Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-12-18 | Diamondbacks +102 v. Rockies | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 15 m | Show |
WEDNESDAY NIGHT MLB BIG HITTER (10* TOP PLAY)* This intense series between two of the top teams in the National League West continues Wednesday night. Arizona might be behind 1st place Colorado in the standings, but I think the visitors have an edge in this particular matchup with left-hander Patrick Corbin on the mound. Corbin (11-5, 3.01 ERA) is 4-2 with a 2.86 ERA in 14 starts away from home and he has limited the Rockies to four runs on 12 hits with 14 Ks in 10 innings this year. The Rockies counter with Jon Gray (11-7, 4.69 ERA) who has made one start against the D'Backs this year, in which he gave up three runs on six hits and three walks in four innings of work. Gray has struggled with the long-ball and served up at least one homer in each of his last eight starts; he has given up a total of five in the last three starts alone. That could spell big trouble here at Coors Field ... 10* play on Arizona Diamondbacks. |
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09-12-18 | Pirates v. Cardinals +104 | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
SUPER EARLY MLB *DAYTIME DESTROYER* The St. Louis Cardinals are playing with a purpose and enter Wednesday with a three-game lead over the Dodgers for the second wild card in the National League. Still no time for rest though, and I expect to see another Cardinals win here Wednesday afternoon. Pirates hand the ball to Jameson Taillon (12-9, 3.40 ERA) who's on a solid run, but I think he'll find it tough to cool off the Cards bats. Cardinals turn to rookie right-hander Daniel Poncedeleon (0-1, 2.67 ERA) who will make his first big league appearance against the Pirates and his fourth start in 10 big league games. He has proven himself rather useful with a 23-to-12 K/BB ratio and a 1.15 WHIP over 27 innings of work. Cardinals are 7-1 in the last eight meetings, and we're getting a great price on a very motivated home team. 8* play on St. Louis Cardinals. |
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09-11-18 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks -119 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 14 h 37 m | Show |
The Arizona Diamondbacks took a 13-2 beating here at Coors Field Monday night and have now lost three in a row and eight of their last 10. The Rockies lead the National League West by 1 1/2 games with the Diamondbacks in third place, 3 1/2 games back and the Dodgers sandwiched in between. Arizona needs to get it together ASAP if it wants to make it to the postseason, and it should get an important win here with Zack Greinke on the mound. Greinke (13-9, 3.08 ERA) is 2-0 with a 2.33 ERA in three outings against Colorado this season and he owns a 4-1 behind a 4.20 ERA in 11 career games (10 starts) at Coors Field. The Rockies counter with Antonio Senzatela (4-5, 4.92 ERA). He is 0-2, 6.75 in two games (one start) against the Diamondbacks this season and 0-3, 8.27 against them in six career games (two starts). He's 2-4, 4.47 in nine starts since returning to the rotation July 3. 10* MLB ML Game of the Month: Arizona Diamondbacks. |
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09-11-18 | Pirates v. Cardinals -145 | 5-11 | Win | 100 | 15 h 32 m | Show | |
MLB MONEYLINE MASSACRE The St. Louis Cardinals are playing with a purpose and enter Tuesday with a two-game lead over the Dodgers for the second wild card in the National League. They posted an 8-7 victory over Pittsburgh on Monday and we should see another Cards win Tuesday night. Cardinals righty Miles Mikolas (14-4, 3.06 ERA) is 0-2 despite owning a solid 3.38 ERA in four starts against Pittsburgh this year but I think the Cards bats will give him a better chance to get win here. Pittsburgh hands the ball to Joe Musgrove (6-8, 3.75 ERA). Pirates are 2-5 in Musgrove's last seven starts and he has given up 11 runs and served up five homers in his last three starts. Cardinals are 5-1 in the last six meetings in the series. 8* play on St. Louis Cardinals. |
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09-10-18 | Diamondbacks v. Rockies -140 | 2-13 | Win | 100 | 17 h 44 m | Show | |
