coming and I look for the Hotspur to build off that as they now face the club in the basement of the league table. Though Southampton is having a rough season, there have been some signs they are about to turn it around...at least in terms of creating goal-scoring chances. That said, I like the fact that 4 of the last 5 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals as well! Note that the 5 matches averaged 4.4 goals and I look for yet another high-scoring battle between these clubs here. OVER 2.5 in Southampton |
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03-17-23 | Newcastle United v. Nottingham Forest OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 115 | 9 h 21 m | Show |
EPL Friday OVER 2.5 in Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle United @ 4 ET - Solid line value here because Newcastle is favored for a reason of course but Nottingham has scored at least 1 goal in all but one of their home matches this season. So as bad as Nottingham is in terms of scoring away from home they usually put up a strong fight at home. At the same time, Newcastle knows they need to be more aggressive and start making sure they pick up 3 points in the table rather than being stuck on draws earning just 1 point. Looking for at least a 2-1 final here. Nottingham desperate to avoid relegation and it looks like it is going to be a fierce battle in that regard which makes the full 3 points even more important. Newcastle has allowed 1.6 goals in last 5 matches. Nottingham allowing 2 goals per match on the season. OVER 2.5 in Nottingham Forest |
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03-17-23 | SV Werder Bremen v. Borussia Monchengladbach OVER 3 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
German Bundesliga Friday OVER 3 in Borussia Monchengladbach vs Werder Bremen @ 3:30 ET - The last two meetings between these clubs have each totaled 6 goals! Borussia Monchengladbach is scoring an average of 2 goals per match as a host this season. Also, Werder Bremen is conceding an average of 2 goals per match on the road this season. However, Werder Bremen should also score well here as they have scored 7 goals in the last 2 meetings and have averaged scoring 2 goals in last 3 matches overall. Also, Borussia Monchengladbach has one scoreless draw last 5 matches but, in the other 4, they allowed 3.3 goals per match. OVER 3 in Borussia Monchengladbach |
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03-16-23 | Sporting Lisbon v. Arsenal OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -140 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
Europa League Thursday OVER 2.5 -140 in Arsenal vs Sporting Lisbon @ 4 ET - The first match between these clubs was a 2-2 draw and that means both clubs are motivated to be on the attack here early on and getting that early goal will be top of mind and force the other club to fight back. The thing is that Arsenal has allowed some goals recently with, prior to the 3-0 win over Fulham, having given up 2 goals apiece against Sporting Lisbon and AFC Bournemouth. As for Sporting Lisbon they will be missing a mid-field and a centre-back here which should make the Arsenal attack even more successful. Sporting Lisbon has averaged 2.4 goals scored last 5 matches and Arsenal is on their home pitch here plus has scored an average of 3 goals last 4 matches. Honestly 3-2 would not surprise me at all here and certainly we should get to at least a 2-1 final in this one. OVER 2.5 -140 in Arsenal |
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03-16-23 | U Craiova 1948 v. Sepsi OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 107 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Thursday OVER 2 -145 in Sepsi vs U Craiova 1948 @ 3 ET - Neither club has been scoring well recently in last few matches but Sepsi is on their home pitch and they have to push hard here. That is because they are 1 point behind U Craiova 1948 so they can not settle for a draw here as then they would remain behind them in the standings. This is the final match of the regular season so it does carry some extra importance in this regard. So Sepsi pushes hard for that first goal but also U Craiova 1948 then will need to push too because they need at least a draw here to remain ahead of Sepsi in the standings. That said, I just can not envision this match not getting to at least a 2-1 final due to the motivational factors here. OVER 2 -145 in Sepsi |
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03-15-23 | Liverpool v. Real Madrid OVER 3 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -118 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
Champions League Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 3 in Real Madrid vs Liverpool @ 4 ET - Liverpool has to go for it here. They were up 2-0 in the first match and then lost 5-2 to Real Madrid. Down 3 goals on the aggregate, Liverpool has no choice but to be aggressive here. Of course this will be dangerous as Real Madrid can do damage on the counterattack. This is particularly true with Benzema expected back for this one for the hosts. That said, the result should be plenty of scoring in this match. Remember Liverpool did recently thrash Manchester United 7-0 so there is some sliver of hope here for the Reds though it would take a minor miracle of course to win big on the road here at Real Madrid. That said, I am simply looking for a score-fest here as Liverpool must be aggressive throughout in this one. 10* OVER 3 in Real Madrid |
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03-15-23 | Crystal Palace v. Brighton & Hove Albion -1 | Top | 0-1 | Push | 0 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
EPL Wednesday 10* Top Play Brighton & Hove Goal Line -1 -130 vs Crystal Palace @ 3:30 ET - Crystal Palace has been horrible of late not only in terms of scoring goals but in terms of even registering a shot on goal. That said, just can not see them keeping up with a Brighton & Hove club that is on their home pitch and has had plenty of multi-goal outputs this season. I am looking for a 2-0 type final here. Brighton & Hove still seeking redemption for frustrating 1-1 draw at Crystal Palace in mid-February. This is payback time here and Palace has not scored in 3 straight matches while the hosts in this one have scored 3 goals per match last two matches. 10* BRIGHTON Goal Line -1 -130 |
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03-15-23 | Brentford v. Southampton OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
EPL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +120 in Southampton vs Brentford @ 3:30 ET - I know that Southampton is off a scoreless draw with Manchester United but both clubs had plenty of scoring chances and that one is serving to give us some line value here. The last 3 meetings between these clubs have averaged 3.7 goals per match and all 3 totaled at least 3 goals. Southampton will respond at home here after being delivered a clean sheet last week but Brentford is favored here with good reason. I am looking for the Bees to take this 2-1 but regardless of the winner I feel the best value is the over because I expect both clubs to find the back of the net and neither team to settle for a draw. Southampton can move out of the relegation spots by picking up a full 3 points in the table here and Brentford also pushing hard for a full 3 points after their 12-match unbeaten run came to an end last week with a tough loss. Brentford averaged scoring 2 goals in going 2-0-2 since the start of February and will get back on track here. But the Saints put up a tough fight at home here as they host the Bees. The result should be at least 3 goals. 10* OVER 2.5 in Southampton |
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03-14-23 | RB Leipzig v. Manchester City OVER 3 | Top | 0-7 | Win | 105 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
Champions League Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 3 goals +105 in Manchester City vs RB Leipzig @ 4 ET - With the first meeting in RB Leipzig ending in a 1-1 draw, I feel certain that Manchester City is going to be relentless here on the attack as they let that match slip away after getting a 1-0 lead and trying to sit on it. Keep in mind, the two meetings between these clubs prior to that one saw an average of 6 goals scored including a wild 6-3 win here for Manchester City the last time they hosted. RB Leipzig is known for being a high-scoring club but, of course, so too is City. Here Manchester City is at home where they are at their best and they are entering this match off a tight 1-0 win at Crystal Palace. They entered that match having scored 3 goals per match in their 3 prior matches so I expect them to respond big here and get back to high-scoring ways considering the current 1-1 aggregate situation with RB Leipzig here too. I just do not see high-scoring RB Leipzig being shut out here and, of course, City is favored by a 1.5 margin on the goal line for a reason. In other words, look for a 3-1 type of match here as both clubs push hard with the pace and aggressiveness on the attack. The result should be a solid over and I love the value of the over 3 available at plus money in this one. 10* OVER 3 goals +105 in Manchester City |
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03-13-23 | Salernitana v. AC Milan OVER 3 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
Italian Serie A Monday 10* Top Play OVER 3 goals +110 in AC Milan vs Salernitana @ 3:45 ET - AC Milan has scored 2 goals in each of last 3 meetings between these clubs. However Salernitana has scored in each of the last two meetings as well including earning a 2-2 draw in one of those. AC Milan will be fired up here as they played a boring scoreless draw with Tottenham in most recent UEFA Champions League action plus they lost in most recent Italian Serie A action as well. That 2-1 loss to Fiorentina insures proper focus from AC Milan in this one and they get back on track with a big win. I know some of the metrics here will point toward an under but Salernitana has gone undefeated last two matches including a 3-0 win in one of those. They also have scored against AC Milan in each of last two meetings so they have multiple reasons for some extra confidence entering this one. However, the hosts are a large favorite for a reason and fully expected to win this match by a multiple-goal margin. The result should be a solid over and I love the value of the over 3 available at plus money in this one. 10* OVER 3 goals +110 in AC Milan |
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03-13-23 | Universitatea Cluj v. CFR Cluj OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 105 | 10 h 0 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -135 in CFR Cluj vs Universitatea Cluj @ 2:30 ET - Of course CFR Cluj is a pricey favorite for a reason here and I do expect them to roll in this one. Either way, looking for a lot of goals because Universitatea Cluj on a 5-game unbeaten run that has seen them average scoring 1.8 goals per match. Not only that, Universitatea Cluj won their most recent road match 1-0 but that was against a Hermannstadt club that struggles to score goals particularly at home. Prior to that 1-0 win, Universitatea Cluj had allowed an average of 2.1 goals per match their last 7 road matches. So you can see why I am expecting them to score well here but also to struggle to stop the opposition. That is particularly true when you when you consider that the opposition is one of the top clubs in the league and has been scoring well. CFR Cluj won the first meeting between these clubs 2-1 and also enters this match on fire in the goal-scoring department in their league matches. CFR Cluj has scored an average of 3 goals per match last 4 matches in league action. Overall, their last 5 matches have all totaled at least 2 goals and actually those averaged 4 goals apiece. Each of last 4 matches totaled at least 3 goals and this one will too. 10* OVER 2 goals -135 in CFR Cluj |
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03-13-23 | Voluntari v. Chindia Targoviste OVER 2 | Top | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 7 h 20 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals in Chindia Targoviste vs FC Voluntari @ 11:30 AM ET - Chindia Targoviste has allowed 2 goals in 4 of last 5 matches. Chindia Targoviste has been shutout in 3 straight matches but this is now their season finale and they are on their home pitch. Prior to the rough goal-less patch, Chindia Targoviste had scored an average of 1.8 goals in last 5 matches and they will get back on track here. Chindia Targoviste won first meeting with FC Voluntari 3-0 earlier this season and that was the 2nd time in last 3 meetings that the match had totaled 3 goals. Also, Chindia Targoviste enters this one with 14 of their last 16 matches having totaled at least 2 goals. FC Voluntari comes into this one on a surprising 3-match streak of clean sheets. That will not continue here. FC Voluntari is off a scoreless draw but this was preceded by 9 of last 11 matches totaling at least 2 goals. Each of last 5 matches for FC Voluntari that made it to the 2-goal mark actually got to the 3-goal mark and this one will too. 10* OVER 2 goals in Chindia Targoviste |
