Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-19-23 | Golden Knights v. Hurricanes -128 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
The Golden Knights are the defending champions. The Golden Knights have the top record. So, why are Hurricanes favored? Because this is an exceptional team which is 53-23 its last 76 home games with a total of 6 or more, 47-29 its last 76 against Western Conference opposition. The Hurricanes are the healthier team. They are playing at home and they are hell-bent on snapping their losing streak and beating the champs. They'll do it! ***NHL GOW*** |
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12-17-23 | Senators v. Golden Knights UNDER 6.5 | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
Both the Senators and the Knights will look to improve their number of goals allowed today. The last time that the Senators were off 3 straight losses, they responded with a 2-0 win. The last time that the Knights allowed 5 or more goals, they responded with a 4-1 win. The Knights allow only 2.48 goals per game, 3rd best in the NHL. They kill 87.3% of their penalties. Only Boston is better. Ottawa's last 3 visits to Sin City have finished with scores of 3-2, 2-1 and 4-1. All 3 of those games went under the total and this one will too. ***NHL TOW*** |
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12-16-23 | Penguins v. Maple Leafs -137 | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
The Maple Leafs scored 5 period goals to storm back and earn a point in their last game, a 6-5 overtime loss against Columbus. They have earned at least a point in 8 straight games and will carry the momentum into today's game against Pittsburgh. The Penguins have lost 3 of their last 4 road games and the win was in Overtime at Montreal. The Maple Leafs will play with revenge from a November loss at Pittsburgh. Prior to that, Toronto had beaten Pittsburgh twice in a row. Toronto will be the better team on Hockey Night In Canada tonight. ***Saturday Slap Shot*** |
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12-15-23 | Sabres +1.5 v. Golden Knights | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 19 m | Show | |
The Sabres have taken two of their last 3 meetings with the Golden Knights. Their last visit to Sin City resulted in a 3-2 victory. The Golden Knights are finding ways to come out on top but their wins aren't coming easily. Vegas is off back-to-back 5-4 victories. One came in overtime and the other came in a shootout. 5 of the Knights last 9 games have been tied at the end of regulation time. Before a bad game at Colorado, the Sabres had started to play much better. They will be better tonight. I recommend grabbing the +1.5 goals. ***Road Warrior*** |
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12-14-23 | Capitals v. Flyers OVER 5.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
This is the lowest total of any of Thursday's hockey games. The rest have totals of 6 or more. Turning a 6 into a win instead of a push or loss is a big deal. Washington's last game finished with 6 goals. Two of the Capitals last 4 games have landed on that number. Three of their last 4 have finished with more than 5.5 goals. The last 10 meetings between these teams have also all had total lines of 6 or more. Capital road games average 5.9 goals on the season. Same goes for Flyer home games. Washington's last visit to the Philadelphia resulted in a 5-3 final, Travis Konecny recording a hat trick for the home team. This one will also finish over the total! ***Metro Div TOM*** |
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12-13-23 | Jets v. Kings OVER 6 | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 13 m | Show | |
The Jets couldn't muster much offense last night. They will have to do better tonight as the Kings have scored 15 goals against them in the past 3 meetings alone. LA finally lost on the road, the trip wearing them down. The Kings had scored 4 or more goals in 3 straight and 7 of 8 before visiting New York though. Winnipeg has only played back-to-back games once and that game finished with 7 goals. This one goes over! ***Total Wipeout*** |
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12-12-23 | Panthers v. Seattle Kraken UNDER 6.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
Seattle has a scoring problem. The problem is that the Kraken can't score. They average only 2.52 goals a game. That's 4th worst in the NHL. Last game, they scored 0. They have scored 3 or less every time, in losing each of their 8 games. Over their last 5 games, they've scored only 6 combined goals. The Panthers are difficult to score against. They only permit 2.4 goals per road game. 8 of 14 road games have gone under. This season's earlier game finished at 3-2. Florida's visit here last December finished at 5-1. They won't even get that many tonight. ***NHL TOM*** |
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12-11-23 | Maple Leafs -120 v. Islanders | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
Leafs are a bargain at this price. Toronto comes off a shutout win. Maple Leafs head coach Sheldon Keefe said: "In the second period, especially, our game started to really come and I thought we really took care of the puck and made sure we just were wearing them down and not really let their game get started offensively. I just loved our second period and that set us up for the third, which the guys took care of well." The Maple Leafs outshot the Predators 37-18 and 18-5 in the 3rd period. It was the first time in almost 10 years that they shutout an opponent on 18 or fewer shots. Toronto wins again! ***NHL GOW*** |
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12-10-23 | Kings v. Rangers -113 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 36 m | Show | |
Kings are 1-2 when playing 2 games in 2 days. Rangers are 2-0 when playing 2 games in 2 days. Kings are 7-6 in non-conference games. Rangers are 9-4 in non-conf. games. Rangers are 26-15 last 41 tries after scoring 2 or less, 3-0 last 3 times that they scored 1 or less. Rangers, 9-2 against winning teams, won 5-2 as a host of the Kings last season. Go with NY! ***NHL Dominator*** |
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12-08-23 | Penguins v. Panthers -155 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
The Panthers are playing well and they just beat a good Dallas team. They are 15-8-2 on the season. The Penguins (11-11-3) aren't what they used to be. I played against them their last game and that was their 3rd straight loss. They have dropped 8 of their past 11 games (3-5-3). The Pittsburgh power play is a woeful 0-for-33 over the past 12 games. Crosby has seen better days. The Panthers take to the road after this and will make sure to close out the home stand with a victory. ***Dominator*** |
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12-07-23 | Maple Leafs -122 v. Senators | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
You've heard me say it before. Anytime that the Maple Leafs are priced this low, I'm going to take a closer look. In this case, a closer look reveals that this is a strong spot. The Leafs are rested and playing with revenge from an earlier loss. Toronto was last in action on December 2nd, losing to Boston. The Leafs are 10-4 their past 14 tries with 3 or more day's rest. Over the same period, the Leafs are 50-29 after allowing 4 or more goals. Ottawa is 30-40 after scoring 4 or more and only 29-54 against winning teams. Throw in a 22-10 record for Toronto when playing with revenge from a home loss and you see why this play is so strong. ***Atlantic Division GOM*** |
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12-06-23 | Penguins v. Lightning -124 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
The Penguins beat the Lightning 4-2 last week. At the time, Tampa was mired in a losing streak. Since, the Penguins have dropped both ends of a home and home with the Flyers. They are 27-36 (-23.7) last 2 seasons, when off a division game. The Lightning snapped their losing streak last game with an important 4-0 revenge win over Dallas. Now 19-7 (+9.5) their last 26 December games, they will get another revenge win over the Penguins. ***Eastern Conf. GOM*** |
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12-05-23 | Kings v. Blue Jackets +1.5 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
The Kings have been remarkable on the road but they won't be excited about a visit to Ohio. The Kings have played in Columbus 4 times the last 4 seasons. The Blue Jackets won the first by a 4-1 score. The last 3 games here all were tied after regulation. The Jackets ended up winning 2 of those. The last time that the Kings won a game here by more than 1 goal was back in 2017. The Blue Jackets have scored 18 goals in winning 3 of their last 4 at home. Columbus' Boone Jenner, who leads the team in goals said: "I think we've got to use the momentum when we have it." The Jackets will carry their home ice momentum into this one and have a strong chance of handing the Kings their first road loss. ***Non-Conf. GOW*** |
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12-04-23 | Seattle Kraken -153 v. Canadiens | 2-4 | Loss | -153 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
Home, not so sweet, home. The Montreal Canadiens are 0-5 their last 5 home games. The Canadiens are 0-2 here against the Kraken. Seattle's last visit resulted in a 4-0 thrashing. Seattle was the aggressor from the opening whistle. The Kraken outshot Montreal 41-21 for the game and 19-6 in the first period. In need of a victory, the Kraken will agains make themselves comfortable in Canada's second biggest city. ***Road Warrior*** |
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12-03-23 | Avalanche v. Kings UNDER 6.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 47 m | Show |
Allowing only 2.35 goals per game, 2nd fewest in the NHL, Los Angeles has been an under team. The Kings last two game had scores of 4-0 and 2-1. They are 8-1-1 to the under their last 10 games. Colorado played last night. The game started high-scoring but had no goals from mid-way through the second period right up until the shootout. Last time that the Avalanche played for the 2nd time in 2 days, the final score was 3-1. This game goes under! ***WESTERN CONF TOY*** |
