Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-12-19 | Cal-Irvine -2 v. CS-Fullerton | 63-46 | Win | 100 | 25 h 10 m | Show | |
The Anteaters come into here to Fullerton looking to get revenge for a s 71-55 beatdown in the Big West tourney title game last season , a defeat that hurt a great deal because the Titans got to playing the NCAA tournament. Tonight Im betting Cal Irvine get their revenge behind a 5 returning starters that have already earned a 12-4 record on the season and up trending in power rankings. Note: The Anteaters a re 5-1 -1 ATS L/6 here in this series and have cashed 3 straight SU/ATS with. a.500 or better record in conference revenge while on the road. Play on Cal Irvine to cover |
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01-12-19 | Wichita State +11.5 v. Houston | 70-79 | Win | 100 | 24 h 22 m | Show | |
Houston had their undefeated season come to a screeching halt at Temple last time out and now in a letdown situation will come home and go against a rebuilding Wichita State program with a top tier coach at the helm in Gregg Marshall who would like nothing more than to get revenge for a loss in last seasons AAC tourney. With that said, the Shockers are 8-0-1 ATS as dogs of more than 9 points under head coach Gregg Marshall and even though they are on a 3 game losing streak won't be be easily intimidated here , not even against a quality Cougar team. Play on Wichita State to cover |
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01-12-19 | LSU v. Arkansas -1 | 94-88 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 45 m | Show | |
LSU has come a long way in a short period of time and are now ranked as the AP’s preseason No. 23 team and despite a 11-3 record and 4-0 SU run Im betting will have their hands full with Arkansas here on the road. Its never easy to grab victories in the SEC in on the road, and the Tigers just don't have a record of success when traveling vs conference opposition as is evident by going just 3-19 SU in its last 22 SEC away games, which includes losing 7 straight as visitors. Add to that the Hogs have revenge on board for 2 losses in this series last season and you have a home team that will be hungry to take down the visitor here. It must be noted that the last seven times the Razorbacks have hosted the Bayou Bengals here Bud Walton Arena with revenge they have cashed 7 straight times ATS. LSU is 4-13 ATS in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. ARKANSAS is 7-0 ATS after game - where they allowed a shooting pct. of 33% or less over the last 2 seasons.Anderson is 14-3 ATS as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick in all games he has coached since 1997 CBB home team (ARKANSAS) - very good defensive team - shooting pct defense of 39% or less on the season against opponent hot shooting team - 3 straight games making 47% or more of their shots are 83-44 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Arkansas to cover |
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01-12-19 | Tennessee v. Florida +3.5 | 78-67 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 36 m | Show | |
This is not a good matchup on paper but I expect Florida's physicality and defence to help them stand tall here and get us the cover vs a top tier Tennessee program. KenPom has the Gators’ defense ranked ninth nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency. The Gators are also ninth in Division I ball with only 60.7 points allowed per contest and have covered 3 straight at home. CBB favorite (TENNESSEE) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in four consecutive games against opponent after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games are 7-36 ATS L/22 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Florida to cover |
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01-12-19 | Texas Tech v. Texas +1 | 68-62 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 5 m | Show | |
Texas Tech behind a potent D continues to pile up the wins and are now 14-1 SU on the season with their only loss to powerful Duke. However, from a bettors perspective not all is good with the Techies as they are a bankroll depleting 2-13 ATS L/15 when favored and are just 2-6 ATS L/8 on the road when laying points and overall are on a 1-7-1 ATS run. Texas at 10-5 may have not shown the same potency as their instate rivals, but Im betting they muster up a big effort here this Saturday afternoon vs an opponent that has not won in Austin in 23 years, 0-22 SU. TEXAS is 27-13 ATS L/40 in home games vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game after 15+ games and s 16-5 ATS as a home underdog of 3 points or less or pick. CBB Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TEXAS) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against an excellent defensive team (63 or less PPG), after allowing 65 points or less 3 straight games are 91-48 ATS L/23 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Texas to cover |
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01-12-19 | Duke v. Florida State +8 | 80-78 | Win | 100 | 5 h 58 m | Show | |
Duke is a behemoth opponent and obviously the best in the country. However, because of this they have a huge target on their backs and must almost always play full out because of this. Thus they are not always as fresh as thye need to be because of their strength of schedules and are vulnerable to being upended by a very talented team like the Florida State Seminoles especially here on the road. Duke, will be playing in just its second true road game of the season in a very unfriendly environment. FSU is 13-2, ranked 13th nationally and last year made a run to the NCAA Tournament Elite Eight – the same round in which Duke finished.The Seminoles went toe-to-toe with the Blue Devils in a 100-93 loss in Durham, N.C., last season, and blew Duke out, 93-78, when the two last met in Tallahassee in 2017 and wont be intimidated here in front of a boisterous crowd. Take the points. Florida State is 3-0 ATS L/3 in this series and 5-0 ATS in the 2nd off back and back home vs opposition off a SU win. CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DUKE) - off a road blowout win by 20 points or more, in a game involving two top-level teams (80% or more) are 15-43 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Florida State to cover |
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01-12-19 | Illinois State v. Loyola-Chicago -8.5 | 64-67 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 48 m | Show | |
Over the its last three games at Gentile Arena, Loyola's offense has fired on all cylinders,registering an average of 78.0 points per game, while hitting 61.5 percent (88-for-143) of its field goal attempts and 46.4 percent (26-for-56) of its three-point tries. This is where thye play their best hoops, and after their ugly clunker against Evansville last time out Im expecting a spirited effort vs Illinois State today and a cover. Note: In its last two meetings with Illinois State, Loyola has held the Redbirds to 55.0 ppg, 36.4 percent (44-for-121) from the field, and 30.9 percent (17-for-55) from long range. LOYOLA-IL is 17-4 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons with the average point diff clicking in at 10 ppg. Play on Loyola Chicago to cover |
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01-12-19 | Kansas State +10 v. Iowa State | 58-57 | Win | 100 | 4 h 37 m | Show | |
The Wildcats are coming off their most encouraging victory in weeks, a 72-71 win over West Virginia that featured the largest comeback (21 points) in school history and today here in Hilton buoyed by that confidence building win will be very competitive. Meanwhile, Iowa State after a big win vs Kansas last week came out with a clunker in Baylor in their followup and lost straight up, and despite of now being recharged wont find it easy sledding here today. IOWA ST is 0-6 ATS L/6 versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making 31% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.KANSAS ST is 20-9 ATS in road games after playing a game as favorite over the last 3 seasons. Kansas State to cover |
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01-12-19 | Virginia v. Clemson +7 | 63-43 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 21 m | Show | |
Im going to brave here this week and take the points with Clemson.The Tigers lost to the No. 1 Duke Blue Devils in Durham, 87-68. They committed a lot of turnovers in that game, but are more than capable of hanging tough here with their ability to be physical under the glass. They were only rebounded, by Duke by a 40-36. Clemson is averaging 35.8 rebounds per game, while the Cavs snatch 34.7 per tilt. That Im betting will be huge for them here vs a Cavs side that lives in and dies in transition. When thye teams met in the play offs lat season on a neutral court Clemson lost 64-58 and when thye met in Clemson the season before Virginia eked out a 77-74 win and today Im betting the Tigers get us the cover . Clemson is 2-0 ATS in its last two home games. Play on Clemson to cover |
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01-12-19 | Kent State +2.5 v. Eastern Michigan | 61-95 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 37 m | Show | |
The last meeting in this series saw, the Flashes drop a 71-67 decision at home against the Eagles and they now have revenge on board. The Golden Flashes own a balanced lineup of scoring with five players scoring in double-figures and have won 20 of the last 23 games and are not easy outs for any team , and get the nod here getting points. KENT ST is 60-35 ATS in road games after having won 4 of their last 5 games since 1997 E MICHIGAN is 17-37 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or better since 1997. HC Murphy is 5-21 ATS (-18.1 Units) when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or better) as the coach of E MICHIGAN. is 2-9 ATS in all games this season. Play on Kent State to cover |
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01-11-19 | Mavs +5 v. Wolves | 119-115 | Win | 100 | 14 h 37 m | Show | |
Dallas and Minnesota have played their L/3 meetings very closely with average point differential of 3.3 ppg deciding these games. My projections once again estimate a closely contested affair with road dog flashing a value on the line. DALLAS is 33-20 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons. DALLAS is 32-16 ATS ( versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MINNESOTA) - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games are 3-22 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 88% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, with a losing record are 24-3 ATS L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Dallas Mavericks to cover |
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01-11-19 | Cavs v. Rockets OVER 216 | 113-141 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
The Houston Rockets had a huge 10 game winning streak snapped last time out vs the Milwaukee Bucks, but are still in top tier form, and hitting on all cylinders behind their star James Harden who is averaging 39.5 points per game, during a current 15-game span. Tonight I expect the Rockets to come out looking to bounce back and merciless fashion , and get revenge for a loss in their previous meeting with Cleveland by a 117-108 on Nov. 24. There will be no mercy rule implemented by the Rockets vs a Cavs team that ranks dead last in the league in efficiency, allowing 116.9 points per 100 possessions. The Cavs will have to muster up some offensive fireworks of their own vs the 26th ranked Defensive efficiency of the Rockets or be blown off the court in a game that I expect will surpass this number with ease. My projections estimate that the Rockets will score north of 116 here this evening, which is a very good omen for our chances, as the Rockets are 18-0 OVER when they score 112 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 239.1 ppg scored. Over is 4-0-1 in Cavaliers last 5 overall.Over is 8-2 in Rockets last 10 vs. Eastern Conference.The Cavaliers are 15-4 OVER on the road with rest off a loss in a road game facing an opponent taking more than 30 percent of their shots from beyond the arc with a combined average of 226.4 ppg scored.The Rockets are 26-6 OVER as a favorite with less than two days rest after a loss in which they led by double digits with a combined average of 222 ppg going on the board. Play OVER |
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01-11-19 | Wright State +6 v. Northern Kentucky | 64-68 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
This game pairs last year’s regular-season champion in the Horizon League (NKU) vs. the conference tournament champion Raiders, who were also the preseason favorite in this year’s coaches poll. NKU was second.NKU comes in 13-4 overall and 3-1 in Horizon League play, and WSU is 8-9, 2-2. It is a key early game for positioning in the league and Im betting it will be closely contested despite of what is a divergence in records but not head to head talent. In. physical game look for Loudon Love, a diverse skilled and bulky 6-foot-9, 280-pound sophomore center and a preseason first team all-Horizon selection, to key to Wright State covering here tonight. line according to my projections is off by almost 4 points. True line value here sits at -2.5 favouring Northern Kentucky which suggests according to my data a one possession game. WRIGHT ST is 6-0 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 16 or more assists/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons and is s 7-0 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. N KENTUCKY is 4-13 ATS L/17 in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games. CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (WRIGHT ST) - off a road win by 10 points or more against opponent off a road blowout win by 20 points or more are 77-34 ATS L/22 SEASONS FOR A 70% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Wright State to cover |
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01-10-19 | Pistons v. Kings OVER 224 | 102-112 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
