Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-17-20 | Wizards +10 v. Raptors | Top | 111-140 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 14 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH-OF-THE-TITANS is on the Washington Wizards. Toronto is going to be in the playoffs at the end of the year and depending on how healthy it is, it has a legitimate shot at once again advancing to the NBA Finals. At 13-27, the Wizards are already planning and looking ahead to next year. All of that said, I do indeed feel though that this one favors the hungry visiting side, as I look for Toronto to come out and flat and to get caught looking past its lowly opponent tonight. Toronto is in Minnesota tomorrow night, followed by a game in Atlanta, so the "look ahead" is also a concern for Raptors bettors tonight. Washington plays with revenge after a 122-118 loss to Toronto in the team's most recent action. And with two whole nights off before a home game vs. the Pistons, the Wizards' full focus is on trying to upset the defending champs here. Key Trends: - Washington is already 7-3 ATS this year (that's 70%) as a road dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range. - Toronto is already a disturbingly poor 0-4 ATS this season off an puset win as a road underdog. The verdict: Grab the points and expect a competitive battle until the final moments! |
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01-15-20 | Pistons +9.5 v. Celtics | Top | 116-103 | Win | 100 | 24 h 45 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the Detroit Pistons. On paper, the Celtics are the better team. They also have the home floor advantage. But Detroit is the "hungrier" team tonight and while I'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, I do think that the writing is on the wall and a "nail biter" is in the cards. Detroit enters off a tough OT loss to the Pelicans, while the C's come in off a double-digit win over the Bulls. Yes, Detroit is down to Andre Drummond and Derrick Rose for the most part, but it clearly will be hungry to get off the schneid. Also note that the Celtics are expected to rest offensive star Jason Tatum this evening. Key Trends: - Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last six after allowing 105 points or more in five straight games. - Boston is just 3-5 ATS in its last eight after two straight victories by ten points or more. The verdict: The clincher? I think it sets up as a "look ahead" spot as well, as Boston is in Milwaukee tomorrow night to take on the East leading Bucs. Grab the points and expect a battle until the final horn! |
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01-14-20 | Rockets v. Grizzlies +4.5 | Top | 110-121 | Win | 100 | 27 h 20 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the Memphis Grizzlies. Houston comes in off a win over Minnesota, but I think it'll have its hands full in this difficult road venue this evening. The Grizzlies won't be going down without a fight at home and they enter playing their absolute best ball of the season, having won six straight after a victory over the Warriors last time out. The Rockets are going to be without Russell Westbrook tonight though, as the super star guard will not play both games in a back-to-back situation, with Houston at home to Portland tomorrow night. That's then followed by the Lakers coming to town next weekend. This not only sets up as a letdown spot in my opinion for the Rockets, but it's also a look ahead spot. Letdown/look-ahead = trap. Ja Morant has posted double digits in scoring during the Grizzlies six-game run. Key Trends: - The Grizzlies are 5-0 ATS in their last five after allowing 100 points or more in their previous outing. - The Rockets are interestingly just 1-6 ATS in their last seven vs. home teams with a losing SU record. The verdict: For sure the outright victory is possible, but in the end I'm going to grab the points! |
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01-12-20 | Hornets v. Suns -8 | Top | 92-100 | Push | 0 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
My 10* ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE is on the Phoenix Suns. Charlotte has somehow already taken two of three from Phoenix in the season series this year. The Suns broke a two-game slide though with a win over Orlando last time out and I thikn they're going to pull away late here for a convincing victory as well. The Hornets on the other hand are coming off another terrible performance, falling 109-92 to the Jazz. Key Trends: - Charlotte is interestingly already 1-5 ATS this year when playing on a "Sunday." - The Hornets are just 9-10 ATS this year after playing a road game. - Phoenix is interestingly 3-0 ATS this season already after failing to cover the spread in three or more straight games. The verdict: The Suns are fully healthy and they're finally starting to play together as a team. This one has home side "blowout" written all over it; play on the Suns! |
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01-10-20 | Magic v. Suns -1.5 | Top | 94-98 | Win | 100 | 28 h 11 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE YEAR is on the Phoenix Suns. The Suns won four straight ATS, but they come into this one "desperate" after back-to-back losses. First it was a 121-114 setback to the Grizzlies, who were playing their second game of a back-to-back. Then it was a 114-103 loss at home to Sacramento. The Suns are ready to get back into the winners circle here with some very "winnable" games ahead of them. After tonight they have Charlotte at home, followed by the Hawks and Knicks on the road. Note as well that the Suns play with revenge here after falling 128-114 to the Magic back in early December. The Magic come in off back-to-back wins, beating Brooklyn 101-89 and Washington 123-89. Complacency is an issue for this Orlando team and maintaining consistency on the road from one game to the next has been a weak point as well. With upcoming games at Sacramento, the Lakers and the Clippers, Orlando could very well be caught "looking past" their lowly non-conference opponent tonight as well. Key Trends: - Orlando is a poor 3-7 ATS in its last ten off a home victory vs. a division rival (including 0-2 ATS this year.) - Phoenix has been "lights out" in a "revenge role" this year, going 17-6 ATS in that department (including 7-2 ATS in revenging a loss of ten points or more.) The verdict: Check out Orlando's five road victories this year: twice against the Cavs, twice against the Wiz and also vs. the Pelicans. I look for this revenge minded and amped up home side to lay the hammer down from start to finish; lay the points! |
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01-07-20 | Knicks v. Lakers -13.5 | Top | 87-117 | Win | 100 | 31 h 58 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE MONTH is on the LA Lakers. New York has surprised people of late and it most recently took the Clippers down to the wire in this very building, but eventually falling 135-132. The Lakers have continued to win, but they haven't been blowing teams out of the water or anything. But I think that the writing is on the wall and a major letdown for the Knicks is imminent here. The Lakers have won four straight, most recently a 106-99 win over Detroit in which they posted 20 blocks. Key Trends: - New York is interestinly just 6-12 ATS in its last 18 after a close loss by three points or less (including going 1-3 ATS this year.) - The Knicks are just 7-10 ATS this season after covering the spread in their last game. - The Lakers are 2-1 ATS this season as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points. The verdict: The Lakers have been a popular fade over the last month, but I think that trend ends quick fast in a hurry tonight. Lay the points, because I'm expecting a blowout! |
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01-05-20 | Blazers +6 v. Heat | Top | 111-122 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 46 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the Blazers. Portland lost by 20 in New York, but it bounced back finally in the Nation's capital with a convincing win over the Wizards last time out. The Blazers won't be lacking for motivation here and I feel they offer great value to sneak in under the radar here and (at the very least!) score the comfortable ATS cover. I think the combination of CJ McCollom, Damian Lillard and Carmelo Anthony keep the visiting side in this one late. The Heat come in off a terrible 105-85 home loss to Orlando as well on Friday. And with a couple nights off before three straight road games vs. Eastern Conference opponents, would anyone fault the home side in some small way looking past its lowly non-conference opponent tonight? Key Trends: - Portland is interestingly 16-6 ATS in its last 22 vs. the Southeast Division (including 3-0 ATS this season). - The Blazers are 3-1 ATS in their last four as a road dog of six points or less. - Miami is already a poor 1-4 ATS this season as a home favorite of six points or less. The verdict: I like the very hungry visiting side to take this one down to the wire; grab the points! |
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01-04-20 | Hornets +12.5 v. Mavs | Top | 123-120 | Win | 100 | 27 h 54 m | Show |
My 10* BEWARE OF DOG plays in on the Charlotte Hornets. The Hornets broke a five-game slide with a 109-106 outright win in Cleveland last time out and I think they offer great value to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch here as well. Dallas broke a two-game slide with a 123-111 win over the Nets in its last outing, but this is a spot in which they've struggled in for bettors in the past and I think those trends carry over here. Key Trends: - As note that Dallas is a poor 7-10 ATS at home this season. - Also note that the Mavs are a terrible 4-8 ATS this season after scoring 120 points or more in their previous outing. - Conversely note that the Hornets are a sharp 10-5 ATS in their last 15 on the road. The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, grab the ample points! |
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01-03-20 | Pelicans v. Lakers -11 | Top | 113-123 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 59 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the LA Lakers. Key Trends: Analysis posted shortly. |
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12-30-19 | Pistons +10 v. Jazz | Top | 81-104 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
My 10* U OF THE U is on the Detroit Pistons. These teams are moving in opposite directions. The Pistons have lost six of seven, while Utah has won seven of eight. Detroit won't be lacking for motivation here today though and I do indeed feel that this sets up as a trap/look-ahead spot for the now complacent home side. Utah enters off a 120-107 win over the Clippers as well, which further lends itself to this being a "letdown" spot for the Jazz in my opinion. Key Trends: - Detroit is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 after a blowout loss by 20 points or more (including 2-1 ATS this season.) - Utah is only 6-8 ATS at home this season. - The Jazz are just 2-4 ATS this year off a road victory. The verdict: I like the "hungrier" team to keep this one tight until the final moments; grab the points! |
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12-28-19 | Nets v. Rockets -9 | Top | 98-108 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
My 10* ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE is on the Houston Rockets. Both teams are coming off poor efforts. The Nets though are injured and have zero momentum and I think that trend of futility gets carried over here. Most recently Brooklyn fell 94-82 to the lowly Knicks. The lone bright spot was Spencer Dinwiddie, who had 25 point sin the setback. Overall Brooklyn averages and concedes 111 PPG. The Rockets won four in a row before an X-Mas Day upset at Golden State, falling 116-114. Russell Westbrook had 30 points in the setback: "We were up by 13 in the first half and for some reason we decided to start fouling them and putting them on the line and that cost us," coach Mike D'Antoni said. "Defensively we gave up 64 points in the first half and that's not good enough." Key Trends: - Houston is 9-1 ATS in its last ten when playing on two days rest. - The Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their last five following a SU loss of more than ten points. - Brooklyn is only 1-4 ATS in its last five vs. teams with a winning percentage above .600. The verdict: The Rockets were embarrassed on National TV in front of the whole world just a couple of days ago and now they get a chance to annihilate this injured Nets team. Expect a blowout! |
