10* OVER Cal/Utah (PAC 12 TOM)

Cal is 3-3 and coming off a 52-40 shootout home loss to Oregon State on Saturday. Cal's offense looked decent, but the defense looked terrible. So that's good news for the 4-1 Utes, who come out of their bye off their first loss in a 21-7 setback at Oregon State (note though that Utah has seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of its last 12 off a SU/ATS loss in which it was held to a TD or less.) Utah hasn't announced yet if star QB Cam Rising will finally be under center, but whether he is or not we can fully expect this explosive Cal offense to run the ball early and often behind Isaiah Ifanse. But the Golden Bears' defense, especially the secondary is completely atrocious. No matter which way you cut it, everything points to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later!

AAA Sports

10* MSU (BIG TEN GOY)

Here's a great spot for MSU to pull of an outright upset! And while that scenario is definitely a possibility in our opinion, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can in a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last. MSU is 2-3 and Rutgers is 4-2. The Spartans are coming out of their bye, while the Scarlet Knights are coming off an 11-point loss to Wisconsin. MSU looked pretty bad in its 16-13 loss to Iowa back on September 30th, with QB Noah Kim passing for 193 yards and three INT's. RB Nathan Carter though looked great with 20 rushes for 108 yards. It's also interesting to note that the road team has covered in each of the last six games between these teams. Rutgers' QB Gavin Wimsatt finished with 181 yards, one TD and an INT in the 24-13 loss to Wisconsin and we think he'll have a difficult time here vs. MSU as well. Rutgers has in fact scored 13 or less points in two of its last three games. The Spartans have had plenty of time to prepare for this one and that's going to play a big part in the outcome as well in our opinion; grab the points, the play is Michigan State!

AAA Sports

10* Stanford (PAC 12 GOM)

Colorado is 4-2 after a dramatic 27-24 win at ASU last week on a last-second field goal. But with their bye, followed by a game at UCLA, not only does this set up as a natural "letdown" spot here facing the lowly 1-4 Cardinal and off that big win, but it's also a "look ahead" position as well. When you add those two factors together you get "trap game." Clearly, Stanford's hopes of reaching eligibility are essentially zero to none already, but it won't be rolling over here and catches the Buffs and Coach Prime right at the correct moment. Colorado isn't going to the National Championship and running up the score here isn't going to impress anyone. They just need wins for a better bowl berth at the end of the day, and in our opinion, all signs do indeed point to the home side taking the foot off the gas in the second half and leaving the back door open just enough for the hungry visiting side to comfortably sneak in through down the stretch with the sizeable spread that it's been afforded in this one; grab the points, the play is indeed on Stanford!

AAA Sports

10* Broncos (AFC WEST GOY)

Outright victory? Nah, we're not calling for that. But we do feel that KC will let the foot off the gas enough in the second half to allow the hungry Broncos to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with what we feel is a large amount of points here. KC is 1-1 SU/ATS at home and returns home after two straight road victories at the Jets and Vikings. It's a potential letdown spot for the now surging Chiefs, who have another divisional home game next week vs. the Chargers. Denver is on the ropes. Clearly Sean Payton can't be too happy about the team he chose to come back to. It's do or die, now or never for Russell Wilson and the Broncos, who fell 31-21 at home to the Jets last weekend. The offense though is still a lot better than it was last year in averaging 24.2 PPG. The issue has been on the defensive side, allowing 36.2 PPG, including the 70-20 loss to Miami. We think Denver's defense won't have to worry about the Chiefs running up the score here, while at the same time we expect Wilson to be able to move the ball. This is just too many points; the play is Denver! 

AAA Sports

10* WVU (BIG 12 GOY)

West Virginia is obiouvsly a surprise here in the conference at 4-1. It's playing on the road for a second straight game, which is never an easy thing to do, but at 4-1 the Mountaineers are looking good right now obviously. They're favored here and then after this they have two home games. We think West Virginia is for sure the better team here and it has to be feeling confident after a 24-21 upset road win over TCU. QB Garret Greene has 544 yards passing and four touchdowns this year, but the offense revolves around the run game and CJ Donaldson Jr, who has 348 rushing yards and four touchdowns. The Cougars first year in the Big 12 hasn't gone to plan so far as they're 2-3 and off a brutal 49-28 loss to Texas Tech last time out. West Virginia is winning games right now and doing so for the most part with a tougher-than-expected defense. Houston on the other hand is unable to stop anyone right now. West Virginia was able to suffocate TCU last weekend, and also held Texas Tech to just 13 points as a six-point underdog, a team that just throttled the Cougars. We're avoiding the spread all together and playing WVU on the moneyline option!

AAA Sports

10* UTEP (SUPER BLOWOUT)

We think the 1-5 UTEP Miners will find a way to deliver the goods here on Wednesday night on the road at FIU. The Panthers enter are 3-3, including 0-3 in C-USA play. So far the Miners are averaging just 16.2 PPG, while allowing 28.2. QB Gavin Hardison has 947 passing yards, five TDs and seven INTs. Here's the perfect opponent to get untracked against, as the Panthers are averaging only 20.7 PPG, with QB Keyone Jenkins with 1,258 passing yards, five TD's and six INT's. The defense concedes 27 PPG. UTEP's strength though is the run game, which ranks 64th in the nation, and FIU is already allowing an average of 208.8 YPG on the ground. UTEP's defense is also 32nd in the country vs. the pass, and FIU's strength on offense is the passing game, which has so far averaged 221.3 YPG. UTEP will control this one and find a way to get the job done!

AAA Sports

10* MTSU (CONF-USA GOW)

Louisiana Tech is 3-4, while MTSU is 1-5. Why then are the Blue Raiders favored here? The oddsmakers are trying to tell us something, and that's that the Blue Raiders have played a tougher schedule to this point. And that's the case. Louisiana Tech is coming off a 35-28 loss to WKU. QB Jack Turner has 849 passing yards, four TD's and four INT's. Overall the teams concedes 28 PPG. MTSU is off three straight losses, falling 31-23 to Colorado State, 31-10 to WKU and 45-30 to Jacksonville State last week. QB Nicholas Vattiato has 1,576 passing yards, nine TD's and six picks. The defense has so far allowed 37.2 PPG, but take in mind that includes a 56-7 loss at Alabama to open the season. The Blue Raiders are the "hungrier" team in this fight and we're expecting a full four-quarter effort; lay the points, the play is MTSU!

AAA Sports

10* UNDER Packers/Raiders (BLOODBATH)

We're expecting a really defensive affair here. The Packers looked horrible in their loss to the Lions last week, especially offensively getting outgained 401-230. QB Jordan Love is struggling, ranked 34th in the league in completion percentage. The run game is still suffering without Aaron Jones, who may be back, but regardless, Green Bay will have to establish the run throughout here to alleviate the pressure off its struggling young pivot. Las Vegas should have Jimmy G back under center, but he'll be more of a "game manager" here. Look for Josh Jacobs to finally get involved more for LV as well this week; when you add it all up, this number is indeed a little high, so the play is the "under!" 

AAA Sports 

10* Cowboys (NFC NON-DIV GOM)

Two really good teams collide here on Sunday night and in a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points. Dallas is 3-1, while San Francisco is 4-0. The 49ers beat Arizona at home last week, while the Cowboys hammered the Patriots at home. This is a revenge game for the visiting side, which fell 19-12 in the divisional round of last year's playoffs. So far Dak Prescott and the Cowboys average 31 PPG, while allowing only 10.3. Brock Purdy and the 49ers average 31.3 PPG, while allowing just 14.6. This really is a case of "Any Given Sunday," as it would not be hard to write a convincing argument for either of these sides to come out on top in this one. For all the reasons listed above, grab as many points as you can; the play is Dallas!

AAA Sports

10* Vikings (NON-CONF GOY)

Note that since 2018 with Patrick Mahomes as the full-time starting QB for KC, the Chiefs are are 17-19 ATS as a road favorite. Despite stumbling at home on Opening night, the Chiefs now enter Week 5 at 3-1. The Vikes though are on the ropes at 1-3, and clearly they'll be risking life and limb here to pull off the minor upset and avoid the 1-4 hole. After three straight losses the Vikes got back on track in last week's 21-13 road win at Carolina. A road game at division rival Chicago won't be easy the following week, so this becomes an almost "do or die" scenario for the Vikes already. KC has won three straight, but it certainly looked shaky in last Sunday night's 23-20 victory at the Jets as a 9-point favorite. With a quick turnaround and a Thursday night game up next at home vs. the Broncos, this not only sets up as a "letdown" spot for KC, but also a "look-ahead" position as well in our opinion, and when you add those two factors together you get "trap game." The outright win is possible, but let's grab the points; the play is Minnesota!

