Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-18-24 | Thunder v. Mavs -3.5 | Top | 116-117 | Loss | -108 | 16 h 25 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* THUNDER/MAVS NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Dallas Mavericks hold a 3-2 lead in the Western Conference second-round series, and I like them to cover the spread as they close out the series with a home win tonight. They're coming off a 104-92 win in OKC, and unlike many other teams, Dallas does not usually have a letdown game after a big win. Mavericks are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Thunder are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog. Mavericks are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 home games. 4* PLAY ON THE MAVS. |
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05-18-24 | Tigers v. Diamondbacks UNDER 7.5 | Top | 8-3 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 1 m | Show |
5* INTERLEAGUE TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Detroit Tigers opened this series with a 13-0 win Friday night. I think runs will also come at a premium for Arizona tonight, but I also think the Tigers will be struggling to put runs on the board. Before yesterday's win, Detroit had been shut out in back-to-back games, and Arizona right-hander Zac Gallen (5-2, 2.86 ERA) has allowed just one run on 10 hits over 17 innings in three home starts this year. As for Detroit starter Jack Flaherty (0-3, 3.88 ERA), the right-hander has posted an ERRA of 3.52 in four road starts and the D'Backs have scored only four runs through their last three games. 5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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05-17-24 | Knicks v. Pacers UNDER 215.5 | Top | 103-116 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 9 m | Show |
5* NBA EAST CONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET The Indiana Pacers have started to play defense, and the New York Knicks have, in turn, found ways to slow down the Pacers hectic pace. The last three games in this series have gone under the total, and I expect another relatively low-scoring affair here in Game 6 as the home team looks to fight off elimination. Under is 6-2 in Pacers last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Under is 5-2 in Knicks last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. 5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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05-17-24 | Brewers v. Astros -104 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 49 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Houston Astros are 7-1 in their last eight games and coming into this game on a five-game winning streak after coming through for us with an 8-1 win over the Oakland Athletics last night. Tonight, the Astros hand the ball to Hunter Brown (0-4, 7.79 ERA), who is better than his numbers so far would suggest. It's only a matter of time before he finds his groove, and I like the price we get on the Astros to pick up another win tonight. 4* PLAY ON THE ASTROS. |
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05-16-24 | Nuggets +115 v. Wolves | Top | 70-115 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
5* NBA WEST CONF GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Denver Nuggets lost the series' first two games, but they have since shown the kind of pedigree that defines champions. The Minnesota Timberwolves must be devastated after letting a 2-0 lead slip away, and I don't think they'll have an answer tonight either. The Wolves have a lot of talent, and they'll be a force to be reckoned with for seasons to come, but this is not their time. I don't think we need the points so I'm happy to take Denver at plus-money. Timberwolves are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite. Nuggets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog. 5* PLAY ON THE NUGGETS. |
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05-16-24 | A's v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 20 h 40 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* RUNLINE PLAY OF THE DAY The Houston Astros are 6-1 in their last seven games and covered the runline in four of those wins. I don't think they'll have any intentions of slowing down as they're just heating up following a slow start to the year, and tonight they'll face a right-hander in Joey Estes who has only three MLB starts under his belt. Houston counters with Cristian Javier (2-1, 4.01 ERA) who had allowed only four runs over 23 innings in five starts before giving up seven in 1 1/3 innings in Detroit his last time out. The A's do not have the bats to do anywhere close to that kind of damage. 4* PLAY ON THE HOUSTON ASTROS -1.5. |
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05-16-24 | Rays v. Red Sox UNDER 8.5 | Top | 7-5 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
5* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Boston Red Sox are 8-0 to the under in their last eight games and the Tampa Bay Rays have seen their last three games go under the closing total. Rays righty Zack Littell (2-2, 3.02 ERA) and Boston right-hander Cooper Criswell (2-1, 2.10 ERA) are both coming in hot and I think runs will come at a premium for both teams in this matchup. 5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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05-15-24 | Reds v. Diamondbacks -140 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* MLB MONEYLINE TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Cincinnati Reds are only 2-8 in their last 10 games and left-hander Andrew Abbott has posted an ERA of 4.70 through his last three starts while Arizona right-hander Brandon Pfaadt has posted an ERA of 2.93 through his last three starts. Additionally, it's worth noting that Arizona is batting .302 while averaging 7.2 R/9 against left-handers. 4* PLAY ON THE DIAMONDBACKS. |
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05-13-24 | Marlins v. Tigers -1.5 | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 2 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* MLB RUNLINE TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Detroit Tigers have cooled off following a hot start to the year. They are only 3-7 in their last 10 games after taking a 9-3 loss to the Houston Astros on Sunday, but they have faced some tough opponents lately, and this looks like a good spot to bounce back against a Miami Marlins team that is only 11-31 on the season. Detroit right-hander Matt Manning (0-1, 4.24 ERA) has been recalled from Triple-A Toledo to fill in for Kenta Maeda, and while that's a downgrade, Manning is still a better option than Miami's Sixto Sanchez (0-1, 7.50 ERA) who has posted an ERA of 8.44 over his last three starts. Despite their recent struggles, Detroit has averaged a healthy 5.3 runs per nine innings through its last five games, and I think they'll win this game by at least a couple of runs. 4* PLAY ON THE TIGERS -1.5. |
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05-12-24 | Reds v. Giants -123 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 10 m | Show |
5* NL GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Cincinnati Reds are only 1-9 in their last 10 games, and they've been unable to provide their pitchers with much run support during this slide. Runs are likely to come at a premium for the Reds today as well against Giants left-hander Kyle Harrison (3-1, 3.20 ERA), who has allowed just one run on 12 hits over 18 innings for an ERA of 0.50 in his last three starts. The team has won Harrison's last five starts, while the Reds are 1-3 in right-hander Frankie Montas' last four starts, and Montas has an ERA of 6.23 in his last three starts. 5* PLAY ON THE GIANTS. |
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05-12-24 | Knicks v. Pacers OVER 217 | Top | 89-121 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 50 m | Show |
5* NBA EAST CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET I still can't believe Game 3 did not go over the total, and I think the bookmakers are making a HUGE mistake with this total. Only a 5-minute scoring slump late in the fourth quarter stopped that game from reaching 230+ points, and I don't see the fast-paced Pacers being able to pace themselves (no pun intended). In addition to the over, I also like the New York Knicks to cover the number as they have proven capable of adapting to Indiana's pace. Knicks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog. Knicks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss. Pacers are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games following a straight up win. 5* PLAY ON THE OVER. |
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05-11-24 | Celtics -7.5 v. Cavs | Top | 106-93 | Win | 100 | 18 h 50 m | Show |
