Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-06-25 | Kings v. Blazers +1.5 | Top | 102-108 | Win | 100 | 18 h 0 m | Show |
We like the Portland Trail Blazers to defeat the Sacramento Kings on Thursday at 10:10pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: Portland is winning everything right now. Over its L10 games, its 9-1 and 10-0 against the spread. The Trail Blazers are now gaining more and more ground on a play in tournament position. They are also 16-4 over their L20 games played against the Kings. Sacramento may have traded for Zach LaVine. But, he didn't do much in his first game and could be below average again today. The Kings are just 3-5 over their L8 games, 2-6 versus the spread. We think that Portland gets the better of Sac-Town tonight. AAA Sports |
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02-01-25 | Lakers +10 v. Knicks | Top | 128-112 | Win | 100 | 16 h 37 m | Show |
We like the Los Angeles Lakers to defeat the New York Knicks on Saturday at 8:40pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: Los Angeles is red hot right now, and back to winning after beating Washington by 38 on Thursday. The Lakers are now 7-1 over their L8 games against teams from the East and 10-1 their L11 against teams from the Atlantic Division. New York has won five games in a row itself and is hot too. The Knicks are just 2-3 straight up and versus the spread over their L5 games against LAL. We think that this line is too large. Grab the points. AAA Sports |
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01-27-25 | Bucks -8.5 v. Jazz | 125-110 | Win | 100 | 17 h 22 m | Show | |
We like the Milwaukee Bucks to defeat the Utah Jazz on Monday at 9:10pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: Milwaukee is 26-18 this season and has won eight of its L10 games this season. The Bucks are 5-1 against the spread and straight up over their L6 games. They are also 5-2 versus the spread over their L7 games against teams from the Northwest Division in the Western Conference. Utah is just 10-33 this season and has lost 10 of its L11 games played at home. The Jazz are just 17-61 over their L78 games played since last year as well. We think that this game will be a blowout. Lay the points. AAA Sports |
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01-27-25 | Grizzlies +4 v. Knicks | 106-143 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 51 m | Show | |
We like the Memphis Grizzlies to defeat the New York Knicks on Monday at 7:40pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: Memphis has won six straight games and shouldn't be content. Another win here would be huge. The Grizzlies are 11-0 versus the spread over their L11 games played against teams from the Eastern Conference. The Grizzlies also have a lot more depth than the Knicks and that should cause problems for the Knicks in what we think will be a very physical game. New York has looked quality for most of this season as well. But, the Knicks aren't so good at covering the spread. They are only 2-8 against the spread over their L10 games played against opponents from the Southwest Division in the Western Conference. We've got the Grizzlies winning this game. AAA Sports |
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01-25-25 | Raptors v. Hawks -4 | Top | 117-94 | Loss | -108 | 17 h 60 m | Show |
We like the Atlanta Hawks to defeat the Toronto Raptors on Saturday at 7:40pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: These two teams played a couple of days ago with Toronto getting the best of Atlanta. This time, we think that the Hawks, who are 10-4 over their L14 games played against Eastern Conference opponents, will win. They are also 9-3 over their L12 games played against teams from the Atlantic Division inside the Eastern Conference. Toronto is just 1-9 over their L10 road games and has lost 19 of 21 away from home this season. The Raptors are also 11-30 as an underdog this season. We think that Atlanta bounces back and gets the win. AAA Sports |
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01-22-25 | Warriors +7.5 v. Kings | Top | 117-123 | Win | 100 | 16 h 27 m | Show |
We like the Golden State Warriors to cover the spread against the Sacramento Kings on Wednesday at 10:10pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: Golden State is off a blowout loss, but has actually played just as well on the road than at home this season. The Warriors are winning 50% of their games away from the bay. Sacramento wins just 50% of its games at home. The Dubs are also 4-1 against the spread over their L5 games played on the road against SAC. The Kings have failed to cover in four of their L5 games played against opponents within the Pacific Division. We think that the Warriors are getting too many points and will cover the spread at least tonight. AAA Sports |
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01-20-25 | Mavs v. Hornets +5.5 | 105-110 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
We like the Charlotte Hornets to cover the spread against the Dallas Mavericks on Monday at 12:10pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: Charlotte is on a little winning streak right now off back-to-back wins. Even with no Brandon Miller, the Hornets are most definitely a tough game for any opponent. They are also 4-1-1 versus the spread over their L6 games. Dallas is still without its best player in Luke Doncic. The Mavericks are just 2-9 against the spread over their L11 games this year. We think that the Hornets could pull off the upset today. Grab the points. AAA Sports |
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01-18-25 | Cavs v. Wolves +6.5 | Top | 124-117 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 2 m | Show |
We like the Minnesota Timberwolves to defeat the Cleveland Cavaliers on Saturday at 9:10pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: Minnesota is off a one-point loss, but is still a contender in the West with Anthony Edwards and Julius Randle on its team. The Timberwolves have won three straight home games against Cleveland played in the month of January. Cleveland lost embarrassingly against OKC on the road in its last game by 20 points. The Cavs have a great record, but absolutely could fall off a bit. They've lost two of their L3 games now. They are also just 1-4 straight up and against the spread over their L5 games against Minnesota. With the T-Wolves starting to play much better basketball recently, we think that they've got a real shot at winning this game outright. Grab the points. AAA Sports |
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01-15-25 | Rockets v. Nuggets +1.5 | 128-108 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 44 m | Show | |
We like the Denver Nuggets to defeat the Houston Rockets on Wednesday at 9:10pm for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: Denver is off four straight wins (straight up and versus the spread) and is now 24-15 this season. The Nuggets are shooting the ball much better than they were, and the whole team is getting involved and helping Jokic. Jokic is putting up MVP numbers again this season and is battling with Shai-Gilgeous Alexander right now. Houston has won four straight games too, but is 3-4 over its L7 road games against the Western Conference. The Rockets are just 1-10 over their L11 games played against the Nuggets on the road. Denver gets it done at home tonight. Grab the extra point and a half. AAA Sports |
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01-11-25 | Grizzlies v. Wolves -1 | 127-125 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 24 m | Show | |
We like the Minnesota Timberwolves to defeat the Memphis Grizzlies on Saturday at 8:10pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: Minnesota enters this game having won three games in a row. The Timberwolves are feeling hot and are looking to keep it going tonight. They are 4-1 versus the spread over their L5 games against opponents from the Southwest Division. The Timberwolves are also 6-1 (5-2 against the spread) over their L7 games played against Memphis. The Grizzlies are off a loss and have now lost four of their L6 games. They are also just 4-13 over their L17 games against opponents from the Northwest Division. Lay the point, or play Minnesota on the moneyline at home tonight. AAA Sports |
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01-09-25 | Warriors +3.5 v. Pistons | Top | 107-104 | Win | 100 | 15 h 49 m | Show |
We like the Golden State Warriors to defeat the Detroit Pistons on Thursday at 7:10pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: Golden State isn't playing very well right now, leading this line to be where it's at. The Warriors are much better than this though. Even if Stephen Curry doesn't go, this line is disrespectful to them as a team. They are 6-2 over their L8 games against Detroit and 9-3 over their L12 on the road against them. Detroit has won five games in a row which is hard to ignore. But, the Pistons are still the Pistons. We think that they will struggle today against a team that should be much better than their recent opponents. Grab the points with Golden State. AAA Sports |
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01-08-25 | Spurs +6 v. Bucks | 105-121 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 46 m | Show | |
We like the San Antonio Spurs to cover the spread against the Milwaukee Bucks on Wednesday at 9:40pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: San Antonio has played much better than a lot of people thought it would this season. With Devin Vassell back in the starting lineup and healthy, this group should be able to play with most teams in the NBA. The Spurs are 5-1 versus the spread over their L6 games played away from home. Milwaukee has had a season of highs and lows so far. The Bucks are just 2-4 straight up and versus the spread over their L6 games. They are also just 2-10 against the spread over their L12 games against San Antonio. Grab the points, we think that this could be an upset. AAA Sports |
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01-07-25 | Hawks -6 v. Jazz | 124-121 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 53 m | Show | |
We like the Atlanta Hawks to defeat the Utah Jazz on Tuesday at 9:10pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: Atlanta is on a on a small losing streak, but still is .500 this season. The Hawks are much better offensively than the Jazz, and match up well. Jalen Johnson is ruled out for ATL, but so is John Collins for Utah. The Jazz are just 5-13 over their L18 games played this season, even having won back-to-back games. At home this season, Utah is just 2-12 (5-9 versus the spread.) We think that the Hawks bounce back and win this game big against the Jazz. AAA Sports |
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01-03-25 | Knicks v. Thunder -5 | Top | 107-117 | Win | 100 | 17 h 29 m | Show |
We like the Oklahoma City Thunder to defeat the New York Knicks on Friday at 8:10pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: New York has won nine straight games but still is a decent sized underdog tonight. Why? Because the Knicks have trouble against the Thunder. Over their L15 games against them, they are just 4-11 versus the spread. (1-5 straight up over the L6.) Oklahoma City has won eight games in a row themselves. The Thunder are 5-0 over their L5 games against Eastern Conference teams. We think OKC wins this one by double digits. AAA Sports |
