Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
05-27-19 | Indians v. Red Sox -1.5 | Top | 5-12 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
GAME OF THE MONTH (MLB): MIKE'S TOP RATED RUNLINE FOR MAY The slumping Cleveland Indians have dropped six of their last seven games and have scored more than three runs just once during that span. This looks like a very tough matchup with Boston Red Sox and right-hander Rick Porcello. Porcello (3-4, 4.45 ERA) held Toronto to one run over six innings in a no decision last time out. The Red Sox have won six of his last seven starts and Porcello is 10-5 with a 3.57 ERA in 24 career starts against the Indians who counter with Jefry Rodriguez. Rodriguez (1-4, 4.08 ERA) was tagged with five runs (four earned) in four innings against the Oakland Athletics on Wednesday and Cleveland has lost four of his six starts on the season. The Red Sox are a perfect 3-0 SU and against the runline in Porcello's last three starts as a -170 favorite or larger. 10* play on Boston Red Sox -1.5. |
|||||||
05-26-19 | Mariners v. A's -1.5 | Top | 1-7 | Win | 123 | 15 h 26 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB BIG HITTER The red hot Oakland Athletics are going for a ninth consecutive triumph when they host the Seattle Mariners for the finale of this three-game set Sunday afternoon. The A's have averaged 7.3 rpg during the winning streak and should have no trouble to pile up the runs here against right-hander Mike Leake (3-5, 4.73 ERA) who was tagged with seven runs on 11 hits (three home runs) in five innings at Texas last time out. Seattle has lost six of his last seven starts. Oakland hands the ball to left-hander Brett Anderson (5-3, 4.14 ERA) who limited Cleveland to one run in 5 1/3 frames of a 6-4 win last time out. Anderson is 4-1 behind a 3.00 ERA in six day starts on the season and 5-1 in his last six home starts. The Mariners are 0-6 in their last six road games vs. a left-handed starter and 6-20 in their last 26 overall. 10* play on Oakland Athletics -1.5. |
|||||||
05-25-19 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Pirates | Top | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 21 h 35 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (MLB): TOP RATED MLB RUNLINE RIPPER The Los Angeles Dodgers put a 10-2 beating on the Pittsburgh Pirates here at PNC Park Friday night to make it eight straight wins in the head-tó-head series. This looks like it should be another comfortable win for the visitors with Hyun-Jin Ryu (6-1, 1.52 ERA) on the mound. The left-hander enters this contest riding a 31-inning scoreless streak and he is 5-0 with a 2.51 ERA in five career starts against the Pirates. Joe Musgrove (3-4, 3.67 ERA) will toe the slab for the home team. He was tagged with four runs (three earned) over 6 1/3 innings of a 6-4 win at San Diego last time out. Musgrove was reached for seven runs (five earned) in just 2 2/3 frames his last home start. The Pirates are 2-6 in their last 8 games vs. a left-handed starter. The Dodgers are 36-16 in their last 52 games vs. a right-handed starter. 10* play on Los Angeles Dodgers. |
|||||||
05-13-19 | Indians -1.5 v. White Sox | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 50 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MONDAY NIGHT MLB RUNLINE RIPPER The Indians and the White Sox split a four-game series at Cleveland last week. In Game 3 of that series we saw the same pitching matchup we will see tonight. The Tribe won that contest 5-3, and I expect a comfortable win for the visitors tonight. Indians right-hander Shane Bieber (2-1, 3.32 ERA) owns a solid 48/13 K/BB ratio in 43 1/3 innings on the season and has delivered a quality start in six of his last eight outings. Bieber is 2-0 with a 2.14 ERA in four outings away from home on the season. He limited the White Sox to three runs over six innings last time out and held them scoreless through 12 2/3 innings of work last season. The White Sox counter with Reynaldo Lopez (2-4, 6.38 ERA) who was tagged with three runs on nine hits across six innings against the Tribe last time out. The current Indians' roster is batting a combined .328 over 58 at bats against Lopez who has posted a 7.18 ERA in five starts home at Guaranteed Rate Field this season. Indians are 8-1 in Bieber's last 9 road starts. White Sox are 4-12 in Lopez's last 16 starts vs. a team with a winning record. 10* play on Cleveland Indians. |
|||||||
05-09-19 | Giants v. Rockies -1.5 | Top | 11-12 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (MLB): MIKE'S TOP RATED RUNLINE RIPPER The Colorado Rockies are just 3-3 through their last six games despite having scored 45 runs during that stretch. I think they'll continue to swing hot bats and get the win here against San Francisco Giants' left-hander Derek Holland. Holland (1-4, 5.34 ERA) has not had much success in previous meetings with the Rockies, posting a 6.18 ERA in five career starts. He's been particularly poor in meetings at Coors Field where he has a 10.00 ERA. Colorado counters with left-hander Kyle Freeland (2-5, 5.90 ERA) who has been tagged with 13 runs through two starts since returning from a left middle finger blister. He is however 5-3 with a 2.87 ERA and 32 strikeouts in nine starts against the Giants and I expect a big outing from Freeland today. The Rockies are 14-3 in Freeland's last 17 home starts. The Rockies are 4-1 in Freeland's last 5 home starts vs. Giants. 10* play on Colorado Rockies RL. |
|||||||
04-15-19 | Orioles v. Red Sox -1.5 | Top | 8-1 | Loss | -137 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
ORIOLES @ RED SOX RUNLINE RIPPER The Boston Red Sox have taken two of the first three games of this four-game series following a dominant 4-0 triumph on Sunday. I like them to pick up an easy win here in the series finale Monday afternoon with right-hander Hector Velazquez on the mound. Velazquez (0-0, 2.79 ERA) was 1-0 with a 3.09 ERA in five outings (two starts) covering 11 2/3 total innings against Baltimore last season. While this will be Velazquez second start of the season, note that he pitched three shutout innings as the starter in a 1-0 win over the Diamondbacks last Sunday. The Orioles turn to Dan Straily (0-1, 19.29 ERA) who is 0-1 with a 6.00 ERA in two career starts against the Red Sox. Straily was tagged with five runs on eight hits in just 3 1/3 innings of a 10-3 loss to Oakland last time out. On the season, he has served up four homers through 4 2/3 innings of work. 10* play on Boston Red Sox. |
|||||||
04-10-19 | Rays -1.5 v. White Sox | Top | 9-1 | Win | 101 | 6 h 37 m | Show |
SUPER EARLY MLB BIG HITTER (RUNLINE) The Tampa Bay Rays have opened the season with nine wins in 12 games and they're 4-1 in the road. That includes a 10-5 win over the Chicago White Sox Tuesday afternoon, and I expect the Rays bats to stay hot here against White Sox right-hander Reynaldo Lopez. Lopez (0-1, 10.00 ERA) was tagged with six runs and six hits over five innings. He'll go toe-to-toe with Rays' right-hander Tyler Glasnow (2-0, 0.82 ERA) who was poor during spring training but has turned up the heat when it matters. Glasnow has allowed just one earned run on nine hits through 11 innings and shut out the Giants over six frames last time out. The White Sox's relievers rank dead last in the major leagues with a 6.72 ERA. Let's roll with the Rays for a second straight day. 10* play on Tampa Bay Rays. |
|||||||
04-09-19 | Rays -1.5 v. White Sox | Top | 10-5 | Win | 105 | 7 h 13 m | Show |
EARLY TOP RATED 10* MLB RUNLINE RIPPER The Tampa Bay Rays are 8-3 on the season following a 5-1 victory in the opener of a three-game series against the Chicago White Sox on Monday. They're 5-2 SU and against the runline as a favorite on the season, and I think we're getting good value on the Rays to win by at least two runs today. The White Sox hand the ball to right-hander Ervin Santana (2018: 0-1, 8.03 ERA) for his team debut. Santana made just five starts with Minnesota last year due to various injuries and might be on a pitch count in this contest. He has posted a 5.31 ERA in 17 starts versus the Rays and I think they'll chase him off the mound early here, only for one of the worst bullpens in baseball to take over. The Rays counter with veteran right-hander Charlie Morton (1-0, 1.64 ERA) who has opened the season strong, allowing just a pair of runs with 14 strikeouts through 11 innings of work. The White Sox are 2-11 in their last 13 after allowing five runs or more in their previous game and 1-7 in their last 8 home games vs. a right-handed starter. 10* play on Tampa Bay Rays. |
|||||||
10-03-18 | A's +1.5 v. Yankees | Top | 2-7 | Loss | -130 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
