Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-24-20 | Marist +11.5 v. Siena | Top | 57-70 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
My 10* UNDERDOG ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE is on Marist. Marist is just 4-13, while Siena is only 7-9. The Red Foxes though come in under the radar here, as they've won two straight, while the Saints are on the other end of the spectrum, having lost three in a row. The Saints fell 72-71 to Niagara last time out. Most recently Marist got the better of Manhattan 75-73. The Red Foxes trailed by ten at half time and were the underdog in that one, but I have no reason not to believe that they can't carry over that second half momentum here. Key Trends: - Marist is 5-1 ATS in its last six as a road dog in the 9.5 to 12 points range (including 2-0 ATS this year.) - Sienna is a terrible 8-20 ATS in its last 28 as a favorite (including a horrible 2-8 ATS this season.) The verdict: I think this one is going to be much tighter than what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to believe; grab the points! |
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01-23-20 | Cal Poly +9 v. Cal-Riverside | 64-97 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 22 m | Show | |
My 9* BIG TIGER is on Cal Poly. At 4-13 the Cal Poly Mustangs aren't going to be lacking for motivation here. UC Riverside is 12-8 and I think it's going to have a serious fight on its hands tonight. So far Cal Poly is 1-2 in league play, most recently falling 65-61 to Hawaii. Colby Rogers was a bright spot in defeat with 18 points. Overall the Mustangs average 63.1 PPG and concede 70.9. UC Riverside is reeling right now and is the perfect opponent for Cal Poly to try and steal a victory here. The Highlanders most recently fell 69-53 to UC Irvine, led by Dikymbe Martin with ten points. Overall UC Riverside averages 65.1 PPG and it allows 60.9. Key Trends: - Cal Poly is already a winning 6-3 ATS on the road this year. - UC Riverside is 1-3 ATS in its last four as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. The verdict: This one has the feel of whichever team having its hands on the ball last, will be the one that comes out on top. So that means that I'm going to grab up these ample points! |
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01-23-20 | Lakers v. Nets UNDER 227 | Top | 128-113 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 44 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL U OF THE U is on the UNDER Lakers/Nets. The Lakers ground out a win in New York last night, and I believe we'll witness another lower-scoring affair here tonight as well. The Lakers have been getting the job done this season with better than expected defensive play and clearly the last thing they'll want to do is turn this into a "track meet" in the second game of the back-to-back scenario. Despite losing four in a row, the Nets are still in the eighth spot in the East. Offensive consistency, due to revolving injury issues from Day 1, from game to game continues to be their main issue though. Key Trends: - LA has seen the total go under the number in three of its last four when playing the second game of the back-to-back. - Brooklyn has seen the total go under the number in six of its last eight after a division game. The verdict: During their four-game slide the Nets haven't reached 110 points once and they failed to top 100 one time as well. When you add up all of the above factors, everything definitely points to the under as the savvy move in this one! |
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01-23-20 | Louisiana Tech v. Middle Tennessee +11 | Top | 80-73 | Win | 100 | 25 h 53 m | Show |
My 10* UNDERDOG U OF THE U is on Middle Tennessee State. MTSU is only 4-15, while Louisiana Tech is 13-5. Will the Bulldogs have a letdown here vs. their lowly opponent? I believe enough of one to let the home side very comfortably sneak in through the back door with the large spread they've been afforded. Louisiana Tech has won seven of its last nine, while MTSU has dropped 15 of its last 16. Which of these two teams is "hungrier" here? Also note that MTSU plays with revenge after falling 73-56 on the road in this game last year. Key Trends: - Louisiana Tech is just 5-12 ATS in its last 17 as a road favorite or pick. - MTSU is 6-1 ATS in its last seven vs. good defensive teams which allow 64 points or less per contest. The verdict: Louisiana Tech is still hung up on its 51-50 loss to UNT last time out as well. The numbers and the overall situation favors the Blue Raiders; grab the points! |
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01-22-20 | Spurs v. Pelicans UNDER 237 | Top | 121-117 | Loss | -104 | 15 h 58 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the UNDER Spurs/Pelicans. Depending on when you played the O/U in New Orleans' last game, the Pelicans have seen the total go over the number in over 11 straight games. The Spurs have won two straight, while the Pels have won three of their last four, while going 8-1 ATS in their last nine overall as well. New Orleans' offense has been "firing on all cylinders" over the last three weeks, but now suddenly the team welcomes back rookie Zion Williamson into the fold. Chemistry doesn't happen automatically and I believe his addition will throw a temporary "monkey wrench" into the Pelicans well oiled offensive machine right now. Key Trends: - The Spurs have seen the total go under in five of six already this season off a road victory. - The Pelicans have seen the total fall under in ten of their last 15 vs. clubs with losing records. The verdict: All signs point to this one falling well below the posted number once the final horn blares; play the under! |
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01-22-20 | Jets v. Blue Jackets -155 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 25 h 17 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the Columbus Blue Jackets. Considering the circumstances, I think this line could/should in fact be a lot larger for the Blue Jackets. The Jets have been good on the road this year, but after last night's 4-1 loss in Carolina, I think they "go through the motions" in their final game before the All Star break. Columbus comes in hot after four straight victories. It also plays with revenge. Key Trends: - The Jets are just 9-11 (-1.2 units) in non-conference games already this season. - Columbus is 16-12 (+8.6 units) vs. teams with winning records. The verdict: In this case, I have no issues at all in laying this price; play on the Blue Jackets! |
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01-22-20 | Georgia Tech +13.5 v. Louisville | Top | 64-68 | Win | 100 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
My 10* BEWARE OF DOG play is on Georgia Tech. At 8-10, I think the lowly Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets come in "under the radar" here vs. the mighty 15-3 Louisville Cardinals. Georgia Tech will be hungry here though, as it's lost two straight. The Yellow Jackets were competitive in defeat last time out, falling 63-58 to Virginia. Louisville returns home after a three-game road trip and after topping Duke 79-73 last time out, there's no doubt in my mind that this sets ups a letdown/trap for the contented home side this evening. Key Trends: - Georgia Tech is 3-1 ATS already this year off a loss vs. a conference rival. - Louisville is already just 1-3 ATS this year off a road win vs. a conference rival. The verdict: The situation and the trends are working heavily in favor of the underdog in this one; grab the points! |
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01-21-20 | San Jose State +11.5 v. New Mexico | Top | 59-86 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 11 m | Show |
My 10* BLOWOUT ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE is on San Jose State. New Mexico returns home after losing two straight on the road. New Mexico is 15-5 overall and 4-3 in league play, while SJSU is 6-13 and 2-5 in conference action. The Spartans have lost two in a row as well, but they've been competitive, most recently falling 98-87 to UNLV on the road. Seneca Knight led the Spartans with 30 points. SJSU averages 69.3 PPG and it concedes 78.4. The Lobos average 80 PPG, but they allow 75.3. Most recently they lost 99-78 at UNLV on Saturday. Key Trends: - The Lobos are a poor 1-4 ATS in their last five following an ATS loss. - New Mexico is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven after allowing more than 90 points in its previous game. - The Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last five following a SU loss. The verdict: The Lobos were forced to kick Carlton Bragg from the team because of a violation and since then they've gone 0-2 and allowed 105 and 99 points in each. And note that these teams have already played this year and San Jose State won 88-85 at home. Grab the points, but don't be completely shocked by an outright upset! |
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01-20-20 | Bucknell +10.5 v. Colgate | Top | 65-80 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 23 m | Show |
My 10* MID-MAJOR MAULING is on Bucknell. I like the Bucknell Bison to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with the large spread they've been afforded in this matchup. Last time out the Bison beat Lehigh 72-56, led by 15 points from Avi Toomer. The Bison are now 4-2 in confernec play. The Colgate Raiders beat Boston 79-70 in their latest action, led by 21 points from Will Rayman. Overall Colgate is 5-1 in league play. Key Trends: - Bucknell is 7-3 ATS in its last ten road conference games after holding its previous opponent to 58 points or less. - Colgate is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven home games after allowing 70 points or more in a SU victory in its previous outing. The verdict: I like the hungry Bison to step up here and push the home side to the brink; grab the points! |
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01-20-20 | Raptors v. Hawks UNDER 231 | Top | 122-117 | Loss | -106 | 22 h 59 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the UNDER Raptors/Hawks. Toronto is 28-14 and it most recently got the better of Minnesota 122-112. The Hawks are only 10-33 and they're coming off a 136-103 loss to the Pistons. The night previous to that ATL had won big in OT on the road over the Spurs. The Hawks though have had difficulties producing vs. Toronto, as the "under" is 6-2 the last eight in this series. Key Trends: - TO has seen the total go under the number in three of its last four after playing to three or more consecutive overs. - ATL has seen the total dip under the number in three of four already this season after a huge blowout loss by 30 or more points. The verdict: The writing is on the wall and a tough-nosed defensive battle is finally in the cards here in my opinion; play the under! |