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12-27-19 | Bucks -11 v. Hawks | Top | 112-86 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
My 10* BLOWOUT BEST OF THE BEST is on the Milwaukee Bucks. After getting embarrassed on X-Mas Day in Philadelphia, I look for the Bucks to bounce back here and to take out their frustrations on the lowly Hawks. Whether Giannis Antetokounmpo plays or not tonight, I like Chris Middleton and the Bucks to deliver the goods here. Milwaukee has incredible depth and it's defense is going to be able to slow down this weak Hawks' attack. ATL most recently lost in Cleveland and it enters the post-X-Mas break with zero momentum. Overall the Hawks concede 118.6 PPG, the worst in the NBA. Key Trends: - Milwaukee is 30-11 ATS in its last 41 off an upset loss as a favorite (including 3-1 ATS this season.) - ATL is just 3-5 ATS this year revenging a same season loss vs. an opponent. The verdict: This one has all the makings of an epic blowout; lay the points! |
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12-26-19 | Wizards v. Pistons -6 | Top | 102-132 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
My 10* REVENGE U OF THE U is on the Detroit Pistons. They say "revenge is a dish best served cold." Washington has already taken the first two meetings between these teams and it enters off a rare road win over the Knicks in its last game. Can anyone say "letdown" spot? Detroit on the other hand enters off another terrible peformance, this time falling at home to the 76ers. The Pistons are desperate for a victory and they play with the "double revenge" factor. I think the revenge angle works here tonight. Key Trends: - Washington is an unbelievably bad 10-21 ATS in its last 31 when playing with two days rest. - Detroit is 3-1 ATS in its last four after a blowout loss by 15 points or more. The verdict: The stage is set for a massive lop-sided blowout for the home side here; lay the points! |
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12-25-19 | Pelicans +9.5 v. Nuggets | 112-100 | Win | 100 | 15 h 55 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the Pelicans. The Pelicans come in under the radar today. Yes it's Christmas Day, but I believe that works in favor of the visitors, who won't be around familiar faces to distract them earlier in the day. New Orleans enters off an impressive 102-94 road win at Portland as well and I believe it carries that momentum over. After seven straight victories, I believe the Nuggets do indeed get caught flat-footed here. To sum it up, this one has "trap" written all over it for the home side in my opinion. Key Trends: - New Orleans is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after holding its previous opponent to 95 points or less. - Denver is only 3-4 ATS as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range already this season. The verdict: I think the Pels hang on X-Mas day; grab the points! |
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12-25-19 | Clippers v. Lakers -2 | 111-106 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the LA Lakers. This is a revenge game for the Lakers after they fell to the Clippers in these team's respective season openers. Clearly it wouldn't be too hard to write a convincing argument for either side, but the Lakers have come a long way since that first game and with the entire team expected to be given a clean bill of health, I believe the "revenge factor" works tonight. Key Trends: - The Clippers are 0-3 ATS already this year after scoring 110 points or more in four straight games. - The Lakers are 3-1 ATS as an underdog this season. - The Lakers are 9-4 ATS in revengin a loss vs. an opponent (including 6-1 ATS in revenging a loss vs. an opponent as the favorite.) The verdict: I like The King to get the better of The Claw tonight; play on the Lakers! |
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12-25-19 | Rockets -11 v. Warriors | 104-116 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the Rockets The Warriors are coming off two straight victories. Golden State's success these days revolves around the play of D'Angelo Russell and while he's playing admirably, I think he'll be completely short-handed here to handle the red hot Rockets, who have won four straight. The Rockets have plenty of fire-power with James Harden and Russell Westbrook, but the issue has been making the two "gel" and have a working chemistry. That does seem to be finally happening now, which is scary for the rest of the league. With a chance to put on a show for the World, I look for these two polarizing players to take over this contest. Key Trends: - Houston is 4-1 ATS already this season after four or more SU victories. - GS is only 6-8 ATS at home this year. - The Warriors are a poor 40-61 ATS in their last 101 after covering the spread in their previous game (including just 4-9 ATS this season.) The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, lay the points! |
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12-25-19 | Bucks v. 76ers +3.5 | 109-121 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the 76ers. Milwaukee comes in off a 117-89 home win over Indiana, while Philadelphia crushed Detroit 125-109 on the road on Monday. This is the first matchup of the year between these Eastern Conference heavyweights and while the Bucks did take two of the three meetings last season, I think that the home court advantage on X-Mas Day can't be ruled out as a major deciding factor once it's all said and done. Key Trends: - Milwaukee is already a poor 1-3 ATS this year as a road favorite of six points or less. - The Bucks are also interestingly only 1-3 ATS this year after three straight covers as the favorite. - Philadelphia is 6-1 ATS in its last seven as a home dog. The verdict: It wouldn't be hard to write a convincing argument for either side, but after losing two of three last year, I think the 76ers offer great value to steal this one at home on X-Mas day; play on Philly! |
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12-25-19 | Celtics -3.5 v. Raptors | 118-102 | Win | 100 | 5 h 36 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the Boston Celtics. I like Boston to find a way to get the job done here. The C's come in focussed after their 119-93 destruction of the Hornets on Sunday, while the Raptors enter off a tough 120-115 OT loss on the road in Indiana. Boston already beat the Raptors 112-106 at home earlier in the year and I expect a similar result here as well. Overall the C's are averaging 111.2 PPG and conceding 103.2. THe Raptors are averaging 112.1 PPG and conceding 106.4. The Raptors though are playing with injuries to key players, including Paskall Siakam and Marc Gasol. Key Trends: - Boston is 7-1 ATS in its last eight as a favorite. - Toronto is just 1-4 ATS in its last five vs. a team with a win percentage above .600. The verdict: The Celtics have had a couple days off to prepare for this game and I look for the surging visiting side to deliver the goods on the national stage; lay the points! |
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12-23-19 | Pelicans v. Blazers -6 | Top | 102-94 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 36 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the Portland Trail Blazers. Portland is quietly dominating right now and I think it'll keep the foot on the gas for at least one more game. The Blazers enter having won four in a row and five of their last six. Damian Lillard has scored 27 or more in his team's five straight victories, while big man Hassan Whitesite has double double efforts in ten straight games. The Pelicans are coming off a loss to Golden State on Friday and with an X-Mas day matchup which was supposed to showcase their dynamic rookie up next, I believe they suffer a predictable letdown here as well. Key Trends: - Portland is 4-1 ATS in its last five vs. teams with a win percentage bleow .400. - New Orleans is a poor 1-5-1 ATS in its last seven as a road underdog. The verdict: The Blazers last six victories have come by at least seven points or more; expect that strong trend to continue tonight vs. the hapless Pels! |
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12-21-19 | Bucks v. Knicks +12.5 | Top | 123-102 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 20 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the New York Knicks. The Knicks fell 129-114 in Miami, but I think the offer great value here to push the Bucks to the limit here. Milwaukee enters off a highly satisfying win at home over LeBron James and the Lakers and with a game the following night at home vs. Indiana, before their X-Mas day game at Philadelphia, would anyone fault the Bucks for having a letdown/look-ahead?! Key Trends: - Milwaukee is only 4-7 ATS this year after a non-conference game. - New York is 7-2 ATS already this season in revenging a blowout loss vs. an opponent of 20 points or more. The verdict: It's a "trap game" for the Bucks in my opinion and I like the hungry home side to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with the sizeable spread that it's been afforded tonight; grab the points! |
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12-20-19 | Mavs v. 76ers -8 | Top | 117-98 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 21 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the 76ers. I base my picks on many different things. This one has to do primarily with common sense. Dallas won its first game over the Bucks without star player Luka Doncic in the line-up, but the team has predictably struggled since. I believe that trend continues here in this difficult non-conference venue. The Mavs are fresh off a 109-103 loss at home to Boston. And the 76ers come in focussed, as after a five-game win streak, they enter having lost two straight. Key Trends: - Philadelphia is 4-1-1 ATS in its last six home games vs. a team with a winning road record. - Dallas is interestingly just 5-7 ATS in non-conference games this year. The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, lay the points! |
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12-19-19 | Rockets v. Clippers -5 | Top | 122-117 | Loss | -101 | 27 h 16 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH-OF-THE-TITANS is on the LA Clippers. The Rockets got out to an 11-3 start, but they've since fallen off, going just 1-5 ATS in their last six. Russell Westbrook is struggling to find chemistry with James Harden as he's averaging only 22.8 percent shooting. Also note that the visitors come to town with significant injuries to key players (Eric Gordon and Gerald Green.) Houston's defense has been atrocious this year and I think that the home side is going to go for the jugular tonight. The Clippers are 21-8 and they play with revenge here after falling to the Rockets in Houston earlier in the year. Paul George didn't play in that one and LA has had to deal with several injuries to open the season. But all key players are back and available to go in this contest. Key Trends: - LA is 4-0 ATS in its last four at home. - Houston is a poor 1-4 ATS in its last five following a SU win. The verdict: Chemistry issues, poor defense and injuries come back to haunt the Rockets tonight; lay the points! |
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12-17-19 | Kings v. Hornets +4.5 | Top | 102-110 | Win | 100 | 26 h 3 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the Charlotte Hornets. The Kings have been playing better, winning for of their last five. They beat the Warriors in Golden State last time out, but I think they'll have a difficult time maintaining that momentum vs. this hungry home side. The Hornets do allow 111.1 PPG, but the Kings are only averaging 104.8 per contest. Charlotte's three-game win streak came to an end last time out vs. the Pacers. The Kings allow 106.9 PPG and the Hornets average 104.5. Key Trends: - Sacramento is 2-5 ATS in its last seven after allowing 90 points or less. - The Kings are only 6-7 ATS this year vs. clubs with losing records. - Charlotte is already 4-1 ATS this year after playing three straight road games. The verdict: With two whole nights off before back-to-back games at Indiana and Memphis to end this trip, I believe the visiting side gets caught "looking ahead" as well. Grab the points! |
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12-16-19 | Spurs +10.5 v. Rockets | Top | 107-109 | Win | 100 | 26 h 60 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH-OF-THE-TITANS is on the Spurs. The Spurs have struggled with defensive consistency this season. SA comes in off an OT win over the Suns and I think it takes a run at the Rockets here on the road as well. Houston comes in off a 115-107 loss to Detroit. Key Trends: - San Antonio is interestingly 7-4 ATS in its last 11 road games following an OT ATS victory. - Houston is only 10-12 ATS in its last 22 off a home loss (including only 1-2 ATS this season.) The verdict: I think San Antonio's depth and resolve keeps it in this game late; grab the points! |
