01-02-13 |
La Salle v. Miami (Fla) -5.5 |
|
59-76 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 45 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Miami (Florida) -5.5 The Key: Off back-to-back losses on a neutral floor, I expect Miami to bounce back in a big way at home where it is 5-0 on the season with an average winning margin of 15.6 points. The Hurricanes are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games and an amazing 41-17-1 ATS in their last 59 non-conference games. They are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. Atlantic 10 foes and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games versus teams with a winning percentage above .600. Lay the points.
|
01-02-13 |
Louisville +14 v. Florida |
Top |
33-23 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 42 m |
Show
|
7* Sugar Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* on Louisville +14 The Key: Oddsmakers are asking too much of a Florida offense that finished the season ranked 103rd in the nation in total offense with 338.0 yards per game. A Louisville stop unit that ranks a respectable 24th in the country in total defense with 344.8 yards allowed per game should be up for the challenge. The Cardinals have never lost against the spread under coach Strong when matched up against a top-level team that carries a winning percentage greater than 75%. They are a perfect 6-0 ATS versus these foes and have defeated them by an average of 0.4 points. Take the points as Louisville keeps this one closer than the oddsmakers think.
|
01-02-13 |
New Orleans Hornets +10 v. Houston Rockets |
|
92-104 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 3 m |
Show
|
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Hornets +10 The Key: Oddsmakers are undervaluing the Hornets here. New Orleans lost by 9 to Atlanta last night, but it has played the Pacers, Spurs, Warriors and Thunder to within 7 points recently. Plus, it has defeated the Rockets or lost to them by 7 points or less in 11 straight meetings. Now, that's an 11-0 trend I can get behind. New Orleans is 29-15 ATS as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons and 22-9 ATS in road games when out for revenge for a loss to an opponent over the last 2 seasons. Take the points.
|
01-02-13 |
Indiana St v. Northern Iowa -6 |
|
65-61 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 44 m |
Show
|
6* Missouri Valley Conference *CA$H COW* on Northern Iowa -6 The Key: The Panthers are tough as nails on their home floor and will be extremely motivated here after getting embarrassed at Wichita State in their last game. Northern Iowa is 6-0 at home this season and has won these games by an average of 19.7 points. It is 11-0 in its last 11 home games dating back to last season and has won these by an average of 15.5 points. The Panthers won last season's home meeting against Indiana State by 17 points as a 5.5-point favorite. Lay the points.
|
01-01-13 |
Philadelphia 76ers +9 v. Los Angeles Lakers |
|
103-99 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 45 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Bailout on 76ers +9 The Key: Motivated by back-to-back defeats and an embarrassing 13-point home loss to the Lakers last month, expect the 76ers to give the Lakers all they want and more tonight. The Lakers are a poor 11-22 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. They have won by only 3.3 points on average in these games. They are also 6-16 ATS in their last 22 games following a SU win and 7-21-1 ATS in their last 29 games following an ATS win. It is also worth noting that the road team is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Take the points.
|
01-01-13 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Denver Nuggets |
Top |
78-92 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 17 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Nuggets pk The Key: Expect LA's 17-game winning streak to come to an end in Denver where the Nuggets are 9-1 this season. The Nuggets will be the fresher team having had 2 days to gear up for this one. I also expect them to be the hungrier team as they look to end a 3-game skid in the series. The Nuggets check in off a loss at Memphis but have been terrific in bounce back spots. They are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS loss. They are also 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games versus teams that have a winning road record. Take Denver.
|
01-01-13 |
Wisconsin v. Stanford -6 |
Top |
14-20 |
Push |
0 |
54 h 17 m |
Show
|
7* Rose Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* on Stanford -6 The Key: Take away Wisconsin's running game, and they don't have much to work with offensively. Stanford has the ability to do just that as it ranks 3rd in the country against the run with just 88.0 ypg allowed. The Cardinal are 6-0 ATS all-time under coach Shaw in games played outside Palo Alto versus good offensive teams that average 5.9 yards per play or more. They have defeated these foes by an average of 9.6 points. They are also a perfect 6-0 ATS under Shaw when playing away from home in the second half of the season. They have won these contests by an average of 16.7 points. The Badgers cruised in the Big Ten title game, racking up 70 points on Nebraska, but are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. They are also 0-5 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. Lay the points.
|
01-01-13 |
Nebraska +9.5 v. Georgia |
|
31-45 |
Loss |
-110 |
50 h 18 m |
Show
|
6* Capital One Bowl *CA$H COW* on Nebraska +9.5 The Key: Nebraska will be the more motivated team as it looks to save face following an embarrassing loss to Wisconsin in the Big Ten title game. Georgia will have a tough time fully investing in this game knowing how close it came to playing for it all. "We spent ourselves in a worthy cause," coach Mark Richt said in reference to the SEC title game. "We, of course, wanted to play for a national championship. We knew we were just a few yards or a tipped ball, or however you want to say it away from winning it. It was heartbreaking, no doubt. We were highly hurt by it. ... So you have to kind of get over the heartbreak of that." Getting over heartbreak is easier said than done. Nebraska has a formidable running game which ranks 8th in the nation with 254.5 ypg. It poses problems for a Georgia defense that was shredded for 350 yards on 6.9 per carry against Alabama. The Cornhuskers are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss of more than 20 points and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game. The Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. Take the points.
|
01-01-13 |
Michigan v. South Carolina UNDER 48 |
|
28-33 |
Loss |
-105 |
50 h 45 m |
Show
|
6* Outback Bowl "Total" *CA$H COW* on Michigan/South Carolina Under 48 The Key: I'm expecting a relatively low-scoring game here. We have a matchup of two elite defenses that have had over a month to prepare. S. Carolina ranks 12th in the country in scoring defense with 17.4 ppg allowed and Michigan ranks 16th with 18.8 ppg allowed. Neither offense has been that strong as both rank outside the top 79 in total offense. The Under is 4-0 in the Gamecocks' last 4 bowl games and 10-4 in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning record. The Under is 5-2 in the Wolverines' last 7 non-conference games and 12-5 in their last 17 games vs. a team with a winning record. Bet the Under.
|
12-31-12 |
New Mexico v. St. Louis -4 |
Top |
46-60 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 19 m |
Show
|
7* NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on Saint Louis -4 The Key: This is a letdown spot for New Mexico which is coming off a big upset win at Cincinnati. This is a revenge spot, meanwhile, for Saint Louis, which lost by 4 at New Mexico last season. The Billikens are an impressive 14-4 ATS the last 2 seasons versus good teams that outscore their opponents by 4 or more points per game. St. Louis has defeated these foes by an average score of 8.2 points. Lay the points.
|
12-31-12 |
Iowa State v. Tulsa +1.5 |
Top |
17-31 |
Win
|
100 |
31 h 46 m |
Show
|
7* Liberty Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* on Tulsa +1.5 The Key: Tulsa lost at Iowa State clear back on Sept. 1, but I expect it to have its revenge in this neutral field battle. The Iowa State defense has struggled this season and those struggles should continue against an explosive Tulsa offense that averages 461.6 yards and 35.0 points per game. It also doesn't help matters that Iowa State is expected to be without star linebacker Jake Knott, who is recovering from a shoulder injury. Tulsa is balanced enough offensively to torch the Cyclones on the ground and through the air. ISU is just 4-13 ATS in its last 17 games played away from home versus teams that average 230 rushing yards or more per game. It has lost these games by an average of 28.8 points. Tulsa ranks 11th in the country in rushing with 241.1 ypg. The Golden Hurricane are also 7-0 ATS the last 3 seasons in games played away from home versus teams that allow their opponents to complete 58% or more of their passes. They have defeated these foes by an average of 13.4 points. ISU has given up a 61.3% completion percentage this season. Take Tulsa.
