Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01-24-22 | Blues v. Flames -135 | Top | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 14 h 40 m | Show |
10* FLAMES (GOW) St. Louis has been playing really well this year. It's won 8 of 10, including 3 straight. But because this is the opener of a home and home set, I really like the Flames to dig deep here and deliver in friendly confines. This is the first matchup of the year between the teams. Calgary though is desperate after dropping 7 of its last 10. It broke a 4 game slide with a 5-1 win over Florida, then 3 nights later fell 5-3 at Edmonton. The Flames will actually play at Columbus before their rematch in St. Louis on the 27th, but regardless Calgary is 5-1 in its last 6 off a road loss in which it allowed 5 or more goals in. I say Calgary digs deep and delivers in this crucial game; so lay this reasonable price! AAA Sports |
|||||||
01-23-22 | Blues -153 v. Canucks | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 16 h 54 m | Show | |
8* BLUES (EXPRESS) St. Louis is 24-11-5, while Vancouver is 18-18-4. The Blues enter off a relatively simple 5-0 win at Seattle. They've now scored 3 or more goals in 7 of their last 9 games. They rank 7th in goals against as well. The Canucks come in on the other end of the spectrum, losers of 4 of their last 6. They've scored 2 goals or less in 6 of their last 9 games. They rank 10th overall defensively, but their lack of offensive punch is the issue here. Look for the streaking Blues to take advantage; lay the price! AAA Sports |
|||||||
01-13-22 | Penguins v. Kings +133 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 133 | 14 h 29 m | Show |
Kings (10* NON-CONF GOM) Pittsburgh has played great this year. It comes to LA with only one loss in its last 12 games. The Penguins concede 2.46 GPG. But the feisty Kings have won 2 in a row and 4 of their last 5. LA has also been fantastic defensively, ranked fourth overall on that end of the ice. Evgeni Malkin is back for Pittsburgh, and that'll help out the Penguins in the second half of the season and in the playoffs. But LA is off a great 3-1 win over a red hot Rangers team and I expect a similar defensive effort here on home ice. I say the Pens get classically caught looking ahead to their final road games at San Jose and Vegas. A great spot bet on the undervalued underdog home side! AAA Sports |
|||||||
01-06-22 | Panthers v. Stars +103 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 103 | 29 h 44 m | Show |
10* DALLAS STARS. Florida is 18-3 at home, but only 4-4-1 on the road. Dallas is 4-9 on the road, but 11-3-1 at home. "Home ice" has meant EVERYTHING to these clubs and I expect that trend to continue in a big way here! With a red hot Pittsburgh team coming to town nexts, the Stars can't afford to look past the Panthers today. Dallas enters off B2B home wins, most recently a convincing 7-4 victory over Minnesota (Dallas is 6-2 in its last eight after scoring 6 or more goals in a win in its previous outing as well.) Florida opened its 4-game homestand with 2 straight losses, but it's since won 4 in a row at home, most recently a 6-2 win over Calgary. But with a game at division rival Carolina on Saturday, this does 100% for sure set up as a "look ahead" spot for the visiting side. It's a great set of situtional and stat based evidence that leads to our one and only 10* top underdog play of the year! AAA Sports |
|||||||
12-31-21 | Oilers -147 v. Devils | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -147 | 5 h 27 m | Show |
This is an 8* on EDMONTON Heading into 2022, the Oilers aren’t exactly in what we’d call a “great” position (they are 4th in the Pacific), but they are a lot better off than the Devils, one of the worst teams in the league. While the Devils did win on Wednesday, that’s rare. They’d previously lost six in a row before defeating Buffalo 4-3. It’s been 23 days since New Jersey won a home game. They aren’t going to win this one; they face Edmonton, who has Connor McDavid. McDavid is having an all-time great season, leading the league in assists and points. Counting last season’s playoffs, McDavid has 159 points in 2021. That’s the most points by a player in a single calendar year since Jaromir Jagr turned in 164 back in 1999. We look for McDavid to be the difference-maker again for Edmonton this afternoon as they look to bounce back from Wednesday’s loss to the Blues. The Oilers are 18-5 their last 23 games vs. teams from the Metropolitan Division and they are 17-7 their last 24 games as a road favorite. As for New Jersey, they’ve lost each of the previous four times they’ve been off a win. Play on EDMONTON AAA |
