Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-08-19 | Bulls v. Heat UNDER 212 | Top | 105-110 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 3 m | Show |
SUNDAY NIGHT NBA TOTAL *TOP PLAY* The Chicago Bulls have one of the worst offensive efficiency ratings in the league while only a handful of teams are more efficient than the Miami Heat on defense. Additionally, neither of these two teams are playing at a particularly high tempo and the Bulls are 5-1 to the under in their last 6 while the under is 14-5 in the Heat's last 19 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Additionally, note that the under is 14-6 in the last 20 meetings. 10* play on UNDER. |
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12-08-19 | Chargers v. Jaguars UNDER 43.5 | Top | 45-10 | Loss | -115 | 103 h 52 m | Show |
GAME OF THE YEAR (NFL): MIKE'S BEST NFL TOTAL FOR 2018/19 REG SEASON! The LA Chargers are 8-4 to the under this season. Last week's matchup at Denver saw 43 points scored between the two teams with a closing total of 39, but I'm extremely confident the total is set too high when they visit the Jacksonville Jaguars Sunday afternoon. Points have been hard to come by for Jacksonville all season, but recent weeks have been particularly poor with an average of just 11.8 ppg through a four-game skid. Gardner Minshew will be back at the helm following a disastrous Nick Foles comeback, but I don't see him moving the ball freely against this competent Chargers defense that tranks 4th in the NFL against the pass with fewer than 200 passing yards allowed per game. Additionally, note that the Chargers are one of the slowest teams in the NFL taking almost 29 seconds between plays and the Jags are unlikely to push the tempo as a home dog. Under is 20-5-1 in Chargers last 26 games in December. Under is 9-2 in Jaguars last 11 home games. 10* play on UNDER. |
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12-08-19 | 49ers v. Saints -2.5 | Top | 48-46 | Loss | -107 | 101 h 30 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): MIKE'S TOP RATED WEEK 14 SIDE The San Francisco 49ers dropped a 20-17 decision at Baltimore last week. They've played a tough schedule in recent weeks and are just 2-2 SU over their last four games. I think they're in for another loss here against a New Orleans Saints team that has averaged over 30 ppg through a three-game winning streak since putting up just nine points in a shocking double-digit home loss to Atlanta. We can also note that the Saints will have a decent rest advantage after coasting to a 26-17 win over Atlanta on Thanksgiving Thursday last time out while the Niners spent a lot of energy battling Baltimore on Sunday. The Saints clinched a playoff spot last week, but I think they'll keep pushing the pedal to the metal to give themselves a chance to earn home-field advantage throughout the playoffs, which could be huge considering the Saints advantage in the Superdome. 10* play on New Orleans Saints. |
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12-07-19 | Virginia v. Clemson OVER 54.5 | Top | 17-62 | Win | 100 | 60 h 32 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NCAAF): MIKE'S TOP RATED CHAMPIONSHIP WEEKEND TOTAL The Clemson Tigers will do battle with the Virginia Cavaliers in the 2019 ACC Championship Game Saturday night, but looking at the points spread it's not supposed to be much of a contest. The Tigers are favored by four touchdowns, and while scores should come easy for this very talented Clemson team, I like the Cavs to put their fair share of points on the board as well. This is the fifth game of the season as a dog for Virginia with three of the previous four going over the total. It's last time out as an underdog it put up 39 points in a straight up win over Virginia Tech as senior quarterback Bryce Perkins had another big game with 475 yards total offense and three scores. Clemson has limited its last two opponents to three points each, but Virginia has more offensive firepower than Wake Forest and South Carolina. 10* play on OVER. |
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12-07-19 | Pelicans v. Mavs OVER 233 | Top | 84-130 | Loss | -101 | 5 h 6 m | Show |
TOP RATED SATURDAY NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The Dallas Mavericks own the best offensive efficiency rating in the NBA while the New Orleans Pelicans have one of the worst defensive efficiency scores. The Mavs are 14-7 to the over overall on the season and the over/under is 7-2 in Mavericks last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The Pels enter this game on a seven-game losing streak during which they've allowed boatloads of points. Last time out, they took a 139-132 OT loss to Phoenix and the over is 15-7 in Pelicans last 22 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. 10* play on OVER. |
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12-07-19 | Baylor v. Oklahoma -8.5 | Top | 23-30 | Loss | -115 | 32 h 37 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NCAAF): MIKE'S TOP RATED CHAMPIONSHIP WEEKEND SIDE The Oklahoma Sooners failed to cover the spread in a 34-31 win over Baylor on November 16, but it was all due to their own doing as they allowed Baylor to jump out to a 31-10 lead at halftime. OU showed its class following the intermission as it cranked up the intensity on both sides of the football to outscore the Bears 24-0, and I think they learned their lesson and will be on their toes from the get-go in this one. In their final tune-up for the Big 12 Championship Game the Sooners defeated Oklahoma State 34-16, and while Baylor has had a terrific season I don't think this game will be even close. 10* play on Oklahoma Sooners. |
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12-05-19 | Cowboys v. Bears UNDER 43.5 | Top | 24-31 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
TOP RATED COWBOYS @ BEARS THURSDAY NIGHT TOTAL The Dallas Cowboys took a 26-15 loss to Buffalo last week and their sputtering offense has scored a total of just 24 points over the last two games. Dallas still owns the top ranked offense at 432.8 yards per game, but moving the ball against a Chicago Bears team that ranks near the top of the league for most defensive categories and has allowed an average of just 17.3 ppg on the season won't be easy. As for the Bears offense, they scare no one with only Washington, the NY Jets and Miami averaging fewer total yards of offense per game. The cold Chicago weather won't do either team's offense any favors either, and we can note that under is 13-3 in Cowboys last 16 games in December and 4-0 in Bears last 4 games in December. Additionally, the under is 5-0 in Bears last 5 games as an underdog. 10* play on UNDER. |
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12-05-19 | Suns +3 v. Pelicans | Top | 139-132 | Win | 100 | 16 h 40 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NBA): MIKE'S TOP RATED SIDE The Phoenix Suns will be playing on no rest following a 128-114 loss at Orlando Wednesday night. The Suns are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 in the second game of a back-to-back and I expect them to have enough gas left in the tank to take care of the New Orleans Pelicans who have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six overall. The Suns might have a losing record (9-11), but they have a positive point differential which suggests that better things are to come. This is just a bad matchup for the Pels who have one of the worst defensive efficiency ratings in the league while only four teams score more points per 100 possessions than Phoenix. Additionally, note that the Pelicans are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite. 10* play on Phoenix Suns. |
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12-05-19 | Wild +1.5 v. Lightning | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
TOP RATED THURSDAY NIGHT NHL PUCKLINE PUNISHER The Minnesota Wild are undefeated in regulation through their last 10 games, winning seven of those contests. I think they're way undervalued here, facing a Tampa Bay Lightning team that is 1-2-1 through its last four, with the lone win in OT at Nashville on Tuesday. Minnesota has won four of its last six games as road dogs while Tampa Bay has lost back-to-back games as home favorites. Additionally, note that the underdog is 4-1 in the last 5 head-to-head meetings between the two clubs. While Minnesota on the moneyline is also worth a shot, I think the puckline play should be a sure winner. 10* play on Minnesota Wild +1.5. |
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12-04-19 | Wolves v. Mavs OVER 231.5 | Top | 114-121 | Win | 100 | 13 h 12 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NBA): TOP RATED 10* WEDNESDAY NIGHT TOTAL The Dallas Mavericks have won three on the bounce and eight of their last nine following a 118-97 win over New Orleans Tuesday night. They're a home favorite here against Minnesota but might find themselves in a tough spot with heavy legs. They'll face a Timberwolves team that has the fourth-highest pace factor in the league and will be playing on two days rest, so the visitors will surely make the Mavs run up and down the court. Scoring points is never an issue for the Mavericks who enter Wednesday with the highest offensive efficiency rating in the NBA, but playing on no rest might very well show on the defensive end. 10* play on OVER. |
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12-03-19 | Lakers v. Nuggets UNDER 209 | Top | 105-96 | Win | 100 | 14 h 32 m | Show |
TOP RATED LAKERS @ NUGGETS BEST BET The LA Lakers had won 10 on the bounce prior to a 114-100 loss to Dallas last time out. Under is 5-0 in Lakers last 5 overall and 29-14 in their last 43 games following a straight up loss. Here they'll face a Denver team that played a sub-200 point game at Sacramento on Saturday despite going to overtime. Denver has the 2nd best defensive efficiency rating in the NBA this season with 99.9 points allowed per 100 possessions while the Lakers are 4th with 100.3 points allowed per 100 possessions. Additionally, neither team is likely to push the tempo, especially with Denver rated the 4th slowest team in the league on the season. Under is 22-8 in Nuggets last 30 home games and 20-8-1 in their last 29 games playing on two days rest. 10* play on UNDER. |
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12-03-19 | Mavs -4 v. Pelicans | Top | 118-97 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
MAVS @ PELICANS SIDE *TOP PLAY* The Dallas Mavericks are one of the hottest teams in the league, and they defeated the Lakers in LA last time out to improve to 7-2 SU and ATS on the road. Here they'll face a New Orleans Pelicans team that has fewer wins overall than Dallas has away from home, and it has covered the spread in only one of its last five games. I recognize that this is a potential flat spot for the Mavs after taking down the Lakers, but the Pels will have to play out of their mind to keep this close, which will be tough with no momentum and a banged up roster. Road team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings. 10* play on Dallas Mavericks. |
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12-03-19 | Michigan +5.5 v. Louisville | Top | 43-58 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
TOP RATED MICHIGAN @ LOUISVILLE CBB PLAY OF THE DAY The No. 5 Michigan Wolverines and the top-ranked Louisville Cardinals will put undefeated 7-0 records on the line at KFC Yum! Center Tuesday night. The Cardinals are a home favorite, but while they're 5-0 SU at home they're just 1-4 against the spread. The Michigan Wolverines are a perfect 4-0 against the spread in their last four games with impressive underdog wins against North Carolina and Gonzaga to claim the Battle 4 Atlantis. Louisville has been favored by double-digits in all games since opening the season as a 6.5-point fav at Miami. I'm not sure it is prepared for the fight Michigan will bring into this game. 10* play on Michigan. |
