EARLY 4% Mariners/Tigers MLB TOP PLAY

The Angle(s): The Detroit Tigers are swinging hot bats with 32 runs scored across their four-game winning streak, so even with Bryce Miller (1–0, 1.71 ERA) coming off 10 2/3 scoreless innings of two-hit ball over his last two starts, I still expect to see runs in this one. Detroit is 0–5 in Keider Montero’s (2–3, 3.69 ERA) last five starts, and the right-hander has allowed three runs or more in three of his last four outings, so Seattle should have plenty of opportunities to do damage as well.

The Bet: OVER (4%). 

4% Knicks/Spurs NBA Finals Game 2 TOP PLAY

The Angle(s): The New York Knicks won Game 1 of the NBA Finals 105–95, and I expect another gritty, lower-scoring affair in Game 2 with the Spurs in a must-respond spot before the series shifts to New York. With both teams already showing a willingness to grind in the half court and the Spurs likely tightening the screws defensively rather than trying to run, the setup points to another game that stays under the number.

The Bet: UNDER (4%). 

EARLY BASES ALERT: 4% Orioles/Red Sox MLB TOP PLAY

The Angle(s): The Baltimore Orioles were held to one run in an 8–1 loss yesterday, but they are 5–1 to the over following a one‑run outing, and this matchup sets up well for more runs.

Orioles right-hander Brayan Bello (2–5, 5.63 ERA) and Marlins lefty Trevor Rogers (2–6, 6.84 ERA) have both struggled badly to keep the ball in the park lately, and both have posted an ERA around 10 over their last five starts.

With two volatile arms and an Orioles lineup that typically responds after being shut down, I like the over.

The Bet: OVER (4%)

4% Spurs/Thunder Game 7 NBA TOP PLAY of the Day

The Angle(s): Two of the last three games in the series, both in San Antonio, have stayed under the total after a 3–0 over start to the series, with OKC contributing only 82 and 91 points in those two “under” contests. Now back home for a Game 7, I expect exceptional shooting from the Thunder, and the combination of high-intensity defense and Game 7 whistle tendencies can easily translate into a steady stream of free throws and easy points at the line.

The Bet: OVER (4%)

EARLY 4% Tigers/White Sox MLB TOP PLAY of the Day

The Angle(s): The slumping Detroit Tigers have scored just 3.1 runs per game through a rough 2-8 stretch. Left-hander Framber Valdez (2-3, 4.29 ERA) has started to find his footings after a shaky start with Detroit, and has generally pitched better away from Comerica Park. The White Sox turn to left-hander Anthony Kay (4-1, 3.96 ERA) who has allowed just four runs across his last four starts. 

The Bet: UNDER (4%). 

4% Blue Jays/Yankees MLB TOP PLAY of the Day

'The Angle(s): The New York Yankees took the opener 7-6, but this matchup sets up much differently with Dylan Cease (2-1, 2.41 ERA) and Will Warren (5-1, 3.42 ERA) on the mound. Runs should be much tougher to come by on both sides.

Cease is in dominant form, striking out 19 while allowing just one run on eight hits over his last 14 innings across two starts. He also handled the Yankees well last season, tossing 6 2/3 innings of one-run ball. Warren had a rough outing against Texas on May 6, but outside of that, he has been sharp and consistent. With both starters dealing, this shapes up as a much tighter, lower-scoring game.

The Bet: UNDER (4%). 

4% Reds/Phillies MLB TOP PLAY of the Day

The Angle(s): The Philadelphia Phillies are coming off back-to-back 6-0 shutout wins over Pittsburgh, but today's starter, righty Andrew Painter, is 0-5 with a 7.71 ERA over his last five starts. The Cincinnati Reds counter with left-hander Nick Lodolo, who has surrendered nine runs over two starts in 2026 after missing the first month of the season with a blister issue. With the Reds' last six games all going over the total, expect plenty of runs to cross the plate in this one.

The Bet: OVER (4%). 

EARLY 4% Phillies/Pirates MLB TOP PLAY of the Day

The Angle(s): After combining for 20 runs in the first game of the series, the Philadelphia Phillies held the Pittsburgh Pirates scoreless in a 6-0 win on Saturday. Now, with Zack Wheeler (2-0, 2.55 ERA) and Paul Skenes (6-2, 1.98 ERA) on the mound, we have every reason to expect runs to come at a premium for both clubs.

Skenes is historically dominant. His 1.98 ERA leads a 6-2 record through 9 starts (50 IP), with 56 strikeouts against just 7 walks, and a 0.64 WHIP. In Wheeler's last start (May 12 vs. Boston), he went 7 1/3 innings, allowing just 1 run on 6 hits with 4 strikeouts. His 2026 WHIP sits at a tidy 0.93

The Bet: UNDER (4%). 

4% Spurs/Wolves NBA TOP PLAY of the Day

The Angle(s): The San Antonio Spurs are one win away from the Western Conference Finals after a dominant 126-97 victory, and their suffocating defense has been the story, holding Minnesota under 100 points in two of the five games.

With their season on the line, expect the Timberwolves to respond with that same defensive intensity. In a high-pressure spot like this, that points toward a slower pace and a game that stays under the total.

The Bet: UNDER (4%). 

4% Red Sox/Braves MLB TOP PLAY of the Day 

The Angle(s): The Boston Red Sox have been stuck in low-scoring games lately, with none of their last five going over five total runs. Both Spencer Strider (1-0, 2.89 ERA) and Connelly Early (3-2, 3.16 ERA) are coming off scoreless outings, and the Atlanta Braves were shut out in a 2-0 loss last time out ...

