Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-04-18 | Detroit v. Dayton OVER 144 | 59-98 | Win | 100 | 18 h 27 m | Show | |
Detroit has covered seven straight since their opener. The Titans have struggled on the defensive end allowing 70 points in three straight and six of their eight contests overall. Antoine Davis is a very impressive player on this bad squad as he's been able to score with not a lot of help around him. The team has put up 70 or more in four of their last five and five contests overall. Dayton's offense has been atrocious as of late scoring less then 60 in their last three games against solid opponents. We had the over in Dayton's game against Fort Wayne and it went over easily. This team is capable of a lot more. They did hit the gates fast with easy blowouts over North Florida and Coppin State. Detroit has gone over in 42 of their last 66 games when the total is in the 140s. Dayton has gone over in 11 of their last 16 games against teams with a losing record. I think this one is an over. |
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12-03-18 | Troy State v. Florida State OVER 144 | 67-83 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
Troy has lost four of their last six games. They've got a lot of talent for a Sun Belt team and an offense that has scored 75 or more four times this season. Jordon Varnado is one of four double digit scorers along with Alex Hicks and Javan Johnson. Florida State is 6-1 and has their typically deep team. Terence Mann and Mfiondu Kabengele are the two double digit scorers, but four others average seven per game or more. The Seminoles have a nice little sandwich with a trip to UConn next and a nice win over Purdue last time out. Florida State has faced LSU, Villanova and Purdue all in a row so pardon them if they aren't the most focused for this game. FSU has gone over in 20 of their last 32 home games. I think this one is an over. |
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12-02-18 | Oral Roberts v. SMU OVER 144 | 67-79 | Win | 100 | 6 h 56 m | Show | |
SMU's offense is hot right now with three straight performances shooting 50% from the field or better. They have scored 70 or more in five of their last six contests. Jahmal McMurray, Ethan Chargois and Jimmy Whitt Jr are the team's pick three with several other guys contributing. It does concern me that they are one of the slowest teams in the country, but Oral Roberts shouldn't put up much resistance defensively. The Golden Eagles have allowed less then 70 points just twice all season. In true road games they've played games of 87-76, 85-65, 79-62 and 84-50 which were all losses. There's some decent talent here, but this one seems to be an over as I think SMU has a chance to hit 90. |
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12-01-18 | Texas State v. Texas-San Antonio OVER 139.5 | 69-68 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 58 m | Show | |
Texas State is 6-1 with wins over Air Force, Cal Poly and Portland. The Bobcats are one of the slower teams in the country, but they've struggled to set that pace away from home in two of their three road games. They played a 54-42 game against Cal Poly who is also methodical. The team lost 75-69 at Drake, but won 91-68 at Portland. The Bobcats are led by Nijal Pearson and Tre'Larenz Nottingham. UTSA has won two straight and is starting to play better with Jhivvan Jackson in the lineup. He makes a difference with Keaton Wallace and Nick Allen. The Roadrunners play with some pace as a team scoring 75 or more in three straight. The problem is on the defensive end where they've allowed 80 or more four times. Last year, this was a 79-78 game when the total was 129 in Texas State. I think this one goes over the lower total as Texas State won't be able to play as slow away from home. |
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12-01-18 | Colorado State v. Colorado OVER 152 | 80-86 | Win | 100 | 16 h 59 m | Show | |
Colorado is smoking hot right now offensively scoring 93 in their last two victories over Air Force and Portland. The Buffaloes put up 100 in their victory over Drake. McKinley Wright IV, Lucas Siewert and Namon Wright are the team's top three scorers and each of them are shooting 50% or better from the field. Colorado State has lost three of their last four games because of a porous defense. They allowed 91 points to Lafayette, 82 to Southern Illinois and 78 to South Dakota State. The Rams have six players who score 10 points per game or more and aren't as deep as they'd like. CSU has gone over in 24 of their last 37 as an underdog. I think this rivalry game goes over too. |
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12-01-18 | Oakland v. Xavier OVER 151.5 | 63-73 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 0 m | Show | |
The Musketeers are getting better with six guys who score eight points per game or more. They've won two straight since losing three in a row. This team has scored 70 or more in every game except for one against Wisconsin. Xavier has had some defensive problems at times giving up 85 to Evansville, 77 to the Badgers, 88 to Auburn and 79 to San Diego State. Oakland is 4-4 on the year and they've got an offense that has scored 80 or more four times. Their problem comes on the defensive end where they've allowed 80 or more three times. Xavier Hill-Mais and Jaevin Cumberland combine for over 40 points per game. I think this one goes over the total. |
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11-28-18 | Pacific v. Fresno State OVER 141.5 | 78-81 | Win | 100 | 13 h 28 m | Show | |
I really like Fresno State and so far they've been 3-2 with three overs in four lined games. They have a ton of talent led by Braxton Huggins and Deshon Taylor. The Bulldogs have scored 75 or more in four of the five contests. Pacific is 5-3 on the year and has mixed some overs with some unders. The team has played four road games with two of those going over the total. They allowed 96 to UNLV and 83 to Nevada in looser games. The Tigers have four double digit scorers and have also struggled on the defensive end against teams with talent. I think this one is another over. |
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11-28-18 | Cleveland State v. DePaul OVER 145.5 | 73-83 | Win | 100 | 20 h 25 m | Show | |
DePaul is back home after a 95-70 loss to Notre Dame on the road. The Blue Demons had won their first three against Penn State, Morgan State and Bethune Cookman. In those games they scored 72, 91 and 80 with some good defensive numbers mixed in as well. The problem with those numbers are they are a bit hollow considering the competition. Cleveland State has a modest offense and a true lack of want to play defense. They've allowed 80 or more four times with two of those being on the road at Ohio State and Davidson. The Vikings are led by Tyree Appleby and Stefan Kenic along with four others who average 7 ppg or more. DePaul is 10-6-2 to the over in their last 18 as a favorite. I think this one is played with some pace and there's some scoring. |
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11-27-18 | Southern Illinois v. Colorado State OVER 141 | Top | 82-67 | Win | 100 | 23 h 33 m | Show |
Southern Illinois has won three of their last four and they continue their road trip at Colorado State as part of the MWC/MVC challenge. The Salukis play good defense and want to play a slower game although that's harder to do on the road. They played two overs in their three games outside of Carbondale. The Salukis have six scorers of eight points per game or more. They have a very efficient offense and will be challenged by CSU on defense. The Rams have seven players who score double digits per game or more making them absolutely deadly. Colorado State has scored 100, 92 and 81 in their three home games. Their defense leaves a little bit to be desired as well. I think this one goes over the total. |
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11-27-18 | Boise State v. Drake OVER 144 | 74-83 | Win | 100 | 22 h 31 m | Show | |
This is the MVC/Mountain West Challenge and it's a good opportunity for Drake to get a solid opponent at home. Boise State is a hard team to figure out because they have a ton of talent but have started 2-3. Justinian Jessup, Zach Haney, RJ Williams, Cam Christon and Alex Hobbs are all banged up to some extend although the team's leading scorer will play in this one. Drake is 3-1 and has seven players who score eight points per game or more. They are led by Nick Norton and Nick McGlynn. Boise State was in the Cayman Islands and is now dealing with this adversity of injury as well. Drake has gone over in 17 of their last 24 at home and 20 of their last 31 when the total is in the 140s. Give me the over. |
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11-26-18 | Santa Clara v. California OVER 134 | 66-78 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
California hosts Santa Clara on Monday night in a game that won't put any ripples in the college basketball world. The Golden Bears beat Hampton 80-66 in their only win of the season. In their losses, they've struggled to score and have had defensive issues. This team has actually lost 76-59 twice already. Paris Austin, Justice Sueing, Darius McNeill and Andre Kelly are the team's double digit scorers. Santa Clara is coming off a 71-63 win at San Jose State. They've had defensive issues against several teams this season giving up 80 or more to Minnesota, Washington and Prairie View. They've been on the road for the past 11 days so maybe there is some road weariness. This is a really low total and I just think that both of these teams could play a little bit of a looser game. Give me the over. |
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11-26-18 | Nebraska-Omaha v. Iowa State OVER 147.5 | 55-82 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 49 m | Show | |
Iowa State is 5-1 and playing without four of their players right now. They are coming off a tournament appearance where they beat San Diego State and Illinois while losing to Arizona. ISU has scored 80 or more in three of their last four and that's because of the likes of Marial Shayok, Michael Jacobson and Talen Horton-Tucker. The Mavericks are 3-3, but have won two straight beating Montana State and Bethune Cookman. This team has had some issues on defense against the better opponents allowing 79 at Colorado and 104 at Minnesota. Zach Jackson and JT Gibson are averaging 35 points per game combined and there's five other guys who average at least 7 ppg. A lot of the trends say this one is an under, but I think we'll see plenty of points on both sides in this one. |
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11-25-18 | Northern Illinois v. Oakland OVER 144.5 | 92-72 | Win | 100 | 3 h 50 m | Show | |