ATHLETICS @ YANKEES RUNLINE RIPPER The NY Yankees host the Oakland Athletics in the American League Wild Card game Tuesday night. I think the bookmakers have made the home team too big of a favorite in this matchup and I'm happy to take the extra run and half on Oakland at this price. Oakland will head to the Bronx filled with confidence knowing that they reached Yankees right-hander Luis Severino (19-8, 3.39 ERA) for six runs (five earned) on six hits and a walk in 2 2/3 innings last month. Severino was razor sharp before the All Star break but only 5-6 with a 5.57 ERA in his last 12 starts and he is 1-1 with a 5.63 ERA in four postseason starts. The A's will not use a traditional starter but instead utilize an opener in Liam Hendricks (0-1, 4.13 ERA). Hendricks' will be backed up by veteran starters Edwin Jackson and Mike Fiers along with relievers Fernando Rodney, Jeurys Familia, Shawn Kelley and closer Blake Treinen among others. Note that Oakland used the opener technique nine times in September and went 4-5 with a 1.86 ERA in those games. 10* play on Oakland Athletics +1.5. |
|||||||
09-28-18 | Nationals v. Rockies -1.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 18 h 30 m | Show |
FRIDAY NIGHT MLB TOP PLAY (10* RUNLINE) The Colorado Rockies have won seven in a row and own a one-game lead over the Los Angeles Dodgers at the top of the National League West. Colorado left-hander Kyle Freeland (16-7, 2.84 ERA) who is 7-0, 2.10 in his past 10 starts. He has been remarkably good home at hitters-friendly Coors Field, boasting a 9-2 record behind a 3.36 ERA in 14 starts on the season. Colorado pitchers can almost always count on good run support in front of the home town crowd with the Rockies averaging 5.46 rpg and a .289 batting average at home. Washington is hitting .247 against southpaws this season which is below average in the majors. The Nationals hand the ball to Joe Ross (0-1, 4.09 ERA) who will make his third start for the Nationals since returning from Tommy John surgery in July 2017. He gave up four runs (three earned) in six innings Friday in a 95-pitch start against the Mets. The Rockies are 12-1 in Freeland's last 13 home starts, and I expect the home team to roll to an easy victory. 10* play on Colorado Rockies -1.5. |
|||||||
09-27-18 | Phillies v. Rockies -1.5 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 110 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB RUNLINE RIPPER The Colorado Rockies have are coming off a 14-0 rout of Philly and they've outscored opponents 47-7 during a six-game winning streak. Here they'll face Philadelphia right-hander Jake Arrieta (10-10, 3.94 ERA) who has posted a 6.61 ERA in five career starts against the Rockies. Arrieta has been particularly poor at Coors Field where he owns a 14.54 ERA in two starts. Phillies are 2-7 in Arrieta's last nine starts and he is 1-4 with a 6.64 ERA in his last eight turns. Colorado counters with right-hander Antonio Senzatela (6-6, 4.52 ERA) who held Arizona to one run and three hits over seven frames his last time out. This will be his first career start against the Phillies. The Rockies enter Thursday with a 0.5 game lead over the Dodgers at the top of the NL West. All games are must-win games for them, and I expect nothing less than a blowout win for the home team in this matchup. 10* play on Colorado Rockies -1.5. |
|||||||
09-25-18 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -128 | 14 h 41 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB RUNLINE RIPPER In this matchup the LA Dodgers will visit the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field. The Dodgers opened the three-game series with a 7-4 victory Monday night and they're now 15-3 in their last 18 vs. National League West rivals. Note that the D'Backs are eliminated from playoff contention already while the Dodgers are looking to hold on to their division lead. Dodgers right-hander Walker Buehler (7-5, 2.74 ERA) has posted a 1.58 ERA over his last 10 starts. He held fanned nine D'Backs through 6 1/3 innings of one-run ball when he took on Arizona on Sep 2. Arizona right-hander Matt Koch (5-5, 4.26 ERA), who has worked out of the bullpen most of the season, is making his second spot start in place of Clay Bucholz. Koch has faced the Dodgers once this season, giving up three runs (two earned) in five innings. 10* play on LA Dodgers -1.5. |
|||||||
08-30-18 | Angels v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -116 | 15 h 19 m | Show |
THURSDAY NIGHT MLB RUNLINE RIPPER *TOP PLAY* The Houston Astros are 7-1 in their last 8 overall and look like a solid home favorite here when they host the Los Angeles Angels Thursday night. The Angels are 1-7 in their last eight overall and left-hander Andrew Heaney (7-8, 4.25 ERA) is 1-2 with a bloated 6.67 ERA through his last five starts. Astros are 5-0 in their last five games vs. a left-handed starter and counter with Justin Verlander (13-8, 2.72 ERA) who is 4-0 with a 1.61 ERA over four starts against the Halos this season. Angels are 5-21 in their last 26 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. 10* play on Houston Astros. |
|||||||
08-25-18 | A's -1.5 v. Twins | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 17 h 16 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (MLB) The Oakland Athletics have played great baseball lately to move just 1 1/2 games behind first-place Houston in the AL West. They posted a 7-1 victory over the Twins Friday night and I expect another easy Oakland win here with right-hander Mike Fiers on the mound. Fiers (9-6, 3.21 ERA) is 5-1 with a 3.06 ERA lifetime against Minnesota and the A's have won each of his three starts since coming over from Detroit, with Fiers allowing just two runs through 18 1/3 innings of work. He held Texas scoreless with eight Ks through seven frames his last time out. The Twins turn to left-hander Stephen Gonsalves (0-1, 27.00 ERA) who made his major-league debut last week. Gonsalves was charged with four runs on six hits and two walks in 1 /3 frames and I think he'll be pounded by the A's hot bats tonight. Athletics are 18-5 in their last 23 games vs. a left-handed starter. 10* play on Oakland Athletics. |
|||||||
08-23-18 | Padres v. Rockies -1.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
TOP RATED RUNLINE RIPPER The Colorado Rockies have won nine of their last 10 games. Today they'll hand the ball to left-hander Kyle Freeland (11-7, 2.96 ERA) who tossed seven scoreless innings in a home victory over San Diego April 24. Freeland has been outstanding home at Coors Field all season, entering this contest with a 7-2 record behind a 2.22 ERA. Padres are 15-36 in their last 51 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Rockies on the other hand are 8-1 in their last 9 games vs. a left-handed starter and should give Friars' Joey Lucchesi (6-7, 3.79 ERA) a tough afternoon. 10* play on Colorado Rockies RL. |
|||||||
08-22-18 | Orioles v. Blue Jays -1.5 | Top | 0-6 | Win | 110 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
TOP RATED MLB DAYTIME DESTROYER The Toronto Blue Jays are a perfect 9-0 against the Orioles at Rogers Centre on the season, and I don't Baltimore will stand much of a chance here Wednesday afternoon. The Orioles will start right-hander David Hess (2-7, 5.95 ERA) who has not won since May 25, going 0-6 with a 6.61 ERA in 11 appearances (nine starts) since his last win. Hess is 1-2 with an 8.10 ERA through 16 2/3 innings of work in day games this season. Toronto hands the ball to left-hander Thomas Pannone (0-0, 4.15), who will be making his first major league start. He has posted a 53/13 K/BB ratio over 50 1/3 innings with Triple-A Buffalo on the season and should not have too much to fear from the woeful Orioles. 10* play on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5. |
|||||||
08-13-18 | Diamondbacks -1.5 v. Rangers | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 35 m | Show |
TOP RATED RUNLINE RIPPER The Arizona Diamondbacks avoided the embarressment of getting swept at Cincinnati by beating the Reds 9-2 Sunday afternoon. They scored a total of five-homers in the victory, and I like their bats to stay hot here at Texas Monday night. Texas right-hander Bartolo Colon (6-10, 5.18 ERA) has been tagged with four earned runs of more in each of his last four outings and served up a pair of homers against Seattle his last time out. Colon is 1-3 with a 4.67 ERA in six career meetings with the Diamondbacks. Arizona counters with Zack Greinke (12-7, 2.89 ERA) who is 3-5 against Texas, despite a strong 2.61 ERA. The right-hander is having a solid season and Diamondbacks are 6-0 in Greinke's last 6 road starts. Rangers are 8-21 in their last 29 vs. a team with a winning record. Diamondbacks are 10-3 in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a losing record. 10* play on Arizona Diamondbacks RL. |
|||||||