AAA Sports

10* FALCONS (ASSASSIN)

Both teams are 2-2, but we can't understate how important that we feel that the home field advantage will prove for the Falcons in the final outcome of this non-conference contest. Houston is off a 30-6 win at home over Pittsburgh, and we're expecting a predictable letdown hereon the road now. Atlanta is off a 23-7 loss in London to Jacksonville in its last outing. So far Houston has gotten great play from QB CJ Stroud with a 6:0 TD:INT. Overall Houston is averaging 24 PPG, while allowing 19.8. The Falcons are led by RB Bijan Robinson and a run game that averages 128 YPG. ATL has so far averaged only 15.5 PPG, while allowing only 19.25. Look for Desmond Ridder to settle down here at home and for ATL's elite defense to finally get to Stroud. While the rest of the public goes one way on this contest, we're going the other; the play is Atlanta!

AAA Sports

10* Giants (BLOOD-BATH)

In no way are we suggesting that New York will win this game outright, but we do however feel this is a great situational play as we expect the 1-3 Giants to catch the 3-1 Dolphins at the correct time to keep this one more competitive than what this lop-sided spread is suggesting. Miami beat Denver 70-20, but then came back down to Earth in last week's 48-20 beatdown division road loss at Buffalo. Daniel Jones has so far struggled for the Giants with a 2:6 TD:INT. He's been sacked 22 times already though. The defense hasn't been much better, so far allowing 30.5 PPG. Tua Tagovailoa as a 9:3 TD:INT, but the defense for the Fish is very worrisome, allowing 374.5 YAPG and 29.8 points per contest. This one takes on a very "do or die" feel for the Giants, who took a major step forward last year, but who have regressed so far this season. Look for Miami to take the foot off the gas in the second half and for the hungry Giants to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with the large spread that they've been afforded here on the road in Week 5; grab the points, the play is New York!

AAA Sports

10* UNDER San Jose State/Boise State.

Two teams in dire need of a victory collide here on Saturday night, and in our opinion, we're going to see a much more defensive affair than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Boise State is 2-3 and San Jose State is 1-4. The Spartans have lost five straight road games. QB Chevan Cordeiro has been decent with 1,066 yards passing, six TD's and two INT's. The defense is allowing 33.4 PPG. Boise State concedes 31.6. It's QB Taylen Green has 938 passing yards and a 4:4 TD:INT. The ground game though is the strength of the Broncos by averaging 165.8 YPG. Boise State will look to run this ball, and then run it some more to control the pace of this contest. San Jose State has had a difficult schedule, but this is a tough matchup once again for it and we expect it to once again have difficulties moving the ball. When you add it all up, this number is indeed high; the play is the "under!" 

AAA Sports

10* UNDER UNT/Navy (AAC TOM)

For a number of different reasons we believe this number is way too high. UNT is 2-2, while Navy is 1-3. The Mean Green though have seen the total go "over" the number in all four games this year. That fact has only helped in driving this particular total here in Week 6 a few points higher than it normally would/should be. Navhy has seen its last two games fly "over" the number as well (both losses.) Two teams in dire need of a victory collide here and we're fully expecting this to be a much more defensive affair than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. These teams haven't played against each other since 2007, so there's no recent comparisons to make in that department, but from a "situational" stand point, this one sets up beautifully to be a lower-scoring defensive battle. This game is going to be decided in the trenches, and by field position; this number is high, the play is the "under!" 

AAA Sports

10* AAC GOY on UTSA.

UTSA is 1-3, while Temple is 2-3. So why are the Roadrunners favored here by so much on the road? Simple, strenght of schedule to this point. Temple is off a road loss at Tulsa, while UTSA lost to Tennessee last weekend. The Roadrunners were without starting QB Frank Harris for a second straight week, but his backups did a great job in defeat, with Owen McCown finishing with 170 yards passing and two TD's. The defense allowed 519 yards, but UTSA finally catches a break here facing the Owls. Harris is listed as probable this weekend. Overall the Roadrunners are the better team here and we're expecting them to make the most of this opportunity. The Owls have a pass heavy offense, but the Roadrunners are generating sacks on 8.73 percent of opponent's drop backs, which is Top 30 in the country. Temple gave up 34 points to Miami in a loss two weeks ago, and then 48 to Tulsa last week. EJ Wanrer had 269 yards passing and two TD's on 50 attempts. The Owls have been terrible in the red zone as well. Look for the Roadrunners to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish; lay the points, the play is UTSA!

AAA Sports

10* UNDER Nebraska/Illinois (BIG TEN TOY)

Two struggling Big Ten teams collide on Friday night. The Huskers are 2-3 straight up and 2-3 against the spread as well and they're also 0-2 straight up on the road. Illinois is 2-3 as well, but it's 2-1 at home. What does definitley stand out here though is that the Illini are so far 0-5 against the spread to open the year. Nebraska is going back and forth with its quarterbacks, but it looks like Henrich Haarberg has emerged as their No. 1 guy over Jeff Simms. Haarberg has only completed 54 percent of his passes, but he's the teams best rusher. Illinois is led by Luke Altmyer, who has looked bad of late. He looked banged up in last week's 44-19 loss to Purdue. The Illini passing game is in the bottom half of nation in EPA/pass and so far he has a negative touchdown to interception ratio. We love standing in front of trains and predicting when a lop-sided streak, either good or bad, will come to an end but we're going to steer clear of a side in this one on Friday night between these two struggling teams and instead focus on the tota; and we're going with the "under" here. Both of these offenses are in really bad shape right now. Nebraska is so far limiting opponents to less than five yards per play (which is 25th in the country.) In what should be an evenly matched "WAR OF ATTRITION," the play is indeed on the "under!" 

AAA Sports

10* BEARS (GOW)

The Bears are 0-4, blowing a 21-point lead last week at home to the Broncos and falling 31-28 as 3-point dogs. It's do or die for Chicago this week. Essentially, the season is already over, but for all intents and purposes, there will be zero chance of the playoffs at 0-5. Washington is 2-2, but it's now lost two straight after also choking away a big lead on the road to the Eagles. Both teams come in off terrible losses, but we still believe that the Bears will be the more motivated side here. The Bears got the best game of the season out of Justin Fields last week, going 28 of 35 for 335 yards and 4:1 TD:INT. Sam Howell on the other hand has a 5:4 TD:INT so far this year. We're giving Fields the advantage here and we believe that Chicago has a legitimate shot at winning this one outright; that said, grab the points!

AAA Sports

10* Louisana Tech (GOW)

WKU is 3-2, while Louisana Tech is 3-3. The Hilltoppers are 1-0 on the road, while the Bulldogs are 2-0 at home. WKU is off a 31-10 home win over MTSU. QB Austin Reed wasn't the most efficient, but finished 30 of 52 for 297 yards, two TD's and an INT. Louisiana Tech is off the 24-10 road win over UTEP. QB Jack Turner was much more efficient, finishing 9 of 20 for 152 yards and a TD. So far WKU is averaging 31.6 PPG, while allowing 29.2. Louisiana Tech is averaging 27 PPG, and conceding 25.7. Why is the line the way it is? The possiblility that Bulldogs' starting QB Hank Bachmeier may not play. Look for players though like RB Tyre Shelton, who has 318 rushing yards and three rushing TD's to step up this week. It's next man up for this hungry home side and while the Bulldos may fall short of winning outright, we're definitely expecting a full out battle until the very end; grab the points, the play is Louisiana Tech!

AAA Sports

10* OVER Jacksonville State/MTSU.

MTSU is 1-4, and Jacksonville State is 4-1. So why are the Blue Raiders favored here today? Because they've played the much more difficult schedule. They're also in dire need of some victories now that conference play is in full swing if they have any hope of a Bowl berth. Jacksonville State is off the 35-28 win over Sam Houston State, and we expect the Gamecocks to keep that offensive momentum rolling here. With MTSU pushing the pace of this one like we anticipate, this great situational play will eclipse the posted number sooner, rather than later in our opinion!

AAA Sports

10* UNDER Hawks/Giants (TOW)

This total has been bet up since the opening number, and we now feel its too high. We liked the opening number as well to go under the number. Either way, we're not expecting a shootout here, but instead we expect this game to be won in the trenches, and with field position, similar to what we saw on Sunday night between the Chiefs and Jets. Seattle is unbelievably 5-0 in this building, but after playing to B2B "overs," and with their bye week up next, we're expecting the Hawks to have their hands full here with this hungry home side looking to avoid falling to 1-3. With each team committed to establishing the run like we predict, we're indeed expecting a lower-scoring defensive battle here on Monday night; the play is the "under!" 