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12-02-19 | Vikings +3 v. Seahawks | Top | 30-37 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 4 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* VIKINGS @ SEAHAWKS MNF BOOKIE BREAKER The Seattle Seahawks enter this Monday Night Football contest with the Minnesota Vikings with a 9-2 record. Most of their games have been one-score affairs though, and while Minnesota has a tendency to come out flat in primetime games I still like the visitors to keep it close and cover the spread in this one. Minnesota will be well fresh and well-rested coming off its bye while the Seahawks might be bruised up following a physical matchup with Denver. Seattle's defense ranks 29th in the league against the pass, and Minnesota QB Kirk Cousins and receiver Stefon Diggs are clicking and synced up. Add running back Dalvin Cook to the mix and you have one of the most interesting offensive units in the league at the moment, even without injured star receiver Adam Thielen. Seahawks are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. 10* play on Minnesota Vikings. |
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12-02-19 | Warriors v. Hawks OVER 222.5 | Top | 79-104 | Loss | -114 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
WARRIORS @ HAWKS TOP RATED NBA PLAY OF THE DAY These are two of the worst teams in the league on the defensive side of the ball with the Golden State Warriors giving up 116 ppg and the Atlanta Hawks 119 ppg. Additionally, both sides have a pace factor that ranks in the top half of the league with the Hawks tied for 8th averaging 15.4 possessions per game. Last time out the Hawks surrendered 158 points at Houston and they're 11-2 to the over in their last 13 games. The Warriors took a loss in a low-scoring game at Orlando on Sunday, but the over is 6-1 in their last seven in the second game of a back-to-back situation. While both sides can be inconsistent when on the ball, I think their issues of getting stops are even bigger. 10* play on OVER. |
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12-01-19 | Packers -6 v. Giants | Top | 31-13 | Win | 100 | 74 h 35 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): MIKE'S TOP RATED SUNDAY SIDE The Green Bay Packers took a humbling 37-8 beating by San Francisco last week. Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers threw for just 104 yards on 20-of-33 passing but should have much more success against a Giants side that ranks near the bottom of the league for passing yards allowed per game and allowed a mediocre quarterback like Mitch Trubisky to put up 278 passing yards last week. The Giants have dropped seven straight and have little incentive to win games. Quite the opposite is true for the Packers who are tied with Minnesota for the lead in the NFC North. Packers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight-up loss. Giants are 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 home games and 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. 10* play on Green Bay Packers. |
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12-01-19 | Titans v. Colts OVER 43 | Top | 31-17 | Win | 100 | 15 h 25 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): MIKE'S TOP RATED SUNDAY AFTERNOON TOTAL I expect points to come relatively easy for both teams when the 6-5 Indianapolis Colts host the 6-5 Tennessee Titans Sunday afternoon. Tennessee has scored a total of 77 points in its last two games and QB Ryan Tannehill has a 10-4 TD/INT ratio since taking over from Marcus Mariota. The Titans churned out 219 rushing yards with four scores on the ground against Jacksonville last time out, and here they'll face a Colts D that has allowed 144.2 rushing yards per game on the season. As for the Titans D, it has allowed 52 points in the last two games and the Colts will be desperate for a win after losing three of their last four. Over is 5-0 in Titans last 5 games overall. 10* play on OVER. |
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11-30-19 | Alabama -3 v. Auburn | Top | 45-48 | Loss | -133 | 28 h 15 m | Show |
BAMA @ AUBURN SEC BOOKIE BREAKER *TOP PLAY* This Iron Bowl matchup means a ton for No. 5 Alabama Crimson Tide who are trying to make a push for the College Football Playoffs. A loss to LSU has made it impossible for the Tide to reach the SEC Championship Game, so this is their last chance to impress the committee. Alabama is without QB Tua Tagovailo, but the backup, sophomore Mac Jones, has done a good enough job and the Tide can also roll on the ground. As for the No. 16 Auburn Tigers, they're just 2-3 against ranked teams on the season as quarterback Bo Nix has struggled to move the ball against elite teams. They have played an extremely tough schedule this season and took a 21-14 loss to Georgia on Nov 16, and one must wonder how much gas is left in the tank at this point. 10* play on Alabama Crimson Tide. |
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11-30-19 | Northwestern v. Illinois UNDER 41.5 | Top | 29-10 | Win | 100 | 14 h 2 m | Show |
GAME OF THE YEAR (NCAAF): MIKE'S TOP RATED REG SEASON TOTAL I'm confident we'll see this early Saturday afternoon matchup between the Northwestern Wildcats and the Illinois Fighting Illini stay under the total. Illinois has had a solid season by its standards, despite dropping a 19-10 decision at Iowa last week. Limiting Iowa to fewer than 20 points is quite impressive, and the Fighting Illini have played solid defense in recent weeks resulting in four of its last five going under the total. As for Northwestern, It has struggled to put points on the board all season and has averaged just 8.8 points scored away from home. That being said, the Wildcats have also allowed only 22.0 ppg on the road and the under is 4-0 in Wildcats four road games on the season. ´ 10* play on UNDER. |
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11-30-19 | AFC Bournemouth v. Tottenham Hotspur -1.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (SOCCER): MIKE'S TOP RATED PREMIER LEAGUE SIDE Tottenham have played very well under José Mourinho as a manager. First they put a beating on West Ham last week before turning a 2-0 deficit to a 4-2 win against Olympiakos in the Champions League midweek. Here they'll face a Bournemouth team off back-to-back losses to Newcastle and Wolves, and they have just seven points in six road games on the season. Spurs have a solid 11-5 goal differential in their six home games, and I expect them to keep pushing the pedal to the metal to build on the current momentum. 10* play on Tottenham. |
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11-29-19 | Bulls v. Blazers OVER 225 | Top | 103-107 | Loss | -102 | 13 h 2 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NBA): MIKE'S TOP RATED FRIDAY NIGHT TOTAL The Portland Trail Blazers have answered a four-game skid with back-to-back triumphs through which they've averaged 126.5 ppg. and the first of those two wins was a 117-94 win at Chicago on Nov 25. I think we'll see more points on the board for both teams here in the rematch on Black Friday. The Bulls may be one of the worst teams in the NBA for several offensive categories, but points should come fairly easy against a Portland side that ranks in the bottom 10 for defensive efficiency. Additionally, Portland has a top 10 pace factor and I think the home team will push the tempo and that the visitors will be more or less forced to oblige. Over is 9-2-1 in Trail Blazers last 12 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Over is 4-1 in Trail Blazers last 5 Friday games. Over is 6-2 in Bulls last 8 Friday games. 10* play on OVER. |
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11-29-19 | Lightning v. Capitals -115 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 8 m | Show |
FRIDAY NIGHT NHL MONEYLINE MASSACRE *TOP PLAY* The Tampa Bay Lightning have had a slow start to the year, but they have won six of their last nine and had picked up three straight wins prior to a 4-3 loss to St. Louis last time out. They're just 4-7 against teams with winning records on the season though, and this is not an ideal spot playing on the road following three home games, a situation they're 0-2 in on the season. The Washington Capitals managed to defeat Florida 4-3 last time out despite getting outshot 40-20. They're 9-4 after scoring four goals or more in their previous game and I think we're getting a great price on the home favorite. 10* play on Washington Capitals. |
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11-29-19 | Texas Tech +10 v. Texas | Top | 24-49 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 24 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NCAAF): MIKE'S EARLY TEXAS TECH @ TEXAS FRIDAY *TOP PLAY* I think the bookmakers have made the No. 19 Texas Longhorns too big of a favorite here against the Texas Tech Red Raiders Saturday afternoon. Texas has been a major disappointment and it has dropped three of its last four games. Last time out it took a two-touchdown loss at Baylor and it has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games. To be fair, the Red Raiders have not been any better with just one win in their last six games, but they're on the other hand also spotted a handful of points. They've kept it close in those losses with all five by 10 points or fewer and four of them by a field goal or less. Road team is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings. 10* play on Texas Tech. |
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11-27-19 | Bulls v. Warriors UNDER 216.5 | Top | 90-104 | Win | 100 | 14 h 17 m | Show |
LATE NIGHT NBA TOTAL *TOP PLAY* The Golden State Warriors are having an absolutely abysmal year. Injuries have not helped matters and there's a clear lack of healthy shooting talent on the roster right now. The Warriors shot just 41.6 percent from the field in a 100-97 loss to the OKC Thunder Monday night and they're 5-2 to the under over their last seven games. As for the Chicago Bulls, they were held to 41.9 percent shooting in a 117-94 loss to Portland last time out. On the season, Chicago ranks 27th for offensive efficiency and Golden State 24th. Under is 13-3 in Bulls last 16 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Under is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. 10* play on UNDER. |
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11-26-19 | Clippers v. Mavs +2.5 | Top | 114-99 | Loss | -101 | 15 h 41 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NBA): MIKE'S TOP RATED SIDE Two of the hottest teams in the Association will battle it out Tuesday night as the Dallas Mavericks host the LA Clippers. Dallas has won five straight SU and ATS and it has scored 137+ points in each of its last three games, including an impressive 137-123 triumph at Houston last time out. The Clippers have also won their last five straight up but had failed to cover the spread in three straight prior to a 134-109 beatdown of New Orleans last time out. I think this game will mean a lot more for the Mavs who will be looking forward to this opportunity to take down an elite team in front of the home town crowd. The Clippers are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, and despite their 12-5 overall record, they're just 1-4 SU and ATS on the road this season. The Mavs are 35-16 ATS in their last 51 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and they've covered the spread on four straight occasions when hosting the Clippers. 10* play on Dallas Mavericks. |