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12-02-23 | Flyers v. Penguins -155 | 4-3 | Loss | -155 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
First of 2 home and home games. This in-state rivals will play at Philadelphia on Monday. Penguins are playing much better lately and have won 2 of their last 3. Flyers are still really struggling. Flyers are a dismal 19-42 last 61 divisional games. They are 0-4 their last 4 visits to Pittsburgh. Go with the Penguins! ***Divisional Dominator*** |
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12-02-23 | Red Wings -150 v. Canadiens | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
The Canadiens won 3-2 when they hosted the Red Wings on November the 9th. The Red Wings are a much stronger team and they are playing much better at the moment. They will have a chip on their shoulders for this Original 6 rematch. Since the Nov. 9 meeting, Montreal has really struggled. Detroit has been mostly winning. The Canadiens injury list is lengthy. They are 26-62 their last 88 tried against winning teams. The Red Wings will improve to 9-5 their last 14 in the revenge role! ***Revenge GOM*** |
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12-01-23 | Senators v. Blue Jackets UNDER 6.5 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 115 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
Ottawa scored 0 last game and has managed 5 goals total its last 3 games. Averaging 2.88 goals, Columbus is one of the lower-scoring teams in the league. The Jackets scored 2 last game which marked the third time in 4 games that they scored less than 3 goals. None of the last 9 meetings have exceeded 7 goals. Six games since 2022 have averaged less than 5 goals each. Under is 5-1 in Blue Jackets last 6 vs. a team with a losing record. Blue Jackets are also 4-1 to the under last 5 tries when playing with 1 day's rest in between games. This game goes Under! ***EASTERN CONF TOM*** |
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11-30-23 | Devils -133 v. Flyers | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
Flyers have more points in the standings but the Devils are favored on the road. That says a lot. The Devils are the stronger team. They beat the Flyers 7-0 last meeting. The favorite has won 6 of the past 8 meetings. The Devils won their last 2 games and are now on a roll. The Flyers lost their last game and have now dropped 3 of 4. Both teams have been a little better on the road. Road team takes this one! ***Road Warrior*** |
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11-28-23 | Golden Knights v. Oilers -140 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
The Oilers have found their footing and they have a scheduling advantage working for them. The Knights have taken a big step back from last year. For all their success, the Knights are a dismal 6-14 their last 20 when playing 2 games in 2 days. The Knights have only scored 3 goals in their last 4 games. The Oilers scored 8 in their last game and 13 in their last 2 games. Oilers play with revenge from last year's playoffs and will win their third straight. |
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11-28-23 | Islanders v. Devils -158 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
Isles are off a shutout loss. They are 0-4 after scoring 1 goal or less in previous game. They are also 0-7 in their last 7 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game. The Devils broke out with a big game last time, scoring 7 goals. The Devils are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game. Back the better team that just scored 7 and is playing at home against the team which just failed to score at all. |
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11-28-23 | Panthers v. Maple Leafs -126 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
Leafs have home ice advantage. Leafs also have scheduling advantage. They have had 2 days off and Florida played last night. Panthers played yesterday and they are only 11-17 (-12.2) last 2 years when playing 2 games in 2 days. Leafs are 29-19 when playing with 2 day's rest in that time. Toronto is 44-26 last 70 in revenge role. Go Leafs Go! |
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11-27-23 | Panthers -120 v. Senators | Top | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
The Panthers are off consecutive losses for the second time this season. After losing 2 in a row to start the season, they responded by winning a road game at New Jersey. They have enjoyed success in Canada's capital in the past. The Panthers are 5-1 the last 6 meetings with the Senators. The Panthers are also 5-1 the last 6 meetings played in Ottawa. The Panthers haven't played since Friday and they are 4-0 in their last 4 games playing on 2 days rest. Florida takes this one! **Atlantic Div GOW** |
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11-26-23 | Wild -105 v. Red Wings | 1-4 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 29 m | Show | |
The Red Wings have been playing well since their Sweden trip and they upset Boston last game. That will have them ripe for a letdown on Sunday afternoon. The Wild have been playing better but cannot afford to continue losing. Kaprizov commented: "I feel that we played better, but we just want two points. The last couple of games we've lost by one goal. I feel, too, we've played better -- especially Friday. We had a lot of chances. We play like that, wins will come." That starts today. ***NHL Early Riser*** |
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11-25-23 | Maple Leafs -110 v. Penguins | 2-3 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
Off an upset OT loss yesterday, the Maple Leafs at this price are a bargain. We get the pick'em price because the game is in Pittsburgh. But both these teams have better road records than home records. The Leafs are 5-1 their last 6 tries, when playing on 0 days rest. The Leafs are also 4-0 in their last 4 games following OT on the previous day. The road team is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Toronto won 4-1 and 5-2 here last season. ***NHL Road Warrior*** |
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11-24-23 | Jets v. Panthers -128 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -128 | 13 h 5 m | Show |
The Jets beat the Panthers in Winnipeg. The Panthers will beat them in Florida. The favorite is 47-23 in the last 70 meetings in the series. The Panthers are getting very strong goaltending and they got their two injured defensemen back. They've won 4 of their last 5 non-conference games and they will win again today. ***NHL Non-Conference GOW*** |
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11-22-23 | Canadiens v. Ducks -113 | 4-3 | Loss | -113 | 13 h 2 m | Show | |
Two sliding teams, both in need of a victory. Ducks are better and they've got home ice advantage. Special teams will also work to the Ducks' advantage. Over Anaheim's last 9 games, opposing teams have scored on only three of 34 power-play opportunities. Canadiens are 27-65 in their last 92 road games. Ducks are 9-1 in their last 10 vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Ducks are 7-0 the last 7 meetings in Anaheim. Let's go Ducks! ***Dominator*** |
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11-20-23 | Rangers v. Stars -133 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
A lot of things would need to fall into place but it's not inconceivable that these teams could face each other in the Stanley Cup Finals. I'll just focus on tonight. Here's the setup. The Rangers are on a winning streak. The Stars just blew a 3-0 lead in their last game which snapped their winning streak. That result will give Dallas some extra hunger. Before the Colorado loss, the Stars had allowed 3 or fewer goals in 9 straight. They still average 4.6 goals over their last 5 games. They are 43-22 (+15) last 65 after allowed 4 goals or more, 2-0 this season. Sorry Ranger fans, Dallas takes this one! ***Non-Conf GOW*** |
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11-18-23 | Avalanche v. Stars -125 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -125 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
Colorado is still a really good team but the Stars are simply better right now. They are playing at a different level and with more consistency. They have outscored last 4 opponents by a 20-10 score. They've got more depth and they are playing at home. The Stars have one of the best goalies in the world, the Avalanche have some concerns in net. The Stars are 13-3 in their last 16 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game. They will keep their winning streak going! ***Central Div. GOM*** |
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11-16-23 | Panthers v. Kings -123 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 55 m | Show | |
Panthers come in on a winning streak but Kings will put that to an end. LA is 40-28 (+15.1) last 68 after allowing 4 or more goals. During that time, Kings are 43-28 (+18.3) against Eastern Conf. opposition. Panthers are 39-38 (-20.6) against West. Conf. teams. Off 2 straight losses and looking to get on track at home, LA will be a determined team.The Kings have owned the Panthers. They are rested and ready to continue that domination tonight. **dominator** |
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11-15-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Oilers OVER 6.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
The Oilers made a coaching change and immediately got a win. Better late than never! Draisaitl had four points and McDavid had a goal and an assist. Prior to that McDavid had been in a slump. With those two going and the entire team happier, we should see loads of offense from this team, going forward. Seattle has allowed 22 goals past 5 games, an average or more than 4. Before a 4-1 game a few days back, each of the previous 7 meetings have featured at least 7 goals. Both teams will find the back of the net regularly and this one will also finish at 7 or more. ***SUPER SHOOTOUT*** |
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11-14-23 | Lightning -120 v. Blues | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
