Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-27-21 | Indiana v. Purdue -14 | 7-44 | Win | 100 | 3 h 19 m | Show | |
Ricky's 7* play on Purdue. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. - The Hoosiers are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games overall. - The Hoosiers are 1-7 ATS in their last eight conference games. - The Hoosiers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 meetings in Purdue. Verdict: The home team looks like the best bet here. |
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11-27-21 | Ohio State -7.5 v. Michigan | Top | 27-42 | Loss | -110 | 60 h 2 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Ohio State. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. - The Buckeyes are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six games as a road favorite. - The Wolverines are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a home underdog. - The Buckeyes are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 meetings. Verdict: The Buckeyes have dominated this series. |
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11-26-21 | Cincinnati v. East Carolina +14 | 35-13 | Loss | -102 | 40 h 32 m | Show | |
Ricky's 7* play on East Caroliona. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. - The Bearcats are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games as a road favorite. - The Pirates are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games as an underdog. - The Pirates are 8-1 ATS in their last nine conference games. Verdict: The home team looks like the best bet here. |
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11-13-21 | Purdue +21 v. Ohio State | 31-59 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 57 m | Show | |
Ricky's 7* play on Purdue. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. - The Boilermakers are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games as an underdog. - The Boilermakers are 20-6-2 ATS in their last 28 games as a road underdog. - The Boilermakers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 head to head meetings. Verdict: This line appears to be a bit inflated. |
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11-06-21 | USC v. Arizona State -8.5 | 16-31 | Win | 100 | 28 h 43 m | Show | |
Ricky's 10* play on Arizona State. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. - The Sun Devils are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home. - The Trojans are 5-15 ATS in their last 20 games as an underdog. - The Trojans are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog. Verdict: The line doesn't appear to reflect how big a mismatch this game actually is expected to be. |
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11-02-21 | Eastern Michigan +9 v. Toledo | 52-49 | Win | 100 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
Ricky's 7* play on EMU. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. - The Eagles are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games as a road underdog. - The Eagles are 24-9 ATS in their last 33 road games. - The Rockets are 5-12-1 ATS in their last 18 home games versus a team with a winning road record. Verdict: The history tells us that this is anybody's game. |
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10-30-21 | Michigan v. Michigan State +4.5 | 33-37 | Win | 100 | 91 h 24 m | Show | |
7* |
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10-23-21 | Oregon v. UCLA -1 | 34-31 | Loss | -113 | 138 h 40 m | Show | |
Ricky's 5* play on UCLA. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. - The Ducks are 1-6 ATS in their last seven conference games. - The Bruins are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 conference games. - The Ducks are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win. Verdict: The Ducks have been hit hard by injuries. |
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10-21-21 | UL-Lafayette -18 v. Arkansas State | 28-27 | Loss | -109 | 19 h 54 m | Show | |
Ricky's 5* play on ULL. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. - The Ragin' Cajuns are 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 road games versus a team with a losing home record. - The Red Wolves are 0-6 ATS in their last six games following a bye week. - The Ragin' Cajuns are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 meetings. Verdict: This looks like a mismatch of epic proportions. |
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10-20-21 | Coastal Carolina v. Appalachian State +5.5 | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 16 h 16 m | Show | |
Ricky's 5* play on Appalachian State. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. - The Mountaineers are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games as an underdog. - The Mountaineers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game. - The Mountaineers have lost only five games at home since 2015. Verdict: The home underdog looks like a bargain in this spot. |
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10-16-21 | Tulsa v. South Florida +8.5 | 32-31 | Win | 100 | 18 h 22 m | Show | |
FREE |
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10-09-21 | Florida State +17.5 v. North Carolina | 35-25 | Win | 100 | 36 h 42 m | Show | |
Ricky's 7* play on FSU. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. - The Tar Heels are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS win. - The road team is 6-1 ATS in their last seven meetings. - The underdog is 5-0 ATS in their last five meetings. Verdict: The history suggests this game could be close. |
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10-02-21 | Texas -4.5 v. TCU | 32-27 | Win | 100 | 62 h 13 m | Show | |
Ricky's 7* play on Texas. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. - The Longhorns are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a favorite. - The Horned Frogs are 11-26-1 ATS in their last 38 home games. - The Horned Frogs are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games in October. Verdict: The Longhorns offense has been firing on all cylinders since a change at QB. |
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10-01-21 | Houston +3.5 v. Tulsa | 45-10 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
Ricky's 7* play on Houston. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. - The Cougars are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games as a road underdog. - The Cougars are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games following an ATS loss. - The Golden Hurricane are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite. Verdict: The Cougars have the edge at QB with Clayton Tune. |
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09-25-21 | UCLA v. Stanford +4 | Top | 35-24 | Loss | -110 | 143 h 22 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Stanford. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. - The Bruins are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games as a favorite. - The Cardinal are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as a home underdog. - The Cardinal are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five conference games. Verdict: The Cardinal have been a different team since making a change at QB. |
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09-25-21 | Rutgers +20.5 v. Michigan | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 15 h 56 m | Show | |
Ricky's 7* play on Rutgers. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. - The Scarlet Knights are 6-0 ATS in their last six road games. - The Wolverines are 0-5 ATS in their last five conference games. - The Scarlet Knights are 6-1 ATS versus a team with a winning record. Verdict: The Wolverines are asked to cover too many points. |
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09-23-21 | Marshall v. Appalachian State -7.5 | 30-31 | Loss | -115 | 97 h 25 m | Show | |
Ricky's 7* play on Appalachian State. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. - The Thundering Herd are 1-7 ATS in their last eight Thursday games. - The Mountaineers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven Thursday games. - The Thundering Herd are 1-4 ATS in their last five non-conference games. Verdict: The Mountaineers look good as the home favorite. |
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09-17-21 | Maryland v. Illinois +7 | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 19 h 43 m | Show | |
Ricky's 5* play on Illinois. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. - The Terrapins are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 road games. - The Terrapins are 8-26 ATS in their last 34 games following a straight up win. - The Terrapins are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Verdict: The Illini look good as the underdog tonight. |
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09-11-21 | Washington v. Michigan -6.5 | 10-31 | Win | 100 | 50 h 56 m | Show | |
Ricky's 7* play on Michigan. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. - The Huskies are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games as an underdog. - The Wolverines are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a home favorite. - The Huskies are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games as a road underdog. Verdict: The Wolverines should get the job done at home. |
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09-11-21 | Georgia State v. North Carolina -26 | 17-59 | Win | 100 | 31 h 31 m | Show | |
Ricky's 5* play on North Carolina. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. - The Panthers are 5-11-2 ATS in their last 18 road games. - The Tar Heels are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up loss. - The Panthers are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games following an ATS loss. Verdict: This looks like a "get right" game for the home team. |
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09-11-21 | Texas -7 v. Arkansas | 21-40 | Loss | -105 | 49 h 44 m | Show | |