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11-26-19 | Wichita State v. South Carolina UNDER 132.5 | Top | 70-47 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NCAAB): MIKE'S TOP RATED CANCUN CHALLENGE TOTAL The South Carolina Gamecocks have scored 70+ points in three straight games that all went over the total. I think points will be harder to come by here in their semifinal matchups of the Cancun Challenge as they'll face a Wichita State team that has held back-to-back opponents to fewer than 60 points and has held all five opponents to fewer than 63 points this season. Over/under is 2-8 in South Carolina's last 10 games on a neutral court game where the total is 130 to 134.5 and all but one of the Shockers' five games this season have gone under the total. 10* play on UNDER. |
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11-25-19 | Golden Knights v. Stars -116 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
TOP RATED VEGAS @ DALLAS NHL POWER PLAY The Dallas Stars have been one of the hottest teams in the NHL in recent weeks, coming into this contest on a six-game winning streak and 10-0-1 over their last 11 games. The Vegas Golden Knights on the other hand have just two wins over their last nine games. This game means a lot to Dallas who must be liking its chances of improving its terrible 1-5-0 record in the all time series with Vegas. Note that the Golden Knights are just 4-18 in their last 22 games as an underdog. 10* play on Dallas Stars. |
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11-25-19 | Lakers v. Spurs OVER 223 | Top | 114-104 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 11 m | Show |
TOP-RATED NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The red hot LA Lakers travel to San Antonio riding a seven-game winning streak. They've scored 120 points or more in five of those games and here they'll face a San Antonio Spurs team that has had huge issues on the defensive end of the hardwood all season long. The Spurs surrendered a ridiculous 122.4 ppg through an ugly eight-game skid before picking up a 111-104 win at the low-scoring New York Knicks on Saturday. They have one of the worst defensive efficiencies in the league, but on the flip side, they're also top five for offensive efficiency and I think they'll force the Lakers into a shootout. Over is 9-2 in Spurs last 11 home games. Over is 12-4 in the last 16 meetings. 10* play on OVER. |
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11-25-19 | Loyola-Chicago -1.5 v. South Florida | Top | 55-66 | Loss | -118 | 5 h 46 m | Show |
EARLY TOP-RATED CAYMAN ISLANDS CLASSIC *TOP PLAY* The Loyola-Chicago Ramblers are coming off back-to-back wins and were 9-for-16 (56.2%) from 3-point range in an 85-62 win over Indiana-Purdue on Wednesday. They've scored 85 points in back-to-back games and I think they'll take care of business here against a South Florida team that had lost two straight including a 17-point loss as a 17-point favorite over Indiana-Purdue, prior to defeating Wofford last time out. The Bulls are averaging only 63.0 ppg and I don't see how they're going to be able to keep up with the Ramblers firepower. 10* play on Loyola-Chicago. |
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11-24-19 | Seahawks +2 v. Eagles | Top | 17-9 | Win | 100 | 74 h 4 m | Show |
TOP RATED SUNDAY AFTERNOON SEAHAWKS @ EAGLES BEST BET The Seattle Seahawks will travel to Philadelphia rested and well prepared following their bye week. They beat the previously undefeated San Francisco 49ers on the road last time out to improve to 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS away from home on the season, and I think they'll get the win here. Sure, Philadelphia is in "must-win" mode sitting 2nd in the NFC East at 5-5 on the season, but desperation can only take you so far. QB Carson Wentz was 20-for-40 passing for 214 yards in last week's 17-10 loss to the Patriots and he was sacked five times. Philly is without its top running back, so it's up to Wentz to move the chains, and here he's supposed to outduel MVP candidate Russell Wilson? I don't think so... The Seahawks have been relentless in close games and we can also note that they're 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings with the Eagles. 10* play on Seattle Seahawks. |
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11-24-19 | Bucs v. Falcons OVER 51 | Top | 35-22 | Win | 100 | 51 h 49 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NFL): MIKE'S TOP RATED NFL TOTAL FOR NOVEMBER The Atlanta Hawks defense has improved a lot lately and they've held their last two opponents to a combined 12 points. The Falcons are still one of the worst teams in the league against the pass and allowed a mediocre QB like Kyle Allen to throw for 325 yards last week (but also picked him off four times). Here they'll face a Tampa Bay Buccaneers team that very much prefers to move the ball through the air and ranks 4th in the NFL with 285.6 passing yards per game. One of the few teams ahead of the Bucs in passing yards per game is Atlanta with its 300.3 pypg, and while Tampa Bay is one of the best teams at stopping the run, it is the second-worst in the league against the pass. I expect both teams to have plenty of success with explosive plays and a pass first, run second approach which also will stop the clock from running. 10* play on OVER. |
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11-23-19 | Raptors v. Hawks OVER 223.5 | Top | 119-116 | Win | 100 | 19 h 34 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NBA): MIKE'S TOP RATED SATURDAY TOTAL The Atlanta Hawks have one of the worst defensive efficiency ratings in the NBA, and their lack of defense was on full display in Friday night's 128-103 loss at Detroit. Playing on no rest won't do the Hawks any favors, and I expect the Raptors to run up the score quite freely. That being said, Atlanta has scored 100+ points in eight straight games and they put up 127 their last time out home at State Farm Arena. Over is 4-0 in Raptors last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Over is 8-0 in Hawks last 8 overall. 10* play on OVER. |
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11-23-19 | Nebraska -6 v. Maryland | Top | 54-7 | Win | 100 | 16 h 49 m | Show |
GAME OF THE YEAR (CFB): MIKE'S TOP RATED CFB SIDE 2019 The Nebraska Cornhuskers enter this contest on a four-game losing streak, but I think they'll get the job done here against a Maryland team that has lost five on the bounce and seven of its last eight. The Terps lost by just shy of 60 points at Ohio State last time out and have been held to a combined 31 points over their last three games. At 3-7, Maryland's season is over but Nebraska still has a shot to win its final two games and reach a bowl game. The Cornhuskers failed to cover the 14.5-point spread in a 37-21 loss to Wisconsin last time out, but they put up a respectable 493 total yards, nine yards more than the Badgers. Additionally, the Cornhuskers are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. 10* play on Nebraska Cornhuskers. |
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11-23-19 | Minnesota -13.5 v. Northwestern | Top | 38-22 | Win | 100 | 48 h 29 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NCAAF): MIKE'S TOP RATED WEEK 13 SIDE The Northwestern Wildcats are just 2-8 SU and ATS on the season and they're 0-7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games. They ended a seven-game skid with a 45-6 win over Massachusets last time out, but still failed to cover the 39.5-point spread. Here they'll face an angry Minnesota Golden Gophers team looking to bounce back from its first loss of the season, and I don't see the Gophers giving Northwestern a chance to hang around in this one. Note that Minnesota is averaging a healthy 35.7 ppg while Northwestern is scoring a conference-low 14.5 points per contest. Gophers by 20 would not surprise me. 10* play on Minnesota Golden Gophers. |
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11-23-19 | Leicester +110 v. Brighton & Hove Albion | Top | 2-0 | Win | 110 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (SOCCER): MIKE'S TOP PREMIER LEAGUE BET NOVEMBER Leicester City come into Saturday tied with Chelsea for second place in the Premier League, eight points behind Liverpool in first. They've scored a total of 15 goals through a four-game winning streak, and I think we're getting good value on the Foxes when they visit Brighton Saturday. Brighton are cemented in the middle of the table, and while they've won three straight home at the Amex, they've mostly been taking advantage of lesser or reeling teams. They fell 3-1 at Manchester United last time out and this looks like a tough spot to bounce back. 10* play on Leicester. |
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11-22-19 | Spurs v. 76ers OVER 223.5 | Top | 104-115 | Loss | -101 | 18 h 3 m | Show |
SPURS @ SIXERS FRIDAY NIGHT *TOP PLAY* The San Antonio Spurs are going through a miserable stretch with losses in seven straight games, during which they've allowed an average of 123.4 ppg. Here they'll face a Philadelphia team that hardly has been lighting up the scoreboard lately, but the over is still 7-3 in 76ers last 10 overall. 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. The Spurs can't defend against anyone, but they can put points on the board and I expect the final score to breeze over the posted total. 10* play on OVER. |
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11-21-19 | Pelicans v. Suns OVER 233 | Top | 124-121 | Win | 100 | 17 h 20 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* PELS @ SUNS TOTAL *BAILOUT PLAY* Both the New Orleans Pelicans and the Phoenix Suns have top 10 offensive efficiency ratings on the season. The Pels are also one of the worst defensive teams in the league though with 118.9 points allowed per game on average and I'm confident we'll see points come fast and easy for both teams in this contest. The Suns took a 120-116 loss at Sacramento a couple of nights ago and they're on a 10-2 run to the over following a straight up loss. Additionally, the over is 5-1 in the last 6 head-to-head meetings. 10* play on OVER. |
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11-21-19 | Maple Leafs v. Coyotes -103 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NHL): MIKE'S BEST MONEYLINE FOR NOVEMBER The Arizona Coyotes have dominated the Toronto Maple Leafs in recent seasons, winning eight of the last 10 matchups including a 2-0 sweep as +155 and +235 dogs last season. I love the price we get on the Yotes here when they host Toronto Thursday night. Note that the Leafs are coming into this game on a six-game skid and they've just fired veteran coach Mike Babcock. Arizona on the other hand has played solid hockey of late and been rewarded with wins in four of their last five games. It has shut out each of its last two opponents while Toronto has surrendered 24 goals in the last five games. 10* play on Arizona Coyotes. |
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11-21-19 | Colts v. Texans -3.5 | Top | 17-20 | Loss | -104 | 34 h 14 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): MIKE'S COLTS @ TEXANS BEST BET The Houston Texans took an embarrassing 41-7 beating by Baltimore last Sunday. I like them to bounce back in a big way here against the Indianapolis Colts Thursday night. Note that the Texans are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games following an ATS loss and 16-7-1 ATS in their last 24 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. As for the Indianapolis Colts, they snapped a two-game slide with a dominant 33-13 win against Jacksonville in Week 11. Most of their damage was done on the ground as they rumbled for 264 rushing yards on 36 carries, but here it'll face a Houston team that has limited opponents to a respectable 102.2 rushing yards per game overall (86.8 rypg at home). Additionally, Houston will be looking to avenge a loss by a touchdown at Indianapolis on October 20. 10* play on Houston Texans. |