5* NBA EAST CONF ROUND 2 GAME OF THE YEAR MAX BET The Cleveland Cavaliers had the audacity to not only win Game 2 in Boston, but do so in a blowout. The Celtics will have a massive chip on their shoulder, and I think the Cavs will pay the price in Game 3 of the series in Cleveland Saturday night. Celtics are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss. Celtics are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Celtics are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Cavaliers are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS win. 5* PLAY ON THE CELTICS. |
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05-11-24 | Braves -1.5 v. Mets | Top | 4-1 | Win | 115 | 13 h 14 m | Show |
5* NL EAST GAME OF THE MONTH MAX BET The Atlanta Braves are coming off three straight multi-run wins, and today, they'll get a look at Mets rookie right-hander Christian Scott, who has only one career start under his belt. The Braves counter with their ace, left-hander Max Fried (2-1, 4.23 ERA) who has compiled an ERA of 1.64 over his last three starts. The Mets are averaging only 3.9 R/9 against left-handers, while the Braves are averaging a solid 5.1 R/9 overall. 5* play on Braves -1½. |
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05-10-24 | Royals -115 v. Angels | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 17 h 59 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Kansas City Royals are coming off a 10-4 win over the Los Angeles Angels, and tonight, they get a look at Griffin Canning (1-4, 6.69 ERA), who has had a tough start to the season. The Angels are 2-5 in Canning's seven starts and only 4-12 at home. When Canning is done, he'll hand over the ball to a bullpen that has posted an ERA of 5.44. The Royals have averaged a healthy 5.3 R/9 over their last 10 games. 4* PLAY ON THE ROYALS. |
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05-10-24 | Knicks v. Pacers OVER 222.5 | Top | 106-111 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 36 m | Show |
5* NBA EAST CONF ROUND 2 TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET Defense is not only optional but seemingly not allowed when the Indiana Pacers take the court. We have seen 238 and 251 points, respectively, in the first two games of the series at Madison Square Garden, and I think we'll see more of the same when the series moves to Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Add the fact that the Knicks will be without arguably their best defender, OG Anunoby, and I think we have a solid case for an over. Over is 36-16 in Pacers last 52 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5. Over is 7-0 in Pacers last 7 home games. Over is 8-1 in Knicks last 9 games as an underdog. 5* PLAY ON THE OVER. |
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05-09-24 | Avalanche +117 v. Stars | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 48 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* AVS/STARS NHL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Colorado Avalanche won in OT in the opener of this Western Conference semifinal series, and I like the price we get on the Avs to head back to Colorado with a commanding 2-0 lead. The Stars have a lot of talent on the team, but they're inconsistent and the Avs clearly have their number, as they are 5-1 in the last six meetings. 4* PLAY ON THE AVALANCHE. |
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05-09-24 | Mavs v. Thunder -4.5 | Top | 119-110 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 31 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* MAVS/THUNDER NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Oklahoma City Thunder had their way with the Dallas Mavericks in Game 1 of this Western Conference second-round playoff series, and I think we'll get another dominant performance from the home team in Game 2 tonight. They had a great game plan to stop Luka Doncic, and they're 4-1 SU against Dallas on the season. Thunder are 39-18-3 ATS in their last 60 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Thunder are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games. Mavericks are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5. 4* PLAY ON THE THUNDER. |
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05-09-24 | Mariners +113 v. Twins | Top | 1-11 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
MIKE'S EARLY 4* MARINERS/TWINS MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY Seattle right-hander Logan Gilbert (3-0, 1.69 ERA) has been one of the best pitchers in baseball so far in 2024. I trust him to slow down the Minnesota Twins while coming into this game as winners of 14 of their past 16 games, they are "only" 10-8 at home this season. Gilbert has faced the Twins three times in his career. He is 2-0 with a 1.69 ERA in those games, and Twins right-hander Pablo Lopez (3-2, 4.30 ERA) has not been quite as sharp as Gilbert so far this season. Additionally, it's worth noting that the Mariners are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games as underdogs. 4* PLAY ON THE MARINERS. |
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05-08-24 | Giants v. Rockies OVER 10 | Top | 8-6 | Win | 100 | 14 h 53 m | Show |
5* NL WEST TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET The San Francisco Giants opened this series with a 5-0 win, but I expect to see plenty of runs from both sides tonight. I do not doubt that the Giants will put up their fair share against Colorado right-hander Peter Lambert who has posted an ERA of 10.00 over his last three starts, but also think the Rockies will contribute after getting shut out. 5* PLAY ON THE OVER. |
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05-08-24 | Pacers +4.5 v. Knicks | Top | 121-130 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 23 m | Show |
5* NBA EAST CONF GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET We lost with the New York Knicks in Game 1 of the series, as while they won the game, they did not cover the spread. Prior to Game 1, I thought the Knicks were a more complete team than the Pacers, but I really like what we saw from the visitors who were in control for most of the game and got hosed by the officials down the stretch. I think the Pacers have a good chance of winning this one outright, but taking the points makes more sense in what's likely to be another nailbiter. Knicks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite. Knicks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win. Pacers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog. Pacers are 18-6-2 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up loss. 5* PLAY ON THE PACERS. |
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05-07-24 | Mavs v. Thunder -3.5 | Top | 95-117 | Win | 100 | 18 h 10 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* MAVS/THUNDER NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Dallas Mavericks are coming off a demanding 7-game series against the Los Angeles Clippers while the Oklahoma City Thunder are coming off a four-game sweep against the New Orleans Pelicans. I'm quite surprised to see this low of a number, as the Thunder are the No. 1 seed in the West, well-rested and fully healthy, while the Mavs got banged up in their first-round series. Thunder are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games. Thunder are 25-11-1 ATS in their last 37 games as a home favorite of 0.5-4.5. 4* PLAY ON THE THUNDER. |
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05-06-24 | Wolves v. Nuggets -5.5 | Top | 106-80 | Loss | -107 | 19 h 8 m | Show |
5* NBA WEST CONF ROUND 2 GAME OF THE YEAR MAX BET We lost with the Denver Nuggets in Game 1 of the series, but I'm not afraid to back them to bounce back with a win and ATS cover in Game 2. Despite that loss, I still have Denver as the better team and I don't think the Wolves will be quite as hungry after grabbing one in Denver. For the season, the Nuggets are 7-1 SU and ATS following a home loss. I find it nearly impossible for them to go 2-0 down in the series, and I expect them to win this one by double-digits. 5* PLAY ON THE NUGGETS. |
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05-06-24 | Rangers -130 v. A's | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 19 h 44 m | Show |
MIKE'S LATE 4* MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Oakland Athletics' six-game winning streak ended on Sunday with a 12-3 loss to the Miami Marlins. I think they're in for another loss here Monday night with left-hander Alex Wood on the mound, facing a Texas Rangers team averaging 4.5 R/9 against left-handers and are 5-3 on the season as favorites and facing a left-handed starter. This is also part of a bigger picture, as they were 20-11 as favorites against left-handed starters last year. 4* PLAY ON THE RANGERS. |
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05-05-24 | Brewers v. Cubs +116 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 116 | 14 h 19 m | Show |