|
12-31-12 |
Memphis Grizzlies v. Indiana Pacers +2 |
|
83-88 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 44 m |
Show
|
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Pacers +2 The Key: The Grizzlies have struggled on the road of late. They have lost 4 of their last 6 road contests and are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5. It is significant that Memphis checks in with 2 losses in its last 3 games. That's because it is 1-9 ATS in road games after having lost 2 of its last 3 games over the last 2 seasons and has lost by an average of 5.2 points in this situation. The Pacers have been playing well at home where they have won 4 in a row. They check in off a loss but are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a defeat. Take the points.
|
12-31-12 |
Georgia Tech +7.5 v. USC |
|
21-7 |
Win
|
100 |
29 h 7 m |
Show
|
6* Sun Bowl *CA$H COW* on Georgia Tech +7.5 The Key: USC does not want to be here. It opened the season ranked No. 1 in the AP poll and had aspirations of playing for a national title. It is a big letdown for the Trojans to be playing in this game. To make matters worse, they won't have the services of star QB Matt Barkley, who will miss the contest with a shoulder injury. They could also be without Marqise Lee, who is listed as questionable because he is dealing with an undisclosed issue. Georgia Tech's running game is the real deal. It even managed 183 yards on the ground versus a Florida State defense that ranks 5th in the country against the run. The Yellow Jackets average 312.5 rushing yards per game, and I expect them to be able to run the football on a USC defense that allowed four of its last five foes to run for at least 172 yards. It lost all four of those games. Take the points.
|
12-30-12 |
Dallas Cowboys +3.5 v. Washington Redskins |
|
18-28 |
Loss |
-110 |
51 h 38 m |
Show
|
6* Sunday Night Football *CA$H COW* on Cowboys +3.5 The Key: The Cowboys have been a solid investment on the road where they are 5-2 ATS this season. They lost the season's first meeting but had won 3 in a row and 6 of 7 against the Redskins prior. The road team is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings, and the underdog is 23-6 ATS in the last 29 meetings. It is also worth noting that Washington is on a lousy 34-58 ATS slide as a home favorite. I'll grab the points with the Cowboys in this winner-take-all matchup.
|
12-30-12 |
Dayton v. USC -1.5 |
|
61-63 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 1 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on USC -1.5 The Key: I know Dayton has the better record both SU and ATS but it is getting too much respect here because of it. Consider that the Flyers are on an 8-22 ATS slide in road games after covering the number in 4 of their last 5 games. They have lost by an average of 5.3 points in this situation. It is also worth noting that the Flyers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning percentage below .400. Neither team has played since Dec. 22, but the time off will hurt Dayton more as it slows its momentum. It has given USC a chance to regroup. Lay the points.
|
12-30-12 |
St. Louis Rams +11 v. Seattle Seahawks |
Top |
13-20 |
Win
|
100 |
31 h 44 m |
Show
|
7* NFC West Game of the Year on Rams +11 The Key: Plays against home favorites that are out for revenge for a loss to an opponent, provided they check in off 2 consecutive covers as a favorite, are 23-5 ATS the last 10 seasons. The Rams are 10-3 ATS in the underdog role this season and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games. They are also a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. NFC West foes. Seattle rolled San Francisco last week but is a pathetic 2-17 ATS in its last 19 games following a home blowout win of 21 points or more. The Seahawks' chances of capturing the NFC West are slim as they need to win and have the 49ers lose at home to Arizona. The chances of that happening aren't very good. There will be some scoreboard watching so Seattle could be resting some players before the game is through. Take the points.
|
12-30-12 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +5.5 v. Atlanta Falcons |
|
22-17 |
Win
|
100 |
27 h 38 m |
Show
|
6* NFL *CA$H COW* on Buccaneers +5.5 The Key: The Buccaneers will be the more motivated team. They have lost five in a row and don't want to end the season with another lengthy losing streak. They have also lost their last two against the Falcons so they would love to bring an end to that two-game slide as well. Win or lose, the Falcons will own the best record in the NFC. In other words, they don't have anything to play for. The most important thing for them is to head into the playoffs healthy, which means there
|
12-29-12 |
Boston Celtics +3.5 v. Golden State Warriors |
|
83-101 |
Loss |
-105 |
14 h 59 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Bailout on Celtics +3.5 The Key: I'm expecting the Celtics to bounce back strong following Thursday's embarrassing loss to the Clippers when in managed only 77 points. Boston is 23-7 ATS in road games off an embarrassing road loss in which it was held to less than 80 points. It is 15-5 ATS in this situation under coach Doc Rivers and has bounced back to win these games by an average of 2.8 points. Also, plays on road teams off a road loss where they were held to less than 80 points, provided they are a well rested team playing 6 or less games in 14 days, are 24-5 ATS the last 5 seasons. Teams fitting into this situation have been underdogs of 3.8 points on average but have won by an average of 2.2 points. Lastly, the underdog is 18-4 ATS in the last 22 meetings. Take the points.
|
12-29-12 |
TCU v. Michigan State +3 |
Top |
16-17 |
Win
|
100 |
30 h 14 m |
Show
|
7* Bowl Game of the Week (Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl) on Michigan State +3 The Key: I really like Michigan State catching points here because of its defense. The Spartans were in every game this season behind a stop unit that ranked 4th in total defense and 10th in scoring defense. Sparty has wins over Boise State and Wisconsin and also took Ohio State and Michigan right down to the wire. BCS Championship-bound Notre Dame is the only team to beat the Spartans by more than four points this season. Michigan State is 8-1 ATS when playing away from the last two seasons versus teams that have a winning record. TCU is 0-7 ATS when playing away from home the last three seasons versus non-conference opponents. It is also 0-5 ATS in its last 5 neutral site games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 bowl games. Take the points.
|
12-29-12 |
Denver Nuggets v. Memphis Grizzlies -6.5 |
Top |
72-81 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 37 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Western Conference Game of the Month on Grizzlies -6.5 The Key: The Grizzlies will be hungry tonight as they have lost their last two and each of the season's first two meetings with Denver. Besides being the more motivated side, Memphis will also be the fresher team as it has had two days off while Denver will be playing its second game in as many nights and fourth in five days. The Grizzlies are 10-2 ATS when playing against a team that has a winning record this season. It is also 30-13 ATS in home games when out for revenge for a loss to an opponent over the last three seasons. Lay the points.
|
12-29-12 |
Drake v. Bradley -6 |
Top |
57-67 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 53 m |
Show
|
7* NCAAB Game of the Week on Bradley -6 The Key: As if back-to-back losses aren't enough motivation, Bradley will also be fueled by losses in all three of last season's meetings with Drake. The Bulldogs are just 6-17 ATS in road games versus teams that have a winning record over the last 3 seasons and have lost these contests by an average of 14.8 points. They are 2-10 ATS when playing against good teams (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 2 seasons and have lost to these teams by an average of 8.9 points. Lay the points.