The Bet: UNDER (4%). 

4% Tigers/ Mets MLB TOP PLAY of the Day 

The Angle(s): Aside from a couple of 10-run outbursts, the Mets have struggled to cross home plate, and the same goes for the Tigers, who have topped three runs just once in their last six games. On the mound, both sides bring in-form arms; Keider Montero (2-2, 3.18 ERA) has been sharp for Detroit, while Nolan McLean (1-2, 2.78 ERA) has impressed early for New York. With both pitchers dealing and favorable home/away splits in play, this sets up as a low-scoring matchup.

The Bet: UNDER (4%). 

4% Mariners/Astros MLB TOP PLAY of the Day

The Angle(s): The Seattle Mariners hung 12 runs on Friday and the Houston Astros scored 10 that same day, then the bats went ice cold as they combined for just three runs the rest of the weekend, but I'm betting we see some regression toward more runs in this series opener.

They’re 7-2-1 to the over in the last 10 meetings, and with George Kirby (4-2, 2.94 ERA) opposite Peter Lambert (2-2, 2.42 ERA, 6.28 career ERA), I'm fading Lambert’s shiny 2026 start and trusting both lineups to do damage once these starters turn things over to vulnerable bullpens (Houston's has an MLB-worst 6.05 ERA). 

With both teams due for some positive variance after a dead weekend and the recent head-to-head trend skewing heavily toward high-scoring games, I’m looking for runs rather than another low-scoring grind on Monday night.

The Bet: OVER (4%). 

4% Cubs/Rangers MLB TOP PLAY

The Angle(s): The Chicago Cubs look unstoppable right now, with Friday’s 7–1 win marking their 10th straight victory, but this spot sets up for the bats to cool a bit. Rangers right-hander Jack Leiter (1–4, 5.45 ERA) has been tagged in bunches lately, but his last outing was better than the line suggests, allowing five runs but also striking out 10 with only five hits surrendered, hinting at underlying positives. Chicago counters with Edward Cabrera (3–0, 3.27 ERA), who draws a Texas lineup that has been anemic at the plate of late, and the total has gone over in just 10 of the Rangers’ last 10 games. 

Leiter has 43 strikeouts in 38 innings this season, while Cabrera owns a career 9.5+ K/9, giving both the swing-and-miss needed to escape jams and keep runs in check.

The Bet: UNDER (4%)

5% NL Central Total of the Year MEGA MAX BET

The Angle(s): The Cincinnati Reds have scored just six runs across their last three games and are averaging only 4.1 runs per game on the season, showing they’re far from a high-octane offense. Cubs righty Colin Rea (4-1, 4.41 ERA) is better than his early-season line suggests, with solid track notes and dependable innings behind him. The Reds’ own right-hander, Brady Singer (2-2, 5.57 ERA) has a few clunker outings skewing his ERA, but he’s much sharper than the surface number implies—and his last crack at the Cubs was a gem: two hits and seven scoreless innings. With both starters capable of grinding through and an anemic Reds attack, this one is set up to land safely under the total.

The Bet: UNDER (5%). 

4% Orioles/Marlins MLB TOP PLAY 

The Angle(s): The Baltimore Orioles are 9-1 to the over in their last 10 games and right-hander Brandon Young's (2-1, 6.14 ERA) last two starts saw 13 and 16 runs respectively, and Baltimore tagged him with seven runs in 4 1/3 innings last year, and the Orioles bullpen has been shaky at best. 

The Bet: OVER (4%). 

4% MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY of the Day

The Angle(s): The Cleveland Guardians’ bats have gone cold, and they're averaging just 3.9 runs per game with a .218 AVG against right-handed pitching on the season. That could be a perfect landing for Stephen Kolek in his first start of the season, facing an anemic lineup. Cleveland right-hander Gavin Williams (5-1, 2.70 ERA) has started the season strong and is 5-2 to the under, with the two games that went over driven by unexpected offensive explosions from the Guardians’ bats, something that looks unlikely to repeat here.

The Bet: UNDER (4%). 

4% Wolves/Spurs NBA TOP PLAY of the Day

The Angle(s): The San Antonio Spurs held the Blazers to under 100 points in three of five games, and even in their lone loss they allowed just 106. Reigning unanimous Defensive Player of the Year, French superstar Victor Wembanyama, anchors one of the league’s elite defenses, while the Wolves counters with their own defensive force in Rudy Gobert. The Spurs will likely win in a blowout, but it’ll be via lockdown defense rather than a track-meet offense.

The Bet: UNDER (4%). 

4% Raptors/Cavs NBA TOP PLAY of the Day

The Angle(s): In the NBA playoffs so far, the under is 16-6 following an over. We’ve been printing money with this trend, and with just two games left in the opening round, I’m comfortable shining a light on it, because I’m not convinced the trend will survive into Round 2. We were a buzzer-eating Toronto three-pointer away from cashing this exact trend in Game 6 of this series. Bad beat, but I fully expect us to get that one back here.

The Bet: UNDER (4%). 

