Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-29-20 | Northwestern v. Iowa -10.5 | Top | 72-87 | Win | 100 | 15 h 40 m | Show |
My 9* Weekly Wipeout is on Iowa at 9:00 ET. Chris Collins took over at Northwestern back in the 2013-14 season and won 20 games in the 2015-16 season. The very next season, he led the Wildcats to a 24-12 year, as Northwestern finished with its first winning Big Ten Conference record in 49 years (10-8) and earned its first NCAA Tournament appearance in school history (Wildcats even won their first game). It was NO small accomplishment, as Northwestern had been the only member of a power conference to have never made the "Big Dance." However, three straight losing seasons followed. However, with four starters back, Northwestern is 'making news' again! More in a bit. Iowa head coach Fran McCaffrey came to Iowa City from Siena, where he led the Saints to THREE straight NCAA appearances and a 77-26 record. He's been at Iowa since the 2010-11 season. He's led Iowa to SIX 20-win seasons the last eight seasons, getting four NCAA bids (would have been five last year but the NCAA tourney was canceled). Iowa returned all FIVE starters from last year, including the Preseason P-O-Y. (Luka Garza). The 6-7 Kupp (15.1) leads Northwestern in scoring and is joined in the starting lineup by guards Buie (14.4 & 5.3 APG), Audige (12.9 & 4.3) and Gaines (3.9 & 4.7) plus the 6-10 Nance (10.6 & 6.9). Freshman guard Berry (8.3) plus frontcourt players like the 6-10 Young (8.9 & 6.4) and the 6-9 Beran (6.7 & 3.4) contribute off the bench. Garza (28.8 & 10.0) is shooting 62.7% to lead the Hawkeyes. Two senior guards join him in the starting lineup in Wieskamp (15.8 & 6.9) and Bohannon (6.9 & 4.3 APG). The 6-11 Nunge (8.4 & 5.9) comes off the bench plus FIVE more players contribute regularly, led by sophomore guard Fredrick (10.4). So what's going on in Evanston, Illinois? The Wildcats (6-1, 3-0) have won their first THREE conference games for the first time since the 1967-68 season (note: Northwestern was 3-17 in the Big Ten last season!). The Wildcats entered the AP poll yesterday (No. 19), for the first time this season but hardly tells the whole story. Northwestern's No. 19 ranking is its highest this late in a season since 1969! Iowa fell from No. 4 to No. 10 on Monday, after it lost 102-95 (OT) at Minnesota last Friday. Iowa was up 80-73 on the Golden Gophers with 44 seconds remaining but Minnesota came back to tie the game at 83-83. Iowa's only other loss has come 99-88 to No. 1 Gonzaga in a neutral-site setting. This is an EXCELLENT Iowa team and the jury is still out on Northwestern (in my opinion). A check of the record book reveals that Northwestern now owns THREE straight wins over ranked opponents. The streak started at the end of last season with a win over then-20 Penn St and has continued this season in wins over then-No. 4 Michigan St and then-No. 23. However, Northwestern has NEVER won four in a row over ranked AP opponents (AP rankings began in Jan 1949). Yes, the Wildcats can lose but still cover with this pointspread but my bet says it's an Iowa W-I-P-E-O-U-T! Good luck...Larry |
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12-29-20 | Purdue v. Rutgers -2.5 | Top | 76-81 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on Rutgers at 7:00 ET. Rutgers won its first five games by double digits and opened league play with a 74-60 win at Maryland on Dec 14. The Scarlet Knights improved to 6-0 by pulling out a 91-88 win over then-No. 13 Illinois on Dec 20 (rose to No. 11 in the AP poll) but was unable to duplicate that performance last Wednesday, losing 80-68 at the-No. 23 Ohio State. Rutgers (6-1 / 2-1 in Big Ten) dropped to No. 14 in the latest AP poll (out yesterday) and will welcome unranked Purdue (7-3 / 2-1) to Piscataway, NJ on Tuesday. The Boilermakers rebounded from a 70-55 loss at Iowa on Tuesday by posting a 73-70 home win over Maryland on Friday. Purdue head coach Matt Painter's lone loss of note from last season's team was the 7-3 Haarms (8.6 & 4.6), who went to BYU as a graduate transfer. The team's "Big Three" are all returning players, senior PG Hunter (12.8 & 4.0 APG) plus juniors like the 6-10 Williams (13.4 & 9.5) and SG Stefanovic (11.3). 7-4 freshman Edey (9.9 & 4.2) has made all forget about Haarms plus freshman guard Newman (10.1) gives Purdue four double digit scorers Depth is provided by four players chipping in a combined 22 PPG. Steve Pikiell spent 11 years at Stony Brook, winning 20-plus games in his final five seasons. He led the Seawolves to an NCAA berth in 2015-16 and a 26-7 record. His first three seasons at Rutgers saw the Scarlet Knights go just 15-18, 15-19 and 14-17. Rutgers was 20-11 last season before the year was shut down. This year's team looks REALLY good, led by senior guards Harper (23.4 & 7.1) and Young (15.9 & 5.6 APG). Junior guard Mathis adds 14.3 & 3.9 plus two 6-11 centers, Omoruyi (5.3 & 5.8) and Johnson (7.7 & 8.6) give Rutgers a strong inside presence. Pikiell could be without standout freshman Omoruyi, who missed the last game with a knee injury plus Myles Johnson played 15 minutes before fouling out. However, I expect Rutgers to be PRIMED to bounce back (especially here at home), after holding a 38-28 lead at halftime at Ohio St and leading by 16 points in the second half, before going EIGHT minutes without a FG while enduring a 20-1 run by the Buckeyes. Purdue enters this game with the second-lowest scoring offense in the league at 72.5 PG and has yet to score more than 75 points in any Big Ten game. Purdue lost at then-No. Iowa on Dec 22 and this contest will mark the SECOND of three games over a four-game stretch against a ranked opponent (No. 15 Illinois is up next). 'That's a tough 'ask!'. Catching Rutgers off its 'collapse' vs Ohio St puts Purdue in the WRONG place at the WRONG time, even if the Scarlets Knights are a little short-handed. Rutgers has made "the RAC" (Rutgers Athletic Center) ONE tough venue, having gone a 'sweet' 23-2 SU since the start of last season. Lay the reasonable price! Good luck...Larry |
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12-28-20 | Colorado v. Arizona -2 | Top | 74-88 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
My 9* CBB Oddsmaker's Game of the Month is on Arizona at 9:30 ET. Tad Boyle is in his 1th season at Colorado and despite losing the 6-7 Tyler Bey (13.8 *& 9.0) to the NBA (he played center), Boyle has his Buffs off to a 6-1 start as Colorado opens its Pac 12 schedule with this game in Arizona against the Wildcats. While Colorado is a veteran team, the 6-1 Wildcats, who lost their Pac 12 opener 78-75 at Stanford on Dec 19, have FIVE new starters. PG Wright flirted with the NBA draft but returned to Boulder and is averaging 16.3-4.7-5.9. Wright is surrounded by veterans, such as the 7-0 Dallas Walton (10.3), the 6-8 Evan Battey (8.7 & 4.9) and the 6-7 Jeriah Horn (a Tulsa graduate transfer), who adds 11.4 & 6.0. A quartet of guards combine to add about 26 PPG. Sean Miller has had some off the court issues the last few seasons and saw THREE freshmen from last year go the 'One and Done' route. PG Mannion (14.0 & 5.3 APG), Green (12.0 & 4.6) and big man Nnaji (16.1 & 8.6). Arizona is led by guard Jemarl Baker (15.4 PPG / 45.5 percent from three-point range) and Georgetown transfer James Akinjo (13.4 & 4.7 APG). The 6-11 Jordan Brown (10.7 & 6.9) is a Nevada transfer. Miller made a lineup change against Montana (most recent game, taking out 7-footer Christian Koloko (4.1 & 5.3) and inserting the more offensive-minded Azoulas Tubelis (7.6 & 5.0). The 6-11 freshman was a force on both ends with eight points, nine rebounds, three assists, three steals and two blocks. Newcomer Mathurin (from Canada) has added 9.9 & 4.6 off the bench. Here's the bottom line. The Buffs won't have to face the usual sold-out crowd at McKale Center, as Arizona is playing without fans as part of its COVID-19 protocols. However, since joining the Pac 12 in for the 2011-12 season, the Buffs have NEVER won at McKale Center. Why should it be any different here and at this price, an Arizona win almost GUARANTEES a cover. That's my bet! Good luck...Larry |