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03-12-23 | Sepsi v. Steaua Bucharesti OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in FCSB vs Sepsi @ 3 ET - This one sets up well for plenty of goals based on the current trending of these two clubs plus current situation with the standings. I expect plenty of push from both clubs here to get points in the table. 5 of last 7 FCSB matches have totaled at least 3 goals and, in fact, those 5 matches averaged 4 goals. 7 of last 12 Sepsi matches have totaled at least 3 goals and each of those dozen matches totaled 2 goals and actually averaged 3 goals apiece. So no matches of just a goal or less since October for Sepsi and these dozen matches averaged 3 goals apiece. That is value here with this total at 2.5 goals and I am looking for plenty of fireworks here. Given the situation now, look for a much different match than we saw in the 1-0 final earlier this season. Sepsi still has another match Thursday and they are pushing hard for points in the table here but you know FCSB is favored for a reason here in their season finale. Look for at least a 2-1 finish here! 10* OVER 2.5 goals in FCSB |
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03-12-23 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Newcastle United OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 120 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +120 in Newcastle United vs Wolverhampton @ 12:30 ET - This is a contrarian play but Newcastle simply must start winning again and, after facing a tough slate of opposition, they should go all out here at home against Wolverhampton. Note that the Wolves have been scoring more goals since Julen Lopetegui took over. They also have only 5 draws in 25 matches this season. Also, in the last 15 meetings between these clubs in premier league action, only 1 has been a match in which both teams did not score. In other words, history plus the situation here favors both clubs scoring. Newcastle has actually conceded 2 goals in 3 straight matches and has conceded at least 1 goal in 6 straight matches. So I am projecting a 2-1 final here based on the above parameters and we get plus money here. I expect that, given the situation, Newcastle is finally going to be relentless on the attack here but I do expect Wolverhampton, rejuvenated under Lopetegui, to push hard in this one as well. They have scored 7 goals in last 5 matches and 3 in last 3 road matches. Newcastle is projected by most to win this match by a 1 goal margin and I am looking for a 2-1 final and will grab the plus money on this over. 10* OVER 2.5 +120 in Newcastle United |
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03-12-23 | U Craiova 1948 +141 v. Hermannstadt | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 52 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play U Craiova 1948 Money Line +140 @ Hermannstadt @ 12:15 ET - U Craiova 1948 has gone undefeated last 10 matches with 3 draws and 7 wins. The 7 victories by a combined score of 15 to 3 and more domination likely here. Hermannstadt has scored just 1 goal in last 4 matches and that 1 goal did not result in a win either. So yes, a draw is a loss for us here but I love this money line as I fully expect U Craiova 1948 to go for the full 3 points in the table here and go hard for the win. The road club has gone undefeated last 10 overall while the home club is winless last 4 as a host. We'll take it! 10* U Craiova 1948 Money Line +140 |
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03-12-23 | Arsenal v. Fulham OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 4 h 22 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Fulham vs Arsenal @ 10 AM ET - Fulham is hurting without Palhinha patrolling the midfield and it has made them more susceptible to opposing attacks as Brentford exposed them last week. This will be the 2nd of his 2-match ban and Arsenal is sure to take advantage. However, the Arsenal backline has not exactly been water-tight of late and Fulham at home should be able to have some success on the attack as well. The result should be solid scoring here. Fulham has scored an average of 1.8 goals their last 6 matches across all competitions. Arsenal has seen 5 of last 6 matches across all competitions total at least 4 goals! We only need 3 here to be a winner and we should get at least that as Arsenal has only 1 draw in 13 road matches this season and odds favor each club scoring at least once here and that low draw rate for Arsenal means the odds also favor at least a 2-1 final here! 10* OVER 2.5 in Fulham |
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03-11-23 | Rapid Bucuresti v. Farul Constanta 1920 OVER 2 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -120 in Farul vs Rapid @ 1:30 ET - These are two of the top clubs in the league yet both are off shutout losses. That sets this one up well for goals from both clubs and an eventual 2-1 final at a minimum in my opinion. Rapid, prior to last week, had been shutout 5 times this season. After those 5 matches they responded every single team and scored an average of 2.2 goals! As for Farul, they also had been shutout 5 times prior to last week's action. After those 5 matches they also responded in their very next match and averaged 1.8 goals in those 5. As you can see, the situational history here shows us a match that should get to 4 goals and we only need 3 to be a winner and if it lands on 2 it is still a push. A lot of value here and we will not pass up the investment opportunity here. 10* OVER 2 goals -120 in Farul |
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03-11-23 | Manchester City v. Crystal Palace OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -119 | 6 h 18 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Crystal Palace vs Manchester City @ 12:30 ET - We get line value here because Crystal Palace is not expected to score much, if at all, in this one. However, I do expect them to find the back of the net at least once as they are on their home pitch and I am expecting Manchester City to be aggressive on the attack which could give the hosts some opportunities on the counterattack as well. So all factors considered, this one shapes up for a 3-1 final the way I see it. That said, even if City wins but only by a goal (2-1) or if Palace fails to score but City still rolls 3-0 you can see that we cash our ticket here courtesy of the low total. The fact is City has their attack rolling again and has averaged 3 goals per match last 3 matches. As for Palace, they are averaging 1 goal scored per home match. Also, the last meeting between these clubs was a 4-2 final. Even if we only get half of that here we cash in. I like our chances in that regard. 10* OVER 2.5 in Crystal Palace |
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03-11-23 | Petrolul 52 v. Arges OVER 2 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -139 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -130 in FC Arges vs Petrolul Ploiesti @ 10:30 AM ET - We have to lay some extra juice here but having the over at 2 goals is an exceptional value. Petrolul Ploiesti off 1-0 loss but, prior to that, their last 21 matches averaged 3 goals apiece! Only 3 of the 21 matches failed to get to the 2-goal mark. As for FC Arges, their two matches in March have been low-scoring but, prior to this, their last 11 matches averaged 2.5 goals apiece and only 2 of the 11 matches failed to reach the 2-goal mark. Excellent value here and you can see why I am expecting each club to score at least once here and, by the way, no team has fewer draws (3) than Petrolul Ploiesti this season and that means look for at least a 2-1 final here as the visitors also are inclined to go for the full 3 points in the table due to their current positioning there. This is the final week of the regular season. 10* OVER 2 goals -130 in FC Arges |
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03-11-23 | Nottingham Forest v. Tottenham Hotspur -1.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 125 | 4 h 17 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play Tottenham -1.5 goals +125 vs Nottingham Forest @ 10 AM ET - Tottenham has played horribly of late so this is the perfect spot for them to bounce back in a big way. The Hotspur are at home and hosting a Nottingham Forest club that has won only one road match all season and been outscored by an aggregate of 29 to 3 in away matches on the season! I know they have been more competitive of late but you still can not ignore their road struggles. Tottenham has struggled badly in non-league action but within the league and in home matches they have been solid. The Hotspur have won 9 of 13 home matches and scored an average of 2 goals per match. So in this one they should get a multi-goal win the way I see it. History is on their side with each of the last 4 meetings (including two recent ones in 2022) featuring multi-goal wins for Tottenham. The aggregate score of the victories was 10 to 1 and this shapes up to be another blowout. 10* TOTTENHAM -1.5 goals +125 |
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03-10-23 | UTA Arad v. CS U Craiova OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +120 in Universitatea Craiova vs UTA @ 1:30 ET - Universitatea Craiova won the last meeting between these clubs 2-1. Universitatea Craiova has won 4 straight home matches and has scored an average of 2 goals per match in those. However, I do not expect them to shutdown UTA here. Note that UTA's last 7 matches have seen 5 of them total at least 3 goals and UTA has scored at least 1 goal in 18 of last 23 matches. Of course, the fact that Universitatea Craiova is favored here on the money line is with a good reason as it is the most probable outcome. Considering that plus the strong odds that UTA will find the back of the net at least once, you can see why I am expecting at least a 2-1 final in this one. That means the over 2.5 goals at +120 is offering sizable line value and I will not pass this up. 10* OVER 2.5 goals +120 in Universitatea Craiova |
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03-09-23 | Betis v. Manchester United -1.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 120 | 8 h 43 m | Show |
UEFA Europa League, Round of 16 Thursday 10* Top Play Manchester United -1.5 goals +120 vs Real Betis @ 3 ET - Manchester United beat Barcelona 2-1 to advance to this state. Barcelona's only goal in that match came on a penalty kick. The point is that Barcelona is at the top of La Liga and vastly superior to Real Betis. If Man U was able to knock off the top team 2-1 they can definitely beat Real Betis by a multi-goal margin here at home. Manchester United has scored at least 2 goals in 14 straight home matches and has a long unbeaten run here too. They also enter this match off a humiliating 7-0 loss to Liverpool so you know the hosts are going to bring a very strong effort to this match as they look to get right back on track by dominating on their home pitch. Considering the embarrassing outcome against Liverpool, the hosts will be relentless here and should win comfortably by a multi-goal margin. 10* MANCHESTER UNITED -1.5 goals +120 |
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03-08-23 | AC Milan v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 45 m | Show |
UEFA Champions League, Round of 16 Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +105 in Tottenham vs AC Milan @ 3 ET - Tottenham has their manager back from his medical leave and they also are on their home pitch. Good combo to expect renewed scoring here as they are also needing a big win considering they are down 1-0 to Milan so far on the aggregate. Tottenham has scored a pair of goal in each of last two home matches. Milan has allowed an average of 2 goals in last 9 matches away from home across all competitions. However, Milan has also scored at least 1 goal in 5 straight matches. You can see why I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here and we get an added boost as AC Milan gets some key players back too including an attacker and a midfielder. Look for an entertaining battle here that totals 3 or more goals. 10* OVER 2.5 in Tottenham |
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03-07-23 | Borussia Dortmund v. Chelsea OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