MAGIC MIKE'S 4% MLB TOP PLAY

The Angle(s): The Atlanta Braves sit at or near the top of MLB in runs scored, home runs, and team OPS, which explains why we’re seeing such a high total. But the wind at Coors Field today is expected to blow in, taking some pop off the hitters’ swings, and the Colorado Rockies are already 5-2 to the under in home games with a total of 11 or higher. That combo of park-suppressing conditions and a strong Rockies’ under trend has me leaning firmly against the total.

The Bet: UNDER (4%)

MAGIC MIKE'S 4% MLB TOP PLAY

The Angle(s): Toronto Blue Jays righty Dylan Cease has been razor-sharp against the Twins lately, posting a 2-1 record with a 2.61 ERA and 33 strikeouts over his last five starts against them. Minnesota is averaging just 3.5 runs per nine innings against right-handers this season, and now they’re asking left-hander Connor Prielipp (1-0, 4.00 ERA) to dig them out. The Twins have struggled to generate offense, and while the Jays’ lineup has had its hiccups versus southpaws recently, the overall environment screams low run production.

The Bet: UNDER (4%).

4% Cavs/Raptors NBA TOP PLAY

The Angle(s): In the NBA playoffs so far, the under is 14-4 following an over. We've been printing money with this, and with only a few games left of the opening round I'm comfortable revealing the moneymaker as I'm not confident it'll continue into round 2. 

The Bet: UNDER (4%)

4% Pistons/Magic NBA TOP PLAY

The Angle(s): In the NBA playoffs so far, the under is 14-4 following an over. We've been printing money with this trend, and with only a few games left of the opening round I'm comfortable finally revealing the moneymaker, as I'm not confident it'll continue into round 2. 

The Bet: UNDER (4%). 

4% Brewers/Nationals MLB TOP PLAY of the Day

The Angle(s): The Washington Nationals have been an over machine (21-9 to the over,) but right-hander Jake Irvin (1-3, 4.85 ERA) has looked solid lately and punched out nine over 5 2/3 scoreless innings last time out. Washington beat the Brewers 7-3 with Irvin on the mound on April 10, but I think this one plays smaller. Milwaukee right-hander Jacob Misiorowski (1-2, 3.31 ERA) has 33 strikeouts over his last four starts and 51 Ks over 32 2/3 innings on the season.

The Bet: UNDER (4%). 

4% Nuggets/Wolves NBA TOP PLAY of the Day

The Angle(s): The Minnesota Timberwolves look to close out the series at home, holding a 3-2 lead despite a 125-113 loss at Denver last time out. In the previous two games in Minnesota, the Timberwolves held the Denver Nuggets to 96 points each time, and with superstar Anthony Edwards out, they will need to rely on their defense to keep this one close. Gimme me the under.

The Bet: UNDER (4%), 

EARLY 4% Pirates/Cardinals MLB TOP PLAY of the Day

The Angle(s): The Pittsburgh Pirates have scored 20 runs through the first three games of this series, but St. Louis Cardinals right-hander Hunter Dobbins, with just 13 career starts and none in 2026, is a bit of an unknown for them and presents a different challenge. The Pirates counter with Paul Skenes (4-1, 2.48 ERA), who typically fuels unders, though his first five starts went over before a 6-0 Pirates win at Milwaukee last outing. Last season, Pittsburgh had a 10-18-4 over/under record with Skenes as the starter... Gimme the under. 

The Bet: UNDER (4%). 

4% Rockets/Lakers NBA TOP PLAY of the Day 

The Angle(s): The Houston Rockets stayed alive with a 115-96 win in Game 4. They finally got a handle on LeBron James, holding him to 10 points on 2-of-9 shooting, and with Doncic and Reaves out, if LeBron is not at his best, this is a weak Lakers team. I think we will see another relatively low-scoring affair as Houston fights for its life.

The Bet: Under (4%). 

MAGIC MIKE'S 4% MLB TOP PLAY of the Day

The Angle(s): Minnesota Twins right-hander Joe Ryan (2-2, 3.90 ERA) has allowed just five earned runs with 25 strikeouts over 15 1/3 innings across his last three starts against the Mariners. Seattle right-hander Logan Gilbert (1-3, 4.36 ERA) has posted an unimpressive start to the year, but expect positive regression as he typically finishes with a sub-3.50 ERA by season's end.

The Bet: UNDER (4%). 

4% Sixers/Celtics NBA TOP PLAY of the Day

The Angle(s): The zig-zag theory isn't just for sides. This playoffs, the under is 12-4 after an over, and the first three games of this series all stayed under before Celtics' 128-96 Game 4 win.

The Bet: UNDER (4%)

4% Rays/Guardians MLB TOP PLAY of the Day

The Angle(s): The Tampa Bay Rays' pitching staff has been outstanding lately, allowing just eight runs over a five-game winning streak. Right-hander Nick Martinez (1-1, 2.10 ERA) kicked off that streak, and four of his five starts this season have gone under the total. The Cleveland Guardians counter with Tanner Bibee (0-3, 4.45 ERA), whose ERA is inflated by one eight-run disaster, but he has allowed just four runs over his other four starts. 

The Bet: UNDER (4%). 

MAGIC MIKE'S 4% Thunder/Suns NBA TOP PLAY

The Angle(s): The Oklahoma City Thunder have scored 119, 120, and 121 points through the first three games of the series. They clearly know how to exploit the holes in Phoenix's defense, and the Suns must feel quite hapless down 3-0 with virtually no chance of redemption. I think the Thunder will keep running rampant on offense against a Suns team that will be happy to just get the ball back and try scoring some points. I do not expect much grit on defense from either side to be honest.