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12-28-20 | Michigan State -2.5 v. Minnesota | Top | 56-81 | Loss | -111 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
My 10* Game of the Week is on Michigan St at 8:00 ET. Michigan State opened as the AP's No. 8 team in its preseason poll and began the season 6-0, a start which included an impressive 75-69 win at then-No. 6 Duke. However, after that undefeated start in non-conference play, the Spartans have dropped their first two conference games. They got blindsided by Northwestern 79-65 on Dec 20 and then got outplayed in the second half of an 85-76 home loss to No 9 Wisconsin this past Friday. The now 12th-ranked Spartans (new poll comes out later today and MSU will SURELY drop) play at Minnesota (8-1 / 1-1 in Big Ten) in Minneapolis on Monday. The Golden Gophers have cracked the 90-point mark in THREE of their last four outings, including a 102-95 upset of No. 4 Iowa in overtime on Friday. Michigan State trailed by double digits throughout the second half against Northwestern and was outscored 43-34 in the second half by Wisconsin. "We did do some really good things," Spartans head coach Tom Izzo said. "We played harder, and were, I thought, much more in-tune to the game. We just made some mistakes when it was a two to three point game in those last four minutes and just couldn't get it done. So I'm disappointed, but I feel like we took a step forward." Michigan St lost its two best players from last season's team to the NBA Draft, as PG Winston (18.6 & 5.9 APG) was taken by the Wizards and the 6-8 Tillman (13.7 & 10.3) by the Grizzlies 6-9 junior forward Joey Hauser, a transfer from Marquette, leads the team averaging 14.0 & 8.6. and was terrific in the loss to Wisconsin, with 27 points and seven rebounds. Joining him in the frontcourt are two returning players, the 6-7 Brown and the 6-6 Henry. Brown has averaged 9.5 PPG, while Henry has chipped in 12,0-5.5-4.6. Sophomore PG Watts (10.9 & 4.6 APG) steps in for Winston plus veteran guard Langford (8.1) joins him on the perimeter. Langford is FINALLY healthy and is back on the court this season, having last played in December of 2018. 6-7 sophomore Hall averages 6.5 & 5.5 and guard Loyer adds 6.4. MSU is NOT lacking for talent! Richard Pitino is in his eighth season at Minnesota. He led the Gophers to the NIT championship in his first season (2013-14) but over the last six seasons, Minnesota has made just two NCAA appearances (2017 and 2019), while going a combined 56-71 (.441) over the other four. However, Season No. 8 has begun well, as the Golden Gophers are now 8-1 after their win over No. 4 Iowa. Marcus Carr scored 30 points and Brandon Johnson had 26 off the bench, including an 8-for-9 performance on three-pointers. "He was just confident and came in ready to go," Pitino said of Johnson. "He got a lot of rhythm shots and he knocked them down with confidence. That confidence and that momentum built. He is a very skilled player and he's just been a little bit hobbled with injuries, but he is getting healthy. He provided in a huge way for us." PG Carr (24.6-3.8-6.2) ranks with the best in the nation and has been aided by THREE transfers, 7-0 Liam Robbins (12.6 & 6.6) from Drake, the 6-6 Gach (12.3 & 6.0( from Utah and Johnson (8.5 & 5.5) from Western Michigan. Plus, don't dismiss returning junior guard Kalescheur, who's adding 9.4 PPG. Minnesota is a 'tough 'out' at Williams Arena and while it's still only December, I view this as a "must win" for Izzo and his team. We all know that "must win" doesn't always translate to "will win" but in this case, it DOES! Good luck...Larry |
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12-26-20 | Virginia +9 v. Gonzaga | Top | 75-98 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
My 9* Ultimate Underdog is on Virginia at 4:00 ET. No. 1 Gonzaga (6-0) will take on No. 16 Virginia (4-1) late Saturday afternoon in Fort Worth, Tx. Issues with COVID-19 have wiped out Virginia's opportunities to test itself against perennial powers Michigan State, Villanova and Florida but this game with the Bulldogs will provide an even bigger test. Gonzaga knows all about virus issues as well, as the Bulldogs had a 17-day layoff due to COVID-19 concerns, before their 99-88 win over then-No. 3 Iowa last Saturday. The nation's top team then played back-to-back home games Monday and Tuesday against Northwestern State, winning by a combined 55-points (note: Gonzaga was 0-2 ATS!). This non-conference neutral-site game was added to the schedule on Dec 17. Mark Few has done everything but win a national championship since taking over the Gonzaga program for the 1999-2000 season. He has led the Bulldogs to the NCAA Tournament in every season during his tenure as head coach and holds the record for the most consecutive tournament appearances since starting as head coach at 21! His career record at Gonzaga was 599-124 (.828) entering this season, which is an average of 28.5 wins per season. Is this Gonzaga's year to "win it all?" UVa's Tony Bennett HAS "won it all!" He came to Charlottesville to begin the 2009-10 season and in his first two years at the school went 15-16 and 16-15. Enough of that! It's been NINE straight seasons of 20-plus wins since, including four seasons of 30-plus wins. Bennett and UVa lost to UMBC in the opening round of the 2018 NCAA tournament, becoming the first time since expansion in 1985 that a No. 1 seed lost to a No. 16 one, However, the Cavs came back to win the title in 2019, as ESPN called Virginia's championship run "the most redemptive season in the history of college basketball," and NBC Sports took it a step further by calling it "the greatest redemption story in the history of sports." UVa was 23-7 when the season was shut down last March. The Bulldogs hated to see Filip Petrusev (17.5 & 7.9), last season's West Coast Conference Player of the Year, decide to forgo his final two years of eligibility to pursue a professional career overseas but SF small Corey Kispert (13.9 & 4.0), a preseason All-American, and guard Joel Ayayi (10.6-6.3-3.2) both return. Few has recruited a talented freshman class, one which includes guard Jalen Suggs, a top-10 prospect who is the program's highest-ranked recruit ever. Kispet is averaging 20.8 & 5.0. Ayayi 9.7 & 7.5 and freshman Suggs has been "as good as advertised," with a line of 16.3-5.7-5.8. 6-10 sophomore Timme (9.8 & 5.4 LY) has blossomed (20.3 & 7.5 TY) plus Florida transfer Newbhard (9.7-3.7-3.8) has been a great addition in the backcourt. UVa lost the 6-9 Diakite (13.7 & 6.8) and 6-8 big guard Key (9.9 & 7.4) but this year's team has NINE players who have participated in all five games, chipping in between 4.6 and 13.4 PPG. Three are averaging in double digits, 6-8 Marquette transfer Sam Hauser (13.4 & 6.0), the returning 7-1 Hall (11.6 & 6.2) and 6-9 Trey Murphy (11.6). 6-11 freshman Kadin Shedrick had 10 points and a team-high seven rebounds in 14 minutes off the bench in UVa's 76-40 home victory against William & Mary this past Tuesday, as the Cavaliers returned from an 18-day layoff. The Cavaliers have won three straight since that shocking loss to San Francisco and are once again playing their signature brand of defense, holding opponents to just 54.0 PPG on 36.3 percent shooting so far this season. However, how will it match up against a Gonzaga team that ranks third in the nation with 94.7 PPG and is shooting 55.1 percent from the floor? Let's ask Bennett. "When you play a team as talented and explosive as Gonzaga, I don't know what prepares you for that," Bennett said. "I know how good they are, and I know what we'll have to do at a very high level to be in a game like that and make it competitive and hopefully be successful." FYI...When Bennett coached at Washington State from 2006-09, his Cougars were 2-1 against Gonzaga. Upset Alert? Maybe that's a stretch but I am sure taking the points! Good luck...Larry |