|
12-29-12 |
West Virginia v. Syracuse +4 |
|
14-38 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 38 m |
Show
|
6* Pinstripe Bowl *CA$H COW* on Syracuse +4 The Key: The Mountaineers can't be trusted laying points here with as poorly as they have performed on defense. WVU is among the worst defensive teams in the country, ranking 116th in scoring defense (38.1 ppg allowed) and 111th in total defense (469.6 ypg allowed). WVU ranks 123rd in the country against the pass with 327.1 ypg allowed and that doesn't bode well for the Mountaineers as they go up against a strong Syracuse passing attack that ranks 22nd in the country with 300.6 ypg. Senior quarterback Ryan Nassib outperformed Geno Smith in last season's meeting when the Orange won 49-23. Syracuse also won 19-14 the year before that. The Mountaineers are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 neutral field games as a favorite and have lost these by 3.3 points on average. Take the points.
|
12-28-12 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Utah Jazz +3 |
Top |
116-114 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 17 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Jazz +3 The Key: The Jazz lost the season's first meeting to the Clippers at home but only by 1 point. Dating back to 1996, Utah has won 29 of 33 home games against the Clippers. 3 of these four losses came by fewer than 3 points. In other words, the Jazz have won or lost by less than 3 points in 32 of their last 33 home games against the Clipps. Now, that's a 32-1 trend I can get behind. Take the points.
|
12-28-12 |
Rutgers v. Virginia Tech -2 |
Top |
10-13 |
Win
|
100 |
25 h 40 m |
Show
|
7* Russell Athletic Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* on Virginia Tech -2 The Key: I can't imagine Rutgers is completely invested in this game. It lost its last two games of the regular season and an opportunity to play in a BCS bowl along with it. Virginia Tech, meanwhile, has to be very excited about this opportunity considering it looked like it could miss out on the postseason all together when it was 4-6. The Hokies are the more talented team, and I believe the month of preparation time will serve them very well in this game. Their advantage in the level of talent has long been on display as they are 11-0 in their last 11 meetings versus Rutgers and have won these by an average of 29.3 points. Lay the points.
|
12-28-12 |
Rider +11 v. Rutgers |
Top |
56-68 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 9 m |
Show
|
7* NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on Rider +11 The Key: Rutgers can't be trusted laying this many points. It is just 5-15 ATS all-time as a favorite under coach Mike Rice and has won these games by only 1.9 points on average. Rutgers is even 2-9 ATS as a home favorite or pickem over the last 2 seasons and has won these games by only .1 points on average. Take the points.
|
12-27-12 |
Boston Celtics +8.5 v. Los Angeles Clippers |
|
77-106 |
Loss |
-105 |
11 h 45 m |
Show
|
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Celtics +8.5 The Key: Boston has defeated the Clippers or lost to them by 5 points or less in each of the past 9 meetings. With this in mind, I'll gladly take the points. It is also worth noting that the underdog is 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings. The Clippers have won 14 in a row and are being overvalued because of it.
|
12-27-12 |
New Mexico +6.5 v. Cincinnati |
|
55-54 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 60 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* (ESPN2) on New Mexico +6.5 The Key: Oddsmakers have overreacted to New Mexico's loss to South Dakota State. NM is 11-3 ATS in road games versus very good teams that outscore their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. Cincy enters off a double-digit win at home over Wright State but is 0-7 ATS in home games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Take the points.
|
12-27-12 |
Cincinnati v. Duke +9.5 |
Top |
48-34 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 10 m |
Show
|
7* Belk Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* on Duke +9.5 The Key: The Blue Devils struggled defensively in the last quarter of the season but have had over a month to get things sorted out and to gear up for one opponent. Besides, the Bearcats are 0-7 ATS when playing outside Cincinnati the last two decades versus teams that give up 34 or more points/game. They lost these seven contests by an average of 9.5 points. Duke will be the more focused team as it has retained its coach while Cincy is dealing with the departure of Butch Jones. Take the points.
|
12-27-12 |
Bowling Green +7.5 v. San Jose State |
|
20-29 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 40 m |
Show
|
6* Military Bowl *CA$H COW* on Bowling Green +7.5 The Key: I'll gladly grab the 7.5 points here considering Bowling Green is 7-1 SU and ATS in its last 8 games and the lone loss came by only 7 points. San Jose State has been a poor investment when playing with extended time off. It is on a 4-15 ATS skid in games after a week or more off and has lost these by an average of 15.8 points. Take the points as Bowling Green's top 10 defense keeps this one closer than the oddsmakers think.
|
12-26-12 |
Central Michigan v. Western Kentucky -5 |
Top |
24-21 |
Loss |
-105 |
126 h 19 m |
Show
|
7* Pizza Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* on W. Kentucky -5 The Key: The Chipps haven't been a good underdog as they are on a 5-16 ATS slide in the role. They are 1-5 ATS as an underdog this season and never should have beat Iowa as they were down by 8 points with 2 minutes remaining. Central Michigan has been exposed against worthy competition as it is on a 0-7 ATS skid when matched up against teams with a winning record. It has lost to these teams by an average of 20.1 points. Lay the number with the Hilltoppers.
|
12-26-12 |
Miami Heat v. Charlotte Bobcats +10.5 |
|
105-92 |
Loss |
-109 |
9 h 25 m |
Show
|
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Bobcats +10.5 The Key: This one has letdown written all over it for Miami, which checks in off yesterday's big win over the Thunder. Home underdogs that have failed to cover the number in four of their last five games, provided they are up against a team that has covered the spread in six or seven of their last eight contests, are 29-5 ATS the last 5 seasons. This system is a perfect 3-0 ATS this season. Take the points.
|
12-25-12 |
New York Knicks v. Los Angeles Lakers -3.5 |
Top |
94-100 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 19 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Lakers -3.5 The Key: This is a statement game for the Lakers. They have won each of their last four games and will be out to prove that they are going to be a force to be reckoned with this season. The Knicks won the first meeting at home just over 2 weeks ago, but the Lakers didn't have Steve Nash on the floor. They are a much better team with him orchestrating the offense. The home team has won each of the past three meetings by 7 points or more and covered the number in each. Also, the favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Lay the points.
|
12-24-12 |
SMU v. Fresno State -12 |
|
43-10 |
Loss |
-106 |
79 h 3 m |
Show
|
6* Hawaii Bowl *CA$H COW* on Fresno State -12 The Key: The Bulldogs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 and 11-1 ATS in all games this season, and I expect them to continue their covering ways against against SMU. Fresno State is 9-0 ATS as a favorite this season and 6-0 ATS when the total is between 56.5 and 63 this season. SMU is 0-7 ATS the last 3 seasons when checking into a matchup with 4 or 5 wins in its last 6 games. It is also 0-7 ATS in games played away from home following an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog of 6 points or more. The Mustangs are just happy to be here as they needed a big upset win in their season finale just to become bowl eligible. Fresno State will be out to prove that it's one of the best non-BCS teams in the country. Lay the points.
