Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-15-24 | Portland +6.5 v. San Diego | Top | 66-71 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
10* Portland (WEST COAST GOY) Here's a great situational play, and while we'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, everything points to the visitors taking this one "right down to the wire." Portland is 9-17, including 2-9 on the road, while San Diego is 15-11, including 10-5 at home. The Torreros have won three straight. They've covered in six straight. The general betting public is clearly very quick to back the home side here, but we'll go full on contrarian and go the other way. And with Santa Clara coming to town next, not only is this a potential letdown spot, but perhaps also a "look ahead" position as well. And when you add those two factors together you get "trap game!" Portland plays with revenge as well after an 85-81 home loss to San Diego on January 23rd. In what we anticpate will be a similar competitive battle, we're grabbing the points; the play is Portland! AAA Sports |
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02-14-24 | Spurs +11 v. Mavs | Top | 93-116 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
10* Spurs (REVENGE ASSASSIN) We think the Spurs will hang around late and make this one interesting. San Antonio just snapped a lengthy slide with a 122-99 win at Toronto and we think it'll keep that confidence and momentum rolling here. They play with revenge after a 144-119 loss here on December 23rd, and note that the Spurs are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. an opponent. Dallas has won five straight, but with the All-Star break right after this, we say the home side takes the foot off the gas in the second half and gets caught "looking ahead," grab the points, the play is San Antonio! AAA Sports |
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02-14-24 | Presbyterian +10.5 v. North Carolina-Asheville | Top | 69-71 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
10* Presbyterian (BIG SOUTH GOY) We base our picks on many different things. Many different methodologies are employed daily. This particular one is an unreal "situational" play in our opinion. Presbyterian is 12-14, including just 4-7 on the road, while UNC Asheville is 17-9, including 10-1 at home. The Blue Hose though have quietly been playing their best basketball of the season, and we expect that momentum to get carried over here another game, having won three of their last four and covered in four straight! They play with revenge as well after falling 84-80 at home to UNC Asheville back on January 6th, and note that the Hose are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge a conference home loss vs. an opponent. No outright, but much closer than expected; grab the points, the play is indeed on Presbyterian! AAA Sports |
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02-13-24 | Air Force +3.5 v. San Jose State | Top | 66-73 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 33 m | Show |
10* Air Force (TOP CONTRARIAN) While we clearly feel the outright win is possible, in the end our official call here will be to grab as many points as you can between these evenly matched sides. This is one of, if not the biggest contrarian play on the board with nearly 80% of the early public money on the home side. That raises red flags for us here, as we do definitely feel that SJSU is overvalued in this spot. Air Force has been competitive on the road this year as evidenced by its 5-4 ATS road record. In comparison, the Trojans are 4-6 ATS at home. SJSU won this game 70-67 as a 1.5-point dog on the road last month, and now the visitors have a chance for some sweet redemption. As stated off the top, the outright is clearly possible, but in the end let's grab the points with the revenge-minded visitors; the play is indeed on Air Force! AAA Sports |
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02-13-24 | Heat +8.5 v. Bucks | Top | 123-97 | Win | 100 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
10* Heat (ASSASSIN) Milwaukee is 35-19, including 23-6 at home, while Miami is 28-25 overall, including 13-12 on the road. With nearly 75% of the early public money on the home side, we're going full on contrarian here for sure and going the other way. The Bucks are off B2B quality victories, including a 112-95 win here just last night vs. the defending champs, and all signs point to a predictable letdown here in the second game of the B2B scenario in our opinion. Note as well that Milwaukee is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten off a SU/ATS home victory in which it held its opponent to 95 or fewer points in as well. The Heat play with revenge as well after a 131-124 SU/ATS home loss back in November, and note that Miami is a solid 3-1 ATS in its last four in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as an underdog vs. an opponent. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is Miami! AAA Sports |
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02-11-24 | Celtics v. Heat +6 | Top | 110-106 | Win | 100 | 5 h 31 m | Show |
10* Heat (ASSASSIN) The Heat are on fire right now and we think they have a legit shot at winning this game outright afte rwinning four of their last five. They play with revenge as well after a humbling 143-110 loss here at home to Boston a couple weeks ago as 8.5-point dogs, and note that the Heat are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a dog vs. an opponent. Boston has won three straight, but with a home and home set with the Nets upcoming, we think they also get caught looking ahead here; grab the points, the play is Miami! AAA Sports |
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02-11-24 | UAB v. Tulsa +3.5 | Top | 70-63 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 4 m | Show |
10* Tulsa (SUPERBOWL BANKROLL BUILDER) While we do think an outright win is possible, in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can here. UAB is 15-8, but only 4-4 on the road. With nearly 75% of the early public money on the Blazers, we're definitely going full on contrarian here. UAB is probably the better overall team here vs. 12-10 Tulsa, but note that the Golden Hurricane are 11-3 at home. Tulsa comes in under the radar here after back-to-back losses, but super hungry to get untracked and we think this is the perfect opponent to do that against, as the Blazers have struggled at times on the road already this season. UAB is off a tough 76-73 OT win over FAU as a 5.5-point dog, and note that the Blazers are in fact just 1-4 ATS in their last five off a SU/ATS conference win as a dog. Grab the points, the play is indeed on Tulsa! AAA Sports |
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02-10-24 | USC +2.5 v. Stanford | Top | 68-99 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 33 m | Show |
10* USC (BAIL-OUT) While clearly the outright win isn't out of the question, in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can in this one. With nearly 65% of the early public money on the home side, we're pulling a full on contrarian here. USC is 9-14 overall, including just 1-7 on the road, while Stanford is 11-11 overall, and 8-4 at home. The Trojans are off an 83-77 OT loss at Cal, but beat Stanford 93-79 the last time these teams faced off. The Cardinal have lost two straight, including an 82-74 setback here to UCLA as 4.5-point favorites last time out. The home side is the one overvalued here, as we expect the hungry Trojans to pull off the minor upset here on the road in what we feel is a very favorable matchup for them; grab the points, the play is USC! AAA Sports |
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02-10-24 | Spurs +5.5 v. Nets | Top | 103-123 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
10* Spurs (TOP CONTRARIAN) Outright win?! Anything is possible, but in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as possible. The Spurs are terrible obviously. They're off a 127-111 loss at Orlando. That's three straight ATS setbacks, but note that San Antonio is in fact 7-3 ATS in its last ten after three or more ATS losses in a row. Brooklyn is off three straight SU/ATS losses as well, most recently falling 118-95 to the Cavaliers. This is a game that the Spurs can legit win outright, but in a contest that we see being decided by whichever of these hungry sides has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is San Antonio! AAA Sports |
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02-10-24 | NC State +8 v. Wake Forest | Top | 79-83 | Win | 100 | 7 h 52 m | Show |
10* NC State (ACC GOM) While we're stopping short in calling for the outright victory, all signs point to a much tighter battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe in our opionion. Wake Forest is 15-7, but 12-0 at home. It's now overvalued here though in our opinion. NC State is 15-8, but only 3-3 on the road. NC State beat Wake 83-76 at home in mid January and we're expecting another "nail-biter" here; grab the points, the play is NC State! AAA Sports |
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02-09-24 | San Diego State +2.5 v. Nevada | Top | 66-70 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
10* SDSU (TOP CONTRARIAN) With nearly 70% of the early public money on Nevada, this one is simple for us here on Friday night, as this opportunity falls directly into our "wheelhouse." Both teams are 18-5 and in a contest that we see being decided by whichever of these hungry and talented sides has its hands on the ball last, we're going to recommend to grab as many points as you can. SDSU beat Nevada 71-59 at home in mid-January and this is simply a terrible matchup for the Wolfpack. Consider "sprinkling" a little on the ML, but the official call is to indeed grab as many points as you can with SDSU! AAA Sports |
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02-09-24 | Hawks v. 76ers +3.5 | Top | 127-121 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
10* 76ers (SHOCKER) The 76ers continue to try and adjust to life without star center Joel Embiid, but this particular matchup now definitely favors Philly in our opinion. The Hawks are just 10-15 on the road, while the 76ers are 17-9 at home. Atlatna is off two straight losses and with a home game vs. lowly Houston tomorrow, we believe the visitors get caught "looking ahead." Philly plays with revenge after a 139-132 OT loss as a favorite on the road back in January to the Hawks, and note that the 76ers are in fact a wallet-expanding 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. While we think the outright victory is possible, in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can with Philadelphia! AAA Sports |
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02-08-24 | Nuggets v. Lakers +3.5 | Top | 114-106 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 27 m | Show |
10* Lakers (ASSASSIN) With nearly 75% of the early public money on the visitors, we'll go full on contrarian here and go the other way with the hungry home side. Denver is 35-16, but a much more pedestrian 14-12 on the road. The Lakers are 28-25 overall, but 18-8 at home. LA returns home from a 4-2 road trip, including winning three straight to close out. With two days rest and playing with revenge after a 119-107 road loss in Denver at the start of the year, we love the way this one sets up for the revenge-minded home side. Denver is off two straight home wins over lowly Portland, but its last road excursion resulted in a 105-100 loss at OKC. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is indeed on LA! AAA Sports |