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12-26-20 | Indiana v. Illinois -7 | Top | 60-69 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show |
My 10* Weekend Wipeout is on Illinois at 4:00 ET. Archie Miller spent six years at Dayton, winning 20-plus games in five seasons. Over his final four at the school, the Flyers averaged 25.5 wins per season and went to four straight NCAA tourneys. He got the Indiana job beginning with the 2017-18 season and was just 16-15 and 19-16. However, last year's team was 20-12 before the season was "called off!" Gone from that team are Devontae Green (13.5 & 8.4) who graduated and the 6-7 Justin Smith (10.4 & 5.2), who transferred to Arkansas. Brad Underwood had a great three-year run at SF Austin (three straight NCAA bids) before making a one-year 'pit stop' in Stillwater, where he led Oklahoma St to an NCAA bid. Illinois "came calling" in March of 2017 when it fired John Groce and Underwood's first two seasons were duds (14-18 and 12-21). However, behind outstanding guard Dosunmu and 7-0 freshman Cockburn, the Illini were 21-10 when last season was shut down. Illinois opened the current season No. 8 in the AP's preseason poll but so far, it has NOT been 'smooth sailing.' More in a bit. This year's Indiana team is led by the 6-9 Jackson-Davis (21.1 & 8.6) and the 6-8 Thompson (10.5 & 6.8). The backcourt is led by sophomore Franklin (12.3), senior Durham (8.7-4.3) and junior Phinisee (7.0). With just 11 weeks to complete their 20-game league schedules, there's precious little time for Big Ten teams to celebrate victories and, more important, solve problems that spring up during defeats. Case in point is Indiana. Barely 10 hours after suffering a 74-67 home loss to Northwestern in their Big Ten opener on Wednesday, the Hoosiers (5-3, 0-1) were back on the practice floor at 9 a.m. Christmas Eve, before taking a bus ride on Christmas Day for today's 4 p.m. ET game at No. 18 Illinois (6-3, 2-1). In Dosunmu (23.4-7.8-5.2), Illinois features one of the top guards in the nation plus center Cockburn's sophomore season is going great, as he's averaging 17.4 & 9.3.Dosunmu is joined in the backcourt by veterans Curbelo (10.4 & 4.3 APG), Frazier (9.6) and Williams (6.4 & 5.3) plus freshman Miller (9.8). The 6-9 Bezhanishvili (7.1 & 3.7) rounds out the main contributors. Here's what I said about Illinois in taking them on Wednesday as my Game of the Week. "Illinois completes a rollercoaster 22-day span (Dec 2-23) in which the Fighting Illini lost to No. 2 Baylor, won at then-No. 10 Duke, lost their Braggin' Rights game at now-No. 14 Missouri (5-0) and now plays a dangerous Penn St team in Happy Valley. It's time for Illinois to 'step up' and prove it's a top-10 team!" The Illini did just that pulling away from Penn St in the second half for a 98-81 win. The Fighting Illini, like the Hoosiers, are back on the court after Wednesday games but Illinois was able to come back home and have Christmas Eve and Christmas Day 'at home' in Champaign-Urbana, while the Hoosiers practiced Christmas Eve morning and then took that Christmas Day bus ride, "B-L-O-W-O-U-T" Alert! Good luck...Larry |
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12-25-20 | Maryland v. Purdue -5.5 | Top | 70-73 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 40 m | Show |
My 9* Situational Stunner is on Purdue at 2:30 ET. he NBA has 'owned' Christmas Day in recent years but the Big Ten has decided in this 'Year of COVID' to 'crash the party.' In fact, COVID sparked the move. Typically, the NCAA upholds a rule requiring three days off around Christmas but the organization waived the regulation as various teams remain on campus amid the COVID-19 pandemic. So, Big Ten hoops will play FOUR Christmas games that feature four ranked teams. The lone game without a ranked opponent in this Christmas 'grand slam' is 5-2 Maryland visiting West Lafayette to take on 6-3 Purdue. Maryland is 0-1 to open Big Ten play and Purdue is 1-1. Mark Turgeon coached Wichita St for seven years, before leading Texas A&M to four straight NCAA tournaments in four years going 97-40. He joined Maryland when it was still in the ACC but its move to the Big Ten has been good for the basketball program, as over the last six seasons the Terps have won 20-plus games in five seasons (exception was a 19-win season), making four NCAA tourneys (would have been five, as Maryland was 24-7 when the season was shut down last year). PG Cowan (16.3 & 4.7 APG) and big man Jalen Smith (15.5 & 10.5) are gone but the Terps have a deep backcourt, Ayala (14.6) and Hart (10.6) lead the way, supported by Wiggins (10.0-4.6-3.1) and Morsell (7.8 & 5.1). Up front, it's the 6-7 Scott (12.7 & 7.1) and 6-8 BC transfer Hamilton (8.3 & 3.4). Purdue head coach Matt Painter's lone loss of note from last season's team was the 7-3 Haarms (8.6 & 4.6), who went to BYU as a graduate transfer. The team's "Big Three" are all returning players, senior PG Hunter (12.2 & 4.0 APG) plus juniors like the 6-10 Williams (13.8 & 9.7) and SG Stefanovic (12.2 & 4.0 APG). 7-4 freshman Edey (10.3 & 3.9) has made all forget about Haarms plus freshman guard Newman (9.3) just barely misses double digits in scoring. Depth is provided by four players chipping a combined 21 PPG. Maryland is coming off a win over La Salle on Tuesday but that hardly 'wipes away' the team's back-to-back losses to Clemson and Rutgers. The Terps were routed 67-51 at Clemson in the ACC/Big Ten Challenge and then lost 74-60 at home to now-No. 11 Rutgers 74-60 in its Big Ten opener. Purdue saw a three-game winning streak end at No. 4 Iowa on Tuesday, losing 70-55 to the Hawkeyes. I had Iowa in that one and noted that Purdue was in the WRONG place at the WRONG time, as Iowa was coming off a loss to No.1 Gonzaga. This is a HUGE game for Purdue, as it plays THREE of its next four games (all in the Big Ten) on the road. The Boilermakers will be on the road at No. 11 Rutgers and then at No. 18 Illinois, before getting a home game with Nebraska and then going back on the road at No. 12 Michigan St. The LAST thing Purdue needs here is a home loss to Maryland to kick off that stretch. Maryland has been AWFUL in its two biggest tests this season so far, averaging just 55.5 PPG on 36.9% shooting in losses to Clemson and Rutgers. What changes here in a Christmas Day visit to Mackey Arena? I say NOTHING! Goods luck...Larry |
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12-25-20 | Wisconsin v. Michigan State +2 | Top | 85-76 | Loss | -109 | 24 h 44 m | Show |