Ricky's 7* play on Texas. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. - The Razorbacks are 3-10-2 ATS in their last 15 non-conference games. - The Longhorns are 5-0 ATS in their last five non-conference games. - The Razorbacks are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games following a straight up win. Verdict: The Razorbacks failed to impress in Week 1 versus Rice. |
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09-03-21 | North Carolina v. Virginia Tech +5.5 | 10-17 | Win | 105 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
Ricky's 7* play on the Hokies. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. - The Tar Heels have failed to cover in four of their last five overall. - The Hokies are 7-3 straight up in their last 10 home games. - The Hokies have covered in three straight home games versus the Tar Heels. Verdict: The Hokies are tough at home at night in Blacksburg. |
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09-02-21 | Boise State v. Central Florida -4.5 | 31-36 | Win | 100 | 93 h 25 m | Show | |
Ricky's 5* play on the UCF. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. - The Knights have won eight of their last 10 home games. - The Knights are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite. - The Broncos are 0-3 ATS in their last three road games. Verdict: The Knights look like a good bet here in their season opener. |
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01-01-21 | Notre Dame v. Alabama -19.5 | Top | 14-31 | Loss | -110 | 266 h 18 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the Crimson Tide. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. - The Crimson Tide are 4-1 ATS in their last five non-conference games. - The Crimson Tide are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games overall. - The Fighting Irish are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 bowl games as an underdog. Verdict: The Irish aren't made to play in the College Football Playoff. |
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12-24-20 | Hawaii +10 v. Houston | 28-14 | Win | 100 | 16 h 25 m | Show | |
Ricky's 7* play on Hawaii. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. - The Cougars have only played once in the last six weeks. - The Cougars are 2-6 ATS in their last eight versus Mountain West teams. - The Cougars have lost three of their last four overall. Verdict: The Warriors should be able to keep this game close. |
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12-19-20 | Boise State v. San Jose State +7 | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 20 h 52 m | Show | |
Ricky's 7* play on San Jose State. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. - The Spartans are 18-7-3 ATS in their last 28 conference games. - The Spartans are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games overall. - The Spartans are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog. Verdict: San Jose State isn't getting enough respect from bookmakers. |
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12-12-20 | Tennessee -14 v. Vanderbilt | 42-17 | Win | 100 | 14 h 49 m | Show | |
Ricky's 7* play on the Vols. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The Commodores are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games as a home underdog. - The underdog is 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings. - The Commodores are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 home games. Verdict: Vanderbilt have no interest in playing, and have already announced they will sit out any bowls. |
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12-06-20 | Washington State +13 v. USC | Top | 13-38 | Loss | -110 | 42 h 48 m | Show |
10* |
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12-05-20 | Stanford +12 v. Washington | 31-26 | Win | 100 | 16 h 50 m | Show | |
Ricky's 7* play on Stanford. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The Cardinal are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games in December. - The underdog is 6-2 ATS in their last eight meetings. - The Cardinal are 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings Verdict: The Cardinal appear to be undervalued here. |
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11-28-20 | Utah v. Washington -6.5 | 21-24 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 38 m | Show | |
Ricky's 7* play on Washington. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The Utes are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 versus a team with a winning record. - The Huskies are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite. - The Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a home favorite. Verdict: The Utes looked terrible against USC. |
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11-20-20 | Syracuse +19.5 v. Louisville | 0-30 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
Ricky's 7* play on Syracuse. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The Cardinals are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games in November. - The Cardinals are 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 conference games. - The Orange are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up loss. Verdict: The Orange are bad, but this spread appears inflated. |
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11-14-20 | Wisconsin v. Michigan +5 | 49-11 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 24 m | Show | |
Ricky's 7 play on Michigan. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The home team is 7-1 straight up in the last eight meetings. - The Badgers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven versus a team with a losing record. - The home team is 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Verdict: The Badgers have yet to prove anything this season. |
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11-14-20 | Notre Dame v. Boston College +14 | 45-31 | Push | 0 | 66 h 28 m | Show | |
Ricky's 10* play on Boston College. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as a home underdog. - The Eagles are 22-7-1 ATS in their last 30 conference games. - The Eagles are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games as an underdog. Verdict: This is a huge let down spot for the Irish. |
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11-14-20 | Illinois v. Rutgers -6.5 | 23-20 | Loss | -101 | 71 h 23 m | Show | |
Ricky's 7* play on Rutgers. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The Scarlet Knights are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games in November. - The Fighting Illini are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall. - The favorite is 5-0 ATS in the last five head to head meetings. Verdict: Rutgers looks like a team on the rise. |
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11-11-20 | Eastern Michigan +9 v. Ball State | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 6 h 44 m | Show | |
Ricky's 7* play on EMU. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The Eagles are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 road games. - The Eagles are 23-7 ATS in their last 30 games as an underdog. - The Eagles are 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings in Ball State. Verdict: Ball State appears to be overvalued here against the Eagles. |
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11-10-20 | Miami-OH +9.5 v. Buffalo | 10-42 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 51 m | Show | |
Ricky's 7* play on Miami-Oh. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The RedHawks are 15-4 ATS in their last 19 conference games. - The RedHawks are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as an underdog. - The RedHawks are 4-1 ATS in the last five head to head meetings. Verdict: The Red Hawks defense should keep them in this game. |
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11-07-20 | Stanford +9.5 v. Oregon | 14-35 | Loss | -117 | 25 h 19 m | Show | |
Ricky's 7* play on Stanford. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The Cardinal are 3-1 ATS in the last four head to head meetings. - The road team is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings. - The Ducks are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite. Verdict: This line appears to be a little inflated. |
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11-07-20 | Texas A&M v. South Carolina +10 | 48-3 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 24 m | Show | |
Ricky's 7* play on South Carolina. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. - The Aggies are 8-19 ATS in their last 27 games in November. - The Gamecocks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game. - The Aggies are 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games following a bye week. Verdict: This line appears to be a little inflated. |
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11-07-20 | Liberty +16.5 v. Virginia Tech | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 22 h 48 m | Show | |
Ricky's 7* play on Liberty. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The Flames are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games as an underdog. - The Flames are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 road games. - The Hokies are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games as a favorite. Verdict: This line appears to be a little inflated. |
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10-31-20 | Oklahoma v. Texas Tech +16 | 62-28 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 22 m | Show | |
Ricky's 7* play on Texas Tech. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The Sooners are 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games. - The Sooners are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a road favorite. - The Home team is 12-2 ATS in their last 14 meetings. Verdict: This is a too much chalk for a two loss Oklahoma team on the road. |