Off a pair of losses, the Lightning will be at their most dangerous tonight. Tampa is 18-9 (+5.6) last 27 after scoring 1 goal or less. Over that period, Lightning are 48-27 (+10) against Western Conf. opponents. Blues are 31-35 (-10.3) against Eastern Conf. teams. Lighthing swept the Blues last year and they were -200 favorites for the game here. The favorite will move to 5-0 the past 5 meetings after this one! ***Non-Conf GOM*** |
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11-12-23 | Blue Jackets v. Rangers UNDER 6.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
Last month's game between these teams was high-scoring but Columbus divsion games are only averaging 4.7 goals. The Blue Jackets won that firs game. The Rangers have gone under 4 of the past 5 times that they played with revenge. Under has hit 4 of past 5 meetings in New York. Rangers are also 47-29 to the under their last 66 tries, off a 2 or more goal victory. Also, Under is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 when their opponent allows 5 goals or more in their previous game. This one goes Under! ***Metro Division Total Of The Year |
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11-10-23 | Hurricanes -125 v. Panthers | 2-5 | Loss | -125 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
The Hurricanes have a score to settle with this team. The Panthers knocked them out of the playoffs last year. The Panthers actually swept them in 4 games. So, the Hurricanes have been waiting for this one. Florida has been playing without its 2 best defensemen, Mountour and Ekblad. They will feel their losses tonight. Hurricanes are 22-11 last 33 when playing with 2 day's rest. A determined Carolina team will. improve on that record tonight. **NHL Road Warrior |
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11-10-23 | Flames v. Maple Leafs -142 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 22 m | Show |
I've stated previously that when you can get the Leafs at home at this price, you do it. That goes even more so when facing an inconsistent opponent like Calgary. The Flames won a couple lately but they're going to be in trouble this season. The Leafs are 49-28 after allowing 4 or more goals. They are also 30-14 last 44 times that they were off a loss of 2 more goals. Calgary gets outscored 4.0 to 2.7 on the road. Leafs own the Flames and swept them last year. They will win again. ***Non-Conf. GOW |
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11-09-23 | Canadiens v. Red Wings -166 | 3-2 | Loss | -166 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
The Red Wings' last five opponents were Boston, New York Islanders, Florida, Boston (again) and the New York Rangers. All of those are strong teams. The Wings will be pleased to face Montreal, which is not a good team. The Canadiens have dropped 4 games in a row. Detroit has won 4 of the past 5 meetings. The most recent meeting was won by the Wings by a 5-0 score. The favorite is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings and the Wings are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 5 goals or more in their previous game. Go Wings, go! **Original 6 Showdown |
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11-08-23 | Senators v. Maple Leafs -165 | 6-3 | Loss | -165 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
Monday's comeback against the Tampa Bay Lightning will get Toronto on the right track. Toronto coach Sheldon Keefe said: "The result helps, of course. If we fell short here Monday, I'm leaving here feeling good. That second period to me was the best period I think we've played all season." Not only are the Senators are 1-5 in their last 6 overall but they are also 0-4 the past 4 times that they played with 3 or more day's rest. The Leafs have beaten the Senators 6 of the past 7 meetings. They win again tonight. ***nhl dominator |
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11-06-23 | Lightning v. Maple Leafs -145 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
Tampa is a good team but Toronto will not be denied tonight. Actually, a visit from Tampa is going to be just what the struggling Maple Leafs need. This is a rematch from the first round of last year's playoffs. The Leafs eliminated the Lightning and ended a 19-year playoff drought by winning the series. The Lightning are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. Atlantic Division teams. They are also 1-4 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 5 goals or more in its previous game. The Leafs have beaten this team 5 of the past 6 meetings and they will agains tonight. *** Atlantic Div. GOM |
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11-04-23 | Avalanche v. Golden Knights UNDER 6.5 | Top | 0-7 | Loss | -120 | 15 h 57 m | Show |
Have a look at this group of 6 scores and see if you notice a pattern. 3-0, 3-2, 3-2, 3-2, 2-0, 3-1. Did you see it? Of course you did. All six games were low-scoring. All finished with 5 goals or less. Those were the scores from the last 6 meetings between the Avalanche and the Knights. No Western Conference team has allowed less goals than Colorado. Vegas would be right there but has played two more games. These teams are hard to score agaisnt. The Under is 6-0-1 in Colorado's last 7 games when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game. Under is also 6-1 in Colorado's last 7 vs. Pacific Division teams. This game stays under! ***total of the month |
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11-02-23 | Canucks v. Sharks +1.5 | 10-1 | Loss | -130 | 13 h 25 m | Show | |
The Canucks are near the top of the Pacific Division. The Sharks are in the basement. The Sharks are definitely in for a long season. They're still going to fight hard when hosting a division rival though. Their poor record allows us the opportunity to get an extra +1.5 goals. The Canucks' last three visits here have ALL been tied after regulation. Final scores were 6-5, 4-3 and 5-4. Vancouver won them all but none by more than a goal. This will likely be another close one. ***puck-line club |
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10-31-23 | Kings v. Maple Leafs -146 | 4-1 | Loss | -146 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
The Kings are solid. But any time you can get the Leafs at home for this price, a closer look needs to be taken. The Kings have been giving up a lot of goals and that will hurt them tonight. LA has conceded at least 3 goals in five straight games, more than 3 in 3 of those. The home team is 12-4 the last 16 meetings in this series, the favorite taking 8 of the last 11. Off a loss to the Predators, the Leafs will respond with a big effort. Woll is expected to be the goalie and he has a 3-0-0 record along with a sparkling .979 SV%. The Leafs lost at LA last year but beat the Kings 5-0 at Toronto. They win again tonight. ***dominator |
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10-30-23 | Red Wings v. Islanders -149 | 4-3 | Loss | -149 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
The Red Wings have struggled recently. After five straight wins, they'd dropped 3 straight. The skid will continue for another game. The Islanders are a perfect 7-0 the past 7 times that they hosted the Red Wings. The home team has won 10 of 11 in the series. The Red Wings are 1-4 their last 5 games, when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game. The Islanders are 4-1 their last 5 games when playing with 1 days rest. The Islanders are tough to score on and are coming off a shutout win. They'll keep rolling to close out October. **nhl dominator |
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10-28-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Panthers -158 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 27 h 14 m | Show |
Both teams have 6 points. The Panthers have achieved that in 6 games. The Kraken needed eight to do so. Seattle was hot on the road for most of last year but that's already changed this season. They're 1-7 their last 8 on the road. Kraken are also 1-5 their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest. The Panthers are stronger at home and they have a road trip following this game. It starts with a difficult stop in Boston. So, you know they need to win this one. Florida is 13-3 the last 16 when its opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game. Make that 14-3 after Saturday. *Non-Conf GOM |
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10-27-23 | Sabres +1.5 v. Devils | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
An extra +1.5 goals is the way to go on Friday night in New Jersey. The Sabres are 3-3 last 6 with 2 of the losses coming by 1 goal. The Devils have played five 1-goal games in their last 7. Five of 10 meetings in the series were 1-goal games. Sabres off a 6-4 win. The Devils off a 6-4 loss and the Sabres are 5-0 against the money-line in their last 5 when their opponent allows 5 goals or more in their previous game. Go with Buffalo on the puck-line. *GOW |
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10-26-23 | Senators v. Islanders -115 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
Ottawa is off back-to-back losses giving up 5 and 6 goals. That won't cut it against New York. The Islanders are 7-2 in their last 9 when their opponent allows 5 goals or more in their previous game. Favorite is 10-2 last 12 in the series. Islanders are 5-1 last 6 meetings in New York. Islanders are 10-3 last 13 meetings overall. Senators weren't nearly as good on the road as at home last season and are already 0-1 away from Ottawa this year. Go with NY. *Dominator |
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10-24-23 | Bruins v. Blackhawks +1.5 | 3-0 | Loss | -130 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