08-05-18 | Tigers v. A's -1.5 | Top | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 15 h 21 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (MLB) The Oakland Athletics enter Sunday riding a five-game winning streak, including a couple of one-run wins against the Tigers. I think they'll win by a bigger margin here in the finale of this three-game set Sunday afternoon. Trevor Cahill (3-2, 3.39 ERA) will take the ball for Oakland. He knocked out six through six innings of two-run ball against Toronto his last time out. The 30 year old right-hander is 2-0 behind a minuscule 1.13 ERA in six home starts. The Tigers will send Francisco Liriano (3-5, 4.41 ERA) to the mound. He was scratched from last Saturday's start after suffering an allergic reaction but threw two scoreless innings in relief Sunday against the Indians. Tough spot for the veteran southpaw here, and note that the red hot Athletics are 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter. 10* MLB Game of the Week: Oakland Athletics. |
|||||||
07-23-18 | Red Sox -1.5 v. Orioles | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 39 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB PLAY OF THE DAY *TOP RATED* The American League East-leading Boston Red Sox will visit the division-worst Baltimore Orioles Monday night, and I expect to see a blowout win for the visitors. Boston right-hander Rick Porcello (11-4, 4.13 ERA) was lit up for eight runs and seven hits against the Blue Jays leading up to the All Star break, but he's now had plenty of time to mull it over. "I had a terrible night, that's for sure, but at the same time, our ballclub's playing real well right now," Porcello said after the loss to Toronto. "I'm not going to let one bad night affect what we're doing and keep moving forward." Red Sox are 6-1 in Porcello's last 7 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Orioles turn to Kevin Gausman (4-7, 4.33 ERA) who last knocked around to the tune of five runs on 12 hits in five innings against Philly his last time out. Orioles have lost 10 of his last 11 starts, a stretch which started with a 6-2 defeat at Fenway on May 17 in a game where Gausman surrendered all six runs through his 4 2/3 frames on the mound. 10* play on Boston Red Sox -1.5. |
|||||||
07-14-18 | Phillies -1.5 v. Marlins | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
RUNLINE RIPPER ~ SATURDAY'S MLB *TOP PLAY* The Philadelphia Phillies have won four of their last five and covered the runline in three of the triumphs. They shut out the Marlins in a two win 2-0 Friday night and runs won't come easy for Miami on Saturday either, with the phenomenal Aaron Nola (12-2, 2.27 ERA) taking the ball for Philly. Nola held the Mets to one hit through seven scoreless innings his last time out, and fanned 10 batters in the process. The Marlins turn to Trevor Richards (2-5, 5.24 ERA) who was tagged with three runs and six hits over four innings in a no-decision with the Phillies on April 8. Richards has not lasted past five innings in his past three starts, allowing a total of nine earned runs through 12 2/3 innings in those three games. 10* play on Philadelphia Phillies. |
|||||||
07-12-18 | Nationals -1.5 v. Mets | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -125 | 14 h 34 m | Show |
THURSDAY NIGHT MLB RUNLINE RIPPER *TOP PLAY* The Washington Nationals took a 2-0 loss at Pittsburgh Wednesday afternoon, but I expect them to bounce back here in the opener of a four-game series at Citi Field. Max Scherzer (11-5, 2.33 ERA) will take the ball for the Nats. He is 8-4 with a 2.23 ERA in 15 career appearances (14 starts) against the Mets, and the ERA is his lowest against any opponent he's faced more than five times. The Mets counter with Steven Matz (4-6, 3.31 ERA) who is 1-2 with a 2.37 ERA in six career starts versus Washington, but he was tagged with three runs through just four innings of work his last time out against the Nats (Apr 18). Let down spot for the Mets who are coming off a 3-0 triumph over Philadelphia. Mets are 5-17 in their last 22 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game and 3-11 in their last 14 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Nationals are 4-0 in Scherzers last 4 road starts vs. Mets. 10* play on Washington Nationals -1.5. |
|||||||
07-11-18 | Reds v. Indians -1.5 | Top | 4-19 | Win | 100 | 15 h 25 m | Show |
WEDNESDAY NIGHT RUNLINE RIPPER *TOP PLAY* The Cleveland Indians looked like they were in full control of Tuesday's matchup. Until they gave up seven runs at the top of the 9th to lose the game 7-4 ... The Indians will now be desperate to avoid a fifth straight loss and deny the Cincinnati Reds to sweep this four-game series. Carlos Carrasco (9-5, 4.28 ERA) will take the ball for Cleveland Wednesday night. He's 2-0 with a 4.45 ERA in five career appearances (four starts) against the Reds. In two interleague starts this year, Carrasco is 2-0 with a 1.69 ERA. The Reds turn to rookie right-hander Tyler Mahle (7-6, 3.66 ERA) who is 4-0 with a 2.62 ERA through his last eight starts, but this will be his first matchup with Cleveland and I think he'll see an extremely focused and determined Indians side. Indians are 5-0 in their last 5 games after losing the first 2 games of a series and 9-1 in Carrasco's last 10 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. 10* play on Cleveland Indians -1.5. |
|||||||
07-09-18 | Tigers v. Rays -1.5 | Top | 9-10 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 34 m | Show |
MONDAY NIGHT RUNLINE RIPPER *TOP PLAY* The Tampa Bay Rays bats came alive and delivered a 9-0 triumph at New York Mets Sunday. They're now 11-4 in their last 15 games with five shutouts during that span, and here they'll face a Detroit Tigers team coming off a 3-0 setback against Texas. Tampa Bay right-hander Chris Archer (3-4, 4.24 ERA) will make his first start since he went on the disabled list June 2 with an abdominal strain. He had allowed just three earned runs in 23 2/3 innings in his final four starts before going on the DL and held the Tigers to two runs and six hits in six innings on May 1. Francisco Liriano (3-5, 4.03 ERA) will take the ball for Detroit. He made four starts against the Rays last season and posted a 6.61 ERA with 16 walks through 16 1/3 total innings. Liriano is winless in his last eight starts and the Tigers are 0-6 in his last 6 road starts. Tigers are 4-15 in their last 19 overall. Rays are 11-1 in their last 12 home games. 10* play on Tampa Bay Rays -1.5. |
|||||||
07-07-18 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Angels | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 13 m | Show |
SATURDAY NIGHT RUNLINE RIPPER *TOP PLAY* The Los Angeles Dodgers were just one out away from claiming the series-opener Friday night but the Halos worked some late magic to come back and win the game 3-2. I don't think they'll be in a position for a late comeback tonight with inexperienced right-hander Deck McGuire (0-1, 7.56 ERA) on the mound. The 29 year old allowed five runs and five hits in 3 1/3 innings of an 8-2 loss against the Baltimore Orioles his last time out in his first start of the season. The Dodgers turn to Ross Stripling (6-2, 2.27 ERA) who's ERA is seventh best in the majors among pitchers with at least 12 starts. They're 7-2 in Stripling's last 9 starts and 11-3 in their last 14 games following a loss. I expect a fired up Dodgers team to win this game by at least two runs. 10* play on LA Dodgers -1.5. |
|||||||
07-03-18 | Astros -1.5 v. Rangers | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 16 h 9 m | Show |
MLB RUNLINE RIPPER *TOP PLAY* The 38-47 Texas Rangers are arguably the hotter of the two teams heading into this two-game series with their arch-rival, the 55-31 Houston Astros. The latter lost three straight games in Tampa Bay last weekend but should bounce back here with Dallas Keuchel (4-8, 4.22 ERA) on the mound. The left-hander had not allowed a single earned run in two starts covering 12 innings before getting lit up by Toronto his last time out. Astros are 5-1 in Keuchel's last 6 road starts and 6-2 in his last 8 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Texas turns to right-hander Austin Bibens-Dirkx (1-1, 3.57 ERA) who will make his fifth start of the season and his first start against the Astros. He's coming off five scoreless innings against San Diego, but struggled somewhat with his command and issued four walks. He'll face a powerful Houston team which ranks near the top in most batting categories. Astros are 12-3 in their last 15 road games vs. a team with a losing record and 18-6 in their last 24 overall. 10* play on Houston Astros -1.5. |
|||||||
06-26-18 | Nationals -1.5 v. Rays | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -125 | 4 h 24 m | Show |
MLB DAYTIME DESTROYER *TOP PLAY* The Tampa Bay Rays opened this series with an 11-0 drubbing of the Nationals on Monday, but they're unlikely to have much success at the plate today against Max Scherzer (10-3, 2.09 ERA). The Washington ace has allowed just a total of six runs through his last three starts and struck out 13 batters while allowing two earned runs in eight innings against the Rays on June 6. For his career against the Rays, Scherzer is 5-2 with a 2.82 ERA. The Rays turn to Nathan Eovaldi (1-3, 4.91 ERA) who has been tagged with nine runs in his last two starts alone. He has served up eight home runs in 29 1/3 innings on the season, including four his last time out and we can note that Eovaldi is 2-5 with a 5.30 ERA in 10 career starts against the Nats. 10* play on Washington Nationals -1.5. |