UEFA Champions League, Round of 16 Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Chelsea vs Borussia Dortmund @ 3 ET - Chelsea has been struggling to score goals so this is a contrarian play so to speak. However, the play has certainly been made with good reasoning behind why this is a great match in which to be a contrarian. Dortmund won the first meeting 1-0 so Chelsea must win here to avoid being knocked out. Look for them to be aggressive on their home pitch as a result. I look for Chelsea to be on the attack and score early in this one and that will force Dortmund to respond. In turn, Chelsea again pushes hard for a deciding goal here. So the point is, more scoring than one would expect normally as the team that has been in lower-scoring of mode here simply can not afford to sit back in this game, they need to be aggressive. Then, as for Dortmund, they have been the higher scoring club of late and will respond from behind if needed. Note that Dortmund has scored at least 2 goals in 8 of last 10 matches across all competitions. One of the only two exceptions was the 1-0 victory over Chelsea in the first meeting between these clubs. The rematch likely to play out in much different fashion per all the key factors above! 10* OVER 2.5 in Chelsea |
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03-06-23 | Fulham v. Brentford OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 102 | 11 h 32 m | Show |
EPL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Brentford vs Fulham @ 3 ET - These clubs are both on long unbeaten runs so they are playing with quite a bit of confidence here. I look for that to lead to plenty of goals in this one. I expect each club to score at least once and then both clubs to push for that second goal and this one to end 2-1 at a minimum. Fulham has scored an average of 1.8 goals last 5 matches across all competitions. Brentford has scored an average of 2.2 goals in last 5 home matches in premier league action. Each of last 3 meetings between these clubs across all competitions have totaled at least 3 goals and the one earlier this season totaled 5 goals. More of the same expected here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Brentford |
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03-06-23 | CFR Cluj v. Sepsi OVER 2.25 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 103 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 -140 in Sepsi vs CFR Cluj @ 1:30 ET - These are 2 of the top 4 scoring clubs in the league this season. There is over 2 goals available if willing to lay a bit of a higher price and certainly I would recommend that in case this match lands on 2 goals. I am expecting 3 or more though. Sepsi's last 11 matches all have totaled at least 2 goals and these 11 matches have averaged 3 goals apiece! The last 4 CFR Cluj matches in league action all have totaled at least 2 goals and have averaged 4 goals. Also, CFR Cluj has scored at least 1 goal in all but 1 of their 14 league road matches so far this season. They have averaged scoring 1.64 goals per match on the road in league matches this season. Sepsi off a shutout loss at Farul but will bounce back at home and they had averaged scoring 2 goals per match last 10 matches prior to that shutout loss. The high-scoring ways resume for both clubs here. 10* OVER 2 -140 in Sepsi |
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03-05-23 | Steaua Bucharesti v. UTA Arad OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals in UTA vs FCSB @ 2 ET - You have to lay some extra juice to have the over 2 goals here but is a nice safety net per se should this game land on exactly 2 goals. I am expecting 3 or more but having the over 2 is a good value. FCSB has been red hot and scoring plenty of goals. FCSB has scored 2 goals per match last 6 matches and is undefeated last 5 matches with 4 wins and a draw. Last 6 matches have averaged 3 goals apiece and 5 of the 6 totaled at least 3 goals. 4 of last 5 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 2 goals and the last 2 have each totaled 3 goals. UTA is off a 2-1 loss on the road. Prior to that they did go scoreless in most recent home match but that was preceded by 12 of first 13 home matches this season totaling at least 2 goals. In fact, those 12 matches averaged 3 goals apiece. UTA does tend to score better at home than on the road so they will put up a fight here for sure. However, FCSB is favored for a reason and that is why I am looking for a 2-1 type final here. 10* OVER 2 in UTA |
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03-05-23 | Manchester United v. Liverpool OVER 2.75 | Top | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 19 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Liverpool vs Manchester United @ 11:30 AM ET - I know Liverpool has not been scoring well of late but they do average 2.3 goals scored per match on their home pitch in league action. Also, Manchester United has been on a recent run where they are scoring 2 or more goals on a consistent basis. If you look at their history for months now, almost every match across all competitions, Manchester United scores multiple goals. In this case, they will bring their A game for sure against Liverpool. This is a clash of titans so to speak but I expect it to be rather wide open because this has been the nature of Manchester United matches for some time now. More of the same here. The last 5 matches between these have averaged 4.4 goals apiece and all 5 of them totaled 5 goals and 4 straight had totaled 4 goals before the Manchester United 2-1 win earlier this season at home. Now the reverse fixture at Liverpool should be another high-scoring match-up as their solid scoring ways at home resume here. Like I said, I know the Reds have been a little quieter of late in the goal-scoring department but this one will bring out the best in them. 10* OVER 2.5 in Liverpool |
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03-05-23 | Everton v. Nottingham Forest OVER 2 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 53 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Nottingham Forest vs Everton @ 9 AM ET - I am not surprised at all to see a 2 on this game as the total as Nottingham Forest has been strong defensively at home and Everton has struggled so badly to score goals on enemy soil this season. However, this is rare to get a 2 as the total on a Premier League match and I will not hesitate to grab the value here with this total. Keep in mind, Everton has conceded 1.7 goals per match this season when on the road. Also, Nottingham Forest has seen their matches on their home pitch average 2.3 goals apiece. We should get to at least 2 goals here but truly expecting a 2-1 final because this is a battle involving two relegation-threatened teams so picking up the full 3 points in the table is critical. Both teams combine for an average draw rate of 25% but just can't see this one ending 1-1 but, even if it did, we get our money back and move on. But truly expecting 3 or more goals here as both teams pushing so hard for the victory here. 10* OVER 2 in Nottingham Forest |
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03-05-23 | CS U Craiova v. Petrolul 52 OVER 2 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -125 | 4 h 28 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Petrolul Ploiesti vs Universitatea Craiova @ 8:30 AM ET - 18 of last 21 Petrolul Ploiesti matches have totaled at least 2 goals. In fact, those 21 matches averaged 3 goals apiece and I am looking for at least that here. Petrolul Ploiesti has, in fact, allowed 3 goals per match last 6 games. Universitatea Craiova won the first meeting 2-1. They enter this match off B2B 1-0 matches but this followed 8 of 10 matches totaling at least 2 goals and those 8 matches averaged 2.5 goals apiece. Petrolul Ploiesti has only 3 draws in 28 matches this season so if you like each club to score here you can also expect that match will not end 1-1 either! By the way, Petrolul Ploiesti has allowed at least 1 goal in 8 of last 9 matches. Universitatea Craiova has allowed at least 1 goal in 15 of last 17 matches. 10* OVER 2 in Petrolul Ploiesti |
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03-04-23 | Hermannstadt v. Rapid Bucuresti OVER 2 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 6 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Rapid Bucuresti vs Hermannstadt @ 1 ET - I know Hermannstadt has been struggling to score goals but they have been particularly bad on their home pitch. I look for them to scratch for a goal here on the road. As for Rapid, they have been one of the hotter clubs around for quite some time now. They have been scoring goals quite well and that should continue here. 16 of last 18 Rapid matches have totaled at least 2 goals and, in fact, those 16 matches have averaged 3 goals apiece. 7 of last 10 Hermannstadt matches have totaled at least 2 goals. This one should too and I do expect 3 or more given the circumstances. Usually when off a home shutout, Hermannstadt's next match totals at least two goals. This one should too as the strong push for Rapid up the table continues in the penultimate match for them. 10* OVER 2 in Rapid Bucuresti |
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03-04-23 | Leicester v. Southampton OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 16 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Southampton vs Leicester @ 12:30 ET - Leicester road matches have averaged 4 goals per match on the season. As you would expect, that is the highest average in the Premier League this season. As for Southampton, 5 of last 7 matches across all competitions have totaled at least 3 goals. So this match should see at least a 2-1 final given the above trending plus the fact both clubs are desperate for the full 3 points in the table. Southampton is at the very bottom of the table but will see this match as a great opportunity to pick up a full 3 points in the table because they are hosting a Leicester club that is relegation threatened and not far above the drop zone. 10* OVER 2.5 in Southampton |
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03-03-23 | RB Leipzig v. Borussia Dortmund OVER 3 | Top | 1-2 | Push | 0 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
German Bundesliga Friday 10* Top Play OVER 3 goals +105 in Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig @ 2:30 ET - This is a match-up of two of the top six clubs in the Bundesliga and I am expecting plenty of goals. Each club has averaged scoring 2 goals per match this season. Also, Borussia Dortmund has been particularly lethal at home where they are scoring an average of 3 goals per match. RB Leipzig is allowing 1.5 goals per match on enemy soil this season. The visitors are very hungry for the full 3 points in the table in this one as they look to close the gap on Borussia Dortmund. Also, I would say the likelihood of a draw is slim as only 1 of 22 matches this season for Borussia Dortmund has ended in a draw. So with each high-scoring club likely to get on the board at least once here plus the fact that odds on a draw are slim, you have excellent odds of this match getting to at least 3 goals though I am expecting 4+ for sure. Each of the last 5 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals and 3 of the last 5 totaled 5 goals including each of the last two matches here. More of the same on tap in this one at Signal Iduna Park. 10* OVER 3 goals +105 in Borussia Dortmund |
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03-03-23 | Farul Constanta 1920 v. Universitatea Cluj OVER 2 | Top | 0-2 | Push | 0 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Universitatea Cluj vs Farul @ 1 ET - Farul is at the top of the table with 2 weeks left in the regular season but CFR Cluj is right behind them and keeping the pressure on after winning again yesterday versus UTA. That said, Farul can not afford to settle for a draw here and I do look for them to have a challenging match with Universitatea Cluj in this one. Note that Farul did win the first match-up between these clubs 2-0 but that one was at Constanta. Now the clubs meet at Universitatea Cluj where these hosts have scored 2 goals in 3 of their last 4 matches since the winter break. Overall, Universitatea Cluj has been trending toward higher-scoring matches. They are off a low-scoring win but that had a lot to do with facing the punchless attack of Hermannstadt. Prior to that, 6 of last 7 Universitatea Cluj totaled 2 or more goals and 5 of the 6 totaled 3 or more goals. In fact, those 6 matches averaged 3.5 goals apiece! As for Farul, they are the highest-scoring club in the league and 20 of their last 23 matches have totaled at least 2 goals. I know Farul has not been allowing many goals of late but they will struggle to shutdown this Universitatea Cluj club which has been so strong recently on its home pitch. 10* OVER 2 in Universitatea Cluj |
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03-02-23 | Barcelona FC v. Real Madrid OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