AAA Sports

10* Saints (NFC SOUTH GOM)

Both NFC South teams are 2-1, so the winner will have a big leg up in the division. New Orleans though gets ready to welcome back dynamic RB Alvin Kamara, and we feel he'll be a big difference-maker in the outcome of this one. Tampa was riding high after two games, but it sure came back down to Earth in last week's loss. Tampa's defense has been great, but we feel it'll finally struggle here to keep Mayfield from looking terrible. Derek Carr is out for the Saints, but that just means that his equal in Jameis Winston steps up to take over, super motivated here to now maintain this starters role. We expect Mayfield to take another predictable step back again here in this difficult road venue; the play is New Orleans!

AAA Sports

10* Texans (UNDERDOG GOM)

Pittsburgh is 2-1 SU, while Houston is 1-2. The Steelers are off an impressive 23-18 win at Las Vegas as 3-point dogs, but with a home game vs. division rival Baltimore next weekend, not only do we feel this sets up as a letdown spot after the upset road win, but also a look ahead spot. This is a "trap" game for Pittsburgh. Houston on the other hand comes in off its first win of the year, demolishing the Jaguars 37-17 as 7.5-point underdogs. While we do feel the outright win is possible, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can with Houston!

AAA Sports

10* Nevada (MW GOY)

Outright win? Of course not! For us, this is an unbelievably great "situational" play. Nevada 0-4 SU, and 2-2 ATS, while Fresno State is 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS. The Wolf Pack are off a 35-24 loss as a 17-point underdog at Texas State, but we feel they offer great value to keep this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. With a game at Wyoming next week though, not only does this set up as a natural "letdown" spot for the home side, but it's also a "look ahead." That = "trap game!" Look for the hungry Wolfpack to keep this one competitive late; grab the points, the play is Nevada!

AAA Sports

10* Virginia Tech (ASSASSIN)

Both teams are 1-3, but we can't understate how important we feel that the home field advantage will prove in the final outcome of this contest. To say this is a "revenge" game would be an understatement though, as Pittsburgh has won three straight in the series. Pittsburgh if off the 41-34 loss to UNC. QB Phil Jurkovec had 109 yards passing before leaving with an injury. So far the Panthers average just 17 PPG. VT is coming off a hard-fought 24-17 loss to Marhall. QB Kyron Drones had two rushing TD's, as well as throwing for 159 yards and no INT's. The VT run game posted 184 years, and we believe that the Panthers will have a difficult time slowing it down here as well; clearly the outright win is possible, but the official call will be to grab as many points as you can with Virginia Tech!

AAA Sports

10* Stanford (PAC 12 GOM)

Oregon is 4-0 SU/ATS, but with a week off next weekend, followed by a game at Washington, not only do we feel this sets up as a classic "letdown" spot, but it's also a "look-ahead" position. When you add those two factors together you get "trap game!" That's what we're basing this pick on, a great situational play as we do indeed feel this is a "trap." No such luxury obviously for 1-3 Stanford, who nealry pulled off the epic upset last week in a 21-20 home loss to Arizona as a 13-point underdog; no outright win, but closer than expected, so grab the points with the Cardinal!

AAA Sports

10* Auburn (SEC GOM)

Georgia is 4-0, but 0-3-1 ATS. With nearly 90% of the money on the Bulldogs here though, we're going full on contrarian and going theother way with Auburn. The Tigers are 3-1 SU, and 1-3 ATS. The Bulldogs are B2B National Champs, but getting a little TOO much respect here in our opinion; grab the points, because this is a great situational play on Auburn!

AAA Sports

10* Indiana (BIG TEN GOM)

Maryland is 4-0 SU, and they've outscored their opponents 149-49 so far. We're not predicting an outrigh upet here or anything, but we do think there are plenty of reasons to believe that the home side will take the foot off the gas in the second half and allow the hungry visiting side enough room to sneak in through down the stretch. Indiana is 2-2 SU and 3-1 ATS. Not only is this a natural "letdown" spot after four straight wins and playing at home here as a huge favorite, but it's also a "look ahead" position for the Terps, who are on the road at Ohio State next week. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Indiana!

AAA Sports

10* NC State (ACC GOW)

Louisville is 4-1, and NC State is 3-1. In a battle that we see being decided by whichever of these team's has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points. Louisville may be 4-0 SU, but it's just 2-2 ATS, and 0-2 ATS on the road. NC State is 0-4 ATS right now, but here's a great opportunity for the Wolfpack, with the Cardinals getting caught "looking ahead" to their game at home vs. Notre Dame next weekend; the outright is possible, but grab the points with NC State on Friday night!

AAA Sports

10* Packers (NFC NORTH GOM)

They say that divisional games are the most important, and they almost always mean the most to the home side. Yes, Detroit may on paper have played the harder schedule to this point, but the bottom line here is that these teams are both 2-1. The winner of this game will have a clear leg up in the division. They'll play the reverse fixture in Detroit on Thanksgiving Day. We expect Jordan Love to continue his progression here though and to get the better of his counterpart Jared Goff on the road, who has been consistently inconsistent away from friendly confines. A great "situational" play on the Packers!

AAA Sports

10* MTSU (CONF USA GOY)

We like MTSU to, at the very least, comfortably sneak in through the back door with what we feel is a generous amount of points afforded to it. The Blue Raiders are 1-3 SU, while Western Kentucky is 2-2. MTSU has played a tough schedule though, losing 56-7 to Alabama, 23-19 to Missouri and 31-23 to Colorado State. The lone victory was a commanding 35-14 victory over Murray State. The Blue Raiders are led by Nicholas Vattiato who has an impressive 916 yards and 7:2 TD:INT. WKU opened 2-0, but the Hilltoppers enter with zero momentum after two straight losses. Most recently they lost 63-10 to Ohio State and 27-24 to Troy. QB Austin Reed has 1,071 passing yards and 9:1 TD:INT. MTSU is the better overall team here, and much more battle-tested. Everything does point to an upset, but the official call is to grab as many points as you can; the play is MTSU!

AAA Sports

10* UNDER Rams/Bengals (BLOCKBUSTER)

Two teams in desperate need of a win collide here on Monday night. Non-conference games are usually less intense defensively, but we're not expecting that to be the case here tonight though, as Cincinnati will be risking life and limb to not only win this game (as the Bengals enter 0-2), but to also control the pace throughout. With each side committed to establshing the run while on offense like we envision, all signs point to this one staying well "under" the number once it's all said and done!

AAA Sports

10* EAGLES FIRST HALF (ASSASSIN) (NOTE: We also like the Eagles for the ENTIRE game, so if you don't have access to a FIRST HALF line, we also like Philly for the overall ATS victory in this contest as well.) 

Both teams enter 2-0, but we're expecting the Eagles to really hammer Baker Mayfield and the home side from start to finish in this one. Philly has had a few extra days off after beating Minnesota 34-28 lats Thursday. Tampa is off a 27-17 win over the lowly Bears. Philadelphia has been involved in two one-score games, and because of that, we're expecting the visitors to take nothing for granted and to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. With a road game at division rival New Orleans next weekend, the home side will also get caught "looking ahead;" the play is Philadelphia!

AAA Sports

10* Cardinals (U OF THE U)

The Cowboys are riding high at 2-0 after blowing out the Jets by a score of 30-10 last weekend, and we believe they'll get caught "looking ahead" here to their home game vs. the Patriots next weekend. Joshua Dobbs wasn't terrible in last week's 32-18 home defeat to the Giants. While 0-2 SU, the Cards have been great for bettors in the early going by going 2-0 ATS. Teams that start 0-3 in the NFL to open the season have virtually zero chance of making the playoffs. Expectations were extremely low for the Cards going into the season, but we're expecting Josh Dobbs best game so far; grab the points, the play is Arizona!

AAA Sports

10* Panthers (BEST OF BEST)

We base our picks on many different things. In our opinion, this is a great "situational" play. Carolina comes in desperate to snap its 0-2 slide to the season. Teams that start 0-3 have virtually no chance of even making the playoffs. It's hard to get a read on Seattle. It lost here terribly to the Rams in Week 1, before bouncing back with a 37-31 OT win at Detroit last week. With back-to-back high-profile road games at the Giants and Bengals, will Seattle get caught "looking past" its lowly opponent this weekend? The possibility is definitely there! It happened to the Hawks in Week 1. Whoever gets the start under center for Carolina, we expect this game to be decided in the final moments; grab the points, the play is the Panthers!