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10-24-20 | NC State +17.5 v. North Carolina | 21-48 | Loss | -117 | 95 h 49 m | Show | |
Ricky's 7* play on NC State. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The underdog is 12-5 ATS in their last 17 meetings. - The road team is 6-1 ATS in their last seven meetings. - The Wolfpack are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall. Verdict: The Wolfpack are underrated here. |
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10-24-20 | Syracuse +46.5 v. Clemson | 21-47 | Win | 100 | 15 h 57 m | Show | |
Ricky's 7* play on Syracuse. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The Orange have covered in four of the last six head to head meetings. - Two of the last three head to head meetings have been deciced by four points or less. - The Orange won outright as a 27 point dog versus Clemson in 2017. Verdict: This line is the most inflated we have seen in an awful long time. |
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10-23-20 | Tulsa -10.5 v. South Florida | 42-13 | Win | 100 | 22 h 21 m | Show | |
Ricky's 7* play on Tulsa. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The Golden Hurricane are 7-1 ATS in their last eight road games. - The Bulls are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games. - The Bulls are 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a ATS win. Verdict: Tulsa has played far better against superior opponents. |
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10-17-20 | Boston College +13.5 v. Virginia Tech | 14-40 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 10 m | Show | |
Ricky's 8* play on BC. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The Eagles are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games as an underdog. - The Eagles are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 road games. - The Eagles are 20-5-1 ATS in their last 26 conference games. Verdict: This number appears a little inflated. |
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10-17-20 | North Carolina v. Florida State +13.5 | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 24 h 1 m | Show | |
Ricky's 8* play on FSU. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The Tar Heels defense allowed VT to score 48 points in three quarters in their last game. - The Tar Heels are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games versus a team with a losing home record. - The Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings. Verdict: This number appears a little inflated. |
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10-14-20 | Coastal Carolina +7.5 v. UL-Lafayette | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 20 h 36 m | Show | |
Ricky's 7* play on Coastal Carolina. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The Chanticleers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games as an underdog. - The Chanticleers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven conference games. - The Ragin' Cajuns are 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall. Verdict: This is a revenge spot for Coastal Carolina after getting blown out in last year's meeting. |
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10-10-20 | Florida State v. Notre Dame -20.5 | 26-42 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 4 m | Show | |
Ricky's 7* play on Notre Dame. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The Seminoles are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight road games. - The Seminoles are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games as an underdog. - The Fighting Irish are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games. Verdict: The Seminoles have a quarterback problem. |
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10-10-20 | LSU -14 v. Missouri | 41-45 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 35 m | Show | |
Ricky's 7* play on the LSU Tigers. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The LSU Tigers are 7-1 ATS in their last eight road games. - The LSU Tigers are 17-8 ATS in their last 25 conference games. - The MIZZOU Tigers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games overall. Verdict: Home field isn't going to help Missouri. |
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10-03-20 | Auburn +7.5 v. Georgia | Top | 6-27 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 56 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Auburn. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The Tigers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games overall. - The Tigers are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games in October. - The Tigers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games on grass. Verdict: The Bulldogs offense appears to be struggling. |
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10-03-20 | Texas A&M +18.5 v. Alabama | Top | 24-52 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
Ricky's 7* play on Texas A&M. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The Crimson Tide are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 conference games. - The Crimson Tide are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win. - The Aggies are 4-1 ATS in their last five conference games. Verdict: The Aggies have given Bama trouble in the past. |
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10-03-20 | Oklahoma State v. Kansas +23.5 | 47-7 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
Ricky's 7* play on KU. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The Jayhawks are 4-0 ATS in their last four games in October. - The Jayhawks are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following an ATS loss. - The Home team is 7-2 ATS in their last nine head to head meetings. Verdict: This line appears to be a bit inflated. |
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10-02-20 | Louisiana Tech +24.5 v. BYU | 14-45 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 53 m | Show | |
Ricky's 7* play on the Bulldogs. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The Bulldogs are 27-10 ATS in their last 37 games as a road underdog. - The Cougars are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games as a favorite. - The Bulldogs are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Verdict: The Bulldogs are an offensive juggernaut. |
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09-26-20 | Florida State v. Miami-FL -10.5 | Top | 10-52 | Win | 100 | 64 h 9 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on Miami. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The Seminoles are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven road games. - The Seminoles are 7-15-3 ATS in their last 25 conference games. - The Hurricanes are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games in September. Verdict: The Hurricanes pride themselves on forcing turnovers, which is a weakness for FSU. |
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09-19-20 | Central Florida -7.5 v. Georgia Tech | 49-21 | Win | 101 | 37 h 21 m | Show | |
Ricky's 8* play on UCF. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The Knights are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games in September. - The Yellow Jackets are 0-6 ATS in their last six non-conference games. - The Yellow Jackets are 1-8 ATS in their last nine home games. Verdict: Lets not get carried away after Georgia Tech upset FSU in Week 1. |
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09-12-20 | Georgia Tech v. Florida State -12 | 16-13 | Loss | -110 | 126 h 16 m | Show | |
Ricky's 7* play on FSU. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The Yellow Jackets are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog. - The Yellow Jackets are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games overall. - The Yellow Jackets are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games in September. Verdict: Coach Norvell inspires far more confidence than his predecessor. |
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09-10-20 | UAB v. Miami-FL -14 | 14-31 | Win | 100 | 13 h 29 m | Show | |
Ricky's 8* play on MIAMI. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant. Key Trends: - The Blazers are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a road underdog. - The Hurricanes offense should be vastly improved with QB Deriq King transferring from Houston. - The Blazers lost by 23 points to a pretty average Tennessee team last year. Verdict: The Canes appear to be undervalued coming off a disappointing 2019 campaign. |
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01-02-20 | Boston College v. Cincinnati -7 | Top | 6-38 | Win | 100 | 29 h 35 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on Cincinnati. BC is 6-6 and I think it'll have its hands full here vs. 10-3 Cincinnati. BC lost three of five down the stretch, and only became eligible in its final game of the season by beating the Panthers. Cincinnati lost two in a row to end the year, once in the regular season finale to Memphis and then once again to the Tigers in the conference championship game. The Eagles will be without coach Steve Addazio, who was let go. Rich Gunnell is the interim. BC relies heavily upon the run game of AJ Dillon, who had 1,600 yards on the year, but who will be sitting this one out as he prepares for the NFL draft. The Bearcats have a powerful RB in Michael Warren, who had 1,300 yards and 16 TD's. QB Desmond Ridder is a dual threat and he finished with 17 TD's and nine INT's.) Key Trends: - BC is just 1-3 ATS in its last four when playing with two weeks or more of rest. - Cincinnati is 5-1 ATS in its last six off a road loss (including 2-0 ATS this season.) The verdict: Injuries to Dillon will prove to be too much for BC to overcome here; lay the points! |
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01-01-20 | Michigan +7.5 v. Alabama | Top | 16-35 | Loss | -115 | 410 h 18 m | Show |