MIKE'S 5* NL GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET I don't think the Milwaukee Brewers are quite as good as their hot start to the season would suggest. Regression is coming, and right-hander Freddy Peralta (3-0, 3.21 ERA) has allowed seven runs over 10 innings in his last two starts. Cubs right-hander Javier Assad (2-0, 1.97 ERA) has been elite, and he has allowed just three runs over 15 2/3 innings in his last three starts. 5* PLAY ON THE CUBS. |
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05-05-24 | Magic v. Cavs UNDER 194 | Top | 94-106 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 11 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* MAGIC/CAVS NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY With a Game 7 between two teams with more upside on the defensive end than the offensive end, I don't think the bookmakers can make the total low enough. Under is 9-2 in Cavaliers last 11 First Round games. Under is 5-2 in Magic last 7 First Round games. 4* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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05-04-24 | Wolves v. Nuggets -4.5 | Top | 106-99 | Loss | -107 | 16 h 23 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* WOLVES/NUGGETS NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY I have a ton of respect for this talented Minnesota Timberwolves team who most likely will be a problem in the West for seasons to come, but I'm not sure if they're ready just yet. Their sweep of the Phoenix Suns was impressive, but now they'll face a Denver Nuggets team that has winning mentality and postseason experience in abundance. Sure, they looked sluggish in their series against the Lakers, but still won 4-1. The Wolves went 3-1 ATS in the four regular-season meetings, but the Nuggets won 116-107 in the very last one here at Ball Arena on April 10. 4* PLAY ON THE NUGGETS. |
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05-04-24 | Tigers v. Yankees UNDER 8 | Top | 3-5 | Push | 0 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The New York Yankees have been held to two runs or fewer in five straight games and Detroit Tigers right-hander Casey Mize 1-0, 3.08 ERA) has allowed just six earned runs through his last four starts. The Detroit Tigers have averaged 4.1 R/9 on the road and Yankees righty Clarke Schmidt (2-1, 3.19 ERA) is off to a hot start to the year. 4* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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05-03-24 | Blue Jays -1.5 v. Nationals | Top | 3-9 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 28 m | Show |
5* INTERLEAGUE RUNLINE OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Washington Nationals have been shut out in two of their last three games, and they scored one run in the one they didn't. They're batting .212 while averaging 3.8 R/9 vs. left-handers and here they'll run into Toronto left-hander Yusei Kikuchi who is 2-1 with a 3.50 ERA in his last three starts. Nats left-hander Patrick Corbin is 0-1 with a 5.17 ERA in his last three starts and the team has lost four of his last five starts. 5* PLAY ON THE BLUE JAYS -1½. |
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05-02-24 | Bruins +100 v. Maple Leafs | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 16 m | Show |
5* NHL EAST CONF GAME OF THE MONTH MAX BET The Boston Bruins failed to close out this series on home ice on Tuesday, but they are still holding a 3-2 lead in the series and I think they'll get the job done tonight. The are an impressive 10-2 in the last 12 meetings (6-1 L7 in Toronto), and have already won twice in Toronto in this series. The Bruins are 25-9-9 on the road for the season while the Maple Leafs are only 22-17-4 at home. 5* PLAY ON THE BRUINS. |
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05-02-24 | Bucks v. Pacers UNDER 213 | Top | 98-120 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 40 m | Show |
5* NBA EAST CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Milwaukee Bucks are still alive in the series following a 115-92 win in Game 5. They were without Giannis Antetokounmpo and Damian Lillard, both listed as doubtful for this game, but figured out how to stop the high-scoring Pacers on the defensive end. I expect them to stick to the same game plan in Game 6, and Indiana does not strike me as a team that adapts well. 5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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05-01-24 | Mavs -2.5 v. Clippers | Top | 123-93 | Win | 100 | 17 h 36 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* MAVS/CLIPPERS NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The series is tied at 2-2 following a 116-11 Clippers win on Sunday. Both teams have won one at home and one on the road, and I like the Mavs to bounce back with a win and cover as a road favorite in LA here in Game 5. Mavericks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Mavericks are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 road games. Clippers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following an ATS win. Clippers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. 4* PLAY ON THE MAVS. |
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05-01-24 | Heat v. Celtics UNDER 199 | Top | 84-118 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 8 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* HEAT/CELTICS NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The last two games have seen just 188 and 190 points, respectively. I think we'll see another low-scoring affair as the Boston Celtics look to wrap up the series with a win as a double-digit favorite. Under is 8-2 in Celtics last 10 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 6-1 in Celtics last 7 playoff games as a favorite. Under is 6-1 in Heat last 7 playoff games as an underdog. 4* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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04-30-24 | Predators v. Canucks -115 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 44 m | Show |
5* NHL WEST CONF GAME OF THE WEEK The Vancouver Canucks are holding a 3-1 lead in the series, and I think they'll get another win to wrap it up on home ice tonight. They came from behind to get the win in Game 4, and the Preds will find it very difficult to regroup after that letdown. Additionally, note that the Canucks have won seven of the last eight head-to-head meetings, so they are clearly a bad matchup for the Predators. 5* PLAY ON THE CANUCKS.
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04-30-24 | Braves -123 v. Mariners | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -123 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
MIKE'S LATE 4* MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY This looks like a good spot to back the Atlanta Braves to bounce back from a 2-1 loss to Seattle in the opener of this series. Braves right-hander Reynaldo Lopez (2-0, 0.72 ERA) has been nearly unhittable with just two runs and 14 hits allowed against 24 strikeouts over 25 innings of work. His career numbers against the Mariners are not pretty, but he has not faced them since 2019 ... Seattle right-hander Luis Castillo (2-4, 4.15 ERA) is 0-3 with an ERA of 5.40 in his three home starts in 2024. 4* PLAY ON THE BRAVES. |
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04-30-24 | Pacers -4 v. Bucks | Top | 92-115 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 8 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* PACERS/BUCKS NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The banged-up Milwaukee Bucks have had no answer to the Indiana Pacers, who have won three straight since losing Game 1 of the series. The Pacers have scored 125, 121, and 126 games, and they have major incentives to close out this series before the Bucks get healthy. 4* PLAY ON THE PACERS. |
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04-29-24 | Lakers v. Nuggets -7 | Top | 106-108 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 34 m | Show |
5* NBA WEST CONF GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET I don't see how this series will end any other way than with a gentleman's sweep for the Denver Nuggets. Sure, they've looked far from dominant in this playoff series, but I expect them to come through with a complete outing after taking a 119-108 loss in Game 4. They had won 11 straight meetings with the Lakers prior to that loss, and I love the situational trends: Nuggets are 17-7 ATS in their last 24 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Lakers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. 5* PLAY ON THE NUGGETS. |
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04-28-24 | Wolves v. Suns UNDER 211.5 | Top | 122-116 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