MONDAY NIGHT MLB MONEYLINE MASSACRE This is a huge series for both teams with the Colorado Rockies owning a one-half game lead over the Los Angeles Dodgers at the top of the National League West and the Arizona Diamondbacks just 2 1/2 games back. The D'Backs are in a slump though having lost seven of their last nine games, and I think this is an excellent price on the home team. The Rockies hand the ball to right-hander German Marquez (11-9, 4.05 ERA) who gave up two runs but also fanned 11 through 6 2/3 innings against the Giants his last time out. Marquez is just 1-4 with a 4.72 ERA in 11 career games (10 starts) versus Arizona but this looks like a good time to better those stats. The Diamondbacks turn to right-hander Zack Godley (14-8, 4.51 ERA) who was tagged with four runs over five innings against San Diego his last start. Godley could very well be out of rhythm and focus here after spending the week on the paternity list. Diamondbacks are 2-7 in Godley's last nine starts vs. a team with a winning record. Rockies are 8-2 in Marquez's last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record. 8* play on Colorado Rockies. |
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09-09-18 | Cardinals -112 v. Tigers | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show |
MLB GAME OF THE YEAR (10* MONEYLINE) The St. Louis Cardinals are coming off consecutive games to the Detroit Tigers. Quite surprising considering they have plenty to play for, sitting second in the National League wild-card standings, and I expect a fired up Cards team to bounce back and win easily here on Sunday. St. Louis right-hander John Gant (6-5, 3.19 ERA) has allowed two or fewer earned runs in his last six outings and he should have no trouble to outperform Detroit right-hander Michael Fulmer (3-10, 4.57) who will make his fourth start since returning from an oblique strain. Detroit has lost 11 of his last 12 starts dating to late May and he's 1-6 home at Comerica Park on the season. Cardinals are 12-4 in their last 16 road games and 18-6 in their last 24 games following a loss. 10* MLB Game of the Year: St. Louis Cardinals. |
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09-08-18 | Indians -120 v. Blue Jays | 9-8 | Win | 100 | 17 h 35 m | Show | |
MLB MONEYLINE MASSACRE *NO-BRAINER* The Cleveland Indians had won four in a row before taking a 3-2 extra-inning loss here at Toronto Friday night. The Jays are still just 4-8 through their last 12 games, and I like Cleveland to bounce back Saturday with right-hander Adam Plutko (4-5, 5.04 ERA) on the hill. Plutko surrendered four earned runs over six innings Monday in a loss to the Royals, but also tallied eight strikeouts against zero walks. Toronto turns to Sean Reid-Foley (1-2, 5.51 ERA) who handcuffed Miami through seven one-run innings his last time out, but this will mark just his fourth start in the big leagues and not a good time to face an Indians team off a loss. Cleveland has the division wrapped up, but I doubt they want to get into the habit of dropping back-to-back games. 8* play on Cleveland Indians. |
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09-07-18 | Yankees +105 v. Mariners | 4-0 | Win | 105 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
YANKEES @ MARINERS MIDNIGHT MASSACRE The New York Yankees have dropped three of their last four, but I like the price we get on the Bronx Bombers at Seattle Friday night. Yankees right-hander Masahiro Tanaka (10-5, 3.83 ERA) is 6-0 with a 2.34 ERA in seven career starts against Seattle while Mariners left-hander James Paxton (11-5, 3.74) allowed four runs (three earned) on four hits in 5 2/3 innings in his lone career start against NYY back in June. Both teams had Thursday off, but note that while Yankees are 9-4 in their last 13 games following an off day Seattle is just 1-4 in its last five games following an off day. 8* play on New York Yankees. |
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09-06-18 | Indians -147 v. Blue Jays | 9-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