"Chicago got the Conor Bedard era started out on the right foot. He's going to be a special player. The Hawks will go through some growing pains this season though. Those growing pains will be evident when playing two games in two nights against a very good team like the Bruins. Last meeting here in Boston resulted in a 6-1 win for the Bruins. With that victory, the Bruins are 4-1 the last five times that they hosted the Hawks. They'll start their season with another big win tonight. Lay the -1.5 goals on the puck-line." Things are different this time. The Hawks are at home and are not playing their second game in 2 nights. They've got some games under their belts. The Bruins are playing the 4th leg of a road trip. Chicago played hard in the first loss. It took an empty net goal for Boston to win by 2. Bruins last 3 visits here have resulted in one Chicago victory and two Boston 1-goal wins. Grab the +1.5 goals on the puck-line. *Original 6 Showdown |
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10-21-23 | Jets v. Oilers -165 | 3-2 | Loss | -165 | 14 h 29 m | Show | |
Wins will come for Winnipeg. Just not on Saturday. I won with the Jets against Florida last Saturday but a visit to Edmonton is a different matter. Also off to a sluggish start and still in search of their first home win, the Oilers will be bringing it. The Jets are 0-7 in their last 7 vs. Western Conference. The Oilers are 5-1 in their last 6 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game. They're also 5-0 in their last 5 vs. Central. The home team has taken 6 of the last 8 meetings. The Oilers won 6-3 the last meeting here. They'll win again. *Slap Shot Club |
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10-20-23 | Devils -117 v. Islanders | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
Though they're not thrilled with their start, the Devils are a little stronger than the Islanders. The Devils had a big regular season last year and are poised for another big year. Determined to get a victory, they'll face an Islander team which is 1-5 in their last 6 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game. The Islanders are sound defensively and in goal but they often have trouble scoring and will have trouble keeping up. The Devils superior power-play will likely make a difference. NJ is a slight favorite and the favorite is 25-12 the past 37 meetings. NJ wins. *Metro Div GOW |
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10-19-23 | Predators v. Rangers -180 | 4-1 | Loss | -180 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
The Predators are off to a difficult start and it won't get any easier tonight. They're 1-3 and getting outscord by an an average of 3.5 to 2.2. The Rangers are 2-1 and outscoring teams 3.3 to 2.3. The Predators last visit to MSG resulted in a 7-0 loss. They're 37-53 their last 90 against winning teams. Well-rested NY is 46-24 its last 70 against losing teams. The Oilers were too much for the Predators and the Rangers will be, too. *Top Corner |
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10-18-23 | Capitals v. Senators -154 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 2 m | Show |
The Senators lost their first game, at Carolina. Since then, they've been playing very well. They're off back-to-back 5-2 victories. They had a solid edge in shots and overall play in both games. The Capitals are fortunate to be 1-1. They've been outshot badly in both of their games. Struggling to score goals and generate offense, the Capitals will have trouble keeping up to a Senators team which is clicking. Washington is 0-6 the past six times that it faced an opponent which scored five or more goals in its last game. The favorite is 38-13 the past 51 meetings. Go with the Senators. *Eastern Conference Game Of The Month |
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10-17-23 | Oilers -140 v. Predators | Top | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 25 m | Show |
Ignore the 0-2 record, the Oilers are still stacked. Understand that they had a 40-16 edge in shots in Saturday's loss. Just like 0-2 Florida yesterday, the Oilers will be extremely determined to get their first victory. Captain Connor McDavid commented: "You want to get off to a good start and we haven’t. A win tomorrow night leaves us at [1-2-0] and we were [1-2-0] last year too. It’s not the best start, not what we were looking for, but I thought Saturday was something to build off and we look to continue that tomorrow night.” Edmonton is 4-1 the past 5 times it played with 2 days off in between games. The Oilers are also 8-1 the last 9 times that played the Predators. Look for the favorite to improve to 18-7 the past 25 meetings in the series. *Oct. GOM |
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10-16-23 | Panthers +1.5 v. Devils | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
I've picked on the Panthers so far, playing against them in each of their two losses. I've pointed out that they're missing a couple of defensemen. Now, I will reverse my position. This is still a good Florida team. The two losses are going to make the Panthers hungry. They don't want to start the season 0-3. They're 4-1 their last five visits here, 2-0 the last two. The Devils have played two games and both were decided by one goal. Grab the +1.5 goals. *Puck-Line Club |
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10-14-23 | Canucks v. Oilers UNDER 7 | Top | 4-3 | Push | 0 | 31 h 32 m | Show |
A very big O/U line. These teams faced each other already. Playing in their own building, the Canucks crushed the Oilers by an 8-1 score. Both Edmonton goalies struggled. We'll see a better defensive and goaltending effort from the Oilers on Saturday. Only one of Vancouver's past five visits here has produced more than 7 goals. Three of those five games finished with less than six. The under is 3-1-1 in those games and 6-2-1 in nine meetings overall. Also, the under is 5-1 the past six times that Edmonton allowed five or more goals in its previous game. Go with the Under! *NHL TOM |
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10-14-23 | Panthers v. Jets -126 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 3 m | Show | |
Both clubs dropped their first game. Both feel that they deserved a better fate. The Panthers are playing without a pair of key defensemen though and that will continue to be an issue. The Jets beat the Panthers 5-2 here last season. They're 40-21 their last 61 home games with a total of six or more. They'll benefit from the last line change, the favorite improving to 14-6 the past 20 meetings. *Slap Shot Club |
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10-13-23 | Penguins -119 v. Capitals | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
Classic rivalry. The Capitals have home ice advantage. The Penguins have already played a game though. They've had a chance to work out some issues. It will help them in this game. There were some positive signs. The Penguins had 40 shots and won most of the face-offs. They allowed 4 unanswered goals to blow the game though. That won't sit well and they're going to come out determined to make things right. The Capitals are missing a couple of players. The Penguins are quite healthy. They will spoil Washington's home opener. *Metro Conf GOM |
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10-12-23 | Panthers v. Wild -125 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
Both teams are stacked on offense. Neither will have trouble scoring this year. Entering the season, I like Minnesota's defense a lot more. The Panthers are missing two of their top defensemen, Montour and Ekblad. Both had off-season shoulder surgery. They'll be missed tonight. The Wild are 40-23 (+10.6) against Eastern Conference teams the past two years. Florida is just 35-34 (-19) against teams from the West. The Panthers won last year's two games but the Wild will take this one. *NHL GOW |
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10-11-23 | Blackhawks v. Bruins -1.5 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
Chicago got the Conor Bedard era started out on the right foot. He's going to be a special player. The Hawks will go through some growing pains this season though. Those growing pains will be evident when playing two games in two nights against a very good team like the Bruins. Last meeting here in Boston resulted in a 6-1 win for the Bruins. With that victory, the Bruins are 4-1 the last five times that they hosted the Hawks. They'll start their season with another big win tonight. Lay the -1.5 goals on the puck-line. *Original 6 Showdown |
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10-10-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Golden Knights -165 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 37 h 47 m | Show | |
Off their big second season, the Kraken are considered to be a successful expansion team. The Knights wrote the book on it though. Vegas will be on an emotional high from winning the Cup and having their championship banner unveiled. They won't let the Kraken spoil the party. I expect the Kraken to take a small step back this seaon and that will start at T-Mobile Arena on Tuesday. Vegas won both 2023 meetings and is 7-1 all-time versus the Kraken. With a 21-6 record their past 27 home games, they'll be too much for Seattle once again. *Opening Night Dominator |
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06-13-23 | Panthers v. Golden Knights -1.5 | Top | 3-9 | Win | 161 | 25 h 34 m | Show |
Vegas are heavy favorites and deservedly so. Unless some unlikely magic happens this should be the end of the road for the scrappy Panthers. Bobrovsky has been shown to be mortal in this series with a 3.47 GA avg. and dismal .850 save %, while Hill has continued his run with a 2.25 GA avg and .920 save %. Hill has only allowed 2 goals/game in regulation in the entire finals. On the offensive side, Vegas has outscored Florida 12-4 at home when they have the last change and can dictate matchups against the Panthers’ inferior depth. This has been further enabled by Vegas’ 100% PK rate and their 33% PP rate in their last 5 playoff games. Vegas’ physical superiority has also been demonstrated as Panther players are struggling on the injury front as Duclair, Luostarinen and most notably Tkachuk are all struggling and questionable for game 5. And we can’t forget that Gudas is also in rough shape and was not very noticeable in game 4, Vegas is 7-0 in their last 7 at home against the Panthers. They also know how to close out a series as evidenced by their decisive 6-0 win to finish off Dallas, the 5-2 closeout against the Oilers and the 4-1 series ending win over Winnipeg. Notice the theme here. The Panthers will be even more dispirited than those three teams. The Knights should win this one by 2 or more goals which offers a healthy payout. |
