Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03-19-21 | Mavs -3 v. Blazers | 119-125 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 28 m | Show | |
Portland played last night and are now on tired legs as they play their 5th game in 7 nights, and are susceptible to a down effort vs a Dallas side that matches up well against them according to my power rankings and projections. According to SRS ratings the Mavs rank 11th in the league with a 1.10 SRS vs the Blazers who rank 22nd and 0.94 mark. i.e ( Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average) Mavericks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite.Mavericks are 27-13-1 ATS in their last 41 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Mavericks are 21-9 ATS in the last 30 meetings. Mavericks are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Portland. NBA Favorites vs. the money line (DALLAS) - after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are 41-2 L/5 seasons for a 95% conversion rate for bettors with the average ppg diff clicking in at +12.3 ppg. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PORTLAND) - poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of 46% or more on the season, after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher are 13-37 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate. Play on Dallas to cover |
|||||||
03-19-21 | Winthrop v. Villanova -6.5 | 63-73 | Win | 100 | 99 h 37 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
03-19-21 | Jazz v. Raptors +5.5 | 115-112 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
HC Nick Nurse and the Raptors are finally getting completely healthy heading into this contest vs the Jazz. Its been the Raptors problems with covid protocols that has derailed some of their previous positive momentum . However, now well rested and the Raptors should prove to be a formidable opponent for a Utah side that after being red hot have now lost 4 of their L/7 overall and looking very mortal. Jazz are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite. Raptors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Nurse is 17-4 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games as the coach of TORONTO.Toronto is 4-0 SU/ATS L/4 meetings in this series. Play on Toronto to cover |
|||||||
03-19-21 | Nets v. Magic OVER 224.5 | 113-121 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
Brooklyn is 14-1 in its past 15 games and has won a franchise-record eight straight road games and six straight overall and are are 12-0 OVER L/12 as a road favorite eclipsing the the total by more than 19 ppg. Im betting on them continuing to run and gun in this spot vs a Orlando side on tired legs after playing last night . I know the Magic scored just 93 points last night in a one point loss to the Knicks, but now with very little left to lose after suffering their 9th straight ,loss Im betting we see a fairly wide open affair, as the Magic go into tank mode. Note: Orlando is also getting healthier and are expected to have Fournier , back in the lineup. BROOKLYN is 8-1 OVER in road games versus struggling defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game this season with a combined average of 251.7 ppg scored.BROOKLYN is 9-1 OVER in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season with a combined average of 248.7 ppg scored.BROOKLYN is 15-2 OVER versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season with a combined average of 241.1 ppg scored. Play OVER |
|||||||
03-19-21 | Jazz v. Raptors UNDER 231 | 115-112 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
Toronto has done well against the Jazz recently winning 4 straight meetings and must than be noted that the Jazz are 0-12-2 UNDER as a road favorite when they lost at least their last two meetings against this opponent.TORONTO is 24-10 UNDER versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with the average score fo those tilts ringing in at 212.7 ppg. My projections also estimate a total closer to 227 which is more than a full possession edge. Play on the UNDER |
|||||||
03-19-21 | North Texas +7.5 v. Purdue | 78-69 | Win | 100 | 96 h 4 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
03-19-21 | Wisconsin +1.5 v. North Carolina | 85-62 | Win | 100 | 84 h 6 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
03-19-21 | Buffalo v. Colorado State UNDER 154 | 73-75 | Win | 100 | 37 h 29 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
03-19-21 | Liberty v. Oklahoma State -7 | 60-69 | Win | 100 | 95 h 15 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
03-19-21 | Oregon State v. Tennessee -7.5 | 70-56 | Loss | -110 | 93 h 10 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
03-19-21 | Georgia Tech v. Loyola-Chicago -2 | 60-71 | Win | 100 | 93 h 56 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
03-19-21 | Oral Roberts v. Ohio State UNDER 157 | 75-72 | Win | 100 | 33 h 29 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
03-19-21 | Utah State +5 v. Texas Tech | 53-65 | Loss | -110 | 90 h 26 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
03-19-21 | Drexel +23 v. Illinois | 49-78 | Loss | -116 | 90 h 56 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
03-19-21 | Colgate +9 v. Arkansas | 68-85 | Loss | -110 | 89 h 26 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