MLB MONEYLINE MASSACRE *NO-BRAINER* The Toronto Blue Jays scored seven runs in the first inning as they rolled to a 10-3 triumph over the Tampa Bay Rays Wednesday night. They've still dropped 10 of their last 13 games, and I think they're in for a much tougher matchup here as they host the Cleveland Indians for the opener of a four-game series. Cleveland hands the ball to Shane Bieber (8-3, 4.66 ERA) who will face the Blue Jays for the first time in his career. He's 4-0 with a 4.44 ERA in eight road starts this season (Cleveland 6-2 team record in those games). Toronto turns to Sam Gaviglio (3-7, 5.02 ERA) who will face Cleveland for the first time in his career. Gaviglio has pitched very well home at Rogers Centre, entering this game with a 2.68 ERA in 11 appearances (nine starts) on the season, but I expect him to run into serious trouble with this Cleveland lineup. We can also note that Blue Jays are 1-6 in Gaviglio's last seven starts overall and he has been charged with 11 runs in his last three starts combined. 8* play on Cleveland Indians. |
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09-05-18 | Cubs +103 v. Brewers | 6-4 | Win | 103 | 13 h 17 m | Show | |
MLB 3-PACK The Milwaukee Brewers have claimed the first two games of a critical three-game set at Miller Park to move just three games behind the NL Central-leading Cubs in the division. The Cubs rarely lose back-to-back games, nevermind three in a row, and I like the price we get on the Cubs to bounce back here in Game 3 of the series. I don't expect a ton of runs though and like the under as well. Cubs left-hander Jose Quintana (11-9, 4.21 ERA) is 2-1 with a 2.63 ERA in four starts against the Brewers this season and 4-2 with a 1.67 ERA in eight career matchups. He has conceded only four runs through his last three starts overall. Milwaukee right-hander Jhoulys Chacin (14-5, 3.53 ERA) has tossed 13 scoreless innings against the Cubs this season, but I think the visitors will score enough off him and the relievers to earn the win. Cubs are 9-2 in Quintana's last 11 starts during Game 3 of a series, Cubs are 8-3 in their last 11 during Game 3 of a series. Under is 20-6 in the last 26 meetings. 8* play on Chicago Cubs. |
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09-05-18 | Cubs v. Brewers UNDER 9 | 6-4 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 14 m | Show | |
MLB 3-PACK The Milwaukee Brewers have claimed the first two games of a critical three-game set at Miller Park to move just three games behind the NL Central-leading Cubs in the division. The Cubs rarely lose back-to-back games, nevermind three in a row, and I like the price we get on the Cubs to bounce back here in Game 3 of the series. I don't expect a ton of runs though and like the under as well. Cubs left-hander Jose Quintana (11-9, 4.21 ERA) is 2-1 with a 2.63 ERA in four starts against the Brewers this season and 4-2 with a 1.67 ERA in eight career matchups. He has conceded only four runs through his last three starts overall. Milwaukee right-hander Jhoulys Chacin (14-5, 3.53 ERA) has tossed 13 scoreless innings against the Cubs this season, but I think the visitors will score enough off him and the relievers to earn the win. Cubs are 9-2 in Quintana's last 11 starts during Game 3 of a series, Cubs are 8-3 in their last 11 during Game 3 of a series. Under is 20-6 in the last 26 meetings. 8* play on UNDER. |
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09-05-18 | Rays -127 v. Blue Jays | Top | 3-10 | Loss | -127 | 13 h 33 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB *BIG HITTER* The Toronto Blue Jays have dropped seven of their last nine including back-to-back losses to Tampa Bay. I think they're in line for another loss here in Game 3 of the series. The Rays hand the ball to Tyler Glasnow (1-4, 3.95 ERA) who has posted a 3.23 ERA in six starts since coming over from Pittsburgh. He held Cleveland to one run through a career-high seven innings his last time out. Toronto hands the ball to Aaron Sanchez (3-5, 5.22 ERA) who has posted an 11.88 ERA in two starts since coming off the DL (injured right index finger). The Rays have won four in a row and 13 of their past 15 games. They're 9-2 against the Blue Jays on the season and held them to five or fewer hits for seven straight games. 10* play on Tampa Bay Rays. |
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09-04-18 | Cardinals +115 v. Nationals | Top | 11-8 | Win | 115 | 7 h 36 m | Show |