Oakland has very interest in playing defense and they've shown it this season. They've actually been getting good offensive production too. The team has scored 70 or more in all but one contest and that was at UNLV which was their only road game. Xavier Hill-Mais is averaging 25 points per game with Jaevin Cumberland adding 15. NIU is also an over team scoring over 70 in every contest. This total is curiously low for two teams who struggle at times on defense and can light it up. Give me the trap then and let me have the over. |
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11-25-18 | Oral Roberts v. James Madison OVER 143 | 78-69 | Win | 100 | 1 h 6 m | Show | |
Oral Roberts has been terrible on defense giving up 87 points in both games so far in this tournament. James Madison has been really good offensively and should be able to do what they want on ORU. This one should be played in the 70s. I think it's an up and down affair at noon. |
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11-24-18 | Dartmouth v. San Francisco OVER 142 | 65-84 | Win | 100 | 16 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a really big number for Dartmouth to cover considering they've already won at Loyola Maryland and nearly knocked off Davidson. Yes, they got blown out by Buffalo, but that's a tough place to play and they played no defense whatsoever in that one. The Big Green have four guys shooting 50% or better from the field and six players who score eight points per game or more. San Francisco is undefeated this season, but they've also beaten no one and not left home either. They have a really good group of scorers as well. Their best aspect is the defense which has clamped down on all five opponents. The problem is that all five opponents have not presented the challenge that Dartmouth will. I think this one is higher scoring and the underdog has a shot to cover. |
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11-24-18 | St. Joe's v. William & Mary OVER 155.5 | 85-87 | Win | 100 | 15 h 3 m | Show | |
William and Mary has gone over in 19 of their last 21 home games and 24 of their last 39 against teams with a winning record. The Tribe has allowed three of their last four opponents to shoot 50% or better from the field. They've given up 80 or more in each of those contests and could do it once again against a St. Joe's team that has the ability to score a ton with the likes of Funk, Brown and Kimble. The Hawks have had no problems putting up points on everyone outside of UCF. They've also struggled at times to stop their opponents with their last two opponents shooting it really well. I used to make a lot of money on Tribe overs so we'll try it again here too. |
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11-24-18 | Evansville v. Ball State OVER 145 | 72-82 | Win | 100 | 13 h 3 m | Show | |
Evansville is feeling good on a two game win streak having beaten Texas Southern and Kentucky Wesleyan. The Purple Aces have scored 60, 85, 92 and 85 this season. They have been rather porous on the road allowing 99 to Illinois and 91 to Xavier. Evansville has five double digit scorers and a little bit of depth behind that. Ball State's offense is very good with a 94 point output against App State and 75 against Purdue. They also scored 86 vs. Indiana State in the opener. The over has hit in four of their five contests overall. The Cardinals are led by Tayler Persons and KJ Walton who average nearly 33 points per game combined. Ball State has gone over in 24 of their last 35 as favorites and 17 of their last 22 lined non-conference games. |
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11-23-18 | James Madison v. Oakland OVER 143.5 | 69-77 | Win | 100 | 14 h 38 m | Show | |
James Madison had their four game win streak snapped last time out in an 91-82 home loss to the Citadel. This team has a very good offense scoring 70 or more in all but one contest. Darius Banks leads four double digit scorers with several others chipping in as well. Oakland's lost a ton of talent, but is still managing to score with some pace. They've put up over 85 points three times this season. Xavier Hill-Mais is their number one weapon by far and he's shooting almost 70% from the field. This one has over written all over it. |
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11-22-18 | La Salle v. Miami-FL OVER 143.5 | 49-85 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 7 m | Show | |
Miami's offense is a lot better then La Salle's and so is their defense. Chris Lykes is having a fantastic season and he's getting help from Dejan Vasiljevic and Anthony Lawrence II. The Canes have scored 78, 96 and 83 so far this season while allowing 70, 58 and 62. It was against weak competition so maybe those numbers get adjusted a little bit. La Salle's defense has been terrible allowing 75, 77, 82 and 89 with that last number coming against Drexel at home. The Dragons offense isn't that good. La Salle is led by Pookie Powell and Isiah Deas who average double digits. The two of them are going to have their hands full with the Canes. The Explorers have gone over in 20 of their last 30 when the total is in the 140s. Miami trends to the under, but I think this one goes over the total. |
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11-21-18 | Loyola-Chicago v. Boston College OVER 140 | 66-78 | Win | 100 | 12 h 0 m | Show | |
Loyola Chicago is coming off an efficient 82-66 win over Richmond down in Fort Myers Florida. The Ramblers are relying on their big three to carry them the year after a final four appearance. They've shot 50% or better in four of their five games this season scoring 75 points or more in each of the contests. BC's win in this tournament was 88-76 over Wyoming. The Eagles have struggled at times losing 76-59 at home to IUPUI two contests ago. Ky Bowman will be the best player on the court, but not having Nik Popovic will be tough. I think this one will be tight with some free throws late to push this thing over. BC has gone over in eight of their last 10 games when the total is in the 130s. |
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11-21-18 | Dartmouth v. Buffalo OVER 151 | 71-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
Dartmouth takes a step up in competition as they play at Buffalo. The Big Green have wins over Newbury, Loyola Maryland and Elms College scoring 100 or more in two of those games. The team did lose 79-76 at Davidson earlier in a game that saw them nearly outshoot the Wildcats. The team has six guys who score nine points per game or more and have several long range threats which will make things difficult. Buffalo already has wins over West Virginia, Southern Illinois and St. Francis of PA. The Bulls have played some solid defense although in game one they allowed SFA to shoot 50% from long range. You can't let that happen against Dartmouth. CJ Massinburg has been fantastic so far this season. He's averaging nearly a double-double with 20.3 ppg and 9.3 rpg. Buffalo has gone over in 26 of their last 44 games against teams with a winning record. I think this one sees a ton of points. |
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11-20-18 | South Carolina State v. IUPU Ft Wayne OVER 162 | 68-72 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
I love taking the overs in Fort Wayne games because they have a really potent offense and their defense is leaky at times. In five games this season, they've scored 71, 112, 61, 111 and 80 this season. Jon Konchar is their best player, but he's only been the team's leading scorer twice so that tells you about the depth that they have. South Carolina State has lost four straight after a season opening win over a lower level opponent. During this losing skid the Bulldogs have allowed 74, 89, 84 and 89 points. Yes, the offensive production was lacking in those games, but I think this one goes up and down a bit. Damni Applewhite and Janai Raynor Powell are the team's leading scorers. I think this one goes over the total. |
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11-20-18 | Western Carolina v. Jacksonville State OVER 144 | 53-84 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
Jacksonville State is looking for their first win of the season as they begin the Cancun Challenge. The Gamecocks have losses at Samford, Penn State and Bradley on their resume. The team has struggled offensively allowing two of those opponents to shoot 50% or better from the field. I like the offensive potential of these guys though with transfers Detrick Mostella and Ty Hudson mixing in with Jason Burnell and Marlon Hunter. They can come at you in a lot of different ways. Western Carolina has losses to Wright State, Charleston and SMU to go with a 94-55 win over Hiwassee. The Catamounts play with a little bit of pace and have three double digit scorers led by Matt Halvorsen, Kameron Gibson and Carlos Dotson. Western Carolina has gone over in all three lined games. I think this one does too. |
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11-19-18 | Arkansas-Little Rock v. Tulsa OVER 140 | 78-88 | Win | 100 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
Little Rock is 2-1 on the season with wins over Tennessee State and SE Oklahoma State. The Trojans have given up 80 points or more in two of those contests and are playing their third straight road game. They have four double digit scorers led by Rayjon Tucker and Markquis Nowell who put up over 30 points combined. Tulsa has their own quartet of double digit scorers led by DaQuan Jeffries. The Golden Hurricane has scored 70 points or more in all three contests and is coming off a narrow three point win over California Baptist 82-79. Tulsa has gone over in 20 of their last 31 games as a favorite and 17 of their last 28 at home. I think this one is an over too. |
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11-19-18 | UL-Lafayette v. Colorado State OVER 154.5 | 91-73 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
Louisiana is looking for their first win of the season and one can understand why they are 0-2. The team has lost 87-65 at Tennessee and 89-76 at Kansas. The Ragin Cajuns have a trio of scorers of JaKeenan Gant, Justin Miller and Malik Marquetti. Colorado State has five really good scorers with some depth elsewhere. The Rams have wins over Montana State, Arkansas Pine Bluff and Colorado Christian scoring 80 points or more in every game. They are embracing the new system that is being run. Yes, it's a neutral court, but these two offenses should be able to score. I think this one goes over. |
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11-18-18 | Northern Arizona v. Hawaii OVER 141.5 | 68-85 | Win | 100 | 23 h 40 m | Show | |