My 10* BOWL GAME OF THE YEAR is on Michigan. I think Michigan's defense can keep it competitive in this one. Each of the Wolverines last four victories came by at least 25 points, as QB Shea Patterson finished with 22 TD's and six INT's. Michigan's strength was on defense though, especially against the run, conceding only 3.03 YPC. The Alabama defense looked shaky this year. Note that it conceded at least 46 points in two of its last four games. The Tide had a fairly easy schedule as well this year. QB Mac Jones is a capable backup for Tua Tagovailoa, but I give the nod to Patterson in the QB matchup department for sure. Key Trends: - The Tide are a poor 5-14 ATS in their last 19 following a SU loss. - The Wolverines are 4-1 ATS in their last five vs. teams with winning records. The verdict: Alabama is "supposed" to be in the Playoff, but it's not this year. The Citrus Bowl isn't that big and I believe the Tide come in disinterested. I also believe their defense is vastly over-rated. While I do think the outright is possible, in the end let's grab the points! |
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12-31-19 | Texas v. Utah -7 | Top | 38-10 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 26 m | Show |
My 10* ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE is on Utah. Texas has two very good offensive players in QB Sam Ehlinger and in RB Keaontay Ingram. Ehlinger had 29 TD's and the Longhorns average 35 PPG. Ingram had 795 yards rushing and six TD's, but he's listed as questionable for this game with an ankle injury. In fact, several key players on both sides of the ball are questionable for this one for Texas. Overall the Longhorns conceded 28.9 PPG. The Utes average 34 PPG and they concede just 13.2. They got upset by Oregon 37-15 in the Pac 12 Championship, a loss which coach Kyle Whittingham won't take lightly in my opinion. With one last chance for national redemption, I like the Utes behind QB Tyler Huntley to deliver the goods here. RB Zack Moss finished with 15 rushing TD's and Huntley had 18 TDs, compared to just four INTs. Of note that Utah comes into this bowl game with zero significant injuries. Key Trends: - Utes are 8-1 ATS in their last nine as a favorite. - Utah is 4-1 ATS in its last five vs. teams with winning records. - Texas is 1-5 ATS in its last six following an ATS win. The verdict: I believe the Utes' suffocating defense proves to be too much for the Longhorns to contend with tonight; lay the points! |
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12-30-19 | Virginia +14.5 v. Florida | Top | 28-36 | Win | 100 | 35 h 51 m | Show |
My 10* play is on UVA. Virginia was crushed 62-17 by Clemson in the ACC Title game, but the Cavs made big strides this season by finishing 9-4. The Cavaliers will have their hands full with a Florida team which finished 10-2. Virginia is led by QB Bryce Perkins. The Cavs average 32.4 PPG and they concede 26.5. Florida is led by Kyle Trask, who has 24 TD's and just six INT's. Overall the Gators average 33.3 PPG and concede 14.4. Key Trends: - UVA is 3-1 ATS in its last four after a loss by 17 points or more. - The Cavs are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 after a loss vs. the spread. - Florida is only 2-4 ATS in its last six when playing with two weeks or more of rest. The verdict: I see UVA hanging around late and while I'll stop short in calling for an outright upset, all signs point to this one being a lot more competitive than what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to believe; grab the points! |
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12-30-19 | Illinois +6.5 v. California | 20-35 | Loss | -103 | 31 h 47 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on Illinois. Both teams finished 6-6. The Fighting Illini though lost their final two games, while the Golden Bears squeaked in by winning their final two. Cal' QB Chase Garbers had 1,500 passing yards on the season, while Christopher Bron Jr. rushed for 794 yards and eight TD's. Cal only concedes 22.1 PPG, which ranks it 32nd in the natoin. Unfortunately though the Bears average just 20.1 PPG. Whether it's Matt Robinson, or Brandon Peters under center, I like Illinois here. The Fighting Illini defense is under-rated here in my opinion, as it concedes just 25.4 PPG. The offense averages 27.1. Key Trends: - Illinois is 6-1 ATS as an underdog this year. - The Fighting Illini are already 2-0 ATS this year off a loss by ten points or more to a conference rival. - Cal is 1-4 ATS this season after a SU victory. The verdict: I like Illinois' defense to step up big here vs. this Cal offense which struggles at the best of times to post production. While I do in fact feel the outright is very possible, let's grab the points in the end! |
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12-28-19 | Memphis +7 v. Penn State | Top | 39-53 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 34 m | Show |
My 10* BEATDOWN is on Memphis. The Tigers are a good team. They've won seven in a row. That includes a 29-24 victory over Cincinnati in the AAC Championship a couple of weeks ago. QB Brady White has 3,560 yards passing to go along with 33 TD's and only nine INT's. RB Kenneth Gainwell has 1,425 yards rushing, which is sixth best in the country. Overall the Tigers post a whopping 39.3 PPG. Penn State opened with eight straight victories, but it closed by losing two of three. The Nittany Lions ended their season with an uninspiring 27-6 win over Rutgers. QB Sean Clifford has 2,521 passing yards with 22 TD's and only six INT's. Overall the Nittany Lions average 30.3 PPG and concede 14.7. Key Trends: - Memphis is interestingly 4-0 ATS in its last four after a close win by seven points or less over a conference rival. - Penn State is already just 2-3 ATS this year after a win by 21 points or more. The verdict: I think Memphis has a very realistic chance of winning this one outright. I believe that Penn State's defense is going to be pushed to the brink. That said, let's grab the points! |
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12-27-19 | Michigan State v. Wake Forest +4 | Top | 27-21 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 36 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on Wake Forest. Michigan State was 6-6 this year. It closed out by beating bottom feeders Rutgers and Maryland to reach eligibility. Brian Lewerke leads an offense that averages 238.5 yards per game through the air. MSU's run game is poor though, averaging only 123 YPG, which ranks it outside the top 100. The Deacons though average 297.8 YPG through the air. MSU hasn't been nearly as sharp in defending the pass this year, conceding 210.6 YPG. QB Jamie Newman has 2,693 passing yards with 23 TDs and ten INTs. Key Trends: - Michigan State is just 3-5 ATS as a favorite this season. - The Spartans are 2-4 ATS in their last six when playing on two or more weeks of rest. - The Deacons are 8-2 ATS in their last ten after allowing 37 points or more in their previous outing (including 2-0 ATS this season.) The verdict: I think that Newman keeps his team competitive throughout and while clearly the outright isn't out of the question, in the end I'll recommend to grab the points! |
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12-26-19 | Pittsburgh v. Eastern Michigan +11.5 | Top | 34-30 | Win | 100 | 36 h 24 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on EMU. Pitt lost its final two games of the year, including a 26-19 home loss to Boston College. EMU also lost its finale, falling 34-26 to Kent State. Pitt' QB Kenny Pickett has a weak 10:9 TD:INT this year. The Panthers average only 20.1 PPG, while conceding 21.8. Eastern Michigan is averaging 29.1 PPG and it's conceding 30.3. But QB Mike Glass III won't be going down without a fight today in my opinion. Note that Glass finished with a 22:10 TD:INT. Key Trends: - The Panthers are just 1-4 ATS in their last five neutral site games. - The Eagles are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 following an ATS loss. - EMU is a sharp 17-5 ATS in its last 22 non-conference games. The verdict: I think the offensively challenged Panthers have a difficult time keeping pace and while I'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, everything definitely points to a much closer battle than what this spread would suggest in my opinion; grab the points! |
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12-24-19 | BYU v. Hawaii +2 | Top | 34-38 | Win | 100 | 57 h 23 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on Hawaii. Both teams were on quite the role until their final contest, losing badly in their finales. BYU had won five in a row and averaged 39.8 PPG during, however it came up short 13-3 vs. SDSU in its final game of the year. Hawaii lost 31-10 to Boise State in the MWC Championship Game. The Warriors average 33.6 PPG and they allow 31.7. QB Cole McDonald led his team to a 6-2 record at home as well. BYU only allows 24.4 PPG, but it only averages 28. QB Zach Wilson has 2,108 passing yards and 11 TD's. Key Trends: - BYU is just 8-13 ATS in its last 21 as a favorite (including 0-6 ATS this season.) - The Cougars are only 2-4 ATS on the road this year. - Hawaii is 3-1 ATS in its last four after a loss by 21 points or more. The verdict: Yes the Warriors are terrible defensively, but I think that Wilson and this Cougar offense will struggle to keep pace down the stretch with the home side; grab the point/s! |