The St. Louis Cardinals suffered a third straight loss with a disappointing 4-3, 10th innings setback to the Washington Nationals on Monday. I think they'll bounce back here in Game 2 of the series with Miles Mikolas (13-4, 2.96 ERA) on the mound. The Cards had won six straight Mikolas starts prior to a hard-luck 2-0 loss against Pittsburgh his last time out. The 30 year old right-hander should get more run support here with Washington handing the ball to Erick Fedde (1-3, 5.79 ERA). Fedde will make just his seventh start of the season and he's a poor 0-4 with a 6.75 ERA in six career starts home at Nationals Park with the Nats losing all of those six games. Cardinals are 10-2 in their last 12 road games and 17-5 in their last 22 games following a loss. Edit: John Gant (6-5, 3.34 ERA) will get the nod for Cardinals instead of Mikolas. He struck out six through 5 2/3 scoreless innings against Pittsburgh his last time out. In his last five starts, the 26-year-old has gone 3-1, allowing just five runs over 28 1/3 frames. My pick on STL stands. 10* play on St. Louis Cardinals. |
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09-03-18 | Yankees v. A's -114 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 18 h 44 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB BIG HITTER Good value on the Oakland Athletics here in the opener of a three-game series with the New York Yankees. Oakland right-hander Trevor Cahill (5-3, 3.60 ERA) has been tagged with eight earned runs through his lat two outings, but they were both on the road (at Minnesota and Houston). He's been near unhittable home at Oakland Coliseum this year, entering this game with a 4-0 record behind a minuscule 0.85 ERA while holding opponents to a .157 AVG with 57 Ks through 52 2/3 innings of work. The Yankees turn to veteran left-hander CC Sabathia (7-5, 3.36 ERA) who is 2-3 with a 4.27 ERA in 11 road starts and note that Athletics are 10-4 in their last 14 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Yankees have dropped seven of their last eight vs. a team with a winning record. 10* play on Oakland Athletics. |
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09-03-18 | Red Sox -123 v. Braves | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
SUPER EARLY RED SOX @ BRAVES ~ LIVE ON ESPN (1:05 PM ET START) The Boston Red Sox look like a solid road favorite here at Atlanta Monday afternoon. They took an 8-2 loss to the White Sox at Chicago yesterday but are 13-3 in their last 16 interleague road games while Braves are just 6-21 in their last 27 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter. Here Atlanta will face Nathan Eovaldi (5-7, 4.35 ERA) who is a 4-1 behind a solid 1.95 ERA in six day starts on the season, and note that Boston as a team is 30-8 in day games. Atlanta hands the ball to 22 year old rookie right-hander Touki Toussaint (1-0, 1.50 ERA) for his second major league start. He impressed in his major-league debut Aug. 13 against Miami, but facing a Red Sox team off a loss is a completely different ballgame. 8* play on Boston Red Sox. |
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09-02-18 | Angels v. Astros UNDER 8 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 17 h 41 m | Show | |
SUNDAY NIGHT ANGELS @ ASTROS BASE BRAWLER The first two games of this series saw just a total of 10 runs scored before Houston's bast came alive in a 7-3 triumph on Saturday. I think runs will come at a premium for both sides here Sunday night with a terrific pitching matchup on the mound. LAA right-hander Shohei Ohtani (4-1, 3.10 ERA) will make first start on the mound since June 6 as he's been on the DL with a right UCL sprain. He'll be looking for revenge after conceding four runs and six hits in 5 1/3 innings at Houston on April 24. Under is 4-0 in Ohtani's last four starts overall and under is 10-3-1 in Astros last 14 games vs. a right-handed starter. The Astros turn to right-hander Gerrit Cole (12-5, 2.85 ERA) who has posted a 3.71 ERA in his last three starts and owns a 3.60 ERA in four career starts against the Halos. Under is 4-0 in Angels last four road games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings. 8* play on UNDER. |