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11-20-19 | Knicks v. 76ers UNDER 214.5 | Top | 104-109 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The New York Knicks are one of the worst offensive teams in the NBA, and they're most likely in for a tough one against a Philadelphia team that is holding opponents to a solid 102.7 points per 100 possessions. The Knicks are also among the slowest teams in the league with just over 100 possesions per game while the Sixers rank in the middle of the pack for pace. The Knicks are coming off a 123-105 win over Cleveland on Monday. The under is 11-2-1 in their last 14 games playing on 1 days rest and 23-9-1 in their last 33 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Philly had put a 114-95 beating on that same Cleveland team the night before, and the under is 10-4 in its last 14 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. 10* play on UNDER. |
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11-19-19 | Thunder v. Lakers UNDER 210.5 | Top | 107-112 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 56 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NBA): MIKE'S BEST NBA TOTAL FOR NOVEMBER The LA Lakers are tied for the best record in the league while having the very best point-differential, and arguably the biggest reason for their success is their play on the defensive end of the hardwood. The Lakers have the very best defensive efficiency in the NBA (even better than Utah!) and they've allowed an average of just over 97 ppg over their last three contests. The OKC Thunder have been held to fewer than 90 points in two of their last three games, including a 90-88 loss to the Clippers here at Staples Center Monday night. Under is 34-16-1 in Thunder last 51 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 15-7 in Lakers last 22 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. 10* play on UNDER. |
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11-18-19 | Chiefs v. Chargers +5.5 | Top | 24-17 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
MONDAY NIGHT CHIEFS VS. CHARGERS @ MEXICO CITY *TOP PLAY* The Kansas City Chiefs have dropped four of six since a perfect 4-0 start to the season. They fell 35-32 at Tennessee last week, and I think they have a difficult task at hand tonight when taking on the LA Chargers in Mexico City Monday night. The Chargers battled themselves back in postseason contention with back-to-back victories, but their dreams of a playoff berth took a hit with a narrow loss to Oakland last week. They enter this game third in the division at 4-6 (all one-score losses), with KC and Oakland ahead of them at 6-4. "I don’t think desperation ... I think urgency. Any other word you can think of ... I don’t think we feel desperate, although we know how crucial this game is." Chargers quarterback Philip Rivers told media. The Chiefs have struggled to stop the run all season long, which is good news for Chargers RB Melvin Gordon who rumbled for a season-high 108 yards and a score last week. This one is likely to go down to the wire, and I'm well happy to take the points on the Chargers. 10* play on LA Chargers. |
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11-17-19 | Hawks v. Lakers UNDER 218 | Top | 101-122 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 46 m | Show |
TOP RATED HAWKS @ LAKERS NBA TOTAL PLAY OF THE DAY The LA Lakers have the best defensive efficiency in the league, allowing just 97.2 points per 100 possessions. Atlanta has one of the worst offensive efficiency ratings in the NBA and the Hawks will be playing on no rest after taking a 119-83 beating by the Clippers last night. I think we can safely assume that the Clippers will run away with this game early and then keep the Hawks at a distance. Under is 15-6 in Lakers last 21 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Los Angeles. 10* play on UNDER. |
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11-17-19 | Texas-Arlington v. Oregon -16 | Top | 47-67 | Win | 100 | 17 h 22 m | Show |
TOP RATED LATE NIGHT COLLEGE BASKETBALL BAILOUT Oregon is putting its undefeated 3-0 record on the line aginast Texas-Arlington Sunday night, but I don't expect this to be much of a test for the Ducks. They've covered the spread in back-to-back games since coming up just short of the number in their season opener, including a solid 82-74 win over No. 15 Memphis in the Phil Knight Invitational. Here they'll face a Mavericks team that took an 80-73 loss at Nevada last time out in its first road game of the season. Nevada shot just 34.4% from the field in that contest and such shooting won't keep it close here. The Ducks have been money for quite some time dating back to last season, going Ducks are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games overall and 11-0 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. 10* play on Oregon Ducks. |
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11-17-19 | Cardinals +11 v. 49ers | Top | 26-36 | Win | 100 | 38 h 25 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): MIKE'S TOP RATED WEEK 11 SIDE The Arizona Cardinals are coming off three consecutive straight up losses, but they're 5-1 ATS over their last six games. That stretch includes a tight 28-25 home loss to the 49ers, and I like them to keep it close at San Francisco this week. The Niners fell in OT against Seattle last week, their first defeat of the season. I would not be surprised to see them come out flat here with no undefeated record to defend, and several of quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo's weapons are hurting. Will San Francisco bounce back with a win? Almost certainly, but I think the Niners will find themselves in a much closer game than they might expect. Cardinals are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC West. 49ers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 vs. NFC West. Underdog is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings. 10* play on Arizona Cardinals. |
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11-17-19 | Falcons v. Panthers UNDER 49.5 | Top | 29-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 42 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): MIKE'S TOP RATED WEEK 11 TOTAL The Atlanta Falcons have allowed 28.1 ppg on the season, but their defense has been playing much better in recent weeks. Last time out they held Drew Brees and the New Orleans Saints without a touchdown in a 26-9 win, and here today they will face a Carolina team that scored just 16 points at Green Bay last week. On a positive note, the Panthers defense held Aaron Rodgers to just 233 passing yards without a touchdown, and I think they'll be able to slow down the Falcons prolific passing attack. Under is 5-0 in Falcons last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 19-9 in Panthers' last 28 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Under is 9-2-1 in the last 12 meetings. 10* play on UNDER. |
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11-16-19 | Blazers v. Spurs OVER 227 | Top | 121-116 | Win | 100 | 20 h 4 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NBA): MIKE'S TOP RATED TOTAL San Antonio Spurs have one of the worst marks in the league for defensive efficiency, and this looks like a trouble spot defensively as they'll be playing on no rest. The over is 15-5 in Spurs last 20 games playing on 0 days rest, and for all of Portland's struggles this season, putting the ball in the basket has rarely been an issue. The Blazers will be playing on two days rest and I think they'll drive up the tempo to take advantage of the home team's tired legs, forcing a high-paced shootout. 10* play on OVER. |
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11-16-19 | Oklahoma -10 v. Baylor | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -100 | 82 h 30 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NCAAF): OKLAHOMA @ BAYLOR *BEST BET* The No. 12 Baylor Bears will be forced to putting their perfect 9-0 record on the line against the one-loss No. 9 Oklahoma on Saturday. The Sooners' lone setback was a stunning upset loss as a 23.5-point favorite at Kansas State, and while they just barely escaped with a win Iowa State last week, I think they'll be well up for this one. A win here would put Oklahoma right back in the College Football Playoff hunt, and it'll face a Baylor team that might be low on energy following last week's draining triple-OT win at TCU. I don't see Baylor being able to keep up with the best offense in college football. 10* play on Oklahoma Sooners. |
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11-16-19 | Stars v. Oilers -114 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -114 | 5 h 40 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* NHL PLAY OF THE DAY The Dallas Stars have caught fire after a slow start to the season and travel to Edmonton riding a 9-1-1 run. This is a tough spot for them though, playing their third road game in four nights after winning at Calgary and Vancouver Wednesday/Thursday. The Oilers have won three of their last four, and I think they'll get the better of the Stars in this one. Note that Edmonton is a solid 7-2-1 home at Rogers Place while Dallas has a losing road record. Additionally, the home team is 6-1 in the past seven meetings. 10* play on Edmonton Oilers. |
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11-16-19 | Columbia v. Virginia -23.5 | Top | 42-60 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
TOP RATED CBB PLAY OF THE DAY *SUPER EARLY* The Columbia Lions are coming off their first win of the season, but they're not expected to stand much of a chance when visiting the undefeated defending national champions Virginia Cavaliers on Saturday. Virginia has played lockdown defense in its first two games of the season, holding Syracuse and James Madison to 34 points each. With Columbia relying heavy on senior guard Mike Smith (21.3 ppg, 5.3 apg) I don't think the Cavs will have any trouble to cage the Lions. Note that Virginia is 2-0 against the spread despite shooting just 39.3% from the field and a woeful 16% from beyond the arc. I expect them to find their range resulting in better shooting here in their second home game of the season, and the visitors should find it extremely tough to keep up in this one. 10* play on Virginia Cavaliers. |
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11-15-19 | Gonzaga -6 v. Texas A&M | Top | 79-49 | Win | 100 | 17 h 44 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NCAAB): MIKE'S TOP RATED SIDE The No. 8 Gonzaga Bulldogs have opened the season with three home triumphs, winning each by 30+ points. They'll hit the road to take on the Texas A&M Aggies for their first away game of the season Friday night, and I think they'll run the home team out of the building. Texas A&M is a perfect 2-0 SU following victories over Louisiana Monroe and Northwestern St., but they've far from impressed and failed to cover the spread in both. Gonzaga on the other hand has covered point spreads of 29+ points in their last two games and I think the Bulldogs will look forward to facing a "tougher" opponent. Bulldogs are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Bulldogs are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Aggies are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. 10* play on Gonzaga Bulldogs. |