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12-29-24 | Grizzlies v. Thunder -7.5 | 106-130 | Win | 100 | 20 h 5 m | Show | |
We like the Oklahoma City Thunder to defeat the Memphis Grizzlies on Sunday at 7:10pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: Even though Oklahoma City played yesterday, this is a great team that should be winning most of these games. The Thunder are 5-0 over their L5 games and have been great against the spread as well lately. They've also won straight up and covered versus the spread in five games in a row against the Grizzlies. Memphis is playing very well this season, but has way too many injuries. The Grizzlies are without Morant, Aldama, Smart and more for this game. We're backing to home team. Lay the points. AAA Sports |
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12-26-24 | Bulls v. Hawks -6 | Top | 133-141 | Win | 100 | 15 h 25 m | Show |
We like the Atlanta Hawks to defeat the Chicago Bulls on Thursday at 7:40pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: Atlanta is back on track now after beating Minnesota in its last game. ATL is .500 on the season now. The Hawks are 8-4 over their L12 games played this season. Chicago is off back-to-back losses and is now 13-17 this year The Bulls are not playing very well and could see some major changes happen before February's trade deadline. They are just 2-5 versus the spread over their L7 games. We're going to side with the home team that has much more going for them right now after their NBA Cup Semi's appearance. Lay the points. AAA Sports |
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12-25-24 | Spurs +9 v. Knicks | Top | 114-117 | Win | 100 | 8 h 1 m | Show |
We like the San Antonio Spurs to cover the spread against the New York Knicks on Wednesday at 12:10pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: San Antonio has a winning record this season. The Spurs are playing much better than one would expect. Victor Wembanyama will want to show the world how good he really is this Christmas. His first big opportunity is here. The Spurs are 5-2 versus the spread over their L7 games againsts opponents from the Atlantic Division in the East. New York is hot right now, but has had trouble against the spread vs the Spurs. Over their L9 games against each other, the Knicks are just 3-6 vs the spread. They are also just 2-7 against the spread over their L9 games against opponents from the Southwest Division in the West. We think San Antonio could pull off the upset on Xmas Day, but will most definitely keep it within single digits! AAA Sports |
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12-21-24 | Wizards +12.5 v. Bucks | Top | 101-112 | Win | 100 | 16 h 16 m | Show |
We like the Washington Wizards to cover the spread against the Milwaukee Bucks on Saturday at 8:10pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: Washington is off a win and is playing much better so far in December than in November. The Wizards will be without Kuzma again today, but that might be a positive. They play much better team ball without him. The Wizards are now 4-1 versus the spread over their L5 games this season. Milwaukee got smoked yesterday against the Bucks. They might take a bit to recover after a long NBA Cup run. The Bucks are just 1-4 against the spread over their L5 games against the Wizards. We'll grab the points here. AAA Sports |
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12-19-24 | Warriors +3 v. Grizzlies | 93-144 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 1 m | Show | |
We like the Golden State Warriors to defeat the Memphis Grizzlies on Thursday at 8:10pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: Golden State isn't playing it's best basketball right now. Because of the poor stretch, GS is the underdog. But, the Warriors are still 4-2 versus the spread over their L6 games. The Dubs have also beaten the Grizzlies in eight of the L12 meetings. Memphis is off a loss themselves to the Lakers. The Grizzlies have been playing very good basketball. But, they've had their troubles against Golden State. Three straight games against each other have gone in GS's favor. We'll go with the Warriors to bounce back today. AAA Sports |
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12-13-24 | Suns -6 v. Jazz | Top | 134-126 | Win | 100 | 26 h 15 m | Show |
We like the Phoenix Suns to defeat the Utah Jazz on Friday at 9:40pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: Phoenix have listed Kevin Durant as Game-Time Decision for this game. If he were to play, the line would most likely jump. Given that he still has the chance to play, this line on the Suns is the way to go. Over their L5 games against in-conference opponents (West,) the Suns have covered versus the spread in four of them. Phoenix have also won seven games in a row against this Utah team, including four @Utah. The Jazz have lost 16 of their L19 games played at their own home. Utah are also just 1-6 straight up and 2-5 versus the spread over their L7 games this season. In their last game, Utah got blown out by 44 points against Sac-Town. That loss will be too much to overcome today. We know the Suns aren't performing well right now either. But, we also know that this is a great matchup for them to get back to winning. We think they win this game by double digits. AAA Sports |
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12-11-24 | Warriors +2.5 v. Rockets | 90-91 | Win | 100 | 18 h 50 m | Show | |
We like the Golden State Warriors to defeat the Houston Rockets on Wednesday at 9:30pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: Golden State won on Sunday against the Timberwolves. That will have them ready to go for this NBA Cup game. The Warriors are 7-1 over their L8 games played against teams in the Southwest Division of the Western Conference. As good as the Rockets have been this season, they have not found success against the Warriors over the past few season. Houston have lost eight straight home games vs GS and they've also lost 15 games in a row overall against them. The Rockets are also just 1-2 over their L3 games this season. We think Golden State wins again, just like they did six days ago. AAA Sports |
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12-07-24 | Grizzlies v. Celtics -6.5 | 127-121 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
We like the Boston Celtics to defeat the Memphis Grizzlies on Saturday at 8:10pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: Memphis was on a great run. But, that road loss against Dallas will settle them down a bit. They are going to lose again tonight. The Grizzlies did win their last game against Sacramento. But, that was back at home. Now, they are going all the way to Boston for today's game. Memphis haven't won a game in 10 straight against Boston on the road, only covering the spread in two of them. The Celtics have won seven straight games played at the TD Garden. Boston are also 14-2 over their L16 games played against the Western Conference. Lay the points on the home team in Saturday's game. AAA Sports |
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11-19-24 | Cavs v. Celtics -5 | 117-120 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 45 m | Show | |
We like the Boston Celtics to defeat the Cleveland Cavaliers on Tuesday at 7:10pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: Cleveland might have a 15-0 record this season. But, we think the Celtics put everything together to be the first team knock them off on Tuesday. Boston surprisingly lost their first NBA Cup game this season. It was against Atlanta without Trae Young. They definitely will be trying to win this one after that game. The Celtics are 16-4 over their L20 games overall since last season. They are also 10-2 over their L12 at home. The Cavs have had trouble figuring out the Celtics. In their L13 games versus each other, Boston has won 11 of them. Missing their last game with an injury, Jrue Holiday will be back in the lineup tonight. He will provide some very key minutes. We think that the line gives us a good idea of what's to come. Boston wins this one. AAA Sports |
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11-17-24 | Mavs +5.5 v. Thunder | 121-119 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
We like the Dallas Mavericks to defeat the Oklahoma City Thunder on Sunday at 7:10pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: The Thunder will be without Chet Holgren (as they have been) for a while, and Alex Caruso tonight. Without Chet, OKC have to play extreme small ball. That will favor a physical team like the Mavs. Unlike the past couple of teams the Thunder have played, Dallas have the size to exploit them. Dallas have won back-2-back games versus Oklahoma City. They've also won four of the L5. The Mavericks aren't playing their best quite yet, but still need to be thrown in consideration as one of the best in the west after making the NBA Finals a season ago. We think this is a great spot to sell high on the Thunder. They'll start to regress just slightly without one of their stars. AAA Sports |
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11-15-24 | Pistons v. Raptors +1.5 | 99-95 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 54 m | Show | |
We like the Toronto Raptors to defeat the Detroit Pistons on Friday at 7:10pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: The Pistons won their first NBA cup game, some may say by luck. But, we expect them to lose today. Toronto might be 2-10 this season. But, they have been covering the spread. They are 8-3 versus the spread over their L11 games. The Raptors have also won five of the L7 games between these two. Detroit are just 5-15 in their L20 games within the Eastern Conference. We think that the Raptors play much harder than Detroit and that should pay off at home. This is a very winnable game for them and they must take what's theirs to gain. AAA Sports |
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11-13-24 | Pistons v. Bucks -5.5 | 120-127 | Win | 100 | 18 h 50 m | Show | |
We like the Milwaukee Bucks to defeat the Detroit Pistons on Wednesday at 8:10pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: The Bucks are without Damian Lillard. But, that didn't stop them last night as they pulled away late against Toronto. Both teams played last night, which gives the Bucks the advantage playing at home today. Milwaukee have been ruthless against Detroit in the past winning 16 of the L17 contests at home, as well as nine straight overall. The Pistons have also lost five games in a row when playing against their own division. The Central. The Bucks are looking to get things going and start up a run of win. This is the time to do so. Lay the points with Milwaukee. AAA Sports |
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11-10-24 | Rockets -4.5 v. Pistons | 101-99 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 39 m | Show | |
We like the Houston Rockets to defeat the Detroit Pistons on Sunday at 3:10pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: Houston have won the L5 meetings between these two teams by an average of 8.6 points per game. The L4 meetings played in Detroit have all gone to the Rockets as well. The Rockets are 5-3 this season while the Pistons are 4-5. We think that the Pistons are over-performing right now. Offensive rebounding has been the name of the game for Houston. They lead the league in O-Reb's right now and average nearly four more than Detroit do a game. Jalen Duren is doubtful for today's game too. That'll be a huge miss for the Pistons against a terrific center like Sengun for HOU. We'll go with the Rockets today minus the points. They will win this game by more than five points. AAA Sports |