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09-02-18 | Mariners v. A's -130 | Top | 2-8 | Win | 100 | 16 h 26 m | Show |
GAME OF THE WEEK (MLB) The Oakland Athletics should be fired up to salvage a split of this four-game series after coming out flat Saturday night. Oakland righty Edwin Jackson (4-3, 3.03 ERA) is 3-2 with a 2.88 ERA in six home starts on the season and Athletics are 6-1 in Jackson's last seven starts. Seattle right-hander Felix Hernandez (8-12, 5.49 ERA) is 4-7 with a 6.95 ERA in 13 appearances (12 starts) on the road and 1-3 with a 4.13 ERA in four outings (three starts) against Oakland this year. Mariners are 1-6 in Hernandez's last seven road starts and 3-13 in his last 16 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. 10* play on Oakland Athletics. |
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09-01-18 | Reds v. Cardinals -133 | 4-0 | Loss | -133 | 17 h 58 m | Show | |
MLB MONEYLINE MASSACRE *NO-BRAINER* The St. Louis Cardinals put a 12-5 beating on the Cincinnati Reds Friday night, and I think they're in line for another triumph here on Saturday with talented rookie right-hander Daniel Poncedeleon (0-0, 2.08 ERA) on the mound. Poncedeleon fanned 11 through four innings of one-run ball against the Dodgers his last time out and delivered seven hitless innings in his first major league start at Cincinnati on July 23. The Reds turn to right-hander Luis Castillo (7-11, 5.07 ERA) who is 0-2 with a 4.64 ERA in four starts against the Cards this season. Cinci has dropped eight of its last nine while St. Louis has won seven of its last 10 and 21-6 in its last 27 overall. Reds are 3-14 in their last 17 road games. 8* play on St. Louis Cardinals. |
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09-01-18 | Rays v. Indians UNDER 8 | Top | 5-3 | Push | 0 | 17 h 29 m | Show |
TOP RATED 10* MLB BIG HITTER (TOTAL) The Cleveland Indians defeated the Tampa Bay Rays 3-0 Friday night, and I think we'll see another low-scoring contest here in the middle-game of this three-game series. Tampa Bay left-hander Blake Snell (16-5, 2.05 ERA) is coming off six innings of one-run ball against the Red Sox and has yielded just three runs through his last five starts, covering a total of 26 innings. Under is 5-1 in Indians last six games vs. a left-handed starter and 8-0 in Snell's last eight road starts.. Cleveland turns to right-hander Shane Bieber (8-2, 4.52 ERA) who has allowed 3, 3 and 4 runs in his last three starts, all on the road. He's been sharper home at Progressive Field and we can note that under is 4-1-1 in Bieber's last six starts overall. Under is 11-1 in Rays last 12 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. 10* play on UNDER. |
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08-31-18 | Orioles v. Royals -125 | 2-9 | Win | 100 | 17 h 41 m | Show | |
MLB MONEYLINE MASSACRE *NO-BRAINER* The worst teams in baseball will clash in the opener of a three-game series Friday night when the Kansas City Royals (42-91) host the Baltimore Orioles (40-94). The Orioles have won just 16 games on the road all season and I'm happy to back the home team in this matchup. KC righty Brad Keller (6-5, 3.33 ERA) has allowed just four runs while covering 17 innings through his last three starts and he's 3-1 with a 3.23 ERA at home. Baltimore righty Andrew Cashner (4-12, 4.79 ERA) has allowed nine runs (eight earned) on 16 his in 13 innings through his last two starts alone and he's 2-6 with a 5.14 ERA in 12 starts on the road this season. Both teams got Thursday off. Royals are 4-1 in their last 5 games following an off day and while Orioles are coming off a three-sweep of the Toronto Blue Jays, note that they're 5-22 in their last 27 games following an off day. 8* play on Kansas City Royals. |
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08-31-18 | Cubs v. Phillies -110 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