AAA Sports

10* Falcons (ASSASSIN)

Here's the bottom line with this play. We feel that Atlanta is getting little respect from the oddsmakers are 2-0, and we also believe there's been WAY too much hype surrounding the Lions before the season even started, and certainly still right now at 1-1. The Lions squeaked by the Chiefs on opening night 21-20. It was a really good win, but then the defense fell flat in 37-31 OT loss at home to Seattle. With a short week and a road game at Green Bay on Thursday night, the 2-0 Falcons are going to, at the very least, comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch; grab the points, the play is Atlanta!

AAA Sports

10* UTEP (MONEY-BOMB)

UNLV is 2-1 and UTEP is 1-3, but in a contest that we see being decided by whichever of these evenly matched teams has its hands on the ball last, we'll recommend to grab the points. UNLV is off a satisfying 40-37 home win as a dog and we believe it's primed for a letdown here. Starting QB Doug Brumfield was injured in the first quater, and while redshirt freshman Jayden Maiava was decent, the QB position is a concern here for the visiting side no matter who gets the start. UTEP is off a 31-10 loss at Arizona, following a 38-7 setback to Northwestern. The level of competition clearly needs to be taken into account here; senior QB Cavin Hardison had 228 yards and so far has 722 yards, four TD's and four INT's. But again, the Miners have faced some stiff competition early and while we do believe the home side can win this one outright, in the end the official play is to grab as many points as you can with UTEP!

AAA Sports

10* Clemson (BLOCKBUSTER)

Florida State is ranked No. 4 in the country and it comes into this game at 3-0. Clemson is 2-1, after a "brain fart" performance in Week 1 vs. Duke. The Tigers though have history on their side in this matchup, as they've won four straight at Memorial Stadium, while owning seven straight victories in the series overall. Here's a HUGE opportunity for Dabo Swinney to get right back into the ACC mix with an upset win here at home vs. surging Florida State. Grab the points, the play is Clemson!

AAA Sports

10* San Jose State (SHOCKER)

We think that 3-0 Air Force leaves the back door open just enough for the desperate 1-3 San Jose State Spartans to sneak in through down the sretch. Air Force is off a win over Utah State, rushing for 344 yards and five TD's on the ground. RB Emmanual Michel had 105 yards and three TD's. QB Zac Larrier rushed ten times for 58 yards and a score. San Jose State is 2-1 after falling 21-17 at Toledo last weekend. The Spartans actually held a 17-14 third quarter lead. Chevan Cordeiro has 228 yards and a TD, but also had a costly turnover. Note though that despite being 3-0 SU this year, AF is just 1-2 ATS. San Jose State's defensive numbers have improved dramtically over the last two games and while we're stopping short in calling for an outright upset, all signs point to a tight battle until the end; grab the points, the play is San Jose State!

AAA Sports

10* Purdue (BLOCKBUSTER)

Home field advantage will come into play here for two teams playing their first Big Ten contest of the season. The Badgers are 2-1 and off a 35-14 win over Georgia Southern, while the Boilermakers are just 1-2, most recently off a 35-20 home loss to Syracuse. The Badgers' run game looks decent, but it's a little difficult to properly judge based upon the level of competition thus far. So far Purdue has allowed 132.7 RYP. Wisconsin is allowing 20.7 PPG, but again, the level of competition to this point has to be called into question. Hudson Card though will be looking to push the pace here for the Boilermakers, who are averaging 275 yards per game passing. Card has 825 yards passing and just one INT with 110 attempts. As stated off the top and mentioned throughout, we think Wisconsin is getting too much respect from the oddsmakers here, as we feel its numbers are skewed due to the level of competition; grab the points, the play is Purude!

AAA Sports 

10* OVER Giants/49ers (TOW)

New York was shutout in Week 1 at home by the Cowboys, and then it went into its Week 2 matchup in Arizona down 28-0. The Giants then made the "mother of all half time adjustments" and came out and won the game by a score of 31-28. Working on a short week, and catching a contented 49ers team returning home from a 2-0 road start, we expect the visiting side to put some points on the board and keep that offensive momentum rolling here in San Francisco. This is a huge spread for San Fran to cover, but we're also note sure if NY will in fact be able to keep pace down the stretch. Either way, we do think NY will points on the board as it tries to keep pace with the red hot home side. This number is low, the play is the "over!" 

AAA Sports

10* Georgia State (SUNBELT GOW)

The Georgia State Panthers are 3-0 and we feel they have a legitimate shot at winning this one outright. They're off a 41-25 win over Charlotte, with Darren Graingers going 27 of 33 for 466 yards and three passing TD's, as well as rushing for 23 yards and a rushing score. Coastal Carolina is 2-1, it's coming off a 66-7 home win over Duquesne, with QG Grayson McCall going for 169 yards and a TD. The Panthers are averaging 39.3 PPG, while the Chanticleers are averaging 36.3. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is Georgia State!

AAA Sports

10* Panthers (ASSASSIN)

We're going contrarian with this one. Carolina fell 24-10 at Atlanta in Week 1, while New Orleans held on for a 16-15 win over Tennessee at home, unable to cover the three-point spread. Honestly, both teams looked bad. Division rivals are always the most important though, and they almost always mean more to the home side. And that's the case here in our opinion. Derek Carr had 305 yards passing and a TD for the Saints, while Bryce Young was 20 of 38 for 146 yards, one TD and two INT's. With that awkward game out of the way though, we're expecting Young to settle down here at home. Carolina's defense held Atlanta to just 221 offensive yards. The Saints are still without Alvin Kamara as well. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is Carolina!

AAA Sports

10* Patriots (AFC EAST GOY)

Divisional matchups are always the most important and they almost always mean the most to the home side. And that's definitely the case here in our opinion, as we expect New England to win this game outright. That said, our official call is to grab as many points as you can. Miami fought tooth and nail with the Chargers on the road in Week 1 and it escaped with a thrilling 36-34 victory as a 3-point underdog. Now they face a New England team that comes off a tough 25-20 home loss to the high-powered Eagles. Lots of good things for Mac Jones and company though. The defense looked great and Jones finished with 315 passing yards. While the outright win is possible, the play is to grab the points with NEW ENGLAND.

AAA Sports

10* Lions (SUPER BLOWOUT)

The Seahawks surprised everyone last year, but in Week 1, they fell at home to division rival LA as a favorite. Now they're facing a confident and well-rested Lions team at home and all signs point to a big time blowout in our opinion. Hawks' QB Geno Smith was just 16 of 26 for 112 passing yads and a TD. The defense looked terrible, and we have a hard time seeing it slowing down Jared Goff and company in what will be a sold out Ford Field. Goff had 225 yards and a TD in their upset win on Opening night over the Chiefs. We're expecting a completely lop-sided blowout, so lay the points, the play is Detroit!

AAA Sports

10* Colts (ASSASSIN)

What do you base your picks on? We use many different methodologies and approaches. Sometimes we break a game wide open, looking at every player matchup and every statistic we can get. Other times though we like to "keep it simple." This week and for this game we're "keeping it simple" and giving this particular matchup the "eye test." We really liked what we saw out of the Colts in Week 1, as their young QB looks legit. The Texans looked inept in their 25-9 loss at Baltimore. Look for the Colts' progression to continue here and grab as many points as you can!

AAA Sports

10* UNDER Chiefs/Jags (AFC NON-DIV TOW)

The Chiefs looked shaky in Week 1 without Jason Kelce, and whether he's in the line-up or not, we feel KC will once again have difficulties moving the ball. Trevor Lawrence and company will look to win this game in the trenches and with field position. Weather could be an issue here as well, with Hurricane Lee ripping off the coast right now. We see this one being a really gritty, lower-scoring battle that indeed stays well "under" the number once it's all said and done.

AAA Sports

10* Nevada (NON-CONF GOW)

Kansas is 2-0, and Nevada is 0-2. In no way shape or form are we suggesting that the Wolfpack are going to steal an outright win here or anything, but we do think that there's every reason to believe that the Jayhawks'll take the foot off the gas as they get caught looking ahead to a bye week next week, followed by games at Texas and Oklahoma State. No such luck obviously for Nevada, who despite being a massive underdog here, won't simply be rolling over. This is too many points to be giving up considering all of these strong situational circumstances listed above; grab the points, the play is Nevada!

AAA Sports

10* Virginia Tech (ASSASSIN)

This game means more to UVA after suffering a 24-17 defeat to Purdue last weekend as a 1-point favorite. With a tough game at Marshall after this, the Hokies will be risking life and limb here to avoid another loss. The Scarlet Knights are 2-0 SU/ATS, but their early numbers are skewed do the level of the competition. WIth a game at Michigan on deck next, not only does this set up as a possible "letdown," but it also sets up as a possible "look-ahead" spot. When you add those two things together you get "trap game." No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is on the Hokies!

