This is a 10* “RED DRAGON” on the OVER between Memphis and Houston.

Memphis has seen the Over/Under go 4-2 this year, while Houston has seen it go 0-6. Last week Memphis posted a 30-27 win over Navy, while Houston is coming off a 45-17 loss at Tulsa. Note that when these schools played last year, Memphis would hold on for the high-scoring 48-44 road win and suffice it to say, we’re expecting another high-scoring shootout here as well. Memphis averages 40 PPG and Houston should have a lot more success moving the ball today against this sub-par Tigers’ defensive unit. Note that Memhis has seen the total go OVER the number in nine of its last 13 after two or more consecutive SU victories, while Houstno has seen the total go OVER the number in two of its last three against teams with winning records. Play the OVER.

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This is a 10* TOTAL BIG TIGER on the OVER between Clemson and Syracuse.

Clemson comes in off a 28-14 win over Wake Forest at home last weekend, while Syrcuse rallied for a 27-24 home win over Pittsburgh. When these teams met last year, the Tigers smashed the Orange 54-0. Syrcuse is a better team since then and will be out for a little revenge this evening.

Clemson: So far the Tigers rank 40th in the nation in scoring with 35.0 PPG, while ranked fifth in the country on the defensive side in conceding just 11.3 PPG. QB Kelly Bryant should be good to go in this one after tweaking his ankle next week. The Tigers’ vaunted defense though is going to finally be tested today by this “pass-happy” Orange offense. Note that the ground game wracked up 190 yards last week, so if Bryant isn’t able to suit up, the offense is still going to be fine, especially facing this weak Syracuse defensive unit.

Syracuse: The Orange are ranked 56th in the country in overall offense with 32.0 PPG, the pass offense is ranked 13th in averaging 325 YPG. The defense is allowing 24.3 PPG, ranked 54th. QB Eric Dungey was 33 of 49 for 365 yards and two TD’s last week. So far he has 1,802 yards with nine TD’s and four INT’s. He also leads the team on the ground with 325 yards and another eight major scores. 

The bottom line: Whether Bryant plays or not, we think this explosive and deep Tigers’ offense is going to have its opportunities today. We also expect Dungey to continue his progression and push this Clemson defense to its limits. Note that Clemson has seen the total go OVER the number in seven of its last 11 on the road, while Syracuse has seen the total go OVER the number in five of its last eight as an underdog in the 21.5 to 31 points range. Play the OVER.

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This is a 10* SUN-BELT TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the OVER between South Alabama and Troy.

Both teamshave struggled to points on the board this season, as USA has seen the Over/Under go 1-4, while Troy has seen it go 0-5. We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. While the “Law Of Averages” is flawed in many ways, we’ve always been of the mind-set that lop-sided numbers/trends have a way of naturally “correcting” themselves over the short, mid and long-term. Also note that South Alabama has seen the total go OVER the number in ten of its last 18 as an underdog and in its last six against teams with winning records, while Troy has seen the total go OVER the number in two of its last three following its bye week. Play the OVER.

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This is a 10* TOTAL ART OF WAR on the UNDER between Memphis and UConn.

This total is just a little high in our opinion. UConn has lost three straight and will be desperate to stop the slide. Memphis won three straight to start the year, before getting crushed by UCF last weekend.

Memphis: QB Riley Ferguson has completed just 55.4 percent of his passes and has already thrown five INT’s. He does have 1,104 yards and nine TD’s, but regardless, he’s been sloppy and will be looking to get back on track tonight. Expect to see a heavy dose of the run game from the Tigers, so far the team has posted 183 yards per game average thus far, led by Darrell Henderson.

UConn: The Huskies were tied with SMU 28-28 early in the fourth quarter last week and then ended up losing 49-28. QB Bryant Shirrefs was 22 of 28 for 408 yards, two TD’s and no INT’s. 

The bottom line: Note that Memphis has seen the total go UNDER the number in five of its last six off a loss against a conference rival, while UConn has seen the total go UNDER the number in six of its last nine after two or more consecutive SU losses. Play the UNDER.

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This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the OVER between Arkansas State and Georgia Southern. 

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics:

As note that Arkansas State has seen the total go OVER the number in nine of its last 16 as a favorite and in eight of its last 11 against teams with losing records, while Georgia Southern has seen the total go OVER the number in six of its last 11 as an underdog and in four of its last five after two or more consecutive SU losses.