Hawaii is 2-1 on the season with wins over Portland and Humboldt to go with a loss to North Texas. The Mean Green successfully slowed them down at home. The other two games were a little bit higher scoring with the home team getting 82 and 90. Hawaii is led by Zigmars Raimo and Jack Purchase who average double digits. They have three others who chip in at least 8. The Lumberjacks have six guys who average eight points per game and have spent quite a bit of time on the road. Their defensive numbers aren't very good and you can see why. Their wins were 76-66 at Omaha and 97-82 over Jacksonville with the loss coming at South Dakota 90-74. The road weariness could get to them a little bit in this matchup on the defensive side of the ball. I think this one goes over this total with a small chance that the underdog is worth a look. |
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11-18-18 | St. Joe's v. West Virginia OVER 143 | 90-97 | Win | 100 | 16 h 39 m | Show | |
It's been a rough start for West Virginia who is 1-2 on the year with losses to Western Kentucky and Buffalo. The team couldn't make the stops against the Bulls and couldn't get enough offense vs. the Hilltoppers. Coach Bobby Huggins talked about how the press isn't working and how they may not use it much more. Esa Ahmad is doing the legwork with James Bolden and Sagaba Konate chipping in double digit points. Offense has not been an issue for the Hawks who are 3-1 and have scored 79, 78, 89 and 57 this season. They've been led by Charlie Brown, but also have Kimble and several others who can get buckets for them. Their problem has been in the defensive side of things allowing everyone to score 63 points or more. To me, they are the perfect elixir for WVU to get some things going on offense. I think this one is an over. |
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11-16-18 | Louisiana Tech v. LSU OVER 155.5 | 67-74 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
LSU has been rolling offensively so far with six guys averaging nine points per game or more this season. Naz Reid has been fantastic shooting 61.1% from the field while averaging 19 points and six rebounds per contest. Skylar Mays and Tremont Waters are pretty efficient from the field. They've scored 85, 97 and 94 points this season. The problem has come on the defensive side of the ball where they've allowed 76, 91 and 63. Louisiana Tech is 3-0 with wins over Wichita State, Sam Houston State and Harding. The big question will be if DaQuan Bracey will play after he has missed the last two contests with an ankle injury. Still, they've scored pretty well while playing some good defense. This is a rare meeting between schools in the same area. I think this one will be a bit of a track meet. |
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11-16-18 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Cincinnati UNDER 133 | 63-74 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
The Bearcats are continuing their tradition of great defense this season as they hold opponents to 57.5 points per game. After giving up 64 points to Ohio State in the season opener, they held NC Central to 51 in a 73-51 win. Outside of Jarron Cumberland, they don't have a ton of scoring options. Cane Broome has been a little disappointing so far averaging just 2.5 points per game. Wisconsin Milwaukee is 0-3 so far and have been rather anemic offensively. They scored 53 points at Boston College and 60 at home vs. North Dakota. Yes, this team blew up with 80 against FIU, but that's to be expected against the Golden Panthers. Cincinnati has gone under in 38 of their last 68 games and nine of their last 11 lined November games. I think this one is an under too. |
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11-16-18 | IUPU-Indianapolis v. Richmond OVER 144 | 70-78 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
Richmond is 1-1 with two completely different efforts this season. The Spiders lost 63-58 to Longwood in their opener but followed it up with an 88-66 win over St. Francis NY. They go as Gilyard, Golden and Sherod go. This team wants to run a bit whenever they can and they play pretty awful defense. IUPUI has won two straight since falling 82-69 to Xavier in game one. Since then they beat Eastern Illinois 71-65 and won at Boston College 76-69 just a few days ago. Camron Justice, Evan Hall and Jaylen Minnett are the Jaguars leading scorers. Richmond has gone over in 19 of their last 28 home games and 23 of their last 37 when the total is in the 140s. I think this one is an over. |
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11-16-18 | IUPU Ft Wayne v. Dayton OVER 152.5 | 80-91 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
The Mastodons are an over team and have done so in all three of their lined games. They are shooting almost 47% from the field and are allowing opponents to do the same. Jon Konchar is one of the best players in the country that people just don't know much about. They have scored 71, 112, 61 and 111 points this season. The problems have come on the other end allowing 107 to Ohio State and 96 to UCLA. Dayton will get Josh Cunningham back in the lineup. They beat Coppin State 76-46 and North Florida 78-70. Yes, the Flyers defensive nature scares me a bit in this one, but I think Fort Wayne will do a lot of the heavy lifting on both ends of the court. Fort Wayne has gone over in 18 of their last 25 games with the total in the 150s. I think that trend continues here. |
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11-15-18 | CS Bakersfield v. Central Michigan OVER 144.5 | 55-67 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
A ton of returning talent is in this game as Central Michigan and Bakersfield play on a neutral court once again. Last year these two played a 75-72 CMU win in which both shot over 50% from the field. The Chippewas are running and gunning to the tune of over 90 points although the competition has been garbage so far. CMU has gone over in 39 of their last 59 contests. Bakersfield lost a low scoring game to TCU and then came back and crushed a lower level opponent. They've brought back all five starters from a team that struggled last year. The neutral court is a bit of a scary thing for this wager because it could take time to get used to the rims. UCSB has gone over in nine of their last 13 as an underdog. I think we see a ton of points in this one. |
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11-14-18 | Montana State v. Colorado State OVER 152.5 | 77-81 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
This is the rare combination of a good offensive team against a really bad defensive team. Colorado State is averaging 96 points per game and is shooting 53% from the field. They have six guys who average double digit points in wins over Arkansas Pine Bluff and Colorado Christian. They want to get up and down the court and so far they have. Montana State's best player is Tyler Hall. They've lost 80-35 at Indiana and 101-71 to Utah State. The team's only win was 83-68 to a school called Presentation. I think we see both teams score tonight and this one sail over the total. |
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11-14-18 | Eastern Michigan v. Duke OVER 149 | 46-84 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 56 m | Show | |
Duke is going to be a hard team to put down offensively. They could struggle a little early against the 2-3 zone of EMU, but the Eagles don't have the athletes or the talent to keep up. The Blue Devils are shooting over 50% from the field and are averaging over 100 points per game. They will get up and down the court with relative ease against the lesser opponents. Their problem is going to be a commitment to defense which they struggled in the first half against Army. EMU has a decent offense with some returning talent. They have beaten up on two lower level teams along with Drexel. They are averaging 80 points per game. I think we could see Duke crack 100 again and get this easily. |
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11-14-18 | Toledo v. Wright State OVER 143 | 74-84 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
The money move is on the under, but I think there's some value now with the over considering how potent Toledo is. The Rockets are averaging 93 points per game while shooting nearly 56% from the field. They have a problem with defense as well so a team like Wright State who prefers a lower scoring game to put up some points. WSU has a 96-73 win over Western Carolina and is coming off a 73-54 loss at Murray State. I think this is a bit of a back and forth affair so I want to be on the over with late foul shooting potentially coming into play. |
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11-13-18 | Western Michigan v. Oakland OVER 152 | 85-77 | Win | 100 | 20 h 41 m | Show | |
Western Michigan has struggled mightily on the defensive end so far allowing 83 points per game over their first two contests. The offense has come up a little bit short although the loss was at Ole Miss. Josh Davis, Bryce Moore and Seth Dugan are a solid trio of players who will stress the Golden Grizzlies. Oakland is replacing a bunch of their top scorers from last year so it's on the likes of Brad Brechting and Xavier Hill-Mais to take over. Oakland beat Kalamazoo 99-45, but lost to Toledo 87-86 last time out after the Rockets shot 60% from the field. Oakland is traditionally an over team and I think this trend continues on Tuesday. |
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11-12-18 | Detroit v. Butler OVER 151.5 | 63-84 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 59 m | Show | |
To me, this seems like a rather easy over for us to hit. Butler won their first game 90-68 at home shooting 60.3% from the field. The Bulldogs are replacing a bunch of players from last year so they are still trying to work things out. In comes Detroit who has allowed an average of 86 points so far this season. Opponents are shooting nearly 47% from the field against them. The one thing I really like about the Titans is Antoine Davis who scored over 30 against Temple. He's instant offense. Butler has gone over in 20 of their last 31 home games. I think this one is an over with these two scoring at will on one another. |
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11-11-18 | Appalachian State v. Alabama OVER 144.5 | 73-81 | Win | 100 | 19 h 39 m | Show | |
Alabama beat Southern 82-62 in their first game of the season. In that one we saw a balanced effort with four players putting up double digits led by Donta Hall's 20 points. John Petty chipped in with 17 while Tevin Mack and Galin Smith each added 10. App State beat Mars Hill 125-62 in their opener with Justin Forrest, Ronshad Shabazz and Adrian Delph all doing their part. This team is a veteran bunch that won't be intimidated by the road atmosphere. The Mountaineers have the balance and the depth to push the pace and make this closer then people would think. Over half of the Crimson Tide's roster is freshmen and sophomores. I think this total is a little low and the underdog might be worth a look too. |
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11-11-18 | IUPU Ft Wayne v. Ohio State OVER 151.5 | 61-107 | Win | 100 | 16 h 39 m | Show | |
