08-16-13 |
Los Angeles Dodgers v. Philadelphia Phillies +105 |
|
4-0 |
Loss |
-100 |
4 h 43 m |
Show
|
N.L. Best Bet: 5* Philadelphia +105
|
08-15-13 |
San Diego Chargers v. Chicago Bears -6 |
|
28-33 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 44 m |
Show
|
BEST BET: 5* Chicago -6
|
08-15-13 |
Atlanta Falcons +5 v. Baltimore Ravens |
|
23-27 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 4 m |
Show
|
3* Atlanta +5
|
08-14-13 |
Pittsburgh Pirates v. St. Louis Cardinals -117 |
|
5-1 |
Loss |
-117 |
10 h 4 m |
Show
|
N.L. Best Bet: 5* St Louis -117
|
08-14-13 |
Detroit Tigers v. Chicago White Sox +145 |
|
6-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
4 h 60 m |
Show
|
A.L. Executive Underdog: 3* Chicago +145
|
08-13-13 |
Boston Red Sox v. Toronto Blue Jays OVER 10 |
|
4-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
6 h 58 m |
Show
|
A.L. Best Bet Total: 5* Boston/Toronto over 10
|
08-12-13 |
Miami Marlins v. Kansas City Royals OVER 8 |
|
2-6 |
Push |
0 |
7 h 8 m |
Show
|
Inter-League Total of the Month: 5* Miami/Kansas City over 8
|
08-11-13 |
San Diego Padres v. Cincinnati Reds -1.5 |
|
2-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
3 h 52 m |
Show
|
N.L. Run Line Best Bet: 5* Cincinnati -1.5
|
08-10-13 |
Philadelphia Phillies v. Washington Nationals -101 |
|
5-8 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 43 m |
Show
|
N.L. Best Bet: 5* Washington -101
|
08-10-13 |
Detroit Tigers v. New York Yankees +150 |
|
9-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
4 h 42 m |
Show
|
A.L. Underdog Executive: 3* NY Yankees +150
|
08-09-13 |
Dallas Cowboys v. Oakland Raiders +1.5 |
|
17-19 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 48 m |
Show
|
NFLX Best Bet: 5* Oakland +1.5
|
08-09-13 |
Los Angeles Angels +105 v. Cleveland Indians |
|
5-2 |
Win
|
105 |
8 h 44 m |
Show
|
A.L. Best Bet: 5* LA Angels +105
|
08-08-13 |
Washington Redskins +3 v. Tennessee Titans |
|
22-21 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 45 m |
Show
|
NFLX: 3* Washington +3
|
08-08-13 |
Boston Red Sox v. Kansas City Royals +110 |
|
1-5 |
Win
|
110 |
10 h 44 m |
Show
|
A.L. Best Bet: 5* Kansas City +110
|
08-07-13 |
Tampa Bay Rays v. Arizona Diamondbacks +113 |
|
8-9 |
Win
|
113 |
12 h 47 m |
Show
|
I.L. Executive Underdog: 3* Arizona +113
|
08-07-13 |
Boston Red Sox v. Houston Astros +157 |
|
7-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 16 m |
Show
|
I.L. Executive Underdog: 3* Houston +157
|
08-07-13 |
Toronto Blue Jays -104 v. Seattle Mariners |
|
7-9 |
Loss |
-104 |
6 h 47 m |
Show
|
A.L. Executive: 3* Toronto -104
|
08-07-13 |
Oakland A's v. Cincinnati Reds -118 |
|
5-6 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 43 m |
Show
|
I.L. Executive: 3* Cincinnati -118
|
08-06-13 |
Tampa Bay Rays v. Arizona Diamondbacks +111 |
|
1-6 |
Win
|
111 |
6 h 35 m |
Show
|
I.L. Executive Underdog: 3* Arizona +111
|
08-06-13 |
Detroit Tigers v. Cleveland Indians +102 |
|
5-1 |
Loss |
-100 |
3 h 1 m |
Show
|
A.L. Best Bet: 5* Cleveland +102
|
08-05-13 |
Atlanta Braves v. Washington Nationals -112 |
Top |
3-2 |
Loss |
-112 |
5 h 13 m |
Show
|
N.L. Game of the Month: 10* Washington -112
|
08-04-13 |
Texas Rangers +110 v. Oakland A's |
|
4-0 |
Win
|
110 |
7 h 45 m |
Show
|
A.L. Best Bet: 5* Texas +110
|
08-04-13 |
Washington Nationals +105 v. Milwaukee Brewers |
|
5-8 |
Loss |
-100 |
5 h 38 m |
Show
|
NL Executive Underdog: 3* Washington +105
|
08-04-13 |
KAN ROYALS -138 v. New York Mets |
|
6-2 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 49 m |
Show
|
I.L. Best Bet: 5* Kansas City -138
|
08-03-13 |
Houston Astros v. Minnesota Twins OVER 8.5 |
|
4-6 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 25 m |
Show
|
A.L. Best Bet Total: 3* Houston/Minnesota over 8.5
|
08-03-13 |
Arizona Diamondbacks +137 v. Boston Red Sox |
|
2-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 15 m |
Show
|
I.L. Executive Underdog: 3* Arizona +137
|
08-03-13 |
Cleveland Indians v. Miami Marlins +119 |
|
4-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 13 m |
Show
|
I.L. Underdog Best Bet: 5* Miami +119
|
08-02-13 |
Toronto Blue Jays v. Los Angeles Angels OVER 8.5 |
|
5-7 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 47 m |
Show
|
A.L. Executive Total: 3* Toronto/LA Angels over 8.5
|
08-02-13 |
Cleveland Indians v. Miami Marlins -107 |
|
0-10 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 48 m |
Show
|
I.L. Best Bet: 5* Miami -107
|
08-02-13 |
Arizona Diamondbacks +172 v. Boston Red Sox |
|
7-6 |
Win
|
172 |
12 h 29 m |
Show
|
I.L. Executive Underdog: 3* Arizona +172
|
08-01-13 |
Los Angeles: R Nolasco v. Chicago (N): C Rusin +135 |
|
6-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 16 m |
Show
|
N.L. Executive Underdog: 3* Chicago +135
|
08-01-13 |
Seattle Mariners +102 v. Boston Red Sox |
|
7-8 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 40 m |
Show
|
A.L. Underdog Executive: 3* Seattle +102
|
07-31-13 |
Kansas City Royals -110 v. Minnesota Twins |
|
4-3 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 11 m |
Show
|
A.L. Executive: 3* Kansas City -110
|
07-30-13 |
Washington Nationals +116 v. Detroit Tigers |
|
1-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
4 h 47 m |
Show
|
Inter-league Underdog Executive: 3* Washington +116
|
07-29-13 |
Colorado Rockies +135 v. Atlanta Braves |
|
8-9 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 51 m |
Show
|
N.L. Underdog Executive: 3* Colorado +135
|
07-28-13 |
St. Louis Cardinals -115 v. Atlanta Braves |
|
2-5 |
Loss |
-115 |
22 h 21 m |
Show
|
Sunday Night ESPN Game of the Year: 5* St. Louis -115
***No analysis today***
|
07-28-13 |
New York Mets v. Washington Nationals -130 |
|
1-14 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 52 m |
Show
|
N.L. Executive: 3* Washington -130
***No analysis today***
|
07-27-13 |
St. Louis Cardinals +113 v. Atlanta Braves |
|
0-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 58 m |
Show
|
N.L. Underdog Best Bet: 5* St. Louis +113
***No analysis today***
|
07-26-13 |
Pittsburgh Pirates v. Miami Marlins +143 |
|
0-2 |
Win
|
143 |
10 h 22 m |
Show
|
N.L. Underdog Executive: 3* Miami +143
Miami comes in winning 3 out of 4 in Colorado so this will give them some positive momentum. The Pirates just lost a heart breaker to Washington but they still took 3 out of 4 against them. Both pitchers going today are in great pitching form.