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11-08-24 | Suns v. Mavs -2 | 114-113 | Loss | -112 | 25 h 25 m | Show | |
We like the Dallas Mavericks to defeat the Phoenix Suns on Friday at 7:40pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: Ever since that playoff series between these two teams in 2022, Luka Doncic has made playing this team personal. In that series, the trash talk was real after the Mavs went down 2-0 and 3-2. They responded and won in Game 7. Since Game 3 of that series, the Mavs are 9-4 versus the spread in 13 games against the Suns. Phoenix have done a bad job against the spread so far this year. In fact, they are 2-10 ATS in their L12 games since last year. The Suns have had some trouble against the Southwest Division recently with a 3-6 record ATS in their L9 versus that division. Dallas is 9-4 against the spread in their L13 against the Pacific Division. This should be a great watch. We're going with the slight home favorite. AAA Sports |
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11-04-24 | Spurs v. Clippers -4 | Top | 104-113 | Win | 100 | 18 h 27 m | Show |
We like the Los Angeles Clippers to defeat the San Antonio Spurs on Monday at 10:30pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: Los Angeles still haven't won a game at home yet in this new stadium. Snapping this three game losing streak and winning this first game is huge for them. Even with the CP3 addition, San Antonio still are a very young team and have lots to learn. The Clippers are 7-0 SU and 5-2 ATS in their last seven games played against the Spurs. San Antonio are 3-11 in their last 14 games against opponents from the Pacific Division in the Western Conference. Tre Jones and Devin Vassell's absences haven't hurt the Spurs yet, but they will against the better teams that they match up against. We'll go with LAC to grab their first home win on Monday. AAA Sports |
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11-04-24 | Kings +1 v. Heat | 111-110 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
We like the Sacramento Kings to defeat the Miami Heat on Monday at 8:15pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: Miami had to fly back and forth to Mexico before this game as they played in the Glogal Game on Saturday. The Heat have been underperforming at home lately as they've failed to cover the spread in five straight games. Overall, Miami is 2-6 ATS in their last eight since last season. Sacramento is a much better team than last year, adding DeMar DeRozan to their team. With Sabonis off a 17, 20 and 10 game, we think he'll be a force again on Monday. The line has gone towards the Kings, we're grabbing it before it moves even more. AAA Sports |
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10-31-24 | Suns -4.5 v. Clippers | Top | 125-119 | Win | 100 | 19 h 60 m | Show |
We like the Phoenix Suns to defeat the Los Angeles Clippers on Thursday at 10:40pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: The Clippers lost a hard fought game by just one last night against the Trail Blazers. They had just two guys in double figures. Phoenix is well rested having had two days off. They've won back to back games against the Lakers and Mavericks. The Suns have won six of the last nine meetings between the two teams - as well as six of the last seven when played @ Los Angeles. At home, the Clippers have had a tough time. They've yet to win in their new arena and have now lost seven of the past eight home games since last season. No Kawhi is really hurting the Clips. Remember, they also lost Paul George over the offseason. The Suns are on a winning streak and will prevail again on Thursday. AAA Sports |
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10-30-24 | Hawks -3.5 v. Wizards | Top | 120-133 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 20 m | Show |
We like the Atlanta Hawks to defeat the Washington Wizards on Wednesday at 7:10pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: Washington did win against Atlanta on Monday. But, they will be without their top player in Kyle Kuzma tonight as he suffered a groin strain in that game. That's a big miss for the Wizards as they are already thin without him. Atlanta has won five straight meetings in games played at Washington entering today. They are also 16-4 overall in their last 20 meetings against each other. The Wizards have lost five home games in a row since the end of last season. Trae Young will bounce back today and Jalen Johnson finally woke up in their last game. That will help Atlanta tons in the future. We've got the Hawks to bounce back and even up the season series at one game a piece on Wednesday. Lay the small number. AAA Sports |
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10-29-24 | Nuggets -5.5 v. Nets | 144-139 | Loss | -109 | 16 h 23 m | Show | |
We like the Denver Nuggets to defeat the Brooklyn Nets on Tuesday at 7:40pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: Denver lost their first two games, then responded on Monday against the Raptors. This is a second game of a back-to-back, but the Nuggets should still be fresh having only played three games so far. The Nets surprisingly beat the Bucks on Sunday, but Milwaukee still isn't at full strength (no Middleton.) Brooklyn relies on Cam Thomas to do the majority of their scoring and we think that Denver will be ready for that. The Nuggets have won three straight meetings SU/ATS against the Nets. Since 2022, they are 5-1 SU/ATS against them. Last season, Denver was 9-4 in the second game of a back-to-back (no rest.) Brooklyn was not a playoff team last year and lost Mikal Bridges this offseason. They are still a few years away from competing. We believe that Denver dominates this basketball game. Lay the points on Tuesday. AAA Sports |
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10-28-24 | Bulls +7 v. Grizzlies | Top | 126-123 | Win | 100 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
We like the Chicago Bulls to defeat the Memphis Grizzlies on Monday at 8:10pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: The Bulls are much better than people think. They lost DeMar DeRozan over the offseason but still have stars like Zach LaVine, Nikola Vucevic and Coby White. Chicago has done really well against the Southwest Division of the Western Conference for a while now. In their L15 games vs. those teams, they are 11-4. Since last year, the Grizzlies are just 3-12 on their home-court. Zach Edey hasn't been all that great so far. The liability at the center position could open up even more scoring options for Vucevic. Ja Morant is questionable for this game with a thigh injury. We think he plays, but he could be limited. He's yet to play over 27 minutes this year. Other Grizzlies players are still coping with injuries. They've got a short bench. We think the Bulls can win this game outright. Take the points this evening. AAA Sports |
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10-23-24 | Pacers -4 v. Pistons | 115-109 | Win | 100 | 15 h 14 m | Show | |
We like the Indiana Pacers to defeat the Detroit Pistons on Wednesday at 7:10pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones: Indiana was 47-35 last season. Detroit owned the worst record in basketball at 14-68. Detroit did bring in Tobias Harris, Tim Hardaway Jr, Malik Beasley, and Paul Reed. That will help them win some more games this season. But, they still won't be good enough to get to the playoffs. The Pistons got obliterated in every game last season between these two teams. Each of the four games were by more than eight points. Indiana ranked 2nd in offensive efficiency last year and played at a very quick pace. If they keep that up this season, Detroit won't be able to keep up. The Pistons finished their 2023-24 campaign having lost seven straight home games. We think that the Pacers should be favored by a lot more here in the opener. Therefore, lay the small number. AAA Sports |
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06-17-24 | Mavs +7 v. Celtics | Top | 88-106 | Loss | -105 | 51 h 32 m | Show |
10* Mavericks (GOW) Dallas finally got some defensive pressure on the Celtics, and while they may not win Game 5 outright, we're expecting another really competitive battle from the visiting side, and will therefore recommend to grab as many points as you can. Dallas still believe's it has a shot and its much vaunted defense which carried it to this point finally showed up. This is a big deal for the Boston franchise, sitting tied with the Lakers with 17 championships. Due to this extra pressure, and the Mavs' now new found sense of confidence, we will indeed suggest to grab the points with the visitors; the play is Dallas! AAA Sports |
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06-09-24 | Mavs v. Celtics -6.5 | Top | 98-105 | Win | 100 | 55 h 1 m | Show |
10* Celtics (ASSASSIN) We had a play on the Celtics in Game 1, and if you didn't have a chance to read that analysis, we feel it's worth quickly doing so now, as for the most part, the logic and the reasoning behind that play, also directly applies to this pick here in Game 2 as well: 10* Celtics (GOM) One of the big story lines here is that Kyrie Irving will be facing his former team. But one angle that many forget is that Jason Tatum and company will be using this matchup as extra motivation to get the job done here as the favorite in this Game and in this series. The Mavericks have defied the odds and managed to get the better of the Wolves last time out, but the Celtics have an aggressive defense that will be able to matchup much better vs. Luka Doncic. This is going to be a guard on guard matchup, and the Celtics have the advantage here at home. One thing that Dallas doesn't have is a proper answer for Tatum though. Tatum is poised for a Finals MVP and we believe he'll be key in Boston's big win and cover here in Game 1; lay the points, the play is indeed on the Celtics! This is just a bad matchup for Dallas once again, so lay the points with confidence, the play is Boston in Game 2 once again here! AAA Sports |
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06-06-24 | Mavs v. Celtics -6.5 | Top | 89-107 | Win | 100 | 151 h 29 m | Show |
10* Celtics (GOM) One of the big story lines here is that Kyrie Irving will be facing his former team. But one angle that many forget is that Jason Tatum and company will be using this matchup as extra motivation to get the job done here as the favorite in this Game and in this series. The Mavericks have defied the odds and managed to get the better of the Wolves last time out, but the Celtics have an aggressive defense that will be able to matchup much better vs. Luka Doncic. This is going to be a guard on guard matchup, and the Celtics have the advantage here at home. One thing that Dallas doesn't have is a proper answer for Tatum though. Tatum is poised for a Finals MVP and we believe he'll be key in Boston's big win and cover here in Game 1; lay the points, the play is indeed on the Celtics! AAA Sports |
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05-30-24 | Mavs v. Wolves -4.5 | Top | 124-103 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 15 m | Show |