5* NBA WEST CONF ROUND 1 TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET I expected much, much more from the Phoenix Suns in this series. On paper, they have all the talent needed to make some serious noise in the post-season. The Suns' stars have failed to gel as a team, though, and they have found it difficult to compete against a Minnesota Timberwolves team that is holding opponents to an NBA-best 106.3 points per game. Now down 3-0 in the series, I think we'll see the Suns' stars getting even more desperate and, as a result, take even worse shots, leading to a low-scoring game in which the Wolves should have an edge. 5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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04-28-24 | Bucks v. Pacers -9.5 | Top | 113-126 | Win | 100 | 11 h 60 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* BUCKS/PACERS NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Milwaukee Bucks won the opener of this playoff series, but it's been all Indiana Pacers since and I like the Pacers to win and cover here in Game 4. The Pacers won by three points in OT as a 6.5-point home favorite in Game 3, but the bookmakers are still making them an even bigger favorite in this game, which says a lot, IMO. The banged up Bucks have been without Giannis Antetokounmpo for the past six games, and now Damian Lillard is listed as doubtful and Khris Middleton listed as probable. 4* PLAY ON THE PACERS. |
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04-27-24 | Panthers -120 v. Lightning | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 41 m | Show |
5* NHL EAST CONF GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Florida Panthers are going for the sweep of this series, and I think the Tampa Bay Lightning are done and dusted at this point. The Panthers match up very well against Tampa Bay and have now won seven of the last eight meetings. Add the psychological factor of being 3-0 down, and I don't see the Lightning being able to muster up the energy to win even one game. 5* PLAY ON THE PANTHERS. |
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04-27-24 | Nationals v. Marlins UNDER 7.5 | Top | 11-4 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 29 m | Show |
5* NL EAST TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET The Washington Nationals opened this series with a 3-1 win Friday night, and I expect another low-scoring affair in Game 2 of the series. The Nats have scored a total of only eight runs through their last four games, and Miami right-hander Edward Cabrera (1-0, 3.27 ERA) has impressed in his two starts in 2024, with only four runs allowed and 17 Ks over 11 innings of work. The Marlins have been limited to a total of four runs through their last four games and Nats rookie left-hander Mitchell Parker has allowed just two runs with 12 strikeouts over 12 innings on the mound. Miami is averaging 2.4 R/9 vs. left-handers and Washington 3.7 R/9 vs. right-handers. 5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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04-27-24 | Thunder -107 v. Pelicans | Top | 106-85 | Win | 100 | 16 h 49 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* THUNDER/PELICANS NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The New Orleans Pelicans will. more or less, be fighting for their playoff life here after dropping two games in OKC, but I like the Thunder to win as a short road favorite at Smoothie King Center. The Thunder have won six of the last seven head-to-head matchups outright, while going 5-2 ATS, so they are clearly a bad matchup for the Pelicans. Pelicans are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Thunder are 37-18-3 ATS in their last 58 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. 4* PLAY ON THE THUNDER. |
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04-26-24 | Clippers v. Mavs -4.5 | Top | 90-101 | Win | 100 | 13 h 49 m | Show |
5* NBA WEST CONF GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Dallas Mavericks are coming off a 96-93 win in LA, and I don't see them giving up the precious homecourt advantage right away. Mavericks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games. Mavericks are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Clippers are 5-15 ATS in their last 20 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. 5* PLAY ON THE MAVS. |
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04-25-24 | Knicks v. 76ers -4.5 | Top | 114-125 | Win | 100 | 16 h 43 m | Show |
5* NBA EAST CONF ROUND 1 GAME OF THE YEAR MAX BET I expect to see a fired-up and desperate Philadelphia 76ers team after dropping two games in New York. They're significantly stronger at home at Wells Fargo Center than on the road, and this is a must-win game for the Sixers, as going down 0-3 would be devastating. 76ers are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 home games. 76ers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss. Knicks are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 playoff games as an underdog. 5* PLAY ON THE 76ERS. |
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04-25-24 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Nationals | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* MLB RUNLINE TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Los Angeles Dodgers are off to a fairly slow 14-11 start, but they're coming into this game riding a three-game winning streak, including 4-1 and 11-2 wins over the Washington Nationals. I expect another easy Dodgers win in the finale of this three-game series. The Nationals hand the ball to left-hander MacKenzie Gore (2-1, 3.60 ERA) who was tagged with four runs on six hits over four innings when he faced the Dodgers last year. The Dodgers counter with rookie right-hander Yoshinobu Yamamoto (1-1, 4.50 ERA), who has been a strikeout machine with 30 Ks over 22 innings. The Dodgers have lost four of his five starts, but I think that'll make them more motivated to step up for him today. 4* PLAY ON THE DODGERS -1.5. |
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04-24-24 | Pelicans v. Thunder -7.5 | Top | 92-124 | Win | 100 | 14 h 34 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* PELICANS/THUNDER NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY This looks like a good spot to back the Oklahoma City Thunder to bounce back with a big game after just barely getting a win in Game 1. That loss must be deflating for the Pels, who must feel like that was their chance to steal one in OKC. I stand by what I said in my Game 1 analysis, that these two teams are a lot closer in skill than the seeds would suggest, but the situation warrants a play on the Thunder. 4* PLAY ON THE THUNDER. |
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04-24-24 | Tigers v. Rays UNDER 8 | Top | 5-7 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
5* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET Detroit right-hander Jack Flaherty (0-1, 4.44 ERA) has recorded 18 Ks while allowing five runs over 12 1/3 innings in his last two starts combined. The Tampa Bay Rays counter with Shawn Armstrong (1-1, 4.09 ERA) who has made two starts and eight appearances on the season. Armstrong will serve as the opener before handing over to a bullpen that has gotten better following a slow start to the season. The Rays' bats have been quiet for some time, and I would not be surprised if the Tigers also come out flat tonight. 5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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04-23-24 | Mavs -2 v. Clippers | Top | 96-93 | Win | 100 | 19 h 30 m | Show |
5* NBA WEST CONF ROUND 1 GAME OF THE YEAR MAX BET The Los Angeles Clippers opened the series with a dominant wire-to-wire win, but the bookmakers are still making the Dallas Mavericks are road favorite here in Game 2. I agree with that as I expect a big bounce back game from the Mavs while the Clippers are at risk at coming out overcondident following their big win. Mavericks are 9-3 ATS sa favorites off a loss of more than 10 points. Mavericks are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 road games. Clippers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. 5* PLAY ON THE MAVS. |
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04-22-24 | Magic v. Cavs -5.5 | Top | 86-96 | Win | 100 | 14 h 13 m | Show |
5* NBA EAST CONF GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Cleveland Cavaliers won the opener of this series 97-83, and I don't think the Magic will be able to keep this one close either. The Cavs are 7-2 SU and 6-2-1 ATS in the last nine meetings and they've been reliable as home favorites this season. 5* PLAY ON THE CAVS. |
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04-22-24 | Maple Leafs v. Bruins -134 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -134 | 14 h 2 m | Show |
5* NHL EAST CONF ROUND 1 GAME OF THE YEAR MAX BET The Boston Bruins opened this series with a 5-1 win and they've now won eight straight head-to-head matchups with the Toronto Maple Leafs. The Leafs are 4-7 with a negative ROI of -20.7% as road underdogs on the season while the Bruins are 9-3 with a solid ROI of +29.5% as home favorites laying no more than -150. 5* PLAY ON THE BRUINS. |