AAA Sports

10* Boston College (ACC GOY)

Do we think that Boston College will win this game outright?! We do not. Do we think the Seminoles will take the foot off the proverbial gas pedal in the second half of this game as they caught looking ahead to their game at Clemson next Saturday? Absolutely. This is a great situational play, one so strong that this pick will qualify as our 10* ACC GAME OF THE YEAR. BC lost this game 44-14 last year, but all signs point to a much more competitive game this time around; grab the points, the play is BOSTON COLLEGE.

AAA Sports

10* Virginia (BLOOD-BATH)

UVA is 0-2, while Maryland is 2-0. UVA though is coming off a 36-35 loss to James Madison as a 6-point dog and we believe it'll be able to carry that positive progression over here in Week 3 here as well. Maryland beat Charlotte 38-20, but was unable to cover the 24.5-point spread. We feel this Friday night spread is too large as well for the home side to cover, especially with a big televised game at Michigan State the following weekend, setting this up as a classic "letdown + look-ahead" spot! Virginia's backup QB was great, as Athony Colandrea had 377 passing yards and two TD's. Maryland's game was 17-14 going into the fourth quarter, as the Terps struggled in many facets. This is too many points, so grab them; the play is indeed on Virginia!

AAA Sports

10* OVER Vikes/Eagles.

The bottom line here is that Mac Jones threw for 315 yards on the Eagles' secondary, and we just feel that Kirk Cousins and Justin Jefferson will also be able to take advantage here. Clearly the Eagles won't be rolling over here after that somewhat uninspiring performance at New England, which saw them go up early, and then for some reason take the foot off the gas. Perhaps they were caught looking ahead to this game?! Either way, we can expect Jalen Hurts and company to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish in their home opener. This number is low, the play is the OVER.

AAA Sports

10* Navy (AAC GOM)

Navy is 1-1, while Memphis is 2-0. The Midshipmen beat Wagner 24-0 last week, unable to cover the 43.5-point spread. Memphis crushed Arkansas 37-3. Memphis won this game at Navy last year by a score of 37-13, but all signs point to a much tighter battle this time around in our opinion. With a game vs. Missouri on a neutral field next week, will Memphis get caught "looking ahead?!" The possibility is there of course. Navy on the other hand has a bye next week, which works in our favor here this week as the team puts its entire focus onto this game. Navy runs the option attack, but QB Tai Lavatai had 161 yards passing, including a 45 yard pass to RB Anton Hall Jr. Let's not read too much into the Tigers' early numbers, also facing off against FCS Bethune-Cookman. We see the home side leaving the back door open just enough for the visiting side to comfortably sneak in through down the stretch; grab the points, the play is Navy!

AAA Sports

10* UNDER Bills/Jets (ASSASSIN)

It's going to take some time for Aaron Rodgers to develop chemistry with his new team. They'll be looking to run the ball heavily to open things up, to alleviate as much pressure off him as possible. The Jets will be better served keeping Josh Allen off the field of play as much as possible anyways. New York actually had one of the best defenses in the league last year, allowing the fourth least amount of PPG. THe last thing NY wants to do is turn this into a "shootout;" this number is high, the play is the "under!" 

AAA Sports

10* Giants (SUPER BLOWOUT)

Both teams advanced to the second round of the playoffs last year before then falling. Dallas has some talent to replace on offense this season though, and we've never been a big fan of Dak Prescott's. Dallas looks poised for a big step back this year after flailing once again last season. The Giants exceeded expectations by finishing 9-8 and in a contest that we see being decided late, or by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points (but note, we wouldn't be shocked by an outright upset or anything either); the play is New York!

AAA Sports

10* Eagles FIRST HALF (NON-CONF FH GOW)

NOTE: If you don't have access to FIRST HALF lines, then we still like this game as well for the entire game.

Philadelphia was 14-3 last year and it then lost in the Super Bowl to the Chiefs by the slimmest of margins. The Pats were 8-9. Mac Jones and the Pats should do a lot better in his third year and with a new OC, but the Eagles are primed to hit the ground running in our estimation. What's the best way to take the crowd out of this game, which will be hyped becuase of a Tom Brady ceremony? Burying them in the first half. And that's exactly what we're expecting the dynamic Jalen Hurts and company to do; the play is Philadelphia!

AAA Sports

10* RAVENS FIRST HALF (ASSASSIN)

NOTE: We also like Baltimore for the entire game, so if you don't have half time lines available, we're also suggesting a play on Baltimore for the ENTIRE game.

The Ravens have had a busy off-season, including locking up Lamar Jackson, signing Odell Beckham Jr. among other moves. Houston has CJ Stroud, who could go on to become the next John Elway, but he's going to be in over his head here on the road in this difficult road venue; the play is BALTIMORE.

AAA Sports

10* Vikings (NON-DIV. NFC GOY)

Baker Mayfield's career is on the line here. It's now or never for Mayfield, and he'll likely be without his top receiver in Mike Evans. There's plenty of off-field drama going on in Tampa and we expect Minnesota to take advantage of that fact here in Week 1, coming in as the more prepared team will result in a decisive and lop-sided decision. The Vikes won the NFC North last year and while they have a few question marks here and there, everything points to a comfortable win and cover here at home in our opinion; lay the points, the play is Minnesota!

AAA Sports

10* SMU (UNDERDOG BOB)

This is a non-conference matchup and we feel that SMU will be able to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with the large spread that it's been afforded in this one. SMU is off a 38-14 win over Louisiana Tech, while Oklahoma annihilated Arkansas State by a score of 73-0. SMU though was up 31-0 at halftime in its game before taking the foot off the gas in the second half as it was caught looking ahead to this much more difficult game. Oklahoma though is the one going to be get caught "looking ahead" to its game at Cincinnati next week. A great situational play, grab as many points as you can with SMU!

AAA Sports

10* NC State (ANNIHILATION)

The Irish are 2-0, but now they finally get tested this weekend. We're not calling for an outright upset or anything, but everything points to a much tighter battle than what this line is suggesting in our opinion. The Wolfpack won't be rolling over here at home after their 24-14 win over UConn last Thursday and with the advantage of a couple of extra days rest. Notre Dame had no problem with Tennessee State last week, and with a week off before a game at home vs. Ohio State on September 23rd, this for sure sets up as not only a "letdown" spot for the visitors, but also a "look ahead." This is a great "situational" play on NC State!

AAA Sports

10* UNDER Vanderbilt/Wake (EARLY)

A couple of non-conference opponents battle here and in our opinion, this total is a little high. Vanderbilt is off a 47-13 win over Alabama A&M, while Wake Forest smashed Elon 37-17. Both failed to cover the spread. Let's not overreact to last week's results offensively though is the moral of this story in our opinion. Wake Forest did win 45-25 last year, but with considerable turnover for each side, we're anticipating a much tighter game this time around. This one is going to be decided in the trenches and by field position; this number is high, the play is the under!

AAA Sports

10* Illinois (ASSASSIN)

Both teams enter at 1-0. Illinois is coming off a 30-28 win over Toledo, while Kansas beat Missouri State 48-17. Last year the Fighting Illini had the best defense in the country, but after the team lost its entire secondary to the NFL in the offseason, there's going to be a transition period obviously. QB Luke Altmyer had 211 yards passing and two TDs. Jalon Daniels could very well make his debut for the Jayhawks today, but if he does, we're expecting some "growing pains" for himself here as well as he gets "up to speed." Daniels had an 18:4 TD:INT last year before getting injured. Jason Bean looked good last week vs. Missouri State, but clearly this Illinois defense, despite being a shadow of its former self, is a huge step up in difficulty. An outright is possible, but the official call is to grab as many points as you can with Illinois!

AAA Sports

10* Lions (BLOCKBUSTER)

The Lions finished 9-8 last year, while the Chiefs went on to win the Super Bowl, their second in the last four years. The Chiefs' QB Patrick Mahomes is always an X-Factor despite who is on his line-up, but with six key starters from last year's record-breaking offense gone, there's going to be a small amount of transition time here for the KC offense to find the same chemistry as it clearly had last season. The Lions' defense was their weak-point all year, but the unit made big strides in the second half of the season, allowing just 20.2 PPG. Detroit is ready to hit the ground running and won't at all be intimidated here. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Detroit!

AAA Sports

10* Duke (MONEY)

Clemson comes to Duke here to open the season on Monday night off an 11 win campaign. Duke though really turned things around in 2022 under Mike Elko’s first season, finishing with nine wins. Clemson will feel that the 11 win season was a step back, while Duke's nine win campaign was one of its best of all time. The bottom line here is, Clemson is not the National power that it once was. The public is always quick to back the Tigers, but this matchup is more evenly matched than it appears in our opinion. Four of the Blue Devils losses last year were of the one-score variety. WB Riley Leonard is back, and we think he'll keep his team competitive late; no outright, but closer than expected so grab the points with Duke!