The reason for Miami today is that when Locke pitches the Pirates are 0-7 (-9.1 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse over the last 2 seasons. The average score was LOCKE 3.0, OPPONENT 6.1. This tells us that he (and the Pirates) doesn't get focused against inferior opponents. In contrast Miami actually does pretty well against quality pitchers as they are 15-9 (+14.4 Units) against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season. The average score was MIAMI 4.6, OPPONENT 3.3.
Take Miami as today as a nice live dog.
|
07-26-13 |
Texas: M Perez v. Cleveland: C Kluber -130 |
|
8-11 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 21 m |
Show
|
A.L. Best Bet: 5* Cleveland -130
Kory Kluber has been in tremendous pitching form for Cleveland as he is 1-0 with a 0.95 ERA over his last three starts. At home he pitches to a 2.38 ERA. Martin Perez has struggled recently as he is 1-2 with a 5.50 ERA.
The Rangers offense is no where to be found as they have avg 2.4-rpg over the last seven games. Cleveland likes to hit left starters as they are avg 5.1-rpg this season (4.7-rpg overall).
Indians are 7-0 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter. Indians are 4-0 in their last 4 home games. Indians are 11-2 in home games after allowing 4 runs or less 3 straight games this season. Indians are 13-4 vs AL West opponents this season. Rangers are 0-5 in their last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Indians are 4-0 in Kluber's last 4 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Indians are 4-0 in Kluber's last 4 home starts. The Rangers are 1-5 when Perez starts after a loss after a loss. Take Cleveland today.
|
07-25-13 |
Los Angeles Angels +101 v. Oakland A's |
|
8-3 |
Win
|
101 |
13 h 41 m |
Show
|
A.L. Best Bet: 5* LA Angels +101
***No analysis today***
|
07-24-13 |
New York Yankees v. Texas Rangers OVER 9 |
|
1-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
11 h 35 m |
Show
|
A.L. Executive Total: 3* NY Yankees/Texas over 9
A major trade was just made as Texas acquired Matt Garza from the Cubs and he makes his debut today. Garza has a 1.66 ERA over his last three starts and is in great pitching form. However, if you look at his career numbers against the Yankees he 1-4 (team record is 1-10) and has a 4.62 ERA. His overall career ERA at Rangers Ballpark is 6.04
Andy Pettitte has not pitched well for the Yankees this season and is in poor pitching form as he has a 4.82 ERA over his last three starts. Pitching at Rangers Ball park he has a 8.22 ERA in his career.
When Garza pitches his team is 13-2 OVER in night games over the last 2 seasons. The average score was GARZA 4.5, OPPONENT 6.4. When Garza pitches his team is 12-2 OVER after giving up <=2 earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 3 seasons. The average score was GARZA 4.6, OPPONENT 5.9.
Take the over today.
|
07-24-13 |
Tampa Bay Rays -109 v. Boston Red Sox |
|
5-1 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 18 m |
Show
|
A.L. Best Bet: 5* Tampa Bay -109
David Price takes the mound today against Boston. He has been in great pitching form over his last three starts with a 2.52 ERA and 0.9960 WHIP. Price as always been a big game pitcher and this is a big game as this series is tied 1-1 and Tampa knows they need to at least split with Boston or win 3 out of 4 in the series. Price is 18-8 as a road favorite of -110 or higher over the last three years. Price's career record at Fenway park is 4-1 in 8 starts with a 2.13 ERA.
Rays are 4-0 in Price's last 4 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Rays are 13-3 in Price's last 16 road starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Rays are 21-5 in their last 26 overall. Rays are 5-1 in their last 6 road games.
BOSTON is 8-18 (-14.2 Units) against the money line in home games with an on base percentage of .285 or worse over their last 5 games over the last 2 seasons. Take Tampa today.
|
07-23-13 |
Cleveland Indians v. Seattle Mariners -111 |
|
3-4 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 19 m |
Show
|
A.L. Best Bet: 5* Seattle -111
Two pitchers coming into this game that are not in good pitching form. Zach Mcallister has a 6.14 ERA and 2.046 WHIP over his last three starts. Erasmo Ramirez got rocked in his only start of the season as he allowed 7-runs over 4 innings against Boston. Ramirez pitched well for the M's last year with a 3.36 ERA.
Seattle comes into the game hot winning seven straight and averaging 6.6-rpg. Cleveland is 3-4 their last seven games and are only averaging 3.7-rpg.
Seattle falls into a great system that allows us to play on any team (SEATTLE) - starting a pitcher who was rocked for 7 or more runs last outing against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP >= 2.000 over his last 3 starts, 38-8 82.6% over the last 5 seasons. +31.5 units. The average money line posted in these games was: Team underdog with a money line of: +103.9. The average score in these games was: Team 5.7, Opponent 3.
Mariners are 30-9 in their last 39 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Indians are 9-23 in their last 32 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Indians are 0-6 in McAllister's last 6 road starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Indians are 0-6 in McAllister's last 6 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. Take Seattle.
|
07-23-13 |
Oakland A's -1.5 v. Houston Astros |
|
4-5 |
Loss |
-103 |
11 h 40 m |
Show
|
A.L. Executive Run-Line: 3* Oakland -1.5 runs -103
The battle of between two young, up and coming pitchers tonight. Jarrod Parker is in great pitching form for the A's as he has 2.12 ERA over his three starts. Jarred Cosart pitched great in his debut on July 12 against Tampa as he beat David Price of Tampa and allowed only 1 run in 8 innings.
Oakland is 10-0 over against Houston over the last three seasons and 7-0 at Houston.
Oakland is 12-4 (+10.7 Units) against the money line off 2 straight road wins against a division rival over the last 2 seasons. The average score was OAKLAND 5.2, OPPONENT 3.3. HOUSTON is 6-36 against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons. The average score was HOUSTON 3.3, OPPONENT 6.1.