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12-15-19 | 76ers -4.5 v. Nets | Top | 89-109 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the Philadelphia 76ers. I almost never "flip flop" on a team, where I play on them one night, and then against them the next. There are some cases though where I throw that factor out the window and in this case, I believe it's absolutely warranted. The Nets came up short in Toronto last night and I believe they'll have their hands full with a 76ers team that beat the Celtics at home, handing them their first loss there and then continued to push with a convincing home victory over the Pelicans. Tobias Harris is averaging 24.4 PPG in December, while Joel Embiid had 38 points in the victory at Boston. Key Trends: - Brooklyn is a terrible 5-12 ATS in its last 17 when playing the second game of a back to back. - Philly is 8-4 ATS vs. clubs with winning records this season. - The 76ers are 7-3 ATS in their last ten off a home victory. The verdict: The 76ers got the monkey off their back in a big way in dispelling the myth that they can't win on the road and I believe this early December momentum (4-1 ATS so far this month) continues; lay the points! |
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12-14-19 | Nets +7.5 v. Raptors | Top | 102-110 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 58 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the Brooklyn Nets. Brooklyn's won eight of its last 11 games, seemingly playing a lot better without Kyrie Irving in the line-up. However after winning three in a row, the Nets come to Canada off a loss at home to Charlotte. A date vs. the suddenly floundering Raptors is just what the doctor ordered to get untracked as well, as the defending champs have lost four of their last five. Spencer Dinwiddie led the Nets with 24 points, game-high six assists, and five rebounds in a losing cause vs. the Hornets last time out. The Raptors have only allowed 105.5 PPG, but the Nets are averaging 112.4 PPG this season. Key Trends: - Brooklyn is 7-1 ATS in its last eight after a SU loss. - Toronto is a terrible 0-5 ATS this season when playing with two days rest. The verdict: Teams are throing everything they have at the defending champs, who continue to slide back into mediocrity. Outright upset? Possible, but in the end I'll recommend to grab the points! |
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12-13-19 | Lakers v. Heat +5.5 | Top | 113-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the Miami Heat. The Lakers have won three straight vs. Miami, including a victory at home by 15 points as 8 point favorites earlier this season. Miami has also lost two in a row at home to LA. Enough is enough and revenge is definitely a dish best served cold. Clearly it wouldn't be difficult to write a convincing argument for The King and AD to win this contest, as the Lakers rank among the best on both ends of the court. But Miami is 11-0 SU on its home floor, including 9-2 ATS. A visit from LBJ will have everyone on high alert here. I think the Heat's depth and their home floor advantage will at the very least, keep them in this one until the final moments. Key Trends: - LA is still just 14-20 ATS in its last 34 as a road favorite. - Miami is 25-15 ATS in its last 40 after allowing 115 points or more in its previous contest (including 2-0 ATS this season.) The verdict: This is going to be a battle until the final horn; grab the points! |
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12-12-19 | 76ers +1.5 v. Celtics | Top | 115-109 | Win | 100 | 28 h 55 m | Show |
My 10* U of the U is on the Philadelphia 76ers. The Celtics are 10-0 at home, but I think that run of success finally gets derailed here by division leading Philadelphia. The Celtics played (and lost) in Indiana just last night and while they also suffered a loss in Philly earlier in the year, I think that Kemba Walker and the home side come in "gassed." The C's are also likely to be without Gordon Hayward in the line-up after he was injured last night. Philadelphia on the other hand has admittedly been much better at home than on the road this year, but what better opportunity than right now to turn that around? Off a 97-92 win at home over the Nuggets, I think Philadelphia is going to find a way here. Key Trends: - Philly is 21-10 ATS in its last 31 as a road dog of six points or less (including 3-2 ATS this year.) - The C's are only already just 3-5 ATS this year after covering in threee of their last four ATS. The verdict: An injured Hayward. A tired Kemba Walker. A 76ers tam that's desperate to shake its label of unable to perform on the road. If not now, when for Philly? Grab the points! |
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12-11-19 | Pelicans +13.5 v. Bucks | Top | 112-127 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 55 m | Show |
My 10* BEWARE OF DOG play is on the New Orleans Pelicans. New Orleans has talent and potential, but so far that hasn't translated into too much for the team. Milwaukee continues to roll along, but I think the home side will get caught looking past their lowly opponent today. Yes the Bucks are 11-1 SU at home this season, but note that they're just 12-12 ATS overall this year. Milwaukee comes in off a 110-101 win over Orlando. The Pelicans came into the season injured, with rookie phenom Zion Williamson shelved because of a knee injury. The impact of his loss is still felt, as role players are being asked to do something they weren't originally expected to. New Orleans enters on a nine-game losing streak and it's led by Brandon Ingram, with 24.9 PPG. The Pelicans are coming off a heart-breaking 105-103 loss at home to the Pistons. Key Trends: - New Orleans is 27-15 ATS in its last 32 following a SU home loss. - Milwaukee is only 11-12 ATS as a favorite. - The Bucks are just 12-15 ATS in their last 27 after two or more consecutive home wins (including only 1-3 ATS this season.) The verdict: On paper and on the floor the Bucks are the better team. But a nine game losing streak is a big motivating factor and playing the team's best will only bring out the best in this underdog side in my opinion. No outright, but closer than expected; grab all these points! |
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12-10-19 | Nuggets +4.5 v. 76ers | Top | 92-97 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 16 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the Denver Nuggets. Denver won this game at home 100-97. I think the Nuggets matchup well vs. the 76ers overall and I expect another contest which comes right down to the wire. The revenge factor gets thrown out the window here in my opinion, as Denver simply won't be taking anything for granted after a two-game skid. Philly's a bit satisfied as well at 17-7 and on a two-game win streak. But not only does it set up as a "letdown" spot in my opinion, but how could it also not be viewed as a "look-ahead" spot as well, with a game vs. the Celtics in Boston up next, the team with a .5 game lead in the Atlantic Division. A "letdown/look-ahead" = trap in my books. Key Trends: - Denver is 17-8 ATS in its last 25 after two or more SU losses. - Philadelphia is already only 1-3 ATS this year after scoring 110 points or more in two straight games. The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, grab the points! |
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12-06-19 | Lakers v. Blazers +3.5 | Top | 136-113 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 32 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE MONTH is on the Blazers. LA lost at home to the Mavericks, but it comes in off back-to-back road victories. I think The King and company come up short here though vs. a suddenly red hot Blazers team which has won four of five, behind some great play from Carmelo Anthony. Key Trends: - The Lakers are a poor 12-20 ATS in their last 32 as a road favorite (including 3-5 ATS this season.) - Portland is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 as a home dog. The verdict: I like Portland's depth at home to be the difference. Outright? Very possible, but in the end let's grab the points! |
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12-05-19 | 76ers v. Wizards +7 | Top | 113-119 | Win | 100 | 24 h 22 m | Show |
My 10* ANNIHILATOR is on the Washington Wizards. Key Trends: Analysis posted shortly. |
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12-04-19 | Kings +3 v. Blazers | Top | 116-127 | Loss | -104 | 30 h 32 m | Show |
My 10* U OF THE U is on the Sacramento Kings. Key Trends: Analysis posted shortly. |
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12-03-19 | Magic v. Wizards -1 | Top | 127-120 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 38 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the Washington Wizards. The Magic are 8-11 this year and the Wizards are 6-12. I don't think that the home court advantage can be overlooked as a deciding factor in this particular contest though. Orlando comes in off a rare/tough win at home over the rudder-less Warriors. Washington ended its road trip with a blowout loss to the Clippers. The Wizards though have been much better at home this season, led by guard Bradley Beal, who is averaging 28.0 points and 7.3 assists per game. Orlando has been better at home as well. Big man Nikola Vucevic is still slowly working his way back from a severe sprained ankle as well. Key Trends: - Orlando is just 16-21 ATS in its last 36 as a road dog of six points or less (including only 1-4 ATS this year.) - The Wizards are 4-2 ATS in their last six at home. - Washington is a perfect 2-0 ATS vs. the division this season. The verdict: The high-scoring and defensively inept home side catches a break here facing this "on again, off again" Magic offense; lay the short points! |
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11-29-19 | Mavs v. Suns +2 | Top | 120-113 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
My 10* BEWARE OF DOG is on the Phoenix Suns. The Suns come in off a 140-132 loss to the Wizards and they're just 1-5 in their last six. Clearly the home side is going to be ultra motivated here to break the slide. Keep your eyes on Devin Booker, who leads the way for Phoenix with 24.9 PPG. Dallas looks better on paper, but after winning five straight, the Mavs' lack of depth was exposed as well recently in a humbling 114-99 setback to the Clippers. I believe another letdown is imminent here vs. this desperate home side. Key Trends: - The Mavs are interestingly already 0-3 ATS this year when playing with two days of rest. - Phoenix is 4-1 ATS this season following a SU home loss. The verdict: While the outright win is obviously not out of the question, let's grab the points! |
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11-27-19 | Wolves v. Spurs -2 | Top | 113-101 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 2 m | Show |
My 10* play is on the Spurs. The Wolves beat the Hawks last time out, while the Spurs fell to the Lakers. Minnesota broke the two-game slide with the 125-113 victory over ATL, but it was behind 65-64 at half time. The Spurs though are desperate for a win, as they've now lost nine of ten. Long story short here, I'm not going to over-react. The Spurs are loaded with vetrean talent and I expect this core to rally at home here today. The Wolves have not been playing great ball of late and I think they'll predictably stumble here. Key Trends: - Minnesota is just 4-6 ATS in its last ten vs. clubs which score more than 106 plus points per contest. - San Antonio is 20-8 ATS in its last 28 in revenging a road loss vs. an opponent of ten points or more. The verdict: Enough is enough! Look for Popovich and company to get the job done with a decisive effort; lay the short points! |
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11-27-19 | Kings +9.5 v. 76ers | 91-97 | Win | 100 | 25 h 32 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the Sacramento Kings. This is the Kings third game in their last four days, the final of their four-game swing. Sacramento will be fired up here to finish up strong in my opinion and take down a vulnerable looking 76ers side which comes in off a humbling defeat in Canada. Most recently Sacramento fell 103-102 to Boston on Monday. Buddy Hield had 11 3-pointer in the setback. 76ers star Joel Embiid was held scoreless in his team's loss in Toronto. Key Trends: - Sacramento averages 105.3 PPG. - Philadelphia averages 109 PPG. The verdict: Sacramento is also 7-0 ATS in its last seven vs. non-conference opponents, while Philly is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven vs. teams with losing records. Sacramento is playing a lot better of late and it has five players averaging in double figures. This one has "battle" written all over it, grab the points! |
