Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-13-25 | Vikings v. Rams UNDER 48 | Top | 9-27 | Win | 100 | 60 h 43 m | Show |
At 8:00pm ET, my Wildcard Rd Total Of The Year is on Minnesota Vikings vs Los Angeles Rams Under. Everyone had been scoring big points against the Detroit defense but the Vikings managed only 9 points against the Lions. Sam Darnold was not good. He finished 18 of 41 with 0 touchdowns. Minnesota managed only 14 first downs. Now Darnold and the Vikings go up against a Rams defense which has played great for weeks. Throw out the Seattle game, as the Rams treated it like it didn't matter. There was still seeding implications but they gave Stafford and others the day off.) The Rams held each of their previous 3 opponents to less than 10 points. Before the Seattle game, only 1 of the Rams last 5 opponents had scored more than 14 points against them and that was Buffalo. On offense, prior to the Seattle game, the Rams had scored less than 20 points in three straight. The Rams have gone under in each of their last 2 WildCard games. They allowed just 11 points their last home playoff wildcard game. This total is high and this will make 3 straight. Play on the under. ***I was already going to play the under if the game was at LA and I still really like the play after the change of venue to Glendale. I will add that the Rams managed only 10 points and 245 yards when they played here this season. |
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01-11-25 | Chargers v. Texans OVER 41.5 | Top | 12-32 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show |
At 430pm ET, my AFC Total Of The Week is on the Los Angeles Chargers vs Houston Texans Over. This is a low total. As a matter of fact, its the lowest of the 6 Wildcard games. A little too low, according to my calculations! The Charger offense has caught fire. LA scored 34, 40 and 34 its past 3 games. The Texans are going to need to score if they want to keep up! The past 3 meetings between the Chargers and Texans finished with 58, 70 and 47 points. This will be another high-scoring game, higher than the low total suggests. Play on the over. |
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01-11-25 | Kansas v. Cincinnati OVER 134.5 | Top | 54-40 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 59 m | Show |
At 2:00pm ET, my Big 12 Total Of the Year is on Kansas vs Cincinnati Over. Thanks to some recent low scores, this o/u line is low. The totals were 139.5 and 147 when these teams faced each other last season. Kansas scored 99 in its last road game. The Jayhawks have scored 74 or more in 4 of their last 5 games. They average 78.9 ppg. The Bearcats struggled to score at Baylor last game but they average 82.2 ppg at home. Both teams are going to get at least 70 points today. Consequently, the final score will make its way over the low total. Play on the over. |
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01-11-25 | Creighton v. Butler OVER 145 | 80-76 | Win | 100 | 4 h 1 m | Show | |
At 12:00pm ET, my Early Riser is on Creighton vs Butler Over. Both these defenses are struggling. Off a 79-71 loss at Marquette, the Bluejays should bounce back with a better offensive effort this afternoon. They scored 86 the last time that they were off a loss. Creighton's defense is a different matter. The Bluejays have allowed 79 or more points in 4 of their last 5 games. The Bulldogs allowed 84 last game and have given up a minimum of 70 points in eight straight games. (All were losses.) Both defenses allow an average of more than 70 ppg. Last season's 2 games averaged 171.5 points. Play on the over. |
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01-10-25 | Ohio State v. Texas UNDER 53.5 | 28-14 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
At 7:30pm Et, my Flea-Flicker selection is on Ohio State vs Texas Under. We were treated to a terrific game last night and this should be another good one. These are 2 great defenses but this total is much higher than last night's total. The Buckeyes allow 244.6 yards per game, best in the entire country. The Longhorns allow 277.9 yards per game, third best in the country. Ohio State allows 12.1 points per game, #1 in the nation. Texas concedes 14.5 points per game, 4th best in the nation. Last night's game saw 31 points in the 4th quarter but still would have finished below this high total. They are unlikely to score 31 points in the 4th quarter again. There were only 4 games this season when the Longhorns weren't favored by double-digits. All 4 of those games finished with 45 or fewer points. Play on the under. |
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01-09-25 | Notre Dame v. Penn State OVER 44.5 | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show |
At 7:30pm Et, my NCAAF Total Of The Week is on Notre Dame vs Penn State Over. These defenses are good but this total is still too low. These offenses can't be stopped, even by good defenses. Penn State has scored more than 30 points in each of its last 4 games. Notre Dame scored 23 against Georgia but probably could have scored more if the Bulldogs had forced it to do so. The Fighting Irish average 37.7 points per game. The Nittany Lions average 33.7. Both teams are going to trade points and both will score more than 20. The winner is likely to top 30. That'll get the final score to finish above the low total. Play on the over. |
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01-08-25 | Air Force v. San Diego State UNDER 131.5 | Top | 38-67 | Win | 100 | 13 h 12 m | Show |
At 10:30pm ET, my MWC Total Of The Year is on Air Force vs San Diego State Under. The Aztecs are going to clamp down defensively tonight. The last time that they hosted Air Force, they held the Falcons to 55 points. They have held Air Force to less than 65 points in 7 straight meetings. Play on the under. |
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01-08-25 | Pistons v. Nets OVER 212.5 | Top | 113-98 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
At 7:40pm ET, my Eastern Conference Total Of the Week is on Detroit Pistons vs Brooklyn Nets Over. This is a low total in today's NBA. Every other Tuesday game has a total in at least the 220s. Both teams allow more than 113 points per game. On offense, Detroit averages 112 and Brooklyn averages 107.5. Those are low numbers compared to some teams but still high enough that they will get over this low number. The total was 219 when the Nets and Pistons met in November. The over is 9-1 the last 10 meetings, all 9 overs finished with at least 216 points. Play on the over. |
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01-07-25 | Heat v. Warriors UNDER 218.5 | Top | 114-98 | Win | 100 | 15 h 49 m | Show |
At 10:10 ET, my NBA Total of the Month is on Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors Under. The Heat really fought hard in last night's OT loss at Sacramento. It was a much better effort than they'd given in their previous couple of games. They may not have much left in the tank tonight though and their tired legs are going to lead to some missed shots. Their last road game which was a back-to-back spot was a 104-100 final. That was the only previous time the Heat played 2 road games in 2 days this season. Other back-to-back spots have involved at least 1 home game. In all back-to-back spots, the Heat are 9-5 to the under their last 14 and 19-11 to the under, their last 30. The Warriors scored only 99 points last game. That's twice in 4 games (and 3x in 6 games) that they failed to hit the 100 mark. Last year's games between the Heat and Warriors finished with 216 and 205 points, an average of 210.5. Play on the under. |
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01-05-25 | Vikings v. Lions UNDER 56.5 | Top | 9-31 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
At 8:20pm ET, my NFC Total Of The Month is on Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions Under. We're going to see some points on Sunday night but this is an extremely high total. You're going to find out that its too high. This season's first total was 49. Last year's games had totals of 47.5 and 48. The earlier game finished with 60 points, a 31-29 final. But if you look at the stats, they don't suggest the type of offensive shootout you might imagine. The Lions had 19 first downs. The Vikings had 16. Both teams had balanced run/pass stats but neither reached 400 total yards. The Lions only entered the red zone once and the Vikings never even did so. The previous 6 meetings between these teams all finished with 57 or fewer points. Injuries or not, these defenses aren't as bad as the public thinks. This game stays under the enormous total. Play on the under. |
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01-05-25 | Iona v. Siena UNDER 134 | 74-73 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
At 2:00pm Et, my selection is on Iona vs Siena Under. Siena is off a couple high-scoring games but that will change against Iona. The Gaels are a really good defensive team. Their identity is defense. Before the season, coach Anderson commented: "Our bread and butter has to be our defense." The Gaels have allowed 73 or fewer points in 4 straight games. They held Siena to 51 and 54 points last season. Both games finished way below the total. The Gaels have kept the Saints to 70 or less in 8 straight meetings. Play on the under. |
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01-04-25 | Browns v. Ravens UNDER 41.5 | Top | 10-35 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 30 m | Show |
My January AFC North Total of the Month is on Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens Under. The Ravens are heavy favorites. They have everything to play for and the Browns have nothing. With Bailey Zappe starting at QB, the Browns are going to have real trouble scoring. Actually, that was going to be the case no matter who started. Zappe hasn't played a down this season and is being thrown to the Wolves. The Ravens will score their points but they aren't going to go over this total by themselves. Their last victory over the Browns came by a 28-3 score and a similar final is expected here. Play on the under. |
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01-02-25 | Montana v. Eastern Washington UNDER 154.5 | Top | 92-81 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
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01-02-25 | Notre Dame v. Georgia OVER 45 | Top | 23-10 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 18 m | Show |
My January Bowl Total Of The Month is on Notre Dame vs Georgia Over. Let me start by saying that these defenses are both really good. Those defenses are a big part of why these teams are where they are right now. Guess what? The offenses are both also really good! Since that stinker against Northern Illinois in early September, the Fighting Irish have scored at least 27 points in every game. Over that 11-game period they averaged 45.24 points! Before the Indiana game, they'd gone over the 30-point mark in 8 straight games. Before its lower-scoring SEC Title game against Texas, the Bulldogs had scored 44, 59 and 31 in their previous 3 games. Stockton has had plenty of time to prepare and he adds a different element to the offense. Both teams are going to score more than 20 and this classic will finish over the low total. |
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01-01-25 | Chattanooga v. Mercer OVER 154 | Top | 94-99 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