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11-15-19 | Wizards v. Wolves OVER 238.5 | Top | 137-116 | Win | 100 | 16 h 3 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* FRIDAY NIGHT NBA TOTAL The books have posted an extremely high total for this matchup between the Minnesota Timberwolves and the Washington Wizards Friday night, but do not let the high number intimidate you. Note that the over is 51-33-1 (60%) in games with a closing number of 235+ points since the start of last season, and while I would not recommend betting the over blindly in those spots moving forward, we have a strong case for this contest to fly over the posted total. Both teams rank in the top 10 for pace (Minnesota 4th, Washington 7th) and only Golden State has a worse defensive efficiency (the number of points a team allows per 100 possessions) than the Wizards. Additionally, both teams are averaging over 115 ppg, and that's against a mixed bucket of opponents, most with better defenses than we'll see here. Over is 6-1 in Timberwolves last 7 overall. Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. 10* play on OVER. |
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11-14-19 | Hawks v. Suns OVER 226.5 | Top | 112-128 | Win | 100 | 16 h 15 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* THURSDAY NIGHT NBA TOTAL The Atlanta Hawks won 125-121 at Denver on Tuesday and the over is 3-0 in their last three games. The Phoenix Suns took a 123-115 home loss to the Lakers last time out and the over is 4-0 in their last four games. Phoenix has among the best offensive efficiency (the number of points a team scores per 100 possessions) numbers in the league and they're also in the top third for pace. I'm confident they'll make the Hawks run in this one, forcing a fast-paced and high-scoring game. 10* play on OVER. |
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11-14-19 | Steelers +3 v. Browns | Top | 7-21 | Loss | -120 | 33 h 13 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): STEELERS @ BROWNS SIDE THURSDAY NIGHT I absolutely love the Pittsburgh Steelers as a road underdog at AFC North rivals Cleveland Browns on Thursday night football. Note that the Steelers are 10-4 ATS as an underdog dating back to the start of the 2016 season and a perfect 3-0 ATS on Thursday nights over that same timeframe. The Cleveland Browns have been arguably the most disappointing team in the NFL this season, and they had lost four on the bounce prior to last week's win over Buffalo. The Steelers have quietly won four straight and covered the spread in six of their last seven contests. They might be without their star QB, but the defense is playing at an elite level. "They (the defense) are playing like the ‘85 (Chicago) Bears," backup quarterback Mason Rudolph said following Sunday's 17-12 win over the Los Angeles Rams. "It seems like, every week, forcing turnovers every other series, it seems like." 10* play on Pittsburgh Steelers. |
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11-13-19 | Clippers v. Rockets | Top | 93-102 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NBA): TOP RATED CLIPPERS @ ROCKETS *BEST BET* The Houston Rockets are very much like the LA Clippers 7-3 SU on the season, but unlike the Clippers, they've failed to cover the point spread more often than not though entering this contest at 3-7 ATS. In recent contests, the Rockets have been able to take advantage of a soft schedule to make it four straight victories (3-1 ATS), but they're 0-4 ATS in their last four games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The Clippers are a solid 7-3 ATS on the season and coming off a 98-88 victory over the Raptors to make it a 5-0 ATS run. Houston has been constantly overrated because of its big-name duo in James Harden and Russell Westbrook, and while beating up on bottom feeders is easy, we have still to see them do well against a tougher opponent. 10* play on LA Clippers. |
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11-13-19 | Capitals -114 v. Flyers | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
TOP RATED CAPITALS @ FLYERS *BEST BET* I think we're getting a great price on the Washington Capitals at Philadelphia Wednesday night. The Flyers are off to a hot start and will enter this contest on a four-game winning streak, but they'll host an angry Washington team looking to bounce back from a 4-3 SO loss to Arizona on Monday. The Caps had won six on the bounce prior to that setback and are 5-1 after allowing four goals or more their last game. Washington has won five of the previous six meetings between these teams, and this is a no brainer play on the best team in hockey right now. 10* play on Washington Capitals. |
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11-12-19 | Oilers +115 v. Sharks | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 1 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NHL): MIKE'S TOP RATED TUESDAY MONEYLINE The Edmonton Oilers have won each of their last four games closing as underdogs, and I really like their chances at San Jose Tuesday night. The Sharks have heated up lately, but they've still dropped four of their last six as favorites and they're 2-6 against teams with a winning record this season. Edmonton picked up a 6-2 victory at Anaheim on Sunday and is 6-2 after scoring 4 goals or more in its previous game. 10* play on Edmonton Oilers. |
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11-11-19 | Jazz v. Warriors UNDER 213 | Top | 122-108 | Loss | -109 | 18 h 53 m | Show |
TOP RATED MONDAY NIGHT NBA TOTAL Golden State has been atrocious on the defensive end of the hardwood in recent games, but the Utah Jazz just might come out flat offensively in this following back-to-back home wins over two NBA heavyweights in Philadelphia and Milwaukee. The Jazz have the best defensive efficiency in the league, and this edition of the Golden State Warriors lack the firepower to break them down. Under is 11-2-1 in Jazz last 14 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Under is 20-6-1 in Warriors last 27 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. 10* play on UNDER. |
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11-11-19 | Raptors v. Clippers -10.5 | Top | 88-98 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 23 m | Show |
TOP RATED RAPTORS @ CLIPPERS *BEST BET* This is a complete mismatch scheduling-wise. The shorthanded Toronto Raptors (Kyle Lowry and Serge Ibaka are out) will be playing their third straight road game and on no rest following an upset win against the LA Lakers last night while the Clippers have had three days of rest since defeating Portland. Note that the Clippers are a perfect 7-0 ATS L7 when playing on three or more days rest. This game will be of particular importance for Clippers star forward Kawhi Leonard who led the Raptors to the NBA Championship last season, and I don't think he'll show any mercy on his former teammates. Both teams have been money against the spread with identical 6-3 ATS records, but expect a fired up and rested home team to get the job done in this one. 10* play on LA Clippers. |
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11-10-19 | Raptors v. Lakers UNDER 215.5 | Top | 113-104 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 11 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NBA): MIKE'S TOP RATED RAPTORS @ LAKERS TOTAL The LA Lakers rank top of the league in defensive efficiency giving up just 94.5 points per 100 possessions and the Toronto Raptors are in the top 10. The under is 12-5-1 in the Raptors last 18 road games and 7-2 in the Lakers last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Additionally, the under is 7-2 in the last 9 head-to-head meetings. The Raptors are shorthanded with All-Star point guard Kyle Lowry and backup big man Serge Ibaka out. I think they'll try and slow down the pace to make it hard for the Lakers to run away with the game, and the Lakers are not playing at a particularly high pace as it is. 10* play on UNDER. |
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11-10-19 | Cardinals v. Bucs -4 | Top | 27-30 | Loss | -115 | 99 h 0 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): MIKE'S TOP RATED WEEK 10 SIDE The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have lost four on the bounce SU and ATS following a 40-34 OT loss at Seattle last week. There were still a lot of positives to take away from that contest as they dominated the time of possession against a top team and QB Jameis Winston threw for 335 yards and two touchdowns without a pick. Meanwhile, I think the Cardinals will come out flat here after leaving it all out on the field in a 28-25 home loss to San Francisco last week. It's the closest any team has played the Niners on the season, but it was still not quite as close as the scoreline would suggest. Arizona's defense must be bruised up after spending almost 35 minutes on the field against San Francisco, so we can expect the Bucs to have good success against an Arizona defense that has given up 407.6 yards per game. As for when Arizona has the ball, it will have to try and navigate past the best defense against the run in the NFL without its RB David Johnson, so Cardinals dual-threat QB Kyler Murray might be in for a tough one here. 10* play on Tampa Bay Buccaneers. |
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11-10-19 | Ravens v. Bengals UNDER 44.5 | Top | 49-13 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 14 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): MIKE'S TOP RATED WEEK 10 TOTAL The Cincinnati Bengals have put up 17, 17 and 10 points in their last three games. Under is 6-2 in their eight games on the season and I think we'll see a relatively low-scoring affair when they host AFC North rivals Baltimore Ravens Sunday afternoon. I would not be surprised to see Baltimore come out flat here following a massive 37-20 win over New England last week, no facing a winless Cincinnati team and with Houston on deck. The Ravens picked up a 23-17 win over the Bengals home in Baltimore on Oct. 13 with a total closing at 47 points. The books have adjusted the total somewhat for this contest, but not enough if you ask me. 10* play on UNDER. |
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11-09-19 | Florida International v. Florida Atlantic UNDER 59.5 | Top | 7-37 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NCAAF): MIKE'S TOP RATED WEEK 11 TOTAL The over/under is 1-3 in the Florida Atlantic Owls' four home games on the season, and I think they're in for another low-scoring contest when hosting the Florida International Golden Panthers on Saturday. The under is 9-5 in Florida Atlantic's last 14 games as a favorite and they'll face a Golden Panthers team that has scored a total of just 41 points over its last two games. The visitors did hold Old Dominion to 17 points last time out, and they can achieve bowl eligibility with a victory in this game but I doubt they like their chances in a shootout. The Owls defense has conceded only a combined 27 points in their last two games and is unlikely to give up a big number here. 10* play on UNDER. |
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11-09-19 | Massachusetts v. Fairfield +3.5 | Top | 62-60 | Win | 100 | 2 h 27 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NCAAB): MIKE'S TOP RATED SIDE 'MAJOR WAGER ALERT* I like the Fairfield Stags to keep it close and maybe even pull off an outright upset against the Massachusetts Minutemen on Saturday. Fairfield is coming off three straight defeats, but they did cover the spread in a four-point loss against Bucknell last time out. They're 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games, and here they'll face a Massachusetts side that is 5-15-1 ATS in its last 21 road games vs. a team with a losing home record and 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games of a favorite of three points or more. Additionally, note Massachusetts' awful 47.1 shooting percentage from the charity stripe which could become a big issue at the late stages of a close game, I think we have a good case for the home team in this matchup. 10* play on Fairfield. |