10* Wolves (BLOOD-BATH) Boston sits waiting for its opponent in the NBA Finals, and in our opinion it's going to have to wait for at least one more game. The Wolves finally made the necessary adjusmtments and came out on top as a 1.5-point dog to win 105-100. Now back at home and riding the wave of momentum, and with nearly 65% of the early public money on the visiting side, we feel that the both the value, AND the momentum have now swung in favor of Minnesota. We had the "under" in that one, but here we like the Wolves to build off that commanding road victory and to, for at least one more game, prolong this series for a big Game 6. So lay the points, the play is indeed on Minnesota! AAA Sports |
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05-24-24 | Mavs +5.5 v. Wolves | Top | 109-108 | Win | 100 | 12 h 25 m | Show |
10* Mavericks (ATS BLOWOUT) The Mavericks won Game 1 outright after making defensive adjustments going into halftime, and we're expecting another really competitive affair here as well here in Game 2. Outright victory? Clearly that's a possibility, as this is a difficult matchup issue for Minnesota with Kyrie Irving and Luka Doncic playing so well. The bottom line here though is that this Dallas defense is for real, and with how efficent the Mavs are shooting the ball right now, we're once again grabbing the points with Dallas in Game 2! AAA Sports |
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05-23-24 | Pacers v. Celtics -8.5 | Top | 110-126 | Win | 100 | 28 h 25 m | Show |
10* Celtics (EAST-CONF FINALS GOY) The Celtics came up short in Game 1, but now with a single-digit spread to cover, we think they'll dig deep and find a way to deliver not only with the SU victory, but also this time with the comfortable ATS victory. It's a great siuational play in our opinion. No one, especially the Celtics, expected the Pacers to put up that much of a fight in Game 1. Who would have, as they had just gone seven tough games against the Knicks, and had to win on the road in Game 7. Something that they haven't been great at doing. Boston is now 42-7 at home this year. We just feel that Indiana threw its best possible shot at the Celtics to try and pull off an upset over these first two games, and with that "close but no cigar" mental letdown, fatigue will now for sure play a MAJOR factor for the visitors; lay the spread with confidence, the play is on Boston! AAA Sports |
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05-21-24 | Pacers v. Celtics -9.5 | Top | 128-133 | Loss | -115 | 30 h 48 m | Show |
10* Celtics (BLOODBATH) Sometimes we feel it's necessary to completely dissect a game, looking at every possible angle, breaking down every possible stat, looking at every possible player matchup etc. Other times though, we absolutely just utilize the "KISS" method, the Keep It Simple Stupid method. And that's going to be the case for us here in Game 1 between the Pacers, who needed all seven games to then pull off the upset in New York to close out their most recent series, and who we now believe will be completely "gassed" here in the opener of the ECF. Boston is 41-6 at home and will have had a week off between games to rest and focus. No need to overthink this one; everything points to the Celtics keeping the foot on the gas from start to finish! AAA Sports |
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05-19-24 | Wolves +5 v. Nuggets | 98-90 | Win | 100 | 30 h 2 m | Show | |
8* play on the Wolves. This has been a great series for the fans and for the NBA and in a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can. Minnesota won the first two games of the series here earily, holding the Nuggets to under 100 points in each. They also just held Denver to just 70 points in the 115-70 beatdown victory in Game 6. Honestly, we wouldn't be shocked whatsoever by the outright, but in the end the official call is to grab the poitns with Minnesota! AAA Sports |
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05-16-24 | Nuggets v. Wolves -2 | Top | 70-115 | Win | 100 | 28 h 54 m | Show |
10* Wolves (BOB) Denver had a 2-0 lead to open this series, but it's since been all Denver the rest of the way as it continues to get great play from Nikola Jokic and the rest of the role players on this defending champion roster. But the Wolves have responded well in this spot for bettors, going 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss vs. an opponent in which they were held to 99 or fewer points in. This series has seven games written all over it in our opinion. We expect Minnesota to finally respond here and not only win, but to do so by a comfortable margin; lay the points, the play is on the Wolves! AAA Sports |
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05-15-24 | Cavs v. Celtics -15.5 | Top | 98-113 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 3 m | Show |
10* Celtics FIRST HALF (ASSASSIN) This is the biggest spread that Boston has had put on it so far in the Playoffs. It won, but didn't cover last time out in Cleveland. Here though in Game 5, we do expect Boston to win as well, both SU and ATS. If you can't get a FIRST HALF line, we also like the Celtics for the entire game. But the official call will be to grab Boston in the FIRST HALF, as it'll look to bury Cleveland early so as not to give it any hope in the second half; that's how we see this one playing out, as the play is indeed on Boston! AAA Sports |
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05-14-24 | Pacers +2.5 v. Knicks | Top | 91-121 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
10* Pacers (ASSASSIN) So far home floor advantage has meant everything in this series, with each team winning on its home floor. The Pacers though have all the momentum now after back-to-back victories and while they may not win this game outright, we're expecting a full out battle until the end. New York is struggling on both ends of the court and we feel the bookmakers are slow in recognizing this still, and while we do absolutely believe the outright victory is possible, in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can; the play is Indiana! AAA Sports |
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05-13-24 | Celtics v. Cavs +8.5 | Top | 109-102 | Win | 100 | 28 h 44 m | Show |
10* Cavaliers (EAST-CONF GOW) The Cavaliers won't be going down without a fight here in Game 4 and we anticipate that they effort they do in fact put up will be enough to, at the very least, keep this one competitive until the final moments. Note that the Cavaliers are in fact 7-3 ATS in their last ten as well in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent as well. The Celtics have done a decent job so far in the playoffs for bettors, but we now feel that these larger spreads catch up to them here on the road in this important contest. No outright, but look for it come be decided in the final moments; as such, grab as many points as you can with Cleveland! AAA Sports |
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05-12-24 | Knicks +6 v. Pacers | Top | 89-121 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 21 m | Show |
10* Knicks (BLOCKBUSTER) We had a play on the "under" in Game 3 in the Pacers win, and the Knicks cover. Now here in Game 4 we think that New York will, at the very least, keep it close enough once again to earn a comfortable cover. We do in fact think New York has a legit shot at winning this one outright. The Knicks lost Game 3 at Philadelphia in their first round series after winning the first two in New York, and then made adjustments and won Game 4 by a score of 97-92. We're expecting New York to make the same adjusments here and we look for Jalen Brunson and the visitors to find a way to get the job done with the points; the play is indeed on the Knicks! AAA Sports |
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05-10-24 | Nuggets +4.5 v. Wolves | Top | 117-90 | Win | 100 | 13 h 11 m | Show |
10* Nuggets (BLOCKBUSTER) The Nuggets have their collective backs agaisnt the wall. Clearly, not many expected Minnesota to be up 2-0 in this series, but here we are. The cast of characters is well known for each side, as are the strengths and weaknesses of each team. Denver though is still 8-4 ATS in its last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent though. And we think this stat becomes even stronger with the double revenge-scenario. Either way, we're not counting out the champs quite yet and while we do in fact thing an outright win is a possibility, our official call will be to grab as many points as you can with Denver! AAA Sports |
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05-08-24 | Pacers v. Knicks -4.5 | Top | 121-130 | Win | 100 | 12 h 36 m | Show |
10* Knicks (2ND RND EAST-CONF GOY) We're going to say that the Knicks not only win Game 2, but they'll also go on to cover the spread this time after winning 121-117 in the first one. Jalen Bruson continues to be a major bright spot for New York, he had 43 points and it was his fourth straight game with at least 40 points scored. The Pacers got big games from Myles Turner who had 23 points and from Pascal Siakam, who added 19. But Brunson has truly been special of late, as he actually became the fourth player in NBA Playoff history to score 40 or more points in four consecutive games. We really do think that the Pacers threw their best possible shot they had in Game 1, and they just don't have an answer. In fact Indiana led 87-82 after three quarters. This series already has the feeling of the Cavaliers and the Magic in the first round where the home floor advantage can't be overlooked. We're not saying that the Pacers are going to roll over, but we just think their opportunity to earn a split in these first two games has dwindled away. And we don't see the Knicks allowing the Pacers to hold such a big lead right out of the gates in Game 2. That's how we see this series playing out here in the short term anyways, with home floor advantage once again the difference-maker for Brunson on Wednesday night; the play is indeed on New York! AAA Sports |
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05-07-24 | Cavs v. Celtics -11.5 | Top | 95-120 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
10* Celtics (ASSASSIN) The Cavaliers lost every game on the road in their Round 1 series vs. the Magic, and won every game at home. We can expect this pattern to continue here for sure facing the well-rested Celtics, who have had nearly an entire week off after beating Miami in five. That included a 118-84 win in Game 5 here last week. No need to overanalyze this one, as we're predicting a similar final outcome here as well as everything points to the Cavs coming in "gassed" after their emotional seven-game series win over the Magic; so lay the points with confidence, the play is indeed on Boston! AAA Sports |
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05-06-24 | Pacers v. Knicks -5.5 | Top | 117-121 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
10* Knicks (EAST-CONF GOW) We like the Knicks to not only win this game, but to do so in blowout fashion. The Pacers got by the wounded Bucks in six games, but we expect them to struggle here in this difficult road venue vs. New York, which got by Philly to advance to this point. So far Indiana is averaging 113 PPG in the playoffs, and allowing 110.2. New York averaged 108.3 PPG in the first round, while allowing 108.2. The Pacers went 2-1 SU in the regular season vs. New York, but with Jalen Brunson now playing at such an elite level, we think the visiting side will have trouble containing the home side's super star. In the end, lay the points and expect a convincing win and cover for New York! AAA Sports |