The Mastadons are an over team because they score and they play literally no defense. The team beat Earlham College 112-51 after allowing a boatload of points to UCLA. Now Ohio State, doesn't necessarily want to run, but I think they'll find it rather easy to get to the basket. They played a very low scoring game with Cincinnati as their opener so at home, they'll want to open things up a bit. The starting five features four guys who put up double digits in their first contest. This one should go over the total with OSU potentially hitting in the 80s or 90s. |
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11-10-18 | Ball State v. Purdue OVER 145 | 75-84 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
Both of these teams are coming in off wins last time out. Purdue crushed Fairfield 90-57 in a game that saw the Stags struggle to score and the Boilermarkers flashing their depth. Ball State picked up an 86-69 win and will be a team I'll be on often this year. They've got several returning starters in Tahaj Teague, Taylor Persons and more. They like to get up and down, but struggle a bit on the defensive end because of that. Ball State has gone over in 35 of their last 57 games including 16 of 26 when the total is in the 140s. They've also gone over in 14 of their last 18 lined non-conference games. Purdue will try to slow this game down a bit, but I think they'll find it easy to get some buckets. I think this one is an over. |
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11-10-18 | Western Michigan v. Ole Miss OVER 144 | 64-90 | Win | 100 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
Western Michigan picked up a win 89-76 over Detroit Mercy already this season. They'll take a step up in competition when they travel to Oxford to play Ole Miss in their first game under Kermit Davis. The Broncos have a lot of talent to make this interesting. Seth Dugan and Josh Davis are a pretty solid duo in the front court. Bryce Moore is the third starter, but he's out until December. Ole Miss won their exhibition game 101-52 over Fayetteville State and went 3-1 in Canada in August. Kermit wants his teams to play defense, but don't mind to run when possible. I think this one goes over the total with a chance that the underdog may be worth a look. |
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11-09-18 | NC-Greensboro v. LSU OVER 144 | 91-97 | Win | 100 | 21 h 3 m | Show | |
LSU is feeling good after a 94-63 win to start out the season. The Tigers shot almost 50% from the field and held their opponent to just 18 points in the first half. This is a deep team with Tremont Waters and Naz Reid out there. They want to get up and down the court whenever they can. UNC Greensboro was one of the slowest teams in the country last year, but they won their first game 74-66 against North Carolina A&T. They were losing in the first half and played better in half #2. This is a veteran team that won't be intimidated by the road atmosphere. They struggle to get their pace on the road where they've gone over in 15 of their last 28. I think this one is an over. |
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11-09-18 | Toledo v. Oakland OVER 155 | 87-86 | Win | 100 | 20 h 5 m | Show | |
It's game one for two of the higher scoring teams in the country from 2017 on Friday. These two played an 87-74 game in Toledo last season. Oakland has lost most of it's top talent from last year and will be building around Brad Brechting and Xavier Hill-Mais along with Brailen Neely. This team loves to get up and go and even with less offensive talent, I still think they'll do so. They've struggled with defense in the past and will do so against Jaelan Sanford and Luke Knapke who will be patrolling the middle once again. This one should see some fantastic pace so the over is worth a look. |
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11-08-18 | Chicago State v. Notre Dame OVER 148.5 | 62-89 | Win | 100 | 7 h 60 m | Show | |
Chicago State's defense leaves a lot to be desired. They gave up 104 points to the Hoosiers last time out and could see that kind of output from the Irish who are running a free easy style of offense. I think this one goes over the total. |
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11-06-18 | La Salle v. Temple OVER 147 | 67-75 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 36 m | Show | |
Defense was not really the calling card for either Temple or La Salle last season although the Owls did flash some at times last season. The Explorers return Pookie Powell who was one of their best scorers averaging almost 17 points per game. Traci Carter gets involved as well after coming over from Marquette. Isiah Deas, Saul Phiri and Jamir Moultrie are some other weapons. Temple has more returning talent led by Quintin Rose and Shizz Alston. They'll have the backcourt advantage, but the questions come in the front court where they'll have to replace Obi. Last year this game was a 87-83 Explorers home win with the two teams playing a 97-92 game at Temple in 2016. Temple has gone over in 22 of their last 34 games as a favorite. La Salle has gone over in 19 of their last 28 contests when the total is in the 140s. I think this one is close and higher scoring. |
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11-06-18 | Chattanooga v. Charlotte UNDER 143 | 80-69 | Loss | -130 | 20 h 16 m | Show | |
Ron Sanchez comes over to coach a very young Charlotte team who saw a lot of talent depart. He is going to bring the pack line defense to the team and a much much slower pace. He realizes that they don't have the talent to keep up with most teams unless he reduces the number of possessions. Chattanooga is another young team that wouldn't mind playing a slower game. These two played in Chattanooga in December of 2017 with the Mocs winning 64-50. Chattanooga has gone under in 16 of their last 28 on the road. I think this one goes under the total. |
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03-18-18 | Texas A&M v. North Carolina OVER 151 | 86-65 | Push | 0 | 15 h 1 m | Show | |
UNC plays with a ton of pace and wants this game to be an up and down affair. I also think they have a weakness on defense that can be overcome with their good offense. The Aggies prefer the slow down game, but have been sped up at times by teams who want to push. Both teams have a lot of weapons so I like the over. |
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03-17-18 | Rhode Island v. Duke OVER 149 | 62-87 | Push | 0 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
Quick writeup. URI will struggle with Duke's bigs while the Blue Devils will struggle to slow down the likes of Terrell and Matthews. Neither team minds playing with some pace so I think this one goes over the total with the underdogs worth a look if the line goes up. |
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03-15-18 | Buffalo v. Arizona OVER 158 | 89-68 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 33 m | Show | |
Buffalo takes a major step up in competition in this matchup with the Pac-12 regular-season and tournament champions. The Bulls have been strong on offense this season, scoring at least 70 points in every game but two (St. Bonaventure, Cincinnati). Buffalo has four double-digit scorers and will want to push the pace. The problem is that they really don't have anyone to match up with Wildcats freshman phenom Deandre Ayton. That means they'll probably try to double him which should lead to open shots and easy scoring opportunities for his teammates. Arizona has a nice under stretch as of late because of its defense. When the Wildcats have played some of the faster-paced conference games, the team didn't mind running step for step with their opponent. I think we can pencil them in for 80-90 points which means Buffalo doesn't have to do as much heavy lifting. This one should go over the total. |
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03-15-18 | Alabama v. Virginia Tech OVER 141 | 86-83 | Win | 100 | 20 h 20 m | Show | |
This is one of the most intriguing matchups in the first round as the Hokies are a fun team to watch and Crimson Tide point guard Collin Sexton is absolutely killing it as of late. Virginia Tech is averaging almost 80 points per game while shooting 49.8 percent from the field. Justin Robinson has a bunch of shooters around him and very little size as well. The team's defense has been hot and cold as evidenced by the great first half against Notre Dame in the ACC Tournament followed by a horrible second half. The Hokies are in the midst of a stretch of nine straight unders so I think we're getting a value in terms of the total. Alabama goes as Sexton goes. The heralded freshman is averaging 19 points per game while Donta Hall and John Petty also chip in with more than 10 per contest. The Crimson Tide have lost six of their last eight entering this one. Their offense is capable of scoring and their defense certainly has struggled down the stretch. I think we're getting a close game and an over on the total. |
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03-10-18 | Grand Canyon v. New Mexico State OVER 133 | 58-72 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
It's meeting number three between these two schools with New Mexico State taking the first two 74-70 at home and 70-59 on the road. In each game we saw the score at halftime be 74 points which means the two teams were able to score the ball. The Aggies crushed GCU on the boards winning 50-25 and 56-37 in the two contests. That means New Mexico State will be able to get some easy buckets inside. The Aggies rely heavily on Zach Lofton and Jermerrio Jones who are the two double digit scorers. Jones in particular dominated on the inside this season averaging 13 rebounds per contest. Their two WAC tourney games were 84-79 and 97-70 scores so they can get up and down the court a bit. The team has scored 78 or more in five straight and six of their last seven. Grand Canyon has five guys who put up eight points per game or more per contest. The Antelopes have played two games in the WAC tourney with them being 75-60 and 77-74 scores. Both play with a medium pace according to KenPom. I think we could see this one go over the total. |
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03-10-18 | Cornell v. Harvard OVER 141 | 55-74 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 35 m | Show | |
Harvard has gone over in four straight and eight of their last 11 games. They are smoking hot offensively and are going off 93 and 98 point efforts back to back. All that said, their offense has had it's issues at times this season, but not against Cornell. Harvard beat them 76-73 on the road and 98-88 at home. The Big Red are certainly capable of scoring considering they have put up 80 or more in three of four and four of their last six games. Matt Morgan is an incredible shooter. Their problem is on the defensive end where they don't really put up much of an effort. Cornell has gone over in five of six and eight of their last 11. The big key in this one is can Cornell keep it close because Harvard doesn't want to run, but will if they have to. These two have gone over in six straight. I think that trend continues on Saturday. |