|||||||
12-20-21 | Wild v. Stars -112 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* on DAL At the start of December, both of these Central Division teams were playing well. Minnesota had an eight-game win streak that was the third longest in team history. Dallas was on a seven-game run of its own. But then things went south for the Stars as they lost five in a row, their longest losing streak since 2014. That streak is now over following Saturday’s emotional OT win over the Blackhawks where the team overcame a scary injury to Tanner Kero, who had to be stretchered off the ice. While three power play goals were the key to victory for Dallas, they outshot Chicago 39-23 and probably should have won that game in regulation. On the other hand, there was no sugarcoating how poorly Minnesota played in a 3-2 loss to Buffalo on Thursday, even though the game went to a shootout. The Wild allowed 40 shots on goal as they lost for a third straight time. After winning eight in a row, it’s now been 11 days since the Wild won a game as they’ve also dealt with two postponements during that stretch. Tough to get into a rhythm when you’re dealing with unexpected time off. The Stars have had this game circled ever since taking a 7-2 loss in the Twin Cities last month. Look for them to send Minnesota to its fourth straight defeat. Play on DALLAS AAA |
|||||||
12-16-21 | Golden Knights -171 v. Devils | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
This is an 8* on VEGAS Vegas goes for its third win in a row tonight as they pay a visit to New Jersey. While the Golden Knights are in solid shape right now, the Devils are not. The home team has lost seven of eight as well as three in a row. The Devils have given up 10 goals in the last two games while the Golden Knights have scored 10 goals in the last two games. New Jersey has lost 11 of the 15 times they’ve faced a team with a winning record. The Knights are 17-11 with 34 points and now is the time to make a move in the division with the two Alberta teams both struggling. Lots of illness right now with the Devils, COVID and non-COVID, and to add insult to injury they’ve allowed short-handed goals in each of the last two games. Vegas has no problems scoring. They’ve tallied 28 goals in the last six games. Play on VEGAS AAA |
|||||||
12-15-21 | Seattle Kraken v. Ducks -147 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 0 m | Show |
This is an 8* on ANAHEIM Not many expected to see the Anaheim Ducks leading the Pacific Division, but here we are in mid-December and the team has 37 points, which has them on top. The Ducks are coming off a successful five-game road trip out East. Their only loss in the last four games was 1-0 to Pittsburgh. Now five of the team’s last eight games have gone past regulation. But the 1-0 loss to the Pens is the only time the Ducks have been beaten in regulation during that stretch. It should be an easy two points tonight when the Ducks host the expansion Kraken. As you probably expected, the Kraken have struggled in their maiden season. They are last in the Pacific Division and are allowing the second most goals per game in the league. This is a rare chance to fade Seattle off a win as they played last night and beat San Jose 3-1. Fading this team off a win seems like a sound idea, especially when they’re not rested. This is the first time all season that the Kraken have been in that situation. Seattle has multiple players out with COVID, one of them top line center Yanni Gourde. The Ducks are simply a better team than the Kraken, which they already proved once with a 7-4 win up in Seattle last month. Play on ANAHEIM. AAA |
|||||||
12-09-21 | Red Wings v. Blues -162 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 7* on STL The Red Wings are currently in fourth place in the Atlantic Division with 29 points. But there’s a seven-point gap between them and the top three teams in the division (Florida, Toronto, Tampa Bay). Not only do we not expect Detroit to catch those teams, they are quite likely to take a tumble down the standings. Look no further than their -10 goal differential as reason for that line of thinking. The Red Wings have been a pretty lucky team recently. During a five-game win streak, which is now over, they had four one-goal wins and three of those required overtime or a shootout. The win streak ended with a 5-2 loss to Nashville on Tuesday. Expect another loss in St. Louis tonight. The Blues lost in Detroit 4-2 back on November 24th, so they’re out for revenge. After four hard-fought games against Tampa Bay and Florida (played both teams twice), this should be a relatively easy game for the Blues, who are 8-3-1 on home ice so far. Play on ST. LOUIS AAA |
