Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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06-11-19 | Padres v. Giants OVER 7.5 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 32 h 44 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the over Padres/Giants. Chris Paddack (4-4, 2.97 ERA) gets the nod for the visitors and while he hasn’t been at his best over his last two starts, I still think he’ll have more than enough in the tank to get the better of his inconsistent counterpart. Tyler Beede (0-2, 8.15) is coming off a decent outing, giving up one run over six innings in a 3-1 win over the Fish on May 30th, but I still think he’s in over his head here. Key Trends: - San Diego has seen the total go over the number in four of five this year as a road favorite. - The Padres have seen the total soar over in 12 of 18 this year in all games when the total is either 8 or 8.5. - San Francisco has seen the total go over in both games it’s played in so far this year off two straight home losses vs. a division rival. The verdict: Two hungry teams. This number is low, play the over! |
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06-11-19 | Tigers v. Royals UNDER 9.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 30 h 14 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the under Tigers/Royals. The Royals have gone a disappointing 0-14-2 in the past 16 in this series. So far Detroit is 5-1 at home vs. the Royals, but this is the first time the teams will meet in Kansas City. Detroit won’t be lacking for motivation here though either after losing three straight series itself. Detroit goes with Spencer Turnbull (3-5, 3.01 ERA), while the home side goes with Jakob Junis (4-6, 5.63.) Turnbull has faced KC twice already this year and has given up three earned runs over 13 innings. Note that Junis is 6-1 with a 3.27 ERA vs. Detroit in eight starts vs. Detroit. Key Trends: - Detroit has seen the total go under the number in six of seven this year as a road dog in the +100 to +150 range. - Kansas City has seen the total go under the number in 15 of 22 this season vs. clubs with losing records. The verdict: Both teams enter off blowout losses. I expect these pitchers to battle deep and for the opener of this series to fall well below the posted number. Play the under! |
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06-11-19 | Diamondbacks v. Phillies UNDER 9.5 | 4-7 | Loss | -120 | 29 h 4 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the under D-Backs/Phillies. The Diamondbacks exploded for a franchise record eight home runs in yesterday’s 13-8 victory. Suffice it to say, I’m not expecting lightning to strike twice here. The D-Backs go with Jon Duplantier (1-0, 3.27 ERA) and he’s gone at least five innings in his first two starts. Philadelphia looks to snap a two-game slide by handing the ball to Jake Arrieta (5-5, 4.29) who has struggled over his last two starts, but who will look to rebound vs. Arizona, a club in which he’s gone a sharp 4-3 with a 2.33 ERA in nine career appearances against. Key Trends: - Arizona has seen the total go under in 11 of its last 17 after two or more straight victories. - Philadelphia has seen the total go under in six of its last eight at home when the total is either 9 or 9.5. The verdict: I like these starters to battle deep and after yesterday’s slug-fest, I look for this total to fall under once it’s all said and done! |
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06-10-19 | Warriors v. Raptors OVER 211.5 | Top | 106-105 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 56 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the over. This is the third pick of my 3-game NBA Game 5 report. I’m also taking the Warriors for the FIRST HALF and for the entire game as well. And if you read my analysis on those selections, you know what I’m expecting the desperate visiting champs to push the pace from the “get go.” Clearly the Warriors can’t just sit back and hope that things work out, they’re going to have to dictate the pace of this one and with the home side matching pace, from a situational angle, this one definitely sets up as more of a “shootout” than “chess match” in my opinion. Key Trends: - Golden State has seen the total go over in four of its last five in trying to revenge two straight losses vs. an opponent of the points or more. - Toronto has seen the total go over in nine of 11 this year after two or more straight road victories. The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, play the over! |
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06-09-19 | A's v. Rangers UNDER 11 | Top | 9-8 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 30 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the under A’s/Rangers. Texas won 10-5 and 3-1 in yesterday’s double header. I think that Sunday’s game sets up as more of a “duel” as well. The visitors hand the ball to Frankie Montas (7-2, 2.83 ERA), who has gone 3-0 over his last six starts, most recently going six scoreless in a 4-2 win over the Angels on Tuesday (note as well that all three victories have been on the road.) Overall Montas is a solid 1-0 with a 3.60 ERA in five games, including two starts, vs. Texas in his career. Drew Smyly (1-4, 7.93) has been a disaster for the Rangers this year, but he catches a break here facing this “on again, off again” A’s offense. Key Trends: - Oakland has seen the total dip under the number in 11 of 17 vs. teams with winning records this season. - Texas has seen the total go under in 16 of 19 this year after two or more consecutive victories. The verdict: I like Montas to go deep and for this total to sneak under the number once it’s all said and done! |
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06-08-19 | Nationals v. Padres UNDER 7.5 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 30 h 47 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the under Nats/Padres. Last night’s game ended up going “over” the number in the Padres walk off 5-4 victory, but I expect much more of a “duel” on Saturday. Max Scherzer (3-5, 3.06 ERA) is 3-2 with a 2.37 ERA in ten starts vs. the Friars. Eric Lauer (5-4, 4.18) is faced the Nats twice (both no decisions) and has posted a tiny 2.31 ERA. Lauer in fact comes in on top form, having allowed just five runs with three walks and 17 K’s over his last four starts (which equals to a 1.50 ERA and 0.833 WHIP.) Key Trends: - Washington has seen the total go under in four of its last five after two straight one run losses. - San Diego has seen the total go under in 12 of its last 17 after two straight wins by two runs or less. The verdict: After last night’s “slug-fest,” expect these competent hurlers to go deep. This number is high, play the under! |
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06-08-19 | Rockies v. Mets UNDER 8 | 3-5 | Push | 0 | 27 h 52 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the under Rockies/Mets. I had a big underdog play on the Rockies last night and they came through with the 5-1 victory. I think another “duel” is in order on Saturday night between Steven Matz (4-4, 3.97 ERA) for the Mets, vs. Jon Gray (5-4, 4.11) for the Rockies. Matz looks to bounce back after after allowing five runs over six innings in a loss to the D-Backs, while Gray earned the win over the Blue Jays last time out, going seven scoreless. Key Trends: - Colorado has seen the total go under in four of five already this season after allowing two runs or less over two straight games. - The Mets have seen the total dip under in four of five already this season when the total in the contest is set at either 8 or 8.5. The verdict: These pitchers have struggled vs. their respective opponents tonight in the past, but I think the stage is set for a “duel” finally. This number is a little high, play the under! |
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06-07-19 | Raptors v. Warriors OVER 215.5 | Top | 105-92 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 46 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play is on the over in Game 4. I took the over in Game 1, the under in Game 2 and then the over in Game 3. With their backs against the wall and with Klay Thompson returning though (after missing Game 3), I believe the Warriors push the pace as they look to avoid the dreaded 1-3 hole. Golden State can ill afford to rest on its laurels, instead it’s going to have to play frantic and with purpose. Everything points to a a bunch of points being put on the board tonight! Key Trends: - Toronto has seen the total soar over the number in eight of its last 13 playoff road games following an ATS road victory. - Golden State has seen the total go over the number in nine of its last 14 following a home ATS/SU playoff loss. The verdict: The Warriors were just fine without KD in the line-up vs. the Blazers, but without Thompson in the line-up, they just couldn’t keep pace with Toronto in Game 3. Thompson’s back and I expect the “Splash Brothers” to try and set the tone early. This number is low, play the over! |