My 10* Big Ten Game of the Year is on Michigan St at 12:30 ET. Big Ten basketball has 'taken over' Christmas Day with a 'grand slam' of games, featuring FOUR ranked teams. The '4-pack' tips off at 12:30 ET with No. 9 Wisconsin (7-1, 1-0 Big Ten) heading to East Lansing to take on No. 12 Michigan State (6-1 / 0-1 Big Ten). Wisconsin lone loss has come 67-65 at Marquette and owns a home blowout win 85-48 over then-No. 23 Louisville on Dec 19 (Cards only loss this season). Michigan St earned a 75-69 'marquee' win at then-No. 6 Duke back on Dec 1 but came into this contest off an embarrassing 79-65 at Northwestern this past Sunday. Wisconsin has a had a terrific basketball program for decades and Greg Gard enters his sixth season at Madison, having had FOUR 20-win season in his first five. The Badgers start FIVE seniors, guards Davison (11.3), and Trice (11.0) plus the 6-10 Potter (13.4 & 7.3), the 6-11 Reuvers (10.9 & 3.9) and the 6-8 Ford (9.1 & 4.0). 6-5 freshman Davis (7.9 & 5.1) and 6-9 sophomore (4.8 & 4.5) are both averaging about 21 MPG off the bench. Wisconsin plays stifling defense, holding opponents to 57.5 PPG on 36.2 percent shooting overall. You may just have heard of MSU head coach Tom Izzo, who was disgusted with his team's performance at Northwestern. The Spartans were dominated by the unheralded Wildcats, 79-65, trailing by double digits throughout the second half. "Obviously still disappointed, not by the loss but just by how we played," Izzo said. "And yet, I'm going to look myself in the mirror and say, ‘You know what, there's going to be some ups and downs and there's going to be some mind-boggling days when you just say, ‘What's going on?' " Michigan St lost its two best players from last season's team to the NBA Draft, as PG Winston (18.6 & 5.9 APG) was taken by the Wizards and the 6-8 Tillman (13.7 & 10.3) by the Grizzlies. 6-9 junior forward Joey Hauser, a transfer from Marquette, leads the team averaging 12.1 & 8.9. Joining him in the frontcourt are two returning players, the 6-7 Brown and the 6-6 Henry. Brown has averaged 10.6 PPG, while Henry has chipped in 12,0-5.4-4.9. Sophomore PG Watts (11.7 & 4.3 APG) steps in for Winston plus veteran guard Langford (8.2) joins him on the perimeter. Langford is FINALLY healthy and is back on the court this season, having last played in December of 2018. 6-7 sophomore Hall averages 6.7 & 6.0, so Michigan St matches up well with the Badgers. Best of all, what team would want a Christmas Day visit to Breslin Center to face an Izzo-coached team off an embarrassing loss. I know Wisconsin will put on a 'brave face' but this just in, the Badgers have dropped 12 straight in East Lansing, with their last victory there coming back to 2004. No margin to cover here and it's Michigan St by double digits! Good luck...Larry |
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12-23-20 | Illinois -4 v. Penn State | Top | 98-81 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show |
My 10* Game of the Week is on Illinois at 6:30 ET. Brad Underwood had a great three-year run at SF Austin (three straight NCAA bids) before making a one-year 'pit stop' in Stillwater, where he led Oklahoma St to an NCAA bid. Illinois "came calling in March of 2017 when it fired John Groce and Underwood's first two seasons were duds (14-18 and 12-21). However, behind outstanding guard Dosunmu and 7-0 freshman Cockburn, the Illini were 21-10 when last season was shut down. Illinois opened the current season No. 8 in the AP's preseason poll but so far, it has NOT been 'smooth sailing.' Penn St was also 21-10 last season but the Nittany Lions went through some turmoil right as practices started when head coach Pat Chambers resigned in late October following an investigation into inappropriate conduct. Penn State interim head coach Jim Ferry led the Nittany Lions to an impressive 75-55 road win over then-No. 15 Virginia Tech on Dec 8 but this past Sunday lost 62-58 at Michigan (Wolverines are 6-0 and ranked 25th). Dosunmu (22.6-8.0-5.30 is one of the top guards in the nation and Cockburn's sophomore season is going great, as he's averaging 16.8 & 9.8.Dosunmu is joined in the backcourt by freshman Miller (10.4) plus fellow guards Frazier (9.9), Curbelo (9.9-3.4-3.9), and Williams (6.9 & 5.8). The 6-9 Bezhanishvili (7.0 & 3.8) completes the main contributors. Penn St surely misses All-Big Ten forward Lamar Stevens (17.6 & 6.9) but the Nittany Lions have four players averaging in double figures; the 6-7 Seth Lundy (14.4) and 6-7 Izaiah Brockington (14.0 & 5.6) plus two guards that can play the point, Sam Sessoms (11.8 & 3.5 APG) and Myreon Jones (11.8 & 3.3 APG), when PG Wheeler (5.8-4.0-4.6) needs a break. The 6-9 Harrar (7.6 & 7.0) is the team's leading rebounder. Illinois completes a rollercoaster 22-day span (Dec 2-23) in which the Fighting Illini lost to No. 2 Baylor, won at then-No. 10 Duke, lost their Braggin' Rights game at now-No. 14 Missouri (5-0) and now plays a dangerous Penn St team in Happy Valley. It's time for Illinois to "step up" and prove it's a top-10 team (despite a 5-3 record, Illinois is still ranked 18th) or it will be a sad Christmas in Champaign-Urbana. I'm in. Good luck...Larry |
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12-22-20 | Purdue v. Iowa -6.5 | Top | 55-70 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
My 9* Weekly Wipeout is on Iowa at 9:00 ET. The Iowa Hawkeyes won their first six games by an average of 32 points but were outclassed by top-ranked Gonzaga (99-88) this past Saturday at Sioux Falls, SD. Iowa's (6-1) first loss of the current season only dropped them one spot in the AP poll, from No. 3 to No. 4. Iowa welcomes Purdue (6-2) to Hawkeye-Carver Arena tonight well-aware that the Boilermakers may be unranked but they are dangerous. Purdue (6-2, 1-0 Big Ten) enters tonight's game with the momentum of three straight victories, including Wednesday's 67-60 home triumph over then-No. 20 Ohio State in its Big Ten opener and Saturday's 78-68 victory over Notre Dame on a neutral floor in Indianapolis. Head coach Matt Painter's lone loss of note from last season's team was the 7-3 Haarms (8.6 & 4.6), who went to BYU as a graduate transfer. The team's "Big Three" are all returning player in senior PG Hunter (14.3 & 3.8 APG) plus juniors like the 6-10 Williams (13.8 & 9.8) and SG Stefanovic (12.5).7-4 freshman Edey (11.3 & 4.3) has made all forget about Haarms plus freshman guard Newman (9.1) just barely misses double digits in scoring. Depth is provided by four players chipping in between 5.0 and 6.7 PPG. Iowa's 6-11 Luka Garza was named Preseason P-O-Y by many and hasn't disappointed. He's averaging 29.3 PPG, 9.1 RPG and 2.3 blocked shots while shooting 69.6 percent from the floor. He had 30 points on 13-of-18 shooting, 10 rebounds and three rejections against the Bulldogs. Garza has four 30-points efforts this season with a high of 41. Two senior guards join him in the starting lineup in Wieskamp (15.9 & 6.3) and Bohannon (6.6 & 4.9 APG). The 6-11 Nunge (10.6 & 6.8) comes off the bench plus FIVE more players contribute regularly, led by sophomore guard Fredrick (9.3). Purdue is a solid defensive team in allowing just 65.0 PPG but will attempt to slow down an Iowa attack scoring 98.7 PPG (1st in the nation) on 50.3% shooting. The Hawkeyes have topped 100 points three times already and their 88 against Gonzaga represents a season low. Purdue is a perfect 5-0 when its defense holds opponents to a field goal percentage of 41.3 percent or less and my thought here is, "good luck with that at Iowa." The Hawkeyes have turned the ball over on just 12.7 percent of their possessions, the fourth-lowest mark in all of Division I. Great bounce-back spot for Iowa here and don't think that the Hawkeyes are NOT aware that the Boilermakers are seeking their FIFTH consecutive victory over the Hawkeyes. Lay the points and expect an Iowa R-O-U-T! Good luck...Larry |