Detroit enters this game playing horrendous defence, allowing an average of 113 ppg in their L/7 trips to the hardwood. Tonight against a run and gun opponent in Sacramento Im betting their going to get torched again, and will have no choice but to offer up some offensive fireworks of their own or be blown off the court. This Im betting leads to a high scoring affair that eclipses this number. Note: The Kings have allowed an average of 116 ppg against this season ranking them 28th in the league, and scored an average of 115 ppg ranking 5th in the league with 13 of their 21 home games going over the set total. The Kings are also 2nd in pace in the league. The Pistons are 16-0-2 OVER L18 as a dog off a game as a dog facing an opponent making less than 16 free throws per game. The Kings are 19-4 OU L/23 facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game and it is before the All-Star break with a combined average of 237.7 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (DETROIT) - after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half 31-8 OVER L/22 seasons for a 80% conversion rate with a combined average of 236.5 ppg going on the scoreboard. Play OVER |
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01-10-19 | Penn State +10.5 v. Nebraska | 64-70 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
Penn State is better than their 7-8 overall record would indicate and were competitive in their loss at No. 2 Michigan, and should have beaten Indiana and probably could have upended Maryland in College Park if it were not for a combination of bad calls and some nasty choking. The Lions are talented but in cohesive offensively at time, but are more than capable upending any team in this conference and here tonight as DD pups get my support vs Nebraska side that has lost their first two conference games this season. PENN ST is 8-1 ATS in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.PENN ST is 12-4 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. PENN ST is 8-0 ATS after 2 straight games with 12 or less assists over the last 2 seasons and 9-1 ATS after scoring 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons and is 6-0 ATS after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 season.Chambers is 11-2 ATS after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more as the coach of PENN ST. Play on Penn State to cover |
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01-10-19 | Rice +9 v. Texas-San Antonio | 79-95 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
The Owls have won two straight after defeating Louisiana Tech, 78-66, on Saturday and have momentum entering this game vs UTSA . Rice is connecting on 43.8% from the field and 34.0% from three and has the ability to compete vs a side that has won 8 of their L/10 games overall. RICE is 8-1 ATS after 2 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.TX-SAN ANTONIO is 0-6 ATS after allowing 65 points or less 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. Play on Rice to cover |
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01-10-19 | Celtics -2 v. Heat | 99-115 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
The Celtics have won 4 straight games after pummelling the Indiana Pacers last night by a 135-108 count and enter this game vs Miami in top form . It must be noted that the Celtics are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up win and 25-9 ATS in their last 34 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Meanwhile, the Heat have lost back-to-back games after and are suddenly struggling on offence and have averaged 90.5 ppg in this tilts and should have problems scoring again vs a strong Celtics D. BOSTON is 14-2 ATS off a home blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 3 seasons. Celtics are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Miami. The Celtics are 14-0-1 ATS /15-0 SU L/15 as a favorite when they are off two games in which they had twice as many assists as turovers.The Heat are 0-11 ATS/SU L/11 when the line is within 3 of pick after playing as a home favorite when they won 2 straight vs current opponent. Play on Boston to cover |
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01-10-19 | Celtics v. Heat UNDER 212 | 99-115 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 0 m | Show | |
The Celtics exploded for 135 points last night in a win vs the Indiana Pacers, and no I expect a reversion to the norm from a scoring output perspective , as they will be on tired legs after running gunning last night. I expect the Celtics to revert back to their usual conservative transitory system which has resulted in the 3rd best points per game defence in the league .Im also betting they stand tall, behind a fairly methodical 19th ranked pace. Meanwhile, Miami a defence first team with aggressive physical traits, owns the 6th best defensive points per game ranking behind a 22nd ranked pace and 25th ranked offense and should easily help contribute to a methodical clock burning snooze fest. MIAMI is 13-4 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons has seen a combine average of 203.9 ppg scored. The Heat are 0-11 UNDER L/11 at home when the line is within 3 of pick with rest after they had fewer than 10 turnovers with a combined average of 178.2 ppg scored with no game exceeding 195 points. The Celtics are 0-13 UNDER as a road favorite off a 10+ win in a home game facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with the combined average score clicking in at 185.4 ppg with no game exceeding 203 points. Play UNDER |
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01-10-19 | Old Dominion v. Florida Atlantic OVER 124 | 73-80 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
After watching this get bet down from 128 Im betting we have alot of value here according to 133 total combined point projections. FLA ATLANTIC is 7-0 OVER versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 18 or less free throws/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 150 ppg scored OLD DOMINION is 6-0 OVER in road games after 2 straight games where they were called for 15 or less fouls over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 158.9 ppg and is 13-3 OVER in road games after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 140.1 ppg scored. CBB Home teams where the total is 129.5 or less (FLA ATLANTIC) - poor shooting team - shooting 42% or less on the season, after 2 straight games making 37% of their shots or worse are 54-20 OVER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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01-09-19 | San Jose State v. Nevada OVER 142.5 | 53-92 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
My own projections estimate that these teams will combined for 146+ points here tonight thus giving value on this totals line. It must be noted Nevada got steamrolled by New Mexico 85-58 last time out, and will be very ready here to get back some lost respect and with that I expect they will mercilessly come at San Jose State and just keep pouring the points down, which will result in a much faster paced higher scoring game than the lines makers expect. CBB Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (NEVADA) - after a blowout loss by 20 points or more against opponent after scoring 60 points or less 2 straight games are 24-4 OVER with a combined average of 154.3 ppg scored. CBBRoad teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (SAN JOSE ST) - after allowing 40 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games against opponent after a blowout loss by 20 points or more are 29-8 OVER L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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01-09-19 | Bulls +9.5 v. Blazers | 112-124 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 45 m | Show | |
The Trailblazers have proven themselves to be highly inconsistent this season despite of some flashes of brilliance and are just are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win which was the case vs NYK last time out. With this being the Blazers 4th game in 6 days Im expecting a energy saving effort here tonight against a young Bulls side that Im sure their over looking. I know the Bulls have lost 4 straight but they have proven their competitive ability recently against top tier teams like Indiana and Toronto losing hard fought closely contested affairs by 3 and 6 points respectively, and have the ability to keep this game close as well and get us the cover via a physical defence that is improving significantly of late as is evident by holding 5 of their L/9 opponents under 96 points or less. Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.The Trailblazers are 0-12 ATS and 3-9 SU off a game as a favorite in which they scored fewer than 10 fast break points ad all 3 wins came by 4 points or less.The Bulls are 14-1-1 ATS L/16 off a 10+ loss in a home game when they lost 3 straight vs current opponent and they won 10 of those games SU with only 1 loss coming by more than 9 points. CHICAGO is 21-8 ATS when the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 2 seasons. Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover |
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01-09-19 | Magic +8.5 v. Jazz | 93-106 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 38 m | Show | |
The Jazz come home off a 4 game road trip on tired and legs and in an emotional letdown spot after playing the Milwaukee Bucks last time out and losing 114-102. That after putting up a solid fight for the first 3 quarters before being out scored 30-16 in the final period. Meanwhile, Orlando will be ready to compete in desperation mode after 3 straight ugly road losses. Note: NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ORLANDO) - in non-conference games, off 3 or more consecutive road losses are 34-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Magic are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games playing on 1 days rest.Jazz are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400 The Magic are 15-0 ATS L/15 as a road 8+ dog with less than two days rest after playing as a road dog when they are off two games in which they allowed 100+ points and it is before the All-Star break. The Magic are 8-0 ATS as a road 8+ dog after playing as a road dog facing an opponent taking more than 30 percent of their shots from beyond the arc with non of the 6 SU losses coming by more than 7 points. The Jazz are 0-8-1 ATS at home with rest off a 10+ loss in a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 24 assists per game and lost 7 of those games SU. Play on Orlando to cover |
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01-09-19 | Suns +10.5 v. Mavs | 94-104 | Win | 100 | 4 h 2 m | Show | |
This line according to my numbers is bloated considering the Dallas Mavs current form that has seen them lose three straight and 11 of 14 and are banged up with their star guard Luka Doncic dealing with a nagging back issue. That is not a good omen for the home team playing their 6th game in 10 nights and having struggled against Phoenix in the recent past going just 0-5 against Suns while scoring an average of just 93 points a game .DALLAS is 7-17 ATS when playing 6 or more games in 10 days over the last 2 seasons.DALLAS is 8-18 ATS versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. Play on Phoenix Suns to cover ( LATE STEAM) |
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01-09-19 | Hawks v. Nets UNDER 227.5 | 100-116 | Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
Brooklyn a team that ranks in the bottom half of the league in ppg scored and pace at 22nd, enters this game on tired legs and will be in no shape to run and gun here tonight even though they go against a Atlanta team with the fastest pace and worst ppg allowed in the league. Note: BROOKLYN in 12 games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days this season have seen a combined average of 217.4 ppg scored. Because of the Nets fatigue factor Im betting this total is a on the high side and we have value with an under wager here. The Hawks are 0-17 UNDER L/17 as a road 8+ dog with no rest after they had less than 15% of their points from free throws with the average combined score of those tilts ringing in at 185.9 ppg with the highest scoring game seeing 217 points go on the board. The Nets are 0-8 UNDER L/8 as a 8+ favorite with rest off a 10+ loss when they won 2 straight vs current opponent with the average combined score of those games clicking in at 174 ppg with all the games seeing at least one side stay under the 99 point output plateau. ATLANTA is 13-2 UNDER in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 203.2 ppg scored. Under is 6-0 in Hawks last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 6-1 in Hawks last 7 games playing on 0 days rest.Under is 10-2 in Hawks last 12 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Under is 4-1 in Hawks last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 7-3 in Hawks last 10 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 36-16 in Hawks last 52 games following a ATS win.Under is 13-6 in Hawks last 19 Wednesday games. Under is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings in Brooklyn.Under is 10-2-1 in the last 13 meetings. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (ATLANTA) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a losing record are 30-4 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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01-09-19 | 76ers v. Wizards +4 | 106-123 | Win | 100 | 3 h 48 m | Show | |
The 76ers smashed the visiting Wizards 132-115 on Tuesday night and now the Wizards have revenge on board.Washington has won four of its past five at home and are playing their best ball there despite of being without star John Wall.Tonight Im betting they make life difficult for the 76ers and get us the cover. PHILADELPHIA is 3-11 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins this season. The 76ers are 0-18 ATS and 1-17 SU L/18 when the line is within 3 of pick on the opening line off a win as a favorite when they are facing an opponent averaging less than 10 offensive rebounds. The one victory for the 76ers came by just 2 points. NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHILADELPHIA) - after having won 4 of their last 5 games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 55-100 L/5 seasons for a go against 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Washington Wizards to cover |
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01-09-19 | West Virginia v. Kansas State -4 | 69-71 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