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02-08-24 | Drexel +3.5 v. NC-Wilmington | Top | 56-75 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
10* Drexel (CAA DOG OF MONTH) Drexel is 15-8, but just 5-7 on the road, while UNC Wilmington is 16-6 overall, including a perfect 7-0 at home. The Seahawks managed a win last time out in a 77-74 victory over Campbell, but didn't even come close to covering the large 14-point spread. And now here they are having to cover another number which we feel is definitely too large as well. Drexel is 1-2 SU in its last three and 0-3 ATS, but note that the Dragons are in fact 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more ATS losses in a row. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever of these evenly-matched sides has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points with Drexel! AAA Sports |
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02-07-24 | Cavs v. Wizards +11.5 | Top | 114-106 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
10* Wizards (REVENGE TOP) Outright win?! We're not calling for that, but all signs do indeed point to contest being much more competitive than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe in our opinion. The Cavaliers are 32-16, including 14-8 on the road, while Washington is 9-40, including just 3-21 at home. the Cavaliers have won six straight, but with a game at Brooklyn tomorrow night, we expect the visitors to take the foot off the gas in the second half. And the revenge-minded Wiz, who fell 114-90 at Cleveland in January, will look to take advantage. Note that Washington is 7-3 (70%) ATS in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent in which it was held to 95 or fewer points in. A great situational play here on Washington! AAA Sports |
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02-07-24 | Wisconsin v. Michigan +5.5 | Top | 68-72 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
10* Michigan (BIG TEN GOM) Neither team has been playing great of late, but we think there are enough factors working in favor of the Wolverines here to pull off the cover at home here on Wednesday night. The Badgers are the better team for sure in this battle overall, but Wisconsin is playing poorly right now. It's 16-6 overall, but it's just 3-4 on the road. It's coming off back-to-back losses and now will have its hands full with this 7-15 Michigan side that's 4-7 at home after a 69-59 home loss to Rutgers last time out. That's five straight straight-up and against the spread losses for the Wolverines, but that's significant to note because Michigan has in fact responded really well in this spot for bettors by going 7-2 against the spread in its last nine after five or more straight up and against the spread losses in a row. The Wolverines have a good offense still and we think that'll be a difference maker in this one as Michigan enters averaging 77 points per game. Wisconsin is decent defensively, allowing just 67.8 points per game, but as outlined at the start, this Badgers team isn't nearly as good on the road as at home. And that's going to be the case here we think as well facing this hungry and motivated home side. One other thing which swings the pendulum in Michigan's favor here is that the Wolverines for sure benefit from having their dynamic sophomore point guard Dug McDaniel available for this game. McDaniel is serving a six-game road suspension for academic problems and he's the Wolverines' leading scorer at 16.8 PPG. This one has all the makings of a "nail biter;" grab the points, the play is indeed on the Wolverines! AAA Sports |
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02-04-24 | Stanford v. Arizona -17 | Top | 71-82 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
10* Arizona (ATS BLOOD-BATH) We're expecting Arizona to not only win this game, but to do so in blowout fashion, keeping the foot on the gas from start to finish. Stanford is 11-9, including 3-3 on the road, while Arizona is 16-5, including 11-0 at home. This is a third straight game for the Cardinal. They're off a 71-62 win at Arizona State, but with upcoming home games vs. UCLA and USC, this one sets up as a classic "look ahead" spot for the overmatched visiting side. Basically we're expecting the visitors to send up the white flag early, as they get prepared for back-to-back important home games. Arizona somehow lost to Stanford as well 100-82 as a 12.5-point favorite on December 31st, so the home side plays with the added incentive of revenge as well. Look for the Wildcats to shake off that New Year's hangover and at the same time, win and cover here tonight; lay the points, the play is indeed on Arizona! AAA Sports |
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02-04-24 | Clippers v. Heat +4.5 | Top | 103-95 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
10* Heat (ASSASSIN) The Clippers are a lot better this year than we thought they'd be at this point of the season. They're 32-15 overall, but just 13-11 on the road. They're 4-1 SU/ATS on their current road trip, but with a final road contest tomorrow in Atlanta, we're expecting the visitors to finally get caught "looking ahead." Miami comes in with momentum, off back-to-back wins and it plays with revenge as well after a 121-104 loss at LA on New Years day, and note that the Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. an opponent; grab the points, the play is indeed on Miami! AAA Sports |
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02-04-24 | Youngstown State v. IUPU Ft Wayne +5.5 | Top | 78-82 | Win | 100 | 5 h 49 m | Show |
10* Purdue Fort Wayne (HORIZON LEAGUE GOM) While we do feel an outright win is possible, in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can. Youngstown State is a fantastic 17-6 overall, but a much more pedestrian 6-5 away from friendly confines. PFW is 14-8 overall, but 8-3 at home. The Penguins enter complacent after four straight wins and seven straight covers. PFW though is looking to break a string of poor play, losing four of its last five, including a 68-65 loss here to Milwaukee as a 3.5-point favorite last time out. Note though that the Mastadons have responded well in this spot for bettors by going a near-perfect 4-1 ATS in their last five off a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points with Purdue Fort Wayne! AAA Sports |
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02-03-24 | Lakers +4.5 v. Knicks | Top | 113-105 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
10* Lakers (ASSASSIN) While we do feel an outright win is possible, in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can with the visiting side. LA is 26-25 now after its upset 114-105 road win as a 15-point dog last time out. LBJ and AD both sat that one out, but are expected to play here. LA plays with revenge as well after a 114-105 home loss to the Knicks back in December, and note that the Lakers are 3-1 ATS in their last four in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. After nine straight SU wins, the Knicks now have a big target on their backs. While we do feel an outright upset is a possibility, in the end we'll recommend to grab the points here with LA! AAA Sports |
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02-03-24 | Mississippi State +9 v. Alabama | Top | 67-99 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
10* Mississippi State (SEC GOY) While we're stopping short in calling for the outright victory, everything does indeed point to a much tighter contest here than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe in our opinion, so will therefore be recommending to grab as many points as you can. Mississippi State is 14-6, while Alabama is 15-6. Alabama had to rally for its last win over Georgia, eventually pulling away for the 85-76 victory, but we feel that the Tide are now overvalued in this particular matchup. The Bulldogs on the other hand are hungry for an outright road win to help booster their NCAA chances. They're also hungry to atone for an 86-82 loss to Ole Miss, uncharacteristically turning the ball over 15 times, which was unfortunate, as it canceled out an overall sharp 53.6 percent collective field goal shooting effort. The visitors also play with revenge after falling 82-74 at home to Alabama back in January. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is indeed on Mississippi State! AAA Sports |
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02-03-24 | Navy +11.5 v. Colgate | Top | 64-88 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 43 m | Show |
10* Navy (PATRIOT LEAGUE GOM) The bottom line here is that we love the way this one sets up for the visiting side. Navy is 8-12, including only 1-9 on the road. The Midshipmen come in "under the radar," but they won't be rolling over. Colgate is 14-8, including 7-2 at home, but after five straight SU/ATS victories in a row, we're expecting a small letdown here from the home side (and note that the Raiders are in fact just 3-7 ATS in their last ten after five or more SU/ATS wins in a row.) With back-to-back road games upcoming, expect the home side to take the foot off the gas in the second half and then look for the hungry visitors to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch; grab the points, the play is indeed on Navy! AAA Sports |
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02-02-24 | Siena +11.5 v. Rider | Top | 50-91 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
10* Sienna (MAAC GOY) While we're not calling for an outright win or anything, we do definitely feel that all the factors are in place for Sienna to keep this one a lot more competitive than what this spread is suggesting. The Saints, 3-17 overall, including 1-8 on the road, obviously come in "under the radar" here. Sienna is off four straight SU losses and three straight ATS losses, but note that the Saints are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more ATS losses in a row. Sienna won this game 67-65 as a 3.5-point dog at home on December 1st, and we're fully expecting another competitive battle here on the road. Rider is 4-3 at home, but the Broncs are just 7-13 overall. After back-to-back road wins/covers, we're expecting the home side to come in a bit complacent here and get caught "looking past" its lowly opponent. The numbers and the overall situation point to a very tight battle here between these conference opponents; grab the points, the play is indeed on the Saints! AAA Sports |
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02-01-24 | Pacers +3.5 v. Knicks | Top | 105-109 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
10* Pacers (EAST-CONF GOM) Here's a great situational play on Indiana. The Pacers are 27-22 overall. They're off a 129-124 road loss at Boston, covering with the eight-point spread. We're expecting another spirited effort on the road here as well in the Big Apple. Indiana beat New York 140-126 at home back on December 30th. But it's the Knicks that come in overvalued here by the oddsmakers in our estimation after eight straight SU wins and six straight ATS victories. With the Lakers coming to town next, we believe the home side also gets caught "looking ahead." Grab the points, the play is indeed on Indiana! AAA Sports |
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01-31-24 | Alabama v. Georgia +6 | Top | 85-76 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