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06-05-19 | Raptors v. Warriors OVER 213 | Top | 123-109 | Win | 100 | 61 h 45 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the over. I had a play on the over in Game 1 and the under in Game 2. Both have been close, but in Game 3 I’m expecting more of a wide-open shootout. Golden State looked great defensively in the second half of Game 2 and it was the primary reason it was able to tie this series up. Toronto had success in Game 1 because it pushed the pace and dictated the tempo. The visitors can’t let Golden State do what it wants and expect to win obviously, so I’m expecting them to push the pace from start to finish. Golden State as well seems to shoot better at home and I expect head coach Steve Kerr to give Stephen Curry the “green light.” From a situational point of view I think this one definitely sets up great as a higher-scoring shootout. Key Trends: - Toronto has seen the total go over in seven of its last 11 road playoff games following an ATS/SU home loss. - Golden State has seen the total fly above the posted number in 12 of its last 20 after a five points or more road playoff victory. The verdict: Toronto’s role players were a “no show” in Game 2 after the big Game 1 performance, but a return to form is imminent with that veteran core. I think this one sets up as a “shootout” in Game 3, play the over! |
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06-05-19 | White Sox v. Nationals UNDER 10 | Top | 4-6 | Push | 0 | 22 h 22 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the under Sox/Nats. Despite both Dylan Covey (1-4, 4.73 ERA) and Anibal Sanchez (1-6, 4.47) having gotten out to such inconsistent starts to the 2019 campaign, I still think that this number is a little high. The Nationals have now won three straight, but they had to rally from a 5-0 deficit to win yesterday’s opener 9-5. Note as well that Sanchez comes in off his best start of the season, going six shutout innings in a win over the Braves on May 29th (note that Sanchez has a 2.53 ERA over his last five starts.) Covey was 0-10 with a 5.99 ERA over his previous 14 starts dating back to last season, but he also comes in off a “gem,” walking one and striking out five and allowing one run over six innings in a win over the Indians on Friday. Key Trends: - Chicago has seen the total go under the number in seven of its last 11 interleague contests when the total in the contest is 10.5 or higher. - Washington has seen the total dip under the posted number in 12 of its last 19 home games when the total is 10.5 or higher. The verdict: These improving starters battle into the latter frames and this one stays well below this sky-high number. Play the under! |
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06-03-19 | Phillies v. Padres UNDER 7.5 | Top | 2-8 | Loss | -109 | 29 h 40 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the under Phillies/Padres. This is an important series for both teams. The Padres are in a “free fall” right now, having lost five of their last seven, including two in a row to the lowly Marlins. The Phillies sit atop the NL East. The visitors look to keep the good times rolling, while the home side is eager to get off the schneid. Unfortunately for both line-ups they run into a couple of red hot hurlers on the mound and when the smoke clears at the end of this one, I expect them to be the main story lines in tomorrow’s summaries. Phillies’ ace Aaron Nola is is 4-0 with a 2.96 ERA over his last five starts, while Padres’ starter Eric Lauer is 2-0 with a 1.50 ERA over his last three contests. Key Trends: - Philadelphia has seen the total go under in 14 of its last 24 on the road. - San Diego has seen the total go under the number in 18 of 29 at home. - The Padres have seen the total go under in four of their last five as a home dog. The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, play the under! |
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06-03-19 | Bruins v. Blues UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -127 | 35 h 11 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the under. If St. Louis is going to avoid a dreaded 3-1 hole before heading back to Boston for Game 5, it’s clearly going to have to get back to do what it does best, and that’s slowing the pace down to a grind and buckling down on the defensive end. Jordan Binnington has answered each poor performance with a brilliant one in net for the Blues so far in the second half of the season and I expect that trend to continue. Key Trends: - Boston has seen the total go under in 21 of its last 36 after scoring four or more goals in its previous contest. - St. Louis has seen the total go under in 15 of 23 this year after a loss by two goals or more in its previous outing. The verdict: This one has low-scoring “goaltenders battle” written all over it. Play the under! |
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06-02-19 | Warriors v. Raptors UNDER 215 | Top | 109-104 | Win | 100 | 35 h 16 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the under Warriors/Raptors. I had a play on the “over” in Game 1, but in Game 2 I expect much more of a defensive affair. The Raptors got a huge effort from Paskal Sikiam, which turned out to be the difference in Toronto’s victory. A repeat performance is likely out of the question though. Draymond Green was torched in Game 1 defensively for the Warriors, but I think he and the Golden State bench/role players make the necessary adjustments to be much more competitive in Game 2. The Raptors continued their strong defensive play in Game 1 and I don’t think there’s any reason not to believe that trend won’t carry over in Game 2 as well. Key Trends: - Toronto has seen the total go under in seven of its last nine home games after a two games or more unbeaten streak. - The Warriors have seen the total go under in eight of their last 12 road games after losing by five or more points in a playoff contest. The verdict: I think the Warriors double down defensively today. This number is high, play the under! |
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06-02-19 | Red Sox v. Yankees UNDER 9.5 | Top | 8-5 | Loss | -115 | 28 h 37 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the under Red Sox/Yankees. David Price (2-2, 2.83 ERA) goes up against CC Sabathia (3-1, 3.48) in this one. Price has been historically destroyed by the Yanks, but he comes into this one top form going 1-0 with a 1.53 ERA over his last four starts. Sabathia has plenty of success though vs. the Red Sox, who went a poor 2 for 14 with RISP yesterday. Key Trends: - Boston has seen the total go under in 12 of its last 18 vs. teams with winning records. - New York has seen total go under in seven of its last ten vs. southpaws. The verdict: I expect these competent veterans to battle deep into the latter innings. This number is high, play the under! |
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06-02-19 | Mets v. Diamondbacks UNDER 9 | 1-7 | Win | 104 | 25 h 43 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the under under Mets/Diamondbacks. Arizona won 6-5 in 11 innings yesterday, breaking a five-game losing streak. The Mets have lost four of six on their seven-game road trip and they’ll be desperate here as well. The visitors go with Steven Matz (4-3, 3.44 ERA)w, while the home side goes with Merrill Kelly (4-6, 4.83.) Matz has posted two straight quality starts and he’s not given up more than three runs in any of his past six starts. Kelly has struggled of late, but note that he’s 2-2 with a sharp 2.64 ERA in five starts at Chase Field this season. Key Trends: - New York has seen the total go under in ten of its last 15 day games. - Arizona has seen the total go under in 12 of its last 18 vs. teams with losing records. The verdict: I think these competent starters battle deep and after yesterday’s marathon, all signs point to a lower-scoring “duel” on Sunday afternoon. Play the under! |