Kansas State has revenge on board for two ugly losses to West Virginia last season by 12 points at Manhattan and 38 in the rematch at Morgantown. The Wildcats lost last week at home to Texas in their home opener, but will be very prepared to revenge those above mentioned losses making them a good team to back here. It must also be noted that Huggins is 8-82-1 ATS in SU conference losses against vs opponents looking for revenge .Weber is 20-10 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less or pick as the coach of KANSAS ST. Play on Kansas State to cover |
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01-09-19 | Houston -1 v. Temple | 69-73 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
Houston, which has won its first 15 games to open the season and is one of only three undefeated teams remaining in the nation, enters Wednesday's game on the heels of a 90-77 win over Memphis on Sunday inside the Fertitta Center.The Cougars are in top 10 nationally in multiple defensive categories, including opponents' field goal percentage (36.2, second), opponents' 3-point field goal percentage (26.4, fifth), and scoring defense (59.2 points per game, seventh).Houston is playing its first road game since Dec. 8, a 10-point victory at Oklahoma State. This version of the Houston hoops program Im betting is a special group, and will be as dangerous on the road as they are at home.Temple and Houston are meeting for the ninth time, with the Cougars holding a 6-2 lead in the series. Houston swept the Owls last season, including an 80-59 victory in Philadelphia and get the nod again. HOUSTON is 9-2 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season. HOUSTON is 8-1 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.Sampson is 18-4 ATS off 2 or more consecutive home wins as the coach of HOUSTON. Play on Houston to cover Play on Houston to cover |
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01-09-19 | Vanderbilt +2 v. Georgia | 63-82 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
Vanderbilt according to my power rankings matches up well here in this SEC tilt, and while its never easy winning on the road in this conference very much have an edge and upset possibilities attached to them vs a Georgia team that was annihilated vs Tennessee last time out by a 96-50 count as 13.5 point dogs. It must be noted that Georgia's HC Crean is 0-7 ATS L/7 after trailing in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half in all games he has coached which was the case last time out. Hey folks I know this is a young Vanderbilt group, but they have a kid by the name of Shittu who was named the conference's Freshman of the Week who balances a team with alot of chemistry. Nine Commodores have scored in double figures in a game so far this season and Vanderbilt's average height is (6 feet, 5 inches) and ranks 17th nationally according to KenPom. Play on Vanderbilt to cover |
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01-08-19 | Oklahoma v. Texas Tech -6 | 59-66 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
Oklahoma are off a hard fought win vs instate rivals Oklahoma State last time out and will now be in a letdown situation against a strong Texas Tech side, that has just one loss this season and that was to Duke in a game that they were very competitive. Texas Tech is a perfect 9-0 this season at home , but just 3-6 ATS thanks to bloated public trap lines associated with their top tier play. But today at around 6 points we have enough value to believe that the RedRaiders have a number that they can cover against. The Red Raiders and Sooners have split the last three seasons with the home team winning the last six matchups (rinse and repeat option is on board here). Difference maker: Texas Tech’s defense is operating at an all time optimal historic level. It has an adjusted defensive efficiency of 83.5, which includes an astronomical field goal defense. Teams are averaging less 1 point per possession and only one opponent has surpassed 0.9 PPP. OKLAHOMA is 2-9 ATS in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.OKLAHOMA is 0-7 ATS off a home win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons and is is 0-6 ATS in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons. TEXAS TECH is 16-7 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 45% or better of their shots over the last 2 seasons. TEXAS TECH is 17-4 ATS in home games after failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread . CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (TEXAS TECH) - cold team - failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, in a game involving two top-level teams (80% or better ) are 83-43 ATS L/L/22 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Texas Tech to cover |
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01-08-19 | Purdue +7.5 v. Michigan State | 59-77 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
Purdue's Carsen Edwards, who is leading the Big Ten in scoring at 25.5 points per game comes to town looking to help his Boilermakers upset Big 10 power house Michigan State tonight, and whether Purdue turns the trick or not Im betting there is value on this line with the visiting underdog. Note: MICHIGAN ST is 4-14 ATS L/18 off 2 straight wins against conference rivals over the last 3 seasons. We all know physical Michigan State is , and how tough they are under the glass, and Purdue can't match that, but the Spartans have a tendency to run and gun with reckless abandon, and the Boilermakers are a team that can make them pay in transition. PURDUE is 10-2 ATS vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 7+ per game over the last 3 seasons. injury update: Michigan State is going to play a third straight games without junior guard Joshua Langford due to an ankle injury . He is a big part of the Spartans' top tier junior class, as he averages 15 points per game and will be missed against this type of opponent. PURDUE is 9-2 ATS when the total is 150 to 159.5 over the last 2 seasons. Play on Purdue to cover |
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01-08-19 | Wolves v. Thunder -8 | 119-117 | Loss | -103 | 14 h 50 m | Show | |
The Thunder have revenge on board for a loss they suffered to the Wolves earlier this season just before Christmas here in Oklahoma City, and are also off an embarrassing home loss to Washington last time out and will want to bounce back in a way to get back some lost respect. Note: NBA Home favorites vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a home favorite are 36-5 L/5 seasons and a perfect 4-0 this season. The Thunder are 9-1 SU with same season revenge for a loss vs the Wolves and a perfect 6-0 SUATS when they have a win percentage of .450 or better. The Thunder are 18-0 ATS /SU as a home 8+ favorite off a game as a favorite after rebounding less than 20% of their own misses and it is before the All-Star break with every win coming by DDs. The Timberwolves are 0-12-1 ATS 0-13 SU as a 8+ dog off a win facing an opponent averaging more than 12 offensive rebounds. Play on Oklahoma City to cover |
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01-08-19 | Iowa State v. Baylor +3 | 70-73 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
Iowa State is off a huge win vs Kansas last time out, and will now be in a letdown situation here at Baylor tonight. Iowa State is not a very physical team,which will be an issue in a bad matchup for them here.Quote:Prohm said the Bears "bring a lot of challenges with their physicality and their size upfront, tremendous rebounding team, that's going to be a huge key to the game."END QUOTE. With that said, Im betting Baylor a side that is holding opponents to 39.6 percent from the field, including 32 percent from 3-point range behind a 4 guard scheme and a complimentary bevy of big men will give the Cyclones fits here . IOWA ST is 5-17 ATS L/22 as a road favorite of 3 points or less or pick. Baylor is 12-2 SU L/14 overall in this series and 2-0 SU L/2 here at home vs Iowa St. Play on Baylor to cover |
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01-08-19 | Brown v. Canisius -1.5 | 97-90 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
After setting a school record with 15 MAAC wins a season ago, this year's Griffs kept the winning ways going in conference play last weekend with road wins at Marist and Siena. tonight Im betting the Griffs close out their non conference schedule with another win vs Brown tonight . Note:CANISIUS is 12-2 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons and is 13-4 ATS after playing 2 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons. Play on Canisius to cover |
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01-08-19 | Toledo +10 v. Buffalo | 80-110 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
My matchup stats tell me these teams are pretty evenly matched MAC opponents and Im betting we have value on this line with a underdog that had won 10 straight times prior to a loss vs Ball State last time out and that has revenge on board for a loss they suffered last season to Buffalo that kept them out of post season play. Toldeo has experience with 4 of their 7 top guys back from last year, and must not be underestimated to keep this game close and maybe..... just maybe pull off an upset. CBB underdog (TOLEDO) - off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival against opponent after 2 straight covers as a double digit favorite are 112-61 ATS L/22 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on Toledo to cover |
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01-07-19 | Lakers v. Mavs -7.5 | 107-97 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
The Lakers like other teams Super Star LeBron James has been on in the recent past get used to him controlling their games, and when their super star quarter back is out, those teams tank. James has missed 21 games over the last few seasons , and when he's out they have proven to be bad bets going 3-18 SUATS . The Lakers proved this correct when they got completely steam rolled by Minnesota yesterday afternoon in a road game. Now on tired legs they go against a Dallas team that plays their best hoops at home, as is evident by a 15-3 record as hosts that has seen them win 13 of their last 14 here at American Airlines Center. With the Cavs having revenge on board for a DD loss the last time these teams played back in LA 114-103 on Nov 30 they look like solid bets as single digit home favs. Note:DALLAS is 8-1 ATS in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent this season and from a league wide trend NBA teams favs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off 2 or more consecutive road losses , are 32-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% Conversion rate for bettors.Dallas is also 9-1 SU /8-2 ATS L/10 as a host in this series. The Lakers are 0-11-1 ATS/ 0-12 SU off a loss as a dog when their opponent is seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road and it is before the All-Star break with the average margin of fefeat coming by 16.3 ppg. LA LAKERS are 5-15 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record this season.DALLAS is 12-4 ATS in home games versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season. Play on Dallas to cover |
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01-07-19 | Nuggets v. Rockets -1 | 113-125 | Win | 100 | 11 h 0 m | Show | |
Houston had a six-game winning streak come to an abrupt end this past Saturday as they lost for just the second time in 11 tilts last time out vs Portland. Meanwhile, Denver is off a DD 123-110 victory at home at the Pepsi Center last time out, vs Charlotte. Note: DENVER is 9-19 ATS in road games after playing a home game over the last 2 seasons and is 2-10 ATS after a combined score of 225 points or more this season and is 7-20 ATS after scoring 120 points or more over the last 2 seasons. DENVER is also 8-18 ATS against Southwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons and are at a disadvantage vs a Houston team that plays their best ball at home as is evident by a 13-5 and 12-6 record as hosts. The Rockets took out the Nuggets with a 109-99 win at Denver on Nov. 13 that extended Houston's winning streak in the series to eight straight. Im betting on it being 9 after tonight. The Rockets are 12-0 ATS SU/ATS as a favorite off a road game in which their points decreased by at least 25 from the game before and it is before the All-Star break and are 12-0 SU/ATS facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points off free throws. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (DENVER) - revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a home win by 10 points or more are 44-216 L/22 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Houston Rockets to cover |
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01-07-19 | Nets v. Celtics OVER 218.5 | 95-116 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
These teams are both trending upward on a points per game chart that I am currently using. Everything points to this being a higher scoring affairs than the lines makers are anticipating. Yes, they are lower paced teams, but their offensive efficiency and point conversion rates are above normal. Im projecting Brooklyn scores 105 + points while Bostons score 114 + points. BROOKLYN is 19-3 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 237.5 ppg scored. BOSTON is 16-0 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 231.6 ppg scored. Brooklyns L/5 games has seen a combined average of 230.6 ppg scored and in division games has seem a combined average of 224.6 ppg scored. Meanwhile, Boston in their L/5 games has seen a combined average 222 ppg scored and on the season allowed an average of 105+ ppg at home and in division tits have seen a combined average of 219.8 ppg scored. Over is 6-0 in Celtics last 6 vs. Eastern Conference.Over is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 vs. NBA Atlantic.Over is 5-0 in Celtics last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 6-1 in Celtics last 7 games following a straight up win.Over is 6-1 in Celtics last 7 games following a ATS win.Over is 5-1 in Celtics last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 9-2 in Celtics last 11 games playing on 2 days rest.Over is 4-1 in Celtics last 5 Monday games.Over is 4-1 in Celtics last 5 home games.Over is 20-6 in Celtics last 26 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.Over is 20-7 in Celtics last 27 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 21-8 in Celtics last 29 overall.Over is 4-0 in Nets last 4 overall.Over is 4-0 in Nets last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 6-1 in Nets last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Over is 9-2 in Nets last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Over is 4-1 in Nets last 5 games following a straight up win.Over is 4-1 in Nets last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 4-1 in Nets last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.Over is 4-1 in Nets last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Over is 17-5 in Nets last 22 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Over is 8-3 in Nets last 11 games following a straight up win of more than 10 pointsBOSTON is 13-4 OVER versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season with a combined average of 223.6 ppg scored. BOSTON is 20-7 OVER versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season with a combined average of 221.9 ppg scored. BROOKLYN is 18-7 OVER as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 225.8 ppg scored in those tilts. NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (BROOKLYN) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 36-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play OVER |
