Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-21-21 | Leeds United v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 7 m | Show |
EPL Total of the Week - 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Tottenham - The first premier league match under new manager Antonio Conte was a scoreless draw two weeks ago. After that result, look for the Spurs to emphasize the attack a little more in in this one. Each of the last five meetings between Tottenham and Leeds have totaled at least 3 goals and that includes both matches last season. Leeds also has had trouble finding the back of the net of late and is further down the table then they would like to be and know they must start scoring more and increase their shots at earning the much-needed full 3 points in the table. Look for the strategy employed here by each club to be more conducive to scoring. I know these have been two of the lower-scoring clubs in the league thus far but also, looking at their goals allowed totals for the season, you can see why I am expecting this one to get to the 3-goal mark and I will take advantage of the low total posted on this one. 10* OVER 2.5 in Tottenham |
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11-20-21 | Arsenal v. Liverpool OVER 3 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 40 m | Show |
EPL National TV Blowout - OVER in Liverpool - This is the big one Saturday. Taking center stage as Arsenal has surprised early this season and now pays a visit to league heavyweight Liverpool. The issue I have here with Arsenal is they always tend to struggle with Liverpool plus the hosts come in angry off a loss to West Ham. That 3-2 defeat marked the 6th straight time in a Premier League match that a fixture involving Liverpool totaled at least 4 goals. I am expecting that streak to reach 7 in a row here. Liverpool wants to respond off defeat but also note that the hosts have surrendered 2 or more goal in 4 of last 6 matches in league action. Arsenal is on an 8-match unbeaten run and have averaged 2 goals per match their last 8 fixtures across all competitions. So the hosts are favored by 2 to 1 odds for a reason here but the visitors are poised to get on the scoresheet once if not twice and you can see why I am expecting a high-scoring match in this one. OVER in Liverpool |
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11-07-21 | Liverpool v. West Ham United OVER 3 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 12 m | Show |
TV Total of the Week - Rickenbach EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 3 goals in West Ham United vs Liverpool @ 11:30 ET - West Ham is scoring an average of 2 goals per match. Liverpool is scoring an average of 3 goals per match. Liverpool is scoring a ridiculous average of 4 goals per match when on enemy soil this season. These are not match totals these are club totals! You can see why I am expecting 5 goals to be scored here and a 3-2 type match given the above. Both these teams like to attack and West Ham will be boosted in this one by being on their home pitch. Also, West Ham can take advantage of a Liverpool group of midfielders dealing with injury issues. That will make it a little easier to break through to a Liverpool defense that certainly has not been impenetrable this season. These clubs have met twice in calendar year 2021 and the matches combined for 13 goals for a 6.5 average. Look for a very entertaining fixture here. If you like goals this should prove to be a great one to tune into. 10* OVER 3 goals in West Ham United |
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11-06-21 | Newcastle United v. Brighton & Hove Albion OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 8 m | Show |
Total Dominator - Rickenbach EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Brighton & Hove vs Newcastle @ 1:30 ET - Newcastle has conceded 23 times this season and only league-worst Norwich City has surrendered more goals. Newcastle also has been distracted by the managerial search and that appears to only just now be settled with the appointment of Eddie Howe. With all the distractions I again look for the visitors to struggle in this one but, prior to the shutout defeat at the hands of league-leading Chelsea, Newcastle had scored at least a goal in 4 straight matches. Newcastle has allowed an average of 2.3 goals per match this season and 3 of last 4 fixtures have totaled at least 3 goals. Brighton & Hove has seen each of their last 3 fixtures total at least 4 goals and they have allowed 2.7 goals per match last 3 matches. You can see why I am expecting plenty of goals in this one. The winner has potted at least 3 goals in each of the last two meetings between these clubs and I am expecting these clubs to combine for at least 3 in this one. 10* OVER 2.5 in Brighton & Hove |
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11-05-21 | Aston Villa v. Southampton OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -130 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
Daytime Dominator - Rickenbach EPL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Southampton vs Aston Villa @ 4 ET - Aston Villa is allowing about 2 goals per game on the road this season but this is also a club that is averaging about 1.5 goals per game. That said, the value is with the over in this one. Southampton has been playing better of late but is also off of facing some weak competition. I look for Southampton to be surprised here by an Aston Villa club that is better than their record suggests. That said, I also expect the visitors to go all out for the win here as they have but 1 draw in their 10 matches this season. That means value with the over here because it is highly unlikely that either club delivers a clean sheet here and I am looking for at least a 2-1 final here which, of course, would cash our ticket in this one. Aston Villa tends to play higher scoring games and I do expect the visitors to be the ones controlling the tempo in this one. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Southampton |
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11-01-21 | Everton v. Wolverhampton Wanderers OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 125 | 5 h 37 m | Show |
NBCSN Blowout Rout - Rickenbach EPL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +125 in Wolverhampton vs Everton @ 4 ET - I know Everton has been out of form so to speak but they get a key attacker back for this match and I expect them to be aggressive here on the road. Everton has plenty of confidence as they have enjoyed success in recent battles with Wolverhampton. The key for the hosts here is they have been in strong recent form but must start scoring more goals if they are going to start getting some victories on their home pitch. That said, I feel strongly that both clubs are going to be aggressive on the attack in this one and we should see it get to 3 goals as a result. Look for each club to score at least once and neither one wants to settle for a share of spoils in this fixture. That is because currently only 1 point separates the two clubs in the table. That said, look for a 2-1 final at a minimum in this one. The last meeting between these clubs saw only 1 goal scored but that followed 4 straight meetings that each tallied at least 3 goals and those matches averaged 4 goals apiece! Wolverhampton averaging 1.8 goals last 5 fixtures across all competitions. Everton's last 12 fixtures across all competitions have seen 8 of them total at least 3 goals and I look for this one to get to at least the 3-goal mark as well. 10* OVER 2.5 goals +125 in Wolverhampton |
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10-31-21 | West Ham United v. Aston Villa OVER 2.5 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 0 m | Show |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Aston Villa vs West Ham United @ 12:30 ET - Certainly West Ham has been the hotter team of late but I do expect Aston Villa to respond on their home pitch here. I know West Ham has been tough to score against of late but I don't see Aston Villa being shut down as a host here. The concern for the home club here is they continue to struggle on defense in front of their goalkeeper. That has led to giving up a lot of goals of late. Complicating matters for Aston Villa is that goalie Martinez has just recently gone home to Argentina to tend to personal matters. Martinez has been charged with plenty of goals of late due to leaky defense in front of him and, now with even more on his mind as well, the visitors should find the back of the net early and often in this one. But look for the hosts to match them goal for goal in a match in which I would not be surprised to see at least a 2-2 final. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Aston Villa |
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10-30-21 | Chelsea v. Newcastle United OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
Total of the Month - Rickenbach EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Newcastle United vs Chelsea @ 10 AM ET - Newcastle has made a managerial change and I know they are trying to shore things up defensively. However, Chelsea has simply been too strong on the attack and they will not let up here. In fact, Chelsea has been getting involved in higher scoring matches for quite some time now and I do not expect that pattern to end here. Newcastle has scored well this season and this has been particularly true on their home pitch. So I do expect them to score at least 1 goal here but I do expect Chelsea to prevail which would mean nothing less than a 2-1 final and that cashes our ticket. The reality is the visitors could push this match over the total all by themselves and that truly would not be too much of a surprise. They have shown a knack for "pouring it on" in recent matches and will be unlikely to show any mercy here. Either way, getting this total at a 2.5 is a solid bargain and I will not hesitate to invest in this one. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Newcastle |
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10-24-21 | Liverpool v. Manchester United OVER 3 | Top | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 43 m | Show |
Earliest Cash - 10* OVER 3 goals in Manchester United vs Liverpool @ 11:30 AM ET - Manchester United has scored an average o 2.5 goals in matches on their home pitch this season. Liverpool has scored an average of 3.5 goals in matches on the road this season. Both these clubs are loaded with attackers and, try as they may, the defense of each club will struggle in trying to fully stop the potent attacks they are facing in this one. Sometimes these teams have matched up and then it doesn't live up to the expected onslaught of goals but given the current state of the attacking unit of these clubs and Salah versus Ronaldo having ability to make headlines here, look for a very entertaining affair here. 10* OVER 3 in Manchester |
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10-23-21 | Manchester City v. Brighton & Hove Albion OVER 2.5 | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 59 m | Show |
Total of the Week - Rickenbach EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Brighton & Hove vs Manchester City @ 12:30 ET - I do not see Brighton & Hove been held without a goal on their home pitch here. At the same time I do not see Manchester City being denied the full 3 points points in the table in this one. That said, looking for at least a 2-1 final here and that would cash our ticket. Brighton & Hove's fast start in this campaign has been helped by scheduling and they take a major step up in level of opponent for this one. That said, City will not hold back either. Incredibly, across all competitions, Manchester City has scored 5 or more goals in 5 of last 11 matches! This City club can score goals in bunches and I am expecting more of the same here in what is a statement game for them since these two clubs are so tight in the standings right now. The visitors will not hold back here but the hosts find the back of the net too. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Brighton & Hove |
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10-22-21 | Aston Villa v. Arsenal UNDER 2.5 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 2 m | Show |
Daytime Dominator - Rickenbach EPL Friday 10* UNDER 2.5 goals +105 in Arsenal vs Aston Villa @ 3 ET - Arsenal is off a 2-2 draw but this was preceded by allowing just one single goal over 4 matches! Aston Villa also is off a high-scoring match that was preceded by stifling defense. Prior to a 3-2 defeat, Aston Villa allowed a total of only 3 goals over 4 matches. Also, there has been a clean sheet in each of the last 3 meetings between these clubs and that includes a pair of 1-0 victories for Aston Villa which is the type of result I feel is likely in this one. 10* UNDER 2.5 goals +105 in Arsenal |
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10-18-21 | Crystal Palace v. Arsenal OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 105 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
Daytime Dominator - Rickenbach EPL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Arsenal vs Crystal Palace @ 3 ET - I know Arsenal has been playing much better in the defensive zone for quite some time now. However, they are still a very strong club on the attack too when they want to be and Arsenal enters this match off a scoreless draw. After that 0-0 final with Brighton & Hove two weeks ago, I look for Arsenal to be very aggressive on the attack in this one on their home pitch. Prior to that low-scoring match, Arsenal - across all competitions - had scored 3 goals in each of their prior two matches. Also, 4 of Crystal Palace's last 5 matches have totaled 3 or more goals. Crystal Palace is known for giving Arsenal some trouble so I do not see a clean sheet being delivered in this match. Look for this to be a very competitive match that ends with at least 3 goals (perhaps a 2-1 final) Monday afternoon. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Arsenal |
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10-17-21 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Newcastle United OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 9 m | Show |
10* OVER 2.5 in Newcastle @ 11:30 AM ET - Newcastle does tend to fare better in the goal-scoring department on their home pitch and there is renewed enthusiasm with the changes at the top of the organization that just took place. Also, Tottenham has allowed 2 or more goals in 6 of last 7 away matches. The Hotspur also have some issues on defense which the hosts can take advantage of. However, Newcastle has been dreadful defending their own goal thus far and is allowing an average of 2.3 goals per match. Do not be surprised, given the above, if each club gets to 2 goals in this one as the odds certainly seem to favor that. With that being said, we have excellent line value here with this total at just 2.5 goals and I will lay the very fair price on the over in this one. 10* OVER 2.5 in Newcastle |
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10-17-21 | West Ham United v. Everton OVER 2.5 | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 54 m | Show | |
8* OVER 2.5 in Everton - Both clubs plenty of confidence here and both like to attack. West Ham is undefeated on the road in last 6 premier league matches including 2-0 with 1 draw this season. Everton is 3-0 on their home pitch this season. West Ham averaging 2 goals per match on the road this season. Everton averaging 2.7 goals per match at home this season. I look for this one to get to 4 goals and we only need 3 goals to be a winner. 8* OVER 2.5 in Everton |
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10-16-21 | Chelsea v. Brentford OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 5 m | Show |
Total of the Week - 10* OVER 2.5 in Brentford - Chelsea is a machine right now and sitting at the top of table. Chelsea is scoring an average of 2 goals per match. I know Brentford was known for lower-scoring matches earlier in the season but look at what they have been doing of late. Brentford, across all competitions, has scored 2 or more goals in 4 straight! In fact, thanks to a 7-0 win outside the league during this 4 match stretch (other 3 were league games), Brentford has scored an average of 3.5 goals in last 4 matches! Chelsea is 3-1 last 4 matches in league action and scored 3 goals in each of the 3 victories! I do not see either team being held off the scoresheet here and, as a result, am expecting nothing less than 2-1 final here as you know Brentford will be gunning hard for the upset but the scoring talent of these visitors can not be underestimated. It is why the travelers are favored by 1 goal on the spread (goal line) for this match. 10* OVER 2.5 in Brentford |
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10-16-21 | Leeds United v. Southampton OVER 2.5 | 0-1 | Loss | -135 | 4 h 53 m | Show | |