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06-02-19 | Cubs v. Cardinals UNDER 9.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 23 h 48 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the under Cubs/Cards. St. Louis is desperate to make up ground vs. the Cubs and it has a chance to sweep this three-game series today. The home side goes with Adam Wainwright (4-5, 4.94 ERA), who enters off a loss to Philadelphia, allowing four runs over six innings with a season-high ten K’s. Wainwright is 15-11 with a 4.16 ERA in 46 games vs. Chicago. The visitors won’t be rolling over though obviously as they try to salvage the finale. The Cubs go with Cole Hamels (4-1, 4.02) who is 4-5 with a tiny 2.67 ERA in 14 career starts vs. St. Louis. Key Trends: - The Cubs have seen the total go under in six of nine already this year after having lost four or five of their last six games. - The Cardinals have seen the total go under in seven of ten already this season with a home money line in the -100 to -150 range. The verdict: I think these veterans battle deep into the latter frames and I expect this total to stay well below the number. Play the under! |
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06-01-19 | Astros v. A's OVER 7.5 | 5-1 | Loss | -109 | 29 h 25 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 9* play on the over Astros/A’s. The A’s are expected to welcome back Khris Davis tonight as they’ll look to avenge last night’s last 3-2 loss. The Astros hand the ball to Justin Verlander (8-2, 2.38 ERA), who has struggled vs. Davis throughout his career in Houston, allowing the slugger to go 6 of 11 (.545) with a double and four home runs among six hits. The home side goes with Brett Anderson (6-3, 3.86) who is 1-3 with a 6.97 ERA over five games, including four starts vs. the Astros. Key Trends: - Houston has seen the total go over in 17 of its last 29 as a -150 or higher favorite. - Oakland has seen the total go over in six of its last eight as an underdog in the +125 to +175 range. The verdict: I think this one sneaks over late. Play the over! |
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05-31-19 | Cubs v. Cardinals UNDER 9.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 26 h 10 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the under Cubs/Cards. Two pitchers who would gladly use a “mulligan” on their early 2019 performance collide on Friday night. Motivation won’t be lacking from either and I believe that fact will help in driving tonight’s total under the posted number. Chicago makes its first trip to St. Louis this season after sweeping the Cards in three games at home earlier in the year. Miles Mikolas (4-5, 4.76 ERA) comes in off his strongest outing of the year for the Cards, holding the Braves to three runs over seven frames while striking out a season-high nine and walking none. Also note that Mikolas is 3-0 with a 1.32 ERA in six career games vs. the Cubs. Key Trends: - Chicago has seen the total go under in 12 of 20 already this season after allowing two runs or less. - St. Louis has seen the total go under in 15 of its last 20 following a victory. The verdict: This one has “duel” written all over it. Play the under! |
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05-31-19 | Royals v. Rangers UNDER 10.5 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 26 h 1 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the under Royals/Rangers. Starting pitching hasn’t been a point of strength for either club this year, but both Danny Duffy and Ariel Jurado have been “better than advertised” so far this season and I’m expecting a bit of a “duel” again on Thursday night, after the Royals 4-2 win on Thursday. Duffy (3-1, 3.12 ERA) and Jurado (1-2, 2.28) have been bright spots on poor rotations and I find no reason not to expect them to continue to progress in this match-up. Key Trends: - KC has seen the total go under in nine of 12 already this year as a road dog in the +100 to +150 range. - The Rangers have seen the total go under in six of nine as a favorite of -110 or higher this year. The verdict: This can still be a higher-scoring game and stay “under” this sky-high number and that’s exactly what I’m expecting. Play the under! |
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05-30-19 | Warriors v. Raptors OVER 214.5 | Top | 109-118 | Win | 100 | 106 h 4 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the over Warriors/Raptors. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Rest. Sometimes it leads to rust. Other times though it has the opposite effect. And that’s exactly what I expect here. The Warriors won’t be playing with Kevin Durant, but they still come in off the 4-0 sweep of the Blazers and are very well rested. Toronto has also had a couple extra days off after taking care of the Bucks in six. I’m expecting a very fast pace from start to finish. Key Trends: - Golden State has seen the total go over in three of four already this year when playing with three or more days rest. - Toronto has seen the total sail over in eight of its last 12 when playing with three days rest. The verdict: Golden State lost both regular season games to the Raptors. This is going to be an interesting Final and in Game 1, all signs point to a shootout. Play the over! |
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05-27-19 | Diamondbacks v. Rockies UNDER 10 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 21 h 23 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the under D-Backs/Rockies. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Zack Greinke. The Diamondbacks’ ace is 12-6 with a 3.78 ERA in 31 regular season appearances vs. Colorado and he’s 5-1 in 12 starts at Coors Field. Key Trends: - Arizona has seen the total go under in 12 of its last 18 “day” games. - Colorado has seen the total dip under in 33 of its last 53 at home when the total is set at either 10 or 10.5. The verdict: Colorado sends the competent Jon Gray to the hill tonight. This number is a bit high in my opinion, play the under! |
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05-26-19 | Braves v. Cardinals UNDER 9 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 24 h 30 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the under Braves/Cards. When I put out a total on an MLB game, I primarily base it upon the starting pitching. Not many would argue with you if you stated that Julio Teheran (3-4, 3.67 ERA) is currently in the best overall form in the entire league right now. Indeed, Teheran has posted a minuscule 0.79 ERA over four May starts. He’s also 3-3 with a 2.77 ERA lifetime against Saint Louis. Joe Flaherty (4-3, 4.19) has pitched into the fifth inning and hasn’t given up more than three runs in four starts so far in May. Key Trends: - Atlanta has seen the total go under in 11 of its last 17 when the total in the contest is set at either 9 or 9.5. - St. Louis has seen the total go under in 14 of its last 22 following a victory. The verdict: With these two starters expected to fight each other deep into the latter innings, all signs point to this one staying well under the posted number! |
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05-26-19 | Mariners v. A's UNDER 9.5 | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 21 h 33 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 9* play on the under Mariners/A’s. These teams are moving in opposite directions. The A’s are looking for an eighth straight victory, while the M’s have lost the first five games of their six-game trip. The A’s want to keep the momentum rolling, while Seattle is desperate to salvage the finale of its road trip. Oakland sends Brett Anderson (5-3, 4.14 ERA) to the hill and he’s 8-5 with a 2.38 ERA in 20 career starts vs. Seattle. The Mariners counter with Mike Leake (3-5, 4.73) who is 2-2 with a 4.15 ERA in nine starts vs. the A’s. Key Trends: - Seattle has seen the total dip under in four of its last five after two straight road losses vs. a division rival. - Oakland has seen the total go under in 15 of 24 at home already. - The A’s have seen the total go under the posted number in six of seven this year following a one run victory. The verdict: I think these starters battle into the latter frames. This number is high, play the under! |
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05-25-19 | Bucks v. Raptors OVER 212.5 | Top | 94-100 | Loss | -101 | 35 h 23 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the over. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Do or die. I think that the fact the Bucks are facing elimination will push the visitors to push the pace from the opening tip until the final horn. The Raptors have been exceptional defensively over the last three games, but if Milwaukee has any hopes of pushing this series to a decisive Game 7, it’ll have to take Toronto out of its “comfort zone.” I think Game 6 finally sets up as a “shootout.” Key Trends: - Milwaukee has seen the total go over the number in seven of its last nine road games following a two games or more SU losing streak. - The Raptors have seen the total go over the number in ten of their last 16 home games following a two games or more SU/ATS win streak. The verdict: With the visitors setting the early tone, I definitely am expecting a faster paced, higher-scoring affair in Game 6. Play the over! |