10* Georgia (SEC GOW) Alabama is coming off two straight wins, including beating LSU 109-88 most recently. But both games were at home and the Tide are just 2-2 in true road games this season. Alabama has won eight of its last nine and it's back in the AP Top 25 poll for the first time since late November, but we think the Tide will have their hands full here against 14-6 Georgia, which is looking to bounce back after a 102-98 overtime loss to Floria on Saturday. But despite the setback the Bulldogs have been hot overall, winning 12 of their past 15. Last year the Bulldogs were humbled in this game falling 108-59, so they won't be forgetting that loss obviously. Georgia has been money in the bank at home this year, as so far it's 11-1 in front of the home town crowd. Everything is in place for an outright upset here, so you may want to consider "sprinkling a little" on the money line. That said, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can with Georgia! AAA Sports |
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01-29-24 | Houston v. Texas +5 | Top | 76-72 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
10* Texas (BIG 12 GOW) We love how this one sets up for Texas from a "situational" stand point. Houston is 18-2, but just 2-2 on the road. Texas is 14-6, including 10-2 at home. Houston is coming off four straight wins, including a 74-52 victory over K-State last time out. Note though that the Cougars are just 3-7 ATS in their last ten off a SU/ATS home win in which they held their opponent to 55 or fewer points in. Texas beat Oklahoma 75-60 as a 4.5-point dog, then fell 84-72 at BYU as a 7.5-point dog in its most recent action. Now back at home though, the Longhorns do in fact match up well with their opponent here. Houston has a big target on its back and Texas won't be rolling over here. While I do think an outright is very possible, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can with the Longhorns! AAA Sports |
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01-28-24 | Lions v. 49ers -7 | Top | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 99 h 5 m | Show |
10* 49ers (BLOCKBUSTER) It's been an unreal year for the Lions this season. We think that for the most part they've overachieved now to this point. But for the 49ers, they were fully expected to be here before the season started. As great as Jared Goff and Detroit has been at times this year, this is just a bad matchup for the Lions. This San Francisco defense is tailor-made for this type of offense. And the Lions have struggled to contain strong run games this year, which also plays directly into the home side's hands. We're not only expecting San Francisco to win this game, we're looking for it to do so in blowout fashion; lay the points, the play is indeed on San Francisco! AAA Sports |
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01-28-24 | Temple +7 v. East Carolina | Top | 64-70 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
10* Temple (UNDERDOG OF MONTH) Temple is 8-12 and ECU is 10-10. With nearly 75% of the early public money on the home side here, we're definitely going "contrarian" with this one. Temple though, off five straight SU/ATS losses, is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after five or more straight ATS/SU losses in a row. ECU snapped a three-game slide with a win at Witchita State last time out, but with USF coming to town next, this sets up as a "look ahead" position as well for the home side. These teams numbers/metrics are very similar and in a contest that we foresee coming down to whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're going to grab up the points; the play is indeed on Temple! AAA Sports |
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01-26-24 | Ohio +3 v. Kent State | Top | 71-64 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
10* Ohio (MAC GOY) With nearly 85% of the early public money on the home side in this one, we're going full on contrarian here and going the other way with this big play. Ohio is getting zero respect here from the oddsmakers because of its 0-5 SU/ATS road record. Kent is 10-9 overall, while Ohio is 9-10. The Golden Flashes are 5-4 SU at home, but just 2-5 ATS. These lop-sided trends are about to correct themselves here between these very evenly matched sides. Kent is off the 90-84 OT win at BGSU and is primed for a letdown here back at home. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is Ohio! AAA Sports |
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01-24-24 | Cavs v. Bucks -6.5 | Top | 116-126 | Win | 100 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
10* Bucks (ASSASSIN) The Bucks are 30-13 overall and have a 19-4 record at home, but they still decided to make a coaching change. Look for this to have an immediate effect on the players here on Wednesday night as they keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. Cleveland is 26-15, including 11-7 on the road, but after eight straight SU/ATS victories in a row, everything points to a letdown here finally in our opinion, which is the opener of two straight here between the clubs. Milwaukee plays with revenge after a humbling 135-95 loss at Cleveland on January 17th, and note that the Bucks are in fact 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss in which they were held to 95 or fewer points in vs. an opponent. Lay the points with confidence, the play is Milwaukee! AAA Sports |
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01-24-24 | Auburn v. Alabama -3.5 | Top | 75-79 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
10* Alabama (SEC GOW) Auburn is 16-2 and Alabama is 12-6. The Tigers are 5-0 in conference play and the Tide are 4-1. Alabama will be the hungrier team here though, as it was tied with Auburn atop the SEC standings before making the trip to Knoxville on Saturday to challenge then-No. 6 Tennessee (Alabama fell a game behind Auburn in the league race after the 91-71 loss.) "They were tougher and more physical than we were," remarked Alabama coach Nate Oats after. "We weren't ready for it. They played harder than we did. When you give up 23 points off turnovers and 17 second-chance points, you won't win many games. They dominated us in a lot of ways." But back at home here we think the Tide are going to bounce back. Look for Mark Sears to have a big game here as he's so far averaging 19.8 points per game this year and he had 22 in defeat last time out. It's a classic strength vs. strength matchup in this one, as KenPom has the Crimston Tide ranked No 1 in offensive efficiency rating, while Auburn is ranked as the sixth-most-efficient defense. The Tigers are great offensively as well, but after an 82-59 home rout of Ole Miss we just think they're going to have their hands full here in this difficult road venue; lay the short points, the play is indeed on Alabama! AAA Sports |
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01-23-24 | Air Force +11.5 v. UNLV | Top | 90-58 | Win | 100 | 14 h 53 m | Show |
10* Air Force (ASSASSIN) This one sets up well for the visitors. We're not calling for an outright upset or anything, but we definitely believe the stage is set for a much tighter battle than what this spread is suggesting. The Eagles are 7-10, while UNLV is 9-8. Air Force is just 3-3 on the road, while the Runnin Rebels are 6-2 at home. UNLV is coming off a 78-75 loss at Colorado State and we're anticipating a similar tight battle here as well. The Rebels have been inconsistent and we just feel this number is a few points higher than it really should be. As stated off the top, Air Force won't be pulling off any epic upsets or anything, but everything definitely points to a war until the final whistle; grab the points, the play is indeed on Air Force! AAA Sports |
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01-22-24 | Cincinnati +9.5 v. Kansas | Top | 69-74 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
10* Cincinnati (BIG 12 GOM) As primarily situational handicappers, this one falls right into our "wheel-house" so to speak. While the outright win isn't likely, we do definitely expect this one to be decidd in the final moments. Cincinnati is 13-5, while Kansas is 15-3. That includes 9-0 at home. It's no easy task obviously beating the Jayhawks on their own floor, but Cincinnati has responded really well in this spot for bettors by going 7-3 ATS in its last ten off a SU/ATS conference home loss as a favorite (fell 69-65 at home to Oklahoma as a 4-point fav.) Kansas actually suffered its second defeat in its last four games, falling 91-85 at WVU as a ten-point favorite last time out. And with a game at Iowa State up next, will the home side get caught looking ahead?! We say the conditions are right for a "battle until the end;" grab the points, the play is indeed on Cincinnati! AAA Sports |
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01-22-24 | Celtics v. Mavs +3 | Top | 119-110 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 18 m | Show |
10* Dallas (NON-CONF GOM) Here's a great situational play. After suffering their first home defeat to the Nuggets, Boston bounced back with a seven point win in Houston just last night, unable to cover the 11-point spread. Now they're being asked to cover another tough spread and we believe that fatigue will definitely be an issue here in the second game of the back-to-back scenario. The Mavericks look to regroup after a 127-110 loss to the Lakers on Wednesday. In a contest that we see Dallas having a legitimate shot at winning outright, our official call will be to grab as many points as you can with the home side! AAA Sports |
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01-21-24 | Nuggets v. Wizards +13.5 | Top | 113-104 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
10* Wizards (ATS BLOOD-BATH) Outright win? We're not calling for that. However, as primarily "situational" cappers, this one falls right into our "wheelhouse," as we think this is a "trap" game for Denver. The Nuggets just beat the Celtics 102-100 in Boston, snapping their 20-game home win streak. With upcoming road games at Indiana and New York, the visitors get caught "looking ahead" here. Washington has suffered three straight SU losses after last night's 131-127 setback to the Spurs, but note that the Wizards have in fact responded well in this spot for bettors by going 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more SU losses in a row; grab the points, the play is indeed on Washington! AAA Sports |
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01-21-24 | Bucs v. Lions -6.5 | Top | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 97 h 25 m | Show |
10* Lions (DIV. RND GOY) At this point of the season, the oddsmakers lines are sharper than ever. There's only a few games left and their entire attention can be put onto these lines. It gets tougher and tougher to find any true value at this point, but in our opinion the home field advantage simply can't be overlooked as a very real deciding factor in the outcome of this contest. Both starting QB's got huge monkeys off their backs, but we just don't trust this Bucs offense on the road. The Lions are sitting pretty and poised to move on to the Conference Championship game and we're FULLY expecting the home side to not only win this game, but to do so in blowout fashion; lay the points, the play is Detroit! AAA Sports |
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01-21-24 | Chattanooga v. East Tennessee State +1.5 | Top | 81-74 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 54 m | Show |
10* East Tennessee State (MID-MAJOR MAULING) While we clearly feel that the outright win is going to happen, our official call will still be to grab whatever amount of points you can with the hungry home side here. Chattanooga is 11-7 overall, but just 3-5 on the road. East Tennessee State is 9-9, including 6-1 at home. We can't understate how important we feel that the home floor advantage will prove to be in the end for the Buccaneers. The Bucs are off four straight losses and will be risking life and limb to snap the slide. Chattanooga is off the 74-60 win at Mercer, but we think it'll take a step back on the road here; grab the points, the play is East Tennessee State! AAA Sports |