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12-21-19 | Central Michigan +3.5 v. San Diego State | Top | 11-48 | Loss | -105 | 73 h 18 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on CMU. I think the Chips throw everything at this stiny Aztecs team and while I obviously wouldn't be shocked by an outright upset, I'll in the end take the points in a contest which I think'll be decided by whichever of these hungry teams has its hands on the ball last. CMU was 1-11 last year, but it finished 8-5 this season. The Chips won three in a row before falling 26-24 to Miami Ohio in the MAC Title game. So far the MAC has dominated early in these Bowl games and I like that trend to continue here with Quinten Dormady leading the charge. Dormady had 2,148 passing yards with a 14:6 TD:INT. RB's Kobe Lewis and Jon Ward each finished with 1,000 yards rushing this season. SDSU only allows 12.8 PPG, but I think the Aztecs struggle to contain this balanced offense of CMU. SDSU does not have a big running game, which makes Ryan Agnew, who had 2,175 passing yards and an 11:5 TD:INT, very one dimensional here. Key Trends: - CMU is 4-1 ATS in its last five as an underdog. - The Chips are 3-1 ATS in non-conference games this season. - SDSU is just 4-9 ATS in its last 13 vs. teams with winning records. The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, grab the points! |
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12-20-19 | Kent State v. Utah State -6.5 | Top | 51-41 | Loss | -109 | 34 h 47 m | Show |
My 10* SPECIAL is on Utah State. This is only the third time in Kent State's history that it's been to a bowl game. The Golden Flashes finished only 6-6, but a three-game win streak at the end likely helped in their cause ultimatley. Utah State though has the much better defense and I think that the unit will prove to be the difference maker here. Aggies' QB Jordan Love is also a key factor here, as he's projected to be a top 10 QB in the upcoming NFL draft. The Flashes counter with Dustin Crum, who has 2,333 yards passing this year (Love has 3,085.) Key Trends: - Kent State is 5-7 ATS in its last 12 non-conference games (including just 1-3 ATS this year.) - Utah State is 16-5 ATS in its last 21 as a favorite (including 5-2 ATS this season.) The verdict: I think Love will go ballistic on this suspect Kent secondary and I like the Aggies to shut down Crum; lay the points! |
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12-07-19 | Miami-OH v. Central Michigan -6.5 | 26-21 | Loss | -118 | 99 h 34 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on CMU. The Redhawks won't be able to keep pace with the Chips in my opinion down the stretch. CMU has won six of its last six, including destroying Toledo 49-7 this past weekend. Miami on the other hand lost to Ball State 41-27 to close out its regular season at 7-5. I think Chips' senior QB Quentin Dormady is a difference maker here. He enters on top form, having posted 250 passing yards in each of his past five games. RedHawks' QB Brett Gabbert has passed for under 150 yards in three straight games. Key Trends: - Miami Ohio is only just 2-6 ATS in its last eight off a road loss. - CMU is 4-0 ATS in its last four following a SU win by 20 points or more. The verdict: Detroit is only a two hour drive from Pleasant Hill, so the Chips will have a sizeable "home field" advantage. I think the experience that senior Dormady brings to the table wins the day; lay the points! |
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12-07-19 | UL-Lafayette +7 v. Appalachian State | Top | 38-45 | Push | 0 | 99 h 34 m | Show |
My 10* play is on Lafayette. To say this is a "revenge" game would be an understatement, as App State has won seven straight in this series (is 4-3 ATS in those games.) UL Lafayette held on for a win over UL Monroe last week, with QB Levi Lewis going for 270 yards and three TD's. I think he'll have enough to keep his team in this one late. And he'll of course be leaning heavily on a run game which averages a whopping 274 YPG this season, led by Raymond Calais. The Mountaineers like to run the ball as well behind the strong play of Darrynton Evans. QB Zack Thomas though has also been great, with ten TD's and no picks over his last three games. Key Trends: - The Cajuns are 4-1 ATS in their last five as a road dog of seven points or less. - Louisiana Lafayette is 4-0 ATS in its last four in revenging an upset loss against an opponent as the favorite. - App State is an unimpressive 3-3 ATS at home this year. The verdict: App State smashed UL Lafayette in the 2018 Sun Belt Championship game by 49 points. Look for the Cajuns to keep this one competitive until the very end; grab the points! |
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11-30-19 | Colorado +29 v. Utah | 15-45 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 16 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on Colorado. Colorado has won two in a row, including a 20-14 win at home over Washington as a double-digit dog last weekend. At 5-6, the Buffs need just one more monumental upset to become eligible. Colorado' QB Steven Montez has 15 TD's and ten INT's, but he's been sharp over the last two games and I think he'll keep his team competitive here. Utah is head to the Pac 12 Championship game despite what happens here today. So am I calling for an outright upset? No I am not. Utes' QB Tyler Huntley and company will cruise to victory here, but I believe they'll have a fight on their hands until the final moments. Key Trends: - Colorado is 3-1 ATS in its last four after allowing 14 points or less in its previous game. - Utah is just 1-4 ATS in its last five off a double-digit road win. The verdict: I think the oddsmakers are slow in recognizing how well Montez is playing right now; grab the points! |
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11-30-19 | UL-Monroe +20.5 v. UL-Lafayette | 30-31 | Win | 100 | 78 h 16 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on Louisiana Monroe. The Warhawks have won two of three, including their last game vs. Coastal Carolina to improve to 5-6. The Warhawks will battle tooth and nail here to try and become eligible. Louisiana Lafayette is 9-2 and it comes in off a victory over Troy. The Warhawks play with revenge here though after losing this one at home 31-28 last season. Warhawks' QB Caleb Evans was particularly good in last week's win, finising with 346 yards, two TD's and an INT. After scoring 53 vs. Troy last weekend, I think that Levi Lewis and the Cajuns come in a bit complacent here. Key Trends: - Louisiana Monroe is interestingly 3-0 ATS in its last three off a close win by seven points or less over a conference rival. - Louisana Lafayette is 0-2 ATS in its last two as a home favorite in the 14.5 to 21 points range. The verdict: I'm not calling for an outright win, but everything points to a war until the end; grab the points! |
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11-30-19 | North Carolina -8.5 v. NC State | Top | 41-10 | Win | 100 | 78 h 51 m | Show |
My 10* play is on UNC. NC State is going to try and play spoiler here to the 5-6 Tar Heels, but I think that UNC's depth on offense will prove to be too much for the now eliminated Wolfpack to handle down the stretch. The Tar Heels come in off a 56-7 win over Mercer last week. The Wolfpack have lost five straight and while the thought of playing "spoiler" is a nice one, I simply don't think it's going to matter in this particular instance. Outside of a two-point loss to GT last weekend, each of NC State's last four losses has come by at least two TD's. Key Trends: - UNC is 2-0 ATS in its last two as a road favorite in the 7.5 to 14 points range. - The Tar Heels are 2-0 ATS in their last two off a home victory by 17 points or more. - NC State is just 2-4 ATS in its last six off a road loss vs. a conference rival. The verdict: UNC QB Sam Howell has 32 TD passes this year. Expect Howell to destroy his over-matched competition today and lay the points with confidence! |
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11-30-19 | Georgia v. Georgia Tech +28 | 52-7 | Loss | -105 | 71 h 47 m | Show | |
My 8* play on Georgia Tech I'm going to grab the points in the "Clean Old Fashioned Hate." Tech has beaten two ACC teams in NC State and Miami. Georgia is obviously one of the best teams in the country with a 10-1 record. The Dawgs need to win this game and then they'll be invited to the four team College Playoff. However, after winning five in a row and a big victory over Auburn, I think the Bulldogs get caught looking past their lowly opponent today. Georgia Tech is a team in transition, as it switches from the Triple Option offense. The Yellow Jackets have had varying success under first year head coach Geoff Collins. Am I calling for an outright upset of epic proportions? Of course not, I simply feel that Georgia will take its foot off the gas in the second half. Key Trends: - Georgia is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven after allowing 17 points or less in three straight games, including just 2-3 ATS this season. - GT is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 after playing a home game. The verdict: Look for the home side to open up the playbook and play until the final whistle sounds; as such, grab the points! |
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11-29-19 | Missouri -11.5 v. Arkansas | 24-14 | Loss | -110 | 74 h 8 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on Missouri. Missouri enters off a tough 24-20 home loss to Tennessee. The Tigers are under a one game bowl suspension anyways, so this has become their "bowl" game this year, with Arkansas limping in with a 2-9 record. Missouri has to be liking its chances though, as it's won five of the last six in this series and gone 4-2 ATS in those contests. I think Tigers' QB Kelly Bryant is going to have a big day vs. this porous Arkansas secondary. Arkansas was destroyed 56-20 by LSU last weekend and uncertainty at the QB position has been the issue all year (eight different players have thrown a pass for the team this season.) Key Trends: - Missouri is interestingly 3-1 ATS in its last four after a loss by six points or less. - Arkansas is a terrible 0-2 ATS as a home dog this year. The verdict: Look for the angry Tigers to take out their frustrations on lowly Arkansas; lay the points! |
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11-29-19 | Iowa v. Nebraska +6 | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 74 h 8 m | Show |