|
12-23-12 |
San Francisco 49ers v. Seattle Seahawks +1 |
|
13-42 |
Win
|
100 |
79 h 52 m |
Show
|
6* Sunday Night Football *CA$H COW* on Seahawks +1 The Key: The Seahawks are a perfect 6-0 SU and ATS at home this season. They are also 7-0 ATS in home games versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons and 6-0 ATS in home games when looking for revenge for a road loss to an opponent over the last 3 seasons. In addition, Seattle is 6-0 ATS vs. good passing teams that average 7 or more passing yards per attempt over the last 2 seasons and 6-0 ATS versus good rushing teams that average 4.5 rushing yardsor more per carry over the last 2 seasons. The Seahawks have been tough as nails at home all season. Plus, it will be tough for San Francisco to bounce back emotionally following such an emotional win at New England last week. Seattle only lost by 2 points to the 49ers in last season's home meeting, and I believe it has what it takes to get the job done this time around.
|
12-23-12 |
Cleveland Browns +13.5 v. Denver Broncos |
|
12-34 |
Loss |
-113 |
74 h 28 m |
Show
|
6* NFL Late Afternoon *CA$H COW* on Browns +13.5 The Key: The Browns are being undervalued here considering they have lost just one road game by more than 13 points this season. That was a 14-point setback to the defending Super Bowl champion NY Giants. Their other 4 road defeats have all come by 7 or less points. They are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 road games. The Browns check in off a 17-point loss to Washington but are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a loss of at least 15 points. They are also 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss. Take the points.
|
12-23-12 |
St Mary's CA v. Northern Iowa +2.5 |
Top |
75-82 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 28 m |
Show
|
7* CBB Game of the Month on Northern Iowa +2.5 The Key: As if back-to-back losses to Iowa and UNLV aren't enough motivation, the Panthers will also draw from last season's disappointing 57-41 loss at Saint Mary's. Beating Northern Iowa on its home floor is no easy task. The Panthers have won each of their first five home games and are on a 10-0 run at home dating back to last season. Plus, this is a tough situational spot for the Gaels as their Thursday flight was postponed due to bad weather, and they had to take a private charter Saturday. These kinds of distraction make it difficult to focus. Take the points.
|
12-23-12 |
Washington Redskins v. Philadelphia Eagles +6.5 |
Top |
27-20 |
Loss |
-100 |
71 h 21 m |
Show
|
7* NFL Game of the Week on Eagles +6.5 The Key: The Eagles were whacked by the Bengals in last week's Thursday night game, but with the extra time to prepare and extremely motivated to avenge last month's ugly loss at Washington, I expect a strong performance by Philly this week. The Eagles are an awesome 9-0 ATS off a home blowout loss of 21 points or more over the last two decades. They have bounced by from such defeats to win by an average of 7.2 points in these spots. It is also to our benefit that RG3 isn't at full strength. It's likely that he'll play Sunday, but I don't expect him to be the same player he has been throughout his rookie season. Take the points.
|
12-22-12 |
Atlanta Falcons v. Detroit Lions +4.5 |
Top |
31-18 |
Loss |
-105 |
75 h 25 m |
Show
|
7* NFL *HEAVY HITTER* on Lions +4.5 The Key: The Lions were embarrassed in Arizona last week but played the Packers (twice), Texans and Colts very tough before that (3 of the losses came by 4 points or less). A matchup with arguably the best team in the NFC should get Detroit's juices flowing again. Atlanta shutout the Giants last week but is 0-7 ATS in its last 7 games after allowing less than 15 points in its previous game. The Lions, meanwhile, are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after being held to less than 15 points in their previous game. Detroit is also on a 15-5 ATS run following a loss of 28 or more points. The Lions are a much better team than their record shows, and I expect them to prove it here.
|
12-22-12 |
Duquesne v. Louisiana-Lafayette -3 |
|
79-91 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 21 m |
Show
|
6* CBB *CA$H COW* on Louisiana-Lafayette -3 The Key: I'll gladly fade the Dukes here as they are 0-8 ATS in road contests the last two seasons when they enter them with victories in two of their last three games. They have been crushed by an average of 17.4 points in these spots. Duquesne is just 1-4 when stepping off its home floor this season. It will have its work cut out for itself against a hungry ULL squad that will be out to avenge last season's loss at Duquesne. Lay the points.
|
12-22-12 |
Chicago Bulls v. Atlanta Hawks -3 |
Top |
75-92 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 26 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month on Hawks -3 The Key: Atlanta fits into an awesome wagering situation: home teams when the line is +3 to -3 that check in off an upset loss, provided they and the opponent they are matched up against both carry winning percentages of 60-75%, are 53-20 ATS since 1996. Also, the Hawks have been an outstanding play in the second game when playing on back-to-back nights. They are on a 17-5 ATS run in these games and have won them by an average of 6.1 points. The Bulls are just 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games following a win. Lay the points.
|
12-22-12 |
Washington +6 v. Boise State |
Top |
26-28 |
Win
|
100 |
27 h 48 m |
Show
|
7* Las Vegas Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* on Washington +6 The Key: The Huskies aren't getting the respect they deserve here. We're talking about a team that defeated Pac-12 Champion Stanford. Boise State is a good defensive team, but it has struggled offensively, especially against good defenses. The Broncos lost to Michigan State and beat BYU by a point. They have their work cut out for themselves trying to cover this number against a Washington defense that ranks 30th in the country with 353.0 ypg allowed. Take the points.
|
12-21-12 |
Indiana Pacers v. Cleveland Cavaliers +3.5 |
|
99-89 |
Loss |
-100 |
8 h 2 m |
Show
|
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Cavaliers +3.5 The Key: The Pacers have struggled on the road, and I believe they'll have a tough time getting the job done against a Cleveland team that will be hungry to end a 5-game skid and to avenge a loss at Indiana earlier this month. The Pacers are just 6-20 ATS the last 2 seasons after covering the spread in 4 or 5 of their last 6 games. This trend represents how oddsmakers adjust the lines on teams that are covering often. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. The underdog is 7-3-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Also, the Pacers are just 4-10-1 ATS in the last 15 meetings in Cleveland. Take the points.
|
12-21-12 |
Ball State v. Central Florida -7 |
Top |
17-38 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 57 m |
Show
|
7* Beef O Brady's Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* on Central Florida -7 The Key: UCF's only losses have come to a very good Tulsa team (twice) and to BCS conference foes Ohio State and Missouri. The Knights have won each of their other 9 games by 7 points or more. With this is mind, I have no problem laying the points with UCF this evening. It is the far superior defensive team and defense matters the most this time of year. That was evident last night when BYU held San Diego State to 263 yards and forced 5 turnovers. Lay the number.
|
12-20-12 |
BYU -3 v. San Diego State |
Top |
23-6 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 1 m |
Show
|
7* Pre New Year's Bowl Game of the Year on BYU -3 The Key: I really like BYU laying a small number tonight because of how dominant it has been on defense. The Cougars rank 3rd in the country in total defense (266.3 ypg allowed) and 5th in scoring defense (14.7 ppg allowed). BYU is on a 7-0 ATS run in neutral field or road games after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 4 straight games. It is 8-0 ATS after having won 3 out of its last 4 games over the last 3 seasons. It is also 8-0 ATS in road or neutral site games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or higher over the last 3 seasons. Lastly, the Cougars are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 vs. the MWC. BYU has won 5 straight over SDSU with each of those wins coming by at least 3 points. Lay the number.