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01-20-24 | Oilers v. Flames +1.5 | 3-1 | Loss | -178 | 13 h 22 m | Show | |
8* Flames puckline (DESTRUCTION) It's been a crazy ride for Edmonton fans this year. The team started off the season on one of its worst runs of all time, but now the Oilers enter this contest at 25-15-1-0 overall and as one of the hottest overall teams in the league. With a couple nights off after this before a string of favorable home games, we feel that their Provincial rival will step up and take advantage of this revenge-scenario. This is a trap for Edmonton. Calgary is 21-19 overall and it just had its four-game win streak snapped here in a tight 4-3 loss to Toronto. We expect a similar hard-fought contest here. The Flames do indeed play with revenge as well after a 5-2 loss at Edmonton at the start of the season; we're laying price with confidence for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance! AAA Sports |
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01-20-24 | Packers v. 49ers -9.5 | Top | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 80 h 40 m | Show |
10* 49ers (BLOCKBUSTER) Green Bay managed the huge upset win at Dallas, but we're fully expecting Jordan Love and the visitors to predictably stumble here. Love's numbers in all indoor games are just crazy, but he's very average whenever he plays outdoors. Love destroyed the Cowboys great defense, but now they face another really difficult test here on the road. Green Bay's defense was poor and its going to have its hands full here vs. this well-rested and explosive home side; lay the points, the play is San Francisco! AAA Sports |
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01-20-24 | Bucks -13 v. Pistons | Top | 141-135 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
10* Bucks (ASSASSIN) We expect Milwaukee to not only win this game, but to do so in blowout fashion. The Bucks are 28-13, but just 9-9 on the road. Detroit is 4-37, including only 2-18 at home. Milwaukee had its three-game win streak come to an end last time out in a 135-95 loss at Cleveland, but note that the Bucks are 7-3 ATS in their last ten off a SU/ATS road loss in which they were held to 95 or fewer points in. They're also 3-1 ATS in their last four after three or more straight ATS losses in a row. This is in fact the opener of two straight here between the clubs. Look for Milwaukee to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish and lay the points with confidence! AAA Sports |
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01-19-24 | Nuggets +6.5 v. Celtics | Top | 102-100 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
10* Nuggets (ASSASSIN) The defending champs would love nothing more than to give the Celtics, who are 20-0 at home this year, their first loss of the season in this building. Is that possible?! With Nikola Jokic on the court, of course anything is possible. That said, in a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're definitely advising everyone to grab as many points as you can in this one. The Nuggets are off a loss to Philly, but we expect their defense to be "on point" tonight and to keep them in this one late. And with nearly 65% of the early public money on the home side, the clincher for us is going the other way and being contrarian with this release; grab the points, the play is indeed on Denver! AAA Sports |
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01-18-24 | Thunder -3 v. Jazz | Top | 134-129 | Win | 100 | 13 h 12 m | Show |
10* Thunder (ASSASSIN) OKC is 27-13 overall, including 11-8 on the road, while Utah is 22-20 overall, and 15-5 at home. Utah is 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS in its last ten, but after three straight upsets at home, we're expecting Utah to finally come out a bit flat here. After this they hit the road for six straight, so it's a look-ahead spot as well. The Thunder though are off back-to-back SU/ATS losses and won't be taking anything for granted here. This is a great 'situational' play on Oklahoma City! AAA Sports |
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01-17-24 | Auburn v. Vanderbilt +11.5 | Top | 80-65 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 28 m | Show |
10* Vanderbilt (SEC GOM) No outright, but closer than expected in our opinion. This is a great situational play, as we're expecting 14-2 Auburn to get caught looking past its opponent to its home game vs. 15-1 Ole Miss. Auburn has won ten in a row, including three straight ATS, but note that the Tigers are just 3-7 ATS in their last ten after three or more straight ATS victories in a row. Vanderbilt is off three straight losses and comes in "under the radar" here at home in our opinion. Auburn is just 1-1 in true road games this year, so the Tigers have not been at their best away from friendly confines. Either way, this is WAY too many points to be giving up on the road in our estimation; grab the points, the play is Vandy! AAA Sports |
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01-17-24 | Red Wings +1.5 v. Panthers | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
10* Detroit PUCKLINE (BLOOD-BATH) Florida is the better team, but we think the undervalued underdog can keep it interesting and in a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extra time, we're going to suggest grabbing the visitors on the PUCKLINE option. Detroit is 22-16-5-0 overall, including 11-9-1-0 on the road. Florida is 27-13-2-1 overall and 13-6-1-0 at home. The Wings though are 14-7 on the puckline on the road, while the Panthers are just 7-13 on the puckline at home. Right away that tell us that the Wings have consistently been undervalued on the road this year and have been extremely competitive. Florida has looked susceptible of late as well; it beat LA 3-2 in overtime, but it's since lost two straight, falling 4-1 to New Jersey and then 5-4 in Overtime to the Ducks. Detroit is trending the other way; it lost 3-2 in overtime to Edmonton, but it's since bounced back with two straight victories, beating the Kings 5-3 and then a convincing 4-2 victory at Toronto as a +182 underdog. We're going to have a good old fashioned battle here in Florida on Wednesday night, and the best option we see is to grab the Wings on the PUCKLINE option! AAA Sports |
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01-15-24 | Lamar v. McNeese State -12 | Top | 69-88 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
10* McNeese State (SOUTHLAND GOY) This one sets up really well for the home side. We're expecting the 14-2 McNeese State Cowboys to not only win this game, but to do so in blowout fashion. The Cowboys have in fact dropped three straight ATS, but note that McNeese State has responded incredibly well for bettors in this spot by going 7-3 ATS in its last ten after three or more straight ATS losses in a row. The Cowboys actually lost this game 70-63 as ten-point favorites last time out, so there's no way their going to look past the 9-7 Lamar Cardinals this time around, especially with back-to-back road contests after this. Lamar has won four straight SU/ATS, including a 78-76 OT win at Nichols State as a 3.5-point dog last time out. Can anyone say "letdown" spot?! Look for the home side to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish and lay the points with confidence; the play is indeed on McNeese State! AAA Sports |
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01-14-24 | Rams +3 v. Lions | Top | 23-24 | Win | 100 | 76 h 44 m | Show |
10* Rams (WC GOY) There are a lot of story lines going on in this Wildcard game, but the bottom line is that we feel that this one will be decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, and in a case like that, we're grabbing the points. That said, Matt Stafford is in his old stomping grounds here and we like the Super Bowl winning QB to put on a show here. The Lions have been questionable on the defensive end since November, giving up 38, 26, 28, 29 and 28 points over their final five games. The only loss LA has had since Week 11 was an OT road affair to the #1 seed in the AFC. The Rams are 3-1 the L4 in this series and in our opinion their offense and defense are in fact superior here; grab the points, the play is LA! AAA Sports |
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01-14-24 | Kings +5.5 v. Bucks | Top | 142-143 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
10* Kings (ASSASSIN) While we do feel the outright in is a very real possibility, in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can in what we expect to be a very competitive affair. Milwaukee is 18-4 at home, but after B2B high-profile home victories over Boston and Golden State, and with a few days off after this before an extended road trip, everything points to this being a classic "trap" for the home side as it gets caught "looking ahead." This is a great situational play. Sacramento started off its road trip with two wins, but stumbled 112-93 last time out at Philadelphia a 1-point favorite. Note though that the Kings are 7-3 ATS in their last ten off a SU/ATS road loss in which they were held to 95 or fewer points in. Everything points to this one "coming down to wire," so let's grab the points with Sacramento! AAA Sports |
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01-13-24 | Lakers -1 v. Jazz | Top | 125-132 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
10* Lakers (ASSASSIN) Both teams are 20-20, but we love the way this one sets up for the visitors. LA's two-game win streak came to an end last time out in a 127-109 loss at home to Phoenix. Utah has won four straight, but after last night's big 145-113 home win over Toronto, we're expecting fatigue to be a major factor here. That's four straight upset wins for the Jazz, and alls signs point to a predictable letdown. Lay the short points, the play is the LA! AAA Sports |
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01-13-24 | Dolphins +4.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 7-26 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 8 m | Show |
10* Dolphins (BLOCKBUSTER) These teams are familiar with each other and in a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points. These teams met in Germany this season and KC won by a score of 21-14. Note that Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss vs. an opponnet. With the expected return of key players Jaylen Waddle and Raheem Mostert, we do in fact think that the Fish have a legitimate shot at winning this one outright. The Dolphins have had their fair share of adversity this season, but so to has Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs. With the cold temperatures playing a role in the outcome of this game and eliminating the crowd a lot in this one, we feel that the Chiefs' advantage diminishes in that department for sure. There's something "off" this year with Mahomes and the Chiefs. They looked REALLY bad at times this year. The Dolphins stumbled, but have all the pieces in place to pull off the outright; that said, let's grab the points with Miami! AAA Sports |
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01-13-24 | Northern Kentucky v. Detroit +10.5 | Top | 81-76 | Win | 100 | 4 h 21 m | Show |