We don't like take big favorites of -155 or more so we feel with the numbers stacked against the lowly Astros in this one we like the A's 1.5-runs and make take them a small favorite over a big favorite.
|
07-23-13 |
San Diego Padres +111 v. Milwaukee Brewers |
|
6-2 |
Win
|
111 |
11 h 33 m |
Show
|
N.L. Underdog Executive: 3* San Diego +111
With the whole Ryan Braun mess in the spotlight, it's hard to see how the Brewers, who are completely out of the playoffs, focused. The best thing for the Brewers would be to hit the road and get away from their fans as they are facing question and question about Ryan Braun.
Milwaukee does not play well against poor teams as they are 3-11 (-10.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) this season. San Diego is 10-2 (+9.7 Units) against the money line vs. an excellent bullpen whose ERA is 3.00 or better this season. Brewers are 5-13 in their last 18 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150. Brewers are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. National League West. Take San Diego in this one.
|
07-22-13 |
Cincinnati: B Arroyo +113 v. San Francisco: T Lincecum |
|
11-0 |
Win
|
113 |
11 h 5 m |
Show
|
N.L. Underdog Best Bet: 5* Cincinnati +113
Tim Lincecum is coming off a no hitter where he threw 148 pitches. He will be working on 8 days rest and is 5-4 in his career on more than seven days rest. This is a little different because pitchers are not accustomed to throwing 120 pitches let alone 148 pitches. Lincecum by our calculations would need 14 days rest to recover from 148 pitches. He has a been a n average pitcher at home with a 4.13 ERA this season. In his career he is 0-2 with a 6.35 ERA against Cincinnati. Bronson Arroyo pitches for the Red and is in great pitching form with a 2.37 ERA over his last three starts. Even though Arroyo has not pitched well on the orad this season with 4.98 ERA he has pitched well in his career against the Giants with a 2.58 ERA.
The Reds are 3-0 this year against the Giants. When Lincecum pitches the Giants are 0-10 against the money line after a loss this season. The Reds are 8-0 against the money line after a loss this season when Arroyo pitches. Take the Reds today.
|
07-22-13 |
Pittsburgh Pirates v. Washington Nationals -135 |
|
6-5 |
Loss |
-135 |
8 h 22 m |
Show
|
N.L. Executive: 3* Washington -135
Haren has pitched well over his last two starts only allowing 2 ER in 11 innings. The Nationals are not playing well right mow as they are 1-6 their last seven. So this is a big series for them after just getting swept by the Dodgers at home.
Charlie Morton has been solid for the Pirates this season as a starter. In 6 games he has a 3.19 ERA. However, in his career he is 0-3 against Washington with a 4.11 ERA.
Pirates are 3-13 in Morton's last 16 starts vs. National League East. Pirates are 3-15 in Morton's last 18 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. Pirates are 1-4 in Morton's last 5 starts with 9 or more days of rest.
Washington falls into a great system that allows us to play on all teams with a money line of -100 to -150 (WASHINGTON) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.20 to 5.70 on the season (NL), poor power team - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game on the season, 49-19, 72.1% over the last 5 seasons. Take Washington today
|
07-21-13 |
Detroit Tigers v. Kansas City Royals +103 |
Top |
4-1 |
Loss |
-100 |
14 h 20 m |
Show
|
A.L. Game of the Month (Top-Play): 10* Kansas City +103
Doug Fister takes the mound for the Tigers today and has really struggles over his last three starts with a 7.00 ERA and 1.500 WHIP. In his career he has not pitched well against the Royals as he is 1-4 with a 4.10 ERA. He is 0-3 at Kauffman Stadium as a starter in his career. James Shields has been an average pitcher lately as he has a 4.63 ERA over his last three starts. Overall, he has 3.23 ERA even though his record is only 4-6. In his career against Detroit he is 5-1 with a 3.53 ERA and his team's record overall is 9-2.
Tigers are 1-4 in Fister's last 5 starts vs. American League Central. Tigers are 3-13 in Fister's last 16 starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150. Tigers are 1-7 in Fister's last 8 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. In his career Fister is 17-39 pitching on the road. Fister is 0-4 this year on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 and 4-19 in his career.
When Shields pitches his team is 14-4 in his career a home underdog of +100 to +125. Royals are 4-0 in Shields' last 4 home starts. Royals are 8-1 in Shields' last 9 starts. Royals are 5-1 in Shields' last 6 starts vs. American League Central. And for whatever reason Shields likes to pitch on Sunday's as he is 12-3 over the last three years.
Detroit is 4-15 on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. Kansas City is 9-0 (+9.8 Units) after batting .240 or worse over a 15 game span this season.
Kansas City also falls into a great system that allows us to play against Road teams (DETROIT) - average hitting team (AVG = .265 to .279) against a good starting pitcher (ERA <=4.20) -AL, with a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start). The system is 138-73, 65.4%, +52.7-units over the last 5 seasons.
Take the Royals today to sweep the Tigers.
|
07-20-13 |
Cleveland Indians v. Minnesota Twins +106 |
|
2-3 |
Win
|
106 |
10 h 33 m |
Show
|
A.L. Underdog Best Bet: 5* Minnesota +108
The Twins had a nice come from behind win yesterday against Cleveland yesterday and we will take that positive momentum and jump on them again today. Cory Kluber is in good pitching form but had not pitched well on the road as he has 5.40 ERA overall this season on the road. In contrast, Kevin Correia is not in good pitching form but has an overall ERA of 3.34 this season.
Minnesota is 12-1 against the money line after batting .225 or worse over a 10 game span this season. Minnesota is 11-4 against the money line when playing on Saturday this season. Cleveland is 12-25 in their last 37 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Cleveland is 3-16 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
When Correia pitches, his team's record is 6-0 against the money line when working on 7 or more days rest over the last three seasons. Take Minnesota today.
|
07-20-13 |
Atlanta Braves v. Chicago White Sox -109 |
|
6-10 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 29 m |
Show
|
Inter-League Best Bet: 5* Chicago White Sox -109
The White Sox come into the game losing four in a row and really have nothing to play for the rest of the season. Several of their players are on trading block and that includes pitcher Jake Peavy.
Peavy has pitched great at home this year with as he is 3-0 with a 1.88 ERA. Paul Maholm has really struggled over his last three starts as has a 5.29 ERA and 1.824 WHIP. On the road he has not pitched well with 5.26 ERA.
The Braves are 0-11 against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons when Maholm pitches. The Braves are 1-13 against the money line in road games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) in the second half of the when Maholm pitches. Braves are 1-5 in Maholm's last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record. White Sox are 5-1 in Peavy's last 6 starts as a home favorite.