At 3:00pm ET, my Southern Conference Total of The Year is on Chattanooga vs Mercer Over. Both these teams are going to score at least 75 today and at least one of them is going over the 80 mark. Chattanooga managed only 65 last game but that was at Indiana. The Mocs averaged 86.3 points over their previous 3 games. A well-coached team with a proven offensive system, they've hit 75 or more in 5 of their past 7. The Bears have scored greater than 70 points in 8 of their last 9 game. They've scored 75 or more in 4 of their past 6 and they're averaging 82.6 ppg on the season. These teams combined for 159 the last time they faced each other. Play on the over. |
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01-01-25 | Arsenal v. Brentford UNDER 3 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 34 m | Show |
At 12:30pm ET, my EPL Total of the Month is on Arsenal vs Brentford Under. Liverpool scores the most goals in the Premier League this season but its Arsenal which allows the fewest. Arsenal has conceded only 16 goals in 18 league matches. Brentford is unlikely to score. The Bees are off a 0-0 draw with Brighton and they were blanked 2-0 by Nottingham Forest before that. Arsenal is off a 1-0 victory over Ipswich. Three of the past 4 h2h matches finished with a score of 1-0 and the other was 2-1. Play on the under. |
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12-31-24 | South Carolina v. Illinois OVER 47.5 | Top | 17-21 | Loss | -115 | 152 h 1 m | Show |
At 3:00pm ET, my Bowl Total Of The Year is on South Carolina vs Illinois Over. The South Carolina Gamecocks are a big favorite for their New Year's Eve game against Illinois. The Gamecocks are going to need to score a lot of points in order to win, let alone cover. It should be pointed out that South Carolina's Kyle Kennard is out. Considering he won the Bronko Nagurski Trophy as the top defensive player in college football, that's a big hit to the Gamecocks defense. The Illini closed out the regular season by scoring 38 points in each of their final 3 games. Scores were 38-28, 38-31 and 38-16. The last time that South Carolina was a favorite, it scored 56 points. The last time that the Gamecocks were favored in the -7 to -14 range, they scored 34. Four of the past 6 Citrus Bowls have finished with more than 50 points. This one will too! Play on the Over. |
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12-31-24 | Wake Forest v. Syracuse OVER 144 | Top | 81-71 | Win | 100 | 6 h 5 m | Show |
At 2:00pm ET, my ACC Total Of The Month is on Wake Forest vs Syracuse Over. Syracuse games are being played at a faster tempo and have been much higher-scoring than Wake Forest games. Due to some low-scoring games by the Demon Deacons, we get a total in the 140s. The past 5 meetings between these teams have all had o/u lines in the 150s. Four of the 5 games finished with more than 150. Last year's only game finished with 169. The Wake Forest shooters will get going against a Syracuse team allowing 78.85 points per game. (That ranks 344th in the country.) The Deacons are going to need to score as Syracuse averages 77.5 points per game on offense. At home, the Orange will dictate the pace and that will lead to the final score finishing above the total. Play on the over. |
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12-29-24 | Panthers v. Bucs UNDER 48 | Top | 14-48 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 36 m | Show |
At 1:00pm ET, my NFC South Total Of the Month is on Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Under. The Panthers are one of only 2 teams in the NFL to average less than 300 yards of offense per game. They manage just 295.8 yards per game. That's right down there with the Giants. Prior to last week's high-scoring game versus Arizona, Carolina had seen 7 of its previous 8 games finish with fewer than 50 points. Tampa has seen 5 of its last 6 games finish with 50 or less. This season's earlier meeting snuck over the total only thanks to Overtime, a tough loss for those who bet the under. That score was still 16-10 nearly halfway through the 4th quarter. This one won't go to OT and will stay below the total. Play on the under. |
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12-28-24 | Cardinals v. Rams UNDER 47.5 | Top | 9-13 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
AT 8:15pm ET, my NFC West Total Of the Year is on Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams Under. The Cardinals may be eliminated from playoff contention but this is still a divisional battle against a team which is fighting for the division title. The Rams are playing stellar defense. Their last 2 games had scores of 12-6 and 19-9. The earlier meeting at Arizona finished with 51. Last year's game at Arizona also finished with 51. But last year's game at LA only produced 35 points and the last 3 meetings at LA have all finished with 45 or less. Play on the under. |
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12-28-24 | Washington State v. Portland OVER 153 | Top | 89-73 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
At 8:00pm Et, my WCC Total of the Year is on Washington State vs Portland Over. Previously a slower paced team, the Cougars have a new coach who likes to push the tempo. Having scored 73 at Washington and 74 at Boise in their last 2 road games, the Cougars have no trouble putting up points on the road. This defense isn't as good as those ones. Portland allowed 76, 94 and 85 the past 3x its was an underdog. The Cougars scored 100, 90, 83, 84 and 91 when favored by double-digits. They're going to score more than 80 today. Portland will help do its part. The Pilots scored 74 last game and they scored 100 in a game less than 2 weeks ago. They face a WSU team which conceded 89 in its last road game. In a fast paced game with both teams putting up points, this final score will finish over the number. Play on the over. |
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12-28-24 | Knicks v. Wizards OVER 228.5 | 136-132 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
At 7:10pm ET, my selection is on the New York Knicks vs Washington Wizards Over. After facing a defensive team yesterday, the Knicks will be happy to see the Wizards, the team which allows the most points per game in the entire NBA. Washington concedes 121.82 points per game. The Knicks won `134-106 when these teams met earlier. They were also playing their 2nd game in 2 days for that one. Each of their back-to-backs have hit at least 240 points. Play on the over. |
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12-28-24 | Connecticut v. North Carolina UNDER 53.5 | 27-14 | Win | 100 | 3 h 11 m | Show | |
At 11:00am ET, my Early Riser is on Connecticut vs North Carolina Under. The Tar Heels closed the season on a down note but they still were 7-5 to the under on the year. This sets up well for another under as the Huskies are a solid defensive team which runs the ball a lot. The Huskies will be playing their 4th ACC opponent. During the season, they faced Duke, Syracuse and Wake Forest. Two of those 3 games finished with 47 or less and all 3 finished with 55 or less. Previous Fenway Bowls have been low-scoring. As a matter of fact, they both finished in the 30s. This will be another low-scoring game. Play on the under. |
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12-27-24 | Texas A&M v. USC UNDER 52.5 | Top | 31-35 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 5 m | Show |
At 10:30pm ET, my Bowl Total Of The Week is on Texas A&M vs USC Under. The Trojans are thought of as a high-scoring team which doesn't play defense. Those days are mostly done though. Before getting beaten by Notre Dame, the Trojans were off a 19-13 win over UCLA. Earlier this season, the defense recorded a shutout. The USC defense is going to have to step up as the offense is missing some key contributors. Starting wide receivers Duce Robinson, Kyron Hudson and Zachariah Branch all entered the transfer portal, along with change-of-pace running back Quinten Joyner. Running back Woody Marks and center Jonah Monheim are both out. The Aggies scored only 7 points in their last game but they also held Texas to just 17. They held 10 of their 12 opponents to 24 or fewer points. Play on the under. The last 3 LV Bowls had combined scores of 33, 33 and 21. Play on the under. |
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12-27-24 | Knicks v. Magic UNDER 212 | Top | 108-85 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
At 7:10 Et, my NBA Eastern Conference Total Of The Week is on New York Knicks vs Orlando Magic Under. Here's a rare chance to see some defense being played in an NBA game. The Magic allow 103.5 points per game. That's the best mark in the entire NBA, even better than OKC. The Knicks are 8th best in that category. These teams played here a little less than 2 weeks ago. The score was 100-91. Three of the past 5 meetings have finished with 192 or less. The Magic are off an 89-88 loss last night. They are 3-1 to the under the past 4x times that they played a back-to-back. Play on the under. |
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12-26-24 | Pistons v. Kings OVER 226.5 | Top | 114-113 | Win | 100 | 14 h 30 m | Show |
At 10:10pm ET, my NBA total of the month is on Detroit Pistons vs Sacramento Kings Over. The Pistons are playing some of their best basketball. They have scored 117, 133, 119 and 125 points over their last 4 games. They have scored at least 117 in 6 of their past 7 games. With the Pistons scoring at least 117 nearly every game lately, if they want to win, the favored Kings are going to need to score more than that. These teams combined for 253 points when the Pistons played here last season. As a matter of fact, the past 6 meetings have all produced at least 235 points. This will be another shootout. Play on the Over. |
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12-26-24 | Pittsburgh v. Toledo OVER 50 | 46-48 | Win | 100 | 5 h 23 m | Show | |
At 2pm ET, my Totals Club selection is on Pittsburgh/Toledo Over the total. The Panthers closed out their regular season with a 33-24 loss to Boston College. They were very short-handed offensively for that game. Most teams in the bowls have less starters but Pittsburgh coach Pat Narduzzi said this: "I would imagine on the 26th we're going to be a heck of a lot healthier than we were coming out of that BC game. I promise you that." Toledo has the best passing attack in the MAC Conference. They used to play the Motor City Bowl here but its been the Quick Lane Bowl since 2013. This year, with the Quick Lane sponsorship ending, its the GameAbove Sports Bowl. Six of 9 Quick Lane Bowls finished with at least 50 points and the first GameAbove Sports Bowl will do the same. Play on the over. |
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12-25-24 | Oregon State v. Nebraska OVER 137 | Top | 66-78 | Win | 100 | 15 h 48 m | Show |
At 8:30pm Et, my Total of the Week is on Oregon State vs Nebraska Over. These teams faced each other last November. The total was 136 and they combined for 147. The Huskers held Oregon State scoreless for a stretch of 8:50. Overall, they held the Beavers to 35 percent on the afternoon. Even with the Beavers struggling to score, the game went comfortably over the total. The Beavers are going to score more tonight as they are averaging 76.8 ppg this season. The Huskers are right there with them as they are averaging 77.8 points this season. This game will be more competitive than last year's and with both teams contributing, the final score will again finish above the total. Play on the over. |
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12-25-24 | Ravens v. Texans UNDER 47 | Top | 31-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