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04-21-24 | Blue Jays +115 v. Padres | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 49 m | Show |
5* INTERLEAGUE GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Toronto Blue Jays are going for the sweep of this series, following a 5-1 win on Friday and a 5-2 win on Saturday. The Padres' scoring woes are likely to continue against Toronto right-hander Chris Bassitt, who has allowed just two runs on nine hits with 13 Ks over 13 innings in his last two starts. Meanwhile, San Diego right-hander Joe Musgrove has surrendered three runs or more in four of his five starts this season, and he has walked seven batters in his last two starts alone. 5* PLAY ON THE BLUE JAYS. |
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04-21-24 | Mavs -2.5 v. Clippers | Top | 97-109 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
5* NBA WESTERN CONF GAME OF THE MONTH MAX BET The Los Angeles Clippers have the higher seed and, as such, homecourt advantage in this battle between the No.4 and the No.5 seed in the West, but I, much like the bookmakers, make the Mavs the better team. That the Mavs are a road favorite here in the opener of this series is quite telling, and I don't think they'll let us down. Clippers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Clippers are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Clippers are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 playoff games as an underdog of 0.5-4.5. Mavericks are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games as a road favorite. 5* PLAY ON THE MAVS. |
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04-21-24 | Heat v. Celtics OVER 208.5 | Top | 94-114 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
5* NBA EASTERN CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET This is a low total, and if we combine the spread with the total the bookmakers project the Celtics to win 111.5 - 97.5. I think Heat will score 100+, but I'm still not sure that will be enough to cover the number; the Celtics are an offensive juggernaut that has scored 130+ points in back-to-back games while barely breaking a sweat. Over is 5-0 in Celtics last 5 games as a favorite of 11.0 or greater. Over is 4-0 in Heat last 4 games as an underdog of 11.0 or greater. 5* PLAY ON THE OVER. |
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04-20-24 | Suns +1.5 v. Wolves | Top | 95-120 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* SUNS/WOLVES NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The No. 3 seed, the Minnesota Timberwolves, finished the regular season with the better record, but the Phoenix Suns won all three meetings. Much like the bookmakers, I have Phoenix as the better team, and I think they'll start this series with a bang. Timberwolves are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games. Timberwolves are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. 4* PLAY ON THE SUNS. |
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04-19-24 | Bulls v. Heat -2.5 | Top | 91-112 | Win | 100 | 35 h 15 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Miami Heat are one of the most well-coached teams in the league, and they always show up in the playoffs. The betting market overvalues the Chicago Bulls following their dominant win over an Atlanta Hawks team that is well below playoff material. I'll gladly take Miami to cover this short number. 4* PLAY ON THE HEAT. |
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04-19-24 | White Sox v. Phillies UNDER 8 | Top | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 13 h 26 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Philadelphia Phillies have scored 12 runs through their last two games, but they're still 8-2 to the under in their last 10 games. The Chicago White Sox are averaging a pathetic 2-1 runs per nine innings on the season, and Philly right-hander Spencer Turnbull (1-0, 1.80 ERA) is off to a terrific start to the season. As for White Sox starter Garett Crochet (1-2, 3.57 ERA), the left-hander had allowed just four runs through his first three starts before giving up five runs in a 5-0 loss to Cincinnati in his last start. It was still a decent outing, though; Crochet had 10 Ks against four hits and three walks over his 4 2/3 innings on the mound. Crochet leads the American League with 31 strikeouts entering play on Thursday. 5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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04-18-24 | Oilers v. Avalanche -135 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
5* NHL WEST CONF GAME OF THE MONTH MAX BET The Colorado Avalanche have lost four of their last five games, but they have been dominant on home ice throughout the season long and they're in a revenge spot after taking a 6-2 loss in Edmonton earlier this month. The Oilers will be playing the second of back-to-back games after falling 5-2 to the Arizona Coyotes on Wednesday while the Avs have had plenty of time to prepare since their 4-3 OT loss in Vegas on April 14. 5* PLAY ON THE AVALANCHE. |
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04-18-24 | Rangers v. Tigers +100 | Top | 9-7 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 30 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* RANGERS/TIGERS MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY Detroit right-hander Kenta Maeda was slapped around by the Chicago White Sox in his season opener, but he has allowed only four earned runs on seven hits with 8 Ks over 11 innings in his last two starts. Maeda is 2-0 with a 3.32 ERA in five career appearances (four starts) against the Texas Rangers who will counter with rookie Jack Leiter, the No. 2 pick of the 2021 draft, who will make his MLB debut today. Leiter made six appearances in spring training, one start, going 0-2 with a 4.26 ERA, and his minor league numbers are not very impressive. Texas bullpen has an ERA of 4.93 on the season, while Detroit's relievers have posted a very solid ERA of 1.76. We lost with Detroit yesterday, as three errors basically cost them the game. I expect a more focused effort in this game as they look to salvage a split in the series. 4* PLAY ON THE TIGERS. |
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04-17-24 | Heat v. 76ers -4.5 | Top | 104-105 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 43 m | Show |
5* NBA EAST CONF PLAY-IN GAME OF THE YEAR MAX BET The Philadelphia 76ers have had their season ruined by injuries, but we've seen just how dangerous they are when healthy down the stretch. They are a top 3 team in the East IMO, and while the Miami Heat are a feisty bunch, I don't think they'll stand a chance in this matchup and might need to give up on this early to save energy for the second-chance game against the winner of Chicago Bulls vs. Atlanta Hawks. 5* PLAY ON THE 76ERS. |
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04-17-24 | Rangers v. Tigers -138 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -138 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
5* AL GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET Detroit left-hander Tarik Skubal has blanked his opponent in two of three starts on the season, and the Tigers won all three games. The Texas Rangers are 1-3 against left-handed starters. 5* PLAY ON THE TIGERS. |
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04-17-24 | Pirates v. Mets UNDER 8.5 | Top | 1-9 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
MIKE'S EARLY 4* MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Pittsburgh Pirates have been held to three runs or fewer in five of their last seven games. Today, they'll face Luis Severino, who has limited the Pirates to one run over 11 innings in two previous meetings. Severino gave up six runs (three earned) in his season debut but has since allowed just two runs over 10 innings. The Bucs hand the ball to left-hander Bailey Falter, who, like Severino, has recovered after a rocky first start. In his next two starts since his season opener, he has allowed only one run on five hits over 11 innings. 4* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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04-16-24 | Warriors -3 v. Kings | Top | 94-118 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 40 m | Show |
5* NBA WEST CONF WILD CARD GAME OF THE YEAR MAX BET The Sacramento Kings are stumbling into the postseason with only two wins in their last seven games, and now they're coming up against a Golden State Warriors team that is much better than its No. 10 seed would suggest. The playoffs always bring out the best of Steph Curry, and he's also great at elevating his teammates. The last three meetings were all decided by one point, but I think the Warriors will run away with this one. 5* PLAY ON THE WARRIORS. |