|||||||
06-24-18 | Yankees -1.5 v. Rays | Top | 6-7 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 46 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (MLB) The New York Yankees have taken back-to-back losses here at Tampa Bay, but they're the only team in baseball yet to lose three games in a row this season and I don't see them losing here in the series finale. Domingo German (2-4, 4.77 ERA) will take the ball for the Yankees. He's won two straight decisions, the first with six innings of three-run ball against the Rays followed by seven innings of one-run ball against Seattle. German registered 19 strikeouts vs. just two walks in those two starts. Matt Andriese (1-3, 3.68 ERA) will get a spot start for the Rays with originally scheduled starter Blake Snell getting an extra day of rest. Andriese last pitched Monday, allowing three runs in 2 2/3 innings of relief and his longest outing of the year lasted just 3 2/3 frames. Yankees are 68-32 in their last 100 games after losing the first 2 games of a series and 6-2 in their last 8 Sunday games. Rays are 3-9 in their last 12 Sunday games. 10* MLB Game of the Week: NY Yankees -1.5. |
|||||||
06-04-18 | Royals v. Angels -1.5 | Top | 6-9 | Win | 115 | 15 h 30 m | Show |
TOP RATED MONDAY NIGHT *RUNLINE RIPPER* Royals left-hander Danny Duffy (2-6, 5.71 ERA) has allowed just two runs through his last two starts, but he's struggled with his command somewhat and given up four walks in those starts. On the season, Duffy has compiled a 1.58 WHIP and he can't count on much backup from one of the worst bullpens in baseball. LAA righty Nick Tropeano (3-3, 3.80 ERA) has allowed three runs through 12 2/3 frames in his last two starts and blanked the Royals through 6 2/3 innings of a 7-1 triumph back in April. 10* play on LA Angels -1.5. |
|||||||
05-31-18 | Angels -1.5 v. Tigers | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -130 | 14 h 13 m | Show |
TOP RATED *RUNLINE RIPPER* The LA Angels look like easy money here Thursday afternoon with Andrew Heaney (2-3, 3.09 ERA) on the mound. The 26 year old southpaw held the Yankees to one run through 6 1/3 frames his last time out. He has allowed two or fewer earned runs in six consecutive starts (1.39 ERA on the month) and will make his first career start against the Tigers who turn to 27 year old left-hander Ryan Carpenter (0-1, 8.31 ERA) who will make his fourth appearance and third start of the season, filling in for injured Francisco Liriano. Carpenter was knocked around for six runs (five earned) through five innings of a 6-0 loss against Cleveland on May 16. The Halos are 12-3 SU and 10-5 against the runline as road favorites on the season. 10* play on LAA -1.5. |
|||||||
05-21-18 | Rockies v. Dodgers -1.5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 24 h 53 m | Show |
TOP RATED MLB *RUNLINE RIPPER* The LA Dodgers are on a roll, coming off four wins and outscoring their opponents 23-7 in the process. Here they'll host a Rockies side with German Marquez (2-5, 5.15 ERA) on the mound. Marquez gave up four runs on six hits in four innings in his only previous start at Dodger Stadium (last September). He has a combined 4.50 ERA in his two career appearances against L.A. Rookie Walker Buehler (2-1, 2.67 ERA) will take the ball for the home team, looking to bounce back from his worst outing of the season (at Miami). The 23 year old right-hander has been rock solid at home though, surrendering only two runs on nine hits with 13 Ks through 11 innings of work. 10* play on LA Dodgers. |
|||||||
05-11-18 | White Sox v. Cubs -1.5 | Top | 2-11 | Win | 100 | 4 h 3 m | Show |
TOP RATED WHITE SOX @ CUBS *RUNLINE RIPPER* Today the Chicago Cubs will host crosstown rival Chicago White Sox for an afternoon game of baseball. They scored 31 runs in a three-game sweep of visiting Miami before getting Thursday off, and I think the Cubs will keep swinging hot bats here against Carson Fulmer (2-2, 5.02 ERA) who will face the Cubs for the second time in his career. His first, a relief appearance in 2015, didn't go well as he lasted just one-third of an inning and gave up four runs. The Cubs turn to Tyler Chatwood (2-3, 3.31 ERA) who is 1-0 with a 1.35 ERA in two career starts against the White Sox and he has allowed just two runs through 11 2/3 innings in his last two starts here at Wrigley. The Cubs are just 19-15 on the season, but note that 16 of those victories came as favorites and they're 12-4 against the runline in those games. 10* play on Chicago Cubs -1.5. |
|||||||
04-30-18 | Royals v. Red Sox -1.5 | Top | 6-10 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
TOP RATED MLB *RUNLINE RIPPER* The Boston Red Sox have lost five of their last eight games following a blistering 17-2 start to the season, but they have still won each of Eduardo Rodriguez (3-0, 3.63 ERA) four starts on the season. I think they'll win big when hosting Kansas City Monday night. Jason Hammel (0-2, 3.38 ERA) will take the ball for the visitors. They have lost each of his five starts on the season, three of them by two runs or more. The veteran right-hander has posted a 4.45 ERA in ERA in nine career games (four starts) at Fenway Park and Hanley Ramirez has owned him in previous meetings, hitting 9-for-19 (.472) with a home run. 10* play on Boston Red Sox -1.5. |
|||||||
04-22-18 | Indians -1.5 v. Orioles | Top | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 18 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (MLB) The Cleveland Indians recorded a 4-0 triumph over Baltimore on Saturday, and I expect another easy win for the Tribe here early Sunday afternoon. Corey Kluber (2-1, 1.52 ERA) will take the ball for Cleveland. He has surrendered only five earned run through his first four starts of the season, while fanning 33 through his 29 2/3 innings of work. Kluber struck out 11 during a three-hit shutout against Baltimore last season. The Orioles turn to Andrew Cashner (1-2, 3.00 ERA) who gave up three runs on seven hits and three walks in six innings at Detroit his last time out. Cashner was tagged with five runs in five innings against Cleveland in 2017. Baltimore has lost seven of its last eight games, and note that the Orioles are 2-12 in their last 14 during Game 3 of a series while the Indians are 13-3 in their last 16 during Game 3 of a series. 10* Game of the Week on Cleveland Indians -1.5. |
|||||||
04-17-18 | Astros -1.5 v. Mariners | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB *RUNLINE RIPPER* The Houston Astros had won five in a row before taking a 2-1 loss here at Safeco Park Monday night. I think they'll get back to their winning ways when facing Ariel Miranda (2017: 8-7, 5.12 ERA) on the mound. The left-hander will make his first start in the big leagues for the season and has posted a mediocre 4.00 ERA in two minor-league outings this year. Miranda is 1-2 with a 4.30 ERA in seven career appearances (six starts) versus the Astros who hand the ball to Lance McCullers Jr. (1-1, 7.71 ERA). The right-hander was charged with a career-worst eight runs on seven hits and six walks in 3 2/3 innings against Minnesota his last time out, but he's a solid 5-2 with a 2.96 ERA in nine career starts against Seattle. Astros are 49-23 in their last 72 games following a loss and 6-1 in the last seven meetings with Seattle. 10* play on Houston Astros -1.5. |
|||||||
04-12-18 | White Sox v. Twins -1.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 120 | 18 h 48 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB *RUNLINE RIPPER* The Minnesota Twins are coming off back-to-back wins against reigning World Series champions Houston Astros while the Chicago White Sox had lost five straight prior to defeating Tampa Bay 4-1 yesterday. Tonight the Twins hand the ball to Jose Berrios (1-1 3.29 ERA) who opened the season with nine scoreless innings of three-hit ball at Baltimore but gave up five runs through 4 2/3 frames against Seattle his last time out. I expect him to be much sharper here; Berrios is 3-1 with a 2.13 ERA while striking out 31 through 25 1/3 innings spread out over four meetings with the White Sox and he was 9-1 with a 2.41 ERA in 11 outings at Target Field last year. The White Sox turn to Lucas Giolito (1-0, 6.17 ERA) who served up three homers and allowed four runs over six innings of a 4-1 loss against the Twins last season. Giolito has struggled with his control in his first two games this season, giving up a total of seven walks against five strikeouts. The Twins are 8-2 against the runline on the season. 10* play on Minnesota Twins. |
|||||||