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05-25-19 | Braves v. Cardinals UNDER 9.5 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 25 h 9 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the under Braves/Cards. The Braves go with rookie Mike Soroka (5-1, 1.01 ERA) and the Cardinals go with Dakota Hudson (3-3, 4.40). Atlanta won the series opener 5-2 last night and I think that with these two hungry “studs” squaring off on Saturday, that runs will once again be at a premium. Key Trends: - The Braves have seen the total go under in 20 of their last 32 vs. right-handed starters. - St. Louis has seen the total go under in 40 of its last 60 at home when the money line is set between -125 and +125. The verdict: Expect these two young starters to throw deep into the latter frames. Play the under! |
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05-25-19 | Yankees v. Royals UNDER 9.5 | 7-3 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the under Yanks/Royals. Last night’s game was postponed due to inclement weather. JA Happ gets the nod for the visitors in the opener of this double-header, while Jakob Junis gets the nod for the home side. Junis is 3-5 with a 5.69 ERA, while Happ is 3-3 with a 5.16 ERA. Happ though is 4-3 with a 3.99 ERA lifetime vs. KC. Junis enters off his best star of the year, giving up four earned runs over seven innings with six K’s vs. the Angels on Saturday. I think these hungry starters are going to battle deep. Key Trends: - New York has seen the total go under in seven of its last ten road games following a three games or more unbeaten streak. - The Royals have seen the total dip under in nine of their last 12 home games as an underdog in the +125 to +200 range. The verdict: I think the shift to the double-header today is a distraction and I believe these hungry starters will take advantage. This number is a little high, play the under! |
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05-23-19 | Raptors v. Bucks OVER 217 | Top | 105-99 | Loss | -108 | 31 h 43 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the over Raptors/Bucks. The Raptors will try to break the “home court advantage” trend in Game 5. So far it’s meant everything in this series. Toronto star Kawhi Leonard was able to rest for a big part of the fourth quarter and I think he’s going to be a difference maker here again. Milwaukee is suddenly on the ropes as it’s high-powered offense has hit the wall. Clearly the Bucks are going to be looking to reverse their fortunes and with the prolific home side pushing the pace from start to finish, I definitely feel that Game 5 sets up as a “shootout.” Key Trends: - Toronto has seen the total go over in three of four already when tied in a playoff series. - Milwaukee has seen the total go over in 17 of its last 27 in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. The verdict: As stated off the top, I think the home side pushes the pace of this one from start to finish. All signs point to the over as the correct call in Game 5! |
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05-22-19 | Nationals v. Mets UNDER 6.5 | 1-6 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 58 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the under Nats/Mets. Yesterday’s game flew well above the posted number in the Mets much needed 6-5 victory, but I think runs will be much harder to come by with Max Scherzer (2-5, 3.72 ERA) and Jacob DeGrom (3-5, 3.98) on the mound on Wednesday night. Scherzer is 10-5 with a 2.59 ERA in 10 career appearances vs. the Mets. DeGrom is 8-4 with a 2.50 ERA in 16 career starts vs. the Nationals. These two faced off on Opening Day and the Mets won 2-0. Key Trends: - Washington has seen the total go under in interestingly four of its last five off two consecutive close losses by two runs or less to a division rival. - New York has seen the total go under in four of five after two or more consecutive victories. The verdict: Everything points to a classic “duel” after yesterday’s slug-fest. Play the under! |
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05-22-19 | Reds v. Brewers UNDER 8.5 | 9-11 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 59 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the under Reds/Brewers. This one’s a “no brainer” in my opinion. These aren’t only two of the best in the NL on the mound this afternoon, it’s two of the best in all of MLB. Luis Castillo (5-1, 1.90 ERA) of the Reds goes against Zack Davies (5-0, 1.54) of the Brewers. Cincinnati came out on top in yesterday’s series opener, but everything points to a classic “duel” on Wednesday afternoon. Key Trends: - Reds have seen the total go under the number in 16 of 23 on the road overall. - Cincinnati has seen the total go under in 11 of 16 vs. the division already. - Milwaukee has seen the total go under in 22 of 32 this year when the money line in the contest is set between +125 and -125. The verdict: I have no reason to believe that either of these “locked in” hurlers will falter here. Expect each to battle into the latter frames and play the under! |
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05-18-19 | Twins v. Mariners UNDER 9.5 | Top | 18-4 | Loss | -115 | 28 h 46 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the under Twins/ Mariners. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - The starting pitchers. While Twins’ ace Jose Berrios (6-2, 3.05 ERA) comes in off a terrible outing, he’s still pitched into the sixth inning in nine of ten games this year. He’ll be opposed by Wade LeBlanc (2-0, 4.50), who is 0-0 vs. the Twins in five career match ups, despite posting a 1.26 ERA (giving up only seven hits and two runs over 14 1/3’s innings). Key Trends: - Minnesota has seen the total go under in ten of its last 14 after playing two or more consecutive road games. - Seattle has seen the total go under in six of its last ten as a home underdog of +125 or more. The verdict: Everything points to a classic “duel.” Play the under! |
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05-18-19 | Cardinals v. Rangers UNDER 12 | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the under Cardinals/Rangers. I feel this total is much too high considering the talented hurlers on the mound. Also note that the Cards are in a major drought right now, having been outscored 21-5 in losing their last three games. St. Louis starter Dakota Hudson (2-3, 4.61 ERA) comes in off a decent outing vs. Pittsburgh, allowing three runs over seven innings of work. Despite being 0-2 in May, he’s posted a 3.18 ERA. He’ll be opposed by Ariel Jurado (1-1, 1.50) who makes his first start of the season. In his last appearance he gave up two runs over three innings to Kansas City. Key Trends: - The Cards have seen the total go under in six of their last eight after allowing seven runs or more in two straight games. - The Rangers have seen the total go under in four of five already this year ager scoring seven or more runs in two straight games. The verdict: I expect these hungry starting pitchers to throw deep into this one. Play the under! |
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05-16-19 | Blazers v. Warriors OVER 218 | Top | 111-114 | Win | 100 | 35 h 4 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the over Blazers/Warriors. While Game 1 went under the number in Golden State’s 116-94 win, I expect a much more wide-open offensive affair in Game 2. Portland was definitely sluggish after its Game 7 series win in Denver only 48 hours previous. But with that difficult game out of the way, I expect to see a much livelier Blazers team tonight. Golden State will be going for the jugular and it’s offense has in fact looked better since Kevin Durant went out with injury in the series win over the Rockets. No question this one sets up great for a higher-scoring “shootout” in Game 2. Key Trends: - Portland has seen the total go over in 17 of 29 already this year in trying to revenge a loss where its opponent scored 100 or more points. - Golden State has seen the total go over in 23 of its last 34 when leading in a playoff series. The verdict: Damian Lillard has struggled over his last three games, and I don’t expect that trend to continue at all for the Blazers’ All Star. Look for Portland to come out and push the pace. This number is low, play the over! |