10* Detroit Mercy (HORIZON LEAGUE GOM) Outright win? If so, it would be the 0-17 Detroit Mercy's first outright victory of the season. We don't see that happening, but we do definitely see the door being left wide open for the hungry home side to comfortably sneak in through down the stretch. With nearly 80% of the early public money on the favorite, we are definitely going full on contrarian here. NKU has lost two straight games in OT, but is still 3-0 ATS its last three. However, note that the Norse are just 1-4 ATS in their last five after three or more ATS victories in a row. With a home game vs. Milwaukee up next, we say the visitors take the foot off the gas down the stretch; grab the points, the play is Detroit! AAA Sports |
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01-12-24 | Kings v. 76ers -1 | Top | 93-112 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
10* 76ers (ASSASSIN) As primarily "situational" handicappers, this one falls right into our "wheelhouse." Sacramento is 10-7 on the road, while Philly is 13-6 at home. The Kings are off B2B road victories over Detroit and Charlotte, but note they face a determined 76ers side that's dropped three in a row SU/ATS. Note though that the 76ers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. It's an important three game stretch now for the 76ers, with Houston and Denver coming to town next. But with a game at Milwaukee upcoming, we also believe the visitors get caught "looking ahead." Lay the short points, the play is indeed on Philadelphia! AAA Sports |
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01-10-24 | Wizards +7.5 v. Pacers | Top | 104-112 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
10* Wizards (ASSASSIN) While we're stopping short in calling for the outright upset, everything points to a much tighter battle than what this spread is suggesting in our opinion. Indiana is 12-8 at home and it's won seven of its last eight. That includes an upset 133-131 win here at home over Boston last time out. With an upcoming six-game road trip after this starting at ATL, everything points to the home side getting caught "looking ahead" here as well. Letdown + lookahead = "trap game!" This is a trap for the Pacers. No such luxury for the Wizards though who have lost five straight (but that's signficicant for us as bettors to take note of, as Washington has in fact gone 7-3 ATS in its last ten after five or more straight SU losses in a row.) No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is indeed on Washington! AAA Sports |
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01-08-24 | Northeastern +3.5 v. Monmouth | Top | 62-81 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
10* Northeastern (CAA GOY) We love the way this one sets up for the visiting side, and while we obviously feel the outright win is a very real possibility, our official call will be to grab as many points as you can in a contest that we see likely being decided by whichever side has its hands on the ball last. Northeastern is 5-9 and Monmouth is 8-6. With nearly 85% of the early public money on the home side here, we're definitely going full-on contrarian for this one. The Huskies have faced some stiff competition this year and done well, including a 56-54 road setback at Virgina as a 16.5-point dog. Monmouth's numbers are a bit skewed here. Look for the hungry visting side to, at the very least, keep this one competitive enough to earn the ATS cover; grab the points, the play is indeed on Northeastern! AAA Sports |
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01-07-24 | Bills v. Dolphins +3 | Top | 21-14 | Loss | -118 | 27 h 8 m | Show |
10* Dolphins (AFC EAST GOM) Miami hammered the Jets 30-0 and then beat Dallas at home 22-20 on X-Mas Eve, but it fell flat last week in Baltimore, getting run over by a score of 56-19. The Dolphins not only look to atone for that setback, but they also play with the added incentive of revenge here after falling 48-20 at Buffalo on October 1st (and note that the Fish are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS divisional road loss vs. an opponent.) The Bills have won four straight, but we now finally predict that they'll come up short here in this difficult road venue. Miami is the more motivated team here on several different accounts and we expect it to hold on to the top spot in the AFC East; grab the points, the play is Miami! AAA Sports |
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01-07-24 | Maryland +2 v. Minnesota | Top | 62-65 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
10* Maryland (BIG TEN GOY) We think that the Terps have a legitimate shot at winning this game outright obviously, but our official call will be to grab as many points as you can. Maryland is 9-5, while Minnesota is 11-3. It's 10-1 at home, while the Terps are just 1-2 on the road. With nearly 75% of the early public money on the Gophers though, we're definitely going full on contrarian here and going the other way. Minnesota has won six straight. It's won eight straight ATS. Fans are now quick to back Minnesota, especially after its 73-71 upset win at Michigan as a 5.5-point dog last time out. But what most people won't bother taking note of here right now is that the Gophers are in fact just 3-7 ATS in their last ten off an upset SU/ATS conference road win as a dog. This is a great situational play in our opinion on the hungrier team, against a home side that's primed for a major mental letdown; grab the points, the play is Maryland! AAA Sports |
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01-06-24 | Texans v. Colts | Top | 23-19 | Win | 100 | 50 h 29 m | Show |
10* Texans (AFC GOW) Houston is 9-7 straight up and third in the AFC South, while Indianapolis is 9-7 as well and second in the AFC South after holding the tie-breaker with Houston when the Colts won 31-20 on the road at the start of the season back on September 17th. The winner gets into the playoffs and the loser goes home empty handed. This one is for ALL THE MARBLES! So where does the value lie here? The oddsmakers are at least trying their best to lead us to believe that these teams are evenly matched with a spread like this, and obviously, they really are. Their offensive and defensive numbers are similar and their win/loss records are identical. But all that said, we think this one sets up well for the Texans to exact a little revenge, as note that they're 3-1 against the spread in their last four in trying to avenge a straight up and against the spread divisional home loss vs. an opponent. The Texans have also won each of their last seven road games against AFC South opponents and they have covered the spread in each of their last seven games as road underdogs against AFC South opponents as well. The Colts on the other hand have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games at Lucas Oil Stadium following a home win. We're going with Houston to get the job done at the end of the night! AAA Sports |
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01-06-24 | Knicks v. Wizards +9 | Top | 121-105 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
10* Wizards (ASSASSIN) While we're not calling for the outright victory, all signs point to a much tighter battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe in our opinion. New York is 3-0 SU/ATS in its last three after last night's 128-92 road win at Philadelphia as a 5.5-point dog, but note that the Knicks are just 3-7 ATS in their last ten off an upset road win as an underdog in which they held their opponent to 95 or fewer points in. They're also just 1-4 ATS in their last five after three or more SU/ATS victories in a row. We think a small mental letdown is inevitable here in the second game of the back-to-back and off the big upset victory; grab the points, the play is Washington! AAA Sports |
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01-05-24 | Hurricanes v. Capitals +1.5 | 6-2 | Loss | -170 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
6* Capitals (PUCK-LINE DESTRUCTION) We're going to lay the price with confidence here for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance in a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extra time. Carolina is 21-13, but it's just 11-10 on the road. After four straight wins and with a home game vs. the Blues at home tomorrow night, we feel this a letdown/lookahead/trap-game for the visitors. Washington is 18-12, but it's lost five of its last six. We see the home side risking life and limb to try and snap the slide here; lay the price, the play is Washington on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
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01-05-24 | Connecticut v. Butler +6 | Top | 88-81 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
10* Butler (BIG EAST GOY) While we do think an outright win is possible, in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can. The UConn Huskies are 12-2, while the Butler Bulldogs are 10-4. What's been the one "achilles heel" for the Huskies this season? Their play on the road where they are 0-2 SU/ATS. And what's been the strength of the Bulldogs?! It's been their play at home, where they are 8-0 SU and 4-3 ATS. Butler is off back-to-back conference road losses as a sizeable dog, so it won't be taking anything for granted here as it look to snap the slide. After this UConn is at Xavier, so we also see the visitors get caught "looking ahead." Look for the hungry and determined home side to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably cover with the spread; grab the points, the play is indeed on the Bulldogs! AAA Sports |
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01-04-24 | Nuggets v. Warriors +3 | Top | 130-127 | Push | 0 | 13 h 59 m | Show |
10* Warriors (ASSASSIN) Denver has won four of its last five. It beat Golden State 120-114 at home on X-Mas Day, unable to cover the 7.5-point spread. The Warriors are 3-1 ATS in their last four in trying to avenge a SU road loss vs. an opponent. We think the Nuggets will get caught "looking ahead" here to their home game vs. the Magic tomorrow. Golden State snapped a three-game slide with a quality 121-115 victory over Orlando and with a winnable game at home vs. Detroit tomorrow, we're expecting Golden State to step up here and take advantage of the scheduling; grab the points, the play is indeed on Golden State! AAA Sports |
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01-03-24 | Maple Leafs -1.5 v. Ducks | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 60 m | Show |
10* Leafs puckline (ASSASSIN) Toronto is off a 3-0 win over LA just last night. Typically we would not play on a team on the second game of a B2B scenario, but we anticipate the Leafs taking advantage of this matchup. The Ducks are just 6-14 at home and just lost here 7-2 to the Oilers. Toronto will end its trip with a game at the Sharks, so this is a stretch of games that it'll be focussed on taking advantage of. Expect that to not only translate into a victory today, but a completely lop-sided one; the play is the Leafs on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
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01-03-24 | Thunder v. Hawks +2 | Top | 138-141 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show |
10* Hawks (UNDERDOG OF MONTH) This one sets up unbelievably well for Atlanta. OKC is 23-9 and 9-4 on the road, but after five straight SU/ATS wins in a row, including an upset 127-123 home win over Boston just last night, can anyone say "letdown spot?!" Also note that the Thunder are just 3-7 ATS in their last ten after five or more straight SU/ATS victories in a row. Atlanta just snapped a four-game slide with a 130-126 win over Washington to move to 13-19. That was three nights ago though. The Hawks are well rested and the play with revenge after falling 126-117 as one-point favorites in OKC back on November 6th, and note that ATL is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. A great situational play on Atlanta! AAA Sports |