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01-06-19 | Pacers +3 v. Raptors | 105-121 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
The Raptors looked very good and worked very hard in a win vs the Milwaukee Bucks last night on the road and notched a impressive win. However, after playing that kind of gruelling physical affair on the road and now on tired legs Im betting they will have a problem performing at an optimal level against vs the most under rated team in the NBA ( Indiana Pacers) according to my power rankings assessment charts. It must also be noted that Raptors Kawhi Leonard played 38 minutes last night, and after suffering through numerous injuries, in his career Im sure the coaching staff will be careful with his minutes tonight, and that also gives us an edge with the Pacers. In the most recent meeting in this series here in Toronto back on Dec 19 the Raps were fortunate to get the victory in a 99-96 smash mouth affair, and tonight look for the fresher legs of the visitor and their scorching defence ranked No.1 in points allowed to be the difference maker here. Also from a SRS head to head matchup scenario that tells us the Raptors are ranked 5th with a 4.80 numerical rating, and the Pacers 6th ranking 4.60 , we have a pickem situation, even with home court advantage thrown in. Add to that a fatigue factor ratio , and we have a upset situation edge. Nothings a sure bet , but I like the edge we have here getting points with this live dog. Note: SRS Is a Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average. Raptors are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win. Raptors are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win.Pacers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Pacers are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Play on Indiana to cover . Indiana to cover |
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01-06-19 | Wizards v. Thunder -10 | 116-98 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
Washington is just 4-17 SU on the road this season, dropping eight consecutive games away from Capital One Arena and while I rarely ever lay DDs with any team, the odd circumstance offers up value. With that said, this tilt here in Oklahoma City is one of them. The Wizards continued road futility, and a banged up lineup makes them fade material even on a DD line. Note: The visitors are playing without key cog John Wall ( out for season) arguably the teams best player and are also saddled with the absence of power forward Markieff Morris who is also out with an injury. Streaky super star Westbrook broke out with a 32 point performance last time out, and will be licking his chops with anticipation here . Oklahoma City matches up very well vs the Wizards as was evident in a 134-111 beatdown win by the Thunder as road 3.5 point road dogs on Dec 11 of this season. Thunder are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Southeast.Wizards are 0-3-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Oklahoma City. WASHINGTON is 1-8 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season Opp. 123.2 Wizards 106.6 for a consistent DD trend presenting itself and is is 3-11 ATS overall as a road underdog this season with the average point differential margin clicking in at 13.5 ppg. NBA Road underdogs vs. the money line (WASHINGTON) - revenging a home blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more against opponent off a road win are just 1-25 SU L/5 seasons for a 96% conversion rate with the average margin of defeat coming by 11.1 ppg. Play on Oklahoma City to cover |
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01-06-19 | South Dakota State v. South Dakota +5 | 79-61 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
South Dakota State is 11-6 overall and 1-1 in Summit League play. The preseason favorites, SDSU has opened league play with three-straight games on the road, concluding with Sunday's contest, and will be on tired legs here vs South Dakota, 7-8 on the season and 1-1 in Summit League play, and fresh off a win vs Denver. |
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01-05-19 | Warriors v. Kings +7.5 | 127-123 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
The Golden State Warriors and Sacramento Kings have in the recent past played closely contested affairs, with both meetings this season decided by scores of 130-125 and 117-116 home and away, and Im betting on another hard fought affair here with the getting points our very best option. GOLDEN STATE is 3-13 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.he Warriors are 0-9 L/9 ATS on the road with rest off a loss as a home favorite in which they had 3+ players with 20+ points . The Kings are 7-0 ATS and 6-1 SU with less than two days rest off a home game facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end. The lone loss came to Golden State by a 130-125 loss as 5 point dogs. NBA Home teams (SACRAMENTO) - after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ less free throws than opponent against opponent after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 31-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Sacramento to cover |
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01-05-19 | Eastern Kentucky +16 v. Murray State | 85-97 | Win | 100 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
EKU is pulling down 36 rebounds per game and will give the Racers a run for their money under the basket and in the paint, and must not be under rated in their ability to cover here in enemy territory. E KENTUCKY is 32-12 ATS in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 points/game or less since 1997. E KENTUCKY is 8-1 ATS in road games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.MURRAY ST is 4-13 ATS versus foul prone teams - called for 21 or more fouls/game over the last 3 seasons. CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (E KENTUCKY) - explosive offensive team - scoring 84+ points/game on the season, after a combined score of 165 points or more 2 straight games are 26-5 ATS L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Eastern Kentucky to cover |
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01-05-19 | Mercer +12.5 v. Wofford | 74-78 | Win | 100 | 2 h 41 m | Show | |
Wofford sits atop the SoCon standings with a perfect 3-0 league record and is 11-4 overall. The Terriers rank near the top in virtually every conference statistical category but Mercer must not be underestimate in their ability to cover here. Note: Under Coach Bob Hoffman, Mercer has won 203 games over the past 10-plus seasons (2008-09 to present) and are viable program with good work ethic and are never out of a game as has been the case in quite of few of their tilts this season.Team Statistics 4th in FG% defense (.419)4th in scoring defense (68.3)4th in turnover margin (+1.71)WOFFORD is 1-8 ATS in home games after 2 consecutive conference games over the last 2 seasons CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (MERCER) - off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival against opponent after 2 straight covers as a double digit favorite are 58-26 ATS for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Mercer to cover |
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01-05-19 | Hornets v. Nuggets OVER 218 | 110-123 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
Denver despite of slightly below average points output owns the 7th ranked offensive effecincy in the league, despite of being a slow paced squad and are capable of lighting opponents up in a hurry with shabby defences like the Hornets as is evident by a 112.3 ppg offensive output at home. Meanwhile, the Hornets, are ranked in the bottom 15 teams in the NBA in defence, and allowing 115.1 ppg on the road this season, but ranked 9th overall in offensive output and 10th in efficiency and have scored 125 or more points in 3 of their L/5 games, and are 113.1 ppg on the road this season. My projections estimate that Charlotte will put at least 106 points on the board, while Denver will score 114 points. Note: DENVER is 14-2 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 231.3 ppg scored.CHARLOTTE is 15-4 OVER when they allow 112 or more points in a game this season with a combined average of 233.6 ppg scored. DENVER is 27-10 OVER versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 227.4 ppg scored.DENVER is 20-8 OVER after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 221.8 ppg scored. Hornets are 10-0 OVER L/10 off a game as a favorite in which they scored fewer than 10 fast break points and it is before the All-Star break with the average combined score clicking in at 236.3 ppg. The Nuggets are 10-0 OVER L/10 off a game as a favorite facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with a combined average of 231.2 ppg scored. NBA Road teams where the total is 210 to 219.5 (CHARLOTTE) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team are 35-9 OVER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
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01-05-19 | Kansas +1.5 v. Iowa State | 60-77 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 10 m | Show | |
But No. 5 Kansas has owned that Big 12 championship pedigree for 14 consecutive seasons, so Iowa State and despite of up trending and looking very talented are not ready to upend this over powering hoops program just yet as their key weaknesses are just to blatant and will not serve them well vs this type of team no. matter how motivated they are. Some of their problems come with their lack of being able to Draw foul as the Cyclones are a not a very physical team, ranking in the bottom half of the NCAA in offensive free-throw rate. In a game like this charity stripe shooting will be critical and despite of an aggressive run and gun mentality can't sink the downtown shots with consistency as Iowa State attempts an above average number of treys, but rank just 142nd in three-point accuracy at 35 percent. KANSAS is 15-4 ATS in road games versus excellent teams - shooting 45% or better with a defense of 42% or better over the last 3 seasons.KANSAS is 8-1 ATS in road games after having won 4 of their last 5 games over the last 2 seasons. Play on Kansas to cover |
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01-05-19 | SIU-Edwardsville +4.5 v. Eastern Illinois | 81-84 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
SIU E is playing pretty good basketball at the moment winning 3 straight games, ad despite of having a losing record so far , are up trending and viable underdogs according to my power charts in this tilt vs Eastern Illinois. SIU EDWARDSVL is 22-10 ATS L/32 in road games in January games .E ILLINOIS is 9-21 ATS L/30 in home games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games. Play on SIU Edwardsville to cover |
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01-05-19 | Loyola-Chicago -5.5 v. Drake | 85-74 | Win | 100 | 6 h 32 m | Show | |
The Ramblers know how to win on the road and have won three straight and seven of their last eight MVC road tilts.Loyola, which through games of January 2 ranked 11th in the nation in scoring defense (59.5 ppg), has limited four straight opponents to fewer than 50 points are a dangerous matchup for Drake, LOYOLA-IL is 6-0 ATS in road games versus good passing teams, averaging 16 or more assists/game over the last 3 seasons. LOYOLA-IL is 11-3 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons and is is 9-2 ATS in road games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. CBB road team (LOYOLA-IL) - after allowing 55 points or less 4 straight games, with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent are 24-5 ATS L/22 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Loyola Chicago to cover |
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01-05-19 | Bradley +4.5 v. Indiana State | 60-65 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 59 m | Show | |
Indiana State lost its opener on Wednesday, dropping a 79-44 contest at Loyola. The loss was ISU's second-straight as it finished the non-conference season with a defeat to TCU and enter this game looking a little bit ragged. I know Bradley has also been inconsistent, but they matchup well vs the Sycamores, and in what is expected to be a close game have an edge behind, the second ranked charity stripe shooting in the MVC and 57th nationally with 313 free throw attempts this season.Bradley ranks 30th in the country with a free-throw rate of 43.1 percent (FTA/FGA), while placing 40th by scoring 22.6 percent of its points from the line. INDIANA ST is 0-7 ATS after playing 3 consecutive games as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. Lansing is 0-6 ATS after trailing in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half as the coach of INDIANA ST. CBB underdog (BRADLEY) - after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games are 248-173 L/5 seasons for a 59% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Bradley to cover |