Earliest Cash - 8* OVER 2.5 in Leeds - Southampton is giving up an average of 2 goals per match when on the road this season. Leeds United has allowed an average of 2 goals per match on the season. You can see why I would not be surprised to see each club get to to 2 goals in this match and yet we are working with a low total of just 2.5 goals here. I'll take it! Two clubs that have combined for just one victory on the season so both clubs will be going hard for the victory here and unlikely to want to settle for a draw. In other words, this does not end 1-1. It gets to at least 2-1 in my estimation and that is why I am pulling the trigger on this one. 8* OVER 2.5 in Leeds United |
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10-03-21 | Manchester City v. Liverpool OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 54 m | Show |
Total of the Week - Rickenbach EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Liverpool vs Manchester City @ 11:30 AM ET - This is a battle of heavyweights in the Premier League. I know match-ups like this can sometimes turn into grinders but I expect plenty of scoring in this one. Liverpool has been in fantastic form and is averaging 2.5 goals per match this season to lead the league in scoring. Manchester City is not far behind as they are averaging 2 goals per match. I know City is known for their tough defense but Liverpool is simply playing at a phenomenal level on the attacking side of things. At the same time, I doubt Liverpool is going to shut down City as the other end of the pitch either. Just a lot of firepower on the attack for both of these clubs and this total opened up at a 3 in many spots. The ability to turn a final result of 3 goals from a push to a win, after some downward line movement has moved this total down to a 2.5, has me elevating this play to my highest level on Sunday. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Liverpool |
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10-03-21 | Aston Villa v. Tottenham Hotspur UNDER 2.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -120 | 4 h 42 m | Show | |
Contrarian Crusher - Rickenbach EPL Sunday 8* UNDER 2.5 in Tottenham vs Aston Villa @ 9 AM ET - As long-time followers know I play a lot of overs but this was goes contrary to that tendency of mine as it is set up perfectly for an under. Tottenham has scored just 4 goals in 6 matches this season. Aston Villa has scored only 3 goals in 3 road matches this season. Tottenham in need of a bounce back effort here after some recent struggles in league action. I look for the hosts to really clamp down on defense after they had some frustration in that regard in recent league matches. As a result, looking for a 0-0, 1-0, 1-1, or 2-0 type match here and feel we have solid value on the low side of this total. 8* UNDER 2.5 in Tottenham |
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10-02-21 | Arsenal v. Brighton & Hove Albion OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 45 m | Show |
NBC National TV Blowout - Rickenbach EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Brighton & Hove vs Arsenal @ 12:30 ET - Part of what has fueled the recent Arsenal surge is their health on defense and that would tend to point one toward an under. However, the confidence in the back-end has actually fueled a surge on the attack going the other way. Arsenal has been extremely impressive on the attack and has scored at least a goal in 4 straight matches across all competitions including 3 goals in each of the past two. As for Brighton & Hove, they have scored at least a goal in 4 straight matches across all competitions and have averaged 1.5 goals during this stretch while Arsenal has averaged 2 goals during this stretch. I don't see Arsenal settling for a draw either as they look to notch a 5th straight victory. That said, per all of the above you can see why I am expecting at least a 2-1 final here. The victor has tallied 2 goals in 3 of the last 4 meetings between these clubs and I expect at least that here with a 2-1 tally being the most likely result. Arsenal pushes the pace again here but Brighton fares well on their home pitch also. 10* OVER 2.5 in Brighton & Hove |
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10-02-21 | Newcastle United v. Wolverhampton Wanderers OVER 2.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
Contrarian Crusher - Rickenbach EPL Saturday 8* OVER 2.5 goals in Wolverhampton vs Newcastle @ 10 AM ET - This is a contrarian play as I am well aware of the fact Wolverhampton has struggled to score goals this season and has lost all 3 matches on its home pitch. I look for a breakout game for the Wolves in this one as they take advantage of a Newcastle club allowing an average of 2.3 goals per match. Look for this match to be a little more wide open than you would expect as Wolverhampton needs a big breakout game on the attack to really get their season going the way it should be. Newcastle has averaged about a goal per match this season and the Wolves allowing about a goal per match as well so I am looking for at least a 2-1 final in this one. 8* OVER 2.5 goals in Wolverhampton |
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09-27-21 | Brighton & Hove Albion +162 v. Crystal Palace | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
Game of the Week - Rickenbach EPL Monday 10* Top Play Brighton & Hove Albion +162 @ Crystal Palace @ 3 ET - Brighton & Hove has a chance to move to the top of the table with a win here and picking up the full three points. I love the fact that they are winless in their last four meetings with Crystal Palace as that is helping to keep this line in a very valuable price range. I do not see Brighton settling for a draw here as they will go hard for the full 3 points to do their best to earn the points needed to vault to the top of the table! I know they have only produced 7 goals in their 5 matches this season but Brighton & Hove does have a more potent attack than that of Crystal Palace. The visitors in this one are full of confidence and looking to end that winless run versus the hosts and I do not see them being denied. The hotter club is on the road (which gives us extra line value) and firing on all cylinders and keep in mind, Crystal Palace had one shocking 3-0 home win but, other than that, has tallied only 2 goals total in its other 4 matches! 10* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION +162 |
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09-26-21 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Arsenal OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 105 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
Total of the Week - EPL 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Arsenal vs Tottenham @ 11:30 AM ET - These two clubs have been two of the lowest scoring clubs in league action so far this season. In typical contrarian fashion that has me on the over here. The reason is because when these rivals match up you can often throw logic out the window. The fact is this should be a spirited and entertaining match-up and the health of Arsenal is now much better than it was earlier this season. We get a low posted total here because of the trending of these two clubs early this season but I am looking for nothing less than 2-1 final in this one and that would cash our ticket. 3 of the last 4 meetings between these clubs in league action have totaled 3 or more goals. More of the same here. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Arsenal |
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09-25-21 | Liverpool v. Brentford OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
EPL 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 in Brentford - On the surface this would look like an under. Brentford has conceded just twice in five matches while Liverpool has conceded only once in five matches. However, there is so much more than meets the eye here at first glance. Brentford has faced a rather easy set of fixtures thus far and this includes a number of clubs that are having major goal-scoring issues early this season. Now they host a Liverpool club that has scored 3 goals in each of its last 4 matches across all competitions. Prior to this 4-game stretch they scored only 1 but it was against Chelsea and is the only goal Chelsea has conceded this season! Also, they scored 2 against Burnley and that is a club that is known for playing tight, low-scoring defensive-minded matches. The point is we have a lot of value here with a low total of 2.5 when you consider the firepower the Liverpool attack has! Also, Brentford has averaged 2.6 goals per match its last 5 matches and should at least find the back of the net once as a host against Liverpool. Even if they do not, they are not going to be able to stop the Liverpool attack in my opinion and I am looking for the visitors to score at least 3 in this one as they will want to make a statement. Brentford only got elevated to the league this season and they have played an early season schedule filled with clubs that just are not scoring well. This has led to the strength of their defensive play being over-estimated. This total should be higher than 2.5 and I will not hesitate to step in and take advantage and go with my highest rated play here. 10* OVER 2.5 in Brentford |
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09-25-21 | Norwich City v. Everton OVER 2.5 | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 16 m | Show | |
EPL Saturday 8* OVER 2.5 in Everton - No club has allowed more goals (14) than Norwich City thus far in the new season. Everton in need of a big bounce back effort on their home pitch and feel they will take advantage and could get this one over the total all by themselves. However, do not be surprised if Norwich City contributes as well. Everton has surrendered 1.4 goals per match and likes to be aggressive on the attack which could leave them susceptible to some attacks going the other way. I look for Everton to play this one very aggressively on their home pitch and that should mean plenty of goals in this one. 8* OVER 2.5 in Everton |
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09-19-21 | Chelsea -140 v. Tottenham Hotspur | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
EPL 10* Top Play Chelsea -140 - Tottenham has 3 wins thus far and just 1 loss. However, the 3 victories for the Hotspur were each just by a 1-0 count. The lone loss was a 3-0 drubbing at the hands of Crystal Palace last week. Tottenham also did not perform well outside Premier League action this week and suffered a couple injuries. Unlike the Hotspur, Chelsea continues to roll like a well-oiled machine under Thomas Tuchel and I do not see them being denied here. We get line value because Chelsea is on the home pitch of Tottenham for this one. That means we get a reasonable money line price on the superior club because they are the travelers here. Chelsea has outscored their foes 9 to 1 on the campaign. This opportunity just too good to pass up. I respect Tottenham for sure but they will struggle with the suffocating defense of Chelsea and, at the other end of the pitch, I look for the visitors to find the back of the net a pair of times at least to secure the victory. 10* CHELSEA -140 |
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09-19-21 | Manchester United v. West Ham United OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 34 m | Show |
EPL 9* Top Play OVER 2.5 in West Ham United - Manchester United and West Ham have been two of the highest scoring clubs in the league thus far. Look for more of the same here. Manchester United is ready to go on the attack here after a disappointing 2-1 loss to the Young Boys outside premier league activity in their most recent match. Man U has a long unbeaten streak in road matches but faces a West Ham club that is firing on all cylinders right now. Even though West Ham will be without Antonio here, the hosts have plenty of firepower and I do not see either club delivering a clean sheet in this one. Also, both teams hungry for the full 3 points in the table and will not settle for a draw and a sharing of the spoils. That said, look for at least a 2-1 final here and this cashes our ticket. 9* OVER 2.5 in West Ham United |
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09-18-21 | Everton v. Aston Villa OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 107 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Aston Villa - Everton has been rolling big-time under new direction of a former Liverpool manager. They have piled up goals with their new attack and are averaging 2.5 goals per match. This will be an intriguing fixture however because Aston Villa is on their home pitch and certainly not going to back down here. Aston Villa is averaging 1.5 goals per match this season as a host. Last season Aston Villa also averaged 1.5 goals per match. We are getting some line value here because Everton was not a high-scoring club last season but they are a different club this season since changing managers. This should be a highly entertaining match as both clubs will be aggressive on the attack. Everton, as the travelers here, will look to force the issue on the road and I look for their attacking style to lead to a high-scoring match here. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Aston Villa |
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09-18-21 | Southampton v. Manchester City OVER 3.5 | 0-0 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
EPL 8* Saturday OVER 3.5 in Manchester City - City is rolling right now and will not slow down on their home pitch. I know the hosts have not been conceding goals but Southampton has enough of an attack to find the back of the net at least once in this one. I am looking for a 3-1 type match at a minimum in this one and feel we have excellent value with this total at 3.5 considering the way Man City has been piling up goals early this season ever since a tough 1-0 loss opened up the campaign. 8* OVER 3.5 in Manchester City |
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09-17-21 | Leeds United v. Newcastle United OVER 2.75 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
EPL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Newcastle - Both these clubs conceding goals in bunches so far in this campaign. In fact, Leeds and Newcastle are the two worst clubs in the league thus far in terms of goals allowed. That is one key factor here and then there is this one too: Leeds had no draws in 19 league road matches last season. So if each club scores at least once and Leeds is unwilling to settle for a draw (odds certainly favor that) then you can expect to see at least a 2-1 final here. The fact is Leeds likes to attack and is willing to risk defensive shortcomings by being aggressive on the attack. With that said, we should see plenty of scoring here. Newcastle showed some fight in their battle with Manchester United last week and I certainly see them having some success against the leaky defense of Leeds. That said, we have a ton of value with this total in the 2.5 range. Newcastle's home matches averaged totaling 3 goals last season and Leeds road matches averaged totaling 3.5 goals last season. I am expecting quite an entertaining match here. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Newcastle |
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09-13-21 | Burnley v. Everton OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 115 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
10* Top Play OVER 2.5 +120 in Everton - I am well aware of the fact that Burnley struggles to score goals. It has been their M.O. for a few seasons now as they just try to turn matches into grinders and hope for the best. However, Everton is not going to let that happen here. Under the direction of Rafael Benitez, this club has been rejuvenated. Everton has already scored 7 goals in 3 matches and they have scored at least twice in each match. Here is the key to the over though. Everton could be flat here. I really believe we are going to see some issues for this club just like we saw when Tottenham battled Crystal Palace early Saturday. Tottenham had been rolling and winning key matches and then came out flat and lost 3-0. I am not expecting a clean sheet for either club though here. Everton will score but I am looking for Burnley to find some leaky defense to their liking here as Everton makes the mistake of underestimating here. Keep in mind, Burnley won here 2 to 1 last season and a similar result here would not be a surprise. Either way I am looking for at least 3 goals here because this has proven to be a favorable match-up for Burnley in recent seasons and I feel they will again catch Everton at the right time to make this match a dandy and it sees 3 or 4 goals as a result. 10* OVER 2.5 +120 in Everton |
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09-12-21 | Liverpool v. Leeds United OVER 3 | Top | 3-0 | Push | 0 | 6 h 44 m | Show |