|
12-20-12 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Minnesota Timberwolves +4 |
|
93-99 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 7 m |
Show
|
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Timberwolves +4 The Key: Oddsmakers are begging for the money to roll in on the Thunder, but I'm not gonna bite. The T-Wolves have covered the spread in each of the past five meetings. Plus, they have covered the number in 5 of the last 6 home meetings in the series. Since Adelman took over as head man, the Wolves have been very competitive, even against good teams. In fact, they are 15-4 ATS under his watch versus teams that outscore the opposition by 3+ points/game. 4 of the last 6 meetings between these two in Minnesota have been decided by 4 points or less. Take the points.
|
12-19-12 |
Philadelphia 76ers +7.5 v. Houston Rockets |
Top |
103-125 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 38 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on 76ers +7.5 The Key: The 76ers are being undervalued here as oddsmakers have overreacted to their four-game losing streak and the fact they played last night. Philly has won or lost by 7 point or less to the Rockets in each of the last 9 meetings. The 76ers are 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Houston. It is also worth mentioning that the road team is 13-5 ATS in the last 18 meetings, and the underdog is 16-6 ATS in the last 22 meetings. Take the points.
|
12-19-12 |
Miami Ohio +7 v. Wright State |
|
59-67 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 31 m |
Show
|
6* CBB *CA$H COW* on Miami Ohio +7 The Key: Hungry to end a 3-game losing streak and having had a week-and-a-half to prepare for this game, look for Miami Ohio to give Wright State all it wants and more. The Red Hawks will be further motivated by the fact they have lost to Wright State each of the past two seasons. I'm counting on the Miami Ohio defense really getting after it tonight. After all, the Red Hawks are on a 9-1 ATS run after allowing 75 points or more in 2 straight games and have won by an average of 12.2 points in these spots while holding the opposition to just 66.0 points on average. Also, the underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Take the points.
|
12-19-12 |
Morehead State v. South Dakota +4.5 |
|
75-85 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 28 m |
Show
|
6* CBB *CA$H COW* on South Dakota +4.5 The Key: I'll gladly grab the points with the home team considering each of the last two meetings between these two have been decided by 2 points or less. Morehead State is 0-4 on the road this season while South Dakota is 3-2 at home. The Coyotes are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 lined home games dating back to last season. Take the points as the Coyotes will have an excellent opportunity to win this one outright.
|
12-18-12 |
Charlotte Bobcats +12 v. Los Angeles Lakers |
|
100-101 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 56 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Bailout on Bobcats +12 The Key: The Lakers can't be trusted laying big points as they are just 9-21 ATS as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons.
|
12-18-12 |
Minnesota Timberwolves +9 v. Miami Heat |
Top |
92-103 |
Loss |
-108 |
10 h 4 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Timberwolves +9 The Key: The Timberwolves aren't getting the respect they deserve from oddsmakers tonight, and I'll gladly grab the points as they are 11-2 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 2 seasons.
|
12-18-12 |
Ball State v. Purdue -15.5 |
|
56-66 |
Loss |
-107 |
9 h 55 m |
Show
|
6* CBB *CA$H COW* on Purdue -15.5 The Key: I'll gladly lay this big number with the Boilermakers as they are an impressive 16-5 ATS as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons. They have won these contests by 21.2 points on average.
|
12-17-12 |
Sacramento Kings +6 v. Phoenix Suns |
|
90-101 |
Loss |
-105 |
12 h 26 m |
Show
|
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Sacramento Kings +6 The Key: The Kings are a strong underdog play tonight with the Suns coming off a game in which they allowed less than 85 points after a combined score of 215 or more in two straight games. This situation has been very profitable for the opposing team, going 85-50 (63%) since 1996.
|
12-17-12 |
NY Jets +2 v. Tennessee Titans |
Top |
10-14 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 2 m |
Show
|
7* NFL *HEAVY HITTER* on NY Jets +2 The Key:The Jets fall under a great situation tonight playing against favored home teams with terrible defenses. Trend has hit consistently at 66% since 1983 (51-26). Tennessee is also one of the worst home teams in the NFL this year, going just 2-4 both ATS and straight up. Their home defense also ranks among the worst in recent memory, allowing visiting teams to rack up 422 yards per game for 32 points per game so far this season.
|
12-17-12 |
Georgia Southern v. Bradley -10 |
|
43-62 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 20 m |
Show
|
6* CBB *CA$H COW* on Bradley -10 The Key: Bradley has played extremely well coming off of a win over the past several seasons, going 51-29 ATS in those situations. They are matched up well against a Georgia Southern team who is very poor offensively, averaging just 58 points per game in their road games this season. Bradley is favored by double-digits for good reason and has already covered the spread twice this season when favored by ten points or more.
|
12-17-12 |
Los Angeles Clippers -6.5 v. Detroit Pistons |
|
88-76 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 56 m |
Show
|
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on LA Clippers -6.5 The Key: This plays is as much against the Pistons as it is on the Clippers. NBA teams off of a poor home loss in which they scored less than 80 points have been terrible in their next game historically, going just 38-71 against the spread in similar situations. The Clippers also fall into a sweet spot having just won in blowout fashion where teams in similar situations have rolled to a 44-17 record (72.1%) since 1996.
|
12-17-12 |
Valparaiso -3.5 v. Oakland |
|
68-70 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 20 m |
Show
|
6* CBB *CA$H COW* on Valparaiso -3.5 The Key: Valpo returns all five starters this season and has excelled defensively thus far, allowing just 57.6 points per game through their first ten games. This game also falls under a very successful situation for road favorites against poor teams that has hit 71.4% over the last five seasons (50-20).
|
12-16-12 |
New Orleans Hornets +5.5 v. Portland Trail Blazers |
|
94-95 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 6 m |
Show
|
6* *NBA Cash Cow* get in on part of an awesome 30-17 ATS trend backing the Hornets tonight!
|
12-16-12 |
San Francisco 49ers +6 v. New England Patriots |
|
41-34 |
Win
|
100 |
103 h 20 m |
Show
|
6* Sunday Night Football *CA$H COW* on 49ers +6 The Key: analysis coming...
|
12-16-12 |
Denver Nuggets -4.5 v. Sacramento Kings |
|
122-97 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 50 m |
Show
|
6* NBA Ca$h Cow on Denver Nuggets -4.5
|
12-16-12 |
Delaware v. Villanova -6.5 |
|
65-75 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 46 m |
Show
|
6* NCAABB *CA$H Cow!* There's no better bet this weekend than the absolute certainty that is Dave Price's magical winning prediction this week@
|
12-16-12 |
Denver Broncos v. Baltimore Ravens +3 |
Top |
34-17 |
Loss |
-110 |
96 h 51 m |
Show
|
7* NFL Game of the Month on Ravens +3 The Key: Baltimore dominates versus divisional oppnenets, going 14-3 against them since 1992.
|
12-16-12 |
Green Bay Packers v. Chicago Bears +3 |
|
21-13 |
Loss |
-108 |
96 h 50 m |
Show
|
6* NFC North *CA$H COW* on Bears +3 This game falls into a great situation where the bears are a solid 77-40 against the spread!