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01-05-19 | Oklahoma State +10 v. Oklahoma | 64-74 | Push | 0 | 5 h 47 m | Show | |
Oklahoma State has been struggling to this point in the season, while their long time rivals the Sooners are looking like a future tournament team. However, everything goes out the window when these two instate enemies meet and Im expecting the Cowboys to stand tall and get us the cover vs a Sooners side off their first loss in 8 games. that loss was a hard a hard fought physical affair vs Kansas last time out and could easily see this group in a letdown spot here. This is the 237th Bedlam meeting, and the Cowboys have taken four of the last five, including the last two. Note: With its win vs No. 19/21 LSU in November, Oklahoma State racked up its fifth victory over a ranked opponent in its last six opportunities. The Cowboys are one of just five teams in college basketball that can claim to have beaten five of their last six ranked opponents. CBB road underdogs of 10 or more points (OKLAHOMA ST) - cold team - failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread against opponent hot team - covering 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread are 62-30 ATS L/22 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Oklahoma State to cover |
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01-05-19 | Cleveland State +8.5 v. Green Bay | 89-90 | Win | 100 | 3 h 54 m | Show | |
Cleveland State took 319 free throws through 15 games, a mark that ranks among the top 40 in Division I. It is their ability to get to the charity stripe is what makes them dangerous underdogs in this spot. CLEVELAND ST is 8-1 ATS in road games when playing only their 3rd game in a week over the last 2 seasons. CLEVELAND ST is 17-4 ATS after playing a game as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons.CLEVELAND ST is 6-0 ATS after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons.Felton is 18-3 ATS L/21 after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread in all games he has coached. Play on Cleveland State to cover |
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01-05-19 | Fairfield +4.5 v. Iona | 87-94 | Loss | -107 | 2 h 20 m | Show | |
Fairfield faces the MAAC's top scoring tonight in Iona, which averages 77.8 points per game, after battling the second-highest scoring team in Rider (77.0) on Thursday evening. The Stags currently stand third in the MAAC for scoring average at 71.9 points every forty minutes and have the capabilities to hang here with Iona. IONA is 1-9 ATS in all lined games this season. CBB home team (IONA) - after going over the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, a bad team, winning 20% to 40% of their games on the season are 83-136 for a go against 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Fairfield to cover |
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01-04-19 | Thunder v. Blazers +1 | 111-109 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
Oklahoma City (24-13) might have a better record than the Blazers,( 22-16) but from a matchup perspective , the Blazers according to my head to head systems ratings offer up a huge amount of trouble for the Thunder. The Thunders top player Westbrook has has hands full going against Portland's Damian Lillard, who is having a career season offensively. He ranks eighth in the NBA in scoring at 26.7 points while shooting 45.2 percent from the field, 39.4 percent from 3-point range and 89.5 percent from the foul line, and Thunder also must contend with Portland center Jusuf Nurkic, who is coming off the best game of his career in a 113-108 overtime win over Sacramento on Tuesday. Note:The Trailblazers are 17-3 ATS and 16-4 SU when the line is within 3 of pick after they had overtime which happened last time out. Thunder are 7-21 ATS in their last 28 vs. NBA Northwest.Thunder are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Trail Blazers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Trail Blazers are 29-13 ATS in their last 42 home games.PORTLAND is 11-1 ATS in home games after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.PORTLAND is 15-5 ATS in home games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons. Portland is 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 at home in this series.Thunder are 0-6 ATS in the last 6 meetings. The Thunder are 0-10 ATS/SU when the line is within 3 of pick off a game as a favorite after a win in which they trailed after the third which was the case last time out.The Trailblazers are 10-1 ATS/SU at home with more than one day of rest facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game. Play on the Portland Blazers to cover |
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01-04-19 | Knicks +8 v. Lakers | 119-112 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
The Lakers are a banged up team, with their key super star LeBron James out with an injury, and will will also go without Kyle Kuzma ( back) and Rajon Rondo. I know the Knicks wont inspire bettors, but they actually have an opportunity to compete and pull off an upset here vs this short handed group tonight according to my current matchup projections based on both teams existing lineups. It must also be noted that the Lakers took part in a gruelling 107-100 loss last time out where numerous lead changes took place and will now be in an emotional letdown situation, and probably less than motivated taking on a lower tier team, that they could easily overlook. Note: The Lakers are 3-19 ATS L/21 and 2-20 SU with rest off a loss as a home dog after a game that was tied 5+ times and 0-8 ATS SU L/8 at home off a home game after a game that was tied 5+ times. LA LAKERS are 5-13 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record this season and are 2-10 ATS versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game this season. The Knicks are 6-0 ATS L/6 with more than one day of rest off a loss in a road game facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5 and it is before the All-Star break. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW YORK) - in non-conference games, off 3 or more consecutive road losses are 33-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the NY Knicks to cover |
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01-04-19 | Jazz v. Cavs UNDER 209 | 117-91 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
Cleveland enters this game ranked 28thin in scoring in the NBA behind a slow down system that ranks 29th in pace having scored 94 points or less in 6 of their L/8 games overall and Im betting will have problems breaching that plateau again vs a physical Jazz defence that is ranked 7th in ppg allowed and 5th in defensive efficiency. Meanwhile, on the flip side, Utah has averaged only 105 ppg on the road this season and rank 21st in the league in points ouptut in the league, and 22nd in offensive efficiency behind a average pace ranked 14th overall. Also previous to going over in their L/2 trips to the hardwood they had gone under 8 straight times in grinding fashion. Note: The Jazz are 0-18 UNDER L/18 as a favorite off a road game when the line is at least 10 points lower than their last game and it is before the All-Star break with no combined score clicking in above 201 ppg, with the average combined score registering at 185.1 ppg. Bottom line : The Jazz will happily grind away on a Cavs team with very little fire power, in a game that I expect will see the combined score stay on the low side of the total. The Cavaliers are 0-13 UNDER as a dog with less than two days rest after a game as a home dog in which rebounding less than 20% of their own misses with the average combined score coming in at 198.4 ppg. The Cavaliers are 0-8 OU L/8 as a 8+ dog off a 10+ loss when they are off two games in which more than 65 percent of their field goals were assisted and it is before the All-Star break with a combined average of 201.1 ppg scored with non of the tilts exceeding this posted total. NBA Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (CLEVELAND) - a offense that scores (+102 PPG) against a sub par defensive team (102 or more PPG), after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games are 90-46 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play under |
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01-03-19 | Northern Arizona +13.5 v. Weber State | 52-77 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
All my college Hoops selections both totals and sides are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and overall head to head team system and player vs player analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. Because of extensive betting opportunities associated with the large number of games, there are certain days when individual analysis is not included. Thank you and God Bless . Alex Smart Northern Arizona to cover |
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01-03-19 | St. Mary's +3 v. San Francisco | 72-76 | Loss | -112 | 5 h 14 m | Show | |
USF had a 5 game win streak abruptly end last time out vs Santa Barbara 73-71 and will now be in a letdown situation here after that hard fought loss, and now going against another tough opponent in. St.Marys. This may not be the same kind of potent team that HC Randy Bennett has had in the past but this still must not be under estimated in their ability to pull off an upset and are still ranked No.44 in the KenPom rankings behind one of the slowest and most methodical paces in the league, ,something this version of the Dons will not enjoy playing against. Play on St.Marys to cover |
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01-03-19 | Raptors v. Spurs -1.5 | 107-125 | Win | 100 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
Toronto has been erratic in their play of late, especially as far as converting for their betting backers is concerned as they are just 5-14 ATS L/19 overall including 1-4 SU/ 0-5 ATS L/5 on the road. Injuries have played a role in the Raptors current state, as key contributor Kyle Lowry remains sidelined and is not expect to play tonight, and also some bloated lines because of their obvious big time superiority on the east. Do not get me wrong, the Raptors are still a talented team with a lot of depth, but here tonight on the road, vs a up trending San Antonio side that has cashed 11 of their L/13 overall Im betting the Dinos are in trouble. San Antonio is 17-4 L/21 here vs the Raptors and 2-0 SU/ATS here in Texas in their most recent meetings and get the nod again. Im not going to delve into the Kawhi Leonard / DeMar DeRozen trade because these teams, because I don't believe it will be a deciding factor for which side wins here tonight. SAN ANTONIO is 16-4 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons. ANTONIO is 12-1 ATS in home games after covering 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread over the last 3 seasons SAN ANTONIO is 14-3 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 46% or less of their shots this season and 13-4 ATS versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season. NBA Underdogs vs the money line (TORONTO) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 15-69 SU L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate fro bettors. NBA Underdogs (TORONTO) - after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 23-58 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on San Antonio. to cover |
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01-03-19 | Georgia Southern +3 v. Texas State | 70-73 | Push | 0 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
Even though Southern is on the road, they are according to my power ranking strong candidates to pull off an upset here this Thursday night . Yes, I know that Texas State has looked strong so far this season, behind a experienced roster, but Im betting they will have their hands full vs a. side that is aiming directly at the giant target on their backs. TEXAS ST is 2-10 ATS L/10 in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game.TEXAS ST is 1-8 ATS in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. Play on Georgia Southern to cover |
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01-03-19 | Youngstown State +12.5 v. Green Bay | 93-99 | Win | 100 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
Green Bay enters the game with a 7-7 overall record and a 1-0 mark in the Horizon League and are according to my numbers not a solid 12.5 point favorite not even vs struggling Youngstown State. CBB team (YOUNGSTOWN ST) - a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (78 or more PPG), after a close loss by 3 points or less are 88-48 ATS L/22 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Youngstown State to cover |
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01-03-19 | Cleveland State +3.5 v. Wisc-Milwaukee | 76-83 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
All my college Hoops selections both totals and sides are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and overall head to head team system and player vs player analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. Because of extensive betting opportunities associated with the large number of games, there are certain days when individual analysis is not included. Thank you and God Bless . Alex Smart Cleveland State to cover |
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01-03-19 | Penn State +11.5 v. Michigan | 55-68 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
The Wolverines host Penn State on Thursday. Michigan (13-0) is one of four teams nationally that reached New Year's Day undefeated.The Wolverines have won 27 of their last 28 games, with the lone loss coming in last year's national championship against Villanova and their extremely hard to beat at home where they have also won 27 of their L/28 .I know Penn State at 7-6 might not inspire bettors but this line is bloated according to my projections and we have value taking the visitor in what Im betting will be a hard fought conference affair. The public is all over the Wolverines, but as part of a long term go against the public system that has cashed at a 68% clip for me over a 168 game sample size I recommend we take the points in this spot. PENN ST is 16-7 ATS versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.MICHIGAN is 0-6 ATS as a home favorite of 10 or more points this season. Beilein is 2-9 ATS in home games after 8 or more consecutive wins as the coach of MICHIGAN. Play on Penn State to cover |