10* OVER 3 goals in Leeds United - Liverpool is off to a hot start and has already scored well early this season. The match against Chelsea, as you would expect with the Blues stingy defense, was a low-scoring battle. Other than that though, the Reds have impressed on the attack. As for Leeds United, that is what they are known for - to be aggressive on the attack. Being a host for this one I expect some extra aggression from Leeds on the attack as they are desperate for their first win of the new campaign. It has been two draws and a defeat thus far for the host and they can not afford to just sit back and think that will change their fortunes. This club is best when they are on the attack. Of course this often does carry some risk at the other end. Checking the numbers from last season, Leeds matches averaged 3 goals. As for Liverpool, they averaged 2 goals per match as travelers but Leeds averaged 1.63 goals per match on the season. You can see why I am expecting 4 goals here which would give us the win but even 3 goals gets us a push which is not the desired result but certainly a nice safety net here too. Just the way Liverpool has started and knowing what Leeds is capable of on the attack, I am looking for a 3-2 finish or a 2-2 draw here. Should be quite the entertaining affair given the scheduling factors as Liverpool ready to be turned loose on the attack after being bottled up by Chelsea in their league match before the international break. 10* OVER 3 goals in Leeds |
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09-11-21 | West Ham United v. Southampton OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -140 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Southampton - West Ham United has not produced a clean sheet in 8 straight road matches. Southampton has not produced a clean sheet in 14 straight matches overall in league action. Considering that plus the fact West Ham's matches have averaged 5 goals this season and Southampton's matches have averaged 3.3 goals this season, you can see why I am comfortable with the over in this one! Strong odds that each club gets on the scoresheet based on the above and certainly neither club wants to settle for a 1-1 draw. That being said, look for at least a 2-1 final here but truly I am expecting 4 or more goals here. West Ham is a club not afraid to risks and go all in offensively but this does tend to expose their weaknesses defensively and the hosts more than capable of taking advantage here. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Southampton |
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08-29-21 | Manchester United v. Wolverhampton Wanderers OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
NBC Sports Network Rout - Rickenbach EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Manchester United @ 11:30 AM ET - I know that Wolverhampton has yet to score this season but they have generated over 40 shots on goal and they are going to get their just deserve soon enough. In fact, Manchester United has not delivered a clean sheet in any of their last 10 matches across all competitions. In other words, look for Wolverhampton to get on the scoresheet finally in this one. However, I am looking for a 2-1 type match. These clubs always tend to have tight matches decided by a single goal but Manchester United has incredible attacking talent. After a 5-1 win in week 1 was followed by a disappointing 1-1 draw in week 2, look for the visitors to be on the attack early and often in this match-up. The incredible signing of Ronaldo (though he will not play until after the international break) is a big momentum boost for this club as well. I look for the visitors to ride the positive wave of momentum here but I also expect the Wolves to put up quite a fight and all those chances they have been generating on the attack are finally going to yield some results. In fact a 2-1 type match is really my minimum estimate here. Look for a 3-2 type match as this one should prove highly entertaining at both ends of the pitch with plenty of quality chances. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Wolverhampton |
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08-29-21 | Watford v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 56 m | Show |
Early Striker - Rickenbach EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Tottenham Hotspur vs Watford @ 9 AM ET - Tottenham his a heavy home favorite here for a reason. However, after opening up the season with back to back big wins, could the Hotspur overlook a newly promoted team like Watford? I do believe so and I feel Watford will find the back of the net at least once but Tottenham will ultimately prevail. Of course that puts this match at nothing less than 2-1 final which cashes our over ticket. I know Tottenham has been involved in low-scoring matches of late but with the international break on deck and with only Crystal Palace on deck in their next match after the break, I look for the Hotspur to be aggressive on the attack here. Watford will be forced to play the same style and, after all, what do they have to lose? Watford can take a run at Tottenham by trying to push hard for that first goal in the match but ultimately the Hotspur have too much attacking talent. Especially with the Harry Kane saga finally resolved, the home club should score plenty in this one and truly could end up getting this match over the total all by themselves. Look for a much more wide open match than the first two Hotspur matches this season. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Tottenham |
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08-28-21 | Chelsea v. Liverpool UNDER 2.5 | 1-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
NBC Blockbuster Total - Rickenbach EPL Saturday 8* UNDER 2.5 goals in Liverpool vs Chelsea @ 12:30 ET - Of course there is a lot of firepower with both these clubs in terms of the ability to attack. However, both clubs also very strong defensively and when you have a match-up like this between two heavyweights, goals are often tough to come by. The last 4 meetings have seen 3 of them total 2 or less goals and all 3 of those involved one club delivering a clean sheet. Speaking of clean sheets, neither one of these clubs has allowed a goal yet this season! Chelsea has been known for defensive prowess ever since Thomas Tuchel took over the reigns of this club. Liverpool also appears to be on a mission this season and this simply looks like a hard-fought low-scoring battle and I could easily see a 1-0 or 1-1 or 2-0 type match in this one. To be honest a scoreless draw certainly would not shock me. But once a club does find the back of the net, if they do, I feel that both these clubs very capable of clamping down defensively and goals will be very tough to come by. 8* UNDER 2.5 in Liverpool |
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08-28-21 | Southampton v. Newcastle United OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
Total of the Month - Rickenbach EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Newcastle United vs Southampton @ 10 AM ET - Great set-up here as this is the only match between two winless clubs on Saturday. Both clubs will go very hard to get the full 3 points here in the table and yet I do not foresee either club being held off the scoresheet. In other words, the likelihood of at least a 2-1 game is quite likely here. Newcastle has allowed an average of 3 goals per match on the young season and Southampton has allowed an average of 2 goals per match. The Saints have allowed an average of 3 goals per match in their last 6 matches on enemy pitch in league action. Newcastle has scored at least 1 goal in 11 of last 12 home matches in league action. Southampton off an 8-0 win in English Caraboa Cup action and will fare well here in the goal-scoring department as they are loaded with confidence. However, I do not foresee them slowing down Newcastle at St James Park. In fact, the last 3 meetings here have all been won by the hosts and all have totaled 3 or more goals with the average being 4 goals per match. I am expecting 4 in this one but 3 more gives us a winning ticket and I feel we have strong value here. No club allowed more goals on the road than Southampton last season. Only 2 out of 20 clubs allowed more goals at home than did Newscastle last season. Look for this one to see plenty of goals. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Newcastle United |
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08-23-21 | Leicester v. West Ham United OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show |
NBCSN Afternoon Annihilation - Rickenbach EPL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in West Ham United vs Leicester @ 3 ET - West Ham opened the season with a 4-2 win and, dating back to last season, have won 3 straight matches and scored at least 3 goals in all 3 matches. The total on this game is sitting at 2.5 goals and, in theory, you can see why West Ham could arguably get this game over the total all by themselves. However, the travelers from Leicester certainly should enjoy some success in terms of finding the back of the net in this one. I know they scored only one goal last week but it was all the needed in the 1-0 victory but they will need more this week so they will have to be aggressive on the attack. Leicester has been involved in lower-scoring matches recently including a pair of club friendly matches last month and an English FA Community Shield match earlier this month. However, when Leicester matches up with West Ham it tends to be goals aplenty and I do expect the home club to dictate the pace here as well. The last 5 matches between these clubs have all totaled at least 3 goals and the average goals scored was 4 per match. More of the same here! 10* OVER 2.5 goals in West Ham |
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08-22-21 | Chelsea -121 v. Arsenal | Top | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
NBCSN Blowout - Rickenbach EPL Sunday 10* Top Play Chelsea Money Line -120 @ Arsenal @ 11:30 AM ET - While it is difficult to make too many comparisons early in the season here is one for you that matters. Last week, Arsenal lost 2-0 to Brentford - a club that just arrived to Premier League this season. Yesterday Brentford faced Crystal Palace and it was a scoreless draw. That is the same Crystal Palace that Chelsea faced in week one and thrashed 3-0. So as you can see, those signs all point to Chelsea getting the win here and I love this spot because we get line value since Chelsea is on the road for this match. If they were the host they would be to pricey. Ever since Tuchel took over coaching duties for Chelsea they have been a different club but Arsenal did take both matches last season and Tuchel was on the sidelines for one of those. He and the travelers get some payback here as Arsenal is a quality club that often rises up against tougher competition but Chelsea is simply the better and healthier club right now. Also, the revenge factor is a key here and I just do not see the visitors being denied in their quest for payback here. They do not allow many goals at all and will likely deliver a clean sheet here while Arsenal has some question marks defensively and the visitors will take advantage. 10* Chelsea Money Line -120 |
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08-22-21 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Wolverhampton Wanderers +0.25 | 1-0 | Loss | -121 | 5 h 46 m | Show | |
Early Goal Line - Rickenbach EPL Sunday 8* Wolverhampton +0.5 goal vs Tottenham @ 9 AM ET - Tottenham off the huge opening week win 1-0 over Manchester City. After beating the champions now the Spurs are on the road and have to face a Wolverhampton club that will be chomping at the bit to get into the win column. Even though the Wanderers lost last week's match 1-0 they were quite impressive for long stretches against Leicester City and I expect a huge performance this week from the Wolves. This is all about the set-up and the line value. With catching Tottenham off such a huge win and now getting a home dog that will cash our ticket with either a win or draw, the value here is too good to pass up on. I like the way the Wolves are responding under new head coach Bruno Lage. 8* Wolverhampton +0.5 goal |
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08-21-21 | Watford v. Brighton & Hove Albion -135 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 22 m | Show |
NBC National TV Rout - 10* Brighton & Hove vs Watford @ 12:30 ET - Watford got an opening week win but they are just back up to the Premier League this season after previously being relegated. The last time they played in the top flight they won just 2 of 19 road matches. In other words, do not be surprised if they struggle on the road here after a bit of a surprise win last week for them. Watford is facing a Brighton & Hove team that had a lot of positive energy and emotion coming into the season and it carried right into a positive week one opener. Now, in their home opener and on a positive run in recent home tilts, I do not see the hosts being denied in this one. 10* BRIGHTON & HOVE -135 |
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08-21-21 | Norwich City v. Manchester City OVER 3.5 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 23 m | Show |
TV Total Annihilation - 10* OVER 3.5 goals in Manchester City vs Norwich City @ 10 AM ET - After being shutdown by Tottenham in a low-scoring 1-0 battle last week, I do not see Manchester City letting up here. They should score plenty and could get to this total all by themselves but look for Norwich City to find the back of the net at least once and there is a reason Manchester City is a massive favorite on the money line in this match. In other words 3 to 1 or 4 to 0 or 4 to 1 are all logical finals for this one. 10* OVER 3.5 goals in Manchester City |
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08-15-21 | Manchester City v. Tottenham Hotspur OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
NBCSN Blowout Rout - Rickenbach EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Tottenham Hotspur vs Manchester City @ 11:30 AM ET - Of course these are two of the best clubs in the league and they are equally strong on defense as well on the attack. Those balanced attributes are what helped lead to successful campaigns last season for each club. That said it is hard to argue against the strengths of the defense and goalkeeping of each of these clubs. However, I like all the Harry Kane drama surrounding this match-up and the fact that Tottenham made some key offseason acquisitions to strengthen their club plus they have a new head coach in Nuno Espírito Santo and he had enjoyed success at Wolverhampton. Manchester City averaged scoring 2.2 goals last season and Tottenham averaged 1.8 goals per game. That totals 4 goals and while I do not necessarily expect that many here I do feel we should get at least 3. Just so much firepower for each club and I do not see either team being shutout. Nor do I foresee either team being willing to settle for a draw. That said, if this game gets to 1-1 each club will be gunning hard for that 2-1 win and will be willing to take some risk by being aggressive on the attack. A lot of positive dynamics for an over in this one in my opinion. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Tottenham |
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08-14-21 | Liverpool v. Norwich City OVER 3 | Top | 3-0 | Push | 0 | 8 h 43 m | Show |
NBC Total of the Week - Rickenbach EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 3 goals in Norwich City vs Liverpool @ 12:30 ET - Liverpool known for some crazy high-scoring matches to begin new seasons and last year was no exception. This season they are on the road at Norwich City and I am aware that the last time these clubs met was a 1-0 Liverpool win. However, 3 of the 4 prior meetings totaled at least 5 goals and I would not be surprised to see today's match do the same. Liverpool finished last season well but they know they were fortunate to have some help from other clubs in the way things finished out. That said, they want to do a better job of having strong early season success this year and I expect them to view this as a statement match. In other words, Liverpool will be strong on the attack throughout this game and will not take their foot off the gas. Norwich City, though at home, also fully realizes they are a bit outclassed here. That said, they will not be able to stop Liverpool but they have some talented forwards that will be a little extra aggressive on the counter-attack which should lead to a goal or two for a club that was very impressive last season and certainly earned their promotion to the premier league for this season. Look for an entertaining affair with plenty of scoring to wrap up Saturday's slate of matches. 10* OVER 3 goals in Norwich City |