|
12-15-12 |
Memphis Grizzlies +2 v. Utah Jazz |
|
99-86 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 39 m |
Show
|
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Grizzlies +2 The Key: The Grizzlies have played exceptionally well over the last two seasons against teams that score over 99 points per game, going 13-4 against the spread against those teams in that time frame. They are also one of the best teams in the NBA versus good free throw shootings teams, posting a 60-33 ATS record against them over the past three season combined. Because of their defense, this Memphis team is going to be a tough win all season. Take the points.
|
12-15-12 |
Los Angeles Clippers -4 v. Milwaukee Bucks |
|
111-85 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 9 m |
Show
|
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Clippers -4 The Key: The Clippers play thier best against up-tempo teams, in fact, they are 16-6 against the spread versus teams averaging more than 83 shots per game over the last two seasons. They also play extremely well against poor foul-drawing teams like the Bucks (less than 24 free throw attempts per game), going 10-2 against the spread in that situation. This LA team is build on athleticism and the high tempo of this game should lead to an easy victory by the Clippers.
|
12-15-12 |
Brooklyn Nets v. Chicago Bulls -5 |
Top |
82-83 |
Loss |
-105 |
21 h 39 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Bulls -5 The Key: Play against teams off of an overtime game (the Nets), on no rest against opponents on two days of rest. This very profitable situation has gone 29-17 over the last several years ATS and is one that is worth following in the right situations. In addition to playing in back-to-back nights off of an overtime game, the Nets are also playing their 4th game in 5 days, another great situation that has gone 24-11 in recent seasons in similar situations. Take the Bulls as the best NBA bet of the day.
|
12-15-12 |
Iowa State -7 v. Drake |
|
86-77 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 33 m |
Show
|
6* CBB *CA$H COW* on Iowa State -7 The Key: This Drake team has not played well against good offensive teams like Iowa State whose average scoring margin is better than +4. In fact, in similar situations over the last two sesaons the Bulldogs are just 5-13 ATS. They Cyclones have excelled on Saturday games under head coach Fred Hoiberg, posting an impressive 11-3 ATS record in their Saturday games over the last two seasons.
|
12-15-12 |
Toledo +10.5 v. Utah State |
|
15-41 |
Loss |
-109 |
17 h 2 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAF *CA$H COW* on Toledo +10.5 The Key: Utah State's 10-2 record is a bit deceptive considering the teams that they've played this year. In fact, there is a lot not to like about the Aggies numbers coming into this game, and a lot of that has to do with their strength of schedule. Toledo has been impressive on offense this season, posting 32.9 points per game on 456 yards of total offense per game. Toledo has been superb in the underdog roll this season, going 5-0 in that situation throughout the regular season. This line has been adjusted far too high, likely due to Utah State's 10-1 ATS record in the regular season. Between this spread being inflated and the fact that Toledo comes in with a better strength of schedule, I'll gladly take the double-digits.
|
12-15-12 |
Elon +8 v. Massachusetts |
|
73-78 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 33 m |
Show
|
6* CBB *CA$H COW* on Elon +8.5 The Key: UMASS has been overrated all season and it shows with their 1-6 ATS record so far. Elon has been playing great defense and, situationally, they have been great off of good defensive performances. As for situations that fit this game, they are 13-2 ATS after allowing 55 points or less in a game and 9-1 ATS after holding any opponent to less than 33% shooting from the floor since 1997.
|
12-14-12 |
LSU v. Boise State -5.5 |
|
70-89 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 15 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Boise State -5.5 The Key: The Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games while the Broncos are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. Boise State was crushed in its last game but is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games following a loss of more than 20 points. It will be further motivated by last season's poor showing against LSU. The Broncos defeated Creighton on the road and gave Michigan State all it wanted and more. LSU has played a soft schedule to this point and hasn't stepped off its home floor yet. It will struggled in its first road games against a motivated opponent.
|
12-14-12 |
Milwaukee Bucks v. Cleveland Cavaliers +3 |
Top |
90-86 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 59 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Cavaliers +3 The Key: The Bucks have won 3 in a row but are on a 45-73 ATS slide after 3 or more consecutive wins. They are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games following a win and 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games following a win of more than 10 points. The Cavs played them to a 3-point game on the road in the first meeting, and I expect them to get the job done at home tonight.
|
12-14-12 |
Golden State Warriors v. Orlando Magic +5.5 |
|
85-99 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 22 m |
Show
|
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Magic +5.5 The Key: The Warriors are being overvalued following a string of 5 straight wins that included a win over the Heat. Orlando defeated the Warriors on the road earlier this month and will have at excellent shot at doing so against here. The home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings, and the Warriors are 3-8 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Orlando.
|
12-13-12 |
Cincinnati Bengals -4 v. Philadelphia Eagles |
Top |
34-13 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 31 m |
Show
|
7* NFL *HEAVY HITTER* on Bengals -4 The Key: The Bengals have cleaned up against poor teams in the second half of the season under coach Marvin Lewis, even on the road. In fact, they are 6-0 ATS in road games under their current coach when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) in the second half of the season and have won these games by an average of 14.3 points. The Bengals are also a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last 5 versus the Eagles. Cincy desperately needs this game to keep pace for the final AFC wild-card slot. That's all the motivation it should need to get the job done against a Philly squad that has lost 8 of 9. Lay the points.
|
12-13-12 |
Los Angeles Lakers +6.5 v. New York Knicks |
|
107-116 |
Loss |
-107 |
11 h 10 m |
Show
|
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Lakers +6.5 The Key: I'll gladly grab the points with the Lakers as they head to New York off three straight losses looking to show the NBA that they ARE a contender. Kobe loves the big stage, and I fully expect him to deliver in this national TV affair. The Lakers have won or lost by less than 7 points in 17 of their last 18 games against the Knicks. I also believe coach D'Antoni will coach the heck out of this game against his former team and former assistant coach. Teams headed up by D'Antoni are 30-13 ATS lifetime in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses. D'Antoni knows the Knicks and their personnel well and should be able to devise a solid game plan. Take the points.
|
12-13-12 |
Wichita State v. Tennessee +1 |
|
60-69 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 54 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Tennessee +1 The Key: The Vols have been money at home, going 14-3 ATS in all home lined games since the beginning of last season. They should especially be focused as they return home tonight following back-to-back poor performances on the road. Tennessee is on a 6-0 ATS run in home games off a road loss in which it was held to less than 60 points. It has won by an average of 8.3 points in these spots. The Volunteers are also on a 6-0 ATS run in home games after being held to 25 points or less in the 1st half last game. It has won by an average of 10.0 points in these spots. Bet the Vols.
|
12-12-12 |
New Orleans Hornets +13.5 v. Oklahoma City Thunder |
|
88-92 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 34 m |
Show
|
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Hornets +13.5 The Key: Plays on road underdogs, a cold team that has lost 8 or more of its last 10 games against a hot team that has won 8 or more of its last 10 games, are 58-25 ATS the last 5 seasons. The Hornets are a terrific 41-26 ATS as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons and 19-9 ATS in road games when looking for revenge for a loss to an opponent. Take the points.