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04-16-24 | Rockies v. Phillies UNDER 8.5 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 16 h 10 m | Show |
5* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Philadelphia Phillies opened this series with a 2-1 win, and I expect another low-scoring affair when they host the Colorado Rockies for Game 2 Tuesday night. Phillies left-hander Ranger Suarez (2-0, 2.65 ERA) is off to a great start, and the Rockies are batting only .223 against left-handers. Rockies left-hander Austin Gomber (0-0, 4.91 ERA) is also off to a solid start, with eight runs allowed on 16 hits with a respectable 14 Ks over 14 2/3 innings of work. The Rockies have averaged 3.7 R/9 over their last five games, and the Phillies have averaged 3.1 R/9 over their last five games. 5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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04-15-24 | Canadiens v. Red Wings -1.5 | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 23 m | Show |
5* NHL EASTERN CONF GAME OF THE MONTH The Detroit Red Wings have a shot at making the playoffs despite winning only three of their last 10 games. They are currently in a three-way tie with Washington and Philadelphia for the second and final wild-card spot in the Eastern Conference, and the Pittsburgh Penguins are lurking just one point behind, so realistically, they'll need to win out to have a chance. Still, with two games to go, both against a Montreal Canadiens team eliminated from playoff contention, the Red Wings must like their chances, and I expect nothing less than 100% focus tonight. The Red Wings are converting on a solid 23.16% of their opportunities to play with a man advantage, while the Habs are killing off only 76.36% of their penalties. I expect the Wings to win one by at least two goals. 5* PLAY ON THE RED WINGS -1.5. |
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04-15-24 | Angels +1.5 v. Rays | Top | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 17 h 39 m | Show |
5* AL RUNLINE OF THE WEEK MAX BET Tampa Bay right-hander Zach Eflin has allowed 6, 1 and 5 runs through his first three starts of the season. With such inconsistency, I don't think the Rays should be this big of a favorite with Eflin on the mound, and without a reliable bullpen to back him up. The Rays relievers have a combined ERA of 6.23, which is dead last across the major leagues. 5* PLAY ON THE ANGELS +1.5. |
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04-13-24 | Lightning -135 v. Capitals | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -135 | 16 h 26 m | Show |
5* NHL EASTERN CONF GAME OF THE YEAR MAX BET This looks like a great spot to back the Tampa Bay Lightning to bounce back from a shootout loss in Ottawa on Thursday. They are 21-13 SU with a +10.9% ROI off a loss on the season (9-3 SU with a +28.9% ROI as road favorites). The reeling Washington Capitals have lost seven of their last eight games. 5* PLAY ON THE LIGHTNING. |
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04-12-24 | Twins v. Tigers -122 | Top | 2-8 | Win | 100 | 18 h 8 m | Show |
5* AL CENTRAL GAME OF THE MONTH MAX BET The Detroit Tigers hand the ball to left-hander Tarik Skubal for his second start of the season. Skubal tossed six scoreless innings against the Chicago White Sox in his season opener before giving up four runs in 6 1/3 innings against Oakland in his second start. The Tigers won both games, and I like the Tigers to pick up another win here against a Minnesota Twins team that is cold on the plate. It's also worth noting that Skubal has allowed just five hits over 12 scoreless innings in his last two matchups with the Twins. 5* PLAY ON THE TIGERS. |
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04-12-24 | Pacers v. Cavs -3 | Top | 120-129 | Win | 100 | 18 h 0 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* PACERS/CAVS NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY This looks like a good spot to fade the Indiana Pacers following three consecutive wins. In their last game, the Pacers put a 140-123 beating on Toronto, but they are only 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. The Cleveland Cavaliers had lost three on the bounce before their 110-98 win over the Memphis Grizzlies Wednessday night. They'll be looking forward to close out the regular season with two home games, and they are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite of 0.5-4.5. 4* PLAY ON THE CAVS. |
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04-12-24 | Braves v. Marlins OVER 8.5 | Top | 8-1 | Win | 100 | 18 h 33 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* MLB TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY Neither Atlanta left-hander Max Fried (0-0, 18.00 ERA) nor Miami left-hander Trevor Rogers (0-1, 5.40 ERA) has had a good start to the year, and I expect to see a fair amount of runs scored when the Marlins host the Braves for the opener of a three-game series Friday night. The Braves bats are red hot, and Miami scored five runs in a win over the Yankees in the Bronx in their last game. 4* PLAY ON THE OVER. |
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04-11-24 | Knicks v. Celtics OVER 213.5 | Top | 118-109 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
5* NBA EASTERN CONF TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET The Boston Celtics have had the No. 1 seed in the conference locked up for quite some time, and their only focus for now is to stay healthy, so they're unlikely to fight hard on the defensive end. The New York Knicks will be fired up as they push for the No. 2 seed in the East, and they are coming off back-to-back 120+ point games. Over is 8-3 in Celtics last 11 overall. 5* PLAY ON THE OVER. |
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04-10-24 | Mavs v. Heat +5.5 | Top | 111-92 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
5* NBA NON-CONFERENCE GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET This looks like a good spot to fade the Dallas Mavericks, who are in a potential flat spot following a 130-104 win in Charlotte last night, their fourth win and cover in a row. The Miami Heat will also play on short rest following a 117-111 win in Atlanta Tuesday night, but they have the homecourt advantage. Heat are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Heat are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 0 days rest. Heat are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5. 5* PLAY ON THE HEAT. |
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04-10-24 | White Sox v. Guardians UNDER 8.5 | Top | 6-7 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
5* AL CENTRAL TOTAL OF THE MONTH MAX BET The Chicago White Sox are 7-3 to the under for the season, and that should come as no surprise as they're averaging a paltry 2.1 R/9. Tonight, they'll run into Cleveland right-hander Tanner Bibee (1-0, 3.86 ERA) while countering with right-hander Erick Fedde (0-0, 2.79 ERA). Both pitchers are off to a solid start to the season, and I expect regression at the plate from both sides after combining for 12 runs yesterday. 5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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04-10-24 | Nationals v. Giants -1.5 | Top | 1-7 | Win | 106 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* MLB RUNLINE PLAY OF THE DAY The Washington Nationals are coming off three straight wins as +137, +193 and +174 underdogs. There's no way they can keep the upsets coming like this, and tonight they'll face a San Francisco Giants team desperate for a win and looking to deny the Nats to sweep the three-game series. Nationals left-hander Patrick Corbin has allowed eight runs over 10 1/3 innings in two starts on the season, while Giants right-hander Jordan Hicks has allowed just one earned run over his 12 innings on the mound. Additionally, note that Corbin has lost his past two starts against the Giants while allowing 15 hits and 10 runs over just 7 2/3 frames. 4* PLAY ON THE GIANTS -1.5. |
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04-09-24 | Magic v. Rockets +3 | Top | 106-118 | Win | 100 | 16 h 8 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* MAGIC/ROCKETS NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY This looks like a favorable spot to back the Houston Rockets to end a five-game losing streak. They're catching an Orlando team in a potential letdown spot following its 113-98 win over the Chicago Bulls last time out. Rockets are 18-7-2 ATS in their last 27 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. 4* PLAY ON THE ROCKETS. |
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04-09-24 | Orioles -136 v. Red Sox | Top | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