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08-14-21 | Crystal Palace v. Chelsea -1.5 | 0-3 | Win | 107 | 6 h 51 m | Show | |
Early Dominator - Rickenbach EPL Saturday 8* Chelsea -1.5 goals +107 vs Crystal Palace @ 10 AM ET - Chelsea was the best club in the premier league last season once they made the managerial change. They dominated defensively and in goal and now take on a Crystal Palace club known for struggling to score. I just don't see the visitors having any luck finding the back of the net here as they will struggle to even generate scoring chances. At the same time, the hosts are a big money line favorite for a reason and where we get the value here is the goal line. Chelsea won the two meetings last season by a combined score of 8 to 1. Similar domination expected here. 8* CHELSEA -1.5 goals +107 |
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08-13-21 | Arsenal -116 v. Brentford | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -116 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
NBCSN Daytime Rout – Rickenbach EPL Friday 10* Top Play Arsenal Money Line -115 vs Brenford @ 3 ET – Brentford had the better preseason results but, just as in other sports, one must be careful to not put too much weight into preseason results. Also, Brentford just got elevated to the Premier League for the first time ever but none of the 9 London teams before them to accomplish the feat have ever won their first fixture in EPL regular season action. I look for that trend to continue here and we have enough line value with Arsenal being the road team in this match that we are able to go with a top play here. For the first time in 25 years Arsenal, in excruciating fashion on the last day of last season, did not qualify for European competition. I fully believe we are going to see some extra hunger here from the visitors as a result and they are the more talented club and will spoil the home opener for the Bees. Brentford has waited 74 years for this chance at top flight league action but are facing a very tough opening match and the hunger will be there for the road team to take the full 3 points in this one. 10* ARSENAL -115 |
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05-23-21 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Leicester OVER 3 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 15 h 4 m | Show |
Total of the Year - Rickenbach EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Leicester vs Tottenham @ 11 AM ET - I do not see Tottenham laying down here in what could be Harry Kane's final game with them. Plus the Spurs are angry off a defeat in their most recent match and the Hotspur would love to play the role of spoiler. Additionally, this match is still important to Tottenham for purposes of qualifying for a Europa League spot in the table by finishing at at least seventh! Leicester is still hopeful of a top four spot but is behind Liverpool on goal differential. The difference is so great that Leicester's better hope would be a Chelsea defeat but that is not likely either. That said, Leicester just needs to go strong here and try to score as many as they can in this one. The fact is Tottenham is going to put up a fight as well and these clubs are each averaging about 1.8 goals per game so I do like our chances for a very high-scoring match in this one. This one likely to get to 5 goals in my opinion but certainly should see at least 4 and we only need 3 to avoid a loss. I'll take it! 10* OVER the total in Leicester |
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05-23-21 | Crystal Palace v. Liverpool -2.25 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -52.5 | 15 h 35 m | Show |
Goal Line Dominator - Rickenbach EPL Sunday 10* Liverpool Goal Line -2.25 goals -105 vs Crystal Palace @ 11 AM ET - Liverpool has been on a tear and now sits in a great position for a top four spot in the table. I do not seem being denied and feel strongly that Liverpool is going to win by plenty because they know they control their own destiny here other than the outside chance that Leicester wins and also ends up with an edge on goal differential. However, Liverpool already up 4 goals in the goal differential department and so I completely expect the hosts here to blast Crystal Palace and leave no doubt. Liverpool has won 4 straight matches by a combined score of 11 to 3. Additionally, they have won last two matches against Crystal Palace by a combined score of 11 to 0. This one, given the situation, gets very ugly. Crystal Palace is capable of being competitive but Liverpool has too much of a talent edge, too much momentum, and is highly motivated. Also, keep in mind, Tottenham's Harry Kane is knotted up with Liverpool's Mohamed Salah in the race for the Golden Boot so the hosts will not hesitate to get Salah heavily involved even if this is a blowout - and a rout is precisely what I expect. Lay it! 10* LIVERPOOL goal line -2.25 goals |
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05-19-21 | Liverpool -1.75 v. Burnley | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
Game of the Year - Rickenbach EPL Wednesday 10* Top Play Liverpool Goal Line -1.5 or -1.75 goals @ Burnley @ 3:15 ET - Earlier this season Burnley got the shocking upset win at Liverpool to end the long run of dominance the hosts had been having on their home pitch. Not only is this a revenge game, Liverpool also has been playing very well of late. They are on a big-time heater in Premier League games and now have their sights set on a top four finish! Even though Liverpool lost the first match with Burnley, they actually completely outplayed them in terms of possession and shots on goal. I do not see Liverpool being denied again and note that Burnley has had some big goals allowed totals in recent matches. Liverpool will be relentless on the attack in this one while Burnley is known for struggling to score goals and this is particularly true on their home pitch. While Liverpool has tallied 36 times away from home this season for one of the best marks in the league, Burnley has but 14 markers in 18 games on their home pitch this season. This one will be a road rout as Liverpool is focused and angry and out for revenge and I just do not seem them being denied nor do I see them settling for just a 1-goal win here. This should be a dominating road win. Lay it! 10* LIVERPOOL Goal Line -1.5 or -1.75 goals |
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05-19-21 | Arsenal v. Crystal Palace OVER 2.5 | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 1 m | Show | |
Early Dominator - Rickenbach EPL Wednesday 8* OVER 2.5 goals in Crystal Palace vs Arsenal @ 2 ET - With Arsenal off a 1-0 victory over Chelsea, they could be set up ideally for an upset loss at Crystal Palace in this one. However, I can not trust the leaky defense of Palace to get the job done. One of their last 6 matches was against Sheffield United - the worst club in the table this season - and Crystal Palace delivered a clean sheet performance with a 2-0 victory in that one. However, in their other 5 matches since early April not against bottom-feeding Sheffield, Palace has allowed at least 2 goals in all 5 matches. So I look for Crystal Palace, winners of 2 of last 3 matches, to put up a fight here against Arsenal and they do catch them off that big win over Chelsea, but I simply can not trust Palace to put the clamps on the attack of Arsenal. That said, plenty of goals expected in this one. 8* OVER 2.5 goals in Crystal Palace |
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05-18-21 | Leicester v. Chelsea -128 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 2 m | Show |
Game of the Month - Rickenbach EPL Tuesday 10* Top Play Chelsea Money Line -130 vs Leicester @ 3:15 ET - Rematch of this weekend's game in the English FA Cup Final. Even though Leicester won that one 1-0, Chelsea held the edge in possession and outshot them by about a 2 to 1 ratio. Now I see Chelsea getting payback here in what is a huge match as each club is battling hard for a top four finish with Liverpool suddenly hot on their heels in the #5 spot. I love the fact that a team who had been playing so well under new manager Thomas Tuchel has suddenly lost back to back games by a 1-0 count but that this was on the heels of a run of dominance. At the same time, Chelsea now hosts a Leicester club which is off back to back huge victories over them and over Manchester United. Keep in mind, prior to those two victories, Leicester had gone winless in back to back matches against lower-table teams Newcastle and Southampton. Leicester allowed 5 goals in those two matches. I just do not see Chelsea being denied in this bounce back spot. Not with the way these two clubs had been going prior to back to back unusual results for each club. A ton of value here with a rather small price to lay on one of the best teams in the league on their home pitch and in an immediate revenge spot. I do not see them being denied here. 10* CHELSEA |
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05-18-21 | Leeds United v. Southampton OVER 3 | 2-0 | Loss | -117 | 5 h 42 m | Show | |
Earliest Dominator - Rickenbach EPL Tuesday 8* OVER 3 goals in Southampton vs Leeds United @ 1 ET - Two clubs in confident current form and having scored a pile of goals should lead to an entertaining affair here. Leeds United off back to back wins by a combined score of 7 to 1 and each game totaled 4 goals. Southampton off back to back identical victories by a 3 to 1 score. In other words, do not be surprised if we see at least 4 goals here. But as far as getting to at least the number of 3, one thing I particularly like about this match-up is we have the odds strongly in our favor in regard to avoiding a draw. Leeds United have played all 18 road matches this season without settling for a draw in any of them. Southampton has had only 3 draws in 18 home matches in this campaign. That said, as long as each club gets to at least 1 goal, which certainly appears very likely given all of the above, don't be surprised that this match will get to at least 2-1. Why settle for a draw here? Both teams are not in a position to be concerned about anything and will aggressively go for the winning goal. So, though we certainly do not want a push, it is indeed comforting making a bet in which you are quite confident of getting at least a push. 8* OVER 3 goals in Southampton |
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05-16-21 | Sheffield United v. Everton OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -125 | 5 h 59 m | Show |
Afternoon Annihilation - Rickenbach EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Everton vs Sheffield United @ 2 ET - Sheffield certainly can play loose and relaxed as they were the first club relegated and have had a very rough season. The result of this should be plenty of goals in this one. Sheffield, as you would expect, has been one of the worst clubs in the league as far as goals allowed this season. Also, Sheffield can take advantage here of an Everton club which has been one of the worst in the league in terms of goals allowed on its home pitch this season! We have talked here before about this type of scenario and I feel it again leads to value in a spot like this. That is, I do not see Sheffield going without a goal here. I also do not see heavily favored Everton as not finding a way to win this match. That said, we should be looking at a 2-1 final at the very least and that would put us into the win column with this one. Sheffield has shipped 6 goals in its last two matches. Everton has gone 5 straight home matches without a clean sheet and has allowed 2 goals in 4 of those 5 matches. Look for this one to surprise and see more goals than you would expect even though Sheffield usually struggles to score. I feel strongly they will not have that same struggle today plus Everton should score very well. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Everton |
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05-15-21 | West Ham United v. Brighton & Hove Albion OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 2 m | Show |
Afternoon Annihilation - Rickenbach EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Brighton & Hove Albion vs West Ham United @ 3 ET - With no further threat of relegation, Brighton can play loose and relaxed here. That makes for a dangerous dog but I still not see the hosts as being able to stifle a West Ham club that is desperately trying to get all 3 points from this match as they still have hopes of a top four finish in the table. That said, each club should get to a goal here and I certainly do not see either club being willing to settle for a 1-1 draw. Both clubs will be going hard for all 3 points here. Interestingly, Brighton has never lost to West Ham in 7 matches in the premier league. What have they got to lose here? Nothing of course so they will go strong here but I also expect West Ham to be relentless here in terms of pressure. Yes West Ham has been delivered a clean sheet in 2 of last 3 matches but one of those matches was against defensive-minded Chelsea. Prior to the 1-0 defeat versus Everton, West Ham matches had totaled at least 3 goals in 5 of last 6. In fact, those 5 matches averaged nearly 5 goals per match. With that said, I am looking for a surprisingly high-scoring match here. The hosts, now with no threat of relegation, do enter this one having scored 3 goals in last two matches and I expect more of the same here. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Brighton |
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05-14-21 | Manchester City v. Newcastle United OVER 3 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 55 m | Show |
Afternoon Annihilation - Rickenbach EPL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 3 goals in Newcastle United vs Manchester City @ 3 ET - With Manchester City having locked up the #1 spot in the table for the season and with Newcastle United confirmed safe from relegation, this match should be played rather relaxed. What has been noticed with Newcastle is they are playing much better since the pressure is now off. That said, the hosts are likely to give Manchester City a challenge here and score at least 1 goal if not more. But ultimately the visitors, even with resting a couple guys for what lies ahead in other competitions, will prove to have too much firepower and should score plenty here. Manchester City is motivated to extend their winning away run and they have been phenomenal as travelers here. However, Newcastle is on a 3-1-1 run and has averaged scoring 2 goals in these 5 matches. Manchester City got stifled by Chelsea in most recent match but this followed 3 straight matches in which they had scored 2 goals in each. Also, Manchester City has averaged nearly 3 goals per match in last 4 meetings with Newcastle across all competitions. 10* OVER 3 goals in Newcastle United |
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05-13-21 | Liverpool v. Manchester United OVER 2.75 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 13 m | Show |
NOTE: This match was rescheduled from earlier this month but my original write-up still holds true. In fact, with Chelsea losing yesterday, this actually gives Liverpool a little more hope in terms of staying alive for a top four spot in the table while Manchester United can be aggressive on the attack here knowing they are very nearly already locked into the #2 spot in the table as the campaign is winding down. Afternoon Annihilation - Rickenbach EPL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Manchester United vs Liverpool @ 3:15 PM ET - ORIGINAL WRITE-UP: Always a big match-up, the first one in the league action this campaign was a scoreless draw. I feel strongly that this is serving to give us excellent line value with the total in this one. Both clubs are pretty well set in the table with perhaps Liverpool having a little extra hunger but knowing that the chances of them moving into the top four rest somewhere between slim and nil! That said, there will be a little more aggression on the attack in this one from both clubs and Liverpool has been showing much stronger away form over its last 7 league matches on enemy soil. Also, on the campaign, Manchester United has averaged 2 goals per match in home matches and Liverpool has averaged 2 goals per match on the road. 2-2 final here? Certainly would not totally surprise me and we just need 3 goals here to be a winner. Manchester United has scored 2 or more goals in 6 of last 7 matches across all competitions and actually scored an average of 3 goals in those 6 matches! When these clubs met in English FA Cup action in January it was a 3-2 win for Manchester United. Liverpool's recent matches heading into this one have featured some tougher luck in scoring goals but the opportunities have been there. That said, and given this situation, Liverpool will be relentless in their quest for cashing in those opportunities in this one. 10* OVER the total in Manchester United |