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11-26-19 | Clippers -2 v. Mavs | Top | 114-99 | Win | 100 | 26 h 54 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the LA Clippers. Both teams have won five in a row. Dallas has been riding the hot play Luka Doncic, while the Clippers have been getting the job done by committee. I believe Dallas is going to suffer a letdown here from the vastly "deeper" visiting side. Overall the Clippers average 114.2 PPG, while Dallas allows 109.9, while the Mavericks average 119.1, with the LA conceding 107.3. Key Trends: - LA is 20-8 ATS in its last 28 as a road favorite. - Dallas is only 4-5 ATS at home this season. The verdict: Doncic is unreal, but I think his supporting cast is in for a rude awakening here vs. LA's bench and tough defensive play; lay the short points and expect a decisive victory! |
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11-25-19 | 76ers +1 v. Raptors | Top | 96-101 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 34 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the Philadelphia 76ers. So far Toronto has surprised me at how well its played this year without Kawhi Leonard. Philadelphia though would have had this game circled on the calendar for a long time though and I think the visitors depth and skill will prove to be just too much for Toronto to overcome here. Both teams sport similar win/loss records and offensive and defensive numbers. But after losing two of three in the regular season last year and also getting ousted in seven games in the Eastern Conference Finals, I look for the revenge minded 76ers to finally get off the schneid in this series. Key Trends: - Philly is 5-1 ATS in its last six vs. teams with winning records. - Toronto is a poor 31-37 ATS in its last 68 after scoring 110 points or more in three straight games. The verdict: "Revenge" is a dish best served cold; play on Philadelphia! |
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11-23-19 | Heat +4 v. 76ers | Top | 86-113 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 21 m | Show |
My 10* U OF THE U is on Miami. Miami jumped out to an early lead in Chicago last night and then never looked back. In fact, the Heat took the foot off the gas in the second half after amassing such a huge lead, eventually pulling away for the 116-108 vicotry. The 76ers had a bit more of a back and forth battle with the Spurs, but they eventually won and covered with a 115-104 victory. The Heat are now 11-3, but they've had a light schedule so far. But with a chance to finally test itself, I believe the Heat push the pace and take this one down to the wire. Key Trends: - Miami is 52-37 ATS in its last 89 as an underdog. - The Heat are 22-15 ATS in their last 37 off a road victory. - The 76ers are a terrible 10-18 ATS in their last 28 when playing the second game of a back-to-back. The verdict: All signs point to this one being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, so in case I like that, let's grab the points! |
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11-22-19 | Rockets +5 v. Clippers | Top | 119-122 | Win | 100 | 29 h 56 m | Show |
My 10* play on the Houston Rockets. The Rockets beat the Clippers at home already this year. Houston comes in focussed after a loss in Denver. Russell Westbrook had 25 points in the setback. The Clippers are back to full strength now with Paul George back in the line-up, but I don't think they'll have an easy time of it here vs. James Harden and this taletned Rockets team. Key Trends: - Houston is 8-2 ATS in its last ten vs. good offensive teams which average 106 plus points per contest. - LA is just 4-5 ATS this year vs. teams which average over 106 points per contest. The verdict: In a contest which I envision coming down to whichever of these two teams has its hands on the ball last, I'll recommend grabbing as many points as you can! |
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11-22-19 | Hornets v. Wizards -5.5 | 118-125 | Win | 100 | 25 h 26 m | Show | |
My 8* play on the Washington Wizards. This is the Hornets fourth straight on the road and they come in having lost two in a row, most recently at Brooklyn. Washington will look to take advantage and I think it comes in under the radar here after winning two of three. Charlotte's offense looked particualry horrible last time out, scoring just 40 points in the second half vs. Brooklyn. Washington on the other hand exploded for 75 points in the second half of its most recent victory over San Antonio. Key Trends: - Washington has the best offense in the NBA, averaging 119.7 PPG. - Charlotte is just 1-5 ATS in its last six vs. teams which average over 106 PPG. The verdict: Washington is just as hungry and desperate as Charlotte is here for a victory and I think it's playing much better on both sides of the ball that its opponent today; lay the points! |
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11-20-19 | Warriors v. Mavs -13.5 | Top | 94-142 | Win | 100 | 28 h 34 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH-OF-THE-TITANS is on the Dallas Mavericks. The Warriors come in off a rare straight up win, beating Memphis 114-95 last night. Dallas will look to take advantage here and build off its two game win streak. I wish I had the Warriors last night, but I did not see that one coming at all. But Golden State is now definitely tired as it comes to town in the second game of the back to back scenario. The Mavericks on the other hand have bounced back nicely from a scuffling stretch and I think they'll lay the hammer down from start to finish here. Key Trends: - The Warriors are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight vs. teams which average over 106 plus points per contest. - The Mavericks are interestingly 5-1 ATS in their last six after playing a game at home. The verdict: Expect Luca Doncic and Kristaps Porzingis to lead the charge and for the home side to hold on to a big lead until the finish; lay the points! |
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11-18-19 | Blazers +6.5 v. Rockets | Top | 108-132 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the Blazers. Portland's lost three of its last five, but it comes in off a convincing full four quarter effort vs. the Spurs and I look for that momentum to get carried over here. Note that the Rockets will not have star Russell Westbrook in the line-up tonight. Overall the Blazers average 112.8 PPG. The Rockets continue to get unreal play from James Harden, but Houston gets rather thin after that. Key Trends: - Portland is already 3-0 ATS this year as a road underdog. - The Blazers are 62-47 ATS in their last 109 after one or more SU victories. - The Rockets are already 0-2 ATS this season as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. The verdict: I think the "hungrier" team finds a way to get the job done here; grab the points! |
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11-17-19 | Nuggets -6.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 131-114 | Win | 100 | 25 h 44 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGERS is on the Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets come in off a win over the Nets at home and I think they'll get the better of the home side in this one. Memphis has won three straight, but it doesn't match up well at all here vs. Denver. Nuggets' center Nikola Jokic is averaging 17.1 points, 9.1 boards and 5.8 assists per game this season. Ja Morant has been great for Memphis during this win streak, but I believe the rookie will have his hands full with Denver's Jamal Murray. Key Trends: - The Nuggets are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five vs. teams with a losing straight up record. - Memphis is still only 1-4 ATS in its last five vs. teams with winning records. The verdict: I think Memphis comes back down to Earth here after its big upset win; lay the points! |
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11-16-19 | Hawks +13 v. Clippers | Top | 101-150 | Loss | -115 | 28 h 5 m | Show |
My 10* ULTIMATE OF THE ULTIMATE is on the Atlanta Hawks. Paul George is out for this one for the Clippers, so the Kawhi Leonard/George first game together is going to have to wait a little longer. The Clippers are only 7-5 and the Hawks are just 4-7. The Hawks are short-handed, but they still have Trae Young and I look for desperate Atlanta to try and take advantage of a Clippers team which also enters without key pieces. Key Trends: - Atlanta is 50-30 ATS in its last 80 after allowing 105 points or more in three straight games. - LA is just 7-13 ATS in its last 20 off an upset loss as a favorite. The verdict: I expect a hard-fought game which gets decided in the closing moments. As such, grab as many points as you can! |
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11-14-19 | Bulls +12 v. Bucks | Top | 115-124 | Win | 100 | 27 h 35 m | Show |
My 10* TOP DOG is on the Chicago Bulls. I like the hungry Bulls to put up a fight and to take this one down to the final moments. The Bulls are actually playing their best ball of the year so far, having won two of their last three, including a 113-93 road victory over the Hawks in their most recent. I think this is a "trap" for the Bucks, who return home for their first game after a four-game trip, most recently barely holding on for the 121-119 victory over the lowly Grizzlies. Key Trends: - Chicago is 6-1 ATS in its last seven after a home win by ten points or more (just hammered the Knicks.) - Milwaukee is interestingly only 6-11 ATS in its last 17 after three consecutive non-conference contests. The verdict: Chicago is dealing with a couple injury issues, but the Bucks get caught looking past their lowly opponent. Grab the points and expect a competitive affair! |
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11-13-19 | Raptors v. Blazers -3 | 114-106 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 22 m | Show | |
My 9* BEATDOWN is on the Portland Trail Blazers. The Blazers got caught "looking ahead" to this game last night in Sacramento, falling 105-94 to the surging Kings. But I think that Damian Lillard and company will rebound here and take advantage of a depleted Raptors side. After beating the Lakers, the Raptors wound up losing 98-88 to Kawhi Leonard and the Clippers. Both Serge Ibaka and Kyle Lowry were out with injury and each is questionable here as well. Key Trends: - Toronto is just 1-4 ATS in its last five after scoring 90 points or less in its previous game. - The Blazers are 21-10 ATS in their last 31 after allowing 105 points or more in three straight games. The verdict: I think the desperate home side lays everything on the line and I believe that effort will be more than enough to cover the handful of points tonight; play on Portland! |
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11-13-19 | Spurs +1.5 v. Wolves | Top | 114-129 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 23 m | Show |
My 10* TOP DOG is on the Spurs. The Wolves barely held on for a 120-114 win over the Pistons on Monday and I think they're going to have their hands full here vs. this Spurs team which has dropped two in a row. In fact note that San Antonio has lost four of its last five. San Antonio has looked shaky of late, but I think the visitors match up well today vs. Minnesota and I like DeMar DeRozan and LaMarcus Aldridge to bounce back tonight. Anthony Wiggins and Karl Anthony Townes have been bright spots for the Wolves, but Minnesota gets pretty thin after them. Key Trends: - The Spurs are 21-12 ATS in their last 33 after two or more consecutive SU losses. - The Wolves are only 3-7 ATS in their last ten off an upset win as a road underdog. The verdict: I expect San Antonio to finally "show up" tonight in this very winnable game; grab the points! |
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11-12-19 | Nets +6.5 v. Jazz | 114-119 | Win | 100 | 27 h 32 m | Show | |
My 9* BEWARE OF DOG is on the Brooklyn Nets. I think the Nets matchup well against the Jazz here and I think the visitors have a real shot at pulling off the outright upset. That said, in the end I'll grab the points. This is going to be Donovan Mitchell vs. Kyrie Irving and in that matchup, I give Irving the big advantage. Key Trends: - Brooklyn is 21-10 ATS in its last 31 as a road dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range. - Utah is just 38-39 ATS the L2 years as a home favorite. The verdict: The Nets defense is its weak point, but the Jazz aren't known for running up the score. This is a great matchup and situational play in my opinion; grab the points! |