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01-02-24 | Hornets +16 v. Kings | Top | 111-104 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
10* Charlotte (NON-CONF GOW) Of course we're not calling for the outright victory or anything, but all signs point to a much tighter affair than what this spread is suggesting in our opinion. The Hornets have won three of their last five, but they're off a 111-93 loss at Denver. But we say they fly in "under the radar" here vs. the Kings, who will get caught "looking ahead" to their much more high-profile game the following night here vs. the Magic. After back-to-back SU road wins, all signs point to the Kings having a small mental letdown here at home tonight; no outright, but closer than expected, so grab the points! AAA Sports |
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01-02-24 | Charlotte +8.5 v. SMU | Top | 54-66 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 1 m | Show |
10* Charlotte (AAC GOM) Outright win?! We're not predicting that. But we do think that 9-3 SMU is going to get caught "looking past" 6-6 Charlotte to its much more high-profile game vs. Memphis this weekend. SMU is 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS in its last five, but that's signficant for us to take note of as the Mustangs are in fact just 2-7 ATS in their last nine after five more ATS victories in a row. Charlotte is 0-3 SU/ATS on the road, but that fact has only made the general betting public quick to back the favored home side here. But now the value has finally swung the other way here. We're not going to try and convince that the 49ers are a better team than the Mustangs, because that's definitely not the case. But as primiarly situational handicappers, this one falls right into our wheelhouse. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Charlotte! AAA Sports |
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01-01-24 | Wisconsin +7.5 v. LSU | Top | 31-35 | Win | 100 | 333 h 60 m | Show |
10* Wisconsin (BOWL GOY) Wisconsin finished 7-5, while LSU was 9-3. We're not calling for an outright win or anything, but all signs definitely point to a much more competitive bowl game here than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. The Badgers won 28-14 at Minnesota as 2.5-point favorites in their final regular season game. LSU fell 42-28 at Alabama on November 4th, but then rattled off three straight wins to close out the year, including 42-30 over Texas A&M. LSU averaged 46.4 PPG, which was No. 1 in the country. It also had 14 turnovers on the year, which ranked third. The offense had to be good though, as the defense was pretty terrible allowing 27.8 PPG. With many players transfering into the portal, LSU will have plenty of holes to fill on both sides of the ball. The Badgers only averaged 22.8 PPG, but they didn't usually have to be fantastic offensively, with the defense conceding just 18.9 PPG. Look for the longer lay off to throw a further "monkey wrench" into LSU's normally efficient offense; grab the points, the play is indeed on the Badgers! AAA Sports |
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12-31-23 | Packers v. Vikings | Top | 33-10 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 10 m | Show |
10* Vikings (ASSASSIN) We think that home field advantage at this time of year will be the difference-maker for the Vikes today. Both teams are 7-8. Minnesota comes in as the "hungrier" team though after back-to-back competitive losses at the Bengals and to the Lions last week, who clinched the division on their home field. Clearly, they won't be happy about that at all. They beat Green Bay on the road 24-10 at the start of the year, and we're predicting a similar final score here as well. The Packers broke a two-game slide to save their season with a come from behind 33-30 win at lowly Carolina last weekend, but everything points to a predictable letdown here now in Minnesota. Both teams are dealing with plenty of injuries, but we like the Vikes to finally settle down here at home and get handle on their recent turnover issue; lay the short points, the play is Minnesota! AAA Sports |
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12-31-23 | Bengals v. Chiefs -6 | Top | 17-25 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
10* Chiefs (AFC GOW) Clearly, this is a big game for both teams, but a lot more so for Kansas City, which has lost five of its last eight, including a 20-14 setback here last weekend to the Raiders as 11-point favorites. Note though that the Chiefs are a near-perfect 7-1 ATS in their last eight after a SU/ATS home loss as a double-digit favorite. They barely squeaked by the Bengals 23-20 in last year's Playoffs, covering the 2-point spread, but now they face a Cincinnati team without Joe Burrow and off a poor 34-11 loss at Pittsburgh as a three-point favorite. Look for Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid to come out with a game-plan here to get back on track vs. this toothless Bengals' team; lay the points with confidence, the play is Kansas City! AAA Sports |
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12-31-23 | Raiders v. Colts -4 | 20-23 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 8 m | Show | |
8* Colts (BLOOD-BATH) We think that home field advantage will be the difference-maker in this one. Las Vegas is 7-8, including only 2-5 on the road, while the Colts are 8-7, including 3-4 at home. Off back-to-back wins, a predictable letdown is now expected in our opinion for Las Vegas, especially after beating the Chiefs 20-14 last weekend on the road. The Colts have been trading wins/losses over their last four games, and off the 29-10 loss at the Falcons, all signs point to this pattern continuing. With the majority of the public money on the visiting side as well, we'll go full contrarian and go the other way; lay the points, the play is Indianapolis! AAA Sports |
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12-31-23 | CS-Fullerton +9.5 v. Hawaii | Top | 63-61 | Win | 100 | 15 h 9 m | Show |
10* CSU Fullerton (BIG WEST GOY) We think that the Warriors get caught a little flat-footed here and that the Titans will, at the very least, comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with the ample amount of points that they've been afforded. Fullerton is just 1-2 SU and 0-3 ATS in its last three after an 81-71 loss to LBSU last time out, but note that the Titans are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more ATS losses in a row. They won this game 62-60 last year at home. Hawaii enters off two straight losses, falling to Georgia Tech and TCU and it's just 1-3 ATS in its last four overall. The Warriors are getting WAY too much respect here in our opinion. No outright, but MUCH closer than expected; grab the points, the play is indeed on the Titans! AAA Sports |
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12-30-23 | Lions +5.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 19-20 | Win | 100 | 31 h 36 m | Show |
10* Lions (BLOOD-BATH) Despite just clinching the NFC North, we're not expecting the Lions to take anything for granted here and taking into account the current form of the Cowboys, we feel that the visitors do in fact have a legitimate shot at winning this one outright. The Cowboys are 7-0 at home, but it's been against really weak competition, or teams dealing with major issues at the time. It's a "Fugazi" that home record. The time to play your best football of the year is right now and of course the Cowboys are regressing right on cue after back-to-back losses to Buffalo and Miami. The Lions are off back-to-back wins, including a 30-24 victory at Minnesota last weekend and they have even bigger plans for the rest of the regular season; as stated off the top, we feel an outright victory is a very real possibility, but in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can, the play is Detroit! AAA Sports |
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12-30-23 | Ole Miss +4 v. Penn State | Top | 38-25 | Win | 100 | 284 h 48 m | Show |
10* Ole Miss (BOWL GOM) This is the Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl between Ole Miss and Penn State. Ole Miss finished 10-2, while PSU finished 10-2 as well. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can. These teams are hoping to take the next step in their respective conferences next season. James Franklin and Penn State won 11 games last year, but we don't expect "lightning to strike twice" this time around. Ole Miss though is looking for its first 11-win season in school history. SEC QB Jaxson Dart is a difference-maker here, as his stats were among the best in the SEC. Penn State is extremely talented defensively, but the Ole Miss offense is extremely efficient. It's a battle of strength vs. strength and while the outright win isn't out of the question, in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can with Ole Miss! AAA Sports |
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12-29-23 | Missouri v. Ohio State -4.5 | Top | 14-3 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
10* Ohio State (BLOCKBUSTER) The knock against Ohio State here is that it's down to its second string QB, which is true, but we in fact think that helps the Buckeyes here. The Tigers are missing two key defensive players in Ennis Rakestraw and linebacker Ty’Ron Hopper, and when those two players were missing earlier in the year, Missouri allowed 267 yards rushing. Which doesn't bode well facing this Ohio State offense and QB Devin Brown, who was in a battle for the No. 1 spot with Kyle McCord before the season started and before he got injured. Brown was 12 of 22 for 197 yards, two TD's and an INT this year, but he'll know that this is a "try-out" for him to be the No. 1 guy next year, as McCord has already left. The Buckeyes only allow 260 yards per game. Look for the Buckeyes to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable win and cover and lay the points with confidence! AAA Sports |
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12-28-23 | Arizona -2 v. Oklahoma | Top | 38-24 | Win | 100 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
10* WILDCATS (BOWL WINNER) Arizona is 9-3 and the Sooners are 10-2. Oklahoma will be without start QB Dillon Gabriel though, as well as their offensive coordinator and a slew of other offensive starters. Because of this fact, and this fact alone, we're going to take the Wildcats here. They have a great QB in Noah Fiftia, who had to step in for an injured Jay de Laura. The Wildcats losses were all close. This is a good, motivated and well-coached team that we're expecting to take advantage of the situation presented to them; lay the short points, the play is indeed on Arizona! AAA Sports |
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12-28-23 | Jazz v. Pelicans -8 | Top | 105-112 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
10* Pelicans (ASSASSIN) We base our picks on many different things. This particular one is based on the "revenge" factor, which we'll admit, is completely overhyped at times. But not at all times, and definitely not in this case in our opinion. Utah is just 5-13 on the road, but after three straight SU/ATS victories in a row, we're expecting a predictable letdown here, as note that the Jazz are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. They beat the Pels 114-112 at home as a 6.5-point dog on November 27th, but note that New Orleans is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. After back-to-back SU/ATS losses in a row, we're expecting the home side to come out fired up and completely focussed on the task at hand; lay the points with confidence, the play is New Orleans! AAA Sports |