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05-12-21 | Arsenal v. Chelsea -116 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -116 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
Annihilation Dominator - Rickenbach EPL Wednesday 10* Top Play Chelsea Money Line -115 vs Arsenal @ 3:15 ET - Chelsea has almost locked up a top four finish in the table. However, the key word there is almost! In other words, there is still plenty of motivation here for Chelsea. Additionally, they have revenge on their minds as they lost in the reverse fixture at Arsenal in late December. Certainly Chelsea is a different clubs now with Thomas Tuchel at the helm. They simply do not concede goals and even if this is a tight low-scoring match, the hosts should certainly do enough for a victory. Chelsea is very motivated and Arsenal has struggled to mount much of an attack recently and the hosts have been very stingy on defense almost without fail ever since Tuchel took over at manager. This is a fantastic opportunity to take the much better club on their home pitch at a great price. We get a great line here because Arsenal has performed well on enemy pitch and does have good recent history versus Chelsea. However, this merely serving to give us line value here because the hosts are clearly a different club now than they were in the most recent meetings and Arsenal has really taken a few steps back. Arsenal often has struggled against better competition of late and has only been able to knock off the lesser foes. Certainly Arsenal is facing tougher competition in this one! 10* CHELSEA |
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05-11-21 | Crystal Palace v. Southampton OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
Daytime Dominator - Rickenbach EPL Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Southampton vs Crystal Palace @ 3:15 ET - With no pressure on either club, I am expecting a rather wide open match here. Southampton is now safe from any relegation threat courtesy of Fulham and West Bromwich both losing their matches to join Sheffield United as the 3 clubs that have been relegated for next season. As for Crystal Palace, they are higher in the table than Southampton but not high enough to have any real incentive to move higher. The point being that both clubs play with no pressure here and I expect plenty of good scoring opportunities as a result. Southampton has Danny Ings very close to returning and he might even be back for this game. Also, the hosts should have Takumi Minamino back for this one after he missed the match with Liverpool. Southampton will be stronger on the attack here as a result. The injury situation for Crystal Palace has also recently improved as well and with some fresh legs coming in for both clubs in this one, and the rather open and attacking style I expect to see in a match with no real bearings in the table, we should certainly see at least 3 goals in this one. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Southampton |
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05-10-21 | Burnley v. Fulham OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
Total of the Week - Rickenbach EPL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +105 in Fulham vs Burnley @ 3 ET - I know that Fulham struggles to score goals but their season is on the line here. Without a win here, Fulham will be relegated. That said, the hosts will be going hard for a victory and the full 3 points in the table here. Despite getting shutout by Chelsea in most recent match for Fulham, they actually nearly equaled Chelsea in terms of shots and shots on goal. It was an impressive effort though Fulham ended up with nothing to show for it. They will be more rewarded for their scoring opportunities in this one as they take on a Burnley club not exactly known for shutting the opposition down. In fact, each of Burnley's last 6 matches have totaled 3 or more goals. Those 6 matches averaged 3.7 goals and I would not be surprised to see 4 here but certainly we should see at least 3. Burnley has only 1 clean sheet in last 9 matches so Fulham will get on the board here. But I do not see either club settling for a draw here and that means we should see at least a 2-1 final. On that note, Burnley has scored in 8 straight matches and has averaged nearly 2 goals per match in their last 6 matches! Burnley has conceded nearly 2 goals per match in their last 9 matches. You can see why I am expecting at least a 2-1 final here as both clubs go hard for the full 3 points. Fulham getting 3 points keeps their slim hopes alive for avoiding relegation while Burnley getting the full the 3 points means they eliminated Fulham plus moved themselves to safety and they would have no further worries about relegation. 10* OVER 2.5 goals +105 in Fulham |
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05-09-21 | West Bromwich Albion v. Arsenal OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 14 m | Show |
National TV Blowout - Rickenbach EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Arsenal vs West Bromwich @ 2 ET - I know that Arsenal has not scored a lot of goals recently and West Bromwich is off a 1-1 draw. However, West Bromwich is still desperately trying to avoid relegation and their four prior matches all totaled 3 or more goals and actually averaged 4.3 goals per match. I feel we have excellent line value here with this total. No club has conceded more goals this season than West Bromwich. Arsenal is angry off a loss and will be ready to respond here and to be much more aggressive on the attack. West Bromwich, likewise, must be on the attack here as they can not afford to settle for a draw. They are desperately seeking 3 points in the table to keep their slim hopes alive in terms of avoiding relegation. Arsenal still has hopes to move up the table as well and their scoreless result in UEFA Europa League action on Thursday has the hosts fired up to respond here. I just do not see either team being held off the scoresheet here and I certainly do not see this match ending in a draw so we should see at least a 2-1 final here. Look for an aggressive attack from both clubs here and note that Arsenal won the reverse fixture 4-0 this season and the last 4 meetings between these clubs have averaged 3 goals. We should see at least that here as well. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Arsenal |
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05-08-21 | Southampton v. Liverpool -1.5 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show |
Game of the Week - Rickenbach EPL Saturday 10* Top Play Liverpool Goal Line -1.5 goals -125 vs Southampton @ 3:15 ET - Liverpool has played better than their recent results would indicate. They have simply just missed converting after creating some fantastic scoring chances. I feel confident they will get their just rewards in this one and come up with a multi-goal victory over Southampton. For one thing this is a revenge match because of what happened in the reverse fixture earlier this season. Additionally, Southampton is horrible in terms of conceding goals as travelers as they have allowed 38 goals on the road this season and that is the worst mark in the league! Look for Liverpool, hungry for a dominant win to avenge the earlier season defeat with a convincing victory here. Liverpool, as host versus Southampton, has won the two most recent matches by a combined score of 7 to 0. Look for a victory for them on their home pitch by at least a 2-goal margin in this one. 10* LIVERPOOL |
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05-07-21 | Newcastle United v. Leicester OVER 2.5 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
Daytime Dominator - Rickenbach EPL Friday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Leicester vs Newcastle @ 3 ET - Both teams gunning hard for the full 3 points in the table in this one. Leicester trying to secure a top four spot and Newcastle trying to secure safety from the relegation zone. I do not see either club earning a clean sheet in this one and I do not expect a 1-1 draw either. As a result, we should see at least a 2-1 match here. Leicester is off a 1-1 draw with Southampton and that was deeply disappointing for them. They will respond here and 8 of 10 preceding matches in Premier League action had totaled at least 3 goals. Newcastle is off a disappointing 2-0 loss to Arsenal but that followed a hard-fought 1-1 draw with Liverpool which was preceded by a run of 4 straight matches that all totaled 3 or more goals. Also, the last 3 matches between Leicester and Newcastle have all totaled 3 or more goals. Leicester home matches averaging 3 goals this season. Newcastle's road matches have seen them allow 1.6 goals per match. More of the same here. 10* OVER the total in Leicester |
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05-03-21 | West Ham United v. Burnley OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 18 h 5 m | Show |
Early Annihilation - Rickenbach EPL Monday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Burnley vs West Ham @ 3:15 ET - Burnley off a 4-0 win versus Wolverhampton so they will be ready to go here as they try to move further away from any threat of relegation and got a boost in confidence with the blowout win. West Ham also will be pushing hard for the full 3 points in the table here because they still have hopes of a top four finish. That took at hit with a 1-0 loss to Chelsea but there was no real shame in that as the defensive level of play since Thomas Tuchel took over at manager at Chelsea has been incredible. That said, West Ham will be looking for a breakout game on the attack in this one at Burnley after being stifled by Chelsea. You have read about this scenario with me before right here but again this is one of those spots where I do not expect either side to deliver a clean sheet. In other words, each club scores at least a goal. Additionally, neither team willing to settle for a draw here because each club needs the full 3 points in the table as noted above. So we should see at least a 2-1 final here and we are working with a total of 2.5 goals on this one. I will take it! Prior to the low-scoring loss to Chelsea, each of West Ham's last 4 matches totaled 5 or more goals! Additionally, West Ham entered the match with Chelsea on a run of 7 of 9 matches totaling at least 3 goals! Burnley is on a run of 5 straight matches totaling at least 3 goals and those actually averaged 4 goals per match. So look for plenty here as this one sets up well for plenty of offense. 10* OVER the total in Burnley |
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05-01-21 | Aston Villa v. Everton OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
Total of the Month - Rickenbach EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Everton vs Aston Villa @ 3 ET - Yes Everton is still chasing a top four spot and does have a game in hand in comparison with Chelsea. However, with how strong Chelsea has been since the managerial change, the likelihood of them blowing their top four spot lies somewhere between slim and none! That said, neither club in this Saturday match-up is facing much pressure truly. I expect the goals to be flowing well as a result. Aston Villa's last 4 matches have all totaled 3 or more goals and have averaged 3.5 goals. Everton's matches on home soil this season have averaged 3 goals per match. The last 5 times that Aston Villa and Everton have squared off, the matches have averaged 3.4 goals. Everton is off a 1-0 win over Arsenal but their match previous to that totaled 4 goals! Overall, Aston Villa has conceded 2 goals in 4 of its 5 matches. With Everton allowing 1.6 goals per match at home this season, you can see why I am expecting at least a 2-1 final here with 2-2 or 3-2 also having potential as well. Either way, Aston Villa's current form should insure this match gets to at least 3 goals. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Everton |
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04-25-21 | West Bromwich Albion v. Aston Villa OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
Total of the Month - Rickenbach EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Aston Villa vs West Bromwich Albion @ 2 ET - Aston Villa is having troubles defensively partially due to injury issues. The fact is that Aston Villa - 1-3 last 4 matches - has conceded 2 goals in each of its last 3 losses and scored 3 goals in the lone win during this stretch. Aston Villa has not managed a clean sheet in any of its last 5 matches and they themselves have only been kept off the scoresheet once in their last 5 matches. Aston Villa has had only 2 draws result from 15 matches on their home pitch this season. West Bromwich has had only 4 draws in 16 road matches this season. So the odds of a draw are slim. The odds of either club not scoring, based on Aston Villa's recent performances, are also quite slim. That explains why I fully expect at least a 2-1 final here. This match should get to at least 3 goals and we are working with a total of 2.5 goals. It has been a disappointing campaign for West Bromwich and they are desperate for 3 points in the table to keep their slim hopes alive in terms of avoiding relegation. West Bromwich has seen each of their last 3 matches total at least 3 goals and these have averaged 4.3 goals apiece. With both teams having some issues at the back we should see some nice scoring opportunities in this one! 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Aston Villa |
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04-24-21 | Chelsea v. West Ham United OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 27 m | Show |
Daytime Dominator - Rickenbach EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in West Ham United vs Chelsea @ 12:30 ET - Chelsea has only won 1 of its last 4 in premier league action. Chelsea seems to be getting fatigued late in the season as they also have played matches recently in English FA Cup action and in the UEFA Champions League. This match on Saturday will be Chelsea's 4th since April 13th. To put that in perspective, the hosts in this one will be playing for just the 2nd time over the same span. Indeed West Ham is the more rested club in this one and they have been strong at home this season. West Ham has only lost 3 times on their home pitch and has tasted victory 9 times as a host in this campaign. However, the issue for West Ham is they struggle at the back and allow far too many goals. The suspension of Craig Dawson for this one certainly will not help in that regard. That said, I do expect West Ham to enjoy some success on the attack but fail to slow down a Chelsea attack that led to a 3-0 defeat in the reverse fixture earlier this season. I am aware that Chelsea has a tendency to play very low-scoring matches and I certainly respect their play defensively. But Brighton & Hove played them nearly even in a scoreless draw Tuesday and now Chelsea visits a West Ham club known for cashing in more of their opportunities as they are a much better club than Brighton of course. That is why this is a battle for a top four spot in the table and, from that standpoint, one might expect a tight low-scoring contest. However, each of the last 4 matches for West Ham have totaled at least 5 goals and certainly I expect we can get to at least 3. West Ham has BOTH scored 2 or more and conceded 2 or more in each of its last 4 games! 10* OVER the total in West Ham United |
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04-23-21 | Everton +295 v. Arsenal | Top | 1-0 | Win | 295 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
Daytime Dominator - Rickenbach EPL Friday 10* Top Play Everton +300 @ Arsenal @ 3 ET - Neither club has been playing well of late but Everton is getting some key players back for this one and they have had excellent away form this season. Everton is a superb 9-3-3 on enemy pitch this season and note that Arsenal has won only 6 of 16 matches on home soil in this campaign. Everton has only lost 1 of the last 4 meetings with Arsenal and make for a true "live dog" here with the return of some players boosting their confidence as well. Since Arsenal has also been playing UEFA Europa League matches, Everton should have the fresher legs here as well. This will be Arsenal's 5th match dating to April 8th while it will be only the 3rd match for Everton. Also, will Arsenal have been somewhat distracted by the entire proposed, and recently abandoned, idea of a European Super League. Either way, I fancy the odds of an upset win for the big road dog in this fixture and feel they should not be priced in the 3 to 1 range but that is what we can get with them here. Great line value. 10* EVERTON +300 |
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04-22-21 | West Bromwich Albion v. Leicester OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 30 m | Show |