The bottom line: So far these teams have struggled to put points on the board, but the extra time off between games sets up perfectly for a higher-scoring affair. Play the OVER.

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This is a 10* SUPER TOTAL on the OVER between Illinois and South Florida.

For a number of different reasons, we believe this number is a little low.

Illinois: The Illini looked sharp in their 20-7 win over WKU last week. Illinois had a 300-244 yardage advantage over the Hilltoppers. So far Illinois has struggled offensively, ranked 100th in the FBS by averaging 22 PPG. The defense has so far allowed only 14 PPG, ranked 28th overall, but clearly the unit faces its stiffest test of the young season. 

South Florida: USF’s game against UConn was delayed last week due to Hurricane Irma. In their previous game the Bulls would outscore Stony Brook 24-7 in the second half for the decisive victory. So far USF is 43rd overall in scoring with 36.5 PPG, while ranked 50th in allowing 19.5. QB Quinton Flowers is 30 off 55 overall for 400 yards with four TD’s and one INT, as well as adding 137 yards and a TD on the ground.

The bottom line: Note that Illinois has seen the total go OVER the number in two of its last three when playing on six or less days rest, while USF has seen the total go OVER the number in three of its last four following a layoff of two weeks or more. All signs point to this one going OVER as the game comes down the stretch.

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This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the UNDER between OK State and South Alabama.

Both teams come in off high-scoring affairs and while we might also see a bit of a shoot-out in this one, we ultimately believe this number is just a little high.

Oklahoma State: OKS smashed Tulsa 59-24 on Thursday. The Cowboys had 640 yards of offense in Week 1, but with a tough non-conference game at Pittsburgh next weekend, a team that the Cowboys beat 45-38 last season, it’s not too hard to imagine the visiting side getting caught “looking ahead” to that more difficult/important matchup. 

South Alabama: The Jaguars fell to Ole Miss 47-27 on Saturday. It was 13-10 at half time, but SA was outscored 27-3 in the third quarter. QB Cole Garvin was 19 of 31 for 204 yards and a TD, while adding 18 yards and two scores on the ground.

The bottom line: Note that OKS has in fact seen the total go UNDER the number in five of its last seven on the road, while SA has seen the total go UNDER the number in three of its last four after allowing 46 points or more in its previous game. As primarily a “situationally based” handicapping service, these are exactly the types of scenarios that we keep our eyes out for. This number is just a little high, play the UNDER.

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This is a 10* TOTAL BLOCKBUSTER on the UNDER between Clemson and Alabama.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that Clemson has seen the total go UNDER the number in four of five non-conference games this year, while Alabama has seen the total go UNDER in four of five in the same position.

The bottom line: Alabama will look to control this one while on offense so as to keep DeShaun Watson and the Tigers’ dynamic offense off the field for as long as possible. Watson had a hell of a time against the Tide defense in 2015 and this year’s unit is even better. This one sneaks UNDER once it’s all said and done.

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This is a 10* TOTAL BLOCKBUSTER on the UNDER between Northwestern and Pittsburgh.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based primarily on strong/relevant O/U ATS statistics and common sense:

As note that Northwestern has seen the total go UNDER the number in nine of its last 11 non-conference games (including on all three this year) and in eight of its last 12 off a win against a conference rival, while Pittsburgh has seen the total go UNDER in three of its last four when playing with two weeks or more of rest.

The bottom line: We’re expecting each to put an added emphasis on establishing the run game while on offense. This number is just a little bit high, play the UNDER.

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This is a 10* SUPER TOTAL on the UNDER between BYU and Wyoming.

REASONING: Wyoming looks poised for a possible letdown here after it fell 27-24 to SDSU in the Mountain West Conference championship game. QB Josh Allen had three TD’s, but also two INT’s in the setback. Expect the Cowboys to lean heavily on RB Brian Hill, who had 1,213 yards on the season, which ranked fourth overall. Wyoming averaged 37.1 PPG, but looked pretty average in the loss to the Aztecs. The defesne was a weak point all year, allowing 34.8 PPG. However, that unit looked pretty good against high-powered SDSU which just came roaring back to beat Houston on Opening Day of the bowls 34-10, after posting just six points at half time. The Cougars have won four straight, but lost QB Taysom Hill to a season-ending knee injury in the final game of the regular season. BYU has a competent backup Tanner Mangum, who put up big numbers for the Cougars last year, but this isn’t an easy situation for himself or the rest of the offensive unit. And note, BYU struggled for the most part on the offensive end this season anyways, posting 30 PPG, which was ranked 62nd overall in the country. The defense though was stout, allowing an average of just 19.4 PPG, which ranked it 15th in the country. Note that BYU has seen the total go UNDER the numer in nine of 11 non-conference games this year, while Wyoming has seen the total go UNDER in seven of its last 11 in the same position. Play the UNDER.