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06-10-23 | Golden Knights v. Panthers UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 112 | 19 h 13 m | Show |
As expected, we saw a much tighter-checking game three, with significantly fewer shots on both sides. Play-off Bob looked sharp but the Panthers did a much better job in allowing him to see the puck. While the Panthers didn't shut down Vegas's big three in Marchessault, Eichel and Stone, they did at least limit their opportunities to 8 shots on net in total. The Knights are a very well coached team, exceptional at adjusting from game to game, and at limiting scoring on the road. They limited Dallas at home to just 3 goals in 3 games. I expect game four could again be low scoring, especially if Bobrovsky continues to rebound. Hill wasn't quite as sharp in game three. Look for the Knights' oversized defenders to come to his aid this time out. Take Saturday's game to again go under. |
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06-08-23 | Golden Knights +108 v. Panthers | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 54 m | Show |
Bobrovsky is going to start. I agree he deserves at least this but it sure looks like Vegas has figured him out; screen him and shoot high to the opposite side as he tries to peek around the screen. Remember, in their last 12 games Vegas has seen the opposing goalie pulled 5 times. At the other end of the rink, Aidan Hill looks fresh, unflappable and dialed in. The Panthers can’t screen him to the same extent with all those huge defenders on the Knights’ blueline (6’6’, 6’4”, 6’3”, 6’2” x2, and tiny 6’1’ 209 lb Martinez) boxing them out. In their last 10 games Vegas has averaged 4.2 goals for and 2.1 goals against while the Panthers are at 2.4 and 2.6 respectively. On the injury front Gudas is probable but really? He was already hurt and that hit staggered him. His replacement, Fitzgerald exposed the lack of depth on the Panthers’ blueline. Karlsson is probable with an illness for the Golden Knights. The discipline issue is real for the Panthers. They have had to kill 32 penalties these playoffs compared to 23 for the Golden Knights. Vegas’ powerplay has come alive at an inopportune time for the Panthers. The key stat for Vegas though is their ability to play lockdown hockey on the road even when the other team has last change. The are 32-8 on the road while the Panthers are an OK but less remarkable 27-16 at home. Vegas has lost only two on the road these playoffs. Following a win this season Vegas is 26-9 on the road. It all adds up to taking Vegas on the Money Line. |
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06-08-23 | Golden Knights v. Panthers UNDER 6 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 20 h 28 m | Show |
After a blow-out loss, the Panthers slink back to Florida for game three. Location was highly significant for the Panthers in the regular season: they were a .500 club on the road, and much better at home. The Knights were actually a better on the road than at home this year. They played a very different style, tight-checking and composed, and the totals reflected this. The Panthers are now at critical mass and absolutely must play with more discipline and composure, limiting penalties. They have had a couple of days of soul-searching. Vegas, with solid defense and goal-tending from Hill, has been able to limit the Panthers' quality scoring chances. I believe this will continue on Thursday. I also believe that the Panthers will rebound and find their composure. They'll have the final change, so with the right personnel on the ice, perhaps they can cool off the Eichel, Marchessault, Barbashev line. Look for the return of the Florida forecheck, and a better game from Bobrovsky. The Total has climbed to six. Take the Under on Thursday. 10* Playoff TOY |
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06-05-23 | Panthers v. Golden Knights -131 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 18 h 25 m | Show |
Stats and records from previous rounds and the regular season don’t matter so much now. They both played in a separate conference for the playoffs and the regular season. Except for their split in regular season games this past season, we have little to no experience of these teams together. Game 1 gave us more of what we have seen in one sense as their last 11 games against each other over the past 4 seasons had the home team with a 10-1 record. That includes the Panthers with a 0-6 record over their last 6 in Vegas, which gives us one data point. Panthers’ powerplay was at 0% Saturday night, while Vegas was at 28%. Given the Panthers’ interest in mixing it up Saturday, this gives us another data point in favor of the Knights. Over the last 10 games the Panthers’ have averaged only 2.6 goals/game, even as they were successful. The Knights have averaged 3.6 goals/game. Another check mark for the Knights. Over their last 8 games head to head the favorite is 7-1. Monday night Vegas is the favorite. All the above relevant data points, point to Vegas. Take the Knights on the Money Line. |
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06-05-23 | Panthers v. Golden Knights OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
The total in Game One went as expected, with Bobrovsky allowing four goals against for just the first time in eleven games. I doubt that his extended rest will prove beneficial in this series. Let's not forget that in spite of his recent play, Bobrovsky had a pair of five goals-against games early in the Boston series. Adin Hill continued to impress with a .943 save % on 35 shots. On offense, Eichel had a pair of assists in Game one. Stone was held scoreless but had seven shots on net. Tkachuk took himself out of the game for the final five minutes, and was also held pointless. I am still convinced that offenses, especially Vegas' will rule the day in this series. That same 5 1/2 total is readily available. We have a small sample size, but recent games with the Knights as the home side have all gone over. Take the Over again in Game two. |
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06-03-23 | Panthers v. Golden Knights -123 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 23 h 47 m | Show |
It’s been quite a ride through the playoffs for us and the teams. Now is when the Panthers take the truth serum of the Knights. Are they for real? Is Bobrovsky for real? Can Tkachuk keep doing what he’s been doing? Can the Panther’s patchwork defense keep it together? Is Paul Maurice a genius? Looking at Bobrovsky’s save % we think it’s otherworldly. Hill’s is comparable and in the regular season it is superior to Bobrovsky’s. Carolina’s approach is volume of shots from wherever (shot heat maps show the vast majority from the outside), so they made it easy for Bobrovsky to look impressive. Vegas gets to the dirty areas and they will expose Bobrovsky like Carolina never did. Tkachuk’s playoff history was mediocre before this year. What’s different about this year? He’s playing against the Eastern Conference, not the Western Conference. He has had his way with Carolina, Toronto and surprisingly, Boston with little or no pushback. Vegas is a different story and he will get push back. The depth Vegas has upfront will expose the Panthers’ defence and show us that Forsling and Gudas aren’t what we might have thought they were and Marc Staal is not a top four defenceman. Vegas’ third line with Karlsson, Smith and Marchesault will feast on Staal and the Panthers’ third pairing when they get a chance. Vegas’ fourth line will punish the Panthers’ in their own end. With respect to Paul Maurice we’ll find out when his team comes up against a powerful Vegas team that has quietly worked through the Western Conference under the skilled guidance of Bruce Cassidy who’s former team, the Bruins, sputtered in the playoffs without him. Take Vegas on the Money Line. |
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06-03-23 | Panthers v. Golden Knights OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
We have seen a stack of unders with the Panthers in the postseason, not in small part due to Bobrovsky's remarkable play. It is now ten days since he played, so at what point does rest become rust? He gave up three goals in his last start; I'm wagering that he will do at least the same tonight. The Panthers are 0-5 in Vegas and those games have gone over to the tune of 4-1. The Knights rolled out six goals against a very good defensive team in their last game. The return of Mark Stone and Eichel's first foray into the playoffs have made the Golden Knights an offensive force to be reckoned with. The Golden Knights have had five days rest and are mostly healthy, a rarity in the past two years. Let's not forget that the Panthers were a top six team in offense this season. Look for goal tending on a less heroic scale and a higher final score. Take Vegas and the Panthers to go over the total. |
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05-29-23 | Golden Knights v. Stars -122 | Top | 6-0 | Loss | -122 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
It has not been common for the Knights, a superb road team, to give up four goals in a non-overtime away game. The Stars carried it to the Golden Knights, looking faster and sharper, while hemming Vegas in with an blanketing forecheck. While Hill was impressive at times, he definitely appeared more vulnerable in Game Five, with his save % dropping to below .900 for the first time in seven games. In the other net, Oettinger appears to have bounced back from his three game slide and has looked more like his dominant self in the last two games. Robertson has stepped up his game with more chances and better success, scoring three times in the last two games. Eichel has bee held scoreless in three straight games now. With Benn back, Oettinger playing better and the Stars finally with some momentum, I like Dallas' chances to tie the series up tonight. Take the Stars, a very good home team to win. |