2022-23 Spanish Copa del Rey, Semifinals Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Real Madrid vs Barcelona @ 3 ET - The last 4 matches between these clubs that were not a club friendly all have totaled at least 4 goals and this one certainly is not a club friendly! This is a big match between two heavyweights from La Liga and I am expecting an intense battle that will end up at least a 2-1 final. I am aware of the personnel issues with each club. This total is just a little on the low side in my opinion as we are getting some extra line value from those personnel issues. Note that Barcelona is off a 1-0 loss but had scored an average of 2 goals per match in their 6 matches prior to that defeat. Both these clubs have scored an average of 2 goals per match in La Liga action this season. Note that Real Madrid has scored an average of 3.5 goals in last 6 matches across all competitions! We are going to see an entertaining match here with plenty of attacking in my opinion. I feel these clubs will not want to let it come down so much to the 2nd leg of this. Look for Real Madrid to be aggressive in trying to establish the upper hand in the 1st of leg of this as they take advantage of their home pitch and that aggression will mean some opportunities for a dangerous Barcelona team on the counterattack as well. 10* OVER 2.5 in Real Madrid |
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03-02-23 | Petrolul 52 v. Steaua Bucharesti OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in FCSB vs Petrolul Ploiesti @ 1 ET - Petrolul Ploiesti does struggle to score goals at times but they should get at least 1 here. FCSB has allowed at least 1 goal in 3 straight matches and in 4 of last 5 matches. In fact, in those 5 matches FCSB has allowed an average of 1.2 goals. The key here is FCSB is a huge favorite with good reasoning. They are likely to win this by a multiple goal margin. But also, lets say Petrolul Ploiesti does get that one goal, is there a chance of a 1-1 draw? Sure there is a chance but actually they have had only 3 draws in 27 matches this season so the odds on that are slim. The fact is this one should get to at least 2-1 but honestly expecting FCSB to get this total for us all by themselves is note necessarily expecting too much. The goal line on this match is 1.5 goals for a reason. Also, FCSB has averaged 2 goals scored per match last 13 matches and now they face a Petrolul Ploiesti club that has allowed 2.5 goals per match last 8 matches! 10* OVER 2.5 in FCSB |
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03-02-23 | UTA Arad v. CFR Cluj OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 103 | 4 h 40 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -135 in CFR Cluj vs Arad @ 10 AM ET - Arad is off B2B matches in which they did not score. I know we are talking about a bad club here. However, prior to those two matches, 17 of the last 19 Arad matches had totaled at least 2 goals. There is over 2 available on this match and that is how I would recommend to play it. Arad has NEVER gone 3 straight matches without scoring a goal this ENTIRE season and that is in 27 matches! So the odds favor them scoring a goal here but also the odds strongly favor CFR Cluj scoring well too as they are a heavy favorite for a reason. I am looking for at least a 2-1 win for the host but they could also score 3 on their own here. They will be relentless on the attack after settling for a 1-1 draw in the first meeting. That is one of only two draws that CFR Cluj has had in 27 matches this season. So the point is, if Arad gets at least 1, look for the hosts to get at least 2 goals! Looking for CFR Cluj to score plenty here as they are looking to make a run at Farul for top spot in the league and have now scored 8 goals in their past two league matches! 10* OVER 2 in CFR Cluj |
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03-01-23 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Liverpool OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -135 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
EPL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals -135 in Liverpool vs Wolverhampton @ 3 ET - So this could be considered a contrarian play but I love this situation. Everyone sees Liverpool off a scoreless draw and hosting a Wolverhampton team known for struggling to score goals so the first thought that would come to mind, naturally, is under. However, the Reds were off a 5-2 loss to Real Madrid in which they had led 2-0 early. So Liverpool was a bit shell-shocked before their most recent EPL match and it showed in the 0-0 battle. They will bounce back here and they seek revenge against the Wolves from a 3-0 loss earlier this season at Wolverhampton. I do expect Liverpool to respond here and they are a 1-goal favorite on the goal line for a reason. The key to the over is I just do not see them delivering a clean sheet here but they also should score very well. Wolverhampton has averaged 1.5 goals in last 4 meetings with the Reds. However Liverpool has scored at least 2 goals in last two home meetings with the Wolves. Also, Liverpool had scored at least 2 goals in 3 straight matches overall before the scoreless draw with Crystal Palace. Prior to that match, the last 5 Liverpool matches had averaged 3.4 goals. Also, Wolverhampton is known for lower-scoring matches overall but do note that their last 12 road matches across all competitions have averaged 3 goals apiece. Considering that fact plus the situation here, this one has over written all over it. 10* OVER 2.5 goals -135 in Liverpool |
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03-01-23 | Everton v. Arsenal OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
EPL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Arsenal vs Everton @ 2:45 ET - Of course this is a big revenge match for Arsenal and they are a huge money line favorite as a result. They also have a solid chance of winning this game by a multi-goal margin as evidenced by the -110 pricing on the goal line at -1.5 goals in this one! When you consider that plus the fact that Arsenal has conceded at least 1 goal in 14 of last 16 matches on their home pitch, you can see why I like the over in this one. The way I see it, even though Everton has struggled recently to score goals, this has the makings of a 2-1 or 3-1 final here. Everton did dominate play again in the first half of their most recent match but had nothing to show for it. They will therefore want to put the pressure on again here but I also look for revenge-minded Arsenal to be relentless in this match-up. The result should be plenty of scoring and I love the over in this match-up. 10* OVER 2.5 in Arsenal |
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03-01-23 | Rapid Bucuresti +116 v. Botosani | Top | 2-1 | Win | 116 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Wednesday 10* Top Play Rapid Bucuresti +112 @ FC Botosani @ 1:30 ET - FC Botosani is allowing 1.5 goals per match this season and only one club, CS Mioveni, has allowed more and that club is at the very bottom of the table. Indeed, FC Botosani is going to struggle here against Rapid. FC Botosani has allowed 6 goals over their last 3 matches. Rapid has allowed only 6 goals last 9 matches and also has not allowed a goal in either of last two road matches! Rapid is undefeated in last 4 meetings between these clubs and that includes a pair of shutout wins including 3-0 at home and also 2-0 in the most recent meeting here at FC Botosani. Of course, on the 3-way line we do get burned if this match ends in a draw. However, I love the value of the plus money on the money line here and I like the fact that they have picked up 4 solid wins in last 8 matches. Those 4 victories by a combined 12-2 score! This one has road rout potential and, either way, even if it ends 1-0 we'll take it as Rapid has been very tough to score on of late as noted above. 10* RAPID +112 |
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03-01-23 | Arges v. CS U Craiova OVER 2 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -135 | 5 h 34 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -130 in Universitatea Craiova vs FC Arges @ 11 AM ET - Universitatea Craiova is a big money line favorite here with good reason and I feel that should help lead us to a solid over winner in this one. The ability to get this total at over 2 goals is what has me not hesitating to get involved here. Universitatea Craiova is happy to be back on their home pitch where they have scored an average of 2 goals per match last 9 matches! Also, they enter this match having scored at least 2 goals in 3 straight matches at home. Overall, 8 of last 9 matches at Universitatea Craiova have totaled at least 2 goals. FC Arges defeated Universitatea Craiova 1-0 in the first meeting this season but the 3 meetings prior to this all totaled at least 3 goals and averaged 4 goals apiece! Considering that plus the revenge angle, this one should fly over the total. 10* OVER 2 goals -130 in Universitatea Craiova |
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02-28-23 | Manchester City v. Bristol City OVER 3.5 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 60 m | Show |
2022-23 English FA Cup, Fifth Round Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 goals +105 in Bristol City vs Manchester City @ 3 ET - The visitors are favored to win this by a 2-goal margin based on the goal line but I also look for Bristol City to get on the scoresheet as well. They will be on their home pitch and are currently enjoying a long unbeaten run plus have scored at least 1 goal in 11 straight matches across all competitions. Of course they are out-classed here by Manchester City, but they also have scored in each of last 3 meetings with them. I am looking for at least a 3-1 final here though 4-1 or more would also not surprise. We can get the over 3.5 at plus money here and I will not pass up on it as I expect Manchester City to put on a show here. They have scored at least 3 goals in 5 of last 7 premier league matches and off a 4-1 win versus Bournemouth. This one could finish with similar scoreline. In last match outside of premier league action for Manchester City, it was a disappointing 1-1 draw with RB Leipzig in UEFA Champions League action so I expect them to be relentless here. 10* OVER 3.5 goals +105 in Bristol City |
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02-28-23 | Sepsi v. Farul Constanta 1920 OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -50 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -140 in Farul vs Sepsi @ 1:30 ET - I would recommend shopping around here and grabbing the over 2 goals which is available in the -140 price range. I am playing this one fully expecting 3 or more goals but if it lands on 2 we have the added insurance here and, in that case, would get a push rather than a loss. The fact is Farul has had some lower scoring matches of late but they are the highest scoring club (and overall top club) in the league and they are back on their home pitch where they are known for being dominant. Farul is 9-1 in last 10 home matches and they themselves have scored an average of 2.6 goals in those 10 matches! Sepsi has not had a match total less than 2 goals since October! Indeed, 11 straight Sepsi matches have totaled at least 2 goals and, like Farul, they are one of the highest-scoring clubs in the league. Sepsi has scored an average of 2.1 goals last 11 matches! The last 3 matches between these clubs have all ended with just 1-0 finals but this one sets up entirely different! Both clubs are on unbeaten runs and playing very well and so dangerous on the attack and I love how Farul tends to play more of an attacking style when on their home pitch. 10* OVER 2 goals -140 in Farul |
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02-28-23 | U Craiova 1948 v. Chindia Targoviste OVER 2 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -128 | 6 h 31 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Chindia Targoviste vs U Craiova 1948 @ 11 AM ET - The recent matches between these teams have trended toward being lower-scoring but the current way these clubs are playing I am expecting plenty of goals here. We get the added value here of this total being available at 2 goals. Note that Chindia is off a 2-0 loss to Rapid but, prior to this, they themselves had scored 2 goals in 4 straight matches! Also, looking at what both they and their opponent have combined to score, 11 straight Chindia matches have totaled at least 2 goals! The last 7 Chindia matches have averaged 3 goals apiece! As for U Craiova 1948, we have seen 12 of their last 13 matches total at least 2 goals and also 5 straight U Craiova 1948 matches have totaled at least 3 goals! Just like Chindia, the last 7 U Craiova 1948 have averaged 3 goals apiece! 10* OVER 2 in Chindia Targoviste |