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This is a 10* TOP TOTAL on the UNDER between Memphis and Western Kentucky.

REASONING: This can still be a higher-scoring game and fall UNDER this sky-high number and that’s exactly what we’re expecting to see happen. The 8-4 Memphis Tigers are ready to battle the 10-3 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers in the Boca Raton Bowl on Tuesday night and we’re expecting more of a defensive affair than what Las Vegas is leading us to believe. WKU comes in off its second straight C-USA championship, beating Louisiana Tech 58-44. Memphis also comes in on fire, it won three of its last four, including upsetting Houston 48-44 in the regular season finale. The Tigers come in averaging 39.5 PPG. Their defense was above average in allowing just 27 PPG. The Hilltoppers average a whopping 45.1 PPG, which is ranked second in the country. WKU though also has a strong defense which has held three of its last five opponents to under ten points. Will rest lead to rust for these two high-powered offenses? We think so, at least to begin with. And that leaves the door open for the defenses to step through. Note that Memphis has seen the total go UNDER in four of its last six when playing with two weeks or more of rest, while WKU has seen the total go UNDER in three of four non-conference games this season. Play the UNDER.

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This is a 10* BIG TEN TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the OVER between Nebraska and Iowa.

We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based primarily on strong and relevant O/U ATS statistics:

As note that Nebraska has seen the total go OVER the number in three of its last four as a road dog of three points or less and in eight of its last 12 as an underdog overall, while Iowa has seen the total go OVER the number in its last three as a home fav of three points or less and in 16 of its last 24 when playing with six or less days rest.

The bottom line: The numbers all point to this total being set just a bit low. Play the OVER.

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This is a 10* PAC-12 TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the UNDER between Washington and California.

REASONING: Washington is 8-0 SU, 4-4 ATS and has seen the total go 7-1 to the over this year, including 3-0 on the road. Cal is 4-4 SU/ATS and has seen the total go 6-2 to the over this season, including 2-1 at home. Both teams have played to many high-scoring affairs already this season and for good reason, as these are a couple of high-powerered offenses which keep the foot on the gas from the opening kick until the final horn, with each also possessing defensive units which for the most part are an afterthought. However, whenever these teams have played against each other, it’s been a lower-scoring battle, as the last seven in the series have dropped below the posted number. This is by far the highest set total over that span, with the next closest coming in at 67 back in 2014. Last year Cal beat Washington 30-24. Cal comes in on nine days rest and will be looking to atone for a setback to USC last time out. Washington averages 46.1 PPG, but its defense has been even better, ranked 7th overall in allowing just 15.8. We think that Cals high-flying offense is going to stall against this tough Washington secondary. We’re also expecting the visitors to control the tempo of this one while on offense, as to limit the Bears’ time on that side of the field. Note that Washington has seen the total go UNDER the number in three of its last four games played in the month of November, while Cal has seen the total go UNDER the number in 12 of its last 18 against teams with winning records. This can still be a high-scoring game and fall below this sky-high number and that’s exactly what we’re expecting. Play the UNDER.

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This is a 10* CONFERENCE-USA TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the UNDER between MTSU and FIU.

Setting the scene: FIU comes in off a 44-24 loss to Louisiana Tech, while MTSU comes off an improbable 51-45 upset win over the Missouri Tigers. Both teams have hopes of securing the Conference USA title and we’re expecting an all out war on Saturday night.

MTSU: QB Brent Stockstill had 280 yars passing with four TD’s last week, while I’Tavius Mathers had 215 yards rushing and a TD. So far the Blue Raiders average 40 PPG, ranked 16th overall. 

FIU: WR Thomas Owens had eight catches for 96 yards and two TD’s last week, but the Golden Panthers struggled offensively otherwise. They’ve struggled on both sides of the ball all year and clearly will have their hands full against the Blue Raiders.