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03-09-18 | Western Kentucky v. Old Dominion OVER 140 | 57-49 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 43 m | Show | |
It's round three between Western Kentucky and Old Dominion as they play in Frisco Texas. WKU is coming off a 98-70 win over UAB while ODU struggled with Louisiana Tech. The Toppers beat the Monarchs twice this season 75-68 and 88-66 slicing up that defense each time. They shot over 50% in each game and were able to get to the rim with ease. ODU's defense is not as good outside of Norfolk so I expect WKU to score. Western Kentucky is allowing almost 75 points per game in their last five contests. The sight lines and logistics of this tournament are very odd, but as we've seen it's still conducive to scoring. To me, this one is an over and it could be another WKU win. |
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03-09-18 | George Mason v. St. Joe's OVER 149.5 | 49-68 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 19 m | Show | |
George Mason has now played 15 overs in their 19 conference games this season and that trend continues the last three seasons with 42 overs in their last 58 A-10 games. Mason beat UMass in a high scoring game in their first contest in DC. The Patriots have a really good offense when they need to, but their defense is among the worst in the conference. St. Joe's has gone over in three of five and six of their last nine contests. They've been racking up the points with 70 or more in seven straight. Much like their opponent though, the defense has been pretty bad. The two regular season meetings were scores of 79-76 and 81-79. We could see something similar here. |
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03-08-18 | Miami-OH v. Toledo OVER 144 | 69-71 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 33 m | Show | |
Toledo has gone over in five of their last six entering this one. The Rockets have a very potent offense that has scored 70 or more in eight of their last nine. Tre'Shaun Fletcher and Jaelan Sanford average 35 points per game combined. Their defense could be better, but in a lot of games they are scoring enough to not have as much worry about it. The RedHawks prefer a slower game, but if they get behind quick, they'll need to speed up to keep up. They've split their last six games in terms of the over/under. This is a team with a lot of balance as five players average eight points per game or more. The two met in Oxford back on February 9th with the Rockets winning 73-67. Miami-Ohio didn't shoot the ball well in that one. I think with more at stake, we see more points in this one. |
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03-07-18 | Oregon State v. Washington OVER 141 | 69-66 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 27 m | Show | |
Something about these two teams brings out plenty of offense and efficient shooting. These two have each shot over 50% in their two meetings this season with OSU winning 97-94 at home and Washington taking it 79-77 at their place. The Huskies shot 54 FT's in those two games and forced 31 Beaver turnovers. Washington has had some up and down performances offensively, but their defense has been pretty bad as of late outside of games against Colorado and Cal. OSU has won two of three and has gone over in seven of their last 10 games. The Beavers offense can be very hot and cold as they have shooters that can make long range shots. Seeing as though this will be close, FTs late will help us out. |
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03-07-18 | Massachusetts v. La Salle OVER 145.5 | 69-67 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 16 m | Show | |
These two teams played some overs in the regular season. The Explorers beat UMass at home 87-72 but lost in Massachusetts 86-79. The Minutemen have gone over in 11 straight games as their offense has clicked with Luwane Pipkins on the court and their defense has been equally as awful. They regularly give up 80 points per game or more. La Salle will make you pay with BJ Johnson and Pookie Powell. The Explorers have scored 70 or more in four straight and can stretch the Minutemen defense. To me, this is a free flowing type of game and both teams should be able to get into the lane on the other's leaky defense. |
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03-07-18 | Air Force v. UNLV OVER 146.5 | 90-97 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
Air Force and UNLV have played some high scoring games this season. Their meeting in Colorado went to the Rebels 81-76 while the one in Vegas went to them as well 81-73. UNLV has gone over in 13 of their 18 home games this season. They've lost five straight games as the defense has abandoned them completely. This is a team that allowed 101 at home to Nevada and 94 at San Diego State. Four of their last five games, the opponent has shot 50% or better from the field. Air Force has split their last four games and they are on a long stretch of unders as of late. Still, their style of offense should be open against an impatient UNLV team who will want to run and gun. I think this one goes over the total. |
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03-06-18 | BYU v. Gonzaga OVER 143 | 54-74 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
BYU is trying to make the WCC a three bid league potentially in this title game against Gonzaga. The Zags went 2-0 against them with a 79-65 and 68-60 victories in the regular season. Gonzaga outrebounded them in both games and held their long range attack in check as the Cougars went just 9-for-40 in those two games. BYU has gone over the total in seven of their last eight and have scored 85 points in each of their games in Las Vegas so far. They put up that number on St. Mary's who plays fantastic defense. Gonzaga has gone over in four straight after a stretch of six unders. The Zags have scored 83 and 88 in their two tournament games. They've scored 70 or more in eight straight contests. I think this one should go over the total as well. |
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03-05-18 | Akron v. Western Michigan OVER 144.5 | 79-78 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
It's the second meeting between Western Michigan and Akron on Monday. The first one went to the home team 87-75 as the Broncos shot 55.4% from the field two months ago. They have the best player on the court in Thomas Wilder who can do a lot of things. The team has struggled though as of late losing four of their last six as the defense has gotten very leaky. Over this stretch they allowed 80 or more four times with the other two being 74 and 75. Akron has had a pretty bad season as they've lost eight of their last 11. John Groce has not done much with this squad who doesn't play great defense on the road. They've allowed 80, 79, 78, 99, 79 and 111 in their last six road contests. The offense has gotten a little bit better although they are on a three game stretch of points in the 60s. To me, this one should be an easy win for the Broncos and one that goes over the total. |
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03-04-18 | North Dakota State v. IUPU Ft Wayne OVER 146.5 | 86-82 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
The Dons have gone over in seven straight and nine of their last 10. Two of those overs came against North Dakota State in IPFW victories. They beat them at home 92-88 and on the road 84-72. Jon Konchar and Bryson Scott are one of the best duos in college basketball and Konchar is putting up incredible stats. This team probably won't make a deep run in the Summit though because of a very leaky defense that allows too many teams to shoot well. North Dakota State's defense is pretty bad too at times. They can score though with the best of them as Paul Miller is one of the best players in this conference. The Bison just don't have enough reliable players. To me, this one should be played with some pace and should go over the total. |
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03-03-18 | Richmond v. George Mason OVER 147.5 | 93-79 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
George Mason has dominated this series as of late with at least five straight wins over Richmond and seven of their last eight in Fairfax. The two teams played in Richmond a month ago with the Pats winning 79-75. The Spiders shot horribly in that one, but still managed to keep things really close. Richmond's defense has disappeared as of late allowing just under 80 points in their last five games with opponents shooting 53.2% from the field. Their starting five all average over 10 points per game but the bench doesn't add much. GMU has gone over in 13 of their 17 conference games because they allow over 77 points per game. They can score though and that's huge. This team with a win can be the 4th seed in the A-10 tourney. That's important in saving them considering depth is an issue. I think this one should see a lot of points and should go over the total. |
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03-03-18 | La Salle v. St. Joe's OVER 147 | 70-78 | Win | 100 | 5 h 19 m | Show | |
It's a battle for Philly supremacy in the A-10 as St. Joe's hosts La Salle. The Hawks have won five of six after a five game losing streak. They've gone over in five of their last eight games as the offense continues to explode. Shavar Newkirk and James Demery are a good duo with Taylor Funk adding as well. SJU beat Rhode Island at their place by 30 last time out playing some rare defense that I don't think they can sustain. La Salle has won three of their last four. They don't play great defense either and have one of the best players in the confidence in BJ Johnson. These two played at La Salle back on February 3rd with the Explorers winning 81-78 in a game we had the over in last time. Both squads play with a better pace and should be close with FT's coming late. I think this one goes over the total. |
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03-03-18 | St. John's v. Providence OVER 141 | 57-61 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 15 m | Show | |
St. John's has won five of their last seven entering this one against Providence. They have gone over the total in six of seven and eight of their last 12 as the defense continues to be leaky. The Red Storm have scored 70 or more in seven straight entering this one. Shamorie Ponds is questionable but one could argue the offense was actually just as good without him. Providence is a hard team to figure out. They've lost four of their last six games and it's because of a defense that couldn't stop anyone as of late and an offense that isn't scoring enough. Providence won at St. John's 94-72 back on December 28th. These two have gone over in five straight meetings. I think that occurs in this one as well. |