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02-27-23 | CFR Cluj v. Petrolul 52 OVER 2 | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -115 in Petrolul Ploiesti vs CFR Cluj @ 1 ET - Here is what you have to ask yourself here...can each team score for us just at least one goal here? If the answer is high probability of a yes then you also have high probability of this one getting to 3 goals as well. Why? Well, neither one of these clubs settles for draws with much frequency at all. Out of all 16 clubs in Romania Liga 1 these two clubs have the fewest draws. Every club in the league has at least 6 draws except for these two as they have TOGETHER totaled only FIVE draws and that is in 52 matches! So the draw rate is less than 10 percent here. Can we expect each club to score and therefore expect at least a 2-1 final here? You bet...literally! CFR Cluj is one of the highest scoring clubs in the league plus had scored in each of first 11 road matches this season before failing to score in most recent one. You know they should bounce back here. CFR Cluj has averaged scoring 1.5 goals per match on the road. Petrolul Ploiesti has struggled recently when on the road but they are a different club when at home! As a host, Petrolul Ploiesti has scored at least 1 goals in 10 of last 12 matches and averaged 1.5 goals scored in those 10 matches. In other words, odds favor at least 3 goals in this one and we have the added value of this total being available at 2 goals. 16 of last 19 Petrolul Ploiesti matches have totaled at least 2 goals. 9 of 13 CFR Cluj road matches have totaled at least 2 goals. 10* OVER 2 goals -115 in Petrolul Ploiesti |
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02-27-23 | Fiorentina v. Verona OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 125 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
Italian Serie A Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +125 in Verona vs Fiorentina @ 12:30 ET - The odds favor this one getting to 3 goals. I like the chances of each club scoring and then look at the fact that Fiorentina has only 3 draws in 11 road matches this season and Verona has only 1 draw in their 12 home matches this season! Also, it is a key battle near the relegation zone so each club pushing hard for the full 3 points in the table. I know Fiorentina has not been scoring all that well in league action but look for them to carry some positive momentum from recent matches outside the league. In the month of February, Fiorentina has played 2 matches in UEFA Europa Conference League and 1 match in Coppa Italia and they won all 3 and scored an average of 3.7 goals in those victories. Overall, across all competitions, Fiorentina has scored at least 1 goals in 6 of last 7 matches. Verona's home matches have averaged nearly 3 goals this season and they have scored an average of 1.5 goals last 6 matches as a host. Verona, however, has allowed nearly 2 goals per match in last 13 as a host. Before a loss at Roma last week, Verona had picked up at least 1 point in the table in 6 of last 7 matches. I like the compete level they have shown since Zaffaroni took over managerial duties during the winter break. Couple that with Fiorentina coming in hot in the goal-scoring department thanks to UEFA Europa Conference League action and you have a great set-up for an over here. 10* OVER 2.5 goals +125 in Verona |
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02-26-23 | Steaua Bucharesti v. Arges OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 101 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in FC Arges vs FCSB @ 1:30 ET - Each of the last 3 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 4 goals! Two of the three, including the one earlier this season, have totaled 5 goals! Look for another one filled with goals here because FCSB comes into this one angry! They are off a disappointing draw and want to respond here. They have scored an average of 2 goals per match in last dozen matches. FC Arges has allowed 1.7 goals last 10 matches. So you can see why I am expecting FCSB to score at least 2 goals here. The key to the win here is two possibilities. One is that FCSB scores at least 3 which they have actually done in each of last 3 meetings between these clubs. The other is just FC Arges at least getting on the board here and they have scored at least 1 goal in 6 of last 9 matches plus they are at home here. 10* OVER 2.5 in FC Arges |
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02-26-23 | Newcastle United v. Manchester United +125 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 125 | 7 h 18 m | Show |
2022-23 English Carabao Cup, Final Sunday 10* Top Play Manchester United Money Line +125 vs Newcastle United @ 11:30 AM ET @ Wembley Stadium in London, England - Going to keep this one rather short and sweet. 3 factors here. The first one is, though I am not into historical data so much when it is too dated, the fact is that certainly Manchester United has the better history than Newcastle United on a stage like this. Secondly, the bigger key right now is that Manchester United is in much better current form than Newcastle United as Man U has won 7 of 9 matches and did not lose any of those 9 matches. Newcastle is off a loss and two draws in last 3 matches and generally continues to struggle goals so the form variation is big here. The third factor is the goalkeeper concern for Newcastle due to a red card being handed out in the most recent match. It looks like a very rusty goalkeeper could be called upon for this one. All these factors add up to solid line value with some plus money available here with the hot side on the 3-way money line. 10* MANCHESTER UNITED +125 |
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02-26-23 | CS U Craiova v. Voluntari OVER 2 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -118 | 6 h 5 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in FC Voluntari vs Universitatea Craiova @ 10:45 AM ET - This FC Voluntari club has endured a losing streak but they have faced a tough schedule of late and there is still fight in this club. The compete level is still there for them and at home they will continue to compete hard. However, Universitatea Craiova is currently 5th in the table and, as such, this is yet another tough battle for FC Voluntari. Look for the end result here to be plenty of scoring. FC Voluntari has seen 4 of last 5 matches total at least 3 goals. We get extra line value here with this total available at 2 goals as FC Voluntari has seen 8 of last 9 matches total at least 2 goals. As for Universitatea Craiova, 8 of last 10 matches have totaled at least 2 goals. I like the fact Universitatea Craiova has scored an average of 1.5 goals last 4 matches but also is facing a host here that will continue to remain ultra competitive. As a result, don't be surprised if this match gets to 1-1 at some point and ends at least a 2-1 final. Prior to a 1-1 draw with a tough FCSB club, Universitatea Craiova had gone 7 straight matches without a draw so look for at least a 2-1 here the way I see it! 10* OVER 2 in FC Voluntari |
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02-26-23 | Chelsea v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 11 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +110 in Tottenham vs Chelsea @ 8:30 AM ET - Chelsea has not been scoring goals of late but they are getting healthier heading into this match and have more attacking options. Look for this one to play out similar to the 2-2 draw earlier this season! Tottenham is averaging 2 goals scored per match at home this season but also allowing 1.5 goals per match overall this season. Chelsea has averaged scoring 2 goals per match in last 5 meetings with Tottenham. The Hotspur averaging 2 goals per match at home this season as noted above. You can see why another 2-2 battle would not be shocking in the least. 10* over 2.5 goals +110 in Tottenham |
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02-25-23 | Liverpool -136 v. Crystal Palace | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -136 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play Liverpool Money Line -135 @ Crystal Palace @ 2:45 ET - The buy low, sell high theory is fully in place here. Liverpool was just up 2-0 against Real Madrid in Champions League action only to lose 5-2. So now everyone is down on the Reds and that means we get a chance to buy low here. Crystal Palace struggles on the attack and is not going to be able to take advantage of the weakness of Liverpool like Real Madrid did. That said, we are getting solid money line value here. Lets not forget that Liverpool had gotten back on track in league action with B2B 2-0 victories and I would not be surprised to see them make it 3 in a row here. While, across all competitions, Liverpool has scored 2 goals in 3 straight matches, Crystal Palace has yet to win a match in 2023! They have played 8 matches and have 0 victories to show for it and have scored an average of just 0.6 goals in those 8 matches! Crystal Palace simply will not be able to keep up here against an angry and determined visitor in this one. 10* LIVERPOOL -135 |
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02-25-23 | Chindia Targoviste v. Rapid Bucuresti OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -50 | 9 h 40 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -125 in Rapid vs Chindia Targoviste @ 1 ET - Excellent line value here with this total available at 2 goals. Yes, Rapid is off a scoreless draw last week but that was on the road. Now they return home where they have seen each of their last 9 matches total at least 2 goals and those have actually averaged 3.2 goals apiece! In fact, their last 6 matches here at home in Bucuresti have all totaled at least 3 goals and have averaged 3.7 goals each! 2 of the last 3 matches between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals and I like the way Chindia Targoviste has been playing of late. Chindia Targoviste has seen each of last 10 matches total at least 2 goals and their last 6 matches have averaged 3.2 goals with only 1 of the 6 failing to reach the 3-goal mark. So this is a double perfect spot in terms of 9 straight home matches for Rapid totaling at least 2 goals and 10 straight matches overall for Chindia Targoviste having totaled at least 2 goals! Excellent line value here with this total. 10* OVER 2 goals -125 in Rapid |
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02-25-23 | Manchester City v. AFC Bournemouth OVER 3 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 24 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 3 in Bournemouth vs Manchester City @ 12:30 ET - Manchester City is going to go ballistic here. They know they need to start being more aggressive and pick up 3 points in the table and I see this turning into a rout. Manchester City, as you can tell by the "goal line" posted on this match has a solid shot at winning this one by a multi-goal margin. They also have not been delivering many clean sheets, particularly on the road, plus Bournemouth has had some success scoring against City in past meetings. That said, 3-1 certainly has a fair share of probability here and I like the over a lot in this spot. Manchester City has averaged 3 goals scored in last 4 meetings with Bournemouth and City has conceded one goal in 3 of the last 4 meetings with them. Manchester City had an unacceptable 1-1 draw in most recent EPL action as it was against Nottingham Forest and this was preceded by B2B wins and I am expecting at least that for City in this one. Bournemouth trends toward lower-scoring matches but they are facing a fired up club here that is ready to put on a "clinic" in this one. 10* OVER 3 in Bournemouth |
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02-25-23 | Botosani v. Universitatea Cluj OVER 2 | Top | 0-2 | Push | 0 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -130 in Universitatea Cluj vs FC Botosani @ 10 AM ET - The last 3 Universitatea Cluj matches have all totaled 4 or more goals! Each of the last 4 FC Botosani matches have totaled at least 2 goals and these have averaged 3.3 goals apiece. We have excellent value here with this total available at 2 goals. The last 5 FC Botosani road matches have averaged 3.8 goals and only one totaled less than 2 goals. The last 6 Universitatea Cluj matches have seen 5 of them total at least 3 goals! So definitely expecting a win here but the added value of 2 goals being a push rather than a loss is key here as well. 10* OVER 2 goals -130 in Universitatea Cluj |
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02-25-23 | Arsenal v. Leicester OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -140 | 5 h 35 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Leicester vs Arsenal @ 10 AM ET - Each of last 4 Leicester matches in league action have totaled at least 3 goals. In fact, those 4 matches have averaged 4.5 goals apiece! Leicester has conceded average of 2 goals last 8 EPL matches. Arsenal has averaged scoring 2 goals per match in road matches this season. That is tops in the league which makes sense as Arsenal is topping the table right now overall. However, do note that Arsenal has allowed at least 1 goals in 6 straight matches across all competitions. Of course they are favored here for a reason but have conceded average of 1.7 goals last 6 and I just can not see this match ending with anything less than a 2-1 final. Arsenal has scored an average of nearly 3 goals in last 4 matches versus Leicester and this one should get to at least 3 goals even if Arsenal does all the scoring but I do like the way Leicester is playing right now in terms of their attack. 4-2 again like the first meeting this season? It certainly would not be a shock since Arsenal has not been delivering clean sheets in recent weeks. 10* OVER 2.5 in Leicester |