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05-27-23 | Stars v. Golden Knights UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 35 m | Show |
The Stars and Oettinger bounced back with an overtime win in Game four. I really thought that the young Stars goalie was down for the count, but he survived nearly 40 shots with by far his best game of the series. Hill was again steady in net for Vegas as he has been all series long. Dallas will be again in must win mode but at least they have now had a taste of success, however the Knights have been very good at making the necessary adjustments after a loss. With 2/3s of the Stars second line out and with the final change tonight, Vegas can key on the Stars top line which accounted for all of the Dallas scoring in Game four. This series was always expected to be a low scoring one, and in spite of some subpar goal tending by Oettinger, the last three games have gone under. Look for another tight checking, low scoring affair tonight, and take the total to go under. |
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05-25-23 | Golden Knights +105 v. Stars | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
The Stars won't be out tonight down in Dallas. Missing Benn and with Oettinger essentially a broken man, this is definitely the Golden Knights' game and series for the taking. Vegas was, as usual, poised and tough on defense in a road game last time out, and I expect nothing different today. They really have been an elite away team this season. Add the continued success of Adin Hill, now with a shutout to add to some very stellar play in the post season. Eichel and the returning Stone are top ten in playoff scoring but the Knights are getting goals from a variety of players. Without Oettinger holding up in net, Dallas's blueline has been exposed. Take Vegas to finish off a rattled Stars side tonight. |
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05-24-23 | Hurricanes v. Panthers UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -120 | 17 h 17 m | Show |
The top and second top forechecking teams in the NHL (by advanced metrics) are masterful at getting in on the puck. But it turns out they are also great at limiting in zone high danger chances. Their skill at forechecking includes an ability to clog up the neutral zone and stifle rush chances. Both teams still manage to keep things exciting with checkers and puck carriers selling out and sacrificing themselves all over the ice. When you combine this with unbelievable goaltending it is a sure recipe for low scoring affairs. The losing goaltender in this series, Andersen has save percentages of .941 and .950. That is phenomenal. But Bobrovsky has been otherworldly with 1.0, .974 and.969 save percentages. It’s no surprise that the Canes under record is 4-0 in their last 4 and the Panthers is 8-0 in their last 8. Both teams have averaged totals of 5.4 (Carolina) and 5.2(Florida) GF +GA in their last 10 games. When you have no high scoring stars on either side it’s no wonder that the under is a must call on this one. Take the under and enjoy this hard fought hockey to the max. |
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05-23-23 | Golden Knights v. Stars UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
The Stars have not been getting the goal-tending required for playoff success in Round three. In spite of Oettinger's track record, and the Knights being limited to just 24 shots in Game two, Dallas came up in the wrong side of overtime again. Golden Knights' net minder Adin Hill has looked very sharp in his last four starts. This is obviously a must-win situation for the Stars. Vegas has been a tighter close checking team when playing on the road all season. I think Dallas will respond with even more defensive pressure, while an obviously weary Oettinger will look to rebound from some poor outings. Game three will be another close one, with an equally low total. Take the Under on Tuesday |
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05-22-23 | Hurricanes v. Panthers -104 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show |
Bobrovsky's three latest appearances, all going into overtime, could become legendary; facing 155 shots, he has turned in a .968 Save %. I doubted him after that marathon Game one, but I won't this time. Now throw in Tkachuk, a difference maker in all three series, whose impact on the Panthers' offense has been equally remarkable in the playoffs. Add Barkov for star power, and the confidence the Panthers are playing with having knocked off two favored opponents, and you have a very tough row to hoe for Hurricanes. Carolina's lack of offense was a given in this series, but the Canes have met an equally tough fore-checking opponent in the Panthers. I like the Panthers, with the final change on home ice, to advance to 3-0 today. |
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05-21-23 | Stars v. Golden Knights OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -107 | 14 h 15 m | Show |
There are no Bobrovskys in this series. Oettinger was expected to excel but for what ever reason (fatigue?) he has been little better than average in the playoffs. Adin Hill was the better goalie in game one. We have seen a surprising number of high totals from these two teams in the playoffs; 7-1 in the Stars' case, and three straight from Vegas. The odds-makers keep setting the number at 5.5 but without superlative goal-tending, that number seems low. It has been a rare game in the playoffs that the Knights haven't scored 4 or more goals. The Stars have also averaged roughly four goals a game over their last 1o games. I am jumping on that low number in Game two. Take Vegas and the Stars to go over the total. |
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05-20-23 | Panthers v. Hurricanes OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -113 | 20 h 8 m | Show |
There has to be a regression to the mean in Bobrovsky’s goaltending. His .943 save% in his last 6 games is off the charts and way above his seasonal and career numbers. After an almost 7 period game, this is the time for it to come back down to earth. The Canes are 3rd in average shots per game while the Panthers are 22nd in average shots against. Bobrovsky is due for a melt down. The Panthers’ PK is at 61%. The Canes PP hasn’t been great but this will be Teravinen’s second game back so he should help their PP and offense in general more than last game. |
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05-19-23 | Stars +115 v. Golden Knights | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 18 m | Show |
Both the Stars and the Knights mostly defended well against two offensive juggernauts in round 2. Probable starting goaltenders Oettinger (2.44 GA avg. .916 save %) and Hill (.245 GA avg. .917 save %) have comparable records. Oettinger has a 7-2-1 record in his last 10 while Hill is 7-3. So there isn’t much to choose between them beyond Oettinger’s success in last year’s playoffs against Calgary. |
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05-18-23 | Panthers v. Hurricanes -136 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -136 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
This is a very tough call. Limited due to injury, the Canes offense was questioned coming into the playoffs and the Panthers were largely written off with a 21st rated defense. True to form, the Hurricanes stymied the opposition, allowing the least goals of any remaining team. They were equally tough on the PK, and in spite of a "scoring by committee" approach, have scored as many goals as the Panthers while playing one less game. Both teams got stellar goal-tending in the last series. Bobrovsky re-found his form and was phenomenal in the Leaf series. Andersen, even allowing for one very bad game, still finished the last series with a .931 save %. The Panthers do have an edge on the power play but the Canes have really limited PP opportunities with the least number of penalty minutes. Carolina was one of the very best home teams this year while the Panthers were much less effective on the road. Both teams are well-rested. Carolina of all teams should be able to limit the "Tkachuk effect". Home ice and better defense tips the scales for me in what could be a very close Game one. Take the Hurricanes, the favorite today, to win. |
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05-15-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Stars OVER 5.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -118 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
The Kraken have been a much tougher nut to crack in the playoffs than anyone expected. The Stars came in as favored, but the series has see-sawed wildly in wins. The only consistent factor is the over, and I expect another one today. Goal tending and the Kraken offense have been the keys in Series two. The Settle goal tending was always suspect, and Grubauer, after a terrific first series, has reverted to an .865 save % against the Stars. Oettinger who was expected to excel in the postseason, has been pulled twice and has exactly the same .865 save % as Grubauer. The high totals are perhaps not so surprising as these were the 5th and 7th ranked offenses, however the Stars' inability to control Seattle with one of the league's elite defenses is an eye-opener. I am not going to second guess this one. Take game seven to again go over. |
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05-14-23 | Golden Knights v. Oilers UNDER 6.5 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
My run on totals is up to 13-3. This is your chance to jump on board. Skinner, tonight’s likely Oilers goalie, has alternated good with abysmal starts. This is his turn for a good one. He has had save %s of .962 and .968 for his great starts. We won’t talk about his bad starts. Nurse will return from his suspension which should solidify the Oilers' back end. Aidan Hill has had a .926 save % in his last 10 starts. Pietrangelo and Kolesar have got their owlies out, so that should limit the power play chances for the Oilers. The Knights have managed to limit the damage from Edmonton’s top scoring duo in most recent action. That combined with the fact that Vegas plays a different kind of lockdown game on the road should combine with all of the above to create a low event game for game 6. Three of the last 4 games of this series have been under. In the last 8 meetings between these clubs, the under is 6-1-1. Join me for another fine total selection. We should see a tense, much tighter, more defensive tonight, especially from the last chance Oilers.The Under is the call for tonight’s game. |