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11-09-19 | Penn State -6.5 v. Minnesota | Top | 26-31 | Loss | -115 | 73 h 5 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NCAAF): MIKE'S TOP RATED WEEK 11 SIDE The No. 13 Minnesota Golden Gophers are off to a perfect 8-0 start to the season, but I think their undefeated run will come to a halt when they host the also 8-0 No. 5 Penn State Nittany Lions Saturday afternoon. This will be Minnesota's second game as an underdog on the season, and while they won 38-31 as a 2-point dog at Purdue in Week 4, the Boilermakers are not nearly as dangerous of an opponent as Penn State. Note that the Nittany Lions put a 35-7 beating on Purdue the week after its loss to the Golden Gophers, and here Penn State will come off a well-deserved bye after beating Michigan and Michigan State in back-to-back weeks. Sure, Minnesota is also off its bye week, but I still think the ATS edge is with the visitors here. Penn State won 28-7 at MSU last time out and is 14-5-1 ATS in its last 20 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points and 12-5 ATS in its last 17 road games. Nittany Lions are 4-1-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings with Minnesota. 10* play on Penn State Nittany Lions. |
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11-08-19 | Washington v. Oregon State +10.5 | Top | 19-7 | Loss | -112 | 18 h 19 m | Show |
WASHINGTON @ OREGON STATE FRIDAY NIGHT *TOP PLAY* I really like the Oregon State Beavers as a home underdog to the Washington Huskies Friday night. This looks like a potential flat spot for the visitors following their matchup with No. 9 Utah last week, and they'll face an Oregon State team that has covered the spread in six of its last seven games, winnning three of those games as underdogs outright. Note that Oregon State has a sneaky good offense that has scored 28 points in six of eight games this season while turning the ball over only twice. Washington is still the superior team, but the rowdy home town crowd will keep the Beavers in this game. 10* play on Oregon State. |
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11-07-19 | Predators -124 v. Avalanche | Top | 4-9 | Loss | -124 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* NHL MONEYLINE PLAY OF THE DAY The Colorado Avalanche are 0-4-1 in their last five games and will have to do without both captain Gabriel Landeskog and Mikko Rantanen when they host the Nashville Predators Thursday night. The Preds are healthy and snapped a two-game skid with a 6-1 victory over Detroit on Monday. Nashville netminder Pekka Rinne is 8-0-2 with a 2.07 GAA on the season and he has great career numbers against the Avs who's goalie Philipp Grubauer has had a rough time in recent outings. 10* play on the Nashville Predators. |
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11-07-19 | Chargers -119 v. Raiders | Top | 24-26 | Loss | -119 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* CHARGERS @ RAIDERS BOOKIE BREAKER The LA Chargers are right back in the playoff race following back-to-back underdog wins against Chicago and Green Bay. They're a small road favorite at Oakland Thursday night, and I think they'll make it three in a row. They've allowed a total of just 27 points during that winning streak, which can be compared to the Raiders who have surrendered 31 points per game over their last three contests. The Chargers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings and I expect their dominance over their AFC West rival to continue here. Additionally, the Chargers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Thursday games, 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games in November and 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 road games. 10* play on LA Chargers. |
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11-07-19 | Celtics v. Hornets OVER 217.5 | Top | 108-87 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 48 m | Show |
CELTICS @ HORNETS TOP RATED TOTAL The Charlotte Hornets defeated the Indiana Pacers 122-120 in OT last time out to improve to 4-3 overall and 2-1 at home. They struggled big time on the defensive end in their first two home games though, and here they'll face a Boston Celtics side that is coming off a 119-113 win at Cleveland to make it four wins on the bounce. The Celtics have scored 116+ points in three of those wins and each of the last five games in this series has gone over the total. Over is 5-1-1 in Hornets last 7 home games and 13-5-1 in their last 19 games following a straight up win. 10* play on OVER. |
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11-06-19 | 76ers v. Jazz UNDER 212 | Top | 104-106 | Win | 100 | 15 h 48 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* 76ERS @ JAZZ NBA PLAY OF THE DAY The Utah Jazz have opened the season with seven straight unders, and I think another relatively low-scoring affair is in the cards when they host the Philadelphia 76ers Wednesday night. The Sixers will be looking to bounce back from a 114-109 loss at Phoenix Suns on Monday, and they're likely to be focusing on getting the defense right. "Obviously defensively, I thought they never really felt us in the second half," forward Tobias Harris told reporters after the setback. "They got too many easy looks, too many open looks. So, I thought that was probably the biggest adjustment." Overall on the season, Philly is still a top 10 team in defensive efficiency, a category the Jazz rank no. 1 for, but Utah is also one of the worst teams in the league in offensive efficiency. Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Utah and 9-2 in the last 11 meetings overall. 10* play on UNDER. |
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11-06-19 | Magic v. Mavs -7 | Top | 106-107 | Loss | -112 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NBA): MIKE'S TOP RATED NBA SIDE The Orlando Magic are winless at Dallas since January 2011 and the Mavericks have covered the spread in four of the last five meetings overall. The Mavs are clearly the better side this season coming into this matchup with a 4-2 record, and they'll also have a big rest advantage with the Magic on the second leg of a back-to-back set while the home team has had two days of rest since its last game. Magic are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Mavs are coming off a 131-111 beatdown of the Cavs at Clevland and are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. 10* play on Dallas Mavericks. |
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11-05-19 | Lakers v. Bulls UNDER 215.5 | Top | 118-112 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 39 m | Show |
LAKERS @ BULLS TUESDAY NIGHT *TOP PLAY* The LA Lakers have played locked down basketball lately holding opponents to an average of 96.8 ppg through a five-game winning streak, and that's despite one of the games going to OT. They lead the league in defensive efficiency (the number of points a team allows per 100 possessions) and here they'll face a Chicago team that has been held to fewer than 100 points in three of its last four games. Under is 26-10-1 in the Bulls last 37 home games vs. a team with a winning road record while the under is 14-5 in Lakers last 19 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400 and I think they'll limit the damage the 2-5 Bulls can do on offense. 10* play on UNDER. |
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11-05-19 | Bruins v. Canadiens -105 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NHL): MIKE'S TOP RATED TUESDAY NIGHT MONEYLINE This looks like a tough spot for the Boston Bruins. They might have won six in a row, but they'll be playing on no rest following a 6-4 win over Pittsburgh on Monday and facing a well rested Montreal Canadiens team. The Habs last played on November 2 when they took a 4-1 loss to the Stars, but they had won three straight prior to that setback. "The real explanation is that I didn't think we had our legs," said Montreal coach Claude Julien after the loss. "I didn't think we had the energy tonight...we looked like a tired team (Saturday)." Expect the Habs to have more energy for this one, and I think they'll look forward to this opportunity to beat the current beast of the east. 10* play on Montreal Canadiens. |
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11-03-19 | Jazz v. Clippers UNDER 213 | Top | 94-105 | Win | 100 | 14 h 17 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NBA): MIKE'S JAZZ @ CLIPPERS TOTAL TOP PLAY The Utah Jazz have the best scoring defense in the NBA with only 94.0 ppg allowed per game while holding opponents to 42.1 percent shooting from the field. They're also one of the slowest teams with just 100.7 possessions per game and have yet to see any of their games go over the total this season. The Clippers have also stepped it up a notch on the defensive end in recent games and limited the Spurs to 97 points last time out. Under is 3-0 in their last three overall and 4-1 in Clippers last 5 home games. We saw just a total of 206 points when these two teams did battle at Utah earlier this week, and I think this will be another low-scoring affair. 10* play on UNDER. |
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11-03-19 | Colts +1 v. Steelers | Top | 24-26 | Loss | -110 | 103 h 12 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): MIKE'S TOP RATED WEEK 9 SIDE The 3-4 Pittsburgh Steelers are coming into this contest as winners of two in a row, but I think we can all agree that it's not all that impressive to beat up on Miami and the LA Chargers. Here they'll face a very tough opponent in the 5-2 Indianapolis Colts who have won five of their last six and three in a row with quality wins over KC and Houston mixed in. The Colts have held opponents to just 16.3 ppg over a three-game stretch and the Steelers are not the greatest team moving the ball with backup QB Mason Rudolph at the helm. Additionally running back James Conner is banged up and at risk of missing this game. Note that Pittsburgh has been outgained in all but two of its games (against Miami and Cincinnati), and often by triple-digits. The Steelers will play on a relatively short week and are just 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game. Additionally, the Colts are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 road games while the Steelers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. 10* play on Indianapolis Colts. |
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11-03-19 | Titans v. Panthers UNDER 42.5 | Top | 20-30 | Loss | -109 | 62 h 6 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): MIKE'S TOP RATED WEEK 9 TOTAL The Carolina Panthers defense will be ready for this one after giving up 50+ points to San Francisco last week. Note that the over/under is 4-11 in the last 15 NFL games where one of the teams conceded 50 points or more its last game. Here Carolina will face a Tennessee Titans team that has struggled all season long and will have Ryan Tannehill under center for a second straight week after benching Marcus Mariota. Tennessee's offense is among the worst in the league averaging only 5.0 yards per play and Carolina is only marginally better at 5.2 ypp. Both teams are much more accomplished on the defensive side of the ball, and Titans run defense should be able to if not stop, at least contain Panthers' star running back Christian McCaffrey. 10* play on UNDER. |