FRIDAY NIGHT BASES BLOWOUT The Chicago Cubs have won eight of their last nine games, but I think they're about to run into trouble here at Philadelphia Friday night. Philly right-hander Nick Pivetta (7-10, 4.76 ERA) are coming off a couple of disappointing outings after allowing just three runs through his first three starts of the month. He should be fired up to close out the month with a solid start and has a terrific 162/38 K/BB ratio through 136 innings of work this year. Cubs left-hander Jose Quintana (11-9, 4.33 ERA) has gone only five innings in each of his last three starts. He has walked five in his last two starts and struggled with his command all season long, entering this game with a 116/60 K/BB ratio. We can also note that this is an awkward spot for the Cubs who played home in Chicago on Wednesday, traveled to Atlanta for a makeup game on Thursday and now they're in Philly on Friday. The value is on the home team in this matchup. 8* play on Philadelphia Phillies. |
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08-30-18 | Angels v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -116 | 15 h 19 m | Show |
THURSDAY NIGHT MLB RUNLINE RIPPER *TOP PLAY* The Houston Astros are 7-1 in their last 8 overall and look like a solid home favorite here when they host the Los Angeles Angels Thursday night. The Angels are 1-7 in their last eight overall and left-hander Andrew Heaney (7-8, 4.25 ERA) is 1-2 with a bloated 6.67 ERA through his last five starts. Astros are 5-0 in their last five games vs. a left-handed starter and counter with Justin Verlander (13-8, 2.72 ERA) who is 4-0 with a 1.61 ERA over four starts against the Halos this season. Angels are 5-21 in their last 26 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. 10* play on Houston Astros. |
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08-29-18 | Diamondbacks -115 v. Giants | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 26 m | Show | |
3-PACK OF MLB SYSTEM PLAYS (ALL MONEYLINE) System play where we back a team to avoid three straight losses in the same series against a team with a worse record. We can also note that Diamondbacks are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series while Giants are 1-7 in their last 8 during game 3 of a series. 8* play on Arizona Diamondbacks. |
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08-29-18 | Dodgers -156 v. Rangers | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 25 m | Show | |
MLB MONEYLINE MASSACRE The Los Angeles Dodgers recorded 15 hits in their 8-4 victory over Texas at Globe Life Park in Arlington, Texas Tuesday night, and I think their bats will carry them to another triumph tonight. Texas left-hander Mike Minor (10-6, 4.40 ERA) is coming off six innings of one-run ball at Oakland, but he gave up four runs in 5 2/3 innings in the Bronx in his las t start prior to that. Dodgers are 8-2 in their last 10 road games vs. a left-handed starter. LAD left-hander Alex Wood (7-6, 3.60 ERA) will be pitching on three days of extra rest as he last pitched Aug. 20 at home against the Cardinals. Rangers are 0-7 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter. The Rangers have nothing to play for. They've dropped five of their last seven and are dead last in the AL West while the Dodgers need to go on a run, still sitting third in the tight NL West (one game behind Arizona and Colorado) despite coming off four straight wins. No brainer play on the better and more motivated team. 8* play on LA Dodgers. |
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08-29-18 | Blue Jays -109 v. Orioles | 5-10 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 20 m | Show | |
3-PACK OF MLB SYSTEM PLAYS (ALL MONEYLINE) System play where we back a team to avoid three straight losses in the same series against a team with a worse record. We can also note that Blue Jays are 5-1 in right-hander Ryan Borucki's (3-3, 4.12) last 6 starts while Orioles are 0-9 in Alex Cobb's (4-15, 5.00) last 9 home starts. 8* play on Toronto Blue Jays. |
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08-29-18 | Nationals v. Phillies -125 | 6-8 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
3-PACK OF MLB SYSTEM PLAYS (ALL MONEYLINE) System play where we back a team to avoid three straight losses in the same series against a team with a worse record. We can also note that Nationals are 0-8 in Gonzalez's last 8 road starts and Phillies are 15-3 in their last 18 games after losing the first 2 games of a series. 8* play on Philadelphia Phillies. |