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05-13-23 | Stars v. Seattle Kraken OVER 5.5 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 18 h 30 m | Show |
My run on totals in the NHL playoffs is up to 12-3. I couldn’t believe my good fortune when I saw an over of 5.5 (-120) for Saturday. I couldn’t write this pick quickly enough. Dallas, in their last 10 games has averaged a total of 7 goals a game. Seattle isn’t far behind at 6.8. As a favorite Dallas’ games have averaged a total of 6.4 goals per game. As a dog Seattle’s totals have averaged 6.5 per game. Overs are 4-0 for the L4 games in Seattle and 8-0 for the L8 meetings between these two clubs. And then the clincher for me, Dallas is 5-0-1 on overs for their L6 and Seattle is 5-0 in their last 5. Although both clubs were just below .500 for overs against all opponents during the regular season, the playoffs seem to be a different story. The intensity, physicality and pressure all seem to conspire to create high event hockey. Jump on the over. |
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05-12-23 | Oilers -130 v. Golden Knights | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -130 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
There will be no love lost between these two teams in Game five. Pietrangelo's bizarre attack may galvanize the Oilers, who really stepped it up with their speed and size on Wednesday, limiting Vegas' puck-moving ability. The Knights will miss him more than the Oilers will miss Nurse today. Oilers' net minder Skinner bounced back with a fine start in Game four, but he has had trouble stringing two solid efforts together. Vegas' goalie will likely be a game time decision, but none have thrived in this series. The Oilers were much better on the road this season, and have had very good success in Vegas. If anyone benefits from a choppy game with extra penalties it will be them. Edmonton took charge in the Kings series in Game 5 and I believe they will do the same today. Look for the Oilers to string a pair of wins together and take today's matchup on the road. |
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05-12-23 | Panthers v. Maple Leafs UNDER 6.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 111 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
I am again confident on this one despite going 1-1 last night. This is my first under in awhile but the sports books have been taking a beating and they offered up a generous one to try and turn the tide. That combined with the new approach Toronto is taking to protect their young goaltender, Woll. 12 different Leafs blocked shots last game as a key point in their heroic defending. That combined with the fact that Toronto’s core 4 forwards can’t seem to get untracked with Florida’s physical and smothering defense indicates a low event affair tonight. Also of note is that all 4 games in this series have been under, Toronto has been under for their last 6 and head to head the Panthers and Leafs are 6-0 on unders for their last 6. The Leafs may be under the gun to extend this series and you can pick under with confidence for tonight’s match up. |
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05-11-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Stars OVER 6 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 103 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
Dallas is a heavy favorite tonight, but the Kraken are a much better team on the road, and a very good candidate to bounce back after a loss this season. The total has edged up to 6 today; not surprising as every game has gone well over in the series. Grubauer did not look sharp in Game four, and was pulled after 40 minutes. He has been much less successful vs Dallas with a save % under .900 in three of four games this series. The same could be said of Oettinger, with a surprisingly low save % of .860. Fatigue could be a factor; the young goalie has played a ton of hockey this year. Seattle still managed three goals in spite of the Stars limiting the Kraken to just 19 shots. The Kraken continue to surprise on offense, and with McCann back, offense could still be the name of the game tonight. With the topsy turvy nature of wins in the playoffs, I am hesitant to pick a side today but I am big on the total. Take the Kraken and Stars to again go over. |
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05-11-23 | Devils v. Hurricanes OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -120 | 20 h 4 m | Show |
Every game this series has been over 5.5 and yet the sports books keep offering it to us and we’ll keep taking it. These two teams have averaged a total of 8 goals/game. Whether the Devils start Schmid or Vanecek doesn’t matter to me. Both have struggled in their last 10 and are barely above .500. Not a good look for the playoffs. So even though Carolina is not the most high octane offense they have consistently got to both goalies. And the Devils have the 4th ranked power play while the Canes penalty kill is 20th ranked. So the Devils should score their share as well. All bodes well for my record with this pick and another total above 5.5 for a fifth consecutive game. |
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05-10-23 | Golden Knights +1.5 v. Oilers | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -150 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
The see-saw nature of the Oilers/Knights series continued with Vegas stymying the Oilers in Edmonton, allowing just a single goal. Vegas is a very tough out in away games, and they held the Oilers power play to no goals, while limiting penalties. Adin Hill replaced Broissoit, and was perfect in game three as he was in the third period of game two. Skinner was sub-par in game three. In spite of his fine performance in the previous game, the Oilers have to be wondering about their young goal tender, who has now started 12 straight games. There is no doubt that the Oilers will be all in tonight, but superior net-minding and their solid defensive road style should at least keep the Knight close in this one. Take Vegas on the puck line at +1 1/2. 10* |
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05-10-23 | Maple Leafs v. Panthers +110 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
Toronto is on the ropes, down 3-0 to the Florida Panthers. Everyone, against all the evidence expects them to finally push back and pull off a win. But with their top goalie injured all playoffs and now their second stringer, Samsonov injured as well, young Joseph Woll is thrown into the breach. His NHL career consists of 11 regular season and 2 playoff games. He lost both playoff games. Meanwhile, Bobrovsky has won 6 straight, all but one with a save % over .917. Florida is also 5-0 in their last 5 after a win, and 7-0 when their opponent scores 2 in the previous game. In the 3rd period and OT of game 3 against the Leafs, the Panthers’ scratch and claw style smothered a dispirited bunch of Toronto’s finest. There is nothing to indicate this will change in game 4. Bring out the brooms. |
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05-09-23 | Stars v. Seattle Kraken OVER 5.5 | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 20 h 3 m | Show |
The last game surprised in many ways. Oettinger looking so shaky, Dallas so vulnerable without Heiskinen, and so many different Kraken scoring at will. That second period seemed to take the wind out of the Stars’ sails. Coach Deboer is a master at making between game adjustments. Even if Heiskinen plays, the injury could affect his offensive and defensive abilities. Seattle has some confidence now and the home crowd to boost them even more. With the possibility of Grubauer coming back down to earth as well, all of this bodes well for a high event, high scoring game. The over is 6-0 for the last six games between these foes. Dallas averaged 3.83 goals and Seattle average 4.0 goals over that span. The total set at 5.5 seems like a gift. Take the over and make like a bandit. |
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05-09-23 | Hurricanes v. Devils OVER 5.5 | Top | 6-1 | Win | 103 | 20 h 34 m | Show |
The Devils woke up on home ice, pounding two of the three Canes' goalies. It remains to be seen if Raanta can go in game four or if Carolina will return to Andersen. If it is anything like last series, it will be difficult for the Hurricanes to stuff the Devils' scoring genie back in the bottle, so we could be in for a wild ride in game Five. NJ will come out flying again. Hughes broke out with four points, but New Jersey got scoring from a variety of sources. Even Vanacek chipped in with an assist. I have no faith in either of the Devils' netminders to limit Carolina. I expect another barn burner with plenty of scoring. Game five will go over the total, possibly well over. |
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05-08-23 | Golden Knights v. Oilers UNDER 7 | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
The Golden Knights could not contain the Oilers' high octane offense and their potent power play in Game two. What was surprising was the Oilers, who are often defensively suspect, limiting the Knights to a single goal. Vegas has been a much better away team this season, playing a tighter more disciplined style on the road that is very suitable to the playoffs. They are a very well-coached team with an ability to adjust on the fly. While the Oilers are a heavy favorite today, I am not ready to count Vegas out. I think the Knights will focus on slowing down the Oilers down, at the cost of total goals. The total went under in Game two, and an even higher number is available today. Look for a tighter checking game and take the total to go under. |
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05-07-23 | Stars -140 v. Seattle Kraken | Top | 2-7 | Loss | -140 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