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05-05-24 | Magic v. Cavs -3 | Top | 94-106 | Win | 100 | 5 h 30 m | Show |
10* Cavaliers (ASSASSIN) No need to overthink this one. Betting the Cavs on the spread is quite the public pick, but with the home team having won every game so far in this series, we're expecting this trend to continue and for Cleveland to not only win this game, but to do so by a sizeable margin. Orlando is very talented, but young. Cleveland has the more experienced core and the home floor advantage at this point of the series simply can't be overlooked. We say that the Cavaliers at home are the correct call here in Game 7; lay the short points, the play is indeed on Cleveland! AAA Sports |
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05-04-24 | Wolves v. Nuggets -4.5 | Top | 106-99 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 50 m | Show |
10* Nuggets (WEST-CONF RND 2 GOY) Both teams looked great in their Round 1 series. No one expected the Wolves to sweep the Suns. Everyone expected the Nuggets to take out the Lakers in 4 to 6 games. Either way, these two Western Conference powerhouses collide here, but now we feel that the home floor advantage will prove to be a difference-maker. Denver beat Minnesota 116-107 here at home Back on April 10th, and we're expecting a similar final combined score here as well. Denver will be acutely aware to not give up this first game, and while the Wolves looked decent against the dysfunctional Suns, now they have to contend with the best player on the planet; grab the points, the play is Denver! AAA Sports |
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05-03-24 | Clippers +7.5 v. Mavs | Top | 101-114 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 33 m | Show |
10* Clippers (WEST-CONF GOM) Outright win?! As Kevin Garnett once said, anything is possible, but in a contest that we see being decided by whichever side has its hands on the ball last, we're going to grab the points. LA is 6-2 ATS in its last eight in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss in which it was held to 95 or fewer points in as well. James Harden had a difficult night last time out, but we don't see that happening again. We're stopping short in calling for the outright upset, but we're grabbing the points with LA and, at the very least, expecting a battle until the final horn! AAA Sports |
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05-03-24 | Cavs v. Magic -3.5 | Top | 96-103 | Win | 100 | 27 h 26 m | Show |
10* Magic (EAST-CONF GOM) So far, as far as winning and losing SU, home floor advantage has meant everything. Game 5 was the first game in this series in which the home team didn't cover the spread. But we see Orlando not only covering here at home, but doing do in blowout fashion once again, setting up a decisive Game 7 in Cleveland and making this a spread that we have no issues at all in laying. Cleveland is still just 22-21 on the road, while Orlando is 31-12 at home. the Magic held the Cavs to under 90 points in Game's 3 and 4 and we're expecting a similar dominant performance here as well; lay the points, the play is Orlando! AAA Sports |
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05-02-24 | Knicks v. 76ers -3 | Top | 118-115 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 23 m | Show |
10* 76ers (BLOCKBUSTER) We think that New York wasted its opportunity to put away Philadelphia and that the momentum has now firmly swung back in favor of the 76ers. Yes, Joel Embiid isn't at 100%, but he's quickly adapting and his teammates have picked up the slack. The Knicks have a ton of talent, but they lack size and depth. And now they're fatigued, on the road and the pressure is squarely on them to get the job done here and now; we say they stumble and the home side not only wins this game, but does so in blowout fashion! AAA Sports |
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05-01-24 | Mavs v. Clippers +3.5 | Top | 123-93 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 4 m | Show |
10* Clippers (BEST OF BEST) The Clippers won Game 4 as seven point dogs and now here at home getting points, and with the majority of the public money on the visitors as well, we're going the other way here. The Mavericks defense looked like it might take over this series, but Paul George and company solved the puzzle last time out in Game 4 and we're expecting a similar game-plan here at home now. It's Luke Doncic and the Mavericks who are now fatigued here on the road. While we definitely feel that the outright victory is a possibility, in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can; the play is LA! AAA Sports |
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04-29-24 | Thunder v. Pelicans +4.5 | Top | 97-89 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 13 m | Show |
10* Pelicans (WEST-CONF GOW) Much like the Lakers rallied in their fourth game when down 3-0 to Denver to push the series to a fifth, we're expecting the same result here from New Orleans. That said, in a contest that we see being very competitive, we're going to recommend to grab as many points as you can. The Thunder struggled a bit in Game 1, but have dominated the last two games. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and company are in unchartered territory and we think they'll have a hard time putting away the Pelicans on the road here in this fourth game. A letdown at some point is going to happen for OKC, and we say it's here on Monday night. As stated above, we do feel the outright is possible, but the official call is to grab as many points as you can with New Orleans! AAA Sports |
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04-28-24 | Wolves v. Suns +1.5 | Top | 122-116 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 37 m | Show |
10* Suns (BLOCKBUSTER) Minnesota has surprisingly dominated this series. The Wolves were favored to win, but still no one expected the Suns to get swept. And we still don't think that'll be the case. They say that winning the fourth game of any series is the most difficult. Note that Phoenix is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. Minnesota is on the cusp of wrapping up this series, but a letdown appears imminent in our eyes. Too much talent and heart still left here on this Phoenix team, much like the Lakers last night, who just delayed the inevitable now heading back to Denver. Either way, the play for us here in Game 4 is indeed on Phoenix! AAA Sports |
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04-28-24 | Knicks +5 v. 76ers | Top | 97-92 | Win | 100 | 5 h 27 m | Show |
10* Knicks (ASSASSIN) Philadelphia took Game 3, but we're expecting a battle until the final horn here in Game 4 after the 125-114 setback on Thursday. note that the Knicks are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. an opponent. Both teams have had to deal with injuries and are still dealing with injuries. Home court has so far proven to be an advantage in this series, but we say that trend gets bucked today. In what we suspect will be an all out war, we're grabbing the points! AAA Sports |
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04-27-24 | Thunder v. Pelicans +1.5 | Top | 106-85 | Loss | -120 | 24 h 2 m | Show |
10* Pelicans (ASSASSIN) We feel that home floor advantage will prove to be just that for the 0-2 Pelicans finally here on Saturday afternoon. An 0-3 hole would be too big to climb out of obviously, so this is the biggest game of the year for New Orleans. OKC was 24-17 on the road this year, while New Orleans was 22-20 at home. Regardless, it's significant to note that the Pelicans are in fact 4-1 ATS in their last five in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. Yes, Zion Williamson is out for this series, but CJ McCollum and Brandon Ingram are going to respond in our opinion. There's no way the Pels are getting swept, as really the Thunder have been anything but impressive to us over these first two games. We just expected more. The Pels shoot over 37 percent from range at home, and we expect that to come into play here as well; grab as many points as you can here in Game 3, the play is on New Orleans! AAA Sports |
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04-26-24 | Wolves v. Suns -4 | Top | 126-109 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 29 m | Show |
10* Suns (BLOCKBUSTER) We think that a little "home cooking" will turn the tide in this series, as we're expecting the Suns to not only win this essentially must-win Game 3, but to do so by a sizeable margin. Phoenix has in fact responded well in this spot for bettors by going 8-4 ATS in its last 12 in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. The Suns were a lot better at home this year as well, finishing with a 24-16 record. Minnesota has looked solid so far, but we're cautious here with its first game in the playoffs away from friendly confines. A 3-0 hole will be just too big for Phoenix to climb out of; with the home side risking life and limb, the play is indeed on the Suns! AAA Sports |
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04-21-24 | Pelicans +8.5 v. Thunder | Top | 92-94 | Win | 100 | 33 h 49 m | Show |
10* Pelicans (ASSASSIN) Whether Zion plays or not, we like the Pels to give the Thunder a run for their money. New Orleans has experience in its core, while the Thunder come in with plenty of talent and a great regular seaosn record. New Orleans went 1-2 against the Thunder thi syear. OKC closed with five straight wins to close out, but will "rest" lead to "rust?!" In our opinion, "yes!" Brandon Ingram and CJ McCollum look unbelievable right now and they won't be going down without a fight. We're not calling for an outright upset or anything, but everything points to a much tighter battle than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe in our opinion; grab the points, the play is indeed on New Orleans! AAA Sports |
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04-21-24 | Pacers -1 v. Bucks | Top | 94-109 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 15 m | Show |
10* Pacers (ASSASSIN) The Bucks stumbled down the stretch and we believe that regression continues here in the first round of the playoffs, despite finishing third in the East and with home floor advantage over No. 6 Indiana. Giannis Antetokounmpo is injured, hence the Pacers being favored here. Milwaukee lost eight of 11 to close the year, while Tyrese Haliburton and the Pacers won six of eight to stay out of the Play-In Tournament. Indiana won four of the five regular season games and we see this dominance continuing; the play is indeed on Indiana! AAA Sports |
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04-20-24 | Magic +4.5 v. Cavs | Top | 83-97 | Loss | -110 | 70 h 27 m | Show |
10* Magic (EAST-CONF FIRST RND GOY) The Cavs did go on that massive run in the middle of the season, but they looked very pedestrian down the stretch. Orlando was 29-12 at home, but it also features the No. 3 defense in the NBA. Cavs' star Donovan Mitchell missed time down the stretch and Cleveland coach JB Bickerstaff's team just looked out of sync over the last month. The Magic went 16-10 down the stretch, while the Cavs went 12-16. Look for Orlando to, at the very least, keep this one competitive until the final moments and grab as many points as you can! AAA Sports |