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11-12-19 | Cavs v. 76ers -11 | Top | 97-98 | Loss | -105 | 25 h 32 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the Philadelphia 76ers. The Cavs broke a three-game losing slide by responding with back-to-back victories. Cleveland's wins though have been over the Wizards and Knicks. The 76ers struggled on their Western road swing, doing half of it without big man Joel Embiid in the line-up. Philly then returned home to bea the Hornets. Now fifth in the East, the 76ers won't be taking anything for granted here. Key Trends: - The Cavs average 107.1 PPG and the Sixers allow 106.2. - The 76ers average 111.00 PPG and Cleveland concedes 108.0. The verdict: Cleveland is just 1-4 ATS in its last five after two or more consecutive upset victories as an underdog and I'm not reading too much into its minor win streak here. After their sub-par road trip, look for the 76ers to keep the foot on the gas at home vs. this "lesser" competition; lay the points! |
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11-09-19 | Rockets v. Bulls +6.5 | Top | 117-94 | Loss | -103 | 28 h 48 m | Show |
My 10* BEWARE OF DOG is on the Chicago Bulls. Chicago is coming off its best performance of the year in beating the Hawks on the road in Atlanta. After a lacklustre start to the season, Chicago's young and extremely talented pieces are finally starting to figure things out. Houston has two dynamic talents itself in Russell Westbrook and James Harden, but the Rockets have already struggled with consistency on the road this year (a 155-154 OT loss in Washington.) Key Trends: - Houston is a poor 7-13 ATS in its last 20 after a cover as a double-digit favorite. - Chicago is 8-2 ATS in its last ten after a win by ten points or more. The verdict: The Bulls will view this as a real test and they'll be eager to build off their last performance. Their efforts tonight may not result in a SU victory, but I do think the stage is set for a battle until the end; grab the points! |
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11-08-19 | Heat v. Lakers -8 | 80-95 | Win | 100 | 30 h 23 m | Show | |
My 8* BEATDOWN is on the LA Lakers. Miami won three in a row before dropping a game in Denver in the first game of its trip. The Nuggets were desperate for a win in that one, but the Heat bounced back nicely in Phoenix last night, destroying the Suns 124-108. The Lakers are dominating themselves, leading the Western Conference at 6-1. LA is playing with a chip on its shoulder this year as it tries to bury last season's disappointing effort. LeBron James is going to be playing with a chip on his shoulder as well tonight as he faces his former team which he won two championships with. I believe that Miami does come in tired and I absolutely expect the Lakers to have no mercy in this one. Key Trends: - Miami is just 3-8 ATS in its last 11 off a win by ten point or more as an underdog. - LA is 53-40 ATS in its last 93 vs. good offensive teams which average over 106 points per game. The verdict: The conditions and the trends/numbers all point to a home side rout here in my opinion; lay the points! |
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11-08-19 | Cavs +5 v. Wizards | Top | 113-100 | Win | 100 | 27 h 57 m | Show |
My 10* BEWARE OF DOG is on the Cleveland Cavaliers. A couple of hungry 2-5 teams battle it out on Friday night and in a contest which I envision coming down to whichever side has its hands on the ball last, I'm going to recommend to grab the points. Cleveland is desperate for sure after losing three in a row. The Wizards on the other hand look poised for a letdown after they broke a three-game skid with a win over the Pacers last time out. The Cavs got smoked at home by Dalls, but they looked much better even in defeat to the Celtics, eventually succumbing 119-113. I think they carry that momentum over here vs. this "on again, off again" Wizards side. Key Trends: - Cleveland is 6-2 ATS in its last eight off two or more consecutive home losses. - Washington is a terrible 16-21 ATS in its last 35 as a home favorite of six points or less. The verdict: I think these teams are evenly matched, but I believe the Cavaliers are "hungrier." Grab the points! |
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11-07-19 | Celtics v. Hornets +6.5 | Top | 108-87 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 27 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the Charlotte Hornets. Boston has won five straight and I think it'll have a predictable letdown here as it takes to the road to face the lowly Hornets. Charlotte however has quietly been playing much better of late, coming in having won three straight, most recently an OT victory over the Pacers. Key Trends: - The Celtics average 110.3 PPG, and they allow 104.7. - The Hornets average 107.9 PPG, and they allow 113.6. The verdict: Note though that Charlotte is 7-2 ATS in its last nine following an ATS victory and 7-1 ATS in its last eight vs. the Eastern Conference, while Boston is only 2-6-1 ATS in its last nine after scoring 100 points or more in its previous contest. This is Kemba Walker's first game played in Charlotte since he abandoned the team and I expect him to struggle in this hostile environment; grab the points! |
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11-05-19 | Lakers v. Bulls +6.5 | Top | 118-112 | Win | 100 | 26 h 60 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the Chicago Bulls. I think the hungry home side takes the Lakers down to the wire in this one. LA comes in off a win vs. the Spurs. Chicago enters off a loss to the Pacers. Anthony Davis and LeBron James have been great in the early going for LA, but after the fantastic duo, the Lakers are kind of thin due to continued injuries. Chicago has six players averaging in double figure and its disappointing start to the year gives the home side an added sense of urgency. Key Trends: - The Lakers are still just 1-4 ATS in their last five as a road favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. - The Bulls are 15-10 ATS in their last 25 as a home dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range. The verdict: Expect Chicago to come in focussed and to at the very least, take this one right down to the wire. Grab the points! |
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11-04-19 | 76ers v. Suns +1.5 | Top | 109-114 | Win | 100 | 29 h 53 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE WEEK is on the Phoenix Suns. I like the under-rated home side to push the pace and to take care of business vs. Philadelphia, which narrowly escaped in its first road game of the year in Portland. The Suns are already 5-0 ATS this year. Joel Embiid is once againg out for Philly though as he serves the final game of his suspension for fighting. Key Trends: - Philadelphia is the seventh worst in the NBA in defending the three point shot, allowing 37.6 percent. - The Suns score 19.5 percent of their points off turnovers, tied for the third most in the NBA. - Phoenix allows the second least 3-pointers in the league (9.1 PG). The verdict: With games at Utah and Denver upcoming, I think this Eastern Conference power house that's already down its main offensive weapon, comes in and "looks past" this vastly improved Suns side; grab the point/s! |
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11-03-19 | Mavs v. Cavs +5 | Top | 131-111 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 33 m | Show |
My 10* BEWARE OF DOG is on the Cleveland Cavaliers. I think the Mavericks come to Cleveland still "hung over" after their 119-110 OT loss at home to the Lakers. Luke Doncic had a huge night, but I think he'll be gassed and disinterested in this one vs. the perceived "lowly" Cavaliers. Note that Dallas onyl has three players averaging in double-digit points, so road trips and OT contests have an effect on team's like this. The Cavs enter off a 102-95 road loss to Indiana, a contest in which they held the lead for most of. Kevin Love was exceptional in a losing cause with 22 points and 17 boards. Jordan Clarkson was also impressive with 20 points off the bench. Key Trends: - Dallas is only 5-7 ATS in its last 12 as a road favorite of six points or less. - The Mavericks are only 19-23 ATS in their last 42 following a SU home loss. - Cleveland is 7-3 ATS in its last ten off a road loss vs. a division rival. The verdict: The Cavaliers have experienced big men which can challenge Doncic and Kristaps Porzingis and I think the deeper bench of Cleveland is the difference in the end; grab the points! |
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11-02-19 | Wolves v. Wizards | Top | 131-109 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 17 m | Show |
My 10* BEST OF THE BEST is on the Wizards. Many handicappers are purely "situational" handicappers. Others use power numbers or other systems and don't deviate from their process or method. And I think that's great. I've always thought though that being "flexible" with your approach is the best way to handicap sports. Clearly Minnesota is the "better" team, but after losing star player Karl-Anthony Towns to suspension for fighting in its previous outing, I think the hungry home side is the correct call here. Minnesota also can't help but get caught "looking ahead" to its home game vs. the Bucks on Monday. Washington comes in off a 159-158 loss to the Rockets and it won't be lacking for motivation or confidence after that close setback. Key Trends: - Minnesota is just 14-21 ATS in its last 35 as a road dog of six points or less. - Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last six after two straight losses by six points or less. The verdict: I love Washington to battle tooth and nail here and take advantage of this temporarily "rudderless" Wolves team! |
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11-01-19 | Cavs +8 v. Pacers | Top | 95-102 | Win | 100 | 27 h 58 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE MONTH is on the Cleveland Cavaliers. Without Victor Oladipo, the Indiana Pacers are only an average team. Cleveland is at 100% health and it has veteran players performing at a high level right now. Most recently the Cavs beat the Bulls 117-11 at home, with six players scoring in double figures. Indiana comes in off its first win of the year, a 118-108 road victory over the Nets. Note though that the Indiana bench scored just 11 points in that victory. Key Trends: - Indiana is a poor 1-5 ATS in its last six following a SU victory. - The Pacers are 1-4 ATS in their last five at home. - The Cavs are 4-1 ATS in their last five following a SU victory. The verdict: Tristan Thompson and Kevin Love are both playing well for the Cavs and while I would not in fact be shocked by an outright upset here, in the end I'm going to grab all these points! |
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10-30-19 | Pacers +3.5 v. Nets | 118-108 | Win | 100 | 27 h 44 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the Indiana Pacers. The Pacers are still without Victor Oladipo, but I think the 0-3 visiting side finds a way to get the job done vs. the 1-2 Nets. Indiana enters off a 96-94 loss at Detroit, while the Nets come in off a poor 134-133 OT road loss to the Grizzlies. There are reports from Nets' officials that star Kyrie Irving's off-court antics and "mood swings" are very real and a major distraction. I believe the "hungrier" and more focussed side finds a way to get the job done tonight. Key Trends: - Indiana won't be lacking for confidence here as it's 8-2 ATS in its last ten in this series. - Brooklyn is 34-38 ATS in its last 72 vs. teams with losing records, including 0-2 ATS already this season. The verdict: Look for the more desperate team to deliver the goods, but in a contest which I envision being decided late or even in extra time, I'm going to grab the points! |
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10-30-19 | Knicks +9 v. Magic | Top | 83-95 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 14 m | Show |