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01-20-20 | Pistons v. Wizards -1 | Top | 100-106 | Win | 100 | 21 h 30 m | Show |
My 10* ATS BLOOD-BATH is on the Washington Wizards. Both teams are terrible. The Pistons are 16-27 and the Wizards are 13-28. However I think that Detroit takes a step back here in the Nation's capital after its rare 136-103 blowout win over the Hawks on the road in their last action (Atlanta had played and won in OT at San Antonio the night previous). The Wizards are the "hungrier" team no doubt, as they enter off a humbling 140-111 loss at the Raptors. Key Trends: - Detroit is just 4-8 ATS this year as a road dog. - The Pistons are a poor 2-5 ATS this season already off a road victory. - The Wizards are already a near-perfect 5-1 ATS this season after three or more SU losses. The verdict: I love the home side to double down defensively and to gut out the victory here; lay the short points! |
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01-19-20 | Pacers v. Nuggets UNDER 211.5 | Top | 115-107 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 2 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the UNDER Pacers/Nuggets. Indiana has won four straight and this is the start of a five-game trip. Denver hits the road for a game in Minnesota tomorrow and it's won three straight. Denver beat Indiana 124-116 on the road last month, but I expect a much tighter, and ultimately lower-scoring affair this time around. Key Trends: - The Pacers have seen the total go under the number in seven of ten already this season in revenging a loss vs. an opponent which also scored 110 points or more in that victory. - The Nuggets have seen the total dip below the posted number in seven of eight this year as a home favorite of six points or less. The verdict: I think the writing is on the wall and a hard-fought, lower-scoring under is in the cards! |
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01-19-20 | Packers v. 49ers OVER 44.5 | Top | 20-37 | Win | 100 | 154 h 53 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the OVER Packers/49ers. If you're betting on this game, then I don't need to break down the strengths and weaknesses of each team. We all know the story lines here. These teams are similar. Each team has a better than average offense and defense. Both have dynamic, play-making QB's and explosive offensive weapons. Each is well coached. Special teams numbers are also close. The 49ers shut down Aaron Rodgers and the Packers in their regular season victory, but I believe that Green Bay will have to lean on Rodgers from start to finish if it has any shot at winning this game. If the veteran can put pressure on Garropolo, then perhaps the inexperienced pivot will have a letdown here. Regardless, I expect the visitors to air this one out early and often on offense. Key Trends: - Green Bay has interestingly already seen the total go over the number in three of four this year after a win by six points or less. - San Francisco has seen the total eclipse the posted number in seven of its last ten as a favorite. The verdict: When it's all said and done, look for these two gun-slinging QB's to be the main story lines in tomorrow's summaries; play the over! |
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01-19-20 | Titans +9 v. Chiefs | Top | 24-35 | Loss | -125 | 150 h 14 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the Tennessee Titans. If you're betting on this game, then I don't need to break down the strengths and weaknesses of each team. We all know the story lines here. What I will do though is pose a question to you. If the Titans had jumped out to the same lead in which the Texans did last week over the Chiefs, do you think they'd have tragically choked it away in the same fashion? I say no way. Tennessee's defense and its run first offense have been firing on all cylinders for months now and I would have expected them to grind out the victory in that case. It was an unbelievable set of circumstances which led to KC's historic come from behind blowout victory. The Texans had a complete mental collapse and the Chiefs rode a wave of incredible momentum to the improbable result. The Titans beat the Chiefs 35-32 earlier in the year and I believe they have a legitimate shot at doing that again today. Key Trends: - The Titans are 5-3 ATS as an underdog this year. - Tennessee is 7-3 ATS on the road. - The Chiefs are already interestingly 0-2 ATS this year after scoring 25 points or more in two straight games. The verdict: In a game which I believe will be decided by whichever of these talented teams has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points! |
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01-19-20 | Manchester United v. Liverpool UNDER 3 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 50 h 3 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH is on the UNDER 3 goals scored between Man U and Liverpool. These are two of the top teams in the Premier League and while each is filled with exceptional offensive talent, I believe this total will stay well below the posted number once it's all said and done. Man U enters off a 4-0 destruction of Norwich City, but clearly it'll have its hands full here vs. the Reds, who have only dropped two points so far in the top flight English league. The Red Devils will be wary here as well, because the last time these teams met in Liverpool, the Reds came out on top by a score of 3-1. The verdict: While these team's last game here went over the number, the situation calls for much more of a defensive affair this time around in my opinion. I like the Red Devils to put up a fight and I expect that to help in driving this total under once it's all said and done! |
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01-19-20 | Leicester -111 v. Burnley | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -111 | 48 h 41 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE MONTH is on Leicester City. The Foxes posted a win over the Clarets at King Power Stadium last time these teams met. But Brendan Rogers mens also posted a win in Lanchashire the last time they were there as well. Sean Dyche's men are overmatched here. Burnley is ranked 15th and the Foxes are third. Key Trends: - The Clarets average 1.1 GPG. - The Foxes average 2.1 GPG. - Burnely concedes 1.7 GPG. - Leicester City concedes 1.0 GPG. The verdict: I can't see the Foxes stumbling here. This is a matchup in which they've dominated of late and I expect an even more decisive victory than their 2-1 win earlier in the season. Lay the short price for the regulation victory! |
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01-18-20 | Kings v. Jazz UNDER 222.5 | Top | 101-123 | Loss | -104 | 29 h 51 m | Show |
My 10* U OF THE U is on the UNDER Kings/Jazz. Sacramento won't be going down without a fight here. The Kings are still in the mix for the eighth playoff spot and with the All Star break looming, I expect the visiting side to come to play tonight. Certainly the Kings won't be lacking for motivation after three straight close losses. The Jazz are 9-1 in their last ten games. Utah's lost loss came in its last game though, inexplicably falling to the Pelicans by a score of 138-132. Key Trends: - Utah averages 110.2 PPG. - Sacramento averages 106.8 PPG. The verdict: Both teams come in off higher-scoring contests, but this particular one has defensive battle written all over it; play the under! |
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01-18-20 | Pistons v. Hawks +2 | Top | 136-103 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 22 m | Show |
My 10* U OF THE U is on the Atlanta Hawks. Detroit is coming in off a rare win over the Celtics, but I think it'll take a step back here. The Hawks come in off an impressive win at San Antonio just last night and I believe this young and hungry home side carries that confidence and momentum over in this one. The Pistons are receiving inconsistent play from game to game with Blake Griffin still sidelined with injury. Trae Young and the Hawks though have in fact won two in a row, after also upsetting the Suns previous to last night's victory. The All Star break is looming and I believe Young will keep the foot on the gas in this favorable home matchup this evening. Key Trends: - The Hawks are 11-6 ATS in their last 17 at home. - Detroit is just 6-13-1 ATS in its last 20 road games. The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, play on the home side! |
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01-18-20 | Golden Knights v. Canadiens +115 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 115 | 28 h 33 m | Show |
My 10* U of the U is on the Habs. Las Vegas beat Ottawa 4-2 in its last game with its new coach, but I believe it'll stumble in this difficult road building and in the final game before the Break. The Habs come in off a 4-1 win over the Flyers on Thursday, as goaltender Carey Price stopped 40 of 41 shots. Key Trends: - Montreal is interestingly 6-2 in its last eight vs. the Pacific. - Las Vegas is still just 2-5 in its last seven vs. the Eastern Conference. The verdict: The Habs have won four of the last five in this series and I think that Price will once again be a difference maker for them in net; play on Montreal! |
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01-18-20 | Cornell v. Columbia OVER 135 | Top | 61-75 | Win | 100 | 24 h 10 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL U OF THE U is on the OVER Cornell/Columbia. This is the start of Ivy League play for both teams and as such, I'm expecting a spirited battle. Columbia comes in with momentum and confidence after hammering Mount Saint Vincent by a score of 86-56. Note that Mike Smith is actually 12th in the NCAA, averaging 21.4 PPG. The Big Red come in excited as well after back-to-back wins over Div. III competition. So far Cornell has lost five of its games by two buckets or less. Key Trends: - Cornell has seen the total go over the number in eight of its last 12 conference road games on the heels of two or more SU victories. - Columbia has seen the total eclipse the posted number in ten of its last 14 home games after scoring 85 points or more in its previous game. The verdict: Expect these conference rivals to push the pace from start to finish and expect this one to sail comfortably over once the final horn blares! |