AAA Sports

10* Northwestern (ROUT)

Outright upset? Maybe, but after going 1-11 last year, Northwestern won't be lacking motivation today. Ben Bryant came over from Cincinnati to be the man under center and to refresh this offense. What better opponent to go up against to open the season than Rutgers, which went 4-8 last year? The Scarlet Knights once again have more questions than answers coming into this season. The Rutgers defense is its strength, but we're expecting this to be a much tighter battle than what this spread is suggesting; grab the points, the play is Northwestern!

AAA Sports

10* South Alabama (ASSASSIN)

South Alabama was an amazing 12-1 ATS last year, and we're expecting it to get out to a quick start in 2023/24 as well. Tulane finished 13th in rushing a year ago, but the Jaguars finished 8th in rushing defense. South Alabama was 10-3 overall, but it fell to WKU in the New Orleans Bowl. Overall the Jaguars allowed just 21.3 PPG. The Green Wave conceded 22.2. In a contest that we believe will "come down to the wire," we're grabbing the points; the play is South Alabama!

AAA Sports

10* Toledo (SITUATIONAL BLOODBATH)

Toledo has a stout offensive line and we think it'll be a difference-maker in being able to push around Illinois and hang and be competitive late. This was the MAC's best defense last year and that's going to be enough against this Illinois team on Saturday in our estimation. Toledo has the talen to run as well. Illinois is a great defense as well, so points will be at a premium. No matter which way you look at it though, this is a few too many points; grab the points, the play is Toledo!

AAA Sports

10* UTSA (NON-CONF GOY)

These teams are evenly matched, but I like the Roadrunners to find a way to get the job done in the end. With eight offensive and eight defensive starters returning from an 11-win squad in 2022, we believe UTSA will be one of the best Group of Five schools in the country. Last year these teams played at UTSA, and the Roadrunners fell 37-35 in OT as a 3.5-point dog. Look for UTSA to exact some revenge here in the Week 1 of the 2023/24 season this time around; the play is UTSA!

AAA Sports

10* Bowling Green (UNDERDOG SHOCKER)

Liberty is a huge favorite here, but note that it was just 6-7 ATS. When favored by ten or more points, the Flames did not cover the spread once out of six times last season. Bowling Green was just 4-8-1 ATS, but with a low turnover in personel, the Falcons are expected to take a small step forward this year. Bowling Green was an underdog of 10 or more points in four different games last year and the Falcons went 2-2 ATS. We're not predicting an outright, but we definitely feel this is a few too many points for Liberty to cover here in Week 1; grab the points, the play is Bowling Green!

AAA Sports

10* Hawaii (NON-CONF GOW)

Stanford has a ton of potential with new head coach Troy Taylor, whose Sacramento State team averaged around 500 yards per game. However, it's going to take time to build that chemistry, and that's where we ultimately see the door being open for the Warriors to comfortably sneak in through down the stretch. The Warriors lost at Vanderbilt last weekend, but covered the spread. Stanford is a total rebuild and there are so many question marks, that we expect the home side to be able to move the ball and be competitive. We'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, but all signs point to a much more competitive battle than what this spread is suggesting; grab the points, the play is Hawaii!

AAA Sports

10* Louisville (ACC GOM)

It would be difficult for Georgia Tech to be any worse than it was last year, so it will for sure be improved this season. However, that improvement is relative of course. Louisville does have plenty of new faces, including at head coach (Jeff Brohm) and defensive coordinator (Ron English), but the defense finished No. 1 in the nation in sacks last year, and this unit will have its way with the ACC's worst offensive line in tackles allowed for a loss. QB Jack Plummer has plenty of talent around him as well. These are the types of games that Louisville needs to run up the score on early, to allow its backups and wannabe's quality playing time in the fourth quarter; lay the points, the play is Louisville!

AAA Sports

10* Minnesota (BIG TEN GOM)

Minnesota was 9-4 last season, and it won the Pinstripe Bowl. The Gophers averaged 28.2 points per game, while allowing 13.8. Nebraska went 4-8 and failed to make a bowl appearance. It gave up 27.6 points per game, while averaging only 22.6 per contest. The Gophers are interestingly 5-3 ATS in their last eight as a 7.5-point favorite. Nebraska will be a lot better under Matt Rhule, and tranfer Jeff Simms is a dangerous play-maker. Defense is an issue again this year though. This game will once again be decided in the trenches (Minnesota won this game 20-13 last year, unable to cover the large 14.5-point spread.) Nebraska's lines on both sides of the ball will need some work to get up to speed. Look for Minnesota's tough defense to be the difference-maker; lay the points on the Gophers!

AAA Sports

10* Florida/Utah UNDER (TOM)

The Utes finished 10-4 last year and they lost in the Rose Bowl. Utah averaged 38.6 points per game while conceding 21.4. The Gators were 6-7 in 2022, and they lost the Las Vegas Bowl. They averaged 29.5 points, while allowing 28.8 per contest. Utah has question marks at QB though, as Cam Rising is still nursing a sore knee suffered in the Rose Bowl, while backup Brandon Rose was hurt in the preseason and he's up in the air as well. Florida's offense will be shaky to start this year as well, but it'll make up for it on the defensive side, which will be tough in the pass rush in this one. A great situational play on the "under!" 

AAA Sports

10* USC (BAIL-OUT BLOWOUT)

If USC is going to take the next step as a program, it has to take advantage of these early season games, and hammer their lesser competition over the first three quarters, to give the backups and younger kids some real game time in the fourth, including Malachi Nelson and Miller Moss, among various other high-profile back-ups. It would be a massive wasted opportunity if the Trojans don't approach this game seriously and absolutely lay the hammer down over the first three quarters. SJSU finished 7-4 overall and 4-7 ATS last year. With plenty of new faces, we expect the Spartans to struggle in this difficult road venue; lay the points, the play is the Trojans!

AAA Sports

10* Ohio (NON-CONF GOM)

SDSU finished 7-6 overall last year and 5-3 vs. the Mountain West. In the end the Aztecs fell 25-23 to MTSU in the Hawaii Bowl last year. Ohio finished 2022 with a 10-4 record, and was 7-1 vs. the MAC. The Bobcats then went on to win the Barstool Arizona Bowl by a score of 30-27 in OT over Wyoming. Tim Albin won the MAC Coach of the year and quarterback Kurtis Rourke earned MAC Offensive Play of the year as well. With another tough game at home vs. LIU next week, we're expecting the Bobcats to be on top of their Game in Week 0. With a "cream puff" vs. Idaho State next, we're expecting the home side to get caught "looking ahead." While we feel the outright is possible, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can with Ohio!

AAA Sports

10* Navy/ND UNDER (NON-CONF TOW)

This is the third time these teams have played each other in Ireland. Notre Dame is 2-0. The Irish are heavy favorites here, but we're steering clear of the side and instead focussing on the total. The last time was back in 2012 where the Irish won 50-10. Notre Dame finished 9-4 overall last year and 7-6 ATS. Sam Hartman transferred over from Wake Forest and he had 38 TD's and 12 INT's last year. He now steps behind one of the best offensive lines in the nation. Navy finihed 4-8 overall and 7-5 ATS. The Midshipmen came out on the wrong side of more than a couple close calls last week. Navy's offense is centered around the run and that's what we're expecting to see a lot of today. Also note that the Midshipment finished first in their conference in third down stops last year. They also ranked second in stopping the run in the nation and the defense returns most of the starters. Look for this "across the pond" contest to be decided by field position and special teams and expect it to fall "under" the number once it's all said and done.

AAA Sports

10* GAME OF MONTH on the Eagles MONEY LINE (GOM)

The bottom line here with this one, just to cut right to the chase, is that I believe that the Chiefs are a very mediocre team against really good defenses. If you're wagering on this game, then you likely know the cast of characters on each team, both players and coaches. You know the strengths and weaknesses of each team. And if you don't, you just need to go to ESPN or google it and literally millions of "review" articles will get you caught up to speed on how each team got to this point. But as I said, Kansas City was really mediocre this season vs. good pass rushing teams. And the Chiefs' defense isn't instilling the "fear of God" into anyone either. I'm going to bypass the spread, and just play the Eagles to win the Super Bowl straight-up!