Atlanta is 4-12 (-9.4 Units) against the money line in road games after having won 2 of their last 3 games this season. The White Sox are 13-2 against the money line in home games after 3 straight losses by 2 runs or less since 1997. Take the White Sox today.
|
07-20-13 |
Tampa Bay Rays v. Toronto Blue Jays -110 |
|
4-3 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 10 m |
Show
|
A.L. Executive: 3* Toronto -110
It is really do-or-die time for the Blue Jays. After losing last night they are really in a must win today. Jeremy Hellickson does not pitch well on the road this season as he has a 5.25 ERA while Mark Buerhle has been good at home with a 3.30 ERA.
Blue Jays are 4-0 in Buehrle's last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Blue Jays are 5-0 in Buehrle's last 5 home starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Blue Jays are 5-0 in Buehrle's last 5 home starts. Rays are 0-4 in Hellickson's last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. Take Toronto today.
|
07-19-13 |
Cleveland Indians v. Minnesota Twins +111 |
|
2-3 |
Win
|
111 |
11 h 4 m |
Show
|
A.L. Underdog Best Bet: 5* Minnesota +111
The Twins are coming off the All-Star break with some confidence as they beat the Yankees pretty convincingly 2 out of 3. Mike Pelphrey takes the mound today and has pitched well over his last three starts with a 3.71 ERA. Scott Kazmir has pitched well also over his last three starts but has struggled on the road this year with a 5.32 ERA.
Pelphrey pitched great in his only career start against Cleveland earlier this season allowing only 1 run in six innings. That will give him some confidence heading into today.
Minnesota falls into a great system that allows us to play on home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (MINNESOTA) - with a team batting average of .265 or worse on the season (AL), after scoring 10 runs or more, 40-23 63.5% (16.7-units) over the last 5 seasons.
Indians are 1-6 in Kazmirs last 7 road starts. Indians are 2-16 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 games following an off day. Twins are 11-1 against the money line after batting .225 or worse over a 10 game span this season. Take Minnesota today.
|
07-19-13 |
Atlanta Braves v. Chicago White Sox +110 |
|
6-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
11 h 31 m |
Show
|
A.L. Executive Underdog: 3* Chicago White Sox +110
Tim Hudson struggles on the road this year as he is 2-7 with a 5.19 ERA. John Danks is the opposite as at home he excels with a 2.1 record and 2.22 ERA. The White Sox will be sellers at the trade deadline so look for some their key pieces to be motivated to excel and so they can be shipped to a potential playoff team. Danks is one of them on the trading block.
Hudson struggles in his career against the White Sox with a 5.19 ERA. Braves are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter. Braves are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Braves are 1-7 in their last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter. White Sox are 4-1 in Danks' last 5 starts as a home underdog. White Sox are 14-6 in Danks' last 20 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Take the White Sox today.
|
07-19-13 |
Pittsburgh Pirates v. Cincinnati Reds -117 |
|
3-5 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 49 m |
Show
|
N.L. Executive: 3* Cincinnati -117
Both pitchers coming into this game are in great pitching form. Mike Leake and Francisco Liriano have been on top of their game this year.
This is a match-up where the Reds know if they want to make a run at the AL Central they need to win this series. The Pirates collapsed in the second half of the season last year and their is a little more pressure on them this year to succeed based on that collapse.
Reds are 8-3 in Leake's last 11 starts. The Reds are 15-2 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season when Leake pitches. Take Cincinnati today.
|
07-19-13 |
Philadelphia Phillies +104 v. New York Mets |
|
13-8 |
Win
|
104 |
9 h 28 m |
Show
|
N.L. Underdog Best Bet: 5* Philadelphia +104
Both teams come in playing good baseball as they are both 5-2 their last seven games. The Mets just had to deal with all the hoopla surrounding the All-Star game being played at Citi Field. So their will still be some excitement in the air. This is a make or break time for the Phillies before the trade-deadline. Will they be buyers or sellers? A lot will determine how they they perform over the first 7 games out of the break.
Jeremy Hefner is in great pitching form but this year is only 1-6 against divisional opponents and when working on 5 or 6 days rest he is 1-3. Phillies are 8-2 in Kendricks last 10 starts during game 1 of a series. Phillies are 11-4 in Kendricks last 15 starts vs. National League East.
The Mets are 0-12 after winning 5 or 6 games out of their last 7 games this season. The Phillies are 3-0 this year at Citi Field.
Take the Phillies today.
|
07-14-13 |
Los Angeles Angels +119 v. Seattle Mariners |
|
3-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
6 h 26 m |
Show
|
A.L. Underdog Best Bet: 5* LA Angels +119
***No analysis today***
|
07-13-13 |
Boston Red Sox v. Oakland A's -125 |
|
0-3 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 2 m |
Show
|
A.L. Best Bet: 5* Oakland -125
***No Analysis Today***
|
07-13-13 |
Cincinnati Reds +106 v. Atlanta Braves |
|
2-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 4 m |
Show
|
N.L. Executive Underdog: 3* Cincinnati +106
**No analysis today***
|
07-12-13 |
San Francisco Giants v. San Diego Padres +104 |
|
10-1 |
Loss |
-100 |
14 h 4 m |
Show
|
N.L. Underdog Best Bet: 5* San Diego +104
Both of these teams really stink right now. This is a game that features two pitchers trying to resurrect their careers. Chad Gaudin has had a very good season but was just recently arrested and we would have to think the arrest could unnerve him a little bit pitching on the road. Sean O'Sullivan has not been a good pitcher in his career and he is making his first start with the Padres. He has not made a start since 2011 and is 10-14 with 6.14 ERA in his career. The motivational edge that O'Sullivan has in this game is that he is a native of San Diego and he grew up rooting for the Padres. So we have to think he will have some extra-added adrenaline tonight!
O'Sullivan has pitched well at Triple-A Tucson this year with a 7-4 record and 3.88 ERA in 18 starts. He pitched well in Spring Training with a 1.35 ERA in 13 1/3 innings.
Both offenses really stink but the Padres should get a jolt as all indications starting first baseman Yonder Alonso will return to the lineup after being out 34 games with an injury.
Giants are 0-4 in their last 4 games following a win. Giants are 1-12 in their last 13 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Padres are 7-2 in their last 9 games as a home underdog. Take the Padres tonight.
|
07-12-13 |
New York Mets +132 v. Pittsburgh Pirates |
|
2-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
11 h 27 m |
Show
|
N.L. Underdog Best Bet: 5* NY Mets +132
The Mets are playing their best baseball of the season right now as they are getting both hitting and great starting pitching. They are 5-2 their last seven games including winning four in a row. They are avg 6.4-rpg with an OBP of .344. Contrastingly, the Pirates are not playing good baseball as they are 2-5 their last seven games. The pitching has been good but the bats have been awful only avg 3.0-rp during that seven game span.