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01-18-20 | Loyola Marymount +11 v. San Francisco | Top | 53-61 | Win | 100 | 21 h 11 m | Show |
My 10* U OF THE U is on Loyola Marymount. I think Loyola Marymount will give the San Francisco Dons everything they can handle in this one. The Lions come in off a tough 75-67 loss at Pepperdine, led by 19 points from Erik Johansson. Overall Loyola Marymount averages 71.1 PPG. San Francisco held on for a tight 79-75 win over Pacific last time out, giving it its first conference loss of the year so far. Overall the Dons average 80 PPG. Key Trends: - Loyola Marymount is 7-2 ATS in its last nine road games following a loss in which it conceded 75 points or more in. - San Francisco is just 3-6 ATS in its last nine after scoring 78 point or more in its previous contest. The verdict: I'm not calling for an outright upset, but everything points this one being a "nail biter." Grab the points! |
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01-17-20 | Michigan v. Iowa -4.5 | Top | 83-90 | Win | 100 | 14 h 37 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on Iowa. I don't think that the home court advantage can be overlooked as a very real deciding factor in the outcome of this game. Michigan is only 2-3 in conference action and it enters off a demoralizing 75-67 road loss to Minnesota. Iowa is only 3-3 in league play, but it comes in off back-to-back victories. In fact note that Michigan is 0-4 in true road games this year. The Wolverines score an average of 77.9 PPG and they allow 68.6, while Iowa averages 79.3 PPG and it allows 68.9. Key Trends: - Michigan is 1-4 ATS on the road this year. - The Wolverines are only 3-4 ATS this season vs. good offensive teams which average 77 plus points per game. The verdict: I look for Michigan's road woes to carry over here vs. this red hot home side; lay the points! |
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01-17-20 | Wizards +10 v. Raptors | Top | 111-140 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 14 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH-OF-THE-TITANS is on the Washington Wizards. Toronto is going to be in the playoffs at the end of the year and depending on how healthy it is, it has a legitimate shot at once again advancing to the NBA Finals. At 13-27, the Wizards are already planning and looking ahead to next year. All of that said, I do indeed feel though that this one favors the hungry visiting side, as I look for Toronto to come out and flat and to get caught looking past its lowly opponent tonight. Toronto is in Minnesota tomorrow night, followed by a game in Atlanta, so the "look ahead" is also a concern for Raptors bettors tonight. Washington plays with revenge after a 122-118 loss to Toronto in the team's most recent action. And with two whole nights off before a home game vs. the Pistons, the Wizards' full focus is on trying to upset the defending champs here. Key Trends: - Washington is already 7-3 ATS this year (that's 70%) as a road dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range. - Toronto is already a disturbingly poor 0-4 ATS this season off an puset win as a road underdog. The verdict: Grab the points and expect a competitive battle until the final moments! |
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01-16-20 | Magic v. Clippers UNDER 217 | Top | 95-122 | Push | 0 | 16 h 33 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the UNDER Magic/Clippers. Orlando's surprisingly been one of the hottest teams in the league over the last two weeks, but after last night's 119-118 victory over the Lakers just last night in this same building, I believe the wheels finally come off the bus for the visiting side tonight. I think the Magic come out flat here, especially with much more "winnable" games at lowly Golden State and Charlotte to finish out their road-trip. The Clippers come in off a 128-103 win over the Cavaliers, but with a night off before a long six-game road trip, the home side also has a legitimate "look ahead" situation to overcome here. Key Trends: - The Magic have seen the total go under the number in five of their last six after two or more straight ATS/SU victories. - LA has already seen the total go under the number in 11 of its last 17 following a SU home win. The verdict: When taking into account all of the above factors, I definitely feel that this number is too high; play the under! |
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01-16-20 | Sharks +175 v. Avalanche | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 29 h 33 m | Show |
My 10* BEST OF THE BEST is on the San Jose Sharks. I think Colorado is over-priced. Yes, the Avs have lost four straight and seven of their last ten, but the Sharks come in off a 6-3 loss at Arizona and after a terrible start to the 2019/20 campaign, the visitors can ill afford to ever take a night off or to "look past" their competition. Neither team is "hungrier" than the other. The Avs can indeed put their full focus onto this game with upcoming contests vs. Vancouver twice and the Ducks on the horizon. The Avs however have the defending champion and red hot Blues coming to town on Saturday night. Can anyone say letdown spot? Key Trends: - San Jose 8-4 in its last 12 following a division game. - Colorado is just 2-3 (-1.3 units) this year after three or more consecutive losses. The verdict: This one SCREAMS upset; play on the Sharks! |
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01-16-20 | Marist +12 v. Monmouth | Top | 66-74 | Win | 100 | 22 h 38 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on Marist. I think Marist, which comes in off a 69-52 loss at home to Rigers on Sunday, will keep this one closer than what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to believe. Braden Bell had nine points and three streal in the most recent setback for the Red Foxes. Monmouth enters off an 84-70 loss at Quinnipiac. The Hawks are 5-0 at home this year and are led by Deion Hammond with 15.3 PPG. But with a game at Manahattan on Saturday night, I think the home side gets caught "looking past" its lowly opponent to that much more difficult contest vs. the No. 2 team in the conference standings. Key Trends: - Marist is a strong 4-1 ATS in its last five as a road dog in the 9.5 to 12 points range (including 1-0 ATS this year.) - Monmouth is already just 1-2 ATS this year as a home favorite. The verdict: The stars and the planets have aligned for the Red Foxes tonight; grab up all those points! |
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01-15-20 | Pistons +9.5 v. Celtics | Top | 116-103 | Win | 100 | 24 h 45 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the Detroit Pistons. On paper, the Celtics are the better team. They also have the home floor advantage. But Detroit is the "hungrier" team tonight and while I'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, I do think that the writing is on the wall and a "nail biter" is in the cards. Detroit enters off a tough OT loss to the Pelicans, while the C's come in off a double-digit win over the Bulls. Yes, Detroit is down to Andre Drummond and Derrick Rose for the most part, but it clearly will be hungry to get off the schneid. Also note that the Celtics are expected to rest offensive star Jason Tatum this evening. Key Trends: - Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last six after allowing 105 points or more in five straight games. - Boston is just 3-5 ATS in its last eight after two straight victories by ten points or more. The verdict: The clincher? I think it sets up as a "look ahead" spot as well, as Boston is in Milwaukee tomorrow night to take on the East leading Bucs. Grab the points and expect a battle until the final horn! |
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01-15-20 | George Mason v. George Washington +2 | Top | 67-73 | Win | 100 | 24 h 35 m | Show |
My 10* TOP DOG is on George Washington. I think that 12-4 George Mason takes a step back here vs. this hungry 6-10 George Washington home side. To say this is a "revenge game" would be a bit of an understatement, as George Mason has taken four straight in the series, including all three last year. The Colonials lost to Duquesne last time out, while the Patriots got the better of La Salle. Previous to its latest win though, George Mason had lost three in a row. The Colonial lost 66-61 to the Dukes, led by 14 points from Jameer Nelson Jr. Key Trends: - While the Patriots have been winning SU in this series, they've stumbled badly ATS, going just 2-6 ATS in their last eight vs. George Washington. - George Washington is a perfect 5-0 ATS in its last five as a home dog of three points or less. The verdict: Grab the points, but obviously we're expecting an outright win here! |
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01-14-20 | Rockets v. Grizzlies +4.5 | Top | 110-121 | Win | 100 | 27 h 20 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the Memphis Grizzlies. Houston comes in off a win over Minnesota, but I think it'll have its hands full in this difficult road venue this evening. The Grizzlies won't be going down without a fight at home and they enter playing their absolute best ball of the season, having won six straight after a victory over the Warriors last time out. The Rockets are going to be without Russell Westbrook tonight though, as the super star guard will not play both games in a back-to-back situation, with Houston at home to Portland tomorrow night. That's then followed by the Lakers coming to town next weekend. This not only sets up as a letdown spot in my opinion for the Rockets, but it's also a look ahead spot. Letdown/look-ahead = trap. Ja Morant has posted double digits in scoring during the Grizzlies six-game run. Key Trends: - The Grizzlies are 5-0 ATS in their last five after allowing 100 points or more in their previous outing. - The Rockets are interestingly just 1-6 ATS in their last seven vs. home teams with a losing SU record. The verdict: For sure the outright victory is possible, but in the end I'm going to grab the points! |