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03-01-18 | UTEP v. Rice OVER 138 | 70-76 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
UTEP has won three of their last four after a long stretch of losses. They are up and down offensively scoring 33 at ODU, 50 at MTSU and 59 against UTSA. The Miners also have put up 70 or more in each of those victories during this current stretch. Omega Harris is the leading scorer with Isiah Osborne and Matt Wilms as other threats. On the road, defense has been a failure allowing 82, 86, 81, 85, 65, 97 and 85 in conference. Rice has won just three times since the turn of the calendar. They have gone over in three of four and five of their last seven games as the defense has been just as awful. Their offense is pretty mediocre, but could find some success in this one. UTEP won at home 80-62 in their first meeting back on December 30th. To me, these two teams should play a bit of a looser game and we should see plenty of points. |
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03-01-18 | Charleston Southern v. North Carolina-Asheville OVER 141.5 | 66-71 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
UNC Asheville is the host school in the Big South tournament and they get Charleston Southern. The Bulldogs took matchup one at home 83-73 in a contest that saw them shoot 61.7% from the field and 61.9% from long range. The rematch came at Charleston Southern and saw the home team lose 85-80 in a game that saw the Dogs shoot 50% from the field. They will have Ahmad Thomas back in the lineup and he forms a potent duo with Macio Teague. The two score over 33 points per contest. At home, they've scored 89, 69, 66, 75, 84, 65, 83 and 90 in conference. They play at a decent pace. Charleston Southern is led by Christian Keeling and Travis McConico. They have won six of their last seven and have scored 70 or more in five of those games. Their defense can be a bit leaky this season. To me, this one should be played at a decent pace making the lower total within reach. |
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02-28-18 | Massachusetts v. Richmond OVER 147.5 | 65-90 | Win | 100 | 19 h 36 m | Show | |
The Spiders have lost five straight as their defense has suddenly disappeared once again. Richmond has allowed 72, 103, 72, 85 and 97 points over this losing streak. The 103 came against very weak offensive team GW who shot almost 70% from the field. IF Luwane Pipkins is back then the Minutemen should be able to do work on the home team. They've scored 70 or above in seven straight and eight of their last nine. UMass has had issues though on the defensive side and that's why they are also on a five game losing streak. This team has allowed 78, 82, 83, 83 and 85 over this skid. Richmond's offense is capable of big things with five guys who average double digits on the season. Their problem has been a non-existent bench. To me, this one should be playing with a nice flow and should go over the total. |
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02-27-18 | Ball State v. Central Michigan OVER 147.5 | 51-75 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 35 m | Show | |
Meeting number one between these two went 82-76 with Ball State picking up the victory at home. This series has seen three straight overs with both of them last year sailing over the number. Ball State has won five of their last six with four of those going over the total. They've scored 80 points or more in seven of their conference games. The defense has had it's issues at times against the better scoring teams in this conference. Central Michigan has lost three straight and five of their last six. They've gone over in six of seven and 12 of their last 15 contests. This is another team that doesn't play good defense, but has a very potent offense. We've enjoyed taking overs in both of these teams' games so why not take the over when they play each other. |
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02-24-18 | Old Dominion v. Western Kentucky OVER 139 | 66-88 | Win | 100 | 21 h 38 m | Show | |
ODU has won six straight since their loss to Middle Tennessee. The Monarchs have gone over in three of four and eight of their 12 road games. They play some fantastic defense, but it's not as lockdown on away from Norfolk this season. Scoring used to be a problem for Old Dominion, but now they have four double digit scorers and Brandan Stith that has done a lot. Western Kentucky is nowhere near as deep but they have five double digit scorers and Josh Anderson who has helped in his 13 games since coming off suspension. They already have a win over ODU on the road 75-68 in a game that saw them shoot 54% from the field and 62.5% from long range. To me, this one comes down to FT's and we play in the high 60s, low 70s as each team tries to exert their will on the other. |
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02-24-18 | Massachusetts v. George Mason OVER 146.5 | 76-78 | Win | 100 | 20 h 40 m | Show | |
UMass has gone over in eight straight games as this team continues to fill up the hoop on offense and struggling on defense. They've allowed 80 or more in every game during this over streak while Luwane Pipkins does his work on the offensive end. They don't have a ton of depth, but aren't afraid to run and have one inside player as well. Meeting one with the Patriots was an over 80-72 in Amherst back on January 3rd. That was with both teams shooting around 38% from the field. Mason has gone over in nine of their last 12 as they also struggle on defense, but have an offense that can fill it up. Not much analysis needed. This one should be played in the 70s. |
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02-24-18 | Notre Dame v. Wake Forest OVER 145.5 | 76-71 | Win | 100 | 17 h 32 m | Show | |
Wake Forest hosts Notre Dame on Saturday afternoon. The Demon Deacons have just four conference wins over Pittsburgh, Georgia Tech, Florida State and Syracuse. They don't play very good defense and have struggled at times to get the offense going. They've gone over in five of six and six of their last eight contests. Doral Moore is going to have his hands full on the inside with Notre Dame who has plenty of beef in there. The Fighting Irish have won three of their last five but are still without Bonzie Colson. Rex Pflueger is due back to the lineup which will help an offense that has scored 74 or more in four of their last five. Defense has been an issue at times leading to a stretch of six of eight overs. Five opponents in ACC play have shot 50% or better from the field. To me, this one should go over the total and it's pretty close in terms of spread. |
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02-24-18 | College of Charleston v. William & Mary OVER 156 | 104-114 | Win | 100 | 16 h 43 m | Show | |
It's a William and Mary home game so naturally we are going over the total. They are averaging 91.1 points per contest there shooting a whopping 52.5% from the field. The Tribe is allowing 82.3 points per game at home which is why they are only 10-3 there instead of better. The first meeting between these two went to Charleston just two weeks ago 82-77 in a game that saw WM shoot over 51% from the field while making only seven threes. Last year this game was 89-79 in Williamsburg. Charleston has clinched the one seed in the CAA tournament so we may see a bit of a letdown from their side. They've had three games played in the 150s as totals and they've gone over in all three. This one should be fun and high scoring on Saturday. |
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02-22-18 | Elon v. College of Charleston OVER 141.5 | 58-79 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
It's the final week of the CAA regular season and Charleston is hosting Elon. These two played a 63-58 game at Elon back on January 13th, but I predict a lot looser contest this time around. Charleston has gone over in five straight as they've scored 88, 81, 89, 82 and 86 in those games. The offense has been a lot better at home although the defense has struggled at times. Elon has gone over in four of their last seven and it's because of a bad defense that has allowed 72, 87, 99, 76, 83, 85, 76 and 72 in their conference road games. Elon's offense can be inconsistent so that's probably the reason for the lower number. I think this one is played in the 70s so I'll take the over. |
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02-22-18 | NC-Wilmington v. William & Mary OVER 168.5 | 83-96 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
I don't know if you can place a number high enough for William and Mary at home. They are averaging 90.7 points per game in Williamsburg and are shooting 52.4% from the field there. The problem has been their defense which has allowed 82.2 points per contest there with opponents shooting 49.5% from the field. The Tribe won 84-81 in the road meeting between these two just under a month ago. They shot 55.8% in that one and were crushed on the boards. Some of the previous scores in this series are 105-94, 96-78 and 101-77. The Seahawks have either scored or allowed 100 points seven times. They have little interest in playing defense. To me, this one is a fun one that sees a lot of pace and a lot of points. |
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02-21-18 | Boise State v. Colorado State OVER 145 | 87-54 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 4 m | Show | |
CSU has had a miserable season as they've lost eight of their last nine. In comes Boise State and reports say that J.D. Paige will be back in the lineup after dealing with his hand injury. Paige is the team's second leading scorer and will join Prentiss Nixon, Deion James and Che Bob. CSU has scored 90, 67, 86, 74, 71 and 79 in their last six home conference games. The team's defense has been pretty bad allowing 70 or more in all but one conference game and that came at San Jose State. Boise State has lost two of three, but they have an awesome offense and a sometimes leaky defense. They crushed the Rams 93-74 in their earlier meeting back in December. I think these two can get up the court a little bit and we see an over. |
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02-21-18 | Clemson v. Virginia Tech OVER 142.5 | 58-65 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 5 m | Show | |
Clemson had a tough week last week falling to Florida State and Duke. They are playing without Shelton Mitchell and Donte Grantham and it showed in the loss to the Blue Devils as they managed just 57 points against a leaky defense. Clemson has gone over in six of their last 10 games as the offense has been pretty good and the defense has been pretty bad on the road. Duke and Georgia Tech were able to bomb away from long range which is what the Hokies specialize in. Virginia Tech is back home where the offense flows pretty easily. In conference they've scored 80 or more on everyone except Virginia. They had a stretch of seven overs in eight games before these four straight unders. Defense is an issue and I think they struggle at times with some of Clemson's better players. If I can get a reasonable total like this in Blacksburg, I'll take the over. |