The Bet: OVER (4%). 

5% SUPER MAX: NBA East TOTAL OF THE MONTH

The Angle(s): After losing game 1 of the series, the Detroit Pistons clamped down on defense again to win Game 2 98-93. They're holding opponents to 109.3 points per game (3), and will only improve the more they see of the Magic. We can also note that the Pistons are 14-5 (74%) to the under as road favorites of seven points or fewer. 

The Bet: UNDER (5%). 

4% Pirates/Rangers MLB TOP PLAY of the Day

The Angle(s): Both starters are dealing, Bubba Chandler (1-1, 3.15 ERA) and Jacob deGrom (1-0, 2.29 ERA), while the offenses have been wildly inconsistent. Sure, the Pirates are humming at 5.08 runs per game, but good luck scoring off deGrom when he's locked in like this, 10 IP, 0 ER, 12 Ks, last two starts. 

The Bet: UNDER (4%). 

5% MAX BET ALERT: AL TOTAL of the Month

The Angle(s): The New York Yankees are coming off back-to-back shutout wins and the Boston Red Sox have been held to two runs or fewer in four of their last five games. Red Sox lefty Ranger Suarez (1-1, 3.22 ERA) has pitched 14 scoreless innings of five-hit ball across his lasttwo starts, and although Yankees southpaw Max Fried (2-1, 2.97 ERA) was roughed up his last time out, I expect him to bounce back against a Red Sox team he owned last year (18 IP, 4 ER. 

The Bet: UNDER (5%). 

4% Astros/Guardians MLB TOP PLAY

The Angle(s): The Houston Astros have scored five runs or more in five consecutive games, but have just one win to show for it (a nine-run game!). The bullpen is a mess, and the same can be said of the Cleveland Guardians bullpen which also have an ERA north of 5.00.

Astros righty Peter Lambert (0-1, 7.20 ERA) was smacked around in his first and only start of the year, and Cleveland's Tanner Bibee (0-2, 4.81 ERA) has not had a great start to the season either.

Give me the over at this number!

The Bet: OVER (4%). 

Reds/Rays MLB TOP PLAY of the Day

The Angle(s): The Tampa Bay Rays are 15-6 to the over on the season, and a big reason is a bullpen allowing over six runs per nine innings. They have yet to announce a starter for Monday's game. Jesse Scholtens with limited major league experience is a likely option, which puts additional pressure on the bullpen. The Reds turn to right-hander Rhett Lowder (2-1, 3.52 ERA) who has conceded seven runs across his last two starts. 

The Bet: OVER (4%). 

4% Blue Jays/D'Backs MLB TOP PLAY of the Day

The Angle: The Toronto Blue Jays hats have gone cold and Arizona right-hander Michael Soroka (3-0, 2.87 ERA) has had a great start to the season, especially home at Chase Field where has allowed just one run on eight hits over 10 innings. Toronto left-hander Eric Lauer (1-2, 7.82 ERA) was lit up last time out but owns solid career numbers against the Diamondbacks. 

The Bet: UNDER (4%). 

4% Warriors/Clippers NBA TOP PLAY of the Day

The Angle(s): The Los Angeles Clippers (No. 9) edged the Golden State Warriors (No. 10) 115-110 in their regular-season finale on April 12, but this do-or-die play-in rematch amps the stakes with elimination on the line. Expect both squads to clamp down defensively for a grittier battle than the recent, looser, matchup.

The Bet: UNDER (4%). 

4% Angels/Yankees MLB TOP PLAY of the Day

The Angle(s): The Los Angeles Angels are 8-2 to the over in their last 10, and yesterday's under still delivered eight runs total. Angels righty Jack Kochanowicz (2-0, 3.24 ERA) has solid form, but LAA is 2-1 to the over in his three 2026 starts, and he surrendered six runs in 12 IP vs. NYY last year. Yankees' Luis Gil (0-1, 6.75 ERA) coughed up three runs in four innings in his lone 2026 start so far.

The Bet: OVER (4%). 

EARLY 1 PM ET: Royals/Guardians MLB TOP PLAY of the Day

The Angle(s): This looks like a good spot for another under after seeing six and three runs respectively in the first two games of the series. Royals' left-hander Cole Ragans allowed one unearned run over six innings in his last start, and he has a solid track record against Cleveland. The Guardians counter with a left-hander of their own, Joey Cantillo, who has allowed three runs on just eight hits over nine innings on the season.

The Guardians are 2-0 to the under when facing a left-handed starter. 

The Bet: UNDER (4%). 

4% Pistons Magic NBA TOP PLAY of the Day

The Angle(s): The Orlando Magic are 7-3 to the over in their last 10 games, but the last two meetings with the Detroit Pistons both stayed comfortably under the total. The Pistons have clinched the No. 1 seed and can start resting players, and while the second-stringers will look to make the most of their minutes, the drop-off is big enough for me to like the under here.

The Bet: UNDER (4%). 

4% Jazz/Thunder NBA TOP PLAY of the Day

The Angle(s): The last meeting, with a closing total of 242½, went over the total, but only because it went to overtime. With the Oklahoma City Thunder more than a 20-point favorite, another OT seems unlikely, and I expect the home team to be able to bench its starters early. As for the Utah Jazz, several of their top scorers have missed extended time recently. 

The Bet: UNDER (4%). 