Jeremy Hefner has really emerged as a quality starter for the Mets and over his last three starts is 2-0 with a 1.35 ERA. Charlie Morton has great overall numbers for the season but over his last three starts he is 0-1 with a 4.61 ERA. Hefner has only faced the Pirates one time in his career and we won that game and allowed ZERO runs in seven innings. The Pirates are 0-4 when Morton pitches against the Mets in his career.
Mets are 5-0 in Hefners last 5 starts. Pirates are 0-5 in Morton's last 5 Friday starts. Pirates are 6-24 in Mortons last 30 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Pirates are 3-13 in Mortons last 16 starts vs. National League East. Take the surging Mets today.
|
07-11-13 |
Colorado Rockies v. Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 |
|
1-6 |
Win
|
140 |
13 h 2 m |
Show
|
N.L. Executive Run-Line: 3* LA Dodgers -1.5 runs +140
2 starting pitchers going today that have been absolutely awful. Drew Pomeranz in his two starts this season has a 9.72 ERA and Chris Capuano has a 9.00 ERA at home and 6.92 ERA over his last three starts.
The good news for Capuano is that the Rockies offense is terrible. They only average 3.4-rpg against left starters and the Dodgers offense has been on fire. Over the last seven games they have a .289 BA and avg 5.7-rpg.
Rockies are 0-6 in Pomeranz's last 6 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150. Rockies are 2-11 in their last 13 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Dodgers are 12-2 in their last 14 vs. National League West.
We don't look for the for the offense to slow down today for the Dodgers and until the Rockies show u they can hit consistently we really like the value of them -1.5 runs.
|
07-11-13 |
Washington Nationals -137 v. Philadelphia Phillies |
|
1-3 |
Loss |
-137 |
10 h 44 m |
Show
|
N.L. Best Bet: 5* Washington -137
Jordan Zimmerman takes the mound for Washington with a 2.57 ERA this season. Kyle Kendrick has not pitched well over his last three starts with a 5.68 ERA. Both pitchers have not done well against their opposing teams in their career as Zimmerman has a 4.62 ERA and Kendrick a 4.80 ERA.
The Nationals are 28-7 (+18.2 Units) against the money line when Zimmerman pitches as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. Nationals are 12-1 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season when Zimmerman pitches.
The Nationals fall into a great system that allows to play against - All underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (PHILADELPHIA) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 to 1.350 on the season-NL, with a team on base percentage .310 or worse on the season (NL), 197-82, 70.6% since 1997, +70.7 units. Take the Nationals today.
|
07-11-13 |
Chicago White Sox +150 v. Detroit Tigers |
|
6-3 |
Win
|
150 |
4 h 23 m |
Show
|
A.L. Executive Underdog: 3* Chicago White Sox +150
Chris Sale has been the only bright spot for the White Sox this season as he has an ERA of 2.78 in all starts. He is facing a pitcher today that has been lights out at home. Sanchez is 5-1 with a 1.64 ERA at home.
White Sox are 8-2 in Sales last 10 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Tigers are 2-14 (18.1 Units) against the money line when Sanchez starts after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing over the last 2 seasons.
Tigers are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Tigers are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. We have a nice underdog price for a quality pitcher today. Take the White Sox.
|
07-10-13 |
Oakland A's +121 v. Pittsburgh Pirates |
|
0-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 21 m |
Show
|
IL Executive Underdog: 3* Oakland +121
***There is no analysis today***
|
07-10-13 |
Los Angeles Dodgers +101 v. Arizona Diamondbacks |
|
7-5 |
Win
|
101 |
10 h 8 m |
Show
|
N.L. Executive Underdog: 3* LA Dodgers +101
***There is no analysis today***
|
07-09-13 |
New York Mets +120 v. San Francisco Giants |
|
10-6 |
Win
|
120 |
12 h 16 m |
Show
|
N.L. Executive Underdog: 3* NY Mets +120
Mets get good value against the defending champs today. The Giants are 2-10 their last 12 and not playing well. Dillon Gee has been better lately with a 4.00ERA over his last three starts. Barry Zito have been solid this year especially at home with 1.98 ERA at home. The Mets do a good job at hitting left-handed pitching this year as they are 18-14 when facing leftie starters.
Mets are 9-1 in their last 10 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Mets are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150.
Mets are 5-2 in Gees last 7 starts as a road underdog of +110 to +150. Giants are 1-4 in Zitos last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Giants are 1-4 in Zitos last 5 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Giants are 3-11 against the money line when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) this season. The average score was SAN FRANCISCO 2.7, OPPONENT 5.8. Take the Mets today.
|
07-09-13 |
Los Angeles Dodgers v. Arizona Diamondbacks OVER 8.5 |
|
6-1 |
Loss |
-115 |
11 h 30 m |
Show
|
N.L. Best Bet Total: 5* LA Dodgers/Arizona over 8.5
Dodgers are 25-12 OVER after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons. Dodgers are 21-10 OVER in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. Dodgers are 6-1 OVER after allowing four runs or less over three straight games this season.
Ricky Nolasco has a 5.09 ERA over his last three starts. Ian Kennedy has A 5.16 ERA for the season. Over is 5-1 in Kennedy's last 6 starts overall. Over is 12-5-3 in Kennedy's last 20 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Take the over today.
|
07-08-13 |
Colorado Rockies v. San Diego Padres UNDER 7.5 |
|
4-2 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 34 m |
Show
|
N.L. Executive Total: 3* Colorado/San Diego under 7.5
Two pitchers going today that are in very good pitching form and two offenses that have been awful lately.
Tyler Chatwood loves to pitch on the road as he has 0.82 ERA compared to a 4.01 ERA t home. Edinson Volquez is on the trading block and he knows if he wants to go to a contending team he needs to pitch well. Over his last three starts he has a 2.55 ERA.
Under is 7-2 in Volquezs last 9 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 4-1 in Chatwoods last 5 starts as a road underdog.
San Diego is averaging 2.9-rpg over their last seven games and Colorado is avg 3.0-rpg over their last seven games.
Colorado is 24-8 UNDER in road games with a tired bullpen - throwing 13+ innings over the last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. San Diego is 8-0 UNDER after a game with a combined score of 17 runs or more over the last 2 seasons.
Take the under today.
|
07-08-13 |
Detroit Tigers v. Cleveland Indians +142 |
|
4-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 41 m |
Show
|
A.L. Underdog Best Bet: 5* Cleveland +142
Every time Max Scherzer pitches, more and more of the public is jumping on the Tigers. Scherzer is having a great season and should be commended for his performance so far. He is 13-0 in 17 games with a 3.09 ERA. Today he faces the one pitcher that we think can upstage him based on his recent performance.
Scott Kazmir is having a re-birth to the form he once had when first broke into the majors. Over his last three starts he is 1-0 with a 1.89 ERA and 0.684 WHIP. He is 4-0 at home in 6 starts (TEAM IS 5-1 overall). Over his career he has pitched well against the Tigers as he a 3.79 ERA.