04-04-18 | Orioles v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 59 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB *RUNLINE RIPPER* The Houston Astros have started the season on fire and picked up their fifth win in six games when they defeated the Orioles 10-6 last night. They've covered the spread in all of their wins and should do so again here with Dallas Keuchel (0-1, 4.50 ERA) on the mound. Keuchel wasn't at his best in his season debut when he conceded three runs over six innings at Texas, but he is 3-2 with a solid 2.93 ERA in six career starts against Baltimore. The Orioles turn to Dylan Bundy (0-0, 0.00 ERA) who worked seven shutout innings on Opening Day against Minnesota, but note that he is 0-1 with a 13.50 ERA over two career appearances (one start) against the Astros. Houston is averaging 6.33 rpg on the season while Baltimore is averaging a lowly 2.40 rpg. 10* play on Houston Astros. |
|||||||
04-03-18 | Orioles v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 6-10 | Win | 100 | 16 h 52 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB *RUNLINE RIPPER* The reigning World Series champions Houston Astros have not shown any sign of a hangover, opening the season 4-1 and covering the runline all of their wins. That includes a 6-1 triumph over the Baltimore Orioles in the opener of a three-game series on Monday, and I predict another easy Astros win tonight. Justin Verlander (1-0, 0.00 ERA) will make his second start of the season for the Astros after a dominant display in his season debut. He pitched against the Orioles once last season (while still with Detroit), and held them to a pair of runs on six hits with 10 Ks over seven innings of work. Verlander has the current Orioles limited to a .219 batting average over 196 at bats. Baltimore hands the ball to Mike Wright who will make his first start of the season. He was lit up for 15 runs - 14 earned - on 26 hits and five walks across 19 innings during spring training and he has posted a bloated 6.22 ERA in 21 career starts in the Majors. Baltimore has mustered only six runs through its first four games of the season while Houston has scored 28 in five games. 10* play on Houston Astros. |
|||||||
10-24-17 | Astros +1.5 v. Dodgers | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -135 | 14 h 29 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* WORLD SERIES GAME 1 BIG HITTER The LA Dodgers will host the Houston Astros for Game 1 of the World Series at Dodger Stadium Tuesday night. This will no doubt be an exhilarating series, and I like the underdog to make this a very close game. Left-hander Dallas Keuchel (2-1, 2.60 ERA) will take the ball for Houston. He'll make his first career start against the Dodgers (considered an advantage for the pitcher) and Keuchel is 4-1 over his six career postseason appearances with a 2.59 ERA. The Dodgers turn to another southpaw in Clayton Kershaw (2-0, 3.63 ERA) who is 3-2 with a 2.38 ERA in eight career starts against the Astros but he owns a 4.40 career ERA through 106 1/3 innings of playoff baseball and he has served up six homers in three starts this postseason. The price is right to back the Astros on the runline. My selection is a 10* play on Houston Astros +1.5. |
|||||||
10-03-17 | Twins +1.5 v. Yankees | Top | 4-8 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB BIG HITTER - MIN/NYY Anything can happen in a win-or-go-home matchup like this, and I will not pass up on the extra run on the Minnesota Twins at this price. The Yankees hand the ball to Luis Severino (14-6, 2.98 ERA) who's had a terrific year and he closed out the regular season strong going 9-2 with a 2.28 ERA in his final 14 starts. He did however allow three runs on five hits in just three innings against Minnesota on Sept. 20, and I would not be surprised to see the Twins give him problems tonight as well. The Twins turn to Ervin Santana (16-8, 3.28 ERA) who allowed a pair of runs on seven hits in 5 2/3 innings of a 2-1 loss here in the Bronx on Sept. 18. I think he'll keep Minnesota in the game again. The Twins are 36-22 against the runline as an underdog on the road this season. My selection is a 10* play on Minnesota Twins +1.5. |
|||||||
09-27-17 | Astros -1.5 v. Rangers | Top | 12-2 | Win | 100 | 15 h 13 m | Show |
EARLY TOP RATED 10* RUNLINE RIPPER The Houston Astros destroyed the Texas Rangers yesterday, and I think they'll put another beating on their in-state rival here on Wednesday. Justin Verlander (14-8, 3.38 ERA) will take the ball for Houston. He's perfect 4-0 with just two runs allowed and 32 Ks through 28 innings of work since coming over from Detroit. Verlander is 10-6 with a 3.02 ERA in 19 career starts against the Rangers who turn to Nick Martinez (3-7, 5.42 ERA). The 27 year old right-hander has been roughed up to the tune of 11 runs on 16 hits in just 12 innings through his last three starts, and he's 0-2 with a 4.58 ERA in four appearances (three starts) against Houston on the season. The Astros are still trying to catch Cleveland for the best record in the American League while Texas is playing for nothing but pride. My selection is a 10* play on Houston Astros. |
|||||||
09-16-17 | Orioles v. Yankees -1.5 | Top | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 17 h 51 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB RUNLINE RIPPER We won with the New York Yankees -1.5 as a free pick yesterday, and I think they'll prove themselves worthy of a bigger bet on the runline as a premium pick on Saturday. Jeremy Hellickson (2-4, 6.54 ERA) will take the ball for Baltimore. He gave up five runs (three earned) in 2 1/3 innings earlier this month. The Yankees are perfect 6-0 in their last six games when facing a right-handed starter and they’ve covered the runline in 13 of their last 14 victories. Jordan Montgomery (7-7, 4.24 ERA) will take the ball for the Bronx Bombers. The 24 year old rookie southpaw has held the Orioles to eight earned runs and knocked out 24 batters through 21 innings of work on the season. It’s always a bit risky backing the home team on the runline, but note that the Yankees are 17-6 against the runline as a home favorite of at least -175 this season. My selection is a 10* play on the New York Yankees -1.5. |
|||||||
09-03-17 | Indians -1.5 v. Tigers | Top | 11-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 49 m | Show |
EARLY TOP RATED 10* MLB RUNLINE RIPPER The Cleveland Indians have won 10 straight, covering the runline in all but two of those games. I think they'll keep rolling here with Josh Tomlin on the mound. Tomlin (7-9, 5.38 ERA) has not had a great year overall, but he's been excellent in his last four starts going 3-0 behind a 2.59 ERA. Tomlin was knocked around by the Tigers about a month ago, but Detrot's bats have been really quiet lately scoring a total of just four runs through the first three games of this series. The Tigers turn to 28 year old left-hander Chad Bell (0-1, 5.48 ERA) who will make his first career start. He has made 19 appearances out of the bullpen on the season without much success and was charged with three runs (two earned) on five hits and a pair of walks in four innings against the Yankees on Aug 23 his last time out. I don't expect him to go deep into the game, and then the Tigers will be forced to hand the ball over to the worst bullpen in baseball on the season (5.22 ERA). The Indians are 14-2 in their last 16 road games. The Tigers are 1-5 in their last six home games. The Indians are 7-1 in the last eight meetings. My selection is a 10* play on Cleveland Indians -1.5. |
|||||||
08-25-17 | Cubs -1.5 v. Phillies | Top | 1-7 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 12 m | Show |
Top Rated 10* MLB *BIG HITTER* The Chicago Cubs saw a five-game winning streak come to an end at Cincinnati last night. They're however 21-6 in their last 27 games following a loss and I think they'll bounce back in a spectacular fashion here in the opener of a three-game series with the Philadelphia Phillies Friday night. The Cubs are 8-2 in the last 10 meetings overall and hand the ball to Jose Quintana (8-10, 4.27 ERA) who will take on Philly for the first time as a Cub. He's 4-2 with a 3.73 ERA in his first seven starts with the club and won each of his past two starts, holding the Blue Jays to four hits and two runs in six innings his last time out. The Phillies turn to Jerad Eickhoff (3-7, 4.46 ERA) who was tagged with four runs on eight hits and a pair of walks in 4 2/3 innings of work his last time out. He surrendered four runs in 5 2/3 innings against the Cubs back in May and we can note that the Cubs are 14-3 in their last 17 road games vs. a right-handed starter. The Cubs are just three games ahead of Milwaukee at the top of the NL Central while the Phillies have the worst record across the Major Leagues. My selection is a 10* play on Chicago Cubs RL. |
|||||||
08-22-17 | Cubs -1.5 v. Reds | Top | 13-9 | Win | 100 | 20 h 29 m | Show |