|||||||
12-01-21 | Penguins v. Oilers -121 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 15 m | Show |
This is a 10* on EDMONTON Edmonton has to be happy with its start to the season. They have a 15-5 overall record and are second in the Pacific Division with 30 points. They are only one point behind first place Calgary. At home, the Oilers are 8-1 and have scored 38 goals. Tonight they host Pittsburgh, a team that is fourth in the Metropolitan Division and ironically enough just lost 2-1 to Calgary. Before that, the Penguins lost 6-3 at home to Montreal. They had won five in a row before the back to back losses. Back to Edmonton, the Oilers have won their last two games - 5-3 at Arizona and 3-2 at Vegas. They should be pretty fired up to be back home Wednesday night as the Oilers are looking for what would be their first regulation win over the Penguins since 2006! They have just four wins in the last 19 meetings with the Penguins. That includes six straight home losses. But we feel tonight is the night they snap that streak. There’s no debate over which team is playing better hockey right now and Edmonton is 38-16 its last 54 games as a favorite. Pittsburgh is playing its fourth game in six days, a situation they’ve lost in four of the last five times. Play on EDMONTON AAA |
|||||||
11-28-21 | Maple Leafs -165 v. Ducks | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
This is an 8* on TORONTO The Maple Leafs look to make it nine wins in their last 10 games as they visit Anaheim tonight. The Leafs only loss since Nov 10 came at home, by a score of 2-0 to Pittsburgh. Since that loss, they have rattled off three consecutive road wins where they outscored the Islanders, Kings and Sharks 13-3. The Leafs are now tied for first place (with Florida) in the Atlantic Division with 31 points. They allow the third fewest number of goals per game in the league. Anaheim was once hot itself, winning eight in a row from October 31st through November 16th. But the Ducks have since dropped three of four, though they did win 4-0 here at home on Friday. But the team they beat (Ottawa) is one of the worst in the league right now. The fact the Ducks are third in the Pacific is something we’d call “surprising.” They’ve been a tough out at home and are also strong on the penalty kill. But Toronto, having claimed six straight road games, is in a different class. The Leafs have allowed just 11 goals their last nine games, making them a VERY difficult team to beat. We like them to get the two points on Sunday. Play on TORONTO AAA |
|||||||
11-24-21 | Maple Leafs -155 v. Kings | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 11 m | Show |
This is an 8* on TOR The Maple Leafs come into Wednesday firmly entrenched as one the Atlantic’s three top teams. Neither they nor Tampa Bay have been quite as good as Florida, but you could say the same thing for most teams across the league. The Leafs have won 11 out of their last 13 games however, and Sunday’s 3-0 win at the Islanders was their fourth shutout during that stretch. Tonight the Leafs are in LA looking to avenge one of the two defeats they’ve suffered this month. It was back on 11/8 that the Leafs lost to the Kings 5-1 at home. Both teams were on win streaks at the time of that first meeting. Now the Kings are on a four-game losing skid with the last three defeats all coming here at home. The last one was perhaps the most embarrassing as it was against Arizona, who is the worst team in the league. The Kings have already fallen a bit off the pace set by the top teams in the Pacific and we only see that gap widening as the season progresses. Toronto isn’t going to lose twice to this team, so they’ve got our backing tonight. Play on TORONTO AAA |
|||||||
11-19-21 | Avalanche -134 v. Seattle Kraken | Top | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* on COL Colorado came into the season as one of the Stanley Cup favorites, but got off to a surprisingly slow start. That’s changed recently, as despite not having star Nathan MacKinnon, the Avs have won three in a row. Two wins were over Vancouver and the other against San Jose. They have scored a total of 17 goals during this win streak, which has seen them make up for the absence of MacKinnon by going 6 for 13 on the power play. Tonight the Avalanche go up against a team that is - not surprisingly - near the bottom of the league’s standings. The expansion Kraken have lost five straight while giving up four or more goals every time. We had the Over when they last played - and lost - 4-2 to Chicago. Seattle fell behind 3-0 in that game and had only three shots on goal in the first period. Only one team (Arizona) has fewer points than the Kraken’s 9 as they continue to reside in the basement of the Pacific Division. This shapes up to be another easy two points for the Avalanche. Play on COLORADO AAA |