At 4:30pm ET, my AFC Total Of the Month is on Baltimore Ravens vs Houston Texans Under. Like the Chiefs and Steelers in the early game, these teams are both playing on a very short week. Both are playing their 3rd game since 12/15. The Ravens are battling the Steelers for the AFC North crown. The Texans have wrapped up the AFC South. They don't have much to play for and they're down another top receiver after losing Tank Dell last week. He had 6 receptions for 98 yards and a TD before the injury. His loss is huge for Houston. It will lead to some conservative play-calling on Wednesday. The Texans don't want to get embarrassed at home though and we're going to see their defense rise to the challenge of taking on a top team. Two meetings since the start of last season (one regular season, one playoffs) both finished with 44 or fewer points. This one finishes below the high number. Play on the Under. |
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12-23-24 | Coastal Carolina v. UTSA UNDER 56 | 15-44 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 49 m | Show | |
At 11:00am ET, my Early Riser is on Coastal Carolina vs UTSA Under. Utsa is such a large favorite, despite the game being played in South Carolina, due to Coastal Carolina being hit so hard by opt outs and transfers. The Chanticleers are down to their 3rd string QB. Coach Beck joked to reporters: "and then after this meeting, I'm taking all of you outside for tryouts." Given the QB situation, the Chanticleers will be running the ball a lot. The Chanticleers are also going to need their defense to be at its best. For UTSA, defensive star Brandon Brown is back to lead his unit. Brown, who declared for the NFL draft but is still playing, said this: "I know people consider not playing, but it didn't even cross my mind. Some people may not want you to play, but I always wanted to play for my brothers. That's who I came in with, and that's who I want to finish with." Brown and Roadrunners will make scoring difficult for the undermanned Chanticleers and keep the final score below the total. Play on the under. |
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12-22-24 | Titans v. Colts UNDER 43 | Top | 30-38 | Loss | -110 | 100 h 25 m | Show |
At 1:00pm ET, my AFC South Total Of the Year is on Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts Under. The Colts offense is not scoring many points. Indianapolis managed only 13 points last week, zero in the 2nd half. The Colts have now scored 20 or fewer points in 7 of their last 9 games. The Titans know exactly how they feel. They scored 27 last week but that was against a Cincinnati team with a really bad defense. They've still scored 20 or less in 8 of their past 10, including just 6 in the game before the Bengals. Both teams are in the bottom 10 of the NFL for points scored. The defenses have been better than the offenses. The Colts gave up 31 points to Denver. That was a deceiving score though as they only gave up 13 first downs and 193 total yards. The Colts held high-scoring Detroit to 24 points in their last home game. Prior to their game against the high-scoring Bengals, the Titans had allowed only 10 points. They allow the 2nd fewest yards per game of any team in the NFL. |
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12-21-24 | Steelers v. Ravens UNDER 45 | Top | 17-34 | Loss | -112 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
At 4:30pm ET, my AFC North Total Of the Month is on Baltimore/Pittsburgh Under. Quarterbacks Russell Wilson and Lamar Jackson are both playing very well overall this season. They're both sure to have their moments. Wilson hasn't been great the past 2 games though and Jackson's struggled against the Steelers are well documented. Games between the Steelers and Ravens are primarily about tough, hard-hitting smash mouth football. They're typically close and they're almost always low-scoring. Look at the scores from the last 8 games: 18-16, 17-10, 17-10, 16-13, 16-14, 16-13, 20-19 and 19-14. This season's first meeting stayed well below the total and this afternoon's game is going to do the same. Play on the under. |
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12-21-24 | Tennessee State v. Morehead State UNDER 148.5 | Top | 68-74 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
At 3:30pm ET, my Ohio Valley Conference Total Of The Year is on Tennessee State vs Morehead State Under. These teams are both still adjusting to their new starting lineups and that will negatively effect the offense this afternoon. The Tigers have an entirely new starting five. The Eagles lost the top 5 scorers from last year's team. Though the faces are different, the defensive intensity will remain. The last meeting between these teams produced only 117 points. This is a higher o/u line than any of the past 10 o/u lines when these teams played. That's giving us a lot of value and a lot of wiggle room. Play on the under. |
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12-21-24 | Texans v. Chiefs OVER 42 | 19-27 | Win | 100 | 5 h 58 m | Show | |
At 1:00pm Et, my selection is on Houston Texans vs Kansas City Chiefs Over. This game isn't necessarily critical for either team. With some pressure off and a pair of quarterbacks who love to compete, we'll see a high-scoring game this afternoon. Mahomes was iffy at the beginning of the week but is reportedly good to go. He was 36 of 41 for 336 yards when he last faced Houston, a 30-24 win in 2022. As a matter of fact, Mahomes has a passer rating of 122.2 with 1,141 yards, 13 touchdowns and 1 interception in 4 career games (3 regular-season and 1 playoff) against Houston. All 4 finished with at least 54 points. The Texans have scored 20 or more points in 10 of their last 11 games. Go with the over. |
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12-21-24 | SMU v. Penn State UNDER 52.5 | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 4 h 8 m | Show | |
At 12:00pm ET, my Early Riser is on SMU vs Penn State Under. The first game of the 12-team format saw Notre Dame deliver a dominant defensive effort in defeating Indiana. The second game of the playoff features another top defensive team in Penn State. Even after getting lit up by Oregon, the Nittany Lions are still a top 10 in terms of yards and points allowed. They will be looking to bounce back with a better defensive performance. Similarly, SMU gave up some early points to Clemson last game which led to a shootout. The Mustangs are better defensively than that score suggests though, as they held their previous 2 opponents to 7 and 6 points and the 34 was the most they'd conceded since back in September. The high scores in the last games have led to a very big o/u number. Too big! Play on the under. |
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12-19-24 | Broncos v. Chargers UNDER 41.5 | Top | 27-34 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 1 m | Show |
At 8:15 PM ET, my TNF total of the month is on the Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers Under. The Broncos allowed only 13 points last week. They have conceded less than 20 in 4 of their last 5 games. The Chargers had a bad defensive showing last game. They've been stingy all season long before that though and will deliver a much better effort tonight. The Broncos scored 31 points last game but that wasn't because of an amazing offensive effort. As a matter of fact, they managed only 13 first downs and had less than 200 yards of offense. The last 3 games between these AFC West rivals finished with 39, 25 and 31 points. The total for this season's first game was only 37. Tonight's higher total is giving us plenty value. Go with the under. |
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12-19-24 | Manchester United v. Tottenham Hotspur UNDER 3.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -125 | 8 h 50 m | Show |
At 3:00pm Et, my Soccer Total Of the Month is on Manchester United vs Tottenham Under. This is the semi-finals of the Carabao Cup. Manager Ruben Amorim decided not to play Marcus Rashford on Sunday and the well known Manchester United star is reportedly out again today. Rashford has said he's ready for a new challenge. Whatever his future may bring, it hurts the United attack to not have him out there. The Red Devils will need to step up their defense, as they did in Sunday's Manchester Derby. Playing without Rashford, they held Mahchester City to a single goal, in a 2-1 win. "Today we proved we can leave anyone out and win," said Amorim afterwards. When these teams met in EPL action, United failed to score a single goal. Scoring is going to be difficult again. Play on the under. |
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12-18-24 | California v. UNLV OVER 47 | Top | 13-24 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
At 9:00pm Et, my Bowl Total Of the Week is on California vs UNLV Over. The LA Bowl has a history of matching teams from conferences known for their offensive firepower. Last year's teams, UCLA and Boise, combined for 57 points. It's no longer Mountain West versus Pac-12 but its still Mountain West versus the Pac-12 "Legacy Schools," those are the 10 schools which departed the Pac-12. UNLV lost its coach but their interim coach for this game (Del Alexander) was a former receiver who was quoted as saying: "Make sure the guys have fun. Make sure they're locked in on the details for the situations, and then bring it all together in the end." Cal's starting QB won't play but the Bears are still going to have success moving the ball. On defense, Cal allowed 33 or more points in 3 of its final 4 games. Eight of the Rebels last 10 games have finished with at least 52 points. The total has come down, providing value. Play on the over |
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12-17-24 | DePaul v. St. John's UNDER 151 | Top | 61-89 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
At 6:30pm ET, my Big East Total Of The Month is on DePaul vs St. Johns Under. St. Johns is off a high-scoring game against Bryant. DePaul is off a high-scoring game versus Wichita State. Those weren't conference games though. Tonight's Big East battle will feature more defensive intensity. There's only been one Big East game played so far this season and that also featured DePaul. The Blue Demons combined with Providence for 133 points, a score which stayed under the total. DePaul can score when it hosts St. John's but not so much when the Red Storm are the home team. The Blue Demos' last 2 games here both stayed under. Last year's game here saw them score only 57 points, the 85-57 final staying well below the total. Play on the under. |
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12-16-24 | Jazz v. Clippers OVER 223 | Top | 107-144 | Win | 100 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
At 10:40pm ET, my Total Of the Week is on Utah Jazz vs Los Angeles Clippers Over. This total came down from its opening number and that is just what I wanted to see. The Clippers go under more than over. That's only true when they are underdogs though! The Clippers are 12-8 to the over the past 20 times that they were favored, 2-1 the past 3. Now they are a matched up against a team which doesn't defend. Utah is off a 260 point game. The Jazz have now seen 4 straight games finish with at least 238 points. When the Clippers win, they score. They scored more than 120 in each of their last 4 wins. The Clippers will score more than 125 and the Jazz will score more than 100. Play on the over. |
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12-16-24 | Bears v. Vikings UNDER 43.5 | Top | 12-30 | Win | 100 | 149 h 19 m | Show |