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01-14-20 | Bruins v. Blue Jackets +130 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 130 | 26 h 17 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the CBJ's. I think this is a great "spot" bet. What do you base your wagers on? I base mine on many different things. Looking for great "spots" during the regular season is something I always do and this one definitely sets up nicely for the underdog home side in my opinion. Boston is clearly the "better" team on paper, but it comes in off a hard-fought 6-5 shootout loss in Philadelphia just last night. At one point the Bruins had a 5-2 lead. CBJ has won three of its last four and it comes in off a 2-1 OT victory. Columbus enters confident as well, as it already beat Boston 2-1 in OT at the start of the month. Key Trends: - The Jackets are 6-1 in their last seven vs. the Eastern Conference. - The Bruins are a terrible 4-6 (-4 units) this year in trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent. The verdict: The second games of back-to-backs don't necessarily mean as much as the start of the season, but at this point, it definitely wears on the team in that situation. Look for the home side to take full advantage! |
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01-14-20 | Nebraska +18 v. Ohio State | Top | 68-80 | Win | 100 | 26 h 40 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on Nebraska. The 7-9 Nebraska Cornhuskers storm into the Pacific Northwest looking to pull off the big outright upset vs. the 11-5 Ohio State Buckeyes on Monday night. Ohio State is the better "on paper," but the Buckeyes enter with absolutely no momentum whatsoever, having lost five of their last six. Nebraska beat Iowa, but then stumbled to Northwestern 62-57 last time out. The Huskers rank 22nd in the country with only 11.2 turnovers per game, meaning that they don't usually "beat themselves." Ohio State lost 66-54 to Inidana last time out. Key Trends: - Nebraska is already 2-0 ATS this year off a loss vs. a conference rival. - The Huskers are 4-1 ATS in their last five off a road cover where it lost SU as an underdog. - The Buckeyes are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight off an upset loss as a favorite (including only 1-2 ATS this season.) The verdict: Both teams are hungry. Expect a battle. Also, grab the points! |
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01-13-20 | Clemson v. LSU UNDER 70.5 | Top | 25-42 | Win | 100 | 226 h 33 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the UNDER Clemson/LSU. Clemson had its hands full in its bowl win over Ohio State. The Buckeyes had a 16-0 lead at one point, but poise, veteran experience, talent and great coaching saw the Tigers then pull away for the hard-fought 29-23 victory. LSU steamrolled Oklahoma 63-28 to advance. I think it's interesting to note that Clemson' QB Trevor Lawrence had the biggest rushing game of his career vs. the stingy Buckeyes with 107 yards on the ground with one score. I can't see Joe Burrow duplicating his monster offensive performance in his previous game. Decimating the Sooners is one thing, but this Clemson defense is an entirely different animal. Key Trends: - Clemson has seen the total go under in its last three "dome" games. - LSU has seen the total dip under the numbber in three of its last four after a cover as a double-digit favorite. The verdict: Despite the offensive talent on the field, I envision this one as more of a "chess match" than a wide open "shootout." This number is indeed a little high; play the under! |
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01-13-20 | Hurricanes v. Capitals -129 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 25 h 12 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the Washington Capitals. Washington comes in razor focussed here after back-to-back losses, including an embarrassing 5-1 loss to the Devils on Saturday. Carolina on the other hand comes in complacent after three straight victories. Note as well that this is the final game of the season series between the clubs and the Canes so far lead 2-1. This is an incentive here for the home side as well. Key Trends: - Carolina is a poor 3-6 in its last nine vs. the Eastern Conference. - Washington is 5-2 in its last seven at home. The verdict: The situation and the numbers both point to the Capitals as the savvy call here; lay the very reasonable price! |
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01-12-20 | Hornets v. Suns -8 | Top | 92-100 | Push | 0 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
My 10* ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE is on the Phoenix Suns. Charlotte has somehow already taken two of three from Phoenix in the season series this year. The Suns broke a two-game slide though with a win over Orlando last time out and I thikn they're going to pull away late here for a convincing victory as well. The Hornets on the other hand are coming off another terrible performance, falling 109-92 to the Jazz. Key Trends: - Charlotte is interestingly already 1-5 ATS this year when playing on a "Sunday." - The Hornets are just 9-10 ATS this year after playing a road game. - Phoenix is interestingly 3-0 ATS this season already after failing to cover the spread in three or more straight games. The verdict: The Suns are fully healthy and they're finally starting to play together as a team. This one has home side "blowout" written all over it; play on the Suns! |
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01-12-20 | Maple Leafs v. Panthers +103 | Top | 4-8 | Win | 103 | 12 h 32 m | Show |
My 10* TOP DOG PLAY is on the Florida Panthers. Both teams have been scuffling of late. The Panthers have been trading wins with losses, while the Leafs enter having lost two in a row. Most recently the Leafs have conceded ten goals over their last two games. Overall Toronto averages 3.58 GPG and it concedes 3.16. The Panthers come in off a 5-2 win over Vancouver. Florida is averaging 3.52 GPG and it's conceding 3.30. Key Trends: - Toronto is just 9-10 (-4.6 units) after allowing four goals or more this season. - Florida is 9-4 (+5.9 units) this season after a non-conference game. The verdict: I don't think that the home ice advantage can be overlooked as a very real deciding factor in this one; play on the Panthers! |
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01-12-20 | Seahawks v. Packers OVER 46 | Top | 23-28 | Win | 100 | 129 h 30 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the OVER Hawks/Packers. It may be cold and wintery at Lambeau today, but I expect these two teams to easily combine to push this total over the posted number once it's all said and done. Seattle comes in off the 17-9 win at Philly in the Wild Card round. Green Bay ranks 23rd against the rush, so Travis Homer and Marshawn Lynch will have their opportunities today, which will also in turn open things up for Russell Wilson to operate. The Packers have had a week off to game-plan and heal up. The Hawks got "lucky" that Eagles' QB Carson Wentz went down with injury early, but I believe they'll have their hands full with Aaron Rodgers in this spot. Rogers and the offense finished sixth in the league in Red Zone efficiency as well. Key Trends: - Seattle has already seen both games it's played in this year go "over" the number after allowing 14 points or less in its previous outing. - The Packers have seen the total eclipse the posted number in seven of their last eight as a home favorite in the 3.5 to seven points range. The verdict: I think the Hawks "break the mold" this week. Seattle can't wait for Green Bay to make the first mistake here and with the visitors pushing from the "get go," I do indeed expect this one to soar well over the number once it's finished; play the over! |
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01-12-20 | Texans +9.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 31-51 | Loss | -120 | 172 h 52 m | Show |
My 10* PLAYOFF GAME OF THE YEAR is on the Texans. Will rest lead to rust for the Chiefs? I'm involved in a "Straight Up" Playoff Pool this year and all 40 people chose the Ravens to beat the Titans SU yesterday. Did rest lead to rust for LaMar Jackson and company? It certainly can't be ignored as a potential reason in why the Ravens had such a big collapse. But it also comes down to game-planning and coaching. The Texans have a more capable QB in Deshaun Watson directing the show today and I think he has much more than just a "punchers chance" here this afternoon. The Texans have playmakers on offense in Carlos Hyde, DeAndre Hopkins and Kenny Stills. Yes the Chiefs look better on paper. Yes they have the home field advantage. But that sure didn't help the Ravens yesterday. I see a lot of similarties here today. Watson and company aren't going to be intimidated and they're no less "hungry" than the Chiefs. Key Trends: - KC is just 1-5 ATS in its last six playoff home ames. - The Chiefs are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven playoff games when playing the role of favorite. - The Texans are 5-2 ATS in their last seven as an underdog and 5-2 ATS in their last seven on the road as well. The verdict: I like Watson to contorl the clock while on offense and while I will stop short in calling for the outright upset, let's grab the points and expect a nail-biter! |
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01-12-20 | Watford v. AFC Bournemouth OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 164 h 1 m | Show |
My 2020 TOTAL OF THE YEAR is the OVER Watford/AFC Bournemouth. These are two clubs hungry for a victory today. Both teams are in the cellar, but Watford has looked a lot better of late by winning three and drawing two in its last five. Bournemouth though has lost three and drawn once in its last five and after getting blanked in three of those instances, I look for it to open up the playbook in front of the home town crowd. Key Trends: - AFC Bournemouth have over 1.5 goals in their last 4 games. - Watford have over 1.5 goals in their last 6 games. The verdict: These are two teams in dire need of a victory and as stated off the top, I believe this desperation will lead to a wide-open "shootout" once it's all said and done. This number is low, play the over! |
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01-11-20 | Long Beach State +13 v. UC-Santa Barbara | Top | 55-52 | Win | 100 | 16 h 44 m | Show |