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05-16-19 | Bruins v. Hurricanes UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 34 h 6 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the under Bruins/Canes. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Do or die. Down 3-0, I think the defensive minded Hurricanes double-down on the defensive end tonight. Boston net minder Tuukka Rask is now 11-5 with a 1.96 GAA in the playoffs. He’s also 9-7 with a 2.27 GAA lifetime vs. Carolina. The Hurricanes’ Petr Mrazek is still 12-6 with a 2.33 GAA at home. I believe these goaltenders will be the main story lines in tomorrow’s summaries. Key Trends: - Boston has seen the total go under in 15 of 23 on the road this year when the total is set at 5.5. - Carolina has seen the total go under in five of six this year after three or more consecutive losses. - The Hurricanes have seen the total go under in 30 of 48 this season in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, play the under! |
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05-14-19 | Blazers v. Warriors UNDER 219 | Top | 94-116 | Win | 100 | 33 h 59 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the under Blazers/Warriors. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - No Kevin Durant. I think the All Star’s absence catches up to the Warriors here. Portland is deceivingly good on the defensive end I believe and the last thing the visitors will want to do is to turn this one into a “track meet.” From a situational stand point, I think Game 1 of the WCF’s definitely sets up as more of a lower-scoring defensive battle. Key Trends: - Portland has seen the total go under in five of its last seven as a road dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range. - Golden State has seen the total go under in 18 of 28 this season as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. The verdict: While filled with offensive talent, I believe the circumstances and trends clearly point to the under as the correct call in Game 1! |
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05-14-19 | Cardinals v. Braves UNDER 9 | 14-3 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 7 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the under Cards/Braves. Two competent hurlers square off in this National league contest on Tuesday night. The visitors hand the ball to Jack Flaherty (3-3, 4.32 ERA), while the home side sends Mike Foltynewicz (0-2, 5.94). Key Trends: - St. Louis has seen the total go under in three of four already this season after allowing eight or more runs. - Atlanta has seen the total go under in 30 of its last 45 after three or more consecutive wins (took three of four vs. the D-Backs over the weekend.) The verdict: I think Foltynewicz finally gets his act together here in this favorable spot. This number is high, play the under! |
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05-13-19 | Astros v. Tigers UNDER 8 | 8-1 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 11 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the under Astros/Tigers. This is the opener of a three-game set. Detroit’s been competitive. Tonight’s starting pitchers have been better than advertised and I believe that they’re going to battle each other deep into the latter frames. Brad Peacock (3-2, 4.30 ERA) just went seven scoreless vs. Kansas City, while Detroit hands the ball to its ace Matt Boyd (4-2, 2.86.) Boyd has posted seven straight quality starts, going 4-1 with a 2.58 ERA in that span. Key Trends: - Houston has seen the total go under the number in five of six already this year on the road when the money line in the contest is set between -100 to -150. - The Astros have seen the total go under in 12 of 19 on the road overall this season. - Detroit has seen the total go under in 17 of 27 as an underdog this year. The verdict: As stated off the top, I believe these starting pitchers battle deep into the latter frames, helping to result in a lower-scoring affair. Play the under! |
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05-12-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets UNDER 212.5 | 100-96 | Win | 100 | 50 h 20 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the Blazers/Nuggets under. Key Trends: - Portland has seen the total go under the number in seven of its last ten when playing with two days rest. - The Nuggets have seen the total go under in seven of ten when playing with two days rest this year. - Denver has seen the total go under in seven of ten this year off a road loss by ten points or more. - The Nuggets have seen the total go under in 14 of 23 this season after allowing 115 points or more. The verdict: Fatigues plays a factor in this pick for sure. This number is high, play the under! |
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05-12-19 | Hurricanes v. Bruins UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -125 | 50 h 9 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the under Hurricanes/Bruins. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - The goaltenders. Before falling 5-2 in Game 1 to the Bruins, the Hurricanes gave up only five total goals to the Islanders over their four-game series sweep. Carolina goaltender Petr Mrazek is still 5-4 with a 2.40 GAA in the playoffs and 11-11 with a 2.43 GAA on the road. Bruins’ goaltender Tuukka Rask is 9-5 with a 2.02 GAA in the postseason. Key Trends: - Carolina has seen the total go under in five of its last six road games after allowing five or more goals in its previous contest. - Boston has seen the total go under the number in eight of its last 11 after a victory of three goals or more. The verdict: After the offensive explosion in Game 1, almost all of which game in the third period, I’m expecting a “duel” in Game 2. Play the under! |
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05-11-19 | Pirates v. Cardinals UNDER 8.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 25 h 1 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the under Pirates/Cards. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Current form of today’s starters. Jordan Lyles (has had MAJOR issues with the Cards in the past, but he comes in with a 2-1, 2.20 ERA record. St. Louis is in a major hitting slump currently, so Lyles has an opportunity to take advantage. Cards’ starter Miles Mikolas (4-2, 4.02) has given up just one run over his last two starts (Nats and Phillies.) This contest has “duel” written all over it! Key Trends: - The Pirates have seen the total go under the number in nine of 16 on the road already this year. - The Cards have seen the total go under the number in eight of their last 12 as a favorite. The verdict: Expect these competent hurlers to battle deep. Play the under! |
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05-10-19 | Warriors v. Rockets OVER 211.5 | Top | 118-113 | Win | 100 | 35 h 35 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the over Warriors/Rockets. Will home floor prove to be the difference again for the Rockets? So far the home side has won every game on its home floor and while Game 5 went “under” the number, I look for Game 6 to be a much more wide-open affair. Key Trends: - Golden State has seen the total go over in six of seven already this year when leading in a playoff series. - The Rockets have seen the total go over in all three games that it’s played in so far in the playoffs when trailing in a series. The verdict: Despite Kevin Durant sitting, I’m expecting the defending champs to pour it on here. It’s do or die for the Rockets, who will also clearly have the foot on the gas from start to finish. With each team pushing the pace, I expect this total to fly over sooner, rather than later! |
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05-09-19 | Raptors v. 76ers OVER 213 | 101-112 | Push | 0 | 31 h 3 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the over. I have a play on Toronto as part of my three game report as I believe it’s going to try and end this series here and now. Look for Toronto to come out firing and expect this total to fly over sooner, rather than later. Key Trends: - Philadelphia has seen the total go over the number in 14 of its last 21 in trying to revenge a blowout loss of 20 points or more vs. an opponent (including in all three such instances this season). - Toronto has seen the total go over the number in nine of 14 this year already as a road favorite of six points or less. The verdict: Kawhi Leonard has been unstoppable in the playoffs and the rest of his team is feeding off of him now. Philadelphia big man Joel Embiid is having difficulty with the one-two matchup of Serge Ibaka and Marc Gasol and I have a hard time seeing the home side remaining very competitive. With a chance to end this series here and now, I believe the Raptors keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. Lay the short points! |