At 8:00pm ET, my Monday Night Total Of the Year is on Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings Under. This is a high total for a game between the Bears and the Vikings. The o/u line was 39.5 for this season's first meeting. Both teams are 8-5 to the under on the season. The Bears scored 13 points last week. Other than the first game against Minnesota where they surprisingly scored 27, the Bears have scored 20 or less in each of their last 6 other games. They average 288.5 yards per game on offense, worst in the entire NFL. Minnesota allows 18.5 ppg and Chicago allows 21.4 ppg. Those are the 6th and 10th best marks in the NFL, entering Week 15. Chicago's last game here had a total of 43 and the final score was 12-10. The Bears held the Vikings to 242 total yards. Play on the under. |
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12-15-24 | Packers v. Seahawks UNDER 47 | Top | 30-13 | Win | 100 | 126 h 43 m | Show |
AT 8:20pm ET, my NFC Total Of The Year is on Green Bay Packers vs Seattle Seahawks Under. This is a very high total for this week's Sunday Night game. It allows us a lot of room to go under. The Seahawks have really elevated their defense in recent weeks. They've held 4 straight opponents to 21 or fewer points and 3 of those teams had 18 or less. Their average number of points allowed over those 4 games was only 15.5. The Packers have played some high-scoring teams lately, Detroit and Miami. So their recent games have been higher-scoring. They've still allowed less than 20 points in 3 of their last 4. The last meeting between these teams produced only 17 total points. Some might be surprised that this will be another lower-scoring game. Go with the under. |
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12-15-24 | Colts v. Broncos UNDER 44.5 | Top | 13-31 | Win | 100 | 122 h 54 m | Show |
At 4:25 PM ET my AFC Total Of The Week is on Indianapolis/Denver under the total. The Broncos are off a high-scoring game against the Browns but they had allowed an average of less than 14 points over their previous 3 games, none of those opponents reaching the 20 mark. The colts are 2-0 to the under the past 2x time that they were underdogs of at least 5 points. They scored only 6 and 13 points in those games. The last time these teams faced each other, no touchdowns were scored. Seven total field goals were kicked in the Colts' 12-9 overtime victory. The previous meeting was a 15-13 Colts victory and the one before that was a 25-13 win by the Broncos. All 3 of those games stayed under and Sunday afternoon's game will as well. Play on the under. |
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12-15-24 | Joaquin Buckley v. Colby Covington OVER 4.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -150 | 113 h 29 m | Show |
At 10:00pm ET, my UFC Total Of The Year is on Joaquin Buckley vs Colby Covington Over. Six years younger and on a 5-fight win streak, Buckley is quite a large favorite for this fight. He's a big guy for this weight class with a lot of muscle. It's possible that he gets an early finish. Possible but not likely, in my estimation. Instead, I see the veteran Covington surviving the first couple of rounds and then grinding it out, getting some control time on the ground, and taking the fight to the scorecards. The decision may still well go to the favorite but by that point, we won't care. Covington has only had 3 fights since 2021. All 3 came against high level opposition, as he faced Usman, Masvidal and Edwards. Though he lost 2 of them, Covington took all 3 of those fighters to a decision. He's gone the distance in 8 of his past 10 fights. Two of Buckley's last 4 fights have gone the distance. Each of his past 10 fights have made it past the first round. As I said, once Covington survives that first round, I like him to take it all the way to the judges. Play on the over. |
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12-14-24 | South Alabama v. Western Michigan OVER 57 | 30-23 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 29 m | Show | |
At 9:00pm ET, my Touchdown Club selection is on South Alabama vs Western Michigan Over. The Jaguars can really score. They scored 30 or more points in 4 of their last 5 games, averaging 34.6. That's right in line with what they've done (34.8 ppg) all season. Earlier in the year, they scored 78 in a game. Offense isn't a problem but defense often is. The Jaguars allowed 45 points last game, the third time they've conceded more than 40 in a game. The Broncos played some lower scoring games down the stretch but they have scored 45 or more on 4 separate occasions. Likewise, they've conceded more than 40 on 4 separate occasions. These 2 coaches were both offensive assistants together for Nick Saban back in 2007. (Major Applewhite was Alabama's offensive coordinator/QB coach and Lance Taylor was an offensive graduate assistant for Saban.) They will have their offenses ready to go. Look for both teams to put up a lot of points and the bowl season to kick off with a shootout. Play on the over. |
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12-14-24 | Hawks v. Bucks UNDER 228 | Top | 102-110 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
At 4:30pm ET, my Eastern Conference Total of the Month is on the Atlanta Hawks vs Milwaukee Bucks Under. The Lakers used defense to win this tournament last year. They held the Suns, Pelicans and Pacers to 103, 89 and 109 points, in the quarter-finals, semi-finals and final. The Bucks came up short against the Pacers in the semi-final due to poor defensive play. Having learned from that experience, they will be looking to rectify that this afternoon. The Hawks really elevated their defense last game as the held the Knicks to only 100 points. That makes it 4 of their past 7 opponents which they have held to 104 or less. One of those was Milwaukee. The Hawks held the Bucks to 104 points on Dec. 4th. With that result, the Bucks have seen 3 of their last 4 games finish with 223 or less. The number is high with the way the Hawks are currently playing defense. Play on the under. |
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12-14-24 | Navy v. Army UNDER 38.5 | 31-13 | Loss | -110 | 97 h 35 m | Show | |
At 3:00 PM ET my rivarly romp is on Navy vs Army Under. The offenses were better this season but Army/Navy games are still all about the defense! The long-running under streak between these teams came to an end a couple of years ago but that was only due to the o/u lines getting so low. Games have continued to be low-scoring, hard-hitting smash mouth affairs. Both teams are going to run the ball and that's going to keep the clock moving. Both teams are also going to take great pride in trying to stop the other team from being able to run. Army just held Tulane to 14 points and the Green Wave had scored 45, 34, 52 and 24 thier previous 4 games. That same Tulane team shut out Navy, for what its worth. The Midshipmen have scored 14 or less in 3 of their last 5. On defense, Navy has allowed 20 or fewer points in 6 of its last 10. The last 10 meetings have all finished with 38 or less. Nothing changes this year! Go with the under. |
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12-13-24 | Indiana v. Nebraska UNDER 153 | 68-85 | Push | 0 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
AT 8:00pm ET, my CBB slam dunk is on the Indiana Hoosiers and Nebraska Cornhuskers to go under. The Huskers and the Hoosiers square off at Pinnacle Bank Arena with the Huskers looking to keep their 17-game home win streak dating back to last season alive. After getting destroyed 89-52 by Michigan State last game, it remains to be seen if Nebraska can bounce back with a victory. The Huskers managed only 52 points and Indiana won't make things easy, either. At the very least, the Huskers should respond with a much better effort on defense. On his team's poor defensive display against the Spartans, Nebraska coach Fred Hoiberg commented: "That hadn't been us all year, and that was the disappointing thing. The physicality of the game in this league ... we're going to see it every night. I've been pleased with how they've responded, but we'll see how they step up to the challenge Friday night." Its important to recognize that this o/u line is higher than any of the o/u lines for the past 10 meetings between these teams. That gives a lot of room to stay under. Look for Hoiberg's team to commit to improving defensively and the final score to stay beneath this large number. |
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12-12-24 | Texas-Arlington v. Arkansas State UNDER 157 | Top | 79-83 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 32 m | Show |
At 8:00pm ET, my Non-Conference Total of the Week is on UT Arlington vs Arkansas State Under. With both teams off an over, this is a very high total. For a game between the Mavericks and the Red Wolves, it's too high. Seven of the past 8 meetings between these teams have produced 145 or fewer points. The only one that didn't was an Overtime game which had only 136 in regulation. The most recent game had only 107 points, staying below the total by nearly 30. This year, the Mavericks pretty much have a completely new team, as they returned 0 starters. They have some good scorers but are trying hard to emphasize improved defensive play. They held ULM to 70 points last game and limited Austin Peay to 58 in their previous road game. The Red Wolves just went on the road just and held Memphis to 72 points after allowing 64 and 68 in their previous 2 games. Memphis had scored more than 80 in each of its other home games. Play on the under. |
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12-11-24 | IU Indianapolis v. IUPU Ft Wayne OVER 150 | Top | 76-78 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
At 7:00pm ET, my Horizon League Total Of The Year is on IU Indianapolis vs IPFW Over. There's not going to be much of any defense in this game. The Jaguars have an entirely new team. They have a new coach who likes to push the pace and who built his team around shooters. They have scored 84 or more in 3 of their past 4 games, including 106 in one of those. Last season's 2 games finished with 164 and 157 and this one could easily be higher scoring than both of those. That Mastadons are one of the best teams in the Horizon and they can really score. They scored 82 last game and have scored at least 77 in 7 of their last 8 games. The only time they didn't was when playing their second game in 2 days. They also gave up over 100 in one of those games and 69 or more in 7 of the 8 games. So, they score and also get scored upon. That's led to a 6-3 over record. This will be another shootout. Play on the over. |
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12-09-24 | Bengals v. Cowboys UNDER 49.5 | Top | 27-20 | Win | 100 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
At 8:15 PM ET, my selection is on Cincinnati Bengals vs Dallas Cowboys Under. This is a very high o/u line, thanks in no small part to the Bengals entering the game on a 5-0 over run. The large number gives us a lot of "wiggle room." The Cowboys last 4 o/u lines were all 45 or less. Even the Bengals have only had one game all year with a total greater than 48.5. That was against Baltimore, the team which averages more yards of offense than any other team in the league. Baltimore averages an extra 100 yards of offense per game than Dallas. So, the Ravens could keep up with the Bengals but the Cowboys won't likely be able to. If Dallas isn't scoring as much, the Bengals won't be forced to keep piling up the points either. The Cowboys last 3 home games have all finished with 47 or less. Make it 4 in a row after tonight. |
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12-09-24 | Minnesota v. Indiana OVER 140 | Top | 67-82 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