My 10* BEWARE OF DOG TOP DOG is on LBSU. I like the 5-12 LBSU 49ers to sneak in the under the radar here and catch the 12-4 UCSB Gauchos off guard tonight. I'm not calling for an outright upset, but everything points to a much tighter battle than what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to believe in my opinion. UCSB comes in content after six straight wins, most recently a 63-45 victory over Cal Poly. JaQuori McLaughlin averages 15.3 PPG. LBSU enters off a 95-77 loss to Cal State Northridge. Michael Carter III was a bright spot in the setback with 19 points. Key Trends: - LBSU is 5-1 ATS in its last six after failing to cover the spread in three or more straight games. - UC Santa Barbara is already a poor 1-2 ATS this season as a home favorite of 12.5 points or more. The verdict: I think the Gauchos come in complacent and I believe the 49ers will play desperately. Grab the points and expect this one to come down to the wire! |
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01-11-20 | Titans v. Ravens OVER 47 | Top | 28-12 | Loss | -116 | 153 h 5 m | Show |
My 10* PLAYOFF TOTAL OF THE YEAR is on the OVER Titans/Ravens. Both offenses are firing on all cylinders as we head into the Divisional Round. Ryan Tannehill and the Titans had their hands full with New England's defense last weekend. It was RB Derrick Henry who posted a monster day and he will also be leaned upon heavily here as well. Tannehill had a monster second half for the Titans and while he was relatively quiet in New England last weekend, I think he'll be the focal point of the visitors offense today. And what more can be said about LaMar Jackson which hasn't been said a millions times at this point by all the talking heads out there. Jackson's innate need to constantly be the best and to win, is likely the best asset he possesses as well. Key Trends: - Tennessee has seen the total go over the number in three of four already this season as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range. - Baltimore has seen the total soar over the number in five of its last six after two straight wins by ten points or more. The verdict: After last week's lower-scoring matches in the Wild Card round, I'm expecting some fireworks in the Divisional. Especially in this highly anticipated contest; play the over! |
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01-11-20 | Rangers v. Blues -194 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 28 h 49 m | Show | |
My 8* play on the St. Louis Blues. When the "situation" calls for it, I have no issues whatsoever in laying a larger price. That's the case in this one. New York comes to St. Louis off back-to-back home wins. The Blues are also off back-to-back wins. The Rangers rank 27th defensively in the NHL, while the Blues are ranked fifth. Key Trends: - The Rangers have lost five of their last six away from friendly confines. - St. Louis conceded only 19 shots in a 5-1 win over Buffalo at home last time out. The verdict: The Rangers inexplicably took both games of this series last year. Look for St. Louis to take the first one this season; lay the price! |
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01-11-20 | Vikings +7.5 v. 49ers | 10-27 | Loss | -130 | 103 h 29 m | Show | |
My 8* SPECIAL is on the Minnesota Vikings. The 49ers got injured in the second half of the regular season and they enter this one still banged up somewhat. Is San Francisco' QB Jimmy Garropolo better than Vikes' pivot Kirk Cousins? He's certainly not more experienced. Minnesota's offense is firing on all cylinders and the fact that it just kept Drew Brees and the Saints' under wraps in their own building on the road in the Wild Card proves that its defense is among the best as well. Honestly I see no advantage for San Francisco here, other than the "home field" advantage. And to me, that's definitely not worth a TD's worth of points (give or take.) Key Trends: - Minnesota is 3-1 ATS in its last four as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. - San Francisco is only 3-4 ATS this year as a home favorite. The verdict: The Vikings got healthier and better over the second half. The 49ers got injured and exposed in the same time period. Outright victory?! Very possible! But in a game which I see coming down to whichever of these talented sides has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points! |
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01-11-20 | Arsenal -115 v. Crystal Palace | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -115 | 139 h 56 m | Show |
My 10* 2020 PREMIER LEAGUE GAME OF THE YEAR is on Arsenal. If recent and past history is any precedence, then Arsenal has to be feeling pretty confident here. And I am too laying this very reasonable price. And that's because Arsenal has lost only one of its last 16 away games against Crystal Palace. A win over Man U was followed by a 1-0 victory at home Leeds in the FA Cup on Monday. Crystal sits just behind Arsenal in the standings, but it already has losses at home to Liverpool, Manchester City and Leicester. Keep your eyes on Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, who I expect to have a big game and to eclipse the performance of the home side's Jordan Ayew. Key points: - Home side injuries: Eagles have plenty of absences today, as Andros Townsend and Jeff Schlupp remain injured and Luka Milivojevic is suspended. - The Gunners enter playing their best football of the year, having posted two straight clean sheets. The veridct: Arsenal is finally starting to hit its stride and I expect that trend of success to carry over here vs. the wounded Eagles. Play on the Gunners! |
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01-10-20 | Magic v. Suns -1.5 | Top | 94-98 | Win | 100 | 28 h 11 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE YEAR is on the Phoenix Suns. The Suns won four straight ATS, but they come into this one "desperate" after back-to-back losses. First it was a 121-114 setback to the Grizzlies, who were playing their second game of a back-to-back. Then it was a 114-103 loss at home to Sacramento. The Suns are ready to get back into the winners circle here with some very "winnable" games ahead of them. After tonight they have Charlotte at home, followed by the Hawks and Knicks on the road. Note as well that the Suns play with revenge here after falling 128-114 to the Magic back in early December. The Magic come in off back-to-back wins, beating Brooklyn 101-89 and Washington 123-89. Complacency is an issue for this Orlando team and maintaining consistency on the road from one game to the next has been a weak point as well. With upcoming games at Sacramento, the Lakers and the Clippers, Orlando could very well be caught "looking past" their lowly non-conference opponent tonight as well. Key Trends: - Orlando is a poor 3-7 ATS in its last ten off a home victory vs. a division rival (including 0-2 ATS this year.) - Phoenix has been "lights out" in a "revenge role" this year, going 17-6 ATS in that department (including 7-2 ATS in revenging a loss of ten points or more.) The verdict: Check out Orlando's five road victories this year: twice against the Cavs, twice against the Wiz and also vs. the Pelicans. I look for this revenge minded and amped up home side to lay the hammer down from start to finish; lay the points! |
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01-10-20 | Northern Kentucky v. Illinois-Chicago +1.5 | Top | 68-52 | Loss | -115 | 24 h 4 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE MONTH is on Illinois Chicago. The 10-6 Norse invade 6-11 Illinois Chicago on Friday night and I'm expecting a minor upset. Despite having the better record, NKU has still lost three of its last five games. Same for the Flames. UIC is better at home than on the road and I believe they'll be the hungrier team on the floor as well. NKU got a season-high 21 points from Bryson Langdon in the Norse's most recent 75-64 win over Oakland, but the continued absence of leading-scorer Dantez Walton is significant tonight in my opinion. The Flames though are desperate after three straight losses, including a 64-62 nail-biter to Milwaukee. Darius Roy was a bright spot in the setback with 19 points. Key Trends: - NKU is a poor 9-13 ATS in its last 22 as a road favorite or pick. - Illinois Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last five as a home dog of three points or less or pick. The verdict: I think the home side finds a way to get the job done at the end of the night; play on UIC! |
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01-10-20 | Maryland v. Iowa UNDER 146.5 | Top | 49-67 | Win | 100 | 24 h 3 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH is on the UNDER Maryland/Iowa. The Terps arrive in town after a 67-55 win over No. 11 ranked Ohio State on Tuesday. Iowa will be cautious here after its 76-70 loss to Nebraska on Tuesday as an 8.5 point favorite. The Hawkeyes are going to have trouble scoring here though in my opinion vs. the Maryland team which just held Ohio State to 31.3 percent shooting (the eighth time this season already the Terps have held a team under 60 points.) Key Trends: - Maryland has seen the total go under the number in eight of its last ten as a favorite. - Iowa has seen the total dip below the posted number in seven of nine already this season when the total in the contest is set between 140 and 149.5. The verdict: Both teams play at a "medium" pace and when combined with the above information, I believe it does indeed all add up to a lower-scoring defensive battle; play the under! |
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01-09-20 | Canucks v. Panthers -137 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 29 h 24 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE YEAR is on the Florida Panthers. Vancouver is a great "home" team this year, but a poor road club, going just 9-11-1 away from friendly confines thus far. Florida's been better at home than on the road this season, entering with a 13-8-2 record. The Panthers home offense is ranked No. 4 in the NHL, while the Canucks' road offense is ranked 17th. Key Trends: - The Canucks are already only just 6-7 (-2 units) this season after allowing four or more goals in their previous contest (after winning seven straight, Vancouver just suffered a humbling 9-2 loss in Tampa Bay.) - The Panthers are 13-8 (+4.7 units) this year after allowing four or more goals in their previous outing. The verdict: Florida also plays with revenge here after falling North of the border to this team earlier in the season. As Bob Barker used to say: "The price is right!" All things considered, I do indeed feel that this is the very definition of "great line value." Play the Panthers! |