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02-24-23 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Fulham OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 18 m | Show |
EPL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +120 in Fulham vs Wolverhampton @ 3 ET - I know this is a bit of a contrarian play considering the overall low-scoring trending of Wolverhampton as well as the fact that meetings between these clubs have trended under in recent years as well. However, let us not forget that Fulham's home matches this season have averaged totaling 3 goals. Also, Wolverhampton's road matches, across all competitions, have trended toward higher-scoring than their home matches. In fact, 7 of the last 10 away from home across all competitions for the Wolves have totaled 3 or more goals. Fulham is off a 1-0 win over Brighton & Hove but they actually gave up a lot of shots in that match and I feel this result is also helping to give us line value here as we get the total in the +120 range with the over 2.5 in this one. Another thing I like here is just that I do no expect a clean sheet for either club. Wolverhampton has to go hard to pick up at least 3 points in the table with a win here and they can not sit back and they need to be aggressive on the attack. Fulham has scored at least 1 goal in 12 of last 15 matches across all competitions. Also, both clubs have each had only 5 draws this season and we are nearing the 25-match mark on the campaign so the point is, I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here given all the above. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Fulham |
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02-24-23 | Farul Constanta 1920 v. UTA Arad | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play Farul Goal Line PK -130 @ UTA @ 1:30 ET - UTA has been playing well enough that this line on Farul is very reasonable here. Since UTA is on their home pitch plus playing decently of late, we can get Farul on the goal line at a very reasonable -130 price. This is a great line value because it means UTA has to win this match for us to lose our bet. A loss for UTA and we win with Farul of course. A draw in this match means we get our money back so we settle for a push. This is noteworthy as UTA has only 5 victories in 26 matches this season and Farul is at the very top of the table with only 3 losses in their 26 matches this season. So we have exceptional line value here and I like the fact Farul has allowed only 1 goal in 3 matches this month! Amazingly, since opening the season with a 2-0 win at home, UTA actually has allowed at least 1 goal in their dozen home matches since then! In those 12 matches at home, UTA has conceded an average of 1.5 goals. Lot of value with the top team in the league on the road for this one. 10* FARUL Goal Line PK -130 |
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02-24-23 | Mioveni v. U Craiova 1948 OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 5 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +120 in U Craiova 1948 vs CS Mioveni @ 11 AM ET - After a scoreless draw with a tough Rapid club last week, CS Mioveni will get back to their recent success in terms of goal-scoring. Yes, CS Mioveni has had a tough season but they have been much better for weeks now and had scored at least 1 goal in 5 straight matches and averaged 1.6 goals scored per match during this stretch. Also, CS Mioveni is on the road for this one and they have allowed at least 1 goal in 8 straight matches away from home. In those 8 matches, CS Mioveni has conceded an average of 2.3 goals per match. U Craiova 1948 is unbeaten in last 4 home matches and has averaged scoring 2.3 goals per match during this stretch. U Craiova 1948 has conceded at least 1 goal in 5 of last 6 matches and has allowed an average of 1.4 goals in those 5 matches. Given all of the above, you can see why I am expecting at least a 3 goals in this one as a 2-1 final is what we should get to at a minimum here. U Craiova 1948 has only 6 draws in 26 matches this season but you can see why I am expecting each club to score at least once in this one and that gets us to a 2-1 at least the way I see it! 10* OVER 2.5 goals +120 in U Craiova 1948 |
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02-23-23 | Barcelona FC v. Manchester United OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 36 m | Show |
2022-23 UEFA Europa League, Knockout Round Playoffs, Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Manchester United vs Barcelona FC @ 3 ET - The first match-up finished 2-2. Both clubs will go hard to decide this one in regulation time because they are tied on the aggregate with a 2-2 score in that first meeting. I feel that increases the odds of this one getting to at least 2-1 final within regular time. Manchester United has scored at least 2 goals in 9 straight matches and 13 of last 14. Barcelona also has been red hot so the confidence level of both these clubs is sky high right now. Barcelona is unbeaten in 18 straight matches and has scored an average of 2.1 goals per match. Based on those numbers, it comes as no surprise that the first meeting ended 2-2 and I am expecting at least a 2-1 final here in the knockout round! 10* OVER 2.5 in Manchester United |
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02-22-23 | Manchester City v. RB Leipzig OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 36 m | Show |
2022-23 UEFA Champions League, Round of 16, Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in RB Leipzig vs Manchester City @ 3 ET - Look for plenty of scoring here. RB Leipzig won most recent meeting 2-1 but Manchester City took the one prior to that by a 6-3 count. I know City has not been scoring as much of late but they will be fired up off the 1-1 draw with Nottingham Forest in which they failed to cash in many excellent scoring chances! Their two matches prior to that were each wins by 3-1 counts and Manchester City should get rolling again here. The reason I favor the over rather than a side play here is that I feel we have great value with this total set at 2.5 goals and the over available at a fair price. RB Leipzig has seen 13 of last 16 matches across all competitions total at least 3 goals! RB Leipzig has scored at least 1 goal in 19 of last 20 matches. With Manchester City favored here but underdog Leipzig highly unlikely to fail to score here, you can see why at least a 2-1 final here is completely logical. I am expecting 4 to 5 goals here and very confident of at least 3 goals given all of the above. Take advantage of the line value here. 10* OVER 2.5 in RB Leipzig |
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02-21-23 | Real Madrid v. Liverpool OVER 2.5 | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show |
2022-23 UEFA Champions League, Round of 16, Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals -135 in Liverpool vs Real Madrid @ 3 ET - A lot of firepower for both these clubs on the attack and it looks like some attacking players' health concerns have also been remedied heading into this match. That said, I am looking for at least a 2-1 final in this one! Real Madrid has scored 15 goals in last 4 matches across all competitions. They also have scored a total of 7 goals in last 4 meetings with Liverpool. Though Real Madrid has held the upper hand in recent meetings with Liverpool, the Reds appear to be turning the corner here and have been playing better of late after a dismal start to the new calendar year. That said, I look for Liverpool to enjoy some success on the attack in this one but they will struggle to stop the powerhouse Real Madrid attack as well. Note that Liverpool has scored a pair of goals in B2B games now and also has the benefit of hosting this first match between these clubs before they meet next month in Real Madrid. Note that as a host in English Premier League action, Liverpool is scoring 2.3 goals per match this season so don't be surprised if, given all of the above, we see a 2-2 type match play out here at Anfield in this one! 10* OVER 2.5 goals -135 in Liverpool |
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02-20-23 | West Bromwich Albion v. Watford OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 115 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
2022-23 English League Championship, Regular Season Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +115 in Watford vs West Bromwich Albion @ 3 ET - Watford has 4 draws in their 15 home matches this season. West Bromwich has 4 draws in their 15 road matches this season. That means this match has about a 27% draw expectancy. Couple that with the fact that each club has likelihood of scoring a goal here you can therefore see why I am predicting at least a 2-1 final in this one. These clubs are very near each other in the standings too and I feel there will be a big push for the full 3 points here in the table. Neither will want to settle for a share of the spoils as Watford has had 3 straight draws and they know they need to start picking up the full 3 points in the table. By the way, Watford has allowed 1.4 goals last 5 matches but also scored 1.3 goals in last 3 home matches. West Bromwich has conceded 2.4 goals per match in last 5 road matches across all competitions. However, West Bromwich also has scored 1.7 goals per match in last 15 matches overall across all competitions. Based on that trending as well as the situational factors here I like the over. Note that West Bromwich is off a draw but that was just their 2nd draw last 21 matches across all competitions. I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here and I like the plus money on the over. 10* OVER 2.5 goals +115 |
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02-20-23 | Voluntari v. U Craiova 1948 OVER 2 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -120 in U Craiova 1948 vs FC Voluntari @ 1 ET - There is excellent line value with this total available at just 2 goals. FC Voluntari actually has scored at least 1 goal in 8 of 9 matches but the problem for them is having conceded at least 1 goal in 6 straight matches! Overall, FC Voluntari has conceded 1.5 goals per match last 11 matches. U Craiova 1948 has seen 9 of last 10 matches total at least 2 goals. Also, they have had only 2 draws in their 12 home matches! That is a 17% draw rate. You can see why I am expecting each club to score at least once here and you can see why I also do not expect it to end 1-1 either as the odds certainly do not favor that. Expect 3 goals here and grab the extra value of having the over 2 goals at a very fair price in this one. U Craiova 1948 has seen their last 5 home matches average 2.6 goals apiece and they are the better team in this match-up plus seeking revenge from loss at FC Voluntari earlier this season. By the way, FC Voluntari has beaten them 3 straight times and scored an average of 1.7 goals in the process. Looking for at least a 2-1 final here which is justified per the above. 10* OVER 2 goals -120 in U Craiova 1948 |
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02-20-23 | Sepsi v. Botosani OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -50.5 | 5 h 14 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -145 in FC Botosani vs Sepsi @ 10 AM ET - The last time these clubs met Sepsi prevailed 7-0 at home. Now FC Botosani is at home where they won their last match 5-0. However, FC Botosani is also off a match in which they conceded 3 times. Sepsi has allowed at least 1 goal in 6 straight matches and has allowed an average of 1.5 goals during this stretch. 8 straight Sepsi matches have totaled at least 2 goals and those have averaged 3.3 goals apiece. That is also why I am recommending doing your line shopping and grabbing an over 2 even if you have to lay extra juice to have it. FC Botosani has scored at least 1 goal in 4 straight home matches and has averaged 2.3 goals scored in those 4 matches. 3 straight and 6 of last 8 FC Botosani matches have totaled at least 2 goals. Sepsi one of the top clubs in the league for goals scored while FC Botosani one of the league's worst in terms of goals conceded. We should see plenty of goals here! 10* OVER 2 goals -145 in FC Botosani |