|
12-12-12 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Charlotte Bobcats +8 |
Top |
100-94 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 9 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Game of the Week on Bobcats +8 The Key: The Clippers are being overvalued because they have won 7 in a row and are coming off a big win over the Bulls. They are on a 19-38 ATS slide after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games and a 37-60 ATS slide in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins. The Clippers covered the number by a point last night but are still only 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. LA has especially been overvalued on the road versus teams that have sub .500 records at home. In fact, it is 6-13-1 ATS in its last 20 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The Bobcats played the Knicks to a 2-point game as an 8-point dog last Wednesday, and I like them to give the Clippers a game tonight.
|
12-11-12 |
Cal Poly Slo +6.5 v. Nevada |
|
56-69 |
Loss |
-106 |
12 h 24 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB Bailout on Cal Poly SLO +6.5 The Key: I successfully played against Cal Poly following its big upset win over UCLA as it was crushed by St. Mary's. Now, I'm playing against Nevada following its big upset win over Washington as it comes in overvalued because of it. The Wolf Pack are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall, 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games, 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. the Big West. Cal Poly's style of play works in our favor as well considering Nevada is just 8-19 ATS in its last 27 home games versus slow-down teams that average 53 or less shots per game. Take the points.
|
12-11-12 |
Denver Nuggets v. Detroit Pistons +5.5 |
Top |
101-94 |
Loss |
-107 |
10 h 36 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Pistons +5.5 The Key: The Pistons aren't getting the respect they deserve here considering they are 14-1 in their last 15 home games against the Nuggets and considering the Nuggets are 1-5 in their last 6 road games. Detroit has been an outstanding home dog in recent seasons at 32-18 ATS in its last 50 games in the role. Also, the Nuggets are 6-15 ATS in the last 21 meetings and 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Detroit. Take the points.
|
12-10-12 |
Houston Texans v. New England Patriots -4 |
Top |
14-42 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 18 m |
Show
|
7* MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Patriots -4 The Key: I love the Pats at home tonight considering how good they have been late in the season. They are 20-0 in regular season games played in the second half of the season since 2010 and have won their last 12 December contests. Also, plays against underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points with a winning record on the season that are coming off 2 straight road wins and are matched up against a winning team are 30-9 ATS since 1983, including a perfect 6-0 ATS the last 5 seasons. Lay the points.
|
12-10-12 |
San Antonio Spurs v. Houston Rockets +5.5 |
|
134-126 |
Loss |
-102 |
9 h 17 m |
Show
|
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Rockets +5.5 The Key: The Rockets have been solid at home where they have won 7 of their last 9 games. They are also 3-0 in their last 3 and 7-3 in their last 10 home games against the Spurs. Also, Houston is a perfect 8-0 ATS as a home underdog since the start of last season. It has won by an average of 6.3 points in these games.
|
12-09-12 |
Detroit Lions +7 v. Green Bay Packers |
|
20-27 |
Push |
0 |
100 h 39 m |
Show
|
6* Sunday Night Football *CA$H COW* on Lions +7 The Key: With the playoffs out of the picture, this game becomes Detroit's Super Bowl. There's nothing the Lions want more than to win in Green Bay, where they have lost 20 in a row. 6 of Detroit's losses have come by 7 points or less. Also, 4 of the last 5 meetings between these 2 have been decided by 4 points or less. The Packers are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing record, and I expect this negative trend to continue as they are being overvalued against a team that is capable of knocking them off. Take the points.
|
12-09-12 |
Orlando Magic v. Phoenix Suns -4 |
|
98-90 |
Loss |
-105 |
13 h 22 m |
Show
|
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Suns -4 The Key: The Magic started off their road trip strong with a pair of wins but have since dropped their last two and I have them going down again here. The Suns got home at a good time yesterday as they played in LA in the afternoon, and they'll be very focused here knowing they have lost 4 straight to Orlando. 3 of those losses, including the last 2, were on the road so home court should make a big difference. The Suns have won 8 of their last 9 home games in the series, and the home team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. It's also worth noting that the favorite is 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings. This trend hasn't lost since Dec. 2008. Lay the points.
|
12-09-12 |
Atlanta Falcons v. Carolina Panthers +3.5 |
Top |
20-30 |
Win
|
100 |
92 h 13 m |
Show
|
7* NFL *HEAVY HITTER* on Panthers +3.5 The Key: The Carolina Panthers gave up 30 points in a 2-point loss at Atlanta in the first meeting, but they are 28-11 ATS all-time when out to avenge a loss to a foe that they allowed to score 28 points or more. The Panthers have won by an average of 0.4 points in these spots. Carolina is also 9-1 ATS all-time in home games in the 2nd half of the schedule versus good offensive teams that rack up 375.0 ypg or more. It has won by an average of 3.7 points in these spots. The Panthers are a better team than their record indicates. They don't have anything left to play for other than pride, and that will be enough Sunday. The Falcons were fortunate to win the first meeting, and they won't be as fortunate this time around. Take the points.
|
12-09-12 |
Tennessee Titans +6 v. Indianapolis Colts |
|
23-27 |
Win
|
100 |
92 h 12 m |
Show
|
6* NFL *CA$H COW* on Titans +6 The Key: The Titans took the Colts to OT in the first meeting, and I expect them to give Indy all it wants and more again Sunday. Plays on road teams that are looking to avenge a loss to an opponent that held them to 14 points or less are 160-101 ATS the last 10 seasons. The "play on" side has been valued as an underdog of 5.4 points on average but has lost by just 2.9 points on average. Also, the Colts are just 10-23 ATS in their last 33 home games in the 2nd half of their schedule versus teams that have a losing record. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Take the points.
|
12-08-12 |
San Antonio Spurs v. Charlotte Bobcats +8.5 |
Top |
132-102 |
Loss |
-103 |
11 h 24 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Bobcats +8.5 The Key: The aging Spurs are being overvalued on the road against a younger Charlotte squad that will fare better than them playing on consecutive nights. The Bobcats fell to Milwaukee both SU and ATS last night but are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss. Also, the home team is 6-1-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. The Spurs won by only 4 points the last time they visited the Bobcats. The time before that they lost. The time before that they won by just 2 points. Take the points.
|
12-08-12 |
La Salle v. Northeastern +4 |
Top |
66-64 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 54 m |
Show
|
7* NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on Northeastern +4 The Key: The value clearly lies with Northeastern catching points at home. The Huskies lost their last game both SU and ATS, but they are a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a game in which they did not cover. La Salle has won 5 straight while Northeastern has lost 3 straight. Also, La Salle won last season's meeting at home by 17 points and they are only laying 4 here? You tell me which side the books want your money on. The Huskies return four starters, and they'll be hungry to avenge last year's loss. Take the points.
|
12-08-12 |
Navy v. Army +7 |
|
17-13 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 41 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAF *CA$H COW* on Army +7 The Key: Army played Navy to a six-point game last season, and I fully expect it to give the Midshipmen a game again. It works in our favor that Army was blown out in its last game as we are getting a better line because of it. Also, the Black Knights have never lost under coach Ellerson after trailing in their last game by 17 points or more at the half. They are a perfect 6-0 ATS in these spots and have won them by an average score of 32.8 to 18.5. Navy has been overvalued against losing teams. In fact, it is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 vs. a team with a losing record. Lastly, underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that have lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games that are up against an opponent that has won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games are 31-12 ATS the last 10 seasons. Army is clearly the right side.
|
12-07-12 |
Memphis Grizzlies v. New Orleans Hornets +7.5 |
|
96-89 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 31 m |
Show
|
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Hornets +7.5 The Key: The Grizzlies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The Hornets are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a loss of more than 10 points and 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games following an ATS loss. New Orleans is also 29-16 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons. The Hornets have won or lost by 7 points or fewer in 17 of their last 18 home meetings against the Grizzlies. Take the points.
|
12-07-12 |
Golden State Warriors v. Brooklyn Nets -6 |
Top |
109-102 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 45 m |
Show
|
7* NBA Game of the Week on Nets -6 The Key: After going down to the Heat and Thunder - last season's conference champs - in their last two games, the Nets will be primed and ready to run up the score on a lesser opponent tonight. Because Brooklyn lost to the Warriors on the road last month, it will be very hungry and focused here. The Warriors have struggled to a 3-9 ATS record in their last 12 Friday games while the Nets are a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 Friday games. It is also worth mentioning that the Warriors are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. the NBA Atlantic division while the Nets are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 vs. the NBA Pacific division. The Nets are 4-1-2 ATS in their last 7 home games and have wins of 7 and 10 points against the Knicks and Clippers during this stretch. The Nets are also 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games against the Warriors. Lay the points.
|
12-06-12 |
Denver Broncos v. Oakland Raiders +11.5 |
Top |
26-13 |
Loss |
-120 |
31 h 34 m |
Show
|
7* AFC West Game of the Year on Raiders +11.5 The Key: Plays on home underdogs or pickems in the second half of the season that have failed to cover the number in 2 of their last 3 games, provided they have won 25% or less of their games on the season and are matched up against a team with a winning record, are 22-6 ATS the last 10 seasons. This system lets us know the value clearly lies with Oakland. Plus, the Broncos are just 11-24 ATS in their last 35 games against teams that have won 25% of their games or fewer on the season. Denver has won by only 1.9 points in these games. Lastly, the underdog is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings. The Raiders haven't quit. That was evident when they played Cleveland tough last week. I have no doubt they'll be the more motivated team tonight as they look to end a 5-game skid and avenge an embarrassing loss to the Broncos in the season's first meeting.
|
12-06-12 |
New York Knicks v. Miami Heat -7 |
|
112-92 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 36 m |
Show
|
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Heat -7 The Key: Plays against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that have won 4 of their last 5 games, provided they have played 8 or more games in 14 days, are 61-30 ATS the last 5 seasons. These teams have been underdogs of 6 points on average but have lost by an average of 9 points. With the Knicks getting taken down to the wire last night, the Heat will be the much fresher side. Miami is on a 10-2 ATS run in games when it has had 1 day of rest. Also, the Knicks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in Miami and have lost these 4 contests by an average of 17.3 points. Lay the points.
|
12-06-12 |
Vanderbilt +11.5 v. Xavier |
|
66-64 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 35 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Vanderbilt +11.5 The Key: The Commodores are an impressive 15-6 ATS in road lined games over the last 3 seasons. Furthermore, they are 6-0 ATS in road games during this span after holding their opponents to 65 points or less in 2 straight games. The Musketeers are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Off a big upset win at Purdue, Xavier won't give a Vandy squad it defeated by 12 points last season its full attention. Take the points.
|
12-05-12 |
Orlando Magic v. Utah Jazz -8 |
|
81-87 |
Loss |
-105 |
12 h 36 m |
Show
|
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Jazz -8 The Key: The Magic are 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS in the last five meetings with the Jazz, and the 4 losses have come by 9 points or more. Look for a hungry Utah squad that has lost its last three to take out its frustrations all over the Magic tonight.
|
12-05-12 |
New York Knicks v. Charlotte Bobcats +8 |
Top |
100-98 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 42 m |
Show
|
7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Bobcats +8 The Key: I expect the Knicks to get caught looking ahead to tomorrow night's showdown with the Miami Heat. Charlotte, meanwhile, wants this game badly. Not only is it looking to end a four-game slide, but it has been embarrassed the last two times it has faced New York. The Knicks have dropped 3 of their last 4 road games and their road struggles will continue tonight.
|
12-05-12 |
Florida v. Florida State +6 |
|
72-47 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 24 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Florida State +6 The Key: Off an embarrassing home loss to Mercer and with an 18-point loss at Florida last season also stoking the fire, I expect the Seminoles to put forth their best effort of the season tonight. Under coach Hamilton, FSU is 21-8 ATS as a home underdog or pickem, including 12-4 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less or pickem. The Noles are also on a 17-8 ATS run in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses. The home team is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings and the underdog is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Take the points.
|
12-04-12 |
Wyoming v. Illinois State -8 |
Top |
81-67 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 7 m |
Show
|
7* NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on Illinois State -8 The Key: Following back-to-back narrow defeats to worthy opponents (Northwestern and Louisville), I expect the Redbirds to bounce back strong at home against a Wyoming team that finds itself in a letdown spot following a big win over Colorado. The Redbirds are an outstanding 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games. Wyoming has been an ugly investment on the road, especially when coming off a win. It is on a 41-70 ATS slide in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins. It is also 5-15 ATS as a road underdog or pickem over the last 3 seasons. It has lost these 20 games by an average of 12.1 points. Lay the points.
|
12-04-12 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Brooklyn Nets +4.5 |
|
117-111 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 47 m |
Show
|
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Nets +4.5 The Key: The Thunder are getting a little too much respect on the road against a Brooklyn team that is 7-1 at home. The Nets are 4-0-2 ATS in their last 6 home games and 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Also, plays against road favorites that have covered the spread in 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, if they have won 75% or more of their games and are playing a team that has a winning record, are 93-52 ATS since 1996. These teams have been favored by 3.5 points on average but have only won by an average of 0.4. Take the points.
|
12-03-12 |
NY Giants v. Washington Redskins +3 |
Top |
16-17 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 26 m |
Show
|
7* MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Redskins +3 The Key: The Redskins are a better football team than they were when they lost to the Giants by 4 in New York Oct. 21, and they have had a great deal of success against the Giants recently. They have won 2 of the last 3 meetings with those wins coming by double digits. Plus, teams coached my Mike Shanahan are 13-4 ATS in home games when looking to avenge a same season loss to an opponent over the last 2 decades. His teams have won by an average of 10.1 points in these spots. Take the points.
|
12-03-12 |
Milwaukee Bucks v. New Orleans Hornets +4.5 |
|
81-102 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 37 m |
Show
|
6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Hornets +4.5 The Key: The Hornets have been a strong play when catching this many points. In fact, they are 28-15 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons. The Hornets have won 10 straight at home against Milwaukee, and they are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings (3 SU wins, 1 loss by just 4 points). Take the points.
|
12-03-12 |
USC -2 v. Nebraska |
|
51-63 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 19 m |
Show
|
6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on USC -2 The Key: This is a huge revenge game for an experienced USC team that returns 4 starters. The Trojans have suffered three narrow defeats to the Huskers, who return only 1 starter, over the past 3 seasons, and I expect them to finally have their revenge tonight. The Cornhuskers are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games overall, 5-11 ATS in their last 16 home games and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win. Lay the points.
|