|||||||
11-15-21 | Islanders v. Lightning -124 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 9* on TB After starting the season with three straight losses, Tampa Bay has turned things around. You had to figure they would. After all, this is the team that’s won the last two Stanley Cup Finals. In each of their last seven games, the Lightning have picked up a point. That’s five wins and two overtime losses. Five of their next six games are at home, including this one against the team they beat in last year’s semifinals. It was a seven-game series with the Islanders last summer, but we expect the Lightning to roll tonight. This will be the Islanders’ 12th straight road game to open the year as they wait for their new arena to be ready. The Isles have played a game since Thursday, but you’ve got to figure they are road-weary. Having three days off didn’t help them in Newark on Thursday as they lost to the Devils 4-0. Before that was a 5-2 loss in Minnesota. It’s six straight losses to teams with winning records for the Islanders. Play on TAMPA BAY AAA |
|||||||
11-11-21 | Sharks v. Jets -173 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
full analysis to follow |
|||||||
11-09-21 | Ducks v. Canucks -145 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -145 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 9* on VANCOUVER Vancouver sits second to last in the Pacific Division as of this writing. The only team below them in the standings is the expansion Kraken. Tonight the Canucks host Anaheim, who is four points ahead. The Ducks have won their last four games, but all of those have come on home ice. The road has not been quite so kind. Four of the Ducks' five away games have ended in defeat. They’ve allowed four or more goals in each of their last four road games and lost them all. Vancouver is wrapping up a seven-game homestand tonight after playing its first six games on the road. They won 6-3 against Dallas on Sunday. We think the home ice advantage is the key determining factor in the outcome of this game. Also, Vancouver is allowing a fewer number of shots per game than Anaheim. The Ducks’ current win streak is their longest in nearly three years. Can it continue? We think not. Play on VANCOUVER AAA |
|||||||
11-05-21 | Blackhawks v. Jets -163 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 9* on WINNIPEG Winnipeg has won five of its last six with the one loss coming in OT. Four of those wins came without leading scorer Mark Scheifele, who returned to the lineup for a 4-3 win over Dallas earlier in the week. The Jets face downtrodden Chicago tonight. The Blackhawks have only one win this season and it came Monday at home vs. Ottawa. They and the Coyotes seem to be in a race to determine not just who finishes last in the division, but in the entire NHL. A sexual abuse scandal (from 10 years ago) has wreaked havoc on the Blackhawks franchise. Things have been no better on the ice. After winning for the first time in 2021, they blew a two goal lead to Carolina on Wednesday and lost 4-3. Who wants any part of this Chicago team right now? Not us. Play on WINNIPEG AAA |
|||||||
10-30-21 | Wild v. Avalanche -146 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* on COLORADO The Avalanche, considered one of the odds on favorite to win the Stanley Cup, have gotten off to a very disappointing start. Thursday’s 4-3 triumph over St. Louis was just the third win of the season for the Avs. They’ve needed four goals in each of those three wins. They are 0-4 when failing to score four times in a game. Colorado is 30th in goals allowed per game at 3.71. They’ve got to work on getting that number down. We think they will on Saturday when they host Minnesota in a big early season division clash. After a 4-0 start, the Wild have lost two of three games. This will be their third road game in five days. Thursday saw them lose 4-1 to the expansion Kraken. Colorado’s third win of the season should not be dismissed as they were the first team to defeat St. Louis this year. The Avalanche outshot the Blues 42-18. Given what we all thought of the Avs at the start of the year, there’s no reason not to take them at this low price on home ice. Play on COLORADO AAA |