EARLY 1:30 PM ET: 4% Orioles/Pirates MLB TOP PLAY of the Day

The Angle(s): Orioles righty Chris Bassitt was charged with four runs in just 4 1/3 innings during a 5-2 loss to Texas in his season debut, but he's built a reputation as a reliable, durable mid-rotation starter, and he owns a sharp 2.27 ERA across six career starts against Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh's Braxton Ashcraft takes the mound after tossing six innings of two-run ball at Cincinnati in his season opener, fresh off a strong 2.71 ERA rookie campaign.

The Bet: UNDER (4%). 

4% Michigan/Arizona CBB TOP PLAY of the Day

The Angle(s): Both teams have lit up the scoreboard against tough opponents in NCAA Tournament play, and I think this total looks a little low. Michigan averages 87.7 points per game (11th nationally), and I expect the Wolverines to push the pace and force Arizona to keep up 

The Bet: OVER (4%). 

4% Magic/Mavs NBA TOP PLAY of the Day

The Angle(s): The defensively challenged Dallas Mavericks don't seem to mind letting their young talent focus on offense over defense down the stretch. The Orlando Magic are gearing up for postseason basketball, but they've allowed 130+ points in three of their last five games, while Dallas has conceded 120+ in 12 of its last 14.

The Bet: OVER (4%). 

4% Reds/Rangers MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY of the Day

The Angle(s): The Texas Rangers are 4-1 to the over this season, but Rangers lefty MacKenzie Gore boasts a sharp 2.45 ERA in five career starts against the Reds, who are 2-0 to the under against lefty starters on the season. Reds righty Brady Singer struggled in his season debut against Boston but is usually a reliable arm.

The Bet: UNDER (4%). 

4% Suns/Hornets NBA TOP PLAY of the Day

The Angle(s): The Charlotte Hornets are 63% to the under overall this season and 67% to the under as home favorites. They held Phoenix to just 111 points less than a month ago, but still lost 111-99. I expect both teams to bring solid defense again and keep the final score under the total.

The Bet: UNDER (4%). 

EARLY 1 PM ET: 4% Blue Jays/Rockies MLB TOP PLAY of the Day

The Angle(s): The Colorado Rockies are 4-1 to the under on the season, and a 14-5 win here in Toronto in the series opener, they've been held to eight runs in the other four games. The Rockies were 12-4 (75%) to the under in Kyle Freeland's road starts in 2025, and Toronto counters with the ever-solid Kevin Gausman who threw seven innings of one-run ball with 8 Ks in his last start versus Colorado (last season). 

The Bet: UNDER (4%). 

4% Angels/Cubs MLB TOP PLAY of the Day

The Angle(s): The Los Angeles Angels came out swinging hot bats, but they were held to just two runs in a 7-2 loss at Wrigley Field on Monday and here they'll face Jameson Taillon who posted an ERA of 3.05 in 10 home starts last season. LAA's Jose Soriano will make his second start of the year after holding the Astros scoreless over six innings of two-run ball in his season premiere. 

The Bet: UNDER (4%). 

4% Wizards/Lakers NBA TOP PLAY of the Day

The Angle(s): The Washington Wizards got blown out 123-86 at Portland last night, but I expect them to put up way more points tonight and help push this one over the total. They're 4-0 to the over on no rest lately, and 3-1 to the over on no rest coming off an under this season.

The Bet: OVER (4%). 

4% Wizards/Blazers NBA TOP PLAY of the Day

The Angle(s): The Portland Trailblazers are 15-2 (88%) to the over as home favorites. The Washington Wizards are 31-16 (66%) to the over as underdogs of 10 points or more on the season, and currently on a 10-2 run to the over in this spot. 

The Bet: OVER (4%). 

4% Rangers/Phillies MLB TOP PLAY of the Day

The Angle(s): The Texas Rangers and the Philadelphia Phillies have split two eight-run and nine-run games, but I think we'll see a lower-scoring series finale.

MacKenzie Gore held the Phillies to five runs on 10 hits over 18 innings last season and Jesus Luzardo limited Texas to one run over six frames. Luzardo has posted a solid ERA of 3.13 with 24 strikeouts over 23 innings across four career starts against Philly, all four stayed under the closing total. 

The Bet: UNDER (4%)

LATE 10 PM ET: 4% Jazz/Suns NBA TOP PLAY of the Day

The Angle(s): The Utah Jazz are 58% to the over overall on the season and 75% to the over as underdogs of 16 points or more. Additionally, they'll place on no rest and are 64% to the over on no rest on the season. History is on our side as well, with eight of the last 10 in this series going over the total. 

The Bet: OVER (4%). 

4% Purdue/Arizona CBB TOP PLAY of the Day

The Angle(s): The Arizona Wildcats play at one of the quickest tempos among the remaining teams in the tournament, consistently creating elevated possession counts that put totals in this range under pressure. While Arizona is elite defensively, the Purdue Boilermakers bring one of the most efficient offenses in the country and have already shown in this tournament they can generate points in bunches, including a triple-digit scoring performance earlier in the run.

The Bet: OVER (4%). 

LATE 10 PM ET: 4% D'Backs/Dodgers MLB TOP PLAY

ARI - R. Nelson vs LAD - E. Sheehan

The Angle(s): The Los Angeles Dodgers won the season-opener 8-2, and I expect their bats to stay active, but also that the Diamondbacks can contribute more runs to the total tonight. 

The Bet: OVER (4%). 