AAA Sports

10* UNDER Chiefs/Eagles (TOM)

I think this Philadelphia defensive line has a chance to go down as one of the best in history. Especially if the Eagles win this game. The first thing you think about when you think about these two teams is the two men under center. Most would think that with Patrick Mahomes and Jalen Hurts as QB's, that we'd be in store for a high-scoring "shootout," but that's simply not going to be the case in my opinion. Both Hurts and Mahomes have been injured in the Playoffs. They do get two weeks off to prepare, but I believe these underrated defenses will benefit the most with the extra time. Each offense will be committed to the run, as it'll be the only way to keep these aggressive pass rushing units honest. Another big factor here sees two of the league's best "rushing QB's" going head-to-head. When you add it all up, I say this O/U line is a few points higher than it should be; the play is indeed on the "under!"

AAA Sports

10* UNDER Bengals/Chiefs (CONF. CHAMP TOY)

The first thing you think about when you think about these two teams are the two men under center. Joe Burrow and Patrick Mahomes are two of the most electrifying QB's in the league right now. Both of these teams are among the league leaders on offense, but in my opinion, I expect more of a defensive affair in this one. The injury to Mahomes has like 80% of the early public money on the Bengals. I'm staying away from choosing a side in this one, but I think the last thing that KC can afford to do now is turn this into a "shootout" with Burrow and the Bengals. Look for the experienced Mahomes to control his offense with short crossing routes and over the top dumps. Both of these defenses are fantastic as well, and are just overshadowed by these two polarizing pivots. Look for this hard-fought game to result in a lower-scoring "under!"

AAA Sports

10* Eagles MONEYLINE (CONF. CHAMP GOY)

If you're betting on this game, then you know the cast of characters on each team. Both the players and the coaches. You know the strengths and weaknesses of each of these teams. If not, there's literally millions of "review" articles out there that'll get you caught up on all of that information. I'm here to tell you why I think that the "sharp" move is to avoid the spread option with the Eagles altogether, and instead pay a bit more and just play this one on the moneyline. I do like the Eagles ATS as well, but I definitely like them a whole lot more on the moneyline, especially at this price. These two teams are even in many respects. Defensively, special teams. Each is loaded with individual talent. The bottom line for me though is about the two guys under center. Who do you trust more between Hurts and Purdy? For me, and after what I witnessed last weekend, I trust Hurts at home. Lay the price, the play is Philly on the moneyline option!

AAA Sports 

10* UNDER Cowboys/49ers (TOTAL ASSASSIN)

Two really good teams here. The first thing you think about when you think about either is the offense though. Brock Purdy and the weapons around him or impressive, but it was the 49ers' defense which sustained the team early and which is the unsung here of this team. The same can be said about Dak Prescott and his offense. However, it's been the Dallas defense which has been consistently under-rated this season. This is going to be a great game, but one that's decided by field position, by which team protects the ball, and by the men in the "trenches" on both sides of the field; this number is high, the play is the "under!"

AAA Sports

10* Bills (DIVISIONAL GOY)

The Bills are the correct call this weekend in my opinion. Say what you want, these teams are almost mirror images of each other. Let's be honest, it would not be too difficult to write a convincing argument for either of these team's to come out on top and deliver the goods this weekend. If you're betting on this game, then you know the cast of characters on each side. You know how each of these team's got to this point and you know what their strengths and weaknesses are. I think the Bills benefit greatly from playing at home in this divisional matchup, and ultimatley I expect this big factor to be the difference-maker in the outcome of this contest. Lay the points, the play is Buffalo!

AAA Sports

10* UNDER Jags/Chiefs (DIVISIONAL TOY)

I had the Jaguars last weekend. Do I feel "lucky?!" Of course I do! That said, I don't see lightning "striking twice" for Jacksonville this weekend. Kansas City is 7-1 at home and it scores 29.2 PPG, which is ranked No. 1. I think though that the Chiefs defense is vastly underrated. Especially in the playoffs, and especially at home. I have been a big fan of what Trevor Lawrence and Doug Pederson have done this year, but I think the "fairy tale" ends this week. I say a big letdown is in order here. Look for the Chiefs to "control" this game and to cruise to a lower-scoring victory; the play is the "under!"

AAA Sports

10* Bucs (WILDCARD GOY)

I think the correct call on Monday night is on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Tampa actually closed out the regular season in better form that Dallas. The Cowboys lost their final two games. Tampa clinched vs. Carolina in Week 17 in Brady's best game of the season, and then they went into half of their Week 18 matchup vs. the Falcons with a 17-10 lead, before then sitting all their starters in the second half. Brady's been waiting all year for the playoffs and his team is healthier now that it's been all season. These teams played in Arlington in Week 1 and the Bucs won by a score of 19-3. Dallas is just 1-5 ATS the last six in this series. The Bucs have a good run defense, so it turns Prescott's offense really one-dimensional. Clearly, the outright win isn't out of the question, but let's grab the points; the play is Tampa Bay!

AAA Sports

10* UNDER (TOTAL ASSASSIN)

With Skylar Thompson "managing" this game for the Ravens, Baltimore will look to limit his chances to make mistakes. That means adopting a run first attack while on offense. It also means a lot of over the top passes in short yardage situations. The key for the Ravens success today will be in if they can keep the ball out of Joe Burrows hands. The Bengals themselves have an underrated run game, and defense. This total opened at 43.5 and it's since dropped. I'm following that line movement here though, as I'm expecting a very low-scoring, tight defensive battle; the play is the "under!"

AAA Sports

10* Jaguars (ASSASSIN)

I like the Jags to win this game outright, but my official call will be to grab as many points as you can. They won six of their last seven games overall, and four straight at home. They have a really potent and balanced offensive attack, which I think Justin Herbert and company will have difficulties keeping up to down the stretch. Jacksonville hammered the Chargers 38-10 in Week 3 as 6.5-point underdogs. The Chargers have won four of their last five, but they're just 2-2 in their last four road games. I say that home field is a big advantage today for Jacksonville!

AAA Sports

10* OVER Hawks/49ers (WILDCARD TOY)

These teams played twice in the regular season, and San Francisco won each time. They won 27-7 in Week 2, and then 2l-13 in Week 15. Both games went "under" the number, but I'm anticipating some offense here finally. Seattle won its final two games of the regular season. If the Hawks are going to win this game, it's going to be on the arm of Gino Smith, who set the Hawks regular season record for most yards completed. He has plenty of weapons to throw too. The 49ers closed the season with eight straight wins. Their offense averages 26.5 PPG, which ranks sixth overall. While the first two games during the regular season went "under" the number, expect this faster-paced playoff affair to fly "over the posted total sooner, rather than later; the play is the "over!" 

AAA Sports

10* UNDER (TOW)

The Horned Frogs were 5-7 last year, and now here they are in the National Championship Game. While the Frogs got out to a fast start vs. Michigan, I htink the Bulldogs will be ready on the defensive end from the "get go." Why is Georgia such a big favorite here? The Bulldogs have superior talent throughout all three phases. NFL level talent. And they're much bigger in the trenches. The Bulldogs will be out to impose themselves here on the Horned Frogs. I'm not expecting a shootout. The exact opposite. Look for a run-heavy, slower-paced "under" i the National Championship Game this year!

AAA Sports

This is a 10* SUNDAY NIGHT SPECIAL on the Lions.

The winner will move onto the playoffs, and the loser will go home. Detroit smashed the Bears 41-10 last week and now the Lions need to beat Green Bay and have the Hawks lose to the Rams to qualify, while the Packers only need to win this game to earn a spot. In a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points. Detroit will actually know its fate, as Seattle plays earlier in the day, but regardless, I expect the Lions to come out play until the final whistle in this one no matter the scenario. Look for the prideful Lions to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably cover!

AAA Sports

10* EAGLES (NFC EAST GOM)

The Giants are locked into their spot whether they win or lose. Despite that though, a majority of the wagers are on the Giants to play "spoiler" here. New York will almost assuredly rest most or all of its starters. The Eagles have everything to play for here, as they need to win, or have both the Cowboys and 49ers lose to clinch top spot in the NFC overall. Whoever gets the call under center for the Eagles (Minshew or Hurts), I love the home side to dominate through all three phases of this game. The Giants are just thrilled their in the playoffs, it's been a massive turnaround for the G-Men. Look for the Eagles to go up early and to keep the pedal to the metal until the final whistle; lay the points, the play is Philadelphia!

AAA Sports

10* Falcons (NFC SOUTH GOM)

Atlanta actually opened up as a 7.5-point favorite, and this one has since dropped to right around 4.5. I see a lot of public money on the Bucs here despite the fact that they'll almost assuredly rest most or all of their starters after clinching the NFC South last weekend. I'd say, let's give this one the good ole eye test this weekend. I'm going to go contrarian here. I think the public is wrong on this one. Tom Brady and Mike Evans got their act together last week to clinch, but overall this has been a really difficult year for the Bucs. And that's for many different reasons obviously, but injury was the biggest reason for the slight step back this year for Tampa Bay. The Falcons are 6-10 after beating the Cardinals 20-19 last weekend. Atlanta could have easily thrown in the towel, but its still playing hard here at the end of the year. It also plays with revenge here after a 21-15 loss to Tampa in Week 5. I think Desmond Ridder and the Falcons are the correct call. This is their SUPER BOWL,  final home game of the season, there's no way they lose this one to the Buccaneers backups; lay the points, the play is the Falcons!