MIKE'S EARLY 4* MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY Baltimore right-hander Corbin Burnes has not disappointed through his first two starts with the team. The Orioles won both games, with Burnes allowing just three runs on 10 hits with 14 Ks over 11 2/3 innings. The Boston Red Sox are also 2-0 in Brayan Bello's two starts, but he has allowed six runs over 10 innings. While it was enough to defeat Seattle and Oakland, I think Boston and Bello will take an L here. 4* PLAY ON THE ORIOLES. |
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04-08-24 | Golden Knights +106 v. Canucks | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 49 m | Show |
5* NHL WESTERN CONF GAME OF THE WEEK This looks like a great spot to back the Vegas Golden Knights to bounce back from a humbling 7-4 loss as close to a -200 favorite in Arizona Friday night. They've had the whole weekend to mull over the loss, while the Vancouver Canucks were in action on Saturday when they lost 6-3 in LA. The Knights have won 10 of the last 13 matchups in Vancouver, and while the Canucks are coming into this game with the better record, I'm not convinced they're the better team. 5* PLAY ON THE GOLDEN KNIGHTS. |
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04-08-24 | Rays -135 v. Angels | Top | 1-7 | Loss | -135 | 16 h 18 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Tampa Bay Rays roll into Los Angeles on the back of a pair of wins in Colorado. Tonight, they hand the ball to Zach Eflin, who limited Texas to one run on five hits over 6 1/3 innings in his last start. The Angels counter with left-hander Tyler Anderson who is coming off seven scoreless innings against Miami, but his career numbers against the Rays are ugly (nine runs allowed over 10 1/3 frames). The Rays are averaging 5.5 R/9 while batting .272 against left-handers on the season. 4* PLAY ON THE RAYS. |
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04-08-24 | Purdue v. Connecticut -6.5 | Top | 60-75 | Win | 100 | 16 h 55 m | Show |
MIKE'S 5* NCAA TOURNAMENT CHAMPIONSHIP GAME BEST BET The defending champions, the UConn Huskies, are the first team since North Carolina (2016, 2017) to play in back-to-back title games. They're perfect 5-0 SU in their previous five title game appearances. Both teams are perfect against the spread in the NCAA tournament this year, but I make the Huskies an even bigger favorite for this matchup than the bookmakers do. 5* PLAY ON UCONN. |
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04-07-24 | Stars v. Avalanche -125 | Top | 7-4 | Loss | -125 | 19 h 16 m | Show |
5* STARS/AVS NHL WESTERN CONF GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Dallas Stars and the Colorado Avalanche are jostling for the No. 1 seed in the Western Conference. The Stars are currently sitting at No. 1, with the Avs in third and the Vancouver Canucks in the mix as well. The Avs have owned the Stars in recent seasons, and they've already defeated Dallas twice this calendar year. The Stars are one of the hottest teams in the NHL, while the Avs are only 2-4 in their last six, but I like the price we get on the Avs to bounce back from a 6-2 loss to the Oilers. 5* PLAY ON THE AVS. |
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04-07-24 | Thunder v. Hornets OVER 215 | Top | 121-118 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
5* NBA NON-CONFERENCE TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Oklahoma City Thunder are 44-32-1 to the over for the season, and I expect them to give us a strong effort on the offensive end tonight following a 126-112 loss to the Indiana Pacers in their last game. Over is 21-7 in Thunder last 28 games following a straight up loss. Over is 8-2 in Thunder last 10 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. Over is 9-2 in Thunder last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Over is 6-1 in Hornets last 7 games as an underdog. 5* PLAY ON THE OVER. |
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04-07-24 | Pelicans v. Suns -6.5 | Top | 113-105 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 33 m | Show |
5* NBA WESTERN CONF GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET The Phoenix Suns and the New Orleans Pelicans are heading into Sunday with almost identical records, but the Pels are going through a slump and coming off four consecutive losses. The Suns on the other hand are gearing up in time for the playoffs, and they're 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5. The Pelicans are 11-25-1 ATS in their last 37 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. 5* PLAY ON THE SUNS. |
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04-06-24 | Canucks v. Kings UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 22 m | Show |
5* NHL WESTERN CONF TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET The Los Angeles Kings and the Vancouver Canucks clashed twice in March, with the Canucks winning 2-1 in LA and the Kings winning 3-2 in Vancouver. The over/under is 0-9-1 in the last 10 meetings, and I expect another low-scoring affair in this preview of a potential first-round playoff matchup. The Canucks have not scored more than three goals in any of their last five games, and the Kings have scored three goals or fewer in four of their last five games. 5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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04-06-24 | Alabama v. Connecticut UNDER 161.5 | Top | 72-86 | Win | 100 | 20 h 55 m | Show |
5* NCAA TOURNAMENT FINAL FOUR TOTAL OF THE YEAR MAX BET The Alabama Crimson Tide have scored 89 points in back-to-back games, but tonight they'll face a UConn Huskies team that has held its last two opponents to 52 points each, and its last four opponents to 58 points or fewer. The Huskies will dominate the game and control the tempo, and I expect them to make this a relatively low-scoring affair. Under is 4-0 in Huskies last 4 NCAA Tournament games. Under is 6-1 in Huskies last 7 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5. Under is 9-4 in Crimson Tide last 13 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5. 5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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04-06-24 | 76ers -12 v. Grizzlies | Top | 116-96 | Win | 100 | 17 h 38 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Philadelphia 76ers have been heating up as they've been getting healthier, but they still have to make up ground to avoid the play-in tournament. The Sixers are a lot more dangerous than their current 8th-seed would suggest, and I think they'll make light work of a Memphis Grizzlies team that will play on short rest following a 108-90 win over the Detroit Pistons last night. Additionally, the Grizzlies are in a potential letdown spot after three consecutive upset wins. 4* PLAY ON THE 76ERS. |
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04-06-24 | Mets v. Reds OVER 9 | Top | 6-9 | Win | 100 | 15 h 12 m | Show |
5* NATIONAL LEAGUE TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET I expect to see a fair amount of runs scored when the Cincinnati Reds host the New York Mets Saturday afternoon. Mets right-hander Luis Severino was slapped around for six runs (three earned) on 11 hits over five innings in his season debut. Mets right-hander Nick Martinez gave up three runs on six hits over five innings against the Washington Nationals in his first start of the season. The Reds have been swinging hot bats, and this looks like a good spot for the Mets bats to get going after a slow start to the season. 5* PLAY ON THE OVER. |
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04-05-24 | Kings v. Celtics -10 | Top | 100-101 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 12 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Boston Celtics are coming off three straight double-digit wins, and I think they'll keep pressing the pedal to the metal when they host the Sacramento Kings Friday night. The Kings will play on no rest and fatigue was already an issue yesterday when they fell apart in the second half of a 120-109 loss to the Knicks in New York. Celtics are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games. Celtics are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite of 11.0 or greater. Celtics are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Kings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. 4* PLAY ON THE CELTICS. |
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04-04-24 | Warriors v. Rockets UNDER 227.5 | Top | 133-110 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 42 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* NBA TOTAL TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The over/under is 1-4 in the last five meetings and the under is 35-16-1 in Rockets last 52 vs. a team with a winning straight up record and 8-3 in Warriors last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. 4* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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04-04-24 | Kings v. Knicks -3.5 | Top | 109-120 | Win | 100 | 15 h 49 m | Show |