Indians are 23-11 in their last 34 home games. We are going against the public today as this is a big game for Cleveland to split the 4-game series. Take Cleveland.
|
07-07-13 |
Oakland A's v. Kansas City Royals +130 |
|
10-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
5 h 15 m |
Show
|
A.L. Executive Underdog: 3* Kansas City +130
Jumping right back on Kansas City today after wining with them yesterday. AJ Griffin has pitched average for the A's this season and over his last three starts has a 4.05 ERA. He was average in his only career start vs the Royals allowing 3 runs, 7 hits, 3 BB in 6 innings pitched.
Luis Mendoza has not pitched well lately as he has a 5.74 ERA over his last three starts but in those three games he faves Cleveland twice and Atlanta one time. Both of those teams are better than average scoring teams. Mendoza has a 1.98 ERA in three career starts against the A's.
Oakland does not play well in road days games as they are 4-12 (-9.5 Units) against the money line this season.
Royals are 5-2 in Mendoza's last 7 starts as a home underdog. Athletics are 0-4 in Griffins last 4 road starts. Take Kansas City today.
|
07-07-13 |
Atlanta Braves v. Philadelphia Phillies +127 |
|
3-7 |
Win
|
127 |
5 h 60 m |
Show
|
N.L. Best Bet: 5* Philadelphia +127
No one will give Philly a chance in this game but us. Kris Medlen has has done an outstanding job for the Braves over the last two years. He has been good against the Phillies, but not great with a 3.94 ERA and 1.750 WHIP.
The Braves face Jonathan Pettibone for the first time in his career today. In seven home starts Pettibone is 2-1 with a 2.55 ERA and the Phillies are 6-1 at home when he pitches. The Phillies and Pettibone have the advantage today because the Braves have never faced him.
The Phillies are 8-0 when Pettibone pitches (+9.5 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season. Phillies are 5-0 in Pettibone's last 5 starts vs. National League East.
With those numbers backing Pettibone, we like our chances with the underdog Phillies today. Take Philadelphia.
|
07-06-13 |
New York Mets v. Milwaukee Brewers OVER 8.5 |
|
6-7 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 51 m |
Show
|
N.L. Executive Total: 3* NY Mets/Milwaukee over 8
Two pitchers that are going today that are not in good pitching form. Gallardo has a 7.07 ERA over his last three starts and at home this season is pitchign to a 5.04 ERA. Shaun Marcum has a 5.37 ERA in all of his starts and 4.15 ERA on the the road.
Over is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Over is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 games as a home favorite. Over is 6-0 in Mets last 6 overall.
Over is 7-0 in Gallardos last 7 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150. Over is 5-0-1 in Gallardos last 6 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 16-5-1 in Gallardos last 22 starts as a home favorite. Over is 49-23-1 in Mets last 73 games as an underdog of +110 to +150.
Take the over today.
|
07-06-13 |
Oakland A's v. Kansas City Royals -113 |
|
3-4 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 26 m |
Show
|
A.L. Best Bet: 5* Kansas City -113
Evin Santana has been a nice surprise for the Royals this season. He has a 2.84 ERA in 16 starts. He opposes Jarrod Parker today who have been pitching well lately with a 2.55 ERA over his last three starts. Overall, Parker has a 4.11 ERA for the season.
When Santana pitches against Oakland he has a 2.09 ERA in his career and his teams is 16-9.
Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a loss. Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite. Royals are 8-3 in their last 11 games as a home favorite.
The Royals fall into a great system that allows us to play against road teams (OAKLAND) - below average hitting team (AVG <=.265) against an excellent starting pitcher (ERA <=3.20) -AL, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP <= 1.100 over his last 10 games, 39-9 81.2% over the last 5 seasons.
This game also does not bode well for Oakland as it is being played during the day. Oakland is 4-11 (-8.5 Units) against the money line in road day this season. Take Kansas City.
|
07-05-13 |
Oakland A's v. Kansas City Royals OVER 8.5 |
|
6-3 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 1 m |
Show
|
A.L. Executive Total: 3* Oakland/Kansas City over 8.5
Two pitchers going today that are not in good pitching form. Tom Millone has a 7.31 ERA over his last three starts and for the season has a 5.07 ERA on the road. Wade Davis has 6.43 ERA over his last three starts and a 4.53 ERA at home this season.
Oakland averages 5.2-rpg in night games. KC bats have been alive as they are averaging 6.0-rpg over last seven games.
Oakland is 17-9 OVER in road games after a win this season. KC is 5-1 OVER in their last six games. Take the over today.
|
07-05-13 |
Detroit Tigers v. Cleveland Indians -127 |
|
7-0 |
Loss |
-127 |
8 h 9 m |
Show
|
A.L. Central Division Game of the Month: 5* Cleveland -127
Huge divisional match tonight between the Tigers and Indians. Two pitchers going today heading in opposite directions. Rick Porcello has a 8.82 ERA over his last three starts while Justin Masterson has a 3.32 ERA over his last three starts. Masterson pitches very well at home as he is 6-1 with a 2.29 ERA. Porcello struggles on the road as he is 2-4 with a 5.26 ERA in seven starts.
Tigers are 1-6 in their last 7 games as a road underdog. Tigers are 14-29 in their last 43 games as an underdog of +110 to +150.
Tigers are 0-4 in Porcello's last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Tigers are 3-9 in Porcello's last 12 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Indians are 7-0 in Masterson's last 7 starts as a favorite of -110 to-150. Indians are 4-0 in Masterson's last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Take Cleveland today.
|
07-03-13 |
Detroit Tigers v. Toronto Blue Jays +112 |
|
6-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 39 m |
Show
|
A.L. Best Bet: 5* Toronto +112
This is a play where all the numbers say take Detroit but the contrarian side of handicapping sometimes is a good thing to look at. Right now the public is all over Detroit because they have Max Scherzer on the mound. He is 12-0 this season and in his career has pitched very well against Toronto. Josh Johnson is not the same pitcher he was a few years ago but he still is a quality pitcher. He was embarrassed earlier in the year at Detroit as he was rocked for 6 runs in 2 innings. He will look for some redemption today.
Johnson has always been a better pitcher at home than on the road and this year is no different as he has a 3.93 ERA at home vs a 9.26 ERA on the road.
The Blue Jays are 7-1 their last 8 home games. Blue Jays are 8-2 in their last 10 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Detroit is 2-15 against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. Take Toronto.
On a side note: GamePlan would like to wish you and your families a Happy 4th of July. Our offices will be closed on the 4th and there will be no free picks or premium picks released. We will return Friday July 5th with PREMIUM PICK selections for all clients.***
|
07-02-13 |
St. Louis Cardinals v. Los Angeles Angels -120 |
|
1-5 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 16 m |
Show
|
I.L. Best Bet: 5* LA Angels -120
We have been on the Angels six straight games (5 as a premium pick and 1 a free pick) and they have delivered all six times for us. No time to jump off the bandwagon now with them. We have told everyone not to count this team out yet as they will make a solid run at the playoffs. The Cardinals are 2-6 over the last 8 games and are not playing well.