At 6:30pm ET, my Big Ten Total Of the Month is on Minnesota/Indiana Over. Last season's 2 o/u lines were 150 and 144.5. This one is a little lower. Too low when Indiana is averaging 87.33 points its last 3 games. Too low when Minnesota just allowed 90 in its last game. The Hoosiers are 3-1 to the over their past 4. The Gophers are 2-0 to the over their past 2. Though the Gophers haven't been scoring big numbers, they've also been playing without sharp-shooter Mike Mitchell Jr, who finally returned back last game. He made an immediate impact, as he was 5 of 9 from beyond the arc. The game finished over by 30+. "He's a difference-maker in terms of being able to space the floor," Gophers coach Ben Johnson said of Mitchell. "He provides offensive firepower and a guy who can make shots and take pressure off our offense." Play on the over. |
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12-08-24 | Rockets v. Clippers UNDER 216 | Top | 117-106 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
At 9:10pm ET, my Western Conference Total of the Month is on the Los Angeles Clippers vs Houston Rockets Under. Funnily enough, I won with the over when these teams faced each other November 15th. That was a vastly different setup though as they were facing each other for the 2nd straight game. In tonight's case, the Clippers are coming off a game where they scored 80 points and Houston only scored 93 in its last game. Besides those terrible scoring efforts, both teams also rank in the top 5 defensively, in terms of points allowed per game. This one may not reach 200. Play on the under. |
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12-07-24 | Penn State v. Oregon UNDER 50.5 | Top | 37-45 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 44 m | Show |
At 8:00pm ET, my Conference Championship Total Of The Year is on Penn State vs Oregon under. Both teams were 7-5 to the under in the regular season. Oregon gave up 21 last game but has allowed just 78 points its last 6 games, an average of only 13 per game. Penn State gave up a mere 7 points last game and has conceded only 81 its last 6 games, just slightly more than Oregon. This is only the 2nd time all season that the Nittany Lions were underdogs. The first was their game against Ohio State. It had a total of 47 and finished with only 33 points. Last year's Big Ten title game finished with only 26 points. Play on the under. |
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12-06-24 | Portland v. Kent State OVER 136.5 | Top | 57-76 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
At 7:00pm ET, my December CBB Total Of the Month is on Portland vs Kent State Over. This is a very low total when you consider that Portland's last game produced 191 points. OK, a number of those came in overtime but the Pioneers also allowed 94 and 85 points in their previous 2 games, neither of which went to OT. They're not a good defensive team (allow 81ppg overall) and the Golden Flashes will be happy to be the 4th straight opponent to drop a big number on them. Even with Portland's high-scoring games, the total is low thanks to Kent State having played mostly low-scoring games. It's a lot lower thn it was when these same teams faced each other here 2 seasons ago. That game had a total of 148.5. Tonight's lower number is offering us excellent line value. I've got KSU getting 80+ and Portland adding the rest. Play on the over. |
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12-05-24 | Long Beach State v. CS-Fullerton OVER 127.5 | Top | 73-56 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
At 10:00 pm ET, my Big West Total Of The Year is on Long Beach State vs CS Fullerton Over. The change from non-conference into conference action has a change on the way teams play. Yesterday, we took an over between 2 teams which had been going under in the majority of their non-conference games. Those results had brought the o/u line way down. The low line was much lower than previous games between those teams. Tonight, we will follow the same formula. Once again, we're working with a low o/u line. Last year's totals between Long Beach State and CS Fullerton were 146.5 and 145. Both games went over with scores of 152 and 147. None of the past 10 meetings have had as low an o/u line as this one. The last 9 of those each finished with at least 137. The Titans have played low-scoring games but they've been on the road against tough opposition. They'll score more on Thursday. After giving up 82 in its last game. Long Beach State has allowed 70 or more in 5 straight games. This game will get over the low total. |
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12-04-24 | Pacers v. Nets OVER 226.5 | 90-99 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 20 m | Show | |
At 7:40pm Et, my Slam Dunk Club is on Indiana Pacers vs Brooklyn Nets Over. The Pacers are off a loss at Toronto last night. They've allowed 122, 130 and 136 their past 3 games. At a little over 119 points allowed per game, they give up the 3rd most points of any team.The last time that they played a road game, after playing the previous day, they allowed 130 points. The Nets aren't playing much defense these days either. They allowed 128 last game and have conceded 117 or more in 4 of their past 5. Three of the past 4 meetings have gotten to 244 or more. Play on the over. |
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12-04-24 | Rider v. Fairfield OVER 132.5 | Top | 75-78 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
AT 7:00pm ET, my MAAC Total Of the Year is on Rider vs Fairfield Over. Both teams, particularly Rider, have primarily gone under in their non-conference games and that has kept this total nice and low. This is the start of conference play though and things are about to change. Last season's games between these teams had o/u lines of 143.5 (that was almost exactly 1 year ago and was the first MAAC game for both) and 150.5. The first of those games, the 12/3/23 one, saw 169 points scored! All in regulation. 90 by halftime. The Broncos had scored 65 or less in 5 of their previous 6, including 50 or less in 2 of those. The Stags had scored 67 or less in 3 of their previous 4 before that game, including 47 in one. So, both teams were having trouble scoring but that changed when they faced each other. The 2nd game wasn't as high-scoring but still ended up with 151. They will again bring out the best in each other and this one will get over the 140 mark. Play on the Over. |
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12-02-24 | Browns v. Broncos UNDER 42 | 32-41 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 58 m | Show | |
At 8:15pm Et, my selection is on the Cleveland Browns vs Denver Broncos Under. The Broncos rank 2nd in the NFL in points allowed (16.8) per game. They rank 3rd in the NFL in yards (296) allowed. Sean Payton knows Winston well and he will have Denver ready to deliver a dominant defensive performance. Many teams tend to have big defensive games against the Browns. They are averaging only 16.9 points, worst in the AFC and 2nd lowest in the NFL. In terms of yards per game, the Browns rank 3rd from the bottom. Cleveland still has talent on defense and the Browns have shown that they can still get up for these big games. This is a Monday night game against a long-time enemy. The Browns held Pittsburgh to 19 points last game, the same Steelers which scored 44 yesterday. The last 4 meetings have all finished with 43 or fewer points and the last 2 both had 41 or less. Play on the under. |
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12-01-24 | 49ers v. Bills UNDER 45 | Top | 10-35 | Push | 0 | 12 h 9 m | Show |
At 8:20pm ET, my Sunday Night Total Of the Month is on San Francisco 49ers vs Buffalo Bills Under. If you're not experiencing it first-hand, you've probably heard about the snow and cold being felt in much of the country, including Buffalo. As a matter of fact, Bills have asked their fans to help shovel the stadium, for $20/hour. A little bit of cold doesn't affect the game too much. But extreme weather like this can and will. Purdy is questionable for the 49ers. He'd have to be better than Allen but still isn't going to solve SF's offensive issues single-handedly. Either way, the offense will struggle in the cold on Sunday. They're going to need the defense to elevate its level of play. They'll do their best to run McCaffery as much as possible to keep Buffalo on the sidelines. Play on the under. |
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12-01-24 | Bucs v. Panthers UNDER 47 | Top | 26-23 | Loss | -114 | 8 h 1 m | Show |
AT 4:05pm Et, my NFC South Total Of the Month is on Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers Under. This is quite a large total for a Carolina game. The Panthers' last 4 o/u lines were 43, 40, 43.5 and 40. The Panthers average only 285.5 yards of offense per game. Only New England at 280.2 ypg is worse. Prior to the 27 points they scored against the Chiefs, the Panthers had scored 24 or less in 7 straight games. Tampa's last 2 games have had final scores of 37 and 43. The last game between these teams finished at 9-0, 3 field goals for the entire game. Tampa had 228 yards of offense and 14 first downs. Carolina had only 11 first downs and just 199 yards of offense. Three of the past 4 meetings have finished with less than 40. Play on the under. |
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11-30-24 | Oregon v. Alabama UNDER 167.5 | 83-81 | Win | 100 | 14 h 45 m | Show | |
At 9:30pm ET, my selection is on Oregon vs Alabama under. This is the championship of the Players Era Festival, played in Las Vegas. In advancing here and in going 13-1 combined to start the season, these teams have shown that can score a lot of points. Alabama, especially, has been in some high-scoring games.That's why we've got a very high total. The defenses are better than you might think though, especially Oregon, and they are going to be bringing it on that side of the ball for the final. Alabama won a high-scoring game when these teams met in a tournament in Florida last November. One key difference was that the Ducks big man Nate Bittle was injured. He's good for at least a couple of blocks a game and will make scoring on the inside more difficult than last year. From the outside, the Ducks held San Diego State to 6-of-19 on 3-point attempts and are limiting opponents to 29.5 percent shooting from beyond the arc. Each of Oregon's last 6 games have finished with 153 or fewer points. Play on the under. |
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11-29-24 | Arizona State v. St. Mary's UNDER 142 | Top | 68-64 | Win | 100 | 14 h 57 m | Show |
At 9:30pm ET, my November Total Of the Month is on Arizona State vs Saint Marys Under. Within my writeup on St Mary's yesterday, I said that: "The Gaels play a controlled, slower-paced game that wears down opponents. They're excellent at dictating the tempo and reducing the number of possessions. That's going to prove effective against a USC team which has shown inconsistency." As anticipated, the Trojans struggled against the physical Saint Mary's defense. USC shot 13-of-50 from the floor, including 0-for-12 from 3-point range. The Trojans finished with just 38 points! That was a USC team which had scored 80 or more in b2b games and had scored 98 in a game earlier. The Sun Devils have been scoring plenty themselves but they haven't seen a defense anything like this one. The Gaels have now held 2 of their last 3 opponents to less than 40 points. (They held the Sun Devils to 56 when they played them several years back.) They will slow the game down and that'll keep the final score below the total. Play on the under. |
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11-29-24 | Raiders v. Chiefs UNDER 42.5 | Top | 17-19 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