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05-09-19 | Hurricanes v. Bruins OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 123 | 31 h 57 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the over Hurricanes/Bruins. Carolina got by Washington in seven games, but it only needed four to beat the Islanders. Boston needed seven games to beat Toronto, before then needing six to get by Columbus. Not many would have predicted that these two teams would be fighting for the Eastern Conference Final this season, but here we go. With a couple days off to prepare, I expect a wide open “shoot-out” in Game 1. Key Trends: - Carolina has seen the total go over in nine of its last 12 following a three games or more unbeaten streak. - Boston has seen the total go over in ten of its last 15 following a three games or more unbeaten streak. The verdict: Each has a capable goaltender, but I look for both teams to push the pace in Game 1. This one has high-scoring “goal-fest” written all over it. Play the over! |
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05-08-19 | Celtics v. Bucks UNDER 218 | 91-116 | Win | 102 | 32 h 58 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 9* play on the under. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Cold Kyrie Irving. As Kyrie Irving goes, so go the Celtics. Or so it would definitely seem. The Celtics All Star had a monster Game 1 and Boston went on to victory. Since then though the Bucks have made adjustments and Irving is currently going through his worst three-game shooting slump of his playoff career. Nothing’s going to change here in this difficult venue in my opinion. Clearly Boston can’t turn this one into a “track meet” and expect to hang with the high-flying Bucks, so with the visiting side also doubling down defensively, everything definitely points to a defensive battle in my opinion. Key Trends: - Boston has seen the total go under in five of its last six when trailing in a playoff series. - Milwaukee has seen the total go under in 12 of its last 20 off a road win by ten points or more. The verdict: If the Celtics season ends tonight, clearly it won’t be without a fight until the end. Play the under! |
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05-07-19 | 76ers v. Raptors OVER 211.5 | 89-125 | Win | 104 | 33 h 38 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the over. Key Trends: - Philadelphia has seen the total go over in 30 of 49 this year after failing to cover the spread in its previous game. - Toronto has seen the total go over the number in eight of 12 this year off a win vs. a division rival. - The Raptors have seen the total go over in five of seven off an upset win as a road dog this season. The verdict: This has been an all out war. Besides Kawhi Leonard though, most of the “stars” for both of these teams have struggled with consistency. I think that changes here as the series winds on. It’s been a back and forth battle to this point and I don’t see that trend changing here. Everything points to a shootout in my opinion! |
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05-06-19 | Bruins v. Blue Jackets UNDER 5.5 | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 30 h 44 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the under Bruins/Blue Jackets. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - The goaltenders. I think they’ll steal the show in Game 6. Boston goaltender Tuukka Rask is 7-5 with a 2.19 GAA in the playoffs, while Blue Jackets’ goalie Sergei Bobrovsky is 6-3 with a 2.33 GAA. Key Trends: - Boston has seen the total go under the number in 31 of 50 this year vs. clubs with winning records. - The Jackets have seen the total go under the number in 20 of their 32 vs. teams with winning records. The verdict: This one has all the makings of a good old fashioned “goaltenders battle.” Play the under! |
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05-03-19 | Stars v. Blues UNDER 5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 113 | 36 h 55 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the under. Key Trends: - Dallas has seen the the total go under in 16 of 24 this year after a win by two goals or more. - The Stars have seen the total go under in 21 of 28 after scoring four or more goals in their previous game. - St. Louis has seen the total go under in 13 of 20 this year following a loss by two goals or more. The verdict: While this series has surprisingly been high-scoring, I think this important contest finally sets up as a lower-scoring defensive battle. Play the under! |
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05-02-19 | Raptors v. 76ers OVER 214 | Top | 95-116 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 27 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the over Raptors/76ers. Both teams have looked impressive in their victories and poor in their defeats. With the shift in venue, I think we’re going to see a “shootout” here. The Raptors have bodied up well against the high-flying 76ers so far, but the numbers/trends point to much more of an offensive affair in Game 3. Key Trends: - Toronto has seen the total go over the number in 12 of 17 this year in revenging a SU loss vs. an opponent. - Philadelphia has interestingly seen the total fly over the number in 15 of 21 this year after a win by six points or less. The verdict: This has been an interesting series so far and I predict another intestine game here. With each team expected to push the pace, look for this one to fly over sooner, rather than later. Play the over! |
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04-30-19 | Rockets v. Warriors UNDER 219 | Top | 109-115 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 13 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the under Rockets/Warriors. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Recent history. The Rockets looked good defensively in Game 1 despite the loss. The Warriors looked good defensively as well in the victory. I expect an identically hard-fought and ultimately lower-scoring affair in Game 2 as well. Will the shift in venue to Houston lead to a higher-scoring shootout? Perhaps. But for this one, everything points to another “under.” Key Trends: - Houston has seen the total go under in 11 of 16 this year as a road dog. - The Rockets have seen the total go under in 18 of 29 in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent this season. - Golden State has seen the total go under in nine of its last 12 after a win by six points or less. The verdict: All signs point to a “ground hog day” from Game 1 on the total. Play the under! |
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04-30-19 | Sharks v. Avalanche OVER 6 | Top | 4-2 | Push | 0 | 36 h 45 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the over Sharks/Avs. Game 2 saw the Avs battle for a 4-3 OT win. I expect a similar high-scoring war in Game 3 as well. Key Trends: - The Sharks have seen the total go over in 13 of 19 this season trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. - The Avs have seen the total go over in five of its last seven following an OT road win in which it scored four or more goals in. The verdict: This series features a ton of offensive talent. Expect it to be on full display in Game 3. Play the over! |
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04-30-19 | Celtics v. Bucks OVER 219.5 | 102-123 | Win | 100 | 34 h 40 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the over Boston/Milwaukee. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Do or die. Now or never. Say whatever you want, but after their Game 1 demolition, if the Bucks don’t recover here and earn the victory, then they’re going to obviously be in a heap of trouble heading back to Boston down 0-2. Milwaukee came into this series as the highest scoring team, but the Celtics aggressive defense proved to be the difference in Game 1. With Milwaukee pushing the pace from the outset, Boston is going to have to keep up in Game 2 though. This one has shootout written all over it. Key Trends: - Boston has seen the total go over in 15 of 22 this year off a road win. - Milwaukee has seen the total go over in five of its last six off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite. The verdict: I was surprised by how easily the Celtics dominated the Bucks in Game 1, but I expect Milwaukee to respond with a much better, four-quarter effort in Game 2. This number is low, play the over! |
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04-29-19 | Blues v. Stars UNDER 5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 34 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the Blues/Stars under. Key Trends: - The Blues have seen the total go under the number in 13 of 19 this year after a loss by two goals or more in their previous game. - Dallas has seen the total go under in 16 of 23 this year after a win by two goals or more. - The Stars have seen the total dip under in 13 of their 19 vs. teams with winning records. The verdict: Game 1 was a “push” as far as the total was concerned, while Game 2 went “over.” This all important Game 3 sets up fantastically as a defensive affair finally; play the under! |