My 10* play is on Nebraska. Iowa's 8-3 and it would love another win here to bolster its bowl bid. Nebraska though is completely desperate for one more victory, as it enters at 5-6. Iowa comes in off back-to-back victories over Minnesota and Illinois. The Cornhuskers have a balanced attack led by QB Nate Stanley. The Cornhuskers have lost four of their last five, but they kept their slim bowl chances alive with a victory over Maryland last weekend. Nebraska QB Adrian Martinez has had an up and down year, but he'll have his opportunities today vs. an Iowa defense which concedes 191 passing yards per contest. Key Trends: - Iowa is just 6-7 ATS in its last 13 on the road. - The Hawkeyes are only 3-4 ATS in their last seven after a two-game home stand. - Nebraska is a perfect 2-0 ATS in its last two after scoring 50 points or more in its last game. The verdict: In a contest which I see coming down to whichever of these teams has its hands on the ball last, I'm going to grab the points! |
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11-29-19 | Toledo v. Central Michigan -9 | 7-49 | Win | 100 | 72 h 39 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on CMU. The Rockets are bowl eligible at 6-5. CMU is as well at 7-4. The Chips though can earn a much better bowl with an 8-4 record and I look for them to lay everything on the line in front of the home town crowd. The Rockets came out flat losing 49-30 to Buffalo last weekend, limited to jsut 154 rushing yards. CMU though comes in on top form having won five of its last six. The Chips come in off a hard-fought 45-44 win over Ball State last weekend, going into the break down 27-11. With a chance to move to 8-4, I think the home side carries over that second half momentum here. Key Trends: - The Chips are 5-0 ATS in their last five at home. - Toledo is just 1-5 ATS in its last six road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The verdict: CMU could have easily thrown in the towel last week, but clearly this is a team on a mission. Look for that to translate into another big win at home this weekend; lay the points! |
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11-29-19 | Texas Tech v. Texas -9.5 | 24-49 | Win | 100 | 72 h 38 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on Texas. Texas is eligible at 6-5, but a victory today would cement its bowl berth. The Red Raiders though are just 4-7 this season and a win won't matter for them at all today. Last year Texas won this game 41-34, but I believe the stage is set for a much bigger blowout victory this time around. Note that the Longhorns had a 17 point lead late in the fourth quarter in that one, before allowing Texas Tech to rally. Texas Tech lost 30-27 to K-State last Saturday and it enters this one with several injuries, including to RB Ta’Zhawn Henry (unknown) and WR Dalton Rigdon (concussion). Texas is also injured, but QB Sam Ehlinger, who has thrown for more than 200 yards in 11 straight games, is primed for a big day vs. this porous Red Raiders' secondary in my opinion. Key Trends: - Texas Tech is just 1-3 ATS in its last four off an upset loss as a favorite. - The Red Raiders are only 1-3 ATS in their last four off a close loss by six points or less. - Texas is 2-0 ATS in its last two after two or more consecutive SU setbacks. The verdict: I like Ehlinger to help the home side break its three game skid with a big win over their hated rival; lay the points! |
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11-28-19 | Ole Miss v. Mississippi State -2.5 | Top | 20-21 | Loss | -109 | 56 h 24 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS on Mississippi State. Mississippi State has one last chance to become bowl eligible. At 5-6 the Bulldogs still need one more victory to earn a chance at a Bowl berth. Well, what better opponent than 4-7 Mississippi, who has now officially been eliminated from contention? The only two victories for the Rebels in conference play this year have come against the two worst teams (Vanderbilt and Arkansas.) Ole Miss just gave up 58 points to LSU and it struggles to put points on the board most weeks. MSU has had a difficult campaign as well, but with senior Tommy Stevens back under center, I think the home side delivers the goods in the Egg Bowl. Key Trends: - Ole Miss concedes 298.7 YPG through the air. - Mississippi State is still 15-6 ATS in its last 21 at home. The verdict: Ole Miss ranks among the absolute worst vs. the pass and I think Stevens is going to take full advantage; lay the short points! |
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11-26-19 | Western Michigan -7 v. Northern Illinois | Top | 14-17 | Loss | -108 | 30 h 23 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on Western Michigan. Western Michigan is 7-4 and NIU is only 4-6. The Huskies need to sweep their remaining games to become eligible, but WMU is looking to better its bowl berth as well. I think the Mustangs deliver the knock out blow for the Huskies here though as they enjoy significant advantages both on the field of play and in the stats/trends. WMU needs to win this game have CMU lose this week to earn the MAC West title. WMU comes in out of its bye week as well, rested and focussed on the task at hand. The Huskies have lost two of their last three in blowout fashion, most recently a 45-17 home loss to EMU. Key Trends: - NIU is 0-4 ATS in its last four when playing on Tuesday. - WMU is 4-1 ATS in its last five as a favorite. The verdict: Expect the Mustangs' superior offense to be the difference in this one; lay the points with confidence! |
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11-23-19 | Nebraska -5 v. Maryland | Top | 54-7 | Win | 100 | 26 h 32 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER on Nebraska. Nebraska is 4-6 and it only has two games left to become eligible. At 3-7, Maryland is officially out of contention for a bowl berth now. Yes the Terps would love to play spoiler here, but I don't see it happening vs. the desperate Huskers, who I expect to risk life and limb today to pull off the victory. Nebraska has lost four straight, most recently falling to Wisconsin last tie out. Maryland has lost five straight after getting crushed by Ohio State last year. The Huskers looked decent in defeat last week, falling 37-21 to a strong Wisconsin side. QB Adrian Martinez is going to be a difference maker here in my opinion. He has 1,712 passing yards and an 8:7 TD:INT. But he also has nearly 500 rushing yards and another seven TD's on the ground. The Terps come out of their bye week with nothing to play for. In their 73-14 loss to Ohio State they only attempted 17 passes compared to 32 rushing attempts. Key Trends: - Nebraska is 7-3-1 ATS in its last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing record. - Maryland is a pathetic 3-11 ATS in its last 14 following its bye week. The verdict: As mentioned above, I believe that Huskers' QB Martinez has a big opportunity here and I expect the senior to make the most of it; lay the points! |
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11-20-19 | Akron +31.5 v. Miami-OH | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 34 h 20 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is Akron. Akron is 0-10 and playing out the tail end of a miserable season. But the Zips catch a complacent Miami Ohio team tonight that's won four straight, including a 44-3 win over Bowling Green last week to earn the Mac Eastern division title. Akron has terrible numbers, but I think the home side goes up early and then coasts the rest of the way as it looks to avoid any serious injuries. Key Trends: - Akron is 6-2 ATS in its last eight vs. teams with winning records. - Miami Ohio is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten as a home favorite. - The RedHawks are only 1-4 ATS in their last five after allowing 14 points or less in their last game. The verdict: This line is out of control. Yes the Zips are horrible, but the overall situation and this massive spread makes the visitors the correct call here in my opinion; grab the points! |
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11-19-19 | Ohio v. Bowling Green +18 | Top | 66-24 | Loss | -107 | 35 h 41 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on Bowling Green. At 4-6, Ohio needs to sweep its remaing games for a shot at Bowl eligibility. At 3-7, Bowling Green has already been eliminated. That won't stop the home side from trying to play spoiler here though. I think the Falcons do indeed use the thought of eliminating Ohio from contention as motivation today and I expect them to keep this one close until the final moments. Bowling Green comes in off a terrible 44-3 loss to Miami Ohio last week, a setback which put it out of Bowl contention. With nothing to lose though, I expect the home side to try and push the pace throughout. Ohio battled WMU and earned an OT period after it punched a last second TD in regulation. However, its hopes were then dashed in the 37-34 loss ultimately. It was the second straight loss by three points or less and I believe the mentally down-trodden Bobcats come out flat here. Key Trends: - Ohio ranks eight in the MAC allowing 432.6 YPG. - The Bobcats are a terrible 1-6 ATS in their last seven conference contests. The verdict: The Falcons are a bad team, but the overall situation highly favors them in this situatoinal spot bet in my opinion; grab the points! |
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11-16-19 | Air Force v. Colorado State +10.5 | 38-21 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 36 m | Show | |
My 9* BIG TIGER is on Colorado State. Air Force is 7-2 and looking to improve its bowl position, but Colorado State is just 4-5 and it's running out of time. The Rams though enter on top form, having won three straight and averaging 37.6 PPG in that span. Rams' QB Patrick O'Brien has five TD's and one INT in that span. Air Force had its game vs. New Mexico postponed last weekend because of an accidental death on NM the night before the game. Key Trends: - The Falcons average 34.4 PPG and they concede 20.9. - The Rams average 31.7 PPG and they allow 32.0. The verdict: However note that the Rams are 4-1 ATS in their last five following their bye week and 6-1 ATS in their last seven conference contests, while the Falcons are only 3-10 ATS in their last 13 vs. teams with losing records. I like the desperate home side to at the very least, keep this one competitive until the final moments; grab the points! |