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02-19-23 | CS U Craiova v. Steaua Bucharesti +101 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play FCSB Money Line -105 vs Universitatea Craiova @ 1 ET - FCSB has won 5 of last 7 matches. Also, they just beat FC Voluntari 2-1 but were it not for a very late penalty shot (essentially final action of the match in extra time) awarded to Voluntari it would have been the 5th straight victory via clean sheet for FCSB! Indeed they have done a great job of not conceding goals! At the same time, their production on the attack has been great as they have scored an average of 2 goals per match last 11 matches! As for Universitatea Craiova, they are having a solid season but have won only one of last five road matches and that was against a CS Mioveni club that is at the very bottom of the league table. Their two most recent matches on the road have both been losses and by a combined 3-1 margin. FCSB also has revenge here from a loss at Universitatea Craiova earlier this season plus they did lose the most recent match played here in Bucuresti too. In other words, big time payback is on order here. 10* FCSB Money Line -105 |
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02-19-23 | West Ham United v. Tottenham Hotspur -112 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 3 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play Tottenham Hotspur Money Line -115 vs West Ham United @ 11:30 AM ET - Part of handicapping and sports betting is putting the odds in your favor. Here the odds say it is highly unlikely we will have a draw as Tottenham has ZERO draws in 11 matches at home this season. Okay, so who wins? Well, West Ham has but ONE win in 11 road matches this season while Tottenham has won 7 of 11 on home soil! You can see that the odds greatly favor a Tottenham victory here and I love the fact we are getting line value here with the low price. Of course the low price makes sense - it is NOT odds maker error or anything of the sort. The fact is West Ham has been playing solidly and is on a 4-match unbeaten run. However, this is still a Hammers club that struggles to score goals and has only found the back of the net 7 times in 11 road matches this season. Tottenham is fired up here at home after road losses in Champions League and Premier League action in their last two matches. The hosts will absolutely respond here and they are AVERAGING 3 goals per match at home this season. Couple that with defensive injuries for West Ham and this sets up well to be a solid home win here. 10* TOTTENHAM -115 |
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02-19-23 | Arges v. CFR Cluj OVER 2.25 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 45 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +125 in CFR Cluj vs FC Arges @ 10 AM ET - CFR Cluj is angry and will be relentless on the attack here. They are one of the top clubs in the league yet they have not scored a goal in their last 3 matches across all competitions. They scored an average of 3 goals per match in winning all 3 matches against FC Arges in calendar year 2022. FC Arges enters this one off a scoreless draw but has scored in 4 of its last 5 road matches. They keep that trend going with a goal in this one but you know CFR Cluj is a heavy favorite for a reason here so this one ends at least 2-1 but honestly would not be surprised to see the home club win this 3-0 or 3-1 also. Either way, we should see at least 3 goals in this one. 10* OVER 2.5 goals +125 in CFR Cluj |
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02-19-23 | Leicester v. Manchester United OVER 3 | Top | 0-3 | Push | 0 | 4 h 50 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 or 3 goals in Manchester United vs Leicester @ 9 AM ET - Manchester United, incredibly, has scored at least 2 goals in 17 of last 20 matches across all competitions and that includes 8 in a row! Leicester has been resurgent and scored 11 goals in last 4 matches across all competitions. In league action though they have conceded in 7 straight matches and allowed 2 goals per match during this stretch. As you can see, per the above, it should be goals aplenty in this match-up at Old Trafford. The last meeting was a 1-0 Man U win at Leicester but this was preceded by 4 meetings between these clubs averaging 4 goals apiece and that is what I am fully expecting here given the current goal-scoring form of these clubs. 10* OVER 2.5 or 3 in Manchester United |
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02-18-23 | Petrolul 52 v. Farul Constanta 1920 OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -50 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -125 in Farul vs Petrolul Ploiesti @ 1 ET - We have to lay a little extra juice to have Over 2 here but, of course, the value of a push rather than a loss if this lands on 2 goals is well worth it. I am expecting 3 or more goals though as both clubs are off matches in which they delivered rare clean sheets. In fact, Farul's match was an ultra rare scoreless draw! Back at home for this match, Farul will respond and resume their high-scoring ways. I am sure of this. However, Petrolul Ploiesti also fully capable of making the net ripple. Note that Petrolul Ploiesti has scored at least one goal in 9 of last 12 matches. Also, their last 18 matches have averaged 2.7 goals apiece! Prior to last week's 2-0 win, Petrolul Ploiesti had allowed 2.4 goals per match in their last 5 matches. Farul, prior to last week's scoreless draw, had seen 18 of last 19 matches total at least 2 goals! In fact, those 18 matches averaged 3.6 goals per match! Excellent line value here especially considering last week's results. 10* OVER 2 goals -125 in Farul |
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02-18-23 | Liverpool v. Newcastle United OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* OVER 2.5 in Newcastle United vs Liverpool @ 12:30 ET - On the one hand, Newcastle has become the kings of the draw this season. However, they know they need to start picking up the full 3 points in their matches if they want to start moving back up the table again. Liverpool also desperately needs to keep picking up 3 points in the table because they are still digging out from a slow start this season. That said, there is excellent value here because I see plenty of reason to expect each club to score here as well as plenty of reason to expect neither club to settle for a 1-1 draw. In other words, they will be aggressive on the attack and the end result should be nothing less than a 2-1 final. Note that Newcastle has only one loss this season in league action and it came at Liverpool so they are seeking revenge in this one. However, Liverpool has one each of the last 3 meetings and averaged scoring 2 goals in each so they have had Newcastle's number per se. Also, Liverpool will build off a win over Everton last week in which they scored 2 goals. Newcastle has both scored and conceded in each of last 3 matches across all competitions. But again, they also realize they can not keep settling for 1-1 draws. Liverpool's average match this season has totaled 3 goals and Newcastle is scoring an average of 1.7 goals per match when at home. This is a contrarian play but it will see goals in my opinion given the circumstances. 10* OVER 2.5 in Newcastle United |
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02-18-23 | Manchester City v. Nottingham Forest OVER 2.75 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -113 | 6 h 29 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 or 3 in Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City @ 10 AM ET - This total is available for over players with options of 2.5 or 2.75 or 3 as of very early Saturday morning. Of course I would do your best with line shopping to make sure you win some profit, rather than just get a push, should this match land on 3 goals. I do expect 4 or more however as Manchester City is rolling again and also won the first meeting 6-0. Nottingham Forest is a better club when they are at home and I would not be surprised to see them find the back of the net at least once here. However, the hosts are dealing with a cluster of injuries on defense and will have their hands full with this powerful City club. Do note that the visitors just played on Wednesday and that was a huge match with Arsenal. Could their defensive focus be a little "off" in this one? It is certainly entirely possible and they did lose the possession battle by a big margin to Arsenal as well. So Nottingham Forest could surprise here and should score at least once. But, of course, Manchester City is a massive favorite here for a reason. Manchester City is 4-1 in last 5 matches in league action and they have allowed 1 goal per match last 5 matches in league action plus did score at least 3 goals in all 4 of those victories! I am forecasting a 3-1 type final here! 10* OVER 2.5 or 3 in Nottingham Forest |
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02-18-23 | UTA Arad v. Hermannstadt OVER 2 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 59 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2 -110 in Hermannstadt vs UTA @ 7:30 AM ET - Hermannstadt is winless in 4 matches since the winter break and has allowed at least 1 goal in all 4 matches. Hermannstadt should bounce back here on their home pitch as they did score 1 goal in a draw in most recent home match against FC Arges and now face an equal level of foe in UTA. Note that UTA enters this match having both conceded and scored at least 1 goal in 5 straight matches and 8 of last 9. Those 8 matches averaged 3 goals and that is what I am expecting we'll see here as well. Getting the value of an over 2 is simply an added bonus here in terms of line value. 3 of last 4 meetings between these teams totaled at least 2 goals and the most recent one totaled 3 and I expect a similar 2-1 final here. 10* OVER 2 -110 in Hermannstadt |
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02-17-23 | Hoffenheim v. FC Augsburg OVER 2.75 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
German Bundesliga Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals -135 in Augsburg vs Hoffenheim @ 2:30 ET - These two clubs both perilously close to relegation status for this season. That said, avoiding a draw here and picking up the full 3 points is of paramount importance. At the same time, each of these clubs has trouble stopping the opposition so I am not expecting a clean sheet here. So if we get this match to 1-1 and a draw is unlikely that means, yes of course, a 2-1 final is likely as a minimum result here. That is why I like the value of the over 2.5 goals here even though we have to lay some extra juice to have it. Augsburg will step up at home and Hoffenheim will respond in what is now their 2nd match with their new manager. This is a more favorable match-up for them then the first one with the new manager and so they will score well here and be aggressive on the attack but look for the hosts to not back down either. That means some solid attacking and quality scoring chances throughout this one. Prior to a 1-0 Hoffenheim win early this season, each of last 4 meetings totaled at least 3 goals and 3 of those 4 actually totaled 4 goals. More of the same expected here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Augsburg |
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02-17-23 | Rapid Bucuresti -112 v. Mioveni | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -112 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play Rapid Money Line -115 @ CS Mioveni @ 1 ET - Rapid is again one of the top teams in the league and they have been on a surge for a long time now as they have been marching higher and higher in the table after a bit of a sluggish start much earlier this season. Now we have a great spot to back Rapid as they are off a rare loss. It was just their 6th loss of the season and they are undefeated this season when off a loss as they have had 3 wins and 2 draws against no losses when coming off a defeat. So Rapid is sure to respond here and they are taking on the last place team in the league. Now certainly CS Mioveni has been playing better of late and I have noticed this. However, they still have just 3 wins on the season and they are outclassed here and facing the wrong club at the wrong time. Rapid is fired up to respond off a loss and resume their march up the table. They want the full 3 points here and we get value because they are on the road for this one. That is keeping this money line very manageable and this is a great spot to step in and take advantage of a line like this! Keep in mind, CS Mioveni has scored a TOTAL of only 2 goals in last 6 matches at home! Rapid has scored 2 goals in 3 of last 4 meetings with CS Mioveni. Also, no club in the league has conceded fewer times (22) than Rapid. They also enter this match having scored 1.7 goals per match last 15 matches. Look for a 2-0 type match here in my strong opinion. 10* RAPID -115 |