My AFC West Total Of The Year is on Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs Under. Last season, these teams played their first game at Las Vegas. That game finished with 48 points. This season, they also played their first game at Las Vegas. That game finished with 47 points. Last year, when the venue changed to chilly Arrowhead Stadium, the score was a much lower 20-14. With today's game also played at Arrowhead, another lower-scoring Game 2 is expected. The Chiefs last game here was a 16-14 final. The Raiders, who will have Aiden O'Connell at QB instead of Minshew (lost for season with injury) have scored 20 points or less in 7 of their last 8 games. After allowing other teams to hang around, the Chiefs' focus will be on delivering a dominant defensive effort. Lots of running plays with the clock ticking and the game moving by very quickly. Play on the under. |
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11-28-24 | Bears v. Lions OVER 48.5 | Top | 20-23 | Loss | -109 | 75 h 23 m | Show |
At 12:30pm ET, my NFC North Total Of The Year is on Detroit/Chicago Over. The Lions can score points against any defense. They've scored 24 or more points in 8 straight games. They scored more than 30 in 6 of those, more than 40 in 4 of them and more than 50 in two. They are potent enough that they have the potential to go over this number by themselves. That's unlikely but the Bears will chip in plenty to help their cause. Chicago just scored 27 against a good Minnesota defense last week. The Bears had 398 yards of offense, 320 through the air. Rookie QB Caleb Williams has improved dramatically since the Bears fired Shane Waldron and promoted Brown to offensive coordinator in. In two games since the switch, Williams' completion percentage has increased from 61% to 71%, his other stats improving along with the improved completion percentage. Williams' yards per attempt has climbed from 6.1 to 7.3, his pressure percentage has been nearly cut in half (34% to 18%) and he's getting rid of the ball quicker as his average pass time has dropped from 2.9 seconds to 2.42 seconds. These teams faced each other last Thanksgiving Day and the Lions won 31-26. The Bears were up 26-14 in the fourth quarter before Detroit scored the game's final 17 points. Neither team is going to quit in this one either and the final score will again finish above the 50 mark. Play on the over. |
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11-26-24 | AC Milan v. Slovan Bratislava UNDER 3.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -116 | 4 h 48 m | Show |
At 12:45pm Et, my Champions League Total Of The Week is on AC Milan vs Slovan Bratislava Under. This is a big total which gives us quite a lot of room to stay under. AC Milan is off a 0-0 draw with Juventus in Serie A play. Slovan Bratislava is off a 1-1 draw with FK Kosice in its league. With the match being played at Stadion Tehelne Pole in Bratislava, the home team should be able to slow down their Italian guests. Scoring will be another matter though as Slovan Bratislava will be fortunate if it avoids getting blanked. The visitors are likely to score but don't need to run it up. They should be content to pass it around and play keep away after they get ahead. A 1-0, 2-0 or 2-1 final are the most likely outcomes that I'm expecting. Play on under. |
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11-25-24 | Lecce v. Venezia UNDER 2.5 | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 6 h 50 m | Show |
At 2:45pm ET, my Serie A Total Of The Month is on Lecce vs Venezia Under. These are 2 of the worst teams in Serie A. They are 19th and 20th in the standings. Both teams view this as an opportunity as both will be fighting to avoid relegation all season. Lecce's problem is an ability to score. Through 12 league matches, Lecce has managed only 5 goals. That's the worst in Italy by a lot. As a matter of fact, that's the fewest number of goals by any team in any of Europe's big five leagues. Venezia scores more than Lecce, as does every other team in Europe. But they still average less than 1 goal per league match. The last 2 h2h matches were both in Serie B. They were 1-1 and 1-0. Goals will again be few and far between. Play on the under. |
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11-23-24 | Army v. Notre Dame UNDER 45.5 | Top | 14-49 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 41 m | Show |
At 7:30pm ET, my Total of the Year is on Notre Dame/Army under. Before I was even born, this used to be the biggest game of the year, Army versus Notre Dame from Yankee Stadium! They once had a No. 1 vs. No. 2 matchup, the second “Game of the Century” of the post World War II era. It ended in a 0-0 tie! They'll get more points than that today but defense will still rule the day. Notre Dame allowed only 15.9 points per game last season and 276 yards. The Irish returned 9 starters from that unit and have picked up right where they left off. Notre Dame is allowing only 11.4 points per game and has allowed 14 or fewer points in five straight games! Only 2 teams are allowing fewer points per game than the Irish and one of them happens to be Army! The Black Knights are conceding only 10.3 points per game, tied with Ohio State for the best in the nation. Both teams rank in the top 6 for yards allowed per game. Enjoy the game and go with the under! |
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11-22-24 | Brest v. AS Monaco UNDER 3 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -125 | 4 h 37 m | Show |
At 1:00pm ET, my LIGUE 1 TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on Brest vs AS Monaco Under. Goals will be scarce at Stade Louis 11 on Friday. Monaco's last 2 home league matches were 0-0 and 1-0. They may well not score in 3 straight home games for the first time since 2010. You don't need to score many when you don't allow any. Monaco has conceded only eight goals conceded after 11 matches, their best defesive start in Ligue 1 in the 21st century. Go with the under. |
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11-21-24 | Steelers v. Browns UNDER 36 | Top | 19-24 | Loss | -105 | 60 h 12 m | Show |
At 8:15pm ET, my AFC North Total Of The Week is on the Pittsburgh Steelers vs the Cleveland Browns Under. This total is low and that will scare some off. Thats fine by me as I made this number 31. The Steelers only allow 16.2 points per game, the 2nd best mark in the NFL. That's exactly what Cleveland averages on offense, 16.2 points per game. That's the 2nd fewest in the NFL. Keep in mind that that Browns averaged 16.2 points against defenses that weren't nearly as good as this one. Likewise, the Steelers allowed 16.2 points, on average, against offenses that are much better than Cleveland. So the Browns aren't likely to even reach their average. Cleveland can still play defense though and is going to be determined to shut down the Steelers. The Browns have scored 14 and 10 points their last 2 games and they have scored 16 or less in 7 of their last 8. Last year's game here had a total of 34.5 and finished with a score of 13-10. Play on the under. |
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11-19-24 | Western Michigan v. Central Michigan UNDER 57.5 | Top | 14-16 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
At 7:30pm ET, my MAC Total Of The Week is on Western Michigan vs Central Michigan Under 57. I've had some success with unders in MAC totals, stating the following: "In the past, MAC games had a reputation for being wild, high-scoring shootouts. Those days are mostly gone." This is another MAC total which is feel is too high. I said this about CMU last week: The Central Michigan offense is struggling right now. The Chippewas scored 13 points last game and 7 points in their last road game. They went out and scored 10 points. That's 30 in their last 3 games combined. Western Michigan wasn't much better in its last game. The Broncos scored only 13. The Broncos last visit here had a total of 50 and the final score was 12-10. With both offenses off a game where they trouble scoring this will be another defensive game. Play on the under. |
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11-18-24 | Texans v. Cowboys UNDER 41 | 34-10 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
At 8:15pm ET, my selection is on Dallas/Houston under the total. The Cowboys say they want to go down field more. I guess they do! They had a 3.9 yard per reception average last game. Both Rush and Lance were horrific. Their "big-play" receiver Lamb had six receptions but that totaled just 21 yards. Now they are up against a tough Houston defense. The Texans gave up 26 last game but that was Detroit, the highest scoring team in the NFL. No other opponent has gotten more than 24 off them since September. The Cowboys have been held to single-digits in 2 of their past 4. Its probably going to happen again tonight. Houston's offense isn't really in top form either. The Texans managed only 13 points in their last road game. Four of 5 all-time meetings have finished with 40 or less. Play on the under. |
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11-18-24 | Bulls v. Pistons OVER 232.5 | Top | 122-112 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
At 7:10pm ET, my Central Division Total Of The Year is on Chicago/Detroit over. Not much defense will be seen by the basketball fans at Detroit's Little Caesars Arena tonight. The Bulls allow 123.71 points per game. Only Washington (124 ppg) concedes more. Opposing teams connect on 48.7% of their field goals against the Bulls, also 2nd worst in the NBA. The Bulls allowed 144 yesterday and 143 in their previous game. When they played 2 games in 2 days earlier this month, they allowed 135. The Pistons are off consecutive low-scoring games. Those were on the road. Their last home games finished with 244. Also, the last time that they played 2 games in 2 days, they went well over the total with 247. (Went to OT but was already over in regulation.) Three of last season's 4 meetings, including both at Detroit, went over. The Bulls may allow a lot of points but they usually score a lot too. They've put up 125, 124 and 16 in their last 3 road games. This will be a track meet. Play on the over. |
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11-17-24 | Bengals v. Chargers UNDER 48 | 27-34 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
At 8:20pm ET, my SNF Cake-Walk selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals vs Los Angeles Chargers Under. Tonight's game is a battle between offense and defense. The Bengals primarily go over the total. The Chargers tend to be the opposite. This game being hosted by the Chargers, I'm going under the high total. The Chargers are 7-2 to the under but even the two overs still finished with 44 and 39. All 9 of their games have finished with 44 or less and 8 of them finished with less than 40. They allow the fewest points in the NFL. The Bengals are off a shootout at Baltimore but their previous 2 road games finished with 35 and 24 points. This is the highest total for a Charger game. Even though the Bengals are up against the top socring defense, its even higher than most of their totals have been. Plenty of value and lots of room for us to work with. Play on the under. |
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11-17-24 | Ravens v. Steelers UNDER 48.5 | Top | 16-18 | Win | 100 | 29 h 47 m | Show |
At 1:00pm ET, my AFC Total Of The Week is on Baltimore/Pittsburgh under. The weather doesn't look like it will cooperate. Its expected to be unseasonably pleasant for Sunday's game. That's OK. This total is still too high! The last 7 games between these teams had scores of: 17-10, 17-10, 16-14, 16-13, 20-19 and 19-14. See the pattern? All 6 finished with less than 40 points. Mike Tomlin and John Harbaugh showdowns feature hard-nosed defensive, close games. Harbaugh said this: "We're getting ready to play our best defensive game on Sunday." The Steelers allow 16.2 points a game, second in the NFL in scoring defense. This will be a "typical" Baltimore/Pittsburgh game with the final score staying beneath this high total. Play on the under. |