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04-29-19 | A's v. Red Sox OVER 9 | 4-9 | Win | 100 | 28 h 41 m | Show | |
Ricky's 8* play on the over A’s/Red Sox. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Eduardo Rodriguez. The Red Sox’ starter has struggled with consistency, going just 2-2 with a 5.88 ERA. Both teams come in struggling and desperate for some production at the plate though. The Red Sox are 11-17, their worst start since 1996. In a two game series loss to TB, Boston went 0 for 11 with runners in scoring position. Oakland’s dropped three in a row, including two in walk off fashion. Key Trends: - Oakland has already seen the total go over in six of eight this year after having lost three of its last four games. - Boston has seen the total go over the number in 26 of its last 39 after scoring three runs or less in two straight games. The verdict: I’m banking on these hungry and clearly underachieving line-ups to be the main story lines in tomorrow’s summaries. Play the over! |
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04-28-19 | Celtics v. Bucks UNDER 224.5 | Top | 112-90 | Win | 100 | 121 h 53 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the under Celtics/Bucks. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Rest leads to rust. Both teams looked impressive in their first round series victory. The Celtics averaged 99.3 PPG and they allowed just 91.8. The Bucks averaged 121.8 PPG and they conceded only 98. I think each doubles down on the defensive end after a few extra days off between series. Key Trends: - Boston has seen the total go under in all three of its games this year as a road dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range. - Milwaukee has seen the total dip under in 23 of its last 36 off a road win by ten points or more. The verdict: Everything points to a defensive battle in my professional opinion. Play the under! |
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04-27-19 | Spurs v. Nuggets UNDER 209.5 | Top | 86-90 | Win | 100 | 34 h 41 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the under Spurs/Nuggets. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Fatigue. The Spurs laid it all on the line in Game 6, which went “over” the number. I had a play on San Antonio in that one. This has been a difficult and back and forth series and I believe each team is “gassed.” Expect these two defensive minded clubs to play to a classic defensive affair in Game 7. Key Trends: - San Antonio has seen the total go under in eight of 12 this year after a blowout win by 15 or more points. - Denver has seen the total dip under in nine of 12 this year after allowing 120 points or more in its previous contest. The verdict: This number is a little high in my opinion. Play the under! |
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04-26-19 | Avalanche v. Sharks OVER 6 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 36 h 46 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* BIG TIGER TOTAL on the over Avs/Sharks. Key Trends: - Colorado has seen 11 of its last 17 go over the number when playing with three or more days rest. - The Sharks have seen the total go over the number in 12 of their last 17 when playing with two days rest. The verdict: I’m expecting a wide open affair in Game 1. All signs point to a shootout, play the over! |
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04-24-19 | Hurricanes v. Capitals OVER 5.5 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 105 | 31 h 23 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the over Carolina/Washington. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Defenses and goaltenders appear fatigued. Over the last two games, a 6-0 win for Washington and a 4-2 victory for Carolina, I’ve felt that defense has taken a back seat. And I look for that trend to carry over here. Note that some crucial ATS O/U stats are listed below. Key Trends: - Carolina has seen the total go over the number in four of its last five after a win by three goals or more. - Washington has seen the total go over in 18 of 27 this year after allowing four goals or more. - The Capitals have seen the total soar over in 19 of 30 this year in revenging a loss vs. an opponent. The verdict: Everything points to a wide open “goal-fest.” Play the over! |
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04-23-19 | Nets v. 76ers UNDER 230 | 100-122 | Win | 100 | 57 h 18 m | Show | |
Ricky's 8* play on the under Nets/76ers under. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Do or die. For the Nets obviously. After taking Game 1, Philadelphia has taken the last three from Brooklyn. The Nets will be looking to slow the pace of this one down whenever possible, as engaging in a “shootout” clearly hasn’t been working for them so far. I expect the visitors to try and do just that and it becomes my “key angle” for this contest. Key Trends: - The Nets have seen the total go under the number in 30 of their last 45 after failing to cover three of their last four vs. the spread. - The 76ers have seen the total go under the number in six of their last seven off a road win vs. a division rival. The verdict: The stage is set for a battle until the final horn. Everything points to the under as the correct call! |
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04-21-19 | Warriors v. Clippers UNDER 235 | Top | 113-105 | Win | 100 | 52 h 12 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the Warriors/Clippers under. Key Trends: - Golden State has seen the total go under in 23 of its last 36 vs. good offensive teams which score 106 plus points per game. - LA has seen the total dip under the number in four of five already this year in revenging a home blowout loss vs. an opponent of 20 points or more. The verdict: I think both teams are fatigued at this point. The Clippers did rally from the massive come from behind victory in Game 2, but clearly the home side can’t get into a “shootout” with the Warriors and expect to win. I believe the home side doubles down defensively in Game 4. Play the under! |
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04-21-19 | Mets v. Cardinals UNDER 8.5 | Top | 4-6 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 12 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the under Mets/Cards. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Mets starter Noah Syndergaard. I think he’ll go deep here, note that he owns a 3.08 ERA lifetime vs. the Cards. St. Louis starter Dakota Hudson (1-0, 6.08 ERA) has been shaky of late, but he was 4-1 with a 2.63 ERA last year and he has a golden opportunity today facing the Mets “on again, off again” offense. Key Trends: - The Mets have seen the total go under the number in 18 of their last 28 after playing seven or more straight road games. - The Cards have seen the total go under in four of five already this year after two or more straight home games. The verdict: Taking into account all of the above factors, I think this one falls under once its all said and done! |
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04-19-19 | Raptors v. Magic UNDER 210 | 98-93 | Win | 100 | 54 h 13 m | Show | |
Ricky's 8* play on the under Raptors/Magic. Key Trends: - Toronto has seen the total go “under” in five of its last seven as a road favorite. - Orlando has seen the total go under in 12 of its last 17 when playing with two days rest. - The Magic have seen the total dip under in all four games this year off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more. The verdict: These are two tough, defensive minded clubs and I’m expecting the home side to try and slow this one down and control the tempo from the outset. Magic big man Nikola Vucevic has so far been quiet in this series, but expect the home side to try and him much more involved moving forward. That means plenty of “half court sets” while on offense. The numbers and the conditions point to the under as the correct call! |
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04-18-19 | Warriors v. Clippers UNDER 237 | Top | 132-105 | Push | 0 | 58 h 16 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the under Warriors/Clippers. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Fatigue. Game 1 went under the number in the Warriors victory, while Game 2 went well over the number in the Clippers historic come from behind win. I’m expecting a much slower-paced Game 3 though after the Game 2 shootout. The O/U trends below support that as well. Key Trends: - As note that GS has seen the total go under in five of six already this season in trying to revenge a SU loss vs. an opponent as a favorite of seven points or more. - LA has seen the total go under in seven of ten this season off an upset win as a road underdog. The verdict: Expect an all out way from the opening tip until the final horn and for this total to ultimately fall under once it’s all said and done! |