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02-17-23 | Universitatea Cluj v. Chindia Targoviste OVER 1.75 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 21 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals +115 in Chindia Targoviste vs Universitatea Cluj @ 10 AM ET - This total is a bargain as there are even some 1.75 lines out there at -120 on the over. This match absolutely should get to at least 2 goals and really 3 or more quite likely! Universitatea Cluj has seen 4 of their last 5 matches total at least 3 goals! They have allowed an average of 2 goals in each of last 6 road matches and gave up at least 1 goal in all 6 of those! Chindia Targoviste has seen 11 of last 12 matches total at least 2 goals! Also, they have conceded at least 1 goal in 9 straight matches. So you can easily see why I am expecting each club to allow at least 1 goal here. Chindia Targoviste has 2 wins and 2 draws since the winter break so they truly have played much better and are at home here. Universitatea Cluj has two draws and a win in last 4 matches so, like the hosts, their confidence is a little higher too. We will see goals as a result here! 10* OVER 2 goals +115 in Chindia Targoviste |
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02-16-23 | Manchester United v. Barcelona FC OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
2022-23 UEFA Europa League, Knockout Round Playoffs, 1st Leg Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Barcelona vs Manchester United @ 12:45 ET - Barcelona won the last meeting 3-0 in Champions League action a few years ago but look for Manchester United to continue their recent scoring surge in this one. That should lead to a highly entertaining affair here as Manchester United has scored 2.2 goals per match in the last 19 matches across all competitions. That includes having scored at least 2 goals in 16 of the 19 matches including each of the last 7! Barcelona has averaged 2.1 goals scored in the last 21 matches. Barcelona has scored at least one goal in 16 straight matches. So the odds strongly favor scoring here and what are the odds of a draw? Well only 7 of Barcelona's last 40 matches across all competitions have been a draw. Manchester United has had only 6 draws in the last 44 matches across all competitions. In summary, you can see why I am expecting each team to score at least once here and you can also see why the match ending at 1-1 has rather slim odds! So let's look for at least a 2-1 final here in this one! 10* OVER 2.5 in Barcelona |
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02-15-23 | Manchester City +140 v. Arsenal | Top | 3-1 | Win | 140 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
EPL Wednesday 10* Top Play Manchester City Money Line +140 @ Arsenal @ 2:30 ET - There is a reason this match is priced this way. Do not let the line fool you. Yes, currently in the table, Arsenal is #1 and Manchester City is #2. Also, Arsenal is on their home pitch and yet priced as the dog here on the 3-way line despite being 8-0 with two draws in their 10 league home matches. Again, do not let any of this fool you. The fact is that this an angry Manchester City club right now after all the allegations against them and they came out and thrashed Aston Villa 3-1 over the weekend. Now they have a chance to tie Arsenal at the top of the EPL table and, even if only temporarily, assume the #1 position based on goal differential. Also, Haaland I do believe is fine as even though there was some discussion about injury. I fully believe this is more gamesmanship on the point of City manager Guardiola. By the way, Arteta worked under Guardiola in the past and City has owned this series with Arsenal. The master Guardiola does not want to let the apprentice Arteta get the best of him. The big run goes even further back but just looking at the past 5 matches shows City with victories in all 5 and by an aggregate count of 13 to 2. That included beating them again in English FA Cup action about 3 weeks ago. That began a 3-match run in which Arsenal has scored only 1 goal total! As for Manchester City, they have averaged 2.5 goals scored in last 4 matches in league competition. The angry road club rolls again here. 10* MANCHESTER CITY MONEY LINE +140 |
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02-14-23 | Bayern Munich v. Paris Saint-Germain OVER 3 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -116 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
2022-23 UEFA Champions League, Round of 16: Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 3 in Paris Saint-Germain vs Bayern Munich @ 3 ET - So much firepower for each club in this one. Bayern Munich has won 3 straight matches across all competitions and scored an average of 3.7 goals per match in the process. Paris Saint-Germain has scored at least 1 goal in 6 straight matches across all competitions. PSG averaged scoring 2.5 goals per match in those 6 matches but also they have allowed 1.6 goals per match last 5 matches and conceded at least once in all 5 matches. Of course this wager is made with the intent of a winner and at least 4 goals. But there certainly is some added insurance in the fact that landing on 3 goals still gets us at least a push and not a loss. That is noteworthy indeed because PSG has seen 16 of last 19 matches across all competitions total at least 3 goals. As for Bayern Munich, 13 of last 19 matches across all competitions have totaled at least 3 goals. 10* OVER 3 in Paris Saint-Germain |
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02-13-23 | Everton v. Liverpool OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -130 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
EPL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals -130 in Liverpool vs Everton @ 3 ET - This is a contrarian play because neither club has been scoring many goals lately and because the last time these clubs met it was a scoreless draw! That said, why do you think this total is still a 2.5 with heavy juice on the over? Of course it is because the odds makers are expecting the same thing I am here. That is ... it is time! Liverpool is too strong to keep going like this. They are now on their home pitch and hungry for a win and are sure to be relentless here on the attack. Everton is off a 1-0 win but, prior to that victory, they allowed 2.6 goals per match in their last 9 matches across all competitions. Also, Everton has scored at least 1 goal in 6 of last 7 matches. That is why I am expecting at least a 2-1 type of final here. Liverpool has allowed about 1.5 goals per match this season. Also, though they have recently struggled to score goals, this is still a Reds club that has scored about 2.5 goals per match on their home pitch this season. The hosts should take this one at least by a 2-1 count but in my mind, the best value is with the total rather than the heavy juice on the money line in this one. 10* OVER 2.5 goals -130 in Liverpool |
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02-13-23 | Hermannstadt v. Petrolul 52 OVER 2 | Top | 0-2 | Push | 0 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in Petrolul Ploiesti vs Hermannstadt @ 1 ET - Petrolul Ploiesti is struggling with 3 straight losses and they have allowed 2.4 goals per match last 5 matches. Petrolul Ploiesti has scored in 5 straight home matches and averaged 1.6 goals per match last 5 matches as a host! As for Hermannstadt, they have allowed at least 1 goal in each of 3 matches since the break as they are struggling too. 5 of last 7 Hermanndstadt matches have totaled at least 2 goals and those 5 actually averaged 3.2 goals scored per match! The last time these clubs met it was a 2-1 final and I expect similar result here. You can see why, per the above, I am expecting each club to score at least once here. At the same time, what are the odds on a 1-1 draw? Not likely as only 2 of last 9 Hermannstadt road matches have ended in a draw. Also, on the season, Petrolul Ploiesti has had only 3 draws in 24 matches! Look for at least a 2-1 final here. 10* OVER 2 in Petrolul Ploiesti |
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02-13-23 | Chindia Targoviste v. Sepsi OVER 2.25 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 106 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals -130 in Sepsi vs Chindia Targoviste @ 10 *AM* ET - Of course Sepsi is a favorite here for a reason but Chindia Targoviste has been playing well since play resumed after the winter break. They are 2-0-1 last 3 matches and have scored 5 goals in those 3 matches. Also, 10 of last 11 Chindia Targoviste matches have totaled at least 2 goals. I see the 2.25 totals that are out there at plus money but the safer value is just laying the extra juice to have this over at 2 goals though we certainly are not playing this for a push! The fact is the last two meetings between these clubs did each total 3 goals. Also, the last 6 Sepsi matches have all totaled at least 2 goals and those 6 matches have actually averaged 3.3 goals apiece. Sepsi has scored 5 goals in last 3 home matches and, as noted above, Chindia Targoviste has scored 5 goals in last 3 matches overall. 10* OVER 2 goals -130 in Sepsi |
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02-12-23 | Steaua Bucharesti +100 v. Voluntari | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play FCSB Money Line -105 @ FC Voluntari @ 1 ET - FCSB has been playing very well and is nearing the top of the table for the season while FC Voluntari continues to struggle and is near the lower portion of the table. FCSB has won 3 of 4 with the only loss in this stretch to league-leading Farul. The 3 victories all saw FCSB deliver clean sheets. Also, going further back, FCSB has won 8 of 10 matches and the only other loss in that stretch besides the one to Farul was a loss to a solid CFR Cluj club. So, the point is, this FCSB club has been hot and they also have been taking care of business against all but the top teams in the league. That said, FC Voluntari is overmatched here. Voluntari is winless in last 5 matches and that includes losing each of last 3 by a combined score of 7 to 2. Also, when these clubs met earlier this season FCSB was up 1-0 but then had a red card at the 86 minute mark and Voluntari ended up earning a draw with scoring on a penalty kick at the 7 minute mark of extra time. Essentially, on the final play of the match. FCSB wants (and gets!) payback here. 10* FCSB Money Line -105 |
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02-12-23 | Aston Villa v. Manchester City OVER 3 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show |
EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 3 in Manchester City vs Aston Villa @ 11:30 AM ET - What do the players want to do the most when distractions off the pitch have been rampant? They want to get back on the pitch and play the sport they love with passion. That said, everything going on with Manchester City right now is actually going to unite them here. They will play an impassioned style here and they are also hungry to bounce back off a 1-0 loss to Tottenham last week. However, City has been conceding a little more than usual of late plus they are facing an Aston Villa club that has been scoring well too. But the problem for Aston Villa is they can stop no one. They allowed 4 goals in the loss to Leicester last week. Over their last dozen matches across all competitions, Aston Villa has allowed 2 goals per match. Manchester City is averaging scoring 3.5 goals per match on their home pitch this season. So this total is a 3 that has been set on this match but I am looking for a 3-1 or 4-2 type final so don't worry about the big number here. City has allowed 1.2 goals per match last 6 matches across all competitions. They are angry off the loss last week and not happy that the first match this season with Aston Villa was a 1-1 draw. That said, look for Manchester City to be relentless on the attack in this one. Prior to the 1-1 draw in last meeting, City had scored at least 2 goals in each of last 4 meetings with Aston Villa. 10* OVER 3 in Manchester City |
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02-12-23 | Farul Constanta 1920 v. Arges OVER 2 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -113 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
Romania Liga 1 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2 in FC Arges vs Farul @ 10 AM ET - Farul is the top club in the league and highest-scoring club too as they are averaging 2 goals scored per match. FC Arges is on their home pitch though and Farul has allowed 2.2 goals per match in their last 5 matches. Goals should be plentiful here and the value of the O/U being just a 2 on this match is huge. 18 of last 19 Farul matches have totaled at least 2 goals and those 19 matches have averaged 3.3 goals! 7 of last 8 FC Arges matches have totaled at least 2 goals and those 8 matches have averaged 2.5 goals apiece. Farul has averaged 2 goals scored in winning each of last 3 matches with FC Arges. Look for the hosts to get on the board at least once in this one given the recent penchant Farul has had for allowing goals. But the visitors are favored for a reason and I am looking for a 2-1 type final here at a minimum. 10* OVER 2 in FC Arges |