AAA Sports

10* Titans (WINNER)

The AFC South all comes down to this. The winner moves on and the loser goes home. The Jaguars have won five of their last six, including four straight. Trevor Lawrence has been nearly unstoppable. Tennessee has lost six straight, but the one thing the Titans have going for them I guess is that they last played the following Thursday in a 27-13 loss at home to Dallas, so they'e had a couple extra days off. And that should help running back Derrick Henry, but it's not going to bring back quarterback Ryan Tannehill. That means that Josh Dobbs will make his second straight start for the Titans. The Titans to their credit rested a lot of their starters in last week's loss, knowing that it was do or die here in Week 18. One other thing the Titans have going for them is that they also do play with revenge here as they lost 36-22 at home as three-point favorites back in Week 14 to the Jaguars. The bottom line here though is that in my opinion Henry is such a great player for Tennessee that I think he can single-handidly keep his team in this one (he rushed for 121 yards on 7.1 yards per carry in the last loss.) Dobbs should be able to improve on his effort in last week's loss, he was 20 of 39 for 232 passing yards, a touchdown and an interception. The Titans are quite good against the run as well, which should limit Travis Etinne this week. Lawrence and the Jaguars are in uncharted territory and I've been on Jacksonville a few times during this recent run, but I think Tennessee offers great value here in an upset role. While I'll stop short in calling for the outright upset my official call will be to grab as many points as you can with the Titans in what I believe will be war until the final whistle!

AAA Sports

10* OVER Penn State/Utah (BOWL TOY)

It's the "Granddaddy of 'Em All," with the Big Ten facing off against the Pac 12. Penn State brings in a great offense led by veteran QB Sean Clifford, who is playing his final game. He's aided by dynamic RB Nicholas Singleton, who is averaging 6.3 yards per carry. The Nittany Lions are going to have to be sharp offensively facing this "on fire" Utah offense, that's posted 110 points over its last two games, including in securing the Pac 12 title over USC. QB Cameron Rising had 300 yards passing and three TD's in that one. This year's Rose Bowl features two awesome QB's and I look for them to be the main story line in tomorrow's summaries of this contest; this number is low, the play is the over!

AAA Sports

10* Tulane (BOWL GOY)

USC comes in off a tragic 47-24 loss to Utah in the PAC 12 Championship Game and I think it'll just go through the motions here after that disapointment. A trip to the College Football Playoff was on the line, but the Utes managed an impressive second victory of the season over the over-rated Trojans. Listen, I get it, USC can score. The Trojans average 41.1 PPG, which ranks third in the country. The issue is clearly on the defensive end. Overall I think the PAC 12 is a week Conference. Tulane comes in off an impressive 45-28 destruction of UCF to earn the AAC title and finish 11-2. The Green Wave are more motivated and hungry here. They average 35.2 PPG, but they have a superior defense. USC QB Caleb Williams was injured in the loss to Utah, and if he does play in this one, clearly he won't be at 100%; while I do think the outright win is possible, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can with the Green Wave!

AAA Sports

This is a 10* AFC NORTH TOM on the OVER Pitt/Bal.

I'm expecting this total to eclipse the posted number as the game comes down the stretch. The Steelers are rolling, as they've won two straight and three of their last four. They're going to have their hands full here though with a Ravens side that plays with revenge after losing 16-14 at Pittsburgh in December (note that Baltimore though has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS divisional road loss against an opponent in which it was held to 14 or less points in.) Baltimore is off a 17-9 win over ATL last week and it's won 3 of its last 4 despite the QB issues with LaMar Jackson. I think the home side opens up the playbook this weekend for Tyler Huntley now. Look for this total sneak "over the number once the final whistle sounds!

AAA Sports

10* Jets (CONTRARIAN CRUSHER)

This is a HUGE game for both sides. Both need a victory here to keep their playoff hopes alive. The Jets Lost 19-3 to the Jaguars last week and they've lost four in a row. Seattle is off a 24-10 loss at Kansas City, and it's lost three straight. In Mike White's three starts for New York though, the Jets are averaging 21.7 PPG and 420.3 yards. The Jets are great defensively as well, allowing just 18.8 points and 309.3 YPG. I think Geno Smith, who started out the season brilliantly but who has predictably faded over the last few weeks with his performance, will once again have a difficult time moving the ball as well. Seattle concedes a terrible 25.3 PPG. Look for the Jets to take full advantage; lay the short points!

AAA Sports

10* Michigan (DEC BOWL 'GOM')

TCU messed up in its 31-28 loss at home to TCU. Or did it? It's still in the College Football Playoff, but I think the loss is a precursor to more of a decline here at the end of the month. The Horned Frogs average 40.3 PPG, but they were handled well by the Wildcats' defense, which doesn't bode well facing this aggressive Wolverines unit. Michigan comes in fired up after its 43-22 win over Purdue in the Big Ten Championship game, going on to easily cover the 16 point spread. Michigan averages 40.1 PPG, but as I mentioned above, it's defense is superior in my opinion, and much more battle tested when you look at the level of competition. The win at Ohio State was epic. The Wolverines are well-coached and I expect them to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable cover and win; lay the points, the play is the Wolverines!

AAA Sports

10* South Carolina (ASSASSIN)

If you want a full review of how each team did throughout the year, there's literally tens of millions of "review" articles out there. ESPN etc. If you simply want to know why I think South Carolina will win this game, then you've come to the right place. I like being succinct with my analysis, as I truly believe the clients who purchase this information, would rather just "get to the point," than read an entire "novel" of why I believe one side or another should win. Both teams finished up strong, but without Notre Dame's best player in this one, Mayer, and its starting QB Pyne, the value here swings to the Gamecocks. South Carolina's offense started to hit its stride at the end of the season, scoring more than 30 points in its final two games. While the outright is possible, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can with the Gamecocks!

AAA Sports

10* Texas (ATS BLOOD-BATH)

The Longhorns finished 8-4 after beating Kansas and Baylor to end the regular season. Their two best RB's will be out for this one, and that's why this spread is so low. Despite that though, I like the rest of this team to step up and deliver the goods. Quinn Ewers has a big opportunity now to showcase his talents for Texas under center, and I think he'll be a big difference-maker in this Bowl game. The Longhorns defense was great as well, limiting teams to just 21.2 PPG. Washington is 10-2. It closed out the season with a 51-33 win over WSU in the Apple Cup. QB Michael Penix Jr. was decent, but he struggles against aggressive pass-rushing defenses like the Longhorns. The Huskies defense concedes 26.3 PPG as well. Look for TEXAS to do just enough to secure the win and cover!

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the Titans.

Dallas came from behind to knock off PHiladelphia at home by a score of 40-34 last weekend, but I think it'll struggle to cover this large spread on the road and on the short week, despite the personel issues that Tennessee has right now. The Cowboys looked terrible defensively last week. The Titans are still in the mix for a playoff spot, sitting at 7-8 and in second place in the AFC SOuth. They've lost five straight games, but note that they're 7-2 ATS in their last nine after three or more SU losses. The Titans lost 19-14 to an improved Texans team last week with Malik Willis under center. I think the rookie benefits from that experience and will be much more efficient this evening though; look for the hungry Titans to play with pride, and to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch; grabe the points!

AAA Sports

10* UNDER Kansas/Arkansas (BOWL TOM)

These teams haven't played each other in over 100 years. That streak ends on December 28th at Simmons Liberty Stadium in Memphis. Kansas finished 6-6 and it's finally in a bowl game for the first time since 2006. This is a big deal for the Jayhawks and their fan base. Arkansas also finished 6-6, but that was a disappointment for the Razorbacks, who went 9-4 last year, including psoting a win in the Outback Bowl. Kansas actually started the season 5-0, but then its starting QB got hurt, Conference play started and the Jayhawks went on to lose six of their last seven. But first year head coach Lance Leipold's first season is still a success. QB Jalon Daniels did return from injury and finished with 1,470 passing yards, 13 TD's and two INT's. Kansas struggled defensively, but I think it can make some plays against Arkansas QB KJ Jefferson. The bottom line is, neither team will be suiting up their entire squad, and I believe the long lay off will have a detrimental effect on these offenses; the play is the under!

AAA Sports