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11-16-24 | Raptors v. Celtics OVER 227.5 | Top | 123-126 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
At 8:10pm ET, my Atlantic Division Total Of The Month is on Boston/Toronto over. The Celtics are averaging 121.38 points per game, second most in the NBA. They scored 139 in their last game. Last season, they averaged 123.1 points per game, at home. Looking to push the pace, the Celtics will go over that mark against a Toronto team playing its 2nd game in 2 days. This will be the third time in November that Toronto played in a back-to-back situation. The first 2 times saw the Raptors concede 128 and 123 points, averaging 117 themselves. The last time that the Raptors played at Boston, the game finished with 238 points. The Celtics are going to find little resistance and the teams will combine to go over the 230 mark again today. Play on the over. |
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11-16-24 | Wake Forest v. North Carolina OVER 63.5 | Top | 24-31 | Loss | -110 | 60 h 49 m | Show |
At 8:00pm ET, my ACC Total Of the Year is on Wake Forest/UNC over. Games between these ACC rivals tend to be high-scoring. With both these offenses clicking, that'll be the case again Saturday. North Carolina has scored 35, 41 and 34 points its last 3 games. The Tar Heels have now scored 34 or more points in 6 of their last 8 games, 20 or more in all 8 of those. Wake Forest is off an 82-point game against California, losing 46-36 and giving up 500 yards of offense. The past 3 meetings between these teams had scores of 70, 113 and 112. Very little defense was played in those games. This will be another fast-paced track meeting that finishes over the total. Play on the over. |
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11-16-24 | Tulane v. Navy UNDER 53 | 35-0 | Win | 100 | 52 h 47 m | Show | |
At 12:00pm ET, my Early Riser is on Navy/Tulane under. These defenses are both playing well and are under-rated. Tulane has allowed 6 and 3 points it last 2 games. The Green Wave have held 5 of their last 6 opponents to 20 points or less. Four of those teams, they held to 10 or less. Navy just kept USF to 7 points last week. The Bulls had scored 44 and 35 their previous 2 games! The Midshipmen have now conceded 18 or fewer points in 4 of their last 6 games. On offense, Navy has scored 14 or less in 2 of 3 games. With how well the defenses are currently playing, this total is too high. Go with the under. |
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11-15-24 | Houston v. Arizona OVER 46 | 3-27 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 56 m | Show | |
At 10:15pm ET, my Friday Flea-Flicker is on Houston vs Arizona Over. Here we have an Arizona team which allowed 56 points in its last game and the total is set in the 40s. Value with the over! The Wildcats combined for 68 last game and their previous game had 57. Four of their last 5 games have reached the 50 mark. The Cougars have played 2 road games since the start of October and those games produced 56 and 49 points. Last meeting, back in 2018, finished with 63. For this meeting, we've got a Houston offense which has been better since making a QB change 4 games ago up against an Arizona defense missing some of its best players. We've got a desperate Arizona team which scored 26 in its last game. This has all the ingredients necessary to get over the low total. Play on the over. |
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11-15-24 | Clippers v. Rockets OVER 215.5 | Top | 104-125 | Win | 100 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
At 8:10pm ET, my Western Conference Total of the Month is on the Los Angeles Clippers vs Houston Rockets Over. Five of Tuesday's 8 in-season tournament games finished with 230 or more points. This is one of the lower totals of the Friday tournament games and there's value with the over. The teams just combined for 214 points 2 days ago. Neither team shot great and the scoring dried up in the 4th. This rematch, being a tournament game, is going to see scoring continue for the entire 4 quarters. Before the 214 score on Wednesday, 4 of the previous 5 games between these teams finished with greater than 220. Play on the over. |
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11-14-24 | Commanders v. Eagles UNDER 48.5 | Top | 18-26 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
At 8:15pm ET, my NFC Total Of the Week is on Washington and Philadelphia under. Washington's offense has been much better this season. Jayden Daniels has more than lived up to the hype. Daniels and his teammates haven't faced a defense playing the way this one is though. (Sorry, Steeler fans, it's true.) The Eagles defense enters Week 11 ranked second in the NFL in yards allowed (274.1) per game and tied for fifth in points allowed (17.9) per game. They allowed 6 points last game and are allowing an average of only 13 points over the past 5 games. Three of those 5 games finished with 40 or less. Washington't defense is also better than advertised and has gotten better as the season has progressed. The Commanders have conceded 15 of fewer points in 4 of their past 7. On the short week, look for this divisional battle to be low-scoring. |
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11-12-24 | Central Michigan v. Toledo UNDER 51.5 | Top | 10-37 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
At 7:00pm ET, my MAC Total Of the Year is on Central Michigan/Toledo under. In the past, MAC games had a reputation for being wild, high-scoring shootouts. Those days are mostly gone. We saw last week's We saw 3 of the last week's 4 midweek MAC games finish with 48 or fewer points. This one will also stay below the 50 mark. The Central Michigan offense is struggling right now. The Chippewas scored 13 points last game and 7 points in their last road game. Toledo is off a high-scoring 57-point game against Eastern Michigan. That game was still at 28 into the 4th quarter though and then 31 points were scored in the final 12 minutes. That was because it was a competitive (29-28 final) game. This one isn't likely to be as close and the scoring won't go wild in the 4th quarter the same way. Four of Toledo's last 6 games have still finished with 50 or less. Three of the past 4 h2h meetings have stayed below the 50 mark. Play on the under. |
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11-11-24 | Dolphins v. Rams UNDER 49 | Top | 23-15 | Win | 100 | 13 h 45 m | Show |
At 8:15pm ET my MNF Total Of The Month is on Miami/LA under. I won with the Dolphins when they covered against the Bills last week. This week, I'm shifting to the Miami total. The Rams offense has been better recently. Also, everyone knows that Tua Tagoavailoa makes the Miami offense a lot better. The problem is that when "everyone knows something," the value quickly disappears. In this case, this total is jacked way up. This total is now much higher than it was for Tua's first game back, against Arizona. But Arizona averages more points and more yards than the Rams. I think this number is an over-reaction and has gotten too high. Four of Miami's last 5 road games have finished with fewer than 34 points. The Rams are 3-1 to the under their past 4 games and have allowed 24 or less in 6 straight games. Play on the under. |
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11-11-24 | Wizards v. Rockets OVER 226 | Top | 92-107 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
At 8:10 ET, my NBA Total of the Month is on Washington/Houston over. Both teams finished under yesterday. With each now playing 2 games in 2 days and with this being a non-conference tilt, we're not going to see much in terms of defense. The Wizards have allowed 118 or more points in all 8 of their games this season. As a matter of fact, their 123.5 ppg allowed per game in the most in the NBA. Houston scored 127 its last home game and will be ready for another big game. Last year's 2 games both finished with greater than 250 points. This will be another shootout. Play on the over. |
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11-10-24 | Lions v. Texans OVER 49 | Top | 26-23 | Push | 0 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
At 8:20pm ET, my SNF Total Of the Year is on Detroit/Houston over. The Texans are going to need to score a lot of points, if they want to bounce back from last week's loss against the Jets. The Lions average 32.2 points per game, which happens to be the most in the NFL, entering Sunday. The Lions might have only scored 24 last game but they put up 52, 31, 47 and 42 points in their previous 4 games. Both teams rank in the top 11 in the NFL, as far as yards per game. He's still listed as questionable but Houston Nico Collins has been activated from the injured list. If he passes the pregame tests, the expectation is that he'll play. He's a big play threat and makes the Texans offense much better. The last time these teams met, the O/U line was 52 and they combined for 66. This will be another shootout. Play on the over. |
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11-10-24 | Blue Jackets v. Ducks UNDER 6.5 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 11 m | Show |
At 8:07pm ET, my #1 NHL Total Of The Month is on Columbus/Anaheim under. The Ducks have scored 3 goals or less in 10 straight games. Over that 10 game period, they have scored only 19 goals in total, less than 2 per game. Over their past 4 games, the Ducks have managed only 6 total goals. For the season, they are the lowest scoring team in the league. The Blue Jackets know how they feel. They have scored 2 or less in 5 straight and only 7 goals over their past 4 games. With the struggles these offenses are currently having, this total is too high. Play on the under. |
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11-10-24 | Barcelona FC v. Real Sociedad UNDER 3 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
At 3:00pm Et, my La Liga Total Of The Month is on Barcelona FC vs Real Sociedad Under. This is a tough match for Real Sociedad. I don't fancy their chances of scoring a single goal. They have only scored 10 times in 12 league matches this season, which is among the worst attacking records in La Liga. Real Sociedad has also only conceded 10x, among the best defensive records in Spain's top league. |
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11-10-24 | Falcons v. Saints UNDER 46.5 | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show |
At 1:00pm ET, my NFC South Total Of The Year is on Atlanta/New Orleans under. This is generous number. Take away their first 2 games, which bumped up their average, and the Saints are one of the lowest-scoring teams in the NFL. New Orleans has scored 12, 24, 13, 27, 10, 8 and 22 points its last 7 games. That's an average of 16.57, less than 17 per game. Each of their last 3 games has finished with 45 or fewer points. New Orleans played well defensively last game. The Saints gave up just 246 total yards and conceded only 15 first downs. The Falcons just held Dallas to 21 points. Two of their past 3 games have gone to the under. Their offense managed only 310 total yards and 17 first downs last week. The Falcons were better against Tampa the previous week but Seattle held them to just 14 points the week before that. The total is higher than any of the past 7 Saints/Falcons totals. I'm going with the under. |