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04-18-19 | Reds v. Padres OVER 7.5 | 4-1 | Loss | -103 | 30 h 48 m | Show | |
Ricky's 8* play on the Reds/Padres over. Key Trends: - The Reds have seen the total go “over” in 70 of their last 30 after playing two or more straight road games. - The Padres have seen the total go over in 46 of their last 76 after scoring three runs or less in two straight games. The verdict: Both Tanner Roark of the Reds and Chris Paddack of the Padres have been sharp to open the year. The Reds and Padres have struggled with offensive consistency as well, but I expect this one to sneak past this low number. The trends and the overall situation points to a higher-scoring slug-fest here. Play the over! |
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04-18-19 | Capitals v. Hurricanes UNDER 6 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 30 h 23 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the under Capitals/Hurricanes. Key Trends: - Washington has seen the total go under in nine of 14 this year after scoring one goal or less in its previous contest. - Carolina has seen the total go under in seven of its last nine after shutting out its opponent in its previous game. The verdict: Washington took the first two games of this series very easily at home, but the Capitals came out flat in a 5-0 loss in Game 3. I’m expecting a much more balanced affair in Game 4, but ultimately I think the goaltenders will “steal the show.” The strong O/U trends and the overall situation both point to the under as the correct call here! |
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04-17-19 | Mets v. Phillies UNDER 9 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 20 h 30 m | Show | |
Ricky's 8* play on the under Mets/Phillies. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Jake Arrieta. Yes the Phillies won 14-3 yesterday. Yes Mets’ starter Zach Wheeler is just 1-1 with a 7.54 ERA to open the year. But Arrieta is locked in at 2-1 with a 2.25 ERA. After yesterday’s “slug-fest,” I expect a much lower-scoring pitchers duel this time around. Key Trends: - New York has seen the total go under in five of its last six after a road blowout loss of ten points or more vs. a division opponent. - The Phillies have seen the total dip under in four of their last five off a win of ten runs or more vs. a division rival. The verdict: Wheeler is hungry for a victory, while Arrieta is firing on all cylinders. This number is high, play the under! |
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04-16-19 | Magic v. Raptors OVER 209.5 | Top | 82-111 | Loss | -110 | 57 h 46 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* TOTAL OF WEEK over Magic/Raptors. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Do or die for Toronto. Toronto can ill afford to go down 0-2 to the surging Magic heading back to Orlando. The Raptors achilles heel over the years has been their play on the road in the postseason, and home court was supposed to be their major advantage. The Magic have been playing exceptionally well defensively, but I expect a much faster paced, wide open affair in Game 2 as the home side pushes the tempo from the opening tip, until the final buzzer. From a situational stand point, this one definitely sets up well as a high-scoring shootout in my opinion. Key Trends: - Orlando has seen the total go over the number in 17 of 23 this year off an upset win as an underdog. - Toronto has seen the total go over in nine of ten this year in trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent. The verdict: Expect Kyle Lowry and company to get back on track with a full four-quarter effort. Play the over! |
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04-16-19 | Giants v. Nationals UNDER 8 | 7-3 | Loss | -103 | 27 h 57 m | Show | |
Ricky's 8* play on the under Giants/Nationals. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Giants own a league-worst team batting average of .199. The Nationals are at only .260. While Stephen Strasburg and Dereck Rodriguez have struggled at times to open the year, I think the stage is set for these hungry and capable starters to step up and go deep against each other tonight. Key Trends: - San Francisco has seen the total go under in five of its last six vs. right-handed starters. - Washington has seen the total go under in 28 of its last 48 after scoring four runs or less in three straight games. The verdict: Expect these starters to be the main story lines in tomorrows summaries. Play the under! |
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04-15-19 | Nets v. 76ers OVER 225 | 123-145 | Win | 100 | 33 h 53 m | Show | |
Ricky's 8* play on the over Nets/76ers. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - The overall situation. Do or die for the 76ers (essentially). The high-flying 76ers looked impotent in Game 1 vs. the deep Nets. Brooklyn isn’t going to roll over here and the Nets’ aggressive defense stole the show in the upset victory. But I’m expecting a more up-tempo pace from Philadelphia as it looks to avoid the dreaded 0-2 hole heading back to Brooklyn. From an overall situational stand point, I think this one sets up great as a “shootout” and it becomes my “key angle” for this contest. Key Trends: - The Nets have seen the total go over the number in five of their last six off a win vs. a division rival. - The 76ers have seen the total go over in 12 of their last 20 in revenging a same season loss vs. an opponent. The verdict: All signs point to a shootout. Play the over! |
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04-09-19 | Raptors v. Wolves UNDER 230 | 120-100 | Win | 100 | 28 h 35 m | Show | |
Ricky's 8* play on the under Raptors/Wolves. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Recent history. The Raptors have taken two straight in this series, including the lone matchup at home this year 112-105 on October 24th. I expect a similarly hard-fought, lower-scoring battle between these two non-conference opponents this evening. Key Trends: - Raptors have already seen the total go under eight of 12 this year as a road favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. - Toronto has seen the total go under in nine of 14 this season after allowing 105 or more points in four straight games. - The Wolves have seen the total dip under in nine of 14 this year following a divisional contest. The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, play the under! |
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04-08-19 | Texas Tech v. Virginia OVER 117 | 77-85 | Win | 100 | 34 h 20 m | Show | |
Ricky's 10* play on the over TT/UVA. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Expecting a faster paced game. Funny to say that when talking about these two teams obviously, but in the finale I believe these two defensive minded clubs will be aggressively attacking each other. This can still be a defensive affair and go “over” this tiny number and that’s exactly what I’m expecting to happen. Key Trends: - Texas Tech has seen the total go over in both games that it’s played in this year off an upset win by ten points or more as an underdog. - Virginia has seen the total go over in four of its last five vs. good defensive teams which allows 64 points or less per contest. The verdict: All signs point to the over as the correct move in the Nat. Champ Game! |
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04-08-19 | Rays v. White Sox UNDER 7.5 | 5-1 | Win | 104 | 20 h 11 m | Show | |
Ricky's 8* play on the under Rays/White Sox. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - The starting pitchers. For the most part MLB comes down to the starting pitching and in this case, I think these two competent hurlers will battle deep into the latter frames. The starters: The Rays’ Blake Snell (1-1, 3.46 ERA) looked terrible in his opener, but the lefty easily recovered in his second outing, giving up on runs, on two hits with one walk while striking out 13 in a victory over the Rockies on Tuesday. The White Sox’ Carlos Rodon (1-1, 1.59) who gave up one unearned run off two hits while striking out nine and walking one over six innings in a win over the Tribe on Wednesday. So far Rodon has 15 K’s to open the year. Key Trends: - Tampa has seen the total go under in 18 of its last 30 as a road favorite of -125 or highers. - Chicago has seen the total go under in 11 of its last 17 after allowing 12 runs or more in its previous contest. The verdict: This one has “duel” written all over it. Play the under! |