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12-22-20 | St. Mary's v. San Diego State -2.5 | Top | 49-74 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
My 10* Non-Conference Game of the Year "Best of the Best" is on San Diego St at 9:00 ET. The St Mary's Gaels dropped their season opener, 73-56, to Memphis at Sioux Falls, SD back on Nov 25 but will take on San Diego Tuesday night on an EIGHT-game winning streak. The San Diego St Aztecs opened their season 5-0 and reached No. 18 in the AP poll but a 72-62 Friday night home loss to BYU saw SDSU fall from the new AP rankings, which were released yesterday. Randy Bennett has been head coach at St Mary's since the 2001-02 season and entered this season with a 440-1982 (.707) record. The Gaels posted their 13th season of 20-plus wins last year, as they were 26-8 when COVID shut things down. Would the Gaels have gotten an NCAA bid? Bennett and his various teams know all about NCAA snubs, as SIX times in the previous 12 seasons, his team had been denied an NCAA bid despite seasons of 28, 25, 23, 21, 29 and 30 wins. No Kidding! Gone from last year are guard Ford (21.9), forward Fitts (16.5 & 7.1) and guard Krebs (9.1). However, is "winning as usual" for 8-1 St Mary's, as senior Guard Kushe, who averaged just 5.9 PPG last season, is averaging 15.4-3.8-6.3 so far this season. Junior guard Johnson (1.4 PPG last season) is averaging 8.2 & 3.8, while returning players like the 6-10 Tass (10.2 & 4.3) and the 6-7 Fotu (7.9 & 4.9) are holding up their ends. Aussie guard Ducas averaged just 3.6 PPG last season but adds 10.9 & 5.3 so far this season. Brian Dutcher has more than 30 years of coaching experience, including 18 seasons as an assistant to Steve Fisher, first at Michigan and then at San Diego St. Dutcher joined then-interim coach Fisher in 1989 when Michigan won the national championship. Dutcher was named San Diego State's "head coach in waiting" in 2011. Following Fisher's decision to retire, Dutcher was formally named as his replacement on April 11, 2017. The Aztecs won 22 and 21 games in his first two seasons but last season, the team opened 26-0 with impressive road/neutral site wins over BYU, Creighton, Iowa, and Utah State. SD State finished 30-2 and ranked No. 6 when the season shut down. Dutcher brought in transfers Malachi Flynn, Yanni Wetzell, K.J. Feagin, and Trey Pulliam, to mesh with returnees Matt Mitchell, Jordan Shackel, Nathan Mensah, and Adam Sieko, as the Aztecs put together one of their best seasons in program history last year. However, the Aztecs lost MWC player-of-the-year Malachi Flynn (17.6-4.5-3.1) to the NBA while Yanni Wetzell (11.6 & 6.5) transferred to Vandy and Feagin (9.1) has finished up his time with the program. The good news for Dutcher is that Matt Mitchell (12.2 & 4.8) flirted with the NBA draft but returned and is averaging 16.3 & 3.8. Jordan Schakel is second with 13.2 PPG, as NINE players are averaging between 5.0 and Mitchell's team-leading 16.3 PPG. The 6-10 Mensah (8.8 & & 7.2) and the 6-6 Arop (5.6 & 4.4) have been the top frontcourt contributors. Mitchell did all he could for San Diego State in the defeat against BYU. The Aztecs trailed by as many as 17 points and were down by 14 with 5:20 remaining, but Mitchell scored a career-best 35, including a dunk with 1:57 to play to make the score 61-61. However, San Diego State scored just ONE more point the rest of the way. St Mary's is obviously no pushover but other than Memphis (lone loss) and Northern Iowa, the Gaels' early schedule has hardly been challenging. St Mary's is in the WRONG place at the WRONG time tonight, catching SDSU off its first loss. That game is being played on the Cal State San Luis Obispo campus (neutral site) but that won't help. Aztecs bounce-back in a "big way." Good luck...Larry |
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12-20-20 | St. Louis v. Minnesota +3 | Top | 82-90 | Win | 100 | 15 h 50 m | Show |
My 9* Situational Stunner is on Minnesota at 8:30 ET. The Minnesota Golden Gophers (6-1, 0-1 Big Ten) will host the St Louis Billikens on Sunday in Minneapolis. The Golden Gophers are looking to bounce back from losing their Big Ten opened 92-65 at No. 13 Illinois on Tuesday. Meanwhile, the Billikens are coming off of an 80-69 victory over North Carolina State on Thursday, giving them a 6-0 start to the season. Travis Ford spent eight seasons at Oklahoma St and had five seasons of 20-plus wins (also five NCAA tourney appearances) but after the Cowboys went 12-20 (3-15 in the Big 12) in 2015-16, he and school mutually decided to part ways. He replaced Jim Crews at St Louis, which was coming off an 11-21 season. Not much changed in Year 1 (12-21) but after a 17-16 sophomore season, Ford's Billikens have gone 23-13 and 23-8 the last two seasons. All FIVE starters are back this season. Richard Pitino is in his eighth season at Minnesota. He led the Gophers to the NIT championship in his first season (2013-14) but over the last six seasons, Minnesota has made just two NCAA appearances (2017 and 2019), while going a combined 56-71 (.441) over the other four. However, Season No. 8 opened 6-0, before catching Illinois at the WRONG time Place (had just lost 81-78 to Missouri in its Braggin' Rights series). St Louis is led by a quartet of excellent guards. Perkins is averaging 19.5 PPG, Goodwin 15.7 PPG and despite being just 6-3, leads the team in rebounding with 11.0 per game (both are seniors). Sophomore guard Jimerson adds 13.2 PPG plus PG Collins runs the show, adding 7.5 PPG but 7.3 APG. 6-7 senior French did not play the first two games but is rounding back into form (averaged 12.4 & 10.4 last season), averaging 8.3 & 8.3. St Louis is shooting 'lights' out' at 52.7% (8th), while averaging 87.8 PPG (21st). Minnesota PG Carr (22.7-4.0-5.9) ranks with the best in the nation but while the Gophers won their first six games in getting big contributions from freshman Jamal Mashburn Jr. and transfers Both Gach, Liam Robbins and Brandon Johnson, that group shot a combined 6 of 32 shots (18.8%) from the floor vs Illinois. However, Illinois is a VERY good team, so let's give them a 'pass.' After all, the 6-6 Gach is averaging 13.3-5.7-3.6, the 7-0 Robbins 12.1 & 6.9 and the 6-8 Johnson 7.0 & 5.7. Don't dismiss junior guard Kalescheur, who's adding 9.3 PPG. St Louis is "hitting on all cylinders" but is on the road for the FIRST time this season and note that Minnesota is a perfect 6-0 at Williams Arena this season. The Billikens beat Indiana State at home 78-59 on Tuesday night, then hastily prepared to host North Carolina State on Thursday. That game was a last-minute addition to the schedule, replacing a COVID-19 cancellation. This trip to Minneapolis comes at the end of a BUSY week and with the Gophers looking to "make amends" for their shellacking at Illinois, it's the "perfect situation" to take Minnesota (a few points are just a bonus). Good luck...Larry |
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12-20-20 | Georgetown v. St. John's -4 | Top | 83-94 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