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02-21-18 | VCU v. Massachusetts OVER 151 | 82-78 | Win | 100 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
UMass has gone over in seven straight games entering this one against VCU. The Minutemen are led by Luwane Pipkins who is one of the best players in the conference. The team has scored 70 or more in six of their last seven, but their defense has allowed 80 or more in seven straight. Carl Pierre and C.J. Anderson are other weapons. VCU has lost four of their last five and it's a combination of poor offense and really bad defense. They've allowed 70 or more seven straight games. The team has had problems scoring lately, but I think Justin Tillman should have a huge game. The Rams have gone over in all but one of their road games. I think this one is an over. |
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02-20-18 | Rhode Island v. La Salle OVER 146 | 95-93 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
Rhode Island is looking to bounce back as they travel to Philly to play La Salle. The Rams have gone over in eight of their last 12 games as their offense keeps humming. They've put up 80 or more 13 times this season. The team has incredible balance and can beat you in a couple of different ways. Their defense hasn't been as good on the road where they allowed 77 at St. Bonaventure, 68 at VCU, 83 at UMass and 74 at Dayton. The Explorers saw their losing skid end last time out as they beat George Mason 69-62. They have gone over in nine of their last 12 as the defense has been horrific. They've allowed 70 or more in 10 of their last 12 contests. BJ Johnson and Pookie Powell are a solid duo in terms of this conference. These two played earlier in January and Rhody won 74-62 where they could control the pace and play better defense. This one seems to be an over. |
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02-20-18 | Central Michigan v. Western Michigan OVER 148.5 | 81-83 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
Western Michigan hosts Central Michigan on Tuesday night. The Broncos are averaging 78.2 points per game at home. They have scored 70 or more in eight of their last 11 contests. Thomas Wilder and Josh Davis average nearly 30 points per game with three others putting up over nine points per contest. Central Michigan has five players that score nine points per contest or more which makes the Chips tough to stop. They've gone over in 10 of their last 13 and it's a combination of a solid offense and some pretty bad defense. CMU has allowed 72 at NIU, 98 at Ohio, 75 at Bowling Green and 82 at Ball State. The last four meetings between these teams have seen scores of 88-80, 86-82, 91-82 and 92-85. I think we could see something similar. |
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02-18-18 | Houston v. Temple OVER 141 | 80-59 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
It's a very important game for Temple who hosts Houston. The Cougars held off the Owls at their place 76-73 back on December 30th. In that game both teams shot well but Houston crushed Temple on the boards making Breon Brady a household name for one night. Temple has gone over in five of their last six and it's because of an offense that's scored 86, 73, 90, 83, 81 and 85 in their last six games. They've got a balanced attack and play better at home. Houston is coming off an emotional win over Cincinnati last time out. Their offense has been pretty good and so has their defense. It's not as strong on the road where they allowed 80 at Cincinnati and 81 at Tulane and Wichita State. To me, this one seems to be an over with the chance that the Owls win at home. |
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02-18-18 | Ohio State v. Michigan OVER 132 | 62-74 | Win | 100 | 3 h 22 m | Show | |
Michigan is looking for revenge after blowing a double digit halftime lead to Ohio State in Columbus back on December 4th. The Buckeyes won that one 71-62 after being down 43-30 at half. Michigan struggled from long range and shot 15 less FTs then their opponent. The Wolverines are one of the slower paced teams in the country, but they shoot 47.2% from the field and average 74 points per contest. Their defense is pretty good too although they allow teams to shoot nearly 44%. Ohio State has similar numbers although they shoot better from the field and play slightly better FG defense. Both teams trend heavily to the under this season, yet they have had performances that make you think both have good offenses. OSU was embarrassed last time out at Penn State so you know they will play better and Crisler Arena will be rockin. I think this one goes over the total. |
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02-17-18 | Oregon v. UCLA OVER 152 | 78-86 | Win | 100 | 13 h 5 m | Show | |
UCLA has won five of six as they enter this one against Oregon. They lost to the Ducks at their place 94-91 on January 20th. The Bruins shot almost 52% from the field in that one, but were unable to get the stops they needed to win. This team has scored 70 or more in seven straight and still has had it's issues on the defensive end as well. It's their last home game of the season as well. Oregon has won five of their last seven, but they've struggled with defense on the road. The Ducks allowed 96 at Stanford, 90 at Arizona and 76 at Oregon State. Oregon can come at you in many ways and can score a lot. I think this one is going to see a lot of points. |
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02-17-18 | Notre Dame v. Boston College OVER 143.5 | 84-67 | Win | 100 | 17 h 10 m | Show | |
BC has gone over in seven of their last 10 games entering this one against Notre Dame. The Eagles lost 96-85 in South Bend with both teams shooting at or over 50% from the field. Ky Bowman and Jerome Robinson are having great seasons and Boston College is scoring 80 points or more in four of five and six of their last nine. Their defense isn't so hot and the reason why their record isn't better. Notre Dame is expected to get DJ Harvey back putting them close to full strength. They've had some rest time with the last game coming on Monday in North Carolina. The Fighting Irish offense needs more from Matt Farrell who came up small on Chapel Hill. They've gone over in four of their last six. I think these two should light up the scoreboard on Saturday. |
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02-17-18 | Toledo v. Ball State OVER 153 | 71-99 | Win | 100 | 15 h 13 m | Show | |
The Rockets have lost just two games in 2018 and one of those came at home to Ball State back on January 30th. In that one both teams shot worse then 40% and the Cardinals were awful from the FT line. Toledo's got a great offense that has cracked the 80 point mark eight times this calendar year. Tre'Shaun Fletcher and Jaelan Sanford put up over 35 points per game with two others also putting up double digits. Ball State's offense is hot right now scoring 90 and 87 after two horrific games. They've had some high scoring contests at home where they've gone over in three of their last four. Tayler Persons leads four double digit scorers for the Cardinals who also have had their poor moments on defense. To me, this is a close game with good pace and plenty of points. |
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02-17-18 | Air Force v. Boise State OVER 139.5 | 52-76 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 13 m | Show | |
The Air Force has won two of their last three and has gone over in seven of their last 12 contests overall. The offense has seen an uptick over their last three games scoring 73, 100 and 78. This is reminiscent of the stretch in early January where they put up 75, 76, 78 and 76. The Falcons problem has been on defense. They've given up 70 points or more in every MWC game this season. Boise State has lost two straight and needs to get some frustrations out on someone. They lost by five to Nevada at home and by six at Utah State. The offense is fantastic and should be ready to do a lot of the heavy lifting. Boise put up 93 on UNLV, 94 on San Jose State and 90 on New Mexico with all of those games at home. I think this one is an over with the Broncos getting in the 90s once again potentially. |
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02-15-18 | Western Kentucky v. North Texas OVER 140.5 | 102-94 | Win | 100 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
02-14-18 | St. John's v. DePaul OVER 143 | 77-76 | Win | 100 | 22 h 31 m | Show | |
DePaul handed St. John's an odd 91-74 loss back on January 6th in New York. They were 7.5 point underdogs in that one as the Blue Demons shot nearly 50% from the field. Since then they've won just two games at Georgetown and at Providence. DePaul's offense has shown flashes at times, but their lack of defense has been pretty consistent. Over the length of conference play, they've held one team to less then 70 points and that was last time out at Providence. The Red Storm have won three straight and it's because of a smoking hot offense that has put up 81, 79 and 86. Their defense has also been pretty leaky during that span. Five straight opponents have scored 70 points or more. I think this one is played over the lower total and we get a game played in the 70s. |
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02-14-18 | Dayton v. George Mason OVER 146.5 | 67-85 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
George Mason has won two of their last three entering Wednesday's matchup with the Flyers. The Patriots have gone over in nine of their last 12 games as the offense has provided some of the spark as well as a tremendous lack of defense. Mason allowed 85 to St. Bonaventure at home, 84 to VCU, 81 to St. Louis and 86 to Davidson. I really like Otis Livingston, Jaire Grayer and Justin Kier who join Goanar Mar as the team's toughest scorers. Dayton has lost five of their last seven and their defense has let them down too at times. Since allowing 81 at Richmond, they've given up 70 or more in all but one contest. Josh Cunningham and Darrell Davis are tough to slow down along with Trey Landers and Jalen Crutcher who are improving as scorers. Mason has gone over in 36 of their last 51 A-10 games. Last year the lone meeting went to Dayton 83-70 in Ohio. We could see a similar score. |
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02-13-18 | Central Michigan v. Northern Illinois OVER 150.5 | 80-72 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