The bottom line: Note that MTSU has seen the total go UNDER the number in four of its last five as a road favorite, while FIU has seen the total go UNDER in three of its last four after playing a conference game. We think MTSU comes in a bit complacent after last week’s epic victory and when taking into account the rest of the above factors, all signs do indeed point to the UNDER as the savvy move in this contest.

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This is a 10* BIG TEN TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the OVER between Maryland and Indiana.

Setting the scene: Maryland is 5-2 SU, while Indiana is 3-4. The Terps have seen the total go UNDER the number in six of seven this year, while the Hoosiers have also seen the total go UNDER in six of seven as well. Suffice it to say, we think the value has finally swung the other way as we’re expecting these hungry schools to open up the playbook as they each push for bowl eligibility.

Maryland: The Terps will be pumped after their 28-17 win over Michigan State at home last week. QB Perry Hills was 21 of 27 for 200 yards, two TD’s and no INT’s. So far Hill has ten TD’s to just two INT’s on the season. The run game also looked great, as Ty Johnson had 115 yards, while Lorenzo Harrison had 105 yards and a TD. The team would in the end post 470 total yards of offense. 

Indiana: The Hoosiers will be desperate after losing three straight, most recently a 24-14 loss at Northwestern on the road. Indiana trailed 24-3 at half time, but would put 283 yards in the second half. QB Richard Lagow had 319 yards on the day, but two INT’s were the difference. 

The bottom line: Note that Maryland has seen the total go OVER the number in four of its last six off a win against a conference rival, while Indiana has seen the total go OVER in its last two as a home fav in the 3.5 to 7 points range. When these teams played last year, the Hoosiers pulled away for the convincing 47-28 win on the road. We’re expecting a similar final combined score in this afternoon, play the OVER.

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This is a 10* TOP TOTAL on the UNDER between Navy and South Florida.

Setting the scene: No. 22 Navy has won two straight, while USC is coming off a loss on the road to Temple last Friday. All signs point to a war tonight and as such, we’re expecting a lower-scoring final outcome.

Navy: The Midshipmen are ranked 17th in the nation in rushing as the triple option is keyed around the ground game. QB Will Worth has nine TD’s on the ground, compared to just five through the air. Last week Worth had 201 yards and three TD’s against Memphis on the ground and another two passing TD’s as well. But it’s been the Middies’ defense which has turned the most heads this year, ranked 22nd in the nation in total yards given up. 

South Florida: QB Quinton Flowers suffered a late hamstring injury in last week’s loss to the Owls, but is expected to get the start tonight. The Bulls had won three straight before the setback. Defensively the team took a step back last week, allowing a whopping 319 rushing yards. Head coach Willie Taggart knows his defense needs to step up this week: “First, we’ve got to put guys in the position to make the plays.  And if the guys can’t do it, then put someone else in that can do it.  But some of those missed tackles last week are by some of the guys that we count on the most.”  He went on to say: “We got physically dominated on both sides of the ball.  We got outcoached.  We didn’t do anything right as a football team — offensively, defensively or special teams.”

The bottom line: We’re banking on USF playing much better defensively this week after the “brain fart” against Temple. Also note that Navy has seen the total go UNDER the number in five of its last eight when playing the role of underdog, while USF has seen the total go UNDER in ten of its last 14 against teams with winning records, including in two of three this season. Play the UNDER.

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This is a 10* MAC TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the OVER between Ohio and Toledo.

REASONING: Ohio is 5-3 SU and has seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of its eight games this year. Toledo is 6-1 and has seen the O/U go 4-3 thus far. Despite the Bobcats struggling at times offensively this year, we think this one has all the makings of a higher-scoring shootout, rather than a lower-scoring “chess match.” Ohio comes in with momemtum after a 14-10 win over Kent State on the road, while the Rockets have won three straight, most recently a 31-17 home victory over Central Michigan. The Bobcats aren’t the greatest offensively, but still manage a respectable 28.5 PPG. Defensively they’ve been better, allowing just 24.2 PPG. However, the competition suddenly goes up dramatically for visiting Ohio, which faces a Toledo team which is 12th in the nation in passing, with Logan Woodside leading the way with 264 yards on 23 of 32 passing with no INT’s and four TD’s last week. The run game is ranked 36th in the country, led by Kareem Hunt, who has 740 yards so far this year. In all the Rockets average 41.3 PPG, ranked 13th in the country. Note that Ohio has seen the total go OVER the number in two of its last three gainst teams with winning records, while Toledo has seen the total go OVER in nine of its last 16 at home and in three of four already this year. Play the OVER.