My 10* Conference Game of the Year (Big East) is on St John's at 6:30 ET. Georgetown-St. John's has been a GREAT rivalry but the last time the two schools played on their respective campuses was in the 1980-81 season (when the teams moved on to big arenas). That was THEN and this is NOW! 40 years later in the era of COVID-19 and a limit on crowd size, the two longtime rivals have gone home. These two played a wild game a week ago at Georgetown's McDonough Arena and will conclude the season series Sunday night at Carnesecca Arena on the campus of St. John's in Jamaica, NY. St. John's held a seven-point lead with less than three minutes left in regulation on Dec 13, but needed to force overtime on a layup by Greg Williams. The Red Storm took a four-point lead in overtime before allowing a game-ending 8-1 run to lose 97-94. Patrick Ewing is in his fourth season as Georgetown's head coach (49-46 entering this season) and the Hoyas are off to an uneven start (3-3, 1-1 Big East). The 7-0 Yutseven (15.5 & 9.8) has moved on plus McClung (15.7) transferred to Texas Tech, where he's averaging 5.0 PPG. Ewing's 'Core 4' are playing between 27 and 37 MPG and doing almost all the work. Returning seniors Blair (18.7-4.3-3.20 and the 6-8 Pickett (13.3 & 9.0) lead in scoring and rebounding, respectively. 6-1 sophomore Wahab (12.2 & 7.8) has really improved from last season plus 6-5 graduate transfer (from Siena) Cary is averaging 9.8 & 5.2. Georgetown is averaging a modest 75.3 PPG but allows almost the same amount (73.0 PPG). St John's is coached by Mike Anderson, who is in his second season in Queens. He's had success wherever he's been, going 89-41 in four years at UAB, 111-57 in five years at Missouri and 169-102 in eight years at Arkansas. Anderson took over a recently struggling St John's program last season and went 17-15, giving him his 18th consecutive winning season as a head coach (zero losing seasons). Anderson lost LJ Figueroa (14.5 & 4.5) to Oregon but THREE newcomers have already made HUGE contributions. Vince Cole is a 6-5 two-time junior-college All-American and is averaging 11.1 PPG, freshman guard Posh Alexander averages 10.1 & 4.3 APG and 6-10 JC transfer Isaih Moore (but with a 7-6 wingspan) has chipped in with 10.2 PPG and 5.8 RPG. There's all sorts of depth in the backcourt with Williams (11.4) and freshman Addae-Wusu (5.7). However, the team's star is 6-8 wing Julian Champagnie (9.9 & 6.5 last season). He missed the first games but is averaging 20.3 & 7.3 over the last seven. St John's is averaging a healthy 81.3 PPPG but when a team is allowing 80.0 PPG (304th), its 5-4 start is NOT surprising. Anderson's teams are typically known for defense and allowed 71.6 PPG in the 2019-20 season. "We are still waiting to get the blue collar out of our basketball team," said Anderson. "Our guys last year, they took pride in their defense. Truth be told, we have got some of the same guys and we just need them to get all connected." It's time to 'connect' right here, after losing at Georgetown in a game St John's 'had in hand!' That loss and the team's 0-3 start in Big Eats should be a HUGE motivating factor. Expect St John's to roll! Good luck...Larry |
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12-19-20 | Cincinnati v. Georgia +2 | Top | 68-83 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
My 9* Oddsmaker's Error is on Georgia at 8:00 ET. John Brannen led Northern Kentucky to a 72-30 record in his final three seasons, leading the Norse to the "Big Dance" in two of those three years. He was hired at Cincy on April 14, 2019 when Mick Cronin left for UCLA. The Bearcats went 20-10 in last year's pandemic-shortened season. Cincy is missing guards Jarron Cumberland (15.5) and Jaevin Cumberland (8.8) plus forward Tre Scott (11.4 & 10.5). The Bearcats were one of the last teams in Division I to start their season, not taking the floor until Dec 2. They head to Athens, Ga for a non-league game with 6-0 Georgia off the SEC. Tom Crean spent nine seasons at Marquette and nine more at Indiana, before landing in Georgia. The Bulldogs have gone 11-21 and 16-16 in his first two seasons, plus lost Edwards (19.1 & 5.2) and forward Hammonds (12.8 & 7.4) to the NBA off last year's team. Edwards was the NBA's overall No. 1 pick. The Bearcats have excellent balance but senior guard Williams (14.6) is the lone player in double digits. Fellow guards DeJulius (9.4-5.04.8), a Michigan transfer DeJulius, and Adams-Woods (8.2) join him in the backcourt. Returning 7-1 center Vogt (9.0 & 4.4) is joined up front by the 6-10 Ivanauskas (a Colgate transfer), who is averaging 7.6 & 5.2, plus 6-8 freshman Eason (6.4 & 5.8). Cincy is just NOT putting enough points on the board (68.2 PPG ranks 243rd) and that's why they've lost at home to Xavier plus on the road at Tennessee. What Crean has done at Georgia is recruit well and create interest in the program, as Georgia set a school record with 11 crowds of more than 190,000 fans last year (of course, that will be moot this season). Sophomore PG Wheeler (14.8-4.4-8.6) is off to an excellent start and is joined by FIVE more double digit scorers. 6-8 sophomore Camara has added 14.3 & 8.0 plus George Mason transfer Kier (11.8-5.0-5.8) joins Wheeler and junior guard Fagan (10.4 & 5.8) for a nice backcourt trio. Joining Camara up front are 6-6 Stony Brook transfer Garcia (11.4) and 6-6 Va Tech transfer Horne (10.0 & 3.8). It could be said that this is Georgia's first real test but is it? Cincinnati is coming off a 74-71 loss to South Florida in its AAC opener on Wednesday. "Our inability to be tough -- we're plugging one hole and another hole is opening," Cincinnati coach John Brannen told reporters after his team lost to the Bulls. "That's a sign of a mediocre team. If we're going to become a really good team, we have to foundationally get some things fixed first." Don't believe for a second that a 'fix' comes here in Athens. Just why aren't the Bulldogs a favorite in this one? Good luck...Larry |
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12-19-20 | UCLA v. Ohio State +2.5 | Top | 70-77 | Win | 100 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on Ohio St at 4:15 ET. The CBS Sports Classic men's basketball doubleheader is being held in Cleveland. 5-1 UCLA and No. 20 Ohio State (also 5-1) hook up in the nightcap, following a game between North Carolina and Kentucky in the earlier game. Just as a reminder as to where we are in college hoops this season, UCLA was supposed to be facing Kentucky on Saturday with Ohio State meeting North Carolina, but the schedule was adjusted this week since UCLA and Ohio State have COVID-19 protocols that better align. "You can't make this stuff up!" Mick Cronin made NINE consecutive NCAA Tourney appearances at Cincy, as his Bearcats posted a 235-78 (.751) record in that span. He moved to Westwood last season and his Bruins got better as the year progressed and were playing their best ball when the season was shut down. The Bruins were 19-12, including a 12-6 Pac-12 record, good enough to get the No. 2 seed in the conference tournament. UCLA lost its opener at San Diego St but have won FIVE straight since. Chris Holtmann took over at Butler for Brad Stevens and went 70-31 win three seasons, each ending with an NCAA tourney berth. He took the Ohio St job beginning in 2017-18 and strung together three straight 20-win seasons but was denied a third straight NCAA bid when last season was shut down. Ohio St opened 5-0 and moved the 20th in the AP poll but is coming off a 67-60 road loss at Purdue on Wednesday. UCLA brought back almost its entire team from last year, only losing Prince Ali (6.8 PPG) as a graduating senior. 6-9 guard Chris Smith (13.2 & 7.0) has seen fellow guard Jaquez (14.8 & 6.0) take over the scoring lead, with both followed closely by PG Campbell (12.5 & 7.2 APG). The 6-10 Hill and 6-9 Riley are the team's two-best frontcourt players, with Riley averaging 9.8 & 5.0 and Hill joining the fray after missing the season's first two games to average 8.8 & 7.8. 6-6 Kentucky transfer Johnny Juzang missed the first four games with a right foot injury but has averaged 9.5 PPG the last two games in just 23.0 MPG. Ohio State's best player is the 6-7 Liddell (15.5 & 7.5) but didn't play in the loss to Purdue (COVID-19 precautions). 6-8 Harvard graduate transfer Seth Towns (15.8 & 5.7 last season at Harvard) has been out so far with a knee injury but neither has been ruled out from returning for the UCLA game. The Buckeyes can match UCLA's depth, with guard Washington (14.5), the 6-7 Sueing (14.0 & 4.5), PG Walker (12.0 & 4.5 APG), 6-8 freshman Key (6.5 & 4/8), the 6-6 Aherns (6.0) and the 6-8 Young (5.5 & 6.5). As noted, UCLA has won FIVE in a row and has clamped down defensively by allowing 56.0 PPG over its last four wins. However, the Bruins are leaving the state of California for the first time and catch a VERY good Ohio St team off its first loss of the season, The game is NOT in Columbus but Cleveland is an easy trip for the Buckeyes, although these days, home court edges mean MUCH less with limited or even no crowds allowed. Ohio St gets the bounce-back win and we even get a couple of points. Good luck...Larry |