Top Rated 10* MLB *RUNLINE RIPPER* This looks like a great spot to back the Chicago Cubs as they travel to Cincinnati to take on the Reds in the opener of a three-game series. They've had a day off since completing a three-game sweep of the Jays home at Wrigley over the weekend and are 8-2 in their last 10 games following an off day and 11-0 in their last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Here they'll face Homer Bailey (4-6, 8.44 ERA) who they knocked around for six runs in 5 2/3 innings home at Wrigley on August 16. I doubt he'll handle the Cubs much better home at Great American Ball Park where he's 0-4 with a 14.33 ERA(!) in four starts on the season. The Cubs turn to John Lackey (10-9, 4.67 ERA) who limited the Reds to one run on four hits when pitching opposite Bailey earlier this month. The Cubs have won each of his last seven starts, and the Cubs are 15-5 in the last 20 meetings in Cincinnati. My selection is an 8* play on Chicago Cubs RL. |
|||||||
08-19-17 | Nationals -1.5 v. Padres | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 12 m | Show |
Top Rated 10* MLB *RUNLNE RIPPER* The Washington Nationals put a 7-1 beating on the San Diego Padres on Friday, and they're now 7-2 in their last nine games. I like the Nats to keep rolling here behind dominant pitching from Stephen Strasburg (10-3, 3.25 ERA). Strasburg has been phenomenal all season, and he has an excellent track record against the Padres going 6-1 with a 2.93 ERA in seven career starts. Note that the Padres are 0-4 in their last four games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15, and I expect Strasburg to be sharp despite making his first start since July 23 after a stint on the DL due to an elbow injury. The Friars turn to Travis Wood (1-1, 5.57 ERA). The left-hander has been torched for 12 runs through 15 innings in his last three starts combined, allowing 19 hits, eight walks and four homers. Wodd has been tagged with 12 runs in 19 1/3 career innings against the Nats. The Nationals are 5-0 in their last five games vs. a left-handed starter and 14-3 in Strasburg's last 17 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. My selection is a 10* play on Washington Nationals -1.5. |
|||||||
08-07-17 | Cubs -1.5 v. Giants | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 20 h 7 m | Show |
Top Rated 10* MLB *RUNLINE RIPPER* The Chicago Cubs have lost four of their last six after going 1-2 in two straight home series against the D'Backs and the Nats. The Cubs have however been very reliable as road favorites all season going 20-12 SU as a road favorite of -125 or more, and I think they'll win big at San Francisco Monday night. Jake Arrieta (10-8, 3.88 ERA) will take the ball for the visitors. He has recovered nicely from a disappointing start to the season and went 3-1 with a 2.25 ERA through five starts in July. He held Arizona to a pair of runs on three hits through seven frames his last time out. Arrieta will make his seventh career start against the Giants and is 4-2 with a solid 1.82 ERA in previous meetings. San Francisco turns to Matt Moore (3-11, 5.80 ERA) who gave up four runs on six hits and three walks in five innings of a 6-1 home loss to Oakland his last time out. Moore was 1-2 with an 8.88 ERA in five starts during June and 0-2 with a 4.76 ERA last month. The reigning World Series champions have a lot to play for, sitting top of NL Central just 0.5 games ahead of the Brewers. The Giants meanwhile are dead last in the NL West division. I don't think the coast-to-coast travel will affect the Cubs enough to give San Francisco the edge here. My selection is a 10* play on the Chicago Cubs RL. |
|||||||
07-05-17 | White Sox v. A's -1.5 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 110 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
Top Rated 10* MLB *RUNLINE RIPPER* The Oakland Athletics ended a six-game slide when they defeated the White Sox 7-6 yesterday. I think they'll wrap up the series with another victory Wednesday afternoon. Sonny Gray (3-4, 4.09 ERA) will take the ball for the A's. He held Atlanta to one run and two hits through eight innings his last time out. We can also note that Gray is 2-0 with a 2.27 ERA in five day starts this season. Chicago's Mike Pelfrey (3-6, 4.13 ERA) on the other hand was charged with five runs on eight hits with a pair of homers through five innings against Texas his last turn. The current Oakland roster is batting a combined .291 over 79 at bats against Pelfrey while the White Sox are batting .188 through 48 at bats against Gray. The Athletics are 6-2 in their last eight games following a win. The White Sox are 1-8 in their last nine during Game 3 of a series. |
|||||||
09-06-16 | Cubs -1.5 v. Brewers | Top | 5-12 | Loss | -108 | 20 h 50 m | Show |
National League RL *GAME OF THE MONTH* The Chicago Cubs have won seven of their past eight and hammered the Milwaukee Brewers 7-2 on Labor Day. I think we'll see another big Cubs win on Tuesday as they get a look at Wily Peralta. Peralta (5-9, 5.53) has faced the Cubs 11 times over his career, going 3-7 with a 4.09 ERA. This will be the first meeting of the season, but the current Cubs roster is batting a combined .330 over 109 at bats against the right-hander. The Cubs turn to Jason Hammel (14-7, 3.14 ERA) who is 7-2 with a 2.54 ERA in nine starts since the All-Star break and 2-1 in three starts against the Brewers this season, allowing six runs over 18 innings of work. In 14 career starts, he's 10-1 against them with a 2.50 ERA and 6-1 with a 2.32 ERA in eight career starts at Miller Park. The Cubs could pretty much pack it in right now and still make it to the postseason, but they've shown no intention of doing so what so ever. The better bats, the better starting pitcher, the better bullpen ... Yeah, this is an easy play on the Cubs at the runline. |
|||||||
10-21-15 | Kansas City Royals v. Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 | Top | 1-7 | Win | 136 | 6 h 58 m | Show |
10* MLB *ALCS BIG HITTER* The Blue Jays are desperate for a win today after back-to-back blowout losses to Kansas City Royals to put them at a 3-1 deficit in the series. I like them to win big here though with Marco Estrada on the mound. Estrada has been solid of late but did surrender three runs through 5 1/3 innings when hurling opposite Edinson Volquez in the series-opener on Oct. 16. He's otherwise had decent success against the Royals and now he's back at Rogers Centre where he posted a 2.95 ERA over 16 regular-season appearances. The Royals SP Edinson Volquez tossed six shutout innings in the 5-0 home win against Estrada last Friday but had conceded three runs through 5 2/3 innings at Houston in the ALDS. Volquez is usually better at home and I think he'll struggle to handle the fired up crowd in Toronto today. Note that: |
|||||||
10-18-15 | Chicago Cubs v. New York Mets +1.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
10* NLCS *BIG HITTER* I think we're getting a terrific price on the New York Mets to cover the runline here when hosting the Chicago Cubs for Game 2 of the NLCS. While it's true that Jake Arrieta is a complete beast, keep in mind that he looked far from impressive his last time out when he was tagged for four runs in 5 2/3 innings against the Cardinals. The Mets rookie sensation Noah Syndergaard meanwhile has conceded only three runs over 7 1/3 innings of work so far here in the post-season and was a terrific 7-2 with a 2.46 ERA over 12 home-starts during the regular-season. Note that: |
|||||||
10-08-15 | Texas Rangers +1.5 v. Toronto Blue Jays | Top | 5-3 | Win | 104 | 13 h 23 m | Show |
10* MLB *ALDS BIG HITTER* I think we're getting a great price on the Texas Rangers to cover the runline here in their ALDS against the Toronto Blue Jays. They Blue Jays won just one of their last five games of the regular season and Texas' has had decent enough success against David Price in the past. Price is just 3-4 with a 5.15 ERA in 11 career regular-season outings against the Rangers and is 0-3 with a 4.66 ERA in three postseason starts against them. The current members of the Rangers have a combined .277 AVG against the left-hander with Elvis Andrus going 10-for-25 and Josh Hamilton 7-for-20. Price will toss opposite Yovani Gallardo who held the hard-hitting Jays scorless over 13 2/3 innings with just six hits and five walks allowed during the regular season. He has the current Blue Jays roster limited to a .239 AVG and Jose Bautista is just 1-for-12 in previous matchups. Note that: |
|||||||
09-26-15 | New York Mets v. Cincinnati Reds +1.5 | Top | 10-2 | Loss | -111 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
10* MLB *RUNLINE RIPPER* The Cincinnati Reds have lost six on the bounce and back-to-back games to the New York Mets but I like them here in Game 3 of this four-game set. Matt Harvey will take the ball for the Mets coming off five innings of one-hit ball against the Yankees. The Mets still lost that game 11-2 though and Harvey had allowed 11 runs on 17 hits over 11 2/3 innings in his last two starts combined. He's on a pitch-count and not likely to go deep into the game. The Reds can turn to John Lamb who is 1-0 with a 1.80 ERA over his last three starts. Note that: |