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This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the UNDER between Louisiana Lafayette and Texas State.

Setting the scene: Louisiana Lafayette is coming off a 24-0 loss to App State last week, while Texas State lost 40-34 to Louisiana Monroe. Based on situation and strong/relevant O/U ATS trends, we believe that all signs point to the UNDER as the savvy move in this matchup.

The Ragin’ Cajuns: Lafayette’s offense looked horrible last week, picking up just 267 total yards. QB Anthony Jennings had 146 of those yards and he remains a lone “bright” spot for this struggling offensive unit. 

The Bobcats: Texas State would lose by just six points last week, but the game wasn’t nearly as close as the final outcome suggests, as the Warhawks would allow the Bobcats to inch closer in garbage time. Note that the offense only held the ball for 18 minutes the entire game and also turned it over three times. The defense wasn’t much better, but clearly the unit catches a break in facing Louisiana Lafayette’s vanilla unit.

The bottom line: Note that the Cajuns have seen the total go UNDER the number in four of their last seven after two or more consecutive SU losses, while Texas State has seen the total go UNDER in six of its last nine off a loss against a conference rival. Play the UNDER.

This is a 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK on the OVER between Eastern Michigan and Western Michigan.

Setting the scene: The Eastern Michigan Eagles are no slouches and come into this one sitting at 5-2. WMU though is 7-0 and will look to keep the good times rolling with another big effort. When the smoke does finally clear at the end of this one, we’re expecting this total to eclipse the posted number.

EMU: The Eagles enter off their second consecutive win, this time a 27-20 victory over a tough Ohio Bobcats team. Brogan Roback had 347 yards and three TD’s. Since taking over in late September Roback has thrown seven TD’s to just one INT spanning four games. EMU’s defense has been opportunisitc as the unit has 13 takeaways already this year.

WMU: The Broncos rolled to a 41-0 win over Akron last week. QB Zach Terrell has been unstoppable, so far as he has 17 TD’s and zero INT’s. 

The bottom line: Note that EMU has seen the total go OVER the number in eight of its last nine as a road dog of 21.5 points or more, while WMU has seen the total go OVER in seven of its last 12 at home (including all three this year) and in 12 of its last 19 when playing the role of favorite. We think these offenses open up the playbook and that all signs point to a high-scoring shootout, rather than a lower-scoring “chess match.” Play the OVER.

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This is a 10* TOTAL ART OF WAR on the OVER between Miami Florida and Virginia Tech.

Setting the scene: These teams sport almost identical stat lines: Miami is 4-2 SU, 4-2 ATS and 3-3 O/U, while Virginia Tech is 4-2 SU, 3-3 ATS and 3-3 O/U. Miami has lost two in a row, while the Hokies are looking to bounce back off an upset loss at Syracuse last week. 

The Hurricanes: Miami started the season 4-0 and averaged 47 PPG in the process. Since switching to league play, that offense has stalled though, totaling just 32 points over the last two games. Miami will be out to atone for last week’s lacklustre effort against North Carolina in which it put up just 13 points. The unit posted 363 yards of total offense, QB Brad Kaaya struggled, going 16 of 31 for 224 yards and no TD’s. One bright spot was the ground attack, led by the dynamic duo of Joseph Yearby and Mark Walton, who combined for 156 yards in that one and who now have over 1000 yards together, to go along with 14 TD’s. After its all said and done, the offense has been decent, averaging 36.7 PPG, good for 30th in the country. The defense has given up just 14 PPG, but looked horrible in giving up 461 yards to the Heels last week. 

The Hokies: Virginia Tech will be looking to get out to a much better start this week than last, as it went to Syracuse as a 21 point favorite and left with a 17 points loss. It was a terrible letdown after beating UNC 34-3 on the road the week before. VT though still has a very good shot at taking the Coastal Division title, so we’re expecting the team to break out the playbook today and to push the pace from start to finish. The unit will be looking to get the Miami defense out of its comfort zone and not allow it to dictate and enforce its will. Like the Hurricanes, the strength of the Hokies has been their defensive play, as they’ve given up an average of just 18.2 PPG this year, ranked 15th in the country. But last week against the Orange the unit was exposed, as Syracuse posted a whopping 561 yards of total offense, including 405 through the air. The defense also allowed 32 first downs and 10 of 21 third down conversions.