Daytime Dominator - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach EPL Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Leicester vs West Bromwich @ 3 ET - You have read this type of analysis from me quite often these days but I repeat it here because it applies again. Neither club wants to settle for a draw here and I do not expect a clean sheet in this match. So if each club gets a goal and there is no draw that means at least a 2-1 final here. Leicester is pushing hard for a top four finish and, after back to back losses in premier league action, is desperate for the full 3 points in the table. West Bromwich is off back to back wins and is hungry to escape the relegation zone. As slim as those odds still seem for the travelers here, they absolutely are starting to believe courtesy of the back to back confidence-boosting wins. West Bromwich has won its last two matches by a combined score of 8-2 and this included a victory over Chelsea. As for Leicester, their last 3 matches have averaged 4 goals each as they had a 5-0 win over Sheffield but lost two decisions by a combined 5-2 score. The two most recent meetings between these clubs have averaged 4 goals and each totaled 3 or more. Look for more of the same in what should be a spirited fixture Thursday with both clubs on the attack early and often. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Leicester |
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04-21-21 | Manchester City v. Aston Villa OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
Daytime Dominator - Rickenbach EPL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Aston Villa vs Manchester City @ 3:15 ET - I understand the injury issues here but Aston Villa played very well against Liverpool in their most recent match. I do not see them being held off the scoresheet here. Aston Villa is averaging 1.64 goals per game on their home pitch this season. They get at least 1 here in my opinion but I also certainly do not see Manchester City losing this match. They are the top team in the premier league and angry off some recent setbacks. Manchester City has averaged 2 goals per match on the road this season. Aston Villa will not go down without a fight on their home pitch in this one. The result should be at least a 2-1 final and that would put us into the winners circle with this one. Each club has had only 5 draws in Premier League competitions this season and that is after 30 matches for Aston Villa and 32 matches for Manchester City. In other words, as long as Aston Villa gets a goal, which I fully expect, we should see at least a 2-1 final here as the odds of this one finishing a 1-1 draw are quite slim as you can see. 10* OVER the total in Aston Villa |
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04-19-21 | Liverpool v. Leeds United OVER 3 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -112 | 17 h 20 m | Show |
Daytime Dominator - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach EPL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 3 goals in Leeds United vs Liverpool @ 3 PM ET - No team in the Premier League has fewer draws this season than does Leeds. The only club in the table with less than 5 draws is Leeds with 3 and they have played 31 matches so that means, odds prevailing, there is only 10 percent chance of a draw here. That said, I certainly do not foresee Leeds not scoring here. They have won 3 straight matches and scored at least 2 goals in all 3 matches. These teams last met in September and that was a wild 4-3 final! Liverpool has scored 5 goals in its last 2 premier league matches entering into this one. The point is that getting each team to at least a goal is likely and the likelihood of a draw is slim. With that factored in we should see at least 3 goals here. That is the posted total on this game and certainly offers some security as I see this game getting to at least 3 goals but, more likely, 4 or 5. Remember the last meeting tallied 7 goals. Another high-scoring match here. 10* OVER 3 goals in Leeds United |
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04-18-21 | Burnley v. Manchester United OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 39 m | Show |
Total of the Week - EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Manchester United vs Burnley @ 11 AM ET - Burnley has a history of performing well at Manchester United. Even though they are way down in the table, not even completely safe from relegation, Burnley keeps battling hard. Burnley has scored at least 1 goal in each of its last 5 matches but I do not see them winning this one. Hence, we should see at least a 2-1 final here and we have a total in the 2.5 range with this match. Burnley has an additional issue here in terms of stopping one of the best teams in the league in Manchester United. Goalkeeper Nick Pope is dealing with an injured shoulder and is a game time decision. Even if he plays will he be 100%? Doubtful. Also, he has a shaky line in front of him as Burnley has been struggling defensively. They have allowed 2.5 goals per match this month. Manchester United has scored 2 or more goals in 4 straight matches across all competitions. The fact is, given all of the above, Manchester United could get this match over the total all by themselves but I do expect Burnley to find the back of the net at least once in this one and at least a 2-1 match here or perhaps 3-1 final. Again, they have been competitive here so that gives some extra confidence but they will struggle to stop this opponent that will be very strong on the attack on their home pitch. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Manchester United |
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04-17-21 | Sheffield United +500 v. Wolverhampton Wanderers | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 53 m | Show |
Daytime Dominator - EPL Saturday 10* Top Play Sheffield United Money Line +500 @ Wolverhampton @ 3:15 ET - I know it may seem risky to play on a club at 5 to 1 odds but we do see these kind of bets hit on occasion and this sure looks like one of those occasions to me. This line is very strange as, of course, Sheffield is at the very bottom of the table this season and has a dreadful record on enemy pitch and yet Wolverhampton is currently available on their home pitch in the -140 range. Interesting, right? Well, here are the keys the way I see it. Sheffield had a little shake up after a recent 5-0 loss and then responded with a strong performance against Chelsea in English FA Cup action even though they fell short 2-0 in the game. Sheffield has since lost two more games but this club is still fighting as long as they have a shot, no matter how slim, to escape relegation. As for Wolverhampton, their position in the table is pretty well set at this point. They are off a win, but by just 1-0 count versus Fulham, but this was on the heels of 5 straight matches in which they did not secure a victory in any of those 5. The Wolves know they have little, to no, shot at making the top 8 in the table because they have struggled so much here late in the campaign. Knowing they have no worries about relegation, Wolverhampton also realizes they are destined for finishing in the lower half of the table. From a motivational standpoint, the travelers will be the much hungrier club here. Sheffield still fighting for its life in the Premier League and I feel strongly they will give one of their best efforts of the season here and I am calling for the shocking upset. 10* SHEFFIELD +500 |
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04-16-21 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Everton OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show |
Daytime Dominator - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach EPL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Everton vs Tottenham - Both clubs have been struggling recently but both still have top four ambitions in the table for a Champions League position. That said, I do not expect either team to settle for a draw here and I do not expect either team to have a clean sheet either. I know Everton is coming off a disappointing scoreless draw at Brighton & Hove but I am expecting a big response here. Everton has won both meetings with Tottenham this season (one was in English FA Cup action by a 5-4 count!) and I look for plenty of goals again here. In their 4 matches across all competitions prior to the scoreless draw, Everton conceded 7 times including 2 goals in each of 3 matches. Tottenham was held to 1 goal in their loss to Manchester United but that was preceded by them averaging scoring 2.2 goals per match in their 14 preceding games. Tottenham has conceded at least twice in 4 of last 5 matches. I am expecting at least a 2-1 match here but a 3-2 final would not be a surprise. Again, as noted above about the hopes of a top four finish in the league still being alive, neither club wants to settle for a draw here. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Everton |
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04-12-21 | Everton v. Brighton & Hove Albion OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 3 m | Show |
Daytime Dominator - EPL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +115 in Brighton & Hove Albion vs Everton @ 3:15 ET - Each club desperate for 3 points here as Everton still has two games in hand on the clubs ahead of them which they are chasing for a higher finish in the table. Certainly Everton is still very much in reach of a strong finish in the table. They need the full 3 though here. At the same time, Brighton is only 6 points clear of the relegation zone so they are not out of danger to say the least. They do not want to settle for a draw here. That said, and you have seen this discussed here before, we should see at least a 2-1 final in this one. I do not see either team producing a clean sheet and I don't see either team settling for a draw. So look for this match to get to 1-1 at some point and then eventually 2-1. Either way we should see at least 3 goals in this one. Each of Everton's last 4 matches have totaled at least 3 goals. Everton is off a 1-1 draw but that was preceded by them allowing 2 goals in each of their 3 prior matches across all competitions. Also, off of the draw where allowing a late goal was an equalizer, Everton will be a little more aggressive on the attack for the full match in this one. They got burned for sitting back in their last match, versus Crystal Palace, and can not afford to make the same mistake here. 10* OVER 2.5 goals +115 in Brighton & Hove |
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04-11-21 | Arsenal v. Sheffield United OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 6 h 11 m | Show |
Daytime Dominator - EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Sheffield United vs Arsenal @ 2 ET - Arsenal not known for producing clean sheets and bottom-dwelling Sheffield does score a little better on their home pitch than when traveling. That said, even though the emphasis for Arsenal is now on UEFA Europa League action, they are still too strong for this Sheffield team. In other words, we should see at least a 2-1 final here as Arsenal again fails to produce a clean sheet but I expect them to win this match. On the off chance Arsenal has a really tough time here than we could see a shocking 2-1 upset as well which is why my play here is the over rather than Arsenal. But Sheffield has some injury issues with their defense and has conceded 11 times in last 4 matches. That said, do not be shocked if it is the road team that gets this match over the total all by themselves. Arsenal has had some big scoring in road matches since the calendar turned the page to 2021 and that includes 7 goals in their last 3 matches on enemy pitch. More of the same expected here. 10* OVER the total in Sheffield United |
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04-10-21 | Chelsea -1 v. Crystal Palace | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 10 m | Show |
Goal Line Dominator - EPL Saturday 10* Top Play Chelsea -1 -115 @ Crystal Palace @ 12:30 ET - Chelsea had been dominant since Thomas Tuchel had taken over at manager but then got embarrassed, in part to being down a man due to a red card, in a 5-2 lost to West Bromwich Albion. Chelsea immediately responded with a 2-0 dominating win over FC Porto in UEFA Champions League action. Look for Chelsea to carry momentum from that fixture right into this one as they now look to immediately get back on track in Premier League action. Chelsea has been playing extremely well overall ever since Tuchel took over and they are pushing hard for a top four spot in the table. Crystal Palace, on the other hand, is essentially stuck in mid-table as they are generally safe from relegation but also generally too far from the top 8 to move into a more favorable spot. The road side is the much more talented club in this fixture and, per the above, will prove to be the much more motivated club as well and I expect a road rout. With Chelsea, unsurprisingly, posted in the -200 range on the money line, we will of course utilize the goal line here instead to reduce our cost for investing here. Of course we do not want the push result of a 1-goal win but I am truly expecting domination here given the situation. 10* CHELSEA -1 -115 |
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04-09-21 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Fulham OVER 2 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
Daytime Dominator - EPL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals in Fulham vs Wolverhampton @ 3 ET - These clubs do have a history of low-scoring results in recent matches when they have gone head to head. However, this is a case of each club desperate for a win and earning all 3 points in the table. That said, unless either club has a clean sheet performance the game gets to at least 1-1 and then the unlikeliness of either club settling for a draw means we should see at least a 2-1 final here. Fulham has seen each of their last 3 matches total at least 3 goals. Wolverhampton is off a 3-2 loss to West Ham. That was the 2nd time in last 4 matches that the Wolves have seen a total of 5 goals scored. Wolverhampton has allowed at least 1 goal in 8 of their last 11 matches across all competitions. Look for this one to get to at least a 2-1 final. 10* OVER 2 goals in Fulham |
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04-05-21 | West Ham United v. Wolverhampton Wanderers OVER 2 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show |
Situational Slaughter - EPL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2 goals in Wolverhampton vs West Ham @ 3:15 ET - The value of getting a 2 here is something I won't pass up on. West Ham can move into a top four position in the table with a win here but you know Wolverhampton will be doing everything they can to prevent that plus looking to avenge a 4-0 loss to the Hammers in the reverse fixture earlier this season. Note that 9 of West Ham's last 11 games in Premier League action have totaled at least 2 goals and 8 of the 9 that did actually totaled 3 or more goals. West Ham is off a 3-3 draw versus Arsenal where they blew a 3-0 lead and had to settle for a split of the spoils. While they would love to bounce back here in terms of their defensive play, West Ham has conceded at least a goal in 4 of last 5 matches and certainly did not impress in that regard against Arsenal. However, the Hammers have been scoring goals quite well and, in fact, have scored 2 or more goals in 7 of last 11 games. Also, it is absolutely worth nothing that there have been a ton of goals scored since the international break. There were 8 matches Saturday and Sunday and all 8 had at least 2 goals scored and 7 of the 8 had 3 or more goals scored. More of the same expected with this one Monday. 10* OVER 2 goals in Wolverhampton |
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04-04-21 | Brighton & Hove Albion v. Manchester United OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 107 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
Situational Slaughter - EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +107 in Manchester United vs Brighton & Hove @ 2:30 ET - Much has been discussed lately about the solid defensive play of Manchester United and that is well deserved. But this club needs to score some goals and they know it! They have been held to just 1 goal in each of their last 4 matches across all competitions. This cost them as they lost in the English FA Cup to Leicester. Look for a response here from Manchester Un4 ited as they have scored at least 3 goals in each of their last 4 matches against Brighton. We have a total of 2.5 to work with on this one and I certainly like the odds of getting past that mark here as the host has a chance to get this over the total all by themselves. However, I do expect Brighton to contribute as they scored at least 1 goal in each of their March matches and averaged scoring 2 goals per match in those 3 games last month. Each of the last 5 meetings between these clubs have totaled at least 3 goals and, entering this one, Brighton has seen 4 of their last 5 matches overall total at least 3 goals. More of the same here. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Manchester United |