5* NBA NON-CONFERENCE GAME OF THE WEEK MAX BET This looks like a good spot to back the New York Knicks to bounce back from three consecutive losses while at the same time fading a Sacramento Kinsg team that is coming off a pair of double-digit wins. Knicks are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 games as a favorite of 0.5-4.5. Knicks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss. Kings are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following an ATS win. Kings are 4-13-1 ATS in their last 18 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. 5* PLAY ON THE KNICKS. |
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04-03-24 | Cavs v. Suns -5.5 | Top | 101-122 | Win | 100 | 16 h 30 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY This looks like a good spot to fade the Cleveland Cavaliers following their 129-113 win in Utah Tuesday night. The Cavaliers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight-up record, and they'll face a Phoenix Suns team that'll play in front of their hometown crowd for the first time since March 21. The Suns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5. 5* PLAY ON THE SUNS. |
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04-02-24 | Cavs -11.5 v. Jazz | Top | 129-113 | Win | 100 | 16 h 43 m | Show |
5* NBA NON-CONFERENCE GAME OF THE MONTH MAX BET This looks like a great spot to back the Cleveland Cavaliers to bounce back from a humbling 130-101 loss to the Nuggets in Denver. Tonight they'll take on a far easier opponent in a Utah Jazz team that is coming off a 127-106 loss in Sacramento and is winless and 2-7 ATS in its last nine games. Cavaliers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Jazz are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Jazz are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. 5* PLAY ON THE CAVS. |
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04-02-24 | Angels v. Marlins -140 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -140 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY I expect to see a hungry Miami Marlins come out fully focused as they're in desperate need of a win following an 0-5 start to the season. In his season debut, Marlins' right-hander Jesus Luzardo held Pittsburgh to two runs with eight strikeouts over five innings. Luzardo was 5-4 with an ERA of 2.99 in 19 home starts last season, and he has limited the Angels to two runs over 10 innings in previous meetings. Angels veteran left-hander Tyler Anderson will make his season debut today. Anderson typically struggles early in the season and owns a career ERA of 5.19 in Apri throughout his career 4* PLAY ON THE MARLINS. |
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04-01-24 | Suns v. Pelicans UNDER 225 | Top | 124-111 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 39 m | Show |
5* NBA WESTERN CONF TOTAL OF THE WEEK MAX BET The New Orleans Pelicans and the Phoenix Suns are coming into the week in sixth and eighth place, respectively. With both teams in need of wins down the stretch, I think we'll see a low-scoring game of playoff character when they clash on Monday night. Under is 21-6 in Pelicans last 27 games as an underdog of 0.5-4.5. Under is 5-1 in Suns last 6 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. 5* PLAY ON THE UNDER. |
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03-31-24 | Bulls v. Wolves OVER 212 | Top | 109-101 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 39 m | Show |
5* NBA EAST vs. WEST TOTAL OF THE MONTH The Minnesota Timberwolves are holding opponents to an NBA-best 106.2 points per game on the season, but I think the bookmakers have set the total way too low for this Sunday night matchup with the Chicago Bulls. Over is 4-0 in Timberwolves last 4 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Over is 8-0 in Bulls last 8 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. 5* PLAY ON THE OVER. |
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03-31-24 | 76ers -11 v. Raptors | Top | 135-120 | Win | 100 | 16 h 35 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* SIXERS/RAPTORS NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY The Philadelphia 76ers are dealing with injuries, but they're still a much stronger team than the Toronto Raptors and I expect to see a focused and motivated Sixers team tonight as they look to end a three-game losing streak. 76ers are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite of 11.0 or greater. Raptors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 11.0 or greater. Raptors are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Raptors are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games as a home underdog. 4* PLAY ON THE SIXERS. |
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03-31-24 | Angels v. Orioles -150 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -150 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY Last season, the Orioles were a solid 36-19 (+$17.9% ROI) against left-handed starters, and they won 11-3 when they faced Angels' left-handed starter Patrick Sandoval in the season opener. They've outscored the Angels 24-7 through the first two games of this series, and I think they'll win easily again here against Angels' lefty Reid Detmers. 4* PLAY ON THE ORIOLES. |
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03-30-24 | Clemson v. Alabama -2.5 | Top | 82-89 | Win | 100 | 21 h 12 m | Show |
5* CBB TOURNEY ELITE 8 GAME OF THE YEAR Both teams are coming into this NCAA Tournament West Regional final matchup off impressive upset wins against the top-two seeds in the Sweet 16, but I like the Alabama Crimson Tide to be the team to move on to the Final Four. Clemson defeated Bama 85-77 in Tuscaloosa in November, but that was part of a rough five-game losing streak for the Tide, who are in a much better position now. Bama scored 89 points on UNC last time out, and their 90.7 points per game is the best scoring average in the nation. Clemson has won as underdogs three times in the tournament, but this is where the Tigers run comes to an end. 5* PLAY ON ALABAMA. |
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03-30-24 | Bucks -4.5 v. Hawks | Top | 122-113 | Win | 100 | 19 h 34 m | Show |
5* NBA EASTERN CONF GAME OF THE MONTH This looks like a great spot to fade the Atlanta Hawks who are coming off back-to-back double-digit upset wins over the Boston Celtics. The Milwaukee Bucks, meanwhile, will be looking to bounce back from losses to the LA Lakers and the New Orleans Pelicans. 5* PLAY ON THE BUCKS. |
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03-30-24 | Hurricanes -1.5 v. Canadiens | Top | 3-0 | Win | 102 | 20 h 31 m | Show |
5* NHL EASTERN CONF GAME OF THE MONTH This looks like an ideal spot to fade a Montreal Canadiens team coming off three consecutive upset wins. Tonight, they'll face a Carolina Hurricanes team that is as solid as always, and coming off a 4-0 win over the Detroit Red Wings. The Canes are 4-1 SU as road favorites of -200 or more, and all wins came by at least two goals. 5* PLAY ON THE HURRICANES -1.5. |
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03-30-24 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Aston Villa -160 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 46 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* EPL SOCCER BOOKIE BU$TER Aston Villa is coming into the weekend in fourth place, which would give them a spot in the Champions League next season if the season ended today. Villa is desperate to get back on track after two winless games, and the team is a solid 10-1-3 home at Villa Park for the season. Wolves are a mid-table team, and I don't think the visitors can match the home team's motivation and hunger. 4* PLAY ON ASTON VILLA. |
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03-29-24 | Creighton +3.5 v. Tennessee | Top | 75-82 | Loss | -120 | 17 h 7 m | Show |
MIKE'S CBB TOURNEY SWEET 16 GAME OF THE YEAR The Tennessee Volunteers are 2-12-2 ATS in their last 16 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5 while the Creighton Bluejays are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games as an underdog and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. The Vols have an edge of the defensive end, but they made only 33.8% of their shots when they knocked out Texas in the last round while Creighton has a lot of scoring threats. 5* PLAY ON CREIGHTON. |
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03-29-24 | Warriors -12 v. Hornets | Top | 115-97 | Win | 100 | 14 h 13 m | Show |
MIKE'S 4* NBA TOP PLAY OF THE DAY This looks like a fantastic spot to fade the Charlotte Hornets, who are coming off a 118-111 win as a 9.5-point underdog to the Cleveland Cavaliers. Since the All-Star break, underdogs off a win as an underdog are only 14-31 ATS, and the Warriors are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a road favorite of 11.0 or greater. 4* PLAY ON THE WARRIORS: |