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12-17-20 | Seton Hall +4 v. Marquette | Top | 70-63 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
My 9* Ultimate Underdog is on Seton Hall at 9:00 ET. Seton Hall believed it could have made a run to the Final Four behind All-American guard Myles Powell (21.0 & 4.3) last season, before COVID-19 shut things down. The Pirates were 21-9 and ranked 15th in the country after finishing tied for first in the Big East with a 13-5 record. Powell is now in the NBA but OUTSTANDING head coach Kevin Willard has plenty to work with as this season. Marquette head coach Steve Wojciechowski knows all about losing a key player, as Marquette opened the season without Markus Howard, who led the nation in scoring last season at 27.8 PPG. Also gone was fellow senior Scar Anim, who added 13.1 PPG. However, Wojo welcomed an impressive freshman to his roster, the 6-11 Dawson Garcia (31.9 & 9.7 last year in high school) plus has been able to surround him with a deep supporting cast. Seton Hall stumbled to a 1-3 start but enters this contest having won THREE in a row. 6-11 senior Sandro Mamukelashvili (20.4 & 7.4) scored a career-high 32 points as the Pirates defeated St. John's in their Big East opener last Friday but Tuesday's scheduled game against Xavier was postponed due to COVID-19 considerations within the Musketeers' program Mamukelashvili leads the team in scoring and rebounding, while wing Jared Rhoden adds 14.1 & 7.4 Fellow wing Myles Cale (9.9) and guard Takal Molson (9.1 & 4.) are just shy of double digits. PG Reynolds (0.0 & 5.6 APG) and the 7-2 Obiagu (6.7 & 4.4) round out the main contributors The Golden Eagles' 89-84 victory at No. 9 Creighton this past Monday was Marquette's second against a top-10 foe this month, after downing then-No. 4 Wisconsin at home on Dec 4. Garcia is averaging 12.9 & 6.1 but senior guard McEwen leads in scoring at 145.7 PPG. Carton, an Ohio St transfer, led five Golden Eagles in double figures with 20 points against Creighton and has scored 38 points in his last two games (11.7-3.6-3.7 on the season). Marquette has depth with 6-7 senior Cain (9.1 & 6.3), 6-7 freshman Lewis (9.1 & 6.9) and 6-9 senior John (6.9 & 7.9). I like both of these teams but Seton Hall plus the points is the play in this one Good luck...Larry |
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12-17-20 | NC State v. St. Louis -3 | Top | 69-80 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on St Louis at 8:00 ET. 3-0 North Carolina State visits Saint Louis in a hastily scheduled non-conference game against the 5-0 Billikens. The Wolfpack had their scheduled ACC opener against No. 23 Louisville on Wednesday night postponed, creating an opening that allowed them to travel to Saint Louis, which had its Dec 12 game vs Evansville canceled. Welcome to CBB in the "Year of COVID." The matchup, which came together Tuesday, pits an NC State team that hasn't played since Dec 3 against a St Louis team that is coming off a 78-59 home win over Indiana State on Tuesday, Its 10th straight win dating back to last season. The teams have met just once in their history, with St Louis winning 83-80 in the second round of the 2014 NCAA Tournament. Head coach Kevin Keatts took over at NC State for Mark Gottfried beginning in the 2017-18 season, after leading UNC-Wilmington to 25-8 and 29-6 records in his final two season (both teams earned NCAA tourney bids). He's won 21, 24 and 20 games his first three seasons in Raleigh and while he lost leading scorer Bryce (13.3 & 6.3) plus PG Johnson (12.8-4.4-6.8) from last season's team, the Wolfpack have plenty of talent and depth this season. Guard Daniels (18.0 & 5.7), 6-7 wing Hellems (14.0) and freshman PG Hayes (11.3 & 5.3 APG) are all averaging in double digits, while FIVE more players check in at between 6.7 and 8.3 PPG. Leading that group is the 6-10 Funderburk, who is coming off averaging 12.8 & 6.1 last season. Travis Ford spent eight seasons at Oklahoma St and had five seasons of 20-plus wins (also five NCAA tourney appearances) but after the Cowboys went 12-20 (3-15 in the Big 12) in 2015-16, he and school mutually decided to part ways. He replaced Jim Crews at St Louis, which was coming off an 11-21 season. Not much changed in Year 1 (12-21) but after a 17-16 sophomore season, Ford's Billikens have gone 23-13 and 23-8 the last two seasons. All FIVE starters are back with a trio of guards leading the way. Perkins is averaging 19.4 PPG, Goodwin 15.0 PPG and despite being just 6-3, leads the team in rebounding with 10.2 per game (both are seniors). Sophomore guard Jimerson adds 13.4 PPG plus PG Collins runs the show, adding just 5.6 PPG but 7.8 APG. 6-7 senior French did not play the first two games but is rounding back into form (averaged 12.4 & 10.4 last season), averaging 9.7 & 6.7. The Wolfpack sure hope to take the court tonight, looking to end a streak of FOUR straight games having been canceled. "We'll be rusty," coach Kevin Keatts said. "For me to think that we're going to just go back and be clicking the same way we were ... I don't think that's going to happen." I agree and as I noted above, St Louis comes in a 10-game winning streak. What's more, the Billikens take the court tonight having won 35 of their last 40 games at Chaifetz Arena (the last two-plus seasons)! The 'Price' is sure 'RIGHT!' Good luck...Larry |
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12-16-20 | Duke -3.5 v. Notre Dame | Top | 75-65 | Win | 100 | 13 h 20 m | Show |