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12-27-23 | Texas A&M +3.5 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 23-31 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
10* Texas A&M (BLOCKBUSTER) Texas A&M finished 7-5, while Oklahoma State was 9-4. Both teams have plenty of transfers and opt outs for this one, and it really does level the playing field here. This one is going to come down to the wire and whichever team has it hands on the ball last is going to come out on top. Texas A&M turns to Jaylen Henderson under center and he averaged 234.7 yards per game over his final three games and had two TD's. The Aggies have a great defense as well that allows just 21.3 PPG. Oklahoma State has seven players opting out. The Cowboys rank dead last in the Big 12 on the defensive end, allowing 441.5 yards per game; grab the points, the play is indeed on the Aggies! AAA Sports |
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12-26-23 | Kings v. Blazers +8 | Top | 113-130 | Win | 100 | 13 h 28 m | Show |
10* Portland (ASSASSIN) Outright win?! We're not calling for that, but we defintely expect this to be competitive until the final moments. The Kings are 17-11, but they're just 6-6 on the road. Off a 110-98 home loss to the Wolves, note that the Kings are in fact just 1-3 ATS in their last four off a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite in which they were held to 99 or fewer points in. Portland comes in under the radar here. It's off B2B losses, falling 126-106 at Golden State, but with a few days off to prepare, we're expecting the Blazers to be competitive here, just as they were in a 121-118 OT loss at Sacramento in early November; grab the points, the play is indeed on the Blazers! AAA Sports |
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12-26-23 | Kansas v. UNLV +13.5 | Top | 49-36 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
10* UNLV (ROUT) UNLV is one of the bigger dogs during the entire Bowl season, but we think this spread is a little TOO large. Kansas finished 8-4, while UNLV was 9-4, finishing in a tie for first place in the MWC. The Jayhawks beat Cincinnati 49-16 back on November 25th. Jason Bean replaced Jaylon Daniels at QB during the season and threw for 1,681 yards and a 12:4 TD:INT. Overall the Jayhawks finished averaging 33.6 PPG, while conceding 25.8. UNLV is lead by QB Jayden Maiava, who finished with 2,794 passing yards and a 14:8 TD:INT. The Rebels averaged 34.3 PPG, while conceding 27. The Rebels are also 6-0 ATS on the road this year and while we're stopping short in calling for an outright upset, everything points to this contest being MUCH more competitive than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; grab the points the play is UNLV! AAA Sports |
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12-26-23 | Texas State -3.5 v. Rice | Top | 45-21 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
10* Texas State (ROUT) We think the 7-5 Texas State Bobcat's up-tempo offense will be too much for the 6-6 Rice Owls to keep up with. This is a big game for Texas State, making its first ever bowl appearance, and it won't be taking anything for granted. CJ Kinne has transformed the Bobcats into a good team. QB TJ Finley, wh ohas experience at LSU and Auburn is a difference-maker in this one. The Owls aren't the best at creating take-aways on defense and we have a hard time seeing their QB AJ Padgett keeping pace. Look for Texas State to push the pace behind Finley and for Kinne to continue this great overall season and turnaround for Texas State! AAA Sports |
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12-25-23 | Celtics v. Lakers +3 | Top | 126-115 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
10* Lakers (ASSASSIN) The Celtics opened up their West-coast swing with a 132-126 OT loss at Golden State, but they've since won B2B away games, handling Sacramento 144-119 and the Clippers here two nights ago 145-108. But with three nights off after this, we feel that the temptation to get caught "looking ahead" will be there for the visiting side now. No such luxury for LA though, which just snapped a four-game slide with a convincing 129-120 win at OKC. Look for the Lakers to carry that momentum over here and while the outright is obviously very possible, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can with LA! AAA Sports |
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12-25-23 | Giants v. Eagles -13.5 | Top | 25-33 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
10* Eagles (NFC EAST GOW) We base our picks on many different things, but this particular one is based on some very strong ATS trends that support our overall theory that Philadelphia is going to have no mercy on its overmatched opponent today. Philadelphia is 10-4, but it's lost three straight, both SU and ATS. That however is significant for us to take note of here, as the Eagles are a near-perfect 5-1 ATS in their last six after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. This is the first meeting of the year between the division foes. Philly then has a home game here next week vs. the Cards, followed by the regular season finale at the Giants. Clearly, there's no reason Philly can't now end the season on a three-game win streak, and that's what we're expecting, starting with a convincing blowout here at home; lay the points, the play is Philadelphia! AAA Sports |
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12-24-23 | Patriots +7 v. Broncos | Top | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
10* Patriots (AFC NON-DIV GOM) We're expecting a much tighter battle than what this spread is suggesting, as we look for New England to try and do everything it can to play "spoiler" here. The Pats are 3-11 and the Broncos are 7-7. The Pats beat the Steelers, then promptly lost 27-17 to a desperate Chiefs team last week. QB Bailey Zapp was 23 of 31 for 180 yards and a TD and we feel he can be effective here today as well. New England still concedes only 21.4 PPG. The Broncos are off a 42-17 loss to the Lions and have struggled with consistency from game-to-game all season long. Russell Wilson is the better QB here for sure in this matchup, but we think that Bill Belichick and his defense will be "hanging around late;" grab the points, the play is indeed on New England! AAA Sports |
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12-24-23 | TCU v. Hawaii +6 | Top | 65-51 | Loss | -114 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
10* Hawaii (ATS BLOOD-BATH) This is going to "come down to the wire," in our opinion, and because of that we're going to recommend to grab as many points as you can. TCU is 9-2 and Hawaii is 8-3. Hawaii looks to rebound here off the 73-68 loss to Georgia Tech as a two-point fav (but note that the Warriors have in fact responded incredibly well in this spot for bettors by going 4-1 ATS in their last five off an upset home loss as a favorite.) TCU is off an 88-75 loss to Nevada, and with Conference schedule looming after the X-Mas break, we say the visitors get caught "looking ahead" here. Grab the points, the play is indeed on Hawaii! AAA Sports |
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12-24-23 | Seahawks v. Titans +3.5 | Top | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 5 h 53 m | Show |
10* Titans (ASSASSIN) We're not expecting Tennessee to just roll over here and in a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points. Seattle is 7-7 and third in the NFC West, while Tennessee is 5-9, and looking to play spoiler and salvage pride after having already been eliminated. The Hawks are 20th in total offense and 28th in total defense. Seattle is really banged up coming into this game as well, including to QB Geno Smith. The Titans average 293.7 YPG, while allowing 339.3. Injuries have also been a concern for the Titans all year. Obviously its "next man up" for both teams. But Tennessee and its coaches are playing for their jobs and everything points to this one "coming down to the wire." As such, we're grabbing the points; the play is on Tennessee! AAA Sports |
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12-23-23 | Missouri State +15 v. St. Mary's | Top | 69-64 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
10* Missouri State (MID-MAJOR ROUT) Missouri State won't be rolling over here in its final game before the XMas break. The Bears are 8-4 and they'll look to close out their non-conference schedule strong. Missouri State has won two of its last three and we think it catches Saint Mary's, which is 8-5 overall, but which has won five straight. The Gaels concede just 58.7 PPG. The Bears average 74.6 PPG, while allowing 67.6. We think the Gaels will win this game, but Missouri State's efficient offense will keep it competitive late; grab the points, the play is indeed on the Bears! AAA Sports |
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12-23-23 | Nuggets v. Hornets +9 | Top | 102-95 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
10* Hornets (ASSASSIN) We base our picks on many different things, this particular one sets up fantastically from a "situational" stand point. We say that Denver FOR SURE gets caught "looking ahead" to its X-Mas home game vs. Golden State. Charlotte has lost six straight SU and three straight ATS, but that's important for us to take note of us as the Hornets are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more ATS losses in a row. We're just expecting Denver to take the foot off the gas in the second half, as it prepares for its Nationally televised affair; grab the points, the play is Charlotte! AAA Sports |
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12-23-23 | Bengals v. Steelers +3 | Top | 11-34 | Win | 100 | 24 h 42 m | Show |
10* Pittsburgh (AFC NORTH GOY) They say that divisional contests are always the most important and that they almost always mean the most to the home side, and that's definitely the case here in our opinion, and while we clearly wouldn't be shocked by an outright upset, we will in the end recommend to grab as many points as you can with the Steelers. The Bengals are 8-6 and the Steelers are 7-7. The Bengals have won three straight with Jake Browning, but note that Cincinnati is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten in after three or more SU/ATS victories in a row. Pittsburgh turns to Mason Rudolph to snap the three-game slide. With nearly 75% of the public money on the visitors, we're going the other way here and expecting Rudolph to step up and deliver the goods in this spot; grab the points, the play is indeed on the Steelers! AAA Sports |
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12-22-23 | Fresno State +11.5 v. San Francisco | 57-77 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
8* Fresno State (MID-MAJOR DESTRUCTION) Fresno State is 6-4 SU, while San Fran is 9-4. It's also 6-0 at home. We think the home side though takes the foot off the gas in the second half, allowing the hungry visiting side more than enough room to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Fresno State is off a 75-72 OT home loss to Portland State as a 3.5-point favorite, which is significant to take note of here as the Bulldogs are in fact 7-3 ATS in their last ten off an upset home loss as a favorite. The Dons have been great and it's difficult to point out to many faults, but we say everything points to a minor mental letdown here before the X-Mas break; grab the points, the play is indeed on Fresno State! AAA Sports |