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04-19-24 | Kings v. Pelicans +1.5 | Top | 98-105 | Win | 100 | 30 h 44 m | Show |
10* Pels (ASSASSIN) Despite Zion sitting, with nearly 75% of the public money on the Kings, we're going full on contrarian here and taking the still dangerous home side, which we expect will find a way to deliver the goods and move on further into the Playoffs. The Kings got by their nemesis the Warriors and are now primed for a classic "letdown" in our opinion. New Orleans fought tooth and nail and fell 110-106 to the the Lakers. We think LA would have smashed Sacramento if they had to play the first game. Despite that though, Brandon Ingram and CJ McCollum are going to step up and fill the void here left by Zion's injury. The Pels were 7-5 in games without Zion this year and New Orleans has dominated this series all year long, going 5-0 SU in the regular season. HOME COURT ADVANTAGE DOES MATTER HERE! Grab the points, the play is NEW ORLEANS. AAA Sports |
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04-16-24 | Lakers +1.5 v. Pelicans | Top | 110-106 | Win | 100 | 28 h 7 m | Show |
10* Lakers (PLAY-IN GOY) The Lakers won't be looking to leave anything for chance for here to avoid a possible matchup with the Nuggets, instead we're expecting the experienced visiting side to rally late and play tougher defense and to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Anthony Davis had a huge year, and he'll be risking life and limb here to get the better of his old team. The Lakers beat New Orleans 124-108 in the final game of the regular season here and LA also won the In-Season Tournament over the Pacers. While we think the future is bright for the Pels, all signs point to LA coming out on top on Tuesday! AAA Sports |
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04-09-24 | Kings v. Thunder -2 | Top | 105-112 | Win | 100 | 36 h 50 m | Show |
10* Thunder (BLOOD-BATH) Two teams pushing towards the playoffs with just a handful of games to go, but the overall situation favors the home side in our opinion. Both teams played just last night. Sacramento snapped a two-game slide with a 107-77 win at Brooklyn, but with a night off before three straight at home to close out the year, can anyone say "letdown" spot here? The Thunder snapped a three-game slide with a 121-118 win at Charlotte, but it's now dropped five straight ATS. Note though that OKC is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 after five or more ATS losses in a row. This is the start of four straight at home to close out the year and we're expecting the Thunder to set the tone early here and to keep the foot on the gas until the final horn; lay the points, the play is OKC! AAA Sports |
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04-07-24 | Cavs +3.5 v. Clippers | Top | 118-120 | Win | 100 | 6 h 30 m | Show |
10* Cavaliers (ASSASSIN) We had a play on Cleveland yesterday. Did the Cavs get caught looking ahead to this one in their 116-97 loss here to the Lakers, or did they just run into a red-hot team? We now think a little of both. Note though that the Cavs have in fact responded well in this spot for bettors though by going 7-2 ATS in their last nine off a SU/ATS road loss in which they were held to 99 or fewer points in. The Clippers are coming off back-to-back victories, but with two straight vs. Phoenix after this, we believe the home side gets caught "looking ahead." In a contest that we see being decided by whichever of these hungry and talented sides has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is Cleveland! AAA Sports |
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04-06-24 | Cavs +5 v. Lakers | Top | 97-116 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 19 m | Show |
10* Cavaliers (REVENGE ASSASSIN) A great overall situational wager here, as after going 4-1 on their five-game Eastern swing, and now sitting in ninth spot in the West, we're expecting the Lakers to have a letdown here in their first game back, especially with the Wolves coming to town tomorrow. So not only is it a natural "letdown" spot, but it's also a "look ahead." Add those two factors together and you invariably get "trap game!" Cleveland will look to take advantage. It has a tough game here tomorrow night vs. the Clippers as well. The Cavs play with revenge after a 121-115 home loss to LA back in November, and note that Cleveland is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points, the play is Cleveland! AAA Sports |
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04-04-24 | Kings +3.5 v. Knicks | Top | 109-120 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
10* Kings (NON-CONF UNDERDOG OF MONTH) These teams are fighting for playoff positioning, but the Kings play with the immediate "revenge factor" and we believe that'll be the difference in this one. The outright is possible obviously with a small spread like this, but our official call is to grab as many points as you can. Sacramento lost 98-91 at home to the Knicks in mid March and note that the Kings are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. New York is playing poorly right right now, off three straight losses and with four straight Eastern conference road games after this, starting in Chicago tomorrow night. This has "trap" written all over it for New York. A great "spot" bet here on revenge-minded Sacramento! AAA Sports |
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04-03-24 | Lakers -13 v. Wizards | Top | 125-120 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
10* Lakers (NON-CONF GAME OF MONTH) The season is winding down, but that means that there are going to be plenty of great "situations" to take advantage of. And this is one of them. Both teams played yesterday. Both teams won. The Lakers beat Toronto 128-111 and easily covered the 13.5-point spread, while Washington snapped a three-game slide with a 117-113 outright victory over the Bucks as 12.5-point dogs last night. The Lakers are in ninth spot, 1.5 games behind the Suns for the eighth, and because of that we're expecting the visitors to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish; lay the price, the play is LA. AAA Sports |
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04-01-24 | Suns v. Pelicans +1.5 | Top | 124-111 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
10* Pelicans (REVENGE ATS BLOOD-BATH) We're coming down the home stretch here. We like the Pels to avenge a 123-109 home loss to Phoenix as 2.5-point favorites back in January, as note that they're 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. The Suns are off the 128-103 loss at OKC and after this they return home for three straight. We say this not only sets up as a letdown spot for the visitors, but also a "look ahead." Look for New Orleans to step up and take advantage! AAA Sports |
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03-31-24 | Warriors v. Spurs +9 | Top | 117-113 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
10* Spurs (UNDERDOG OF WEEK) We just feel this is a great spot for the Spurs to keep their recent momentum rolling here and to, at the very least, keep this one competitive enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door with all the points that they've been afforded in this one. Golden State is off three straight road victories, but with a night off followed by a home game vs. the Mavericks, would anyone fault the Warriors for "looking past" the Spurs here?! San Antonio though has won three straight as well and is arguably playing its best basketball of the season. It plays with revenge as well. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is indeed on San Antonio! AAA Sports |
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03-29-24 | Rockets v. Jazz +7 | Top | 101-100 | Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
10* Jazz (ASSASSIN) While we're stopping short in calling for the outright upset, we love how this one sets up for Utah, as we're defintely expecting an all-out battle until the final horn. Houston has been red hot of late, but a letdown is inevitable. We say it happens here. The Rockets have won ten in a row. They're coming off a 132-126 OT win at OKC as 4.5-point dogs. After this "cream puff" matchup vs. the lowly Jazz, they then face Dallas, Minneosta, Golden State and Miami. Can anyone say "letdown" spot + "look-ahead" spot which = TRAP GAME! Utah plays with revenge as well after a humbling 147-119 loss to the Rockets just last week. Give us the revenge-minded home side to keep this one close enough to comfortably earn the ATS cover; grab the points, the play is indeed on Utah! AAA Sports |
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03-28-24 | Bucks v. Pelicans +1.5 | Top | 100-107 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
10* Pelicans (ASSASSIN) We think this is a great spot for the Pels to exact a little revenge vs. the Bucks. We're coming down the home stretch and teams are still jockeying for position. Milwuakee had its two-game win streak snapped in a 128-124 OT loss at home to the Lakers, and we think they'll have difficulty regrouping on the road here vs. this Western Conference opponent. Milwaukee returns home to face the Hawks after this, so we think the visitors get caught looking ahead. The Pels do indeed play with revenge after falling 141-117 at Milwaukee in January and note that New Orleans is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. an opponent; the play is New Orleans! AAA Sports |
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03-27-24 | Lakers -4 v. Grizzlies | Top | 136-124 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
10* Lakers (ASSASSIN) I like betting against teams that are playing the second game of a back-to-back when the situation makes sense, but this isn't one of those times. It's crunch time in the NBA right now and the Lakers are surging towards the finish line, as their big stars continue to light up the score board of late. LA is off a big 128-124 OT win at the Bucks last night. Previous to that they won 150-145 at home over the Pacers. AD had a big night last night, but expect The King to carry the load this evening. LA plays with revenge as well after an inexplicable 127-113 loss to the Grizz at home as four-point favs back in January, and note that the Lakers are in fact 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent; lay the points, the play is LA! AAA Sports |
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03-25-24 | Suns v. Spurs +12.5 | Top | 102-104 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
10* Spurs (DOG OF WEEK) This is a great "spot" bet on the Spurs. San Antonio will get a better chance at a better draft pick the more games it loses at this point, but there are still going to be some "spots" that it makes sense to wager on them, and this is one of those situations in our opinion. The Spurs just lost here 131-106 to the Suns, and note that SA is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent in which it was held to 109 or fewer points in. The Suns have won three in a row, but with a game at Denver up next, not only does this set up as a natural "letdown" spot for the visitors, but also a "look ahead," and add those two factors together and you invariably get "trap game!" This is a trap for the road favorite. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is San Antonio! AAA Sports |