My 10* Game of the Month is on Duke at 9:00 ET. Duke travels to Notre Dame just 2-2 and without a notable win. In contrast, the Blue Devils' two losses both came at home, against Michigan St and then Illinois. Duke had won EIGHT of its previous nine vs Michigan St and the loss was just Duke's THIRD non-conference home loss since 2000. Then came the loss to Illinois as part of the ACC/Big Ten Challenge in which Duke had been the dominant school, going 19-2, while going 9-0 at Cameron Indoor Stadium. Duke opened No. 9 in the AP's preseason poll and now sits at No. 21. Notre Dame bounced back from a 14-win season two seasons ago to go 20-12 last year but lost PF Mooney, who averaged 16.2 & 12.7. Mike Brey is now in his 21st season at South Bend and the Fighting Irish were 1-2 (lost to Michigan St and Ohio St) before Saturday's first-ever victory at Kentucky. Notre Dame built a 22-point halftime lead on Kentucky before hanging on for a 64-63 win, needing a defensive stop at the end. Coach K lost his top-two players to the NBA, the 6-10 Carey (17.8 & 8.8) will play this season for the Hornets and PG Jones (16.2-4.7-6.4) was taken by the Spurs. Coach K has seamlessly transitioned into the One-and-Done era and freshman guard Stewart has opened averaging 11.8-4.0-3.3, while 6-9 freshman Johnson is averaging 11.5 & 8.3. The 6-9 Hurt (9.7 & 3.8 last season) leads the team this season with 19.0 PPG and 8.3 RPG. Guards Goldwire and Roach plus SF Moore are combining for 18.0 PPG, plus 6-8 freshman Brakefield is averaging 7.3 & 4.0 in just 13 minutes! Brey likes his junior class, which includes PG Hubb (21.3-4.0-4.3), SG Goodwin (13.0 & 6.0) and the 6-10 Laszewski (16.5 & 9.5). Laszewski posted a season-high 21 points at Kentucky. Joining those three are guard Ryan (11.5-4.3 4.3) and the 6-11 Durham (6.8 & 6.8). Ryan is a Stanford transfer and Durham a UConn transfer. So far, that group has been an 'iron-5,' with little help from the bench. Duke announced last week that it would play only ACC games for the remainder of the regular season. It had three non league games called off because of coronavirus-related issues with scheduled opponents. One of those games had been rescheduled, but the Gardner-Webb game reset for Dec 19 was then wiped off the schedule by Duke's decision. "We're only going to play conference games the rest of the way and hopefully play all of them," Krzyzewski said. Duke won't play again until after Christmas, making this a game the team BADLY needs to win. This will be Duke's first road game but arrives in South Bend having won its past SIX meetings with Notre Dame. As for Notre Dame, facing a ranked team has not turned out well for the Irish for quite some time now. With losses to ranked teams Michigan St and Ohio St (see above), Mike Brey's team has now lost 23 straight games against top-25 opponents since beating Wichita St back in 2017. Make that 24 in a row with this loss coming "by a margin" that will give Duke the ATS win, as well. Good luck...Larry |
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12-15-20 | Minnesota v. Illinois -7.5 | Top | 65-92 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
My 9* Weekly Wipeout is on Illinois at 7:00 ET. Illinois is 4-2 but ranked 13th in the latest AP poll and will host the Minnesota Golden Gophers (who are 6-0 but unranked), in the Big Ten opener for both teams. The matchup will feature two of the nation's most productive PGs, Minnesota junior Marcus Carr, a preseason all-league pick, who is averaging 23.7-3.7-6.2 and Illinois junior Ayo Dosunmu, a preseason All-American, averaging 24.8-7.7-5.2. Richard Pitino is in his eighth season at Minnesota. He led the Gophers to the NIT championship in his first season (2013-14) but over the last six seasons, Minnesota has made just two NCAA appearances (2017 and 2019), while going a combined 56-71 (.441) over the other four. Season No. 8 is off to an excellent start with Minnesota at 6-0 and outscoring opponents 84.2-to-69.0 PPG. The 6-6 Both Gach (a Utah transfer), is averaging 15.3-6.2-3.8 plus 7-0 junior Robbins (12.5 & 7.7) junior guard Kalescheur adds 9.3 PPG. Illinois is coming off a rollercoaster 11-day span (Dec 2-12) in which the Fighting Illini lost to No. 2 Baylor, won at then-No. 10 Duke and then lost their Braggin' Rights game at Missouri. Dosunmu is joined in the backcourt by freshman Miller (11.5) plus 7-0 center Cockburn had a terrific freshman season (13.3 & 8.1) and checks in at 14.0 & 8.8 through five games. Guards Curbelo (11.8), Frazier (8.3) and Williams (6.8 & 6.0) plus the 6-9 Bezhanishvili (6.8 & 3.5) complete the main contributors. This will be Minnesota's first real test, as the team hasn't left Williams Arena up until now. The 7-0 Liam Robbins took the lead against Kansas City in Minnesota's most recent game, scoring 27 points with nine rebounds and five blocks. It was his finest effort since transferring from Drake shortly after last season ended but Robbins' first Big Ten test figures to be one of his toughest of the year going up against 7-footer Kofi Cockburn. "We've been tested," head coach Brad Underwood recently said, with Ayo Dosunmu adding "We've been smacked," after the Penn St debacle. Lay the points with Illinois. Good luck...Larry |
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12-15-20 | Clemson v. Virginia Tech -1 | Top | 60-66 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on Va Tech at 7:00 ET. Brad Brownell is in his 11th season at Clemson and returned four starters from last year's team. Clemson is off to a 5-0 start (also 5-0 ATS) and entered the AP poll for the first time this season on Monday at No. 24. The Tigers will travel to Blacksburg tonight for their ACC opener, where the 4-1 Va Tech Hokies await. Va Tech won its first four games, including an overtime upset in the Mohegan Sun bubble of then-No. 3 Villanova, showing it was worthy of being the No. 15 team in the AP poll. However, the Hokies then got BLASTED 75-55 on Dec 8 by Penn State at home in the ACC/Big Ten Challenge, dropping out the top-25 in Monday's poll. Clemson is led by 6-8 senior forward Aamir Simms (11.6 & 4.0) and he's the team's lone double digit scorer. Fordham transfer Nick Honor averages 9.8 PPG and is joined in the backcourt by returning guards Dawes (9.4), Newman (5.4) and Trapp (5.0 & 5.00, while the 6-8 Tyson (6.6 & 4.6) plays up front with Simms. The Tigers are averaging a modest 68.0 PPG (240th) but have excellent balance plus their defense is OUTSTANDING, allowing only 51.4 points per game (4th) on just 34.9 percent shooting, while forcing 19 turnovers per game. Purdue is the only opponent to score more than 56 points. Va Tech head coach Mike Young is in his second season with the school, after a record-setting 17-year tenure as the head coach at Wofford. The Terriers posted a 30-5 overall record in 2018-19, including a perfect 18-0 mark in Southern Conference play, and registered a convincing 84-68 win over Seton Hall in the first round of the 2019 NCAA Tournament. Young built the Terriers into one of the Southern Conference's preeminent programs and a perennial NCAA Tournament participant. He guided Wofford to five NCAA Tournament berths over his last 10 seasons and five Southern Conference championships. However, the Hokies were just 16-16 overall in Young's first season at Blacksburg, losing almost two-thirds of their ACC games (7-13). Landers Nolley was selected to the ACC All-Freshman Team in leading the Hokies in scoring (15.5 PPG) last season but after the season he announced he was transferring to Memphis. More bad news came when the 6-6 Horne (7.6 & 4.2) also transferred. Sophomore guard Tyrece Radford (10.2 & 6.2) is both the team's leading returning scorer AND rebounder! However, Young thinks this team will improve because of some experienced graduate transfers. Guard Cartier Diarra averaged 13.3 points, 3.8 rebounds, 4.2 assists at Kansas State last season, and helped them to the Elite Eight in 2018. He will play both guard spots, sometimes alongside Wabissa Bede, who returns after averaging 5.2 PPG and 5.5 APG. Radford is averaging 11.0 & 6.0, Diarra 7.5 and Bede 7.0. Two 6-7 transfers start up front, Keve Aluma (15.8 & 7.8), who followed Young from Wofford, plus Delaware transfer Justyn Mutts (5.4 & 6.2). Yes, Clemson looks very good (I've played them twice, winning each time) but the team's 67-51 home rout of Maryland doesn't look all that impressive after Penn St won 74-60 at Maryland last night. It shouldn't go unnoticed that Va Tech swept the season series a year ago. This is the only meeting of the teams this season and expect a huge bounce-back from Va Tech off that Penn St embarrassment. Good luck...Larry |