4% Knicks/Hornets NBA TOP PLAY of the Day

The Angle(s): The Charlotte Hornets are turning into a "dark horse" for the playoffs. No, I don't seriously then can be a threat to the title, but they're playing great basketball, and it all starts with good defending. Coming off a 134-90 win over the Kings, I think they can hold the Knicks in check here. 

The Bet: UNDER (4%). 

4% Angels/Astros  MLB TOP PLAY of the Day

The Angle(s): Both starting pitchers have impressive career numbers against today's opponent, but while the bats could come out cold, so could the arms as well and I think we'll see runs in this one. 

The Bet: OVER (4%)

4% Spurs/Grizzlies NBA Total TOP PLAY of the Day 

The Angle(s): The Memphis Grizzlies were blown out 146-107 in Atlanta on Monday, and while the San Antonio Spurs have scored 130+ points in three of their last four games, I still expect this to be a relatively low-scoring affair. The Grizzlies are 9-4 to the under as double-digit underdogs, and the Spurs can bring plenty of defensive pressure.

The Bet: UNDER (4%).

4% Warriors/Mavs NBA Total TOP PLAY

The Angle(s): The Dallas Mavericks are coming off a 138-131 loss to the Clippers and they've scored 120+ in four of their last six games. The Golden State Warriors have struggled defensively of late and they re 14-5 to the over as road favorites, which they are (-2) when this pick is posted. 

The Bet: OVER (4%): 

EARLY 12 PM ET: 4% Saint Louis/Michigan CBB TOP PLAY

The Angle(s): Michigan is 21-14 to the under on the season and although Saint Louis is coming off a 102 point outing against Georgia, note that the Billikens are 7-1 to the under in their last eight coming off an over. 

The Bet: UNDER (4%). 

4% Magic/Hornets NBA TOP PLAY of the Day

The Angle(s): The Charlotte Hornets are coming off a 136-106 win over the Heat, but they're 6-2 to the under as favorites coming off an over and 42-27 (61%) to the under overall on the season. The Orlando Magic lost 113-108 to the Thunder their last time out and eight of the last time meetings with Charlotte have stayed under hte total, suggesting they're likely to get buckets in this one as well. 

The Bet: UNDER (4%). 

4% NCAA Tournament TOP PLAY of the Day (Wednesday)

The Angle(s): New Mexico is 22-10 to the over on the season and Sam Houston 9-5 to the over as underdogs, 5-1 to the over getting five points or more. 

The Bet: OVER (4%).

Suns/Celtics NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY of the Day

The Angle(s): Jayson Tatum played a season-high 32 minutes Saturday in a 111-100 victory over the Wizards. The Celtics have played surprisingly well without their previously injured superstar, excelling on defense by holding opponents to an NBA-best 107.0 points per game. They're 8-2 to the under in their last 10 games, and I don't think they're about to abandon that hard-nosed defensive identity. 

The Bet: UNDER (4%). 

EARLY 1 PM ET: 4% Wolves/Thunder Total TOP PLAY of the Day

The Angle(s): This is a big revenge spot for the Oklahoma City Thunder after losing the last two meetings, both in Minnesota, making the Wolves responsible for almost 15% of OKC's 15 losses for the season. I expect the Thunder to lock down defensively, just like they did in their 104-102 win over Boston on Thursday. 

The Bet: UNDER (4%). 

EARLY 5% CBB A10 Total of the Year MEGA MAX

The Angle(s): The Dayton Flyers are 21-11 to the under on the season but 5-4 to the over as underdogs. Here against a Saint Louis team coming off an 88-81 win over George Washington with a spread similar to this and a 16-11 over/under record as favorites of five points or more, I think the bookmakers got this total wrong. 

The Bet: OVER (5%). 

Iowa State/Arizona CBB TOP PLAY of the Day 

The Angle(s): Both the Iowa State Cyclones and the Arizona Wildcats locked down their opponents in the previous round, but I think this total looks light. Sure, both teams (Arizona in particular) are rock solid on the defensive end, but both also average over 80 points per game. Arizona won 73-57 when they hosted the Cyclones less than two weeks ago, but I expect a better output from Iowa State in this matchup.

The Bet: OVER (4%). 

LATE 10:30 PM ET: 4% Wolves/Clippers NBA TOP PLAY

The Angle(s): The Los Angeles Clippers are 36-28 to the over on the season and 8-2 to the over in their last 10 games, but here they'll face a Minnesota Timberwolves team that has lost its scoring touch completely. On no rest after a 120-106 loss to the Lakers here in LA last night, expect the Wolves to control the tempo.

The Bet: UNDER (4%). 

4% BYU/West Virginia CBB TOP PLAY of the Day

The Angle(s): West Virginia is 21-10 to the under on the season and although BYU has played more overs than unders (18-14), I think scoring will come at a premium in this Big 12 Tournament matchup. 

The Bet: UNDER (4%). 

4% Pistons/Nets NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY of the Day

The Angle(s): The Detroit Pistons are 37-26 to the under on the season and the Brooklyn Nets 71% (12-5) to the under as underdogs of 10 points or more against Eastern Conference rivals. 

The Bet: UNDER (4%). 

Rockets/Spurs NBA TOP PLAY of the Day

The Houston Rockets are 57% to the under on the season, and the San Antonio Spurs 59% to the under. Additionally, eight of the last 10 meetings between these two in-state rivals have stayed under the total.

The Bet: UNDER (4%). 