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11-16-19 | Tulane -5.5 v. Temple | Top | 21-29 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 45 m | Show |
My 10* WAKE-AND-MAKE is on Tulane. Tulane broke its two game losing streak with a win last weekend to become bowl eligible and I like the Waves to carry that momentum over here. Tulane's ground game ranks in the top ten in the country, averaging 261.2 rushing yards per game. The Owls also broke a two-game slide to become eligible, but with a game vs. Cincinnati up next, I think the home side gets caught looking ahead here. Key Trends: - Tulane is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a road favorite of seven points or less. - The Green Wave is 3-1 ATS in its last four when playing with two or more weeks of rest. - Temple is only 3-4 ATS in its last seven after conceding 14 points or less in its last contest. The verdict: I like Tulane's ground game to slowly break down Temples defense; lay the points! |
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11-15-19 | Louisiana Tech v. Marshall -2.5 | Top | 10-31 | Win | 100 | 100 h 51 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on Marshall. All good things have to come to an end. Louisiana Tech is 8-1 and it's won eight games in a row. Facing a hungry 6-3 Marshall side that's looking to better its bowl positioning itself, I think the Bulldogs finally stumble on the road here. Overall Louisiana Tech averages 38.1 PPG. The Herd have won four in a row and they're 4-1 at home. Marshall only allows 371 yards of offense per game. Key Trends: - Note that Louisiana Tech is just 2-4 ATS in its last six after playing three straight conference games. - Marshall is 4-1 ATS in its last five after a cover as a double digit favorite. The verdict: I think the Bulldogs finally take a step back here in this difficult venue vs. this top notch defense; lay the short points! |
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11-14-19 | Buffalo -5.5 v. Kent State | Top | 27-30 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 9 m | Show |
My 10* BLOOD-BATH is on Buffalo. The Bulls go on the road as the favorite here looking for their sixth win of the year. Kent State needs to win out to become bowl eligible. Buffalo has won four of the last five in this series though and I expect the Bulls to continue that run of success today. The Bulls dominate defensively, allowing only 22.3 PPG overall and just 11.3 over the last three. Buffalo has also looked a lot better with QB Kyle Vantrease under center, as he's gone 3-1 with five TD's and a 61 percent completion rate since taking over for the injured Matt Myers. Kent State's been better at home than on the road this year and QB Dustin Crum, who leads the team in rushing, has only one INT. Key Trends: - Note though that Buffalo is 16-6 ATS in its last 22 vs. the conference, including 4-1 ATS this season. - The Bulls are 3-1 ATS in their last four as a road favorite in the 3.5 to 7 points range. - Kent State is only 6-7 ATS in its last 13 at home, including just 1-2 ATS this season. The verdict: I like the Bulls to dominate this one defensively and to punch their ticket to eligibility vs. this "on again, off again" Kent State side; lay the points! |
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11-13-19 | Bowling Green +18.5 v. Miami-OH | Top | 3-44 | Loss | -104 | 53 h 21 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is on Bowling Green. Miami Ohio is in need of just one more victory to become bowl eligible. But at 3-6, the Bowling Green Falcons are still three victories away. Outright victory here? Likely not! But Bowling Green's post-season aspirations are in the balance here and I think it'll have enough to keep this one competitive until the final moments. Bowling Green comes in off a momentum building 35-6 win over Akron in its last action as well. The Redhawks revolve around QB Brett Gabbert, who has three TD's and no INT's over his last three games. Note though that Miami's last three victories have come by seven, three and seven points respectively. Key Trends: - Bowling Green is interestingly 5-1 ATS in its last six after playing three consecutive conference contests. - Miami Ohio is a poor 3-7 ATS in its last ten as a home favorite. The verdict: The Falcons come in out of their bye week and with the extra time off to prepare, I look for them to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with the ample points they've been afforded tonight; play on Bowling Green! |
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11-12-19 | Eastern Michigan v. Akron +17 | Top | 42-14 | Loss | -105 | 33 h 54 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on Akron. EMU is 4-5 and desperate for some victories as it looks to run down a bowl berth. The Eagles are just 1-4 in conference play, while the Zips are 0-9 overall and 0-5 in league action. Note that Akron will not only be relishing the thought of playing spoiler here vs. the Eagles, but it's also out for revenge after dropping this game last year by a score of 27-7. The Zips have the second worst offense in the nation, but they actually have a decent defense, allowing only 390 YPG. Eastern allows 455 YPG. Key Trends: - EMU is a poor 6-9 ATS in its last 15 as a favorite (including only 1-3 ATS this season.) - Akron is 3-1 ATS in its last four after a two-game road trip. The verdict: Outright victory? I doubt it. But the conditions are definitely right for a much more competitive battle than what this spread would suggest in my opinion; grab the points! |
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11-09-19 | Maryland +44 v. Ohio State | Top | 14-73 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 27 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on Maryland. I think this spread is WAY too large. Ohio State doesn't need to run up the score on this one to win obviously. The 8-0 Buckeyes are rolling towards the finish line and the 3-6 Terrapins will be just another speed bump in their grand prix season. Maryland QB Josh Jackson is a gun-slinger though and I think he'll have his opportunities vs. this complacent home side. Maryland has been decent against the pass as well of late, most recently holding Michigan QB Shea Patterson to just 151 total yards. OSU QB Justin Fields could also be limited here after he went to the injury tent last time out late in the game. Key Trends: - The Buckeyes are interestingly just 5-6 ATS in their last 11 as a home favorite of 21.5 or more points. - Maryland is a decent 6-2 ATS in its last eight off a blowout loss of 21 or more points to a conference rival. The verdict: This spread is ridiculous. Look for Maryland to put up a fight until the final quarter; grab the points! |
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11-07-19 | Temple v. South Florida +2 | Top | 17-7 | Loss | -106 | 84 h 54 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on USF. Temple is hoping to snap a three-game losing streak here, but I think the 4-4 home side does just enough to secure the small upset on Thursday night. The Bulls enter off a big 45-20 win over ECU and I expect them to carry that momentum over here. Temple QB Anthony Russon now faces one of the nation's best pass defenses, as the Bulls are ranked 17th in that department. The road ahead doesn't get any easier for USF either, with games against heavyweights Cincinnati, Memphis and UCF to finish up the regular season. If not now for the Bulls, when? Key Trends: - Temple is interestingly just 1-4 ATS in its last five "Thusday" night games. - USF is 4-1 ATS in its last five after a win by 21 or more points. The verdict: These two teams are moving in opposite directions right now and I expect those trends to continue; play on the Bulls! |
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11-06-19 | Miami-OH v. Ohio -7 | Top | 24-21 | Loss | -105 | 32 h 37 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on Ohio. This is a big game. Both teams are 4-4, but 3-1 in MAC action. The winner of this one will take control of the conference. Last year Miami Ohio won this game 30-28, snapping a five game win streak in the series for the Bobcats. These teams are contrasting in styles, with the RedHawks getting the job done on the defensive side of the ball, and Ohio getting big offensive production (Bobcats have won two straight and scored 78 points in the process.) Miami QB Brett Gabbert has been decent this year, throwing for 1,360 pasisng yards, but with five TD's and five INT's. Note that Gabbert has also been sacked 16 times this year. Key Trends: - The Bobcats have 14 sacks this season. - Ohio QB Nathan Rourke has 1,743 passing yards with ten TD's and five INT's. The verdict: The RedHawks weakness on the defensive side is against the pass. Look for the home side to air this one out early and often and expect it to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover; lay the points! |
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11-02-19 | Marshall -10.5 v. Rice | Top | 20-7 | Win | 100 | 95 h 13 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE MONTH is on Marshall. Rice is 0-8, while Marshall is 5-3. The Herd are desperate for one more victory to become eligible and a date vs. the hapless Owls, who post only 15.9 PPG is just what the doctor ordered to get untracked. Marshall enters off a hard-fought 26-23 win over WKU and it is now in control of the West Division standings. Rice QB Wiley Green doesn't have much to work with and his numbers reflect that, as he's thrown for 161 yards or fewer in all seven of his appearances. The Herd though have the top rushing attack in the conference, led by Brenden Knox with 803 rushing yards and seven TD's. Key Trends: - Marshall is 10-6 ATS in its last 16 on the road (including 2-1 ATS this year.) - The Herd are 6-2 ATS in their last eight following a SU home victory (including 2-1 ATS this season.) The verdict: The Owls are down for the count. Marshall comes in off its biggest win of the year, but it has much bigger aspirations than just earning a bowl berth. I think the Herd lay the hammer down from start to finish and I look for them to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover; lay the points! |