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11-02-19 | 76ers v. Blazers UNDER 220 | Top | 129-128 | Loss | -109 | 19 h 1 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* NBA PLAY OF THE DAY The Philadelphia 76ers have the fourth best scoring defense in the league and they have held opponents to 35.5 percent shooting from the field. The Portland Trail Blazers shot just 39.5 percent in a 102-99 win at OKC last time out, and while they generally shoot the ball much better home at Moda Center I don't see points coming easy in this one. Under is 3-1 in the Sixers four games on the season and 6-2 in their last 8 vs. teams from the Western Conference. 10* play on UNDER. |
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11-02-19 | Virginia +2.5 v. North Carolina | Top | 38-31 | Win | 100 | 30 h 23 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NCAAF): MIKE'S VIRGINIA @ UNC ACC ANNIHILATOR The Virginia Cavaliers look like a solid road dog at North Carolina as the teams battle it out for first place in the ACC Coastal division Saturday night. The Tar Heels are coming off a dramatic 20-17 win over rival Duke while Virginia came out flat to take a 28-21 loss at Louisville last week. Count on Virginia to bounce back behind its stellar defense that ranks second in the conference for yards allowed and third in scoring defense. The Cavaliers have dropped three of their last four and gave up 360 yards of offense to Louisville, but they're so much better than that result would indicate. There's a reason why they're top of the division with a 5-3 record (3-2 in the conference) while North Carolina is 2nd at 4-4 (3-2 conference record), and the Cavaliers are undervalued by bookmakers and the public after failing to cover the spread in five of their last six games. 10* play on Virginia Cavaliers. |
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11-02-19 | Boston College v. Syracuse OVER 59 | Top | 58-27 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NCAAF): MIKE'S TOP RATED WEEK 10 TOTAL The Boston College have the worst scoring defense in the ACC giving up 32.0 ppg and the over/under is 6-2 in their eight games on the season. Their defense was lit up in a 59-7 loss to Clemson last time out and the Syracuse Orange, despite their limitations, should be able to move the ball quite freely. As for when Boston College has the ball, it averages a healthy 31.1 points per game and has the 10th best ground game in the country led by elite running back in AJ Dillon. Syracuse has allowed 160.0 rushing yards per game so expect BC to have decent success moving the ball on the ground. 10* play on OVER. |
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11-01-19 | Jazz v. Kings UNDER 214 | Top | 101-102 | Win | 100 | 20 h 10 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* JAZZ @ KINGS NBA PLAY OF THE DAY The Utah Jazz are limiting opponents to 40.8% shooting from the field on the season and have yet to allow more than 96 points in any of their games. As for the Sacramento Kings, they're averaging only 98.6 ppg and note that both these teams are in the bottom six in the NBA for offensive efficiency (the number of points a team scores per 100 possessions). Utah is as per usual one of the slowest teams in the league just barely breaking 100 possessions per game and the under is 5-0 in their first five games this season. 10* play on UNDER. |
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11-01-19 | Lightning v. Islanders +106 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 106 | 8 h 42 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NHL): MIKE'S TOP RATED FRIDAY NIGHT MONEYLINE The New York Islanders look like a solid bet against the Tampa Bay Lightning Friday night. They enter this contest as winners of seven in a row and have had plenty of time to get ready for this one following a 5-3 victory over Philadelphia on Sunday. The Tampa Bay Lightning, on the other hand, will play their third game in four nights and seem flustered by a rather mediocre 6-4-2 start to the season. "Last year there were times we wouldn't play that good but win easily, but this year it's a little different. It's a different season, and we have a lot of different guys. But I don't want to keep talking about last season," Ondrej Palat said following a wild 7-6 overtime victory over New Jersey on Tuesday. Look for the Islanders go get it done home at Barclays Center. 10* play on NY Islanders. |
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10-31-19 | Spurs v. Clippers OVER 225.5 | Top | 97-103 | Loss | -109 | 20 h 20 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* SPURS @ CLIPPERS TOTAL The LA Clippers will be playing on no rest following a loss at Utah last night. I think their heavy legs could become an issue on defense, something that Spurs coach Gregg Popovich will be smart enough to exploit by urging his team to push the ball tempo to get open shots. The Spurs have averaged 119 ppg while going a perfect 3-0 on the season and the Clippers have had no trouble scoring, entering this contest with a 121.5 ppg average despite being held to 96 points by the Jazz last night. Note that star forward Kawhi Leonard was rested yesterday, and he'll surely be up for putting points on the board against his former team. Additionally, we can note that both teams rank near the top of the league for offensive efficiency (the number of points a team scores per 100 possessions). Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings and the last head-to-head matchup here at Staples Center saw a total of 233 points scored. 10* play on OVER. |
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10-31-19 | 49ers v. Cardinals UNDER 43.5 | Top | 28-25 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
TOP RATED 49ERS @ CARDINALS THURSDAY NIGHT *BEST BET* Do not let the fact that the San Francisco 49ers put up 51 points against Carolina last week scare you. They had played four straight unders prior to that offensive explosion, and I think they'll let the defense pick up the slack here when playing on a short week at Arizona Cardinals Thursday night. Arizona and rookie QB Kyler Murray had put up impressive offensive numbers against weak defenses (Cincinnati, Atlanta, NY Giants) before getting exposed by New Orleans' elite defense in a 31-9 loss last week. The Niners lead the NFL in total defense and points allowed, so points will most likely be equally hard to come by for the home team in this one. Under is 9-3 in 49ers last 12 Thursday games. Under is 7-3 in 49ers last 10 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. Under is 7-1 in Cardinals last 8 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. 10* play on UNDER. |
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10-30-19 | Canucks v. Kings OVER 6 | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 21 h 29 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NHL): MIKE'S TOP RATED NHL TOTAL The Vancouver Canucks put an 8-2 beating on the LA Kings three weeks ago, and I think we'll see another high-scoring affair when the two teams clash at Staples Center Wednesday night. The Kings took a 5-1 loss to Chicago on Sunday and are giving up 4+ goals per game on the season. I don't think they'll allow the visiting Nucks to skate away with this game comfortably, but to stay in this contest they'll need to score. Note that Vancouver averaging a healthy 3.64 gpg, fifth in the NHL, and put seven in a win against Florida Monday night. 10* play on OVER. |
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10-30-19 | Rockets v. Wizards +8 | Top | 159-158 | Win | 100 | 20 h 7 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* NBA PLAY OF THE DAY The Houston Rockets are coming off back-to-back home wins over New Orleans and OKC Thunder, but they're still very much trying to figure out how to make Russell Westbrook and James Harden work together effectively. They enter this contest with an 0-3 ATS record on the season while the hosts Washington Wizards are a perfect 3-0 ATS, and I like the home team to keep this game a lot closer than the point-spread would suggest. The home team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in this series and the Wizards should be well up for this one after opening the season with three consecutive road games. 10* play on Washington Wizards. |
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10-29-19 | Mavs v. Nuggets UNDER 216 | Top | 109-106 | Win | 100 | 22 h 54 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NBA): MIKE'S TOP RATED TUESDAY NIGHT TOTAL The Dallas Mavericks have averaged 121 ppg while splitting a couple of high-scoring affairs against New Orleans and Portland, but I think points will be harder to come by here at Denver Tuesday night with the home team looking to slow down the tempo. The Nuggets are 2-0 to the under on the season, scoring 108 points in both games with an average of only 103.5 ppg allowed (and that despite Friday's matchup at Phoenix going to overtime). They were just outside of the top 10 for defensive efficiency (the number of points a team allows per 100 possessions) last season and it looks like Denver will be hard to beat on the defensive end of the hardwood this season as well. Under is 4-1 in Nuggets last 5 games playing on 0 days rest and 16-5 in their last 21 home games. Under is 4-1 in Mavericks last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings at Pepsi Center. *Write up posted before the conclusion of Denver's matchup with the Kings at Sacramento Monday night. 10* play on UNDER. |
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10-29-19 | Nationals v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (MLB): MIKE'S WORLD SERIES GAME 6 BEST BET The home team has yet to win a game in this series with Washington opening the World Series with a couple of wins here at Minute Maid Park before their bats went silent to get outscored 19-3 in three games home at Nationals Park. The Astros are just one game away from clinching the trophy, and I think they'll get it done with a convincing win at their own ballpark. Nats' righty Stephen Strasburg (4-0, 1.93 ERA) is obviously a tremendous pitcher, but he'll have to outduel Justin Verlander (1-3, 4.15 ERA) and the visitors' bullpen has been an issue for them all season long. Verlander's career record in the World Series is nothing to brag about (0-5 with a 5.73 ERA in six starts), but the Nats' bats have gone missing at the worst possible time. Astros are 20-5 in Verlander's last 25 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game and 20-6 in his last 26 starts with 5 days of rest. 10* play on Houston Astros -1.5. |
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10-27-19 | Eagles v. Bills | Top | 31-13 | Loss | -125 | 122 h 17 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): MIKE'S TOP RATED WEEK 8 ATS PICK The 5-1 Buffalo Bills didn't look all that good in their 31-21 win over Miami last week, but I think there's an obvious explanation for that with complacency likely kicking in against such an inferior opponent. They may not have covered the 17-point spread, but they did get the W which at the end of the day is all that matters, and it didn't look like they had to spend a lot of energy earning it. The 3-4 Philadelphia Eagles on the other hand are coming off back-to-back draining road losses at Minnesota and Dallas, and they were badly outmatched in Sunday's 37-10 loss as a 3-point underdog to the Cowboys. Philly QB Carson Wentz completed only 16-of-26 passes for 191 yards with a TD and an INT, and here he'll come up against arguably the best defense in the league. While Buffalo isn't scoring all that many points (20.2 ppg), the Eagles defense has been atrocious lately and has given up 31.5 ppg in four road games. It's a short trip for the Eagles this time, but it is nonetheless a third straight road game and I think Buffalo's D and the hostile environment at New Era Field will be too much for the visitors to overcome. 10* play on Buffalo Bills. |