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03-22-24 | Pelicans +3.5 v. Heat | Top | 111-88 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
10* Pelicans (SIDE $HOCKER) Here's a great spot for New Orleans to bounce back in in our opinion. The Pels are 22-14 on the road still despite last night's 121-106 loss at Orlando. New Orleans was never really in it. Perhaps it got caught looking ahead to this one?! Previous to that the Pelicans had won three straight. They play with the added incentive of revenge here though after falling 106-95 at home to the Heat, a result that's significant to note as New Orleans is in fact 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss in which it was held to 99 or fewer points in. Miami is 17-15 at home, and it returns to South Beach after a 3-1 road trip, ending with 107-104 upset win at Cleveland. With the Cavaliers coming to town on Sunday, not only does this set up as a potential "letdown" spot for the home side, but also a potential "look-ahead" position as well. Add those two factors together and you have a potential "trap" game here for Miami. While we clearly feel an outright victory is in the realm of possibility, our official call will be to grab as many points as you can with New Orleans! AAA Sports |
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03-20-24 | Heat +2.5 v. Cavs | Top | 107-104 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
10* Heat (EAST-CONF NON-DIV GOY) In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points. That said, we do like Miami to win this one outright and to avenge an earlier 111-99 home loss to the Cavaliers back in early December (note that Miami is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite in which it was held to 99 or fewer points in as well.) Off a 98-91 loss at Philadelphia, look for the Heat to regroup here in Cleveland. The Cavs have been trading wins/losses over their last four games and off a 108-103 road win at Indiana, we're expecting this pattern to continue. These teams will play in Miami this weekend again, but we're expecting the revenge-minded Heat to be the ones to send the early message; grab the points, the play is indeed on Miami! AAA Sports |
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03-14-24 | Suns +6 v. Celtics | Top | 112-127 | Loss | -113 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
10* Suns (NON-CONF GOM) Phoenix is 37-27, including 17-13 on the road, while Boston is 51-14, including 29-3 at home. The Suns have been playing better of late as they've won three of their last four. They'll have had three whole nights off after beating Cleveland on the road 117-111 last time out. Phoenix has lost three straight ATS though, but that's significant for us to note, as the Suns are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more ATS losses in a row. Phoenix also plays with revenge after falling 117-107 at home to Boston just last week. The Celtics have won three straight SU/ATS, but on this first game back home after their successful Western swing, everything finally points to a bit of a letdown here in this non-conference matchup in our opinion; no outright, but closer than expected so grab the points, teh play is indeed on Phoenix! AAA Sports |
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03-12-24 | Bucks v. Kings +2.5 | Top | 94-129 | Win | 100 | 15 h 58 m | Show |
10* Kings (REVENGE ASSASSIN) It's the end of a long road trip for the Bucks, who broke a two-game slide with a 124-117 road win ver the Clippers last time out. With a night off before a home game vs. the Bucks, not only is this a letdown spot, but also a look-ahead. The Kings play with revenge after a 143-142 OT loss at Milwaukee in January, and note that Sacramento is 4-1 ATS in its last five in trying to avenge a SU road loss vs. an opponent. Clearly we feel the outright is possible, but in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can with Sacramento! AAA Sports |
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03-08-24 | Bucks v. Lakers +1.5 | Top | 122-123 | Win | 100 | 14 h 5 m | Show |
10* Lakers (ASSASSIN) Milwaukee is just 16-15 on the road, while the Lakers are 23-11 at home. The Bucks kicked off their road trip with an uninspiring 125-90 loss at Golden State, which snapped their win streak since the All Star game. With tougher games on the horizon as well here vs. the Clippers in two nights, this is for sure a letdown + look-ahead spot. Add those two factors together and you get "trap game!" LA is off a 130-120 home loss to the Kings as three-point favs, but note that the Lakers are 3-1 ATS in their last four off a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite. Grab the points, the play is LA! AAA Sports |
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03-07-24 | Celtics +1.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 109-115 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 14 m | Show |
10* Celtics (ASSASSIN) Payback. Boston's big home win streak came to an end in mid January when the defending World Champs came to town and won 102-100. The Celtics are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Both teams are coming off losses, but Denver's 117-107 OT home loss to the Suns will still be fresh on the front of their minds. The Celtics fell 105-104 at Cleveland, but had won 11 straight previous to that. Look for the "revenge factor" to be the difference-maker tonight; the play is indeed on Boston! AAA Sports |
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03-06-24 | Kings v. Lakers -3.5 | Top | 130-120 | Loss | -113 | 16 h 39 m | Show |
10* Lakers (ASSASSIN) This one comes down to REVENGE Lenny. These team are pretty evenly matched on any given night, but the Lakers are at home an dthey're playing with revenge. We think those two factors added together will result in a solid win and cover for the Lake Show on Wednesday night. Sacramento is 34-26 overall, including 18-15 on the road, while LA is 35-29 overall, including 23-10 at home. The Kings come into this one off an awkward 113-109 home loss to Chicago, and with a MUCH EASIER game at home tomorrow night vs. the Spurs, we think the visitors will get caught "LOOKING AHEAD" here (especially with a couple days off after that followed by four more home games.) But for the Lakers, they've now won three of their last four and they didn't look past Oklahoma City last time out, winning 116-104. And they do play with revenge after the 125-110 loss here at home to the Kings at the start of the season, and note that LA is in fact 7-3 against the spread in its last ten in trying to avenge a straight up and against the spread home loss against an opponent. After this the Lakers have two tough games vs. the Bucks and Wolves, before a rematch on the road in Sacarmento, so this game here vs. the Kings on Wednesday night does indeed take on added importance for the home side. Look for LA to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish and lay the short points with confidence! AAA Sports |
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03-05-24 | Suns +8 v. Nuggets | Top | 117-107 | Win | 100 | 27 h 15 m | Show |
10* Suns (WESTERN-CONFERENCE NON-DIVISION GOM) We base our picks on many different things, and this particular one is a great "situational" release. Phoenix will be desperate to snap a two-game slide following a humbling 118-110 loss to OKC as a 4.5-point favorite. That was the Suns third straight ATS loss. Note though that Phoenix is 7-3 ATS in its last ten off an upset loss as a home favorite, and it's also 4-1 ATS in its last five after three or more ATS losses in a row. Additionally the Suns play with the added incentive of "revenge" here after a 119-111 home loss to the Nuggets back in early December, and note that they're 8-4 ATS in their last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. Denver has yet to lose since the All Star break, and it's covered in every game but one of those. But with Boston coming to town on Thursday night, not only does this set up as a potential letdown spot, but also a potential look-ahead spot. Look for Phoenix to take advantage! AAA Sports |
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03-02-24 | Jazz +7.5 v. Heat | Top | 120-126 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
10* Utah (DOG OF MONTH) We simply feel this is a great "spot" wager on Utah. Outright win?! Probably not. But we love betting on these types of situations. Yes, Miami is hot, but this is a natural "letdown" spot. The Heat went 5-6 on their road trip. They dropped the final game in Denver, but still covered the spread. They've covered in nine straight now. I think the home side is now overvalued though. Teams that return home after a long and successful road trip, often have a letdown in the first game back in front of the home town crowd. The Jazz will look to take advantage. They beat the Heat 117-109 at home back in late December, but off B2B losses to open this road trip, we're looking for the hungry visitors to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch; grab the points, the play is indeed on the Jazz! AAA Sports |
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03-01-24 | Wizards v. Clippers -15 | Top | 115-140 | Win | 100 | 14 h 34 m | Show |
10* Clippers (NON-CONF GOW) Just a good old situational play here. No need to overthink this one. The Wizards are off a 134-131 OT loss here to the Lakers just last night, and clearly fatigue will be a major issue. With a couple nights off after this, we say the visitors just "go through the motions" in this one. As we said, a great "situational" play. The Clippers won't be lacking motivation either after B2B losses here at home. Lay the points, the play is LA! AAA Sports |
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02-28-24 | Kings v. Nuggets -8.5 | Top | 96-117 | Win | 100 | 13 h 17 m | Show |
10* Nuggets (WEST-CONF NON-DIV GOM) Gentlemen, on one side of the court we have the Sacramento Kings, who are 33-24 overall, but who are off a 121-110 loss at home to Miami just last night. And on the other end of the court we have the defending champs, who have won three straight and who have had two whole days off to prepare for this one. We're giving this one the good ol "eye test" here on Wednesday night, and rolling with the revenge-minded home side. The Nuggets have come out of the all-star break and playing at a really high level. Three straight wins, three straight covers. Tomorrow they have Miami coming to town, so it's not really a "look ahead" spot whatsoever. Revenging their 102-98 loss to the Kings here at home in the middle of the month is the much more important thing to take care off. That result though is important for two different reasons, as Denver is 7-3 against the spread in its last ten in trying to avenge a straight-up and against-the-spread home loss vs. an opponent, and it's also 3-1 against-the-spread in its last four in trying to avenge a home loss an opponent in which it was held to 99 or fewer points in. Damantas Sabonis looked good with a triple-double for the Kings last night, but difficult to see him repeat that performance here in the second game of the back-to-back scenario, facing the Joker in the thin air of Denver. Jokic had a triple-double in the Nuggets latest victory, finishing with 32 points, 16 boards and 16 assists. The Kings defense looked really bad last night against a Miami Heat squad that averages only 110.6 points per game, which ranks 27th in the league currently. Guys, another great "situational" play here that's backed by several strong trends, so lay the points with confidence, the play is indeed on the Nuggets! AAA Sports |