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01-09-20 | College of Charleston v. Elon UNDER 139 | Top | 73-65 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE YEAR is on UNDER Charleston/Elon. The 10-6 Charleston Cougars are going to have their hands full I think with this hungry 4-12 Elon Phoenix team. Charleston won both games last year (72-53 at home and 84-74 at Elon.) This is the first game between the schools this year and I believe it'll produce a final combined score like the first one between them last season. The Cougars have posted five straight double-digit wins and they're 4-0 in league play. Charleston though averages just 71.4 PPG, while conceding only 67.1. Grant Riller leads the nightly charge with 22.2 PPG. The Phoenix have lost five straight. Marcus Sheffield averages 17.1 PPG. Overall the Phoenix average 68.6 PPG, while conceding 72.8. Key Trends: - The Cougars have seen the total go under the number in three of their last four as a road favorite in the 6.5 to 9 points range. - The Phoenix have seen the total dip below the posted number in six straight following a road loss by 20 points or more. The verdict: This is a bit of a trap for the Cougars. The last thing the Phoenix want to do though is to turn this into a "track meet." I believe this one definitely sets up as a lower-scoring defensive battle; play the under! |
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01-08-20 | Rockets v. Hawks UNDER 235.5 | Top | 122-115 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 60 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE MONTH is on the UNDER Rockets/Hawks. These teams mets back on November 30th and the Rockets annihilated the Hawks 158-111. Suffice it to say, I'm expecting a much lower-scoring defensive battle this time around. Houston comes in off back-to-back wins, most recently an impressive 118-108 win at Philadelphia. But with a game tomorrow night at Conference rival OKC on Thursday, the chance to look ahead is also very present for the visiting side. The Hawks have won two of their last four games, but they're out to redeem themselves after their most recent 123-115 setback to Denver. Key Trends: - Houston has seen the total go under in eight of 12 as a road favorite this season. - Atlanta has seen the total dip below the posted number in nine of its last 13 as a home underdog. The verdict: I think the Rockets go up early and then take the foot off the gas as they prepare for tomorrow night's game vs. the Thunder. I also expect the home side to play with pride here as it looks to avenge the earlier blowout loss; this number is high, play the under! |
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01-08-20 | Northwestern +13 v. Indiana | Top | 62-66 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
My 10* ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE is on Northwestern. Am I suggesting that Northwestern will pull off the outright upset here? I'm not. But I do think that the hungry Wildcats are going to come out on fire and I look for them to keep this one close down the stretch. The Hoosiers are susceptible right now as well after back-to-back losses. The Wildcats do have one respectable win this year, taking down Providence at the start of the season. Key Trends: - Northwestern is already 6-2 ATS this year as an underdog (and 3-1 ATS as a road dog.) - The Wildcats are 5-3 ATS this season vs. teams with winning records. - Indiana is already 0-2 ATS this year as a home favorite in the 12.5 to 18 points range. The verdict: Clearly Indiana is the better team. But I believe the desperate Wildcats come in under the radar here and cover with the large spread they've been afforded tonight; grab the points! |
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01-07-20 | Knicks v. Lakers -13.5 | Top | 87-117 | Win | 100 | 31 h 58 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE MONTH is on the LA Lakers. New York has surprised people of late and it most recently took the Clippers down to the wire in this very building, but eventually falling 135-132. The Lakers have continued to win, but they haven't been blowing teams out of the water or anything. But I think that the writing is on the wall and a major letdown for the Knicks is imminent here. The Lakers have won four straight, most recently a 106-99 win over Detroit in which they posted 20 blocks. Key Trends: - New York is interestinly just 6-12 ATS in its last 18 after a close loss by three points or less (including going 1-3 ATS this year.) - The Knicks are just 7-10 ATS this season after covering the spread in their last game. - The Lakers are 2-1 ATS this season as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points. The verdict: The Lakers have been a popular fade over the last month, but I think that trend ends quick fast in a hurry tonight. Lay the points, because I'm expecting a blowout! |
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01-07-20 | Iowa v. Nebraska +8 | Top | 70-76 | Win | 100 | 30 h 34 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE YEAR is on Nebraska. The 6-8 Nebraska Cornhuskers close out a five-game home stand in need of a victory. An upset here over 10-4 Iowa would go a long way in helping turn the season around. Nebraska has won three of the last five in the series, including 93-91 in OT last March. The Hawkeyes look poised for a letdown here though in my opinion after their 89-86 loss to Penn State last time out. There were ten ties and 30 lead changes in that contest, so after that emotional setback, everything points to another letdown tonight. Iowa averages 83 PPG and it concedes 81.3. Nebraska averages 74 and it concedes 77. On paper, clearly the Hawkeyes have the advantage. But situationally and motivationally, I believe the Huskers have the advantage tonight. Key Trends: - Iowa is a poor 6-18 ATS in its last 24 road games. - The Hawkeyes are just 1-3 ATS in their last four after scoring 85 points or more in two straight games. - Nebraska is 18-10 ATS in its last 18 after failing to cover the spread in its last game (including 5-2 ATS this year.) The verdict: CJ Fredrick is listed as questionable for the visitors as well, as he sprained his ankle in the loss to the Nittany Lions. The visitors are the better team on most nights, but not tonight. I'm grabbing the points and expecting a battle until the final horn! |
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01-07-20 | Sharks v. Blues UNDER 6 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 28 h 29 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE YEAR is on the UNDER Sharks/Blues. The Sharks are just 8-10-3 on the road this year and they're coming off an OT loss. St. Louis is also coming off an OT loss and it's 13-4-3 at home so far this season. San Jose is ranked just 26th in the NHL in goals scored per game on the road. St. louis is ranked 18th in the NHL in goals scored per game at home. Key Trends: - San Jose has seen the total go under the number in 13 of its last 16 after allowing four goals or more in its previous contest. - St. Louis has seen the total dip under in 11 of 17 this season after scoring four or more goals in its previous outing. The verdict: Martin Jones and Jordan Binnington are set for a big time goaltenders battle here in my opinion. Look for these two competent netminders to indeed be the main focal point of this contest; play the under! |
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01-06-20 | Miami-OH v. UL-Lafayette OVER 54.5 | Top | 17-27 | Loss | -107 | 33 h 23 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the OVER Miami Ohio/Louisiana Lafayette. I'm expecting a shootout here. Miami Ohio is led by Brett Gabbert, who had 2,163 passing yards, along with 11 TD's and eight INT's. Gabbert and company have their work cut out for them today as they'll look to keep pace with one of the highest scoring teams in the nation. UL Lafayette averages 38.8 points and 501.3 yards per game this year. That ranks it 14th and 11th respectively. QB Levi Lewis has 24 TD's and four INT's. Key Trends: - Miami has seen the total go over in nine of its last 14 when the total in the contest is set between 49.5 and 56 points. - UL Lafayette has seen the total eclipse the posted number in ten of its last 11 non-conference contests. The verdict: The Ragin Cajuns do not have a good defense. Look for these two teams to open up the playbook and to put on an offensive show for the nation tonight; play the over! |
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01-06-20 | Jets v. Canadiens -145 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -145 | 29 h 50 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE MONTH is on the Montreal Canadiens. Montreal comes in as the much "hungrier" team. The Habs have lost four in a row and they're only 3-6-1 in their last ten overall. I think that the Jets, who come in off a heart-breaking OT loss in Minnesota, are the perfect opponent to finally get untracked against tonight for the desperate home side. The Canadiens most recently lost in OT to the Pens, their fourth straight. The Jets are much better at home than on the road though and I think another letdown is imminent here as well in this difficult away venue. Key Trends: - Winnipeg is 7-9 (-2.1 units) this year in non-conference games. - Montreal is 9-5 (+4.9 units) this season in non-conference games. The verdict: I expect the home side to risk life and limb getting into shooting and passing lanes tonight in an attmept to break the slide of futility; lay the price! |
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01-06-20 | Pacers v. Hornets UNDER 209.5 | Top | 115-104 | Loss | -108 | 27 h 52 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE YEAR is on the UNDER Pacers/Hornets. While the Pacers still have one of the best records in the Eastern Conference, they'll be eager to return to form here after a "brain fart" loss to the Hawks in their latest action. Charlotte enters off back-to-back road wins, including an OT victory in Dallas last time out. Can anyone say "letdown spot?!" The Pacers are one of the top defenses in the league as well, holding opponents to just 106.2 PPG. Key Trends: - Indiana has seen the total go under the number in 21 of its last 34 as a road favorite (including in six of nine this season.) - Charlotte has already seen the total dip below the posted number in ten of 15 as a home dog this season. The verdict: I think Indiana is out to control the tempo of this one. I also believe that the young Hornets are poised for a bit of a letdown after their successful road trip. All of the above factors add up to my 10* TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the under! |