My 10* play is on the New York Knicks. The Knicks are 1-3 and the Magic are 1-2. New York comes in off its first win of the year and I think the hungry visiting side will carry some of that momentum over here vs. a Magic team that's struggling with consistency in the early going. New York got the better of Chicago 105-98, while the Magic fell 104-95 in Toronto on Monday. RJ Barrett has been a stand out for the Knicks early an dhe had 19 points and 15 boards in the victory over the Bulls. Orlando opened the year with a win over the Cavaliers, but since then it's struggled and it's the only team in the league which hasn't scored 100 points in a game thus far. Key Trends: - New York is already 2-0 ATS this year vs. clubs with losing records. - Orlando is 30-39 ATS in its last 69 vs. teams with losing records. The verdict: I think New York is finally figuring things out and while I'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, all signs point to this one being extremely competitive throughout; grab the points! |
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10-29-19 | Mavs +6 v. Nuggets | Top | 109-106 | Win | 100 | 28 h 25 m | Show |
My 10* BEWARE OF DOG is on the Dallas Mavericks. Denver comes in off a 101-94 win at Sacramento just last night, while Dallas had a night off after suffering its first loss of the year in a 121-119 home setback to the Blazers. Dallas will look to push the pace here vs. this tired Nuggets side; note that the Mavericks average 116.7 PPG. Denver averages 108. Key Trends: - The Nuggets are interestingly only 9-21 ATS in their last 30 vs. the Southwest division. - Dallas is 5-0-1 ATS in its last six on the road. The verdict: Dallas is a vastly improved team with two dynamic European players which are difficult to stop. While the situation could even give the visitors an outright win here, in the end I'm going to grab the generous amount of points; play on the Mavericks! |
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10-28-19 | Cavs +15.5 v. Bucks | 112-129 | Loss | -108 | 26 h 13 m | Show | |
My 10* play on the Cleveland Cavaliers. Both teams are 1-1. Am I calling for an outright upset here? I definitely AM NOT. That said, I do think that Kevin Love and the hungry Cavaliers can keep this one a lot closer than what this monster spread would suggest. So far the Cavs average 98 PPG and they concede just 97. The Bucks have scored 122 PPG in the early going and allowed 121. Key Trends: - Cavaliers are 4-1 ATS in their last five off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog. - The Bucks are just 13-14 ATS in their last 27 after a loss by six points or less. The verdict: I think the Cavs' tough defensive plays keep them in this contest late; grab the points! |
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10-28-19 | Magic +5 v. Raptors | 95-104 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 43 m | Show | |
My 8* play on the Orlando Magic. This is a revenge game of sorts for the Magic, who got bounced in the first round by the Raptors in the playoffs last year. Orlando is 1-1 after hammering Cleveland at home, before then falling to the Hawks on the road. So far Orlando is averaging 96.5 PPG and it's conceding 94.1. Toronto has so far averaged 114.0 PPG, while allowing 116.0. Those early numbers are skewed from a couple high-scoring contets, including an OT affair though. Key Trends: - Orlando is 10-5 ATS in it slast 15 off a loss to a division rival as a favorite. - Toronto is just 9-11 ATS in its last 20 after allowing 90 points or less in its previous outing. The verdict: So far Toronto has looked pretty good without Kawhi Leonard in the line-up, but I think that the depth that Magic bring here, along with the motivational factors working in their favor, proves to be too much for the defending champs to handle tonight; that said, grab the points! |
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10-28-19 | Pacers -1.5 v. Pistons | 94-96 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 14 m | Show | |
My 8* play on the Indiana Pacers. The Pacers are 0-2 and the Pistons are 1-2. Indiana is playing without Victor Oladipo again, but it plays with revenge here after falling 119-110 at home to Detroit in its opener. The Pacers come in desperate and revenge minded and I believe those motivational factors will be more than enough to take out the "on again, off again" Pistons, who are playing without their star Blake Griffin. Key Trends: - Detroit is 0-7 ATS In its last seven when playing on one days rest. - The Pistsons are 0-7 ATS in their last seven home games. - The Pacers are 17-10 ATS in their last 27 after two or more consecutive losses. The verdict: Look for the above situational and trend based factors to be more than enough for Indiana to get the job done tonight; lay the short points! |
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10-28-19 | Bulls v. Knicks +1 | 98-105 | Win | 100 | 25 h 13 m | Show | |
My 8* play on the New York Knicks. The Bulls are 1-2 and are coming off a disappointing loss at home to the Raptors. The Knicks are 0-3 and they'll be desperate to get off the schneid here. If not now, when? This is the perfect opponent to get untracked against and I expect the desperate home side to deliver the goods. So far on the year the Bulls are averaging 104.9 PPG and conceding 113.8. New York is averaging 104.6 and allowing 113.4. Key Trends: - The Knicks are 4-1 ATS in their last five after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. - The Bulls are 0-4 ATS in their last four after a double-digit loss at home. The verdict: The Bulls have lost eight of their last 11 at MSG and I think that strong trend carries over here vs. this hungry home side; grab the point/s! |
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10-27-19 | Heat +6 v. Wolves | Top | 109-116 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 25 m | Show |
My 10* NON-CONF BEST OF THE BEST is on the Miami Heat. Miami went to OT with the Bucks in Milwaukee last night and it left with a 131-126 victory. If this was even one month from now, I'd definitely be going against Miami here as the second game of a back-to-back vs. a red hot Wolves team which returns home after a 2-0 road trip to play its first in Minnesota is clearly not an easy task. But we're still in the first week of the season and these are the top athletes in the World. I'll argue that the victory yesterday will in fact help Miami in this one and while the outright victory may not happen, I'm definitely expecting a war until the final bucket. Conversely, I think the Wolves have a letdown here in their first game in front of the home town crowd. Key Trends: - Miami is 14-10 ATS in its last 24 when playing on back-to-back days. - Minnesota is only 3-5 ATS in its last eight after a blowout victory of 20 points or more. The verdict: I like Miami's depth to carry the team to another solid cover at the very least in this one; grab the points! |
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10-25-19 | Raptors v. Celtics -2.5 | Top | 106-112 | Win | 100 | 27 h 57 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the Boston Celtics. Toronto played from behind on Opening Night vs. the Pelicans, managed to take it to overtime and then managed to cover the large 8 point spread. The Raptors got the job done on their own floor vs. a horrible team, but I think they're going to predictably struggle here on the road vs. a good team, which is out for its first win of the season after falling 107-93 in Philadelphia on Opening night. Yes Kemba Walker struggled for Boston in that one, but a small adjustment period is fully expected. With a night off to absorb the loss, I look for the home side to risk life and limb here vs. its divisional opponent. Key Trends: - Boston is 5-0 ATS at home the last five in this series. - Toronto is only 2-11 ATS in its last 13 after scoring 125 points or more in its previous game. The verdict: For all the reasons listed above, I'm banking on Boston bouncing back and laying a beating on the defending champs; lay the short points! |
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10-24-19 | Hawks +1.5 v. Pistons | Top | 117-100 | Win | 100 | 27 h 10 m | Show |
My 10* GAME OF THE MONTH is on the Atlanta Hawks. Detroit upset Indiana 119-110 last night, but I think it'll have a hard time keeping pace with the Hawks this evening, who come in focussed and fresh for the new season. Detroit is without the services of star player Blake Griffin for the first few weeks and after Andre Drummond's career performance in last night's victory, I think this one definitely has "letdown" written all over it. I like Trae Young and hungry Hawks to push the pace from start to finish. Key Trends: - ATL is 43-30 ATS In its last 73 as a road dog. - Detroit is 0-2 ATS in its last two off an upswet win over a division rival as an underdog. The verdict: I expect the Hawks to roll to a sizeable victory; play on Atlanta! |
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10-23-19 | Grizzlies +7.5 v. Heat | 101-120 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the Memphis Grizzlies. The Grizzlies now belong to Jonas Valanciunas and No. 2 overall pick Ja Morant. Jae Crowder and Grayson Allen have a lot of potential in the back-court as well. Jimmy Butler is in Miami, but the Heat lost Hassan Whiteside and Josh Richardson. Key Trends: - Memphis is 15-10 ATS in its last 25 as a road dog in the 6.5 to 12 points range. - Miami is only 8-13 ATS in its last 21 as a home favorite in the 6.5 to 12 points range. The verdict: I think the opportunity is here for the underdog to win outright, but in a game which should be a full on war until the final horn, I'm going to grab the points! |
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10-23-19 | Wolves +3.5 v. Nets | 127-126 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the Wolves. The Nets are without Kevin Durant, but they still have Kyrie Irving, DeAndre Jordan and Taurean Prince. How will the Nets perform with all of these new faces? And without Durant? That's yet to be seen of course. While the Wolves lost a couple faces (Derrick Rose, Taj Gibson), their core of star players remains in tact. I believer Karl Anthony Towns and Andrew Wiggis can keep their team competitive in this one. Key Trends: - Minnesota is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 as road dog of five points or higher. - The Nets are only 38-43 ATS the last two years on their own floor. The verdict: Outright victory? Possibly. But in a game which I seeing being a competitive war until the final horn, I'm grabbing the points! |
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10-23-19 | Celtics +5 v. 76ers | Top | 93-107 | Loss | -101 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
My 10* CLASH OF THE TITANS is on the Boston Celtics. Last season the Celtics finished 49-33 and finished fourth in the conference. With new point guard Kemba Walker in place to "steady the ship" off the court, I think Boston can improve on that record this year. Boston's Marcus Smart is expecting an all out war: "It's gonna be a dog fight," Smart said. "You can't come in looking pretty, you can't come in scared to get hit. You gotta be ready to get in there, get your nose bloodied a little bit." Boston has plenty of talent and clearly has the ability to win this one outright. Philadelphia went seven games with the Raptors last year in the playoffs, only to be outdone by Kawhi Leonard's last second shot. I think these teams are very evenly matched and while the 76ers obviously have the home court advantage, I do definitely expect a war until the end. Key Trends: - Boston won this series 3-1 last year. Every game in that series was close as well, except the first one. The verdict: Look for these two Eastern Conference contenders to battle tooth and nail until the final horn; grab the points! |
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10-23-19 | Cavs +8.5 v. Magic | 85-94 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the Cleveland Cavaliers. Now that Cleveland has had a full year to adjust without the King in the line-up, the Cavaliers should be able to improve upon their horrible 19-63 record from last year. The Magic won the Southeast Division with a record of 42-40. Collin Sexton scored 18 PPG last year for the Cavs and he had a solid preseason. Cleveland is a young team that won't be lacking for motivation here. Markelle Fultz has participated in preseason action for the Magic, but he's not been cleared to play here yet. Key Trends: - Orlando is just 14-20 ATS as a home favorite in its last 34. The verdict: Both teams are dealing with injuries and each has new faces. I think the hungry visiting side will at least take this one down to the wire; grab the points! |
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10-23-19 | Bulls v. Hornets +3.5 | 125-126 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