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11-02-19 | NC State +7.5 v. Wake Forest | 10-44 | Loss | -105 | 46 h 60 m | Show | |
My 9* ATS BLOWOUT is on NC State. Wake Forest is 6-1 and I think it has enough of a letdown here after becoming eligible to let the hungry WolfPack sneak in through down the stretch. Will rest lead to rust? The Demon Deacons have had a week off after falling to Louisville, a setback which also saw starting QB Jamie Newman go down with injury. NC State is moving to Devin Leary as QB, who played well in defeat to BC a copule of weeks ago, throwing for 259 yards and three TD's. Wake Forest's defense is in question here, it has held its opposition to 24 points or fewer in five of its victories, but allowed a whopping 62 points to Louisville at home two weeks ago. Key Trends: - The Demon Deacons are 0-4 ATS in their last four following a bye week. - NC State is 3-1 ATS in its last four off a loss to a conference rival. The verdict: Three of Wake Forest's victories this season have come by six points or less. NC State is also coming out of its bye week, so I think it's defense will look a lot better after the hiccup vs. the Eagles. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points! |
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10-26-19 | Washington State v. Oregon -14 | Top | 35-37 | Loss | -109 | 105 h 55 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is on Oregon. 4-3 Washington State is going to get overwhelmed here today by 6-1 Oregon in my opinion. WSU posted a 41-10 win over Colorado last weekend, while the Ducks got over a major hurdle last week by taking out Washington. WSU QB Anthony Gordon leads a passing game which is No. 1 in the country with 440.7 YPG. Yes the defense held Colorado to 320 yards last week, but the week prior it conceded 532 to ASU. Ducks' QB Justin Herbert has 21 TD's and no INT's so far this season. Oregon's defense though is among the best in the country, allowing only 11.9 PPG. The Ducks have also forced 12 INT's this year. Key Trends: - Oregon is 4-1 ATS in its last five vs. the Conference. - The Cougars are interestingly just 1-4 ATS in their last five after posting 280 yards or more in their previous game. The verdict: For me, the WSU defense is the weak point for the visitors and I look for Herbert to light it up. Combined with the home side's improved defensive play this season, all signs do indeed point to a Ducks ATS rout; lay the points! |
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10-26-19 | Arizona -1 v. Stanford | 31-41 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 56 m | Show | |
My 8* SMASH-JOB is on Arizona. Stanford is 3-4 overall, while Arizona is 4-3. While these teams haven't played since 2016, Stanford has won five straight in the series. Arizona enters hungry after back-to-back conference losses to Washington and USC. QB Grant Gunnell had 196 yards, two TD's and an INT. Overall the Wildcats average 34 PPG, while allowing 33 PPG. The Cardinal beat Washington two weeks ago, but after their bye they came out flat in a 34-16 setbac to UCLA at home. Stanford is now devastated by the injury bug and it comes into this one on its third string QB in Jack West. So far Stanford averages 22 PPG and it concedes 27. Key Trends: - The Cardinal are just 1-4 ATS in their last five after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. - The Wildcats are 5-2 ATS in their last seven following a SU loss. The verdict: Yes Arizona can't stop anybody, but this week it clearly catches a big break facing the anemic offense of the Cardinal. This one has ATS blowout written all over it in my opinion, play on the Wildcats! |
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10-26-19 | Southern Miss v. Rice +11 | 20-6 | Loss | -110 | 95 h 26 m | Show | |
My 8* TOP DOG is on Rice. The Southern Miss Golden Eagles are coming off a loss and sit at 4-3. The Rice Owls won't be going to a bowl game at 0-7, but they will be playing with pride as they try to shake off a frustrating season with an upset this afternoon. Southern Miss fell 45-30 to LA Tech last time out. Golden Eagels' star RB De'Michael Harris was injured in the second quarter and he's questionable for this one as well. Southern Miss QB Jack Abraham threw four INT's last week as well. Rice comes in off a tough 31-27 loss to UTSA, with QB's Tom Stewart and Wiley Green combining for 223 yards and two TD's. Key Trends: - The Southern Miss passing defense is among the worst in the country, allowing 273 yards through the air. - Rice is already a strong 2-0 ATS at home this year. The verdict: I think the visitors get caught looking past their lowly opponent and the injury to RB Harris is also significant here. The Owls have been "on the cusp" for a few weeks now and while they may not prevail outright here, everything points to another battle until the end; grab the points! |
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10-26-19 | Liberty v. Rutgers +7.5 | 34-44 | Win | 100 | 94 h 27 m | Show | |
My 9* BIG TIGER is on Rutgers. Liberty is 5-2 and on the hunt for a bowl berth with one more victory, but 1-6 Rutgers is out to play spoiler for at least one more week. Liberty's competition has been suspect, last week it beat the Maine Black Bears 59-44. Flames' QB Joe Fagnano had five TD passes last week, but Liberty's defense was downright atrocious. Rutgers struggles offensively, but it catches a break here facing a banged up Liberty secondary. Key Trends: - Liberty is only 4-5 ATS in its last nine on the road. - The Flames are just 1-4 ATS in their last five after scoring 42 points or more in their last game. - Rutgers is 5-1 ATS in its last six off three straight losses to conference rivals. The veridct: The Scarlet Knights may not win this game outright, but I definitely am expecting an all out war until the end. Rutgers is desperate for any sort of positivity after six straight losses and they have a golden opportunity here to start the turn-around; that said, grab the points! |
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10-25-19 | USC -13 v. Colorado | Top | 35-31 | Loss | -106 | 82 h 36 m | Show |
My 10* BLOWOUT is on USC. Yes USC has major issues at the RB position, but I still think it's going to have its way with the porous Buffalo defense. The Trojans are tied with Utah for the lead after last week's commanding 41-14 victory at home over Arizona. USC back-up QB Kedon Slovis has looked better each time he's hit the field and he has to be feeling confident here after throwing for four TD's and no INT's over his last two games. The Buffs have managed just 13 points in each of their last two games, with QB Steven Montez averaging just 130 passing yards. Key Trends: - The Buffs are allowing almost five TD's per game to opponents. - Colorado allowed Washington State to convert on three plays of over 20 yards last week. The verdict: Last week USC's defense came up with seven sacks. This one has disaster written all over it for the home side in all three phases; I'm laying the points! |
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10-19-19 | Michigan +9.5 v. Penn State | Top | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 51 h 35 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on Michigan. Clearly it's a big game. I got down early and have a favorable line, but regardless, I think this one is going to come down to the wire. MIchigan is 5-1, and Penn State is 6-0. Last year the Wolverines won this game 42-7. Michigan beat Illinois 42-25 last week. Michigan got by Iowa and Penn State and its hands full with the Hawkeyes last week. The Wolverines average 30 PPG, while conceding just 17. Michigan QB Shea Patterson had three passsing TD's and one rushing in last weeks' victory. Penn State averages 42 PPG, while allowing only eight. But I think the Nittany Lions numbers are skewed, due to a couple of lop-sided blowouts in the early season. Key Trends: - Penn State is just 1-6 ATS in its last seven following an ATS victory. - Michigan is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 vs. teams with winning records. The verdict: I think this will be a tight, defensive affair. Grab the points! |
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10-19-19 | Duke +3 v. Virginia | 14-48 | Loss | -100 | 47 h 36 m | Show | |
My 8* ACC SUPER-CRUSHER is on Duke. This is a big game for both 4-2 ACC Coastal Division opponents. Clearly the oddsmakers also believe these teams are evenly matched. And in a contest which I do envision coming down to whichever of these hungry sides has its hands on the ball last, I'm going to recommend grabbing the points. Duke comes in off a win over Georgia Tech, while Virginia has taken a step back of late after a hot start, entering off back-to-back losses, including to Notre Dame and then most recently to Miami. The Blue Devils have a new QB this year in Quentin Harris and he's led an offense which has scored at least 30 points in every game so far (except vs. Alabama.) But Duke has been even better defensively, allowing just 3.67 YPC and only 6.7 yards per attempt in the air. Key Trends: - The quadruple revenge factor comes into play here for the Blue Devils. The verdict: The Cavaliers' defense has been a strong point for UVA this year, but QB Byrce Perkins has taken a step back of late. And I think that trend continues vs. the "under the radar" Duke defense. The outright is clearly possible, but in the end I'm grabbing the points! |