Central Michigan has lost eight of their last 11 as they travel to Northern Illinois. The Chips have gone over in eight of their last 11 as the defense continues to be an issue. The opponent has scored 80 points or more eight times with all but two of those coming on the road. They certainly have a potent offense as evidenced by the scoring stretch of 80 or more in three of their last four. NIU has lost four of five and six of their last eight games. They have also gone over in seven of their last eight as they have no interest in defense. The Huskies have allowed 80 or more in four straight and nine times overall. They've played some of their better games at home beating Buffalo 90-88 last time out. They also have a 93-62 win over Bowling Green there as well. CMU has gone over in 22 of their last 32 games as an underdog. I think this one is an over. |
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02-13-18 | St Bonaventure v. La Salle OVER 151.5 | 79-68 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
A really potent offense takes on a really leaky defense in this one. St. Bonaventure has gone over in three of four and nine of their last 12 as the team continues to pour on the points. They've scored 70 or more in 12 straight games with Adams, Mobley and Stockard representing the team's biggest threats. They will have the Guard advantage over La Salle in this one. St. Bonaventure is struggling with defense allowing 88 to Richmond, 81 to Duquesne, 83 to Davidson and 87 to Rhode Island whom they get in Olean New York next this weekend. La Salle has lost eight of their last 11, but have gone over in nine of those contests. Most of those overs were because of a lack of defense that has killed them. Pookie Powell and BJ Johnson are a solid duo, but they need help. To me, this one screams shootout as the Bonnies could be unfocused and La Salle just plain stinks. |
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02-12-18 | Notre Dame v. North Carolina OVER 150.5 | 66-83 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
North Carolina is playing their third game since Thursday and in comes Notre Dame. The Heels played really well in wins over NC State and Duke and have to be a little emotionally drained entering this one. They scored 96 on the Wolfpack and 82 on the Blue Devils but also were a bit leaky on defense. This is a team that has shot 50% or better in three of their last five home games and have gone over in six of their last eight overall. Notre Dame has been playing better after a seven game losing streak. They put up 96 on Boston College and 84 on Florida State the last two contests. Matt Farrell is back which makes them more dangerous. Defense has been an issue though allowing 75 or more in four of five and five of their last seven. These two played a 69-68 game back on January 13th. I think we see a looser contest on the road in this one. |
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02-10-18 | Drexel v. College of Charleston OVER 140 | 67-89 | Win | 100 | 18 h 14 m | Show | |
Drexel has won four of their last five and already has a victory over Charleston this season. The Dragons beat them 87-82 on January 5th and are finally the healthy team we figured they would be. Tramaine Isabell has been great averaging 20 points per contest. Kurk Lee, Alihan Demir, Sammy Mojica and Troy Harper all also put up at least 10 points per game. Charleston goes as their big three of Joe Chealey, Grant Riller and Jarrell Brantley go. The Cougars have won seven straight and it's because of an offense that has been hot and a solid defense. Still, they've gone over in five of their seven home conference contests. There might be a little bit of a letdown after the big win over William and Mary last time out. I think this one goes over the total. |
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02-10-18 | Delaware v. William & Mary OVER 152.5 | 66-83 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 15 m | Show | |
It's almost an automatic pick for me to take the over in William and Mary home games. They've done so in all eight lined home games and 10 of their 13 CAA contests. The Tribe are averaging 91.4 points per game at home shooting 52.6% from the field. They've also allowed 83.7 points in those contests so defense has been a bit of an issue in these track meets. The two teams met back on January 5th with William and Mary winning 90-65 on the road as a two point underdog. Last year they put up 82 and 85 in those contests against the Blue Hens. Delaware has allowed 89, 76 and 90 in their last three road games. Their offense has struggled without Ryan Daly, but I think they can do their part in this over. Until I see something different, I will take the over in William and Mary home games. |
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02-10-18 | Miami-FL v. Boston College OVER 144.5 | 70-72 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 14 m | Show | |
BC has gone over in four straight and seven of their last eight with the eighth game being a push. They have scored 80 points or more in three straight and five of their last seven as Jerome Robinson and Ky Bowman continue to roll. Their problem has been on defense allowing 70 points or more in 10 straight. Miami has gone over in eight of their last nine as the offense continues to perform without Bruce Brown. They have had some defensive issues themselves allowing 75 at Virginia Tech and 103 at Florida State. Up next is a huge home game with Virginia who figures to be number one so focus could be an issue. I'll bet it's on the defensive side and we get a solid over. |
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02-08-18 | Towson v. Drexel OVER 145 | 94-92 | Win | 100 | 20 h 41 m | Show | |
The Tigers hit the road for their third straight as they play Drexel. Towson has gone over in four straight and 11 of their last 12 contests as they've developed a pretty potent offense. They've put up 90 or more three times in conference with one of those coming against these Dragons at home back on January 18th, 90-68. Zane Martin and Mike Morsell are a potent duo averaging over 32 points per game. The Dragons have won four straight and coincidentally it occurred with the team playing a lot of home games. Not only that, they are their healthiest that they've been with lots of help for Tramaine Isabell. Kurk Lee, Sammy Mojica, Alihan Demir and Troy Harper are all healthy right now as well. Drexel scored 91 at William and Mary as well as 76, 68 and 83 during this current streak. They've gone over in five of their last seven contests and have struggled times with defense. This one should go over the total. |
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02-07-18 | Utah State v. Wyoming OVER 148 | 65-83 | Push | 0 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
Wyoming has gone over in eight of their 10 lined home games as they get set to host Utah State. The Cowboys beat the Aggies 85-77 on the road just a couple of weeks ago. Both teams put up relatively similar numbers in that one. The two teams have gone over in nine of their last 12 games in this series. The Cowboys have three matchup problems in Justin James, Hayden Dalton and Alan Herndon. They like pushing the pace especially at home with the elevation issues. This team has scored 62, 104, 73, 79, 82 and 84 in their last six home contests. Utah State has won three straight and has road wins at Fresno State and UNLV. They've had issues on defense at times this season and could struggle with the pace. I think this one can go over the total. |
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02-07-18 | East Carolina v. Temple OVER 136 | 73-90 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
East Carolina has lost six of their last eight and it's a combination of bad offense and bad defense. The Pirates have allowed 86 in each of their last two road games and have given up 79 at Tulsa and 70 at UConn which is a lot for them. ECU has gone over in four of five and seven of their last nine. Temple's offense has been clicking with three straight 80 point efforts as they finally have become the team they were early in the season after wins over Auburn and Clemson as well as South Carolina. The defense has been a bit leaky with three 70 point games for their opponents. I think this one is played a bit loose and both teams contribute as it goes over the total. |
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02-06-18 | San Diego State v. Fresno State OVER 146 | 61-79 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 21 m | Show | |
The Aztecs have lost four of their last six and one of those came at home against Fresno State 77-73 in a game that saw both teams shoot well. San Diego State had five double digit scorers although one of those was Trey Kell who won't be playing in this one. Fresno's got great balance with the Taylors and Jaron Hopkins. The Bulldogs offense is inconsistent and at times they don't mind lower scoring games especially at home. The thing is that the Aztecs defense is so leaky, that I don't know if they will mind going back and forth a bit. San Diego State has allowed 88 at UNLV, 79 at New Mexico, 83 at Boise State and 82 at Wyoming. New Mexico managed to get into a track meet with Fresno and lost 89-80. I think this one is tight and close and higher scoring. |
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02-06-18 | Colorado State v. Air Force OVER 140.5 | 73-78 | Win | 100 | 22 h 13 m | Show | |
Air Force has tumbled a bit since a brief hot stretch where they won at Colorado State and San Jose State. Since then they've lost at San Diego State and Utah State. Their coach says that he wants to keep going with the high tempo because it benefits them. They played five of their last nine over the total. In matchup one against Colorado State they managed to win 76-71 in a game that saw both teams shoot pretty poorly. CSU got Prentiss Nixon back, but they've lost six straight games. The reason is their horrific defense where they've allowed 70 points or more in 10 straight games. These two have gone over in seven of their last 11 meetings at the Air Force. That trend continues on Tuesday. |
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02-06-18 | St. Joe's v. Davidson OVER 144 | 62-91 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
The Hawks are playing their fourth road game over their last four and have lost four straight contests overall. St. Joe's defense has been pretty awful this season especially away from home where they've allowed 81 at La Salle, 72 at UMass, 81 at George Mason and 81 at Toledo. They've got some solid scorers in James Demery and Shavar Newkirk who are a tough duo. Davidson's offense is hot with two straight efforts over 80 points. They've been playing better defense, but I'm not a believer that it's real. They've played three overs in their last five games. Peyton Aldridge and Kellan Grady are a good duo themselves. Two years ago these two played a 99-93 game. I think we don't get that high, but these two offenses could get over the total. |