|||||||
09-21-15 | New York Yankees v. Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 18 h 20 m | Show |
10* MLB *BIG HITTER* The Toronto Blue Jays are off back-to-back losses to the Red Sox and have seen their AL East lead shrink to just two games ahead of the New York Yankees. I like them to wipe out the Bronx Bombers home at Rogers Centre in the opener of a three-game set tonight though, when they send David Price on the mound. Price is 7-1 with a 2.17 ERA in nine starts since coming over from Detroit. He's already faced the Yankees three times in the Blue Jays uniform, going 2-0 while conceding just five runs through 19 1/3 innings of work. The Yankees will turn to Adam Warren who returned to the rotation on Tuesday when he allowed two runs on six hits through four innings without factoring in the decision in a 6-3 loss at Tampa Bay. He might not be able to expect much run-support as this is a terrible spot for the Yankees to come up against Price with them compiling a pathetic .203 team batting average over their last six games. Note that: |
|||||||
09-19-15 | Boston Red Sox v. Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 | Top | 7-6 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 26 m | Show |
10* MLB *HOT $HOT* The Toronto Blue Jays are off three blowout wins on the bounce and defeated the Boston Red Sox 6-1 last night. I expect another easy win for the Jays Saturday when facing Wade Miley on the mound. The 28 year old southpaw is 4-6 with a 4.60 ERA through 16 road starts on the year and has posted a 9.24 ERA in three career starts against the Blue Jays. Edwin Encarnacion is 3-for-5 with twou doubles and three walks in previous meetings while Josh Donaldson is 2-for-5 with a homer. He's batting .480 during a six-game hitting streak against the Red Sox who will face R.A. Dickey on the hill. Dickey has compiled a 1.69 ERA in his last six starts at Rogers Centre and held Boston to one run in six innings of a 5-1, 10-inning win on Sep. 8. Note that: |
|||||||
09-18-15 | Boston Red Sox v. Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 125 | 18 h 14 m | Show |
10* MLB *BIG HITTER* The Toronto Blue Jays opened a three-game set at Atlanta with a 3-2 loss but they wrapped up the series with back-to-back blowout wins. I like them to win big when they're back home at Rogers Centre Friday hosting the Boston Red Sox for the opener of a three-game set. Marcus Stroman will take the ball for the Blue Jays making his second start of the year after recovering from a torn ACL suffered in spring training. He gave up three runs on four hits through five innings of a 10-7 win at Yankee Stadium in his season debut and I think he'll be sharper tonight. Keep in mind that he posted a respectable 3.65 ERA in his rookie season last year when he was 7-2 with a 1.98 ERA in 11 starts home at Toronto. He had good success against the Red Sox as well going 3-0 with a 1.25 ERA in three meetings. Rick Porcello will take the ball for the Red Sox and he gave up seven runs in two innings his last visit to Rogers Centre and is 1-3 with a 7.65 ERA in four career starts there lifetime. Note that: |
|||||||
09-06-15 | Baltimore Orioles v. Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 | Top | 4-10 | Win | 115 | 13 h 48 m | Show |
Super Early 10* MLB *BIG HITTER* The Toronto Blue Jays tied this series at 1-1 when they defeated the Baltimore Orioles 5-1 yesterday. They've won 18 of their last 23 home at Rogers Centre and I think they'll win big in the rubbermatch of this three-game series Sunday. The visiting Orioles will send Chris Tillman to the mound and he's really struggled against the Jays this season going 0-3 with a 15.00 ERA in four meetings. He's allowed 13 runs in 5 2/3 innings in two starts at Rogers Centre in 2015 and is 1-2 with a 12.46 ERA in his last four starts there. Poor Tillman is coming into the game on the back of one of his worst outings of the season when he surrendered seven runs on eight hits in 4 2/3 frames of an 11-2 defeat to the Rays. The Jays will turn to Marco Estrada who is 4-2 with a 2.28 ERA in his last seven starts. He held Cleveland to two runs on five hits through seven innings his very last start and has a solid 2.93 ERA over 14 appearances, 11 starts, home at Rogers Centre on the season. He's 1-1 with a 3.21 ERA in four career games, two starts, against the Orioles and has its current members limited to a .209 AVG. Note that: |
|||||||
09-03-15 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. Milwaukee Brewers +1.5 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 18 h 51 m | Show |
10* MLB *BIG HITTER* The Milwaukee Brewers are coming into this contest looking to complete a second consecutive three-game sweep of NL Central rivals the Pittsburgh Pirates home at Miller Park. Taylor Jungmann will take the ball for the Brew Crew coming off six scoreless innings of a 5-0 win against the Reds. The 25 year old rookie has a phenomenal 1.50 ERA over seven home starts on the season and he's 2-0 with a 1.29 ERA in two starts against the Pirates who will turn to Francisco Liriano. The 31 year old southpaw has allowed three earned runs or more in four of his last five starts while yielding a total of 15 walks. He conceded three runs through eight innings of a 4-1 home loss to Milwaukee back in June. Jean Segura is 5-for-15 in previous meetings with Liriano and 9-for-18 with four RBI and six runs scored in his last four games. Note that: |
|||||||
08-31-15 | Seattle Mariners v. Houston Astros -1.5 | Top | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 20 h 37 m | Show |
10* MLB *BIG HITTER* 12-4 L16 Top Rated 10* Plays! The Houston took just one of three games at Minnesota as they wrapped up a six-game road-swing. They're still sitting top of the AL West three games ahead of Texas and I expect them to be back at their best when returning home to Minute Maid Park for the opener of a three-game series against the Seattle Mariners Monday. Dallas Keuchel will take the ball for the Astros coming off seven innings of three-hit ball of a 15-1 win at Yankee Stadium. He's conceded just three runs through 21 innings in his last three starts while fanning 23 batters. The 27 year old southpaw struggled his last meeting with the Mariners when he conceded five runs in six innings at Safeco but he's an outstanding 11-0 behind a 1.35 ERA in 14 home starts on the season. The Mariners have chosen to rest their ace Felix Hernandez and instead send Vidal Nuno to the mound for tonight's game. Nuno is 0-1 with a 4.58 ERA with six homers served up over four starts this season. He gave up four runs on nine hits with two home-runs in a 10-8 loss at Fenway his last road start. Note that: |
|||||||
08-30-15 | Detroit Tigers v. Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 | Top | 2-9 | Win | 100 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
Super Early 10* MLB *BIG HITTER* The Toronto Blue Jays are unstoppable at the moment and are off a 15-1 drubbing of the Detroit Tigers Saturday afternoon. They've won seven of their last eight games, covering the runline in six of the wins, and I expect them to win big today as well as they complete the first three-game home sweep against the Tigers since 2003. Alfredo Simon will take the ball for the Tigers and he was lit up for eight runs on nine hits and four walks through 4 1/3 innings of an 8-7 loss to the Halos his last start. He has a 5.77 ERA in 12 road starts on the season and he's 0-2 with a 6.50 ERA in seven appearances, two career starts, against the Blue Jays who will turn to Mark Buehrle. The veteran southpaw has struggled in his last two starts giving up a total of nine runs on 14 hits through 10 frames. Both were on the road though, and we can expect him to be much sharper at Rogers Centre where he's 4-0 with a 2.81 ERA in his last seven starts. He's 7-1 behind a 3.11 ERA in 11 home starts on the season and 18-10 with a 3.52 ERA in 36 career games, 35 starts, against Detroit. Note that: |
|||||||
08-29-15 | Detroit Tigers v. Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 | Top | 1-15 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show |
Super Early 10* MLB *BIG HITTER* 10-4 (71%) L14 Top Rated MLB! The Blue Jays are going for their seventh win in eight games here as they host the Detroit Tigers for the middle-game of a three-game set at Rogers Centre. They won last night's series-opener 5-3 and I think they'll cover the ruline today as well when they send Drew Hutchison to the mound. He was knocked around for seven runs, five earned) through 4 2/3 innings of an 8-6 loss at Comerica Park back on July 3 but he's 10-1 with a 2.57 ERA through 13 starts at Rogers Centre on the year. He's a perfect 3-0 with a 2.89 ERA in three starts this month. The Tigers will turn to 24 year old Buck Farmer who has a 7.80 ERA through nine appearances, four starts on the year. Farmer is still looking for his first win in the big leagues despite making 13 appearances, six starts, overall and conceded three runs in 5 1/3 innings at Wrigley his most recent outing. Note that: |