4% Sixers/Hawks NBA TOP PLAY of the Day

The Angle(s): The Atlanta Hawks are pretty much an even 32-31 to the under over the season, but 11-5 to the under as home favorites. The Philadelphia 76ers have been held to 91-106 points over their last three games and I think this total looks way inflated. 

The Bet: UNDER (4%). 

4% Nets/Heat NBA TOP PLAY of the Day

The Angle(s): Eight of the last 10 meetings in this series have stayed under the total and the Brooklyn Nets have struggled to get buckets even more than usual since the All-Star break, while the Miami heat are 9-1 to the under laying double-digits on the season. 

The Bet: UNDER (4%). 

5% SUPER MAX NBA East TOTAL OF THE MONTH

The Angle(s): Both the Charlotte Hornets and the Boston Celtics have come out hot from the All-Star break, and it's mostly their play on the defensive end that has me impressed. The Celtics have conceded just 98 and 81 points across their last two games, to Philly and Milwaukee, and the Hornets 93 and 90 points, to Portland and Dallas, across their last two. With both teams locked in defensively, I like the under even at this relatively low number.

The Bet: UNDER (5%). 

4% Kansas/Arizona State CBB TOP PLAY of the Day

The Angle(s): The Kansas Jayhawks are 20-9 to the under on the season and although the Arizona State Sun Devils have a more modest 14-15 over/under record, not that they are 3-1 to the under as home underdogs. I think the road favorite will control the tempo and stifle the home team with its elite, top-tier defense (ranked 4th nationally by KenPom). 

The Bet: UNDER (4%). 

4% Knicks/Raptors NBA TOP PLAY of the Day

The Angle(s): The Toronto Raptors are 36-24 to the under on the season and the Knicks have held three of six opponents to fewer than 100 points following the All-Star break. 

The Bet: UNDER (4%). 

Kings/Lakers NBA Total TOP PLAY of the Day

The Angle(s): Both teams are coming off solid offensive outings (Kings a 130-121 win, Lakers a 129-101 win), and the Kings won 124-112 when they hosted the Lakers back in January. The injury report looks positive for the Lakers, which supports this pick as they're so much more productive with LeBron, Luka and Reaves together on the court. The Lakers are 8-4 to the over as home favorites against Western Conference rivals. 

The Bet: OVER (4%). 

EARLY 1 PM ET: 4% Blazers/Hornets NBA TOP PLAY of the Day

The Angle(s): The Charlotte Hornets are 36-24 to the under on the season and the Portland Trailblazers 10-5 to the under as road underdogs. 

The Bet: UNDER (4%). 

EARLY West Ham/Liverpool EPL Soccer TOP PLAY

The Angle(s): Liverpool has held a clean sheet in three consecutive games and West Ham has held three of its last four opponents off the score sheet, with all four games staying under three goals. 

The Bet: UNDER (4%). 

4% Nets/Celtics NBA Total TOP PLAY of the Day

The Boston Celtics have locked down opponents all season defensively, but this total feels way too low. After a 103-84 loss at Denver, expect Boston to ramp up the tempo and focus, especially against a tired Brooklyn Nets squad coming off a 126-110 loss to the Spurs last night. The Nets are 6-3 to the over with totals of 215 or lower, while the Celtics sit 2-2 O/U in similar spots.

The Bet: OVER (4%)

4% Miami-OH/Western Michigan CBB TOP PLAY of the Day

The Angle(s): Both teams have been trending heavily to the over all season and with the underdog coming off an 88-point outing, I like the over as I'm already very confident in the RedHawks offensive capabilities. 

The Bet: OVER (4%).

4% Spurs/Nets NBA Total TOP PLAY of the Day

The Angle(s): The San Antonio Spurs are 60% to the under on the season and 75% to the under vs teams from the East. The Brooklyn Nets have struggled to get buckets post All-star break with three of four games staying under the total. I don't think the Nets will be able to contribute enough points to push this one over.  

The Bet: UNDER (4%). 

4% Galatasaray/Juventus UCL TOP PLAY of the Day

The Angle(s): Juventus need goals after seeing a 2-1 lead slip away in the first leg to eventually lose 5-2 in Turkey. They need to score a minimum of three goals themselves to advance, which is completely possible, but will also mean they'll have to sacrifice on their defense as they try to push forward. I like the over as I think we'll see goals from both sides. 

The Bet: OVER (4%). 

Hornets/Bulls BE$T NBA PLAY Of the Day

The Angle(s): The Charlotte Hornets won 112-99 here in Chicago back in early January and the slumping Chicago Bulls have struggled to get buckets through a nine-game skid. The Hornets are 60% to the under on the season and I just don't see the Bulls contributing enough to push this one over the number. The spread is to juicy for my liking, but I'm confident in the over. 

The Bet: UNDER (4%). 

Spurs/Pistons 400* B€$T NBA PLAY of the Day

The Angle(s): Both teams are coming off high-scoring wins but I like the under in this matchup. The San Antonio Spurs are 4-1 to the under in non-conference games coming off an over and the Detroit Pistons 11-7 to the under as favorites in non-conference games. 

The Bet: UNDER (400*)

CBB BIG 12 Total of the Year 500* MEGA MAX

The Angle(s): Both the Cincinnati Bearcats and the Kansas Jayhawks are 18-8 to the under on the season with conference games no exception to the under trend. This is a low total, but note that Cincinnati is 5-0 to the under in games with totals of 140 or under, Additionally, the last three meetings all stayed under the total.  