The Stars were dominant in their Game two win, much better than the score would suggest. Oettinger bounced back as expected, but the Stars also limited the Kraken to eighteen less shots. Dallas was very good as a road favorite this season, while the Kraken were just 6-11 as a home underdog. The Stars are healthy and were much the better team on offense in Game two, scoring four times on Grubauer The Seattle goalie's save % has dropped considerably to .890 in Round two. The Kraken's 40 goal scorer, McCann, is still questionable to return on Sunday. As good as the Kraken's offense has been, I am banking on Oettinger and the Dallas defense today. Take Dallas to win on the road. |
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05-07-23 | Hurricanes v. Devils OVER 5.5 | Top | 4-8 | Win | 114 | 6 h 51 m | Show |
The Devils bounced back after a poor start in the first series and are favored today, but the Hurricanes really seem to have New Jersey's number in this series. The Devils' goalie situation is pretty ugly. Neither net minder was effective in Game two, and Schmid's run would seem to have come to an end. I do think that the Devils will score more than one goal today; they certainly responded on offense upon returning home in the first series. The Canes, despite missing some key pieces on offense, are getting scoring from a range of players at the moment. They have been absolutely tenacious on the forecheck, and I don't see them taking their foot off the gas. We have seen the over in both games of the series despite very limited offense from the Devils. Carolina will again get their opportunities against whoever is in net. I am wagering on the over today. |
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05-06-23 | Oilers v. Golden Knights OVER 6.5 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -135 | 19 h 37 m | Show |
The Oilers will score their share of goals, and they still could win this series. It won’t be easy without an elite goalie considering how some of the defense plays, and while Skinner hasn't played badly, he is no game-changer. Like all the successful teams this year ,Vegas was tenacious on the forecheck in Game One. Broissoit has played better than expected but the Knights face an elite offense at 5 on 5, and one of the very best power plays ever. Add Draisatl, who is lights out in the playoffs, and the potential more than in any other series is for a bunch of goals from both sides . Take the over again in game two. |
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05-05-23 | Devils v. Hurricanes OVER 5.5 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 120 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
The Devils were embarrassed by the more experienced Hurricanes. Let's hope that this will kick-start them for Game two. Schmid was pulled in Game one after three quick goals, leaving Game two's starter a question mark. The Devils had an even worse result in the first game of the Rangers series and did bounce back. While Carolina is an elite defensive team, Andersen faced just eighteen shots. I don;t believe that the high flyers we saw in the latter part of the Rangers series will be held to just a single goal and under twenty shots twice in a row. New Jersey has rebounded well after previous losses all season long and are 13-6 after a loss of two goals or more. Schmid has now had two poor outings. Is it possible that his cinderella run has ended? There are enough questions around the Devils goal tending to make the total, a low 5.5, very tempting. Go with the over today. |
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05-04-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Stars OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 112 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
Game one of the series featured more goals than expected. Five goals against the Stars and Oettinger is a rare occurrence, but the Kraken accomplished it with tenacious forechecking and their usual balanced fifth-ranked attack. The Kraken's ability to play tough without taking penalties eliminated the Stars' very potent power play in game one. Neither goal-tender looked sharp, but the less than stellar play by Grubauer is more concerning. Oettinger is far more likely to bounce back. |
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05-03-23 | Oilers v. Golden Knights OVER 6.5 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 21 h 22 m | Show |
The Oilers' top rated offense and power play were a little much for the Golden Knights in the regular season. Edmonton was 4-0 in Vegas and the over was 3-0-1. They are a very good road team this year. They do have their weak points, in goal tending and defense. Skinner was the worst net-minder in the first round, and a healthy Vegas side will have their chances on goal. Vegas got solid work from Broissoit in the Jets series, but the Oilers are a huge step up in speed and skill, and Broissoit has never been regarded as an elite talent. It took Edmonton a series last year to really get flying. We could see a very wide open style with the resulting high totals, starting in Game 1. Take the Oilers and Knights to go over. |
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05-03-23 | Devils +107 v. Hurricanes | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
The Devils looked shaky in their first two playoff games, but once Schmid started in net, they roared back, winning 4 o f 5 games. NJ held the star-studded Rangers offense to just two goals in those four wins. The young net-minder bounced back after a poor outing in Game six, earning his second shutout of the series. The Devils' top 10 defense should be able to hang in there against a very fine Hurricanes D. Carolina does not have a a net-minder to match Shesterkin, the Devils' last opponent. |
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05-01-23 | Rangers v. Devils OVER 5.5 | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
Devils goal-tending issues returned as the Rangers finally broke through against Schmid in Game six. Who the Devils start in net today is the big question. At the other end, Shesterkin has been consistently good for the Rangers with a fine .939 save % in this series. While it didn't hold in this series, NJ has bee a force at home this season. The speed of the Devils has given the Rangers fits and we have yet to see a goal from Hughes. The Devils have been tough to beat at home this season and have also a very fine record in bouncing back from a loss. Having solved both Schmid and Vanacek, the Rangers will be ready for whoever is in net. In spite of these two teams' reputation for defense, I expect offense to be the color of the day. Wager on the Devils and Rangers to go over. |
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04-30-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Avalanche UNDER 6 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 0 m | Show |
There are some compelling reasons to consider a Kraken win tonight. Seattle is a very good road team and are 4-1 vs the Avs in Colorado. There are even more reasons to look at the total. The under has figured in five of six games in this series and in all of the Av's home games. Nine of ten recent meetings have all gone under. Seattle and Grubauer have defended better than anyone might have expected. The Av's have just a single player in the top twenty playoff scoring leaders and the Kraken have none. Seattle could still be missing McCann today, a big part of their scoring. I am not confident on picking a winner in game seven, but I do like the total very much. Jump on the under, especially if under six is available. |
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04-29-23 | Oilers v. Kings OVER 6.5 | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
Skinner has a save % of .884 in the series and Korpisalo has given up 9 goals in 2 games. We have now seen the total go over in the last two games. Neither of these two teams were better than average statistically this season and goal-tending had much to do with that. With the Oilers the top offense and with a devastating PP, high totals seemed inevitable. For me, Korpisalo overachieved in the early series. I am betting that the Oilers get to him or Copley again today. I also can't believe that the Kings can subdue McDavid much longer. I am not counting the Kings out yet, but I am big on a total prediction today. Take this game to go over the total |
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04-29-23 | Devils +112 v. Rangers | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 3 m | Show |
I am sure many people are asking "who the bleep is Akira Schmid?" The young net-minder has sparked an equally young Devils' side to a three game win streak, outscoring the Rangers 9-2. The Devils were a solid defensive force this season missing one thing; dynamic goal-tending. It is not even as if Schmid had to work that hard in Game Five. He faced just 23 shots vs 43 for Shesterkin. Four extra Rangers' penalties in the third period is not a good look. 2-1 in OT, 3-1, and now 4-0; there is a definite progression here. The Devils have a high speed effective offense, and it appears the goal-scorers are also starting to find their form and confidence. The Rangers are in big trouble. Take the underdog Devils to win. 10* |
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04-28-23 | Stars -101 v. Wild | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
The Stars got points form their big guns and a shutout from goalie Oettinger in Game five. That is two straight premium efforts for him after a pair of sub-par performances. Ti is the Wild's net-minder Gustavsson who has underachieved in Games four and five, allowing six goals on fifty shots. Could we see Fleurie back in net? The Wild are a very good home team, but Dallas was exceptional on the road this year, and are driven to get a round one series victory off their back. They've got Hintz as the (not so surprising) play-off points leader, and they have stymied an average Wild offense in two straight games. The Wild are still likely missing their top center Ek. These are two very defensively solid teams, but the Stars' superior offense will rule in Game Six. Take the Stars to win. 10* |