The bottom line: Note that Miami has seen the total go OVER the number in five of its last eight road games where the total is between 49.5 and 56 points, while VT has seen the total go OVER in ten of its last 17 in front of the home town crowd. We think the situation sets up perfectly for a higher-scoring shootout, play on the OVER.

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This is a 10* TOTAL DESTRUCTION on the OVER between Eastern Michigan and Ohio.

Setting the scene: These teams come in “firing on all cylinders.” EMU is 4-2 overall and 1-1 in MAC action, while Ohio is also 4-2 overall, but 2-0 in league play. We’re expecting these two hungry sides to open up the playbook and look for this total to sneak above the number once it’s all said and done.

Eastern Michigan: The Eagles opened conference play with a 28-25 victory at Bowling Green, but would fall 35-20 at home to Toledo last weekend. QB Brogan Roback was 20 of 38 for 255 yards and one TD. 

Ohio: The Bobcats come off a 30-24 win over Bowling Green, as QB Greg Windham passed for one TD and ran for another. Ohio also turned four turnovers into 17 points. Windham was 20 of 27 for 190 yards. 

The bottom line: Note that EMU has seen the total go OVER the number in nine of its last 13 off a loss against a conference rival and in seven of its last 11 vs. teams with winning records, while Ohio has seen the total go OVER the number in two of its last three after two or more consecutive SU victories. We think the writing is on the wall and a higher-scoring shootout is in the cards, play on the OVER.

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This is a 10* TOTAL DESTRUCTION on the UNDER between Maryland and Penn State.

Setting the scene: Maryland is off to a 4-0 start in DJ Durkin’s first year as head coach and 1-0 in league play after beating Purdue 50-7 last week. Penn State is 3-2 and comes in with some momentum after holding on for an important victory over Minnesota last weekend. Penn State got the better of the Terps last season, 31-30, after losing 20-19 at home the year before.

Maryland: The Terrapins ran for 400 yards last week, led by RB Ty Johnson with 204 of them, to go along with two TD’s off just seven carries. In all, eight different backs would combine to post the whopping production on the ground. QB Perry Hills has 109 yards rushing and two scores, to go along with 550 yards passing and five TD’s to just one pick.

Penn State: The Nittany Lions needed OT to beat the Golden Gophers last week, as the defense was gouged for 469 total yards, including 228 on the ground. QB Trace McSorley led the comeback, so far he has 1,284 passing yards with six TD’s and three INT’s on the year.

The bottom line: Maryland’s defense has been a strength of the team and we have a hard time picturing the Nittany Lions being as productive this week. The game plan won’t change for the Terps though, who will look to run the ball from start to finish. It’s significant to note that Maryland has seen the total go UNDER the number in ten of its last 13 on the road, while Penn State has seen the total dip below the posted number in ten of its last 17 against the conference. Play the UNDER.

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This is a 10* ACC TOTAL OF THE MONTH on the OVER between Clemson and Boston College.

Setting the scene: Clemson is now 5-0 SU (just 2-3 ATS) after its big 42-36 win over the Louisville Cardinals last week. Boston College looks much improved from last season and comes into Week 6 sitting at 3-2 after hammering Buffalo 35-3. The Tigers offense averages 35.2 PPG, while BC posts only 23.4 thus far. These conference opponents are very evenly matched on the defensive side of the ball, with Clemson conceding 16 PPG and the Eagles allowing just 17.2. But we’re expecting a more wide-open affair on Friday night. We jumped on this line the moment it came out and unfortuantely we’ve been saddled with a poor one (46.5, and is now as low as 42.5 at some places), but regardless we still love this selection as we look for each side to open up the playbook and to push the pace from start to finish.

Clemson: DeShaun Watson had five TD’s and 306 yards in last weeks win over the Cardinals. Three receivers would post better than 70 yards apiece. Watson though wasn’t perfect, also throwing three picks, so this opportunistic Eagles secondary is going to have some chances to put some points on the board today as well.

Boston College: QB Patrick Towles was 14 of 24 for 234 yards and two TD’s with not turnovers in the win over the Bulls.

The bottom line: The Eagles are about to face the most dynamic offense that they’ve seen all year and we think they’ll have their hands full. With the home side forced to match pace, we look for Watson and Towles to do just enough to send this one OVER the posted number once the final whistle sounds.

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