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01-03-19 | William & Mary -1 v. Delaware | 56-58 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
After opening Colonial Athletic Association play 2-0 with a pair of home wins last week, W&Mary have now won 4 of their L/5 games and are currently firing on all cylinders. For the second time this season, freshman Chase Audige was named the CAA Rookie of the Week on Monday. He averaged 16 points, four assists, three rebounds, 1.5 steals and 1.5 blocked shots per game, while shooting 60 percent from the field and 66.7 percent from 3 last week and will be a difference maker here this evening vs inconsistent Delaware side. Defense has been a key to W&M's 2-0 start in CAA play. In league action, the Tribe ranks second in defensive efficiency (101.8), turnover rate (20.4) and 3-point percentage (30.3). WM& MARY has won and covered 4 straight games in this series. WM & MARY is 21-8 ATS in road games after playing 2 consecutive games as a home favorite .WM & MARY is 33-14 ATS after 2 straight games where they made 10 or more 3 point shots. Shaver is 11-3 ATS in road games after 4 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers as the coach of WM & MARY. Play on William Mary to cover |
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01-03-19 | Wright State -5 v. Detroit | 58-79 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
The Raiders, 7-8 and 1-1, dropped the Horizon League opener to UIC in overtime 75-72 before bouncing back to defeat IUPUI 72-64 Sunday afternoon and enter this game with momentum as they go against the Detroit Mercy Titans (5-9 ) a side that won twice last week at Youngstown State 78-66 and at Cleveland State 73-61 to open their Horizon League schedule after dropping the final six non-conference games. UDM was tabbed to finish tenth in the pre-season Horizon League poll under first-year head coach Mike Davis and according to my head to matchup stats do not matchup well vs the Raiders. Wright State is 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 meetings in this series. DETROIT is 11-26 ATS off a road win by 10 points or more. Play on Wright State to cover |
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01-03-19 | Mercer +8 v. Furman | 58-71 | Loss | -112 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
As it has numerous times this season, a young but talented Mercer battled back from a double digit deficit to position themselves for a big comeback victory only to come up short in losing 71-67 to Harvard in a neutral site game played Dec. 28 at Atlanta's State Farm Arena. Mercer has been very competitive despite of a negative record and must be respected here as dogs , Yes even against a Furman team that has been one of the most impressive teams in the SoCon thus far this season. MERCER is 11-2 ATS versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season.MERCER is 11-3 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. Play on Mercer to cover |
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01-03-19 | Illinois +11.5 v. Indiana | 65-73 | Win | 100 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
Illinois Im betting has the ability to make life rough for a top shelf Indiana hoops program in this tilt that to their ability to play a strong brand of pressure defence that eads the Big Ten in forcing turnovers (18.4 per game). Meanwhile Indiana leads the Big Ten in committing turnovers (14.5 per game). I know Illinois will not inspire bettors, but there is actually line value here with Illinois and this I'm recommending we take the points in this conference matchup. Play on Illinois to cover |
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01-02-19 | Utah State +9.5 v. Nevada | 49-72 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
Utah State is off to its best start under a first-year head coach in school history as Craig Smith has led the Aggies to a 10-3 record over their opening 13 games. They will have their hands full with undefeated Nevada tonight, but this number Im betting is slightly bloated giving us an edge with a value line to buy into.Utah State has held four opponents to their lowest shooting percentages of the year, including Saint Mary's (.290), Northern Iowa (.310), Alabama State (.207) and Houston (.317) and have scored more points in the paint than its opponents in all but two games this season and this combo of hard working traits Im betting will make them competitive in this road game . Utah State leads the Mountain West in nine statistics, including scoring defense (64.8), scoring margin (+16.5), free throw percentage (.764), field goal percentage defense (.359), rebounding offense (42.4), rebounding margin (+11.6), assists (16.2), defensive rebounds (31.4) and defensive rebound percentage (.786). Play on Utah State to cover |
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01-02-19 | New Mexico v. Air Force +1.5 | 65-58 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
This Air Force team is very under rated in my humble opinion and have more height, inside scoring ability and quickness than any other group HC Pilipovich has coached. Air Force has played Michigan , Villanova, North Carolina , and Colorado, and despite of losing all by DDs, did not look out of place and looked pretty good to me. Now against less formidable competition in New Mexico on their own home court Im betting their ready to compete and grab a win to open up Mountain West Conference play. Note: New Mexico's Key transfer JaQuan Lyle is out for the season with an Achilles injury and former McDonald’s All-American Carlton Bragg wasn’t cleared by the NCAA until mid-December. AIR FORCE is 6-0 ATS in home games when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days over the last 2 seasons.AIR FORCE is 12-3 ATS in all home games over the last 2 seasons. Weir is 0-7 ATS versus struggling pressure defensive teams - forcing 12or less turnovers/game as the coach of NEW MEXICO. Pilipovich is 26-16 ATS as a home underdog or pick as the coach of AIR FORCE. Play on Air Force to cover |
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01-02-19 | Magic v. Bulls -1.5 | 112-84 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
Chicago is playing some competitive basketball of late winning 3 of their L/5 straight up while covering 4 of those games. Now tonight vs a Orlando team expected to play without starting point guard D.J. Augustin and backup Jonathon Simmons after each sustained ankle injuries they are at a disadvantage here on the road. Ever since Coach Jim Boylen, took over the team from the fired Fred Hoiberg, the Bulls are playing a physical grinding style of offense that is led by guard Zach LaVine, averaging 23.5 points per game and must not be underestimated in their new system. HC Boylen was QUOTED:"We're playing the way I think we have to play for us to have a chance to win. We are going to get a defensive mentality in this program first, and then we're going to work on the rest of it. And as we grow together, we get healthy together, I'm confident the offense will come"END QUOTE:. With that said, I like the way the Bulls matchup here and Ill lay the short chalk in their support. Chicago is 6-0 SU L/6 at home in this series dating back to the 2015 season. ORLANDO is 15-28 ATS when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons. CHICAGO is 19-5 ATS against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons. NBA Road underdogs (ORLANDO) - after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 16-45 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Chicago to cover |
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01-02-19 | Wolves v. Celtics UNDER 220 | 102-115 | Win | 100 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
Minnesota is on a 8 game OVER streak, and Boston has gone over 6 straight times and the linesmakers know this, so they have bumped this number up , and have not based this Total on the current matchup but on the streak itself, which according to my projections gives us value with an under wager on this offered total. Teams that have gone over in at eight or more straight games are 75-91-1 UNDER since the 2013/14 season. NBA team (BOSTON) - after 5 or more consecutive overs, good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game are 224-142 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER |
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01-02-19 | Tulsa +13 v. Houston | 56-74 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
Tulsa at 10-3 and Houston at 13-0 are two teams that must be respected. Im sure Tulsa however, is feeling disrespected by this line. TU has won five straight games and is coming off a 69-59 win over Oral Roberts on Dec. 22 at the Mabee Center. The Canes lost to Nevada by 10, and on the road to Utah by 5, and have not lost any of their games by this margin this season, and Im betting they cover again vs a good but slightly over rated Cougars team. Snapping Houston's 26-game home winning streak, which currently is the longest in Division I does not look viable but as far as Im concerend covering does look like a solid opportunity. TULSA is 6-0 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game over the last 2 seasons. TULSA is 14-5 ATS as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. Play on Tulsa to cover |
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01-02-19 | Mavs +1.5 v. Hornets | 122-84 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
The Mavericks despite of playing much improved hoops this season , are a team currently struggling desperate for a win away from home . With that said, Im betting they will be hell bent on trying to snap a nine-game road losing streak in a place Charlotte where they have covered their L/2 visits . Note: The road team has snatched five of the last six in the series, with Dallas earning a 115-111 win at Charlotte last season. All good bad runs must come to an end, and Im betting the Mavs current run of road futility ends tonight. Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.( the Mavs lost vs Ok St last time out by DDs )Mavericks are 19-0 ATS/18-1 SU when the line is within three of pick off a loss as a underdog when they allowed 100+ points in each of their last two games and it is before the All-Star break with the only loss coming by just 1 point. DALLAS is 20-6 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons Hornets are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Hornets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall.Hornets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Hornets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Hornets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.Hornets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.Hornets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.Hornets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference.Hornets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Play on Dallas to cover |
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01-02-19 | Harvard +17 v. North Carolina | 57-77 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
Harvard must not be underestimated in their ability to cover here vs a North Carolina hoops program as they returned 99.4 percent of its scoring and 99.0 percent of its minutes from last year's squad, which captured the program's sixth Ivy League championship and made its second-ever appearance in the NIT. Showcasing its depth, 10 different Harvard players have started a game in 2018-19 and 11 players are averaging at least nine minutes per game. Im betting they compete and play hard here and use their top tier IQs to make sure mistakes are kept to a minimum.Note: Harvard is 8-4 against ACC teams in the Tommy Amaker era.Note: HARVARD is 11-2 ATS as a road underdog or pick over the last 2 seasons. HARVARD is 6-0 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 2 seasons and is 7-0 ATS versus excellent teams - shooting 45% or better with a defense of 42% or less over the last 3 seasons.HARVARD is 15-2 ATS (+12.8 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% or better of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.HARVARD is 15-3 ATS L/18 in road games versus teams who average 40 or more rebounds/game on the season. Harvard to cover |
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01-01-19 | 76ers +3 v. Clippers | 119-113 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
The Sixers looked flat without Joel Embiid in the lineup last time out in at lopsided loss to Portland and will look to bounce back with him expected to play tonight despite of a questionable status. He is really a game changer and a difference maker for the Sixers. The 76ers are 9-0 ATS/SU in franchise history off a road loss in which Ben Simmons had a plus/minus at least ten points better than the team which happened in that game vs Portland last time out. Just like the Sixers, the Clippers will enter Tuesday's game coming off a loss losing 122-111 to the San Antonio Spurs, in a game when Williams was held to 16 points . Their energy levels looked weak which is a troubling factor for them going forward and especially tonight. 76ers are 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings.PHILADELPHIA is 25-8 ATS after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.PHILADELPHIA is 24-8 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. Play on the 76ers to cover |
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01-01-19 | Blazers v. Kings UNDER 231.5 | 113-108 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