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01-05-20 | Blazers +6 v. Heat | Top | 111-122 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 46 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the Blazers. Portland lost by 20 in New York, but it bounced back finally in the Nation's capital with a convincing win over the Wizards last time out. The Blazers won't be lacking for motivation here and I feel they offer great value to sneak in under the radar here and (at the very least!) score the comfortable ATS cover. I think the combination of CJ McCollom, Damian Lillard and Carmelo Anthony keep the visiting side in this one late. The Heat come in off a terrible 105-85 home loss to Orlando as well on Friday. And with a couple nights off before three straight road games vs. Eastern Conference opponents, would anyone fault the home side in some small way looking past its lowly non-conference opponent tonight? Key Trends: - Portland is interestingly 16-6 ATS in its last 22 vs. the Southeast Division (including 3-0 ATS this season). - The Blazers are 3-1 ATS in their last four as a road dog of six points or less. - Miami is already a poor 1-4 ATS this season as a home favorite of six points or less. The verdict: I like the very hungry visiting side to take this one down to the wire; grab the points! |
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01-05-20 | Seahawks -1.5 v. Eagles | Top | 17-9 | Win | 100 | 126 h 34 m | Show |
My 10* SUPER SIDE PLAY is on the Hawks. Clearly the oddsmakers think these teams are evenly matched. The Eagles have home field advantage, so that's a big plus for them obviously. If this game was in Seattle, the Hawks would be favored by around -4.5 or so? Regardless of that though, I think that Russell Wilson is better than Carson Wentz and I believe he has a better and healthier group of playmakers around him. That's the bottom line here from a situational stand point anyways. Key Trends: - Seattle is 4-1 ATS on the road. - The Hawks are 5-1 ATS in their last six off a loss by six points or less. - Philly is already 0-3 ATS this season after allowing 17 points or less in two straight games. The verdict: Wentz is lacking options and an injured Zach Ertz isn't going to save the day. I'm on Seattle! |
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01-05-20 | Vikings v. Saints OVER 48 | Top | 26-20 | Loss | -110 | 122 h 2 m | Show |
My 10* TOP TOTAL is on the OVER Vikes/Saints. Minnesota posted the "The Minneapolis Miracle" vs. the Saints in 2018, which sent the Vikes to the NFC Championship Game, so now New Orelans has an opportunity to avenge that setback. The Vikes are expected to have Dalvin Cook back in the line-up this week, but I still don't think it'll matter in this difficult road venue. The Vikes' Kirk Cousins finished with 26 TD's and six INT's, while Saints' veteran Drew Brees finished with 27 TD's this season, despite missing several games with an injury. How does New Orleans gets its revenge today? Certainly not by playing conservatively or letting the Vikes dictate the tempo of play. If Brees is going to get the monkey off his back and earn another SB, he's going to have to put the pedal down from start to finish. Situationally I believe this one definitely sets up as a "shootout." Key Trends: - Minnesota has seen the total go over the number in five of eight on the road this year. - New Orleans has seen the total eclipse the posted number in seven of its last ten when playing the role of favorite. The verdict: I believe these two veteran QB's in their primes will be the main story lines in tomorrow's summaries; play the over! |
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01-04-20 | Hornets +12.5 v. Mavs | Top | 123-120 | Win | 100 | 27 h 54 m | Show |
My 10* BEWARE OF DOG plays in on the Charlotte Hornets. The Hornets broke a five-game slide with a 109-106 outright win in Cleveland last time out and I think they offer great value to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch here as well. Dallas broke a two-game slide with a 123-111 win over the Nets in its last outing, but this is a spot in which they've struggled in for bettors in the past and I think those trends carry over here. Key Trends: - As note that Dallas is a poor 7-10 ATS at home this season. - Also note that the Mavs are a terrible 4-8 ATS this season after scoring 120 points or more in their previous outing. - Conversely note that the Hornets are a sharp 10-5 ATS in their last 15 on the road. The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, grab the ample points! |
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01-04-20 | Titans +5 v. Patriots | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 106 h 31 m | Show | |
My 9* SIDE WINNER is on the Tennessee Titans. The Patriots have Tom Brady, Bill Bellichick, home field advantage and experience on their side today. These four factors have carried this organization for a decade, but this season more than ever, it appears for sure that Brady has taken a major step back. His defense has had to carry the load for the most part this season. Last week in a big game he choked and lost to the lowly Dolphins. If this isn't a major warning sign, I don't know what is? Tennessee wants to make history today. Trust me, the other teams in the league are tired of the Patriots making all the headlines and if they have a chance to kick them when they're down, they're going to do it. With nothing to lose, I think that Derrick Henry, Ryan Tannehill and the hungry Titans have much more than just a "punchers chance" in this one vs. this shaky Patriots team. Key Trends: - Tennessee is 5-3 ATS on the road this year. - New England is 3-4 ATS at home this season. - The Patriots are only 1-5 ATS this year vs. teams with winning records. The verdict: I think this one comes down to the wire and in a contest like that, I'll grab the points! |
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01-04-20 | Islanders v. Maple Leafs -157 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 25 h 18 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the Toronto Maple Leafs. I think the home side is worth the price of admission in this spot. The Isles onyl average 2.58 GPG on the road, which ranks them 21st. They've made up for it on the other end with a defense which ranks second on the road in the NHL. But the Leafs have been on a tear of late and they average 3.47 GPG at home. That ranks seventh. Key Trends: - The Leafs are 12-5 (+5.8 units) this year after a win by two goals or more. - NY is just 2-6 in its last eight as a road underdog in the +140 to +160 range in an Eastern Conference arena. The verdict: Ultimatley I think that Leafs' high-powered offense is going to win out over the Isles' stiny defensive play on the road; lay the price! |
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01-04-20 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff v. Mississippi Valley State +4.5 | Top | 80-76 | Win | 100 | 23 h 14 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on Mississippi Valley State. These are two very poor teams. Arkansas-Pine Bluff is 1-11. Mississippi State Valley is 1-12. That said, I don't think that the home floor advantage can be overlooked as a very real deciding factor in this particular contest. Not only that, but the Devils play with revenge here after getting smoked by Arkansas Pine Bluff 91-57 last March. Key Trends: - Arkansas Pine-Bluff is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine as a road favorite. - Mississippi Valley State is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 as a home dog in the -2 to -5.5 range after a three-games or longer losing streak. The verdict: These teams are evenly matched, but the situational and trend based factors working in favor of the home side today make it the correct call; play on the Devils! |
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01-04-20 | Bills +3 v. Texans | Top | 19-22 | Push | 0 | 102 h 43 m | Show |
My 10* SIDE WINNER is on the Buffalo Bills. DeShaun Watson is a better QB than Josh Allen. And that's big. It's the most important position on the field of play. Combined with the "home field" advantage, clearly the underdog Bills have their work cut out for them this afternoon. But other than the QB position, I believe Buffalo has the advantage in all three phases. The Bills were good on the road this season as well, finishing 4-0 ATS as an away underdog and 6-0 ATS overall. Key Trends: - Buffalo is 3-0 ATS this year off a home loss. - Texans are 2-6 ATS at home this season. - Houston is a poor 1-6 ATS as a favorite this year. The verdict: I'll even recommend to sprinkle a little on the money line here, but the official play is the Bills and the points! |
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01-03-20 | Pelicans v. Lakers -11 | Top | 113-123 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 59 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the LA Lakers. Key Trends: Analysis posted shortly. |
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01-03-20 | Ohio v. Nevada OVER 58.5 | Top | 30-21 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 56 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the OVER in the Potato Bowl. Key Trends: Analysis posted shortly. |
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01-02-20 | Blackhawks v. Canucks -147 | Top | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 29 h 18 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE MONTH is on the Vancouver Canucks. At some point the Canucks' current five-game win streak is going to come to an end, but I don't think that tonight is the night. Most recently Vancouver got the better of Calgary 5-2. Elias Petterson has 18 goals and 41 points and the Canucks have conceded two goals or less in each of their last four games. The Hawks are playing their best hockey of the year as well right now, but after three straight victories, I think the wheels are finally going to fall off the bus tonight in this difficult road venue. Chicago goalie Corey Crawford owns a poor 3.20 GAA this year, despite earning a win over Vancouver earlier in the season. Canucks netminder Jacob Marstrom has has a 2.63 GAA this season. Key Trends: - Chicago is still a terrible 9-15 (-4 units) this season vs. clubs with winning records. - Vancouver is a fantastic 3-0 (+3 units) already this season when playing with three or more days of rest. The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, lay this very reasonable mid-sized price with confidence! |