My 8* play is on the Charoltte Hornets. The Hornets will start the year without Kemba Walker in the line-up, but they catch a break facing the Bulls out of the gate. Chicago is loaded with potential (Lauri Markkanen and Zach LaVine), but it's still coming off a 22-60 campaign. Marvin Williams and Cody Zeller are Charlotte's leading return scorers. Key Trends: - Chicago is just 7-9 ATS in its last 16 as a favorite. The verdict: Michael Jordan has cleaned house with his team, but there's still plenty of young talent surrounding Zeller and Williams (Malik Monk, Miles Bridges and Dwayne Bacon). I'm banking on this competitive affair being decided by whichever teams has its hands on the ball last; grab the points! |
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10-22-19 | Pelicans +7 v. Raptors | Top | 122-130 | Loss | -107 | 54 h 56 m | Show |
My 10* BIG TIGER is on the New Orleans Pelicans. Yes New Orleans is without Zion Williamson, but guess what? The Raptors are without possibly the best player in the entire World in Kawhi Leonard to open the season. You'd better believe that Jrue Holiday and company are going to be out to prove that they can still win without their star rookie on the floor. Toronto has plenty to prove as well this year after the departure of Leonard, but I believe Toronto will have difficulites with chemistry to start. New Orleans' combination of Holiday and Lonzo Ball give New Orleans the best defensive combo in the NBA on paper. That doesn't bode well for Kyle Lowry in my opinion. Key Trends: - Toronto was just 3-5 ATS last year in games without Leonard and in which the opposing team was able to limit Lowry to under 40 percent shooting. The verdict: Outright victory? Anything is possible on Opening Night, but in a contest which I envision coming down to whichever of these hungry sides has its hands on the ball last, I'm going to grab up all these points! |
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06-13-19 | Raptors v. Warriors -3.5 | Top | 114-110 | Loss | -105 | 62 h 24 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the Golden State Warriors. I had a three game report in Game 5 as well and I played the exact same three plays. The Warriors for the FIRST HALF, Golden State for the game and the “over.” What more can be said about these two teams which hasn’t literally been said a million times by every talking head out there? These team’s strengths and weaknesses are well know to even the most casual basketball fan and if you’re wagering on this contest, you don’t need me to break down individual player match ups or to tell you how many rebounds Draymond Green had in Game 5. I like Golden State in Game 5 whether KD played or not, and I do here as well. I simply can’t see Toronto taking all three games from the Stephen Curry in his own building. The improved play of DeMarcus Cousins in Game 5 is big heading into Game 6. I like the Warriors for the FIRST HALF, Golden State for the game and the OVER in Game 6. Key Trends: - The Raptors are inexplicably just 9-13 ATS this season when playing with two days rest. - Golden State is a perfect 3-0 ATS the L2 years when facing elimination in a series. The verdict: Toronto’s opportunity to put this series away is going to have to wait until Game 7. Lay the points! |
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06-10-19 | Warriors +3 v. Raptors | 106-105 | Win | 101 | 35 h 56 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the Golden State Warriors. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Do or die. Now or never? The Warriors, whether they play with Kevin Durant or not tonight, clearly won’t be going down without a fight here. And I think that’s going to be more than enough to tip the scales in their favor. Note that GS is 2-0 ATS in its last two when facing elimination. Key Trends: - Golden State is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 following a home loss. - Toronto is just 9-17 ATS this season after covering three of its last four vs. the spread. - The verdict: I think Toronto has difficulty closing out Golden State here. Grab as many points as you can! |
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06-07-19 | Raptors v. Warriors -5.5 | Top | 105-92 | Loss | -103 | 39 h 43 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the Warriors. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Do or die. Now or never. Stephen Curry couldn’t get the job done by himself in Game 3, as sharp-shooter Klay Thompson was sidelined with injury. While KD still won’t be in the line-up tonight, Thompson is back. I think this is going to prove to be a major difference for the Warriors as I look for Golden State to push the pace from start to finish. The Raptors are deep in unchartered territory now and having already earned the split, I believe a letdown is imminent. Key Trends: - The Raptors are still just 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight playoff games as an underdog in the four to 10.5 points range. - Golden State is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 following a SU loss. - The Warriors are 17-6 ATS in their last 23 home games vs. a team with an above-.600 road record. The verdict: Toronto seemed to be in control of this series after Game 1, but Game 2 was all Golden State. With their backs once again against the wall, I look for the Warriors to bounce back. Lay the points! |
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05-21-19 | Bucks v. Raptors +2.5 | Top | 102-120 | Win | 100 | 35 h 15 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the Toronto Raptors. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Home floor advantage. Despite the Bucks taking three of four in the regular season series, I think that home floor is going to matter in this series. So far over the first three games that pattern has held true and in my opinion, I think the Raptors can now build off their dramatic double overtime Game 3 victory. Key Trends: - The Raptors are 6-3 ATS in their last nine home playoff games following an OT SU/ATS victory. - Milwaukee is 3-4 ATS in its last seven after allowing 115 points or more in a SU/ATS loss in its previous outing. The verdict: Toronto has made major adjustments defensively and with Kawhi Leonard playing at such a high level, I have a hard time seeing the visitors matching pace in Game 4. While the outright is clearly possible, I’m grabbing the points! |
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05-20-19 | Warriors v. Blazers +4 | Top | 119-117 | Win | 100 | 32 h 14 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the Blazers. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Do or die. Now or never. I believe I’m one of the best around when it comes to using “motivation” when trying to uncover value handicapping. These teams split four regular season meetings and it appeared that the Blazers would have a legitimate shot at pulling for an upset against the Kevin Durant-less Warriors, but down 3-0, that would now appear to be nothing more than a “pipe dream.” I don’t think that Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum have enough left in the tank to pull off a series upset, but I definitely think that Portland has enough pride left to take a single game. Key Trends: - Golden State is already only 4-6 ATS this year when leading in a playoff series. - Portland is 5-1 ATS as home underdog this year. - The Blazers are already 3-1 ATS this season when trailing in a playoff series. The verdict: While the outright victory is clearly not out of the question, in the end I’ll recommend grabbing as many points as you can! |
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05-18-19 | Warriors v. Blazers -2.5 | Top | 110-99 | Loss | -102 | 36 h 9 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play is on the Portland Trail Blazers. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Do or die. Now or never. These teams split four regular season games, but so far it’s been all Golden State to open the WCF. And the Warriors are doing it without star Kevin Durant as well. But I think home court will prove to be the difference maker for the Blazers in Game 3. Game 1 was a blowout, but Portland had every chance to take Game 2. Now on its home floor, I look for it to redeem itself finally. Key Trends: - Golden State is just 3-8 ATS in its last 11 following a SU win. - The Blazers are 7-1 ATS in their last eight home game vs. a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. - Portland is 4-1 ATS in its last five following a SU win. The verdict; With their backs against the wall, I look for the Blazers to finally step up and answer the bell. Lay the short points! |
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05-15-19 | Raptors v. Bucks -6 | Top | 100-108 | Win | 100 | 56 h 8 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the Milwaukee Bucks. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - The regular season results between the clubs. Kawhi Leonard’s Game 7 winner over the 76ers was awesome, but I think the visitors, who went just 1-3 vs. the Bucks in the regular season, will come out flat here in Game 1. The Bucks are well rested after their demolition of the Celtics and I expect them to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish here. Key Trends: - Toronto is just 8-10 ATS this year when playing on two days rest. - The Raptors are only 10-11 ATS in revenging a SU loss vs. an opponent as a favorite. - Milwaukee is 27-18 ATS at home this season. - The Bucks are 8-1 ATS in the playoffs thus far. The verdict: At some point Milwaukee is going to slide ATS, but not here in my opinion. Look for the Bucks to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish and lay the points! |
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05-12-19 | 76ers v. Raptors -6 | Top | 90-92 | Loss | -105 | 54 h 50 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the Toronto Raptors. Key Trends: - Philadelphia is just 5-12 ATS in its last 17 following a SU win of more than ten points. - Toronto is 6-0 in its last six following a SU loss of ten or more points. - The Raptors are 5-1 ATS in their last six following an ATS loss. The verdict: Note that the home team has taken four of the six games in this series (it’s also interesting to note that the home team is 105-28 in Game 7 situations in the history of the league.) It’s difficult to win Game 7 on the road and the 76ers achilles heel all year has been their performance away from friendly confines. The numbers/trends and the overall situation both point to the Raptors as the correct call tonight. Lay the points! |
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05-12-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets -5.5 | 100-96 | Loss | -105 | 50 h 20 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the Denver Nuggets. Key Trends: - Portland is just 6-7 ATS this year when playing with two days rest. - The Blazers are only 3-9 ATS this season off a win vs. a division rival. - Denver is 7-3 ATS this season when playing on two days rest. - The Nuggets are 20-10 ATS in their last 30 in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. The verdict: Denver enjoys one of the best home court advantages in the league, and I think it matters here in Game 7 of the second round. Look for the home side to buckle down on the defensive end and to pull away for a comfortable ATS cover. Lay the points! |
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05-09-19 | Nuggets +4 v. Blazers | Top | 108-119 | Loss | -107 | 33 h 28 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the Denver Nuggets. Denver has looked like the better team over the last two games and I believe that trend continues in the Pacific Northwest tonight. Outright victory? Not out of the question obviously, but in a contest which I see coming down to whichever of these hungry teams has its hands on the ball last, I’ll recommend grabbing the points. Key Trends: - Denver is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after a blowing win by 20 or more points. - Portland is just 4-7 ATS in its last 11 off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more (including just 1-3 ATS this year.) The verdict: Denver is too deep and it’s bench is now playing better than Portland’s. Grab the points, but don’t be shocked if an outright occurs! |
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05-08-19 | Rockets v. Warriors -5.5 | Top | 99-104 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 30 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the Warriors. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Home floor advantage. Sometimes it means nothing and sometimes it means everything. Golden State destroyed the Rockets at home in Game’s 1 and 2, before Houston returned the favor on its home floor in Game’s 3 and 4. I believe this strong trend continues here. Key Trends: - Houston is just 19-25 ATS on the road this year. - Golden State is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 when playing with double revenge vs. an opponent. The verdict: Expect Steph Curry and Klay Thompson to finally come out firing tonight and lay the points with confidence! |