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11-10-24 | Giants v. Panthers UNDER 40.5 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 3 h 45 m | Show | |
At 9:30am ET, my NFL Early Riser is on NY/Carolina Under. The Germany fans are being treated to a real dud. Both these teams are 2-7. Neither has any chance of the playoffs. Both the offenses are terrible. Each is dealing with some injuries. Hopefully it'll still be entertaining and competitive for any new fans, as they aren't going to be seeing many points. Rather, they will be treated to a low-scoring defensive display. Games between these teams in 2021 and 2022 finished with 35 and 28 points. These offenses are even worse. The Giants average 15.4 points per game, worst in the NFL. The Panthers average 277.9 yards of offense per game, worst in the NFC. Play on the under. |
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11-09-24 | Reinier de Ridder v. Gerald Meerschaert UNDER 2.5 | 1-0 | Loss | -130 | 30 h 40 m | Show | |
My UFC Ground and Pound selection is on Reinier de Ridder vs Gerald Meerschaert under the total. Neither of these fighters likes leaving things in the hands of the judges. Gerald Meerschaert is the all-time middleweight finishes and submissions record holder. He has 37 career victories and only 2 came by decision! Reinier De Ridder is 17-2. Fifteen of his victories, as well as both of his losses, were by either KO/TKO or submission. de Ridder wants another finish and is going to go all out to get it. He said this: “A win is not enough – the top dogs finished Gerald and I want to prove I’m one of them. The ways he finishes fights, there’s a few things he’s very dangerous at, there’s a few things he does that I think I can really capitalize as well. But it’s a great matchup. I’m very happy that they’ve given me him for my first fight because he’s a veteran, he’s a real name and I think if I can put a stamp on this one, I have some leverage to start calling out some bigger names.” De Ridder should finish off Meerschaert in the first 2 rounds but if he doesn't, it's because he got stopped himself. Play on the under. |
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11-09-24 | Alabama v. LSU UNDER 59 | Top | 42-13 | Win | 100 | 29 h 54 m | Show |
At 7:30pm ET, my SEC Total Of The Year is on Alabama/LSU under. These teams have played pretty high-scoring games against each other the past couple of seasons. This one, being billed as an "elimination game," will be more like 2021. Alabama won 20-14 that year. Alabama posted a shutout last game. It was a 13-0 game at halftime and finished 34-0. Missouri managed only 239 yards. Pretty good when you think about Missouri averaging more than 31 ppg before that. Playing their second straight on the road, the Tigers lost 23-23 last week. Prior to that, they'd played 4 straight unders. Their previous game, they allowed only 10 points. In going 4-0 at home, they've held all 4 visiting teams to 26 or fewer points and to an average of 18.5. The LSU offense rushed for only 24 yards on 23 carries last game and QB Garrett Nussmeier was intercepted 3x in the second half. Coach Kelly said of his QB: "Garrett can't be the guy who feels like he's got to do everything, and part of that has to come from Garrett. A little bit comes from Garrett, a little bit comes from play-calling, a little bit comes from the ability to commit to more balance in the running game. That means blocking better and I don't just mean the five linemen. It's an all-in thing. It's not just one guy giving Garrett more assistance. Everybody's got to be involved in that." More blocking and more running is going to translate to less scoring. Each of Alabama's last 2 games have finished with 41 or less. Play on the Under. |
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11-08-24 | Iowa v. UCLA UNDER 44.5 | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 13 h 18 m | Show |
At 9:00pm ET, my Big Ten Total Of The Week is on UCLA vs Iowa Under. Iowa has been an over team this year. Even so, the Hawkeyes are still a running team which plays defense. They have held their last 2 opponents to 14 or less. Now the Hawkeyes face a UCLA team which is 5-3 to the under on the season and which is having an especially difficult time at home. In 3 home games, the Bruins have scored 13, 13 and 17 points. Those were good teams they faced but this is another one. Their last game here had a total of 39.5 and still managed to stay under. As UCLA has had trouble scoring at home, Iowa hasn't scored as many on the road. The Hawkeyes managed only 27 points in their last 2 on the road. They are playing on the West Coast on a short-turnaround. This game will go under. |
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11-07-24 | Bengals v. Ravens UNDER 53 | Top | 34-35 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 20 m | Show |
At 8:15pm ET, my AFC North Total Of the Year is on Cincinnati/Baltimore under. A very high total is being provided for this game. As a matter of fact, its likely higher than anything we'll encounter on Sunday or Monday. The AFC North rivals have played some high-scoring games against each other but none of them had totals listed as high as this one. Three of the Bengals' 4 road games have finished with 51 or fewer points. The Bengals last 2 road games had scores of 21-14 and 17-7. The Ravens allowed only 10 points last week. All 4 of their home games have finished with 53 or fewer points, 3 of those with 51 or less. Quarterbacks will draw a lot of attention but each time ran the ball more than 30x last week. All those running plays will help our cause. This number has gotten too high and I'm going with the under. |
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11-07-24 | Real Sociedad v. FC Viktoria Plzen UNDER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -130 | 7 h 19 m | Show |
At 3:00pm ET, my Europa League Total Of the Month is on Real Sociedad vs Viktoria Plzen Under. The Doosan Arena in Czechia is the venue for today's clash between Real Sociedad and Viktoria Plzen. In Viktoria Plzen's previous Europa League home game, the score was 0-0 against Ludogorets. With Pizen off consecutive 1-0 results in league play, we may see a repeat. They lost 1-0 to Slavako last match and they defeated Sparta Prague 1-0 in their previous match. Real Sociedad is off consecutive 2-0 results in La Liga. They won 2-0 vs Sevilla and lost 2-0 vs. Oasasuna. Real Sociedad has conceded just three goals in its 8 competitive away matches this season. Play on the under. |
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11-06-24 | Ohio v. Kent State UNDER 53 | Top | 41-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
At 7:00pm ET, my MAC Total Of the Week is on Ohio/Kent State under. In the past, MAC games had a reputation for being wild, high-scoring shootouts. Those days are mostly gone. We saw yesterday's 2 MAC games finish with 36 and 48 points. This one will also stay below the 50 mark. Though they still have their main weapons, the Bobcats are dealing with some injuries which test their depth on offense. On defense, Ohio can really slow down weak teams. (With an 0-8 record, the Golden Flashes qualify.) The Bobcats have allowed 3 different opponents to less than 17 points and 4 of them to 20 or less. Kent State scored 0 twice in a row earlier and scored 6 another time. Ohio's last visit here went to Overtime but the final score still stayed comfortably below the total. Ohio will keep KSU to less than 17 and this final score will also go under. |
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11-06-24 | Atletico Madrid v. Paris Saint-Germain OVER 3 | Top | 2-1 | Push | 0 | 6 h 17 m | Show |
At 3:00pm ET, my Champions League Total Of The Month is on Atletico Madrid vs Paris St Germain Over. This is a clash between youth and experience. Paris St Germain has a younger squad. Atletico Madrid has a more experienced one. Both can and will score! In the case of Atletico Madrid, they often also have real trouble keeping the ball out of the net. Atletico's 3 Champions League matches have had scores of 2-1, 4-0 and 3-1. In La Liga, Atletico averages 1.5 goals per match. Though their UCL matches have been lower-scoring, In 10 league (Ligue 1) matches in France, PSG has scored 29 times! The PSG offense will be firing on all cylinders Wednesday. The French squad can go over this total by themselves but I don't think they will have to. Atletico helps out and this match finishes over the low total. |
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11-05-24 | Cal Poly v. San Francisco UNDER 150.5 | Top | 78-86 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
At 10:00pm ET, my #1 Total Of The Week is on Cal Poly SLO vs San Francisco Under. Cal Poly's last trip to San Francisco was its first game of the 2022-23 season. The final score was 60-48. The final score stayed under the number by nearly 40 points as the the total for that game was 146. The Mustangs have a new coach this year who says he wants to play fast. That's going to be hard against a vastly superior opponent in the opening game of the season though. The reality is that Cal Poly is going to have a difficult time scoring tonight. It'll be the Dons who dictate the tempo and once they are up comfortably, the pace will slow. In its first lined game last season, the Dons were favored by 28.5 with a total of 147.5. The final score was 84-52. This one will unfold in similar fashion. Play on the under. |
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11-03-24 | Los Angeles FC v. Vancouver Whitecaps UNDER 3 | 0-3 | Push | 0 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
At 8:45pm ET, my Golden Goal is on Los Angeles FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps Under. The Whitecaps return home to BC Place for the second match in this opening round series. After falling 2-1 first match at BMO Stadium, the Caps season is on the line. It's important to recognize that these MLS playoffs are a Best-Of-3 and that goal differential isn't a thing. Teams just need to win 2 games. There is no running up the score. This will make for a low-scoring second match. |
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11-03-24 | Commanders v. Giants UNDER 44 | Top | 27-22 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 40 m | Show |
At 1:00pm ET, my NFC East Total Of The Year is on Washington and NY under. Five of the past 6 games between the Giants and Commanders have finished with 40 or fewer points. They combined for 39 points in Week 2. This will be another low-scoring divisional showdown. The Giants have scored 3 and 7 points in their last 2 home games. They rank 31st in the NFL with an average of 14.6 points per game. On the season, the Giants are 6-2 to the under. The Commanders have allowed 15 points or less in consecutive games and in 4 of their past 5 games overall. Washington's offense has been very good with QB Daniels looking to win the Rookie Of The Year. Daniels was limited in practice Wednesday and Thursday with a rib injury though. He'll play but things won't be as easy as he's gotten accustomed to. Go Under. |
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11-02-24 | Real Salt Lake v. Minnesota United UNDER 3 | 1-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 46 m | Show | |
At 9:00pm ET, my Golden Goal is on Real Salt lake vs Minnesota United Under. Minnesota won the opening match 5-4 on penalties. The score at the end of regulation was 0-0. Goals are going to be few and far between again tonight. The 2 regular season matches had scores of 0-0 and 1-1. The Loons have now recorded 5 clean sheets in their last 6 MLS matches, in normal time. Goalkeeper Dayne St. Clair is at the top of his game and will continue to frustrate the Real Salt Lake attackers. Play on the under. |