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04-03-21 | Sheffield United v. Leeds United OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 2 m | Show |
Situational Slaughter - EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Leeds United vs Sheffield United @ 10 AM ET - Sheffield has had a miserable season. So much so that manager Chris Wilder is out and Paul Heckingbottom has been ever since. Now he faces the club, Leeds, that let him go after just 4 months as a manager in the summer of 2018. He was replaced by Marcelo Bielsa and that is who he will be opposed by in today's match-up. That is an interesting dynamic and I believe both managers will be looking to one-up the other here and that insures at least a 2-1 final in my opinion. I know Sheffield has not scored much at all this season but I don't see Heckingbottom's team being shutout in this one as he'll do anything he can to put a scare into Leeds and take all 3 points. Note that Leeds is allowing 1.6 goals per match this season and Sheffield is allowing 2 goals per match when on enemy pitch this season. Sheffield has allowed 3.5 goals per match since Heckingbottom took over and Leeds will not take their foot off the gas here if they have the chance to pour it on in this one. Why? Well, Sheffield has surprisingly won their last two visits at Leeds so big-time payback is on order for this one. Bielsa and the home club will not hesitate to push the pace here and take advantage of Sheffield's defensive shortcomings. 10* OVER the total in Leeds |
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03-21-21 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Aston Villa OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
Total of the Month - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Aston Villa vs Tottenham Hotspur @ 3:30 ET - I am aware of some injury and fatigue issues impacting both clubs entering this showdown in front of the international break. However, not only do I expect we could see some surprises on the injury/fatigue front in terms of who ends up playing in this match, I also like situational edges that lean toward an over in this one. For one thing, these two clubs are right next to each other in the table so neither club wants to settle for a draw as they each are desperate for the full 3 points in the table. On that note, Tottenham has had just 3 draws in 14 road matches this season and Aston Villa has but 2 draws in their dozen matches on their home pitch this season. So with the likelihood of a draw being slim, lets talk about the likelihood of a clean sheet for either club here. I just do not see it as the last two meetings between these clubs each totaled 4 or more goals. Also, Tottenham has produced just 1 clean sheet in its last 4 matches overall across all competitions and the Hotspur allowed an average of 2 goals per match in the other 3 matches. Aston Villa has been involved in lower-scoring games of late but that has had a lot to do with who they were facing. Now they take on a Tottenham club that averages scoring 1.7 goals per match this season. Aston Villa, by the way, also averages 1.7 goals per match on their home pitch. Even with injury issues I just not see either club being held off the scoresheet here and we are working with a total of 2.5 goals. That said, with neither team willing to split the spoils here, I look for this match to find its way to at least a 2-1 final. Like I said, do not be surprised when you see how the personnel news surrounding this match ends up being a different factor than you would expect. I feel strongly that we have line value here as a result. 10* OVER the total in Aston Villa |
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03-20-21 | Newcastle United v. Brighton & Hove Albion OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 130 | 7 h 14 m | Show |
Afternoon Annihilation - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach EPL Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Brighton & Hove Albion vs Newcastle United @ 4 ET - This is similar to yesterday's lone match in EPL that ended up 2-1. I just do not see either club in this one being willing to settle for a draw. That's because they are each just ahead of the relegation zone and desperate for a full 3 points in the table. At the same time, there is little chance of either team producing a clean sheet. Why? Well Brighton & Hove has allowed 1.4 goals per match on their home pitch this season. As for Newcastle, they have allowed 1.6 goals per match on enemy pitch this season. Just like yesterday's match, don't be surprised when each team tallies a goal in this one and then it ultimately turns into a 2-1 final. Looking for at least 3 goals here and expecting a competitive battle with both clubs being more aggressive on the attack than you might normally expect. These are desperate times for each club and Newcastle's schedule of fixtures gets tough coming up so they must go for the full 3 points in this one in my opinion. 10* OVER the total in Brighton & Hove |
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03-19-21 | Leeds United v. Fulham OVER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 107 | 6 h 24 m | Show |
NBCSN Blowout Rout - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach EPL Friday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals +110 in Fulham vs Leeds United @ 4 ET - Great set up for an over here. Leeds is off a scoreless draw but they faced Chelsea. Ever since Chelsea made their managerial change they are conceding next to nothing! As for Fulham, they are off a 3-0 shutout loss but faced the top team in the league. Manchester City has conceded only 21 times in 30 matches this season! As you can see, both clubs were set up to struggle to score goals in their most recent matches. That said, look for things to open up here. Leeds has had only 3 draws in their 28 matches this season and I don't see a clean sheet for either club here. That said, the likelihood of at least a 2-1 final here is strong in my opinion. Leeds has allowed an average of 2 goals per match as travelers this season! Fulham has conceded an average of 1.4 goals per match on their home pitch in this campaign. Leeds also has scored well away from home as they have averaged 1.7 goals per match on enemy pitch this season. 10* OVER 2.5 goals +110 in Fulham |
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03-15-21 | Liverpool v. Wolverhampton Wanderers OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
Earliest Dominator - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach EPL Monday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals: Liverpool @ Wolverhampton @ 4 ET - I know Liverpool has struggled recently but they have deserved better in terms of some of their goal-scoring chances not being cashed in. Also, they are off a mid-week win over RB Leipzig last week in Champions League action and I look for Liverpool to build off that 2-0 win with another victory here. Wolverhampton has but 9 wins in their 28 matches this season and also has a -8 goal differential in their last 4 meetings with the visitors in this one. The Wolves allowed 4 goals at Liverpool earlier this season and, even though they are now the hosts in the reverse fixture, an average of 2.3 goals per match has been allowed by Wolverhampton in last 4 meetings. It is now or never for Liverpool if they are serious about making a move up the table in Premier League action and I look for the win over RB Leipzig to be used as a springboard in that regard. However, I don't see Liverpool delivering a clean sheet here and that is why I am expecting at least a 2-1 final. Liverpool has allowed at least 1 goal in 9 of last 10 premier league matches. Wolverhampton is scoring an average of 1 goal per match this season but I also don't see them earning any points in this one. In other words, at least a 2-1 final expected here and an angry Liverpool team could really pour it on here with a 3 or 4 goal performance too. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Wolverhampton |
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03-14-21 | West Ham United v. Manchester United OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
Daytime Dominator - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Manchester United vs West Ham United @ 3:15 ET - Manchester United just knocked off the hottest team in the league when they defeated rivals Manchester City in their most recent premier league contest. That said, this is the perfect spot for a slip-up in terms of goals conceded after that 2-0 shutout victory. Likewise, West Ham is also off a 2-0 shutout win. Prior to that, 7 of West Ham's last 8 fixtures in premier league action had totaled 3 or more goals and I fully expect this one will as well. West Ham scored an average of 2 goals per match in those competitions. Manchester United won the most recent premier league meeting between these teams by a 3-1 count. Don't be surprised if this one also gets to 4 goals but we should see at least 3 here and that puts us in the winners circle here. Perfect set-up with each club off a 2-0 result in most recent respective premier league matches. Manchester United averaging 2 goals per match on the campaign and West Ham, as noted above, also on a hot streak that has seen them scoring an average of 2 goals per match as well. 10* OVER the total in Manchester United |
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03-13-21 | Manchester City -1.5 v. Fulham | Top | 3-0 | Win | 110 | 6 h 51 m | Show |
Goal Line Dominator - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach EPL Saturday 10* Top Play Manchester City Goal Line -1.5 goals +110 @ Fulham @ 3 ET - Their 21-match winning streak ended, Manchester City responded in a big way with a 5-2 win against Southampton Wednesday. Manchester City entered that match coming off a 2-0 loss that also ended a 28-match unbeaten run. City has a goal differential of +40 on the season while Fulham has a goal differential of -10 on their home pitch this season. Fulham has played better of late but that had a lot to do with level of competition faced. I know they just beat Liverpool 1-0 but that is a club that has some major internal issues going and continues to struggle on their home pitch. Speaking of struggling as a host, Fulham has but two wins in 15 matches on their own turf this season. Considering they now face the best team in the league, that is why the money line is a massive one here at nearly a -300 price...but the value is with the goal line and certainly this should be a blowout. 10* MANCHESTER CITY -1.5 goals +110 |
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03-12-21 | Aston Villa v. Newcastle United OVER 2.5 | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 20 m | Show | |
Afternoon Annihilation - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach EPL Friday 8* OVER the total in Newcastle United vs Aston Villa @ 3 ET - I am aware of the fact that Newcastle has some injury issues effecting some of their top attacking strikers. However, this match is on their home pitch and they are desperate to get all 3 points here in the table as they are on the verge of slipping into the relegation zone. Also, both these clubs are off of scoreless draws in their most recent matches and we can get this total as low as 2 goals if we lay some extra juice. This is a great value to have the over at just 2 goals and so I will reduce my rating to a non-top premium play here and roll with the over in a fixture I feel will surprise some people in terms of goals scored. Prior to the scoreless draw, Newcastle's 4 most recent fixtures averaged a total of 3.3 goals per match. Aston Villa has been involved in a stretch of low-scoring matches but this does not make sense. Prior to a sluggish 5-game stretch, Aston Villa had scored a total of 36 goals in their first 21 premier league matches in this campaign! The travelers in this one have scored an average of 1.7 goals in their last 3 matches against Newcastle but I also do not expect the hosts to be denied here. That said, two clubs desperate for 3 points in the table is going to bring about some extra attacking as well as opportunities on the counterattack here. 8* OVER the total in Newcastle |
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03-10-21 | Southampton v. Manchester City -1.75 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 17 m | Show |
Goal Line Dominator - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach EPL Wednesday 10* Top Play Manchester City Goal Line -1.75 goals -130 in Manchester City vs Southampton @ 1 ET - Their 21-match winning streak ended, Manchester City will respond in a big way here against Southampton. The visitors in this one just saw Danny Ings get hurt in their most recent match. That will not help matters for Southampton and they visit an angry club in Manchester City coming off a 2-0 loss that also ended a 28-match unbeaten run. City has a goal differential of +37 on the season and is healthier here while Southampton has a goal differential of -11 and has some injury concerns. Factoring in that the visitors are off a 2-0 win after back to back shutout defeats while the hosts are off a 2-0 loss after months of dominance, you have the ideal set up to lay it here! Of course that is why the money line is a massive in this one...greater than a -500 price...but the value is with the goal line and certainly this should be a blowout. 10* MANCHESTER CITY |
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03-08-21 | Leeds United v. West Ham United OVER 2.75 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -111 | 7 h 45 m | Show |
Afternoon Annihilation - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach EPL Monday 10* Top Play OVER the total in West Ham United vs Leeds United @ 3 ET - The "average" match for Leeds as travelers this season is certainly not "average" at all. Leeds averages nearly 2 goals per match plus allows 2 goals per match as travelers this season. Look for another high-scoring match here as a I don't see either club being held without a goal and also do not expect a draw either. That's because Leeds has had only 2 draws in 26 matches this season. West Ham does have a tendency to play lower-scoring matches. However, their #1 goal-keeper has been dealing with an arm injury and their #2 goalie has a hip injury. Leeds likes to be aggressive on the attack and will look to take advantage of this. Also, though off a low-scoring loss to Aston Villa, this was preceded by a stretch that saw 12 of Leeds 16 matches across all competitions result in at least 3 goals. As for West Ham, 7 of their last 8 matches in premier league competitions have totaled at least 3 goals. This one will too. 10* OVER the total in West Ham United |
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03-07-21 | Crystal Palace v. Tottenham Hotspur -1 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 16 h 60 m | Show |
Afternoon Annihilation - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach EPL Sunday 10* Top Play Tottenham Hotspur Goal Line -1 -116 vs Crystal Palace @ 2:15 ET - Tottenham is very healthy compared to most teams in premier league action at this point in the season. Conversely, Crystal Palace is one of the teams dealing with the most injury issues at this point in the campaign. It certainly shows in level of play on the pitch of late as Crystal Palace has not scored a goal in 4 of their last 5 matches across all competitions. The lone fixture in which they did manage to find the back of the net it was a 2-1 win over Brighton & Hove but Crystal Palace was very much outplayed in that on. Also, their last two losses in premier league action have come by a combined 5-0 score and their last two losses to Tottenham have come by a combined 6-0 score. Overall, Crystal Palace is winless in last 4 meetings with the Hotspur. Of course all of the above is a big part of the reason Tottenham is a 2 to 1 favorite on the money line in this one. That said, where the value lies is with the goal line in this one. We can lay a small price in the -116 range to take Tottenham at -1 goal in this fixture. Note that Tottenham has won 4 of its last 5 across all competitions and the 4 victories have come by a combined margin of 13 to 1. Look for another dominating victory here. 10* TOTTENHAM -1 goal -116 |
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03-06-21 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Aston Villa +147 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 43 m | Show |