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05-07-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets -4.5 | Top | 98-124 | Win | 100 | 35 h 13 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the Denver Nuggets. Key Trends: - Portland is just 11-14 ATS as a six points or less road dog this year. - The Blazers are a poor 1-3 ATS this season off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite. - The Nuggets 13-6 ATS in their last 19 as a home favorite of six points or less. - Denver is 5-1 ATS in its last six off an upset win as a road dog. The verdict: As this series winds on, I think that home floor will prove to be significant. The Nuggets dominated this series in the regular season and while they’ve had issues at points, they have the home floor advantage with three games remaining after hanging tough for the Game 4 victory. Look for that momentum to roll and lay the points with confidence! |
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05-07-19 | 76ers +6.5 v. Raptors | 89-125 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 38 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the 76ers. Key Trends: - Philadelphia is 7-3 ATS in its last ten off a home loss. - The 76ers are a near-perfect 9-1 ATS off a loss vs. a division rival this season. - Toronto is 21-24 ATS as a home favorite this year. - The Raptors are 0-2 ATS this year already when tied in a playoff series. The verdict: These teams continue to respond to each other and I believe that trend continues in Game 5. Outright victory? Probably not. But in a contest which I see coming down to whichever of these hungry sides has its hands on the ball last, I’m going to grab all these points! |
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05-06-19 | Warriors +2 v. Rockets | Top | 108-112 | Loss | -105 | 32 h 12 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the Warriors. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Uneven numbers. For the Warriors sharp-shooters. Despite Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson missing at least two-thirds of their three-point attempts in each of the last four games, Golden State almost took a 3-0 lead in this series. I expect these numbers to start getting corrected quick fast in a hurry. Look for Curry and Thompson to be pivotal in tonight’s game. Key Trends: - Golden State is 37-25 ATS in its last 62 in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. - Houston is just 3-9 ATS this year after allowing 120 or more points in its previous contest. - The Rockets are a dismal 9-17 ATS this season after scoring 120 points or more. The verdict: Look for the defending champs to start hitting some shots in this series. Grab the points! |
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05-05-19 | Nuggets +3 v. Blazers | Top | 116-112 | Win | 100 | 32 h 60 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the Denver Nuggets. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Revenge. After losing in four OT’s in Game 3, I think the desperate Nuggets once again leave everything on the floor and find a way to keep this one competitive until the final moments. Clearly these two teams are very evenly matched, but I think the “revenge” angle works here. Key Trends: - Denver is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 in trying to revenge a close loss of three points or less to an opponent. - Portland is just 2-5 ATS this season off a home win vs. a division rival. - The Blazers are only 1-4 ATS this year after a close win by three points or less. The verdict: I think the home side stumbles after its big Game 3 win. While the outright win is clearly not out of the question, let’s grab the points! |
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05-05-19 | Raptors v. 76ers +1.5 | 101-96 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 32 m | Show | |
Ricky’s 8* play on the Philadelphia 76ers. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Injury to Pascal Sikium. You can’t lose your second leading scorer and not feel the effects. Especially at this time of year. Especially just after the injury occurring. Toronto looked poor before the Sikium injury and now I believe it’s lack of overall scoring talent will prove too much for it to overcome vs. this 76ers side which is clearly firing on all cylinders. Key Trends: - Toronto is just 7-9 ATS this year when playing with two days rest. - Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last five when leading in a playoff series. The verdict: The Raptors continue to garner much too much respect from the oddsmakers in my opinion. Play on Philadelphia! |
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05-04-19 | Warriors v. Rockets -4 | Top | 121-126 | Win | 100 | 82 h 22 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the Houston Rockets. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Do or die. Now or never. Clearly for the Rockets that is. Houston can ill afford to go down 3-0 to the defending champs in this series. The Rockets need to change the tone of this one right away and I expect to come in the form of a high-intensity “push” from start to finish in Game 3. The Warriors won’t be going down without a fight, but their inconsistencies on the road can’t be ignored either. Key Trends: - Golden State is just 21-23 ATS on the road this season. - Houston is 22-15 ATS as a home favorite this season. - The Rockets are a near-perfect 8-1 ATS this year when playing with double revenge. The verdict: I like James Harden and Houston to lay it all on the line tonight and to comfortably pull away down the stretch. Lay the points! |
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05-03-19 | Nuggets +4.5 v. Blazers | Top | 137-140 | Win | 100 | 37 h 48 m | Show |
Ricky’s 10* play on the Denver Nuggets. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Bad matchup for the Blazers. It has been of late despite the Game 2 victory. The Blazers have been better at home than on the road, but they’ve had their difficulties with the Nuggets as Denver is 5-2 ATS in its last seven played in Portland and 6-2-1 ATS in the last nine between the clubs overall. This series has the feeling of being a very “back and forth” one. Key Trends: - Denver is 18-10 ATS in its last 28 in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. - Portland is just 3-7 ATS this year off a win vs. a division rival. - The Blazers are 0-4 ATS this season off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog. The verdict: In a contest which I see coming down to whichever one of these hungry teams has its hands on the ball last, I’m going to grab the points! |
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05-03-19 | Bucks +2 v. Celtics | Top | 123-116 | Win | 100 | 58 h 7 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the Milwaukee Bucks. Boston rolled to victory in Game 1, but Milwaukee was prepared in Game 2 and I think it’ll carry that momentum over on the road tonight (note that Milwaukee was 26-15 ATS on the road this season.) Key Trends: - Milwaukee is already 10-6 ATS this year when playing with two days rest. - The Bucks are 23-10 ATS in their last 33 after scoring 120 points or more. - Boston is a poor 14-18 ATS this year in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. The verdict: Milwaukee got caught off guard by Boston’s defensive intensity in Game 1, but minor adjustments in Game 2 allowed the Bucks to hit 20 three points in their absolute destruction of the Celtics. I expect the visitors to employ an identical game plan in Game 3. Grab the points! |
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05-01-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets -3.5 | Top | 97-90 | Loss | -109 | 34 h 17 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the Denver Nuggets. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Home floor advantage. This was my “key angle” in Game 1 as well, as I’d go on to state that: It’s mattered in this series. Denver has won six of the last seven in this series overall, but note as well that the home side has won eight of the last ten in the series also. Key Trends: - Portland is just 11-18 ATS as a road dog this year. - Denver is 13-5 ATS this season as a home favorite of six points or less. - The Nuggets are 22-16 ATS this year after two or more SU victories. The verdict: I think this is a bad matchup for the Blazers and I like the home side to take advantage again here. Lay the points and expect a blowout! |
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04-30-19 | Rockets +6 v. Warriors | 109-115 | Push | 0 | 36 h 13 m | Show | |
Ricky's 8* play on the Houston Rockets. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Revenge. I think it works here. I think overall that Houston would beat the Clippers in a seven game series and LA ave Golden State plenty of issues in its six-game opening round series win. With a chance to still earn the split, I think that James Harden and company will at the very least, keep this one competitive again until the final moments. Key Trends: - Houston is 8-0 ATS this year in trying to revenge two straight losses vs. an opponents. - Golden State is only 17-26 ATS as a home favorite this season. - The Warriors are already 1-3 ATS this year when leading in a playoff series. The verdict: While the outright victory is clearly not out of the question, I’ll recommend grabbing the points! |
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04-29-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets -3.5 | Top | 113-121 | Win | 100 | 35 h 2 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the Denver Nuggets. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Home floor advantage. It’s mattered in this series. Denver has won six of the last seven in this series overall, but note as well that the home side has won eight of the last ten in the series also. Key Trends: - The Blazers are a poor 11-17 ATS this year as a road dog. - Portland is just 2-4 ATS this season off a home win vs. a division rival. - Denver is 12-5 ATS this season as a home favorite of six points or less. The verdict: I think Denver’s depth proves to be the difference in Game 1 at home. Lay the points! |
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04-29-19 | 76ers v. Raptors -6 | 94-89 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 29 m | Show | |
Ricky's 8* play on the Raptors. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Just a bad matchup for Philadelphia. Toronto’s aggressive defense has been the difference in this series of late. The Raptors took three of four in the regular season and then they steamrolled the 76ers in Game 1. This is a terrible matchup for the 76ers, whose big man Joel Embiid has his hands full with the duo of dominant veteran centers Marc Gasol and Serge Ibaka. I’m expecting an even bigger blowout this time around. Key Trends: - Philadelphia is a poor 8-11 ATS this year trying to revenge a road loss vs. an opponent. - Toronto is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 after two consecutive home wins by ten points or more. The verdict: Expect Toronto’s superior defense to once again be the difference maker in Game 2 and lay the points with confidence! |
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04-28-19 | Rockets v. Warriors -6 | Top | 100-104 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 38 m | Show |
Ricky's 10* play on the Warriors. Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. - Finally something to prove. For the Warriors that is. It would be easy to write an argument for the Rockets, as they come in off a relatively easy series victory, while Golden State struggled at times vs. the Clippers. The Warriors also came out on top of the Eastern Conference Finals vs. the Rockets last year after being down 3-2. Golden State won the West, but it struggled with issues all year. Golden State also lost big man DeMarcus Cousins in the win over LA. But the core of the Warriors remains and I still think that it’ll be more than enough to take care of James Harden and company again. At least in Game 1. Chris Paul has been a shell of his former self all season and I think he’ll struggle slowing down Steph Curry and crew. Key Trends: - Houston is just 5-7 ATS this year as a road dog of six points or less. - The Rockets are only 1-3 ATS this season when playing with three or more days rest. - The Warriors 17-10 ATS in their last 27 after scoring 110 points or more in four straight games. The verdict: I think Golden State plays with a chip on its shoulder here. Lay the points! |