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02-27-24 | Heat v. Blazers +6.5 | Top | 106-96 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 45 m | Show |
10* Blazers (NON-CONFERENCE GOM) On one side we have the Miami Heat, who are 32-25 overall, including 17-12 on the road, and who are arguably playing their best basketball of the season, off four straight road wins, all as an underdog, including just last night with a 121-110 win over the Kings in Sacramento just last night. On the other end of the court we have the Portland Trailblazers, who are just 15-41 overall. They've struggled at home and on the road, but after eight straight SU losses and seven straight ATS setbacks, we feel this is a great spot for Portland to, at the very least, sneak away with a comfortable cover finally. We're primarily situational handicappers, and this one falls right into our wheelhouse. These teams haven't played since 2022 and the Blazers beat the Heat on the road in that game. But after the four straight road victories, including the impressive one just last night, and with a game at the defending champs up next, going to Denver to end this six-game road swing, we say that not only is this a natural "letdown" spot, but also clearly a "look-ahead" spot. Would anyone fault the Heat for looking ahead to that one after this stretch of great play. Clearly Miami will be resting players in anticipation of that one. When you add those two factors together, letdown + look-ahead, you get "TRAP GAME." Doesn't set up any better as being a "TRAP" game here in our opinion as situational cappers. We're also contrarians, and with 60% of the early public money on the visitors, that also appeals to our contrarian side. The Blazers are just 9-19 at home. They're off the 93-80 loss at home to lowly Charlotte as 3.5-point favorites. Pretty much the lowest of the low right now for Portland. But Portland has in fact responded well in this spot for bettors by going 4-1 against the spread in its last five after a SU and ATS home loss as a favorite in which its been held to 85 or fewer points in. We base our picks on many different things. Some times it involves injuries. Other times we base our picks on really strong trends. Other times its based on situations. This particular pick is a fantastic "SITUATIONAL" play and while we'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, everything points to a much tighter battle than what the oddsmakers are suggesting here, so the official call will be indeed to grab as many points as you can with the Blazers! AAA Sports |
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02-25-24 | Kings +6.5 v. Clippers | Top | 123-107 | Win | 100 | 13 h 59 m | Show |
10* Kings (PACIFIC DIV. GOM) With nearly 70% of the early public money on the home side favorite, we're for sure going full on contrarian with this one. Sacramento is 32-23 overall, including 16-14 on the road, while LA is 37-18 overall, including 20-6 at home. The Kings have won two straight. They couldn't cover the large 10-point spread at home to the Spurs, as they took the foot off the gas and got caught looking ahead to this one. The Kings now kick off four straight vs. incredibly tough competition, as they face Miami, Denver and Minnesota after this. They play with revenge as well after a 119-99 loss here in December, and note that the Kings are in fact 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS divisional road loss vs. an opponent. The Clippers haven't been at their best of late, as they've been alternating wins/losses over their last seven games. They're off a 101-95 victory at Memphis, but with a high-profile game vs. the Lakers up next, they could be caught "looking ahead" here as well. While the outright is possible, our official call is to grab as many points as you can here with Sacramento! AAA Sports |
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02-24-24 | Magic v. Pistons +7.5 | Top | 112-109 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
10* Pistons (EAST-CONF GOW) This one just sets up really for Detroit in a lot of ways. Outright win? Possibly, but in a contest that we do see being extremely competitive until the final horn sounds, are recommendation for this contest will be to grab as many points as you can. Orlando is 31-25, but just 13-17 on the road. Detroit is 8-47 overall, and only 4-23 SU at home. But the Pistons are 13-14 ATS. Regardless, after B2B victories, including a 116-109 win at Cleveland as a 5.5-point dog last time out, we're expecting Orlando to have a letdown here, while also getting caught "looking ahead" to its much more high-profile game at Atlanta tomorrow night. The Pistons play with the added incentive of "revenge" as well after falling 111-99 to Orlando earlier. The Pistons have lost four straight SU, and three straight ATS, but note that Detroit is 7-3 ATS in its last ten after three or more ATS losses in a row. Grab the points, the play is indeed on Detroit! AAA Sports |
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02-23-24 | Bucks +4 v. Wolves | Top | 112-107 | Win | 100 | 15 h 52 m | Show |
10* Bucks (ASSASSIN) The Bucks are 35-21, including 12-14 on the road, while Minnesota is 39-16, including 19-5 at home. The Bucks come into the second half ready to get back on track after a tumultuous first. Regardless, they play with revenge here after a 129-105 loss at home to Minnesota back in early February, and note that the Bucks are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. The Wolves went into the break on the heels of four straight wins, but we say the break came at the wrong time for the home side. Rest = rust in its case. But it's going to be beneficial for the beleaguered Bucks, who we feel have a legit shot at winning this one outright; that said, the official call is to grab as many points as you can with Milwaukee! AAA Sports |
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02-22-24 | Wizards v. Nuggets -15 | Top | 110-130 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
10* Nuggets (NON-CONF GOW) With the second half now underway, we're expecting the rested defending champs to send a message to the rest of the league that they're still the "big dog" in town. Washington is just 9-45 overall, including 6-22 on the road. Amazingly the Wizards though are 18-8-2 ATS away from friendly confines, as they've consistently been undervalued over the first half. But we're not buying it here. Denver is 21-5 SU at home. The Nuggets went into the break on the heels of three straight SU/ATS losses, but note that Denver is 7-3 ATS in its last ten after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. Look for the home side to make an example out of the Wizards, who we expect will throw in the white towel early as they prepare for their game at Oklahoma City tomorrow night; lay the points, the play is DENVER. AAA Sports |
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02-14-24 | Spurs +11 v. Mavs | Top | 93-116 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
10* Spurs (REVENGE ASSASSIN) We think the Spurs will hang around late and make this one interesting. San Antonio just snapped a lengthy slide with a 122-99 win at Toronto and we think it'll keep that confidence and momentum rolling here. They play with revenge after a 144-119 loss here on December 23rd, and note that the Spurs are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. an opponent. Dallas has won five straight, but with the All-Star break right after this, we say the home side takes the foot off the gas in the second half and gets caught "looking ahead," grab the points, the play is San Antonio! AAA Sports |
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02-13-24 | Heat +8.5 v. Bucks | Top | 123-97 | Win | 100 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
10* Heat (ASSASSIN) Milwaukee is 35-19, including 23-6 at home, while Miami is 28-25 overall, including 13-12 on the road. With nearly 75% of the early public money on the home side, we're going full on contrarian here for sure and going the other way. The Bucks are off B2B quality victories, including a 112-95 win here just last night vs. the defending champs, and all signs point to a predictable letdown here in the second game of the B2B scenario in our opinion. Note as well that Milwaukee is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten off a SU/ATS home victory in which it held its opponent to 95 or fewer points in as well. The Heat play with revenge as well after a 131-124 SU/ATS home loss back in November, and note that Miami is a solid 3-1 ATS in its last four in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as an underdog vs. an opponent. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is Miami! AAA Sports |
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02-11-24 | Celtics v. Heat +6 | Top | 110-106 | Win | 100 | 5 h 31 m | Show |
10* Heat (ASSASSIN) The Heat are on fire right now and we think they have a legit shot at winning this game outright afte rwinning four of their last five. They play with revenge as well after a humbling 143-110 loss here at home to Boston a couple weeks ago as 8.5-point dogs, and note that the Heat are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a dog vs. an opponent. Boston has won three straight, but with a home and home set with the Nets upcoming, we think they also get caught looking ahead here; grab the points, the play is Miami! AAA Sports |
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02-10-24 | Spurs +5.5 v. Nets | Top | 103-123 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
10* Spurs (TOP CONTRARIAN) Outright win?! Anything is possible, but in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as possible. The Spurs are terrible obviously. They're off a 127-111 loss at Orlando. That's three straight ATS setbacks, but note that San Antonio is in fact 7-3 ATS in its last ten after three or more ATS losses in a row. Brooklyn is off three straight SU/ATS losses as well, most recently falling 118-95 to the Cavaliers. This is a game that the Spurs can legit win outright, but in a contest that we see being decided by whichever of these hungry sides has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is San Antonio! AAA Sports |
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02-09-24 | Hawks v. 76ers +3.5 | Top | 127-121 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
10* 76ers (SHOCKER) The 76ers continue to try and adjust to life without star center Joel Embiid, but this particular matchup now definitely favors Philly in our opinion. The Hawks are just 10-15 on the road, while the 76ers are 17-9 at home. Atlatna is off two straight losses and with a home game vs. lowly Houston tomorrow, we believe the visitors get caught "looking ahead." Philly plays with revenge after a 139-132 OT loss as a favorite on the road back in January to the Hawks, and note that the 76ers are in fact a wallet-expanding 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. While we think the outright victory is possible, in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can with Philadelphia! AAA Sports |