03-19-21 | Colgate v. Arkansas UNDER 161.5 | 68-85 | Win | 100 | 31 h 15 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
03-18-21 | UCLA +2 v. Michigan State | 86-80 | Win | 100 | 75 h 1 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
03-18-21 | Pelicans +1 v. Blazers | 93-101 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 17 m | Show | |
The Blazers took Tuesdays nights tilt by 1 point, and now Im betting on the Pelicans regrouping and getting the Portland split. Pelicans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. Trail Blazers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall. NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW ORLEANS) - up-tempo team averaging 83 or more shots/game on the season against opponent after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher are 40-14 L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. PORTLAND is 12-23 ATS in home games versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game over the last 2 seasons NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PORTLAND) - after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher are 16-41 L/5 seasons for a 72% go against conversion rate for bettors, Play on New Orleans to cover |
|||||||
03-18-21 | SMU v. Boise State UNDER 146 | 84-85 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 12 m | Show | |
03-18-21 | Thunder v. Hawks UNDER 226 | 93-116 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
Atlanta has won 7 straight with alot of that success attributed to much better defensive performances, allowing 107, 82, 106 scores in their L/3 efforts . Im betting on the Hawks D to continue to improve vs a Oklahoma City side, that ranks 26th in ppg offence in the league. With that said, Im betting on this combined score failing to eclipse the total. The Thunder are 0-12 UNDER L/12 off a game as a dog in which they had more turnovers than assists. OKLAHOMA CITY is 30-18 UNDER when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons.OKLAHOMA CITY is 19-7 UNDER L/26 in road games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. ATLANTA is 12-3 UNDER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. Play UNDER |
|||||||
03-18-21 | Drake +2 v. Wichita State | 53-52 | Win | 100 | 71 h 9 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
|||||||
03-17-21 | Heat v. Grizzlies +1 | 85-89 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
The Grizzlies will be primed to take down the red hot Miami Heat here tonight at home and get my support.The Heat are 0-13 ATS L/13 as a road favorite off a win where they allowed 50-plus points in the paint including 7 straight SU losses. MIAMI is 4-13 ATS after a blowout win by 15 points or more over the last 2 seasons which was the case last time out. Play on the Grizzlies to win |
|||||||
03-17-21 | Bucks v. 76ers UNDER 236.5 | 109-105 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show | |
These two top tier teams will test each other here this evening a what could be a dress rehearsal for a play off matchup. With that said, Im betting a on hard fought physical affair that stays on the low side of the number. PHILADELPHIA is 31-17 UNDER when playing 4 or less games in 10 days over the last 3 seasons. MILWAUKEE is 28-15 UNDER off a road win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE/PHILADELPHIA ) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 23-3 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 89% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (MILWAUKEE/PHILADELPHIA) - after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 34-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. Play UNDER |
|||||||
03-17-21 | Bucks v. 76ers +6 | 109-105 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
The Sixers are riding a season-best, six-game winning streak entering their matchup with the visiting Milwaukee Bucks on Wednesday, and in their current form will not easily be disposed of making getting points a viable wagering opportunity. MILWAUKEE is 7-22 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 46% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 9-1 ATS in home games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. NBA Home teams vs. the money line (PHILADELPHIA) - off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, extremely tired team - playing their 5th game in 7 days are 33-4 L/24 seasons for a 89% conversion rate. Play on the 76ers to cover |
|||||||
03-17-21 | Raptors v. Pistons +3.5 | 112-116 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
The banged up Raptors have lost 4 straight, and considering their current form , and knowing nothing comes easy to them right now , it will be an easy decision to take the points with the home side,. DETROIT is 17-8 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season. DETROIT is 9-1 ATS off a home loss this season. TORONTO is 3-11 ATS on the road when the line is +3 to -3 this season. NBA Road teams vs. the money line (TORONTO) - off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more, playing with 2 days rest are 8-35 L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Detroit to cover |
|||||||
03-17-21 | Toledo v. Richmond UNDER 154.5 | 66-76 | Win | 100 | 36 h 58 m | Show | |
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |