USC Trojans.

Guys, the line is way off this matchup. USC has dominated Washington taking 10 consecutive meetings, covering seven of those 10, which includes wins and covers and the four most recent matchups. The Huskies enter this game with a 5-3 SU record, covering just four of their eight outings this season, and come off back-to-back losses. The Trojans are a perfect 8–0 SU, covering five of their eight games this season, and sporting a perfect 3-0 record at home. This is a team that's already taken down such notables as Boise State, Seton Hall, Arizona State, and Oregon. Yes, one of their top contributors, Rodney Rice has been sidelined, and is questionable here today. But this team is deep, and in his absence, Chad Baker-Mazara stepped up and accounted for 23-points, in the last Wednesday's Maui Championship game over Arizona State and then posted 25-points this past Tuesday against Oregon. While Washington does have a decent team, they're just not on the same level in this matchup. I look for USC to dominate at both ends of the court, and light up the scoreboard with the nation’s 32nd-ranked three-point shooting offense.

Ohio State.

My friends, throw logic out the window on this one. I know that just about everybody out there as of posting this play likes Indiana. I know that a lot of handicappers out there are coming up with Indiana as well. Once again, the masses are wrong. Yes, on paper the Hoosiers have blown up in higher-fashion some of the same opponents the Buckeyes took down this season. They also average 8.0-points per game more on offense, are a little better at running the ball. But this game isn't played on paper my friends. And let's face it, Indiana has not had to face a defense like they're going up against here this week. Please remember they allowed Penn State to almost beat them a few weeks back. Then they had some throwaway games against Wisconsin and Purdue. They have not faced a defense like they're going to face her again, I had to repeat that. Ohio State's offense is just as explosive, averaging 40.4-points per game and only committed eight turnovers. That is huge. They are better in the air for sure. All that said, yes, this game is being played at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, Indiana, but it doesn't matter where this is played. The Buckeyes have dominated the Hoosiers taking 10 consecutive meetings straight up, covering three of the last four most recent matchups. As a matter of fact, over the last four years they've won by 47, 42, 20, and 23-points. Ohio State will come out and prove a point that they are the best team in the country. No. 1 in points allowed (8.5 PPG), No. 1 in total yards, No. 1 in passing yards, and No. 4 in rushing yards. Indiana is in trouble here.

Virginia.

There is no question this is one of the biggest mismatches you will see this weekend in college football conference championship weekend. Duke is just 7-5 straight up covering only five of their 12 outings this season, while Virginia is 10-2 on the campaign, covering eight of their 12 contests. Yes, this game is being played in Charlotte, North Carolina, but I think if it was anywhere else, this line would be even higher. The Cavaliers took down the Blue Devils just three weeks ago in Durham, North Carolina by 17-points, and are only about a field goal favorite here. Virginia was dominant in all aspects of that matchup, throwing for over 316 yards, and rushing for over 224 yards. They did commit quite a few penalties, but also dominated the time of possession by nearly 12 more minutes. Duke could not run the ball at all and let's face it, their passing game sputtered badly. Without a real rushing attack, the Blue Devil still account for 37.7 points per game. However, the Cavaliers are more well-balanced offensively, and average just behind them at 36.2 points per game. It is the defense, the defense, the defense that will make the difference here. Virginia's defense ranks 25th nationally, yielding just 21.8 PPG, and forcing 12 turnovers. They are equally good against the pass as they are the rush. Duke’s stop-unit, ranks 56th against the rush and 132nd against the pass, getting steamrolled for over 32.1 points per game. By the way, just to add insult injury, the Cavaliers offense, is very good on the ground, averaging over 200 yards per game (205.8 YPG). They will be able to shut down their opponent’s offense, while they control the clock with their own ground game, opening up their very explosive passing attack. I don't see this outcome being any different from the earlier one.

Alabama.

Guys, I know most of the money is coming in on Georgia as of posting this play. But I'm here to tell you, the general public once again has it wrong. Yes, the Bulldogs are on an eight-game straight up win streak covering five of those eight outings. And yes, despite Alabama's offense averaging a little more than one more point per game, I would say the Georgia offense is a little more well-balanced. So, on paper, the Bulldogs look like the play. But I think we can all agree, college football isn’t played on paper, it is played on the gridiron, and Alabama rules the gridiron, especially in this matchup. The Crimson Tide have taken three in a row and nine of the last 10 meetings against their conference rival. This does include a 24-21 road win and cover this season back at the end of September. Not only do they beat this team, they cover against them too, covering three straight, and five of the last six matchups. In that first matchup, the Bulldogs could not stop the Crimson Tide quarterback, Ty Simpson and the passing attack. The quarterback threw for 280 yards passing, and two touchdowns. Statistically, the Georgia defense has tightened up against the past since then. But I don't think it's because they’ve gotten better, I think it's because their schedule permitted them to on paper, improve. Obviously beating a team twice in one season especially a team of this level is difficult. But going back to this matchup, I am not in love with the Bulldogs offense. They only put up 24 points on the Gators, and 16 points on the Yellow Jackets in their last outing. Defensively, they're one of the worst in the country at sacking the quarterback, and they also rank 50th against the pass. By the way, they've only snagged eight turnovers as well. Their defense succeeds because they are very good against the rush. But what good is that when you're facing an offense that does not rely upon rushing the ball. The ‘Bama offense ranks 101st, averaging 137.6 yards per game on the ground. They only run to keep defenses honest, and allow their passing game to open up. That's where you're gonna’ see a big difference. The 17th-ranked passing attack of the Crimson Tide going up against the 50th-ranked pass defense of the Bulldogs. By the way, let's not forget Alabama's defense has been stellar this season, not allowing a single opponent since their first week of the season to put up better than 24-points on them. They allow just 18.0 PPG, have forced 10 turnovers, are ninth against the pass and 37th against the rush. They have been extremely stingy against the run, and that's how Georgia offense moves the chains. One last thing, guys don't be fooled by the fact the Crimson Tide have two losses this season. Don't let that influence you. They enter this matchup with confidence knowing they've dominated this rivalry.

Texas Tech.

My friends, I'm not gonna’ tell you that many times I feel in a revenge situation from a recent blowout embarrassing loss, I would automatically look to come on the loser of that first game in the second matchup. But that's not the case here. Texas Tech dominated BYU back on November 8 at home, 29-7. Now guys, the Cougars are a very good team. Obviously sporting an 11-1 straight up record and covering nine of their 12 outings, proves that statement. But the Red Raiders are a great team. In that first matchup, Texas Tech quarterback, Behren Morton was under pressure for a lot of the game. And yet he's still threw for over 219 yards, one touchdown, while the running game accumulated 149 yards. As a matter of fact, the quarterback was -47 yards personally in rushing in the game because of sacks. It was the Texas Tech defense that made the difference. I feel Morton will have a much better performance in this outing, while the nation’s third-ranked stop-unit takes care of the rest. Yes, the Red Raiders defense allows just 12.3 points per game, ranking number one in the nation against the rush and 29th against the pass. No matter how you cut it, the Cougars offense is in trouble here. On the flipside, I look for Morton and the eighth-ranked aerial assault in the nation to go out of their way, prove a point, and light up the scoreboard in the air. Remember, this is a this is a very well-balanced offense that not only averages over 322.5 yards in the air per game, they also average over 211.2 yards per game on the ground. I don't see why this matchup will be any different than the earlier matchup.

*10-3 NCAAF RUN (as of posting) *FRI & SAT CONF CHAMPIONSHIP WINNERS*Joe D’s NCAAF is SCORCHING HOT & as one of the most profitable documented big game cappers over the L25 years, this is the time of year, WE SCORCH THE BOOKS: C USA, MOUNTAIN WEST, BIG 12, SEC, ACC, BIG TEN CHAMPIONSHIP WINNERS.

Saturday’s FREE WINNER: Western Michigan Broncos.

Game 114.

9:00 AM PST/12:00 PM EST.

Maybe this game isn't being played in Kalamazoo, but it is being played in Detroit, Michigan and you will see a ton of Broncos fans in the stands. Having said that, this is the third straight MAC title game for the Redhawks, winning the previous two. But they do lose a little luster when they travel going 3-3 on the road this season. While they have won and covered their last two outings, they did struggle a little bit in they're two previous contests, losing and failing to cover both. Meanwhile, Western Michigan enters this matchup red-hot, winning four in a row straight up, and covering their last three games. As a matter of fact, they have played some darn good football. I am well aware Miami took down Western Michigan in the only meeting this season, back at the end of October at home, 26-17. That was their second consecutive win and cover going back several seasons. Prior to that Western Michigan dominated this rivalry, winning eight consecutive meetings straight up, and going 5-3 ATS during that span. Neither offense is known for their passing games. Without question both offenses rely upon their ground games. But also, without question, the Broncos are stronger at running the football. Coincidentally enough, they're both pretty darn good at stopping in rush, as Western Michigan is certainly stronger against the pass. They also possess a defense that ranks 13th nationally, yielding just 18.7 PPG. Speaking of offense, the dual-threat senior quarterback for the Redhawks, is no longer here. And they have a younger, less-seasoned, quarterback at the helm. I just don't see him having too much success here. As a matter of fact, this is a big step up in class from what he's seen recently. Just FYI, Dequan Finn was the experienced leader under center when Miami took down Western Michigan. Now the reins have been passed to Thomas Gotkowski really just has one start under his belt. You can't compare that to quarterback Broc Lowry, who possesses a 63.5% completion rate, 1572 yards passing, and a 7/2 ratio this season. He will be the difference on offense, while the Broncos defense take care of the rest. Take Western Michigan. Thank you.