Sacramento loves to run and gun with wreck-less abandon, but Portland knowing this will not allow them to flow, and will look to slow this game down. Blazers road games have seen a combined average of 222.1 ppg scored, but have recently played much better defensively which has resulted in 4 straight unders overall. None of the 4 most recent meetings in this series dating back to last season have seen more than 218 combined points scored and Im betting on this this one staying under the total as well. The Trailblazers have gone under 12 straight times as a road favorite with rest after a game in which they shot 50% or better from beyond the arc with the average combined score clicking in at 185.5 ppg with non of the 12 games seeing more than 210 ppg. PORTLAND is 18-8 UNDER vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 201.1 ppg.PORTLAND is 27-12 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 207.5 ppg scored. PORTLAND in their L/26 games when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over dating back to last season have seen a combined average score of 219.2 ppg going on the board. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (SACRAMENTO) - in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%), in January games are 24-4 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 206.6 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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01-01-19 | Pistons +10.5 v. Bucks | 98-121 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
Detroit is desperate for a win, after a heart breaking loss to Orlando on a last second buzzer beater. Following a previous loss to the Pacers -- a 125-88 beatdown -- the Pistons had a players-only meeting to clear the air and hopefully find a way to get on track. Now with them at their very lowest point, Im expecting an extremely motivated effort vs a strong Milwaukee side that wont be overly motivated to take them on. DETROIT is 14-6 ATS versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less free throws/game this season.MILWAUKEE is 23-48 ATS L/71 as a favorite of 10 or more points. Bucks are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.Bucks are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.Bucks are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 Tuesday games. The Bucks are 0-19 ATS as a 8-plus point favorite off a home game when their opponent is seeking same-season revenge for a loss at home , they were 14-5 SU in those games but none of the victories came by more than 8 points. NBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (MILWAUKEE) - explosive offensive team - scoring 103+ points/game on the season, on Tuesday nights are 19-48 ATS L/5 seasons L/22 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Take the points with the Pistons |
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01-01-19 | Marquette v. St. John's | 69-89 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
St.Johns enters this game against Marquette of their first loss of the season vs Seton Hall last time out. But it was a fragrant ugly call that gave them that loss. The Conference admitted that officials made a erroneous call when an inadvertant whistle led to Seton Hall getting the ball down one with 3.1 seconds left on the game clock. Shavar Reynolds' 3-pointer beat the buzzer and delivered St. John's its first defeat of the season. Now with a chip on their shoulder St.Johns looks to rebound, and notch a win. I know the Golden Eagles have won eight straight games overall but this is just their second true road game of the season -- their last road game ended in a blistering behind the wood shed 96-73 beatdown by Indiana back on Nov. 14.The Red Storm and Golden Eagles split the season a year ago, with each team winning on it's own court and Im betting the host has the edge again. MARQUETTE is 0-7 ATS in road games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. MARQUETTE is 1-8 ATS in road games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MARQUETTE) - in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 8+ PPG, after scoring 80 points or more 3 straight games are just 34-76 L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on St.John's to cover |
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01-01-19 | CS-Northridge +16 v. San Diego State | 60-65 | Win | 100 | 5 h 32 m | Show | |
The Matadors head into the 2019 year on a season-high three-game winning streak after beating Morgan State 94-86 last Saturday and owns one of the top offenses in the conference, CSUN leads the Big West in points per game (78.2), field goals made per game (29.3), field goal percentage (48.5) and assists per game (16.9). On the defensive side, the Matadors are tops in the Big West in steals per game (6.7) and blocks per game (4.8) and have the capability of hanging tough here as underdogs vs San Diego State . Matadors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win.Matadors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.Matadors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. CS-NORTHRIDGE is 10-1 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons. CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (CS-NORTHRIDGE) - after allowing 75 points or more 5 straight games, with just one or fewer starters returning from last season are 44-23 ATS L/22 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on CS Northridge to cover |
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12-31-18 | Magic v. Hornets -7.5 | 100-125 | Win | 100 | 6 h 34 m | Show | |
The Magic wrapped are off a 109-107 win over the Detroit Pistons on Sunday afternoon, and will now be in a letdown spot here on the road vs a Charlotte team, that is averaging 113.4 points-per-game , the seventh-best output average in the NBA. Meanwhile, The Magic have scored more than 100 points just 19 times in their 35 games, which is not a good omen here as they shot just 38.3 percent in the first meeting.vs the Hornets this season, and have now lost six straight in Charlotte and been held under 100 points in four of those games. With that said, Im betting the Hornets romping to a comfortable victory here tonight. Orlando F Jonathon Simmons left the win over Detroit with a sprained right ankle and is questionable for Monday. ORLANDO is 19-32 ATS (versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons with the point differential clicking in at 8.2 ppg. Play on Charlotte to cover |
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12-31-18 | Northern Colorado -2.5 v. Portland State | 73-60 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show | |
North Colorado (7-5) has won their L/2 visits to take on Portland State (5-6) and 3 in row SU/ATS and get the nod again. Both sides have been inconsistent but according to my power rankings NC has the edge by -4 or more. N COLORADO is 11-2 ATS in road games after 2 straight games where they made 10 or more 3 point shots.PORTLAND ST is 4-14 ATS after playing a game as favorite over the last 2 seasons. Play on N.Colorado to cover |
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12-31-18 | Weber State v. Idaho +6.5 | 93-87 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
The Idaho Vandals won the lone meeting last season, defeating the Weber State Wildcats, 68-62, in Ogden and has won the L/2 meetings overall. I know Idaho is slumping having lost 5 straight, but the home team has been a solid bet in the recent past when these teams have played and Im betting the hosts grabs the cheese again. Home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.Wildcats are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 road games.Wildcats are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games overall.Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Monday games.Wildcats are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Big Sky.Wildcats are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win. Verlin is 30-18 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) as the coach of IDAHO. CBB underdog (IDAHO) - after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games are 243-167 ATS L/5 seasons for a 59% conversion rate for bettors. |
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12-31-18 | Montana State v. Northern Arizona -1 | 68-74 | Win | 100 | 5 h 28 m | Show | |
Montana State has proven in the recent past not to travel well as their 2-14 SU record in its last 16 games on the road would indicate. According to my matchup stats their run of visitor futility will continue today at Northern Arizona. MONTANA ST is 3-13 ATS after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons. N ARIZONA is 12-4 ATS after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons. N ARIZONA is 9-2 ATS when playing their 2nd game in 3 days over the last 2 seasons.N ARIZONA is 12-4 ATS after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons Montana State is 4-20 SU in its last 24 games when playing on the road against Northern Arizona. Play on N.Arizona to cover |
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12-30-18 | Kings v. Lakers -1 | 114-121 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
We are getting a cheap line here, because super star LeBron James is expected to remain sidelined with a groin injury and the Lakers are 0-2 without him and also because their playing their 3rd game in 4 nights. However, in contrarian fashion, Im going against the Kings, as Im not liking their current form, and their consistent slow starts despite of notching wins. Note: Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA LAKERS) tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, in December games are actually good long term bets going 66-39 ATS L/5 seasons for a 62% conversion rate for bettors. Los Angeles was also without LeBron James when they lost 117-116 at Sacramento on the 27th of this Month, and competed fine without James, and actually had a DD lead, before getting lazy and falling apart. Now with a fire lit underneath their proverbial butts,Im betting they bounce back in the rematch here at home. Note:The Kings are 0-14 ATS/SU L/14 on the road off a game as a favorite when they are facing a team that is averaging more than 24 assists per game like the Lakers. LA LAKERS are 15-4 ATS in home games off 2 consecutive losses against division rivals. Play on the LA Lakers to cover |
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12-30-18 | 76ers -1 v. Blazers | 95-129 | Loss | -101 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
The Sixers are an upward trajectory team, that seems to just keep getting better with experience and jell as a unit. I can see a dominant type of confidence creeping over this side since the king of egos Jimmy Butler has arrived. making them extremely dangerous for all comers in this league. Since Butler has arrived Philadelphia have been performing optimally especially against top tier opponents winning 7 of 10 against .500 or greater opposition. With that said, Im betting on a the Sixers continuing their climb to elite status in the East with another win tonight vs a side they have revenge against for loss thye suffered here last season by a 114-110 count. With the Trail Blazers off two consecutive hard fought back to back tilts against defending champion Golden State, and on tired legs after playing last night I expect the home team will be at a disadvantage vs a top tier side. 76ers are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Philadelphia is 76-43-1 ATS in its last 120 non-conference games under head coach Brett Brown.PHILADELPHIA is 32-17 ATS when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 3 seasons. Trail Blazers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Trail Blazers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss.76ers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.76ers are 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 vs. NBA Northwest.76ers are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games playing on 2 days rest.76ers are 37-16-1 ATS in their last 54 vs. Western Conference. NBA Underdogs vs the money line (PORTLAND) - after allowing 100 points or more 5 straight games against opponent after a blowout win by 15 points or more are just are 37-152 for a go against 81% go against conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Philadelphia 76ers to cover |
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12-30-18 | Oral Roberts +9 v. Nebraska-Omaha | 87-84 | Win | 100 | 6 h 18 m | Show | |
The Oral Roberts men's basketball team will travel to Omaha to kick off Summit League play Sunday against the Mavericks and despite of being underdogs matchup well here vs Nebraska Omaha according to my line projections.Omaha has used the same starting lineup in 11 of the 14 games entering Sunday's game and because of this will start becoming more cohesive as this season progresses. ORU is 14th in the nation in total rebounds with 537, and 38th in the nation in total assists with 206 and their tenaciousness under the basket Im betting will be the difference maker in us covering today. CBB NEBRASKA-OMAHA is 0-6 ATS L/6 versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 18 or less free throws/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.NEBRASKA-OMAHA is 1-8 ATS ( versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. Play on Oral Roberts to cover |
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12-30-18 | Delaware +13 v. Northeastern | 82-80 | Win | 100 | 5 h 25 m | Show | |
My projections make Northestern a 8 to 8.5 point favourite here and with this much deviation on the line, Ill recommend we take the points. NORTHEASTERN is 5-13 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. Coen is 11-25 ATS as a favorite of 10 or more points as the coach of NORTHEASTERN and is 11-21 ATS as a home favorite of 10 or more points as the coach of NORTHEASTERN. Play on Delaware to cover |
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12-30-18 | Pistons v. Magic UNDER 204 | 107-109 | Loss | -104 | 3 h 21 m | Show | |
My head to head systems and performance charts are indicating a low scoring affair here this afternoon. When these teams met on Nov 7 they combined for 199 points in a 103-96 Pistons win. Im betting on a similar output here that remains on the low side of the number. DETROIT is 33-16 L/49 UNDER after allowing 120 points with a combined average of 196.7 ppg scored. Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (DETROIT) - scoring 103+ points/game on the season, after allowing 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games are124-76 UNDER L/22 seasons for a long term 62% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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12-30-18 | Lipscomb +7 v. Clemson | 67-84 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 11 m | Show | |