Jered Weaver pitched great in his last outing against Detroit only allowing one run through seven innings. Lance Lynn has struggles his last three starts and is not in good pitching form as he has a 5.78 ERA. For the season he has a 4.72 ERA.
The Angels fall into a system that allows us to Play against - All underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (ST LOUIS) - with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70% against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL, 21-3 88% over the last 3 seasons, +17.1 units.
Cardinals are 0-6 in their last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Cardinals are 1-5 in their last 6 interleague games as a underdog of +100 to +150. Angels are 6-1 in Weaver's last 7 interleague starts. Angels are 21-5 in Weaver's last 26 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150. Take the LA Angels today.
|
07-02-13 |
Miami Marlins +230 v. Atlanta Braves |
|
3-11 |
Loss |
-100 |
10 h 1 m |
Show
|
N.L. Executive Underdog: 3* Miami +230
We love to pick and choose our spots when taking a big dog like this and the situation could not come at a better time. Miami falls into big dog system that have proven to be highly effective.
We want to play On - All underdogs with a money line of +200 or more (MIAMI) - poor hitting team (AVG <=.250) against a good starting pitcher (ERA <=3.70)- NL, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA >= 7.00 over his last 3 starts, 25-17 since 1997 59.5%, +41.2 units.
Tom Koehler has a 7.47 ERA over his last three starts while Kris Medlen has a 3.02 ERA for the season.
Backing the system is a Miami team playing very well as they are 8-2 in their last 10 including winning three straight. The Braves have recently been going through the motions against poor teams as they are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
We know when Medlen pitches against the Braves they are 6-0 in his career and he has a 2.29 ERA but the one thing that Koehler has going for him is that this is his first career start against the Atlanta. Koehler does pitch better on the road than he does over all as he has a 4.20 ERA on the road in five starts as opposed to a 5.13 ERA overall in nine starts.
We are risking a little to win a lot today and being that we are +176.25-stars on the season, this makes sense to play on this big dog as our system backs it up.
|
06-30-13 |
Detroit Tigers v. Tampa Bay Rays -110 |
|
1-3 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 5 m |
Show
|
A.L. Best Bet: 5* Tampa Bay -110
Rick Porcello takes the mound for the Tigers and he is not in good pitching forma as he has a 6.75 ERA over his last three starts. Overall, he has 5.40 ERA on the road. Hellickson has not been light out either with only a 4.86 ERA over his last three starts but in his career against the Tigers he has a 1.96 ERA.
Tigers are 0-4 in Porcello's last 4 starts during game 3 of a series. Tigers are 0-4 in Porcello's last 4 starts vs. American League East. Tigers are 0-4 in Porcello's last 4 Sunday starts. Rays are 6-0 in Hellickson's last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Rays are 5-0 in Hellickson's last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Rays are 4-0 in Hellickson's last 4 starts with 5 days of rest. Rays are 10-1 in Hellickson's last 11 Sunday starts.
Detroit is 2-13 (-12.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. Take Tampa Bay today.
|
06-29-13 |
Detroit Tigers v. Tampa Bay Rays +135 |
|
3-4 |
Win
|
135 |
11 h 49 m |
Show
|
A.L. Executive Underdog: 3* Tampa Bay +135
Verlander has been just an average pitcher this season for Detroit with a 3.90 ERA overll and a 4.76 ERA over his last three starts. Rookie Chris Archer has performed well and seems to be geeing more comfortable on the mound as he has 3.68 ERA over his last three starts with a 2.45 ERA at home in two starts.
Tigers are 3-7 in Verlanders last 10 starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150. Rays are 10-3 in their last 13 games as a home underdog. Tigers are 1-4 in their last 5 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. Take Tampa Bay.
|
06-29-13 |
Los Angeles Angels -1.5 v. Houston Astros |
|
7-2 |
Win
|
125 |
8 h 40 m |
Show
|
A.L. Executive Run-Line: 3* LA Angels -1.5 runs +125
Angels are starting to gain some momentum as they have won four in a row and know the3y have to be at the crap teams like Houston in order ot make a run at the A.L. West. We wouldn't count out this team just yet and have been on them four straight games and we are not jumping off.
We like the underdog price with them -1.5 runs as Joe Blanton has a 2.81 career ERA against Houston and Jordan Lyles has a 4.22 ERA in two career starts vs the Angels. Astros are 14-37 in Lyles' last 51 starts.
This game falls into a system that allows us to play against home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (HOUSTON) - bad offensive team (<=4.5 runs/game) against an average starting pitcher (ERA=4.70 to 5.70)-AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 on the season-AL, 42-10 80.8%. The average score in these games was: Team 5.4, Opponent 3.1 (Average run differential = +2.3)
Take LA Angels -1.5 runs today.
|
06-29-13 |
Toronto Blue Jays +136 v. Boston Red Sox |
|
6-2 |
Win
|
136 |
8 h 55 m |
Show
|
A.L. Executive Underdog: 3* Toronto +136
After winning 11 straight the Blue Jays have now lost 4 of their last 5. They need to cut their losses right now and they have their hottest pitcher going today.
Esmil Rogers has a 2.67 ERA in his five starts this season and really need to pitch well in this game. Felix Doubront has been pitching well lately nut in his carerr against Toronto he has a 5.81 ERA against them in five starts.
Blue Jays are 4-1 in Rogers' last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Blue Jays are 8-0 in their last 8 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Blue Jays are 9-1 in their last 10 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Red Sox are 0-4 in Doubront's last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Take Toronto.