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01-02-20 | Flyers v. Golden Knights OVER 6 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 105 | 29 h 17 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL BEST OF THE BEST is on the OVER Flyers/Knights. I'm expecting some offensive fireworks here. The Flyers have gone just 1-2 in their last three games and they've conceded three goals in that span. Philadelphia will be eager to get back on track and one player to watch is Travis Konecny, who leads the team in points with 35 points. Off a 5-3 loss to the Kings, the Flyers will once again have their hands full with another Western Conference team, but one which enters "firing on all cylinders." The Knights crushed the Ducks 5-2 in their last game. Key Trends: - The Flyers have seen the total go over the number in seven of their last ten after a loss by two goals or more in their previous game. - The Golden Knights have seen the total eclipse the posted number in nine of 13 already this season following a victory by two goals or more. The verdict: The writing is on the wall and a high-scoring blowout is in the cards in my opinion; play the over! |
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01-02-20 | South Alabama v. UL - Lafayette +1 | 60-57 | Loss | -108 | 25 h 5 m | Show | |
My 8* play on UL Lafayette. South Alabama is 7-6 and UL Lafayette is 5-8. The Cajuns though come in as the "hungrier" team here in my opinoin. Lafayette is 0-2 in Conference play and it's also on an overall five-game losing streak, most recently competitive in another 85-77 loss to UC Santa Barbara. Trajan Wesley was a bright spot in defeat with 17 points. South Alabama on the other hand looks primed for a letdown here in my opinoin as it's won two of its last four, including a 76-47 rout over NAIA opponent Mobile on Saturday. Key Trends: - The Jaguars are just 1-5 ATS in their last six on the road. - The Cajuns are already 3-1 ATS this season after alloing 80 points or more in their previous outing. The verdict: This one has blowout written all over it in my opinion; play on UL Lafayette! |
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01-02-20 | Hornets v. Cavs OVER 210 | Top | 109-106 | Win | 100 | 26 h 24 m | Show |
My 10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK is on the OVER Hornets/Cavaliers. Neither team is known for its offensive prowess, but each comes in hungry and looking for a win here. Fortunately for each, neither plays great defensively either. These are professionals and the chance to win a game when playing for one of these clubs doesn't come around too often. I believe each side is going to push the pace and open up the playbook. Key Trends: - Charlotte has seen the total go over in 11 of 17 as a road dog already this season. - Cleveland has seen the total eclipse the posted number in six of its last eight after a blowout loss by 15 points or more. The verdict: Both the ATS numbers/trends and the overall situation point to the "over" as the correct call in this one! |
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01-02-20 | Elon +15.5 v. Northeastern | 68-77 | Win | 100 | 24 h 5 m | Show | |
My 8* play on Elon. I think 4-10 Elon, which enters having lost three straight, will be the much "hungrier" team today. Northeastern is 8-6, but complacent after three straight victories. Both teams put up similar offensive numbers, 72 and 68 per contest. The Phoenix also shoot a sharp 37.5 percent from range. They're led by Marcus Sheffield, who is averaging 16.9 PPG. The Huskies are the better team, but after their 88-72 smoke-job of James Madison, I think this one sets up as a "trap" vs. the lowly Phoenix. Key Trends: - Elon is already 4-0 ATS this year as a road dog of 12.5 or more points. - Northeastern is only 1-3 ATS at home this season. The verdict: No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points! |
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01-02-20 | James Madison v. NC-Wilmington +3.5 | 64-60 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 36 m | Show | |
My 8* play on NC Wilmington. James Madison is 0-2 in CAA action and I think it's ripe for the picking here for the hungry Seahawks. NC Wilmington is also 0-2 in conference play, but it enters on a dismal seven-game overall losing streak. Suffice it to say, I'm expecting the home side to risk life and limb tonight to pull off the minor upset here. Note that the Dukes are only 1-3 on the road this year, while UNC Wilmington is 4-3 at home. Key Trends: - James Madison is a poor 1-3 ATS in its last four as a road favorite. - The Dukes are already just 2-5 ATS this season after playing a home game. - UNC Wilmington is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 as a home dog or pick. The verdict: I don't think that the home court advantage can be overlooked as a very real deciding factor in this contest. That said, grab the points! |
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01-02-20 | Boston College v. Cincinnati -7 | Top | 6-38 | Win | 100 | 29 h 35 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on Cincinnati. BC is 6-6 and I think it'll have its hands full here vs. 10-3 Cincinnati. BC lost three of five down the stretch, and only became eligible in its final game of the season by beating the Panthers. Cincinnati lost two in a row to end the year, once in the regular season finale to Memphis and then once again to the Tigers in the conference championship game. The Eagles will be without coach Steve Addazio, who was let go. Rich Gunnell is the interim. BC relies heavily upon the run game of AJ Dillon, who had 1,600 yards on the year, but who will be sitting this one out as he prepares for the NFL draft. The Bearcats have a powerful RB in Michael Warren, who had 1,300 yards and 16 TD's. QB Desmond Ridder is a dual threat and he finished with 17 TD's and nine INT's.) Key Trends: - BC is just 1-3 ATS in its last four when playing with two weeks or more of rest. - Cincinnati is 5-1 ATS in its last six off a road loss (including 2-0 ATS this season.) The verdict: Injuries to Dillon will prove to be too much for BC to overcome here; lay the points! |
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01-01-20 | New Mexico v. San Jose State +11.5 | Top | 85-88 | Win | 100 | 15 h 56 m | Show |
My 10* CASH-BOMB is on San Jose State. I think 13-2 New Mexico comes into this one complacent vs. hungry 4-10 San Jose State. The Spartans come in off a confidence building 83-68 win over Pepperdine as well, with guar Brae Ivey scoring a career high 23 points. UNM most recently got the better of UC Davis 74-69 on Sunday, anchored by 20 points from Corey Manigault. The Lobos though struggled to pull away and depth is a concern with a couple lingering injuries to two starters. Key Trends: - SJSU is 7-2 ATS in its last nine road games following a victory in which it won and held its opponent to 70 points or less in. - The Lobos are interestingly 0-5 ATS in their last five road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of less than .400. The verdict: The Spartans only lost to ranked Utah State by 12 points and they come in off their biggest win of the year. The Lobos on the other hand are starting to show "cracks in the armor" after their extended run. I think the "hungrier" team keeps it closer than what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to believe here; grab the points! |
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01-01-20 | Baylor v. Georgia UNDER 42 | Top | 14-26 | Win | 100 | 418 h 56 m | Show |
My 10* BOWL TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the UNDER Baylor/Georgia. 11-2. That's the record of both teams in the Sugar Bowl this year. Baylor's 11 wins ties the most in program history. Overall the Bears average 35.2 PPG, led by dual threat QB Charlie Brewer, who had 30 TD's and six INT's. Defensively though is where Baylor made the biggest strides this season, it enters conceding just 19.3 PPG, led by LB Terrel Bernard, who has at least ten tackles in four of his last six games. Georiga was throttled by LSU in the SEC Championship Game, so it'l be plenty eager to bounce back here. Overall Jake Fromm had 22 TD's and five INT's. The Bulldogs average 31.2 PPG, but their strength this year has been on the defensive side, as they concede only 12.5 PPG. LSU was the only team to eclipse the 20 points plateu on them. Key Trends: - Baylor has seen the total go under in three of its las four as a neutral field underdog. - Georgia has seen the total go under the number in three of its last four following a SU loss. The verdict: Both teams concede less than 4.7 YPG and I believe these elite defensive units will become the main story lines in tomorrow's summaries; play the under! |
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01-01-20 | Michigan +7.5 v. Alabama | Top | 16-35 | Loss | -115 | 410 h 18 m | Show |
My 10* BOWL GAME OF THE YEAR is on Michigan. I think Michigan's defense can keep it competitive in this one. Each of the Wolverines last four victories came by at least 25 points, as QB Shea Patterson finished with 22 TD's and six INT's. Michigan's strength was on defense though, especially against the run, conceding only 3.03 YPC. The Alabama defense looked shaky this year. Note that it conceded at least 46 points in two of its last four games. The Tide had a fairly easy schedule as well this year. QB Mac Jones is a capable backup for Tua Tagovailoa, but I give the nod to Patterson in the QB matchup department for sure. Key Trends: - The Tide are a poor 5-14 ATS in their last 19 following a SU loss. - The Wolverines are 4-1 ATS in their last five vs. teams with winning records. The verdict: Alabama is "supposed" to be in the Playoff, but it's not this year. The Citrus Bowl isn't that big and I believe the Tide come in disinterested. I also believe their defense is vastly over-rated. While I do think the outright is possible, in the end let's grab the points! |