|||||||
08-12-15 | Oakland A's v. Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 | Top | 3-10 | Win | 100 | 15 h 43 m | Show |
10* MLB *BIG HITTER* The Toronto Blue Jays are simply unstoppable at the moment coming into this contest riding a nine-game winning streak. They defeated the Oakland A's 4-2 last night and I think they'll cover the runline tonight as well when facing Aaron Brooks on the mound. Brooks has two starts for the A's since coming over from the Royals allowing just two runs through 14 1/3 innings home at Oakland. Hurling at Rogers Centre against the best offense in baseball won't be an easy task though and he allowed seven runs in relief retiring just two batters against the Jays last season. He's not likely to get much help from his teammates either as the A's lead the majors with 96 errors on the season. R.A. Dickey will take the ball for the Jays as Mark Buehrle's start has been moved back a day. Dickey is 3-0 with a 0.99 ERA in five starts since the All Star break and held Oakland to two runs through 8 1/3 innings on July 23. Note that: |
|||||||
08-06-15 | Minnesota Twins v. Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 | Top | 3-9 | Win | 120 | 16 h 59 m | Show |
10* MLB *BIG HITTER* The Minnesota Twins have been a sorry sight of late winning just five of their 18 games since the All Star break. They've lost three straight to the Toronto Blue Jays who have covered the runline each time, and I like the Jays to book another win tonight and complete the four-game sweep. Kyle Gibson will take the ball for the Twins looking to build on a solid outing against the Mariners who he held to two runs in seven innings on August 1. He had conceded a total of 12 runs, 11 earned, on 16 hits through 10 1/3 innings in his last two starts prior though. Here he'll face a Toronto offense that is firing on all cylinders scoring 48 runs with a .287 batting average over its last seven games. The Jays will turn to Mark Buehrle who much like Gibson not has been at his very best of late, surrendering seven runs, six earned, through 12/3 frames in his last two outings. He's still 5-1 with a 3.09 ERA home at Rogers Centre for the year and his 29 career wins over the Twins are the left-hander's most against any opponent Note that: |
|||||||
08-03-15 | Minnesota Twins v. Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 107 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
SUPER EARLY 10* MLB *HOT SHOT* The Toronto Blue Jays have gone toe-to-toe with the best in the AL over the last four days and managed to clinch three of four against the Royals. I like them to keep rolling when they give the ball to their newly acquired ace David Price Monday afternoon. The 29 year old southpaw went 9-4 behind a 2.53 ERA with the Tigers and he has a 2.21 ERA in 14 career games against Minnesota (1.17 ERA over three meetings this season). Price will be looking to stay dominant at Rogers Centre where he's 7-0 all-time. The Twins will turn to Ervin Santana who was lit up for eight runs, six earned, in 5 2/3 innings of work in a 10-4 loss to the Pirates his last time out. The Toronto team he'll face today has a combined .286 AVG against him with Ben Revere going 6-for-13 with two doubles. Note that: |
|||||||
07-01-15 | Minnesota Twins v. Cincinnati Reds -1.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 15 m | Show |
10* *ACE IN THE HOLE* The Cincinnati Reds are coming into the rubber-match of a three-game series against the Minnesota Twins as huge favorites, and considering the pitching matchup they definitely should be. Runs will come at a premium for the visitors as they'll face the Reds ace Johnny Cueto on the mound. Cueto is always immense home in Cincy and this season has been no different as he's compiled a 1.74 ERA over six home-starts. He's just been rewarded with a 2-1 record due to poor run-support, but the Reds bats have come alive of late scoring 36 runs over their last seven games while batting a major leagues-best .292 over the last seven days. That should spell trouble for the Twins Trevor May who lasted only 30 pitches and one out his last start when he conceded six runs, five earned, in a 10-4 loss at Milwaukee. He's struggled away from home all season, compiling a 6.41 ERA in six starts. Note that: |
|||||||
05-28-15 | Chicago White Sox - Game #1 v. Baltimore Orioles - Game #1 +1.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
10* MLB *AFTERNOON APOCALYPSE* CHW@BAL G1 In this match-up the Baltimore Orioles will host the Chicago White Sox for Game 1 of a double-header Thursday. This is a two-game one-day series to make up for the games that were postponed due to the Baltimore riots back in April, and I think we're getting a terrific price on the home-team on the run-line in the first game this afternoon. The O's claimed the series-finale of a three-game set against the Astros with a 5-4 win Wednesday and will give Tyler Wilson (1-0, 4.50) his first major-league start here. He's gone 2-4 with a 3.29 ERA in eight starts for the Triple-A Norfolk Tides and conceded one run on five hits over two innings coming out of the bullpen for the Orioles. That may not sound overly impressive, but the 25 year old is a great prospect and most importantly, I think he'll get plenty of run-support as the White Sox hand the ball to a struggling ace in Chris Sale (3-2, 4.21 ERA). Sale gave up four runs, three earned on five hits with two homers over eight innings in a 4-3 home-loss to the Twins his last time out. He has compiled a 6.35 ERA over three road-starts on the season and has yet to defeat the Orioles, going 0-2 with a 5.06 ERA in nine career games, three starts. Adam Jones and J.J. Hardy are both 3-for-8 with a homer apiece against Sale lifetime. The White Sox are just 2-11 in Sales last 13 starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150 while the O's are 7-0 in their last seven games as a home underdog of +110 to +150. |
|||||||
04-17-15 | Colorado Rockies v. Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 103 | 17 h 20 m | Show |
10* MLB *MIDNIGHT MADNESS* The Rockies have been hot to start the season, winning seven of their nine games and each of their six away from home. I think the Dodgers will cool them down significantly tonight in the opener of a three game set though as L.A. sends Clayton Kershaw to the mound. He'll look to bounce back from two horrible outings as he's 0-1 with a 5.84 ERA so far on the season. He was 3-0 over three meetings with the Rockies last year though, giving up only one run on five hits over 22 innings of work. Keep in mind that he struck out 32 batters over those innings while allowing only one walk. The Rockies will hand the ball to Kyle Kendrick who hurled seven scoreless innings despite giving up seven hits in his season debut. He could not follow that up with another quality start though as he surrendered no less than eight runs on eight hits while walking five over five innings in a 9-5 loss against the Cubs his last time out. He faced the Dodgers over 5 2/3 innings last year, giving up two runs on 10 hits. The Dodgers have won five of the last seven meetings and scored 42 runs combined over those wins and are off four consecutive wins overall averaging six runs per game. Does Kendrick have what it takes to slow them down? I think not, the Dodgers to win this one big looks like a solid play. |
|||||||
04-17-15 | Chicago White Sox v. Detroit Tigers -1.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
10* MLB *AFTERNOON APOCALYPSE* The Tigers are a stellar 8-1 so far on the season and have covered the run-line in seven of those eight wins. I think they look good to cover once again today when hosting AL Central rivals the White Sox in for the opener of a three game set. The visitors will hand the ball to Jeff Samardzija who's had a rough start to his career as a White Sox. The 30 year old right-hander is 0-1 with a 6.23 ERA on the season and will face the Tigers for the first time in his career. He'll have his work cut out for him coming up against a Tigers team that is 6-1 in its last seven games versus a right-handed starter and has averaged six runs per game so far on the year. Detroit will turn to David Price who has yet to allow an earned run this year. He has given up only nine hits over 14 1/3 innings of work on the season and has been stellar at Comerica Park over his career, posting a 7-2 record with a 2.89 ERA in 12 games, 10 starts. The Tigers have stolen an AL-best 13 bases so far this year and Miguel Cabrera is batting .432 with 16 hits on the year. Detroit is looking good to punish the White Sox big time this afternoon. |