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12-22-23 | Raptors +8.5 v. 76ers | Top | 111-121 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
10* Raptors (ASSASSIN) We like Toronto to comfortably cover and sneak in through the backdoor down the stretch. Toronto plays with revenge after falling 114-109 here back on November 2nd, and note that the Raptors are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS divisional loss vs. an opponent. Philly's been playing great, but off a big win over the red hot Wolves, and with their X-Mas Day game at Miami up next, all signs point to this being a classic "trap game" for the home side. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is indeed on Toronto! AAA Sports |
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12-21-23 | Lakers +5.5 v. Wolves | Top | 111-118 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 60 m | Show |
10* Lakers (ASSASSIN) I lost with the Lakers last night in Chicago, but I think LA will risk life and limb here to try and snap out of its recent cold spell which has seen it lost three in a row. LA has now also lost five straight ATS, which is important here for this pick for us, as the Lakers have responded well in this position for bettors by going 7-3 ATS in their last ten after five or more straight ATS losses in a row. Minnesota's three-game win streak came to an end last night in Philly and we believe the Wolves will come out flat here now returning home (especially with two road games sandwiched around X-Mas right after this!) Both teams will have to deal with fatigue, but the overall situation and the above listed trends do indeed make LA the correc call in this contest! AAA Sports |
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12-21-23 | Saints +4 v. Rams | Top | 22-30 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 54 m | Show |
10* Saints (ASSASSIN) With nearly 80% of the public money on the Rams, we're going full on contrarian here and going the other way. This is an important game for both 7-7 teams. The Saints have won two straight, while LA has won four of its last five. New Orleans is now tied for the lead in the NFC South. The bottom line here is the Saints' defense is legit, allowing just 248 total yards per game over their last two games and 19.1 PPG overall this season. They have 30 INT's and 30 sacks already, which is fifth in each category. The offense hasn't been shabby either, Derek Carr averaging 26 PPG over their last two, and 22.1 overall. The Rams have allowed just 21.2 PPG over thier last five games. Overall LA averages 23.4 PPG this season. Both teams enter with momentum. Last year the Saints won this game by a score of 27-20 at home. While we feel an outright is possible, our official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is New Orleans! AAA Sports |
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12-21-23 | Manhattan +11 v. Monmouth | Top | 71-77 | Win | 100 | 20 h 26 m | Show |
10* Manhattan (MID-MAJOR BLOWOUT) We're not predicting an outright upset or anything, but everything definitely points to much more of a competitive battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Manhattan comes in "under the radar" here after B2B losses. Most recently it was a 76-71 home loss to FDU. Monmouth has been trading wins/losses over its last four games and coming off a 77-71 win over Rider, we're expecting this trend to continue here. That said, we're not expecting the outright upset, but rather we just don't see the Hawks covering this large spread. As stated off the top, DO NOT sprinkle anything on the moneyline in this one, but do DEFINITELY grab as many points as you can; the play is indeed on Manhattan! AAA Sports |
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12-20-23 | Lakers -4 v. Bulls | Top | 108-124 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
10* Lakers (NON-CONF GOY) Here's a great spot for the 16-12 Lakers to bounce back in for bettors. LA has lost three of its last four. It's also now lost four straight ATS after a 114-109 home loss to New York (note though that the Lakers are still 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more straight ATS losses in a row.) And with a game at Minnesota tomorrow, the Lakers won't want to leave anything to chance here. Chicago has been trading wins/losses over its last ofur games and off a 108-104 upset win at Philadelphia as a 10.5-point dog last time out, we're expecting this pattern to continue; lay the points, the play is LA! AAA Sports |
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12-20-23 | Connecticut v. Seton Hall +8.5 | Top | 60-75 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
10* Seton Hall (BIG EAST GOM) UConn is 10-1 and Seton Hall is 7-4. Dan Hurley coached UConn to a title last year, and so far the Huskies look great this season as well. We just think they're now a bit overvalued here, as we're expecting the Pirates to risk life and limb to secure a victory here. Seton Hall has won two straight and it's faced some stiff competition this season already in USC, Iowa, Baylor and Rutgers. This is a big Big East matchup and while we'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, everything points to a much tighter battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; grab the points, the play is Seton Hall! AAA Sports |
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12-19-23 | Wild v. Bruins -1.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
10* Bruins puckline (ASSASSIN) No need to overthink this one. After three straight victories, the Wild came up short in last night's 4-3 loss at Pittsburgh last night. We believe fatigue will play a major factor in Minnesota's effort here tonight. The Wild have two nights off after this before a game with the Habs, so this sets up as a natural letdown/look-ahead spot. The Bruins will look to take advantage and to shake out of small sluggish slump, as they've been trading wins/losses over their last six games and are off the 2-1 OT loss here to the Rangers two nights ago. And with an upcoming road trip over X-Mas, that puts added emphasis onto this game for the Bruins. We're expecting the home side to not only win this game, but to do it in blowout fashion; lay the goals and take the Bruins on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
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12-19-23 | Florida -2.5 v. Michigan | Top | 106-101 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
10* Florida (BLOCKBUSTER) Florida is 7-3 and Michigan is 6-5. This is the opener of the Jumpman Invitational. The Gators come in riding a three-game win streak, most recently beating ECU 70-65. Michigan is 1-1 in Big Ten play, losing 78-75 to Indiana, and then bouncing back with a 90-80 win over Iowa. Michigan's defense has been sub-par though, ranked 126th in defensive efficiency. Florida has four guards averaging over 9.7 points per game and we're expecting this difficult backcourt to lead their team to a solid win and cover here; lay the points, the play is Florida! AAA Sports |
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12-18-23 | Eagles v. Seahawks +3 | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 31 h 14 m | Show |
10* Seahawks (ATS BLOOD-BATH) This is a big game for each team, but more so for the home side we'll argue. While we clearly feel the outright win is a very real possibility, our official call will be to grab as many points as you can. The Eagles are 10-3 and the Seahawks are 6-7. Philly is 5-2 away from friendly confines, but we think the Eagles are ripe for the picking after B2B losses, including a humbling 33-13 setback at division rival Dallas last weekend. With nearly 70% of the early public money on the visitors as well, we're natually going to gravitate towards the underdog anyways. But this is it for the Hawks essentially, almost in a "do or die" situation here. As stated off the top, a great situational play here on the desperate home side; grab the points the play is indeed on Seattle! AAA Sports |
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12-18-23 | Maryland-Eastern Shore +9.5 v. Marist | Top | 52-76 | Loss | -111 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
10* Maryland-Eastern Shore (MID-MAJOR MAULING) We think the Maryland-Eastern Short Hawks will fly in "under the radar" here and, at the very least, post a comfortable cover with what we feel is a very large spread that's been afforded to it here in this matchup. Yes, the Hawks have lost four straight on the road, but they've faced some stiff competition in Notre Dame, Liberty, East Carolina and NC State. Marist is 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS in its last five, but note that the Red Foxes are in fact just 3-7 ATS in their last ten after five or more straight ATS victories in a row. No outright here, but much closer than expected; a great situational play on Maryland-Eastern Shore! AAA Sports |
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12-17-23 | 49ers v. Cardinals +12.5 | Top | 45-29 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 8 m | Show |
10* Cardinals (NFC WEST GOY) Are we suggesting an outright victory?! Of course not! But in a contest that we see a lot more competitive than what this spread is suggesting, we're going to recommend to grab the points. San Francisco is 10-3, including 5-2 on the road, but with a home date vs. the Ravens on X-Mas Day, there's no question that this sets up as a "look-ahead" spot. But how could it also not be a "letdown" spot after five straight SU wins? That includes an important win over Seattle last week. Can anyone say "Trap game?!" Arizona snapped a two-game slide with a spirited 24-10 road win at Pittsburgh last weekend and there's no reason not to think that the team won't bring that same "spoiler mentality" to this one as well. Outright win?! As we stated off the top, we're not calling for that, but the overall situation, numbers and trends are all pointing to this one being a "nail-biter;" grab the points, the play is Arizona. AAA Sports |
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12-17-23 | Oregon v. Syracuse +4.5 | Top | 63-83 | Win | 100 | 5 h 45 m | Show |
10* Syracuse (WINNER) Oregon is 7-2 and Syracuse is 6-3. Oregon is on a three-game win streak. Overall the Ducks have allowed just 52 PPG, but their level of competition needs to be taken into account. Overall Oregon is averaging 81.2 PPG. The Orange lost their conference opener to UVA, but then they bounced back with two wins last week. Overall Syracuse is averaging 77.2 PPG, while conceding just 70.8. Oregon has some injury issues at center and Syracuse's offense has been incredibly efficient of late. This one has "uspet" written all over, meaning that grabbing the points is definitely the correct call in our opinion; the play is indeed on Syracuse! AAA Sports |
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12-16-23 | California +3.5 v. Texas Tech | Top | 14-34 | Loss | -105 | 32 h 5 m | Show |
10* Cal (BLOWOUT) Both teams enter the Independence Bowl at 6-6 and in a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points. This game features plenty of absences via the transfer portal and opt outs, and because of that, these teams are more evenly matched than ever in our estimation. Cal goes with QB Fernand Mendoza under center, while Texas Tech QB Behren Morton. The Bears though have overall looked more solid offense down the stretch and Texas Tech has already struggled in this spot this season, going just 1-3 SU/ATS as a road favorite. Granted, this is a neutral site game, but it doesn't matter. While we feel the outright win is possible, in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can with Cal! AAA Sports |