Daytime Dominator - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach EPL Saturday 10* Top Play Aston Villa Money Line +147 vs Wolverhampton @ 12:30 ET - I know that was a very tough Manchester City team that Wolverhampton just faced but they gave it quite a battle on the scoreboard with a 1-1 game until City exploded over the final 10 minutes for the 4-1 win. I feel the strong effort that Wolverhampton gave for about 80 minutes in that game only to then get crushed late is going to leave them spent here both physically and mentally. Also, Wolverhampton was certainly outplayed in terms of possession and shots on goal. Rather than being outplayed, Aston Villa was strongly on the right side of both possession and shots on goal in their game versus Sheffield United and yet they ended up on the wrong end of a 1-0 final. This will be a very determined Aston Villa taking the field in this one on Saturday as a result. They are hungry after that loss and have a positive goal differential of +11 on the season including +4 on their home pitch. That is in contrast with a Wolverhampton club that certainly has struggled on enemy pitch this season. They have a -10 goal differential as travelers this season. 10* ASTON VILLA |
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03-06-21 | Southampton v. Sheffield United OVER 2.5 | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach EPL Saturday Free Pick OVER 2.5 goals +115 in Sheffield United vs Southampton @ 10 AM ET - Sheffield United has been more competitive of late on their home pitch with 3 wins in their last 6 matches there. However, their defense is currently dealing with a rash of injury issues. Southampton has strikers like Danny Ings and Che Adams that certainly will be looking to take advantage and I feel the travelers will have some success here. However, Southampton also has shipped more goals than any other club in their away matches this season. That said, we should see each club finding the back of the net at least once in this one and then here is where other key comes into play with this one. In 27 matches this season, Sheffield United has had just 2 draws. That said, this one is highly unlikely to end 1-1. Look for at least a 2-1 final here. Free Pick OVER 2.5 goals in Sheffield United |
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03-04-21 | Chelsea +0.25 v. Liverpool | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 54 m | Show |
Afternoon Annihilation - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach EPL Thursday 10* Top Play Chelsea Goal Line +0.25 goals -107 @ Liverpool @ 3:15 ET - Liverpool used to be unbeatable at home but that trend has completely reversed of late and now they have struggled badly at Anfield. That said, I love the value here with a Chelsea club that has played so well, particularly on defense, since Thomas Tuchel took over. Since Chelsea is the traveler in this one, we can get extra line value here with the goal line. With the +0.25 goal, even a draw for Chelsea cashes a ticket for us. Since Tuchel took over, Chelsea is unbeaten with 6 victories and 3 draws and they have conceded only 2 goals in these 9 matches! Liverpool has now gone 7 straight matches on their home pitch without a victory! Indeed, their last win at Anfield was in mid-December. That said, I like the value here of just needing a draw with Chelsea to cash our bet. Considering all of the above, a low-scoring duel is likely and the travelers have a great shot at the upset and I also fancy our chances of at least a draw in this one as the aforementioned streaks are long-term and continue their run here. 10* CHELSEA Goal Line +0.25 goals -107 |
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03-03-21 | Manchester United v. Crystal Palace OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -116 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
Daytime Dominator - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach EPL Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Crystal Palace vs Manchester United @ 3:15 ET - Both clubs enter off scoreless draws. For Manchester United it came against Chelsea so was not totally unexpected considering how they have been stifling teams. However, it continued a long-term trend for Manchester United in terms of just not being able to score goals against top-level competition. That said, they are still averaging scoring 2 goals per match this season. Of course what that means is Manchester United is generally scoring plenty when they face non-top tier teams. With this also being a revenge match against Crystal Palace, I don't expect Manchester United to show any mercy here. That means we could see them score at least 3 and get this one over the total all by themselves. However, don't be surprised if Crystal Palace contributes some here too. They have seen their star, Wilfried Zaha, return to training recently and though he is still expected to miss this one it is giving an emotional boost to the club. Also, Crystal Palace saw 5 of their 7 matches, prior to the scoreless draw most recently, all finish with at least 3 goals scored. That trend quickly resumes here as the hosts are scoring an average of 1 goal per match this season but I certainly expect Manchester United to exact revenge here so we should be looking at a 2-1 final here at a minimum. Truly 4 or more goals expected here though based on how I see this fixture playing out. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Crystal Palace |
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03-02-21 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Manchester City OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
Daytime Dominator - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach EPL Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Manchester City vs Wolverhampton Wanderers @ 3 ET - What happens when a club is looking ahead to a bigger match? Generally mistakes and potentially a listless performance that kind find a club giving up more goals than one would normally expect. I am well aware that Manchester City has a 20-match winning streak in matches going across all competitions but I would not be surprised to see an upset in this one. That is why I am favoring the over in this match. Wolverhampton actually has tallied an average of 2 goals per match in their last 3 premier league encounters with Manchester City. With a huge match on deck with rival Manchester United looming on deck for the hosts in this one, don't be surprised if the travelers enjoy some success in this one. I know Wolverhampton generally doesn't score well and that Manchester City rarely concedes but this match as a different feel both from a situational standpoint and based on the fact that Wolverhampton has given Manchester City some trouble in recent meetings. That said, and with this total having dropped from a 3 to a 2.5 in this one, I see excellent value with the over in this one as I am expecting at least a 2-1 final in this fixture. Look for the hosts to get caught looking ahead to their big showdown at the weekend with Manchester United and, as a result, we see more goals than you would expect from this match with a Wolverhampton club that always seems to give the hosts some trouble. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Manchester City |
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03-01-21 | Southampton v. Everton OVER 2.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
Early TV Blowout - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach EPL 10* Top Play OVER 2.5 goals in Everton vs Southampton @ 3 ET - I am well aware of the fact that Southampton has injury issues but I just do not see them going down without a fight here. That said, I do not expect them to get shutout here. Certainly I also do not expect a wounded Southampton to deliver a clean sheet either. That means this match gets to at least 1-1 in my opinion. Now here is the key as to why this match gets to at least 2-1. The fact is Everton has only had 4 draws in 24 matches this season. This is a club that likes to go hard for the full 3 points in the table and will be aggressive on the attack even at the risk of getting burned and conceding a goal on the counterattack. Though coming off delivering a clean sheet at Anfield against Liverpool, Everton actually had conceded an average of 3 goals per match over their last 4 matches across all competitions. As for Southampton, prior to getting shutout by Leeds United, they had scored an average of 1.5 goals per match over their last 4 matches across all competitions. Southampton has conceded 2.3 goals per game as travelers this season and that is the worst mark in the league. Everton has conceded 1.7 goals per game as hosts this season. Southampton won the reverse fixture 2-0 as hosts in October but that was the first clean sheet delivered by either club in any of the last 5 meetings. With this total posted at 2.5 goals and with each club likely to get at least one goal plus not wanting to settle for just 1 point in the table, I just do not see this match finishing with anything less than a 2-1 final and truly I expect 4 goals to be scored here but 3 will cash our ticket just fine as well. 10* OVER 2.5 goals in Everton |
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02-28-21 | Burnley v. Tottenham Hotspur -1 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 15 h 52 m | Show |
Game of the Month - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach EPL Sunday 10* Top Play Tottenham Hotspur Goal Line -1 goals -105 vs Burnley @ 9 AM ET - In recent weeks, looking at Tottenham performances does not impress but they were without Harry Kane for much of that time. Now he is back and overall this club is very healthy and in much better shape on the health front than that of Burnley. Also, this game is on the home pitch of Tottenham and note that Burnley has not traveled well at all this season. They have won just 3 of 12 matches on enemy pitch plus have scored a total of only 8 goals in those dozen affairs. Only Sheffield United, dead last in the table by the way, has scored fewer goals as a traveler in this campaign. That said, the host should dominate in this one. Of course that is why they are nearly a 2 to 1 favorite on the money line. Where have value here, in my opinion, is by reducing our lay amount to a pick'em price by taking the Hotspur on the goal line which is at a -1 goal even. I look for Tottenham to roll big here. The Hotspur have 2 recent victories that came by a combined score of 8 to 1 in UEFA Europa League action. Though not in premier league those are confidence boosters and Burnley's last two non-draw decisions across all competitions were each decided by multi-goal margins. I feel strongly that this match-up will be as well. Odds favor a home club victory and I expect a solid margin as Tottenham has scored 4 goals in 3 of its last 5 matches across all competitions and Burnley has been held to 1 goal or less in 4 of its last 5 matches across all competitions. 10* TOTTENHAM -1 goal -105 |
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02-27-21 | Brighton & Hove Albion -0.5 v. West Bromwich Albion | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 59 m | Show |
Early TV Blowout - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach EPL Saturday 10* Top Play Brighton & Hove -105 vs West Bromwich @ 10 AM ET - West Bromwich is the host here but has just 2 wins on the entire campaign and just 1 home win and their average goal differential on their home pitch is actually 2 goals per match. Just horrible numbers. Conversely, Brighton & Hove is a respectable 4-4-4 as a traveler this season and their goal differential is nearly dead even on the road. However, Brighton & Hove still need to get a big win here as they are not safely away from the relegation zone. Even though Brighton & Hove are off a draw and a loss in their last two matches they have dominated both incredibly! They actually out shot their competitors 31 to 8 in those matches including 13 to 3 in terms of shots on goal. Brighton & Hove simply has not gotten what they deserved in their last two matches and they will make the most of facing a weak West Bromwich club here. The road team has allowed just 1.3 goals per match as travelers this season while the host team here has allowed 2.7 goals per match on their home pitch. I don't see the road team being denied here. 10* BRIGHTON & HOVE -105 |
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02-23-21 | Southampton v. Leeds United OVER 2.75 | 0-3 | Win | 50 | 14 h 12 m | Show | |
Daytime TV Dominator - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach EPL Tuesday 8* OVER the total in Leeds United vs Southampton @ 1 ET - Leeds average match this season results in 3.5 goals scored. That said, the ability to get this one at 2.5 or 2.75 goals is a value too good to pass up on. I know 3 goal totals are available out there as well but I will reduce my rating to an 8* here and lay a little extra juice so that I can turn 3 into a "win number" with this one. Leeds United is off a 1-0 loss to Wolverhampton but felt they deserved better with 19 shots (including 8 on goal) in that bitter defeat. Southampton enters this match with their matches averaging about 3.5 goals when on enemy pitch this season. Southampton is off a 1-1 draw with Chelsea and, the way Chelsea has been playing that is an impressive result. Prior to that result, Southampton had averaged 1.7 goals per match their 3 preceding matches. Couple that with the fact that Leeds is known for playing an attacking style even at the risk of creating exposure for their own defense, and you have the perfect set up for a high-scoring match here. It has also been quite some time since these foes have met and the lack of familiarity plus style of play should lead to great scoring chances in this one. 8* OVER the total in Leeds United |
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02-22-21 | Crystal Palace v. Brighton & Hove Albion OVER 2.5 | 2-1 | Win | 125 | 5 h 28 m | Show | |
Daytime TV Dominator - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach EPL Monday 8* OVER the total in Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace @ 3 ET - Some of you may only have the option to play this game at over 2.5 goals but that will get you a plus money return on a winning ticket. However, for those of you with access to over 2 goals that is the way I am recommending to play this one. You have to lay some extra juice to do so (-140 range) but having that added value of a total of 2 becoming a push rather than a win is worth it in my opinion. Crystal Palace has been hurting with the loss of Wilfried Zaha to injury. However, they still did well to generate shots on goal and scoring chances in their last two matches without him. Though they were held scoreless, indications from Crystal Palace are that this club still has plenty of resolve and they head to Brighton & Hove ready to capitalize on their scoring chances and to be aggressive on the attack even without the services of Zaha. The Albion are off a scoreless draw but they played extremely well in that match and generated 26 shots including 8 on goal! The fact that Brighton & Hove continues to play better and has deserved better in terms of getting goals on the board has me siding with the over here. I just do not see Crystal Palace being shutout here and I also expect the host to capitalize on facing a club that has allowed 5 goals in its last two matches. 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two have totaled at least 2 goals and this one will too. Look for a 2-1 affair here as both teams very hungry for the 3 points in this lower-table battle with relegation still a potential threat. 8* OVER the total in Brighton & Hove |
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02-21-21 | Newcastle United v. Manchester United OVER 3 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 17 h 31 m | Show |
Daytime Dominator - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Manchester United vs Newcastle United @ 2 ET - Manchester United is off a 4-0 win over Real Sociedad in UEFA Europa League action. Also, they have scored 3 or more goals in 2 of last 3 matches in premier league action. Newcastle United is off a shutout loss but they faced Chelsea who has been playing so well and delivering plenty of clean sheets. Newcastle should get back on track with at least a goal here even though they are on enemy pitch. Prior to the shutout defeat at the hands of Chelsea, Newcastle had scored an average of 1.8 goals last 4 matches. 3 of the last 5 matches between these teams have totaled at least 5 goals. Also, the last two matches have been 4-1 victories for Manchester United and I wouldn't be surprised to see that type of game here. The team on their home pitch is a 3 to 1 money line favorite for a reason. The best value in this one in my opinion is to go over the total. That is the best way to play it and look for the host to roll in this one. 10* OVER the total in Manchester United |