The Bet: UNDER (500*)

Pacers/Wizards 400* B€$T NBA PLAY of the Day

The Angle(s): The Washington Wizards won 112-105 against Indiana Pacers last night, moving the the Pacers to 6-2 to the under as favorites on the season.  

The Bet: UNDER 400*

CBB WCC Total of the Year 500* MEGA MAX

The Angle(s): The Gonzaga Bulldogs are 16-11 to the under on the season and 14-7 to the under as double-digit favorites. The Dons are coming off a 92-79 win at San Diego, but note that they're 2-0 to the under scoring 90+ points in their last game. 

The Bet: UNDER 500*

Utah/Cincinnati CBB B€$T PLAY of the Day

The Angle(s): The Utah Utes have been held to sub 60 points in back-to-back games and they're 5-1 run to the under through a six-game losing streak. The Cincinnati Bearcats are coming off back-to-back 90+ point games but they're 5-3 to the under as favorites of 10 points or more. 

The Bet: UNDER (4%). 

5% Kentucky/Florida CBB Total of the Month SUPER MAX

The Angle(s): The Florida Gators are 16-8 to the under on the season but own a 2-2 o/u record in games with totals of 155 or lower. Matchups with the Kentucky Wildcats tend to end up being of the higher-scoring variety, with the last meeting just over a year ago ending with a combined 206 points. I really like the over at this line.

The Bet: OVER (5%). 

5% MAX BET: CBB Total of the Week

The Angle(s): Both teams are 15-10 to the under on the season and the two teams were held to a combined 121 points in their last game, it's worth noting Quinnipiac won despite scoring just 56 points!

The Bet: UNDER (5%). 

NBA East TOTAL OF THE YEAR: 5% MEGA MAX BET

The Angle(s): The Milwaukee Bucks have scored 105 and 99 points across their last two games and they've been held to under triple-digits in three of their last six games. There's a serious lack of scoring threat without injured superstar Giannis Antetokounmpo, but they've managed to stay somewhat competitive with hardnosed defense and have a 21-30 over/under record to go with their 21-30 win/loss record. I think this game will be of the lower-scoring variety. 

The Bet: UNDER (5%). 

Bulls/Nets NBA B€$T PLAY of the Day

The Angle: The Brooklyn Nets are coming off a 127-113 win over Washington and have seen each of their last three games fly over the total. The Chicago Bulls have conceded 135, 131, 123 and 136 points through their last four games, and I think both teams will have open lanes to the basket. 

The Bet: OVER (4%).

Wichita State/Tulane CBB B€$T PLAY of the Day 

The Angle: Both teams have seen more unders than over on the season, and Tulane is 3-1 to the under as home underdogs and Wichita State 9-5 to the under as favorites. 

The Bet: UNDER (4%). 

Warriors/Lakers NBA B€$T PLAY of the Day

The Angle: The Golden State Warriors won 101-97 at Phoenix on Thursday, without Steph Curry, who will miss his third straight game Saturday because of right knee soreness. The Los Angeles Lakers are also dealing with injuries as Luka Doncic (hamstring) will miss this game. There's still a lot of talent on the hardwood, but I think the scoring will take a bigger hit than what's reflected on the total. 

The Bet: UNDER (4%). 

5% MAX BET: Duke/UNC CBB TOTAL OF THE WEEK

The Angle: The Duke Blue Devils are 15-7 to the under on the season and the last two head-to-head matchups have gone under the total. 

The Bet: UNDER (5%).

NBA East TOTAL OF THE MONTH: 5% SUPER MAX

The Angle: Both teams are close to 60% to the under on the season, but I think this number is too low. The Bucks are 7-5 to the over as home underdogs and the Pacers a MASSIVE 1-0 to the over as road favorites. Not big sample sizes on either, but contributing factors and part of a bigger picture. 

The Bet: OVER (5%). 

Hornets/Rockets NBA B€$T PLAY of the Day

The Angle: Both teams have played more unders than over on the season, and with the trade deadline creating uncertainties in the lineups I can easily see both teams struggle with rhythm. 

The Bet: UNDER (4%). 

Wolves/Grizzlies NBA BE$T PLAY of the Day

The Angle: The Memphis Grizzlies are 27-19 to the under on the season and while the Minnesota Timberwolves have a fairly even distribution of overs (26) and unders (23) overall, note that they're 20-9 to the under as favorites of five points or more. 

The Bet: UNDER (4%). 

10:00 PM ET: Pistons/Warriors NBA BE$T PLAY of the Day

The Trend(s): The Detroit Pistons are 27-19 to the under on the season and 3-1 to the under as road underdogs. This will be the first meeting of the season, but the last three meetings all stayed under the total. 

The Bet: UNDER (4%). 

5% MAX: NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK

The Angle: The Houston Rockets have clamped down defensively lately and, on no rest after a 111-99 loss to the Spurs, won't want to run-and-gun in Atlanta. Already one of the league's slowest teams at 101.4 possessions per game, I expect them to set up a low-tempo grind. This total looks inflated.

The Bet: UNDER (5%). 

Magic/Heat NBA BE$T BET of the Day

The Angle: The slumping Orlando Magic have scored just 109, 97, 105 and 98 points through a four-game slide. The Miami Heat have seen better output, but they've struggled in three losses against the Magic this season and I think this will another close, low-scoring affair. 

The Bet: UNDER (4%).