|
06-28-13 |
Los Angeles Angels -123 v. Houston Astros |
|
4-2 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 37 m |
Show
|
A.L. Executive: 3* LA Angels -123
|
06-28-13 |
Toronto Blue Jays -106 v. Boston Red Sox |
|
5-7 |
Loss |
-106 |
7 h 38 m |
Show
|
A.L. Executive: 3* Toronto -106
|
06-28-13 |
San Diego Padres +110 v. Miami Marlins |
|
9-2 |
Win
|
110 |
7 h 38 m |
Show
|
N.L. Executive Underdog: 3* San Diego +110
|
06-28-13 |
Detroit Tigers v. Tampa Bay Rays +121 |
|
6-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
7 h 37 m |
Show
|
A.L. Executive Underdog: 3* Tampa Bay +121
|
06-28-13 |
New York Yankees v. Baltimore Orioles -117 |
|
3-4 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 34 m |
Show
|
A.L. Executive: 3* Baltimore -117
|
06-27-13 |
Toronto Blue Jays +163 v. Boston Red Sox |
|
4-7 |
Loss |
-100 |
4 h 27 m |
Show
|
A.L. Executive Underdog: 3* Toronto
***No Analysis Today***
|
06-27-13 |
Cleveland Indians +125 v. Baltimore Orioles |
|
3-7 |
Loss |
-100 |
4 h 17 m |
Show
|
A.L. Executive Underdog: 3* Cleveland +125
***No Analysis Today***
|
06-27-13 |
Los Angeles Angels +140 v. Detroit Tigers |
|
3-1 |
Win
|
140 |
1 h 14 m |
Show
|
A.L. Executive Underdog: 3* LA Angels +140
***No analysis today***
|
06-26-13 |
Los Angeles Angels +135 v. Detroit Tigers |
|
7-4 |
Win
|
135 |
5 h 59 m |
Show
|
A.L. Executive Underdog: 3* LA Angels +135
***No analysis***
|
06-26-13 |
Minnesota Twins -111 v. Miami Marlins |
|
3-5 |
Loss |
-111 |
4 h 50 m |
Show
|
I.L. Best Bet: 5* Minnesota -111
Both these teams are terrible and both pitchers going today are not in good pitching form. However, there are some interesting angles and system that have caught out attention, plus the fact that Miami can't hit left-handed pitching this year.
Miami is 7-16 vs left-handed starters with a .211 BA and averaging a little over 2-rpg. Miami is 0-7 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter. MIAMI is 0-11 (-11.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday this season. MIAMI is 7-21 (-14.4 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons.
Marlins are 0-4 in Koehler's last 4 home starts. Marlins are 2-7 in Koehler's last 9 starts. We are going to take Minnesota today in a bounce-back situation this afternoon.
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06-26-13 |
Toronto Blue Jays -104 v. Tampa Bay Rays |
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3-0 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 15 m |
Show
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A.L. Executive: 3* Toronto -104
R.A. Dickey said in an interview that he feels he is pretty close to getting back to the form that he was in the last two years. His numbers don't show that but knuckleball pitchers know when they are close to getting a good fell for that pitch.
This is a big game for Toronto as after winning 11 in a row they have now lost two straight. Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite. Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 Wednesday games. Blue Jays are 6-0 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Blue Jays are 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Rays are 2-5 in Hernandez's last 7 starts vs. American League East. Rays are 1-4 in Hernandez's last 5 starts as a home favorite. Rays are 1-5 in Hernandez's last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Toronto falls into a nice system that allows us to play against home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (TAMPA BAY) - below average hitting team (AVG <=.265) against an average starting pitcher (ERA=4.70 to 5.70) -AL, with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better on the season, 79-28, 73.8% since 1997. Take Toronto today.
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06-25-13 |
San Francisco Giants v. Los Angeles Dodgers -126 |
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5-6 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 14 m |
Show
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N.L. Best Bet: 5* LA Dodgers -126
Giants are 0-5 in their last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Giants are 0-9 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
The Dodgers fall into a great system that allows us to play on home teams with a money line of -100 to -150 (LA DODGERS) - after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 4 runs or less. 189-98 over the last 5 seasons. (65.9%, +67.5 units). Take the Dodgers
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06-25-13 |
Toronto Blue Jays +124 v. Tampa Bay Rays |
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1-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
9 h 26 m |
Show
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A.L. Executive Underdog: 3* Toronto +124
Two pitchers going in opposite directions. Mark Buehrle has a 1.42 ERA over his last three starts while Matt Moore has a 8.64 ERA over his last three starts. Toronton is 11-1 their last 12 games and playing great baseball. The Rays are 5-8 their last 13.
Blue Jays are 5-0 in Buehrle's last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Rays are 1-5 in their last 6 games as a favorite of -110 to -150.
When Buehrle pitches against the Rays in his career his team is 11-5. Take Toronto
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06-25-13 |
Los Angeles Angels +130 v. Detroit Tigers |
|
14-8 |
Win
|
130 |
9 h 12 m |
Show
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A.L. Executive Underdog: 3* LA Angels +130
Angels are in desperate need of a win and they know their season really could be coming to an end soon if they don't start winning. CJ Wilson takes the mound for the Angels and has been pitching well lately with a 2.37 ERA over his last three starts. Rick Porcello has a career ERA of 7.68 against the Angels.
The Angels swept the Tigers earlier in the year so they will have some confidence against them. Angels are 17-5 in their last 22 games following an off day. Angels are 20-8 in their last 28 vs. American League Central. Angels are 7-2 in Wilsons last 9 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Tigers are 5-12 in Porcello's last 17 starts with 5 days of rest. The public money is all over the Tigers in this one. Lets go against the public today. Take LA Angels.
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06-23-13 |
Atlanta Braves v. Milwaukee Brewers +126 |
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7-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
5 h 1 m |
Show
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N.L. Underdog Best Bet: 5* Milwaukee +126
Paul Maholm is 3-11 when starting against Milwaukee in his career with an ERA of 5.12 and a WHIP of 1.444 (team record is 6-16). Milwaukee is 8-1 vs Atlanta over the last three seasons. Atlanta's bats are ice cold right now after being shut out two straight games.
Maholm is 0-11 (-11.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons. Braves are 0-4 in Maholms last 4 starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150.
There is a great system that allows us to play against road teams (ATLANTA) - poor hitting team (AVG <=.250) against an average starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 5.20) -NL, cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 15 games. 82-41 over the last 5 seasons, 66.7%, +34.5 units. Take Milwaukee today.
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06-23-13 |
Tampa Bay Rays v. New York Yankees -108 |
|
3-1 |
Loss |
-108 |
5 h 48 m |
Show
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A.L. Executive: 3* NY Yankees -108
Ivan Nova makes his first start coming off the DL since April 26th. He should be motivated and ready because there are no guarantees he will be in the starting rotation after this. With Phil Hughes struggling this is his chance to shine. In his career he is 5-1 with a 3.22 ERA (team is 7-1 overall) vs Tampa.
Chris Archer has never faced the Yankees and has not pitched well on the road this year with a 8.30 ERA in two starts. Rays are 0-4 in Archers last 4 road starts. Rays are 0-5 in Archers last 5 starts as an underdog. Rays are 0-4 in Archers last 4 starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Take the Yankees as a nice small favorite.
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06-23-13 |
New York Mets v. Philadelphia Phillies OVER 7.5 |
|
8-0 |
Win
|
106 |
4 h 45 m |
Show
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N.L. Total of the Month: 5* NY Mets/Philadelphia over 7.5 runs
The OVER 31-11 in the last three season in this series. The OVER is 16-6 in games at Philadelphia over the last three seasons in this series. Over is 8-2-1 in Phillies last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
John Lannan is in poor pitching form with a 6.39 ERA over his last three starts.
NY METS are 50-28 OVER (+20.3 Units) on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 13-5 OVER (+7.9 Units) at home when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. Take the over today.
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