Lipscomb climbed to 32nd in the latest NCAA NET Rankings. Liberty (64) is the next highest ASUN squad.The Bisons came in ranked ninth in this week’s CollegeInsider.com Mid-Major Top 25 poll, and remained 11th in the SB Nation Mid-Major Madness poll.Dating back to last season, Lipscomb has won 17 of its last 21 games. In that span they are 7-2 in road games and must not be underestimated in their abilities to upset a top tier Clemson side here in Little John behind a offence that is averaging a ASUN-best 87.3 PPG, which ranks 10th nationally . Lipscomb also leads the conference in free throw percentage (77.4%), assists per game (18.7), steals per contest (8.3), field goal percentage defense (40.5%), assist-turnover ratio (1.49) and defensive rebounds per game (28.58). Play on Lipscomb to cover |
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12-29-18 | Knicks +13 v. Jazz | 97-129 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
New York has won just two games in December and carries a six-game losing streak into Salt Lake City after losing back-to-back games against Milwaukee on Tuesday and Thursday and because of that form we are getting decent value here on a slightly bloated line. vs an inconsistent Jazz side. The Knicks swept the season series with the Jazz last season and have a recent history of playing well against Utah as is evident by going 23-3 ATS in this series, including 12-1 ATS at Salt Lake City. Its never easy backing a side like NYK, but I have enough line value here to warrant a solid investment recommendation. Knicks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference. Jazz are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Jazz are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Jazz are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Play on the NY Knicks to cover |
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12-29-18 | Celtics -2.5 v. Grizzlies | 112-103 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
The Celtics have won the last five in this inter conference rivalry vs Memphis, limiting the Grizzlies to 93 and 98 points in last year's two-game season-series sweep and have the edge again here tonight as I expect the Celtics behind their top tier D will be primed to rebound off a 127-113 loss in Houston on Thursday night. Yes, the Celtics have struggled of late, but they are a resilient bunch, as far as providing their betting backers with profits as the clovers, are 13-1 ATS after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons. OSTON is 23-8 ATS vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons. Celtics are 15-0 SUATS as a road favorite with rest off a loss in which they scored at least 30% of their points from threes which happened last time out vs Houston. Play on Boston to cover |
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12-29-18 | Hornets v. Wizards UNDER 219.5 | 126-130 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
The Wizards enter this game on tired legs as they play their 3rd game in 4 nights , which Im betting translates into them playing at a slightly less elevated tempo , which will effect the total projected score to be much lower than the linesmakers expect. With the Wizards John Wall still out the flow of the home side will also being effected, as has been the case of late as the Wizards have been unable to produce more than 95 points 3 straight games. I know the Hornets will come at the wounded Wizards hard, but the visitors have not been very good on the road this season going just 4-10 overall away from home, and have proven they are less than capable of controlling pace in most of their games on the road. The Wizards are 0-16 UNDER off a home game when they are off two games in which they held their opponent to 10+ less than they usually allow and it is before the All-Star break with no combined score exceeding 219 point plateau with the average combined score clicking in at 192.6 ppg. Under is 4-0 in Wizards last 4 vs. Eastern Conference. WASHINGTON is 13-4 UNDER in home games after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 203.9 ppg scored. Play UNDER |
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12-29-18 | Montana v. Northern Arizona +12 | 86-73 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 1 m | Show | |
The NAU Lumberjacks played eight of their 10 non-conference games on the road and will be playing their first game in seven days following an eight-day, three-game road trip , but now well rested are fresh enough to make this a closer game the linesmakers are estimating vs a good but over rated Montana side. I know the Lumberjacks are on a losing streak, but in the recent past N ARIZONA has proven resilient in their ability to be competitive when in a slump as is evident by their 8-1 ATS record after 5 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.Murphy is 32-16 ATS versus teams who average 33 or less rebounds/game on the season as the coach of N ARIZONA. CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (N ARIZONA) - after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games, terrible team, winning 20% or less of their games on the season 131-77 L/21 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play on N.Arizona to cover |
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12-29-18 | Kentucky v. Louisville +3 | 71-58 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 57 m | Show | |
Instate rivals Kentucky and Louisville meet at the KFC Yum! Center where the Cardinals will be hell bent on getting revenge for a 90-61 behind the shed spanking in Lexington last season.The Cards new head COACH Chris Mack formerly at Xavier was a strong underdog in non- division matches cashing 27 of 38 times . With the Cards playing their best hoops at home where they are 8-0 SU this season Im betting on them being extremely competitive here and if they lose they will still cover. KENTUCKY is 1-8 ATS in road games after scoring 75 points or more 4 straight games over the last 3 seasons.LOUISVILLE is 8-1 ATS in home games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 3 seasons CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (KENTUCKY) - in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 8+ PPG, after scoring 80 points or more 3 straight games are 33-76 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Louisville to cover |
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12-29-18 | Xavier +1.5 v. DePaul | 74-65 | Win | 100 | 4 h 30 m | Show | |
Xavier (8-5 ) has owned this series of late and has won eight straight over the Blue Demons and wins in 11 of the last 12 meetings. XU is 10-1 vs. DePaul (8-3) since the two teams became BIG EAST rivals in the 2013-14 season and Im betting they have the edge again here tonight according to my power rankings and system vs system matchup stats. Note:The Musketeers are 4-1 in BIG EAST Conference openers. XAVIER is 11-2 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 2 seasons.DEPAUL is 73-101 ATS in home games against conference opponents since 1997. Play on Xavier to cover |
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12-29-18 | Morehead State +16 v. Missouri | 61-75 | Win | 100 | 3 h 18 m | Show | |
According to my power ranking estimations Missouri should only be 13 point favs here, thus giving 1 possession value with Morehead State. I know Missouri (8-3) has won five straight , however Morehead state coach Spradlin is familiar with SEC basketball having spent five seasons on head coach John Calipari's staff at Kentucky and will Im betting devise a game plan to keep his team competitive here. Note:Morehead State ranks second in the Ohio Valley Conference in offensive rebounds. The Eagles pull down 13.1 boards off the offensive glass, and the Eagles also rank second in offensive rebounding percentage at .327. This is key to them keeping Missouri honest today and giving us an edge on the line. Play on Morehead State to cover |
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12-29-18 | Butler +4.5 v. Florida | 43-77 | Loss | -109 | 2 h 28 m | Show | |
A gritty defensive performance buoyed Butler to a 61-54 win over Florida Nov. 23 in the final contest of the 2018 Battle 4 Atlantis on Paradise Island, Bahamas, which proved to me how well Butler matches up vs Florida. Only two of Butler's 12 opponents this season have scored more than 70 points as the Bulldogs' defense is allowing only 63.5 points per game on average, which is the stingiest mark in the BIG EAST and Top 35 nationally. Butler has now covered 4 straight in this series and Im betting that their tough defence will get them the cover again. Play on Butler to cover |
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12-28-18 | UC-Davis +8.5 v. Loyola Marymount | 59-77 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
My own projections estimate that this line is bloated and that we have value with the visitor here. Loyola Marymount is off to fast start and looking good but this UC Davis side has a top tier championship coach on the sidelines and will not allow his team to be easily intimidated. Lions are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.Aggies are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Aggies are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Aggies are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games.Aggies are 20-9-1 ATS in their last 30 games following a straight up loss.Les is 11-2 ATS after 3 straight games with 31 or less rebounds as the coach of CAL DAVIS. LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 44-70 ATS as a home favorite or pick since 1997 with the average point differential over that 114 game sample size clicking in at 3.1 ppg. HC Dunlap is 0-8 ATS in home games versus poor passing teams, averaging 12 or less assists/game as the coach of LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT and he is 9-20 ATS as a home favorite or pick as the coach of LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT. Play on UC Davis to cover |
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12-28-18 | Spurs v. Nuggets -4 | 99-102 | Loss | -101 | 15 h 32 m | Show | |
This will be the Spurs fourth game in a week, with their last game coming on Dec 26th in San Antonio when they beat this same Nuggets group 110-103. Now the Nuggets wth revenge on board and on fresher legs playing only their second game in 6 days, and 3rd in 10 days, look to have an edge here in the thin air of the Mile High City especially as the game goes into the 2nd half. DENVER is 16-2 ATS after 1 or more consecutive unders this season.DENVER is 12-4 ATS in home games this season. SAN ANTONIO is 9-24 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.SAN ANTONIO is 4-13 ATS in a road game where the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 2 seasons. Popovich is 10-22 ATS in road games after 4 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less as the coach of SAN ANTONIO. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 45-16 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SAN ANTONIO) - good shooting team - shooting 46% or more on the season, after 4 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less are 4-22 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (DENVER) - off a road loss, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 23-2 SU L/3 seasons for a 92% conversion rate going back father these teams are 49-5 SU 91% going back 5 seasons with the average point differential clicking in at 10.9 ppg. Also Home favorites vs. the money line (DENVER) - off a road loss, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 47-3 L/5 seasons for a 94% conversion rate with a point differential of 12 ppg. Play on Denver Nuggets to cover |
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12-28-18 | Mavs +5 v. Pelicans | 112-114 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
Im not a big fan of New Orleans HC Gentry and when he goes against a top tier coach like Randy Carlisle I look for variables that make fading Gentry a viable investment wagering opportunity. Currently the Pelicans are not performing well, as Super Star Anthony Davis is banged up and not operating at 100% efficiency. Anthony has also said, that hes not committed to the Pelicans in the longterm no matter how much money he gets, and trade is now on the table and also a distraction. That kind of thing in itself has a negative energy sucking effect on a team. With that said, look for the Mavs to be competitive here tonight and get us the cover. DALLAS is 31-18 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons. DALLAS is 22-11 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons. Carlisle is 106-82 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less as the coach of DALLAS. NEW ORLEANS is 0-8 ATS off 2 or more consecutive road losses this season. NEW ORLEANS is 3-15 ATS after playing a road game this season.NEW ORLEANS is 1-10 ATS (after 2 or more consecutive losses this season. Play on Dallas to cover |
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12-28-18 | Hawks +9.5 v. Wolves | 123-120 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show | |
Minnesota is coming off a DD win last time out vs Chicago , and for whatever reason, its seems HC Thibodeau, cannot inspire his troops to fire on all cylinders in consecutive tilts as he is just 8-22 ATS in home games after a blowout win by 20 points or more in all games he has coached since 1996 and during that lifetime 30 game sample size the point differential click ins in at at just 2.1 ppg. Meanwhile, the young Atlanta Hawks desoite of still being inconsistent, are showing some flashes of brilliance, and have won 3 of heir L/4 SU and been mostly competitive on the road covering 3 of their L/5 as visitors. Timberwolves are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. NBA Southeast.Underdog is 5-0-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. NBA Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ATLANTA) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in December games are 43-20 ATS L/5 seasons. Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover |
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12-28-18 | Louisiana-Monroe v. LSU UNDER 143 | 69-81 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
All my in and non conference totals selections use a long standing system, that takes into consideration , system vs system, scoring projections . Of course injury reports can alter the totals projections as can other variables, but no stone is left unturned to make sure the estimations are used in proper contexts. . Every offensive output option and various defensive strengths of each team are weighed in the overall process of making these investment decisions. Play UNDER |