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10-26-19 | Raptors -3 v. Bulls | Top | 108-84 | Win | 100 | 18 h 29 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NBA): TOP RATED RAPTORS @ BULLS ATS PICK The Toronto Raptors are 1-1 on the season following a 112-106 setback at Boston last night. They'll be playing on no rest here at the 1-1 Chicago Bulls Saturday night, but note that the home team also will play the second leg of a back-to-back after picking up 110-102 triumph at Memphis on Friday. It will be interesting to see how the Bulls will develop throughout the season, but I think the Raptors are due for a statement game after starting the season with two rather disappointing outings. The Raptors are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games playing on no rest and the road team is 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings in this series. 10* play on Toronto Raptors. |
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10-26-19 | Texas v. TCU | Top | 27-37 | Loss | -110 | 77 h 49 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NCAAF): MIKE'S TEXAS @ TCU BEST BET The Texas Longhorns are 5-2 on the season with losses to LSU and Oklahoma. No shame in that, and I like them as a small road favorite against a TCU team that is coming off back-to-back road losses at Iowa State and Kansas State. Sure, the Horned Frogs had a bye week in between, but the losses mean that they're now just 3-3 on the season. The Horned Frogs own the conference’s No. 1-ranked defense and have allowed just 181.0 passing yards per game, but here they'll be asked to slow down Texas QB Sam Ehlinger who has thrown for 210 yards or more in every game and has a 21/3 TD/INT ratio. Ehlinger is coming off a 399 passing yards performance with four touchdowns and one interception in a 50-48 win over Kansas. TCU meanwhile prefers to move the ball on the ground, but while Texas rush defense (or defense overall) is far from the best in the nation I just don't see TCU being able to keep pace with the Longhorns explosive offense. Longhorns are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games in October. Horned Frogs are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games in October. 10* play on Texas Longhorns. |
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10-25-19 | Astros v. Nationals OVER 8 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (MLB): MIKE'S TOP RATED WORLD SERIES GAME 3 TOTAL The two teams have opened the World Series by combining for 24 runs through two Washington triumphs at Minute Maid Park, and that despite better pitching matchups than the one we'll see tonight. I expect the hitters will keep dominating this series and push the score over the posted total with ease. Astros' righty Zack Greinke (0-2, 6.43 ERA) has not had a good postseason and no one should trust Washington right-hander Anibal Sanchez (1-0, 0.71 ERA) to shut down a desperate Houston side. Both bullpens have proven vulnerable and unable to keep runners off the bases. Over is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Washington. 10* play on OVER. |
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10-24-19 | Redskins v. Vikings UNDER 42 | Top | 9-19 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (NFL): MIKE'S TOP RATED REDSKINS @ VIKINGS TOTAL I think we'll see a low-scoring affair when the Minnesota Vikings host the Washington Redskins Thursday night. The Vikes have been putting up impressive offensive numbers in recent weeks, but QB Kirk Cousins has a tendency to do worse in primetime games and this should be no exception playing on a short week. There will simply be no reason for Minnesota to run up the score against a hapless Redskins team so the main focus (apart from getting the W) should be to come out of this contest as healthy as possible. Expect Minnesota to take a healthy lead and then bleed the clock dry on every possession. Under is 9-4 in Vikings last 13 games overall and 5-1 in their 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Under is 4-0 in Redskins last 4 games overall. 10* play on UNDER. |
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10-23-19 | Kings -1.5 v. Suns | Top | 95-124 | Loss | -107 | 22 h 12 m | Show |
LATE NIGHT KINGS @ SUNS *TOP PLAY* The Phoenix Suns have finished dead last in the West in three consecutive seasons and accumulated just 19 wins last season. Not much suggests that 2019/2020 will be much better, and I think they'll come up well short here in the season opener against the Sacramento Kings. The Kings slumped at the worst time last season and ended up missing the playoffs by nine games. Still, they won 48% of their games which was a big step forward and they return a talented team that might be able to make another run for the postseason in the stacked Western Conference. They have a new head coach in former Golden State Warriors assistant and Los Angeles Lakers head coach Luke Walton, and I think he can do good work with this young, talented roster. 10* play on Sacramento Kings. |
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10-22-19 | Nationals v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
WORLD SERIES GAME 1 BOOKIE BREAKER *TOP PLAY* I like the Houston Astros to come through with a multiple-run win here in Game 1 of the World Series. Astros righty Gerrit Cole (3-0, 0.40 ERA) has been straight up dominant in the postseason with 32 Ks and just one run allowed covering 22 2/3 frames over his three postseason starts. While Nats' starter Max Scherzer (2-0, 1.80 ERA) has had a strong postseason of his own, I find it more impressive of Cole to shut down American League powerhouses and Houston also has a bullpen advantage. It's also quite possible that Washington's week off since sweeping the NLCS did more harm than good. Astros are 23-3 in Coles last 26 home starts and I'm happy to back the home team on the runline at this price. 10* play on Houston Astros. |
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10-22-19 | Oilers +112 v. Wild | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* TUESDAY NIGHT NHL POWER PLAY The Minnesota Wild are coming off their first win of the season, but I think they'll struggle to make it two on the bounce coming up against an Edmonton side looking to get back on track from a 0-1 shootout loss against the Jets on Sunday. They're still a tremendous 7-1-1 on the season and the Oilers goaltending has been terrific with only 21 goals allowed in nine games. The Wild on the other hand have allowed a league-worst 4.00 goals against per game this season and #1 netminder Devan Dubnyk is 1-5-0 with a 4.18 goals-against average with an .874 save percentage. The Oilers are 6-1 in their last seven games as a road underdog when listed between +110 and +150 odds and I think we're getting more than a reasonable price on the visitors. 10* play on Edmonton Oilers. |
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10-21-19 | Patriots v. Jets UNDER 43.5 | Top | 33-0 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
PATRIOTS @ JETS MONDAY NIGHT AFC EAST SHOWDOWN *TOP PLAY*
We can however note that Darnold threw for just 175 yards and was sacked four times when he faced the Bills elite defense in his only other start this season on September 9. The Pats D is right up there with Buffalo's ranking near the top of the league in several defensive categories and the Jets left Gilette Stadium without an offensive touchdown in a 30-14 loss a couple of weeks ago. Under is 9-0 in Patriots last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing home record and 6-1 in the last 7 meetings and keep in mind that the Jets rank dead last in tempo taking almost 31 seconds per play. 10* play on UNDER. |
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10-21-19 | Golden Knights -118 v. Flyers | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -118 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
MONDAY NIGHT NHL MONEYLINE MASSACRE *TOP PLAY* This will be the fifth meeting ever between the Vegas Golden Knights and the Philadelphia Flyers. The road team has won all the previous matchups, and that's a trend I think will continue here. The reeling Flyers have scored just seven goals through an 0-3-1 stretch while the Knights are as solid as ever with four wins in their last five games. They've held opponents to fewer than two goals per game when playing on the road this season and should have no trouble to shut down the Flyers. Golden Knights are 12-5 in their last 17 games as a road favorite and 14-6 in their last 20 games following a win. Flyers are 0-7 in their last 7 games as an underdog. 10* play on Vegas Golden Knights. |
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10-20-19 | Capitals -134 v. Blackhawks | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 18 h 30 m | Show |
SUNDAY NIGHT NHL BIG HITTER *TOP PLAY* The Chicago Blackhawks are coming off wins over the Edmonton Oilers and Columbus Blue Jackets after starting the season 0-2-1. I think they'll come up short here in the fifth game of a seven-game homestand. The visiting Washington Capitals are 3-1-0 on the road this season and are playing solid hockey at the moment. We can also note that their netminder Braden Holtby (2-1-2, 3.83 GAA) is 8-3 in his career vs. Chicago while the Blackhawks' goalies have struggled in previous meetings with the Caps. Capitals are 8-3 in their last 11 games as a road favorite of -110 to -150. Blackhawks are 17-35 in their last 52 games as an underdog of +110 to +150. 10* play on Washington Capitals. |
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10-20-19 | Jaguars -3 v. Bengals | Top | 27-17 | Win | 100 | 144 h 17 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (NFL): MIKE'S BEST SIDE FOR OCTOBER The Cincinnati Bengals managed to cover the 10-point spread in a loss at division rival Baltimore with a late touchdown last week. They're however 1-7 ATS following a loss to a division rival over the last three seasons and I think they'll come up well short in this contest. Here they will be facing an angry Jacksonville team coming off a tough home loss to New Orleans. The setback meant that Jacksonville dropped 2-4 on the season, and it does not have the luxury of looking past 0-6 teams like the Bengals. While Jax struggled to move the ball against a feisty Saints defense, that should not be an issue here against a Bengals team that is one of the worst in the NFL giving up 426 yards of total offense per game and 184.5 ypg on the ground. Jacksonville is rather average on the offensive side of the ball, but it is very capable of moving the chains on the ground averaging a healthy 127.5 rushing yards per game. Cincinnati has failed to cover the spread in both of its home games this season and took a 41-17 beating by the Niners as a home dog in Week 2. Jacksonville 2-1 ATS on the road with an impressive outright win at the Mile High in Week 4. 10* play on Jacksonville Jaguars. |
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10-20-19 | Andrey Rublev -3.5 v. Adrian Mannarino | Top | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show |
TOP RATED ATP MOSCOW KREMLIN CUP FINAL Andrey Rublev looks like a solid favorite here against Adrian Mannarino in the final at the ATP Kremlin Cup in Moscow. The Russian will receive a massive support from the hometown crowd and he has looked tremendous all week. The fast court here at Moscow should favor Rublev who has more power and managed to put Cilic's second serve under pressure throughout their semifinals clash. Rublev is 9-3 indoors this year while Mannarino is 5-4. 10* play on Andrew Rublev. |